Cappers Sports Picks

*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Columbia Lions slow the tempo down and play defense as well as anyone in the Ivy League. Yale is a team that typically plays to the pace of their opponent. Columbia's defense should make life difficult on Yale's shooters in this game. The last meeting between these two last season finished at 105 points. I had this one projected at 124.

The under is 5-0 in Columbia's last 5 road games. It is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. It is 8-0 in their last 8 Friday games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a home win percentage of 60% or higher. A 23-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The UC Irvine Anteaters have a 7'2 player and a 7'6 guy who is now the key to their team. Having this kind of size helps on defense and slows the game down. UCSB is always one of the slowest paced teams in the Big West. Should be a defensive battle here all the way.

The under is 4-0 in UCI's last 4 road games. It is 5-0 in their last 5 Thursday games. It is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. It is 9-1 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 7-1 in their last 8 vs. the Big West. A 30-2 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total PERFECTION* The USC Trojans and Oregon State Beavers are both all about getting out and running. Neither of these teams can play much defense at all. Oregon State is shooting the three ball better than any other team in the Pac-12. USC is probably the worst defense in the Pac-12, and I see Oregon State putting up at least 80 points here. The tempo should allow USC to score as well.

The over is 4-0 in USC's last 4. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 road games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 Pac-12 games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a home winning record. A 21-0 angle here. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The UCLA Bruins and Oregon Ducks are the two fastest paced teams in the Pac-12. When these two teams get together there are going to be all kinds of possessions and a bunch of offense. Steve Alford has his young team really running the floor, and Oregon is all about running the floor since their halfcourt offense isn't very efficient. Tons of run out layups and easy buckets here.

The over is 4-0 in Oregon's last 4 home games vs. team with a road win percentage of 40% or less. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 following an ATS win. A 21-1 angle. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Pacific Tigers try to win by outscoring the opposition because they simply can't play defense. Pacific allows a bunch of points against good offenses, and I think BYU will get to 90 tonight. BYU plays at a very fast pace and the Cougars will get to the line a ton tonight against a Pacific team that fouls more than any other team in the conference. I had this game lined at 169 points. Take the over here.

*3 Star NCAA BB West Coast Total* Eastern Washington is a run and gun type of team. They are going to put up a ton of shots regardless of who they are playing against. North Dakota actually likes to run as well, so we have a combination of very fast paced teams in this one. Neither defense is any good at guarding without fouling. Expect lots of trips to the charity stripe in this one. I had this game at 163 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Niagara Purple Eagles are the fastest paced team in the MAAC. Siena is doing a lot more running now that they have Jimmy Patsos as their new head coach. The first meeting between these teams this year finished at 155 points, and Niagara was 0-13 from three-point range in that game. You have to think they'll hit a few three's here, and the pace should still be very quick. I had 155 here too. Take the over.

*4 Star NBA 100% Total Domination* The Cleveland Cavs and New York Knicks are both more comfortable playing a half court slow it down type of game. The addition of Luol Deng gives the Cavs a solid defender, and I don't expect the Knicks to be able to continue their ridiculous shooting numbers from the last few games. Cleveland would prefer a defensive battle in this one. The last time these two played the posted total was 190 points. A seven point bump up in the total is far too much. The under is 4-0 in the Cavs last 4 games on 1 days rest. The under is 5-0 in the Cavs last 5 games overall. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 games after their opponent scores more than 100 points in their previous game. The under is 7-0 in the Cavs last 7 versus the Eastern Conference. A 20-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The UT Arlington Mavericks started the season out flying up and down the floor, but they've slowed down in a big way of late. That gives us value on the under when they play solid defensive teams. Western Kentucky is a very good defensive team that slows the game down considerably, especially at home. The Hilltoppers offense hasn't been good at all of late. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Providence Friars have slowed the game down in a big way this year. Ed Cooley is introducing some zone defense with his team, and it has worked very nicely thus far. Providence should shut down Marquette with the zone, because Marquette shoots 28% from long range in Big East play. Marquette's defense is their strength as well, and Providence's offense isn't very good. Should be an ugly and close game here. I had this lined at 129. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total Value* Tennessee-Martin is a team that is tough to figure out. They are one of the worst teams in a weak Ohio Valley Conference, but they still love to run and gun. They get blown out almost every game, but that doesn't slow them down a bit. Eastern Kentucky has the most efficient offense in the conference, and they should pile up the points here. Eastern Kentucky will avenge last year's loss at Tenn-Martin. This one should be fast-paced with little defense. I had 160 points here. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Iowa State/Kansas Total DOMINATION* The Iowa State Cyclones and Kansas Jayhawks both like to play at a very quick tempo. The first game between these two got to 148 points, and the shooting numbers were far below normal for both teams. Expect both teams to shoot it better this time around. Kansas' offense is starting to fire on all cylidners as Embiid and Wiggins really get rolling. The over is 6-1 in Kansas' last 7 home games. The over is 5-1 in their last 6 overall. The over is 5-1 in their last 6 following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two at Kansas. A 20-3 angle. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Boise State Broncos and Air Force Falcons have a lot in common. Both of them are much better offensively than they are on the defensive end. These teams have trouble slowing down just about anyone. They played a game that finished at 171 points last year. I had this number at 147 points. Look for this one to sail over the total. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Miami Hurricanes are playing slower than any other team in the nation right now. Coach Larranagga's team doesn't have the type of talent they've had in the past, so they've decided they need to slow it down to win. The Hurricanes defense has been great of late, but their offense is awful. Maryland likes to run, but they aren't efficient on offense. I think this will be a sloppy game with low shooting percentages. The under is 7-0 in Miami's last 7 road games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home win percentage of 60% or higher. A 21-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Defensive Battle* The Richmond Spiders and St. Louis Billikens are both excellent defensive teams. Did you know that St. Louis is actually the number one rated team in the nation on defense so far this year? They can shut teams down. Richmond will slow the game down too. No reason to expect many points here. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The VCU Rams take on the Fordham Rams in this one. In this battle of the Rams, it should be VCU who comes out ahead. VCU's full court pressure will be too much for a Fordham team that simply has very little discipline. The pace here should be extremely fast, and that will allow for plenty of scoring opportunities. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Mac Total* The Central Michigan Chippewas have a way of making games high scoring with their horrendous defense. Central Michigan is going to give up a bunch of points in every game they play in the MAC. Ohio's offense has struggled at times this year, but they shouldn't struggle tonight. I had this one at 139. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The James Madison Dukes and Northeastern Huskies get together in a CAA battle tonight. This wasn't a game I had originally been expecting to play the over on, but with a number set this low I couldn't pass it up. Both of these teams are no better than mediocre on defense, so the total here should certainly be higher than this. Take the over based on the value.

*4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Virginia Tech Hokies have slowed down their tempo in a big way in ACC play. That makes me believe there is plenty of value on a team that used to be one that force the tempo. Boston College is one of the slowest teams in the conference, and the first meeting between these two couldn't even get to 120 points. The under is 7-0 in the Hokies last 7 games following an ATS loss. The under is 9-1 in their last 10 games overall. I had this number at 132. Take the under here.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Boston Celtics and New York Knicks get together on Tuesday night. I think Carmelo Anthony's red hot offensive run has inflated this total a bit. Both of these are teams that slow the game down and don't get many transition opportunities. Both games between these teams have stayed safely under this total. Neither offense is efficient at all with their shots.

The under is 4-0 in Boston's last 4 following a loss. It is 4-0 in their last 4 when playing a team with a losing record. It is 4-0 in their last 4 on one day of rest. The under is 4-0 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in the Knicks last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in New York. The under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings overall between these two. A 35-1 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Oklahoma State Cowboys have one of the best teams in the nation. Oklahoma has been one of the biggest surprises to me this year. Lon Kruger is doing a great job with this inexperienced team. Oklahoma pushes the tempo as much as anyone in the Big 12, and Oklahoma State is completely comfortable playing in transition all game long. I don't see anything slowing the pace down in this one. Both teams get to the line often and shoot it well from the charity stripe too. I think this one gets close to 170. The over is 5-0 in OK State's last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 6-1 in Oklahoma's last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Norfolk State and Savannah State rarely played lined games, but tonight they'll be on television so we get a line for this matchup. There is often value in betting these types of games, since the oddsmakers know less about these teams since they generally aren't playing lined games. Both teams like to slow the game down and Savannah State has one of the best defenses in the conference. Look for poor shooting numbers and a slow tempo here. The under is 5-0 in Norfolk State's last 5 road games. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Kent State Golden Flashes and Toledo Rockets both like to play uptempo baksetball this year. Toledo has the best offense in the MAC, and one of the worst defenses. Kent State is weak defensively as well. It's hard to imagine either defense having much luck slowing down the opposition in this one. I had this game at 154 points. Take the over in this contest.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Cincinnati Bearcats have been an absolute under machine over the last couple years. This is a team that grits down and plays great defense, but they aren't efficient at all on offense. Cincinnati is the much better team in this game, so I expect them to slow the game down and play on their terms. Temple doesn't have the offensive firepower to put up a bunch on Cincinnati. The under is 42-10 in Cincinnati's last 52 games overall! The under is 7-0 in their last 7 Sunday games. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 vs. the AAC. A 56-10 angle. Take the under.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Harvard Crimson are clearly the best team in the Ivy League. Harvard going to beat a lot of people badly in the Ivy League this year. They have the number one defense in the league. Dartmouth is without star Gabas Maldunas for this game. He was hurt in the team's last game. He averaged 11.2 points and 8.5 boards per game. Without Maldunas, the Big Green will be completely lost on offense. I don't think they'll be able to top 55 points here. Dartmouth will slow the game even more without him as well. Very slow tempo in this one. The under is 5-0 in Harvard's last 5 games. The under is 3-0 in their last 3 road games. The under is 3-0 in Dartmouth's last 3 games. Take the under big!

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*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT Total* The UNLV Rebels and Fresno State Bulldogs already played one this year. That game finished at 75-62, just short of this posted total. The two teams shot the ball horribly. UNLV won, but hit only 1 for 16 from 3 point range. Both of these teams love to get out in transition and score quickly without having to set up the offense. I can't imagine the teams shooting as bad as they did last time. The over is 5-1 in UNLV's last 6 home games. Take the over.

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*3 Star TGIF NBA Total DOMINATION* The Memphis Grizzlies play at a slower pace than any other team in the laegue. Memphis experimented with picking up the tempo earlier this year, and that experiment failed miserably. Now, they are back to slowing the game down and trying to out-physical the opposition. Marc Gasol just returned to the lineup and that means the Grizzlies will be even better defensively and they'll slow the game down even more. The first two meetings between these two teams stayed well under this posted total at 179 and 192 points. Memphis will battle hard to keep this one at a slow tempo.

The under is 4-0 in the Grizzlies last 4. The under is 3-0-1 in the Rockets last 4 vs. the NBA Southwest. The under is 4-0-2 in their last 6 following an ATS win. The under is 2-0-2 in their last 2 following a win by 10 points or more. The under is 2-0 in their last 2 meetings. A 15-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The UCLA Bruins are a good "over" team because they love to play fast and they have a terrific offense. Stanford isn't quite as quick, but to stay in this game they are going to have to score a lot of points. UCLA has topped 100 points three times this year already, and I could see them getting to 85 or 90 here. Stanford has two great scores in Powell and Randle and they'll find ways to score in this one. The over is 3-0-1 in Stanford's last 4 games. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 Pac-12 games. The over is 4-1 in UCLA's last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Pac-12 Total* The Oregon Ducks can push the tempo of the game about as well as anyone in the nation. Oregon's offense hit a speed bump last game against Oregon State, but I expect them to get it going again here. Washington likes to get out and run as well, and the Huskies score in bunches at home. I had this number at 163 points. Take the over in this late game.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Cal State Northridge Matadors aren't as fast paced as they used to be. Reggie Theus has slowed the team down a bit in his first year as a coach there. UC Irvine is one of the slowest teams in the Big West, largely because of their amazing interior size and strength. The Anteaters are the best team in the Big West, and they should control this game. I had this total at just 136 points.

The under is 5-0 in Irvine's last 5 home games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 Big West games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 Thursday games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning record. The under is 12-1 in their last 13 following a win. A 31-1 angle. Take the under big!

*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* Loyola Marymount and Pacific are both teams that prefer to play at a very quick pace. These two coaching staffs have worked hard to get their teams playing faster this season. This should be a perfect chance to see lots of transition opportunities for both teams. Neither defense is any good. I had this total at 153 points. The over is 4-0 in Pacific's last 4. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 WCC games. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 home games. Take the over here.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Houston Cougars and Memphis Tigers generally score quite a few points when they get together. These are both athletic teams that like to get out and run and score before the defense gets set. I don't see that changing in this matchup. Memphis is a good team, but they aren't good when they get bogged down in the halfcourt. I had this game at 149 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Under the Radar Total* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are having some serious offensive issues. Their offense has been stagnant of late. They are still playing good defense and staying in games though. Monroe is one of the slowest teams in the Sun Belt, and this game should be played at a slow tempo. I had this number at 123 points. Take the under here.

*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Southeast Missouri State Redhawks play an uptempo style of basketball, and they are generally very efficient on offense. They are especially good offensively on their home court. Edwardsville is a team that generally plays to the tempo of their opponent, because they aren't a very good team. The Redhawks should control this game and put up a big number. The over is 4-0 in SEMO St's last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings. The over is 10-2 in the Redhawks last 12 home games. A 22-2 angle. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Youngstown State Penguins are good at turning up the tempo in a game. They are good offensively, but not good on the defensive end. Valpo is a much worse defensive team than they typically have been. Both teams should get second chance opportunities here too. I had this one at 152. Take the over here.

*4 Star Florida/Bama Total* The Florida Gators are a very good team, but their defense is what makes them great. Florida slows the game down and uses ball control and defense to win tough games. Alabama is consistently one of the slowest paced teams in the SEC. I had this number at 119 points. Look for a low scoring close game here. Take the under in this one.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Old Dominion Monarchs are a team I've had my eye on closely of late. They have been slowing down their tempo in a big way. Jeff Jones is their new coach and he always stalled when at American University. It looks like his style is starting to work at Old Dominion as well. Southern Miss doesn't push the tempo at all. I had this number at 124. Take the under here.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Oakland Golden Grizzlies are awful on the defensive end. They might be the worst defense that Green Bay sees all year. Green Bay is an efficient offense that could easily hang 85 or 90 points here. Oakland likes to push the tempo and get up a lot of shots from long range, and they have some very good shooters. I made this total 158 points. Look for this one to easily get over the total. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* There are 351 teams in Division I college basketball this year. Miami is playing at the slowest pace of all of those teams so far this season. Duke has slowed down their tempo quite a bit during ACC play. Duke hasn't looked good at all on the road (they only scored 59 at Clemson). Miami isn't good offensively, but their defense is tremendous. I expect this to be a hard fought low scoring game.

The under is 7-0 in Miami's last 7 games vs. a team with a win percentage of 60% or higher. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 50 points or less last game. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 ACC games. The under is 10-1 in their last 11 overall. A 32-1 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The Chicago Bulls have been a great 'under' team since Derrick Rose went down. The Bulls play at a slow tempo, and they always lock you up defensively. The Bulls offense has gotten significantly worse without Derrick Rose or Luol Deng. Those guys used to be their top two scoring options. Cleveland's offense isn't efficient at all, and in their last game against the Bulls they scored just 84 points. Cleveland isn't a team that controls the tempo of the game very well at all. I expect a sloppy game and a low scoring game. The under is 5-0 in the Cavs last 5 vs. the Eastern Conference. The under is 4-0 in the Cavs last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games. A 13-0 angle. Take the under.

*5 Star NBA TOP Play 100% Total* The Sacramento Kings have been a totally different team of late. Rudy Gay joining the team has turned this team into a much higher scoring unit, and the Kings are running as much as anyone in the NBA in recent weeks. New Orleans and Sacramento are two of the bottom three defenses in the NBA. Both teams are going to get plenty of easy scoring chances in this one. The Kings will force the tempo all game long. I think this line is far too low.

The over is 6-0 in the Kings last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in the Kings last 5 following a loss of 10 points or more. The over is 7-0 in the Pelicans last vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two in New Orleans. The over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings overall between these two. A 30-0 angle. Take the over big!

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* You probably know that the Indiana Pacers are the best defensive team in the NBA. You might not know that Golden State ranks fifth in the NBA in total defense. When these two teams go against each other, I expect a lot of difficult shots for both offenses. Steph Curry and the Golden State offense won't find easy looks from long range against the Pacers. Indiana knows they need to slow this game down a bit to give themselves a better chance to win. The under is 4-0 in the Pacers last 4 road games. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Maryland Terrapins are the fastest paced team in the ACC right now. Maryland is weak on the defensive end as well. NC State has had some offensive issues, which is why this total is set low. I do expect the Wolfpack offense to be able to get going against this defense though. Maryland will force the tempo and their defense will give up plenty of points. I made this one 148 points. The over is 4-0-1 in Maryland's last 5 road games. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning record. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 vs. a team with a home win percentage of 60% or more. A 10-0 angle. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Marist was a team that liked to get out and run last year. That has changed in a big way this season. Marist now prefers to slow the game down and try to win with ball control and defense. St. Peter's is the slowest paced team in the conference, and they'll be happy to play in a stall ball type of game. I made this total 122 points. Look for the slow tempo keep this under. Take the under here.

*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The New Orleans Pelicans and Memphis Grizzlies both like to slow the game down. Anthony Davis gives the Pelicans a good rim protector at the back of the defense. Memphis has their best player back now that Marc Gasol is in the lineup again. He is their best defensive player, and with him in the game they slow the pace down even more. Look for these two offenses to use up the shot clock and shoot a relatively low percentage in this one. This total is set a few points too high. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Oregon Ducks and Oregon State Beavers both like to run and gun. There are going to be lots of possessions and plenty of shots in this one. Oregon's offense is better than last year, and their defense is worse without a shot blocker in the interior. Oregon State never plays much defense, but they can shoot it well. The over is 6-0 in Oregon's last 6 Sunday games. The over is 6-0 in Oregon's last 6 following a loss. A 12-0 angle here. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Green Bay has picked up the tempo in a big way this year, and they are the much better team here so I expect them to control the pace. UIC's defense is awful. The Flames can score it pretty well on their home floor. I had this one pegged at 146. Plenty of value here. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Iowa Hawkeyes have been able to push the tempo in every game this year. They sped up both Wisconsin and Ohio State, which is tough to do. This Hawkeyes team is super efficient on offense. Minnesota is going to have to score plenty to stay in touch here. I had this one lined at 153. The over is 7-0 in Iowa's last 7 following an ATS win. The over is 3-0-1 in Minnesota's last 4 following an ATS win. A 10-0 angle here. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT Total* The Stanford Cardinal have plenty of scoring options. Dwight Powell is one of the best big guys in the Pac-12 and Chaisson Randle is one of the league's best scorers from the guard spot. Washington and Stanford both like to run the floor and get up lots of shots. No one will slow this game down. I had this one set at 150 points. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Long Beach State 49ers and Cal Poly Mustangs are both teams who love to slow the game down. Long Beach State has totally changed the way they play of late. Dan Monson's team doesn't have enough scoring firepower to win high scoring games, so they walk it up the floor. Cal Poly has been a stall ball team for several years now. The under is 5-1 in Long Beach's last 6 Big West games. The under is 4-0 in Cal Poly's last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. A 9-1 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks and South Alabama Jaguars both prefer to slow the game down. Monroe shot the lights out in their last game, but their offense has been inefficient much of the season. South Bama has been horrible offensively, but they are very good on defense. I made this number 125. The under is the play here. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Pacific Tigers and St. Mary's Gaels played to an 88-80 final earlier this year. St. Mary's is one of the best 3 point shooting teams in the nation and Pacific can't guard beyond the three-point line. St. Mary's buried 13 three-pointers last time, and 10 or more again wouldn't surprise me a bit. I had this lined at 146. The over is 6-1 in Pacific's last 7 vs. the WCC. The over is 4-0 in Pacific's last 4 vs. a team with a win percentage above 60%. The over is 5-1 in St. Mary's last 6 vs. a team with a win percentage over 60%. A 15-2 angle. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Detroit Titans and Youngstown State Penguins are two teams I like play the 'over' with because of their consistency when it comes to pushing the pace. There should be plenty of shots put up in this one. I had this one lined at 153 points. Look for this get over the total. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Jeff Jones is the new coach at ODU and he always had his teams at American University slow the game down. We're seeing signs of him doing the same thing with ODU in the last few games. They played to a 52-36 final at FIU last time out. Florida Atlantic isn't a fast paced team either. Value on the under here. I had this at 126. Take the under.

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*4 Star Play Under 125.5*

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*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Long Beach State 49ers have had a lot of turnover the last few years. A couple years ago they had tons of veterans, but now this is a very young team. Dan Monson has decided they should slow the game down this year. UCSB is always one of the slowest teams in the conference. This game will be played much slower than most expect. The under is 8-1 in UCSB's last 9 home games. The under is 5-0 in Long Beach's last 5 following a win of 20 points or more. The under is 8-1 in Long Beach State's last 9 vs. a team with a winning record. A 21-2 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The San Diego Toreros slow the game down more than any other team in the West Coast Conference. In the past, Santa Clara was a team that would battle to speed up the game, but the Broncos have slowed down the tempo a lot this year. Both of last year's meetings went well under this total, and both teams are playing even slower this year. The under is 5-0 in SD's last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Santa Clara's last 4 Thursday games. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Santa Clara. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 meetings overall. A 19-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Under the Radar Total* The Cal State Fullerton Titans got a new coach at the beginning of the year. The Titans no longer run and gun like they used to, and that has given the under some solid value with them. UC Irvine is full of big physical guys on the inside, so the Anteaters are slowing the game down a bunch in conference play. I had this game at 132 points. The under is 4-0 in Irvine's last 4 home games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the Big West. The under is 11-1 in their last 12 following a win. A 20-1 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Sun Belt Total* The Troy Trojans and Monroe Warhawks are both far more comfortable playing games that are slow paced. Neither of these offenses are efficient at all. Troy had a couple games recently where they shot the lights out from three-point range, which is giving us some value on the under. No reason to expect either offense to look good here. I had this one at 124. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The UIC Flames play the worst defense of any team in the Horizon League. Wisconsin Milwaukee is pushing the tempo more this year, and the Panthers should be able to put up quite a few points on the Flames. UIC's offense has been decent on their home court. I had this one lined at 146. Take the over in this game.

*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* It's all about the tempo for this game. UTSA loves to run, and they can't stop anyone. This is UAB's chance to put up 90 points right here. UAB loves to run and gun as well, and I expect them to give up plenty of points too. Both teams can score in bunches and there should be a ton of transition points here. I had 158 on this one. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total Value* I couldn't pass up a chance to get on a Western Illinois under at this number. Generally, a Western Illinois under can only be had at a line of 120 or less. The Leathernecks grind out games and play slower than just about anyone else in the nation. South Dakota State no longer has an elite team, and this game could be very ugly. I had this one at 125. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Knicks/Pacers Total DOMINATION* The New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers got together earlier this year and the Pacers won in OT at MSG. I played the under in that game and would have won without OT. I'm going back to the under here. New York is playing at a slower tempo than any other team in the NBA. The Pacers like to slow it down, and the Pacers have the best defense in the league. Low scoring all the way here.

The under is 6-0 in the Knicks last 6 on one days' rest. It is 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The under is 4-0 in the Pacers last 4 against an opponent with a win percentage below 40%. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 Thursday games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 or more in their previous game. A 24-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Hidden Gem Total* These two teams played to a total score of 171 earlier this year. They both shot the ball well, so a lower scoring game than that should be expected, but I think this line is too low. I'm seeing two teams who push the pace and shoot a lot of free throws. I had this game lined at 153. Take the over here.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Arkansas State will push the tempo of the game, but I don't expect them to be able to slow down Georgia State's elite offense at all. Georgia State is one of the most efficient offenses in the country. Arkansas State will get plenty with their top notch three point shooting. I had this game lined at 154 points. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Missouri Tigers aren't the fast paced team they were in the past. Missouri no longer has an elite point guard (Pressey) pushing the pace. They have no true point guard and that means this team is walking it up the court. Vandy lost their leading scorer McClellan a couple games ago, and their offense was already weak. They play slowly as well. The under is 5-0 in Missouri's last 5 vs. the SEC. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 following a win. It is 6-0 in their last 6 following an ATS win. The under is 5-0-1 in Vandy's last 6 vs. a team with a win percentage above 60%. A 22-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NBA Late Night BAILOUT* The Los Angeles Clippers aren't slowing things down at all without Chris Paul. In fact, it seems as if their offense has played even faster. They aren't a better team, but they are really running the floor. Dallas' defense is one of the worst in the NBA. The Clippers are very efficient on offense, and Dallas doesn't have anyone to slow down the Clippers big men. Dallas has plenty of scoring options as well, and this has high scoring written all over it. The over is 11-2 in the Mavs last 13 vs. a team with a win percentage above 60%. The over is 5-1 in the Clips last 6 following an ATS win. Take the over.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Totals CRUSHER* The Florida State Seminoles prefer to run if they can, but they aren't the type of team that can force the opposition into a run and gun game. Florida State's defense is one of the best in the country. Miami has become one of the slowest paced teams in the country this year. The Hurricanes have been stalling in a big way and winning games with their defense. The under is 4-0 in Miami's last 4 following an ATS win. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a win percentage over 60%. The under is 8-1 in their last 9 overall. I had this one at 116 points. Take the under big!

*4 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Baylor Bears and Texas Tech Red Raiders both prefer to play a game at a slow pace. Tubby Smith has helped improve Texas Tech's defense right away, and this team is playing much slower than it has in recent years. Baylor is surprisingly slow tempo-wise this season. Look for both teams to run a lot of the shot clock down before putting up their shots. I had this one at 133. Take the under here.

*3 Star NBA 100% Angle Total* The Memphis Grizzlies got back Marc Gasol last night. That means they will be a much better defensive team and they'll play slower on the offensive end as well. Milwaukee and Memphis are two of the five slowest teams in the league. The Bucks defense has been awful on the road, but pretty good at home. It's hard to imagine either of these teams getting far above 90 points in this one. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two. The under is 4-0-1 in the Bucks last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. A 9-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Toronto Raptors are playing some really good basketball right now. It all starts with the way they are playing defense. Toronto is locking down their opponents on the defensive end. Boston isn't very efficient offensively, and the Celtics are much better defensively on their home floor. Neither team likes to push the tempo, so we should see a lot of slow play in this one. The under is 5-0 in the Raptors last 5 road games. The under is 7-1 in the Raptors last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The under is 5-1 in the Celtics last 6 vs. the NBA Atlantic. A 17-2 angle. Take the under.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total TAKEDOWN* The Toledo Rockets and Buffalo Bulls are both making a concerted effort to push the pace this year. Expect lots of transition buckets when these two teams matchup tonight. Toledo's defense has been horrible, so they'll give up their fair share of points. At the same time, the Rockets offense has been amazing, especially on their home floor. My numbers had this game set at 158 points. Look for a high scoring game between two good offenses. Take the over big!

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total DOMINATION* The Delaware Blue Hens are pushing the tempo in a big way this year. Delaware ranks in the top ten in the nation in terms of pace. They also have a very poor defense. William & Mary has sped up a bit from last year, and the Tribe defense is one of the worst in the country. Both of these teams are capable of hitting a lot of shots from long range. I had this game pegged at 163 points. The over is 4-0 in W&M's last 4 against the CAA. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The over is 5-1 in their last 6 Wednesday games. A 13-1 angle. Take the over big!

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Rhode Island Rams are playing quality defense under Dan Hurley. Their offense isn't any good, and that should help this play in a big way. LaSalle used to be a run and gun offense, but they are slowing things down and using the clock now. Because of their change in style, I'm seeing value on the under in LaSalle games this season. I had this line set at 130 points. Take the under here.

*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Clemson Tigers are as good of an under team as you'll find. They play excellent defense without fouling and they aren't very good on offense. They also play at a snail's pace. Clemson controls the tempo extremely well. Virginia Tech's offense isn't very good, but they are much improved defensively.

The under is 6-0 in Va. Tech's last 6 overall. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a road win percentage of 40% or less. It is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing road record. It is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the ACC. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss. A 28-0 angle. Take the under.