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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-10-16 | UNLV v. Fresno State -3 | Top | 82-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
This line just came up and we’ll bite. We played against UNLV yesterday and the best thing possible for this matchup occurred which was a 3 hour 3 OT game in a very long game. The Bulldogs come in winners of 6 straight and 8 of 9 including a win versus UNLV and even when the rebels had a full squad the struggled guarding MW Player of the Year Marvell Harris. |
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03-10-16 | Western Kentucky v. UAB -6 | Top | 88-77 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 47 m | Show |
We of course played on WKU yesterday and they needed to shoot a season high 59% to get a ½ point cover. Now they play another Noon local tip-off but this time against the #1 seed who happens to be playing in it home town. Since December the 1st the Blazers are 23-2 SU so the losses are easy to remember with once coming at La Tech and the other at WKU where they shot under 40% which has only occurred twice total in the last 2 months. Most times you can get a #1 seed in the quarterfinals, with rest versus no rest and you are playing about the same as you did when you sent to visit them means you have value and we certainly do here. 10* |
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03-09-16 | Stanford v. Washington -3 | Top | 68-91 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show |
You can look at Washington one of two ways and the first is as a team that finished the season only 2-6 SU their last 8 games and is now favorite. Or, that the Huskies as the perfect team to be a small favorite as they finished 8th in the Pac-12 as while they are 2-9 SU versus the teams above them they are a perfect 7-0 SU against the teams that finished below them including Stanford. Stat-wise there is a Huskie edge as the while the teams are #10 and #11 in the conference in offensive FG% Washington is #6 and Stanford #11 in defensive FG%. The Cardinal are also last in the pac-12 in rebounding which makes the Huskies #6 ranking another edge. 5* |
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03-09-16 | North Texas v. Western Kentucky -7.5 | Top | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 1 h 19 m | Show |
Pedigree means a great deal as certain teams are accustom to advancing out of the first round of their conference tournament. WKU has done that 11 of the last 12 years and are not only 9-2 in conference tournaments under head coach Ray Harper but they have beaten North Texas 5 straight times. The Mean Green are one of the country’s poorest road teams at 1-12 SU and in their last 8 away from home they are 0-8 SU and EVERY loss has been by at least 9 points. Second team All-CUSA Jeremy Combs for North Texas is the only 1 of 2 CUSA player to average a double-double and this sound be a play anyway but if he is upgraded from his questionable status after missing the last game with a sprained ankle it would be stronger. 5* |
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03-08-16 | CS Sacramento +2 v. Montana State | Top | 79-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
We've played against Sacramento St a few times after they lost their franchisee players Cody Demps was injured earlier this season. Prior to his injury Demps had started 75 straight games and while he missed both math-ups versus Montana St this season the Hornets only lost the pair by a combined 10 points. Demps returned 9 games ago from his injury and while Sac St did lose 6 of the first 7 games with him, as they brought him up to speed slowly, they have won their last 2 games with him back at full strength. Meanwhile the Bobcats lost a pair of part-time starters the last 3 weeks so in the terms of the health of the teams situations are reversed so with today's line of Sacramento St +2 it is clear we are getting value. Play SAC ST. 5* |
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03-07-16 | Western Michigan v. Northern Illinois -4.5 | Top | 50-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
We’d have Northern Illinois as a 4.5 point favorite if this game were neutral, but in DeKalb were they are 17-1 SU and 11-2 ATS we will clearly back them. Western Michigan was 1-11 SU on the road before pulling an upset Friday as they came back from a 18 point deficit and won in OT but they are now playing their 4th road game in their last 5. While Northern Illinois only ranks #10 in the MAC in FG% they are still ahead Western Michigan (#11) but when it comes to the defensive side of the ball the Huskies lead the MAC while the Broncos are dead last. Northern Illinois has also covered the spread in 11 of the last 13 home games. 5* |
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03-07-16 | Miami (OH) +6.5 v. Ball State | Top | 49-47 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
We roll with Miami of Ohio here as they hook up against Ball State in what should be a much closer game than people realize. Note that Miami of Ohio is on the rise and they are playing much better than their ranking shows. This is a Miami of Ohio team that nearly beat Ohio in their last contest losing 65-67 and that is of importance here. This is a team that is ranked in the top 150 in defense to their credit and a top 60 team when it comes to free throw shooting. Ball State is a decent team but they limp into this game having lost 3 out of their last 4 and we like Miami of Ohio to hang tough and do well here today as a quality underdog and with a decent possibility of winning outright. The Red Hawks of Miami of Ohio are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against conference opponents and we'll back the underdog here on Monday night. 5* |
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03-06-16 | Stetson +9 v. Florida Gulf Coast | Top | 78-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
Stetson is making things happen in the Atlantic Sun Tournament, and getting hot at the right time. |
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03-05-16 | Georgia State v. Louisiana-Monroe -5 | Top | 78-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
Home/Road dichotomy at it finest with ULM 12-0 and 8-2 ATS in Monroe while Georgia St and lost and covered 6 straight on the road before pulling a decent size upset as a 9 point underdog at ULL. Both team also played Thursday night, as the Sun Belt usually does,and the WarHawks have handled the quick turnaround well going going 7-4 ATS with a single day of rest while the Panthers are only 1-6 ATS. It's also payback time as Georgia St has been the bully in the Sun Belt since joining and with ULM losing all 5 meeting by an average of 13 ppg revenge is sweet. |
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03-05-16 | Ohio State v. Michigan State -14 | Top | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 1 h 45 m | Show |
Michigan St has been a home favorite of 12.5 points or more 8 times this season going 7-1 ATS. The Spartans are also playing as well as any team having covered 10 straight which in East Lansing means having a shut-down defense as they have held their last 5 opponents at home to under 40% shooting. MSU also just man-handled OSU on Feb 23rd in a 81-62 blowout and it was only that close because the Buckeye's shot 90.5% from the free throw line. Ohio St is off a Senior day upset of Iowa but that was at home and last Sunday as they had a mid-week bye. The road has been a different story for the Buckeyes against the top tier Big 10 teams as they have been an away dog of 5.5 or more points 4 times and they are 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS with the cover at Purdue losing by 11 points. 5* |
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03-04-16 | Missouri State v. Evansville -13.5 | Top | 56-66 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
In their match-ups this season Evansville was a 13.5 point home favorite and a 7 point road favorite and covered both games by 5.5 and 10 points so the line is very reasonable. Missouri St has lost 4 guards on the season and while they are off an opening round MVC victory close wins can be mentally draining. Looking back at last night game shows us that from the 4:51 mark until the final buzzer the game was tied, or the Bears had a one or two point lead expect for 4 seconds when they "stretched" it to a 3 point lead. We also are playing against a team which just hit 50% from behind the three-point line for only the 2nd time this season and when a team ranks #328 in 3-pt FG's made in the NCAA and just matched a season high it is a play against. On the defensive side of the ball the Bears last night allowed Illinois St to shoot 47.6% and while the Redbirds are #277 in the country in FG%, Evansville is #5 making 49.9% of their FG's on the season. FYI: The Purple Aces are also #7 in the NCAA in free-throws made this year. 5* |
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03-04-16 | VMI +6 v. Samford | Top | 85-92 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 11 m | Show |
Both of these teams finished at 4-14 in the conference and in their 2 meeting this year the Keydets were a 6.5 home dog on Jan 21st and an 11 point road dog on Feb 20th so you would expect this line to be a bit higher. The reality is Vegas did a good job with this number as VMI pulled the upset at home and only lost by 6 at Samford therefore covering the pair of games by 9 ppg. We love playing against favorites when you have two "poor" teams as one team that doesn't win game often is also laying points and that is the Bulldogs as they are 2-11 their last 13 games with one win the aforementioned non-cover and the other against the only teams that finished below these two, The Citadel. Sanford has also been a favorite of over 4 points ONLY FOUR times this year (1-3 ATS, cover Citadel). In the same stretch which Samford played their last two games, VMI had a make-up and played 4 games. It was almost a mini-tournament and positives certainly came out of it as they went 2-2 SU and 4-0 ATS. Interestingly both teams also played at Chattanooga in their last game with VMI getting 12.5 and losing by 2 and Samford also getting 12.5 and losing by 11 showing up this line should be much closer to Even. 5* |
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03-03-16 | Idaho State v. Eastern Washington -10.5 | Top | 75-71 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
The line may seem a bit high as these two teams are part of a 4-way tie in the Big Sky but we have Eastern Washington with one of the strongest home courts in basketball and they have proven that going 10-0 this year. The Eagles are also 6-1 ATS in Cheney with the non-cover by one point in one of our earlier plays this season. Eastern returns home after losing and failing to cover in back-to-back games for the third time this year and in the two previous occurrences, despite one being on the road, they covered both by 17 ppg. Idaho St is a misleading 9-3 in their previous 12 games because they are 6-1 at home leaving them 3-2 on the road. However in those 5 games away from home 4 came versus the leagues bottom 4 teams and the only road games against one of the leagues top 7 teams, at North Dakota, where they were +8 and lost 76-60. 5* |
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03-03-16 | Illinois v. Maryland -14.5 | Top | 55-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
Maryland is a very motivated team that was AP #2 less than a month ago (Feb 8th), will still be a top 4 seed in the Tourney, playing off a loss knowing as well as the last time they were a double-digit favorite to one of the Big 10's bottom 3 teams they lost. The value is because of the recent poor play and it is obvious when you compare they in their last home loss to Wisconsin, which is now #26 in both polls, they were -9 points and now they are -15 to the conference 12th place team. Illinois meanwhile is 5-11 SU in conference action but while they are off a win they are 1-4 ATS the conference game after. The lone ATS cover off a SU win was a 9 point loss versus Wisconsin who was in a sandwich consisting of a road game at the B10's top team Michigan St and a road game at the B10's #2 team Iowa (not many teams would cover in that spot). Look for Maryland to WIn and WIN BIG here tonight. 5* |
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03-02-16 | Creighton +3.5 v. Providence | Top | 66-70 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
We'll happily step in and play against yet another team, Providence, off their 20th win especially when they lost 5 of their previous 6 games. In their last 9 games the Friars 3-7 SU and 2-8 ATS with all 3 wins and both covers coming versus the three Big East teams with overall losing records. To say the Blue Jays are hungry for a win against this foe is an understatement as they dropped 4 in a row both SU & ATS including getting upset 3 times and earlier this season scored 48 points which is 32 points below their average and 16 points lower than any other game this year as they shot 25.8%. Statistically Creighton also has the edge as they are very close in defensive NCAA FG% (Providence #169 , Creighton #183) but on the offensive side the Blue Jays are #1 in the Big East and #40 in the country while the Friars are #9 and #288! Look for Creighton to get the outright win here on Wednesday night. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK! |
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03-01-16 | Kennesaw State v. Florida Gulf Coast -7 | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 16 m | Show |
Since these teams are normally not lined you may see movement on the game. While being a 4-5 seed game FGCU actually tied for 2nd in the Atlantic Sun. The school located in Fort Myers opened in 1997 and this is the fifth season that the basketball team has been eligible of the conference tourney's and all they've done is win it their first season and get to the Finals each of the last 3 years (pedigree you want). FGCU plays at Alico Areana where they are 29-3 SU their last 32 games. Looking at this year numbers makes it even stronger as the Eagles are #2 in the conference and #41 in the country in offensive FG% compared to the Owls which are #6 in the conference and #156 ranking in the NCCA. So FGCU must be at a defense advantage, but that's not true either as they have the Atlantic-Sun's #1 FG% defense and the NCAA's #88 while Kennesaw St has the #7 in the conference and an eye-popping #321 in the country. Just for good measure we'll add that FGCU also has the conferences #1 rebounding margin which is #57 in the country (KSU #6 & #300). Lastly, maybe the line is low because these two teams played 10 days ago and FGCU only won by 5, but we'll translate that into a positive that they will not take their opponent for granted. 5* |
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02-28-16 | Mercer v. NC-Greensboro -3.5 | Top | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
While a battle for 6th place in the conference doesn't seen like it matters, the winner gets a first round bye in the conference tournament as this is the final day of their regular season. |
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02-27-16 | Montana +2.5 v. Weber State | Top | 54-60 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
There was value playing against Weber St in their last game and the same holds true today replacing the opponent. Here is what we wrote for the last game- Weber St was 13-17 last season including 8-10 in the Big West. Fast forward to this season and they are off a celebratory 20th victory wining 7 of their last 8 games including 4 straight which has them in a tie for first-place. So #1, we'll play against them off a 20th win. #2, not only did they fail to cover each of their last 4 wins they ALL came versus the conference bottom 4 teams that have a combined 14-43 record. The Montana Grizzlies have shot 55.2% their last 5 games and almost 54% their last 8 games. Oh yeah, while Montana is 15-2 their last 17 games this is the first time they have been a dog in that stretch and the last time they were a dog was in Lawrence on 12/19. Montana is the class of the Big Sky December road games at Kansas, Washington and Gonzaga make them ready here. 5* |
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02-27-16 | SE Missouri State v. Austin Peay -11 | Top | 75-83 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
The Skyhawks deserve some credit. They're having a terrible season (5-23) but still really fought hard to try and give their home fans a victory before their season ended. They lost each of their last two games by three points. Those close losses will take a toll on them here as both were disappointing. There's less incentive to get up for this road game, particularly knowing how unkind the road has been to them. They lost their last two road games by 40 combined points and are being outscored by an average of more than 16 points per game on the road for the season. Averaging 63.3 ppg on the road and giving up 79.5, they'll face an Austin Peay team which averages almost exactly that (79.2) at home. Look for Austin Peay to WIN and WIN BIG here on Saturday night! 10* BLOWOUT! |
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02-27-16 | Buffalo v. Ohio -4 | Top | 96-103 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
In their last game Ohio U allowed BG to shoot 52.5% which is the 2nd worst Ohio allowed all year (vs Florida St 11/23 was only higher). The Bobcats won and covered their previous 5 games including handling this Buffalo team by 19 points as a 4 point road dog. The Bulls meanwhile are a play-against as they are off a win at home versus Kent St but they shot a season best 55.6% and for comparison the Bulls are averaging 40.1% shooting on the road this season. The Bobcats are 8-3 ATS at home and 4-0 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 6. 5* |
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02-26-16 | Cavs -1 v. Raptors | Top | 97-99 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
Since Tyronn Lue has taken over as head coach for Cleveland he has mentioned the Toronto Raptors a lot. Channing Frye saw his first action for the Cavs on Wednesday and after hitting 4 of 8 from outside the arc that is a new wrinkle the Raptors must also account for on defense. When we have a basically pick'em game I like to look back at how the team have done recently and I gauge elite team as those that are among the top in +/- point differential. |
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02-25-16 | Montana State +9.5 v. Weber State | Top | 60-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
Weber St was 13-17 last season including 8-10 in the Big West. Fast forward to this season and they are off a celebratory 20th victory wining 7 of their last 8 games including 4 straight which has them in a tie for first-place. So #1, we'll play against them off a 20th win. #2, not only did they fail to cover each of their last 4 wins they ALL came versus the conference bottom 4 teams that have a combined 14-43 record. #3, the Wildcats have no fear of this opponent as they have dominated this series wining 5 straight overall and 6 straight here in Ogden. #4, they have the "Big Sky Championship" on Saturday as they host Montana for their only meeting this year as both teams are 12-2 with the 3rd place team out of it at 10-5. #5, is that Kareem Abdul-Jabbar Finalist (Center of the Year), Joel Bolomboy, injured his knee and is OUT and all he has done is average 17.6 ppg (#8 Big Sky), 13 rebounds/game (#2 IN NCAA!!) and has had a double-double is 23 of 26 games prior to his last. Montana St tonight keeps it close throughout! 10* GAME OF THE YEAR! |
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02-25-16 | UL-Lafayette -8 v. Troy State | Top | 73-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
The Ragin' Cajuns first lost was at home to Arkansas St (24-3 this year) then they traveled to UT-Arlington (18-8 this year, 10-2 at home) and covered but lost another heart breaker in OT then in their last game the disappointment sunk in. ULL was not only upset at Texas St but SHOT 29.0% from the filed. It should also be noted that ULL was laying the same number at Texas St, which is 8-4 at home, that they are tonight versus a far inferior teams in Troy (4-8 at home). Now Troy as we mentioned has 3 SU wins but of the 11 Sun Belt teams 6 have losing records and all 3 Trojan wins came versus those foes and two of the losing teams that Troy beat were actually coming off SU wins. UL Laff rolls tonight! 5* |
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02-24-16 | Villanova v. Xavier +1.5 | Top | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 2 h 60 m | Show |
I really like Xavier here at home tonight! Xavier is 24-3 overall, and one of those three losses came on the road at Villanova. They get a chance to execute a little revenge here at home tonight, and they looked pretty good in a win at Georgetown over the weekend. The Hoyas were one of just three teams to beat Xavier this year, and the Musketeers punished them in the rematch winning 88-70. The loss at Villanova was particularly tough, with Edmond Sumner getting carted off on a stretcher in the opening minutes. The Freshman guard is back, and firing on all cylinders, scoring 22 points on 6-of-9 shooting in the win at Georgetown. The Musketeers are 13-1 overall at home, scoring 83.2 points and shooting better than 40 percent from beyond the arc in those games. The Wildcats stats on the road are nowhere near what they are at home, and they face a Musketeers team that is 16-6 ATS in their last 22 home games versus teams with a winning road record. Villanova likes running it up on the weak teams but they are in for a big surprise tonight. XAVIER by 10 tonight! 10* |
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02-23-16 | New Mexico -1 v. Colorado State | Top | 69-86 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
Colorado St hosts this game and is on a 0-3 SU/ATS run with a team that is wearing down and struggling to play defense. The Rams are last in the MW in both two and three point defensive FG% and in their last game also at home they allowed Wyoming to make 17 three-point shots and shoot 55.4% overall in a 18 point loss. |
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02-22-16 | Virginia +1.5 v. Miami (Fla) | Top | 61-64 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
Virginia is the better team here and their defense will stop Miami. Virginia has beaten Miami three straight times and the Hurricanes are coming off a bad blowout loss at North Carolina over the weekend. Miami lost that one by 25 and they also lost their top sixth man Ja'Quan Newton. Miami has just two wins over Top 25 teams all season long and I don't think that this team is good enough to win tonight. Virginia has won eight of their last nine games overall and they are 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games overall. 5* |
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02-21-16 | Boston College +8 v. Wake Forest | Top | 48-74 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
While we're playing on a team that is 0-13 in ACC play the truth is we're playing against an ACC team that is 1-13 and an 8-point favorite. When you have two very poor teams tipping off I will always favor the one what can still lose and make you money. |
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02-21-16 | Tulsa v. UCF +8.5 | Top | 75-67 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
Massive situational edge to UCF. Tulsa's late season win steak has put them back into play as an at-large team most probably only of they run the table the reaming regular season games. That added pressure comes on the heels off knocking off a ranked SMU team on the road, coming back from a 20-point deficit but losing by a basket at U Conn and then beating Cincinnati by a hoop in OT on Thursday, plus they host Temple on Tuesday. UCF may seem like an unlikely team to back having lost and failed to cover 3 straight all as a double-digit dog and are 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS their last 7 games. However, lets break out their home games and while they were 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS we can explain them. The cover was versus Temple and they played well in a 2 point loss. In their other 3 home defeats they played Cincinnati, off an upset loss, they played U Conn, off an upset loss and the fourth home game was versus Memphis which you guessed was off a huge upset loss as a 16.5 point favorite. For good measure lets also mention that in UCF's last game on Thursday they again faced Memphis and the Tigers were off another upset loss as a 7 point favorite. |
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02-20-16 | CS-Northridge +7.5 v. Cal Poly | Top | 75-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
Cal St Northridge comes in losing back-back games and 3 of the last 5 but all three defeats came to the Big West's top 3 teams with their combined 37-6 conference record. What we like even more is in Thursdays loss they shot a conference low 7% from 3 point land and a season conference low in FG% at 37.5% yet still battled the Big West's top team and only failed to cover by a single points. |
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02-20-16 | Miami (OH) v. Ohio -12 | Top | 64-76 | Push | 0 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
For those MAC followers you know the "Battle of the Bricks" is important. When one team can pound the other they do so as the winner in the last 4 meetings has covered by 11 ppg. OU is clicking on all cylinders wining 4 straight and covering those games by 12 ppg and while Miami is 3-6 SU/ATS their last 9 games EVERY loss was by at least 17 as they failed to cover those 6 games by 16 ppg. Now we already liked this play but with the RedHawks suspending 4 players including one starter for today's game it can't hurt the cause. 5* |
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02-19-16 | Richmond v. VCU -9 | Top | 74-87 | Win | 100 | 4 h 46 m | Show |
We roll with VCU here against Richmond as we take the favorite. This is a VCU team that already beat Richmond earlier this year but it was a tight win in overtime if you remember. VCU beat this team by 5 points on the road earlier this year and though Richmond has revenge, whenever the favorite gets to hook up with the weaker team at home after a tight road contest with the same team, the home team and favorite actually dominates more the next time around. Note, that VCU is crushing teams right now beating St. Louis 85-62 and Rhode Island 83-67 and this is in part to this team losing 2 conference games prior to this against the likes of George Washington and Massachusetts. Now, this team is refocused and we don't expect this game to be as close this time though the public does. Note, VCU is an elite defensive team as they are a top 25 defensive squad and top 45 when it comes to the 3 point shooting. Will Wade's team has not skipped a beat since Shaka Smart left to Texas. VCU is the far superior team tonight! 5* |
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02-18-16 | California -1.5 v. Washington | Top | 78-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
This is a Cal team that is actually better than Washington and on the short line despite being on the road we will roll with Cal. We have been fans of Cuonzo Martin for some time now as you are aware as he has a top 35 team in the country to his credit and his team is 17-8 and is tournament bound. This is a top 45 offense and a top 45 defense as well. This is a team that has won its last 3 conference games including wins over Oregon State, Oregon and Stanford. We roll with Cal who is 8-1 ATS following a straight up win and the Golden Bears are 6-2-1 ATS against Washington in Washington as well. 5* |
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02-18-16 | Jazz v. Wizards +1.5 | Top | 89-103 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
The Washington Wizards are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games playing on three or more days rest and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss. The Jazz have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 14 on the road and they're 2-5 ATS as a road underdog of three points or fewer this season. The Wizards have held the Jazz to an average of 86.3 points while taking down the last three in the series, and I like this Wiz team at home with John Wall and company to get the win tonight. 5* |
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02-17-16 | Virginia Tech +14.5 v. Miami (Fla) | Top | 49-65 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
Our perception of the Miami players in the locker-room; OK guys we're 9-3 in the conference and ranked AP #11. North Carolina can lose to Duke tonight and then if we beat the Tar Heels on Saturday we are leading the ACC and could be a #1 seed. We only have Virginia Tech tonight and they are 13-12 on the season, have lost 6 of their last 7 and we've beaten them 4 straight including knocking them out of the conference tourney each of the last 2 years. Our perception of reality; Miami got to their 20th win having battled in back-to-back games wining each by only 2 points including beating their in-state rival on the road Saturday. That puts them in an at Florida St/at NC sandwich and they are an ACC double-digit favorite for the third time this year, going 0-2 ATS in their first 2 games. Many conference teams have looked past the Hokies, which is partially the reason their are 9-3 ATS with the 3 losses very easy to explain. One was in their last gave versus Virgina who was plying with revenge for a double-digit upset loss earlier this season, the second was versus Pittsburgh which was playing off a tough loss and the third was versus Duke which was the game after VT knocked off #4 Virginia. It also helps that VT that the also got Chris Clarke back on Saturday as he was averaging almost 11 ppg and over 7 rebounds/game before missing the previous 11 games with an injury. 5* |
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02-17-16 | DePaul -2.5 v. St. John's | Top | 65-80 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
We have made a trademark on these type of ugly games as the lines are a bit softer and we look to take advantage of it for our clients. We like that St. Johns played a very close game against Villanova only losing by 10 points to the # 1 team in the country and that was after being routed by Georgetown so they had a very good showing. Depaul is actually about 80 slots higher in the power rankings, has small revenge from splitting 1-1 the series last year but they lost the most recent contest and comes off a game where they were absolutely routed by Villanova 86-59 and that was after getting routed by Creighton in the previous game before that. Look for Depaul to step up here with quality effort, a bit of revenge and frankly Depaul is a team that will look to bounce-back from the ugly Villanova loss. This is a team that is top 180 when it comes to both offensive and defensive efficiency which is impressive considering their overall record and we like them to step up here and pick up the win bu double digits on Wednesday night. 10* |
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02-16-16 | Iowa State v. Baylor -3 | Top | 91-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
5* Lets roll with Baylor here as they hook up against Iowa State. Baylor beat this team by 5 points on the road and it's a revnege game for Iowa State here, but we still like Baylor as they match up very well against Iowa State. Baylor was likely looking ahead to Iowa State and was routed frankly by Texas Tech at home by 16 points which is a huge loss for this team as they were heavily favored in that game. Now, they look to quickly bounce-back here against a team who they have beat before and against a squad who is ranked in the top 15 in the country. Great spot here for Baylor to bounce-back after an ugly loss and note that Iowa State is likely in for a bit of a let down after their big win against Texas at home. Baylor at home gets the job done and gets us the cash. |
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02-16-16 | Detroit v. Northern Kentucky +2 | Top | 74-68 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
5* Tonight is Northern Kentucky's Senior Night as their last 3 games of the regular season are on the road. While Senior Night in an elite program means far less (underclassman drafted early) for the Norsemen its about 5 players who helped bring this program from the Atlantic Sun Conference into the Horizon this season and includes a pair of multi-year starter who are the teams top two scorers. With NKU as a home dog we'll discount their poor overall ATS record and point that they are 3-4 SU & 4-3 ATS their last 7 games as an underdog and while not earth shattering it's far better then Detroit road record of 2-8 SU with both wins coming against teams below NKU in the standing that have a combined 7-19 conference record (NKU 5-9). I expect a Big crowd, a lot of energy after the Norseman just failed to sweep their first Horizon foe on Saturday in a 2-point loss they can grab that tonight after beating Detroit 91-83 back on January 29th. |
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02-14-16 | Evansville -4.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 74-73 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
After a win on Jan 19th Evansville was 17-3 and was averaging over 51% shooting on the season. After their loss on Thursday which made them 2-4 SU/ATS their previous 6 games they called a players-only meeting to vow a strong finish. |
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02-13-16 | Colorado State v. UNLV -7 | Top | 80-87 | Push | 0 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
The Rebels are 17-3 the last 20 as a host in the series, covering 11 of the last 14 meetings here. Most have been lopsided, the last two were both decided by eight or more.
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02-13-16 | Illinois v. Northwestern -6.5 | Top | 56-58 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
This Illinois team remains extremely depleted. Don't expect any sympathy from the Wildcats. Northwestern has dropped six of seven and desperately needs a victory. This was a team many had thought would make the NCAA Tournament. While nobody's saying that these days, the Wildcat players still believe. They want to take advantage of their banged-up guests and use this game as a springboard for the rest of their season. Illinois is just 3-8 its last 11 games, two of those wins coming against Minnesota and Rutgers, the third coming at home. The expected pace should work to NW's advantage. Illinois is 0-5 ATS its last five when playing a road game with a total in the 135 to 139.5 range, 9-20-1 ATS its last 30. With consecutive road games on deck, Northwestern knows it can ill afford to slip up here so I expect a big effort. Northwestern pulls away in the 2nd half and wins by double digits. 10* |
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02-12-16 | UCLA v. Arizona -11.5 | Top | 75-81 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
We roll with Arizona here as they hook up against UCLA. Take note that Arizona has huge revenge from losing by a bucket to UCLA on the road earlier this year and Arizona is a very good revenge team and one of my picks to goto the FINAL 4. UCLA is outside the top 120 in defense, outside the top 150 in effective field goal percentage and it sets up for a decent opportunity here for Arizona to get their revenge as this is a team top 20 in offense and top 40 in defensive rankings as well. Note, there are some teams that handle revenge much better than others and Sean Miller's teams even when he was a mid-major coach is one of those coaches. This is the same Arizona team that Oregon State by 17, Washington State by 15 on the road, beating Stanford by 14 on the road and can certainly feel motivated to rout a UCLA team that is actually not that strong when it comes to effective field goal percentage and a relatively porous defense for a elite caliber school. Arizona should cruise by 18 or more here. 5* |
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02-12-16 | Monmouth -4.5 v. Rider | Top | 79-78 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
Monmouth is a very good team! They are 16-2 SU their last 18 games and EVERY WIN was by over this margin. They’ve also covered 5 straight overall and 4 of 5 on the conference road. Lastly there no concern with their performance away from home as this year they have SU wins against UCLA, Notre Dame, USC and Georgetown. Monmouth is a legitimate tournament team meaning they have a chance to receive an invite without winning the MAAC tourney and I like them to get another impressive win here on the road Friday night. 5* |
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02-11-16 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Louisiana-Monroe +3 | Top | 82-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
With the line at only 3 why would we play on a team that is 11-12 versus one that is #1 in the NCAA in win% this season at 21-2 ? That would be because ULM is 9-0 SU and 7-0 ATS at home while Ark-LR is 9-2 SU on the road but only 2-4 ATS their last 6 games away from home and this is their first road game since Jan 23rd. The Trojans count on their defense to win games and in fact the lead the NCAA in defensive ppg allowed and are 4th in defensive FG% at 37.0%.The value here is that ULM is the conferences #1 scoring offense and #1 team in FG% at 45.7%. By looking at how the Trojans do when allowing over 40% shooting in a game we find they are 0-5 ATS and one ATS loss was at home versus ULM when they allowed 44% shooting and only won by a single point as an 11 point favorite. FYI: The Warhawks are averaging 53.4% shooting at home and have shot OVER 50% in all but one game (shot 41% in other). 5* |
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02-10-16 | Providence -1.5 v. Marquette | Top | 91-96 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
This is a game that I can a can put a check-mark in almost every Providence category when handicapping this game. #1 Better team in a basically win situation playing with revenge. Revenge is overused but in this case the Friars were AP #8 and a 10 point home favorite getting upset by tonight's foe, 65-64 on Jan 5th. #2 Better team off a loss. In fact, Providence is off back-to-back losses and 3 in their last 4 games. The Friars were upset in their last road game basically just down the highway at DePaul and the other 2 defeats were versus AP#1 Villlanova and AP #5 Xavier. #3 The technical situations are a positive PROV is 10-1 ATS (8.82 ppg) since Mar 04, 2015 on the road #4 Our team healthy Providence's leading score Ben Bentil was injured in the loss upset loss at DePaul two games ago after only scoring 6 points. He didn't start versus Villanova but scored 20 points and is back here at full strength tonight and Prov should win big! 10* |
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02-09-16 | New Mexico -2.5 v. Utah State | Top | 72-80 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
I feel that the Lobos have something to prove tonight after the refs screwed them in their last game and officials admited the mistake. In the wake of a five-game losing streak, Utah State coach Tim Duryea promised to "make some changes" in his starting lineup and rotation against New Mexico on Tuesday night at the Spectrum. "We haven't exactly decided what we're going to do yet," Duryea said Monday. "[But] … it will be different." Add in that New Mexico has the MW's #3 three-point shooting offense and Utah St has the conferences worst 3-point defense makes it stronger. Plus Utah St is 4-17-1 ATS (-3.95 ppg) since Jan 04, 2010 as a dog after a game on the road. Take NEW MEXICO here on Tuesday night. 5* |
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02-09-16 | Akron -4.5 v. Bowling Green | Top | 83-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Akron has has gone 16-2 SU in their last 18 games and that includes 6 straight wins and a 4-0-1 ATS mark their last 5 games. While most teams suffer attrition late in the year the opposite holds true for the Zips as freshman Josh Williams (interest from Wisc & Notre Dame) has scored 42 points in their last 2 games giving them more depth than they've had all season. Bowling Green comes in having lost 3 in a row both SU/ATS as well as 5 of their last 6. The Chippewas are also 3-6 SU/ATS their last 9 games with all 3 wins and covers coming when they have hit 40% or higher from 3-point land but tonight they are matched against not only the MAC's top 3-point defense but the entire NCAA's (#1 of 351 teams) 5* |
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02-07-16 | Panthers v. Broncos +5.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 58 h 33 m | Show |
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Denver will spy Cam and could even have two spies on him frankly just to keep an eye on him and let the Panthers receivers beat them.
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02-06-16 | Colorado +3 v. Oregon State | Top | 56-60 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
We like this spot for a solid Colorado team to bounce back with a win here tonight. They have responded well off of a loss all season long. Colorado has had a nice season so far and although they got blown out last start against the Ducks, most sides have and they had been playing well prior to that game, with 3 straight wins over solid teams in California and Stanford. The Buffaloes are one of the better shooting sides in College hoops, especially from behind the arc where they are 12th in 3 point FG%. Colorado also rebound the ball well on the road (ranked 41st) while the Beavers are poor at keeping visiting teams off the glass (ranked 283rd). These two sides played 3 weeks ago in Colorado for a 17 point Buffalo blow out. I'm backing Colorado here on Saturday night. 5* |
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02-06-16 | Michigan State v. Michigan +4 | Top | 89-73 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
Coach John Beilein wasn't happy about his teams last game. They played poor defense and allowed Indiana to go on a 25-0 run to close the 1st half. The practices were intense and I expect a big game from Michigan here at home on Saturday afternoon. The Spartans have won three straight and made 33 3-pointers over their last two games against Northwestern and Rutgers who are both awful at guarding the perimeter. Michigan has played pretty well without LeVert who practiced on Friday and is expected to play. Look for Michigan to get a big win at home over the ranked Spartans. 10* BEST |
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02-04-16 | UCF +3 v. Tulane | Top | 70-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
While UCF has a 10-9 record they are 13-5 ATS. Of those 5 ATS losses 3 came as a homedog of 7.5, 4.5 and 5 points while the 2 non-covers on the road came when they were +5.5 and +11 points. The Knights are fired up losing to 3 straight team better then them but are now in the role as a small or favorite a role in which they are 8-0 ATS this season. Tulane meanwhile is 1-9 SU and 1-8-1 ATS run their last 10 games with the SU win versus the only other AAC team with fewer then 10 wins (USF 5-18) and the push cover was as a 14 point road dog. The UCF Knights are 10-1 SU their last 11 versus the Green Wave and 8-1 ATS their last 9. 5* |
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02-04-16 | Eastern Kentucky v. Tennessee State -5 | Top | 97-81 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
After winning 18 games in 2012/13 Tennessee St won 5 games each in the 2013/14 and 2014/15 and is now back challenging for for the OVC East Title. They have done so going 7-1 ATS versus conference opponents and have covered 11 of their last 13 games. They now try to beat EKU for the first time since 2013 and catch the reeling Colonials who are 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS their last 6 games despite ALL of them being 'winnable" as they were a favorite in 5 of them and a small dog in the other. EKU's struggles have occurred despite despite shooting 48.3% in conference play but 6 of those 9 games were at home and now they play on the road for the first time in 5 games while facing the country's #51 and OVC's #1 team in FG%. EKU's other 3 conference road games were vs teams that rank #289, #238 and #304. For a good shooting team to play poorly they are obviously a poor rebounding team (#11 in OVC while Tenn St is #2) and even worse shooting defense (#12 in conf while Tenn St in #4 in shooting offense). I expect TENN ST to have a big performance here at home. 5* |
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02-04-16 | Oakland -12.5 v. Youngstown State | Top | 107-85 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
Oakland has motivation as one month ago as they lost as a 17.5 favorite, on a tip-in at the buzzer. Youngstown St is a terrible team. If you look up a poor shooting team you will find Youngstown St as in their last 6 games their FG% was 33.3%, 40.8%, 40.0%, 41.4%, 28.8% and 38.7%. 5* |
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02-03-16 | Evansville +1 v. Northern Iowa | Top | 54-57 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
I perceive Northern Iowa to be overvalued as many want to put them in the “next’ Gonzaga mold. While they went 30-3 last year and won their first round game as a #5 seed they then knocked off #1 North Carolina AND #5 Iowa St in December. The reality is the same 5 players gave started every game and without a go-to scorer (leader is avg 14.2 ppg) the offense has underperformed. The Panthers were on a 1-6 SU/ATS run before winning their last 2 games. Evansville comes in off a loss making them 0-2 this year versus the conference only undefeated team (Wichita St) but have gone 11-1 SU in their other previous games. The Panthers were picked #3 in the preseason poll so the pressure is mounting and shooting numbers agree with the host is averaging 43.4% on offense and 43.0% on defense and the Salukis avg 46.9% FG’s in conference action while allowing 39.1%. I like Evansville here on Wednesday night. 5* |
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02-03-16 | Notre Dame v. Miami (Fla) -5.5 | Top | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
We roll with Miami here as they hook up against Notre Dame in what could be a blowout win for Miami. This is a Miami team that has faced Notre Dame twice last year and lost both times if you remember by scores of 70-75 on the road and 70-67 in the ACC Tournament. This is a team that was frankly overlooked in the ACC at 10-8 overall in conference play and now finds itself ranked 15th in the country and ready for a big win. This is a team that has double-revenge, is ranked top 20 in the power rankings, comes off a horrible loss to NC State 69-85 so they will be more than irritated - the same team that beat Duke at home by 11 points, cannot afford to go to 5-4 in conference play as a win here will put them at 6-3 in conference play and solidify their ranking and faces a Notre Dame team that comes off a huge win against Wake Forest and likely has a let down here after that game. Look for a big win at home for Miami Florida. 5* |
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02-02-16 | Buffalo v. Northern Illinois -3 | Top | 90-78 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
Buffalo enjoyed the finest season in school history last year, tying a record for most wins (23) and earning the school's first-ever NCAA berth. There, the Bulls almost upset West Va (lost 68-62) and head coach and rising star Bobby Hurley left and took the job at Arizona St. The Bulls are 12-9 overall (5-3 in the MAC) and while the team goes nine-deep, there are NO standout players like Moss or Evans. As for Northern Illinois, coming off a 14-16 season (8-10 in the MAC), the Huskies have a chance to win the MAC West. They are currently tied at the top (5-3) with Central Michigan plus own an excellent 16-5 overall record. The 6-10 Maric (12.3-8.0) will be the best big man on the floor (the strong-boarding Huskies are plus-7.4 in rebounding margin) plus PG Baker (11.9-3.8 APG), fellow starter Armstead (10.7-5.4) and reserve guard Wilson (11.1), give the Huskies excellent scoring on the perimeter. Northern Illinois is 13-0 at home, including going 7-1 ATS in lined games. Meanwhile, Buffalo is a very poor road team allowing 78.9 PPG and just not a good team. Northern Illinois should have their way here tonight! 10* |
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02-02-16 | Clemson -1.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 76-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
Wake Forest barely survived playing her Nations toughest January schedule as 6 of their 9 opponents were ranked. The Demon Deacons went 1-9 SU including 6 straight losses and the only reason I can give for this line being basically a pick'em tonight is that WF lost to Virginia by one 2 games ago. The problem is on Saturday they were back to their old ways losing by 23 and failing to cover by 13 points. In fact on the year WF is 8-10-1 ATS and all 8 covers were when they were getting 4 points or more and in ACC action I just think Clemson is the overall better team here tonight. 5* |
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02-01-16 | Quinnipiac v. Fairfield -8.5 | Top | 64-59 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 57 m | Show |
Solid scheduling edge to Fairfield as is their third straight home game all in an 8-day span. For Quinnipiac this is their fourth game in that same span. That bodes well for the Stags as they are the leagues top scoring team (80 ppg) and Ken Pom has them as the nations #18 ranked team in tempo. The Bobcats came into their last game having lost 4 in a row both SU/ATS and looking further back to their previous 10 games they were 1-9 SU and 2-7 ATS. Also in Quinnipiac's last game they shot 45% and 70% from 3-point country which sounds "average" for FG's BUT the Bobcats are #1 in the country in one category and it is have the lowest FG% of any of the 351 teams with % of 21.7, 27.7, 33.9, 26.2, 33.3, 34.5 and 30.9 in their previous 7 games. I dont see them shooting that well again especially from 3pt land. Look for Fairfield to get a double digit win here on Monday night. 5* |
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01-31-16 | Canisius v. Rider -3 | Top | 68-79 | Win | 100 | 3 h 35 m | Show |
Another huge difference from my line as I have Rider as a 10-12 point favorite. I understand the Vegas number as Canisius is 10-12 his season while Rider is 8-13 with the teams having almost identical strength of schedule rankings. |
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01-30-16 | St. Joe's +3.5 v. Rhode Island | Top | 64-55 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
Joe’s has been good to us and why not go back to them as they have won 13 of 14 SU and covered 11 of their last 13. In that span they were a dog 3 times winning all 3 outright: +4.5 at Richmond, 77-73/ +3.5 at Temple 66-65/ +3 at Columbia 80-78. Rhode Island lives and dies with the 3-point shot and in their last 11 games they are 4-7 ATS and they have shot over 40% from behind the arc 6 times going 4-2 ATS and of course they have gone 0-5 when shooting under. St Joe’s is #1 defensive team in the A-10 allowing only 29.5% and has allowed ONE lined opponent to top 40% all season and that was Columbia on December 4th a game they won and covered. 5* |
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01-30-16 | Texas State v. Louisiana-Monroe -5.5 | Top | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show |
Texas St has a better record 9-8 and of the 351 D-I teams their Strength of Schedule is 341. ULM is 9-11 but that record was versus the 55th toughest schedule. The Warhawks are a perfect 8-0 at home including 6-0 ATS and they have an incredible scheduling edge as this is their 4th straight home game. The Bobcats meanwhile are on a second straight road game with only 1 day’s rest and are 1-3 SU/ATS on the Sun Belt road with the win and cover as a small and the 3 losses by 18 ppg failing to cover by 15 ppg. ULM has shot the light out at home (53.7%) including hitting 55% the last 3 games and I expect that to continue with Texas St allowing 49.4% FG’s their last 7 games. Look for LOU MONROE to win and win big this afternoon! 5* |
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01-29-16 | Rockets +8.5 v. Thunder | Top | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
Houston is coming off a beatdown in their last game where they gave up 130 pts and the Rockets shot poorly only 38%. Since their Christmas Day loss Oklahoma City is 15-3 SU but only 6-12 ATS including 4 straight losses with ALL SIX ATS covers when they were a favorite of 7.5 or more while going 0-6 when a favorite under 9 points. They return home after a 6 day 4 game road trip in which the defense was horrific allowing 117 ppg plus the lost a pair of contribution backup guards including their 2nd best defender, Andre Roberson, who would have been on James Harden. Houston meanwhile is coming off an embarrassing 31 point loss where both Harden and Howard played under 30 minutes so they'll be fresh here. Houston's Harden is averaging more point versus his former team than any other, and the Rockets have owned them winning 5 straight. 10* |
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01-29-16 | Green Bay v. Wisc-Milwaukee -5 | Top | 94-95 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
Wisc Milwaukee has double-revenge from losing to Green Bay last year in two contests and likely gets that revenge done today. You have a Milwaukee team that lost 79-63 and 81-70 last year and certainly has not forgotten those losses. Note, that this Milwaukee team was a top 200 team that went 9-7 in conference play to close out the season on a very strong 9-4 conference run after a 0-3 start to the conference season. Milwaukee comes off a very close loss to Oakland in their last game and Wisc GB defense and gives up a lot of points. THey have given up 219 points in their last 2 games. 5* |
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01-29-16 | Manhattan +11.5 v. Iona | Top | 56-70 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
Fierce rivals whose campuses are 9.3 mile apart and these two team have met in the last 3 MAAC Championship Games with Manhattan winning they last 2. In the last 11 times these teams have met, 7 were decided by 4 points or less.The team however are heading in different directions as Manhattan has won 5 of 7 in January while Iona has lost 3 of their last 4.T The Jaspers entire conference season to date has been close games with all 5 wins by 8 pts or less and 3 of the 4 losses by 5 points or less, that bodes well for a 11.5 pt underdog. The Iona Gaels meanwhile are 0-6-1 ATS their last 7 and they are 0-7-1 ATS their last 9 at home or on a neutral court. 5* |
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01-28-16 | Richmond v. George Washington -5 | Top | 98-90 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
Power ratings have Richmond in the middle of the Atlantic-10. They've faced 3 teams in the upper-half (St Joes, Davidson & VCU) and all 3 were at home with the Spiders going 0-3 SU/ATS and now they face their first upper-half opponent on the road. The Spiders have played 2 conference road games and allowed A MIND BOGGLING 60.3% shooting versus Fordham and 51% versus Rhode Island. By the way, in Fordham's 4 games prior and 4 games since their FG% has been: 37, 44, 41, 39, 33, 41, 32& 40! Two games games ago GW lost to one of the conferences top trio, Dayton, on the road and that loss lingered as they then needed to come back from an 18 pt deficit to beat Rhode Island. While a huge comeback would normally be a negative playing with only a few days rest I feel it will be a motivator as the GW Colonels haven't played in 6 days are are still undefeated at home. Look for Geo Wash to win by double digits here on Thursday night. 10* |
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01-28-16 | Portland State v. Eastern Washington -6.5 | Top | 83-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
I have Eastern 5-7 points better plus they're playing at home. Add in that Portland St is playing a second straight road game and pulled an upset in their last game thanks to shooting a season high 64.2% - PSU shot over 48% in only one other lined game this year. Now we have EW who is 3-0 SU/ATS at home in conference action winning by 21 ppg and covering by 12 ppg. Add in that the Eagles are off B2B losses to the Montana's and you have them fired up. Look for Port St to have a letdown after shooting lights out in their previous game. TAKE E Washington here at home. 5* |
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01-27-16 | California v. Utah -6 | Top | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
We roll with Utah here as they hook up against California. Head Coach Larry Krystkowiak has made a big difference as he brought a school that was not big on Basketball into a believer - and the entire Utah Athletic Department has done very well including the success of their Football team. This is a team that lost to California earlier this year by a score of 71-58. Now, they look to get some revenge here at home. This is a Cal team however though they come off a huge win over Arizona has shown lapses on the road in conference play against teams outside the top 65. Utah is a top 50 team. This is a team that is outside the top 150 in turnover percentage and on the heels of a let down with Utah with revenge, we have Utah winning tonight by 10 or more. 5* |
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01-27-16 | Stanford v. Colorado -7.5 | Top | 75-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
Colorado won the first meeting at Stanford 56-55 on 1/3 and I see no reason not be back them again. They have better numbers in my last 10 games and season to date rankings and I feel are ready to become one of the conferences top 5 teams. They are 10-1 at home this year. Stanford was in a hard fought battle on Saturday, albeit versus one of the P-12 poorer team. One main reason I like this play is that the Cardinal have played only THREE true road games this year losing at St Mary's by 17 and at Oregon by 16 and while they beat Oregon St it was the game after he Beavers upset Oregon. Great situation here as Stanford gets exposed on the road and Colorado WINS BIG for us. 10* |
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01-26-16 | Tennessee v. Alabama -3 | Top | 57-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
Alabama is in a great spot here. Sure, this team has just 1 conference win. It was against South Carolina when South Carolina had not lost a game up until that point. Avery Johnson understands that there are certain games that are more important than others and losing to Auburn did not help and certainly losing to Tennessee will not help either. We like that Tennessee comes off a huge win against South Carolina but has shown to struggle on the road including losses to Georgia and Auburn. Alabama has had several close calls including nearly beating LSU at home losing by just a bucket, nearly beating Auburn - and beating Clemson, Wichita State and Notre Dame earlier this year. If Alabama can get to .500 in conference play, they still have a great shot at making it to the Tournament. This is a team that has lost 3 straight conference games, needs a big win, and faces a Vol team that comes off a big win and when Alabama is desperate for a big win they usually get it such as the South Carolina game. I expect them to likely step up and win here against Tennessee in a big way! 10* |
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01-26-16 | Indiana -1 v. Wisconsin | Top | 79-82 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
Indiana is on a 12 game win streak with their last loss at Duke on 12/2 and all but one win has been by 7 or more points except one. That lone close game was by one-point versus this same Wisconsin squad which ensure the Hoosiers focus. Now we basically have a win situation with a team that I have with a significant edge. Wisky is only 8-5 at home and thanks to an upset versus an under-performing Mich St in their last home game that's why the line is this low. Look for Indy to get the upper hand here on Tuesday night. 5* |
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01-26-16 | Kansas State v. West Virginia -10.5 | Top | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
Kansas State took this team to overtime the last time they played West Virginia in a thriller but WVU pulled it out. If you are expecting this game to be just as close, it's unlikely. What you have here is a West Virginia team that will not be overlooking Kansas State and will make the necessary changes here as they play for a legendary coach and they will look to show they are indeed much better than this team and rout them. Note, that when an elite team struggles against a mediocre team on the road and gets nearly beat - when they face the same team at home, they usually rout them by double-digits. Such is the likely case here. 5* |
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01-25-16 | Georgia Southern v. Appalachian State -3.5 | Top | 101-100 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
The same has held true with their assist totals have more then just 2 opponents prior to the last 4 games when they finished +8, -4, +3 and +10 with the negative total again versus Arkansas St. Ga Southern has struggled on the road going 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS and after playing 4 games they are playing their back-to-back games which young teams struggle to adjust to. Now the Eagles who are the Nations youngest team with 92% underclassman on their roster (11 of 12 are frosh or soph's)! Look for APPL St to get the cash here on Big Monday. 5* |
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01-24-16 | Celtics v. 76ers +8.5 | Top | 112-92 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
We know Boston can score but we also know Boston can allow a lot of points. The Celtics are a road favorite of over 8 points for the first time in over 1 year. The Celtics are 1-5 SU/ATS on the road their last 6 games and the win was by 2 points with the cover by ½ point. While Philly is 6-38 this year they are a respectable 5-8 SU their last 13 games and 9-4 ATS including five straight covers and playing their best ball of the season. The reason for their recent success is that their defense is playing very well as they held Orlando, NY, Portland, Chicago and Cleveland to an average of under 42% shooting. I like the home underdog 76ers here on Sunday evening. 5* |
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01-24-16 | Syracuse +10 v. Virginia | Top | 65-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Syracuse Orange head coach Jim Boeheim returned from a 9 game suspension on January 8th and after a loss to North Carolina they had 4 days off, got in extra practice and not only have they won their 3 games since they covered by 11 points vs Boston College, by 30 points at Wake Forest and at 13.5 points AT Duke. It’s no coincidence that prior to the 3 game win streak Syracuse allowed its previous 5 foes to shoot a combined 47% while the unique Boeheim D held the last 3 teams to 31.9%, 32.6% and held Duke to 37.1% (Duke came into game shooting 51% vs ACC). The Cavs are 5-3 SU and 6-2 ATS in conference action and all 3 wins and both cover occurred when Virginia shot over 51% - They will struggle to score against this Syracuse defense and this is too many points. Take Syracuse plus 9.5 tonight. 5* |
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01-24-16 | Cardinals +3 v. Panthers | Top | 15-49 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Arizona can and will exhaust the clock, tiring out the secondary of the Panthers. The Cards can play slower paced or fast paced, and I fully expect them to make the Panthers D tired. Arizona will be finding more appropriate running plays for David Johnson, which will spark the ground game for the weakended rushing of the Cards. The fact is David Johnson will be too quick hitting the holes they open up to the right side. Carolina will not move the ball with efficiency. Their defense is great, but Trai Turner can get beat up in the trenches, and Arizona has those kind of guys in there. OT Jared Veldheer from Arizona won't get beat by Carolina and the well below average pass rush of Charles Johnson. Jonathan Stewart is not giving them strong enough running between the tackles, and with him having tweaked his ankle recently it's going to make it that much more difficult. And that is where Carolina is going to have to work hardest, in this game. Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and Cam is going to have to have the game of his life to beat this well coached and very good Cards team. 5* |
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01-23-16 | Vanderbilt v. Kentucky -5 | Top | 57-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
The Wildcats have disappointed this year relative to their lofty expectations. But at home following a road loss at Auburn last weekend, UK needs a response. Just the same, Vanderbilt has been pretty poor away from its Nashville home-court advantage. The Commodores have lost all four road games this year, while Kentucky have maintained a perfect 10-0 record in Lexington. Kentucky will use their size and length to take care of business here at home. Look for these young Wildcats to come out of the gates strong and get a double digit win on Saturday afternoon. 5* |
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01-22-16 | Pacers +13 v. Warriors | Top | 110-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
Golden St is in a 4 game stretch having destroyed Cleveland in a NBA Finals rematch then they man-handles Chicago the franchise which set the 72 win mark and has the regular season "game of the year" vs the San Antonio Spurs on deck. We're well aware of the Warriors being undefeated at home but they are only 1-5 ATS their last 6 at home and only 9-9 ATS at home on the year. Indiana plays well with two days rest as they do tonite they are 8-1 ATS. The Pacers are 14-4 ATS vs teams with a winning record and while they have been a dog 16 time this season and have only lost by 13 points or more twice. 5* |
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01-21-16 | Kentucky v. Arkansas +3.5 | Top | 80-66 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
The public has already overreacted backing Kentucky off a loss but the contrarian in us just smiles at the value. You can look at the Wildcats two ways: #1 is the team that went 45-1 last year and the first 7 games this year OR the team that lost 4 players to last years top 13 picks in the draft (picks #1, #6, #12 & #13) and now is struggling playing conference opponents as they are ONLY 6-4 SU their last 10 games and are 4-10 their last 14 ATS. Kentucky doesn't consider this a big game as their goal is too tweak their lineup to peek in March but for Arkansas this is a marquee game. At 9-5 most won't consider the Razorbacks a threat but they are also 6-4 their last 10 while covering 8 of those and when comparing SEC losses the Hogs lost at LSU by 2 and UK lost there by 18 and Arkansas second loss was versus the SEC's only undefeated team, A&M while UK lost at Auburn.47.4%. 5* |
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01-20-16 | St. Joe's -11 v. Pennsylvania | Top | 75-60 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
Outside of Philadelphia few can name the Big Five but tonite will be special as the Palestra host a double header with 4 of the teams. St Joe's has won and covered 9 of 10 games and has revenge for a loss as a favorite last year. Penn has faced one of the weakest schedules (#323) and versus the 3 foes in the same Caliber they lost at Washington (+14.5, 104-67) shooting 33%, lost at George Mason (+7, 63-44) and while they lost to Temple the did cover (+10, 77-73) but shot a season high 53%! St Joes has no look-ahead as they have last place LaSalle on deck and don't expect them to let up here. 5* |
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01-20-16 | Missouri State v. Drake -1 | Top | 79-70 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
It is not often we will back a favorite that has dropped 6 straight both SU and ATS. However, in those 6 games Drake faced the top 6 teams in the conference and lost the 3 home games by under 7 ppg. The Bulldogs did win their lone HF role this year by 21 points while covering by 11.5 and have confidence versus this foe as they've won the last two by 35 and 10 points covering by 32.5 and 7 points. SW Missouri comes into this matchup "red-hot" as they have won 2 of their last 3 games including a pair on the road so why fade them? Well, the Bears wins came at Bradley and Loyola thanks to holding them to 42 and 54 points respectively but those foes have offenses which rank #346 and #330 out of 352 teams! 5* |
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01-19-16 | Kansas -9.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 67-86 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
Kansas lost to Oklahoma State the last time they played them as though they split the series last year, the point being the latter game they played last year Kansas lost and that has to irk them coming into this game. So you have a Kansas team that comes off a loss to West Virginia by 11 - sure they beat TCU by 7 after that but they did not play well that game - and faces an Oklahoma State team who is 1-4 in conference play. Great spot here for Kansas to show everyone on National TV that they are for real. Look for a BIG WIN for Kansas tonight on the road! Too much talent on this Kansas team not to come up big. 10* |
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01-18-16 | Syracuse v. Duke -11 | Top | 64-62 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
The ninth-ranked Blue Devils haven't lost three straight in nearly eight years, but they're on the verge of doing just that heading into Monday night's visit from Syracuse. Duke (14-4, 3-2) won its first three ACC games by average of 19 points as part of a five-game winning streak, then ran into a surging Clemson team that pulled off a 68-63 home upset Wednesday. It was solid offensively against visiting Notre Dame on Saturday but fell 95-91, losing for the first time when scoring at least that many points since 2008. Look for DUKE to be focused on the defensive side of the ball tonight. They need this win and they should get it with a blowout over the visiting Orange. The Blue Devils are 10-3 ATS after an ATS loss. They are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games. 5* |
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01-17-16 | Seahawks +2.5 v. Panthers | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
I'm taking the points with the Seahawks on Sunday here on the road. This is a much different Seattle team that the one Carolina beat back in October. And we should note that in that game, Seattle actually led by nine points (23-14) with less than five minutes to go in the game. Doug Baldwin has become Russell Wilson's favorite target since the Graham injury and the Seattle offense began calling plays that suit them best. Seattle enters on a 6-1-1 ATS run on the road against teams with a winning home record, and under Pete Carroll, the Seahawks are 19-6 ATS when playing with revenge, outscoring opponents by an average of 8 pts per game. Lets back Seattle as the small dog here on Sunday as our 10* NFL Playoffs Game of the Week. |
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01-16-16 | Chiefs +5 v. Patriots | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
On Saturday, the AFC divisional playoffs begin, with the Kansas City Chiefs meeting the New England Patriots. I like the RED HOT Chiefs behind Alex Smith, a quarterback who controls the game and doesn't turn the ball over. Smith has been aided a great deal by the play of Chancandrick West and bruising Spencer Ware, a pair of backs who really helped fill the void left by Jamal Charles. Tight end Travis Kelce was a key part of the offense again on Saturday. A knee injury that looked really bad took out Kansas City’s leading receiver in Jeremy Maclin, but an MRI revealed no tears and if he can play through a sprain, that would really be a big help to the KC effort this Saturday. |
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01-14-16 | Middle Tennessee -2.5 v. Charlotte | Top | 73-72 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
Mid Tenn St is 10-5 and the much better team here. They have 4 players averaging double figures and can really shot the ball from behind the arc. They've won 3 of their last 4 games and I like them to win big on the road here tonight over NCChar. 5* |
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01-13-16 | SMU v. East Carolina +14 | Top | 79-55 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
SMU is off to a nice 15-0 start to the season but I think this line is way too high. Southern Methodist, on top of all its academic violations and suspensions, got a scare from head coach Larry Brown, who missed the second half of the UCF game due to vertigo. The Mustangs have failed to cover in three straight games and while ECU is likely out of its league, there is value in the home side getting this many points Wednesday. The Pirates average 77.5 points at home – compared to just 61.5 points per road game – and have played up to their competition by covering in five of their last six matchups against opponents with a win percentage of .600 or higher. Lets go with EC at home as the home court edge will prove to be the different here tonight. 5* |
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01-12-16 | DePaul v. Xavier -18.5 | Top | 64-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
This is a Xavier team that is led by Coach Chris Mack and has a very talented team on his hands. Note this is not the usual mid-major team this is a squad that can make some serious damage into the tournament. Note, Xavier is a top 15 power ranking team, is a top 25 offensive team and most importantly is a top 15 defensive team. This team beat Michigan by 16 on the road, beat Alabama by 19 points, beat USC by 10 points, beat Dayton by 29 points, beat Cincinnati by 10 points, beat Butler by 19 points and note this team did not play particular well against St. Johns by winning by 8 points on the road. Look for a big win tonight for Xavier at home. 5* |
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01-11-16 | Alabama -6.5 v. Clemson | Top | 45-40 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
I look for the Alabama SEC offense to have success in this one against an ACC defense that will get bowled over as Alabamas power with their running game early and, in turn, that forces the Tigers defense to crowd the line which will lead to some big opportunities for the Alabama aerial attack. The Crimson Tide scored 38 points against a good Spartans team and Alabama has averaged 38 points in their last four games overall. Bama's offense has produced over 400 yards in each of those four games. The Clemson Tigers gave up at least 27 points in 4 of their last 6 regular season games. Alabama continues to get better each game and I feel they are out to prove a point in the NCAA Championship Game on Monday night! Look for another one Monday night. ROLL TIDE! Thanks for all your College Football business this season as we are coming off our best College Football Season in our 22 years in business winning 67% of our picks and a remarkable 82% on our top 10*'s. The bowls were even better and overall I hope you collected plenty of cash. |
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01-10-16 | Packers v. Redskins -1 | Top | 35-18 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
Redskins Cousins has been playing great lately and Washington has been very good at home. Green Bay has been playing some sorry football and the Packers head to Washington losers of back-to-back games. In those two losses the Packers scored a total of 21 points and their last road game the Packers defense gave up 38 points to the Arizona Cardinals. DT Chris Baker is at times almost impossible to stop on the Dline when he gets moving. Ryan Kerrigan is a great young LB as well, too much to handle. Going to be a long game for Mr. Rodgers. Green Bay gets themselves into bad field position at times with penalties, with David Bakhtiari having plenty of issues, and he look to be ready to go. Packers are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Washington has won 4-straight games and three of those wins the Skins averaged 35.6ppg. Playing the better team with Washington at home here on Sunday evening. 5* |
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01-09-16 | Steelers v. Bengals +3 | Top | 18-16 | Win | 100 | 46 h 16 m | Show |
I like this Bengals team a lot. I like them much better when Dalton is the quarterback, but even without him, Cincinnati will go with McCarron who has been solid and has weapons. AJ Green, Jeremy Hill, and Giovani Bernard help the Bengals stay dangerous on the offensive side of the ball, but not only has the offense been good in 2015, the defense is very good and they are at home while the Steelers play their 3rd straight road game.
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01-09-16 | LSU v. Florida -4 | Top | 62-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
Michael White's Florida Gators are a team that we are very high on since the start of the year as always a first-year coach has a lot to prove and their intensity from game to game is very strong. Coach White has huge shoes to fill in Billy Donovan's, but his team has been up to the task this year and coming off a terrible game against Tenn a few days ago. This Gator squad is a team that is a top-25 with defense, top-20 in turnover margin, and their only losses are to MSU, Miami, Purdue and Florida State. Look for Florida to bounce back in a big way at home on Saturday afternoon. 5* |
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01-07-16 | Michigan v. Purdue -7.5 | Top | 70-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Purdue has the bigs and good guard play to be one of the top teams this year. Purdue is the number 1 defensive team in the country which has gone grossly unnoticed by many outlets and this defense is what is going to help a hungry Matt Painter team this year. Purdue is a top 50 effective field goal percentage team and a top 40 free throw shooting team as well. Michigan has struggled against elite competition this year including losing to SMU who is a top 15 team by 24 points on the road, losing to Connecticut who is a top 35 team by 14 points and top 10 Xavier by 16 points. Let's roll with Purdue here as they face a Michigan as the Wolverines are one of the worst offensive rebounding teams in the country Purdue blew a 17 pt halftime lead in their last game due to shooting too many 3's. I expect them to be focused tonight big time as they host Michigan. 10* Game of the Week |
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01-06-16 | Florida -3.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 69-83 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
5* Florida is one of the best defensive and rebounding teams in the country. I look for them to step up here on the road and get a big win. We are high on Coach Michael White's team this year. This is a team that is still not ranked in the top 25 in the country and are looking to break into that barrier. Florida is still a 9-4 team and a top 25 power ranking team by all accords having beaten Richmond, Oklahoma State and Georgia. This team nearly beat Michigan State losing by 6 points on the road, losing to a very good Miami team by 11 and losing at home by 2 to Florida State. Great opportunity for Florida to notch an important win and move to 2-0 in conference play here as they face Tennessee who has a ton of issues on defense. Gators dominate tonight! |
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01-05-16 | Furman -1 v. NC-Greensboro | Top | 66-67 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
This Furman team returned their top eight players, including all five starters from last year's squad. They come at you with a balanced team attack. No less than 10 players are averaging over 11 minutes played per contest with guard Stephen Croone leading the way (14.5 ppg). NC Greenboro lost their best player on the team, Tevon Saddler who left the team. Furman enters on a 7-0 ATS conference run going back to last season, while the Spartans enter on a 0-6 ATS slide as a home dog of no more than three points. Look for a convincing double digit win here tonight for FURMAN. 10* |
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01-04-16 | West Virginia v. TCU +10.5 | Top | 95-87 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
We roll with TCU tonight as they are coming off a very poor shooting game and WVU is coming off a long 2OT game on Saturday. TCU is currently 8-5 on the year as Trent Johnson has done well with the players that he has. This team has showed prowess against SMU at home and Rhode Island who are both top 75 teams. We are of course not saying that this team beats West Virginia, but note that they played them tough last year losing by single digits both times. Johnson knows the system that they run in West Virginia in general and as they come off a horrible loss after winning 4 straight, we like them to hang tough here on Monday night. 5* |
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01-03-16 | Raiders +7.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
The Oakland Raiders are a much improved team this year. Quarterback, Derek Carr and rookie wide receive Amari Cooper have the offense clicking in the passing game while Latavious Murray has gone over 1,000 yards on the ground and has six scores of his own. This offense is becoming very balanced and very feared around the league. If the Raiders have any hopes of getting this win on the road and finishing the season at 8-8, they are going to need to do a few things. First off, get the passing offense going. The only way to score points on this Chiefs defense is to keep them off balance. This is also Woodson's last game, this is a squad that symbolically getting to .500 would mean a lot for this franchise after years of dysfunction. And, seeing that this team is not going to the playoffs, this is their playoff game and even their Super Bowl. We like Oakland to step up here with a good game plan from HC Jack Del Rio on the road and give KC all they can handle. 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK |
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01-03-16 | Jets v. Bills +3 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
The Jets need a win to get into the playoffs and they have to get it against the Bills now led by coach Ryan. The Public is all over the Jets but the oddsmakers knew that and I like the Bills here at home. You know Bills HC Rex will be very motivated to keep the Jets out of the post-season and he is in a good spot here since as a head coach he is 11-6 ATS when playing a team off of a SU dog win. The Jets traditionally choke in these spots as well as they are just 1-7 ATS after winning SU as a dog. That was a very big emotional win for the Jets last weekover the Pats in OT and they were celebrating all week. Lets play the +3 with Buffalo to get this win at home Sunday afternoon. 5* |
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01-02-16 | Kansas State v. Arkansas -12.5 | Top | 23-45 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
AUTOZONE LIBERTY BOWL It was a solid season for Arkansas under 3rd year HC Bielema. He did break from his mold of power football by hiring former Central Michigan HC Dan Enos as his OC. With the talents of QB Allen, Arkansas balanced their offense with an attack that averaged 264/9.1 through the airways. Kansas St is not that good. They rallied at home behind their veteran HC to get a 6th WIN in their final game to become Bowl eligible. Arkansas has a ton of speed and have won 5 of their last 6 games, with a high powered offense. Different opponent, same results, matched up vs a team with zero defense. Kansas State has not put up 300YDs of passing offense all season. Kansas State QBs have really had a problem finding the spots they need to get the ball to. Wildcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 bowl games. Arkansas wins as we get yet another BLOWOUT here in the Bowl games. 10* |
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01-01-16 | Iowa v. Stanford -6 | Top | 16-45 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
Stanford’s offense is led by Kevin Hogan, the senior quarterback who has shown immeasurable grit and passion this season. His willpower and motivation have been keys to the team’s success this season. He had 24 TD throws and 7 picks on the season, while completing nearly 70% of his throws. Christian McCaffrey is one of the top players in the nation, after setting the single-season record for all-purpose yardage. He is the team’s leading rusher and receiver, with 1847 yards on the ground and 540 in the air and will be the biggest weapon on the field on January 1. Right now, nobody is playing more confident football than this QB. He is doing anything it takes to put points on the board. He has to feel there's no secondary that can stop him, when he decides to get the job done, and I don't blame him. There is just nothing that C.J. Beathard can do consistently enough right now. Any kind of throw, whether for the big 1st down, or the deep 3rd downs. He has been too up and down, and in this very big game, for Iowa, being in their 1st Rose Bowl game in 25 years. The Stanford offense has more options that Iowa. Look for Stanford to really wear this Hawkeyes team down. Should the Cardinal get out to an early lead, they can really take the Hawkeyes focus out of this game. 5* |
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01-01-16 | Florida +4 v. Michigan | Top | 7-41 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
With the long layoff I expect Florida to spend a lot of time working on their offense. Their defense is tough as nails and I like Florida in this underdog spot on Friday. The Gators defense could win this game by themselves and I see the Gators defense causing major problems for Michigan. If Michigan can't move the ball then I see turnovers being the factor on who wins this game and with the Gators defense I see them forcing some turnovers in the game. Treon Harris the Florida QB is a duel threat and his shiftiness will need to be accounted for by Michigan both on the planned keep and the scramble to throw. Kelvin Taylor has been a bit of a plodder while averaging just 4.0 yards per carry but he does have 13 rushing scores to lead Florida so look for him to get his chances if the Gators get the ball in close. Florida is 5-1 ATS when playing on two weeks or more to prep and I'll back them here as a dog. 5* |
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01-01-16 | Tennessee -8 v. Northwestern | Top | 45-6 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show |
OUTBACK BOWL This Tenn team is very young and these extra practices and time will really help them. NW had a fairly easy schedule and their offense is terrible. Tennessee is still being considered the team on the rise in the SEC. Both of these teams play a very physical style of football. Northwestern is still seeing most of the action getting 68% of the publics money for some reason I do not see maybe because NW is ranked higher. Tennessee may be 8-4 on the season, but if you are not an SEC fan and do not follow the conference, little do you know how close this team was to winning the SEC East. Tennessee not only lost a handful of close SEC games, but they blew a two touchdown lead over Oklahoma only to lose in double overtime 31-24. Along with the Oklahoma loss, they also blew a 13 point lead to the Florida Gators with under five minutes left in regulation. The Tennessee Vols offense is built around dual threat QB, Josh Dobbs and running back, Jalen Hurd. Dobbs passed for over 2,100 yards and 15 scores in 2015 while Jalen Hurd rushed for over 1,100 yards and eleven touchdowns. The Tennessee defense has also played well ever since Butch Jones took over as head coach. This is a very tough team that is much better than their record indicates and I like them to WIN BIG on Friday afternoon. 10* College Bowl Game of the Year |
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