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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-14-18 | Bears -3 v. Dolphins | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -125 | 70 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on the Chicago Bears. Chicago enters off a 48-10 home win over Tampa Bay, while Miami comes in off a 27-17 road victory over Cincinnati. The Bears are getting fantastic play on both sides of the ball and I look for the team to continue that progression, averaging 27.8 PPG and allowing only 16.2. Miami enters off a 27-17 road loss in Cincinnati, unable to hold on to an early 17-0 lead. The Fish average only 19.8 PPG and they allow 23.4. Note as well that the Dolphins are just 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 following an ATS loss, while Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last seven after posting more than 350 total yards in the air in its previous game. All signs point to a rout, play on the BEARS. AAA Sports |
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10-13-18 | Colorado +7.5 v. USC | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -106 | 58 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Colorado. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Colorado is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 on the road and interestingly 8-3 ATS in its last 11 in games played in Week 5 through 9, while USC is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range and just 5-10 ATS in its last 15 against teams with winning records. The bottom line: The Buffs are 5-0 and undefeated and they enter off their bye week. USC has looked susceptible at times already this season. We’re expecting a very tight battle, one which will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last. Grab the points, play on COLORADO. AAA Sports |
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10-11-18 | Eagles v. Giants +3 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -100 | 37 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the New York Giants. The Eagles are only allowing just over 20 PPG, but the Giants are only allowing 21. Each offense has struggled to this point, but at 1-4, New York is still within striking distance of 2-2 Washington. Carson Wentz and the Eagles offense is struggling, which doesn’t bode well heading into this difficult road venue on the short week. Note that the Eagles are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight games played on field turf and only 2-4 ATS in their last six as a road favorite of three points or less, while New York is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 after two or more consecutive losses. We like the veteran Manning to take advantage. Play on the GIANTS. AAA Sports |
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10-11-18 | Georgia Southern v. Texas State +17.5 | Top | 15-13 | Win | 100 | 36 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Texas State. Georgia Southern is the better team and it’s looking for a third straight victory against lowly Texas State, but we think the home side will keep it interesting against an Eagles team which we predict will get caught “looking past” its lowly opponent today. Georgia Souther is averaging just 30.8 PPG, so Texas State is going to have its opportunities to match pace here. Keep your eyes on Bobcats’ QB Tyler Vitt, who has a 3:2 TD:INT. Texas State’s weakness is on the defensive side of the ball, but as mentioned above, the unit definitely catches a break here facing the Eagles somewhat less than spectacular offense. Note as well that Georgia Southern is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after two or more consecutive wins and only 1-4 ATS in its last five as a road favorite, while Texas State is 5-3 ATS in its last eight against teams with winning records. Grab the points, play on TEXAS STATE. AAA Sports |
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10-08-18 | Redskins v. Saints -6 | Top | 19-43 | Win | 100 | 36 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the New Orleans Saints. We expect Drew Brees and the Saints to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night in this one. Brees needs just 201 passing yards to become the NFL’s all time passing leader (passing Peyton Manning.) The potent New Orleans’ offense got even more so this week with the return of RB Mark Ingram. The combination of Ingram and Kamara is a formidable one and it opens things up even more for Brees. The Redskins come out of their bye, but we think that rest will lead to rust. Note as well that Washington is 0-4 ATS in its last four MNF games , while New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last six as a home fav in the 3.5 to 7 points range and 7-4 ATS in its last 11 after two or more consecutive SU victories. Lay the points, play on the SAINTS. AAA Sports |
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10-07-18 | Jaguars v. Chiefs -3 | Top | 14-30 | Win | 100 | 99 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Kansas City Chiefs. Jacksonville is 3-1 and it comes in off a victory over the lowly Jets last week, but we don’t think it’ll have enough in the tank this afternoon to hang with red hot Chiefs’ QB Patrick Mahomes, who has a 14:0 TD:INT ratio. Mahomes is surrounded by a plethora of talent and while the defense is clearly the weak point to this point, there’s no question that that unit catches a break today facing this rather one-dimensional Jags offense. Jacksonville’s defense has been tremendous, but we’re expecting the unit to take a step back back in this difficult venue. Lay the points, play on the CHIEFS. AAA Sports |
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10-05-18 | Utah State v. BYU -2.5 | Top | 45-20 | Loss | -115 | 122 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BYU. BYU plays with revenge here after falling 40-24 to Utah State on the road last year. Utah State has been great so far, averaging 51.5 points and allowing 23.8. The numbers are a little skewed because of the competition. BYU comes in off a loss to Washington, but overall the Cougars have made significant strides, especially on the defensive side of the ball where they’re allowing just 20.6 PPG (ranked 35th). We think this sets up as a trap for Utah State, which is still a poor 1-7 ATS in its last eight against teams with winning records, wile BYU is interestingly 6-3 ATS in its last nine against the Mountain West Conference. Lay the points as BYU finds a way to get the job done at home. AAA Sports |
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10-04-18 | Georgia State +17 v. Troy | Top | 20-37 | Push | 0 | 97 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Georgia State. This is a revenge game for Georgia State after it fell 34-10 in this game at home last year. The Panthers enter with plenty of momentum though off a 46-14 win over UL Monroe. They had 308 yards on the ground and they’re now ranked ninth in the nation in rushing. Troy is ranked 82nd in the nation in defending the pass, so we think the visitors will have their opportunities today. Troy’s been rolling behind Kaleb Baker, who has completed 71.6 percent of his passes, but we think this sets up as a classic “trap” game for the Trojans. Note as well that Troy is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 against teams with losing records and only 5-10 ATS in its last 15 at home, while Georgia State is interestingly 8-1 ATS in its last nine games played in the month of October. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the point, play on GEORGIA STATE. AAA Sports |
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09-30-18 | Dolphins v. Patriots -7 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 144 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the New England Patriots. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on common sense and strong/relevant ATS statistics. As note that Miami is just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 against the division, while New England is 15-10 ATS in its last 25 as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, 8-4 ATS its last 12 against the division and 14-5 ATS in its last 19 against teams with winning records. The bottom line: After starting the year 3-0, it’s a natural letdown spot for Miami. At 1-2 though, we’d argue that this is the most important game of Tom Brady’s career. If the Pats fall to 1-3, they’re almost virtually eliminated from playoff contention. Brady comes in off a horrible outing in Detroit and the critics are ready to jump all over the best QB in the World if he falters again here. The spot light is on Brady to execute and we expect the veteran to deliver. Lay the points, play on the PATRIOTS. AAA Sports |
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09-28-18 | UCLA +11.5 v. Colorado | Top | 16-38 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on UCLA. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that UCLA is 3-1 ATS in is last four after two or more consecutive SU losses, while Colorado is 0-3 ATS in its last three following its bye-week. The bottom line: UCLA is desperate and its down men, but head coach Chip Kelly will have his team ready to compete in our opinion. They catch Colorado at a great time out of its bye-week. Grab the points and expect a nail-biter. Play on UCLA. AAA Sports |
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09-27-18 | Vikings v. Rams -6.5 | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 80 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the LA Rams. Minnesota’s looked terrible. Kirk Cousins has looked decent at times and completely lost in others. The run defense was No. 1 last year, but it’s No. 15 this year. The Vikes looked “OK” in the Week 1 win over the 49ers, much better in its 29-29 tie with the Packers in Week 2, but downright terrible at home in a 26-7 loss to the Bills as a 17-point favorite last weekend. The defense is out of sync, the offense is out of sync and now that struggling unit hits the road on a short week to face the league’s No. 1 offense and one of the best overall defensive units as well. The Rams feature Jared Goff and RB Todd Gurley, along with many other skilled offensive weapons. LA’s offensive and defensive lines are two of the best as well. The Rams have a chance to all but eliminate the Vikes from Super Bowl contention here, as a 1-2-1 record is almost as difficult as 0-3. We’re banking on the Rams going for the jugular and embarrassing the Vikes on the National stage. Lay the points, play on the RAMS. AAA Sports |
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09-27-18 | North Carolina v. Miami-FL -18 | Top | 10-47 | Win | 100 | 81 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Miami Florida. Miami Florida roared out to a 31-3 lead over FIU last week and then it took the foot of the gas and held on for the convincing 31-17 victory. UNC opened the year 1-2, but it salvaged its season with a big 38-35 win over Pitt at home last Saturday. Can anyone say letdown spot? In our opinion, this one sets up as a trap for UNC. The Hurricanes though won’t be taking anything for granted we feel. The Tar Heels are averaging 24.7 PPG and allowing 33.3, while Miami Florida is averaging 43.5 PPG and allowing 18.5. Note that the Hurricanes are 21-15 ATS in their last 26 after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Lay the points and expect a rout; play on MIAMI FLORIDA. AAA Sports |
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09-17-18 | Seahawks v. Bears -3 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 51 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Chicago Bears. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: First off the Seahawks lost top WR Doug Baldwin to injury in last week’s 27-24 setback at Denver. Seattle’s offensive line is a mess as well, which doesn’t bode well facing the Bears’ aggressive front seven, which was unable to hold on in last week’s 24-23 setback in Green Bay. Chicago looked much more complete through all three phases and we think it’ll pull away down the stretch in this one. Note as well that the Bears 6-2 ATS in their last eight MNF games, while the Hawks are 0-6-2 ATS in their last ten on grass. Lay the points, play on CHICAGO. AAA Sports |
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09-08-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Purdue -14.5 | Top | 20-19 | Loss | -110 | 138 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE YEAR on Purdue. EMU smashed Monmouth 51-17 last week and it comes in contented, knowing it faces a stiff challenge today. Purdue though fell 31-27 at home to Northwestern as a favorite last week, so it’ll be risking life and limb today to punch its first one into the win column. An 0-2 start to the year, with consecutive setbacks at home would be disastrous for a Boilermakers’ team with big expectations. With a much more “winnable” and important conference matchup at Buffalo next week, would anyone fault the Eagles “looking ahead” here either. But Clearly the Boilermakers don’t have that same luxury. They’ll be looking to take out their frustrations on someone and because of that, we’re expecting the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and to roll this score up as much as possible. Note that Purdue is 5-0 ATS in its last five non-conference game and 8-2 ATS in its last ten following an ATS loss, while EMU is just 4-17 ATS in its last 21 after scoring 40 or more points in its previous game. With the Bulls up next, we look for the visitors to pack up their tents early in this one. Lay the points, play on PURDUE. AAA Sports |
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09-08-18 | Arizona +4.5 v. Houston | Top | 18-45 | Loss | -106 | 123 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Arizona. This is a revenge game for Arizona after Houston won 19-16 on the road last year. The Wildcats are hungry after falling 28-23 at home to BYU, while the Cougars come in complacent after their 45-27 him win over Rice. Kevin Sumlin came up short in his first game as head coach for the Wildcats, but with 16 starters returning from last year’s squad that went 7-6 and lost to Purdue 38-35 in their bowl game, we think they have a very real shot at bouncing back and winning this one outright. Arizona had an unstoppable offense last year that put up over 41 PPG and with seven starters back on that side of the ball, including QB Khalil Tate, we’re expecting a much more efficient effort from the unit in Week 2. Houston was 7-5 last year and it lost to Fresno State its Bowl game. Houston has five starters back on offense and they’d anchor a unit which put up 581 yards of offense against Rice. QB D’Eriq King had 320 yards and three TD’s. We think this one will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last and in a scenario like that, we’re grabbing the points. Play on ARIZONA. AAA Sports |
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09-07-18 | TCU v. SMU +21.5 | Top | 42-12 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on SMU. We think the improved home side can catch the complacent high-powered Horned Frogs a little complacent here. TCU smashed Southern 55-7 last week and it has to be feeling pretty good about itself. TCU QB Shawn Robinson had an easy time of it last week, going for 182 yards and three TD’s. Last year TCU averaged 33.7 PPG and it allowed only 19 PPG. Clearly the Horned Frogs are an elite squad, we simply feel that the visitors will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. SMU feel 46-23 on the road to North Texas. QB Ben Hicks started slowly and put up some numbers in garbage time, but the final stat line was decent with 252 passing yards, two TD’s and an INT. Last year he had 3,500 yards passing and a sharp 33:12 TD:INT. SMU looked impotent defensively last week and it’s going to have its hands full in this one as well, but after going up big early, we look for the Horned Frogs to take the foot off the gas. We like SMU to cover easily with this large spread. AAA Sports |
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09-06-18 | Falcons +4.5 v. Eagles | Top | 12-18 | Loss | -110 | 1283 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Atlanta Falcons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play has been released early and will have an updated analysis closer to game time. After making it to the Super Bowl and losing to the Pats, the Falcons endured an “up and down” season last year. The team’s core remains in tact and it’s made some significant moves in the offseason on the defensive side. The Eagles have a hang over in our opinion after their Super Bowl victory last season. While an outright win is not out of the question, we’re going to ultimately recommend to grab as many points as you can. Play on the FALCONS. AAA Sports |
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09-02-18 | Miami-FL -3.5 v. LSU | Top | 17-33 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Miami Florida. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on common sense, as note that Miami Florida returns it’s starting QB and most of its key pieces on offense. It’s defense is also stacked and should be only better this season. LSU though has a change at QB this year and we think that fact alone will be the difference here in Week 1. We’re expecting an absolute blowout from start to finish. Lay the points, play on MIAMI FLORIDA. AAA Sports |
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09-01-18 | BYU v. Arizona -11.5 | Top | 28-23 | Loss | -106 | 303 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Arizona. BYU was 4-9 last year. Six new assistants were hired and another rebuilding year is expected for the Cougars. BYU QB Tanner Magnum is back, but he’s played in just 13 games over the last two years due to injury. Arizona has a Heisman hopeful in QB Khalil Tate who finished with 1,591 passing yards, 1,441 rushing while being responsible for 26 TD’s himself. The defense was a weak point last year, but it returns nine starters this season. We think the combination of Tate and the Wildcats’ improvement on defense will prove to be too much for BYU to overcome. Lay the points, play on Arizona. AAA Sports |
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08-31-18 | San Diego State +14.5 v. Stanford | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -103 | 755 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH on San Diego State. We like the Aztecs to keep this one closer than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. SDSU went 10-2 last year with an entirely new offensive line. Now that line returns in full much more experienced. Stanford had a great regular season, but stumbled in its final two games, including a heartbreaking 39-37 loss in the Fiesta Bowl to TCU. Stanford has dynamic RB Bryce Love, who will surely have a huge game here, but SDSU now has the fire-power to match pace against a Cardinal defense with a small question mark coming into the new season. We’re grabbing the points, play on SAN DIEGO STATE. AAA Sports |
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08-25-18 | Hawaii v. Colorado State -14 | Top | 43-34 | Loss | -106 | 149 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Colorado State. It’s a conference match-up on Saturday night between Hawaii and Colorado State. The Rams were 7-6 last year, while Hawaii went 3-9. Last year Colorado State hammered the Warriors 51-21 in Hawaii. Hawaii has just nine starters back from a 3-9 year and it draws another tough matchup on opening night on the road. Last year Hawaii averaged 22.8 PPG, but with so much turnover on offense, we have a hard time seeing the Warriors mustering much of an attack tonight. It’s going to be a rebuilding year for the Rams as well, but we still think they’ll have more than enough to dispatch Hawaii easily. The defense though has five starters back from a group which allowed 27.8 PPG. Last year the Rams were 11th in the country in total offense. Clearly there is going to be a major drop off this season, but we think the depth COLORADO STATE brings to the table will turn out to be the difference in the end. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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08-24-18 | Packers +3 v. Raiders | Top | 6-13 | Loss | -110 | 129 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR”on the Green Bay Packers. The Packers opened as a 3-point dog (the line which we have), but it’s since gone up to a full 7 points. Regardless, we still love the Packers here. Green Bay comes in off a 51-34 thumping of the Steelers, while the Raider fell 19-14 to the Rams last week. Green Bay backup QB Brett Hundley is making the most of his time in the preseason, last week going 6 of 9 for 77 yards. TE Jimmy Graham made an appearance and hauled in a TD pass as well for the Pack. Green Bay QB DeShone Kizer had 108 yards and a TD additionally. Several starters sat out for the Raiders 19-15 road loss to the Rams last Saturday. Backup QB EJ Manuel was decent by going 10 of 16 for 89 yards. But this lack of chemistry from the starting unit leads to a major setback in front of the home town crowd in our opinion. Note that Oakland is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five on grass, while Green Bay is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six preseason games. Green Bay has posted 82 points over the first two games and we have a hard time seeing the home side slowing the Pack down. Grab the points, play on GREEN BAY. AAA Sports |
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08-18-18 | Seahawks v. Chargers +1 | Top | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 150 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* NFLX GAME OF THE YEAR on the LA Chargers. When we released this pick the Chargers were the underdog. Regardless, we think that this one favors the home side in a significant enough way to pull the trigger on a play of this magnitude. Both teams are 0-1. The Hawks fell by two at home to the Colts, while the Chargers lost 24-17 at Arizona. LA has a battle at the back-up QB position between Cardale Jones and Geno Smith. Jones was 6 of 12 for 50 yards, while Smith finished 14 of 23 for 218 yards, one TD and one INT. It’s the second pre-season game of the year, arguably the most meaningless of the entire thing. With a tough Week 3 matchup in Minnesota next weekend, we think the Hawks simply go through the motions today. After dropping their first game in Arizona, the Chargers have two games in a row at home, including next week’s Week 3 matchup against the Saints. No better time than now to get the momentum rolling in the correct direction. Lay the points, play on the CHARGERS. AAA Sports |
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07-28-18 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan +7 | Top | 34-22 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Saskatchewan Roughriders. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: as note that Calgary is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Saskatchewan is 5-3 ATS in its last eight as a home dog in the 3.5 to 7 points range. We’re expecting a much more competitive battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, play on the ROUGHRIDERS. AAA Sports |
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07-24-18 | Red Sox v. Orioles +1.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* RUN-LINE “BIG TIGER” on the Baltimore Orioles. We had a play on Boston yesterday, but we think the home side will keep it competitive facing Drew Pomeranz tonight. Pomeranz (1-3, 6.81 ERA) returns for his first action since May 31st. He’s thrown six minor league re-hab starts, but clearly there’s going to be some rust to shake off at the MLB level. Note that he’s 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA on the road. The home side goes with Yefry Ramirez (0-3. 3.09) who finished the first half with an unfortunate no-decision to Texas, going five scoreless while striking out seven. Over 23.1 innings he’s posted a very respectable 24:9 K:BB. While the outright isn’t out of the question in our opinion, we’re going to lay the pick em price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance in the end; play on the ORIOLES on the RUN-LINE. AAA Sports |
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07-06-18 | France v. Uruguay +0.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -108 | 64 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Uruguay +0.5 goals -109. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play however is based primarily on “common sense.” With the recent news that Uruguay star Edinson Cavini is likely going to miss this game with an injury (or if he does play, he clearly won’t be at 100% form), normally stingy Uruguay will have to become even more so against this opportunistic French side. With its offensive star likely sidelined, Uruguay will be forced to sit back and wait patiently for an opening, while going to penalties wouldn’t be a bad strategy either. We’re playing URUGUAY +0.5 goal. AAA Sports |
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06-22-18 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +3 | Top | 56-10 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE OF THE MONTH on the Montreal Alouettes. The Als play with the “double revenge” factor on Friday night after Winnipeg swept the season series last year. Both games were close tough, as the Blue Bombers won 41-40 in the first one, followed by a 34-31 OT victory in the second. Winnipeg would stumble in a 33-30 setback to Edmonton, as backup QB Chris Streveler was 15 of 28 for 178 yards and three TD’s. Montreal fell 22-10 at BC in Week 1. The Als though looked decent by posting 19 first downs and 337 yards of offense. 14 penalties for 125 yards was the difference for Montreal though. Both teams have more questions than answers right now, but we think that home field advantage will be significant in the final score tonight. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on MONTREAL. AAA Sports |
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05-25-18 | Celtics v. Cavs -7 | Top | 99-109 | Win | 100 | 38 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Cleveland Cavaliers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense. Clearly the Cavs will be risking life and limb to push for a Game 7. Home court has meant everything in this series and there’s no reason not to think that that strong trend won’t carry over here. Note as well that Boston is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after allowing 85 points or less in its previous contest, while Cleveland is 8-6 ATS in its last 14 when trailing in a playoff series. Lay the points, play on the CAVALIERS. AAA Sports |
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05-19-18 | Celtics +6.5 v. Cavs | Top | 86-116 | Loss | -105 | 92 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Boston Celtics. We had a play on the OVER in Game 1 and then we came back with a play on the Celtics in Game 2. We’re predicting another “nail biter” in Game 3 and while we wouldn’t be completely shocked by the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we expect this one to come down to the wire. Boston is doing its best to slow down LeBron James, effectively doing that in Game 1, before allowing The King to do his thing in Game 2. The key of course is that the Celtics have been able to shut down LBJ’s role players. And we don’t think anything will change here. Cleveland on the other hand is unable to make any big stops whatsoever and we have a hard time seeing it simply “flipping a switch” in a matter of a couple of days and suddenly reversing that trend of futility. Boston is the deeper and more talented team despite not having a player of James’ caliber and it’s also receiving much better coaching. When you add it all up, another upset seems imminent, but as mentioned off the top, we’re grabbing the points. Play on BOSTON. AAA Sports |
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05-16-18 | Warriors +2 v. Rockets | Top | 105-127 | Loss | -105 | 44 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Golden State Warriors. We had a play on the Warriors in Game 1 and we think they’ll find a way to get the job done in Game 2 as well. If you didn’t get a chance to read our analysis on that one, we think it’s worth a second look here, because for the most part it also directly pertains to our selection this evening: To be the champ, you have to beat the champ. The Rockets may have taken two of three in the regular season series, but now that the playoffs are here, we expect the fully healthy Warriors to up the ante and find a way to steal the momentum of this series right out of the gate. The difference will come from each team’s bench. As good as the Rockets looked in the regular season, they simply lack experience at this level. Not so for the Warriors, who come in seasoned and prepared. We’re expecting the outright victory, but in the end we’re going to grab as many points as we can. Play on GOLDEN STATE. All signs point to another blowout, but grab as many points as you can. Play on the WARRIORS. AAA Sports |
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05-14-18 | Warriors +2 v. Rockets | Top | 119-106 | Win | 100 | 119 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Warriors. To be the champ, you have to beat the champ. The Rockets may have taken two of three in the regular season series, but now that the playoffs are here, we expect the fully healthy Warriors to up the ante and find a way to steal the momentum of this series right out of the gate. The difference will come from each team’s bench. As good as the Rockets looked in the regular season, they simply lack experience at this level. Not so for the Warriors, who come in seasoned and prepared. We’re expecting the outright victory, but in the end we’re going to grab as many points as we can. Play on GOLDEN STATE. AAA Sports |
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05-08-18 | Jazz +12 v. Rockets | Top | 102-112 | Win | 100 | 43 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Utah Jazz. Would this series have been different if Ricky Rubio was playing? It did in the first round, but probably not in this one. Will the Rockets close out this series in front of the home town crowd as they gear up for their inevitable matchup with the Warriors? Almost assuredly. But all of that said, we expect Donovan Mitchell and company to go down fighting. The Jazz responded with a win in Game 2 after getting blown out in Game 1 and with their backs against the wall, we’re expecting a similar performance here as well. Note as well that Houston is still just 7-10 ATS in its last 17 after allowing 90 points or less. While we’re stopping short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to the JAZZ making the Rockets earn this one. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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05-07-18 | Capitals +1.5 v. Penguins | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* PUCK-LINE BIG TIGER on the Washington Capitals (7:05 EST). We went against the grain with the Lightning yesterday and we’re doing so again here. Pittsburgh is an amazing franchise with back to back Stanley Cup victories, but it’s knocked the hungry Capitals out of the playoffs each of the last two seasons. Alexander Ovechkin and company can finally see the light at the end of the tunnel as they look to once and for all get over the hump and vanquish their hated rival. Goaltending has been the difference though we think, and we fully expect Holtby to get the better of Murray again. Both teams sport great ATS records, but we’re leaving those out of the equation on this one. While an outright victory is clearly not out of the question, in a contest which we envision being decided late or in extra time, we’re going to confidently recommend to lay the larger price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. Play on the CAPITALS on the RUN-LINE. AAA Sports |
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05-07-18 | Celtics v. 76ers -6.5 | Top | 92-103 | Win | 100 | 23 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Philadelphia 76ers. Do we really need to overanalyze this one? We’ll be the first to admit that we’re shocked at how well the Celtics are playing. Coach Brad Stevens will surely win the Coach Of The Year Award. Fantastic guard play and big man Al Horford have been the difference makers so far in this series. Despite all of that though, and with the knowledge of being able to wrap this one up at home in Game 5, we are now finally predicting a mental/physical letdown from the over-achieving Celtics. Note that despite the Game 3 loss, Philly is still 10-7 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent. The 76ers are talented, deep, hungry and desperate. No sweep in this series. Lay the points, play on PHILADELPHIA. AAA Sports |
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05-03-18 | 76ers -3.5 v. Celtics | Top | 103-108 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Philadelphia 76ers. We had a play on Philadelphia in Game 1 and obviously that didn’t turn out too well. We like the visiting side to make the necessary adjustments to score the road win in Game 2 though. Boston seemed to have plenty left in the tank after it’s seven game opening round series win over the Bucks. We believe that fatigue does finally become a factor tonight though. Conversely, the deep and talented 76ers should have no problem erasing Game 1 from their memories and getting back on track here. Note as well that Philadelphia is 7-5 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more, while Boston is just 21-30 ATS in its last 51 after scoring 115 points or more. This series gets tied up as it heads back to the City of Brotherly Love. Play on the 76ERS. AAA Sports |
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05-02-18 | Jazz +11.5 v. Rockets | Top | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 37 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Utah Jazz. The Jazz lost terribly to the Thunder in Game 1 of their opening round matchup, but then bounced back in fine fashion to win Game 2 and then the series in six. Of course that was with Ricky Rubio, but regardless of that, we like the Jazz to find a way to get the job done here. Utah was quick to make adjustments last time out and we expect the same thing here as well. Note as well that Utah is 10-6 ATS this year when playing on two days rest, while Houston is just 4-10 ATS in the same position. Play on the JAZZ. AAA Sports |
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05-01-18 | Pelicans +10.5 v. Warriors | Top | 116-121 | Win | 100 | 60 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the New Orleans Pelicans. We had a play on the Warriors in Game 1, but we think that the hungry Pelicans will do enough to sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the points they’ve been afforded. Stephen Curry is coming back to the line-up for Golden State, but we still think New Orleans will play much better this time around. The Pelicans were flat footed after sweeping the Blazers, but with that rust shaken off, we’re expecting a much better effort on both ends of the court. Note as well that the Pelicans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight after allowing 120 points or more, while Golden State is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after scoring 120 points or more in its previous outing. Play on NEW ORLEANS. AAA Sports |
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04-30-18 | 76ers -2 v. Celtics | Top | 101-117 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Philadelphia 76ers. Philadelphia steamrolled the Heat in five games and it would have been in four if it weren’t for some improbable heroics from Dwayne Wade in Game 2. When Joel Embiid returned to the line-up though in Game 3 then it was all over for the Heat. Boston advanced by beating the Bucks in a tough seven game series and suffice it to say, we’re expecting a letdown here from this over-achieving Celtics side. Philadelphia is rested and healthy and it should have no problem stretching the Celtics, working the inside and the outside, something that Milwaukee wasn’t able to do at all. Both teams have been great against the spread, but we believe that Boston comes in flat and tired, while Philadelphia will be looking to run from start to finish. Lay the points, play on the 76ERS. AAA Sports |
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04-29-18 | Pacers +5.5 v. Cavs | Top | 101-105 | Win | 100 | 25 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* TV GAME OF THE YEAR on the Indiana Pacers. We played the Cavaliers on the money line in Game 7 of the NBA Finals when LeBron and Kyrie and Love and company went on to win the Championship. We think that the Pacers have much more than just a “punchers” chance in this one as well. To win this game the home side will once again need an epic outing from LeBron James. That’s expected though. Cleveland’s bench players and backups, especially Love, have been very inconsistent in this series. James needed a last second buzzer beater in Game 5, or this series could have already been over for the Cavs. We think Indiana is the better overall team, with better defense and a deeper offensive core. Also note that the Pacers are 27-13 ATS against poor defensive teams this year, while Cleveland is just 5-16 ATS after a loss by ten points or more. Upset shocker alert. Play on the PACERS on the MONEY LINE. AAA Sports |
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04-25-18 | Pacers +6.5 v. Cavs | Top | 95-98 | Win | 100 | 54 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Indiana Pacers. This series has been anything but predictable. Note though that Indiana has responded well in this spot all year by going 20-13 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and 25-18 ATS on the road. Conversely this is a position in which the Cavs have struggled mightily in of late by going just 13-29 ATS at home, only 20-45 ATS as the favorite and just 6-13 ATS when playing with two days rest. With their backs against the wall, we look for the PACERS to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points, play on INDIANA. AAA Sports |
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04-18-18 | Pacers v. Cavs -8 | Top | 97-100 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Cleveland Cavaliers. NBA fans have a way of overreacting to one game in the Playoffs. We won’t be making that mistake here. Indiana has already won four of five against the Cavs, including the outright victory in Game 1, but with their backs against the wall, we think that LeBron James and company come to play tonight. The main goal of any visiting team in the Opening Round of the playoffs is to earn a “split” over the first two games on the road, so as to steal the “home court advantage” moving forward. With that mission accomplished for Indiana, we’re expecting a classic letdown here. James’ leadership has once again been called into question after the Game 1 loss and both he and the rest of the team will be using that as fuel to motivate them in Game 2. We think the situational factors working in favor of the Cavs tonight absolutely warrant a spread of this size. Also note though that the Pacers are just 6-14 ATS this year after a win by ten points or more. Play on CLEVELAND in a big time blowout. AAA Sports |
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04-17-18 | Pelicans v. Blazers -6.5 | Top | 111-102 | Loss | -102 | 29 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Portland Trailblazers. The Blazers flopped in Game 1, as both CJ McCollum and Damian Lillard struggled for the most part. Still, Portland closed strong and even had an opportunity to win the game late. We don’t foresee Lillard and McCollum struggling so much in back-to-back games and we expect the Pelicans to come in a bit complacent here, satisfied with earning the opening split before heading home. Note that New Orleans is still just 20-27 ATS in its last 47 off an upset win as an underdog, while Portland is 7-4 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent. All signs point to a comfortable bounce back cover for the home side. Lay the points, play on the BLAZERS. AAA Sports |
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04-09-18 | Thunder -2.5 v. Heat | Top | 115-93 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Oklahoma City Thunder. Miami is currently tied with Milwaukee, 14.5 games behind Toronto for the Eastern Conference lead and in the sixth spot, with the Bucks in seventh. If the playoffs started today, the Heat would play the 76ers and the Bucks would play the Celtics. Which of those two teams would you rather play in the first round? It’s a delicate balance, as Washington sits 15.5 games back itself. However, a loss wouldn’t be the absolute worst thing in the World for Miami today. No such luck for OKC though, which sits in eighth spot in the West, but tied with three other teams sitting 18 games back of Houston. The Wolves sit 19 games back. It’s a log-jam and the Thunder can ill afford to take the foot off the gas at this point of the season. We think the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Lay the points, play on the THUNDER. AAA Sports |
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04-08-18 | Mavs +13 v. 76ers | Top | 97-109 | Win | 100 | 18 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Dallas Mavericks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Dallas is 30-17 ATS against clubs with winning records this year and 36-28 ATS the last two seasons revenging a home loss against an opponent, while Philadelphia is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after scoring 130 points or more in its previous contest. The bottom line: Philadelphia has won 13 straight and it just beat the Cavs 132-130. Can anyone say “letdown spot?!” The 76ers have a night off after facing their lowly non-conference opponent tonight, before finishing up with games at Atlanta and at home against the Bucks. Clearly it’s not too hard to imagine the red hot home side getting caught looking ahead here (note as well that several starters will be given the night off here.) Dallas isn’t in the playoffs and it has nothing to play for, but it remains competitive after falling 113-106 in OT at Detroit in its latest matchup. We’re not calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to a much closer than expected battle. Play on the MAVERICKS. AAA Sports |
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04-04-18 | 76ers v. Pistons -1 | Top | 115-108 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF MONTH on the Detroit Pistons. Both teams “stars” are sitting this one out, as Joel Embiid will be given the night off after the 76ers hammered the Nets 121-95 last night. Philadelphia has now won ten straight, but we think it’ll finally have a letdown here. Detroit’s chances for a playoff spot are slim, but the team won’t be going down without a fight here, despite Blake Griffin not being in the lineup tonight. Note that the Pistons play with revenge here after a humbling 114-78 defeat to Philadelphia in early January. Also note that this sets up as a classic “look ahead” spot for the 76ers, with a home game against the suddenly red hot Cavaliers on Friday night. Detroit though comes in on top form as well as it’s won seven of its last ten, including five straight. Note that Philadelphia is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after scoring 120 points or more in its previous contest, while Detroit is 19-13 ATS against good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per night. For all the reasons listed above, play on the PISTONS. AAA Sports |
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04-03-18 | Raptors +2 v. Cavs | Top | 106-112 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Toronto Raptors. Toronto lost to Cleveland 132-129 on March 21st and it comes in having trades wins/losses over its last eight games, most recently falling 110-99 at Boston as a 4.5 point favorite. Fatigue is a very real factor for everyone at this point of the season, but with a couple of days off to re-focus for this one and tomorrow night at home against the Celtics, we think that Toronto finds a way to avenge the earlier setback. Cleveland has won eight of ten, but note that it’s still only 12-25 ATS at home this year and only 6-9 ATS after a win by ten points or more. Toronto on the other hand is 9-3 ATS as an underdog this season and 20-15 ATS against poor defensive clubs which allow 106-plus points per night. Grab the points, play on the RAPTORS. AAA Sports |
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03-30-18 | 76ers v. Hawks +6 | Top | 101-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Atlanta Hawks. Philadelphia has won nine straight, including three in a row at home. It’s hit a “vanilla” part of its schedule though, with the game against the Hawks tonight, followed by Charlotte and Brooklyn up next. While the Hornets present a challenge, it’s still not too hard to imagine the contented visitors in some small way coming in contented and looking past their lowly opponent. The Hawks play with revenge here after falling 119-109 to Philly in early November. While ATL won’t be in the postseason, it’ll still be eager to snap its four game slide (has lost nine of ten overall.) Note as well that Philadelphia is just 3-6 ATS this year after playing three consecutive home games, while the Hawks are 13-8 ATS this season after three or more consecutive losses. Grab the points, play on ATLANTA. AAA Sports |
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03-30-18 | Illinois-Chicago v. Northern Colorado -9 | Top | 71-76 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* CIT CHAMPIONSHIP RED DRAGON on Northern Colorado. Illinois-Chicago advanced to the CIT Championship Game by beating Liberty 67-51, while Northern Colorado pulled away for a 99-80 win over Sam Houston State. The Flames average 75.4 PPG and they allow 72. The Bears average 81.2 PPG and they allow 73.1. Note that Norther Colorado has averaged 88.7 PPG through three tournament games though and can’t see the under-manned Flames keeping pace down the stretch. Note as well that Illinois-Chicago is just 8-10 ATS as theunferdog this year and only 4-5 ATS when playing with one days rest, while Northern Colorado is 9-3 ATS this season when playing with one or less days rest and 15-6 ATS when playing the role of favorite. We expect UNC to enter the final five minutes with a sizeable lead and we look for it to keep the foot on the gas until the final buzzer. Lay the points, play on NORTHERN COLORADO. AAA Sports |
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03-28-18 | Sam Houston State v. Northern Colorado -10.5 | Top | 80-99 | Win | 100 | 35 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* CIT GAME OF THE YEAR on Northern Colorado. Sam Houston State beat UTSA 76-69 to advance. The Bearkats were “lucky” though as they hit only 37.5 percent of their shots. John Dewey III was a bright spot with 18 points. Northern Colorado though looked impressive in its latest win over the Toreros of San Diego, pulling away for the 86-75 final. Note that UNC has hit 80 points or more in five straight games. Three players scored in double figures for the Bears in the latest victory, led by Andre Spight with 26. Note that Sam Houston State is just 3-8-2 ATS in its last 13 against teams with a winning percentage over 60, while Northern Colorado is 13-3-1 ATS in its last 17 non-conference contests. We think that the Bears have such big advantages on both ends of the court, that laying this sizeable spread is completely justifiable. All signs point to a blowout, play on NORTHERN COLORADO. AAA Sports |
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03-27-18 | Western Kentucky v. Utah | Top | 64-69 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Western Kentucky. WKU made it to this point off a 92-84 win over Oklahoma State, while Utah upset No. 1 seed Saint Mary’s 67-58 in OT. WKU averages 78.8 PPG and it allows 70.4. Utah averages 73.8 PPG and it allows 68.2. Note that WKU is 7-0 ATS in its last seven after scoring 90 or more points in its previous game, while Utah is just 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven neutral site affairs. Utah pulled out the OT upset last time out, but note it was out rebounded in that game by 14 and it was further fortunate with the Gaels going an uncharacteristic 5 of 14 from the free throw line. The HILLTOPPERS aren’t the deepest team, but they have five players that score in double digits and we believe that’ll be enough to carry them into the Final. Play on WKU. AAA Sports |
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03-27-18 | Spurs v. Wizards +1.5 | Top | 106-116 | Win | 100 | 26 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Washington Wizards. The Spurs’ Kawhi Leonard and the Wizards’ John Wall are both still injured. San Antonio’s six game win streak was snapped in a 106-103 road loss in Milwaukee last time out and suffice it to say, we’re expecting another letdown here. And with a night off before home games against Western Conference leading foes OKC and Houston up next, it’s obviously not too hard at all to envision the visitors getting caught looking ahead. Washington plays with revenge here after falling 98-90 in San Antonio last week. It’s also going to be desperate to break a three-game slide. And with a tough game at equally as hungry Detroit on Thursday, tonight’s contest takes on added importance for the home side. Note as well that San Antonio is just 10-11 ATS in its last 22 against good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest, while Washington is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 after three or more consecutive SU losses. Grab the points, play on the WIZARDS. AAA Sports |
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03-23-18 | Texas Tech v. Purdue -1 | Top | 78-65 | Loss | -110 | 106 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Purdue (10:05 EST). Purdue got by CS Fullerton and Butler to reach this point, while Texas Tech got the better of Stephen F Austin and Florida. The Red Raiders average 74.9 points and they allow 64.6. Purdue averages 80.8 PPG and it allows just 65.4. Isaac Haas is out for the Boilermakers, but the team is deep and it made the necessary adjustments against a tough Butler side. The Red Raiders have been a nice story to this point, but we think they stumble down the stretch against the high-flying BOILERMAKERS. Play on Purdue. AAA Sports |
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03-23-18 | Suns +13 v. Cavs | Top | 95-120 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH on the Phoenix Suns. Are the Suns going to win this one outright? Probably not. We do however believe that they’re going to keep this one extremely competitive against a Cavs team which will be resting players and which comes in complacent off three straight victories, including an epic come from behind 132-129 win over rival Toronto in their last one. Cleveland stomped Phoenix just two weeks ago, but with a three-game road swing starting in Brooklyn on Sunday, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side also getting caught looking ahead. Phoenix has lost nine straight and it’s in Orlando tomorrow night, but we’r expecting it to put up a fight in the nationally televised contest. Grab the points, play on the SUNS. AAA Sports |
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03-22-18 | Florida State v. Gonzaga -5 | Top | 75-60 | Loss | -115 | 84 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Gonzaga. Florida State advanced by knocking off Xavier 75-70 as an underdog in the second round, while Gonzaga got the better of Ohio State 90-84. The Seminoles average 81.1 PPG and they allow 73.7. Gonzaga averages 84.2 PPG and it allows just 67.5. The Bulldogs had an 11 point half time lead in their win over the Buckeyes, but they were actually down 67-62 with six minutes to play, before then buckling down with an impressive 16-2 run to seal the deal. We like the Bulldogs to carry that momentum over here and we look for FSU to suffer a letdown here off its second round upset. Lay the points, play on GONZAGA. AAA Sports |
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03-22-18 | Hawks v. Kings -3.5 | Top | 90-105 | Win | 100 | 32 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Sacramento Kings. The Kings are a team which knew from the start that it wouldn’t be playing in the postseason. Sacramento has a mix of veterans and rookies and it’ll still need some time to develop chemistry and talent. That said the Kings will be looking to snap a two-game slide and the Hawks present the perfect opportunity to do just that. With Boston coming to town next, tonight’s contest takes on added importance for the home side. The Hawks on the other hand come in off a rare 99-94 win at Utah and with a game at Golden State tomorrow night, clearly it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking ahead to that much more high profile contest. For all the reasons listed above, play on the KINGS. AAA Sports |
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03-21-18 | Utah v. St. Mary's -6 | Top | 67-58 | Loss | -106 | 30 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Saint Mary’s. Utah advanced by beating Cal Davis and LSU, while Saint Mary’s got here by getting the better of Washington and SE Louisiana. Utah averages 74 PPG and it allows 68.5. Saint Mary’s averages 77.5 PPG and it allows just 64.4. Note that Utah is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Saint Mary’s is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four as a home favorite of 6.5 to nine points. The GAELS are 18-1 at home and they enjoy one of the nation’s most favorable “home court advantages.” We expect that to play a big factor at this point of the year, so lay the points with confidence. AAA Sports |
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03-20-18 | Rockets v. Blazers +4 | Top | 115-111 | Push | 0 | 33 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Portland Trailblazers. Portland is red hot and with Boston and Oklahoma City up next, this next three game stretch will be a telling one for the Blazers. First things first though is the Rockets. Note that the Blazers play with revenge here after falling 121-112 in Houston in the most recent matchup on January 10th. Houston is on a big run as well. After losing to Toronto the Rockets have now won five straight, including two straight on the road. But with a night off before an extended home stretch and with “cream puffs” Detroit, New Orleans, Atlanta and Chicago all coming to town, clearly it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors in some small way getting caught looking ahead here. Note that Houston is just 5-7 ATS this year after allowing 115 points or more in its previous contest, while Portland is 9-5 ATS after scoring 115 points or more. An outright upset isn’t out of the question, but we’re still going to grab the points. Play on the BLAZERS. AAA Sports |
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03-19-18 | Western Kentucky +4 v. USC | Top | 79-75 | Win | 100 | 36 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* NIT TOURNEY GAME OF THE YEAR on Western Kentucky. WKU is 25-10 and USC is 24-11. The Hilltoppers got the better of Boston College 79-62 in the first round. WKU averages 78.4 PPG. The Trojans come in tired here in our estimation as they’d have to hold on for dear life in a 103-98 double OT opening round win over UNC-Asheville in its opening round. USC averages 77.8 PPG. Note though that WKU is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 non-conference games and 4-1 in their last five on the road, while USC is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after scoring 102 points or more in its previous contest. USC is without top scorer and rebounder Metu, and while the Trojans rallied against UNC Asheville, the HILLTOPPERS present an entirely different challenge. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we’re going to recommend grabbing the points. Play on WKU. AAA Sports |
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03-17-18 | Houston +3 v. Michigan | Top | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 34 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Houston. Houston advanced to the second round of the NCAA Tournament by holding on for a 67-65 win over SDSU, led by 39 points from senior Rob Gray. The Cougars average 115.2 points per 100 possessions and the allow 94.7 points per 100 possessions. Note that the Cougars have shot 38.7 percent from 3-point land, which ranks 34th in the country, while also owning an offensive rebounding rate of 34.1 percent, which ranks 30th in the country. Michigan averages 115.2 points per 100 possessions and it allows 91.7 points per 1005 possessions. Michigan has posted 43 percent of its total field goal attempts from three-point range, which we think doesn’t bode well facing the Cougars. We’re banking on this one being decided on whichever team has its hands on the ball last. Grab the points, play on HOUSTON. AAA Sports |
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03-16-18 | Georgia State v. Cincinnati -15.5 | Top | 53-68 | Loss | -110 | 114 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Cincinnati. It’s No. 2 Cincinnati against No. 15 Georgia State in the opening round of the South region and we think the rested and focused Bearcats are going to easily pull away for a comfortable SU/ATS win/cover once it’s all said and done. Cincinnati was 30-4 this year overall, including 19-2 in the AAC and also going on to win the conference tournament. While the Bearcats had success in the “straight up” win column through the tournament, they’d go 0-3 ATS. We think that trend changes this afternoon though. Note that the Bearcats actually lead the nation in scoring margin, beating their opponents by an average of 17.8 points. Note that the Panthers allow 67.8 PPG, while Cincinnati allows 57.1. Georgia State faces its stiffest test of the year and we expect it to fail miserably on the national stage. Lay the points, play on CINCINNATI. AAA Sports |
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03-14-18 | Arizona State v. Syracuse +1 | Top | 56-60 | Win | 100 | 73 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Syracuse. It’s the Pac 12 against the ACC in the First Four from Dayton Ohio and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the Orange. Arizona State lost to Colorado 97-85 in its conference tournament, while Syracuse fell 78-59 to UNC in the second round of the ACC Tournament. Arizona State averages 83.5 PPG and it allows 75.3. Syracuse averages 67.5 PPG and it allows just 64.5. Both teams come in struggling, but note that the Orange are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 when playing with five or six days rest, while the Sun Devils are just 3-5 ATS in the same position. With time off to prepare, we think the ORANGES’ tough defensive plays proves to be too much for ASU to handle down the stretch. AAA Sports |
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03-13-18 | St Bonaventure v. UCLA -3.5 | Top | 65-58 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on UCLA. The Bonnies enter the tournament at 25-7, while the Bruins are 21-11. UCLA fell to Arizona in OT in the semi-finals of the Pac 12 Tournament to make it to the First Four, while St. Bonaventure was upset by Davidson in the A-10 semis. These teams had some big victories this year and each also had some epic collapses. These teams are very evenly matched. UCLA though is a potent 9-5 ATS this year against good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest, while St. Bonaventure is 1-3 ATS this season off a loss against a conference rival. We think the Bruins’ depth proves to be too much for the Bonnies to handle down the stretch. Lay the points, play on UCLA. AAA Sports |
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03-11-18 | Houston v. Cincinnati -4.5 | Top | 55-56 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Cincinnati. We have played on the Bearcats twice to open the AAC Tournament and we’ve come up short each time, as slow starts have sunk Cincinnati bettors to this point. These teams split a pair of games in the regular season, with each winning on its own floor. Houston has looked great to this point obviously, smashing UCF and upsetting Wichita State yesterday, but we think the Cougars are going to struggle against this very focused Bearcats team. Cincinnati dominated the second half of its 70-60 victory over Memphis, outscoring the Tigers 41-18 and suffice it to say we’re expecting the Bearcats to bring that same intensity from the “get go” this evening. All signs point to a blowout, play on CINCINNATI. AAA Sports |
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03-10-18 | Memphis v. Cincinnati -16.5 | Top | 60-70 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Cincinnati. We had a play on the Bearcats yesterday morning and they came up short in their 61-51 win over SMU. Memphis enters off an upset 67-64 victory over Tulsa yesterday and suffice it to say, I think it’s tournament run comes to an end here. Memphis averages only 71.2 PPG and it allows 71.2. Clearly the margin of error is pretty slim for the Tigers each night. The Bearcats average 75.2 PPG, but they allow only 57.1 (ranked second only behind Virginia.) Cincinnati did not have the type of performance it was hoping for to open the Conference Tournament, but the quick turnaround here offers them a golden opportunity to get untracked against this weary/contented SMU side. All signs point to a blowout, play on CINCINNATI. AAA Sports |
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03-09-18 | SMU v. Cincinnati -13 | Top | 51-61 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Cincinnati. We had a play on SMU yesterday afternoon in its 80-73 win over UConn, but we think the Mustangs will come up short here in on the short turnaround. The Bearcats won’t be taking anything for granted here, as they’d end the regular season with a tough 62-61 road win over Wichita State. Note that these teams met twice in the regular season and the Bearcats smashed the Mustangs in both contests (by 20 and 25 points respectively.) SMU averages 70.1 PPG and it allows 64.2. Cincinnati averages 75.6 PPG and it allows just 57.3, ranked second in the country. Despite the win and cover yesterday, note that SMU is still just 17-37-1 ATS in its last 55 neutral site games, while Cincinnati is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 against teams with winning records. It’s difficult to beat a team three times in one season, unless you yourself are a “great” team. The Bearcats probably don’t classify as “great,” but we feel that they’re going to benefit tremendously from the extra time off against the winded Mustangs. All signs point to a comfortable cover, lay on CINCINNATI. AAA Sports |
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03-07-18 | Fordham +6.5 v. George Washington | Top | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 27 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Fordham. George Washington smashed Fordham 72-56 last week and suffice it to say, we think its “payback time.” The Rams fell 83-58 to VCU in their finale. Fordham averages 62 PPG and it’s given up over 70 points in all six recent setbacks. Fortunately the Colonials simply aren’t that much better, despite what the lop-sided result from last week suggests. After beating Fordham, George Washington quickly reverted to form in an 88-78 loss at Dayton on Saturday. Note that Fordham is already 3-1 ATS this year after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games, while George Washington is just 4-6 ATS this season off a loss against a conference rival. Grab the points, play on FORDHAM. AAA Sports |
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03-06-18 | 76ers v. Hornets +2 | Top | 128-114 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* REVENGE BLOWOUT DESTRUCTION on the Charlotte Hornets. Philadelphia has won seven of its last ten, but it’s coming off a 118-110 loss at Milwaukee. It’s a tough part of the schedule for the 76ers, with a game at Miami up next on Thursday. Charlotte plays with revenge here after falling 110-99 to the 76ers just last week. The Hornets are the much hungrier team though as they come in having lost three straight. With upcoming home games against the Nets and Suns though, Charlotte has a big opportunity to start a new win streak this evening. Note that Philadelphia is already just 3-8 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last five against good offensive teams which average 106-plus points per contest. All signs point to a comfortable cover, play on the HORNETS. AAA Sports |
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03-05-18 | Bowling Green +7 v. Central Michigan | Top | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* MAC TOURNEY GAME OF THE YEAR on Bowling Green. Bowling Green is 16-15 overall and CMU is 18-13. Note that this is an in-season revenge game for the Falcons after they fell 84-75 to the Chippewas on the road in January in the lone meeting in the regular season between the schools. Bowling Green averages 75.9 PPG and it allows 77.7. Central Michigan averages 78 PPG and it allows 71.9. Note though that Bowling Green is 10-6 ATS as an underdog this year, 8-4 ATS on the road, 11-7 against the conference and a perfect 5-0 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while CMU is just 2-3 ATS this season off a win against a conference rival. While we’re not calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one coming right down to the wire. Grab the points, play on BOWLING GREEN. AAA Sports |
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03-03-18 | Lakers v. Spurs -4 | Top | 116-112 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs won’t be taking anything for granted here after losing seven of their last ten. San Antonio most recently fell 121-116 to New Orleans at home. Note the San Antonio plays with revenge here after falling to the Lakers 93-81 in January 11th. LA has been playing its best ball of the year, getting consistent scoring up and down the line-up, but we feel that this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the young Lakers, who enjoy a night off before a date at home against the red hot Blazers. Note that LA is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after a four games or more unbeaten streak, while San Antonio is 8-2 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 82 points or less. For all the reasons listed above, play on the SPURS. AAA Sports |
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03-03-18 | Pacific +2.5 v. San Francisco | Top | 70-71 | Win | 100 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* WCC CONF-TOURNEY GAME OF THE YEAR on Pacific. The victor of this will advance to the semifinals to take on Gonzaga or the winner from Loyola Marymount and Portland. San Francisco finished 17-14 and Pacific was 14-17. The Dons’ three-game win streak was snapped in loss to San Diego last time out. San Francisco averages 68.9 PPG and it allows 67.8. Pacific averages 71.3 PPG and it allows 72.4. The Tigers have lost three straight and come in razor focused in our opinion. Note that Pacific is 9-5 ATS as an underdog this year, while San Francisco is just 6-10 ATS as a favorite. Grab the points, play on PACIFIC. AAA Sports |
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03-03-18 | Canadiens v. Bruins -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* PUCK-LINE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Boston Bruins. We base our picks on many things. This particular selection has been made using common sense. Montreal has been a disaster all year and it’s been even worse on the road. To make matters worse, it comes in dog tired after a game at Long Island just last night. Boston on the other hand seems rejuvenated since the acquiring Rick Nash with two straight victories, posting 12 goals and allowing 7 in the wins. Boston hammered Montreal 4-1 in mid January and all signs point to a repeat here in our opinion. Play on BOSTON on the PUCK-LINE. AAA Sports |
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03-02-18 | Wisconsin v. Michigan State -10.5 | Top | 60-63 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* RND 3 BIG TEN CONF TOURNEY GAME OF THE YEAR on Michigan State. Wisconsin upset Maryland 59-54 on Thursday to advance to the quarterfinals of the Big 10 Conference Tournament and it now faces No. 1 seed Michigan State. The Spartans have to be liking their chances today as they’d take both regular season meetings between the schools. Wisconsin averages 67.1 PPG and it concedes 66.1. Michigan State averages 82.1 PPG and it concedes 64.6. We like MSU to take advantage of this favorable matchup against this satisfied and fatigued Badgers team. Lay the points with confidence, play on MSU. AAA Sports |
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03-01-18 | NC State v. Georgia Tech +2.5 | Top | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on Georgia Tech. We think NC State, which comes in having won and covered in four straight, gets caught looking past its lowly opponent today to its finale at home against Louisville. Georgia Tech is 11-18 overall and 12-13 in league play, but it won’t be going down without a fight today obviously. Note as well that NC State is just 3-5 ATS on the road this year, while Georgia Tech is 7-6 ATS at home and 5-2 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses. We think the hungrier team will at the very least keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points, play on the YELLOW JACKETS. AAA Sports |
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03-01-18 | Lakers v. Heat -5 | Top | 131-113 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Miami Heat. Miami comes in off consecutive victories and with dates at home against Detroit and Phoenix, the Heat will be looking to string some victories together against some lower-seeded competition. But first up is a potentially dangerous Lakers side which comes in hot having won three in a row, including two straight away from friendly confines. But with a day off before a game at San Antonio, we think the visitors get caught looking ahead to that one. Note that LA is just 3-4 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest, while Miami is 5-3 ATS in its last eight against teams that score 106-plus points per night. Lay the points, play on the HEAT. AAA Sports |
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02-27-18 | Miami-FL +11.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 91-88 | Win | 100 | 29 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Miami Florida. Miami comes in off a narrow 79-78 win over Boston College at home in its latest action. UNC has won six in a row, most recently beating Syracuse 78-74. Miami averages 74.1 PPG and it allows 66.8. UNC averages 83.4 PPG and it allows 73.4. Note though that Miami is 7-4 ATS on the road this year, wile UNC is already 0-2 ATS this season when playing with five or six days of rest. With the Blue Devils up next on Saturday night to end the season, we think the home side gets caught looking ahead to that big matchup and in the process, it’s going to leave the back door open just enough for the visitors to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. Grab the points, play on the HURRICANES. AAA Sports |
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02-26-18 | Grizzlies +12 v. Celtics | Top | 98-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Memphis Grizzlies. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based almost entirely on strong/relevant ATS statistics/trends: As note that Memphis is 14-11 ATS in its last 25 after allowing 115 points or more, while Boston is just 18-27 ATS in its last 45 after scoring 115 points or more. The bottom line: The Grizzlies are wounded and tanking, but we think they’re going to give the Celtics much more of a fight than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Boston returns home after back-to-back road victories, but we expect a bit of a lapse here against the hungry visitors. No outright upset, but all signs point to a battle, so grab the points. Play on MEMPHIS. AAA Sports |
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02-26-18 | Marquette v. Georgetown +1 | Top | 90-86 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Georgetown. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Marquette is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine when playing on one days rest and only 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road fav of three points or less or pick, while Georgetown is 7-2 ATS this season off a loss against a conference rival. The bottom line: We like the hungry/desperate home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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02-25-18 | Pistons +4.5 v. Hornets | Top | 98-114 | Loss | -102 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Detroit Pistons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Detroit is 13-10 ATS this year against good offensive teams which average 106-plus points per contest, while Charlotte is just 1-2 ATS this year after three or more consecutive victories and only 14-16 ATS at home. The bottom line: Detroit comes in hungry and focused after losing four of its last five, including a 110-98 setback to Boston in its most recent action. It also plays with revenge after falling to the Hornets 118-107 back in mid January. And with a game tomorrow night in Toronto, the Pistons can not afford to take anything for granted here. The Hornets have won three straight and get caught complacently looking ahead to their game at home against the lowly Bulls on Wednesday night. Grab the points, play on the PISTONS. AAA Sports |
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02-24-18 | Magic +10 v. 76ers | Top | 105-116 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Orlando Magic. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Orlando is 16-13 ATS on the road already this year and 7-1 ATS in its last eight against good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest, while Philadelphia is already just 4-6 ATS this year after three or more consecutive victories. The bottom line: Orlando plays with revenge, but it comes in healthier than its been all year as Nikola Vucevic returned in the last game. The Magic play with revenge and they catch a 76ers side looking ahead to its game at Washington tomorrow night. Grab the points, play on ORLANDO. AAA Sports |
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02-24-18 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Oakland -4.5 | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Oakland. Wisconsin-Milwaukee is 15-15, while Oakland is 17-13. Oakland will be ultra-motivated here after back-to-back setbacks, most recently to Wisconsin-Green Bay. Milwaukee has alternated wins and losses since late January and most recently comes in off a 72-49 road victory over Detroit. Note though that Wisconsin Milwaukee is just 6-7 ATS on the road this year and only 3-4 ATS off a win against a conference rival, while Oakland is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three games as a home fav in the 3.5 to six points range. We look for the “hungrier” home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the afternoon. Play on OAKLAND. AAA Sports |
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02-23-18 | Mercer -8 v. The Citadel | Top | 83-70 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Mercer. The Bulldogs are 10-18 and the Bears are 16-13. The Citadel Bulldgos come in off an 84-82 win over East Tennessee State in their most recent action, while the Mercer Bears got the better of Western Carolina 81-64 in their previous outing. Mercer owns the 24th ranked offense, which doesn’t bode well for the Bulldogs who come in with the 316th ranked defense. Citadel won the first matchup this year, but that was then and this is now. The revenge minded Bears are 5-3 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival, while the Bulldogs are just 5-7 ATS this season after allowing 80 points or more. Lay the points, play on MERCER. AAA Sports |
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02-22-18 | 76ers v. Bulls +6.5 | Top | 116-115 | Win | 100 | 31 h 7 m | Show |
his is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Chicago Bulls. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Philadelphia is already just 4-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive victories, while Chicago is 8-2 ATS in its last ten when playing with three or more days rest and 2-1 ATS this season after playing three consecutive home games. The bottom line: Chicago comes in focused after the break. The Bulls struggled up to the half way point, but the team looks to take advantage here against a 76ers side which gets caught looking ahead. While we’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to a highly competitive battle. Play on the BULLS. AAA Sports |
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02-20-18 | Rhode Island v. La Salle +6.5 | Top | 95-93 | Win | 100 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on La Salle. Rhode Island is 21-4 and La Salle is 11-16. The Explorers play with revenge here after falling 74-62 to the Rams in early January. The Rams though are caught in a “trap” here in our opinion after their 16 game win streak was snapped last time out in a 77-74 setback to St. Bonaventure. Rhode Island averages 77.2 PPG and it allows 66.8. La Salle averages 72.6 PPG and it allows 74.3. Note though that Rhode Island is just 13-19 ATS in its last 32 on the road and a poor 5-9 ATS in its last 14 following a loss to a conference rival. La Salle has struggled in most ATS statistical categories the last few season, which makes it important to note that it’s 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to revenge an in-season loss to an opponent in which is scored 62 points or less in. For all the reasons listed above, play on LA SALLE. AAA Sports |
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02-19-18 | Miami-FL +4.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Miami Florida. The 18-8 Miami Florida Hurricanes are at Notre Dame to take on the 16-11 Fighting Irish on Monday. Miami will be hungry here, having lost three straight. ND looks poised for a letdown though after winning three of four. This is a crucial game for these two teams stuck in the middl of the ACC standings. Note though that Miami is already 6-4 ATS this year on the road, while Notre Dame is just 4-5 ATS at home and only 8-13 ATS in its last 21 when playing with one or less days rest. The Irish defense is not nearly as tough as the Orange’s. We look for the “hungrier” team to risk life and limb tonight and to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points, play on the HURRICANES. AAA Sports |
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02-17-18 | Utah v. Washington State +7.5 | Top | 77-70 | Win | 100 | 30 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Washington State. Utah is 15-9, while Washington State is 9-15. The Utes allow 69.2 PPG, while the Cougars concede 78. Utah most recently beat Washington 70-58 and we predict a letdown here against the lowly Cougars. We had a play on Washington State when it beat Colorado 73-69 on Thursday and suffice it to say, we’re expecting the team to carry that momentum over here as well. The pressure is on Utah sitting a game behind in the race for second place, but with a tough home game against UCLA up next, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors “looking past” their lowly opponent tonight. Grab the points, play on WASHINGTON STATE. AAA Sports |
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02-16-18 | Oakland -6 v. Cleveland State | Top | 82-66 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* Horizon League GAME OF THE YEAR on the Oakland Golden Grizzlies. We jumped on this line early and it’s since moved the other way on us, but regardless, we still love this selection as we look for the hungry visitors to do more than enough to secure a comfortable ATS victory here. Oakland had its two game win streak snapped in a humbling 75-73 upset road loss at Youngstown State on Wednesday night and it clearly won’t be taking anything for granted here. Cleveland State though looks poised for a letdown in our opinion after winning its second straight, most recently a tougher than expected 75-72 home win over the lowly Detroit Mercy on Wednesday. Oakland took the previous meeting this year at home 81-68 between the teams and we’re expecting a similar final outcome here as well. Oakland averages 80.1 PPG and it allows 78.2. Cleveland State averages 68.3 PPG and it allows 74.9. Note though that Oakland is 24-11 ATS in its last 34 road games against a team with a winning home record, while Cleveland State is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after back-to-back SU victories. After their latest defeat, look for the high-flying GRIZZLIES to push the pace and to pull away for the comfortable ATS cover once it’s all said and done. AAA Sports |
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02-15-18 | Colorado v. Washington State +4 | Top | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 29 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Washington State. Colorado has won three straight to move to 7-6 in league play and 15-10 overall. Most recently the Buffs beat Utah by 12 on the road. Suffice it to say, all signs point to a letdown here in our opinion. Certainly it wouldn’t be too hard to imagine the streaking visitors in some small way looking past their lowly opponent tonight, as the Cougars come in having lost seven straight, as they now sit with a 1-11 record in conference action. Note though that Colorado is a terrible 2-5 ATS on the road already this year and just 3-4 ATS in its last seven against poor defensive teams which allow 77 plus points per contest, while Washington State is 9-6 ATS in its last 15 after scoring 60 points or less in its previous outing. We think the Buffs have a letdown and we look for the hungry COUGARS to step up and take advantage. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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02-14-18 | Hawks v. Pistons -8.5 | Top | 98-104 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Detroit Pistons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Atlanta is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven against clubs with losing records, while Detroit is 4-3 ATS this season after allowing 115 points or more. The bottom line: It’s the final game before the All Star Break. Atlanta has lost three of its last four and its only victory in that span was a 118-115 win over these very Pistons last week. Detroit is going to be desperate here to close the first half strong after three straight losses and it’ll be out to avenge the setback as well. Overwhelming factors working in favor of the home side does indeed make the PISTONS the savvy move in this contest. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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02-13-18 | Rockets v. Wolves +3 | Top | 126-108 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on the Minnesota Timberwolves. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Houston is just 11-13 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories and only 3-6 ATS following a divisional contest, while Minnesota is 12-11 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent this season (fell 116-98 to Houston on November 18th) and 8-6 ATS this year when playing the role of underdog. The bottom line: The Wolves broke a two-game slide with a tougher than expected victory over the Kings, as they likely were caught “looking ahead” to this game. But now that this contest has arrived, we look for the focused and revenge-minded home side to find a way to get the job done. Grab the points, play on the WOLVES. AAA Sports |
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02-13-18 | Boston College v. Pittsburgh +5.5 | Top | 81-58 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Pittsburgh. The 15-10 Boston College Eagles are in Pittsburgh to take on the 8-18 Panthers. Boston College looks poised for a letdown here after getting the better of then No. 25 Miami 72-70 on Saturday, while Pittsburgh is out to atone for a humbling 94-60 loss to Louisville on Sunday. BC averages 75.9 PPG and it allows 72.8. Pittsburgh averages 63 PPG and it concedes 72.2. Note though that BC is just 1-2 ATS this year against schools with losing records (also just 2-5 ATS on the road), while Pittsburgh is 6-4 ATS this season after scoring 60 points or less. We think the “hungrier” team takes this one right down to the wire. Grab the points, play on PITTSBURGH. AAA Sports |
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02-12-18 | Suns +15.5 v. Warriors | Top | 83-129 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Phoenix Suns. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Phoenix is already 8-6 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses and 3-2 ATS as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while Golden State is just 3-7 ATS this season after playing three consecutive home games and only 4-6 ATS as a home fav of 12.5 points or more. The bottom line: Phoenix plays with revenge here, as Golden State took all four meetings last year. The Suns are a mess as they come into this one having lost five straight. But we think they’ll fly under the radar here and keep this one closer than expected. The Warriors have now won two straight after a two-game slide, but head coach Steve Kerr has already said that his team is “gassed,” and that they can’t wait to get to the All Star break. With a game at red hot Portland to finish the first half, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side in some small way getting caught looking past their lowly opponent tonight to that more notable matchup. Also note that Kerr will likely elect to rest several starters tonight. While we’re not calling for the outright victory, all signs point to a comfortable cover. Grab the points, play on the SUNS. AAA Sports |
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02-12-18 | Baylor v. Texas -2.5 | Top | 74-73 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Texas. Both teams come in at 15-10. Note that Texas plays with revenge here after the Bears took a 69-60 home win back on January 6th. Baylor come in contented here after a big 80-64 home win over then No. 10 Kansas on Saturday. The Longhorns on the other hand will be eager to return to form here after an 87-71 setback to TCU over the weekend. Baylor averages 77.2 PPG and it allows 69.2. Texas averages 72.4 PPG and it allows 67.7 PPG. Note though that Baylor is just 9-11 ATS in its last 20 after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest, while Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last six off a loss against a conference rival and 3-1 ATS after allowing 80 points or more. For all the reasons listed above, play on TEXAS. AAA Sports |
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02-11-18 | Washington State +15 v. Oregon | Top | 57-84 | Loss | -106 | 24 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH on Washington State. Washington State is the “hungrier” team here at 9-14. Oregon comes in a 16-8. The Ducks are poised for a letdown after their 65-40 win over Washington. The Cougars on the other hand will be out to atone for their humbling 94-62 defeat to Oregon State. Note that Washington State is 4-2 ATS in its last six against good offensive teams which average 77 plus points per night, while Oregon is just 8-11 ATS as a favorite this season. With a game at USC up at the end of the week, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side getting caught looking past its lowly opponent tonight. No upset, but a tighter than expected battle. Grab the points, play on WASHINGTON STATE. AAA Sports |
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02-11-18 | Raptors v. Hornets +3 | Top | 123-103 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Charlotte Hornets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Toronto is already just 3-5 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest and only 2-3 ATS after playing three consecutive home games, while Charlotte is 4-3 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses and 6-2 ATS in its last eight against good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per contest. The bottom line: The Raptors come in complacent after four straight home victories in our opinion. The Hornets on the other hand have lost three straight and they also play with revenge here after falling in Toronto back in December. While the upset is definitely “in play” here, we’re going to grab the points. Play on CHARLOTTE. AAA Sports |
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02-10-18 | Rutgers +10 v. Nebraska | Top | 55-67 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Rutgers. Rutgers comes in motivated after dropping its sixth straight, most recently a 65-43 setback at home to Indiana on Monday. Nebraska on the other hand comes in complacent after four straight wins, most recently a 91-85 road victory over Minnesota on Tuesday. Note that this is a “revenge” game as well for the Scarlet Knights after the Huskers took the first game this year 60-54 on January 24th. Rutgers doesn’t score many points, averaging only 65.9 PPG, however the Scarlet Knights make up for it on the other end by allowing just 63.8 (ranked 15th in the nation.) Nebraska averages 74 PPG and it allows 69.5. Note that Rutgers is already 3-2 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Nebraska is just 2-3 ATS this season after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest. Grab the points, play on RUTGERS. AAA Sports |
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02-06-18 | Boston College v. Notre Dame -7 | Top | 85-96 | Win | 100 | 28 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Notre Dame. BC is 4-6 in ACC action, while ND is 3-7 in league play. We think the Eagles suffer a predictable letdown here after beating Georgia Tech 80-72 at home on Sunday. The Irish will be risking life and limb today though as they try to break a seven-game slide. BC averages 75.7 PPG and they allow 71.9. ND averages 75.7 PPG and it allows 71.9. Clearly these teams are very evenly matched, but note that the Irish are 4-2 ATS in their last six after six or more consecutive SU losses, while BC is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after scoring 80 points or more in its previous outing. For all the reasons listed above, play on NOTRE DAME. AAA Sports |
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02-04-18 | Eagles +5.5 v. Patriots | Top | 41-33 | Win | 100 | 322 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Philadelphia Eagles. Nick Foles isn’t Carson Wentz, but clearly the guy knows how to play. Often in games like this it simply comes down to execution and that’s all the Eagles will be asking of their competent back-up in this one. Tom Brady has a huge edge over Foles in experience, but let’s be fair, not in too many other departments at this stage of his career. Foles can pretty much match Brady throw for throw. Philadelphia has the stronger run game and the better defense as well and that top notch defensive play was on full display in their beatdown of the Vikings last weekend. The Patriots’ also looked sharp defensively in their victory over the Jags. These are two evenly matched teams, but we ultimately feel that Philadelphia’s defense is playing at such an extremely high level right now, that we have a hard time seeing Brady being as effective this week as he was last. That swings the value to the underdog. Grab as many points as you can, play on the EAGLES. AAA Sports |
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02-03-18 | Duke v. St. John's +11.5 | Top | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on St. John’s. We’re not calling for the outright upset, but we think No. 4 Duke gets caught looking past its lowly non-conference opponent this afternoon. The Blue Devils bounce back nicely with an 88-66 win at home over Notre Dame after falling 65-63 to No. 2 Virginia in its previous outing. But with a game at North Carolina up next, there’s no doubt that this sets up as a classic look ahead spot for the mighty Blue Devils. St. John’s is 0-11 in Big East play after falling 73-68 to No. 6 Xavier on Thursday. The Red Storm started the season 10-2 in non-conference action, but they’ve since come back down to Earth. Note though that St. John’s is 5-1 ATS in its last six against the ACC, while Duke is just 6-16-1 ATS in its last 23 against the Big East. Play on the RED STORM. AAA Sports |
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01-29-18 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin -2.5 | Top | 74-63 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Wisconsin (9:00 EST). Wisconsin will be desperate here as it’s lost five of its last six. Nebraska has been successful this year, but less so on the road. Note that this is a revenge game for the home side after the Cornhuskers won the first meeting 63-59 earlier in the season. Nebraska’s defense looked pretty ordinary in its 98-84 win over lowly Iowa in its last game. The Hawkeyes beat the Badgers earlier in the year, as this simply has not bee Wisconsin’s year. That said, this situation sets up fantastic for it as we think that the Cornhuskers come in a bit complacent here. Also note that Nebraska is already a poor 1-3 ATS this year after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest, while Wisconsin is 6-5 ATS at home and 3-2 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. For all the reasons listed above, play on the BADGERS. AAA Sports |
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01-27-18 | Thunder v. Pistons +3.5 | Top | 121-108 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Detroit Pistons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that OKC is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after six or more consecutive SU victories, while Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last seven after six more consecutive SU losses. The bottom line: Detroit does indeed come in having lost eight of ten and six straight. With a home and home set starting in Cleveland tomorrow night agains the Cavs, this game this evening essentially becomes a “must win” for the Pistons. OKC on the other hand comes in complacent here after its latest win streak and with a game at home tomorrow night against the 76ers, it’s not too difficult to imagine the visitors getting caught looking ahead to the difficult matchup. Grab the points, play on the PISTONS. AAA Sports |
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