Cappers Sports Picks

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The New York Knicks get Tyson Chandler back in the lineup tonight, and that means better defense instantly. The Knicks already play at a very slow pace, so they have been a pretty good under team. They should be in even lower scoring games moving forward. Milwaukee plays very slow, and the Bucks will be without O.J. Mayo for this game. The Bucks don't have many scoring options to start with, and without Mayo they'll be very thin on offense. Look for a sloppy game here. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Admittedly, I'm not a big fan of taking an 'under' set at 122 points, but this one should be even lower. These are two teams that play at a snail's pace. Neither team will push the tempo at all here. Both of them struggle on offense as well. This game is played a neutral site, which helps the under too. I had this line at 117 points.

The under is 5-0 in Northern Illinois' last 5 road games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 against the Missouri Valley. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a winning home record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a home win percentage of 60% or higher. The under is 4-0 in Loyola's last 4 games following a win. A 23-0 angle. Take the under.

*5 Star TOP Play of Month* The Drexel Dragons and St. Joe's Hawks meet in a heated rivalry game tonight. I've had my eye on this game for quite a while. Both of these teams are teams I like to play the under with, and when they get together the games have been very low scoring. Eight of their last nine games against each other have stayed below 140 points. The one game that did go over went into overtime or it would have stayed under. I projected this line at 132 points. I would play the under here as low as 136. Huge value here.

The under is 3-0-1 in the Dragons last 4 against the Atlantic 10. The under is 4-0 in St. Joe's last 4 against the CAA. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the under in a big way!

*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Both UT Arlington and Oklahoma have been racing the basketball up the court all year long, and there is no reason to assume that will change tonight. Arlington's defense is nearly non-existent and Oklahoma should get whatever shot they want. Arlington shoots it well from long range, and the Sooners have given up a lot of points this season. I had this game projected at 176 points. This total is high, but it should be even higher. Take the over.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Creighton Blue Jays have one of the most efficient offenses in the nation. Creighton was number one in offensive efficiency most of last year, and they are #6 so far this year. The Blue Jays are going to love going against Arkansas Pine Bluff's ridiculously bad defense. Pine Bluff allows opponents to shoot 60.2% on two-point shots. Creighton likes to run and Pine Bluff won't slow the game down. I think Creighton scores more than 90 points here. I made this total 151, so I really like the value. Take the over big!

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Toledo Rockets and Arkansas State Red Wolves both love to play in transition, and they'll get plenty of transition opportunities against each other tonight. The pace should help in a big way. Toledo's defense is horrible, but the Rockets have put up more than 85 points several times already this year. I had this total projected at 161 points. Take the over here.

*4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Washington Huskies have a way of turning games into a track meet. Lorenzo Romar's team likes to jack up shots very quickly, and their defense isn't good at all this year. Tulane doesn't always run the floor, but they do always play horrible defense. The Huskies should be able to pile up the points in this contest. If Tulane wants to keep up, they'll need to move quickly and score a lot of points. I had this line projected at 157 points. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The North Florida Ospreys have played a really tough schedule so far this year. They have already played Florida, MTSU, Ohio State, Alabama, and Indiana. Michigan State may be the best team they've played yet. Michigan State will dominate the interior in this game in a big way. The Spartans push the tempo and North Florida likes to run as well. Michigan State should put up at least 90 points on their own. Look for this one to sail over. Take the over.

*4 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Chicago Bulls have been a complete mess since Derrick Rose went down with an injury. The team still competes hard on the defensive end, but they can't get anything going offensively. Orlando's offense has gotten less efficient in recent weeks as they haven't been hitting as many long range jumpers. The Bulls will slow the pace down in a big way in this game.

The under is 4-0 in the Magic's last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in Orlando's last 4 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in Chicago's last 4 following a double digit loss. The under is 6-1 in the Bulls last 7 following a double digit loss at home. The under is 5-1 in the Bulls last 6 Monday games. A 23-2 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The UIC Flames and Southeast Missouri State Redhawks meet in this one. UIC is a terrible team who has serious defensive problems. The Flames have given up 93 and 103 points in two of their last six games. SE Missouri State has scored over 100 points in three games already this season. SE Missouri State should win big here, but the Redhawks give up quite a few points too, and I think this one gets safely over the total.

The over is 4-0 in UIC's last 4 vs. the OVC. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 6-1 in UIC's last 7. The over is 7-1 in the Redhawks last 8 home games. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 Saturday games. A 31-4 angle here. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* This is a matchup between two teams who are horrible on the defensive end. Edwardsville has been giving up easy layups to everyone on their roster for the past few years. They like to play fast as well. Fort Wayne is a high scoring team on their home floor, and the Mastadons have several very good outside shooters. It's hard to imagine either team being slowed down very often in this one. I had this one lined at 151 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Clemson Tigers and Furman Paladins play a very similar style of offense. Both of them are content to use up the entire shot clock and attempt to score late in the clock. Clemson is one of the best defenses in the nation so far this year. It won't surprise me if Furman struggles to get to 45 or 50 points here. Clemson's really slow pace makes it unlikely that they would put up a big number in this one. I had this one lined at 119 points. Take the under here.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Nebraska Omaha ranks in the top ten teams in the country in terms of pace. Both of these teams are terrible on the defensive end. Expect lots of easy buckets and free throw attempts in this game. Nevada has an elite scorer in Deonte Burton and he should have a huge game here. Omaha shoots 77% from the line and they should get plenty of trips against a Nevada team that fouls a ton. I had this one lined at 166 points. Take the over.

*4 Star Play on Under 142*

*3 Star NBA 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Charlotte Bobcats have been more competitive this year. How have they done it? Charlotte is playing very good defense. The Bobcats are second in the NBA in points per game allowed at just 92.4 per contest. Indiana has the number one defense in the NBA. The last three games between these teams have finished below 180 points. There should be plenty of defense here.

The under is 4-0 in the Bobcats last 4 Friday games. The under is 7-0-1 in their last 8 following a loss. The under is 6-0 in Charlotte's last 6 games vs. the NBA Central. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The under is 8-0-1 in their last 9 against a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0-1 in the Pacers last 7 against a team wtih a winnning record. The under is 4-0 in the Pacers last 4 Friday games. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 against the NBA Southeast. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 games between these two at Indiana. The under is 7-0-1 in the last 8 between these two overall. In all, a MASSIVE 58-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*5 Star NBA TOP Total* The Oklahoma City Thunder still like to run when given the opportunity, but they are no longer an automatic over. Their defense is now one of the best in the league, and that makes them a real contender. Memphis plays at a slower pace than any other team in the NBA. The Grizzlies are great at dictating the tempo, and if they know what's good for them they'll slow this game down in a big way. I projected this line at 188 points. None of the Grizzlies last six home contests have finished higher than 190 points. Expect the defenses to rule in this one. Take the under big!

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers and the Wisconsin Badgers meet every year. In the last seven years, the highest scoring game between these teams finished at 127 points. Wisconsin is as good as anyone in college basketball at slowing the pace of the game down, and Wisconsin Milwaukee won't be able to speed this game up. The Badgers are likely to dominate early and then coast late in this game. In 4 of the last 6 meetings between these teams, the total hasn't gotten above 116 points. I made this total 129 points. Take the under here.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish pushed the pace a bit early in the year, but as the year moves along they are moving back toward their stall ball offense. They burn clock the majority of the time in the halfcourt, and that can lead to a bunch of unders. North Dakota State is another team that likes to move slowly. While both of these teams shoot the ball pretty well, I can't pass up a chance to take the under at a number this high with two teams who like to use up the shot clock. I projected this line at 145 so I see plenty of value. Take the under in this one.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Oakland Golden Grizzlies have been one of the fastest paced teams in the nation in the past few years. They were forced to slow things down earlier this year because their bench was very short, but now that they are healthy again the Grizzlies will be running. Tom Crean's Indiana team is really pushing the pace in a big way this year. Indiana doesn't have as much height down low this season, but they have a ton of guards and forwards who can score in transition. Oakland's defense is nearly non-existent, and they will give up a ton of points here. I had this one lined at 158 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Evansville Purple Aces and Xavier Musketeers play a similar style of basketball. Both of these teams play at a normal pace and play solid halfcourt defense. In a game that I expect to stay competitive, it's hard to imagine either team putting up a really big number here. The Musketeers defense is great at home, but they haven't had much fluidity in their offensive sets this year. There is a lot of standing and watching when Xavier is on the offensive end. I had this number at 142. *Note- This line has moved down since I selected the under. I would play the under down to 144, but not lower. Thank you*

*4 Star NBA 100% Angle Play* The Golden State Warriors play pretty quick, but their defense is one of the best in the NBA. Charlotte is all about slowing the game down, and the Bobcats are quietly playing some very good defense this year. Charlotte is third in the NBA in defensive efficiency. The Bobcats have only had one game in their last 10 go over 193 points. Without Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, the Bobcats offense is even weaker, so they will likely need to keep this one low scoring to have any chance.

The under is 7-0 in the Bobcats last 7 home games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 against the Pacific Division. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a win. A 23-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA High Noon MONEYMAKER* The Boston Celtics and New York Knicks tip things off at noon eastern on Sunday afternoon. I always like to look at the under in games like this. New York City has a lot of nightlife and there are plenty of NBA players who are out late on Saturday nights in New York City. That can often lead to poor shooting percentages and sloppy play on early games on Sunday. The Knicks aren't a good team despite playing better of late. Both of these teams play slowly, and the offenses aren't very efficient. Boston is working hard defensively for Brad Stevens. The under is 12-2 in the Celtics last 14 road games. The under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings at New York. A 24-3 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Golden State Warriors aren't as good of a team without Andre Iguodala healthy. Golden State's defense has been very good so far this year, but their offense has been less efficient than normal. Memphis tested out a new experiment of running earlier this year. It didn't work. Memphis decided to slow things down even more than ever. These teams met and the game finished 88-81 in overtime. At the end of regulation, that game was tied 75-75. The under is 16-5 in Memphis' last 21 vs. the NBA Southwest. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 after allowing 100 points in their last game. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Arizona Wildcats are an elite team this year. Arizona is really putting in tremendous effort on the defensive end of the court. Their length and quickness make them extremely difficult to get a good look against. UNLV likes to get out and run, but the Rebels offense is very inefficient. UNLV has had trouble scoring on bad defenses, and now they'll play one of the best defenses in the country. Arizona's tempo isn't as fast, and they should slow the game down once they have a nice lead. I had this game projected at 143 points. The under is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 overall. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Wisconsin Battle* This intrastate rivalry game will be played at a very slow tempo with solid defense on both sides. My numbers had 125 points for this one. Take the under.

*5 Star NBA TOP Total* I took the under in the Wizards vs. Bucks game last week when they met in Milwaukee and the score was 87-87 at the end of regulation. I ended up losing the under by one point in overtime. It was a rough loss, but I'm going back to the under here. Washington isn't the same fast paced team they were in the past. They are much better defensively now, and without Bradley Beal, they aren't that good offensively. The Bucks offense is among the worst in the league in terms of efficiency and Milwaukee plays a very slow pace. I had this one lined at 186. Take the under big! *Note- I would play this for 5 Stars down to 191, 4 Stars down to 189. Thank you.*

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Miami Hurricanes have been playing pretty slow since Jim Larranagga took over at the school a couple years ago. This year, they are playing much slower than ever before. Why is that? Quite simply the Hurricanes aren't very good this year. Without Shane Larkin and the rest of the stars from last year, Miami can't score. They have to slow the game down and rely on defense to win. Nebraska is a slow team as well, so they won't force the issue. I expect a fairly close game here as both defenses play well. My numbers had this one at 121 points. The under is 4-0 in Miami's last 4 games. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Ball State Cardinals have a new coach this year who is all about defensive schemes and trying to win with defense. While Valpo has had some very high scoring games early this year, those were against weak defenses and teams that run. Ball State will work hard to slow the game down here, and they should succeed. Expect this game to largely be played in the halfcourt with both teams taking up most of the shot clock before getting a shot up. I had this one at 143 points. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA 100% Angle Total* The Boston Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks got together just a few nights ago. I took the under and won in that game, and I'll take the under again here. The Bucks hit an uncharacteristically high 49% of their shots in that game, and the under still cashed in comfortably. The Celtics defense is now top ten in the NBA. The Bucks and Celtics both rank in the bottom five of the NBA in terms of offensive efficiency. Look for a slow paced game with both defenses having the upper hand.

The under is 5-0-1 in the Bucks last 6 following a win. The under is 5-0 in the Celtics last 5 playing on 2 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in Boston's last 4 Tuesday games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 against the Eastern Conference. A 20-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* A huge key to winning college basketball totals bets is keeping up with changes in strategy. UC Riverside has a new coach this year, and the Highlanders are running a lot more this year after playing stall ball the last few seasons. There should be value on their overs for a little while. Loyola Marymount has an elite point guard in Anthony Ireland, and they are always willing to run with anyone. My numbers had this one at 152 points. Look for a lot of shots here, and if the shooting percentages are even decent this should top the posted total. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Wright State Raiders have sped up a significant amount compared to last season. This year's team is forcing the issue and getting to the line a lot. The defense has also slacked off quite a bit from last year. Morehead State uses full court pressure and is a very aggressive team. Both of these teams foul far more than the average team. Lots of trips to the charity stripe in this game. I had this number at 145. Look for the pace and the fouls to send this game over the total. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* North Dakota and Pacific are two teams who are making a concerted effort to pick up the tempo this year. North Dakota ranks in the top 20 in terms of pace. Pacific shoots the ball well, and they are playing much faster than they did last year. North Dakota and Pacific both foul a bunch, which means trips to the charity stripe should be very frequent in this one. The Tigers shoot 81% from the line, so expect them to cash in on those opportunities. Both teams defenses give up a lot of open looks. I had this total pegged at 160. Take the over here.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The College of Charleston Cougars have slowed the pace down in a big way this year. Cal State Fullerton has typically been a run and gun team, but they have a new coach who wants the tempo slowed down a lot. Fullerton played to a 48-46 final yesterday against Miami. The tempo should be slow in this one, and both teams have had a ton of problems shooting the basketball so far this year. I had this line projected at 133 points. Look for an ugly game here with lots of missed shots. Take the under.

*4 Star NBA 100% Angle Play of Day* The Boston Celtics aren't a very talented team, but Brad Stevens has this team working hard defensively. The Milwaukee Bucks have much better defensive numbers on their home court. Milwaukee slows the pace down in a big way this year, and the Celtics are usually fine with a slow pace. Neither team has a high powered offense at all. I had this one lined at 182 points. The under is 5-0 in the Bucks last 5 playing on zero days of rest. The under is 6-0 in the Bucks last 6 Saturday games. The under is 5-0 in the Celtics last 5 against the Eastern Conference. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Milwaukee. A 20-0 angle here. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Play of Day* The San Diego State Aztecs are always one of the best defenses in the country. Steve Fisher's teams don't give up easy shots. Creighton has been scoring a ton of points this year, but this Aztecs defense is definitely the best one Creighton has been up against this year. Creighton doesn't push the tempo all that much, and San Diego State has really slowed down this year now that they don't have much offensive firepower. I had this number projected at 139 points, so I see plenty of value. Take the under here.

*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The Washington Wizards aren't the run and gun team that they were a couple years ago. Randy Wittman has this team working hard on the defensive end. Indiana has the best defense in the entire NBA. The Pacers also like to slow the tempo of the game. With two solid defenses and a slow pace expected, I projected this total at 182 points. The under is 8-0 in the Pacers last 8 games after 1 day of rest. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 versus the NBA Southeast. The under is 8-1 in the Pacers last 9 home games. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings between these teams in Indiana. A 25-2 angle here. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA 100% Angle Total* The Milwaukee Bucks and the Charlotte Bobcats are very similar teams. Neither of them has very much fire power on offense. Both of them love to slow the game down and play in the half court. While the Bobcats certainly aren't a good team, it should be noted that they rank in the top ten in the NBA in field goal percentage defense.

The under is 6-0-1 in the Bobcats last 7 games playing on 1 day of rest. The under is 8-0-1 in their last 9 games overall. The under is 3-0-1 in the Bobcats last 4 games versus a team with a losing road record. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. The under is 7-0-1 in their last 8 versus the Eastern Conference. The under is 5-0 in the Bobcats last 5 versus the NBA Central division. In all a 44-0 angle. Take the under.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play of Day* The Syracuse Orange play that matchup zone that gives nearly everyone fits. It's next to impossible to get inside the paint against their defense. Baylor makes a living in the paint normally, and I think the Bears will struggle again this defense. Baylor's defense has been much improved this year. The Bears have multiple shot blockers who make it really difficult for opponents. Opponents are shooting a miserable 36.3% on two-point shots against Baylor this year. Baylor is also slowing the tempo down in a big way. The Bears successfully slowed down a fast paced Dayton team yesterday. Syracuse plays slow as well. This total is set far too high. I had this projected at 129 points. Take the under big!

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Washington Wizards are a much better defensive team than they have been in the past couple years. Bradley Beal is now out with an injury, which will slow down the offense since he was averaging 20.6 points per game to lead the team in scoring. Milwaukee slows the game down in a big way, and the Bucks have played much better defense at home than they have on the road. Five of their first six home games have stayed under the posted total. Slow pace here and not much offensive firepower on either side.

The under is 4-0 in the Wizards last 4 after giving up 100 points last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The under is 4-0 in the Bucks last 4 home games. The under is 11-1 in the Bucks last 12 after allowing 100 points or more in their last game. A 23-1 angle here. Take the under.

*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The Memphis Grizzlies experimented with speeding up the tempo in the first couple weeks of the season. It didn't work. What have they decided to do? Slow the pace down even more than they ever did in the past. It is working out very nicely. This is a team with a strong frontcourt that plays solid defense and controls the tempo. Boston doesn't have many offensive weapons, and the Celtics aren't a running team either. Memphis' last four games have been played at a ridiculously slow pace. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. Ride the under with the Grizzlies in this one. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The BYU Cougars play faster than any other team in the country, which is why this number is so high. Still, Wichita State is a very good defensive team and a number this high seems a little crazy on a game involving the Shockers. BYU and Texas only got to 168 yesterday, and Texas runs much more than Wichita State. The Shockers will slow things down a bit here, and contest BYU's shots from outside. I projected this line at 164. The under is 4-0 in BYU's last 4 neutral site games. Take the under in this one.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Houston Rockets were the fastest paced team in the NBA last year. They have slowed down a bit since Dwight Howard is on their team this season. The Rockets tried to make Memphis play fast paced games last year, but it didn't work. In the four meetings between these two last year, Houston topped 94 points only once. Memphis tried to play fast earlier this year, but it didn't work, and they abandoned the strategy. Now, they are playing slower than anyone else in the league. Look for the Grizzlies to slow this game down in a big way. Take the under in this one.

*4 Star NCAA BB Top Total* The LaSalle Explorers have changed the way they play this season. This team used to be running and gunning, but now they are slowing it down and trying to control the tempo. Northern Iowa has long been a team that likes to slow the game down and play a halfcourt style, so they aren't about to speed this game up. Both teams are better than average on the defensive end, and they don't turn the basketball over very often. A slow tempo and tough looks at the hoop should equal an under in this one. I had this one lined at 136. Take the under.

*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The Portland Trail Blazers have been the biggest surprise in the NBA so far this year. Portland is very good offensively, but they are also much improved on the defensive end. Portland is capable of winning an uptempo game or a slow paced game. Golden State may be without Andre Iguodala and Steph Curry here. Even if these two do play, they won't be 100%. The offense hasn't been even close to the same without Curry. Golden State is one of the best defensive teams in the league. This number is several points too high. The under is 6-0 in the Blazers last 6 against the NBA Pacific. The under is 4-0 in the Warriors last 4. The under is 4-0 in the Warriors last 4 against the Western Conference. Take the under. (Note- Curry will now likely miss this game as will Iguodala so the line has plummeted. Without those two in the lineup, I would play this for 4 Stars down to 198 and 3 stars down to 196. Thank you*

*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Fresno State Bulldogs are playing a little faster than they have in the past. Pacific is playing much faster than they have for a very long time. Pacific has a new coach who is pushing the team to get some transition scoring opportunities. This line is set about the way it should have been last year with two slower paced teams and without the new rules that cause quite a few more fouls and free throw attempts. I had this one projected at 143. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The UT Arlington Mavericks have a way of turning every game into a track meet. They haven't had a game all season finish lower than 156 points. Eastern Michigan's coach said in the offseason he wants his team to speed up and run more often. Here is their chance! UT Arlington's lack of defense should create tons of easy scoring opportunities for Eastern Michigan. UT Arlington will get their points in transition, and they do shoot it pretty well from long range. I had this one lined at 151. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Montana State Bobcats are playing a lot slower than they have the last few years. This is one of those teams that will likely be a good value on the under because of their change in style. The oddsmakers are going to put higher numbers than they should on them because of their past history. Austin Peay runs, but they don't shoot the ball well. This total is set at least 5 or 6 points too high. Take the under here.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Vanderbilt Commodores were in total control of their game yesterday leading by 16 points late before allowing Providence to finish the game on a ridiculous 27-4 run. I cashed in on the under in that game, and I'm taking the under again here. Vanderbilt doesn't have enough talent to outscore many teams, so they slow it down. Morgan State runs, but they don't score efficiently and they play solid defense. I projected this line at 141. A whopping 10.5 points lower than this total opened. The under is 7-1 in Vanderbilt's last 8 neutral site games. Take the under big!

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Clemson Tigers are about as good as anyone in the country at slowing the game down and playing at their preferred pace. No one has been able to get them out of their game this year, and I don't think Davidson will be able to either. Davidson isn't nearly as good as they have been in recent years, and they don't have a ton of top notch scorers. Clemson will slow this down to a snail's pace, and this will be a very ugly game. The under is 12-1 in Davidson's last 13 against the ACC. Take the under here.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The LaSalle Explorers have totally changed the way they play this year. LaSalle previously was a run and gun type of team, but they are controlling the tempo and running halfcourt sets this year. It will take a while for the oddsmakers to get accustomed to this new style of play for LaSalle, and that gives us a chance to find great value. Morgan State likes to run, but they aren't used to playing this kind of solid defense. LaSalle controls the tempo here and wins convincingly. I like the under a lot. Take the under big!

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Monmouth isn't a good team at all, but they love to run and put up shots as quickly as possible. That plays right into the hands of a St. John's team that isn't very good in the halfcourt, but is great when running the floor and scoring in transition. St. John's should get a big lead early here, and Monmouth should get some easy buckets late in the game. I had this one lined at 151. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The Kent State Golden Flashes are improving quite a bit on the defensive end. They've been highly competitive against good teams this year, and I expect their defense to slow down USC Upstate in a big way here. Neither of these teams is comfortable running and gunning, so this total definitely seems too high. I had this one projected at 142 points. Look for a lower scoring game here. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* I was burned by VCU last night (lost the over by a single possession). The Rams couldn't shoot the ball well at all, and they appeared to give up in that game. I don't think it happens two games in a row. It won't hurt that Long Beach State has no ball handler and they'll turn it over a ton of times here. VCU will get easy buckets all game long, and Long Beach State is going to play at a quick pace as well. I think this one gets to at least 155 points. Take the over.

*4 Star NBA TGIF Total DOMINATION* The Washington Wizards are a completely different team than they used to be. Washington used to be a high-octane team that didn't play any defense. They have slowed down significantly, and the Wizards have committed themselves on the defensive end under Randy Wittman. Toronto is playing at a slower pace than anyone in the NBA outside of Memphis. The Raptors will control the tempo here, and both defenses are better than average. I had this game projected at 187 points, so I definitely see value on the under. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Providence Friars have slowed their pace down quite a bit with Ed Cooley as their head coach instead of Keno Davis. Cooley is preaching defense too, and the Friars are starting to buy in. Vanderbilt doesn't have enough talent to compete with top teams by running, so the Commodores will be slowing games down all season long. The under is 6-0 in Vandy's last 6 Friday games. The under is 5-0 in Providence's last 5 following an ATS win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 neutral site games. Take the under.

*4 Star Florida St/VCU Total Domination* The Florida State Seminoles and VCU Rams meet tonight, and both of these teams love to run. Both teams are great at forcing turnovers, and neither of them are very good at controlling the ball. The full court pressure in this one should lead to lots of easy buckets going both ways. FSU has transformed from a defensive-minded team into a team that tries to outscore the opposition. The way the officials are calling games now, there are going to be a bunch of fouls here so free throws should help this total in a big way. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The UCF Knights and Miami Hurricanes meet in a nice intra-state battle tonight. Miami isn't even close to the team they were last year. The Hurricanes lost all their stars from last year, and the team is walking it up the court now and relying on defense to win it. UCF is in no hurry either. As long as we can stay away from ridiculous amounts of fouls, I really believe this game stays well under the posted total. I had this one projected at 131 points. Look for a tight game with both defenses playing well. Take the under.

*5 Star NBA TOP Total* The Indiana Pacers are playing better defense than any other team in the NBA once again this year. Indiana is playing at a slow pace again as well. New York has slowed their pace down even more, and the Knicks offense isn't even close to as efficient as they were last year. The games between these two last year were lined in the mid 180's every time, so we're getting line value here. Look for the Knicks to be competitive here, but it will likely be because they show up better than expected defensively. The under is 11-2 in the Pacers last 13. The under is 5-0 in the Knicks last 5 Wednesday games. Take the under big! *Note- This line has moved since I picked it at the open. 5 Star rated down to 188- 4 star to 187 and 3 star down to 186. Thank you*

*4 Star NBA Total Domination* The Washington Wizards and Cleveland Cavaliers meet on Wednesday, and both of these teams have been inefficient offensively of late. On the other side, Mike Brown has the Cavs playing pretty good defense and Randy Wittman has the Wizards committed on the defensive end. These two teams aren't what they were a couple years ago. Even if the tempo of the game is a bit quick, I expect to see low shooting percentages from these teams in this one. The under is 7-1 in the Wizards last 8 on 0 days rest. The under is 7-1 in the Cavs last 8 against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. A 21-3 angle. Take the under. *Note- I would play this for 4 stars down to 193, and for 3 stars down to 191*

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Dayton Flyers and Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are two teams who have picked up the tempo quite a bit from last year. Brian Gregory has Georgia Tech speeding up in a big way right now, and the Yellow Jackets have a lot more talent than they had last year. Gregory used to coach at Dayton, and the Flyers will be motivated to beat their old coach in this one. Archie Miller has Dayton getting out in transition as often as possible right now. These two teams shoot 76% and 77% from the free throw line, so I expect a lot of made free throws to help this one out a lot. Take the over in this one.

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Phoenix Suns have been the biggest surprise in basketball thus far, especially when it comes to covering the number. How has this young team done it? Phoenix is working extremely hard on the defensive end. They are fifth in the NBA in total defense right now, ahead of several other teams who are seen as defensive stalwarts. Sacramento is playing as slow as anyone in the NBA right now (a big change from their past) and the oddsmakers haven't been able to line their games low enough yet. I think this game stays in the 180's.

The under is 5-0 in the Kings last 5 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against the Western Conference. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a SU loss. The under is 6-0 in the Suns last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. A 23-0 angle here. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Kentucky Wildcats have plenty of firepower on their roster this year. The Wildcats have all kinds of guys who are capable of scoring at will. UT Arlington won't provide any defensive resistance at all. Most importantly, UT Arlington has decided to run and gun and play at a breakneck pace this year. Boise State put up 116 points on Arlington in their season opener. Kentucky should hit 100 here, and the Wildcats aren't going to slow this game down. The tempo of the game makes it likely that we see at least 170 points scored in this one. Take the over in this game.

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Atlanta Hawks and New York Knicks have a solid history of playing low scoring games against each other. The Hawks are playing slightly faster this year, but the Knicks aren't going to get into a track meet with them. This line is more indicative of a game where both teams will run, and that isn't the case here. The Knicks offense was efficient last season, but they are putting up some horrible shots now. New York has been taking contested shots and settling for long range jumpers too often. I had this one lined at 197 points, so I like the value here. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Cleveland Cavaliers have been picking up the pace over the last week or so. With a backcourt of Kyrie Irving and Dion Waiters, the Cavs have plenty of speed to burn. Minnesota is playing as fast as anyone in the NBA right now. The Timberwolves are taking advantage of having a healthy Ricky Rubio running the point. This team is really playing well on the offensive end. These teams met earlier this year with the final score being only 93-92, but a closer look at that game shows that the shooting percentages (especially from 3 point range) were horrendous. With normal shooting numbers that game would have sailed over the total. Plenty of value here on the over. Take the over in this one.

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Detroit Pistons have a much more athletic team than they did a year ago. Brandon Jennings and Josh Smith are guys that run the floor very well. Detroit is going to be playing much faster and scoring a lot more efficiently than they did last season. There should be opportunities on the Pistons games to go over the total early in the year. Golden State has more outside shooters than anyone else in the NBA. The Warriors should find it easy to bury a lot of three's against a Pistons defense that is terrible at guarding beyond the arc.

The over is 5-0 in Detroit's last 5 road games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against the Western Conference. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 9-1 in their last 10 overall. The over is 10-1 in the Warriors last 11 against the NBA Central. A 30-2 angle here. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* Here we have a meeting of two of the best defensive teams in the NBA. Both Indiana and Memphis have very good interior players that work hard on the defensive end. It isn't easy for guards to get inside against these teams. Indiana has the number one defense in the NBA, and the Pacers are a team that likes to control the tempo. Memphis has sped up a bit since last year, but they are far from a run and gun team. Last year's meetings between these teams finished 88-83 and 82-81. The posted total here is more than 10 points higher than it was the last time these teams met.

The under is 5-0 in the Pacers last 5 home games. The under is 4-0 in the Pacers last 4 games on a single day of rest. The under is 4-0 in the Pacers last 4 against the NBA Southwest. A 13-0 angle here. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Philadelphia 76ers surprised everyone by winning their first three games of the season. Remember, this is a very long season, and the 76ers are still a bad team. One thing that we can tell from the 76ers start to the season is they are going to run early and often this year. They are going to score quite a few and give up a bunch on a nightly basis. All five of the 76ers first five games finished above this posted total. Four of their first five games have gotten to at least 211 points. Kyrie Irving and Cleveland's struggling offense will hit stride here. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Toronto Raptors are playing at a slower tempo than any team in the NBA right now. Indiana is barely faster. Toronto's defense is improving, and the Pacers once again have the best defense in the NBA so far this season. It's hard to imagine either of these teams putting up a big number in this game. Quarters where the teams don't even combine for 40 points should be expected in this one at some point and those are killers an over bet. I think this stays low scoring. The under is 4-0 in the Pacers last 4 home games. The under is 7-1 in their last 8 overall. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Cleveland Cavaliers have ramped up their effort on the defensive end this year. Cleveland is second in the NBA in total defense so far this year. Milwaukee doesn't have the scoring firepower that most teams in the NBA do, so the Bucks have slowed down the pace this year. Expect to see quite a few unders from this team until the oddsmakers get a handle on what is going on in Milwaukee. I had this one projected at 183 points. Take the under. *Note- The line has dropped since I made this selection at the open, but I would play this one down to 185.5*

*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The Los Angeles Clippers are lighting up the scoreboard right now. Doc Rivers has this team running and gunning and the offensive is flowing extremely well. The Clippers are averaging 119 points per game through their first four contests. Orlando is playing at a faster tempo with a new look roster this year. The Clippers are giving up 112.5 points per contest. The Magic are averaging 104.8 points per game so far this season. Orlando is first in the NBA in offensive rebounds, so that should give them extra chances in this one. *Note- The line has moved up since I selected this game at the open yesterday. I would play this one up to 209, but not higher.*

The over is 4-0 in the Clippers last 4 road games. It is 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games following an ATS win. The over is 8-1 in the Clippers last 9 when playing on one day of rest. A 20-1 angle backs the over. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Bulls/Pacers Total Domination* Every time the Chicago Bulls and Indiana Pacers get together, it is hard fought game between two teams that really get after it on the defensive end. Don't expect anything different in this one. The Pacers haven't given up more than 91 points in a game this year, and the Bulls aren't about to try to push the pace. Tom Thibodeau's team works hard on the defensive end, and they can rebound well and keep the Pacers off the offensive glass. Indiana is accustomed to scoring easy buckets on the offensive boards. The under is 6-1 in the Pacers last 7 games overall. The under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these two. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Detroit Pistons and Memphis Grizzlies are both teams I have circled as teams that will play much faster this year. Early in the season is a good chance to get good values on teams that are changing up their styles. Detroit has guys who run the floor well all over the court now, and they would be crazy to not run at every opportunity. The Grizzlies are committed to speeding up this year and looking for transition buckets. This one should be lined in the 192-193 area. Look for plenty of easy baskets in transition and lots of trips to the line. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Mavericks/Rockets Total* The Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets don't care for each other very much right now. Dwight Howard picked the Rockets over the Mavericks and Mark Cuban isn't happy about it. The problem for Dallas here is they don't have any answer for Howard. Dallas' interior defense is a major weakness, and Howard should exploit that here. Houston is still running and gunning this year, and Dallas will play faster this year with Monta Ellis added to the roster. Neither of these teams is any good on the defensive end. Both teams will get up plenty of shots here. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Lakers/Warriors Total DOMINATION* The Los Angeles Angels Lakers are going to push the pace all year long. Without Dwight Howard in the lineup, the Lakers don't have someone slowing the offense down. They also don't have a big defensive presence in the paint. Los Angeles will run and gun and have some very high totals this year. Golden State plays solid defense, but the Warriors are still going to run and put up big point totals. With Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, Harrison Barnes, and now Andre Iguodala this team is stacked with scorers. The total here is set artificially low because it is early in the season. Look for these teams to clear this number easily. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Opening Night Total Domination* The Orlando Magic will be one of the NBA's worst teams this year. I'm not a fan of their experiment of moving Victor Oladipo to point guard. Oladipo is ultra-talented, but I feel like the team is taking away from his talents by putting him in a spot where he isn't as comfortable. Indiana had the league's best defense last year, and they'll be top notch again this year. The Pacers are great at controlling the tempo of the game. Indiana should win this game comfortably, and they will likely take their foot off the gas before the end of the game. It usually takes the offenses a bit to get going at the beginning of the season, and this has low scoring game written all over it. Take the under in this one.

*3 Star Knicks/Pacers Total Domination* I successfully played the 'under' in Game 6 of the Spurs/Warriors series on Thursday night. History tells us that this potential close out games are generally very low scoring. Why is this? The game is played at a slow pace because of how big the game is, and the defensive intensity is ratcheted up quite a bit as well. Since the 2004 season, the under is 32-12 in a Game 6 or Game 7 of the NBA's playoffs. The under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 games between these two teams. Expect a defensive battle. Take the under.

*3 Star Spurs/Warriors Total Domination* History tells us that close out situations are a very good opportunity to bet on the under. Since 2004, potential close out games that are either Game 6 or Game 7 in the series have gone under 31 times versus just 12 overs. The pace of the game slows down and the defensive intensity picks up. The Spurs aren't pushing the tempo nearly as much in this series as they did during the regular season. Both of these teams rank in the top 8 in the NBA in field goal percentage defense. Mark Jackson is going to be preaching defense to his young team in this game. The under is 12-3-1 in the Spurs last 16 road games. Take the under.

*3 Star Clippers/Grizzlies Game 5 Total* The Grizzlies and Clippers have gone 'over' the posted total in 3 of the first 4 games in this series. The one game that stayed under saw both teams shoot just 38% from the floor. The Grizzlies have been dominating inside and getting a lot of easy buckets of late. Los Angeles has been getting a lot of open looks from deep, but they have been unable to hit those shots. Look for them to hit a few more of those open long range jumpers at home in Game 5. The Clippers will try to push the tempo to wear down the Grizzlies. The over is 7-1 in the Clippers last 8 home games. Take the over.

*3 Star Bulls/Nets Total Domination* It's Game 5 in Brooklyn and the Nets are facing elimination. You certainly wouldn't have seen this coming if you watched Game 1 when the Nets dominated the Bulls. Chicago's come from behind win in Game 4 really took the wind out of Brooklyn's sails. Still, the Nets are a very good team and they won't go down without a fight. As the games get more important in the NBA playoffs (elimination games are a perfect example) the game slows down. The defenses should take control in this one. Take the under.

*3 Star Rockets/Thunder Total Domination* The Houston Rockets and Oklahoma City Thunder got to 211 points in Game One despite awful shooting numbers from Houston. The Rockets made 8 out of 36 three's and just 36% of their shots overall in that game. You have to think they'll hit more shots than that here. The Thunder should keep scoring against Houston's very poor defense, and both of these teams love to run and gun. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Look for a score near 220 here. Take the over.

*3 Star Lakers/Spurs Total Domination* The Los Angeles Lakers are a totally different team without Kobe Bryant. They don't just lose his 27 points per game, but they also lose his leadership. If the last two regular season games are any example, the Lakers won't play nearly as fast without Bryant in the lineup. Dwight Howard and Pau Gasol will be a much bigger part of the offense which should mean the Lakers will play more in the half court. San Antonio will have all their main guys back, but they aren't all 100 percent healthy. These two teams have a solid history of picking up the defense when they match up against each other. The under is 21-7 in the last 28 meetings between these teams. Take the under.

*3 Star Bulls/Nets Total Domination* The Chicago Bulls and Brooklyn Nets play the same style of basketball. Both teams like to slow the game down and win with their defense. The tempo should be even slower than it was in the regular season, because the defenses pick up their intensity in the playoffs. Both of these teams rank in the bottom five in the NBA in terms of pace. Chicago can't win a game by outscoring the opponent, and Tom Thibodeau knows that. They'll be short-handed in this one, but they should still play good defense. I made this total 178 points. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Houston Rockets have been the fastest paced team in the NBA for the season, but the Phoenix Suns have actually been playing faster than them over the last couple weeks. Lindsay Hunter's team doesn't have anything to play, and they aren't playing any defense right now. The Suns have been giving up points in huge bunches, and Houston can pile up the points. This game definitely means something to the Rockets who are trying to improve their playoff seed in the Western Conference. I had this one pegged at 215 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Phoenix Suns have a new style of play under Coach Lindsay Hunter. Phoenix is pushing the tempo at every opportunity. The Suns are scoring a lot more points than they were, but they are also terrible on the defensive end. Phoenix has given up more than 110 points six times in the past month. Minnesota is getting some great play from guard Ricky Rubio. Under Rubio's leadership, Minnesota has been much more efficient on offense of late.This is a game between two teams that have nothing to play for at this point. Don't expect any defense. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The New York Knicks offense is absolutely on fire right now. The Knicks are a jump shooting team that can score points as well as anyone in the NBA when they are on, and right now they are on in a big way. Cleveland has quit playing any kind of defense down the stretch, and the Cavs like to play the game fast. Look for lots of open looks for the Knicks here. Kyrie Irving and the Cavs should be able to put up enough for this one to go over. Take the over. *This line has moved up quickly since I picked it Thursday afternoon- I would play this game up to 206, but no higher*

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Phoenix Suns have been pushing the tempo more than any other team in the NBA over the past few weeks. Lindsay Hunter has gotten this team to run and gun, but he hasn't gotten them to play any defense just yet. Dallas' offense is great this year with Mayo, Nowitzki, Carter, etc. The Mavericks are absolutely capable of putting up 120 points on a team like the Suns. Phoenix has been absolutely horrendous on the road of late. The over is a perfect 5-0 in the Suns last 5 games playing on zero days of rest. They were beaten last night in Houston. The over is 5-1-1 in the Mavericks last 7 home games. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Memphis Grizzlies have been getting back to the basics over the past week. Memphis struggled for a couple weeks and it was their defense that let them down. Now, they are back to playing the kind of defense that has them leading the league in points per game allowed. Charlotte has given up on this season, and the Bobcats are short-handed right now. I don't expect Charlotte to get above 85 points here. Memphis should be content to just win and move on to their next game with fresh legs rather than running this one up. The under is 5-0 in the Grizzlies last 5. The under is 19-9 in the Bobcats last 28 road games. Take the under.

*3 Star Michigan/Louisville Total Domination* The Michigan Wolverines and Louisville Cardinals will play for the NCAA Basketball Championship on Monday night. It's no surprise that Louisville is here as they were the top seed overall, but Michigan is a small surprise here as a number four seed. The young Wolverines have really hit their stride in the NCAA Tournament.

Louisville likes to push the tempo, but the Cardinals also have what is arguably the best defense in college basketball. Russ Smith and Peyton Siva are defensive pests on the perimeter, and there isn't a better defensive center in the nation than Gorgui Dieng. Dieng should make it tough for Mitch McGary to score down low in this one, and he'll cut down on Trey Burke's ability to penetrate.

Louisville generally scores a lot of points off of opponents turnovers, but Michigan turns the ball over less than any team in the country. Michigan has plenty of ball handlers, and I expect them to handle the Louisville pressure relatively well.

On a neutral floor like this one and in a game of this magnitude, we often see the game slow down. Louisville likes to push the tempo, but the Cardinals offense isn't all that great in the halfcourt. If Michigan takes care of the ball, Louisville isn't likely to get nearly as many easy looks as they are accustomed to getting.

I had this one projected at 135 points. Take the under here.

*3 Star Michigan/Syracuse Final 4 Total Domination* The Michigan Wolverines and Syracuse Orange will meet in the late game Saturday night in Atlanta. Michigan pulled off the best comeback of the NCAA Tournament against Kansas, and then dominated Florida. Syracuse took down the number one seeded Indiana Hoosiers and then dismantled Marquette in a really ugly game in the Elite 8 last Saturday.

While it is conventional wisdom to say that Michigan matches up well against Syracuse because the Wolverines have so many three-point shooters, that might not actually be the case. Syracuse has so much length that opposing offenses don't get good three-point opportunities. What they get is contested low percentage three-point shots. In fact, Syracuse allowed opponents to shoot only 28% from beyond the arc this year, which is third best in the nation.

Syracuse and Michigan are both comfortable playing at a slow tempo, and things normally slow down even more for games of this kind of importance. Syracuse is excellent defensively, but their offense isn't all that impressive. The Orange have perfected the matchup zone, which makes transition chances few and far between for their opponents.

None of Syracuse's postseason games have even gotten close to this posted total. I had this one projected at 127. Take the under here.

*5 Star NBA TOP Play Total Domination* The Phoenix Suns have really started to push the tempo of late, and the oddsmakers haven't been able to catch up to them. Lindsay Hunter's team is putting up shots quickly, and they aren't playing much defense at all. How bad has the Suns defense been? Phoenix has given up at least 112 points in 5 of their last 9 games. That's a ridiculously high number, and a team like Golden State is capable of scoring 115 or 120 on Phoenix. Golden State shoots the three ball as well as anyone in the league, and Phoenix gives up lots of open looks. The over is 9-2 in Golden State's last 11 against the Western Conference. The over is 5-1 in the Suns last 6 games. I made this one 207 points. Take the over big! *Note- This total has moved up steadily since I grabbed it on the open Thursday. I would play this one all the way up to 205 points*

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Milwaukee Bucks have been a very good running team all year, and they have been even faster paced since Jim Boylan took over the team. Boylan is using Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis to really speed up the game for his team. Minnesota has been playing faster of late as well with Ricky Rubio really coming into his own as a point guard. The Timberwolves play virtually no defense, which should mean a big number here for the Bucks. The over is 4-0 in the Bucks last 4 home games. The over is 4-0 in the Bucks last 4 against a team with a winning percentage under 40%. The over is 13-3 in the Bucks last 16 games following a win. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Duke/Louisville Total Domination* The Duke Blue Devils and Louisville Cardinals met in an early season tournament in Nassau. Duke won that game 76-71. The Blue Devils made 23 free throws to Louisville's 9 made free throws. The shooting percentages were pretty normal for both teams in that game, and the final total got up to 147. Louisville's defense is very good, but that doesn't always equal low scoring games. The Cardinals full court pressure speeds up the game, and Duke loves to play fast this year. Duke has four or five guys who are capable of lighting it up from deep. Louisville's Russ Smith is playing the best basketball of his career right now. We'll get plenty of pace here, and unless the shooting numbers are terrible this one should go over. I made this one 141 points. The over is 7-0 in Louisville's last 7 games. The over is 7-0 in Duke's last 7 against the Big East. The over is 9-0 in Louisville's last 9 games played at a neutral site. Take the over.

*3 Star Elite 8 Total Domination* The Wichita State Shockers are now the biggest Cinderella left in the NCAA Tournament. The Shockers are a better team than their record indicates, and they aren't afraid of anyone. On the other side, Ohio State has been as clutch as anyone in the tournament with two clutch game winners in their last two games. Both of these teams have been shooting about 50% from three-point range in their first three games in the NCAA Tournament, which has made their games much higher scoring than normal. That hot shooting has propped this total up to a higher number than it truly should be. Both of these teams are very good defensively and open shots should be tough to come by. Neither of these teams really like to run, so this could be a grind it out close game the whole way. The under is 6-0 in Ohio State's last 6 Saturday games. Take the under. *Note- This line has moved down since I played the under on Friday. I would take this one as low as 128.*

*3 Star NCAA BB Oregon/Louisville Total Domination* The Oregon Ducks and Louisville Cardinals both like to push the tempo. Oregon has drawn two favorable matchups in their first two NCAA Tournament games. The Ducks one primary weakness is taking care of the ball against teams who use pressure defense. Louisville arguably has the best pressure defense in the nation. The Cardinals will full court press and force Artis and Loyd of Oregon into bad decisions. Louisville should get a lot of easy transition buckets in this one. Oregon has plenty of depth, and the Ducks can score in the half court. A number like this one is usually set aside only for games between teams who like to slow it down and/or can't score very well offensively. I don't think that fits in a matchup between these two teams who both rank in the top 1/3 of the nation in terms of pace. The over is 6-0 in Louisville's last 6 games. The over is 8-0 in the Cardinals last 8 neutral site games. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Play of the Day* The Richmond Spiders and Wright State Raiders meet Monday night in the CBI post-season tournament. Wright State has the home court advantage, and the Raiders like to slow the game down and win with their strong defense. Richmond is also more comfortable playing at a slow pace. The smaller post-season tournaments have been trending very high scoring, which gives us some good value on the under here. With two teams who use up the shot clock, I think the oddsmakers have adjusted this number a little too high. The under is 5-1 in Richmond's last 6 Monday games. The under is 4-1 in Wright State's last 5 games overall. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Florida Gulf Coast has been March Madness's biggest Cinderella this year. Gulf Coast dominated the majority of the game against Georgetown, and this team has now won two games against number two seeds in this year's tournament field (their other win was against Miami). San Diego State played a great second half to take down Oklahoma on Friday night. Both Gulf Coast and San Diego State prefer to play at a very quick pace. The oddsmakers have put a number on this game that would require both teams to shoot a low percentage from the floor. I made this one 136 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAABB Early Bird Special* The Virginia Cavaliers has always been one of the slowest paced teams in the nation under coach Tony Bennett. St. Johns likes to speed the game up a bit, but they are very poor on the offensive end. For the season, St. Johns is shooting 27 percent from 3-point range. St. Johns is much better on the defensive end. Even though they like to push the tempo, their games are often low-scoring. The extremely early start time is helpful to an under. These kids virtually never play a game at 11:00 AM Eastern time. The under is 5-0 in St. Johns last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in their last five road games. Under is 16-5 in Virginia's last 21 non-conference games. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* This is a smaller postseason tournament play. I made this line 147 points. *Note-The line is quickly moving up here since I released this play two days ago. I would play this one up to 145 points.* Take the over!

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Minnesota Timberwolves and Phoenix Suns met on February 26. In that game, the Suns won 84-83 in overtime. In regulation, the score was just 77 to 77. Phoenix has been giving up a ton of points on the road, but the Suns have been good defensively at home of late. Their home/road splits are pretty amazing for how much lower they are on their home floor. Minnesota is very short-handed right now, and the Timberwolves don't have enough firepower to put up a big number very often. The under is 8-2 in Minnesota's last 10 games overall. The under is 22-4 in the Suns last 26 home games. The under is 6-0 in the Suns last 6 games when their opponent gives up more than 100 points in the previous game. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The North Carolina Tar Heels found themselves late in the year by going uptempo and going with a smaller lineup. Marcus Paige really came into his own at the point guard spot. Paige was a liability on offense early in the year, but he is shooting well and leading the fast break very well now. Villanova's young guards are very turnover prone, and North Carolina can force turnovers and score in bunches. The Wildcats don't have it in them to slow the game down, so I expect a lot of fast paced basketball in this matchup. My numbers made this total 147 points. Look for a tight game with free throws late to push it over. The over is 4-0 in UNC's last 4 neutral site games. Take the over.