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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-30-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Miami Heat +9 | Top | 93-72 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Miami won this first meeting by 9 points and it looks like Rondo is throwing off the Mavericks team chemistry as Dallas has been struggling. I dont believe the Mavs can cover this large opener considering they are on a 0-4 SU & ATS run. The losses were to Houston, Memphis, New Orleans and Chicago. Overall Dallas has a favorable net point differential of almost 18 points in the matchup, but this does not necessarily project a spread victory. Home standing Miami has won 7 straight in the series and Dallas is 3-12-1 ATS after an ATS loss and 0-7-1 ATS off a SU loss. Too many points here and I am backing the Heat plus the points. 5* |
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01-28-15 | Indiana +5 v. Purdue | Top | 67-83 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
Indiana boasts one of the top shooting and scoring teams in the Nation. Their backcourt duos in the Big Ten, featuring freshman James Blackmon Jr. (16.5-5.6) and junior Yogi Ferrell (16.0-4.9 APG). 6-7 sophomore Troy Williams (13.2-5.9) is blossoming into a solid post player and this is a very athletic team. I look for Indiana to come out on top here Wednesday night! 5* |
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01-27-15 | Ohio +4.5 v. Eastern Michigan | Top | 40-76 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 18 m | Show |
We'll take the Underdog here as we expect Ohio to continue their good play with their inside out play with their pt guard and big game pouring in the points. Keep in mind that Ohio is playing much better than their 7-10 record overall and these are the type of teams we look for late in the season the ones that have come together as a squad and are playing much better than their record indicates. Ohio is a top 140 offensive team, top 85 in turnover margin. Also take note that Ohio has beat the likes of Depaul and given Nebraska all they can handle this year as well. Lets roll with the better offensive team here, who is getting points, who is playing better in conference play having played better competition throughout the season. 10* |
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01-25-15 | Seton Hall +6.5 v. Butler | Top | 57-77 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
Two teams having good years matchup here on Sunday and I think they are very evenly matched. Butler won this first meeting by 4 pts and I expect this one to be just as close. Just like that first contest, these teams are very evenly matched. Both score right at 70 ppg, hit right at 43% from the field and don't shoot free throws particularly well. Seton Hall has a slight edge from 3-point land hitting 35.1% compared to Butlers' 33.6%. Lets take the 6.5 pts with the Hall on Sunday afternoon. 5* |
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01-25-15 | Duke v. St. John's +7 | Top | 77-68 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
St. John's (13-5) was ranked as high as 15th in the AP poll in late December, but it's dropped four of six games since Big East play began. Those two wins, though, have come in its past three games with a 71-67 loss at DePaul sandwiched in between. The Red Storm shot 50.9 percent in an 83-70 win at Providence on Jan. 14 and held Marquette to 31.7 percent shooting in a 60-57 win at MSG on Wednesday. The public is all over Duke with coach K going for his 1000th coaching win. Duke has defeated St. John's 15 of 18 times under 'Coach K' but will be entering this contest 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 against the Big East while the Red Storm are 7-1 ATS in their last eight against the ACC. St. John's leads the Big East in field-goal percentage defense (38.5) as well as blocked shots (6.9) and steals (8.7). Steve Lavin will have his squad ready for this game at MSG on Sunday. Take the pts with the Johnnies. 5* |
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01-24-15 | Oklahoma +2 v. Baylor | Top | 58-69 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 19 m | Show |
Oklahoma has played a tough schedule, tougher than Baylor has so far, and they are doing through playing an offensive attack based on some really smart deep ball shooting. OKL is very good and should have no problem disposing of the Bears. Baylor is very young and I look for OKL to take advantage and get the win for us tonight! 10* |
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01-23-15 | Houston Rockets v. Phoenix Suns -2.5 | Top | 113-111 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
The Suns just beat Portland at home and are one of the top offensive teams in the league. The Suns have won 4 in a row and 7 in a row at home and have a balanced attack with 6 players averaging double figures. The Rockets have been struggling dropping 3 of their last 5 games and not playing much defense and James Harden isn't getting much help scoring. The Suns are 8-2 ATS with same season revenge in this series and Rockets are 6-15-1 ATS after Warriors versus sub. 600 opponents. Lastly, the Suns are 19-4 ATS with a winning record when looking to avenue triple revenge-exact, including 11-0 SU and 10-0-1 ATS when they are playing off a SU win of 10 or less points and own a .590 or greater win percentage. 10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK |
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01-22-15 | Notre Dame -10.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 85-60 | Win | 100 | 1 h 60 m | Show |
ND is one of the top offensive teams in the country with their 5 guard rotation. The Virginia Tech Hokies are just 8-9 this season and are not a good rebounding team which is one of the ND weaknesses. The main reason is their offensive output. The Hokies as a team score just 68 points per game. They will be trying to snap a five game losing streak when they face the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. The Fighting have been playing some excellent basketball this season. They are ranked in the top 10 and come into this game sporting a 17-2 record. For the season the Irish are shooting 53 percent from the floor, ranking second in the country. If the Irish are shooting well, they are tough to beat. I don’t see where Virginia Tech is going to get the offense from to stay with the Irish. Look for ND to be up big and halftime and pull away with an easy double digit win tonight! 10* BLOWOUT! |
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01-22-15 | DePaul +10 v. Seton Hall | Top | 64-60 | Win | 100 | 1 h 59 m | Show |
We roll with another fairly sized underdog here in Depaul as we like decent sized dogs that have motivation to do well just like last night. Depaul has a top 85 offense, and top 60 effective field goal percentage and top 15 in free throw shooting. This team has steadily been playing better for quite a while including beating St. Johns at home in overtime who is a top 40 team, lost to Georgetown by just 6 points (the same team that routed Villanova), beat top 30 Xavier on the road. The Blue Demons are 5-0 ATS when they face teams with a winning percentage of greater than 60% and 6-0 ATS when facing the Big East as well of late. Let's take the underdog DePaul squad to get us the cash tonight. 5* |
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01-21-15 | Indiana State +14.5 v. Northern Iowa | Top | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
We will roll with Indiana State here who come off a shocking loss to Drake a team they never should have lost to in their last game by a score of 84-78. This is a team that is in the top 215 and they never should have lost to Drake and they were possibly looking ahead to Northern Iowa who is a top 25 team and consequently just laid an egg on the road at Drake. Northern Iowa has not really been challeneged thus far but they likely get challenged here against Indiana State as the Sycamores to their credit are 4-0 ATS when facing teams with a winning percentage of greater than 60%, 5-0 ATS against a team with a straight up winning record and the Panthers of Northern Iowa are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games as well. Too many points here tonight. Play INDIANA STATE 5* |
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01-20-15 | Minnesota v. Nebraska -2.5 | Top | 49-52 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
The Cornhuskers have found some reasonably solid footing of late while the Golden Gophers have yet to get on track. The Huskers ended up getting their doors blown in at Wisconsin last outing, but the prior two games were good wins over Illinois and Rutgers. Neither of those teams is top tier by any stretch but they were still what I thought were solid performances in that Nebraska accomplished their game plan in terms of pace and style and got the wins. I expect more of the same tonight. Minnesota doesn’t seem to flourish when things get physical and that’s what they’re very likely to receive in Lincoln tonight. Nebraska has complied an admirable record vs. the spread at home, while the Gophers have burned money on a regular basis when putting on the road uniforms. Nebraska allows just 61.2 PPG on the season, on 38.2% shooting (27th), including 29.1% on threes (24th). No reason to think Minnesota (and in particular, Hollins) will shoot well here, where the ‘Huskers are 22-4 at Pinnacle Bank Arena since it opened and 10-3 ATS at home in Big Ten play since the start of last season. I like Nebraska to pull away in the 2nd half. 5* |
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01-19-15 | Oklahoma v. Kansas -5 | Top | 78-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
The Jayhawks had won and covered FIVE in a row before allowing Iowa State to shoot 50.8 percent and get out easily on the break in an 86-81 loss Saturday that seemed much worse than the final score would indicate. It marked the most points the Jayhawks allowed this season and the second-best shooting percentage for any opponent. That’s in stark contrast to the Jayhawks allowing just 57.8 PPG during their five-game winning streak. Good news from Saturday was guard Frank Mason III (12.9-4.1-4.2) scoring a career-best 21 points to run his double-digit scoring streak to 14 games, the best streak for a Kansas player since Jeff Withey also did it in 14 straight games in 2012-13. Selden (9.2-3.2 APG), Oubre (8.0-4.5) and Graham (6.2) complete Kansas’ best perimeter people with the 6-8 Ellis (12.6-6.6)., the 6-8 Alexander (8.1-5.4) and the 6-8 Traylor (5.3-4.1) are the athletic tough big guys. The Jayhawks have won 12 of the past 13 meetings with the Sooners and I like Kansas to take care of business tonight! 5* |
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01-19-15 | Florida State v. Clemson -4.5 | Top | 59-55 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
It was the Tigers rebounding and outside shooting that took control in the opening half over Syracuse and I like Clemson who is tough at home to get a win over FSU on Monday night. Clemson has a full team effort where several different guys can beat you. 5* |
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01-18-15 | Indianapolis Colts +7 v. New England Patriots | Top | 7-45 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 23 m | Show |
Indianapolis had a great year and had a cold stretch 2/3 of the way thru the season, but are clicking again.
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01-16-15 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Utah Jazz -7.5 | Top | 85-94 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
Utah has dropped three straight games, but take a look at who they have played and you'll see the level of competition drops off a lot tonight. After losing to the likes of Golden State, Houston, and Oklahoma City, a home date with the Lakers should get them back on track tonight. Kobe had a great game last night and was a team player for a rare Change but this is back to back he might not even play. He has 17 assists and his team hit shots but that is rare. He played 31 minutes last night and now travel to Utah.. Jazz are 12-5 SUATS home in this series when Lakers are unrested, including 3-0 SU ATS when Utah is off a DD loss. The Lakers are 2-10 SU and 3-9 ATS before facing the Suns; and 5-9 ATS away after facing the Cavaliers. With Utah 10-0 SU ATS at home off a SU home loss of 6 or more points when facing an unrested opponent in games in which the Jazz owns a win percentage of .466 or less I am backing the Jazz here at home as they have been off and rested since Tuesday with plenty of time to prepare for this game. Utah is beginning to grasp Quin Snyder's defensive schemes. Toss out the 116 points they gave up to the high-flying Golden State Warriors last time out and Utah held their previous nine opponents to just 92.3 ppg Lay the 8 pts as the Jazz win in a burial. 10* NBA Game of the Week! |
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01-14-15 | LSU v. Ole Miss -5 | Top | 75-71 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
OLE MISS is a very good team and took Kentucky to OT last week. Andy Kennedy's squad is a very good team this year and in fact the entire SEC is up this year in College Basketball which has quietly gone unnoticed in the radar. Miss has a couple of great guards who get everyone involved. The team from Oxford is 10-5 this year but note that this team is much better than their recrod shows as they lost to Kentucky in overtime by just 3 points, routed a very good South Carolina team by 16 at home who is a top 35 team, beat Cincinnati a top 30 team, beat Oregon on the road, is a top 25 offensive squad, number 1 in the nation in free throw shooting, top 110 in defense, top 65 in offensive rebounding and top 120 in turnover percentage. What you have here is an Ole Miss team that has consistently played well against LSU over the years and Kennedy's team is aware of the system that Johnny Jones runs and combine that with LSU showing some trouble on the road this year, makes for a good opportunity for Ole Miss to do well this year. LSU is outside the top 190 in 3 point shooting and the bigs from Ole Miss are quite competent in offensive rebounding and this is an Ole Miss team that can score not only from the inside but also from behind the arc which can cause issues for LSU. Some good trends in our favor are that the LSU Tigers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 contests against the SEC and the MISS Rebels are 4-0 ATS following a ATS win and 4-1 ATS when facing a team with a winning percentage of greater than 60%. Look for Miss to come up big here at home and win by 12 or more pts on Wednesday night! 10* GAME OF THE MONTH! |
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01-14-15 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech +4 | Top | 62-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
GT has lost 3 in a row to tough defensive opponents including at ND losing in 2OT. I expect the Yellow Jackets to be fired up tonight. Georgia Tech will provide a serious challenge for the second time this month. The nation's top shooting team was held to a season-low 33.9 percent and also scored its fewest points of 2014-15 against a Cavaliers' defense that ranks among the best in the country, but hung tough before its 11-game winning streak ended. The Irish (15-2, 3-1), who still lead the nation in field-goal percentage (53.5), missed their final four shots and succumbed to a late 9-0 Virginia run. GT is tough at home and also one of the best rebounding teams in the country. They took ND to OT in their first meeting and played very poor on the road. Now they are home and getting +4 points. I'll take GT in this spot here tonight. 5* |
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01-13-15 | Mississippi State +11 v. Texas A&M | Top | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show |
Texas A&M is fresh off taking Kentucky to 2 OT before losing their last time out. Its gonna be tough for them to get motivated for tonights game. Mississippi State looks to give everything they can against a potent team in A&M today after coming off a horrendous performance scoring just 47 points on Florida and losing 72-47 overall. Look for Miss State to quickly bounce-back from that poor effort as this is a team that beat Florida State to their credit and hung as tightly against Oregon as they could on the highway and as A&M comes off such a big effort against Kentucky, it is hard to think that this team is not hung over at least a bit from that loss. Miss State does have a solid defense and this contest is expected to be very low scoring and a possession type contest in general. I'll take the +11 points with Miss St and their balanced attack to keep this one close and get us the cash. 5* |
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01-12-15 | Ohio State v. Oregon -6 | Top | 42-20 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 52 m | Show |
On New Year’s Day, the Ducks pounded FSU 59-20 with one of their most complete performances of the year. At halftime, Oregon held just a slim 18-13 lead. However the Ducks offense, which is built for speed, quickly turned the game into a blowout in the 3rd quarter by scoring 27 points in the first 13 minutes of the 2nd half. Osu better be ready to run on Monday because, those FSU linemen were totally gassed 3 plays into the 3rd quarter. The Ducks offense consistently blew away Florida State’s talented defense with 639 total yards and 301 yards on the ground. The Ducks offense has been clicking and posted incredible numbers against opponents. In fact, the Ducks have scored a minimum of 42 points in each of their last 9 games while covering the spread in each of their last 9 games as well. Oregon quarterback Marcus Mariota threw for 338 yards with two scores against Florida State while he ran for 62 yards with another touchdown. Mariota is the heart of this Oregon offense and Ohio State must do a good job of getting pressure on him as they did against Blake Sims. Otherwise, it is going to be a long night. The difference in this year’s Oregon team is not on the offensive side of the ball, but rather their defense has been really good. I think the Ducks defense is the difference in this game as I think they'll hold Ohio St to FG's and not TD's and the Ducks will pull away in the 2nd half as 10 days is not enough time for Ohio St to prep for this explosive Ducks team. Oregon wins by 14-22 points in a high scoring game! 5* BEST BET CHAMPIONSHIP WINNER! |
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01-11-15 | Dallas Cowboys +6 v. Green Bay Packers | Top | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
Dallas main key here today will be keeping Rodgers off the field as much as possible. The Cowboys should bring pressure on the injuried Rodgers this afternoon. I expect the Cowboys offensive line to play better and we'll see a lot of DeMarco Murray, all day long, They obviously have been a great scoring team, regardless of the defense they have played all season. And for those who question, for what could be a pretty good linebacking unit, Rolando McClain was the key ingredient for the Boys, him being questionable is a certain worry. I also look for a big game from Witten and Dez Bryant and other receivers have been the bulk of their scoring plays. The calf injury to Aaron Rodgers is not to be taken lightly. He's a mobile QB that likes to get out of the pocket and buy some extra time. Additionally, the Dallas defenders know exactly where the injury is and may put their helmets in that area as they hit him. He only took 50% of the reps at practice this week so he might be rusty with 2 weeks off. Dallas has been very good on the road this year and so has Romo. Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road and I'll back them as a nice dog on Sunday. 5* |
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01-10-15 | Virginia v. Notre Dame +2 | Top | 62-56 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Very dangerous spot for one of the three remaining unbeaten teams in the college ranks today, as Virginia hits South Bend with a perfect 14-0 straight up mark. That's all fine and dandy, but their opponent is fresh off a solid upset win at North Carolina, and can boast a pretty darn nice 15-1 straight up mark thus far. Notre Dame also happens to be at home where they simply do not lose all that often. Not only that, but they are playing in double-revenge after getting absolutely schooled not once, but twice last season. Virginia pounded the Irish 70-49 in Charlottesville last February, and they also took Notre Dame to school at the end of last January, 68-53 in South Bend. Big revenge spot here for ND at home on Saturday evening. 5* |
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01-10-15 | Baltimore Ravens v. New England Patriots -7 | Top | 31-35 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
I love the Patriots coming off a BYE here on Saturday afternoon at home. Their offense has been unstoppable and their defense has been tough. NE also played a very tough schedule and I expect them to put a lot of pressure on Flacco. Baltimore has consistently struggled against the Pass this yearand look for New England who took a beating in the last few years' playoffs run to finally step up here and do well. The Ravens are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win and the Patriots to their credit are 8-0 ATS intheir last 8 home games when facing a team with a winning road record and the Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. New England is coming in off a useless loss vs Buffalo, that meant nothing to them, so they will be good and rested coming into this matchup. They have been like machines, and have been excellent on 3rd down, all season long, keeping drives going. New England is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games against teams with a winning road record. The Pats have a great secondary with Revis & Browner who have the certain ability to shut-down any top ended WR in the league, Look for Brady - Gronk and company to get a double digit win at home here Saturday afternoon. 10* NFL PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE WEEK! |
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01-08-15 | Rutgers v. Nebraska -9.5 | Top | 49-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
5* |
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01-07-15 | New Orleans Pelicans -4 v. Charlotte Hornets | Top | 94-98 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 20 m | Show |
I look for New Orleans Pelicans to bounce back after losing to the Wizards their last time out. Head coach Monty Williams wants Anthony Davis to take more shots, and he has a plan to make it happen. ThePelicans also had 18 turnovers in that game and should be better tonight. They also had a season low in shots with just 74. Injuries are the biggest reason the Charlotte Hornets have been struggling lately. Charlotte will struggle without their big man Al Jefferson for three more weeks with a strained left groin. I don't see them stopping Anthony Davis tonight! 5* |
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01-07-15 | Seton Hall v. Xavier -7 | Top | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 1 h 15 m | Show |
We roll with Xavier here as they have a unique advantage of really stepping up and doing well. See, these small conferene teams need to have quality wins just in case they do not do well in conference tournaments and maybe they have a shot at an at large bid. Xavier sports a top 15 offense overall and a top 15 effective field goal percentage as well. Xavier is one of the best offensive teams in the nation sitting at top 25 in 3 point shooting, top 15 in effective field goal percentage, top 20 in 2 point field goals and top 45 in free throw shooting as well! With this team coming off a very poor performance against Depaul I expect a big bounceback tonight at home. 5* |
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01-06-15 | Arkansas v. Georgia -3.5 | Top | 79-75 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
This Georgia team is very good and already knocked off Colorado, Seton Hall and won at Kansas St. Georgia is very deep and they have a lot of guys who can make plays. The Bulldogs (9-3) are rolling into SEC play with six consecutive wins by an average of 13.7 points. They also own a plus-4.5 rebounding margin during the run, which is their best start and they are starting to gel together now and I look for them to come up big tonight and get a double digit win. 10* |
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01-05-15 | William & Mary -5.5 v. Drexel | Top | 73-47 | Win | 100 | 1 h 54 m | Show |
William and Mary has played some tough teams and they are very talented. I expect them to blowout Drexel here tonight. Drexel has lost 6 in a row and they have only won 2 games all season. They are getting outrebounded and outshot in every game and I look for William and Mary to use their athletes and take advantage here tonight! 5* |
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01-04-15 | Cincinnati Bengals +4 v. Indianapolis Colts | Top | 10-26 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
Cincinnati has a surprising top end running game, and the emergence of Jeremy Hill has been great for Bengals fans. The Colts offense has been dead over the past month. |
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01-03-15 | Baltimore Ravens +4 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
Baltimore, of course, moves the ball on the ground excellently with Forsett. They have a strong defensive front stopping the run, only giving up 3.6/carry. The Ravens have largely been forgotten about this year despite their 10-6 record. They have a veteran QB with Joe Flacco while the Steelers will be without their #1 RB Bell. Baltimore's secondary will have a better game with Bell out of the game as they'll be able to focus on the Steelers WR's and TE more. Look for the Ravens defense get real aggressive and come up with some key stops. I expect to be a very hard hitting, brutal game that we seem to always expect when they play, close playoff game here, Ravens with the points. I like the Ravens +3 to win this one outright on Saturday night! |
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01-03-15 | Arizona Cardinals v. Carolina Panthers -4.5 | Top | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
5* Arizona have been awful, losers of 4 of their last 6 games. And obviously have serious QB issues to deal with. Carolina comes in running the ball well and Cam Newton on a mission. They are playing some great ball, winners of 4 straight and they have gotten hot at the right time, obviously. As well as beating 2 teams with strong offenses, New Orleans and Atlanta. O dont trust Arizona with Lindley here. Its a QB league this year and Newton is worlds better than Lindly. The Panthers defense has also been tough just surrendering an average of 10.8 points during the winning streak and limiting Atlanta to a season-low three points in last week's division clincher. Look for Kelvin Benjamin and tight end Greg Olsen to have big games today. |
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01-02-15 | UCLA v. Kansas State +2 | Top | 40-35 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
Kansas State lost 3 games this season, all to teams who were ranked no lower than 6th. In other words, only elite teams have been able to subdue the Wildcats this season. Kansas State's Jake Waters looks to continue the strong finish to his college career, having completed 73.9 percent of his passes for an average of 331.3 yards in his last three games. The dual-threat quarterback has thrown for 3,163 yards and 20 touchdowns with six interceptions while rushing for 471 yards and eight scores. Kansas State’s offesnse relies heavily on the pass, not that they can’t run the ball, as Charles Jones and DeMarcus Robinson have been productive in spots. Jones has 13 TD runs on just 521 yards rushing. Waters himself has run it in 8 times. But at under 4 yards per run team-wide, their strength is the aerial attack, with dynamic Tyler Lockett and Curry Sexton. Lockett has 1351 yards on 91 catches, while Sexton has 955 yards receiving. Both players are top-notch and very dependable. Defensively, Kansas State is pretty tough. They allowed only an average of 21.8 points per game, while being particularly stout against the run, allowing an average of 124 yards per game. When averaging 36 points per game offensively, I like them as a small dog here. Kansas St is well coached by Synder.K-State is just as physical as Stanford. This is NOT a good matchup for the Bruins. K-State does not beat itself They have committed just 11 turnovers this season, tied for second-fewest in the FBS. The Wildcats have allowed 32 points off turnovers, eight-fewest in the FBS. Kansas State has committed 11 defensive penalties this season, second-fewest in the FBS. If K State controls the ball it is lights out for the Bruins. Head Coach Bill Synder is a guy who can coach a team. Very disciplined. His only losses are to Auburn and he should have won that and Baylor and TCU on the road. Bill Snyder will have his team ready for this bowl game this evening. 10* |
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01-01-15 | Florida State v. Oregon -7.5 | Top | 20-59 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
Oregon is 12-1 on the year with their only loss coming from inner division play. Florida State has been a top notch team, obviously as their record indicates. But they also have 7 games that could have ruined the undefeated season. Jameis Winston has taken a step back since last year, his big play ability moving the ball downfield has declined greatly and has shown a lack of leadership at times. Granted, FSU has a shockingly fast defense, and have a massive O Line. Biggest thing here will be turnovers, FSU simply can't afford the typical mistakes it's made all season. Oregon has been nothing short of awesome, all year. Obviously with Heisman winner Marcus Mariota and his awesome season are the huge headline here. But don't overlook the importance of Royce Freeman hitting the ground for 1299 yds, and 16 tds. They will continue to put pressure on Jameis and stop the offense of FSU. Even with a tight thrower like Mariota, they actually are a run heavy team with a huge RB in Freeman, who will wear them down in the trenches. Both teams have had a long time to prepare, Oregon will win this game, by 10 or more i beleive. Florida State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games OREGON ROLLS THEM! 10* College Bowl BURIAL! |
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12-31-14 | Boise State +3.5 v. Arizona | Top | 38-30 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
This should be a very good game. Boise State is looking to prove they belong with the big boys again, that they aren't your average mid-major. And I truly believe they aren't. They've recovered from the loss of a great coach and are back. Arizona might be feeling some letdown with the way the season ended. They were right on the cusp, on the verge of big things if they could beat a team in Oregon they had beaten in their last two games. To go from that to facing Boise is a bit of a come-down. Boise State is the highest-ranked team not from one of the big five conferences. Coming off an 11-win season, they earned a major bowl berth on the heels of a great season. First-year coach Bryan Harsin has whipped this Boise State team back close to its glory years of several seasons ago. Gunning for their 12th win, they are a heck of a team--they can run and throw the ball well and even play some defense. In their last game before this bowl game on December 6, they beat Fresno State, 28-14, to win the Mountain West Conference championship. The Broncos need to run the ball, which they usually don’t have much trouble doing with RB Jay Ajayi. Once he gets rolling, QB Grant Hedrick can open up with the passing attack with some little trick plays thrown into the mix. Senior quarterback Grant Hedrick has been solid this season. His accuracy is excellent, as he has completed 71% of his throws, along with 22 TD throws and 8 on the ground. It’s good enough for an average of 40 points per game and I love them this afternoon as Boise Wins this bowl game today. 10* |
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12-29-14 | Clemson v. Oklahoma -4 | Top | 40-6 | Loss | -114 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
Monday, December 29th, tune into ESPN at 5:30pm to watch the Russell Athletic Bowl. I will take Bob Stoops with over 3 weeks to prepare for this ranked Clemson team and also an underdog for a reason. Clemson is going with their second string QB here for the Tigers as Watson is gone with an ACL surgery. While the Sooners' offense is getting healthy, the defense has been tough on the road this year. The Clemson Tigers could have trouble moving the ball on the ground considering Oklahoma is 10th against the run at 109.6 yards per game. The Sooners, who were No. 4 in the preseason poll but went 0-3 against Top 25 teams, were 10th in the FBS in scoring at 38.9 points per game and eighth in rushing, averaging 268.6 yards. The Sooners have plenty to prove here and their offense is averaging 39 PPG..They clearly have the offense to do it, behind what figures to be a now healthy QB Knight.Oklahoma averaged 39 PPG with a ground game that averaged 269/6.1, leading an offense to 481 YPG on 6.6 YP play. The DL and OL will be the difference in this game and catching OKL off a loss in their last game as Stoops should have them focused in Orlando Florida Monday afternoon. I look for OKLAHOMA to jump out early in this game and not look back. 10* |
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12-28-14 | Carolina Panthers +3 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
After coming off a big win in New Orleans to stay alive, the Atlanta Falcons open as a 4 pt favorite at home against Cam Newton and the Panthers. The total points are set at 47 overall for this match-up too. So far, 69% of the money is being wagered on the home team Falcons to cover the spread. The Carolina Panthers have come on strong the last couple of weeks. Carolina has the 9th best pass defense in the NFL and they need this to hold true. Their secondary also has gotten faster with a switch to younger defensive backs. Carolina is giving up an average of 13.3 points during its last three games in beating the Saints, Buccaneers and Browns. Carolina also has a strong history under Ron Rivera in December going 14-4 SU and 12-5-1 ATS. The Falcons defense is not that good and they struggle at stopping good TE's. Look for a big game from Greg Olsen. With a playoff spot on the line this one has all the makings of a hard-fought, close game with the winner claiming the division. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and that is the way to play this game on Sunday as well. Take the CAROLINA PANTHERS plus the points. 10* GAME OF THE YEAR! |
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12-27-14 | Nebraska v. USC -7 | Top | 42-45 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
The Trojans face Nebraska tonight in the Holiday Bowl and come into the contest with a 9-2 ATS record in their last 11 games against Big Ten opponents. Nebraska obviously is led by one of the best backs I have seen play, in Ameer Abdullah, he can make plays happen all day. Nebraska, though, ever since the Wisconsin game, have been not themselves, after that 59-24 drubbing, they went into a nasty spiral, and they haven't looked the same since. Nebraska has had problems playing ranked opponents, we have seen them struggle with that all season. Their coached was fired and a new staff is coming in.
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12-27-14 | Penn State +3 v. Boston College | Top | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
The BC Eagles run the ball over 70% of the time, logging the 8th most rushing attempt per game and rank 11th in time of possession. :Penn has the defense and LB's to stop the run. Now they will face the #1 ranked rush defense of Penn State and the Lions have held the opposition to 84 yards per game on the ground. Linebacker Brandon Bell is slated to return for PSU after missing the final two games of the regular season, further improving that stout run defense. Christian Hackenberg makes the PSU offense go and his inconsistencies have largely led to the 6-6 record. With an extra month of practice I beleive that will really benefit Hackenberg with more time with WR's. Penn St also has Akeel Lynch and Bill Belton are serviceable runners DaeSean Hamilton has been a stud at receiver, grabbing 75 passes for 848 yards but has managed just one trip to the endzone and is about the only dependable option in the passing game. Penn St also has a very good kicker which may factor into this game. Take Penn State plus the 3 points here on Saturday evening. 10* |
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12-26-14 | Rutgers v. North Carolina -3.5 | Top | 40-21 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
NC is off a terrible game their last time out getting pounded by NC St. Their QB play was poor, RB, penalties, turnovers, offensive line stunk! Now they've had some very tough practices the past 4 weeks and will be ready to unload on Rutgers. NC was so bad that they only had 30 rushing yards in that game. Look for NC QB Marquise Williams to have a big day and move the ball. THey also have a standout WR with Quinshad Davis. Favored by just 3, North Carolina is looking to finish the 2014 season with a win and an overall winning record. The Tarheels have come a long and improves as the season continued. Winning four of their last six games is what saved the season and allowed UNC to even make it to a bowl game. Rutgers came out early in the season and were winners of five of their first six games. Since that time, they have dropped four of six and find themselves as underdogs to UNC. Statistically, Rutgers is not really impressive in any area and I like NC to come up big here on Friday afternoon. 10* |
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12-25-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers -6 v. Miami Heat | Top | 91-101 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
Look for the LeBron and the Cavs to come out strong here on Christmas Day. |
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12-24-14 | Fresno State v. Rice -2 | Top | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
I like Rice by 7-13 points. Played at Aloha Stadium in Honolulu Starting Time: 8pm EST on ESPN Sunny. Winds northwest at 1-5 m.p.h (Honolulu, HI) Game-time temperature: Around 75. Rice had a good season and though they came up monumentally short on the road against Marshall and Louisiana Tech, they had been in really good form. For Rice to win 6 games in a row with none of them being close is quite a feat for this Owls’ program. But their best win may be their November 21 win over UTEP, another bowl-bound team. In that 6-game winning streak, they beat teams who are a combined record of 23-50. So let’s call a spade a spade. Against teams over .500, the Owls are 1-4 while being outscored 203-77 in their 4 losses. Rice’s offense has some good balance, led by junior QB Driphus Jackson, who has thrown for over 2500 yards and 21 touchdowns, similar stats to Burrell’s, just with half the picks at 8. The run game is led by Jowan Davis and Darik Dillard--a capable explosive duo. Their best receiver is Jordan Taylor, while Mario Hull is an ultra-dangerous playmaker, with a quarter of his touches going for touchdowns. I like Rice laying a small number against a Fresno State team that really struggles defensively. The Bulldogs rank 111th in the nation in total defense with 455.8 ypg allowed. Rice has the more reliable defense, one that ranks 66th nationally with 396.8 ypg allowed. Lastly the Rice Owls are 11-3 ATS under Bailiff when getting more than a week to prepare for the opposition. 5* Best Bet Play o the Day! Merry Christmas and have a great day! |
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12-23-14 | Navy +3 v. San Diego State | Top | 17-16 | Win | 108 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
Navy comes into this matchup with their usual big time triple option running game, behind Keenan Reynolds and his 21 tds. This Navy squad definitely also comes in with a massive chip on their shoulder. Navy has always been looked at as a team that should be beaten by major schools, but we can look back and ask ND that. San Diego State has a poor passing game, no question, which has been nothing more than scraping by through the season throwing the ball. The U.S. Navy has there is a huge Naval base in San Diego and their will be plenty of support for the military in this game tonight. SD ST is a bit lacking on the offensive side of the ball. QB Kaehler is far from dramatic with 56% completions and only a 9/10 ratio. |
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12-22-14 | BYU v. Memphis -1 | Top | 48-55 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
Memphis finished the season very strong and Monday afternoon they go for their 7th straight win. First Bowl since 2008 for Memphis, who turned it around for HC Fuente. The Tigers went 9-3 SU, as they enter today on a 6-game win streak. That 9-3 SU mark followed a 12-48 SU streak the previous 5 years. QB Lynch operates behind an OL that allows just 15 sacks. Memphis is also on a 6-1 ATS run vs. Non-conference foes. Memphis has a very good defensive team especially vs pass coverage. And have been also scoring like crazy recently, putting up 38 or more in 4 of their last 6 games and playing in the warm weather of Florida will only help them with their team speed. And their QB is an excellent athlete, can make plays with his feet, picking up 10 tds in his out of pocket plays. Coach Fuente has done an amazing job in making Memphis believe and in turning this school around. |
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12-21-14 | Seattle Seahawks v. Arizona Cardinals +8.5 | Top | 35-6 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
With Lindley taking over at QB, now even more pressure is going to be put on the Cardinals defense to completely carry the entire load for this team. The Arizona tough defense and great special teams is what is going to keep this home dog in the game today. Lindley was 4-for-10 for 30 yards when he was called upon last week after Drew Stanton got hurt, and there’s talk out of Arizona that they may have a “package” for rookie quarterback Logan Thomas (Virginia Tech) who can run and pass to take advantage of his mobility on Sunday. Also note the home team has won 7 of the last 10 meetings in this series and the Cardinals are unbeaten at home, I'll take my chances. The Arizona defense is one of the best in the league, and even if they only score 7-10 points in this game, their defensive presence alone against a very average Seattle offense should keep this game close. Seattle with Marshawn Lynch boast the NFL’s top running attack at 169 yards a game, but the strength of the Cardinals defense is still their defensive line and their run defense, so they’ll likely try and find a way to make Russell Wilson beat them by throwing it. Arizona is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. Seattle is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played during Week 16. Take the Cardinals here on Sunday night primetime action. 5* |
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12-21-14 | Kansas City Chiefs +3 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | Top | 12-20 | Loss | -125 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
KC’s QB, Alex Smith, put together a decent game last week versus the Raiders. Smith was 18 of 30 for 297 yards passing and 2 TDs and no INTs. RB Jamaal Charles took a big hit to the head and left the game where he went through a number of concussion tests (he returned but briefly). RB Nile Davis relieved Charles and pulled in a 70-yard TD reception from Smith and also ran for a TD to add to the Chief’s scoring. KC dominated this game and made that quite evident when they put up 21 points in 4 minutes and 42 seconds in the 3rd quarter alone. KC’s offense, defense, and special teams all looked really good. KC’s defense is ranked No. 5 in points allowed on the road at 19.29 per contest. Kansas City is solid on both sides of the football, and the same cannot be said for Pittsburgh. Their defense ranks in the bottom half of the league despite playing some of the worst quarterbacks in the league. Kansas City has been a great road team under Andy Reid, covering the spread in 11 of 15 road games the last two years. KC plays tough on the road and I'll take the 3 points with the Chiefs here on Sunday. 10* |
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12-20-14 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Washington Redskins +8 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
On Saturday, Robert Griffin III will again be the starter for Washington because of a neck injury suffered by Colt McCoy. Griffin NEEDS a good showing, in a bad way. The crazy thing about the terrible record for Washington is the fact that statistically they are not that bad of a team. They rank 10th in the NFL in passing, and their defense ranks 7th against the run and they would love to beat the Eagles here at home and lessoning their chances of making the playoffs. RG3 needs to lead the Skins on long TD drives and also, avoid turnovers. Almost 70% of the public money is on the Eagles. Home field in the NFL is huge...ask Buffalo and Green Bay. I like Philadelphia to go into Washington and get the win, but I think it will be a lot closer than most think. Philadelphia is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a losing record at home. Take the RedSkins and the points here on Saturday! 5* |
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12-20-14 | Utah -2 v. Colorado State | Top | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
Utah played 6 ranked opponents this year in a very tough schedule while Colorado State played ZERO ranked teams. Utah is very good when they have more than 2 weeks to prepare for their opponent. Utah is facing a team that gives up 187 yards rushing per game. Utah needs to run the ball, and will, without question. QB Travis Wilson is going to be the X-factor simply because, if Utah is forced to rely on Wilson to throw the ball efficiently, he needs to find Kaelin Clay, it makes them that more dangerous to stop. 10* The Utah defense is very very good with one of the best defensive fronts in all of college football. UTah had 52 defensive sacks, a number that leads the nation and will make life miserable for QB Grayson. The Utes recorded 5 road wins.A negative is a 0-5 ATS record as road or neutral favorite.But, under HC Whittingham, this team is 8-2 ATS in Bowls, indicating his ability to motivate his team for these games and make them a priority. Utah St's coach left and I don't expect the team to be the same. UTAH ROLLS! |
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12-18-14 | Seton Hall -4.5 v. South Florida | Top | 89-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Good road test here for Seton Hall. The Pirates have gotten off to a great start as anyone could have expected and I'm really looking forward to seeing what this team is able to do in the Big East this season. They are deep, a great rebounding team and very athletic. As long as they dont turn the ball over a lot they should win handily tonight! 5* |
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12-17-14 | Arkansas State v. Mississippi State -11.5 | Top | 69-55 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
Arkansas St is not a very good team and this is the first home game for Mississippi State since November 24th and head coach Rick Ray made no bones about the fact his players are looking forward to finally playing in Starkville. We’re getting the Bulldogs off three straight losses, so I would think there’s very little chance they won’t be focused tonight and hungry for a big win. |
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12-16-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Sacramento Kings +7 | Top | 104-92 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
5* The Sacramento Kings take the court tonight with a new head coach. Now the club will have to find their way out of it under new leadership. Kings GM D'Alessandro said the time was right to bring in a coach who can implement an uptempo offense more like the one the Kings had when they went to the playoffs eight straight years starting in 1998-99. While Cousins remains day to day, Sacramento faces a tough test against the Thunder (11-13) as it tries to avoid a season high-tying fourth straight loss in its first game under interim coach Tyrone Corbin. Corbin went 112-146 in three-plus seasons as coach of the Jazz and was not offered a contract after last season. Rudy Gay will be the Kings goto guy along with Darren Collison who are both off a terrible game. I like the home underdog here tonight with the Sac Kings plus the generous 7.5 pts. |
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12-16-14 | Middle Tennessee +13.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 44-68 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
I like the double-digit underdog here to hang tough at Oklahoma State. Middle Tenn St is a team that has a lot of bite similar to Georgia Southern yesterday and this is a team led by Kermit Davis Jr that won 24, 28 and 27 games the 3 prior years before and has a winning mentality program. MTSU has done it on defense as they have a top 35 defense last year and currently sit around a top 125 defense this year. The OKL St Cowboys are 14-29-1 ATS when facing a team with a straight up winning record. 5* |
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12-15-14 | New Orleans Saints -3 v. Chicago Bears | Top | 31-15 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
The Saints got the kick in the teeth that I believe will turn their season around. I see them coming back strong in this one and beginning a streak of wins to end the season. The Saints have more weapons on both sides of the ball. While both teams are 5-8 the Saints have the better QB who doesn't turn the ball over and still alive for the playoffs. Saints are favoured here but that’s a testament to just how bad this Chicago defense has become. The Bears have allowed the most points in the league, an average of 29.1 per games and that includes 75 points in its past two games when the Bears were still in playoff contention. It also helps that Chicago WR Brandon Marshall has been sidelined for the year, allowing the Saints to key on WR Alshon Jeffery. Saints better on road lately and they can control this one. The Saints rebound in a big way and win on MNF. 5* |
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12-14-14 | Dallas Cowboys +3.5 v. Philadelphia Eagles | Top | 38-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
Dallas played their worst game of the season on Thanksgiving against the Eagles. Romo wasn't himself and the Cowboys didn't run the ball or use TE Witten much. Dallas now has had 10 days to prepare for this game while Philly has only had the standard time and got beat up good last week versus Season. This gives Dallas a decided advantage in game-planning. While Sanchez has been mediocre since taking over for Nick Foles, Romo has been having another very good season and despite his back injury is currently rated #3 in Total QBR. He had a bad game against the Eagles last time out and I expect a much better performance from him this time around. Dallas has played very well on the road this season (6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS) and with situation, value and a revenge spot all lining up on the Cowboys. Dallas has played much better on the road this season, going 6-0, and the visitor has been the play in this series, covering the spread in 6 of their last 7 meetings. I am still not a big believer in Mark Sanchez, and the Seahawks provided a blueprint last Sunday as to how to shut him down. The road team has won 7 of the last 9 meetings in this series, the Cowboys are 22-12 ATS as a pup since 2009 and the dog in Dallas games since 2010 is 51-23 ATS. |
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12-14-14 | Green Bay Packers v. Buffalo Bills +5.5 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
Kyle Orton captains the ship for the Bills and the veteran has kept thing moving in the right direction. Orton isn’t a top-level talent at QB but controls the game and makes good decisions, throwing for 14 touchdowns against 7 interceptions. Fred Jackson is back to near full health for the Buffalo and he is the do-it-all guy for this offense. Jackson is a capable runner but really poses a match-up problem in the pass game when he has 53 receptions despite missing time this season. Orton is off a terrible game last week and I expect him to bounce back at home this week. Buffalo is very good on the defensive side of the ball. Sammy Watkins can take the top off the defense but the Bills pass game is designed to pick up yards underneath and grind out clock. Robert Woods and Chris Hogan are serviceable possession options for Orton and he has spread it around plenty with nine different Bills catching at least one touchdown pass. Green Bay has won five straight games but the last three in that stretch have come by three, five and seven points, making this five-point line right in danger zone for the Pack. Look for a lot of Fred Jackson running and pass catching for the Bills with some short routes sprinkled in to move the chains. Scott Chandler could see a lot of action in the seam as Green Bay struggles to cover the tight end. I expect a letdown for GB here and this is a MUST WIN for Buffalo at home if they want to keep their slim playoff hopes alive. The Bills plus the points at home look very tasty to me this afternoon. |
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12-13-14 | Cincinnati v. Nebraska -4 | Top | 55-56 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Nebraska is going to be Fired Up and Highly Motivated here tonight!!! Because, Nebraska is coming off a really tough loss at home and will be Hungry to get their next win. I expect a huge game and better defense and attack the rim more on offense. Big Red is 19-6-1 ATS run following a SU loss. The Cornhuskers have a lot of talent back from last season, including a pair of big-time scorers in Terran Petteway (20.6 ppg) and Shavon Shields (18.2 ppg). Cincinnati's record (6-1) looks good, but they have faced a slate of easy teams on their schedule. Nebraska is also 7-0 ATS as home chalk of less than six points, winning by nearly 13 ppg. while the Bearcats, who haven't played since December 2, are 0-6 ATS under Cronin when playing with at least seven days off between games. I expect Husker coach Tim Miles to have his team focused and primed to bounce back at home here on Saturday night. Watch and win as the game is televised on the BTN. 10* |
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12-13-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Dallas Mavericks +1 | Top | 105-98 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 52 m | Show |
Look for Golden St's winning streak to come to an end today in Dallas. Dallas has some very good talent on the team as well and they defend the 3 ball good. The Mavs Have Dirk, Monte, Parsons, and big Tyson Chandler in the middle guarding the paint. I like the hot shooting Mavs here at home to get the win on Saturday afternoon. 5* |
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12-12-14 | Miami Heat v. Utah Jazz -3 | Top | 100-95 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
The Miami Heat are struggling during a road-heavy portion of the schedule. The Eastern Conference has also struggled playing out West this season. They'll conclude a five-game trip Friday night against a Utah Jazz team that just ended a lengthy skid by beating the club that defeated Miami in the NBA Finals in June. Miami doesn't have a lot of scorers and struggle to shore from the perimeter. Miami hasn't played well in Utah, either, averaging 94.7 points during a three-game slide. The Heat are just below that number on the road this season (94.5) to rank 24th in the NBA. The Utah Jazz are healthy and a tough team at home. The starters led the way as Gordon Hayward, Derrick Favors, Enes Kanter, Trey Burke and Alec Burks combined for 75 points. I like the Jazz here at home to get the win and cash for us on Friday night. 10* |
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12-08-14 | UC-Santa Barbara v. SMU -6.5 | Top | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 2 h 23 m | Show |
Great win for SMU the other day against Wyoming. The Mustangs really played great down the stretch against the Cowboys and this team needs to play with that type of confidence more often going forward. Nic Moore really stepped up with his 25 against Wyoming and he needs to continue to look for his own offense more often if this team is going to be successful. SMU spreads the ball around and goes for the high percentage shot and they are tough at home with a 5-1 record. The Mustangs have 7 guys averaging 7 points or more. UC Santa Barb has played a very weak schedule and they are in for a big surprise tonight on the road as I expect SMU to win by 10 or more. 10* |
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12-07-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 v. Cincinnati Bengals | Top | 42-21 | Win | 100 | 1 h 38 m | Show |
Steelers Head Coach, Tom Tomlin was criticized last week for his poor clock management at the end of the first half in which many thought the Steelers could have a had a better chance to put points on the board. Although a seasoned coach with plenty of significant games under his watch it is a bit surprising the Steelers were not more prepared for the mediocre Saints. Hopefully the Steelers show up and play better all-around this week at Cincy otherwise they may be in for yet another tough game. We expect the Steelers to bounce back well in what is a must-win game for them for their playoff hopes and Jarvin Jones is also back for them today and he is tough on defense. The Steelers have won 11 of their last 14 games in Cincinnati, and they are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games when they are coming off a loss. QB Andy Dalton has been poor playing at home this season with a 73.2 passer rating. Both of these teams know the importance of the next four weeks especially Pittsburgh as they are the team under the gun and facing all the pressures of missing the playoffs unless they win at least 3 of their last 4 contests. I think the Steelers manage to pull it together this week and despite the negative press and injuries facing them they get the job done in a grinder on the road—typical Pittsburgh style. I like the Steelers to cover on the road and send a message here on Sunday. Cincinnati is also 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played during Week 14. Take the STEELERS and the points. |
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12-06-14 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State +4.5 | Top | 0-59 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
The Ohio St offense overall has been great and playing indoors in the dome will only make them better with their team speed. Ohio State might get into some interesting looks this weekend in order to give Jones some help in deciphering the defense. Wildcat or max-protect packages should slow the defensive pressure and if nothing else, Jones can use his big body to go right up the gut and earn yardage against a solid but small-ish defensive front seven. Ezekial Elliott sits at 1,182 yards and 10 touchdowns entering the week. Urban Meyer will use Elliott to carry the mail but look for play-action off of that as Jones can certainly use his deep-ball prowess to find Devin Smith, averaging 25.5 yards per catch. I was very surprised to see the Badgers as a 4-point favorite. They are a solid team overall but the general lack of consistency at QB makes them very shaky favorites to even win the game straight-up, much less cover the spread. I like Ohio St st plus the points. 10* |
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12-06-14 | Missouri +15 v. Alabama | Top | 13-42 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
Alabama comes into the SEC Championship game this weekend as the top ranked team in the nation, boasting a 11-1 record, going and going 7-1 in the conference ranked #1. Laying this many points is a recipe for disaster. Missouri heads into the game with the identical 7-1 mark in the conference and are 10-2 overall. Mizzu is very good on the turf and has a ton of speed. The Tigers have put together six straight victories and are coming off a 21-14 win over Arkansas last weekend. Quarterback Maty Mauk has taken every snap for the Tigers this season, going 193-361 for a total of 2,279 yards through the air. The Tigers are giving up less than 20 points per game, and ranked 13th in the nation in points allowed. While Mizzu might not win this game 14.5 points is a lot for these two tough teams and I like the underdog and the points. Mizzu is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 conference games and will be pumped playing the #1 team in the Nation here this afternoon. |
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12-04-14 | Arkansas +6.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 77-95 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
Arkansas is ranked 18th and is a perfect 6-0 on the season and getting some nice points here as an underdog. Arkansas is # 4 in the nation in scoring (90 ppg) and # 1 in assists. Iowa State loves to run and gun but they can slip up on defense and with turnovers when the offense is cold, like two games ago in a 72-63 loss to Maryland. The Razorbacks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning record and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. Play Arkansas here in what I expect to be a close game throughout. 5* |
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12-04-14 | Central Florida v. East Carolina -6.5 | Top | 32-30 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
East Carolina can play some football. These guys are ranked 14th in the nation in scoring at 37.8 points per game scored. Much of the Pirates offensive success can be credited to the passing game led by quarterback, Shane Carden. This season, Carden has thrown for nearly 4,000 yards and 25 touchdowns which has the Pirates ranked 3rd in FBS in passing. Not only does Carden throw for a lot of yards, he also does a good job of protecting the ball. With those 25 TD passes, he has only thrown six interceptions. EC is very good offensively and they don't turn the ball over. UCF has struggled when it hasn't been able to run the football. We've seen that in each of its losses. The Knights average only 3.1 rushing yards per game and don't figure to get anything easy against an ECU defense that has held opponents to 3.2 yards per carry on the season. A great stat I have in conference play is you want to fade teams that average just 3.0 to 3.5 yards per carry when they are up against a team that holds its opponents to 3.0 to 3.5 yards per carry. Doing so has produced a 52-12 ATS mark the last five seasons. I like East Carolina a lot in this game, and should get the job done here. 5* |
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12-03-14 | Duke +4 v. Wisconsin | Top | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
Duke handled Mich St, Stanford and Temple rather easily on their way to a 7-0 start. Duke is also the winningest team in ACC/Big Ten Challenge history with a 13-2 record.This is a great match up of two top 5 teams each coming in with a 7-0 record. Duke is number 4 in the country with all seven games have been won by 10+ points. Duke has a good inside-outside game with Okafor and Cook averaging over 15 points per game each and can score in bunches. As long as the Duke bigmen dont get in foul trouble Duke should roll here. The Blue Devils are big, strong, very talented and deep, and they do happen to have the best coach in the history of the game on the bench. |
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12-02-14 | NC State +5 v. Purdue | Top | 61-66 | Push | 0 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
I think NC ST is the better team and they are getting points tonight. NC State actually has two statistical edges - rebounding and blocks per game. NC State ranks 4th in the country in rebounds per game while Purdue ranks 120th. NC State also ranks 7th in the country in blocks per game which puts them on top of the ACC and hypothetically on top of the Big10. Basically they are both solid offensively but NC ST is much better on the defensive end and getting rebounds. We'll take the points tonight with NC ST as a 10* BEST BET SURE SHOT. 10* |
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11-30-14 | Denver Broncos v. Kansas City Chiefs +1.5 | Top | 29-16 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 6 m | Show |
The offense of Denver has been playing sloppy, they have not been crisp, moving the ball. They have had drives that have been stalling at times. KC is tough at home and off a rare loss against the Raiders. KC has had a few also days to prepare for this game as well. Look for Alex Smith to bounce back in a big way and Dwayne Bowe to exploit the Broncos secondary,. Andy Reid is a good coach and we'll have the Chiefs ready for this Sunday night game. I also expect Jamal Charles and the KC rushing attack to be able to move the ball against Denver. They seem slightly more together than the Broncos at this particular point in time. Peyton Manning struggles in the cold and wind. I look for a pumped-up Chiefs team to find a way to get it done on Sunday for the big win and get us the cash. |
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11-29-14 | Utah State v. Boise State -9.5 | Top | 19-50 | Win | 100 | 23 h 30 m | Show |
This game will be full of emotions for the Boise State Broncos as it is senior night and these guys will want to go out in style. Obviously the blue turf is a hard place to get a win, add to that a group of seniors who have won 40 games or more throughout their career and it gets that much harder. Boise State is ridiculously good here at home! The Broncos balanced offensive attack is too much for the Aggies to handle. Boise State, the complete opposite, they have an offense that is strong. Hanging 34 or more in 9 of 11 games this year. The QB play of Grant Hedrick has been up and down. Jay Ajayi on the ground has been nothing short of phenominal. BSU leads the series over the Aggies 14-4 and has won the last 11 meetings. A bad Bronco team went into Logan last year and beat the Aggies by 11 points, and this game will be even worse. Boise State is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games against teams with a winning road record. 5* |
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11-29-14 | BYU v. California -4 | Top | 42-35 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 57 m | Show |
CAL QB Jared Goff is very good with 31 TD passes and just 6 INT"s. California is playing at home and I expect him to light up the BYU defense. This team should have beat UCLA and Arizona and is a very athletic team. BYU U has been playing down in class for three straight blowout wins. They finish The Season Up In Class On The Pac 12 Road, With Plenty Of Injuries and a defense that allowed 55 and 42 points the last two times They played real o?enses on Boise State and Nevada. Cal is 5-6, needs a Win for bowl eligibility in coach Dykes’ Year Two. They’ve handled North-Western on the road, Northwestern has beaten Wisconsin and Notre Dame, and the winning teams they’ve lost to in the Pac 12 are all pretty Darned Good. Cal Stat-sheeted Stanford just ?NE In The 31-17 Loss, Until You come to the 12-4, 113-has been playing down in class for three straight blowout wins. They finish the season up in class on the Pac 12 road, with plenty of injuries and a defense that allowed 55 and 42 points the last two times they played real offenses on Boise State and Nevada. Cal is 5-6, needs a win for bowl eligibility in coach Dykes’ second Year. They’ve handled Northwestern on the road, Northwestern has beaten Wisconsin and Notre Dame, and the winning teams they’ve lost to in the Pac 12 are all pretty darned good. Cal is just a far more superior team in my eyes and their speed will be there difference here. 10* COLLEGE GAME OF THE YEAR! |
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11-28-14 | Stanford +6 v. UCLA | Top | 31-10 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
The Stanford Cardinals are 6-5 on the season and looking to escape the year by staying above .500. Stanford will look to continue playing top notch defense. The Cardinals are only allowing 16.5 points per game to opposing teams and UCLA is off that huge primetime game where they pretty much played a perfect game. |
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11-27-14 | TCU v. Texas +7 | Top | 48-10 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 3 m | Show |
Texas has been coming around lately. They beat TCU last season by 23 and I like them again on Thanksgiving night. The Longhorns are playing rugged, tuff and well discipline football. Charlie Strong has not only changed the culture, but he has already kicked off nine players. He is cleaning house in a major way. The Texas defense is ranked 24th in the country in points allowed. If Texas can slow down the TCU offense, they may have a shot to keep this thing close. The Longhorns average 212 passing yards per game and 154 rushing yards per game. While Texas only scores 24 points per game every time out they have proven themselves to be stout on the defensive side of the ball. Slow, low scoring games sort of set the mark for what to expect out of a Texas match. I truly believe this game will come down to the final moments, and I like Texas to show up and try to pull the major upset. TCU can score, but the Texas defense has played pretty stout all season long and should keep them in check here. I look for a 3-4 point tight game throughout so we are backing the underdog Texas team. Hook'em Horns! 10* |
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11-26-14 | Minnesota v. St. John's | Top | 61-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
St Johns has a balanced attack and is a very good defensive and rebounding team. They are playing at MSG so its a home game for St Johns and they are very deep. I expect an exciting game with St Johns pulling away in the 2nd half tonight on ESPN. 10* |
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11-24-14 | Rider v. Kansas -17.5 | Top | 60-87 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
After getting hammered Kansas should bounce back in a big way here at home. The fifth-ranked Jayhawks welcome Rider to Allen Fieldhouse on Monday night for non-bracketed play in the Orlando Classic before heading to Florida for the remaining three games of the tournament. Kentucky smoked them last week limiting Kansas to 12 second-half points as they shot 19.6 percent for the night once of their worst shooting games ever, and the scoring output was the lowest since Bill Self took over the program in 2003-04.This team will be hungry tonight after some intense practices and Kansas has won both meetings with Rider by an average of 45.0 points. This Rider team has played five games over the last 10 seasons against teams ranked in the top 10 and have lost by an average of 21.2 points. I just think this is like JV versus Varsity and Kansas should roll big tonight! ROCK CHALK JAYHAWKS by 27 |
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11-24-14 | NY Jets +3 v. Buffalo Bills | Top | 3-38 | Loss | -120 | 1 h 50 m | Show |
Its been a week for the Bills, who because of the massive snow storm had to move their home game to Detroit. The bigger problem for Buffalo isn't the game location but the fact that they have not had a normal week of practice, and we don't believe they'll be properly prepared for this game against the Jets. Many players were stuck at their homes and couldnt get a full practice in with the team. The Jets come off they bye week following a morale-boosting win against Pittsburgh. The Jets have played a string of games against very good offensive teams, but Buffalo doesn't quality averaging less than 100 yards rushing and 230 yards passing per game. This is the type of team the Jets can matchup well against and also playing with revenge I like the Jets behind Vick to get us the win. 5* |
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11-23-14 | St. Louis Rams +6 v. San Diego Chargers | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
The Rams have been tough in certain spots. They’ve had their share of duds, but with wins over Seattle, San Francisco, and Denver, they have scored a nice handful of meaningful triumphs. Coach Jeff Fisher made the somewhat-controversial move to start QB Shaun Hill on Sunday and it paid off, with Hill an efficient 20-29 with 220 yards, a TD throw, and no picks or fumbles. Rookie back Tre Mason ran for 113 yards, while WR Kenny Britt broke out with a 4 catch/128-yard performance. And obviously, holding Denver to a lone touchdown over 4 quarters could prove to be a confidence-building game for a defense that has shown signs of coming around. The Rams defense is very tough and I'll take them as underdogs on Sunday. Even the Rams losses were to good squads as they lost by 3 to the Cowboys, lost by 6 at Philadelphia, and the week before beating Denver, they took a lead into the 4th quarter against the now 9-1 Cardinals. Take the STL RAMS here on Sunday afternoon. 5* |
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11-23-14 | Detroit Lions +7.5 v. New England Patriots | Top | 9-34 | Loss | -113 | 2 h 28 m | Show |
The Detroit Lions defense is tough and I think they'll get after Brady this week. New England is a popular play by the public this week because of their recent outburst of offensive production as they have now scored 42+ points in their last 3 games. I want to note that NFL teams who scored 42 or more points in each of their last 2 games are 0-8 ATS when facing an opponent off a SU loss of 6 or more points. Detroit is also expected to get Reggie Bush back in the lineup and this offense is back to being healthy with TE Eric Ebron back in the mix as well. Bush will add the speed to the running game. Megatron and Golden Tate are a receiver duo difficult for any NFL defense to contain. Stafford is coming off a terrible game at Arizona and I expect the offense to bounce back. I look for the Lions to open the offense up, especially on 3rd down and make some big plays down the field and giving their #1 defense enough support. Keep in mind the Patriots are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 non-division home games following a non-division game, and they lost 3 of those 6 outright. The Lions have the offensive weapons to stay in this game throughout. The Detroit defense has held opponents to only 15.6 points and 290.3 yards per game. The Lions are 7-0 ATS and 6-1 straight up in their last 7-games as an away underdog of 8.5 or less following a game in which they scored 26-points or less. My 10* NFL Underdog of the Month is on the DETROIT LIONS +7 |
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11-22-14 | Miami (Fla) v. Virginia +5 | Top | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
Big letdown spot for the Hurricanes here after their narrow loss against the Seminoles last week making foplay on Virginia tonight. The Hurricanes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Cavaliers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a BYE week. Cavaliers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. All four of Virginia's victories have come here at home where they are outscoring foes by 11 ppg. Miami is just 1-3 on the road with all three of those losses coming by double-digits (Louisville, Nebraska, and Georgia Tech), and away from home the Hurricanes scoring drops a full 9 ppg down from their season average Virginia battling to get bowl eligible, Miami battling to get into a better bowl game. Miami hangover from Florida State loss will keep the Cavaliers around. Field goal game here. 5* |
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11-22-14 | Wisconsin v. Iowa +10.5 | Top | 26-24 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
Wisky is off a 35 pt win against Nebraska last weekend. I expect this game to be much closer. he Hawkeyes are very strong up front, with tackles Carl Davis and Louis Trinca-Pasat and end Drew Ott in consideration for All-Big Ten honors. Iowa did look much better stopping the run in last week's win at Illinois. I love playing against teams that are coming off their most impressive wins on season and then having to travel away from home in next outing and play a tough conference opponent. Wisconsin has heard for a week now how great they were last week and that can only mean one thing; let down spot this week.Don't expect a ton of scoring as defense is name of game in this one and I'll gladly take the points with this IOWA team. 10* |
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11-22-14 | Arizona v. Utah -4.5 | Top | 42-10 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
This Arizona team is not that good. They are winning with smoke and mirrors and it seems this Wildcat has 9 lives. The Wildcats used another one of their lives, when they were outrushed 245-133 by Washington, outgained 504-375, yet still came away with a 27-26 win. Now they are on the road in high altitude in Utah and probably looking ahead to Arizona St's showdown next weekend with a potential shot at the divisional crown next week. It is here they will meet a sneaky good Utah team who has recorded a mark of 7-3 SU, 8-2 ATS. They do it with a defense that allows 3.6 YPR and has recorded a nation high, 47 sacks. Along with outstanding special teams, this well coached team makes the most of each opportunity. They have no questions of their scoring ability, they can score with Arizona. And it's likely thei defense is a little better as well. They are a good team with Devontae Booker doihng the damage. Utah gets my call here and wins by 10. |
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11-20-14 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Oakland Raiders +8 | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Something happens to a lot of teams psychologically when an 0-10 squad. It was 1 yr ago this week that the Raiders got their last WIN. KC could be in for a letdown after a big win over Seattle last week. KC plays tight games and not to lose. Oakland is pretty scrappy and getting 7.5 points at home this week and looking for their 1st win and a rare Primetime TV game I think this one will be very tight. I think the Raiders could be catching a slightly off-key Chiefs team this week. I see the Raiders giving it a good go and staying within reach to get the cover. Take the Raiders plus the points on Thursday night NFL action. 5* |
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11-19-14 | Santa Clara v. Utah State -2.5 | Top | 54-60 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
UTAH St is the much better team here on both sides of the ball while Santa Clara hasn't played anyone. This is a major mismatch especially in the paint with the big men the Aggies have. While his team is young they are a very good team. They have a strong home court and very good playing in the high altitude against a non conference opponent. 10* COLLEGE GAME OF THE WEEK |
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11-17-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Tennessee Titans +7 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
Pittsburgh is coming off a heartbreaking loss to the New York Jets, but the two games before that, the Steelers looked unstoppable. A few times this year, Pittsburgh has allowed themselves to start slow and get themselves down early. If they want to go into Nashville and get the win and the cover, they need to start fast and finish strong. The Tennessee Titans have gone to rookie QB, Zach Mettenberger, and he is still learning the game as he goes along. The only true strength the Titans can claim is that they have a top ten pass defense, but that is it. That is their bread and butter of their defense as their secondary is tough. Michael Griffin, the team's 2007 1st overall pick, has become one of the better safeties in the game, amassing 47 solo tackles with two interceptions and three sacks on the season. But with a good secondary and the Jets game film from last week, taking the points is the right thing to do here on MNF! The Steelers will have to run with Le'Veon Bell who has only a single touchdown to go with his 747 yards in rushing, while LeGarrette Blount has only 260 yards rushing in ten games. This will be a game where the team that scores last will win and I'll take the Titans +6 seeing as how the Steelers have had their suspect moments, the Titans are a hungry team, and over 70% of gamblers are all over Pittsburgh tonight, I am going to do the smart thing and take the Titans and go against the public tonight with the underdog. 5* |
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11-16-14 | Detroit Lions v. Arizona Cardinals | Top | 6-14 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Arizona Cardinals are going to live now without Palmer, who is gone for the season. Coming in winners of 5 in a row, Arizona is undefeated at home this year in 5 tries. It has only lost 3 of its past 15 regular-season games. Detroit has lost the past two seasons at this venue and not a good road team or on grass. Detroit has yet to face a winning team while on the road. Of course, there is concern in ’Zona with QB Drew Stanton taking over for the injured Carson Palmer, but Stanton has gone 2-1 in relief this season already. He will need to make connections with a nice receiving crew of resurgent Larry Fitzgerald, Michael Floyd, rookie John Brown, and RB Andre Ellington, who has caught 37 balls. Ted Ginn, Jr. is still a game-changing return man. In truth, the Cardinals have a defense that could help, ranked 4th in points allowed at 18.9 per game. They are very good against the run. I like Arizona at home on Sunday as our 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK. |
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11-15-14 | Florida State v. Miami (Fla) +3 | Top | 30-26 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
If Miami can feed Johnson the ball and keep the chains moving while pounding the running game it will accomplish two important things to help out the Hurricanes defense. It will chew up the clock and limit Florida State’s chances on offense. Both of those obstacles will be vital towards keeping the Seminoles off the scoreboard often this Saturday night. Just like Miami, the Seminoles offense has played exceptionally well during the latter part of the season. The ‘Noles’ offense has scored at least 31 points in 6 straight games since Jameis Winston served his 1 game suspension against Clemson. Winston has struggled with the interceptions, 11 to be exact, have been somewhat concerning this year. In the last 3 games, Winston has tossed 6 picks and that is something that he must avoid this Saturday. The Hurricanes have an underrated defense that does not get the credit they deserve. Miami has held opponents to just 21.9 points per game this year as the 27th best scoring defense in college football. If Winston turns the ball over and gives the Miami defense confidence, the Seminoles will be in a tough predicament for 60 minutes this Saturday. Miami is good enough on both sides of the ball to pull the upset and I'll take the home underdog here tonight! 10* GAME OF THE WEEK |
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11-15-14 | Mississippi State v. Alabama -9 | Top | 20-25 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
It's not very often you see the #1 team in the nation getting 8 pts as an underdog. Alabama has their stout defense as usual, playing great in particular vs the run. And they definitely want revenge vs the entire state of Miss, being that that is their only loss on the season thus far to to Ole Miss back on 10.4.2014. QB Blake Sims has been leading them all year with making smart plays and not turning the ball over. This is their only chance to make it to the college football playoff because with Auburn's loss, this team really has nomore chances to prove itself worthy with so many other teams in the mix. If Alabama is able to rout this team at home, and theoretically the #1 team in thecountry it makes for a great statement here. We like Alabama to play a complete game of Football here as note with State barely by multipleteams they likely finally get exposed here by Alabama as Mullen hasconsistently struggled against scoring against Saban's defense as the National Championship Offensive Coordinator has had his issues against Saban. Look for Alabama to be as well prepared as you can possibly be and his team come out fired up and WIN this one by double-digits here on Saturday afternoon. |
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11-15-14 | Nebraska +6.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 24-59 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
Nebraska right now, has the best RB in the game with Ameer Abdullah. They have a very steady offense and defense, with DE Randy Gregory on the outside. Nebraska enters as the 10th best rushing team in the nation, averaging 280 yards per contest. Obviously, they are better with Abdullah toting the rock but will be okay with back-up combo of Imani Cross and Terrell Newby. That duo has accounted for 603 yards and 9 touchdowns to this point and we haven’t talked yet about the running production from the quarterback. Tommy Armstrong is the second leading rusher on the team with 571 yards and four touchdowns. He averages 203 pass yards per contest. Look for very tight game here with the winner pulling it out by just a FG. Take the points with the Nebraska Cornhuskers here on Saturday early afternoon. 5* |
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11-13-14 | Buffalo Bills v. Miami Dolphins -4 | Top | 9-22 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
Ryan Tannehill’s success has come from both his arm and legs. Regarding the former, he’s been spreading the ball around between 8-10 receivers every game, which includes getting rookie Jarvis Landry into the mix. The receiver, who doubles as the kick and punt returner, had seven receptions for 53 yards last week, while the team’s premiere wideout, Mike Wallace, had five catches for 51 yards and a touchdown. As for getting it done on the ground, Tannehill has broken 20+-yard runs in several games this season, though the staunch Lions defense managed to shut him down. It hurt them too as their starting running back, Lamar Miller, was limited with a shoulder injury. Backup Daniel Thomas carried the load five times for 14 yards, but his role diminished when he lost a fumble. The Dolphins have been playing well – they were on a three-game win streak before Week 10 – The Dolphins have a rock solid defense and an offense that has been revitalized by the play of Ryan Tannehill. Overall I think Miami is at least 7 points better than the Bills and we'll back the Dolphins here on Thursday night. 5* |
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11-12-14 | Kent State v. Bowling Green -14 | Top | 20-30 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
Bowling Green has covered the spread in 7 of the last 8 games when playing in the month of November and they have covered the spread in 12 of the last 16 games coming off a win by 17 points or more in their last game. This is a rare TV Primetime appearance for them and they'll want to shine with their huge offensive attack, Kent is just a very bad team. The Golden Flashes are 1-8 straight up and 3-6 against the spread in all games this season. They have been atrocious offensively, averaging just 14.8 points and 303.6 yards per game to rank 120th in total offense out of 128 teams. They haven’t been much better on the other side of the ball, surrendering 29.4 points and 425.8 yards per game this season. Bowling Green should roll big time in this game tonight! 5* |
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11-11-14 | Toledo +5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
The Rockets' offense is led by sophomore running back Kareem Hunt, who has rushed for at least 100 yards in all six games he has played this season. Hunt missed three games earlier this year with an ankle injury, but has returned with vigor - rumbling for 339 yards and a touchdown on 44 carries in victories over Massachusetts and Kent State. Quarterback Logan Woodside suffered a leg injury against the Golden Flashes and will likely be a game-time decision. Toledo has a ton of weapons and I think they use their strong rushing attack to stay undefeated in the MAC Conference. N Illinois tends to play sloppy with turnovers and penaltys and it will cost them tonight. |
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11-10-14 | Carolina Panthers +7 v. Philadelphia Eagles | Top | 21-45 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
The one advantage to the Panther getting embarrassed slightly in primetime last Thursday night is that they did get 11 full days of rest to prepare and get healthy again. Left tackle Byron Bell, and starting guards Trai Turner and Amini Silatolu are all listed as questionable for the game on Monday, so if they can get any of all of them back in the lineup maybe the Panthers offense can get back on track. I like Carolina to be able to rush the ball well against the birds. The Eagles defense certainly hasn’t been the strongest unit in the NFL (22nd overall), I’m not a big fan of Sanchez and I expect the Panthers to pressure him a lot. Look for Cam Newton and the Panthers to come up big on MNF and I'll take the underdog Panthers +7. |
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11-09-14 | Miami Dolphins v. Detroit Lions -2.5 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
The Lions have the league's top defense, their best WR back in the lineup and off a BYE. The offense should be clicking with the return of Calvin Johnson, Reggie Bush and some of their banged-up tight ends. Matthew Stafford is a much better quarterback when he has Johnson, and the Lions playing at home are tough in the dome. The Lions rank first in the NFL in fewest yards per game and in scoring defense holding opponents to less than 16 points a game. Detroit, has their own big air game, with Stafford and their defense has also been great defending the pass. Coming off 2 straight tight wins. Miami is coming off a huge win at home and now has to play on the road where they've yet to have a tough opponent- until today as the Detroit Lions get a big win over the fish on Sunday. 10* Game of the Month |
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11-08-14 | Ohio State +4 v. Michigan State | Top | 49-37 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
Ohio State leans on J.T. Barrett to be a do-it-all QB and he had performed well, throwing for 1,856 yards and 23 touchdowns while adding 496 yards and six scores on the ground. There aren’t many teams that spread it around like OSU. Seven different receivers have at least 10 catches on the year and nine different pass catchers have at least one touchdown. Both teams have leaders, are well coached and have plenty of playmakers so I like the underdog in this one. Ohio State is 7-1, keeping them in the running for a championship bid. But they need a marquee win like this if they want to impress the selection committee. The road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Michigan State. The Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Don't worry about OSU's freshman QB. He has Urban Meyer at his side along with a bunch of playmakers. |
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11-08-14 | Louisville v. Boston College +3.5 | Top | 38-19 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
5* |
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11-08-14 | West Virginia -3 v. Texas | Top | 16-33 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
The growth of QB Clint Trickett has been a big part of the West Virginia resurgence. He has thrown for nearly 3000 yards and his value goes beyond stats, as he is a leader and a positive and energizing presence on the field. Wendell Smallwood and Rushel Shell are a nice combo at running back. RB Dreamius Smith is also a dependable playmaker. He also has a ton of speed at the WR positions. While the image is that West Virginia is by far at their best at home this season, they are actually unbeaten on the road in 2014. Oklahoma State was the best of that bunch, a game they dominated, 34-10. In other words, this Mountaineers team can travel and facing a Texas team with a lot of issues and injuries. I’m licking my chops on this spread and betting on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus 3 points. 10* Blowout Game of the Week |
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11-07-14 | Sacramento Kings v. Phoenix Suns -5 | Top | 114-112 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
THe Suns have a balanced attack and very good at home. Isaiah Thomas is going against his old team and has averaged a career-best 20.3 points for a Sacramento team that finished 28-54 in 2013-14. He entered restricted free agency and settled on the Suns, who were coming off a 23-game improvement from the previous season. He's averaging a team-best 18.6 points as a sixth man for Phoenix (3-2), but he'll now have to contend with his former teammates who have improved defensively after Sacramento ranked 24th in the NBA last season in points allowed (103.4 per game). THe Suns will throw 2 or 3 big men at DeMarcus Cousins to try and contain him. The Suns are known for their up-tempo style and heavy guard play, with a ton of speed and shooting. Eric Bledsoe, Markieff Morris, Isiah Thomas, Dragic, and Gerald Green are all tough to stop. I also like head coach Jeff Hornacek to get his boys ready at home and to bounce back at home with a big win Friday night! 10* |
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11-06-14 | Cleveland Browns v. Cincinnati Bengals -6 | Top | 24-3 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
Cleveland is coming off of a hard fought win against Tampa Bay while the Bengals enjoyed dismantling the Jaguars. Brian Hoyer is very smart, has a quick release and he doesn't turn the ball over. He has proven that he is the man in Cleveland and has led them to a 5-3 start to the first half of this season. The Browns already have wins over the Saints, Steelers, and Titans this season. As for the Steelers, Cleveland is 1-1 against them but was just seconds away from being 2-0 after blowing a huge lead in week one. The underdog is 11-2-1 ATS in this series lately. Its gonna be cold, wet and windy tonight so I am backing the Cleveland Browns +7 |
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11-05-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers -5 v. Utah Jazz | Top | 100-102 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
No one would argue that the Cleveland Cavaliers have all the big name talent in this matchup. The problem early this season is getting that talent to play together. And because of that, this back-to-back spot really isn't so bad for the Cavs. The more they can play together now, the better this team will get. And the Cavs have always done well against Utah, going 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 against the Jazz. Utah, however, isn't so good, posting just a 6-13-1 ATS mark in its last 20 games. And, at home, Utah is 1-5-1 ATS in its last six games. Back-to-back and high altitude don't usually go to well for a club, but here the Cavs just have too much talent and Off a terrible game where they only shot 35% and Kyrie Irving was 4-17 shooting and LeBron only had 11 points. Take the Cavs here to bounce back big on Wednesday night! 5* Off a terrible game where they only shot 35% and Kyrie Irving was 4-17 shooting and LeBron only had 11 points. Take the Cavs here to bounce back big on Wednesday night! |
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11-03-14 | Indianapolis Colts v. NY Giants +3.5 | Top | 40-24 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
The Giants’ best plan of attack is to slow down the Colts high-scoring attack by keeping Andrew Luck and his talented group of receivers off the field. New York has the offense to do it, and will go with a run-heavy attack and the short, quick-hit passes on their new West Coast offense. NY has had 2 weeks to prepare for this game. The Colts were embarrassed on defense by the Steelers last week, giving up 55 points on 639 total yards. New York’s defense has played well inside MetLife Stadium, allowing just 17 and 20 points in its last two home stands – wins over Houston and Atlanta respectively. The G-Men welcome another indoor team to East Rutherford, where the temperatures will dip into the 40s. The Colts haven't had the best success in outdoor venues, putting up only 24 points in Denver, and managing 34 points – 14 of those in garbage time – at Pittsburgh last week. I like the home underdog here tonight plus the points. With 2 weeks to prepare for this one and NY cannot afford to drop to 3-5, I think the Giants come to play on Monday night. 5* |
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11-02-14 | San Diego Chargers v. Miami Dolphins -1 | Top | 0-37 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
Miami is a very underrated team and they are likely to surprise a lot of people including the public when they beat the Chargers at home. Miami has quietly won 3 of 4 games and frankly, it should be 4 in a row as they gave up the game to the Packers earlier in the year on the final play. This San Diego team struggles against strong defensive lines as they continue to not have Matthews for this game and likely will find it troublesome running the ball. The rushing game has also gotten a boost from quarterback Ryan Tannehill, who has been keeping the ball more as the coaches open up the playbook with designed runs. It’s given the offense a much-needed spark as he’s averaging 7.3 yards per carry having rushed 27 times for 198 yards. Through the air Tannehill has gone 154 of 247 for 1,619 hands, 11 touchdowns, and six interceptions – good for a 25th-ranked QB rating of 86.1. Tannehill has developed a fine chemistry with wide receiver Mike Wallace, who has 32 receptions for 418 yards (13.1 Avg) and five touchdowns, but it seems to have come at the expense of the other receivers. Granted, rookie Jarvis Landry is making a big impact having caught 25 passes for 255 yards (10.2 Avg) and a touchdown, but where have Brian Hartline (20 receptions for 215 yards and a touchdown) and tight end Charles Clay (22 receptions for 205 yards and a touchdown). Look for Rivers to be forced to pass the ball against a very competent Miami secondary and the Dolphins get the win here. |
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11-01-14 | Arizona v. UCLA -6.5 | Top | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show |
UCLA has done well against Arizona the last two years, winning by scores of 31-26 and 66-10 overall winning as both -2.5 chalk and +1.5 underdog. |
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11-01-14 | Auburn v. Ole Miss -1.5 | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 20 m | Show |
The majority of the Rebels offensive success this season has relied on the arm of senior quarterback Bo Wallace. If Wallace can just mimic a portion of South Carolina’s success against Auburn in the passing game, then the Rebels will be in great shape when you factor in their scoring defense into the equation. Auburn is a one dimensional offense ranked 84th in pass and 10th in the run and same goes for their defense they can’t seem to stop the pass, but they are solid vs. the run. Ole Miss strengths fit nice here and they have a solid balanced defense that is one of the best in the nation ranking top 25 in pass and run defense. LSU wasn’t supposed to beat Ole Miss and the offense looked horrible and now we get a spread that’s at least 2 points in our advantage. Ole Miss leans on Bo Wallace to play a good game to win, and I have never trusted him on the road so I wasn’t surprised to see him looking lost at LSU at night with all the noise in a tough place to play. Auburn’s two struggles this year have been against Miss State 13th passing the ball, and Kansas State 24th. Now they face Ole Miss who has the passing game and a better defense than both. This is basically an elimination game and I’ll take Ole Miss to bounce back and get the win at home. 10* |
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11-01-14 | Duke +3.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 51-48 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
Red Hot Duke (6-1) visits the Pitt Panthers (4-4) who last week were thrashed at home by Georgia Tech 56-28. Tech led 28-0 in the “first quarter” and glided the rest of the way for the blowout. Pitt was physically beat up in that game with GTech's rushing attack. The Blue Devils show in a more positive state of mind after a bye and back-to-back conference wins over Georgia Tech and Virginia. One of the overlooked strengths for Duke this season has been their -5 TOs versus +13 in the takeaway category. Add that to an improved defense (15.1) and an overall balanced offense it’s easy to see they have a legit shot at returning to the ACC Championship game. |
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