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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-12-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. San Diego Chargers -3.5 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
SD is a much different and better team at home. San Diego will welcome back from suspension TE Antonio Gates for this one, giving QB Philip Rivers another option in an already potent passing attack. Gates will be his #1 target on MNF. Under Mike Tomlin's guidance, the Steelers have never won a game in California. QB Michael Vick's throwing ability has become noticeably worse. There is little zip and hardly a spiral on the veteran QB's passes. Defenders can give Pittsburgh's speedy receivers plenty of room knowing Vick's limitations. Now 35 years old, Vick averaged just five yards per completion in his start against Baltimore to go along with four sacks. The Chargers also have healthier offensive line here and they should win big on Monday night! 5* |
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10-10-15 | California +8 v. Utah | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
I like CAL in this game on Saturday night. They have probably the best QB in the nation right now with Jared Goff. He is a beast having thrown for 15 TD's and 1630 passing yards. Cal's defense leads the nation in creating turnovers and is the Pac 12's number 1 team in sacks. This CAL team is very good all around and coming off a poor showing last week despite the win. These two teams are the only undefeated teams in the PAC 12 so the winner will have steam to get into the College Football Playoffs. Look for Jared Goff to come up HUGE and raise his 1st round NFL stock by leaps and bounds. Look for Goff to hit WR Kenny Lawler time after time for big yardage. Goff can also hand it to Daniel Lasco as he is fully recovered from his injuryand CAL was a perfect 5-0 ATS last year as underdogs on the road. TAKE CALIFORNIA 10* |
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10-10-15 | Florida v. Missouri +6 | Top | 21-3 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Florida could have a letdown after defeating Tennessee and Ole Miss in back to back weekends in the tough SEC. Missouri is #2 in the nation in tackles for a loss so getting inside the Gators backfield can stop many drives and keep the crowd in the game. Pay special attention to Tigers Walter Brady as he will live in Florida's backfield and is a monster. Defensive home dog supreme with a situational advantage against the Florida team laying an inflated after two 2 wins for Florida spells letdown with travel to Mizzu on Saturday night. 5* |
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10-10-15 | Northwestern v. Michigan -10 | Top | 0-38 | Win | 100 | 17 h 45 m | Show |
Michigan just continues to play better each week. Their offensive line is playing great and I think they'll keep NW in check. Northwestern has a solid defense but their offense is not good. Michigan also has a great D, but its more of timely great defense. They have been amazing vs 3rd down conversions. Keeping drives short, if the Wolverines defense can stop them on 3rd downs, and at home Michigan will be rocking. This is only NWestern's 2nd road game and I think they are in trouble. NW is ranked#13 and getting 7.5 pts. The oddsmakers are begging out to take them but we aren't biting. Michigan pulls away in a defensive battle. 27-10 |
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10-10-15 | Georgia v. Tennessee +3.5 | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
Georgia comes into this game beat up physically and demoralized after losing to Alabama last week. The Vols come into this game only 2-3 on the season. They have had a double digit lead in all three of their losses, so this is a team that could very well be a perfect 5-0. They have 18 returning starters from last season. This TENN team is very good and despite their record this team has talent. |
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10-05-15 | Detroit Lions +10.5 v. Seattle Seahawks | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
The Lions blew an early 21-3 lead in a season-opening loss to San Diego and have gone down meekly in losses at Minnesota (26-16) and to Peyton Manning and Denver (24-12) in last weekend's home opener. "I think our team is right there," Detroit coach Jim Caldwell insisted. "You just can't see it, but we can." Quarterback Matthew Stafford should have a solid game along with Golden Tate with his return to Seattle. Also look for RB Ameer Abdullah to be used a lot in screens and out of the backfield. I expect a tight game to take the Lions PLUS THE DOUBLE DIGITS here on MNF. 5* |
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10-04-15 | Houston Texans +6 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 21-48 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 43 m | Show |
The Texans will keep Julio Jones and company off the field with their defense and pressure. Houston is one of the best 3rd down defensive teams in the NFL. With the 3-0 start the Falcons have gone from being a +3 home underdog in the opening week to being nearly a touchdown home favorite in Week 4. Houston's losses have both come by just seven points and with just 20 points allowed per game as the Texans figure to be the superior defensive team in this matchup. The Texans also finally got back to running the ball with success last week posting 186 yards on over 4.0 yards per carry and Ryan Mallett's confidence should grow with a win under his belt. The Houston defense will attack Matt Ryan and make the offensive line uncomfortable throughout and I think this will be very tight and the Houston Texans are ready to pull the upset on the road. 10* |
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10-03-15 | Arizona State +14 v. UCLA | Top | 38-23 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
UCLA always has a history of losing a game at home to a team they shouldn't be losing to and this game screams trap game. They are sandwiched between a nationally televised primetime game and a team who Jim Mora hasn't beaten yet ( Stanford ). I expect Arizona St to have a crazy pass rush and all out blitzing of the Arizona St Sun Devils. At best, Josh Rosen will be forced to throw short passes as going deep will be remove from the offense tonight. The key to the upset is the Sun Devil's potent pass rush. The top 3 tacklers for a loss in the Pac 12 are all on the Sun Devils side. The Devils can run the ball which bodes well against the Bruins main weakness as they have little in the form of a run defense. This is a major revenge game as ARZ St lost by 38 last year against UCLA. Look for a letdown after just destroying Arizona on the road last week opening up their conference play action. This is too many points to give a solid defensive team. 10* |
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10-03-15 | Ole Miss v. Florida +7 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
Florida have definitely played some very solid defense as well against Kentucky and squeaking by Tennessee. This Florida team is young but very athletic and fast. Look for a tight game throughout and the Gators to pull the upset late at home. 5* |
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10-03-15 | Arkansas v. Tennessee -6.5 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
My biggest problem with Arkansas however is its defense. There are some alarming red flag-type numbers to be aware of. Three weeks ago, Toledo hit them up for 237 yards through the air which while not horrible, was a precursor of things to come. Both Texas Tech and Texas A&M had no trouble against UA's secondary with 673 yards combined at well over 10 yards per pass. Tennessee's passing numbers don't look all that impressive but it's had more to do with the in-game situations rather than their capabilities. The Vols stuck to the ground with big leads against Bowling Green and Western Carolina and were wise not to test Florida's elite level secondary. Tennessee has weapons at the receiver position and will assuredly unleash them against Arkansas' soft secondary. Tenn already has 2 losses and they need to run the table and win every game big and it starts today! Play the VOLS! 5* |
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10-01-15 | Baltimore Ravens v. Pittsburgh Steelers +3 | Top | 23-20 | Push | 0 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
The Steelers are 3-0 ATS in 2015, have Le'Veon Bell back, and are only allowing, 17.3 PPG. The Ravens are 0-3 (both SU and ATS), can't run the ball, WR's are old and the secondary is terrible. The Steelers are 7-1 ATS their L8 overall, 4-1 ATS their L5 vs. the AFC, and 6-2 ATS their L8 at home. Giving Pittsburgh some extra hope moving ahead without Big Ben is a defense that is getting better and better with each game. This is a Pittsburgh defense that is in the midst of a transition, with a leaning toward youth and the departure of Dick LeBeau in the offseason. On Sunday, Baltimore allowed 383 yards in the air by Andy Dalton, with AJ Green having a monster game with 227 yards receiving. Vick has had a week to prepare and I'll back the Steelers at home catching 3 points. 5* |
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09-28-15 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Green Bay Packers -5.5 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
The Green Bay Packers are looking to jump to a 3-0 start as they welcome the Kansas City Chiefs to Lambeau Field for a Monday Night matchup. KC plays too conservative for my liking and I expect them to fall into a hole against the high powered GB Packers on MNF. The Packers enter the week as the top ranked team in the Power ratings with the Chiefs checking in at the #9 spot. In his last 17 home games, Rodgers has thrown for 41 touchdowns and zero interceptions on 512 pass attempts. Rodgers has completed 77% of his passes through two contests and the Packers are 5th in points scored, averaging 29 a game. Eddie Lacy is battling a sprained ankle but does hope to play with the extra day of rest. If the bruising back can’t go, veteran James Starks should be able to pick up the slack without too much dropoff and Green Bay didn’t miss a beat in the run game last week against a tough Seattle defense. Both teams have good but not great defenses. Green Bay typically plays with a lead and that lets guys like Julius Peppers and Clay Matthews go for big plays. KC has been stout against the run so far, allowing just 80 yards on average but ranks outside the top-20 in pass yards allowed, not exactly a good stat as you go up against the best QB in the business and their pass happy offense. I think 6.5 points is safe to lay, especially in Lambeau. Look for the Packers to get a big win on MNF over the Chiefs. 5* |
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09-27-15 | Denver Broncos v. Detroit Lions +3 | Top | 24-12 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
Denver comes in at 2-0 off a miracle win at rival KC last week a game they had 5 takeaways and barely won. The defense is very good, and manning showed glimpses of the old Peyton in the 2nd half of that game. But can he keep it up? Especially behind an terrible OL with 3 new starters? Detroit's season may be on the line as they have started out 0-2 and they have a solid defense and a lot of weapons on offense. Lions are still able to throw the deep ball with touch and tolerable accuracy. Look for a lot of screens to the Lions RB's and Detroit to keep Denver off balance. I expect the Lions to win this game outright. 10* |
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09-26-15 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas +7.5 | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
This annual SEC matchup again takes place at the home of the Dallas Cowboys in Arlington, Texas. Last year Texas A&M won this contest 35-28, but in so doing, they were outrushed by Arkansas 285-137 so I am looking for a similiar outcome this year. I expect HC Bielema is rebuilding this Arkansas program in that same mold as he did with Wisconsin. Arkansas does, however, have one of the largest OLs in the country. My what I have heard Bielema is going to return to the ground game on Saturday and just keep pounding it and controling the ball in an effort to control the clock and the flow of the game. With the Hogs off two horrendous performances, we are now getting 2 TDs more from where this line would have been opening week. Although Arkansas (1-2) needs to work on its leaky pass defense, its power offense should find some success against a vulnerable Aggies run defense. Lost amid the glossy offensive numbers Texas A&M (3-0) has posted thus far is a shaky run defense that gave up 393 combined rushing yards to Ball State and Nevada. The Razorbacks are capable of pounding the ball downfield and shortening the game with their offense. They gained 285 rushing yards on Texas A&M last year. Look for a close game throughout and Arkansas to pull the upset catching 7.5 points at home. 10* |
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09-26-15 | Virginia Tech v. East Carolina +10 | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
For East Carolina, WR Jones will be an extremely valuable asset in this game, Isaiah Jones has shown excellent concentration especially in his receiving routes. EC has a strong home field, where in the last 3 years under 6th year HC McNeill, they are 16-3 SU with only losses to UCF by 2, VA Tech by 5 (last time here in 2013) and Navy which they struggled to prepare for their option. With extra value in the line, look for the Pirates to bounce back in a game they can take to the wire as QB Kemp has admirably replaced 4 year starter Carden in putting up 300 PYPG. Look for another close game here in EC. 5* |
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09-21-15 | NY Jets v. Indianapolis Colts -6.5 | Top | 20-7 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Andrew Luck simply does not lose back to back games. He has a great record coming off of a loss and the Jets will be without number 2 corner Cromartie. The Colts will play better on both sides of the ball in this one and they will have a huge boost from the home crowd in the home opener on MNF. The Colts are 18-3 ATS in their last 21 games after a loss and 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games after failing to cover the spread in their previous game. Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts are hoping their second matchup with an AFC East foe goes better than the first. Playing at home should provide an added lift for the Colts, who will try to rebound from a season-opening drubbing in Buffalo when they host the New York Jets on Monday night. Play the Indianapolis Colts -7 with confidence Monday night as Luck should bounce back with a big night on MNF. 5* |
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09-20-15 | San Francisco 49ers v. Pittsburgh Steelers -6 | Top | 18-43 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
With 10 days to prepare, the Pittsburgh Steelers play their home opener after losing last Thursday against the Patriots. SF is on the short week playing late on MNF plus traveling to the east coast. Even though the Steelers lost 28-21, they outgained the Patriots by 103 yards. New England lost the stats by a 464-to-361 margin, proving the Steelers offense looks dynamic. Mike Tomlin usually bounces back strong with extra time to game plan. The Steelers have enjoyed a lot of success at home when playing the NFC West. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS at home against NFC West teams in his career. Pittsburgh has scored 30 or more points in five of their last six home games. The Steelers actually could have won the game late. I just do not like the SF team this year and I look for Pittsburgh to even up their record at 1-1 with a big win on Sunday afternoon at home. 10* |
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09-17-15 | Clemson v. Louisville +6.5 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
ACC Football takes over this Thursday night as the Louisville Cardinals host the no. 11 Clemson Tigers inside Papa John’s Stadium. Louisville has suffered two straight close losses to start the season including a tough match to open the season against no. 6 Auburn. This week the Cardinals continue the search for that first win with their 3rd straight home contest. Meanwhile the Clemson Tigers have got off to a quick 2-0 start as the 11th ranked team in the land. However, the Tigers have beaten the likes of Wofford and Appalachian State meaning this week’s Thursday night battle on the road in Louisville will be their first true test of the year. Everyone knew that Louisville coach Bobby Petrino was going to have his hands full this year after losing the most starters in the ACC and the 3rd most starters in all of college football from last year’s team. Louisville will be too much to handle in this game on both sides of the ball as a 7 pr home dog. This is a nice rebound spot for the Cardinals and they win big on Thursday night. 5* |
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09-13-15 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Houston Texans +1 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
Both the Jets and Browns had the misfortune of learning their potential starting quarterback wouldn't be available for the season opener because of injury - Cleveland's Johnny Manziel because of elbow tendinitis, and the Jets Geno Smith because of injuries suffered when he was punched in the face. The Browns, who saw an inspiring 7-4 start last season fade with five straight losses, shored up quite a few weak spots. They added receivers Dwayne Bowe and Brian Hartline in free agency, and drafted speedy running back Duke Johnson out of Miami. I honestly like this Browns team and their defense and special teams are strong too. They also drafted Cameron Erving to boost their offensive line. The Jets (4-12 last year) brought in a new head coach in Todd Bowles, whose subtle approach appears a welcome change from the circus-like atmosphere surrounding his predecessor, Rex Ryan. Ryan Fitzpatrick is decent but he turns the ball over a lot. I'll take the 3.5 points with the Browns. 10* |
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09-13-15 | Cleveland Browns +3.5 v. NY Jets | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
Both the Jets and Browns had the misfortune of learning their potential starting quarterback wouldn't be available for the season opener because of injury - Cleveland's Johnny Manziel because of elbow tendinitis, and the Jets Geno Smith because of injuries suffered when he was punched in the face. The Browns, who saw an inspiring 7-4 start last season fade with five straight losses, shored up quite a few weak spots. They added receivers Dwayne Bowe and Brian Hartline in free agency, and drafted speedy running back Duke Johnson out of Miami. I honestly like this Browns team and their defense and special teams are strong too. They also drafted Cameron Erving to boost their offensive line. The Jets (4-12 last year) brought in a new head coach in Todd Bowles, whose subtle approach appears a welcome change from the circus-like atmosphere surrounding his predecessor, Rex Ryan. Ryan Fitzpatrick is decent but he turns the ball over a lot. I'll take the 3.5 points with the Browns. |
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09-12-15 | Pittsburgh -11 v. Akron | Top | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
This is a very good Pitt team and one that no ones talks about. Akron did an outstanding job of slowing down the Sooners rushing attack, but struggled in the air. That got battered and bruised up good in that game. Look for the Pittsburgh Panthers to roll here and cover this double-digit line easily. 5* |
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09-12-15 | Oregon State v. Michigan -14.5 | Top | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 1 h 13 m | Show |
The Wolverines had to deal with all the first game pressures and played a tough Utah team on the road. Now with the extra rest and time to prepare for this game and play a much weaker Oregon State team who has a new coach this year and will be playing it's first road game of the season and doing do so with a true freshman quarterback. Oregon State doesn't move the ball well in the air. I expect Michigan QB Jake Rudock to adjust and not make the mistakes he made throwing 3 picks like he did against Utah. WR Amara Darboh will be tough to handle. Lastly, Oregon State is also playing what amounts to a start time of 9 a.m. PST here in this one here on the road very start on Saturday. Look for Michigan to come out strong and not look back as they have the better offense, defense and special teams in this battle. 10* |
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09-10-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. New England Patriots -7 | Top | 21-28 | Push | 0 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
Tom Brady will have his team fired up for this NFL opening kickoff game on Thursday night. The Patriots will take advantage of the poor play of the Steelers defense and secondary. They lost their coordinator and several playmakers on their defense. The Steelers will also be without stud RB L Bell. Look for the Patriots to be super motivated after court decided to give him a pass from Deflategate. I expect Gronk to have a big night as well. 5* |
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09-05-15 | Arizona State v. Texas A&M -3 | Top | 17-38 | Win | 101 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
If Texas A&M wins its season opener for the third year in a row Saturday night, they'll need to control the ball. The Sun Devils may be out of their element in Texas versus a team that will be highly motivated to reverse course from last year. The Aggies dropped five of eight down the stretch, wasting a 5-0 start. Gone from A&M is quarterback Kenny Hill, who broke Johnny Manziel's single-game passing record in his very first start with 511 yards against South Carolina. His replacement, Kyle Allen, took over after the losing streak and ended up winning Liberty Bowl MVP honors as a true freshman. In that game, A&M beat West Virginia 45-37 as a 3.5-point underdog. Allen was actually a higher-rated recruit than Hill coming out of high school. I think Allen will torch the Sun Devils as Texas A&M has a ton of weapons on offense and the fans to back them in this game. Aggies by 10 here on ESPN Saturday night. |
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09-04-15 | Charlotte v. Georgia State -7 | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
This is the first year in this conference for Charlotte U. They are undersized and are coming into this game with last minute changes to their QB position. Their team is built of inexperienced sophomores and Juniors. Georgia St. defensive line is stronger, and their backfield is loaded with depth. I expect Geo St to keep the ball on the ground and pounding which will open up the passing game and they should win by double digits here on Friday afternoon. 5* |
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09-03-15 | Michigan v. Utah -4.5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
I know Harbaugh will turn the Wolverines around but it will take time for players to learn his system and also for him to get the right guys there. I think Kyle Whittingham is one of the best coaches in CFB that no one outside of Utah talks about. Best special teams in the country and they are tough at home. The Utes are a rugged and fast team, and have steadily advanced in the Pac-12. Last season, their fourth in the conference, they posted their first winning record in Pac-12 play with a 5-4 mark. They ended up 9-4 overall, topping their season with a 45-10 rout of Colorado State in the Las Vegas Bowl. Utah returns an excellent dual-threat quarterback in Travis Wilson, and one of the best running backs in the country in Devontae Booker. Last season, the Utes went to the Big House and clobbered a listless Michigan team 26-10. Utah has a solid defense and a very tough pass rusher in Hunter Dimick. Altitude won't even need to be a factor but it will be. Utes rolled last year at Big House 26-10. I see more of the same here on Thursday night. UTAH by 17. 10* OPENING BLAST |
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08-29-15 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Green Bay Packers +6.5 | Top | 39-26 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
The Eagles have been putting pts on the board, playing the same game as always but I dont think they'll want to show much there last 2 weeks. The Packers finally get to play at home, and the ground will be romping. Losing Jordy, was a terrible situation to be forced with, so this will give them the time to see who the replacement will be. It's game 3 so I expect a decent game here, better than the other 2. Rodgers, simply cannot underthrow his deep ball, or Malcolm Jenkins will be all over it. What makes Aaron so good for the Pack is that his head is always right where it needs to be. Packers wins taking the points. |
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08-28-15 | New England Patriots v. Carolina Panthers | Top | 17-16 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 54 m | Show |
I'm backing the Carolina Panthers on Friday night for our NFL Pre-Season 10* Game of the Week. Carolina didn't get what they wanted out of the offense last week, despite a come from behind win over Miami (31-30). Cam Newton will be working on timing and developing passing relationships with his WR's and TE's. I expect Carolina's first team offense to work hard on the passing game this week. NE head coach Bill Belichick hasn't cared a lot about winning in the preseason and never likes to show much in week 3. The Patriots are 2-5 SU & 1-6 ATS the last seven preseasons in week-3. They have failed to cover all four road games during the seven season span. New England was outscored 128-74 in the four road games, on the wrong end of an average final score of 32 to 18.5. I expect to see Cam Newton the complete 1st half followed by Joe Webb and Derek Anderson who are veteran backups. The Panthers enter on a 10-1 ATS preseason run following at least two consecutive covers, holding those 11 opponents to less than 13 ppg. This is currently a pick'em situation and I like the Panthers here on Friday night. 10* |
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08-22-15 | Chicago Bears v. Indianapolis Colts -3 | Top | 23-11 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
Chicago and Matt Forte who we all know catches the ball as good as some WRs. But he make plays with his feet also. The Bears recent history has been good vs the Colts, But this is a new team now though, with a new dynamic. Indianapolis with Andrew Luck, has the massive advantage here, as long as he gets the pass protection he deserves. Their D needs to step up, after their pitiful slow start vs the Eagles, it didn't look so hot. The focus of tonights game is the defense and secondary for the Colts I am hearing. Andrew Luck at home, I expect the Colts to give the fans what they want to see and thats a pre-season win. Indianapolis Colts win by 10-17 points. 5* |
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08-21-15 | NY Jets +1.5 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 30-22 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
I really like the Jets this week as Ryan Fitzpatrick got a lot of time and a full week under his belt with the 1st string. Ryan Fitzpatrick said the Jets put in some good work in practice on Monday and Tuesday and Todd Bowles is taking this game seriously. The Jets also signed Matt Flynn to back him up. For all the abuse he takes his career QB rating is 85.9 which is better than half the QB's in the league. The one game I watched him play in preseason against 3rd-string defense was a solid effort. You know he should be pumped up to get some game action in. Last week the Falcons benefited from 3 Titans turnovers and only scored 7 points in the second half. Atlanta is not that good and the Falcons still have offensive line issues. Lastly the Jets have also won 3 of their last 4 pre-season openers and I like them here at home on Friday night. |
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08-13-15 | Dallas Cowboys v. San Diego Chargers -4 | Top | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
What we look for in handicapping NFL Preseason games are teams that are on opposite ends of the spectrum in terms of "caring" about winning. Here on Thursday night we get the Dallas Cowboys in that category of teams that are looking to escape August with as few injuries as possible and not caring about winning. The Cowboys were one of just two teams to go winless last August, and it's not like they were even competitive scoring 15 ppg while allowing 29 ppg in those four losses. Cowboys have now lost seven of their last Preseason games going back to two years ago, and opened last year's preseason right here in San Diego, falling by a huge 27-7 margin. The Chargers were 2-2 last year in the pre-season, but were dominant at home holding both Dallas and Arizona under 10 points each. Coaching style determines the team motivation this month, and we find Jason Garrett 0-6 straight up and 0-5 against the spread when listed as an underdog of at least 3.5 points. Look for the SD Chargers to win and win big here late Thursday night. 10* |
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08-13-15 | New Orleans Saints v. Baltimore Ravens -2.5 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
I think the Saints made a big mistake when they traded TE Graham to Seattle in the offseason. They lost their best offensive weapon and Drew Brees is aging now in his 15th season. Brees will only see 1 or 2 series tonight and then rookie QB Grayson will take the snaps. Joe Flacco will start for the Ravens followed by Matt Schaub and then rookie Byan Renner. Look for Baltimore to have the edge here at home and win this game by double digits. 5* |
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06-09-15 | Golden State Warriors -1.5 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | Top | 91-96 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
The Warriors and Cavaliers will each look to break a 1-1 deadlock when they meet in Cleveland in Game 3 of the NBA Finals on Tuesday. The Cavaliers and Warriors have opened up the NBA Finals with two overtime thrillers. LeBron James played 40+ minutes in both of the first two OT games. He'll be tired tonight as the Cavs only rotate 7 players while the Warriors use 9-10 guys and have a much deeper bench. PG Stephen Curry had a poor shooting performance for the Warriors, and will look to improve on his 2-for-15 shooting from three-point range. His backcourt mate SG Klay Thompson was largely responsible for keeping Golden State in the game, as he submitted a 34-point game on 14-for-28 shooting from the field. The Golden State Warriors led the league with a 10.10 margin of victory, while Cleveland was a distant 5th, with a 4.48 scoring margin. |
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06-07-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Golden State Warriors -8 | Top | 95-93 | Loss | -103 | 22 h 38 m | Show |
Both teams looked a little rusty in game 1 from the long layoffs and also several 1st half turnovers for Golden St. LeBron pumped in 44 points but also took 38 shots. Both teams shot in the low 40% range for this game and I look for a faster pace and more 3-pt FG's to drop here on Sunday especially for the Warriors. Cleveland is without Kyrie Irving who is an excellent PG and who also did a great job defending Curry. I look for Golden St to win and win big by double digits on Sunday night. 5* |
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06-04-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers +6 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 100-108 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
I think this series will be much closer than both teams experienced in Round 3. With a week to prepare I like the Cavs with their defense and LeBron James who is 27-7 ATS versus No. 1 seeds in the playoffs in his career, including 21-3 ATS when the line is (+7 to -7). Golden St is 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS in this series in games in which Cleveland is off a pair of wins, including 0-2 SUATS at home. Look for the Cavs to dominate in the paint and Shumpert and JR Smith to also contribute towards the win in game 1 of the NBA Finals tonight. 5* |
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05-20-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Atlanta Hawks +1 | Top | 97-89 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
The top two teams in the Eastern Conference during the regular season will now play for the right to represent in the Finals. Cleveland cruised through much of the postseason despite losing big man Kevin Love. The Hawks though would have their hands full to start the playoffs, but have seemingly gotten better with each passing game. With LeBron James on your side, you obviously always have a legitimate shot at winning a game but his shooting has been poor in the playoffs and with Kyrie Irving now also hobbled with injury, I think the visitors will have their hands full with the Atlanta Hawks bruising starting line-up. These teams played four times in the regular season and Atlanta would go 3-1 SU; simply put, this is a team in which the Cavs have struggled to properly match-up against and the injury issues the visitors are unfortunately dealing with right now will prove to be the difference here on Wednesday night. Atlanta wins and covers game 1. 5* |
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05-15-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Washington Wizards -2.5 | Top | 94-91 | Loss | -101 | 1 h 54 m | Show |
5* |
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05-14-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Chicago Bulls -2 | Top | 94-73 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Cleveland still dealing with injured PG, Kyrie Irving, with his strained right foot, is going to have a problem sticking with Derrick Rose. James' heart has been the backbone for the team and keeping his teammates involved, but he hasn't been shooting well in the playoffs. Chicago has obviously struggled with taking full control in the games and I look for Gasol, Rose and Butler to come up big at home tonight. The Bulls force a game 7 and grab the win at home tonight! 5* |
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05-12-15 | Chicago Bulls +5.5 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
I expect a huge defensive effort from the deeper Bulls team tonight. That's fine with Chicago, one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, 9th in points allowed during the regular season, 4th in field goal shooting defense. The Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games, 7-1 ATS against a team with a winning record. |
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05-06-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Houston Rockets -7.5 | Top | 109-115 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
The Houston Rockets played with no energy in game 1 and James Harden wasn't himself. Head Coach Kevin McHale ripped the team and I expect a HUGE effort tonight! The Rockets are 13-1 ATS off a SU favorite loss, including 11-0 ATS the last eleven while the Clippers are 1-12 away in the playoffs off a SU ATS win, including a perfect 0-10 ATS the last ten. Look for Houston to come out with a lot of fire and get a big win at home here on Wednesday night. 10* NBA Game of the Week |
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05-04-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Cleveland Cavaliers -4.5 | Top | 99-92 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
The Cavaliers are an elite home team, have had eight days to rest and prepare and have a motivated and healthy LeBron James and Irving. JThe Bulls are coming off a 54 point win to close out the series for Bulls and I expect a little letdown tonight in Cleveland. The Cavs have veterans like Shawn Marion and Mike Miller can be counted on to step up for the Cavaliers with their playoff experience. I do expect James and Kyrie Irving to play heavy minutes especially in game 1. The Cavaliers have the shooters and ability, with James' drives to the basket, to spread the floor and make open shots. Look for the Cavs to pull away at home in the 2nd half here tonight. 5* |
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05-02-15 | San Antonio Spurs +2.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | Top | 109-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
I like the Spurs +2.5 here on Saturday night. We look for Pop's crew will get there as they have the deeper team and bench playing 10-11 players while LA only rotates 7. Look for K Leonard to go off tonight and have a monster game. San Antonio has actually won four of the past six games its played in Los Angeles straight up and against the spread as well. This game could come down to just how well PG Tony Parker plays. Parker had just eight points on 4-for-12 shooting in Game 6 and has been outplayed by PG Chris Paul all series. He will need to pull himself together and lead his team to a victory in Game 7. San Antonio is 24-7 ATS after a game where it made 12 or more three-point shots over the past two seasons. The Spurs are also 18-7 ATS off an upset loss as home favorites over the past three seasons. PF Glen Davis (Ankle) is questionable for the Clippers in this game and that could be a big loss for a Los Angeles bench that is already completely overmatched by a Spurs second unit that is one of the best in basketball. Take the Spurs here in game 7. |
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05-01-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Brooklyn Nets +4.5 | Top | 111-87 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
Atlanta has gotten some production from DeMarre Carroll, who is a pretty good scorer but I dont see him doing what he did in game 5 again. D Williams was off for the Nets and I expect more from him here at home. Brooklyn has to make sure Brook Lopez gets his touches to remain in this series. Brooklyn has to make sure they rebound and D-up tonight. Jack also has to give them good production along with Joe Johnson. I'll grab the points with the Nets on Friday. The home team has won every game SU in this series, with the Nets going 4-1 ATS along the way. I'm confident both trends hold true on Friday night. The Nets have enough veteran talent on hand to stave off elimination in this spot and force a game 7 on Sunday. 5* |
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04-24-15 | Houston Rockets v. Dallas Mavericks +1 | Top | 130-128 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 45 m | Show |
Houston has been seriously setting the tone defensively vs the Mavs, holding them to some really bad shooting so far. Dwight Howard, has been coming on and making himself known. Dallas has to get better shooting from a main scorer, in Monta Ellis. With Dirk Nowitzki, getting them only 10 points in his last game, he needs to get back to who he is. The Mavs have to start playing with heart in these games and they will here at home... I think the Mavericks will get a boost from the home crowd and they will be much sharper here. The Mavs went 27-14 in their own gym this season, and this veteran team is not going to miss an opportunity to take the momentum in this series. Elism Dirk, JJ, Jefferson, Amare, Aminu, Ray Felton and Tyson Chandler will all come up big. The Mavericks are 19-8 ATS in their last 27, and will get a win at home with the extra 2 days to prepare. 10* |
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04-23-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Milwaukee Bucks +3 | Top | 113-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
Milwaukee was a very good team at home this season. |
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04-18-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Golden State Warriors -12 | Top | 99-106 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
New Orleans is a team that is finally back in the playoffs. Getting back to the playoffs is to be a great accomplishment for the moral. However Golden State is at home, and they have been ridiculous, and they have destroyed the Pelicans at home this season as well. Most of the home game for the Warriors they've sat their starters in the 4th quarter. Golden State lost just twice at home this season (26-14-1 ATS). And, second, the Warriors will have had the last two days off to rest and prepare. And Golden State is an awesome 29-6 ATS when playing with at least 2 days' of rest, including a perfect 7-0 ATS their last seven playoff games. Klay Thompson has been far more aggressive offensively over the last several games, which will be even more to worry about already. The Warriors can shoot with ease, they all have quick releases, which makes things tough on defenders. Golden State wins by 16 or more here in game 1. 10* |
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04-08-15 | Houston Rockets +6.5 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 98-110 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
The Rockets are 12-2 ATS with two days of rest versus unrested opponent and 5-1 SU and ATS off BB wins. The Spurs have struggled in this series going 1-7 their last 8. Houston looking to avenge a 110-106 loss suffered here in their last meeting in this series in late December, we'll back the underdog tonight with Harden and Howard leading the way. 5* |
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04-06-15 | Wisconsin v. Duke +1 | Top | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
I look for Duke and Coach K will win their fifth National Championship tonight. Wisconsin is coming off a huge emotional high beating Kentucky on Saturday night and they celebrated like it was the Championship game. Duke has yet to be tested in the NCAA Tournament winning five games with relative ease as they were up big most of the game versus Utah. Wisky sat back and let Kentucky take the outside shot which they struggled with and the Wildcat big men cannot shoot from the outside. Duke has a ton of shooters that can drive and knock down the outside shot. Wisky matched up well against Kentucky, while I think Duke will have their way. Wisky is a solid team but Duke has more weapons, great shooting guards, big guys in the paint and they are playing their best ball right now and should get the win for us. 5* |
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04-05-15 | Golden State Warriors v. San Antonio Spurs -5 | Top | 92-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
The SA Spurs are 16-3 SU and 14-5 ATS their last 19 games. Golden St played last night at Dallas and now have to play in less than 24 hours. The Warriors are 0-9 SU and ATS their last 9 games without rest in this series. San Antonio is playing with revenge after an 11-point loss suffered at Golden State in their last meeting six weeks ago, look for the Spurs come out strong on Easter at home on their home court. The Spurs pull away in the 2nd half! 5* |
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04-04-15 | Michigan State v. Duke -5 | Top | 61-81 | Win | 100 | 51 h 15 m | Show |
I am backing DUKE as my tournament Game of the Year! I've had Duke in their last game and I love them in this spot on Saturday. They have a much better offense and they make their FT's. Michigan St struggles from the FT and should have lost to Louisville as LVille only shot 22% in the 2nd half of the game. I like the combo of the inside game and perimeter shooters for Duke. Duke is young but they are gelling at the right time and I love Coach K with a week to prepare. 10* TOURNAMENT GAME OF THE YEAR |
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04-03-15 | Orlando Magic v. Minnesota Timberwolves +3.5 | Top | 97-84 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Orlando is really struggling, losing 90% of their last multitude of games. Though Orlando ranks in the bottom fourth in offense in the NBA, they've managed to score fewer points than their season average during their last four. Minnesota lacks speed, especially with their oversized backcourt. Nikola Pekovic is their best player, and he has been lost for the season. Lately, only rookie Andrew Wiggins can take it to the rim, especially vs the Magic, and he can do it without much effort.
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04-02-15 | Northern Arizona v. Evansville -8 | Top | 65-71 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
We will back Evansville tonight who is a top 50 effective field goal percentage, a top 20 FT's shooting team, a top 40 team in 2 point field goals. This is a Evansville team that just beat a top 150 Tennessee-Martin team by 13 points at home and can shoot the ball and force turnovers. Evansville should have no trouble winning by double-digits tonight. 5* |
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03-29-15 | Gonzaga v. Duke -2 | Top | 52-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
Take Duke as their big men were in foul trouble most of the game on Friday night as Okafor finished with just 6 points. The Bulldogs are in unfamiliar territory as they have never reached the Elite 8 under Mark Few. Duke has the tradition and the legendary Coach K and they will not be denied another trip to the Final Four. Duke has the big man down low that can offset the bigs for Gonzaga and I still believe this Gonzaga team in not mentally tough. Duke will be able to dominate with their inside out game as they have the better guard play. Duke is also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. 5* |
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03-28-15 | Notre Dame +11.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
We do believe Kentucky will win this game outright, we don't believe it will come easy and feel this is way too many points to be laying to a quality Notre Dame squad. Irish won a very tough ACC Tournament, including wins against Virginia and North Carolina at the end, and while they struggled a bit in their games last weekend, they had no problems beating an underrated Wichita State team on Thursday. Kentucky was also lackluster last weekend before absolutely demolishing West Virginia on Thursday by 39. Notre Dame is far superior than WVU in both shooting offense and defense, they also have height with their interior players and should be able to stay man-to-man and make Kentucky beat them one-on-one. That doesn't allow the Wildcats as many open shots and far less open three-point attempts. Kentucky wins but by less than 10 points. 5* |
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03-27-15 | Michigan State v. Oklahoma +2.5 | Top | 62-58 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Oklahoma has to try and keep the game at their pace, take their time, getting quality shots. I know it sounds elementary, but it is very important in this game. They have to try to keep their cool, and not get frustrated over the physical defense they are ready to deal with. I like the Oklahoma Sooners on here on Friday as the public is all over Mich St because of a few games and Tom Izzo and overlooking how good this OKL team is. The Sooners play out of the toughest conference in the country while the Spartans play out of the 4th toughest conference according to the RPI ranks. The Sooners will dominate the boards like they have done over their last 5 games averaging 40.6 rpg compared to their opponents who are averaging just 32.8 rpg against them. Defensively the Sooners have allowed an average of just 63 ppg over their last 5 games which is good enough to beat any team. 5* |
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03-27-15 | UCLA v. Gonzaga -8.5 | Top | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
According to Vegas the UCLA Bruins are the least likely of the remaining teams to win the NCAA Tournament. The Bruins were very lucky to have even qualified for the tournament, and many experts were critical of the committee for selecting them. UCLA came into the tournament with a 2-8 record versus the RPI Top 50, and 4-11 away from Pauley Pavilion. UCLA has really gotten their game moving in the right direction. Gonzaga has already beaten UCLA pretty soundly already earlier in the season by 13. Where UCLA could not control the shooting of the Zags. Gonzaga can light it up just as good as any team in the country, they have Kyle Wiltjer and Kevin Pangos who are both capable of hanging 20 any night of the week. Take Gonzaga Bulldogs as they are the better and more balanced team. 5* |
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03-26-15 | North Carolina +6.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 72-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
Wisconsin hasn’t looked very sharp in their first two tournament games and I like NC to matchup well against them in this battle. North Carolina has a tough game here, without question. This will not be an easy one, this could be one of the best games of this round. With Brice Johnson, he could be an issue for the forwards of Wisconsin. UNC has great athleticism and can win this game. North Carolina may be the most talented team Wisconsin has faced all season as the Tar Heels are loaded with lots of young potential future stars. UNC also has the needed size to match-up well with the Badgers in this one as the Tar Heels usually start four players who are 6-foot-6 or taller. Take NC plus the 6-6.5 points here Thursday night! 10* |
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03-23-15 | Boston Celtics v. Brooklyn Nets -4.5 | Top | 110-91 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
The Nets have topped the 120-point mark in three of their last four games to quiet talk that the team had little interest in making a late run at the No. 8 seed. In fact, coming off a huge win at Indiana, Brooklyn now continues a stretch that sees them face each of the teams involved in the race for No. 8, continuing at Charlotte on Wednesday. Center Brook Lopez scored 26 points on 11-for-14 shooting and Bojan Bogdanovic added 21 on a perfect 8-for-8 from the field. Keep an eye on Bogdanovic, who 30-for-47 from the field over his last four games, averaging 17.8 points off the bench. Deron Williams hasn’t played more than 28 minutes in a single game over his last five, so the Nets are looking to keep him fresh despite not resting him on the second night of a back-to-back. He had 17 points and six assists against Indiana and looks to be getting back into the type of groove he was in just after the All-Star break. Brooklyn has won four of five and only 1.5 games out of a playoff spot and play their best ball against divisional opponents. Boston is still without Isiah Thomas who was giving the Celtics a big lift prior to getting hurt with his 20 ppg. Look for the Nets to come up big on Monday at home. 10* |
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03-22-15 | West Virginia +1 v. Maryland | Top | 69-59 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
I like West Virginia +1 to win and cover this one. Maryland has been overrated all season long not because of their results which have been impressive, but we just don't trust this team based on what we've seen when watching their games. WVU can throw waves of players at you and will press you all game long. THey have a very tough defensive squad in West Virginia here. Mountaineers playing very close to home and should have crowd advantage as well. 10* BEST BET |
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03-21-15 | Ohio State v. Arizona -9.5 | Top | 58-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
Arizona cruised to an easy 21-point victory, 93-72, to open Thursday's Tourney action. Arizona now heads into Saturday on a 12-game winning streak and hasn't lost in almost 2 months. For their 2nd Tourney game they catch a #10 seed in Ohio State, who barely snuck by VCU in their Thursday opener, winning by just 3-points. Arizona is a HUGE step up and a very good team. They are 15-3 SU away from home while these Buckeyes are a money burning 1-8 ATS when playing on a neutral court. Arizona is one of those teams that gets better as the Tourney progresses and they should roll today! 10* |
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03-20-15 | Davidson +2 v. Iowa | Top | 52-83 | Loss | -107 | 21 h 2 m | Show |
Davidson has a very potent offense that is extremely efficient, in every sense of the word. They have an exceptional team from deep, with great ability to shoot the trey. Iowa can go through some very dry spells shooting the ball. They tend to not have a guy who they can consistantly turn to to go get a bucket when they need one, if the team is shooting poorly. The Davidson Wildcats got blown out at NC in their first lined game of the season. They proceeded to go 22-3 ATS in their next 25 lined contests, the single best pointspread team in the country. Davidson gets stellar guard play from the Tyler Kalinoski, Brian Sullivan and Jack Gibbs trio. Their top eight rotation players all have more assists than turnovers. As a team, the Wildcats rank #2 in the country, behind only Wisconsin, in adjusted turnover rate. Plain and simple, the Wildcats don't beat themselves and I love them off a loss against VCU in the conference finals. The Wildcats are live dogs here! |
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03-19-15 | Harvard v. North Carolina -10 | Top | 65-67 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
This Harvard team is not that good and they lack offensive options, depth and fire power, scoring only 64 PPG and converting just 35% from the arc. The final here could be frightening, considering they lost by 49 at Virginia! We have ridden N. Carolina to many top rated plays down the stretch. I find this to be a particularly appealing matchup with their strong rebounding at +8.1, a 17.7 to 12.7 assist/TO ratio and a defense that allows just 40% from the field and 30% from the arc. NC will jump out early and never look look. I expect a BLOWOUT here tonight! 10* |
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03-18-15 | Stony Brook +2 v. Mercer | Top | 70-72 | Push | 0 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
Stony Brook has a great shot here to win and win big tonight. A few things here. For starters, Stony Brook is a NCAA Team. They lost on a brilliant shot at the end of the game in a buzzer beater. Stony Brook was ahead throughout the game and frankly should have won that game Outright but just fell short and this team is much better than what their current record shows. Note that Stony Brook is a top 130 power ranking team, a top 75 defensive team, a top 25 offensive rebonding team, a team that lost to Albany by just 1 point on the road who is a top 135 team, beating a top 120 Vermont team by a bucket on the road, beating Albany a top 130 team earlier this year, beating Washington, Columbia, Washington, American - all of which are top 200 teams and Washington who is a top 130 team. Mercer is not that good and getting too much credit from the oddsmakers for being at home. Play STONY BROOK! 10* |
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03-16-15 | New Hampshire +6 v. N.J.I.T. | Top | 77-84 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
We roll with the underdog here. |
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03-15-15 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Toronto Raptors -1 | Top | 113-97 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 32 m | Show |
The Blazers are one of the better teams in the NBA, but they do most of their damage in the friendly confines of their home arena. Things are completely different when they play on the road as they find themselves barely over .500 (15-14). Toronto, who needs this win more than Portland, is just like the Blazers in that they play a whole lot better at home than they do on the road. The Raptors win two of every three games they play at home and actually have a winning record against the Western Conference. Portland although they cannot stop the midrange game from opponents, because they have no perimeter defense. Toronto will push the ball and get easy buckets tonight. They need to regain control of second place in the Eastern Conference and a win today could go a long way. I'm taking Toronto to win by 6 or more here. 10* |
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03-14-15 | Detroit Pistons v. Utah Jazz -7.5 | Top | 85-88 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
Detroit has been slacking defending the three point shot, on the year. Allowng teams to put up a load of them from deep, with a slow reacting permiter defense at times. And opponents have knocked down 35% against them. Utah will be tough at home and always do well facing Eastern Conference Teams. Gordon Hayward has been red hot and shooting the ball well. Derrick Favors has also been playig well lately and will be a tough cover to keep from getting his numbers. These teams play 2 different styles of play, Utah simply wants to get Gordgon in his spot on the floor, and let him do what he wants. Jazz by double digits here! 5* |
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03-14-15 | VCU +3 v. Davidson | Top | 93-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 18 m | Show |
I like VCU's pressure defense and agressive play here. VCU will win this game and advanced to the A-10 Championship game. The public is all over Davidson in this game. This is a HUGE revenge game for VCU as this is where they mature and give some payback. This is one of those games where you have to step up as a competitor. Key trend to look at: Play on an underdog (VA COMMONWEALTH) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread against opponent that has covered 12 or more of their last 15 against the spread. 10* |
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03-13-15 | South Carolina +3 v. Georgia | Top | 62-74 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
5* |
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03-12-15 | Penn State v. Iowa -8 | Top | 67-58 | Loss | -108 | 1 h 59 m | Show |
I'm laying the points with Iowa on Thursday. Penn State almost blew a 16-point lead but finally put away Nebraska yesterday as the Nittany Lions blocked an incredible 16 shots but were outrebounded 43-29. It was Nebraska's awful shooting (30 percent) that saved the day for Penn State. The Lions won't be able to get away with that against Iowa, which is second in the Big 10 in rebounding and has won six in a row (5-0-1 ATS). Iowa is a major step up compared to Nebraska. Look for Iowa to win and big this afternoon! 10* |
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03-11-15 | Brooklyn Nets +3 v. Miami Heat | Top | 98-104 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
10* The Miami Heat have struggled this season at home with just a 13-18 record. They will also be without Hassan Whiteside their energy guy tonight. Whiteside is averaging 10.9 points and a team-high 9.8 rebounds in 35 games, but his seven technical fouls and two ejections also lead Miami. With Whiteside suspended following his latest ejection, the Heat will try to complete a season sweep of the Brooklyn Nets on Wednesday night in a matchup of teams in the muddled Eastern Conference playoff race. Injuries have plagued Miami (28-35) all season with just guard Mario Chalmers appearing in more than 55 games. Brooklyn is playing with triple revenge and coming off a terrible 20 pt loss. They will be motivated tonight in Miami! |
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03-11-15 | Boston College v. North Carolina -12 | Top | 63-81 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
When North Carolina took on Boston College last month, the Tar Heels executed their game plan after coach Roy Williams noticed his squad had a distinct size advantage. Nineteenth-ranked North Carolina may try to replicate that approach in Greensboro on Wednesday when it looks to begin a run toward its first ACC tournament title in seven years with another win over the Eagles. The Tar Heels shot 56.9 percent from the field while attempting a season-low five 3-pointers as they pulled away in the second half. They also outscored the Eagles 46-32 in the paint and outrebounded them 37-23. BC doesn't have a lot of weapons and they also played yesterday. Look for NC to win and win big on Wednesday afternoon. The Eagles have lost 26 of their last 28 against ranked opponents, going 0-6 this season. |
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03-08-15 | Penn State v. Minnesota -8.5 | Top | 79-76 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 10 m | Show |
The Minnesota Gophers are tough at home and shoot and distribute the ball very well. Gophers: 4-0 SU ATS home with revenge in this series when Penn State is off back-to-back losses; and 6-2 ATS in Last Home Games off a previous home loss. Minnesota head coach Richard Pitino 7-1 SU ATS in his career as a home off a loss with revenge when not installed as a double-digit favorite, including 4-0 SUATS when facing a .650 or less opponent. Look for Minny to get a double digit win at home to close out the regular season with a big won on their home court. 5* |
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03-07-15 | Kansas v. Oklahoma -5 | Top | 73-75 | Loss | -126 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
Kansas, we know they can play sloppy on the road. . Oklahoma and the up and down play of forward TaShawn Thomas has got to step it up and try to help take control of this game to get the big win at home. Oklahoma has been playing very good, and tough at home. Oklahoma appeared to be well on its way to what would have been a de facto conference championship matchup with the Jayhawks, taking a 19-point halftime lead last Monday night at Ames, Iowa. However, everything fell apart for the Sooners after Isaiah Cousins was called for a technical foul in the second half for shouting at the Iowa State bench. The Cyclones went on a 22-0 run and outscored Oklahoma 59-33 in the second half. "We just have to do a better job executing and getting better shots when they make big runs like that," said Buddy Hield. No doubt that was a catastrophic collapse but the 15th-ranked Sooners still have a shot to salvage the Big 12's second seed Saturday when they host No. 9 Kansas. Oklahoma (20-9, 11-6) fell into a second-place tie with Iowa State following Monday's 77-70 loss and while Oklahoma can still earn the second seed in next week's tournament in Kansas City with a win and help, it can also be seeded as low as fourth. Clearly, the Sooners need to bounce back here and why not? The team is loaded on the perimeter with Hield (17.3-5.4), Cousins (12.0-4.9) and Woodard (9.1-3.4-4.1) plus also have a pair of very good 6-8 “big men” in Thomas (11.0-6.2) and Spangler (10.3-7.7). Look for the Sooners to easily take care of a way less than 100 percent Kansas team here, and also note the Sooners are 13-1 SU at home, outscoring opponents on average, 77.4-to-58.9 PPG. 10* COLLEGE GAME OF THE YEAR! |
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03-06-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers -1.5 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 97-106 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
The Cavs made some changes and now this team is deep and looks for real. Now I won’t talk about Cleveland’s LBJ, Irving and Love, as enough has been said, especially regarding James, the league's best player, if not this year’s NBA. Cleveland’s acquired J.R. Smith and Iman Shumpert from the New York Knicks to provide additional scoring (Smith) and perimeter defense (Shumpert) plus has bulked up on the inside by picking up the 7-1 Timofey Mozgov from Denver and just recently signing the 6-10 Kendrick Perkins. They can go BIG or they can go with SPEED. Yes, the Hawks own the league’s best record but note that since falling below .500 back on Jan 13 (19-20), Cleveland has been the best team in the league since mid-January, going 20-4 SU and 18-6 ATS. Atlanta has taken 2 of 3 in this series this season so I look for Cleveland to set an example here on Friday night. Look for LeBron, Irving and Love to come up big! 10* GAME OF THE WEEK |
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03-05-15 | California +19 v. Arizona | Top | 60-99 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
5* Cal is on the bubble given their track record as Cuonzo Martin has done a great deal with this team to his credit from coming over from Tennessee where he basically felt under appreciated after leading his team to quite a run. Call it racism or otherwise but he decided to make the move out West. Cal is a 17-12 team that has plenty of work to do to make a strong case for the Tournament as this is a team that had 21 wins last year under Coach Montgomery and now sit at 17 wins and need a statement win. Currently their big wins are against Syracuse and that's about it. But Cal is playing better. They were 1-6 in conference play before reeling off 5 straight wins including over UCLA and are 6-3 in their last 9 conference contests. I can see California really hanging tough here and getting up for this contest. Martin has a great way of coaching his kids up with motivation and getting them ready for this battle and I think 19 points is way too high. |
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03-04-15 | USC v. UCLA -13 | Top | 74-85 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
UCLA has covered this game the last 4 times these two rivals have met and this includes going on the road earlier this year and winning 83-66 and in fact this is the biggest line that UCLA has seen over the last 4 times these two teams have played. UCLA is a top 65 team both in offense and defense and to their credit have gone 10-7 in conference play and look to at least solidify their resume as much as possible heading into March Madness. Look for UCLA to continue to carry the mantle here for their 5th straight cover against the Trojans as I expect a big blowout tonight! 10* BLOWOUT |
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03-03-15 | Kentucky v. Georgia +10 | Top | 72-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
I'll grab the points with Georgia on Tuesday night as they are healthy and tough at home. Georgia enters this game on a high note, having won three games in a row, both SU and ATS. The Bulldogs are no pushovers, having gone 10-6 in SEC play this season. They're 12-3 on their home floor, outscoring the opposition by around nine points per game. Georgia has limited opponents to 37.8% shooting at home. It's been over three years since Kentucky has notched a double-digit win here in Athens. Look for a tight game and I'll back Georgia plus the points. 10* |
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03-02-15 | Baylor v. Texas -3.5 | Top | 59-61 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
We will roll with Texas here at home against the top 25 Baylor team. Texas has lost to Baylor now the last two times and there is a great deal of revenge here for the Longhorns who are on the bubble according to some and not in according to some. This is an absolute must win for this team who is 17-12 at this point and 6-10 in conference play but who does have some wins against Kansas State, West Virginia and Iowa. Texas is a top 45 offense and a top 25 defensive team and as Baylor likely headed for a let down here as they have won 4 in a row in conference play, look for a let down here as the team that is not in the top 25 is indeed favored coming into this game for a must win. This is a decent public fade to boot as well as it is now or never for Texas to save some face on this season and the line continues to rise to boot as well despite only 35% of the public on the Longhorns here tonight on ESPN. 5* |
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02-28-15 | St. Mary's -7 v. Santa Clara | Top | 70-71 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 8 m | Show |
5* |
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02-27-15 | Milwaukee Bucks -6 v. Los Angeles Lakers | Top | 93-101 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
The Lakers have managed to hold their own against other bad teams. But LA has only six wins all season against opponents that have a winning record. That doesn't bode especially well for them this evening. Milwaukee has been a pleasant surprise and if a very athletic team. When Jabari Parker went down for the season with a knee injury, the consensus opinion seemed to be that the Bucks would struggle and end up on the wrong side of .500 once again. That’s evidently not going to be the case as Milwaukee is still a very respectable 32-25 and in possession of the sixth seed in the Eastern Conference. The Bucks have done a great job of handling teams at their own level or below. Milwaukee has lost just six times to teams with current losing records. That indicates they’re rock solid when it comes to taking care of business against the teams they’re supposed to defeat. The Bucks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 away matchups and have a winning road record. Look fort he Bucks to win by double digits over the Lakers here on Friday night.10* |
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02-27-15 | Manhattan +6.5 v. Iona | Top | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 3 h 0 m | Show |
Indeed we roll with the Underdog here in Manhattan who has a great opportunity to do well against Iona. They are a top 90 team in 2 point field goals, a solid 12-6 in conference play including 7-2 over their last 9 and winning back to back conference road games to boot. Plus, you have a Manhattan team that nearly beat Iona at home losing by a couple points 70-67 and now looks to upset them Outright on the road. Manhattan who has revenge and who is a top 200 team this evening and getting 7 points. 5* |
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02-25-15 | VCU -1.5 v. Richmond | Top | 63-67 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 55 m | Show |
VCU looks to win a fourth straight game and avenge an earlier defeat when it visits the crosstown-rival Spiders tonight. VCU played awful and was an abysmal 3 of 20 from beyond the arc in the first meeting this year, something that wont happen again tonight. There pressure defense will force turnovers and I expect VCU to get the win tonight. I’m backing the Rams who seek revenge from that loss on Jan 31, which ended a 16-game conference win streak. 10* Reapers Revenge Play! |
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02-24-15 | Texas v. West Virginia -3.5 | Top | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
West Virginia is looking to keep building after knocking off a pair of ranked teams. Texas hasn't defeated a Top 25 opponent since easily getting by the Mountaineers last month. This is a major revenge game for WVU. At 21-6, it’s already been a HUGE bounce back season for Huggins’ West Va team as the Mountaineers were just 17-16 last season. Texas has dropped its previous FIVE matchups against top-25 teams, including last Tuesday's 71-69 loss at then-No. 17 Oklahoma and Saturday's 85-77 defeat to then-No. 14 Iowa State. West Virginia still has some slim Big 12 title hopes but those hopes got ‘brighter’ with Kansas losing last night at Kansas St. The last time these 2 teams met, West Virginia had their worst game in years and shot just 24% in an ugly offensive showing. Look for them to bounce back strong tonight at home! 10* |
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02-22-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Milwaukee Bucks +5 | Top | 97-86 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 10 m | Show |
In case you haven't noticed the Milwaukee Bucks are on fire. They are 9-1 their last 10 and playing some great team basketball. In a matchup of two of the NBA's most surprising teams, the Hawks will try to avoid their first three-game slide since last March while denying the red-hot Bucks an eighth consecutive home win Sunday. Michael Carter-Williams, acquired from Philadelphia on Thursday, is likely to remain sidelined with a toe injury. Miles Plumlee, however, could make his debut after averaging 4.3 points and 5.1 rebounds in 54 games with the Suns. The Bucks will try to continue locking down on Kyle Korver, who missed nine of 11 from long range Friday. Milwaukee has to be there to play in this game. Brandon Knight has to make sure he keeps Teague in check as much as he can. Suddenly, since mid January, the Bucks have really hit some strides and I love them at home here on Sunday afternoon since the Hawks defense doesn't seem the same lately. 10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK |
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02-21-15 | Butler v. Xavier -4.5 | Top | 56-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
Butler is in for a war on the court in this rematch game, Butler won at home, now they have to travel and it will be a different story this afternoon. Xavier comes in heavy with a couple of strong rebounders on the team, that can cause some problems down low, when they get their bodies on a body. Jalen Reynolds and Stainbrook are a tag team that are strong and can make plays down low as well. Their scoring has to get picked up again, because they have been slowing the game down and not shooting as well as they have before. They they need to keep playing hard both halves. When his team needs him the most, Myles Davis seems to come up with something that helps his team going in the right direction. Xavier at home wins and covers today! 10* |
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02-21-15 | Georgia Tech +11.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 60-89 | Loss | -102 | 1 h 50 m | Show |
NC is coming off an emotional loss versus Duke in a game they should have won. Georgia Tech has been averaging 64.4 points a game while shooting 41.5 percent from the field. On the defensive end they are giving up 63.2 points and their opponents are shooting 42.7 percent. Marcus Georges-Hunt leads the Yellow Jackets attack with 13.8 points and 5.7 rebounds a game. Charles Mitchell adds10 points and 6.8 rebounds. Georgia tech has given up 65 or less points in four straight games. The North Carolina Tar Heels have lost four of their last five games. Georgia Tech is 15-3 in their last 18 road games. It’s hard to see North Carolina coming out strong after that devastating loss to Duke. Take the points with GTech. 10* |
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02-19-15 | Utah -7 v. Oregon State | Top | 47-37 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
The Utah Utes are quietly the biggest surprise in the PAC-12 and possibly in the entire country. They are the best defensive team in the PAC-12 and will travel to take on an Oregon State Beavers who are about to get their first home loss of the season. Utah is the better offensive and defensive team here in this matchup and should win by double digits. 5* |
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02-19-15 | NC-Greensboro +11.5 v. Wofford | Top | 62-77 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
We roll with Greensboro once again as we like taking teams that are sub .500 who are finishing the season strong as they are usually young teams that have gelled as the season has gone along. Greensboro continues to play well as they hung tough against Mercer losing by just 5 points in a tight contest losing 55-50 and staying well inside the number. We believe Greensboro has a great shot at going into Wofford and being a similar dog. Greensboro has lost the last two games by just 8 points and has won the 2 games prior to that straight up against VMI and Citadel. Let's roll with Greensboro as Wofford has a contest with rival Furman on the docket and Greensboro likely hangs in within single digits this evening. 5* |
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02-18-15 | North Carolina v. Duke -8.5 | Top | 90-92 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
This is the third straight road game for North Carolina. They have no defense as its has been poor while losing 3 of the last 4. They allowed Pitt 89 points and 65% shooting the last game. The Tar Heels are 3-13 ATS versus the ACC. Duke is 8th in the nation in points scored with over 80 per game, and sixth in shooting .497% as a team. Their inside out game led by Jahlil Okafor had 23 points and 13 rebounds for his ninth double-double of the season, outplaying Rakeem Christmas as the fourth-ranked Blue Devils beat Syracuse 80-72 on Saturday night. Duke scored 40 paint points Sunday, tied for the most Syracuse has allowed in a game in the last four seasons. Duke can shoot lights out at home and I expect a double digit win tonight! 10* |
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02-16-15 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia -11.5 | Top | 49-61 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
Pittsburgh hit a season-best 64.9 percent from the field and finished with 30 assists after knocking off ranked NC on Saturday. Now they face one of the toughest teams in the country on the road. Cavaliers not the most efficient offensively netting 66.6 points/game but their strength comes at the defensive end with its top-ranked scoring defense (50.9 PPG) and third-ranked field-goal defense (35.8%). With those defensive numbers the betting trends line up well for the Cavaliers as they're 17-7 ATS as double digit home chalk allowing less than 70 points while Pittsburgh 1-7-1 ATS in lined road games enter a brutal 0-11-1 ATS netting under 70 points/game. Look for Virginia to come up big here on Monday night! 5* |
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02-14-15 | Duke v. Syracuse +7 | Top | 80-72 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
SYR will come out strong here at home and be the more physical team. Its always tough for opponents to shoot from the perimeter in the dome. Syracuse has literally nothing to lose. No pressure on them at all really, and this is basically their Super Bowl played in front of 30,000 raucous fans. I think the key will be Joseph, Gbinije and Cooney. If they get it going SYR can win outright. The sold out crowd and the national television attention should inspire the Orange to lay it all on the line. Syracuse has a ball hawking squad who can make things happen with their fast hands and heads up style of play. As a very athletic team, they can cause some problems for most teams matching up. Syracuse is a good rebounding team and usually give a good team effort. I look for Cooney and Christmas to have big games. 10* |
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02-14-15 | North Carolina -6 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 76-89 | Loss | -101 | 3 h 35 m | Show |
Pittsburgh is as vulnerable inside the arc as Boston College, so the 12th-ranked Tar Heels could again find themselves taking advantage underneath against a Panthers team in the middle of a daunting five-game stretch. North Carolina is still playing with a ton of emotion based of off the sad passing of all time great, Dean Smith and they have a much better offense. Only laying 5 on the road I like NC to come out strong here in early action Saturday. They carry with them a powerful offense, and have a very talented team, which is very balanced in all aspects. There is absolutely zero selfish play, which always leads to good shots for them. Pittsburgh has a tendency to give up a lot of good looks at the basket, and they do not defend particularly well. Look for NC to start strong and never look back! 10* |
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02-13-15 | Kent State v. Toledo -8.5 | Top | 76-75 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
I like Toledo here with revenge over Kent State. Toledo is a team who is a top 35 offensive team and a team who is also 40 in offensive efficiency who has reeled off 6 straight wins after losing to Kent State recently 67-60 on the road. Something interesting is that Toledo hooks up with Kent State immediately after this game as well as they are going to have played this team 3 times in 1 year and that is not including conference play as well. Combine this with being a top 40 three point shooting team in the nation, top 20 free throw shooting and top 60 in 2 point field goals, this team who was held to just 60 points on the road is going to get some revenge as the public once again looks at the overall records but fails to realize that the points are not that significant here as you are looking at a double-digit win likely for the home squad. Kent State is outside the top 150 in offense, has found it difficult on the road lately losing to Western Michigan, Akron and Buffalo and this is likely a big double digit win tonight for Toledo with the early tipoff at 6pm EST. 5* |
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02-12-15 | SMU -10.5 v. Houston | Top | 75-69 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
I look for SMU Mustangs to not only notch their 20th win of the season, but notch it in convincing fashion. SMU shook off their home loss to Cincinnati last Thursday with a Saturday road win and cover against Tulsa, and now they step down in competition on the road tonight for a date with the Houston Cougars. Houston stands at 9-13 straight up this season, and one of those losses was a rather lopsided affair in Dallas as the hands of SMU, 80-59. The Cougars are on a 3-8 spread dip their last 11 games, so don't look for the points to help them tonight on their home floor against a Mustangs team that has now won 17 of their last 19 games straight up, and are on a 5-1-2 against the spread run their last 8 games contested. SMU and HC Larry Brown want to leave the selection committee no doubt that they belong in the Big Dance this season - after getting snubbed last March. I like SMU big here Thursday night! 5* |
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02-10-15 | Fresno State +7 v. UNLV | Top | 61-73 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Fresno will be focused tonight and a very good team on the road as dogs. They need this game to get to .500 and UNLV is coming off a letdown and their HC is going thru a lot. Look for a focused Fresno St team to get us the cash. 5* |
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02-08-15 | Michigan v. Indiana -7.5 | Top | 67-70 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 19 m | Show |
Michigan does not have Walton or LeVert, Indiana should crush them. First off, if for no other reason than the fact that the Hoosiers will run, and Michigan is almost as inexperienced as Indiana and without those two, probably just too thin off the bench to keep up for 40 minutes. For as young as Indiana is, they don't turn the ball over. Michigan, even with a full compliment of players, relies almost entirely on the three ball, which Indiana defends well. Michigan also doesn't rebound well at all, meaning every missed three is a potential fast break for Indiana. 5* |
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02-07-15 | SMU v. Tulsa | Top | 68-57 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
I like SMU Mustangs at a near pick 'em at Tulsa in what promises to be a very competitive game between two teams on top of the conference. The Mustangs are a little hungrier for this win based on the fact they're entering tonight's game off a SU home loss vs. Cincinnati... their second loss to the Bearcats this year. That Cincy loss doesn't sit well with the coaches and players and they both know how important today's game is. I won't call it a "must win", but it's about as close to a must win as you can have for a team with its post-season appearance at stake. And considering Tulsa has won 10 straight games overall and are unbeaten at home, winning by an average of 13 ppg there, it makes you wonder why the line is near a pick 'em as I beleive the oddsmakers are begging you to take Tulsa. Take a hungry SMU team playing with more motivation and a better coach here on Saturday night! 5* |
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02-07-15 | Baylor v. West Virginia -4.5 | Top | 87-69 | Loss | -108 | 1 h 43 m | Show |
Baylor has struggled on the road, and going to West Virginia isn't going to be any easier. WVU is off their worst game of the year and you can bet your ass they'll be motivated and ready at home Saturday afternoon. I dont think Baylor will be able to handle W Virginia's pressure as they had a season low of forced turnovers against OKL in their previous game. WVU will play fast paced, with their smaller size, and they will take full advantage of that. Juwan Staten will fervently be trying to get his team off quick in this game, to get them moving the rock. West Virginia bounces back with a big game and get us the spread victory and cash! 10* HOME COOKER! |
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02-05-15 | North Texas +10 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 59-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
While the oddsmakers are focusing on the key TV matchups. We'll back a small school underdog tonight. North Texas though is 9-11 and they face a good Western Kentucky team who has their fair share of wins at 15-6 in the conference USA. This is a Mean Green team that can likely hang tough on the road today with their tough defense and rebounding edge. North Texas is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a winning home record and who has gone 3-3 in conference play. I love getting the 10 points here on Thursday night! 10* Underdog Game of the Week |
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02-01-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. New England Patriots -1 | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 290 h 19 m | Show |
I am starting to wonder how long this game will remain a pick'em, so I want to give it out before we lose any more value. I believe the Pats and Brady come up with a game plan that can take advantage of the questionable health of the Seahawks secondary. I look for Brady to pick apart the middle of the field with Gronk and a combo of Julian Edelman and Danny Amendola on crossing routes. Russell Wilson is not playing to his full capability and making a lot of poor decisions with his passes. NE and Brady can spread you out and also attack you with 2 solid RB's. I like NE to win this years SUPER BOWL.
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