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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-19-11 | Louisiana-Monroe v. North Texas -13 | Top | 82-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
We will fade the UL Monroe Warhawks on the road as they are a very poor team. ULM is simply one of the worst teams in D1 hoops and on the road against a scoring machine like North Texas who can put up a lot of points. This one should be a blowout. 5*
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02-19-11 | Washington State -2.5 v. Arizona St | Top | 69-71 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 46 m | Show |
Washington State is in MUCH better shape than the Sun Devils, who have lost nine in a row overall and 11 straight conference games. On Thursday, Arizona State hosted Washington and got drilled 79-62 as an 8
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02-18-11 | Connecticut v. Louisville -3.5 | Top | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
It was just three weeks ago when Louisville responded with a double-overtime victory that ended the Huskies 12-game home win streak.
Now Louisville is home where they play very well. I expect Lousiville to be led by their defensive. Connecticut is off a win over Georgetown, but but was only 4-of-14 (28.6 percent) from beyond the arc. Louisville dropped its last game, falling at Cincinnati, scoring just 54 points (63-54). I expect a sold out and wild crowd for this Friday night ESPN game and Louisville to come up on top. They just have to make sure they knock down their FT's and and they should at home. |
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02-18-11 | Dartmouth +11.5 v. Columbia | Top | 60-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
When Dartmouth travels to Columbia to take on the Lions in Ivy League action Friday night they will take the court with same season revenge from a 66-45 loss suffered earlier this year, the Big Green's worst home defeat of the season.
The uglier the dog is, the more you want them on Friday night basketball. They typically have low scoring games and revenge is a solid asset in these low scoring games. Columbia comes off a huge win on the road against Pennsylvania and I can see them having a little bit of a let down today. Dartmouth has the goods to compete against some good teams on the road including covering against Princeton and Harvard. I look for a tight game throughout and Columbia winning by no more than 10. Play the Underdog Dartmouth team here plus the points as a 5* selection. |
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02-17-11 | UCLA +1 v. Stanford | Top | 69-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
No team in the Pac-10 is crashing the boards like UCLA. The Bruins have out-rebounded their past 10 opponents and during that stretch the team is a staggering 9-1 SU and 6-3-1 ATS. The recipe for success for UCLA is simple: play hard, hustle, and grab rebounds to grab wins. Sophomore forwards Tyler Honeycutt and Reeves Nelson have been two of the team
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02-17-11 | Santa Clara v. Gonzaga -13.5 | Top | 76-85 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
GONZAGA has been waiting for this rematch for a while. Gonz is coming off back to back double-digit road victories. Now, they return home and all signs point to another convincing victory. Note that the Bulldogs are 25-4 SU the last 29 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier road loss.
Last season, the Bulldogs were laying -20 points when they hosted Santa Clara. Even that spread wasn't high enough, as they won by 27, and I expect another big win at home for the Bulldogs in a blowout fashion. 10* BLOWOUT |
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02-16-11 | Georgetown v. Connecticut -2 | Top | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
UConn is 3-1 against teams ranked in the Top-10 and they are 7-1 at the XL Center. I like the Huskies in this matchup with Georgetown because UConn star Kemba Walker has found his stroke again. Walker got healthy against Providence on Saturday, scoring 22 points and breaking out of his shooting slump that had him averaging just 15.2 points per game and 29.5 percent shooting during a five-game stretch. Walker has some revenge ready for the Hoyas after shooting just 2-for-7 from the field for just 9 points in a 72-69 loss last year at home to Georgetown. I
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02-16-11 | Wisconsin v. Purdue -4 | Top | 62-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
I love PURDUE at home tonight to get the job done. Wisky is coming off a huge home win over #1 Ohio St on Saturday where they made 12 three-pointer hitting 50%. Don't expect to see that again here on the road. But Wisconsin is in a big play-against spot themselves as they have to deal with the letdown after handing previously unbeaten Ohio State their first loss of the season last weekend. And this Purdue team is underrated here at home, where they are a perfect 13-0 straight up. Not a big number for Purdue to cover here, and we think they pull away late for the win and cover.
10* Home Crusher of the Month |
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02-15-11 | Charlotte Bobcats +9.5 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 94-106 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
The Charlotte Bobcats, are making a habit of giving fits to playoff contenders.
Rose and the Central Division-leading Bulls seek to avoid their third loss to the Bobcats in as many meetings Tuesday night at the United Center. The Bobcats have won three of five, with the wins all coming against top contenders and since Michael Jordan practiced with the team its given them a nice spark. The Bobcats' two victories over the Bulls last month were also big. They won 96-91 in Charlotte on Jan. 12, then prevailed 83-82 six days later at Chicago. Charlotte looks to catch Chicago after a long road trip as they return home after a 3-2 road trip, highlighted by impressive wins over Utah and New Orleans. Charlotte's Stephen Jackson struggled Monday, finishing with nine points after averaging 26.7 in his previous three games. Look for another tight game tonight and we'll back the underdog Bobcats on Tuesday night. 5* |
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02-14-11 | Kansas v. Kansas State +6 | Top | 68-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
I'm playing on KANSAS STATE here on ESPN Monday night action. Kansas St is coming off an awful game at Colorado in which they shot just 27%.
I beleive they got caught "looking ahead" to their Big Monday showdown vs. rival Kansas. Kansas State got shellacked at Kansas earlier this year and this is a revenge game for them. Plus, the home team has revenge, and on a weeknight college basketball game with a national audience, it all makes sense for what could be an outright win for Kansas State here. Keep in mind that Kansas State is 12-1 at home and obviously, their home court will be rocking tonight and with this team coming off a tough loss to a decent Colorado team on the road, this sets up for a nice spot for Kansas State to either win this game straight up or fall within the points. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and I believe has the athletes to matchup against the Jawhawks tonight. 5* |
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02-14-11 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Charlotte Bobcats +5 | Top | 89-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
The CHARLOTTE BOBCATS have won 4 of the last 5 in this series and they'll catch a tired Lakers team. The Lakers, now 9-19-1 ATS their last 29 against teams from the Southeast, are in a very difficult scheduling spot. Not only are they playing the second of back to back games but this is also their 4th road game in the past 5 days.
The Bobcats are an extremely impressive 10-2 ATS all-time vs. the Lakers, including 5-1 ATS at Charlotte. With the Lakers tired and the Bobcats up-tempo style, look for Charlotte to get the ATS WIN tonight. 5* |
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02-13-11 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Orlando Magic | Top | 75-89 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
The Los Angeles Lakers have heard questions all year about whether they're cut out for a fourth straight trip to the NBA finals, and those only grew louder during a recent stretch of five losses in nine games.
The Lakers' current road trip is leaving little doubt they're primed for another deep postseason run. Los Angeles looks to make it 5 for 5 on the trip Sunday afternoon against the Orlando Magic, who are struggling against top competition and seem to have coach Stan Van Gundy quickly losing patience. Los Angeles shot 53.6 percent against the Knicks - its first time above 50 percent in eight games - but it's really stepped up defensively. The Lakers have held their last three opponents to an average of 88.7 points and 40.4 percent shooting. Los Angeles is now 19-10 against teams with winning records, while Orlando (34-21) has had plenty of trouble beating good opponents. The Magic fell to 11-16 versus above-.500 teams with a 99-93 home loss to New Orleans on Friday. Kobe Bryant has averaged 34.0 points in his last seven road games against the Magic, and I like the LAKERS to get another impressive win here on Sunday. 5* |
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02-12-11 | Kansas State v. Colorado -1.5 | Top | 56-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Kansas State has been overrated to start the season and remain overrated.
It's not shocking that the Wildcats are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games versus board opponents considering they've been minus a true point guard, are breaking in new frontcourt players and have lost their swagger from last season. The Wildcats are thin up front with both Freddy Asprilla and Wally Judge having left the program. Jacob Pullen is a talent, but he's been forced to play out of position at point guard because of the Wildcats' need there. Colorado opened Big 12 play going 3-0. The 15-10 Buffaloes, though, have been pointing to this game knowing they desperately need a victory to bolster hopes for a postseason tournament. The Buffaloes can take care of the ball and force the Wildcats out of their half-court sets. Once that happens, the Wildcats have serious problems. Colorado knocked off the Wildcats, 74-66, as 10-point road underdogs a month ago. The Wildcats shot 40.4 percent from the floor and made only 61.9 percent of their free throws That free throw figure actually is better than the Wildcats' percentage on the season. Kansas State is sinking only 61.5 percent of its free throws, which ranks 335th in the country. Colorado is 12-2 in Boulder. The Buffaloes have covered in six of their eight lined home contests. Kansas State is 1-10 ATS on the road when facing am opponent with a winning home mark. 10* play here on: COLORADO |
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02-12-11 | Ohio State +1 v. Wisconsin | Top | 67-71 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
I like Ohio State to end the Wisky Badgers 16 game home winning streak. The Buckeyes are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games and it is rare to get a line under ten for the Buckeyes this season. OSU has also performed very well against the top of the Big Ten this season defeating Minnesota twice including a 12 point road win in their last game, beating Illinois by 5 on the road, and destroying Purdue by 23 on the road.
OSU is actually the more efficient defensive team and better shooting team with a 43.8% (7.6 3s/g) 3 point percentage and a 56.4% eFG compared to Wisconsin's 37.3 (8.3 3s/g) and 51.2%. OSU has more scoring options and should own the paint with Jared Sullinger who is averaging a double- double with 18 ppg and 10.4 RB/g. OSU also has four solid options from 3 with the lowest percentage being David Lighty's 38%. Finally OSU has a huge edge at getting to the foul line making 54 more free throws than their opponents have attempted. PLAY OHIO ST to stay undefeated here on Saturday afternoon. 5* |
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02-12-11 | Syracuse v. Louisville -2 | Top | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 33 m | Show |
Syracuse has now dropped 5 of its last 7 both straight up and against the spread, and this Louisville team is not the squad they want to be facing while trying to right their ship. Louisville should be in a prickley mood after getting blasted by a 15-5 count in the overtime session of their Wednesday loss at Notre Dame. The fact the Redbirds are 15-2 straight up at home bodes well for the home win and cover this afternoon.
Louisville is on a dominating 6-game series winning streak, covering in the last five meetings. Overall the Cardinals are 7-1-2 ATS in their last nine battles with the Orangemen. Looks to me like Pitino has Boeheim's number. Take Louisville here early on Saturday. 5* |
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02-11-11 | San Antonio Spurs v. Philadelphia 76ers +3.5 | Top | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
This is the 6th road game of a long road trip for the Spurs friday night. SA Spurs have struggled against Eastern Conference foes off a loss where they stand just 3-5-1 ATS, including 1-3 on the road. Philly has been dominating at home with a 16-9 record behind their tough defense and rebounding edge.
Toss in the Sixers 16-4 ATS mark in this series, including 8-2 ATS on this floor, and suddenly we're looking at a potentially live home dog. 5* play at home here. |
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02-11-11 | Canisius +7 v. Rider | Top | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Canisius is 10-6 ATS this year, and lost by just one point to Rider at home. So, this is a revenge game for Canisius and they have done well of late covering seven of their last ten games. Canisius has done well as underdogs lately defeating Iona Outright as a five point underdog at home, losing within the 5.5 points to Siena on the road and losing to Rider by just one point at home as a three point home underdog. I always like to take dogs on Friday and I like Canisius tonight with the 7.5 points. 5* play.
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02-10-11 | Golden State Warriors +6.5 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 88-112 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
These 2 teams just played on Monday and Phoenix got the best of them as they shot themselves to victory with an array of outside jumpers that in which Phoenix went 9 for 15 on 3-pointers in first half giving up a huge 22 pt lead in which Golden St couldnt recover from.
I expect some adjustments and some revenge tonight. Golden St played awful and shot just 2-18 from behind the arc and just 68% from the FT line. "We played terrible. It's embarrassing for our fans that we came out and played the way we played," Monta Ellis said. "We'd been playing great the last few games and to come out and put up a performance like this is very disappointing." He says they will be prepared tonight. Ellis has averaged 30.5 points his last four games against the Suns, all in Oakland. However, he's totaled 34 while injuries have limited him to two appearances during the teams' last four meetings at US Airways Center. Look for a much closer game tonight and the Warriors playing with double revenge to get the spread cover with the points tonight as our 10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK. |
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02-10-11 | Alabama +6.5 v. Vanderbilt | Top | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
The last 4 meetings have been decided by 7 points or less, so I like Alabama as an underdog here tonight. Alabama is a much improved and it shows from their top 40 ranking in the country and a strong 7-1 start to conference play. Anthony Dixon's Tide are rolling right now and he is getting the most out of his talent similar to what he did at VCU. Alabama has beat the likes of Kentucky, Tennessee on the road and lost to Vanderbilt last year by just a bucket in Alabama.
Alabama has won nine of their last ten games. I like Alabama to stay inside the number and have a shot at winning this game outright. The Crimson Tide are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against the SEC and the Commodores of Vanderbilt are 1-3-1 ATS as big favorites of this margin of late. 5* play on ALABAMA + |
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02-09-11 | Virginia Commonwealth -6 v. Delaware | Top | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
The Colonial Athletic Association-leading VCU Rams look to continue their impressive conference play tonight as they visit the Bob Carpenter Center, home of the Blue Hens of Delaware.
VCU is the class of the CAA. They have compiled an 11-2 league record, which includes nine straight wins from Jan. 5th to Jan. 29th.
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02-09-11 | College of Charleston v. Elon +7 | Top | 85-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Elon has a good opportunity to hang tough here against Charleston. Elon always plays Charleston tough in Southern Conference play as they have covered in this contest the last three years when the line has been available. Elon is a good home team for the most part and Charleston has struggled to cover big spreads on the road.I expect a defensive and a low scoring game so take the points with ELON COLLEGE tonight.
5* |
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02-08-11 | Philadelphia 76ers +5 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 117-83 | Win | 100 | 17 h 35 m | Show |
The Atlanta Hawks will be without Al Horford who suffered a bruised back on the Saturday. He along with fellow All Star Joe Johnson and Smith (knee) - missed practice Monday and are banged up.This is a major loss for the Hawks and facing a tough defensive team who just got lit up by the NY Knicks on Sunday.
While Horford is averaging 17.5 points and 12.5 rebounds in two wins over Philadelphia this season, Smith has been limited to a total of 21 points on 30.8-percent shooting versus the Sixers. Lets take the 76ers and the points on Tuesday night. 5* |
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02-07-11 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Memphis Grizzlies +4.5 | Top | 93-84 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
The Lakers have dropped three of their last five overall and Memphis has been playing some very good basketball lately, plus the Grizzlies have had the Lakers
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02-07-11 | Loyola (Md.) +4.5 v. Siena | Top | 76-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Loyola Maryland has revenge against Siena from an earlier season loss at home but more importantly, this team responds well to losses overall this year.
The Loyola Greyhounds of Loyola Maryland are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as underdogs and the Siena Saints are down this year and in Vegas they are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite. 5* |
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02-07-11 | Pittsburgh v. West Virginia -1 | Top | 71-66 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
Pittsburgh has been home for 90 percent of that schedule. Even in Pitt's Big East road trips they have it easy to this point
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02-06-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Green Bay Packers -2.5 | Top | 25-31 | Win | 100 | 68 h 18 m | Show |
SUPER BOWL SUNDAY ACTION:
5* Green Bay Packers -2.5 Last year, I rode Drew Brees and the Saints to the Superbowl. This year, I'm riding Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. GB was my pick to goto the Super Bowl at the beginning of the year and I am sticking with them. Aaron Rodgers is also extremely tough and has a very quick release. The Packers will spread out their speedy WR's on the Dallas turf and use their speed to their advantage. The Patriots spread out Pitt in the regular season and put up 39 points in Pittsburgh. Rodgers has now clearly established himself among the top quarterbacks in the game with his arm and mobility. I've been riding the Packers this year. I really like BOTH their offensive and defensive play-calling and feel the tandem of McCarthey and Capers is among the very best in the game. The Steelers will be without Pouncy their center and probably their best player on the offensive line. As long as Green Bay doesn't turn the ball over multiple times, I like GREEN BAY to win SUPER BOWL 45. ------------------------------------- A few props I like are: Rodgers MVP 3/2 Hines Ward UNDER 45 receiving yards Heath Miller UNDER 39 receiving yards. TOTAL FG's OVER 3 |
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02-06-11 | Florida State +7 v. North Carolina | Top | 69-89 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
A matchup for second place in the ACC has taken a back seat to the shocking departure of a key North Carolina player.
The No. 21 Tar Heels will play for the first time without guard Larry Drew II on Sunday when they take on Florida State. North Carolina (16-5, 6-1) holds a one-half game lead over Florida State (16-6, 6-2), but the Tar Heels' preparation for this game took a strange turn with Friday's news that Drew - the son of Atlanta Hawks coach Larry Drew - would be leaving the team immediately. The announcement came four games after Drew lost his starting job to freshman Kendall Marshall. The timing could not be worse, with the Tar Heels set to play the Seminoles, No. 5 Duke and Clemson in succession. Coach Roy Williams said the news caught him and the team completely by surprise, with Drew playing well during the Tar Heels' four-game win streak. The
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02-06-11 | Ohio State -5.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 82-69 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
5*
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02-03-11 | Gonzaga v. Portland +4 | Top | 67-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
Portland has the talent to win this game and avenge an ealier loss just 3 weeks ago.
This Portland U team shoots a great clip from the free throw line at over 75%, is 2nd in the country in three point percentage, dynamic at home at 12-1 whereas Gonzaga is 1-4 on the road and will have the house absolutely rocking tonight. Gonzaga is a good team but not as good as past teams. Look for the home court to make the difference here. 5* |
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02-02-11 | Mississippi State +12 v. Alabama | Top | 61-75 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
A pair of talented SEC squads will clash in Tuscaloosa this evening, as the Alabama Crimson Tide play host to the Mississippi State Bulldogs.
Mississippi State is 11-9 overall this season, including 3-3 in conference action. The Bulldogs were able to halt a two-game skid on Saturday with a 71-64 decision over a strong Florida squad in front of the home crowd. Clearly, Mississippi State is not short on offensive options with four double- digit scorers in the lineup. Dee Bost leads the team with his 18.3 ppg, and while he has only played six games thus far, Bost has handed out 37 assists already. Ravern Johnson checks in with 18.1 ppg, and Renardo Sidney provides 13.6 ppg and 6.4 rpg. Kodi Augustus, who is netting 12.2 ppg, paces the club with 8.0 rpg, and the Bulldogs are generating 69.3 ppg while surrendering 70.2 ppg to opponents. Expect this game to be decided in the final minute and we'll take the underdog with MISS ST. 5* |
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02-01-11 | Purdue v. Wisconsin -5 | Top | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
Purdue plays two of its next three on the road, where it has lost three straight. The Boilermakers have averaged 65.0 points in their last three road games - down from the 78.9 points they average at home. They have also been outrebounded in the last two road games by a combined 22 boards.
Wisconsin is dominating at home where they seem to smoke everyone they play. The Badgers have looked more comfortable at home, winning 32 of their last 33 there - including all 11 this season. Opponents in 2010-11 are averaging 55.0 points and shooting 38.7 percent at the Kohl Center. Purdue comes off a big win over Minnesota and I can see them having a little bit of a let down here today as bear in mind that Purdue has lost to Minnesota, Ohio State and West Virginia on the road this year and I can see Wisconsin needing a much needed bounce-back and pull the spread here as this game comes to a close. The Badgers are 4-0 ATS following a loss and 10-4 ATS following a straight up loss. WISKY by 8-16 points tonight. 5* selection. |
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01-31-11 | Davidson v. Georgia Southern +10 | Top | 73-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
Still in search of their first league win, the Eagles of Georgia Southern will take the floor this evening at Hanner Fieldhouse when they host the Davidson Wildcats in a Southern Conference bout.
Drayton has been one of the few bright spots for Georgia Southern, as the guard is producing 15.5 ppg. Spencer has been a solid option in the paint for most of the season and is helping out with 11.0 ppg and a team-best 6.1 rpg. The Eagles have paired strong defensive efforts with poor offensive performances and vice versa, and that has led to plenty of losses. I am hopeful that this is a low scoring game, which will favor our points and the underdog here. Davidson is 1-8 ATS against teams with a winning percentage of less than 40% indicating that they struggle to cover big spreads against the lower rung teams in the league. I like Georgia Southern at home plus the points here on Monday night. 5* |
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01-30-11 | Indiana v. Michigan State -10.5 | Top | 83-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
Michigan State coach Tom Izzo has never lost to Indiana coach Tom Crean, his close friend and former assistant. With the 25th-ranked Spartans reeling and the Hoosiers coming off their biggest win in years, look for Michigan State to continue its home domination of Indiana and avoid its first four-game losing streak in four years when the teams meet Sunday night.
Indiana is 0-6 on the road and coming off a huge win. After beating Illinois on Tuesday, they rushed the court and the coaches and players were hugging each other and celebrating like they made it to the final 4. Major letdown on Sunday and Michigan St should smoke them at home behind their tough defense! Michigan State has won 15 straight home matchups since a 62-56 loss Feb. 28, 1991. Michigan State has taken the last four meetings by an average of 19.0 points and I expect a similar type of victory Sunday evening. 10* College GAME OF THE YEAR |
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01-29-11 | Butler -2 v. Valparaiso | Top | 79-85 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
I think this Saturday game will be the deciding weekend for this Butler team. They have a chance to go on the road and make a statement against a very good team. The season has been a roller coaster of wins and losses, but when Butler has 4 or more days of rest, but are a very dangerous team. Butler hasn't played since last Sunday. Butler has won seven straight in the series and I like them on Saturday afternoon.
10* HAMMER PLAY |
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01-29-11 | Louisville +5 v. Connecticut | Top | 79-78 | Win | 100 | 1 h 22 m | Show |
After once struggling to defend the 3-point line, I look for a Louisville team that uses a strong perimeter efforts to beat the Huskies here on Saturday afternoon.
Louisville shot 43.5 percent on 3-pointers in two victories over UConn in 2009-10, making 10 in each contest. On defense, Louisville (16-4, 5-2) will look to slow down Big East scoring leader Kemba Walker, averaging 23.4 points after scoring 14.6 a game last season as a sophomore. Walker averaged 21.5 points and 38.7 percent shooting against the Cardinals in 2009-10. Rick Pitino said he has a plan for Kemba. Louisville is very agressive and gets a lot of steals, with Siva at 2.3 per game. The 5-foot-11 Siva is the only Big East player under 6 feet who has been a regular starter and is shooting over 50 percent. I expect a very tight game so I am taking the 5 points and the underdog Louisville Cardinals on the early action Saturday. 10* Underdog Blast. |
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01-28-11 | Charlotte Bobcats +4.5 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 121-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
After being named the Charlotte Bobcats' interim coach last month, Paul Silas said he wanted to bring some life to a downtrodden franchise. So far, that's exactly what he's done. The Bobcats go for their first four-game road winning streak in two seasons on Friday night when they try to post their third straight victory visiting the Golden State Warriors.
Coach Paul Silas' coaching philosophy and personality have caught on, as the Bobcats (19-25) have won 10 of 16 since his arrival. "We are a confident team right now, and we credit that to coach Silas," Stephen Jackson said after scoring a team-high 23 points in Wednesday's 114-107 win at Phoenix. "He gives us confidence and lets us play and it is starting to show." It's showing on both ends of the floor. Charlotte is averaging 95.8 points and yielding 94.5 per game. Look for a tight game throughout and Stephen Jackson to have a big game against his former team. 5* |
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01-28-11 | New York Knicks +6.5 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 102-111 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
In the first and only meeting of the season, Jamal Crawford scored 21 points off the bench while Al Horford had 17 points and nine rebounds to lead the Hawks past the Knicks 99-90 in New York. The Hawks shot 59% in the first quarter while building a double digit lead that proved to be the difference in the game.
Amare Stoudemire had 24 points and 10 rebounds for the Knicks, while Landry Fields added 15 points and 11 rebounds. The Hawks are just 7-16 ATS in their last 23 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a favorite. The Knicks on the other hand are very good as Underdogs with a 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 road games and 7-1 ATS in their last eight games playing on zero days rest. Lets play the NY Knicks to get another win tonight plus the points. 10* NBA UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH. |
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01-27-11 | Saint Marys CA v. Gonzaga -3.5 | Top | 73-71 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
5*
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01-27-11 | Elon v. Samford +2 | Top | 67-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Just a few weeks ago, Samford sat at 10-5 overall and 2-1 in SoCon play. Since then, the Bulldogs have dropped five consecutive contests, falling most recently to Wofford in a horrendous, 81-43 shellacking.
Samford suffered its second-worst defeat of the Jimmy Teillette area Saturday against Wofford. The 38-point loss was the Bulldogs' worst since a 44 points road loss to No. 2 Texas, in 2005. The Bulldogs were absolutely throttled on both ends of the court against Wofford. They shot just 29.8 percent from the floor and keep turning the ball over. Samford had a team meeting and I guaranteed they'll be prepared tonight at home. The Bulldogs should be hungry for a win, and they'll have enought to knock off Elon on Thursday night. 5* |
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01-26-11 | Eastern Michigan v. Ohio -10.5 | Top | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
Ohio U is must better than their record shows. I continue to believe Ohio is too talented to sink any further in the MAC. They should also have a sufficient reservoir of anger to unload on a hapless road team like Eastern Michigan tonight. Look for a blowout win tonight for OHIO U.
10* |
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01-25-11 | Auburn v. Arkansas -14.5 | Top | 64-73 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
Arkansas is winless in true road games this season, but has won 11 of 12 games at home this year and one of two neutral site games to post a 12-6 overall mark. It has not all been roses of late, however, as the Razorbacks have lost three of their last five contests to fall to 2-3 in SEC play.
Arkansas last played on Saturday as well, and, like Auburn, struggled offensively in a 75-43 loss to Florida. The Razorbacks' 49 points were a season low, as was their 29.4 shooting percentage from the floor. It was ugly and they'll be ready to explode at home tonight! Arkansas averages 70.6 ppg on the season and knocks down a solid 6.3 three-pointers per game. Arkansas in a big way tonight! 5* |
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01-24-11 | Virginia Commonwealth v. Towson +10.5 | Top | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
Virginia Commonwealth owns a staggering 16-1 series lead over Towson, and they beat them in their last meeting by 59. YES 59 points. Towson St had this game circled all year long since VCU was running up the score and laughing th entire game.
Towson is generating 69.6 ppg this season while allowing 75.7 ppg to opponents. Isaiah Philmore paces the Tigers with 14.4 ppg on the strength of his 50 percent shooting from the floor, and he is pulling down 6.7 rpg as well. Braxton Dupree, who leads Towson with 8.5 rpg, checks in with 13.9 ppg, and Rashawn Polk provides 12.1 ppg. Rounding out a foursome of double-digit scorers is Josh Brown with 10.1 ppg. Dupree and Brown both had 14 points against UNC Wilmington on Saturday, while Dre Conner pitched in 12 points off the bench. VCU is clearly the better of these two teams and will get the job done on the road tonight. Towson will keep things close, however, as it has done in many games this season. This game will be decided by 9 points or less. 5* |
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01-23-11 | NY Jets +3.5 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -105 | 45 h 12 m | Show |
Pittsburgh survived a third battle against the rival Baltimore Ravens on Saturday, and it was a very physical game.
The problem for the Steelers is that the Jets certainly won |
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01-23-11 | Green Bay Packers v. Chicago Bears +4 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -115 | 67 h 10 m | Show |
Everyone is saying the Packers are going to win just because they destroyed the NFC-#1 seed and the Falcons.
The Bears are very tough to beat at Soldier Field, and are playing very good ball. They play a great cover 2 defense and have the linebackers to get after Aaron Rodgers. I also give the edge to the Bears and their Special teams and Coaching. The Bears have Mike Tice on offensive line and Martz as offensive coordinator, it's all about finding weaknesses, exploiting them, and using them to your advantage with the best staff Lovie Smith has ever had. Whenever you have a pro-bowl coaching staff, teams improve because they are all talented, for the most part. Lastly, if you watched the Seattle/Chicago game last week, the field got sloppy in the cold weather and this field will slow down the speed of the Green Bay WR's and favor this great Bears defense. Look Chicago to win outright here on Sunday. 10* BEARS |
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01-22-11 | Buffalo v. Ohio -1.5 | Top | 73-68 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
A talented under-performing team in desperate need of a conference win - that's Ohio U right now. After two tough road losses, the Bobcats return home to face Buffalo. DJ Cooper and company are already 1-3 in the MAC and losing here would spell doom for any chances of the sort of season they were projected for. Total motivational play here and Ohio U at home. 5*
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01-22-11 | Rutgers v. Seton Hall -6 | Top | 66-60 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 37 m | Show |
Rutgers is banged up and Seton Hall is a team who is much better than their record indicates. Seton Hall had control of the 2nd half against GTwon in their last game, but ran into foul trouble. Up by 7 with 3 minutes left yes sir they should have won. They were shooting over 60% in the 2nd half. The Pirates are led by Pope as he dominates each game. Look for a huge effort from Seton Hall here early on Saturday. 10*
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01-21-11 | New York Knicks +9 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 92-101 | Push | 0 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
The Knicks beat the Spurs by 13 at Madison Square Garden earlier this month, and the Spurs never had an answer for Stoudmire when he played witht he Suns.
He causes matchup problems for the Spurs. New York will have to worry about containing Parker, but it'll also be anxious to get Raymond Felton back on track. Felton, who had 28 points in the win over the Spurs, has totaled 27 points and shot 23.8 percent in his last three games. Look for the Knicks to keep this game within the number on Friday night. 4* |
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01-20-11 | Arizona v. Washington -9 | Top | 68-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
Washington is by far the better team. They dont turn the ball over and play very good at home.
Washington is averaging 100ppg at home and shoots the 3-ball at a very high percentage. In their wins, they are winning by 18 points or more and should roll tonight. 5* |
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01-19-11 | Toronto Raptors v. San Antonio Spurs -11.5 | Top | 95-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
The Spurs continue their four-game home stand against a Toronto team ravaged by injuries.
With Leandro Barbosa (hamstring) and Jerryd Bayless (ankle) each missing their second straight game, and starting forward Linas Kleiza (knee) added to a growing list of injured Raptors, Toronto (13-28) blew a 12-point lead in the second half in dropping its fourth in a row Monday, 85-81 to New Orleans.
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01-18-11 | Michigan v. Northwestern -7 | Top | 60-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
Northwestern has been playing some very good basketball lately, going 2-1 in its last three games with the only loss being Saturday
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01-17-11 | Kansas State v. Missouri -5.5 | Top | 59-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
Missouri was one of the Big 12's hottest teams and the 15th-ranked Tigers look to win their fourth straight home game against the 21st-ranked Wildcats on Monday evening at Mizzou Arena.
Missouri (15-3, 1-2) is looking to bounce back after it dropped a heartbreaking 91-89 overtime loss to No. 14 Texas A&M on Saturday. Missouri averaged 86.4 points and shot 48.3 percent in non-conference play. I like this Missouri team at home who plays better defense and should pull away in the 2nd half. 5* play. |
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01-17-11 | Phoenix Suns v. New York Knicks -6 | Top | 129-121 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 17 m | Show |
The New York Knicks came home off a four-game West Coast road trip and looked completely out of it on Friday night in a 93-83 loss to the Sacramento Kings.
Today however, I love the Knicks to put a whipping to the Suns as Phoenix visits Madison Square Garden. New York has won three of the last four against the Suns and cashed in 7 of the last 10 meetings dating back to 2006. A little more than a week ago, the Knicks went to the desert and pounded the Suns 121-96 as a 2 |
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01-16-11 | Seattle Seahawks +10 v. Chicago Bears | Top | 24-35 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
I'm taking the points with Seattle as the Bears usually play to their competition. These 2 already battled a tight game and the Bears struggled with other sub 500 teams like Buffalo, Detroit twice and the Washington Redskins.
Seattle coming off their hugely emotional win over the defending champs. They did what no one thought was possible, and proved everyone wrong and I think they can do it again against the Bears whose offensive line is very poor. They beat Chicago 23-20 in week 6, and Cutler was terrible in that game, getting sacked 6 times and throwing 17-39 passing. Seattle is motivated as everyone is doubting them, but 10 pts is too many to hand Seattle this week. 5* |
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01-15-11 | Green Bay Packers +1.5 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 48-21 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
Look for GB to spread the ball out on offense. This has to be giving Atlanta
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01-15-11 | Baltimore Ravens v. Pittsburgh Steelers -3 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
The Pittsburgh Steelers are well rested after their BYE week and will be looking to get revenge at Heinz Field against the Baltimore Ravens. Baltimore is off a win last week, but KC had 5 turnovers and handed them the win.
This Ravens team is very old on defense and with a short week, they'll be hurting and the Steelers linebackers are some of the best in the league to blitz and stop the Ravens rushing attack. The Steelers are a perfect 9-0 ATS in January and are 5-0 ATS against division rivals. Joe Flacco has never beaten the Steelers, in six meetings, when Ben Roethlisberger is under center. Pittsburgh will throw deep to Wallace and that will open up the middle for the Steelers TE's and other WR's. Play Pittsburgh here on Saturday afternoon. 5* |
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01-14-11 | Chicago Bulls v. Indiana Pacers +1.5 | Top | 99-86 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
The Chicago Bulls might be running away with the Central Division thanks to a nearly spotless home record, but their recent play on the road has left plenty of room for improvement.
A night before one of the league's top teams visits the United Center, the Bulls try to avoid a fourth straight road loss to a sub-.500 opponent Friday night against an Indiana Pacers team looking for a season-high third consecutive win. Chicago might be looking ahead to their matchup against Miami on Saturday. Having a healthy Granger - who missed that game with a sprained ankle - should help Indiana make sure Chicago doesn't run away Friday. Granger has averaged 28.0 points in his last five games against the Bulls and is very good at home. Three Pacers scored at least 20 points in a 111-103 win at Philadelphia on Tuesday - Granger led the way with 27 - and Indiana got another balanced effort Wednesday against Dallas. Brandon Rush had a game-high 20 while Granger and Darren Collison each scored 17, but it was rookie Paul George's 16-point effort that was the talk of a 102-89 win. Pacers coach Jim O'Brien stuck him back in the rotation. He'd played in only three of the Pacers' previous 24 contests and is a key spark for the team. The Pacers should feel good about their chances Friday if Collison can continue his hot streak. He's averaged 17.2 points in his last six games, and Indiana is 10-7 when he scores 14 or more. Derrick Rose, meanwhile, has been struggling in road games, shooting 40.2 percent - 3 for 25 from 3-point range - and averaging 5.0 turnovers over the last seven. Lets play the Pacers as our only hoops play on Friday night as they knock off the Bulls at home. 5* |
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01-13-11 | Virginia Tech +6 v. North Carolina | Top | 61-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
The Hokies enter the tilt in the midst of their best run of the campaign, as they have won six straight games following a three-game skid. The most recent of the team's triumphs came last Saturday in a 71-59 besting of Florida State.
The Hokies have really thrived at the defensive end of the court this season, holding opponents to a mere 59.7 ppg and just 39.7 percent shooting from the floor. Offensively, Malcolm Delaney leads the way for Virginia Tech with 18.6 ppg and he is also distributing a team-high 4.0 apg. Jeff Allen is another scoring option at 13.4 ppg and he is close to averaging a double-double with a team-best 9.8 rpg. Look for a very tight game throughout and we'll take the 6 pts and VTech tonight. 5* |
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01-12-11 | Syracuse v. St. Johns +2.5 | Top | 76-59 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Syracuse is one of the few remaining unbeaten teams in the nation, as it owns a stellar 16-0 record. The Orange are off to a 3-0 start in Big East action, but this is only their 3rd road game of the season.
St. John's got off to its first 3-0 Big East start in 11 seasons, but an effort to improve to 4-0 last Saturday was unsuccessful, as the team fell to Notre Dame on the road by a 76-61 final. Still, the Red Storm are a solid 10-4 overall, and the man to thank for the revival is Steve Lavin, the squad's first-year head coach. Lavin's group had won five in a row before the Notre Dame setback and carry a 5-1 home record into this evening's affair. St. John's has three double-digit scorers on the roster with a very good senior heavy team who has experience. Dwight Hardy leads the trio with 16.0 ppg, and Justin Brownlee checks in with 14.6 ppg. As for D.J. Kennedy, he provides 11.5 ppg and 6.1 rpg for the Red Storm, who are netting 72.1 ppg while allowing 65.7 ppg to opponents. Look for St Johns to hand Syracuse their first loss of the year behind their tough defense at home. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK |
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01-11-11 | Indiana Pacers +5 v. Philadelphia 76ers | Top | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
The Pacers will try to avoid their 10th consecutive road defeat tonight.
Indiana shot what remains a season-worst 31.5 percent in their first meeting while Danny Granger missed 12 of 14 shots while scoring a season-low seven points - the only time he hasn't had at least 20 in his last five games versus the 76ers. Look for the Pacers to come out fired up and ready for the game tonight. I expect it to be tight throughout so take the 5 points with the Pacers tonight. 5* |
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01-10-11 | Oregon v. Auburn -1.5 | Top | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
With all of this production and talent on offense, it
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01-09-11 | Boston College +8 v. Nevada | Top | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show |
The Boston College Eagles (7-5, #5-7) are a major underdog on Sunday night as no one is giving them a chance against the 12-1 Nevada who beat Boise St this year.
However- Boston College is well coached and has a very good defense! They also have a big line advantage and a solid rushing attack. BC has some of the besst linebackers in the country along with Penn St. Nevada hasn't seen a defense this good on their schedule and with plenty of time to prepare, I see BC keeping this one tight.5* BOSTON COLLEGE. |
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01-09-11 | Green Bay Packers +3 v. Philadelphia Eagles | Top | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
On paper, the Packers offense appears to have a very favorable matchup against the Eagles defense. First of all, the Eagles pass defense is one of the worst in the league. But add to the mix a rookie making just his third start of his career at safety.
Green Bay |
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01-08-11 | New Orleans Saints -10 v. Seattle Seahawks | Top | 36-41 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 44 m | Show |
New Orleans scores early and often, pand should put Seattle out of it early here.
The Seahawks finished the season with a 5-3 SU home record, it must be noted that none of the five wins came against playoff-bound teams. In fact, those five teams finished with a combined record of 29-51 SU. The three losses came against teams with a combined 33-15 SU record. Seattle lost those games by an average score of 39-16. All three opponents scored at least 34 points. And all nine losses overall came by at least 15 points. The Seahawks' defense allowed an average of 34.8 ppg in the nine defeats. Seattle is 0-9 ATS against teams that average at least 235 yards passing per game, losing by an average score of 36-12. They're on a 0-7 ATS slide in the second half of the last two seasons, against teams with a winning SU record, losing by 21 ppg. And if that's not enough, the Seahawks are on a 0-8 ATS slide off a SU home win, losing by almost 20 ppg! Mike Williams will be Matt Hasselback |
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01-08-11 | Kentucky v. Pittsburgh -3.5 | Top | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 1 m | Show |
Shortly after the regular season concluded, Pittsburgh head coach Dave Wannstedt announced his resignation. Wannstedt was named the 34th head coach in Pitt football history in 2004, and he compiled a 42-31 record over six seasons at the helm of his alma mater.
The Panthers decided on a new leader for the program, hiring Michael Haywood as head coach. Haywood joined the Panthers after orchestrating the biggest turnaround in major college football this past season as head coach at Miami of Ohio. Unfortunately, Haywood never got to coach a single game for Pitt, as he was arrested just a couple of weeks after being hired and charged with domestic battery in the presence of a minor. As a result of the pending legal trouble, Haywood was fired on New Year's Day. Pitt Athletic Director Steve Pederson has named defensive coordinator Phil Bennett the team's interim coach, and he will lead the Panthers into action on January 8th. Pitt is averaging 26.2 ppg and 367.8 total ypg. The Panthers have scored 37 offensive touchdowns through 12 games, 22 of which have been rushing scores. Dion Lewis didn't have as great a season as most expected, but his 956 rushing yards and 12 rushing scores are impressive nonetheless. He gets plenty of help from Ray Graham, who brings 832 yards and eight scores into this bowl game. While Lewis averages 4.9 yards per carry, Graham owns a far more impressive mark of 6.4 ypc. As for Pittsburgh's passing attack, Tino Sunseri has completed 65.4 percent of his passes for 2,476 yards with 15 touchdowns and only eight interceptions. His top target is clearly Jon Baldwin, who has hauled in 52 receptions for 810 yards and five scores. The Panthers have a very good 3rd down conversion rate too. If QB Mike Hartline was playing for Kentucky, it would be a different story, but without him, I really like PITT in this game. Defensively, the Kentucky Wildcats are surrendering 353.9 total ypg and 28.5 ppg. They have given up 41 touchdowns to opposing offenses, 28 of which have been rushing scores. Pittsburgh should be able to run the ball well against the Kentucky defense. The Panthers will rally around their hard working defensive coordinator and get him a win on Saturday. 10* PITTSBURGH on Saturday at 12 Noon ET. |
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01-07-11 | New York Knicks +2.5 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 121-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
5*
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01-07-11 | Wichita State v. Illinois State +8 | Top | 65-51 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
5*
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01-06-11 | Middle Tenn State -1.5 v. Miami | Top | 21-35 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
The top team in the MAC and one of the most underachieving teams in the Sun Belt meet up at the GoDaddy Bowl in Mobile, AL on Thursday night
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01-05-11 | Brigham Young +4 v. UNLV | Top | 89-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
I
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01-05-11 | San Antonio Spurs +2.5 v. Boston Celtics | Top | 103-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich didn't seem to have confidence in his stars down the stretch of a tough loss last night. He pulled all the starters in the 4th quarter. Popovich has guided San Antonio to four NBA championships focusing mainly on defense. However, the Spurs (29-5) are scoring 105.6 points per game this season, good for fourth in the league. Their high-scoring offense sometimes causes opponents to play a more fast-paced game, which New York took advantage of Tuesday in a 129-115 home victory over San Antonio. The 129 points allowed were a season high for the Spurs, who allowed New York to shoot 55 percent. and the Knicks had 101 points at the end of the 3rd quarter.
"If we score 115 points, I expect to win," Popovich sad. "Our defense was pathetic. It was our worst defense of the year. Nothing else tricky about it." The Spurs have bounced back nicely from their other four losses, winning the subsequent four contests by an average of nearly 11 points. Look for a motivated SPurs team to get a win in Boston tonight. 5* |
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01-04-11 | Arkansas v. Ohio State -3 | Top | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Ohio St's only loss was on the road at Madison to the Badgers (31-18) has relegated their season to the Sugar Bowl, even though they won their final five games of the season and topped it off with a, 37-7, victory over rival Michigan in their finale.
Ohio State still has some making up to do for their previous BCS game blunders on national television too, so you can bet the Buckeyes will come ready to play against the Razorbacks. Both teams averaged over 37 points per game, but its Ohio St who has the better defense. Ryan Mallett is a very good QB for Arkansas, but Terrelle Pryor is no bum! You can expect a BIG game from Pryor and Ohio St since he and other starters are suspended for the 1st five games of next season's schedule. Ohio State |
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01-04-11 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Memphis Grizzlies +2.5 | Top | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
The Memphis Grizzlies are now healthy and have been at their best lately. They just beat the Lakers at LA easily and playing very good team basketball. They are led by Rudy Gay and his 21 ppg, the reborn Zach Randolph, and his nightly Double-Doubles, Mike Conley, and Marc Gasol. Then off the bench is OJ Mayo. This team is stacked offensively and also top 10 in the conference in defense as well. They are a young quick team who also bangs and rebounds well.
The Grizzlies have covered 13 of their last 17 and are playing with confidence. Memphis is a more then respectable 9-6 at home and improving with each game. 10* NBA Underdog Game of the Month |
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01-03-11 | Virginia Tech v. Stanford -3.5 | Top | 12-40 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
The VT Hokies roll into Miami on an 11-game win streak, 10-1 ATS yet they are underdogs against Stanford. Frank Beamers boys lost to 1-AA James Madison early in the season and I don't recall any bowl team who won their lost and lost to a 1-AA football school.
Andrew Luck the Stanford QB is the REAL DEAL. Luck only threw 7 INTs all season, and has a HUGE offensive line in front of him averaging 301 pounds/player facing a quick but small VT defensive front at 270/player. It's no secret Stanford offensive coordinator David Shaw will try to establish the running game behind the legs of RBs Stepfan Taylor and Anthony Wilkerson and an experienced offensive line. Shaw's rushing attack features multiple formations and personnel packages along with several pre-snap shifts, and the Cardinal are doing a great job of executing the counter lead play to the weak side. Shaw will overload one side with a multiple-tight end set, forcing defensive fronts to reduce to the strength of the formation, then try to exploit the weak side. Virginia Tech is 1-26 vs.Top 5 ranked teams and Stanford is currently ranked #4 in the nation. Hokies coach Frank Beamer announced Saturday that he has suspended tailback David Wilson and safety Antone Exum for the first quarter of Monday night's Orange Bowl against Stanford. Both players were disciplined for their failure to adhere to the team's 1 a.m. curfew Saturday , New Year's Day. VT won most of their games on Special Teams and in the Turnover margin as I believe they were + 18. However, Stanford doesn't turn the ball over. Stanford coach Harbough is very good and smart coach and coming off a bowl loss last year against Oklahoma in which they were a big underdog. Stanford is making its first BCS appearance since 1999 in the Rose bowl and I expect a big game from Luck with the extra practice and in the National Spotlight. It's been a tremendous season for the Cardinal,and they'll cap off a 11-1 season with a win in the Orange Bowl. 10* BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR ON STANFORD. |
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01-02-11 | Tennessee Titans +10 v. Indianapolis Colts | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show |
Tennessee has one victory since Oct. 24th. The Titans are 3-12-1 ATS when facing clubs
with a winning mark. However, Kerry Collins is healthy and they would love to play spoiler in their final game of the season against the Colts. Nothing is going to come easy for a Colts team racked with injuries on both sides of the ball and cannot stop the run. Chris Johnson should have a field day against the Colts. Manning has thrown 31 touchdowns and passed for more than 4,400 yards, but has 17 interceptions. The Titans hung tough against the Colts just three weeks ago losing, 30-28 and I think this will be another tight game. Take the Titans and the points. 5* |
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01-02-11 | Penn State v. Michigan -7.5 | Top | 69-76 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 14 m | Show |
I think that Michigan will explode in this game after coming off such a poor and sloppy performance against Purdue earlier in the week. Michigan has been known to come back strong with coach Beline while Penn St comes back to earth after upsetting Indiana. I say Michigan shoots like crazy at home and wins 80 to 63.
A 10* Selection here. |
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01-01-11 | TCU v. Wisconsin +3 | Top | 21-19 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
TCU is taking on a superior class of an opponent. They did not face a difficult late-game situation
all season (the scoreboard vs. San Diego State was closer than the game flow), and because of that there can be a real lack of development in some key areas. Wisconsin brings no such issues, and the Badgers may have been the best team in the nation in November, leading Indiana, Michigan and Northwestern by 84 points at halftime in the last three games. Usually those scoreboard explosions would leads to a market over-reaction, but in this case it did not. WISCONSIN has been HOT and I think they pull out the win here in the Rose Bowl and knock off the undefeated TCU team. 5* |
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01-01-11 | Michigan v. Mississippi State -3.5 | Top | 14-52 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
So here we have a team that was 3-5 in the
Big 10, with every one of the losses in double figures, and a defense that was #102 in points allowed and #108 in yards allowed, playing on New Year |
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01-01-11 | Penn State +7 v. Florida | Top | 24-37 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
Historically, Penn State does very good in the bowls when they have this extra time to prepare.
Penn St. The Nittany Lions are playing in their 37th bowl game under Paterno, who is the all-time leader in bowl wins (24) and appearances. Paterno's team is appearing in its 25th New Year's bowl game, having compiled a stellar 17-7 mark. Penn State is 3-0 in the Outback Bowl, beating Tennessee in the 2007 version in its last appearance The Penn State offense has seen better days as well, but the unit isn't totally devoid of talent as the school's all-time leading rusher, Evan Royster, prepares for his final game as a Nittany Lion. Royster carried the ball 188 times this season, producing 916 yards and six TDs for a Penn State team that averages 142.8 ypg on the ground and has scored 14 rushing TDs. The PSU aerial attack accounts for 231.2 ypg, with Matt McGloin, having been given the keys to the ship midway through the season, hitting 58 percent of his passes for 1,337 yards with 13 TDs and only four INTs. Rob Bolden earned the starting QB job in the summer, but threw just five TD passes while being picked off seven times. Derek Moye is Penn State's top receiver with 48 grabs for 806 yards and seven scores, while Brett Barrett is next with 37 receptions for 497 yards and five TDs. Penn State is probably the more physical team and traveling to warm Tampa always helps. With the health of Joe Paterno he may not see another bowl game and his players and coaches realize that. I think it will be a tough battle, but love Penn St plus the TD on Saturday. 10* Barking Dog. |
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01-01-11 | Michigan State v. Alabama -9.5 | Top | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
The oddsmakers have made a clear statement here about
just how good the Spartans really are. It took some unique bounces to get past Notre Dame, Northwestern and Purdue, which could have meant an 8-4 and a bowl appearance several days before this one. Michigan St is 11-1 yet they are 9 pt underdogs here. The non-conference schedule was abysmal, so a team that has yet to win a bowl game under Mark Dantonio has plenty to prove. They have been granted the opportunity against this high profile opponent, but we are not sure they belong. The Crimson Tide simply do everything better across the board |
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12-31-10 | Florida State +3 v. South Carolina | Top | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
SC QB Garcia of Gamecocks can look awesome to mediocre in games, but the speed of FSU will frustrate him. The Seminoles defensive line will cause problems for SC front five.
For the Seminoles they now have Christian Ponder back healthy and he will be the difference maker here. Their backup QB Manuel took more snaps at all the extra practice and is a very athletic QB who will be ready if needed. The only edge I could find for SC was their tall WR's, but overall FSU has more talent and speed and they'll get the win here Friday night. 5* |
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12-31-10 | Central Florida +7 v. Georgia | Top | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
Led by freshman quarterback Jeff Godfrey, Central Florida coach George O'Leary hopes his team is primed to finally earn its first bowl victory.
Georgia coach Mark Richt is looking to redshirt freshman QB Aaron Murray to help the Bulldogs avoid their first losing season in 14 years. The Knights make their second Liberty Bowl appearance in four seasons when they take on the Bulldogs in Memphis on Friday. Godfrey completed 68.4 percent of his passes for 2,042 yards with 13 touchdowns and six interceptions this year, going 9-2 as a starter to earn Conference USA freshman of the year honors. Godfrey, the eighth-highest rated quarterback in the FBS at 165.3, also ran for 546 yards and nine TDs, helping the Knights (10-3) score 33.8 points per game ? 24th in the FBS. He didn't even begin the season as the starter, backing up junior Rob Calabrese before taking over by the third game. "I think he's progressed each week," said O'Leary. "I think the offensive staff has done a great job of not overloading his plate. I think they've put enough on the plate to win the game and not overburdening him with a lot of mental capacity that he couldn't handle at this stage." ------------- The Bulldogs face another tough test against the Knights, who average 192.5 yards on the ground, 25th in the FBS. Also Georgia hasn't played since Nov. 27th and could be very rusty. That attack is led by Ronnie Weaver, Latavius Murray and Godfrey, who ran for 2,178 yards and 30 TDs. Washaun Ealey, who paced Georgia with 751 yards rushing and 11 scores, could have a difficult time picking up yards against UCF. The Knights are surrendering 110.4 yards per game, 10th in the nation. O'Leary's defense, 12th in the nation with 18.0 points allowed per game, is anchored by two-time conference defensive player of the year Bruce Miller. The end has seven sacks ? four in the last two games ? to rank second on the team to Darius Nall (eight). However, they will be without junior running back Caleb King. The Bulldogs' second-leading rusher with 430 yards, King will not play in the Liberty Bowl after missing his fifth academic-related meeting. He missed two games during the regular season with a high ankle sprain and two others for failing to appear in court to deal with a speeding ticket. Georgia will try to shut down Quincy McDuffie, second in the nation with 32.7 yards per kick return. I highly respect HC George O'Leary and he'll have his boys ready on Friday afternoon as I really like their team and their edge on Special Teams as well. Play on U Central Florida plus the points...... 10* selection. |
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12-30-10 | Kansas State v. Syracuse | Top | 34-36 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
You have to give the edge to Syracuse playing in their home state with all of their fans. Kansas State comes in averaging nearly 34ppg, but are one dimensional with their running game.
Syracuse offers a strong defense ranking #5 in total yards, 6th in passing D and 18th in rushing D and finally 13th in scoring defense. Again. How bad was the Big East this year. The Orange only gives up 18 ppg and 270 yards. and Kansas St and everyone else in the Big 12 doesn't play any defense at all. Syracuse played well on the road this year and I like them in this spot on Thursday now that they are almost 100% healthy on both sides of the ball. 10* Pinstripe Power Play |
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12-29-10 | Illinois +1.5 v. Baylor | Top | 38-14 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
This is another bowl game being played in the back yard of one of the participants as Houston should have a huge home crowd advantage with 30,000 fans expected for Baylor, but that doesn't always equate to victory as the Hawaii Warriors found out on Christmas Eve.
Illinois fields a rush-heavy, Run first-Pass offense which was the nation |
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12-29-10 | East Carolina v. Maryland -7 | Top | 20-51 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
A big factor in handicapping early bowl games is trying to find reasons for team motivation. In today's game the Maryland players are motivated to send off their coach Ralph Friedgen a winner.
I expect the Terrapins to be well represented in the stands since their campus is nearby the stadium and Maryland has a nice following. Maryland closed strong this year, rebounding from a 2-10 campaign as season ago to go 8-4 this year, and the Terps did cover 4 of the 5 times this season they were laying points. The Turtle is also 4-2 against the spread in 6 previous bowl games under Friedgen. East Carolina's defense is among the worst in the nation, and eventually will lead them to yet another loss. EC gives up an average of 38 points/game and Maryland should have their way and pull away to a big win in the 2nd half. 5* |
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12-28-10 | Missouri v. Iowa +3 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 47 m | Show |
The Missouri Tigers (10-2) started the season just outside the Top 25 but nearly reached their third Big 12 championship game in four years. Consecutive losses at Nebraska and Texas Tech prevented them from accomplishing that feat.
Iowa has a great coach in Kirk Ferentz. He stated this week "We're anxious to get back on the field and have a chance to compete again." Iowa senior Ricky Stanzi had a career-low 4 INTs this season while registering a career-best 25 TD's. With Johnson-Koulianos out, Stanzi could rely more on another St. Louis native, Marvin McNutt, who led the Hawkeyes with 51 receptions for 798 yards. Coker had 403 yards and two TDs on 81 carries. While Iowa will try to win its third straight bowl game, Missouri will attempt to bounce back from last season's 35-13 loss to Navy in the Texas Bowl. IOWA will be ready here and use this game and the extra practices to prepare for next season. Don't let Iowa's record fool you as they could be undefeated this year. PLay IOWA to notch a win on Tuesday night's late game. 10* |
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12-28-10 | North Carolina State +3 v. West Virginia | Top | 23-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
The Mountaineers are led by superstar running back Noel Devine. His Heisman campaign never developed, but he still remains a threat out of the backfield as a rusher and pass receiving specialist. Quarterback Geno Smith is ok and this is about all the West Virginia team has to offer.
The Wolfpack are an amazing 21-8-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 30 games as an underdog and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. The Mountaineers are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 against the ACC and just 2-6 ATS in their last eight bowl games. Wilson will be able to offset the Mountaineer pass rush with his legs and the Wolfpack will win the Champs Bowl. 5* |
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12-27-10 | New Orleans Saints v. Atlanta Falcons -2.5 | Top | 17-14 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
After going a month without playing at the Georgia Dome, the Atlanta Falcons are one win away from not having to leave home again until a potential trip to the Super Bowl.
It has been more than a year since their last loss at home, when the New Orleans Saints took advantage of a banged-up Atlanta team. The surging Falcons look to clinch their first division title in six years and secure home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs Monday night when they host the Saints, who are one win away from a postseason berth. Playoff-bound Atlanta (12-2) has a two-game lead over New Orleans (10-4) in the NFC South, needing either a victory this week or a home win over lowly Carolina next Sunday to clinch the No. 1 overall seed. Matt Ryan has won 15 straight in Atlanta since a loss to Denver on Nov. 16, 2008, and is 19-1 all-time at the Georgia Dome, tied with Danny White for the best winning percentage in a player's first 20 home starts in the Super Bowl era. In six home games this season, Ryan has thrown for 1,545 yards with 12 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Atalata doesn't turn the ball over and should dominate this game on Monday night at home and behind their home crowd. 5* |
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12-27-10 | Georgia Tech v. Air Force -3 | Top | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
The top two rushing teams in college football meet in the Independence Bowl tonight, but defensively, I think these teams are a world apart. GT will be without their starting QB.
Ga Tech is also dealing with their share of suspensions. It seems like Ga Tech loses players to suspension almost every time they reach a bowl game. Two of the four are starters. Ga Tech also suspended three more players for the first half.
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12-26-10 | Florida International +1.5 v. Toledo | Top | 34-32 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show |
Detroit may not be the most exotic locale for a bowl game, but Toledo and Florida International are thrilled to be making the trip.
While reaching this bowl is a great reward for Toledo, it's a remarkable achievement for FIU, which is in just its ninth season of play at any level and sixth year in the FBS. The Golden Panthers' six wins this season comprise one-fifth of their 30 victories all-time. They claimed a share of the Sun Belt Conference championship with Troy, which they beat 52-35 Nov. 13 on the road. Flor-INT is loaded with speed and played a tough schedule. The Golden Panthers hit their stride down the stretch, averaging 38.0 points while winning four of their final five games. Their offense leans heavily on a pair of running backs, junior Darriet Perry (707 yards and 14 TDs in 2010) and sophomore Darrian Mallary (669 yards, two TDs). Quarterback Wesley Carroll, a transfer who played two years at Mississippi State, completed 61.8 percent of his passes for 2,483 yards with 15 TDs and 13 interceptions. Toledo got a lot of breaks in their games forcing 33 turnovers, but Florida-Int is a solid club who gets this bowl win on Sunday night. 5* |
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12-26-10 | NY Giants +3 v. Green Bay Packers | Top | 17-45 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 6 m | Show |
5*
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12-26-10 | Washington Redskins v. Jacksonville Jaguars -6.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 13 m | Show |
The Jacksonville Jaguars lost their last game to the Colts and now they are tied with Indy for the lead in the AFC South. The schedule is on their side since there may be no better team to get back on track against than the Washington Redskins, who have lost 4 straight and 6 of their last 7.
The Redskins' offense and Rex Grossman had a career day and game last week and I dont see that happening again on Sunday. Washington only has the league's 28th rushing offense and they only picked up 55 yards on the ground in the win over Dallas. One of the main reasons the Jaguars lost last week was that RB Maurice Jones-Drew could not get it going. He only had 46 yards averaging 3.1 yards per carry and it ended his streak of 6 straight 100-yard games. He will get back on track this Sunday since the Redskins' rushing D only ranks 27th in the league and gave up 134 rushing yards to the Cowboys last week. Jags' QB David Garrard was forced to air it out since the Colts stuffed Jones-Drew and he played well passing for 294 yards with 2 TD and 1 INT. The Redskins' defense is not a good one and they will likely be without one of the better players with LB Brian Orakpo doubtful for this game. Also, S Reed Doughty and DE Phillip Daniels are questionable for this Sunday with injuries sustained in the Cowboys game. Jacksonville is the overall better balanced team in all phases of the game. 10* Early Dominator Play on Jacksonville. |
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12-25-10 | Miami Heat v. Los Angeles Lakers -3 | Top | 96-80 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
Many out there think this is the prelude to the Finals and it very well could be the truth. Heat
will get better as the Big Three get used to each other but right now the LAKERS are the better team and all they have heard about is the HEat the last 3 months. Lakers are the veteran team and at home ready to play in statement games. On top of that, wings Ron Artest and Matt Barnes can help Kobe defend and the Heat wont have an answer for Pau Gasol. 5* |
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12-23-10 | Navy +3 v. San Diego State | Top | 14-35 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
This is an interesting contrast in styles between Navy
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12-22-10 | Wisconsin-Green Bay v. Wyoming -4.5 | Top | 68-62 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
Wyoming has won three straight and will be glad to welcome UW Green Bay into Laramie for this Hump Day matchup. After all, the Cowboys have seemingly found a groove and are establishing an identity a little more than two weeks before conference play, and with that comes a wealth of confidence; especially when you're playing at home as winter begins, and where that altitude can be a real issue for unsuspecting teams.
Wisc, Green Bay is mires in a 1-3 slide and likely has no idea what it's like playing in an arena like this. The Arena-Auditorium, where the Pokes are 6-1 this season, can be loud, rowdy and most certainly a nusiance for opposing teams. And make note, the Cowboys are in the midst of a five-game homestand, having already beaten Denver (61-48), Western State (80-37) and Centenary (76-49). Not exactly big-name opponents, but it's the consistency that has brought this team together. Take Wyoming at home tonight! 5* |
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12-22-10 | Utah Jazz -6 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | Top | 112-107 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Utah is 2-1 on this four-game road trip as it wraps up tonight in Minnesota. The Jazz have cashed in three of their last four games and I
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12-22-10 | Utah +17.5 v. Boise State | Top | 3-26 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 34 m | Show |
It wasn
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12-21-10 | Philadelphia 76ers +6.5 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 76-121 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
The 76ers, winners of six of eight, have stepped up on the defensive end, allowing an average of 84.0 points in their previous five matchups. They are playing great ball right now and have covered 13 of the last 15 games.
"Defensively as a team, this is the best we've played as a unit," Brand said. "It feels like we're hitting on all cylinders defensively." Andre Iguodala, averaging 14.5 points, has scored 19.7 in his last three games and 23.2 over his previous five visits to Chicago. Playing for the first time without leading rebounder Joakim Noah, Chicago (16-9) found itself in a close game against the Los Angeles Clippers at home Saturday night and without his presence I think they will struggle against the 76ers who are playing better defense and will be a better rebounding team tonight. TAKE THE 76ERS +6. a 5* play. |
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12-21-10 | Louisville -2.5 v. Southern Mississippi | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 47 h 8 m | Show |
The favorites in the Bowl season are 3-0 so far and I like the chalk again tonight.
This L-Ville Cardinals defense will likely be one of the best groups the Golden Eagles have faced this season. Coach Charlie Strong really made a huge difference in his first season on the defensive side of the ball. The former Florida Gators defensive coordinator turned a Cardinals defense that ranked 69th in 2009 to one of the best defenses in the entire country in 2010. Louisville ranks in the top 15 in both total and scoring defense. On offense the Cardinals Senior quarterbacks Adam Froman and Justin Burke have both shared time behind center. Froman started the season, but has battled some injuries during the 2nd half of the year. Burke has started the last 4 games and has been fairly solid. The Southern Miss secondary has just been horrible against the pass this season so Louisville will have the chance to fire some shots down the field. The Cardinals offense does have a star running back in senior Bilal Powell. Despite being slowed by a knee injury during the latter part of the season he has enough time off to get healthy and recover. I like Louisville who with the 28 days off to let the injured get healthly to get the job done on Tuesday night in the BOWL GAME as a 10* play. |
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12-20-10 | Dallas Mavericks +7 v. Miami Heat | Top | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
The star-laden Miami Heat appeared to be a team in turmoil following a loss to the Dallas Mavericks last month that dropped them to 9-8.
As they prepare to face the Mavericks for the first time since that game, those early season struggles are all but a distant memory for the Heat. Miami will try to extend one of its longest win streaks in franchise history by snapping a 9-game skid to the Mavericks on Monday night. The Mavericks are allowing 93.2 points per game this season and an average of 91.5 in their win streak over the Heat, tied for the second-longest current run for one team against one opponent. "Our goal every night is to play the best defense we can," coach Rick Carlisle said. Dallas has also won 19 of 21 overall against Miami and 14 of 15 since the Heat took Wade with the No. 5 overall pick in the 2003 draft. Dallas matches up well and I'll take Dallas plus at the points on Monday night. 5* |
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12-19-10 | Buffalo Bills +5.5 v. Miami Dolphins | Top | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
Miami came up with a gritty win over the Jets last week, but they really did nothing at all on offense, and with Chad Henne having thrown 11 interceptions already, it is very hard to have any confidence in the Dolphins covering anything over a field goal.
The Dolphins are just 1-5 straight up at home this year, and a money-burning 4-15 their last 19 tries when laying points at home. Buffalo has been a tough out for teams this year, as 5 of their 10 losses this year have come by 5-points or fewer. The Bills are also 4-2 against the spread on the road this year. 5* |
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12-19-10 | Philadelphia Eagles +3 v. NY Giants | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 3 h 12 m | Show |
Huge NFC East game and I cannot pass on grabbing the points with an Eagles team that has just owned their division-rival of late. New York shot themselves in the foot in the first meeting between the teams, turning the ball over 5 times en route to a 17-27 setback.
Philly is now on a 5-game series win and cover streak! The Eagles are also a money-turning 17-3 straight up in the month of December the past 4-plus years, going 14-5-1 against the spread in those contests. Andy Reid has always been great on the road and as a dog. Play the EAGLES Sunday afternoon. 5* |
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