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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-07-17 | 76ers v. Jazz -6.5 | Top | 104-97 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
Utah is off an embarrassing loss allowing Houston 137 points and 59% shooting. They also allowed 23 three-pt buckets in that game. The Jazz return home where they are 5-1 ATS and playing off a previous home loss to Toronto yet.  Philly is on a 4 game win streak and Joel Embid played in all 4 games averaging 21 points and 10 rebounds. Joel Embiid and Jerryd Bayless both sitting out against the Jazz tonight will be the difference maker. Look for the UTAH JAZZ to bounce back with a BIG WIN at home on Tuesday night. 10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK |
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11-07-17 | Hornets +1 v. Knicks | Top | 113-118 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
Kemba Walker and Jeremy Lamb love playing at MSG. I don't think the NY Knicks have the defensive guards to keep these guys in check. They were luck to win on Sunday as they were down double digits almost the entire game. We also have KP coming off a career high 40 point game on Sunday. Look for the Hornets to end their losing streak and get a big win in NY tonight. 5* |
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11-06-17 | Nets +1.5 v. Suns | Top | 98-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
The Nets are well rested and haven't played since Friday. They played these Suns last week and lost at home. In that game they missed several FT's and got rebounded by 20. Look for the Nets to be prepared this time and force some turnovers as the Suns played late last night and just returned home from a long 5 game road trip. I like Brooklyn here on Monday night as they get their revenge from last week. 5*Â |
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11-06-17 | Lions -2 v. Packers | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
I realize Brett Hundley can't possibly be as bad as he's been after the GB BYE week with coach McCarthy instilling some confidence and doing some play calling that is more suited for his style, but the Packers struggle when star QB Rodgers is out. Its a QB driven league and I'll take Stafford here in a must win game for the Lions to even up their record at 4-4. Detroit is the play with the better QB and offense here on MNF. 5*Â |
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11-05-17 | Pacers +1 v. Knicks | Top | 101-108 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
The Pacers had won three straight until losing at Philly, and I like them to get back on track Sunday at MSG. They have a good bench and give a good team effort. Indy has responded to each loss this season with a cover, and has covered eight of its last 10 road games dating to last season. 5*Â |
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11-05-17 | Bucs +7 v. Saints | Top | 10-30 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
This is a divisional game and I for it to be a close one. Jameis Winston practiced in full Friday, and I expect the Bucs' offense to bounce back in a big way after last week's debacle vs the Panthers. I healthy Winston will be the difference maker and they have enough weaons on offense to stay with New Orleans. The Saints are a big-play defense, not a shutdown unit. None of the last six meetings has been decided by more than 7 points. 5*Â |
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11-05-17 | Ravens v. Titans -3 | Top | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 at home and in the Titans’ 4 wins, they’re averaging 155.5 rushing yards per game with 6 rush TD’s. The Ravens have 30th ranked rushing defense (132.8 YPG) should have a hard time stopping them on the ground. They are also the healthiest team in the NFL right now with no players listed on the injury report. QB Marcus Mariota is much healthier after injuring his hamstring, and he should start using his legs as well as his arm going forward. The Ravens are coming off a 40-0 blowout over Miami last Thursday at home, and you can expect the Ravens to come back down to earth in a hurry on Sunday on the road here. The venue favors Tennessee, which is on a 6-1 ATS home streak while Baltimore has dropped eight of 11 ATS away. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK |
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11-04-17 | Virginia Tech v. Miami-FL | Top | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
Miami is undefeated this season but getting no respect. Virginia Tech has played mostly poor offenses. In their only two games against Top-75 offenses, the Hokies allowed 27.5 points per game. Miami scores more at home and allows more points at home than it does on the road. This is a huge game for both teams, and Miami will be rocking on Saturday night and they're expect a sold out game. After Miami wins here they'll move up higher in the rankings and then they play ND. The Hurricane defense is very good and I think that will be the difference tonight. 10*Â |
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11-04-17 | Syracuse v. Florida State -6.5 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
It has been a terrible season for Florida State. They started as the No. 2 team in the country but they have lost five of their seven games, including back-to-back losses to Louisville and Boston College. They really only had 1 bad game and that was last week at BC in the cold. They were blown out last week but I think that was as low as they will go and with an extra day to prep and playing at home I think we'll see a solid effort. Syracuse lost by eight points at Miami their last time out and they have not won a road game all season. Their last road win was over a year ago at Boston College. The home team is 5-1 ATS in this series and the favorite is 4-1 ATS. Florida State is due for a big effort and I think they will get a blowout win here at home on Saturday afternoon. 5*Â |
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11-04-17 | Auburn -15 v. Texas A&M | Top | 42-27 | Push | 0 | 3 h 32 m | Show |
Auburn is mad at the world and they just destroyed Arkansas and now they will roll into Texas A&M and probably destroy them too. In regards to defense, Auburn has been playing extremely well on the defensive side of the football yielding just 300 yards per game as a borderline top 10 unit. Considering the Aggies struggles on offense, I just do not see many ways they can keep this game close unless they come up with turnovers. Auburn will go for the jugular here and the blowout as this team is not out of the hunt by any stretch of the means yet with Georgia and Alabama on deck, they have a point to prove and by blowing a SEC team it helps them as well in all tie-breaking scenarios down the road. 10* College Game of the Week |
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11-03-17 | Pelicans -4.5 v. Mavs | Top | 99-94 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
 The Mavericks are 1-8, their worst record since 1993-94. This proud franchise is in need of rebuild.  All of the Mavericks' losses except one have been by five or more points. New Orleans is a serious playoff contender. No team can match the Pelicans' superstar Twin Towers of Anthony Davis and DeMarcus Cousins. Both rank among the top-five in scoring and rebounding. The Pelicans are going to hurt the Mavericks inside a lot. Dallas is also a bad rebounding teams in the league. New Orleans has a good history of taking care of business against bad teams when on the road and are rested and hungry for this game on Friday night! 5* |
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11-02-17 | Bills -3 v. Jets | Top | 21-34 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
In their 1st meeting McCoy ran for 110 yards and a TD.  Josh McCown and the Jets' will try short-passing attacks will move the ball against the Bills' zone-based defense. The Jets have played a pretty easy schedule so far and I like the Bills defense to keep the Jets in check tonight on Thursday night. Buffalo is #1 in turnover margin. They are +14 and rarely turn the ball over and they force turnovers. This team could easily be undefeated. McCoy is coming off a big game vs. the Raiders running 27 times for 151 yards only four days ago. The Jets swept the Bills last year winning both games and I look for the Bills to get the sweep of the season this year. The Bills added more offensive help with WR Calvin Benjamin coming over to the team this week. In the 1st meeting the Buffalo had almost 200 more total yards and 12 more first downs. I expect more of the same tonight and Buffalo to get the WIN and COVER with the short week.  5* |
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11-01-17 | Mavs v. Clippers -10 | Top | 98-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
LA is coming off a rough game losing by 28 to the Warriors and they allowed them to shoot 58% in the game and had 18 turnovers. This is a get-well spot for the Clippers, who lost focus in their home loss to Detroit on Saturday night, then got blown out by the Warriors. LA is still a rock-solid team and will show it against the 1-7 Mavs. Look for the Clippers to bounce back with a big win on Wednesday night. 5*Â |
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11-01-17 | Wolves v. Pelicans -2 | Top | 104-98 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
The Pelicans are coming off a sloppy game where they shot poorly and had 20 turnovers. They only made 25% of their 3-pt shots. Cousins is averaging 30 ppg this season and coming off a sub-par 12 pt game. I like playing on a team that comes out publicly and says they flat out stunk in their last game especially when the loss is at home and their next game is also at home. That’s what the Pelicans did after a 16 point loss to Orlando on Monday. New Orleans won their last game on a 3-game road trip at Sacramento and then upset the Cavs at home before the loss so I can understand it. Minnesota is playing their second straight road game after an OT win at Miami on Monday and prior to that they are off an upset of OKC at home. The Pelicans are already 3-0 ATS off a SU loss this season and I believe they take care of business tonight. Lastly the New Orleans Pelicans are 10-2 their last 12 vs. the T-Wolves. 10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK |
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11-01-17 | Central Michigan +4 v. Western Michigan | Top | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
These 2 teams are headed in opposite directions in terms of health. The Chippewas have been bolstered with the return on their John Mackey and TE Tyler Conklin and in his 3 games back he has had 16 receptions for 229 yards and WR Corey Willis who missed 4 games and had 5 catches for 98 yards last game. Central has lost 3 straight in this rivalry, but right now they are the better team here and catching 4 pts. Western Michigan true frosh Reece Goodard will be making his first start at QB as Jon Wassinik was injured last game. That means more sack chances for DE Joe Ostman who leads the FBS with 10 sacks and with that pass rush the Chip’s are #9 in the country with 10 interceptions and #5 in turnovers gained with 18. Everything to me points to Central Michigan in this battle on Wednesday night on National TV and I'll back them +4. 5* |
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10-30-17 | Wolves -3.5 v. Heat | Top | 125-122 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
Hassan Whiteside (knee) is unlikely to play in Monday's matchup with the Timberwolves, Ira Winderman of the Sun Sentinel reports. He is a force on defense and averages 20 ppg and 12 rebounds. Without him the T-Wolves should be able to control and own the paint. Minnesota comes in well rested. Look for Taj Gibson, Wiggins and Towns to have big games and the W-Tolves to get a comfortable win on the road here on Monday night. 5* |
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10-29-17 | Cowboys -2 v. Redskins | Top | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
The Cowboys are road warriors, having gone 19-8 straight-up dating to the 2013 season. They convert at a high rate in the red zone and figure to capitalize on Washington’s defensive soft spot inside the 20. The primary reason for Dallas’ success near the goal line is RB Ezekiel Elliott and the Cowboys offensive line. The Dallas defense is also healthy again with Shaun Lee back in action. Dallas is 12-5 in their last 17 overall against the Redskins, including winning their last 4 games in Washington.  Kirk Cousins is 0-3 at home against Dallas, and just 3-6 in his career, at home against NFC East opponents. The Cowboy offense ranks 2nd in rushing (147.5 ypg), 5th in 3rd Down Conversion Percentage (45.3%), and is averaging a league high 449.7 Total Yards Per Game since Week 4. The Dallas Cowboys are my NFL GAME OF THE WEEK. |
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10-29-17 | Texans +7 v. Seahawks | Top | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
This is too many points here in this one.  Houston is 3rd in the NFL in rushing yards per game (137.7), and Deshaun Watson has a Passer Rating of 118.3 with 12 TD and 2 interceptions since wideout Will Fuller returned to the lineup in Week 4. They’ve also scored touchdowns on 7 of their last 8 red zone drives. Russell Wilson has been better on the road the road than at home. He only has 3 touchdowns against 2 interceptions at Qwest Field, compared to 8 touchdowns and only 1 pick away from home. Take Houston plus the points to keep it close throughout. 5* |
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10-28-17 | Arkansas State v. New Mexico State +3 | Top | 37-21 | Loss | -103 | 21 h 52 m | Show |
This is a senior-led New Mexico State team and I absolutely believe everyone associated with the program is looking at this game as The Game. A win over Arkansas State would get the Aggies to 4-4 and give them a very good chance at becoming bowl eligible. I think NM St will score its share of points here as their offense is good. Larry Rose III is a dynamic offensive player, Jason Huntley has been a legit weapon any time he touches the ball and QB Tyler Rogers is pretty good as long as he’s not forcing the ball into traffic. I'm on the small home underdog who is rested with 2 weeks to prep and playing with revenge. 5* |
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10-28-17 | NC State +7.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 14-35 | Loss | -130 | 16 h 28 m | Show |
I'll grab the points with the Wolfpack as they head to South Bend to challenge the Irish on Saturday afternoon. N.C. State is off to a terrific 6-1 start this season, an identical record to that of Notre Dame. The Wolfpack are in a good spot here, coming off their bye week and they are a very athletic team. Remember, just last year, N.C. State prevailed in a low-scoring 10-3 affair against Notre Dame. The N.C. State defense has certainly held its own this season, particularly against the run, allowing just three yards per rush. That's a key in this matchup as they keep the Irish offense in check for much of Saturday's game and I'll gladly take the +7 with NC St. 5*Â |
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10-28-17 | Penn State v. Ohio State -6 | Top | 38-39 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 13 m | Show |
Ohio St is also rested and ready for some revenge here on Saturday afternoon. There is a reason why Ohio State is favored by nearly a touchdown here and the line is barely moving considering that nearly 70% are on Penn State but the line is holding steady. Ohio State did not start the year strong against Oklahoma and now look at them, a typical Urban Meyer team that is clicking in all cylinders. Ohio State has revenge, is at home and will be wanting to blow Penn State out of the water here and coming off of a BYE Week. Coach Meyers always comes out STRONG with extra time to prep. The home team has covered the past four meetings and the Buckeyes have revenge on their minds. The Buckeyes haven't played anyone since losing to Oklahoma, but they've practiced well against them all and J.T. Barrett has 18 TDs and no picks in the five games since the OU loss. Penn State has not looked sharp this year on the road and we think they will be rattled and Ohio State will not let up on the gas this year. Ohio St wins and wins big on Saturday afternoon. 10* GAME OF THE MONTH! |
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10-28-17 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia +8 | Top | 50-39 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
The biggest narrative that the media will plug all week is the story of the two offenses taking the field in Morgantown. We can expect a shootout here and I think the home underdog will keep it close here. This game features two exciting QBs. The focus immediately turns to which defense can you trust to get stops. I really like what West Virginia has on the back seven. Athletically, the Mountaineers are very similar to TCU. That defense gave Oklahoma State fits, and the Cowboys will have another struggle in Morgantown. Not only can WVU cover, they can win outright if Will Grier comes up big. 10*Â |
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10-27-17 | Tulane +11 v. Memphis | Top | 26-56 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
The Tigers have ruled this series, winning 10 straight and the past six by double figures so this is a major revenge spot for TULANE and they are a much improved team. Memphis has a high octane offense with their only flaw, their defense. They are allowing 34 per to opponents. They are 2-2 ats in conference play. Tulane has been solid with one bad loss to Oklahoma and they have a great ball control rushing attack and playing a primetime game should add some extra motivation for Tulane. They are 3-0 ATS in conference play as well. We'll back the underdog in this one on Friday night. 5* |
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10-26-17 | Dolphins v. Ravens -3 | Top | 0-40 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
The home team usually has the edge with a short week and Miami traveling north into the cooler weather will help the Ravens. I look for Joe Flacco to have a big game against a weak Miami secondary. Maclin and Wallace should have big games receiving along with TE Benjamin Watson. Matt Moore stepped in last week and did great things within this Dolphins offense, leading the 14 pt comeback win against the Jets. Things are different when you’re the starter as opposed to coming off the bench. The Ravens' defense will present a lot more problems than the Jets did. Take the RAVENS here on Thursday night. 5* |
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10-26-17 | Hawks v. Bulls -3 | Top | 86-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
Dennis Schroder is OUT for the Hawks and he is their best player averaging 23 ppg. Atlanta is one of the worst shooting teams in the NBA and they allow 110 ppg, not a good combination. Atlanta, like a lot of teams, has no one to truly matchup with Bulls 7-foot forward Lauri Markkanen, who takes can play inside and shoot the 3-ball. One of the strangest schedules to open a season belongs to the Atlanta Hawks. Thursday, they’ll compete in their fifth straight road game to start the season against the Chicago Bulls. Though the Bulls are winless I like them to get a win here on Thursday night. 5* |
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10-26-17 | Eastern Michigan +7.5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This will sound weird, but the 2-5 Eastern Michigan Eagles are not a bad football team. They’ve had two overtime losses and three other losses by five points or fewer. You have an Eastern Michigan team that is picking up some steam as a strong ATS cover of late. This teams strength is their defense, which is a top 35 in overall defense and top 10 in passing yards allowed. On top of that, this team has an offense that features a top 35 passing attack and an overall defense that is top 30 in points allowed. They come off an impressive effort against Western Michigan, losing 17-20 in overtime but prior to that had covered against Army, losing 27-28 as a 4.5 point underdog, losing to Toledo by 5 points as a 13.5 point underdog and losing to Kentucky 20-24 as well as a 14 point underdog. This team lost to Northern Illinois last year 31-24 in OT. We like Eastern Michigan to hang tough and keep this one close throughout. 5* |
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10-25-17 | Grizzlies -4 v. Mavs | Top | 94-103 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
The Mavs look old. Dirk is near the end of his career and Dallas doesn't play much defense. On the other hand the Grizzlies are playing tremendous defense in their 4-0 start to the season. I think they'll frustrate rookie Dennis Smith Jr and keep the Mavs winless and cover the small 4 pt spread in the process. Take the GRIZ. 5* |
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10-24-17 | Pelicans v. Blazers -4.5 | Top | 93-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
Home opener for Portland who won their first 2 games as away favorites and are now coming off a loss at Milwaukee, a game they pushed. New Orleans hosted Golden St on Friday, played at the Lakers Sunday is now in their second game of this 3 game road trip. The Pelicans got their first win vs the Lakers as they shot 57% after shooting 38% and 47% their first two game and they will struggle against the Blazers D which allowed 32% and 45% their two game as a favorite. Besides Davis and Cousins, New Orleans doesn't have much help and their guards turn the ball over a lot. The Pelicans just beat the Lakers who are a team who doesn't play much defense. Now, Portland will be playing its first home game, and the home team has dominated this series and should win big tonight! 5*Â |
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10-23-17 | Kings -2.5 v. Suns | Top | 115-117 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
SACRAMENTO is coming off of an ugly game on Saturday night where they got outrebounded by 20 and only shot 35% in the game. Phoenix is the perfect team for them to bounce back against as they are bad and don't play much defense. The Suns are making a strong case as the worst team in the league. The Suns have averaged 98 points per game while giving up 128.7 to start the season. The Phoenix players are frustrated, the coach just got fired after 3 games and there is a lot of finger pointing in the locker-room. Back the Kings to keep Phoenix winless here on Monday night. 10*Â |
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10-23-17 | Redskins +6 v. Eagles | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
Washington has revenge from a 30-17 loss in week 1. The Eagles have been a lucky team so far, winning 3 of their last 4 games by 5 or less. Philly has the slightly better defense and Washington has an edge on offense. The Redskins have won three of four behind a surging defense that ranks No. 5 overall (316 yards per game).In a matchup of relatively even teams, I’ll take the club with the slightly better defense getting that should be able to move the ball against a weak Eagles secondary. 5* |
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10-22-17 | Bengals +5 v. Steelers | Top | 14-29 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
QB Ben Roethlisberger is either permanently fading or temporarily slumping, which has reduced the offense pretty much to RB Le’Veon Bell carrying the ball and WR Martavis Bryant reportedly seeking a trade. Problem is, the Bengals give up just 3.8 yards per carry, one element of their No. 2-ranked defense overall. They have won twice in succession after bowing to the Packers in overtime and are stepping out of their BYE week in a big divisional game. The Bengals are now just one win away from being .500 and if they can win this division game, they are right back in the thick of things We like this Bengals defense a lot and we think they will keep them in this game and the Bengals are highly motivated to get us the ATS Cover. 5* |
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10-22-17 | Cardinals v. Rams -3 | Top | 0-33 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
The Rams made this trip last season, and I like the familiarity aspect they have with this trip. I also give an edge on the team’s decision to remain in Jacksonville following last week’s game before crossing the pond. Lastly, this Cardinals defense that’s given up the most passing TD’s of 20+ yards will meet L.A.’s top ranked scoring offense that leads the league in scoring and 20+ yard plays. Arizona is the only team that’s allowed 100 QB pressures – Carson Palmer has been hit an NFL high 55 times and the Rams defense, led by Aaron Donald is averaging 13 QB pressures per game. There might not be a more disruptive defender in the entire NFL than Aaron Donald. That guy is pretty much unstoppable at this point, and Palmer under pressure is very vulnerable to making mistakes. Take L.A. Rams in this one. 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK |
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10-21-17 | Pistons -1.5 v. Knicks | Top | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 22 h 37 m | Show |
The Knicks are bad this year and the Pistons have some quality players. Look for Avery Bradley and Reggie Jackson to come up big for Detroit. I don't think the home court will make a difference the Pistons should win this one comfortably. Its our 5* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY! 5* |
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10-21-17 | Michigan +9.5 v. Penn State | Top | 13-42 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
Last year, an inexperienced Penn State club was humbled by Michigan in a 49-10 loss. Penn St hasn't played the toughest of schedules and the Michigan defense is very good. I think that will give them an opportunity even against a complete team like Penn State. The Nittany Lions offense while talented does not present the biggest mismatch advantage in terms of talent or scheme over the Michigan defense. They should be able to keep the Penn St running game in check. I think the 9.5 points here on Saturday night are an advantage in a game that I expect to be really low in terms of scoring. I'm on the Michigan Wolverines with the pts. 10* Oddsmaker Mistake Play |
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10-21-17 | Iowa +2.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
Iowa is 4-2 and they have a tough defense. They've also played a much tough schedule so far. Â So far, the aggregate record of the teams they've played is 25-11. I'm certainly not saying the Hawks are great, but they are the better team especially on defense with their linebackers. They lost on final play of the game to Penn St, and at Mich St(who just won at the big house), plus the tight game vs. Iowa St. I like IOWA to get the win here on Saturday afternoon. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK |
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10-19-17 | Memphis +2.5 v. Houston | Top | 42-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
This will be the biggest game for the rest of the year for Memphis. Now newly ranked #25 going on the road will not be easy. If the defense plays as well as they did against Navy, the Tigers should win this one. Memphis is very good at causing turnovers and winning the turnover battle. Grab a full field goal with Memphis while you can. They could run the table with a win here and their offense is very explosive and now play on National TV Thursday night. 5*Â |
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10-18-17 | Wolves +2 v. Spurs | Top | 99-107 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
The Wolves added Jimmy Butler and Jeff Teague this off season to along with Wiggins and Karl Anthony-Towns and most are expecting big things out of them this year. I expect they will be fired up to prove a point early in the season, and on National TV game. The Spurs will be shorthanded this game without Tony Parker and Kawhi Leonard. I think they will really miss Leonard's defense in this game and it will cause struggles for the Spurs. Lastly the road team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings here. Take the small underdog with the MINN T-Wolves here on Wednesday night. 5*Â |
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10-18-17 | Pelicans +2.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 91-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
I like the inside/outside potential for the Pelicans this season. DeMarcus Cousins joined Anthony Davis inside during last season, but the two will now have had time to develop chemistry and gel with each other. Memphis isn't the same team from the past as they broke up their team in the off-season. The Grizzlies just beat the Pelicans in the final game of the preseason which is normally meaningless but New Orleans lost by 41 pts so I'm sure they'll be ready there tonight. Take the +3 pts with the Pelicans in the NBA. 5*Â |
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10-16-17 | Colts v. Titans -6.5 | Top | 22-36 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
QB Marcus Mariota is expected to play and with the Titans coming off a poor performance, I look for a rejuvenated team, a strong homefield advantage and a comfortable win. I look for their offense to get back on track. The Colts are very bad this year. They've been outscored on the road by a combined score of 92-27. They sport an abysmal negative-1.2 yards per play differential on the season, well behind the Titans' total and that of most other teams. I look for the TITANS to come out strong and win by 10 or more on MNF. 5* |
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10-15-17 | Steelers +4.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show |
I am going to take the points with Pittsburgh in this one. The fact that Kansas City has started out 5-0 ATS and are the talk of the NFL right now, the public is lining up to take them. Also Big Ben just threw 5 INT's in his last game with 2 being returned for TD's. This line has been inflated because of that and thus the value here is with the Steelers. The Steelers are a perfect 6-0 against the Chiefs when Roethlisberger starts and finishes a game. Lastly Pittsburgh is a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 road games against a team that is allowing 4.5 or more yards/carry against the run. Give me the Steelers as a juicy underdog here on Sunday evening. 5* |
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10-15-17 | Lions v. Saints -4 | Top | 38-52 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
The Saints are coming of a BYE and now get a home game against the Lions. The Saints are 5-2 ATS over their last 7 and Drew Brees is on fire. I like what they are doing with the offense and defense and an extra week off to prep. He’s completing over 69% of his passes with 8 touchdowns and 0 interceptions with a Passer Rating of 108.3 on the year, and this week he faces a Lions defense that just got lit up by Cam Newton, who threw 3 TD’s and completed 79% of his passes last week. The Saints are known for having a shaky defense, but they’ve only allowed 13 points in their last 2. Take the Saints here at home to grab the cash!10* GAME OF THE WEEK
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10-14-17 | UCLA v. Arizona +2.5 | Top | 30-47 | Win | 100 | 30 h 19 m | Show |
Rich Rod deserves credit for turning around the Wildcats this season and likely saving his job. The same cannot be said for Jim Mora, as he has yet to elevate the Bruins to one of the top teams in the league. UCLA has been on the road a lot lately and just seem tired. It will be very hot for this game at kickoff in the 90's. Arizona should be able to move the ball at will behind their tough rushing attack. The Wildcats defense is far from stout but they have improved by over 50 ypg and close to 12 ppg from last season so the unit is heading in the right direction. UCLA struggles to stop the run and that is what Arizona does best. UCLA is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games and ARIZONA gets the big primetime win at home here on Saturday night. 10* GAME OF THE WEEKÂ |
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10-14-17 | New Mexico State -6.5 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 35-27 | Win | 100 | 29 h 39 m | Show |
Its not often that you see New Mexico State a touchdown favorite but we like them on the road here against a rebuilding Georgia Southern squad. The New Mexico State program is top 30 offense, top 10 in passing yards and they can put up points in a hurry. This team is also top 55 in passing yards allowed and lost to Georgia Southern 19-22 last year and have revenge in this game. They have lost back to back games to both Arkansas and App State and can ill afford to lose 3 in a row as they are still in the hunt for a Bowl if they beat these weaker schools. Georgia Southern is one of the worst offensive teams in the country and I like New Mexico St to get us the WIN and COVER in this one on Saturday night. 5*Â |
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10-14-17 | Oklahoma -8.5 v. Texas | Top | 29-24 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 15 m | Show |
It's safe to say that the Sooners got caught sleeping against Iowa State. This is a rivalry game that they can't afford to sleep through. Texas' defense will be up for the challenge, but I don't foresee its offense keeping pace. The fact remains, the Sooners owned the longest winning streak in the country before they were victimized by Iowa State. Oklahoma was flat out embarrassed last week This was a team many portrayed as a threat to both Alabama and Clemson. Now, OU fell flat on its face. Since the stock is so low on the Sooners, this is a prime position to catch them at a reduced price as they look to take out the frustration on their oldest foe. Baker Mayfield has 15 TD's and Zero INT's and OKL is too strong on both sides of the ball and they'll get a double digit win here. 5*Â |
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10-14-17 | Rutgers +3 v. Illinois | Top | 35-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
We get Rutgers who is rested and playing with revenge on Saturday afternoon. We see that 80% of the public is on Illinois is something that allowed us to take a closer look at this game. Rutgers is led by former Ohio State Defensive Coordinator Chris Ash who knows how to build a winning culture as he has been around one with Urban Meyer. Their defense is aggressive and tough up front. Not surprisingly you have a Rutgers team that is top 50 when it comes in defense and Ash is getting a lot of his players given the talent level that he has and he is doing a quality job recruiting as well. And, we like the fact this team is coming off a 56-0 ass whooping against Ohio St. We think Rutgers gets up for this game and gets the win for us. 5* Underdog Slammer |
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10-12-17 | Eagles +3.5 v. Panthers | Top | 28-23 | Win | 100 | 22 h 27 m | Show |
The Eagles and Panthers have identical 4-1 records, and both have been efficient on both sides of the ball in recent outings. The Eagles defense forced the Cardinals to gain 276 of their 307 total yards through the air mostly because they built and early 21-0 lead. The Eagles are ranked in the TOP 10 in almost every major offensive category including # 3 in total offense, #5 in rushing offense, # 9 in passing offense and # 6 in scoring offense. The Panthers are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. The Eagles had a dominating performance last Sunday at home against the Cardinals, 34-7. Philadelphia QB Carson Wentz had 4 TD's, 21 of 30 passing for 304 yards and 1 INT. In addition, RB LeGarette Blunt rushed for 74 yards and has been tough rushing the ball this season for the Birds. The 3.5 number provides value on the stronger defensive club in what should be a tight Thursday night game. 5*Â |
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10-09-17 | Vikings v. Bears +4 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
The Bears shouldn't be getting three points in this matchup at home, where they've went toe to toe with two far superior teams earlier this season. The Bears predictably made a switch at QB, and the rookie should give the offense a boost, but he won't have to do too much with the running game likely to dominate this matchup, as it did when the Bears beat the Vikings at home last year 20-10. The Vikings have a solid passing attack, but it hasn't played as well on the road, and they even struggled to move the ball at home last week against the Lions. Dalvin Cook's injury is also a huge loss for this offense. I'll back the Bears here at home on MNF. 5*Â |
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10-08-17 | Chiefs v. Texans +1.5 | Top | 42-34 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
The Chiefs are the league's only undefeated team and they're facing a rookie QB on Sunday night. But this is a great spot for the Texans. KC goes on the road on a short week and banged up on both sides of the ball. The Texans are coming off a dominating home win last Sunday 57-14 and when was the last time the Texans scored over 50 points in a single game. Houston rookie QB Deshaun Watson has been nothing but outstanding in his first 3 starts going 2-1 and that one loss was at New England but lost only by 3-points 36-33. Look for the Texans defense to win this game at home Sunday night. 5* |
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10-08-17 | Bills v. Bengals -3 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
Going with the Bengals in this match-up against the Bills. The Bengals are looking like that they are coming together now since they made the change at offensive coordinator. The Bengals defense has been solid this year by ranking 3rd in defense that allows 16.8 points per game. Also, they are ranked 3rd against the pass. The Bills should be ready for a let down after beating the Broncos and Falcons and now playing their 2nd straight road game. Take the Bengals here on Sunday. 10* GAME OF THE WEEKÂ |
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10-07-17 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska +11 | Top | 38-17 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 5 m | Show |
Wisconsin struggled last week but pulled away in the end.  Wisconsin was able to post impressive offensive numbers its first three games albeit against the soft defenses of Utah State, Florida Atlantic and BYU. Last week, facing a bit more resistance, the Badgers managed only 306 total yards in their 33-24 win over Northwestern. The final tally was very deceiving as both teams combined for only 550 yards but five turnovers and a pick six helped it go over the total. Last year's meeting saw Wisconsin grind out a 23-17 win in Madison and I like the Cornhuskers to keep it close. One noticeable change during Nebraska's two recent wins was a far more conservative game plan. The Cornhuskers ran the ball 85 times vs. only 45 pass attempts. Nebraska is very good at home in night games and I like them getting the pts here on Saturday night. 10* Underdog Game of the Month |
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10-07-17 | Michigan State v. Michigan -10 | Top | 14-10 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 29 m | Show |
This is the first night game ever between these 2 teams and you can expect Michgian to be rocking on Saturday night. Michigan State has a decent offense, but they do not matchup well against Michigan's defense. The Wolverines will pressure the hell out of the Spartans. I believe Michigan's defense is better than last years and that is scary. I believe John O'Korn will get the starting job for this game and Michigan will move the ball on offense with ease. If you factor in the home field advantage especially since it's a night game i don't think Mich State has a chance. 5* |
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10-07-17 | Minnesota v. Purdue -3 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 57 m | Show |
Purdue has played well against elite teams (Michigan & Louisville) and has the home-crowd advantage, not to mention the emotion of losing coach Tiller earlier this week. The school plans to honor prior to the game so you can bet there will be a little extra electricity to the home crowd and the players in this one. Purdue's offense looked awful vs. Michigan with just 10 pts and an embarrassing running game, but I look for them to be focused and bounce back here at home. I think their QB is a talented player as well. We have Purdue coming off its bye week and playing for Coach Tiller with pride. The Boilermakers are 9-2 SU & 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home meetings with Minnesota. Purdue is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games after gaining 100 or fewer rushing yards in its previous game. Take Purdue to take care of business and get the WIN and COVER here on Saturday. 10* Oddsmaker Mistake Play |
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10-06-17 | Memphis -14.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 70-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
This should be a good chance for Memphis to bounce back coming off of their tough result last week at UCF.  UConn hasn't been great out of the gate and shown a lot of weaknesses on the defensive side of the ball which isn't ideal coming into this matchup against what can be a very high powered Memphis offensive attack. This is a great chance for the Memphis offense to breakout and get a big road win. I'm laying the points with Memphis on Friday night, as I look for them to bounce back and get a BIG WIN on Friday night. They were outplayed and out-coached vs Central Florida last weekend.  UConn is just 5-16-1 ATS in its last 22 home games, and I see the trend continuing here tonight. Memphis by 24. 5* |
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10-05-17 | Patriots v. Bucs +6 | Top | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
The New England Patriots defense is bad and I like TB at home to get us the cash. Tom Brady is on fire and yet the Pats are just 2-2 on the season. They are +5 on the season in turnovers so they've been getting lucky. The Pats are also banged up and on a short week playing on the road. Everyone’s offense gets healthy against this Patriots defense. While I do expect them to get things figured out eventually, I just don’t see it happening on the short week in this game vs. Jameis Winston & the Bucs. Look for WR Jackson and Evans to have big games vs the Pats secondary. Also, the Bucs' defense is pretty good and will generate turnovers. 5* |
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10-02-17 | Redskins v. Chiefs -7 | Top | 20-29 | Win | 100 | 24 h 42 m | Show |
Tough to get a read on the Redskins because of how inconsistent they’ve been from week-to-week. What has been consistent is Kareem Hunt and the Chiefs offense. The dynamic duo of Kareem Hunt and Tyreek Hill have turned the Chiefs into a threat to score on any snap from any spot on the field. They have combined for four touchdowns of between 30 and 75 yards. Defensively, their secondary won’t miss many opportunities to take the ball away from the giving Kirk Cousins as the Redskins struggle away from home. Lay the points with the KC Chiefs on MNF. 5* |
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10-01-17 | Steelers v. Ravens +3 | Top | 26-9 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
The Steelers are a different team on the road than when they play at home. This is a big divisional game and I like the home team to come out on top as the Ravens are off of a poor game with just 186 total yards last week and 3 turnovers. Steelers just don't have their offense hitting on all cylinders yet and have stayed Under in all three and covered just once. Baltimore has covered the past five meetings. Ravens +3 is the play. The Ravens are being seriously undervalued after their poor showing and I expect a nice bounceback from Joe Flacco. Baltimore is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. 5*Â |
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10-01-17 | Bills v. Falcons -7.5 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
The Bills haven't shown much on offense so far, and Atlanta is very explosive and also playing at home with a tough defense up front and will pressure Bills QB Taylor. The Falcons have so much team speed and playing at home will be too much for Buffalo. The Bills rank 23rd in points scored per drive. Look for Matt Ryan to have a big game and Julio Jones to break out with a big performance. 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEKÂ |
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09-30-17 | Clemson v. Virginia Tech +7.5 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
When you watch the powerful offensive game of Virginia Tech they score 40 a game, and score quite easily - they can make the tough plays that teams need to - when necessary to win bigger games. Virginia Tech offense can always be counted on for putting up fast points, and will do again. With a season average of 12.11 yards per catch - Ray-Ray McCloud doesn’t produce nearly as much as the Hokies star WR, Cam Phillips and his 15.38 /yards per reception during his season at Virginia Tech - they have far better weapons at WR, and it will make a huge difference. It comes down to the passing game of Clemson - they cant seem to get their own WR involved on the field and get them to step up when needed. Clemson and their very talented RB Travis Etienne need to improve on his pass blocking side of the ball. Virginia Tech has too much attacking skill here. I think the setting and matchup is positive for Virginia Tech. If they limit big plays and Jackson plays well, they can win this football game. It is going to be a difficult challenge but I like Virginia Tech at home and getting the points. The Hokies will be play outstanding team defense Saturday night and I see the Hokies making a key play on Special Teams to get us the cover and another College Football winner. Clemson is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games and the Hokies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games. Also, throw in that the home team in this series has covered 5 out of 7 games and Saturday night in Blacksburg will be rocking! 10* |
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09-30-17 | Iowa v. Michigan State -4 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
The misleading final scores from last week’s games provide us with excellent line value on the Spartans. Iowa comes in off a heartbreak loss at home vs. Penn St and still hanging their heads. Despite losing by just two points, Iowa was actually dominated from the line of scrimmage by the Nittany Lions. The Hawkeyes were outgained by over 300 total yards in the loss. Meanwhile, Michigan State is home for the fourth consecutive week and is coming off a 38-18 loss to Notre Dame. Despite losing by twenty points, the Spartans actually outgained Notre Dame by 141 total yards but lost due to 3 turnovers and a ton of penalties. The Spartans have committed the 13th-fewest number of penalties this season (head coach Mark Dantonio is one of the nation’s best) and I expect a focused effort here. The Spartans should get the win and cover here at home on Saturday afternoon. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK |
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09-30-17 | Syracuse +14 v. NC State | Top | 25-33 | Win | 100 | 3 h 44 m | Show |
I think this is going to be a really good close game. Both teams have faced fairly similar levels of compitition so far this year and have very similar stats. I really want to see the orange pull this game out and think they have a better chance than most people are giving them credit for. Syracuse loves to push the pace offensively and run a lot of plays. NC State is more of a patient offensive attack. Defensively, you can give the talent edge to the Wolfpack, but the Orange play well collectively as a unit. This will be a lot closer than people think. Keep an eye on Syracuse QB Eric Dungey to make some big plays. 5*Â |
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09-29-17 | Miami-FL v. Duke +6.5 | Top | 31-6 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
This is the closest spread in this matchup over the past 10 meetings, but in my mind, it should be even smaller. The Duke defense is one of the best they've had especially against the run. Duke looks like they're one of the teams most overlooked coming into the year in the ACC and I'm looking forward to seeing if the Blue Devils can keep up their high level of play this week against one of the top teams in the conference. Big win for Duke last week against rival UNC and now Duke gets a chance to further their cause to get into the top 25 if they can come through today at home. Miami has had their season altered by the Hurricane, as this is only their 3rd game. Look for DUKE to keep it close throughout behind their defense here at home. 5*Â |
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09-28-17 | Bears +7.5 v. Packers | Top | 14-35 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
The Packers are banged up and just played 4 days ago in 90 degree heat. The Packers defense has struggled against the run this year and I look for a close game here on Thursday night. Â The Bears kept the Steelers in check and being a divisional game I'll take the pts with the Bears here on Thursday night. 5* |
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09-25-17 | Cowboys -2.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 28-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
The Cowboys were knocked around in Denver last week, but here this is certainly a nice chance to bounce back in all aspects here on MNF.  Look for Dak and Elliott to come up big tonight. With Arizona's David Johnson going down, they are really scrambling to figure things out in the backfield.  The Cardinals do not play well on Monday Night Football. The Cards are coming off an overtime victory over the Colts in which Arizona's secondary led the way. Dallas struggled against a similarly strong secondary. The difference is that I don’t think the Cards have the ability to run the ball like the Broncos did and Carson Palmer is washed up. Take the DALLAS COWBOYS to bounce back big on MNF. 5* |
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09-24-17 | Seahawks +3 v. Titans | Top | 27-33 | Loss | -125 | 18 h 5 m | Show |
The Seattle OL was ripped all week by Pete Carroll. So look for a much-improved performance this week. Russell Wilson has a solid ball-carrier in RB, Chris Carson to keep the Tennessee defense honest as he will get the passing game going and take advantage of a Titans secondary without Safety, Jonathan Cyprien. The Seahawks defense is still very tough and Seattle has a defense that is yielding just 13.0 PPG. The 'dog in this series is 6-0 ATS the L6 meetings. The Seahawks are 7-0 ATS the L7 games played in Week 3 while the Titans are 7-22-2 ATS their L31 games played at home and just dont matchup well. We'll go against the public and take this Seattle team plus the pts on Sunday afternoon. 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK Â |
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09-23-17 | Penn State v. Iowa +13 | Top | 21-19 | Win | 100 | 22 h 45 m | Show |
Both teams are undefeated coming into this game, although I have been more impressed with Iowa’s resume, which includes a double-digit win over Wyoming and a road victory at Iowa State. Penn St has played a very weak cupcake schedule so far. The Hawkeyes are averaging 33.0 points and 398 total yards per game at 5.3 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 5.2 yards per play to a mediocre attack to they are just slightly above average offensively. However, Iowa possesses an outstanding defense especially at home where the Hawkeyes have yielded just 8.5 points and 269 total yards per game at 4.6 yards per play and 31.6 yards per point. Iowa’s defensive backfield has been spectacular this season as well and their linebackers are always tough. Iowa head coach Kirk Ferentz is a profitable 9-2 ATS as a conference home underdog of more than seven points, including 7-1 ATS with revenge and 4-0 ATS at home with triple-revenge. Ferentz is also an incredible 19-5-1 ATS when playing with revenge with the Hawkeyes, including 10-0-1 ATS over the last eleven circumstances. Look for Iowa to keep this one close throughout so we are backing the home underdog on Saturday night. 5* |
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09-23-17 | Florida v. Kentucky +3 | Top | 28-27 | Win | 100 | 22 h 40 m | Show |
Fifth-year head coach Mark Stoops finally got the message that in order to compete in the SEC, you have to value the football, run the football, and play solid defense. Through three games, UK is +4 in turnover margin, owns a 121-70 run/pass ratio, and is allowing only 346.7 ypg. For seven of the eight quarters it has played, Florida's offense has been nothing short of abysmal. The Gators managed 11 rushing yards vs. Michigan and if you eliminate their Hail Mary toss at the end of last week's win over Tennessee, they would have been outgained by 125 yards to the Vols. For casual bettors, Kentucky's 30-game losing streak to Florida is going to make this a "Gators or pass" game. But in those 30 games, how many times could you confidently say Kentucky had the ability to win the line of scrimmage battle? I feel they'll do so in Saturday's matchup which is why I'm on the short home underdog to pull the upset at home. 5* |
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09-23-17 | Arkansas +3 v. Texas A&M | Top | 43-50 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
Arkansas has to try finding more better plays for their top WR, Jonathan Nance. Arkansas has had a steady decline in their offensive output from last season, when they were putting up over 30/game but they'll get back on track here Saturday afternoon. I don't think that Arkansas is going to miss out on a chance to pull a key SEC upset here. Bret Bielema has lost to A&M five straight years, including a 21-point rout last season after back-to-back overtime heartbreakers in 2014 and 2015. Well, it is time for the Razorbacks to snap the streak. This A&M team has issues. Kevin Sumlin has fans and alumni openly campaigning for his firing. The Aggies still have that unreal choke against UCLA hanging over them. They were also unimpressive in a 10-point win over Nicholls State and the Aggies were actually down 21-14 at halftime last week against Louisiana-Lafayette. Arkansas has had two weeks to prepare for this game and lick its wounds after falling to TCU. But that 28-7 loss was a bit misleading, as it was 14-7 with less than three minutes left to play and Arkansas had two missed field goals. I think Arkansas is extremely motivated in this game and I think that they are more focused than the Aggies. There's no way you can trust the Aggies' offense, as its been a mess. The biggest issue is at QB. I like how the Razorbacks are built on both sides of the line of scrimmage. Look for them to bounce back and control the offensive and defensive lines in this one. I like the Razorbacks to get this win here. 10* College Game of the Month |
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09-17-17 | Cowboys -2.5 v. Broncos | Top | 17-42 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
Dallas handled the Giants with rather ease in their season opener, as they completely flustered them on the defensive end. Dallas allowed just 223 yards total in the process and just 3 points against. They should have a field day vs an inexperienced Broncos QB. The Cowboys offensively saw that Dak Prescott is not going to go through any sophomore slumps. Prescott and the offense put up 392 total yards, the 4th most in the NFL in Week 1. He was a perfect 4-0 vs the AFC last year and he rarely turns the ball over. Dallas is one of the most explosive teams on both sides of the ball. They should be able to handle a Denver team that isn't flashy and likely won't be able to sustain any drives. 5* |
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09-17-17 | Eagles v. Chiefs -5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show |
The Chiefs are very good on both sides on the ball. Andy Reid got his revenge in his third game coaching the Chiefs with a 26-16 win over the Eagles in Philadelphia. My guess is he will always want to beat the Eagles. KC played last Thursday so they'll have a few extra days to prep for this game. The Eagles got banged up vs the Redskins and that game was a lot close than the final score indicated. Reid has his best team yet in Kansas City and they won 44 games in his first four years. They are as good as the team you watched beat New England. Now this isn't quite the same amount of time as a bye week, where Andy Reid is 16-2 ATS coming off a bye. But he is excellent with extra time to prepare. Take the Chiefs here in their home opener. 10* |
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09-16-17 | Texas +16 v. USC | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
I'm looking for this to be a shootout and Texas has too many athletes to pass up this high number. Both teams have found themselves in high scoring affairs in their first two. Their average scores are almost identical: USC 48-27, Texas 46-27. Both defenses have struggled against lesser opponents. Texas lost 51-41 at home to Maryland as an 18-point favorite. USC will get plenty of points, but Texas should keep up. I'm anticipating a close game and Texas to stay within 10 pts. Take the Longhorns as our 10* Game of the Week. 10* |
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09-16-17 | Notre Dame -12 v. Boston College | Top | 49-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
The Fighting Irish are hungry for a big win as they are looking to forget last week's heart breaking 20-19 home loss to Georgia. A look inside the numbers reveal that Notre Dame tends to stay on a roll when they're defense is rolling. They are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after their defense allows less than 170 yards passing in the previous game. We also see there is a big advantage in this series to being the road team as the home team is a mere 1-4 ATS in the series. We already know that Boston College is a terrible home team, 3-9-2 ATS in their last 14 home games. And we know that when they get crushed they usually take the following week off as they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. This BC team is not good and ND had a very focused week of practice. I look for Notre Dame to win by 3 TD's. 5* |
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09-16-17 | Baylor +14 v. Duke | Top | 20-34 | Push | 0 | 3 h 8 m | Show |
New Baylor coach Matt Rhule did a great job at Temple and he will turn this program around, despite discouraging losses in the first two weeks. It won't take long because he has the talent. Going out on the road should take some pressure off the players. Duke has played great in its first two games abut this is a look-ahead spot with rival North Carolina on deck. What would this line have been before the season? My guess would be Baylor -6. But after the Bears lost two home games to Liberty and UTSA, they are now 14-point dogs at Duke. Meanwhile, Duke just blew the doors off Northwestern 41-17 last week. So everyone is high on the Blue Devils now all of a sudden. I think Baylor still has the superior talent in this one, despite the slow start and HC Rhule is 21-7 ATS as an underdog. I think this one stays close throughout. 5* |
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09-16-17 | Oklahoma State v. Pittsburgh +11.5 | Top | 59-21 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
We all know about the high powered offense that the Cowboys bring to the table. Pitt as we know plays a way different style of football. This is the type of style that generally the Big 12 struggles with because they don't have the big physical lineman. Pitt prefers the ground and pound and just like last year they took the Cowboys down to the wire. So last week this Pitt team if you look at the box score actually out played Penn St. They out gained them by 30 yards had 10 more first downs but had 3 major turnovers. I think they are catching Oklahoma St at the right time here as they have a huge game with TCU on deck next weekend. I'm on the home underdog with the PITT PANTHERS on Saturday afternoon. 5* |
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09-15-17 | Illinois v. South Florida -17 | Top | 23-47 | Win | 100 | 34 h 24 m | Show |
We are passing the Thursday NFL and College Football and turn our attention to Friday night College Football here. In the past nine years Illinois has never won more than a single road game in a season and has put up just a 8-33 away record in that time span, are just 5-11 against the spread in their last 16 games as a road dog, are 3-8 versus the number in their last 11 against teams with a winning record and have lost their last 17 straight games against ranked opponents. Now they find themselves traveling to Florida on a short week with injuries on both sides of the ball and facing a USF team that has had an extra week to prepare. 5* |
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09-11-17 | Chargers +3 v. Broncos | Top | 21-24 | Push | 0 | 25 h 38 m | Show |
Both these teams have excellent defenses, but the Broncos lost one of the best defensive coordinators in the league during the offseason and decided to part ways with quality safety T.J. Ward during final cuts. SD also has the better QB by far with Philip Rivers. The CHARGERS have covered in 5 straight openers and gone 11-3-1 ATS in three-plus years of September outings. 10* |
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09-10-17 | Eagles -1 v. Redskins | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 2 h 58 m | Show |
The Eagles are sneakily a contender in the NFC. Their downturn last year was linked to losing Lane Johnson to suspension, and the line will give Carson Wentz plenty of time to move the ball around and he has a solid receiving core. Their weakness heading into the offseason was at cornerback, and Ronald Darby goes a long way towards fixing it. Washington has a big hole to fill on offense after losing their top two WRs and offensive coordinator. I think the Redskins will struggle this year in a major way. Look for Philly to win the battle up front, and for Carson Wentz to enjoy using his new weapons. I'm backing the Eagles here on Sunday. 10* GAME OF THE WEEKÂ |
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09-09-17 | Nebraska +14 v. Oregon | Top | 35-42 | Win | 100 | 18 h 58 m | Show |
10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK: The Cornhuskers enter into this game barely getting by Arkansas state last week, and they didn't want to show much while Oregon is still sky high after putting up 77 points in their opener. This will be a great battle in the trenches. Both teams have shown a dedication to the run game, and can run it well. The Huskers, in my opinion, have better weapons on the perimeter and had their number last season. The Cornhuskers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Ducks are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. I like NEBRASKA plus the pts here on Saturday afternoon. |
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09-09-17 | Iowa -2.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 44-41 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
Iowa won this rivalry game last year 42-3 as a 15-point favorite, and has the better team once again this year. Iowa has got to try and keep drives going, and they have the better offensive line and better linebackers on defense. The Hawkeyes D played well vs Wyoming, versus a probable NFL QB in Josh Allen of Wyoming. Iowa coach Kirk Ferentz always has his teams ready on the road, and the Hawkeyes will have their share of fans in the stadium and I'm backing IOWA on Saturday afternoon as they win by 10 or more. 10* Oddsmaker Mistake Play |
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09-09-17 | Louisville -9.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 47-35 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
The North Carolina defense looked lost late against a rebuilding Cal team most had relegated to the Pac-12 basement at the start of the year. Louisville a bit ambushed by a fired up and match improved Purdue team and they showed last night the Boilermakers are for real. Lamar Jackson is once again off to a fast start and we can expect a much more focused and prepared Louisville team to take care of business here on Saturday in this early kickoff. 5*Â |
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09-08-17 | Ohio +3.5 v. Purdue | Top | 21-44 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
Purdue's defense was decent in its 35-28 loss to Louisville last week, but it still was the Boilermarkers' eighth loss in a row. They've covered only twice in their last 10 home games. Meanwhile, Ohio has covered eight of its last nine of the road and a very solid team. What consistently stands out about Frank Solich's Bobcats is their well-coached defense. I like Ohio U to play them tough and get the win over Purdue. Take OHIO U plus the pts. 5* |
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09-03-17 | Texas A&M v. UCLA -3.5 | Top | 44-45 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
Josh Rosen is the key to this game. Rosen is a Heisman Trophy candidate and possibly a first-round pick in the 2018 NFL Draft. 5* |
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09-02-17 | Miami-OH +1.5 v. Marshall | Top | 26-31 | Loss | -101 | 20 h 4 m | Show |
Marshall really struggled last season with a mark of 3-9 SU, 3-8 ATS. Lone victories included Morgan State and Florida Atlantic. They allowed 200 or more YPG both running and passing and just not a good team. Their QB Litton returns as the starting signal caller, but much of the blame for last year’s internal discord was from him. Until things turn around, we will follow the momentum of each team including that of Miami, Ohio who began last year going 0-6 SU then made the QB change to Ragland (17TD's/1 INT) and the Red Hawks finished the year 6-1 SU, ATS including a narrow miss in their Bowl game, a 17-16 loss (as a +14 underdog to an SEC team) Miss St. Not only did they make it to a bowl game but they gained experience and 3 extra weeks of practice last December. They also have 17 returning starters including QB Ragland and over 80 returning lettermen, and this is one of the most experienced teams in the Nation. I'm backing Miami-Ohio, who is well coached, with solid QB play and their momentum from last season as I believe these 2 teams are headed in opposite directions. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK |
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09-02-17 | Maryland +19 v. Texas | Top | 51-41 | Win | 100 | 51 h 3 m | Show |
There’s a lot of excitement in Austin with the arrival of head coach Tom Herman. The offense will get a big boost under him but its going to take time. I still have questions about the defense as well. Will the Longhorns be able to stop the run? That's what they’ll see a lot of against the Maryland Terps, who boast a deep stable of backs and a strong Offensive-line that can dictate up front and create holes. There are many distractions with flooding and the practices aren't as focused for Texas for obvious reasons. I'm taking Maryland with the points in this battle on Saturday night primetime TV action. 5* |
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09-01-17 | Colorado State +4 v. Colorado | Top | 3-17 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
Colorado State's red zone ability has looked like a very consistent threat and an end result concern on every possession for opponents. Whether by running, passing or by good special teams play - the guys gets it done for the Rams. Nick Stevens is a huge threat, in a solid passing game for the Rams as well. Stevens always finds way to keep Colorado State involved throughout their games. Colorado State has too much firepower for Colorado to try and keep in check. Colorado has not scored well, at all, in the last 2 games they have played. The Colorado St Rams are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall We cashed our 5* BEST BET with Colorado State over Oregon State last Saturday, as CSU blew out the Beavers, 58-27. They'll have a big advantage vs. their cross-state rival, Colorado, as the Buffaloes haven't played any games yet this season to work out any of the kinks. These teams have met every season for the past 22 years, and the team that lost the previous year has gone 15-5-1 ATS, including 8-0-1 ATS when priced from -3 to +6.5 points! With the Rams playing with revenge from a 44-7 loss last season. Co St got crushed last year by Colorado, so they have had this game circled all year and I look for them to get their revenge here on Friday night. 5* |
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08-31-17 | TULSA v. OKLAHOMA STATE -17.5 | Top | 24-59 | Win | 100 | 56 h 5 m | Show |
This game might be competitive for a while, but the Cowboys will pull away and win by 21+ I believe. The Tulsa defense won't be able to contain Heisman candidate Mason Rudolph and they should be able to score many and often in this game. This is a veteran team and well coached. Okl St is also my pick to win the BIG 12 conference and I say they come out on fire here at home Thursday night. Lay it with the Cowboys. 5* |
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08-31-17 | Steelers v. Panthers -4 | Top | 17-14 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
The Carolina Panthers have some questions on the back end of their roster meaning that we will see significantly more starters and vets see some action than a usual in the 4th week of the pre-season. The Panthers have also won and covered 4 straight week #4 games with an average score of 19-5 while the Steelers are 0-4 SU/ATS week #4 with an average score of 19-5 which is because these two teams have played each other in this same week of the pre-season each of the last 4 years. 5* |
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08-27-17 | Bears v. Titans -3.5 | Top | 19-7 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 12 m | Show |
I love this Titans team, from the starters to the backups and a coach who is building something special behind Marcus Mariota. This is the most talented Titans' roster in quite some time and with the starters playing into the 3rd Q I expect the Titans to get a double digit win. Take the Tenn Titans! 10* |
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08-26-17 | Raiders v. Cowboys -3 | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
I'll lay the points with the Cowboys on Saturday night. Dallas has the advantage of staying home for a second straight week while the Raiders will be playing in their third city in as many weeks. Of course, Dallas also has the advantage of playing its fourth game of the preseason since they played in the HOF game. The Cowboys starters should see extended time in this one including Elliott at RB. I simply feel the Cowboys have a considerable edge in terms of depth, and they've looked every bit like a team that's interested in setting a winning tone here in August. 5* |
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08-26-17 | Hawaii +3 v. UMass | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
UMass went to Hawaii in the regular-season finale last year and they put on a show with 940 yards of total offense. Hawaii won 46-40, but UMass got the +7 cover. UMass went 2-10 last season, but 7-5 ATS. I expect Hawaii to make some adjustments and this UMass defense allowed 35.5 ppg and 453 ypg last year. Hawaii's offense is solid with QB Dru Brown returning big and better. I like Hawaii here who made it to a bowl last season and got 3 extra weeks of practice time. Hawaii gets a rare win here on the road. 5* |
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08-20-17 | Falcons -3 v. Steelers | Top | 13-17 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
We roll with Atlanta here as they hook up against Pittsburgh in a game that means a lot more to both these teams than they would admit. The Falcons sport a relatively deep quarterback rotation with the likes of Schaub, Simms and Torgersen who looked very good going 5/5 in his last outing. The Falcons also threw the ball plenty with 15 players receiving targets and we are not as high on the Steelers quarterbacks with the likes of Landry Jones and Joshua Dobbs who threw 2 interceptions last week. We also like that the Steelers won 20-12 in that game as this sets up the Falcons to win a pre-season game here and to get up to face the Steelers on Sunday afternoon. 5* |
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08-19-17 | Broncos v. 49ers -3 | Top | 33-14 | Loss | -119 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
While both teams have new HC’s only one team is trying to change the culture of their program. Former 49ers player and now GM John Lynch and HC Kyle Sanahan have talked about a complete attitude overhaul and in this first home game for the new regime I believe they will go all out. Shanahan is also the OC and after putting up 434 yards at KC his QB’s have clearly grasped his offense. Denver playing a second straight road game and while they won 24-14 LW they were outgained by 82 yards (363-281) and benefitted from a +2 turnover edge. Take the 49ers here at home. 5* |
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08-19-17 | Patriots v. Texans | Top | 23-27 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
There is NO BETTER QB rotation in the NFL than Brady, Garoppolo and Brisset. Brady and 39 other players sat out last week yet the Patriots still gained 426 yards. Garroppolo and Brissett both know the system and having only 2 QB’s in camp is a huge edge for New England. When Bill Belichick plays a team both in the regular season and pre-season he is one of the few HC’s that uses actual plays to learn from his opponents. They face off in week #3 of the regular season! I'm all over the Pats here on Saturday night. 10* |
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08-18-17 | Vikings +4.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
The Vikings QB rotation Sam Bradford, Case Keenum, and Taylor Heinicke. We will grab the points with Vikings Zimmer who is 13-1 SU with only loss being the 5th game when they played the HOF game in 2015. Take the pts with MINNESOTA. 5* |
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08-17-17 | Bucs -2 v. Jaguars | Top | 12-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
Diverse results for Week 1 make this turnaround likely in this instate battle. The Jags pulled a monumental upset of the Defending Champion Patriots by a score of 31-24 when they outrushed New England 207 to 114. The good feelings for the 3-13 SU Jags of last year may be enough to keep them happy for the entire month following that upset. The Bucs WRs had some odd issues with route-running and getting open, as their numbers had shown. But their receivers have been doing a much better job with their underneath routes to get some space. Ryan Fitzpatrick has a very average arm, with barely any agility - and he wasn't able to push them anywhere when he was on the field. But Jameis Winston looked as good as expected when he was slinging it around. The Tampa Bay QB made some nice plays with a excellent vision that can take advantage of intermediate passes, and also has the arm to get them moving as well. Tampa Bay has a lot to show off - even if it's only for 1-2 possessions. The battle of Florida is going down here, and Jax doesn't stand a chance.
I like TAMPA to bounce back with a WIN this week. 5* |
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08-11-17 | Steelers v. Giants -3.5 | Top | 20-12 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
5* The NY Giants always like to start the pre-season with a winnning attitude. That begins tonight at home against the Steelers. While Eli Manning will sit out tonight, there is something to be said about the battle between Josh Johnson and Geno Smith for the backup position. While Johnson has the inside track, Smith will be looking to prove he is up for the job after getting injuried last year with the New York Jets. I also read the offensive line is extremely improved, and will be a strong point for this team this season. This unit will be a focal point, whether it is protecting Johnson or Smith. Look for the Giants to air things out and the passing game to lead the way. I like the NYG by 10-13 pts. |
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08-03-17 | Cowboys v. Cardinals | Top | 20-18 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 22 m | Show |
Last year in the pre-season Dak Prescott played well and got a lot of time since he was a backup. Now that he is the #1 QB and the starter I don't expect to see him much on the field especially early in the pre-season. 5* |
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06-07-17 | Warriors v. Cavs +4 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 40 m | Show |
They always say its not a series until the road team wins a game. Well, I like the HOME CAVS in game 3 on Wednesday night. The Warriors played a dreadfully sloppy first half, finishing the game with twenty turnovers to the Cavs just nine. The Cavaliers outscored the Warriors in the paint by a whopping 60-40 margin, and LeBron James recorded his record-tying eighth career NBA Finals triple-double with 29 points, 11 boards and 14 assists. Kevin Love was nice as well, tossing in 27 points. They gotta play and shoot better as a team. I've backing the home underdog plus the pts with LeBron James and his back against the wall. |
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06-04-17 | Cavs +9 v. Warriors | Top | 113-132 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
I look for the Cavs to play much better here in game 2. First off they got 2 days to prepare for this game.
 Tristan Thompson grabbed just one defensive board in 22 minutes. Look for that to improve. Also look for LeBron to play better offensively and on the defensive end. I like Cleveland PLUS the 9 pts here on Sunday night. 5* |
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06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -7 | Top | 91-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
All I've been hearing the past 2 weeks was the LeBron James and Michael Jordan comparisons. I'm sure the Golden St Warriors and Kevin Durant and company aren't liking that. Golden St is at home and they have the better bench players and Coach Mike Brown facing his old team and Golden St can play great defense. Golden State finally gets its shot at revenge after falling apart with a 3-1 lead in last year’s finals. Lastly, the Warriors are 23-13 ATS against good offensive teams which average more than 106 points/game. 10* NBA FINALS GAME 1 BEST BET. 10* GAME 1 BLAST |
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05-17-17 | Cavs v. Celtics +5 | Top | 117-104 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
The Cavs might be rusty after their long layoff. The momentum is in the Celtics favor and they have been tough at home in the playoffs. Cleveland has not played in a week. The question for the Cavaliers is how much rest is too much right now for the team. That might work in Boston’s favor as they don’t have to worry about knocking rust off. There is the potential for tired legs but the Celtics have won five straight at home. This is the best case for Boston to grab a win and I like them as a home underdog here tonight in Game 1. 5* |
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