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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-17-16 | Jets +7 v. Cardinals | Top | 3-28 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
The Cardinals have struggled in the role of a home favorite since 2015, putting together a 4-8 ATS mark in the last 12 games at University of Phoenix Stadium. Arizona has already lost outright to New England and Los Angeles in the favorite role, while blowing out Tampa Bay for its only home cover in Week 2. The Jets have played the toughest schedule in the league, facing teams that are a combined 14-9 while taking on four squads that made the playoffs last season. A league worst -9 turnover margin has also been a big factor in the results with three of the five games this season also being on the road. |
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10-16-16 | Chiefs v. Raiders +2 | Top | 26-10 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
On paper, the Raiders look to be the right side here today. Oakland is ranked No. 4 in yards per game, 8th in passing yards, 9th in rushing yards, and 5th in points per game. On the flip side, Kansas City checks in at No. 21 in yards per game, 15th in passing yards, 21st in rushing yards, and 20th in points per game. All week all I've been hearing is how Andy Reid is 15-2 coming off a bye and the public is all over the Chiefs. 10* NFL Game of the Week |
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10-15-16 | Nebraska v. Indiana +3 | Top | 27-22 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 17 m | Show |
Nebraska has yet to record a quality victory on the season. Their win against Oregon looks less and less impressive as the Ducks are in a total colapse. Indiana has covered the spread in five straight Big 10 games. The Hoosiers have a solid QB Richard Lagow has put up a 93-of-155 line for 1460 yards and 11 TD's. They have grown into a competitive football team and a tough out for most opponents. 10* |
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10-15-16 | West Virginia -1 v. Texas Tech | Top | 48-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
Texas Tech doesn't play much defense and W Virgina should be able to score at will in this game. To win Texas Tech, which does not recognize defense as part of the game, has to get into a shoot-out and hope to score enough points to win. That is not going to happen against a very good WVU team that plays everybody tough and has the ability to control the pace of the game with solid defense and Special Teams edges here today. 10* Oddsmaker Mistake Play |
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10-13-16 | Broncos v. Chargers +3 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
Philip Rivers has kept this offense dangerous despite losing the bulk of their anticipated production. Melvin Gordon has yet to become the consistent producer in the backfield, but he is better this season and had a score on Sunday. Role receivers like Tyrell Williams and Travis Benjamin have both been forced to do more and both had 117 yards receiving on Sunday. The tight end duo of Antonio Gates and Hunter Henry is shaping up nicely.
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10-09-16 | Giants +7 v. Packers | Top | 16-23 | Push | 0 | 21 h 28 m | Show |
New York is an underdog here but they are loaded on offense, ranked #6 in yards, including #4 in passing yards, led by veteran QB Eli Manning, WR Odell Beckham and rookie WR Sterling Shephard along with WR Victor Cruz. These are 3 huge threats. You cant look at last weeks performance because NYG always struggles with the Vikings for some reason. I expect a big effort here on Sunday night. While New York has that solid front seven that limits opponents to 84 rushing yards per game, the defense overall has underwhelmed. The Giants have yet to force a turnover and have recorded just four sacks. On the flip side, the Green Bay offensive line has not performed well in protecting Rodgers so there is a chance that Giants can have some success in hurrying Rodgers. Pressuring the quarterback is all but necessary if New York wants to do anything in this game as you can’t beat Green Bay without disrupting the efficiency of the passing game. The Giants are 31-16-2 ATS in October, and I like them here getting a Touchdown to get us the ATS cash. 10* NFL Game of the Week. |
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10-09-16 | Chargers +3.5 v. Raiders | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 14 m | Show |
Coming into this matchup, San Diego QB Philip Rivers has been hot, hitting 68% of his passes and 7 TDs over the first 4 games. Rivers is going to demolish the CBs of the Raiders - Oakland has been giving up 8 TDs in the air to opponents this season and their defense has been awful - it doesn't stop here. |
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10-08-16 | Virginia Tech -1 v. North Carolina | Top | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
After getting an extra week to prepare for the North Carolina Tar Heels, Virginia Tech comes in rested and looking for revenge. This Virginia Tech team has a lot of talent and that has considerable defensive talent, North Carolina will need to achieve some offensive balance. Rushing against North Carolina is the Hokies game plan. North Carolina gave up more than 200 rushing yards last week and currently sit at No. 116 nationally in rush defense. So far this season the Hokies have rushed for nearly 200 yards per game, so look for a big dose of Virginia Tech RB Travon McMillian. Quarterback Jerod Evans, who’s gotten off to a great start throwing the football, is a major rushing threat as well. If Virginia Tech has success on the ground, its offense will be difficult to stop this afternoon and I like the Hokies to get the WIN. |
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10-08-16 | Army +5.5 v. Duke | Top | 6-13 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
Weather could come into play here. There’s likely to be some big wind for this game due to the hurricane, and if that’s the case I want to be on the team that runs the football and also stops the run. Actually, both these teams have been reasonably effective in that area defensively. But Army and its option attack definitely would have the clear offensive advantage. Army struggled in their last game and with extra time to prepare here. I'm on ARMY plus the points here on Saturday afternoon. 5* |
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10-06-16 | Temple v. Memphis -10 | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 13 m | Show |
I like Memphis here on Thursday night. THis is a big revenge game for Memphis who was hammered 31-12 by Temple last season. Memphis opened the season with some lopsided wins over outmanned opponents, including a 35-17 win over SE Missouri, a 43-7 win over Kansas, and a rollicking 77-3 win over Bowling Green. Memphis’ Riley Ferguson threw for 343 yards against Ole Miss, but tossed three INT's and they hung with them for a while but the turnovers did them in. Memphis put up 474 yards on offense on Ole Miss and they should have their way with this Temple team. The Tigers’ defense had given up just 27 points in three games prior to allowing 48 to Ole Miss, including 624 total yards on offense. Memphis is by far the better team here. 5* |
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10-03-16 | Giants +4.5 v. Vikings | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -107 | 23 h 44 m | Show |
The Giants blew it late last week against the Redskins, but you saw what their offense could be. Eli had 2 costly INT's late in that game. The Vikings have played well, but the team has gotten nothing out of its running game, and the offense has managed just 3 touchdowns while ranking 28th in points per drive. 5* |
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10-02-16 | Chiefs v. Steelers -3.5 | Top | 14-43 | Win | 105 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
The Steelers looked terrible in a loss to the Eagles last week getting thumped 34-3 and it wasn't even that close. Steelers RB Bell missed the first three games this year on suspension so he will be fresh and ready to take on a below average Kansas City defense that feels fat and happy after last weeks performance where they got 8 turnovers from the Jets. The Chiefs offense is ranked 23rd overall and their defense allows an average of 348 total YPG. Pittsburgh played awful last week and they were embarrassed. This team was not even in the game after the half way point it seemed as they were out coached and out-classed. Pittsburgh needs a nice bounce back win and this is the perfect spot for them to get it as KC is mostly been inconsistent under Andy Reid. Look for Ben to get Bell moving early and use him often as the Steelers bounce back with a big win here as they'll be motivated on Sunday night.  10* NFL GOW |
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10-02-16 | Bills +7 v. Patriots | Top | 16-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
New England doesn’t have a healthy quarterback right now. Jimmy Garappolo has been upgraded to probable, but he’s dealing with consistent pain from his shoulder injury. Jacoby Brissett has a bad thumb, and if the rookie third stringer gets playing time here, it’s probably good news for Buffalo backers as I dont trust him at all vs the Bills defense. Five of the last seven meetings between these two teams have been one score games. The Bills gave the Pats fits in both meetings last year. The Bills offense has gotten on-track, hanging 64 points on two solid defensive foes over the past two weeks, including their ’save our season’ win against Arizona last Sunday. And the Bills powerful defensive line is poised to put pressure on the Pats QB's forcing them into mistakes. Take the BILLS with the +7 here on Sunday. 5* |
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10-01-16 | South Florida -5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 45-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Willie Taggart is a fantastic ball coach. This team started to show improvements last year when they were really coming together as a squad and that has translated into great progress this year as they are 3-1 out of the gates. This team is much improved and plays with a lot of heart and spunk. This team struggled last week vs Florida State and we like them here consequently to bounce-back because of that. This is a team that beat Cincinnati last year by a score of 65-27 as Taggart is well aware of what Cincinnati runs and has his team well prepared well and S Florida should dominate this game from start to finish on the road after a hard and focused week of practice. With this team coming off a bad loss, with the fact that this team and this coaching staff frankly is making a statement this year and I say South Florida win in a blowout Saturday Night. This is the same team that routed Syracuse on the road and who has scored at least 35 points in each game as well. Take S FLA here on Saturday evening. 10* |
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10-01-16 | Tennessee v. Georgia +4 | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
The Bulldogs gave up 330 yards through the air and over 500 yards in total to Ole Miss last week in an embarrassing 45-14 loss. The loss was one of the worst in recent memory for Georgia fans and did not shed anything positive on Coach Kirby Smart in his first big game. Nows its time to bounce back against a Vols team who was slow to start the game last week with the Gators. Now Georgia team is at home with something to prove is a team few would want to face. Sony Michel is back and rumbling with 66 yards against Ole Miss, and Nick Chubb should be fine even though he hurt his ankle last week. Considering this is the true comeback game for Chubb – who suffered his knee injury against the Vols last year – it’ll be an emotional moment for team and the crowd. I think they take it to Tennessee from the opening kickoff and it’s close throughout, coming down to a last second field-goal by the Bulldogs. This has been a series that has been decided by one possession each of the past five seasons and getting the Bulldogs +4 looks very tasty to me. PLay on GEORGIA. 10* GOW. |
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09-30-16 | Stanford v. Washington -3 | Top | 6-44 | Win | 100 | 48 h 44 m | Show |
Stanford is a more-visible team based on their recent success and the talk of Christian McCaffrey for Heisman are getting backed by the public. Washington is perhaps the lowest-profile top-ten team in college football. This Pac-12 showdown will likely determine the North division’s representative in the conference title game, and the winner will be favored to take the crown. I thought Stanford got outplayed and got beat up pretty good against UCLA last weekend. They were very conservative with their play-calling.  I think Washington, which had 512 yards of offense against Arizona, has the more varied offense and a big edge at quarterback in Jake Browning. The Huskies have the home-field edge and the better overall club. 5* |
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09-25-16 | Broncos +4 v. Bengals | Top | 29-17 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
Most times Denver has guys in all the right places, and their defense just keeps playing better. Yes I know it's Trevor Siemian's first road start, and no DeMarcus Ware, but Shane Ray can bring the heat opposite Von Miller, too. I'm looking for a big day out of C.J. Anderson against the NFL's 32nd-ranked rush defense (138 yards per game), which is still without suspended LB Vontaze Burfict. The Bengals are coming off a physical game against the Steelers while the Broncos had a relatively easy win against the Colts. Including last year's playoffs, the Broncos have won seven straight games. Pittsburgh is very physical and most teams have a hard time preparing for its next opponent. NFL home favorites (Bengals) are 19-23 SU and just 12-30 ATS in games after facing Mike Tomlin's Pittsburgh Steelers. Andy Dalton also got banged up in that game and he will see a stronger defense here on Sunday. Play the Denver Broncos +4 here as our Game of the Week. 10* |
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09-25-16 | Cardinals v. Bills +4.5 | Top | 18-33 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
Buffalo is a strong team with their defense vs the passing game, giving up only 2 TD passes in the air so far this year. Teams are never quite sure which direction Buffalo will be going. Terrible for the passing game of Arizona. As good as he has been for Arizona, Carson Palmer sometimes can try too hard when looking for his big play guys, which can actually backfire for Arizona. Arizona also has had some issues defending the run as well - and Buffalo can exploit that in a manner of Tyrod Taylor, that along with the accruing injuries on the Arizona team are not boding well. Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points, With 10 days to prepare for this game and Buffalo needing a win at home I am taking the Bills plus the points in a tight game.  5* |
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09-24-16 | Florida v. Tennessee -4.5 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
Florida has faced UMass, Kentucky, and North Texas and is in for a rude awakening against a much more talented VOLS team. Last year, Florida won coming back from a 13-point deficit with 14 points in the final four minutes. Don't think the Volunteers have forgotten. College revenge games are huge. Florida is starting a new quarterback Austin Appleby that struggled during his stint as a starter at Purdue. It’s never a positive when you have to go into a big game with a backup quarterback, and it’s doubly bad when you have to go into a big game with a guy who couldn’t cut it at Purdue. This is the Volunteers chance to rocket into the next dimension and remain undefeated and move into the talk of winning the SEC East. The loss of Gators starting QB Luke Del Rio last Saturday is a setback that will be hard to overcome and TENN will be out for a HUGE National TV WIN by double digits behind Josh Dobbs. 10* Oddsmaker Mistake Play |
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09-24-16 | East Carolina v. Virginia Tech -12.5 | Top | 17-54 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
Look for VT QB Jerod Evans to have a HUGE game on Saturday afternoon. We love Virginia Tech and their young coach who looks for blowouts. See how this team responded last week by blowing out Boston College and they want to win and win big against letter opponents. Combine that with the fact they played much better against Tennessee than the score shows and you have a very motivated and talented Virginia Tech team who is playing with revenge! VT is highly talented on the offensive end and with East Carolina still reeling from the near defeat of South Carolina, and VT just has so many weapons and too much speed. I see a major BLOWOUT here! 10* |
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09-24-16 | Central Michigan -3.5 v. Virginia | Top | 35-49 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
Cooper Rush is a very good QB for C Mich who can do it all and they are the better team, no doubt about it, which is why they are favored on the road. They are 3-0 and face an 0-3 UVA team that is just a bad team this year. They lack the athleticism of most ACC teams. Central Michigan's coach also battled cancer recently and now after that treatment, this team has rallied behind him. This team returns a ton of talent especially on the offensive side of the ball and this team has been playing fantastic this season. With some revenge to dish out to Virginia and the fact this team is going to be looking forward to playing this game, I think C Mich gets the win and stays undefeated. 5* |
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09-24-16 | Wisconsin v. Michigan State -3.5 | Top | 30-6 | Loss | -104 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
Wisconsin coach Paul Chryst made a bold move by making a QB change the week of playing at one of the Big 10's most hostile environments at Michigan St here. The really big deal here is that the replacement is redshirt freshman Alex Hornibrook, making his first start on the road at Michigan State, which just won at South Bend. I expected this spread to be 7 or more. On offense, Michigan State has gotten good production from Tyler O’Connor. The senior QB has completed 73% of his passes in the early going, throwing for 431 yards and five touchdowns. He spreads the ball around well with five different MSU receivers splitting those touchdown receptions and O’Connor is a tough runner that is not afraid to use his legs to pick up a key first down. LJ Scott is grinder at running back, getting stronger as the game goes on and he has found the endzone twice already. Play the Spartans. 5* |
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09-19-16 | Eagles v. Bears -3 | Top | 29-14 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 20 m | Show |
5* Rookie QB Carson Wentz on the road, primetime, MNF so now let’s see how you handle the lime light.  Of equal significance is the absence of TE Zach Ertz (rib), the recipient of six Wentz passes last Sunday.
This is a must win for Chicago frankly as they are in a very tough division and we'll back the Bears here at home on MNF. |
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09-18-16 | Dolphins +6.5 v. Patriots | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
If you didn’t see the Dolphins play in Week 1, then all you see is another loss however if you saw the game, then you know they deserve more respect than they’re getting. The Dolphins, who are shaping up to be a more aggressive team under Adam Gase, will learn from their mistakes and their offense will get better. Their defense looks strong and I expect they’ll put a ton of pressure on Garoppolo. The Dolphins forced two turnovers and held Seattle in check all day but allowed a last-minute TD and lost 12-10. The public will likely continue to back New England based on Week 1 outcomes and all I heard all week is Jimmy Garoppolo and replacing Brady. Cant judge a guy off of one game performance. Not only do I think the Dolphins will cover the spread, I think they’ll win this game outright. 10* |
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09-18-16 | Titans +6 v. Lions | Top | 16-15 | Win | 100 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
The Titans took a 10-0 lead into halftime, and towards the end of the 3rd quarter were driving deep in Vikings’ territory up 10-6 at the time. A terrible decision by Mariota led to a 77-yard INT for a TD by the Vikings and another defensive TD on a fumble two drives later pretty much sealed the game for the visitors. Tenn should be able to move the ball against the Lions defense. But let’s not forget that the Titans looked pretty good for most of the game. Detroit is coming off a road win where they were involved in a shoot-out with the Colts. Indy D is horrible, and I don’t think it’ll be as easy against the Titans. One major issue for the Lions is that Levy is doubtful, and he’s their best linebacker. Against a Titans team that wants to run the ball, Detroit is going to be at a huge disadvantage in the middle level of their D. I actually expect a close game here and taking the underdog Titans here on Sunday. 5* |
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09-17-16 | UCLA -3 v. BYU | Top | 17-14 | Push | 0 | 23 h 24 m | Show |
The UCLA Bruins come to Provo to take on the BYU Cougars in big week three late-game action. UCLA got on the right track last week with a routine 42-21 win over UNLV and are still looking to make up for their heartbreaking overtime loss to Texas A&M in week one. It’s a really big game for both teams. UCLA should really be 2-0. That week one loss was a bad one, as they came all the way back to tie A&M to get the game to overtime, only to see a few errors cost them the win. The UCLA defense was seen as the strength of this team, with a slew of returning starters and guys back from injuries, along with some compelling youngsters in the mix. We had BYU last week in a big revenge spot but their short screens and dip and dunking wont be enough to keep up with high powered UCLA. Just stop Tayson Hill and the Bruins will be fine. Look for UCLA to win big and QB Josh Rosen to have a monster game passing. 10* College Game of the Week |
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09-17-16 | Georgia -6.5 v. Missouri | Top | 28-27 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 27 m | Show |
If you'd asked me to give you this number after Week 1 it would've been close to two TDs, now it's under one after Georgia sleepwalked to a 2-point win over Nicholls State and Mizzou hung 61 on Eastern Michigan. Both of those performances were outliers and Georgia is the significantly better team that will be feeling embarrassed after that showing. Mizzou's offense, despite what last week may suggest, is still not good and I like GEORGIA by double digits on the road here.  5* |
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09-17-16 | Alabama v. Ole Miss +11 | Top | 48-43 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
Ole Miss QB Chad Kelly made headlines when he declared himself the best quarterback in the country. In Week 1 against Florida State, he threw for three first-half scores while leading the Rebels to a 22-point lead. But a series of second-half turnovers spelled doom against the Seminoles. Kelly has a chance at redemption here at home against an Alabama team the Rebels have beaten in two straight. Nick Saban was unhappy with his team's effort in a win against Western Kentucky, and I think the Tide are in for a day-long fight against a home dog that has a history of giving them one. Mississippi has the firepower to hang within 11 points here as Ole Miss should be able to stop the Bama rushing attack. I like MISSISSIPPI at home as the double digit dog.  10* Underdog Diamond in the Rough |
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09-17-16 | Florida State v. Louisville +1 | Top | 20-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
The Cardinals have the nation's top-rated offense and they're facing a Seminoles defense that will be without preseason All-American defensive back Derwin James, who tore knee cartilage during last week's blowout of Charleston Southern. Last week Louisville just completely destroyed Syracuse inside the Carrier Dome in a 62-28 final. Quarterback Lamar Jackson accounted for 5 touchdowns as the Cardinals offense posted over 600 yards of total offense. Surprisingly 4 of Jackson’s touchdowns came on the ground as he rushed for 199 yards on 21 carries. After two straight weeks of huge performances, Jackson has started catching some national attention. The Cardinals quarterback has posted Heisman Trophy type numbers in his first two games of the season with 697 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 1 pick through the air along with another 318 yards with 6 touchdowns on the ground. I think the X-factor will be explosive QB Lamar Jackson. I like the Cardinals here at home to get a big win. 5* |
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09-15-16 | Houston -7.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 40-16 | Win | 102 | 24 h 32 m | Show |
Last season in Houston, Cincinnati lost only 33-30. Houston, however, looks to be in a different class this year. Houston looks to be taking some people by surprise, but they didn’t just up and beat Oklahoma out of nowhere. This is one of four teams to face 4 ranked teams last season and beat them all. They defeated three of those opponents by double-digits, adding another double-digit win over a ranked opponent with their victory over Oklahoma in week 1. Cougars HC Herman seems to it going with this talented Houston bunch. The Houston offense has a lot of firepower, led by a versatile threat in Greg Ward, Jr. Houston is the much better team. The Cougars' starting QB and RB missed last week's 42-0 win over Lamar, but both are practicing and are fine for Thursday. Motivated Houston should win by 15 or more. 5* |
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09-12-16 | Steelers -2.5 v. Redskins | Top | 38-16 | Win | 100 | 21 h 60 m | Show |
I think the Redskins will be tough this season with their defense but I think it will take time for them to gel. |
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09-11-16 | Giants v. Cowboys +1.5 | Top | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
The Cowboys will start the year with rookie quarterback Dak Prescott who had stellar numbers during the preseason, completing 78% of his passes and scoring 7 total touchdowns with no interceptions thrown. The NY Giants dealt with some struggles offensively during the preseason, scoring 12 points per game. The X-factors are the Dallas weapons surrounding Prescott as he is playing behind one of the league’s best offensive lines in the NFL plus Ezekiel Elliott, Dez Bryant, Witten, and Cole Beasley at his disposal. It puts Prescott in a good position to manage the offense effectively, particularly against a Giants defense that still grades out as league average and one of the worst last season. I’ll support the home team here with the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday evening.  10* |
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09-11-16 | Raiders +2.5 v. Saints | Top | 35-34 | Win | 102 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
I think that this is a great value on the Raiders. This is a very good young team that could be ready to compete in the AFC West. Derek Carr is one of the top young quarterbacks in the league. He leads a strong passing game and the Raiders boosted their offensive line to help them out. Look for Derek Carr, Amari Cooper, Michael Crabtree and potentially rookie DeAndre Washington to light up the Superdome. An improved Raiders defense will do its job too. Carr has excellent arm strength, and his rhythm with Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree is always there. New Orleans is not the team it once was. They went 0-4 and looked terrible this preseason. They have questions all along the offensive line. The defense was still adding players that other teams cut. Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and get my call on Sunday here.  5* |
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09-10-16 | Virginia Tech v. Tennessee -11 | Top | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
Tennessee entered the season with high expectations under head coach, Butch Jones. Tennessee has a ton of talent and the SEC East is for the taking with a down South Carolina team, a Georgia team with a new coach and eventually a new QB, and a Florida team with the same question marks as Georgia for the most part. Look for the Vols offensive and defensive lines to play much better. They overlooked App St last Thursday for sure. Now you're getting QB Josh Dobbs and the Vols at a discounted rate in this game. Tennessee is the far superior team, and while I like new Hokies coach Justin Fuente, he doesn't have the horses to hang with the Vols. Jalen Hurd will have a monster game on the ground and Tennessee will get back on track in front of over 100,000 fans at home. VOLS by 21. Â Â 5* |
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09-10-16 | BYU +3.5 v. Utah | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
Utah beat the Cougars in the Las Vegas Bowl last December 35-28. We had BYU in that Bowl game and it was one of our rare losers. BYU fell behind 35-0 early with 5 sloppy turnovers and then woke up and fell short by 7 pts. QB Taysom Hill leads the BYU Cougar offense. The 6’2 230-pound Hill is a senior who would like nothing more than to win the Holy War before he graduates. BYU just sneaked by the Arizona Wildcats in week one to open their season. A late field goal gave the Cougars a road win which they hope they can do again at Utah this weekend. BYU’s offense can be effective as they racked up plenty of yards throughout the game and did not turn the ball over. If the Cougars can remain consistent with their offensive schemes they will be in this game all the way to the finish. BYU looked to be clearly the better of these two teams at the line of scrimmage in that game last season and I like them to win this one outright on Saturday night! 10* COLLEGE GAME OF THE WEEK |
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09-10-16 | Cincinnati -4.5 v. Purdue | Top | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
Cincinnati made a surprising move last week by starting QB Hayden Moore over the highly productive Gunner Kiel. Cincinnati was much better than its record suggested last year and they can score points in a hurry. They are the better team and after last week's lackluster showing I expect a much better effort against Big Ten team here on Saturday afternoon. 5* |
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09-10-16 | Penn State v. Pittsburgh -4 | Top | 39-42 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
Penn St did not impress me last week. They had a pick-6 and the defense did not look that good overall. Pitt is a very good team and primed for a very strong season. This team returns 8 on offense and 8 on defense and is very strong up front on both sides of the ball and that will make the difference against a Penn State team that lost a lot of key defensive lineman to the NFL last year. Pitt has its way more or less running the ball and should pull away in the 2nd half and win this one by 10 or more.  10* Oddsmaker Mistake Play |
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09-08-16 | Panthers -3 v. Broncos | Top | 20-21 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
 Stepping into Peyton Manning's worn shoes is Trevor Siemian here on Thursday night. He takes his first legitimate NFL snap against last year's sixth-stingiest defense, which also ranked first in interceptions, tied for first in fumbles recovered and sixth in sacks. Good luck kid! Carolina also gets their best WR Kelvin Benjamin back from injury to go along with Ted Ginn Jr and TE Olsen. Look for the Panthers to make a statement here on Thursday night and win big by double digits. 5* |
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09-05-16 | Ole Miss +6 v. Florida State | Top | 34-45 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
For a team whose quarterback has yet to take a snap in a live game, expectations are sky-high for the Seminoles. FSU will start QB redshirt freshman Deondre Francois. This cast is highlighted by all-purpose back Dalvin Cook, who rushed for 1,691 yards and 19 touchdowns despite missing some time because of injuries. However the Miss defense is very good and will stop the run and pressure the freshman QB.  The Rebels are coming off a 10-win season that saw them upset Alabama for the second straight year. They have a stud at quarterback, with Chad Kelly who led the SEC in passing last season, and he threw a conference best 31 TD passes and passed for over 4000 yards. MISS Head Coach Hugh Freeze’s teams tend to thrive in an underdog role, and I expect them to perform well in a game where their opponent is receiving the majority of the headlines here on Monday night. 5* |
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09-04-16 | Notre Dame v. Texas +3.5 | Top | 47-50 | Win | 100 | 22 h 23 m | Show |
Notre Dame has beaten Texas five straight times, including 38-3 in South Bend last season. This is a major revenge play for TEXAS here at home on Sunday night. Texas should be a better team than the one that got blasted by the Irish in last year's season opener in South Bend, Ind. But the Longhorns are throwing a freshman quarterback into the fire against a very aggressive defense that will give him lots of different looks and ltry to capitalize on his inexperience. With plenty of time to prepare for this game I like Texas and their speed to get the win and cover. 5* |
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09-03-16 | North Carolina +3.5 v. Georgia | Top | 24-33 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
NC's defensive coordinator made a huge difference last year for the Tarheels. Their defense improved by 14.5 PPG. Heels QB Mitch Trubisky was a 4* recruit and he is more than capable of running a spread attack and he had 2 years of experience backing up Marquise Williams. NC still has RB Elijah Wood who is very good. Larry Fedora is a very good coach and NC has 13 returning starters back from last years team. North Carolina is an underrated program and this shapes up as a nice value pick. I like UNC to win outright here on Saturday evening and I love getting 3.5 points as the underdog. PLAY NORTH CAROLINA as our 10* GAME OF THE WEEK. |
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09-03-16 | Kent State v. Penn State -23 | Top | 13-33 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
Trace McSorley is proficient enough to throw the deep ball with touch and more than tolerable precision. McSorley doesn't have a lot of experience behind him, but once he gets over the opening jitters - he will end up with good enough poise from pocket, and looking down the barrel of the D-line of Kent State isn’t going to shake him. If Kent State doesn't connect on the long passes they will not be in this game - bottom line. And with Malik Golden surveying the field from the safety position it is going to be a challenge. Missing tackles can be another big problem for Kent State - Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. MAC. Penn State wins this one big by 30 or more. 5* |
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09-03-16 | Missouri v. West Virginia -9.5 | Top | 11-26 | Win | 100 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
Morgantown is a brutal road trip first of all, and Mizzou has some issues at QB for sure this season. West Virgina is always tough at home. Mizzou has a new head coach, a scheme and all new coaches without Gary Pinkel around. Add in the fact they were a bottom feeder with little offense in the SEC last year, and this is West Virginia’s year to make or break Dana Holgorsen and they have a ton of weapons to do so. Junior college transfer, Natereace Strong, has various speeds as a runner and can call on second gear when he sees daylight. Other than their hopes for him - their running game is going to struggle. Problem is, the defense of West Virginia doesn't work well with allowing big chunk plays like he likes to put together. Skyler Howard has a great vibe offensively for West Virginia, after last year's high scoring season. He has the ability to move the ball - and will. J'Mon Moore is not going to get a ton of targets for MIzzou - Moore is normally a pretty dangerous guy, but this matchup is a nightmarish one for the lengthy WR. West Virginia will not let off the throttle in this one, they never do. Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games West Virginia wins by double digits here early action Saturday. 5* |
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09-02-16 | Army v. Temple -14.5 | Top | 28-13 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
I like Temple at home here on Friday night. We are going against a team who was 2-10 last year and might even be worse this season. Temple is a very good team and Army failed to cover its final six games playing well below their rating and then playing Navy tough in their big rivalry game to end their season. Temple comes off a fantastic 10-4 season and the key members of the offense all return -- 18 starters overall. Look for Temple to win by 24 points or more. 5* |
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09-01-16 | Indiana v. Florida International +11 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -103 | 1 h 18 m | Show |
 I like the home underdog in this matchup on Thursday night. Last year in Bloomington the Hoosiers beat FIU 36 -22 , but what a difference a year makes as it always does. The Hoosiers lost two huge pieces of their offense with Nate Sudfeld and Jordan Howard going to the NFL. The Hoosiers return only 6 starters to their offense and they will have competition at the QB position which will cause difficulty for the team early in the year. Indiana will rely heavily on their running game with Devine Redding who ran for just over 1,000 yds last yr being their main RB. The defensive returns 7 starters to what was a very porous unit last year ranking 120th. Florida INT returns 9 starters to their offense, led by 3rd year QB Alex McGough. McGough threw for 283 yards in Indiana last year and we see more success at home for McGough against the Hoosiers in this years game. They also have a new defensive coordinator so it will be tough for Indiana to prepare for as they dont know what to expect. I think this line is too high and I like Flor-INT with the double digits points here at home. 5* |
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08-28-16 | Chargers +6.5 v. Vikings | Top | 10-23 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 50 m | Show |
Defensive end Darius Philon- Joey Bosa's replacement should be a focal point when the Chargers face the Vikings in a nationally televised preseason game Sunday. Look for Rivers to QB the 1st half followed by Mettenburger and Clemens in the 2nd half. I'll take a shot with the dog here in pre-season week 3 action. The Chargers getting +6 in a preseason game seems a bit too high. Minnesota is at home but they just want to get out of here without more injuries especially on the defensive side of the ball. The Chargers have said they want to open up the playbook and the offense to move the ball in this game. I'll take the 6 pts with SD here on Sunday afternoon. 5* |
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08-27-16 | Giants -2.5 v. Jets | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
Rookie NYG Head coach Ben McAdoo hasn't looked to be in much of a hurry to pick up his first win, but I expect different results tonight. We'll see many of the starters and regulars from both teams tonight, which means the Giants' quick strike offense will be on the field of play. The Jets don't have a lot of talent who show up and play on each down. The Jets know that Eli isn't going to push the boundaries down the field more than he has to, which allows the corners to cheat. Look for Eli Manning to spread the ball around to all of his weapons and the Giants to win here by double digits. I like to play teams coming off a preseason shutout usually bounce back big and have a good week of practice. Take the NY GIANTS as our Saturday Oddsmaker Mistake Play! 10* |
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08-27-16 | Eagles +2 v. Colts | Top | 33-23 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
The Indianapolis Colts have one goal in mind here on Saturday- No more injuries! They have a ton of injuries, most notably in their secondary and just want to get healthy for week 1 regular season action which is in 2 weeks. Indy doesn’t have many healthy bodies in their secondary. Cornerbacks Jalil Brown, D’Joun Smith, Tevin Mitchel, Vontae Davis, Patrick Robinson, and Antonio Cromartie all won’t play. Head coach Chuck Pagano said they will be without 13 injured players and I dont expect Luck to play more than 2 Quarters. The Eagles have one of the best backup QB’s in the league in Chase Daniel, expected to play the rest of the way after Sam Bradford sits. That gives Philly a legitimate QB edge in the second half of this preseason tilt. 5* |
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08-26-16 | Steelers +3 v. Saints | Top | 27-14 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show |
The Steelers are 0-2 so far and only scored a combined 17 points in their games. The Steelers not only were shutout last week in ugly 17-0 loss but 3rd string QB Landry Jones threw 4 INT's. Steelers Head coach Mike Tomlin has his team fired up about responding this week in the critical week 3 game. Look for Pitt to be focused and motivated for this game and hungry for a WIN. The past two Preseasons Pittsburgh only went 2-7 but they NEVER lost more than 2 straight in a preseason. I like the QB rotation with Big Ben, Vick and Jones. This is a Super Bowl caliber Pittsburgh team that does have good depth on its roster and they are highly motivated in this spot tonight on the road. I'll take the STEELERS +3. 10* |
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08-26-16 | Browns +3.5 v. Bucs | Top | 13-30 | Loss | -112 | 3 h 45 m | Show |
The Browns have only scored 24 pts this pre season - look for that to change here? The big news is that Cleveland is getting Josh Gordon and Corey Coleman back for this game. The Browns have had some intense practices and they should be focused on Friday night. TB new head coach Dirk Koetter says he doesn't want to play the starters and veterans much in this game but prob the 1st Q in front of the home fans. We'll take the Browns plus the points here. 5* |
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08-20-16 | 49ers +7 v. Broncos | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
We are going to take the San Francisco 49ers here on Saturday night. Denver is off a shutout win and SF is off a home loss. The Broncos didn't do much in their last game offensively as Mark Sanchez isn't the answer. Almost all of the points came from Special TEams and the defense. On the 49ers side of things Chip Kelly's offense played better than the scoreboard showed, and the 49ers finished the game with 140 more rushing yards than the Texans and 2 more yards passing Colin Kaepernick, Blaine Gabbert, and Thad Lewis is a solid rotation for the 49ers. Turnovers and mistakes killed the 49ers momentum in their opener and that was the focus this week at practice. We are getting plenty of value backing the underdog this Saturday as Chip Kelly teams historically do well in the pre-season and put up a lot of points. Colin Kaepernick, Blaine Gabbert, and Thad Lewis is a solid rotation for the 49ers. 10* |
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08-13-16 | Cowboys v. Rams -5 | Top | 24-28 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
I am backing the LA Rams here at their new location. Dallas comes in after a terrible 2015 season, looking to showcase their talented squad. Dont expect to see Tony Romo in this one. Head Coach Jason Garrett isn't going to put in too much effort and risking any injuries. How much time is Ezekiel Elliott going to see on the field here, if any? The newly moved-once removed-returned Rams have everything to prove in this opener. There will be a load of high energy for the Rams. The fans will be going nuts, getting their team back. LA Rams wins giving the points. The Cowboys aren't a team that puts a ton of stock in preseason results. It's going to be a rough go for Dallas here, playing against that and a pumped up defense and the Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games in the preseason. 5* |
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08-12-16 | Browns +3 v. Packers | Top | 11-17 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
Cleveland goes with RG 3, Josh McCown, and Austin Davis as their QB rotation here at home. We always like playing NFL teams in the Preseason with new head coaches. GB lost WR Jordy Nelson for the season with a torn ACL. When teams lose key pieces of their team to a preseason injury, the natural reaction is to put an even heavier emphasis on getting out of the preseason and limiting their starters and injuries. Nelson will likely not play at all in this game, and Packers head coach Mike McCarthy was all set to start his third-string quarterback in the Hall of Fame Game (along with a number of other younger players fighting to make the team) while having health as is only priority. New head coaches tend to win at a higher rate in the Preseason as they are looking to build winning and team confidence. 5* |
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08-11-16 | Redskins v. Falcons -2.5 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
We like what we saw from Atlanta in last year's preseason, specifically a very fast-paced offense that will look to pass the ball around with a solid QB core. THey have a solid QB rotation with Matt Ryan, Matt Schaub, Matt Simms and Sean Renfree. THe Falcons main focus in practices so far has been on red zone scoring this offseason, we expect the Falcons to show a bit more effort than we would normally see in an opening NFL preseason game. Falcons were 2-0 straight up on their home field under new head coach Dan Quinn last season in the preseason. I expect the Redskins to treat this game as a typical season-opening preseason game, which is simply to get out of town healthy and not care at all about the score. Atlanta's prime area of improvement is red zone scoring, which has a direct impact on the SU and ATS result. I like Atlanta to win by double digits here tonight. 5* |
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06-16-16 | Warriors +2 v. Cavs | Top | 101-115 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
 Golden state was in a bad spot game 5, off a blowout win, without green, and they were laying 6 points. |
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06-10-16 | Warriors v. Cavs -2 | Top | 108-97 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
Golden St now lost 5 of their 8 post-season road games. The Cavs are playing good defense. Curry is not playing that well in this series and the Warriors are likely to be in trouble again in Game 4 as the Cavaliers are now 8-0 at home in the post-season with an average margin of victory of 22 points per win. The Cavs are simply a different team at home and I expect them to be very aggressive here at home whether or no Love starts or plays. Certainly this game is likely to be much closer than the Game 3 win but, that said, there is still great value only having to lay a very small number here with the Cavs. Look for Clevenand to dominate on the rebounding and the Cavs to win game 4. 5* |
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06-05-16 | Cavs v. Warriors -6 | Top | 77-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
Cavaliers strategy was pretty clear in game-one, let anyone but Steph Curry (11 pts), Klay Thompson (9 pts) beat you. You can almost guarantee one of these 2 guys will go off tonight scoring. If the Warriors can win by 15 with their stars having poor games I think we'll see another double digit win tonight. While Curry and Thompson struggled, Golden State’s bench Ike Iguodala, Shawn Livingston and Leandro Barbosa combined to shoot 18-of-24 from the field to pick up the slack for their star teammates, who appreciated the effort. Golden State scored 25 points off turnovers. LeBron James had a huge game overall but the team shot just 7 of 21 from beyond the arc in the series opener. The Warriors have now beaten Caves 6 straight times (5-1 ATS) since last June and have improved to 10-1 at Oracle Arena in these playoffs with a 9-2 mark ATS. 5* |
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05-30-16 | Thunder +7 v. Warriors | Top | 88-96 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
I like the OKC Thunder as we get a team with 2 of the TOP 5 players in the world with Durant and Westbrook who are both coming off sloppy games in game 6. Note, that the last time a team who was up 3-1 who ended up being taken to Game 7 and then losing Game 7 happened in the 1980's by the Seattle Supersonics. The last 3 times that a team that was up 3-1 and then ended up being taken to Game 7 have actually won their game 7 after losing Game 5 and Game 6. This Thunder team also beat the Spurs twice on the road which speaks volumes here. The Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games coming off an ATS loss. Look for a great game which comes down to the wire and we'll take the points with OKC.  5* |
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05-12-16 | Spurs v. Thunder +2 | Top | 99-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
The Spurs were heavily favored in this series but now find themselves with their backs against the wall on Thursday night. No one gave the Thunder a chance in this series as the public and oddsmaker thought the Spurs would roll right to the Western Conf Finals. The Spurs have been struggling with Manu Ginobili and Patty Mills are not making shots. Then there's the lack of ball movement from the Spurs and the Thunder are using Cantor and Adam to win the rebounding battle and Durant and Westbrook are getting to the FT line. OKC has a major athletic advantage and playing at home they are very tough. The series ends tonight as the Thunder pull the upset and win Game 6. 10* |
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05-06-16 | Cavs v. Hawks +3.5 | Top | 121-108 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 37 m | Show |
The Hawks are coming off an absolutely humiliating loss in Game 2 as they allowed Cleveland to make a NBA-record 25 three-pointers and wound up trailing by more than 40 points at one point. Now being down 0-2 in the series I expect them to come out strong here in game 3 at home. I'm pretty confident that Cleveland will not shoot the ball as well tonight as they were 55.6% from three-point range on 45 attempts and 75 of their points came from beyond the arc. .Atlanta has the #1 defense in the NBA the last part of the season and after being embarrassed they will clearly do a better job defending the three point shot. The Hawks are a good home team (30-14 straight up) and they are outscoring visitors by an average of 6.6 PPG this year. They won all three first round home games, two of them by double digits and I look for the HAWKS to get a win here on Friday night.  10* NBA Playoffs Game of the Week |
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05-03-16 | Blazers +10 v. Warriors | Top | 99-110 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
With Stephen Curry still out with a knee injury, the Warriors (78-10, 50-36 ATS) have seen Thompson step up his game. The former Washington State star is 21 of 36 from beyond the arc in his last three games, becoming the first player in NBA history with at least seven 3-pointers in three straight playoff games. I look for Portland to hang tought tonight.  5* |
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05-01-16 | Pacers +5.5 v. Raptors | Top | 84-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
Indiana has played well in this series and I like Paul George to come up big here tonight. The Raptors have had a lot of trouble in the playoffs in the past and Indiana has covered three straight in this series and the oddsmakers are begging you to take Toronto at home minus the short number but we aren't biting. The Pacers are well coached and a veteran team and I expect a very tight game here tonight. |
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04-28-16 | Hawks v. Celtics +2.5 | Top | 104-92 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
Evan Turner has the ability to be a great player, and this is his time to shine. 14ppg and 5rpg, as the typical numbers he puts up, that's just the beginning. They will need to lean on him a bit more in this game at home. Big win in a must win situation. The Hawks are shooting just 41% this series. Which puts them into the "terrible shooting" category. Not something to smile about. Boston will lock it down, and keep the Hawks from getting that number to improve. Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Boston wins and sends this to a game 7. 5* |
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04-25-16 | Heat +3 v. Hornets | Top | 85-89 | Loss | -104 | 22 h 5 m | Show |
The Charlotte Hornets won their first playoff game since returning in 2004 having lost 10 straight. Miami for only the 2nd time since March 1st shot UNDER 41% and prior to their last game NEVER shot under 38% in any game this season until Saturday when they shot 34%!! |
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04-24-16 | Hawks v. Celtics -2 | Top | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
We went with the Celtics's in Game 3 and picked up a win. We will do that same wager here again as I believe Boston will win this one as well. I dont expect Isiaah Thomas to score 42 again but I do expect a balance attack and a good shooting game for Boston. This game will be even more intense now that the series can be tied up..I expect the C's to play some really strong defense in this one. Both teams benches are good, but I favor Boston a little here. Look for Evan Turner to come up big and the Celtics to push the pace and evening up the series here at home. 10* NBA PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE WEEK |
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04-22-16 | Hawks v. Celtics -3 | Top | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
Last time out in Game 2 the Celtics set a NBA Playoff record by scoring just seven points in the first quarter (trailed 24-3) and fought for the remaining three quarters to make it respectable. Look for the Celtics to bounce back here at home. They are well coached and a very good team at home. Boston grabs game 3 here at home and gets us the cash! 5* |
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04-22-16 | Cavs v. Pistons +5 | Top | 101-91 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
I'm taking the points with the Pistons on Friday. Detroit had their chances in game one, which included a seven-point lead early in the fourth quarter and a small, three-point deficit with just over two minutes to go before falling 106-101. They led by a basket midway through the third quarter of game two, but then went silent, not scoring a single point for three minutes and scoring a total of just six points over an eight-minute span from the late stages of the third quarter through the first few minutes of the fourth. I expect different results at home. Detroit is actually 12-3 ATS at home and in revenge of a double digit loss. I like the fact Detroit is playing a physical series, they just need to get out on the perimeter quicker, which I believe they'll do here tonight. 5* |
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04-20-16 | Blazers +8.5 v. Clippers | Top | 81-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
The defense of the Blazers can really change momentum for the team. Al-Farouq Aminu in particular can really give fits to an opponents frontcourt. Portland can get the stops when needed, bottom line, especially Aminu. |
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04-18-16 | Rockets +13.5 v. Warriors | Top | 106-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
This play is being made based with the assumption Stephen Curry plays. We clearly expect a bit of a letdown after Golden State finished the season with the immense pressure of the All-time wins record and there was no doubt they'd be up for game #1, but tonight is bit different. A 26 point win allows Golden State to take a breath and if Curry has any lingering injury his minutes will be limited late. On the flip side Houston shot their second worst FG% since January 15th and the rockets are 6-1 ATS after a loss by 11 points or more. Look for a rebound from the offensive minded Rockets and an embarrassing loss which be a wake up call especially for James Harden who was the Western Conference Player of the Month for April averaging 35 ppg. He also didn't get to the FT line once and that is rare for him. 5* |
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04-17-16 | Pistons v. Cavs -10.5 | Top | 101-106 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
I don't see Cleveland messing around, after seeing how badly the Golden State Warriors and Oklahoma State Thunder won yesterday. Cleveland had a few days off and their focus at practice was on defense. I've said this plenty of times over the years, in the playoffs, that we see teams responding to how other teams perform in their games. Many take it as a challenge, and try to one-up the other. Look for Cleveland to come out and make a statement in its first game against the Pistons. 5* |
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04-16-16 | Celtics +5.5 v. Hawks | Top | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
Boston ended a two-game losing streak with a 98-88 home win over Miami on Wednesday. The Celtics set a franchise record by rallying from a 26-point deficit. The Hawks won the season series with the Celtics 3-1. Atlanta won the most recent meeting 118-107 but I like the Celtics with the points to steal game 1. Celtics are just too good at forcing turnovers, and they will be pushing the pace for sure. The Celtics might win game 1, if not game 2, then they will win games 3, 4 and 6. The Celtics also have one of the best, if not the best perimeter defender, Avery Bradley. Jae Crowder can also close out on Milsap, Teague, or Korver on the perimeter if they are behind the three point line. Jared Sullinger needs to have a big game along with Isiaah Thomas. Brad Stevens is a very good coach and with the a few games to prepare I think the Celtics get the ATS WIN here on Saturday evening.  10* NBA PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE WEEK |
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04-16-16 | Pacers v. Raptors -6.5 | Top | 100-90 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Raptors lead by DeMar DeRozan (23.5), Kyle Lowry (21.2) are netting 102.7 points/game on 45.0% from the field, 37.0% from long range, 77.7% from the charity line. Defensively, Raptors rank third in points allowed at 98.2 and 11th in defensive field goal percentage (44.4 %). Toronto is very good at home and I like them this afternoon to get a big double digit win here. |
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04-02-16 | Villanova -2 v. Oklahoma | Top | 95-51 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
Oklahoma has been playing at a very high level, but now they come in to take on a Villanova squad that’s playing as strong as they ever have as of late. Villanova has been scoring +5 points/game than in regular season and tightening it up on the defensive side also. Head Coach Jay Wright is putting in a renewed emphasis on playing more sound, and fundamental basketball in their recent games. Especially at the offensive end, Josh Hart has been on a tear with his stroke from behind the arc, and this will be no more than a tune-up game for the championship for them. The Sooners made 47% of their shots back in December when they beat Villanova and also hit 54% of their 3 pt shots while the Wildcats had an off day shooting just 31% overall and making just 12% of their 3 pointers(4-32). I dont see that happening today. In their last 7 games the Wildcats held all 7 foes to under 70 points and even more impressive they held those 7 teams to 10 ppg under their season scoring average. This Oklahoma team lacks the elite level of defense that last year’s group had, and that hurts them in their run stopping game. They are still a very good team, but here, vs Villanova, is a different set of conditions. |
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04-01-16 | Morehead State +3 v. Nevada | Top | 82-85 | Push | 0 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
It was more of a rugby game Wednesday as the teams were called for 49 fouls and 4 technicals and in the end Nevada came away with a win and cover. However, Morehead is now accustom to the court, accustom to the altitude and generally including here we favor the loser of the last game in a back-to-back situation. We also have one team which shot their worst 3 pt % of the year, and probably multiple season with Morehead hitting 6.2% and they also shot their second lowest FG% since February 1st. On the flipside Nevada shot a season best 60% from 3 point land. The odds are both teams shoot closer to their averages and will grab the points 5* |
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03-31-16 | Celtics +3.5 v. Blazers | Top | 109-116 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
The Celtics expect Jae Crowder back tonight and he is key to their offense. |
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03-29-16 | Cal-Irvine +1 v. Columbia | Top | 67-73 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
Columbia went 10-4 in Ivy action they went 0-4 versus the pair of teams with winning records and 10-0 versus the teams with losing records. The Anteaters meanwhile are among the teams with the most road/neutral wins with a 17-7 record. Irvine has been focused this entire tourney as they knew they were a longshot for the NCAA tourney but getting snubbed by the NIT lit a fire under them. They also have an amazing ten players that average at least 10 minutes per game. Columbia struggles against strong defensive teams such as their consistent losses to Yale during the year who is a top 35 defense. They run into another very good defense in Irvine who is a top 85 overall team and a top 35 defense as well. 10* |
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03-27-16 | Syracuse v. Virginia -8 | Top | 68-62 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
Taking VIRGINIA here. We had Syracuse on Friday night but they were lucky to get the win. Virginia is a very good team that is clicking on all cylinders right now. THis is a # 1 seed taking on a 10 seed Syracuse team that was under .500 playing in the ACC. They got a gift when Michigan State was knocked out and Virginia is a much better team that wins here by double digits and advances to the FINAL 4. |
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03-26-16 | Villanova +2 v. Kansas | Top | 64-59 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
THis Villanova team reminds of the Golden St Warriors. THey can all shoot and score and their defense is underrated. Villanova also gets a lot of 2nd opportunities off the offensive glass, their box out ability is top notch. When Villanova goes to the gates with their small line up, they can push the tempo with that lineup. Josh Hart is a genuine all around star, and they can go big with some bulk in the frontcourt, and I expect them to win by double digits Saturday night as our only play on Saturday. |
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03-25-16 | Gonzaga v. Syracuse +5 | Top | 60-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Syracuse has really stepped up their game here in the tournament. They are clicking at the right time. Syracuse has allowed an average of 50.5 points and 30.8 percent shooting so far in the tournament. Syracuse guard Michael Gbinije scored 23 points in the second-round victory over Middle Tennessee. The graduate student, who spent his freshman season at Duke, is averaging a team-high 17.8 points. 'I'd say he's the most improved player that I've had at Syracuse,' Boeheim said. Look for the defense of Syracuse to be the difference here and we'll take the underdog Orange on Friday night. 5* |
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03-24-16 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma -3 | Top | 63-77 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
I have Oklahoma with the better offense, the better defense and with a better record versus a more difficult schedule. I also give the edge to the Sooners as in a tight game their main player , Bobby Hield (#2 NCAA scoring) will be playing at the next level while no one from A&M will and that is the player I want on my team in a pressure situation down the stretch. Lastly Oklahoma was in this same spot LY and can grow from a Sweet 16 loss while the Aggies were playing in the NIT with this experience new to them. I look for OKLA to take care of business here on Thursday night!  10* GAME OF THE YR |
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03-23-16 | Ball State v. Columbia -6.5 | Top | 67-69 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
Columbia is very good at home and is a squad that is top 50 in offense, top 35 in effective field goal percentage and top 30 in turnover percentage. This is a team that is shooting at home and they are a top 25 team when it comes to 3 point field goals and a squad that lost by just 10 to Kansas State on the road. Columbia is the better shooting team, better defense and better rebounding and playing at home I like them to win tonight by double digits. 5* |
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03-23-16 | Florida +2 v. George Washington | Top | 77-82 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
GW looked awesome other night hitting 51% of their shots and 47% of their 3 pointers. I dont see that happening again against the Gators. The GATORS are finding their offensive confidence stride, and their Perimeter Defense remains unmerciful even with Egbunu out. Coach White is coaching lights out top of his game. Florida who played the 17th toughest schedule held their opponents to 40.9% shooting. Florida has won each of their last 3 road games outright with all 3 venues tougher than this, Ohio St, Fla Gulf Coast & Missouri, and they are 4-0-1 ATS their last 5. Meanwhile George Washington comes in 1-4 ATS their last 5 games with the only cover coming in their last game when they shoot over 50% for only the 3rd time in their last 21 games. Look for GW to come back to earth and Florida to get the win here tonight! 10* |
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03-22-16 | St. Mary's v. Valparaiso -3.5 | Top | 44-60 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
Saint Mary’s played only one non-conference road game, and that was a loss at California. Plus, it’s not like the Gaels were beating up powerhouse entries at home, either. Their longest trip of the entire season was to BYU. Simply stated, if you’re a mid-major and you want to insure at-large consideration, the non-league slate has to be tougher than the one the Gaels enjoyed this season. |
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03-21-16 | Eastern Washington v. Nevada -5 | Top | 70-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
The matchup is interesting as even though these teams have not met, I believe Nevada will be very familiar with what they’ll see from the Eagles tonight. Eastern Washington has a strong home court where they are 11-2 SU but on the road they are only 5-11 SU this season. Their FG% is a direct coloration as overall they shoot 48.5% BUT their home/road split is wide shooting 50.9% at home and 45.9% away. Eastern has also played poorly down the stretch going 2-5 SU with one win and cover versus the Big Sky's worst team (Northern Arizona, 5-25 record) and they other came at home in their CBI opener when they needed a 50 point second half performance to beat Pepperdine. The Wolfpack also have a strong home court as they finished the season winning and covering 6 of 7. 5* |
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03-21-16 | Vermont -4.5 v. Seattle University | Top | 73-54 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
Last year Seattle made was invited to the CBI Tourney and sold out both home games. So this season with a 7-7 conference record they again got invited and got to host the first 2 rounds. If you are looking at the matchups for this game that is not a typo as Seattle is 15-16 on the season while Vermont comes in at 22-13 having won 8 of their last 9 and while their road record of 8-9 is respectable they actually won 7 of their last 10 on the road. The Vermont Catamounts are deep and talented and over their last 9 games they have 5 players averaging double digits. With the disappointment of losing to Stony Brook in the America East tourney behind then look for Vermont to step up and get the win here.  5* |
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03-20-16 | Hawaii +7 v. Maryland | Top | 60-73 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
Maryland disappointed us on Friday in that first round game when they fell asleep in the second half allowing S.Dakota State to score 52 second half points and blowing a 18 pt lead. Maryland was forced to travel out west and I like Hawaii here with their solid guard play to keep this game close. Look for a close game throughout and Hawaii to get the ATS cover for us.  5* |
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03-20-16 | Middle Tennessee +6.5 v. Syracuse | Top | 50-75 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
Syracuse's selection to the tournament did get some questioning but overall they are not a good team. Dayton missed over 12 layups and putbacks in their game. The way to beat a good zone defense is to knock down outside shots and that is exactly what Mid Tenn St does. Syracuse only plays 7 players and Cooney has been ICE COLD for weeks for the Orange. I get the feeling that the 'Cuse will be able to snuff out upstart Middle Tennessee State who pulled off a major upset of Michigan State on Friday. The Blue Raiders NEVER trailed against Sparty, and I dont expect a letdown here this evening. Take the dog with MID TENN ST.  5* |
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03-19-16 | Connecticut v. Kansas -8 | Top | 61-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Ninth seeded Connecticut Huskies will be matched up against the top seeded Kansas Jayhawks Saturday and this should be a very one-sided affair. The Huskies are riding a five-game winning streak and downed eighth seed Colorado 74-67 Thursday. None of the wins were against teams with a winning record though and we can note that they're 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 as an underdog. The only edge that UConn has here is at the FT line. I look for Kansas to win big by double digits. The Jayhawks are 12-3 ATS last 15 overall and off a 105-79 drubbing of the 16th seeded Austin Peay. The Jayhawks haven’t lost since an 85-72 defeat at Iowa State on Jan. 25, and are averaging 85.3 points over their last six outings. I don't see how the Huskies will be able to keep up with strong Jayhawks team. 5* |
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03-18-16 | South Dakota State v. Maryland -9 | Top | 74-79 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
From South Dakota we have a 26 win team that has not bee an underdog in their last 20 games and the last time they were was at Weber St and they failed to cover. Maryland must like Oklahoma is a team with the talent to be able to win it all but against fierce competition and has gone 3-5 SU their last 8 games. For them to advance past the first 2 rounds they will have to start playing better starting in this game and a convincing win can breed confidence. Maryland is head and shoulders above the competition South Dakota St has faced. The Jackrabbits average almost 48% shooting at home but only 43.1% away from home and when they played away from home versus the best two defensive teams in their conference (ND St #67 & IUPUI #155) they only shot 40% vs NDSt in the conf tourney and 28.8% when they visited them and only 41% at IUPUI. I expect a shut-down defensive performance for the Terps and a win by 20 or more here. 10* |
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03-18-16 | CS Bakersfield v. Oklahoma -14.5 | Top | 68-82 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
Bakersfield is a great story, no doubt about it. But in truth, it’s tough for me to make a case they can compete for 40 minutes here. The Roadrunners simply don’t have anything on their season resume that indicates to me they can hang with a legit powerhouse on the road. Cal St Bakersfield #326 ranked schedule of the 351 Division 1 teams. When you look at how the Roadrunners did versus teams from a major conference the list is small and in fact it is only one team – Arizona St and they lost by 16 points. When you look at the Mid Majors they faced they played Fresno St and allowed 54.2% shooting and when they went to St Mary’s they allowed 61.4%. When you play on a double favorite in the first round you need to make sure your team needs a feel good win and that is the Sooners wont let off the gas here this afternoon. 5* |
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03-18-16 | Syracuse v. Dayton | Top | 70-51 | Win | 100 | 1 h 55 m | Show |
Syracuse plays zone on 94 percent of its defensive plays, highest of any NCAA Tournament team. Unlike some zone teams, Syracuse defends the 3-pointer very well. Opponents shoot just 30 percent on 3-pointers, 12th-lowest in the country and Syracuse will keep the Dayton fast break in check. In its last 3 games, Dayton is shooting 27 percent from behind the arc and that isn't going to cut it versus Syracuse. Syracuse has also played a much tougher schedule than Dayton this season and it will show in this game. The Orange are the better overall team here with major wins over Duke, Texas A&M and Notre Dame, while all of their losses were very close winnable games. Two years ago Dayton upset Syracuse, so they will be more than ready to play this time around. Dayton ranks 201st in the country at defending the long range shot with opponents shooting 34.9% against them, and that was against a lot weaker opponents than Syracuse. Play Syracuse as they'll be loose and confident here on Friday afternoon. 5* |
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03-17-16 | Gonzaga v. Seton Hall +2 | Top | 68-52 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
Seton Hall got a 6 seed and was sent West despite knocking off two top-five teams - Villanova and Xavier - and winning its first Big East title in 23 years. Gonzaga doesn't have great guards and I like the Pirates to take advantage here on Thursday night. Seton Hall also played the #46 toughest schedule and Gonzaga only played the country’s #116. The Pirates have a top 15 defense and in the last 28 games (since Dec 1st) Gonzaga has played TWO teams with a defense in the top 75. Look for Seton Hall to win by 7-12 pts here.  10* BURIAL! |
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03-16-16 | Cal-Irvine -5.5 v. North Dakota | Top | 89-86 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
It's basically an automatic than if you win your regular season crown and get snubbed by the NCAA your team goes to the NIT. Imaging the Anteaters surprise that despite a 25-9 record they got an NIT snub as well. So now we have a team that was in the NCAA's LY and lost to Louisville by 2 points that also has one of the best road record in CBB at 10-4 SU. Irvine is a tough match-up with the country's tallest player 7'6" Mamadou Ndiaye as his 84 blocked shots this season keeps most players out of the paint and forcing then to shoot jump shots. North Dakota has shot well this season but that was against a Big Sky foes in which 6 of their 10 teams are in the bottom 30 of FG% defense in the country while Ca-Irvine is #8 in the NCAA in FG% defense. 5* |
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03-15-16 | Vanderbilt v. Wichita State -3 | Top | 50-70 | Win | 100 | 28 h 12 m | Show |
I think Wichita State is angry at this spot, and will show the world how good they really are. They've been winning by 20+ every week and already beat Utah and Seton Hall this season both who are very good. This is a veteran team with winning tournament experience. Vandy has big size inside, no doubt. And they can hit the 3. But Wichita knows how to play defense and that will be the different here on Tuesday evening. 5* |
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03-15-16 | Florida v. North Florida +8.5 | Top | 97-68 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
North Florida head coach Mike Driscoll threw a watch party at his house and the North Florida Osprey could not have been more excited. Because UF's O'Connell Center is being renovated UNF hosts their "Big Brother" and it is already standing room only. North Florida had amazing health this season and tonight will be the 35th straight time they started the same line up. The unit is a 3-point shooting machine and they are #1 in the NCAA with 3-point baskets made while also hitting 41% of them which is also an outstanding #8 in the country. The Gators have not been so lucky with their health and will still be without Center John Egbunu and the most important stat is that the Gators are #180 in the NCAA in 3-point defense and N Florida is also playing with 30 pt revenge here tonight.  5* |
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03-15-16 | Mercer v. Coastal Carolina -5 | Top | 57-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 48 m | Show |
This is a Coastal Carolina that will be seething and will be ready to take down Mercer here and it's a decent public fade as well. Remember, this is the same team that went on the road to beat NC Ashville a top 120 team. Mercer started conference play at 8-3 and then went to 8-10 in conference play and though they are ranked in the top 200, after the death of Bryan and the suspension of 2 other players, this team barely beat Citadel a team ranked outside the top 300 teams. Coastal Carolina likely rolls here at home and wins by double-digits this evening as Hoffman's team is outside the top 250 in defense and outsie the top 245 in turnover margin as well. Coastal Carolina by double-digits I see here tonight. 5* |
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03-13-16 | Purdue v. Michigan State -4.5 | Top | 62-66 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
This should be a better match-up today for Sparty. They'll need to shoot it better and without a dominant point guard like Trimble on the other side they should be able to get back in defense better than they did in junctures yesterday vs. Maryland. Bryn Forbes was ( 0-4 ) behind the arc yesterday and very rarely shoots poorly two games in a row. |
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03-12-16 | Fresno State v. San Diego State -4.5 | Top | 68-63 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
The Sun Belt gives their #3 and #4 seeds a bye and their #1 and #2 seeds a double bye so this is Little Rocks first games since Thursday, March 3rd while ULL pounded South Alabama, 90-68, yesterday. The Ragin’ Cajuns win gives us value here as they handily beat South Alabama but the Jaguars were without Ken Williams yesterday who was by far their best player. Statistically the Trojans ranks #2 in the Sun Belt in FG% and #1 in defensive FG% while ULL ranks #3 and #8 respectively. There is even a wider gap in 3-point FG% as Little Rock is #1 in BOTH offense and defense while ULL is last and second last accordingly. While comparing stats with their conference ranks give you a quick gauge but the Trojans #1 Sun Belt defense also translates to the NCAA’s top scoring defense and a #7 ranked FG% which has held 19 of its opponents to under 40% shooting. Add in that Arkansas LR is 5-0 ATS playing a winning team the second half of the season and that after the regular reason the lead the country in wins (27) makes for a great team to back when your laying under a couple of hoops. 10* |
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03-11-16 | Memphis v. Tulsa -3.5 | Top | 89-67 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
There are time that losses give up value and such is the case here. Tulsa comes into the tourney 12-4 SU their last 16 games and all 4 defeats came on the road. Tulsa was a dog or a pick in 3 of those defeats and the games were against the 2nd, 4th and 5th place finishers in the AAC. The fourth loss is fresh in their minds because they were 2 point favorite at Memphis two games ago and lost 92-81 a game that the Tigers shot over 50% overall and over 40% from behind the 3-point line. So know we have the better team laying basically the same number, this time on a neutral court, and facing a team that had a season best performance. Memphis by the way is 0-5 SU/ATS their last 5 away from home.  5* |
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03-11-16 | Florida v. Texas A&M -4.5 | Top | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 2 h 38 m | Show |
Most times the SEC champ comes into the conference tournament with nothing to prove and a #1 seed locked up. Not the case this year as A&M in their first season in the SEC had 7 conference wins, they had 8 in their 2nd season, 11 last year and 13 this season. The Aggies are now rested after a first round bye and are filled with confidence having won 7 straight. It is also a positive that in their lone game this season versus Florida, A&M shot a season low in conference action only making 36.1% of their shots but still beat the Gators by 3. Florida finished the regular season going 0-4 SU/ATS before winning their season finale against a Missouri teams that was 3-15 in SEC action. The Gators offense has really struggled down the stretch as in their last 8 games they shot 40% or less 5 times, and while they did top 40% at home versus Kentucky the other two time they topped that mark was versus the SEC’s worst defense, LSU, and third worst which they faced yesterday. A&M is by no means an elite defense but 41% puts then with Florida at #6. 5* |
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