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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-03-13 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Buffalo Bills +4 | Top | 23-13 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
Buffalo comes into the game as a home underdog and a team who runs the ball really well (ranked 7th in the NFL). The Bills have played a pretty tough schedule. They have already faced New England, Baltimore, New Orleans, and Carolina. The Bills have been battle tested so far. Buffalo has a very good defense and I like them at home to knock off the undefeated Chiefs. The cold hard facts are that the Chiefs have an average defense. They have allowed 5.4 yards per play to a schedule of teams that average 5.4 yards a play. They are allowing 4.7 yards per rushing attempt to teams that average 4.0. It really has been a lot of luck, and some smoke and mirrors and an easy schedule for them so far this season. So now it begins, as mandated by the 1972 Miami Dolphins. The official
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11-03-13 | New Orleans Saints v. NY Jets +7 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
I looked at some numbers from my offshore contacts and the public is absolutely pounding the Saints in this game at an 80% clip. One site that I check my stats stated that 90% of the action was on New Orleans Saints. This is a home game for the Jets who are very tough on defense and coming off their worst game of the season. The temp is also going to be cold in the mid 40's on Sunday. I have a feeling the Saints are about to find themselves in a dog fight against the Jets. I see a 27-23 type game here. I am going to take the Jets plus the points. Take the NEW YORK JETS +6 as a FIVE STAR BEST BET.
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11-02-13 | Tennessee +11 v. Missouri | Top | 3-31 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
Tenn is a very under-rated team. Dont be fooled by their 4-4 record as they are tough and just had some turnover issues in a few games. The Volunteers have done something that Missouri has not and that is beat South Carolina at home. I do not see Tennessee being this bad on the road and it is an over reaction by the linesmakers because they know people will still bet on Missouri in this spot. Tennessee can take away Missouris defensive strength which is its pass rush. Tenn has the best offensive line in the country by manys opinion and they come into this game only allowing 8 sacks on the year and making room for a running game by 5 yards per carry led by RB Rajon Neal. I think Mizzu got beat up pretty good last week with SC and this should be a tight game throughout on Saturday evening. 10* Underdog Shocker
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11-02-13 | Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech -10.5 | Top | 10-21 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Pittsburgh has not really played anyone this season, playing what I would describe as a soft schedule. Georgia Tech is a good team, and one dimensional, although their style works, and they are very athletic this season. Going up against this option offense is going to be very hard for Pittsburgh D to handle. The Yellow Jackets average 315 ypg 4th in the country. Im betting they run wild at home here on Saturday. The Pitt Panthers have also failed to cover 9 straight ACC road games. Look for GT to win by 15 or more. 5*
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11-02-13 | Michigan v. Michigan State -4 | Top | 6-29 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
MSU will have revenge on their mind this afternoon as its four-game winning streak in the series was snapped with a 12-10 loss in Ann Arbor last season. The Spartans are also looking to beat the Wolverines for the third consecutive time at Spartan Stadium for the first time in school history. I got the Spartans here as their defense is legit ranked top 5 in every major statistical category. Michigan State leads the FBS in total defense, surrendering an average of 215.5 yards. Michigan's offense is one dimensional and will rely on the run where Michigan should dominate. Michigan at some point will have to try to force the pass and that's where the Spartan defense has been a rock. Michigan turns the ball over too much with 3+ turnovers in 4 of 7 games this year. Devon Gardner's 108 QB rating on the road is not impressive compared to Michigan State's QB who is gaining confidence and has taken care of the football 12 TD to only 2 interceptions. The difference in this game is going to be the defense. Michigan State can force turnovers and have a short field Michigan can not. Michigan State had issues moving the ball early on due to WR drops and inconsistent play at RB and now it seems like they have corrected that issue and have found consistency with Langford. Michigan TE A.J. Williams (violation of team rules) will serve a one-game suspension and not play and I think Michigan State wins this one by double digits.
10* COLLEGE GAME OF THE WEEK |
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11-02-13 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College +4.5 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show |
V-Tech has played exactly two road games, barely beating ECU and beating G-Tech by 7, only managing to score 17 points. This game should be low scoring, BC is a tough place to play (small stadium, terrible facilities) and the Hokies have Miami next week and probably looking ahead to that big game. The BC Eagles have played FSU, Clemson, and SoCal in California, they should be pumped for this game and already battle tested this season. BC only had 57 passing yards last week and they had some intense practices this week. They still need three more wins to get to six, and it starts here. BC is tough at home behind their defense holding opponents to 20 ppg and the Virginia Tech offense is awful. Duke just beat VTech and played awful in that game as they were 0-11 on their 3rd down conversions. 5*
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11-01-13 | USC v. Oregon State -3 | Top | 31-14 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
USC has failed to cover 10 straight on the road while OREGON ST has covered 5 in a row at home versus USC. I will look to the Beavers in this one as they couldnt convert in the redzone last week and their passing attack should dominate in this game. They lost a big shot at showing that they are for real last week with their home game vs Stanford, but the Cardinal won in the end. I expect the Beavers to bounce back here at home over USC. Their offense is too good to be held down two weeks in a row and the Trojans have shown that they can be scored on, as they allowed 61 points to ASU, and 31 points to Arizona earlier in the year. They did hold the Irish to just 14 points, but ND was using backup Hendrick for most of that one. On offense, the Trojans have been hit hard by injuries and will be missing Lee for this one. They just will not be able to put up enough points to keep this one close. OSU should win by at least 10 here on Friday night. 5*
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11-01-13 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Washington Wizards -9.5 | Top | 109-102 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
Look for the Washington Wiz to get a big win at home over the 76ers. Going back to last year, this Wizard team is an incredible 19-1 ATS in last 20 games won SU at home. So when they win at home they cover- Its that simple! This line should reach double digits by game time as Washington is simply a much better team and we are catching a public overreaction on this line after their upset win over the Heat. Wizard guard Wall and Beal were terrible in Detroit opener.Wizards are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games and we expect a blow out here. John Wall will lead the way with Ariza, Nene, Gortat and Harrington. The 76ers are expected to win 15 games this season and be the worst team in the NBA. I couldn't agree more with the roster they have. However they just beat the NBA Champs Miami Heat in their home opener and shocked everyone. They shot 54% in that game at home and scored 114. THey got out to a 19-0 lead and it was a tight game throughout. That will not happed tonight on the road! Look for the Wiz and win and win big on Friday night. 10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK
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10-31-13 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Miami Dolphins +3 | Top | 20-22 | Win | 110 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Miami started 3-0 and gave them a great shot at making a Playoff run, but now the losses just keep coming. What makes it worse is that the Fins really should have won three of the games that they lost (Ravens, Bills and Patriots). Don't be spooked by the results on Halloween night! Playing on the road on 3 days rest and going from 50 degree weather to 85 degree weather is brutal! Miami should be able to run the ball which will open up the passing game and the Miami defense is under-rated. Take the FISH to win an ugly game.
5* |
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10-31-13 | Louisiana Monroe +3.5 v. Troy | Top | 49-37 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
ULM is well known for its shocking wins, hence the Arkansas game last season and the Wake Forest this season, shows they are capable of winning against the bigger schools. UL Monroe can put up points with Browning at QB. The Troy defense is not good at stopping the rush or the pass. I beleive it will be close throughout, but I see a ULM victory tonight on the road and I'll gladly take the 3.5 points. 5*
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10-30-13 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Houston Rockets -12.5 | Top | 83-96 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
The Houston with Harden, Parsons and the newly added Howard are going to be tough this year. This is going to be a very good team throughout the season as now they have the inside and perimeter players to make it work. Have to believe the Rockets will be able to pull away at home against a Charlotte team that failed 16 of their final 21 against the spread on the road last season. The Rockets have won the last 5 series meetings both straight up and against the spread, and they have also covered in the last 5 series meetings contested at the Toyota Center. Night one of the Dwight Howard era is a successful one, as Houston pounds Charlotte in a big way. 5*
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10-30-13 | Cincinnati v. Memphis +3 | Top | 34-21 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 27 m | Show |
The Tigers look to take advantage of a Cincinnati team that is coming off a 41-16 win over Connecticut their last time out and is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. I have a feeling about the improved Tigers, especially home. They played well against UCF and Houston while Cincy has played a weak schedule thus far. Cincy is 1-4 ATS following a bye week, and Memphis going 6-2 ATS in their last 8 at home. Look for the Memphis Tigers to outscore the Bearcats and be fired up tonight for this ESPN mid-week TV home appearance. 5*
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10-28-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. St Louis Rams +14 | Top | 14-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
This has been a solid spot for the Rams. They were inexplicably undisciplined and sloppy last week against the Panthers and should be more focused tonight on MNF. Coach Fisher is an excellent head coach and should have them ready tonight. St Louis is 7-0 ATS as a dog vs a divisional opponent that has a better record. STL at home as a divisional underdog is in a good spot as they beat them here on this field last season. In addition, the Rams are 6-0 ATS when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is fewer than 30 over the years. 5*
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10-27-13 | NY Jets v. Cincinnati Bengals -4.5 | Top | 9-49 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
The Bengals have surfaced as a very good NFL team, play every opponent true-grit tough and just keep finding ways to win. They go for their 4th consecutive win and have the edges they need to get it done. It is of note Cincinnati is unbeaten at home and has beaten three quality opponents there - the Pittsburgh Steelers, Green Bay Packers and New England Patriots. Cincy is also coming off their worst defensive game of the year last Sunday so I expect a much better effort this week. The Jets have alternated wins and losses in every game so far this season. New York's four wins have come by 1, 7, 2, and 3 points while two of their three losses have come by 13 points or more. The Jets are ok but will have a difficult time overcoming the Bengals ball-control offense. Bengals by 13. 5* play
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10-27-13 | Miami Dolphins +7 v. New England Patriots | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -125 | 2 h 3 m | Show |
I believe Miami is the better team and has few injuries here. There is something amiss in New England and that's not to say things are so good in Miami right now as they are coming off an ugly loss to Buffalo last week. The Dolphins were shut out it in the last game at New England and we should expect the team to remember that loss and will be out to at least to get some points up in Foxboro. The Patriots injuries on defense are starting to show as the team allowed a bad Jets offense to gain almost four yards of total offense. The Dolphins defense is better and I like them in the underdog spot on Sunday. 10* NFL Game of the Week
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10-26-13 | Texas +3 v. TCU | Top | 30-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
Texas is getting better each week and now off a BYE week. TCU will have their hands full yet again with a Texas team that's gaining confidence and have their eyes on a Big 12 title which they are certainly in the mix for. TCU gets Casey Pachall back after he broke his arm to start the season, but it's unknown how much he'll play but even if he does I don't see him being effective. This is the worst offense that Texas has faced all year as TCU is ranked 110th in total yards, they have a zero dimensional offense averaging less than 4 yards per carry, with a 112 QB rating, 29% third down conversions and 56% TD % in the red zone. Texas has a ton of talent and with an extra week to prepare against an offense going nowhere, I believe they should dominate. Offensively Texas also has revenge on their minds after losing 20-13 on Thanksgiving last year and would love to get the win to move to 4-0 in the Big 12 and a win over state rival TCU means a lot here. Texas is +6 in turnover margin and McCoy is taking care of the ball as Texas has just 7 turnovers on the year overall. Lets play TEXAS as a small dog on Saturday evening. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK
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10-26-13 | South Carolina +3 v. Missouri | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
The South Carolina Gamecocks were stunned in a 23-21 upset on the road in Tennessee last week. Despite being a favorite in the SEC East at the beginning of the season, the loss crippled the Gamecocks chances of capturing the division crown. Now the road to the SEC Championship goes through Columbia, Missouri and not Columbia, South Carolina. That's right the Missouri Tigers are the lone unbeaten team in the SEC East. Thanks to last week's impressive 36-17 victory over no. 22 Florida, Missouri now holds a 2 game advantage over all SEC East competitors. The SC Gamecocks have their backs against the wall and rest assured they understand the importance of this game. A South Carolina win would open the door once again to the SEC Championship and coach Spurrier claims the Gamecocks have yet to play their best football. Even with starting quarterback Connor Shaw out this week, backup Dylan Thompson has plenty of experience behind center. Thompson led the Gamecocks over a big win against Clemson last year starting for an injured Shaw and also stepped in to lead the Gamecocks to a come from behind win against UCF earlier this year.
Running back Mike Davis is one of the best tailbacks in the SEC and he has had a huge year rushing for 879 yards with 10 touchdowns. Therefore it will be interesting to see if Davis can remain effective and if Missouri's defense has an answer for a Carolina run game averaging 224 yards (19th in FBS) per game. I expect the Gamecocks offense to actually benefit from Thompson behind center as they will spread the ball around in the passing game as SC has a ton of weapons at the WR position. Mizzu is off a HUGE emotional win on a national stage last week and I expect a letdown this week. Look for SC to bounce back here and upset Mizzu. 10* Oddsmaker Mistake PLay |
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10-26-13 | West Virginia v. Kansas State -11.5 | Top | 12-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
4*
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10-26-13 | Northwestern +4 v. Iowa | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 25 m | Show |
Northwestern would have been favorites in this game a few weeks ago, but after the emotional loss against Ohio State, a game they could have easily had they had to go face Wisconsin who in my opinion is better than Ohio State. Last week was a clunker against Minnesota without their star offensive player Kain Colter who will return this week to make a huge impact against Iowa a team he's own in the past. Pat Fitzgerald is a good coach and this is a desperate Northwestern team that is better than it looked the last two weeks. I think we get tremendous value here and Iowa never runs any team out of the building. Iowa has struggled to stop the run against good running teams and Northwestern still fits that bill. Northwestern should have success running on the edge where Iowa has issues containing. Iowa will be without their defensive leader in DE 5th year senior Dominic Alvis. Lets take NW plus the points in this early kickoff. 5*
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10-24-13 | Carolina Panthers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
Tampa comes into this game as home underdogs and winless on the season. We had them on Sunday and they actually outplayed and outgained the Falcons yardage wise but couldn't convert in the redzone. Now they are at home and hungry on the short week. The public impression appears to be that Carolina comes into this game and gets an easy win. They are favored by almost a TD, and already, 70% of the betting action is on their side. Their QB, Glennon, is not as bad as some may think and he doesn't turn the ball over.
The Panthers have gone 4-7 SU and ATS when coming off of two straight wins. Tampa must travel to Seattle next week and that looks to be an automatic Loss so I think they have a great chance to win this one at home as this is a rare National TV appearance for TAMPA. Lets play the home underdog on Thursday night. 5* |
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10-21-13 | Minnesota Vikings +3.5 v. NY Giants | Top | 7-23 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
Josh Freeman was named the starter for Minnesota's road contest against the winless New York Giants on Monday night, which comes less than two weeks after he signed with the club. I've always been a beleiver in Josh Freeman and with Adrian Peterson helping him out rushing the ball, I like the Vikings chances with their defense versus the Giants struggling offensive line issues. Freeman will be Minnesota's third starter in four games. Christian Ponder started the first three before suffering a rib injury, and Matt Cassel was under center for the last two. Frazier said Ponder will serve as Freeman's backup Monday.
The Giants and Eli Manning have been awful this year. He's thrown a league-worst 15 interceptions to match his total from all of last season, and his 64.0 passer rating is third-worst in the NFL. Though Manning will be facing a Minnesota defense that ranks 29th against the pass allowing an average of 308.0 yards, the Giants have committed a league-high 23 turnovers and have lost 11 of their last 14 games after missing last year's playoffs despite a 6-2 start. I think the Vikes hold the Giants winless and steal a win on the road on MNF. 5* |
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10-20-13 | Houston Texans +7 v. Kansas City Chiefs | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
The Texans got pounded last week at home and there season is on the line Sunday. I'm backing the Houston Texans plus the 6 pts. This is a MUST WIN for the Texas as they sit a T 2-4 right now. Houston's QB Matt Schaub is a GTD and their backup is TJ Yates, So far Houston is 0-6 ATS in 2013 The Chiefs got a bunch of turnovers late last week versus Oakland as the game was tied late into the 4th quarter. Smith has only tossed 7 TD passes and is very conservative.
The Chiefs won 24-7 over the Raiders, but that score was a bit misleading and actually when you look back at a lot of the Chiefs game this year the results have been misleading, but it gives us great value on the Chiefs opponent again this week. The Chiefs weakness is the Texans strength. Texans can still run the ball and with a rookie QB in there this week that's what they will get back to in what will be a gritty win. Case Keenum can sling it, but he's going to be asked to win with a simple game plan with running and play action and that will get good results vs. the Chiefs as they are ranked 30th in rushing yards per carry. The Houston Texans may not win this game but I expect a FULL EFFORT and I'll gladly take the 7 points with the underdog here. 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK |
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10-20-13 | New England Patriots v. NY Jets +4 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
This is the second meeting of the season between the Patriots and Jets with New England winning the first game by a score of 13-10. Not a whole lot can be taken from that game as it was just the second game of the season and was played in horrible conditions. I like the Jets at home as underdogs and Geno Smith has improved immensely since that first meeting and the Patriots defense continues to get banged up and will be without three key starters here. The fall into a great situation as we play on home underdogs that are coming off a loss that average more yards per pass attempt than their opponent does which is coming off a win. This situation is 32-13-2 ATS (71.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 5*
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10-20-13 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
I like the winless Tampa Bay Buccaneers plus the points. Tampa Bay, after their big mover of dumping of their QB Josh freeman, the Bucs are going in the direction of Mike Glennon, who throws a nice ball. Upstart Nick Foles lit up the Bucs for almost 300 yards last week but, Matt Ryan will struggle, though without any top notch healthy WRs, I see TB targeting TonyGonzalez as much as possible and keeping him in check and the Falcons offensive line has been terrible. . TB actually has a decent amount of talentand just have to get it together. Both games last year were very close and I expect another tight one on Sunday. Atlanta has certainly been the biggest disappointment of the NFL season by far in my opinion. Crawling in at a pitiful 1-4, where as they cannot stop anyone on defense at all. Giving up 27 a game, so look for another battle coming down to the final minutes. 5*
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10-19-13 | Utah +4 v. Arizona | Top | 24-35 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 53 m | Show |
4*
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10-19-13 | Duke v. Virginia -2.5 | Top | 35-22 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 22 m | Show |
4*
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10-19-13 | Army v. Temple -2.5 | Top | 14-33 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show |
This is your typical sucker line. Temple is 0-6 and playing a team with 3 wins in Army. The public says, how can the winless team be favored? A closer look shows that Temple has played a very tough schedule including Notre Dame, Cincy and Louisville.
Army has been dismal on the road the last three years, covering just one of its last 12 games away from home. Temple has also owned Army beating them by an average of 21 ppg the last 5 meetings. Temple limps into its homecoming weekend game winless at 0-6, but those losses came against the likes of Louisville, Cincinnati, Notre Dame and Houston. First-year head coach Matt Rhule knows this is one of the few winnable games on the schedule, so he |
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10-19-13 | Georgia v. Vanderbilt +7 | Top | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
Vanderbilt is hungry for its first win in SEC play. They lost to Georgia last year 48-3 so they are playing this game with an extra week to prepare after their BYE and also with some major revenge. The Commodores go up against a Georgia team that is without almost all of its top skill players, which is the biggest reason why the Bulldogs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games. The Bulldogs are really banged up for this one. This isn't the same Georgia team that nearly played in the BCS Championship last year, losing to Alabama by the narrowest of margins in the SEC Title game. Vandy is averaging 33.7 points and 425.0 yards per game.
10* Underdog Diamond in the Rough. |
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10-19-13 | Texas Tech v. West Virginia +5.5 | Top | 37-27 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
5*
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10-17-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. Arizona Cardinals +7 | Top | 34-22 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
The Seahawks are now done with a long stretch of games in which two of the last three games were tough on the road at Houston and at Indy but the home win against the Titans is just the spark they need heading into the desert on Thursday night. Arizona QB Carson Palmer is a serious competitor who has a knack for making plays and driving his team down field. Palmer was 25/41 passing with 298 yds, 2 TDs, and 2 INTs against the 49ers in a 32-20 loss at Candlestick Park. Palmer
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10-14-13 | Indianapolis Colts v. San Diego Chargers +3 | Top | 9-19 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
The key to the Chargers on offense is simple, you have to protect for Rivers and give him time. The Colts defense is 30th versus the run this season (129 ypg), so if there ever was a game for underachieving Ryan Mathews to finally step up, this week in primetime is the week. San Diego won the last two meetings versus the Colts, which includes the, 23-17, overtime thriller in the 2009 AFC Divisional Playoffs. All told, the underdog has owned this series 7-0 ATS since 2004.
The Colts who ranked fourth in rushing will be without their main man- Ahmad Bradshaw and will use more of Trent Richardson. Rivers threw for over 400 yards for the third time in their loss to Oakland last Sunday and I expect another big game from him and the Chargers here on MNF. 5* |
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10-13-13 | Detroit Lions v. Cleveland Browns +3 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -125 | 2 h 49 m | Show |
When Cleveland started 0-2, traded star RB Trent Richardson to the Colts and was forced to start 3rd-string QB Brian Hoyer in Week Three. GUess what- three weeks later they sit tied atop the AFC North at 3-2 after having been written off. The Browns defense is very good and their offense is starting to click. With a few extra days to prepare and rest after playing last Thursday I like them at home here over a banged up Lions team who has a few injuried WR's.
The Browns defense has held three opponents to season-low yards this campaign. On the flip side, the Lions have allowed more than 400 yards in each of their last three games, the last a 22-9 loss at Green Bay minus the services of star WR Calvin Johnson (Doubtful Sunday). As long as the Browns contain Reggie Bush I believe the Browns win this game. With NFL Thursday winners a commanding 27-9 SU and 24-11-1 ATS at home the next game against opponents off a loss, look for the DogPound to be barking and the Browns defense shutting down the Lions on Sunday. 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK |
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10-13-13 | Pittsburgh Steelers +1 v. NY Jets | Top | 19-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 49 m | Show |
With the Jets off a surprising outright victory Monday Night & the Steelers still searching for their first win of the season, and off a bye, I'm going to take the points with Pittsburgh in this Week 6 matchup. Off a Bye - The Steelers are 7-1 straight up off the bye week under Mike Tomlin. Typically, they have been favored in these games, but because of the 0-4 start, we are able to take them plus a couple of points. I like it. The bye should allow the Steelers to refocus and get back on track both on offense and defense. With the division leader at 3-2, I win by the Steelers puts them at 1-4 and only 2 games back in the hunt. This is the first time ever under Tomlin they have not covered over a four-game span. Before losing in London to the Vikings two weeks ago, the team was 7-0 SU and 6-0-1 ATS off three straight ATS losses during Tomlin's tenure. I don't see the Jets playing well two weeks in a row. Lets play the STEELERS off their BYE week. 5*
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10-12-13 | Texas A&M v. Ole Miss +7 | Top | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
I believe that Ole Miss could pull the upset in this one. A&M's defense is atrocious. So it is difficult for them to lay points on the road and still cover spread. Mississippi almost beat A&M last year in Oxford, losing by just three points. This is a better Ole Miss team and a worse A&M squad, and the Aggies aren't sneaking up on anyone any more. Mississippi has played three straight brutal road games, at Texas (win), at Alabama (loss) and at Auburn (loss). Miss is now at home with a 3-2 record and hungry for a National TV Win on Saturday night. Texas A&M has played a really weak schedule, and they haven't been all that impressive while going through it except for the points they put up on Alabama. They are ranked No. 9 in the country, but yet they are not even laying a touchdown on the road against a supposed middling team in the SEC? Everyone is going to throw their money behind Johnny Football. But I think that Ole Miss can win this game outright so I'll take the points and back Miss here. 10* Underdog Shocker Play
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10-12-13 | Michigan v. Penn State +3 | Top | 40-43 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
4*
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10-12-13 | Florida +8 v. LSU | Top | 6-17 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
This game will be a match-up of strength versus strength with Florida
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10-12-13 | Baylor -17 v. Kansas State | Top | 35-25 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
The #1 ranked passing offense, The #2 ranked in rushing yards, The 1st in points scored per game and the 14th ranked in the nation defense to top it. We all have learned to love the Baylor Bears this year as they have taken Vegas every week this season going a perfect 4-0 against the spread. This weekends matchup will be the Bears first road game of the season as they head to Bill Snyder Stadium to go up against the Kansas State Wildcats. The Bears are beating their opponents this season by an average of 54 points per game and their offense is so powerful with a stingy defense to back it how could we expect any different of an outcome. Take the Bears as they win and win big on Saturday! 5*
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10-06-13 | Houston Texans +5 v. San Francisco 49ers | Top | 3-34 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
I am playing the Houston Texans on Sunday evening plus the points. Houston is frantic to win this game, behind their up and down, erratic leader, Matt Schaub who has had a tough week. I look for him to be focused and his team to rally around him. They blew a 20-3 second half lead to a very good Seattle team. San Francisco is unexpectedly only sitting at 2-2, which is not making the franchise or most certainly Coach Jim Harbaugh happy. The main trouble for the San Francisco 49ers in the first quarter of the season has been its incapability to get into rhythm on the offensive side of the ball. I think the Texans will shutdown Boldin, and control Kaepernick, and this to be a very tight game and we'll grab the points with the Houston Texans. 5*
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10-06-13 | Denver Broncos v. Dallas Cowboys +9 | Top | 51-48 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
The Cowboys come into this home tilt having averaged 32 ppg at home in their L/6 dating back to last season. Romo plays very good at home and this is only the Broncos 2nd road game this year. Look for Dallas to try and control the clock and get DeMarco Murray involves a lot on Sunday. Denver played a very soft schedule so far and coming off a 52 pt performance I think Dallas keeps this one close on Sunday afternoon. Tony Romo plays great at home and has only one 1 INT this year. And with Von Miller out two more games on a drug suspension, and linebacker Danny Trevathan being taken off the field at practice Wednesday with a knee injury, I expect the Dallas' offense to put up some big numbers against Broncos' dinged-up D. Trevathan, a second-year pro, is listed as questionable. And make note the Cowboys appear to be set on the offensive line with tackles Tyron Smith and Doug Free, guards Ron Leary and Brian Waters and rookie center Travis Frederick as they are providing Romo a ton of time to pass the ball. Dallas hasn't lost a home game by more than 7 points in over 2 years. I think this will be a high scoring game but I expect Dallas to keep it tight throughout the game and within a TD margin. 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK
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10-05-13 | Washington Huskies +8.5 v. Stanford | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
I am really high on UW this year and I believe that they had the talent to possibly knock off either Stanford, Oregon or UCLA this season. The game is in Palo Alto and the Cardinal will surely be focused and looking to avenge last year
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10-05-13 | Central Florida v. Memphis +10 | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
4*
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10-05-13 | Michigan State +1.5 v. Iowa | Top | 26-14 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show |
Connor Cook has to bounce back for Michigan State at QB following his first road test at Notre Dame. I believe Cook will bounce back after a BYE with plenty of confidence and the arm to make any play on the field. In the bye week he worked a lot on his foot work and I think we will see it early against Iowa. Cook also has taken care of the ball without throwing an INT. Michigan State sports the better defense in this one and they are a bit more balanced where as Iowa is 9th in the country with a 66% run play call percentage. Michigan State is #2 allowing just 1.9 ypc. Iowa's success running the ball has set up 3rd and short, but against Michigan State they will have to throw the ball which is not going to be easy.
Jake Rudock is going to have a hard time completing anything the way Michigan State plays defense with press coverage and he already has 4 interceptions. Both defenses have played one quality offensive opponent this year, MSU played Notre Dame while Iowa played Northern Illinois. Michigan State completely dominated the line of scrimmage on the road against Michigan State while Iowa hosted Northern Illinois and allowed 438. What was also hidden in the Notre Dame game was how well this Michigan State offensive line played. Special teams is also an advantage for the Spartans as they feature an All-Big10 punter in Sadler who is great at pinning teams inside the 20. Michigan State has a dubious offense and a magnificent defense. Bet you did-n |
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10-05-13 | Maryland v. Florida State -16.5 | Top | 0-63 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show |
The undefeated Maryland Terrapins travel to Tallahassee to face the undefeated, and #8th ranked Florida State Seminoles. Maryland has played a soft schedule playing UConn, a down WVU team and Flor INT. Maryland is 2-8 ATS last 10 at Florida State and just 2-21 SU vs the Seminoles. Florida State has a huge advantage in talent on both sides of the ball and on Special Teams. Maryland had the benefit of an easy schedule and being on ESPN, I look for FSU to run up the score here at home and they have to to move up in the rankings. 5*
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10-03-13 | Western Kentucky -7 v. Louisiana Monroe | Top | 31-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are quickly turning thing s a round under the guidanced of Bobby Petrino. The Hilltoppers started out their season by outplaying and outright dominating the University of Kentucky. It probably didn
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09-30-13 | Miami Dolphins +7 v. New Orleans Saints | Top | 17-38 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Ryan Tannehill of the Miami Dolphins is used to flying under the radar as part of the much-ballyhooed NFL quarterback class of 2012 and rarely spoken of. He is out to change that on MNF.
Now he brings his unbeaten team into New Orleans for a prime-time showdown with Drew Brees and the undefeated Saints. The Dolphins are a well-rounded team and the Saints still do not have a strong defense and Miami does. Miami is 27-9 ATS in their last 36 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Look for this game to come down to the final minutes to be decided and we'll take the 7-7.5 points with Miami on MNF. 5* |
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09-29-13 | Chicago Bears v. Detroit Lions -3 | Top | 32-40 | Win | 104 | 3 h 35 m | Show |
4*
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09-29-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. Houston Texans +3 | Top | 23-20 | Push | 0 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
The Seattle Seahawks are the talk of the NFL having forced 10 turnovers have really helped them. However they are a different team on the road and now without 3 starting offensive lineman. The Houston Texans meanwhile are coming off 30-9 loss embarrassment in Baltimore last weekend and are 2-1 on the season. Arian Foster rushed only 12 times for 54 yards last week while Schaub finished 25 of 35 for 194 yards. Houston had 264 total yards after averaging 450.5 over its first two games. Houston still has the league's second-ranked defensive unit that allows an average of 249.0 yards per game. Where the Seahawks have had a field offensively at home the last two weeks I expect the team to struggle a little bit on the road in a tough place like Houston. The Seahawks scored just 12 points in the teams only other road game in Carolina. Look for the Texans at home to set an example and quiet the Seahawks here on Sunday.
KEY TREND= NFL teams that won at home the previous week as favorites of more than 18 points are 0-9 ATS the last 9 times. |
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09-29-13 | NY Giants +4.5 v. Kansas City Chiefs | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
I like the NY Giants with their top tier QB (Eli Manning) at the helm of the offense. After getting smashed 38-0 last time out, many bettors and prognosticators are jumping ship. I however, believe, that Tom Coughlins crew are too proud and too strong and will come out big on Sunday. Pros don't like to be embarrassed and I'm betting that will become evident this week, vs a over rated Kansas City team that has looked a little better than their true talent ratio, thanks to a +9 turnover ratio. Key Trend: NFL sides that were shutout in their last game, and are now playing as a road underdog have covered 64% of all games played since 1989. Play on the NY Giants plus the points on Sunday afternoon. 5*
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09-28-13 | Iowa -1.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 23-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
Iowa is a team that that I am keeping my eye on in the Big Ten. Playing down in class against San Jose State
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09-28-13 | LSU v. Georgia -3 | Top | 41-44 | Push | 0 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Georgia comes in with a heavy offense that can light up the scoreboards and they have one of the top 3 QBs in the NCAA in my opinion in Andy Murray and his 1040 YDs already. And if Georgia can win this gamet hey make noise to be genuine candidates to have their names in the hat as a National champion. Georgia has played much better opponents so far than LSU with wins over South Carolina and a narrowly fought loss to Clemson. Every game is a playoff game for 1-loss Georgia who is playing here with 42-10 revenge from 2 years ago.
LSU has been teeing it up an Hitting some home runs on offense, but the 27, 17, 13 and 21 points allowed so far By the Tigers is noticeably more than the 14, 3, 14 and 10 they allowed in the ?rst Four games of last season. LSU lost their SEC opener last season, 14-6, to a Florida And that team couldn |
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09-28-13 | Oklahoma State -18 v. West Virginia | Top | 21-30 | Loss | -111 | 2 h 56 m | Show |
I love Oklahoma State over West Virginia, giving the points as Okie St plays Oregon style offense and puts up points in a hurry. The Oklahoma State Cowboys have been great hitting other teams
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09-27-13 | Utah State v. San Jose State +10 | Top | 40-12 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
San Jose State is very solid while Utah St is coming off 3 tough games and could be looking ahead to rival BYU whom they play next week. MWC conference opener for these 2 teams, who both also employ new coaches this season. San Jose returns home off a road loss against a pretty good Minnesota team on the road playing an early 12 noon EST start.
The QB play is solid and they can generate pressure on the opposing QB. Even though it is a conference opener for the Aggies, there has to be a letdown coming off that tough road loss at USC where several players got banged up. San Jose has a ton of speed especially on offense and they are very deep at the WR position, Utah St's secondary isn't very good, nor is the kicking game. Take the generous points with the home underdog and San Jose St. 5* |
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09-26-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. St. Louis Rams +3.5 | Top | 35-11 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
The SF 49ers scored just one TD on 21 drives in last two games, with ten 3/outs, completing 26-55 passes in losses by 26-20 points- they
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09-26-13 | Virginia Tech v. Georgia Tech -6.5 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 12 m | Show |
4*
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09-22-13 | Chicago Bears v. Pittsburgh Steelers +3 | Top | 40-23 | Loss | -125 | 21 h 44 m | Show |
4*
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09-22-13 | Cleveland Browns +7 v. Minnesota Vikings | Top | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
The Browns go with Brian Hoyer as their QB and this Browns team is under-rated especially on defense. They have yet to allow 300 yards under new mentor Rob Chudzinski and just traded star RB Trent Richardson for a No.1 pick in next year's draft. Look for a unified effort from players who suddenly realize they must produce or they'll be headed out. Cleveland's 6-1 ATS in their young franchise history away from home against winless teams off back-to-back losses. With a pair of winless teams, I'll take the 7-7.5 points with the Browns. 5*
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09-22-13 | St. Louis Rams v. Dallas Cowboys -3.5 | Top | 7-31 | Win | 101 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
4*
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09-22-13 | Green Bay Packers v. Cincinnati Bengals +3 | Top | 30-34 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
The Bengals should easily be sitting at 2-0 after they were up double digits on the road against the Bears and if they did close that game out late we would have a different spread here in my opinion. It also hurt the Bengals that they looked poor on Monday night and now the public is rushing behind the Packers after their huge win over the Redskins.
Andy Dalton, the young signal caller is managing the offense well and while the big plays will start coming often, there are playmakers to spread the ball to. A.J. Green is the obvious first choice and he leads the team with 15 catches and 203 yards with two scores. Jermaine Gresham and Tyler Eifert are a formidable duo at tight end and should see some success as the Packers continue to struggle in covering the middle of the field. Giovani Bernard had a coming out party with two scores Monday Night and he rounds out what can be a top-notch offense but we will see what they can do when the pressure is on to put up a lot of points. Look for a big game out of A.J Green as he was quiet on MNF. GREEN BAY does not have a good offensive line and I expect the Bengals front to get after Aaron Rodgers. A.J. Green should have a huge game as the Packers lack a guy that can shut him down like the Steelers did. 10* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH |
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09-21-13 | Louisiana-Lafayette -5.5 v. Akron | Top | 35-30 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
This is a perfect letdown spot for Akron as they let it all on the field last week and may have nothing left for this one. The ULL Ragin Cajuns started the year at 0-2, but those were games at an improved SEC squad in Arkansas and at a Kansas State squad that was embarrassed at home the week before by an FCS squad. Both teams have played an FCS foe this year and Louisiana had a far better time of it as the Ragin Cajuns beat Nicholls state 70-7 and outgained them by 315 yards, while the Zips beat James Madison by just 2 points and were outgained by 142 yards in the game. Last week was just a case of Michigan looking past this team after their huge win over Notre Dame. Last weeks game vs Michigan should also give Louisiana some motivation and they would lover to get a nice easy win over a team that nearly upset Michigan on the road. Louisiana is coming off a BYE week and will be full ready for this one and take care of business by double digits. 5*
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09-21-13 | Utah State +7 v. USC | Top | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
Utah State is ranked 8th in the nation in scoring, 15th in passing, and also sits in the top 40 in rushing yards and has one of the top QB's in the nation no one has heard of. USC is young and their QB situation is not good. Yes, USC won last week, I don't like their coaching, their offense, and honestly, their overall demeanor. This team is bad and will probably struggle a lot this season. Utah State has enough fire power to trade punches with USC and keep this one within the number. Road underdogs with an incredible offense averaging 450 yards or more per game, provided they averaged 7.25 yards or more in their previous game, are 19-2 ATS the last 3 seasons. Utah State's high-powered offense has made them a covering machine. The Aggies are on a 13-2 ATS run dating back to the start of last season. USC is just 4-12 ATS during the same span. It is also worth mentioning that Utah State is on an 8-0 ATS run following a win by 21 or more points while USC is on a 0-7 ATS slide after a game where it outgained an opponent by 125 or more total yards. This is a PERFECT 15-0 situation in our favor and I like the underdog UTAH ST here +7. 10*
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09-21-13 | Michigan State v. Notre Dame -4 | Top | 13-17 | Push | 0 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
Notre Dame was in the BCS title game last season and they have only lost two games since opening kickoff last season. They have a very solid QB and are still pretty talented in key areas. Michigan State has played no one this season. They stand at 3-0, but they have beaten Western Michigan, Youngstown State, and South Florida. This will be their first test of the season when they head to South Bend. Without question the Notre Dame passing attack is dangerous, as we have seen throughout the early quarter of the season. Led by 4 year QB, Tommy Rees, who is lighting it up with 969 YDs passing in 3 games and 7 TDS, hitting 61% of his passes. With gold weapons like big target Davaris Daniels and his fiery 17.6 YPC, counting 2 games with 2+ TDs. Look for the Irish to win this one my double digits for our 10* COLLEGE GAME OF THE WEEK.
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09-21-13 | Pittsburgh v. Duke +4.5 | Top | 58-55 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show |
4*
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09-19-13 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Philadelphia Eagles -3 | Top | 26-16 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
KC is 2-0 but they played Jax who is awful and they hosted Dallas in their home stadium. Now they travel on the road in a short week and play a primetime game in a tough and loud stadium. Philly is 2nd in the NFL in rushing, 10th in passing, 5th in total defense, 2nd in total yards.. The problem with Philly is their defense. Alex Smith doesn't turn the ball over, but I expect the Philly defense to play aggressive and on the short week I like the Eagles at home as KC will struggle to stop the Philly offense and their spread sets. 5*
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09-16-13 | Pittsburgh Steelers +7 v. Cincinnati Bengals | Top | 10-20 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
Cincinnati will be playing in their home opener, and I expect a lot more energy and more spark out of the Steelers defense, especially in primetime on ESPN. Dalton and the offense will have to get the run game established against a Steelers defense that really answered the bell last week against the Titans running game (Titans had 42 attempts, 2.6 ypc), so it will come down to Dalton throwing the ball to move the chains. Pittsburgh is on a pretty nice ATS run against the Bengals, going 5-1 ATS , and 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings. I expect Big Ben to play well and the Pittsburgh defense to force Andy Dalton into mistakes and interceptions. Bengals are 0-3-1 in last four tries as favorite in home opener.. Over last five years, Bengals are 14-21-3 vs spread in game following a loss; over last three years, Steelers are 11-4-1 vs spread in same role. In their last 13 meetings, the Bengals have only won by more than 6 points just once, so in this divisional matchup, we'll take the +7 points with the Pittsburgh Steelers.
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09-15-13 | New Orleans Saints v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 | Top | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
This is aTampa Bay team that got caught napping vs. The Jets. The Saints are 0-3 ATS in their L3 road openers and an emotional letdown is expected this week as they have been installed as a RF and nobody is giving the Bucs a chance in this game. The Saints embarrassed the Bucs 41-0 LY and I can promise you the TB players had this game circled. Freeman threw 4 picks that game and he is in a contract year so we are expecting this guy to perform to his full capability. I think TB will be able to rush the ball. Vincent Jackson had 216 rec yards in the 1st matchup between these two teams LY and he is off to a big start again. The scheduling and motivational dynamics favor Tampa Bay in this game and although I expect them to win this game SU, and I'll gladly take the 3 points and the home dog Buccaneers. 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK
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09-15-13 | Miami Dolphins +3 v. Indianapolis Colts | Top | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show |
Miami scored 23 points last week in a road win over Cleveland. They couldn't run the ball at all and new WR Mike Wallace was a non-factor. I like Miami's chances to run the ball today vs the Colts and I expect some deep passes to Wallace here on Sunday. Miami QB Ryan Tannehill played well last week and is very underrated. Look for Miami to pull the upset here this afternoon.
5* |
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09-14-13 | Ole Miss +3 v. Texas | Top | 44-23 | Win | 100 | 22 h 36 m | Show |
4*
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09-14-13 | Mississippi State +6.5 v. Auburn | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
MSU QB Tyler Russell, who was knocked out of last week
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09-14-13 | Central Florida v. Penn State -4.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
UCF has outscored their opponents 76-7 and had 2 weeks to prepare for this game. Theywould be coming off back-to-back shutouts if not for allowing a garbage-time TD to Akron. Perhaps that presages a long evening for Christian Hackenberg as the UCF defense will be bringing it hard. UCF has a duel threat on offense with Johnson rushing the ball and Blake Bortles passing the ball. UCF head coach George O
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09-14-13 | Louisville v. Kentucky +15 | Top | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
4*
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09-14-13 | UCLA Bruins +3 v. Nebraska | Top | 41-21 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
The Bruins are off a bye, so they have two weeks of preparation to help stop Nebraska
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09-12-13 | NY Jets v. New England Patriots -11 | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
The Jets were at home last week and had it not been for a stupid personal foul penalty on the second last play of the game, New York would be 0-1 after a 17-15 loss to the Buccaneers.The start of the Geno Smith era went pretty well even if it did not have a lot to do with him. Facing one of the worst defenses from last year who were on the road would be a prescription for "as good as it gets" but pretty it was not. Kellen Winslow hung on to make the roster and then led the Jets with seven catches for 79 yards.
The Jets are getting way too much credit here for one lousy win in a game they deserved to lose. Had this game been scheduled for Week 1, the Patriots would |
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09-09-13 | Philadelphia Eagles +4 v. Washington Redskins | Top | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show |
I think that this is very good value on an Eagles team who has had a ton of speed on this young team. The Redskins will be cautious with RGIII and I don't expect him to run much in this first game. Philadelphia is learning a new system, but Chip Kelly also hasn't shown anything in the pre-season. The Redskins don't even know what to prepare for with Vick and the Eagles. I think the home field wont matter much as this is a divisional game and I'll take the Eagles plus the 3.5 points on Monday night football.
5* Philadelphia Eagles +4 |
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09-08-13 | NY Giants v. Dallas Cowboys -3 | Top | 31-36 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
5*
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09-08-13 | Arizona Cardinals v. St. Louis Rams -3.5 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
I am expecting a big game from STL here at home on their turf with their speedy receivers and Sam Bradford. Bradford will show that he
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09-08-13 | Miami Dolphins v. Cleveland Browns -1 | Top | 23-10 | Loss | -114 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
Miami did not impress me at all this preseason and I an absolutely not on the bandwagon. I felt the Dolphins massively overachieved going 7-9 last season. The Dolphins got rid of their two best offensive players, Reggie Bush and Jake Long, and by getting rid of their best cornerback. I just don't know that Miami is a better team this season. But I am sure that Cleveland is a much better team. The Browns are excited to start a season with Norv Turner at the offensive helm as he will try to open up the field a bit more. This in turn should make RB Trent Richardson an even better running back, and the Browns defense is gonna be tough this year too. 5*
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09-07-13 | Texas -7 v. BYU | Top | 21-40 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
There's been a lot of early steam on the Longhorns and the move is right here on Saturday in college football. BYU can't stay with Texas' athletes and should have no problems covering the TD spread. The Cougars don't have enough offense to trade points with Texas either and are undersized.
Texas has outstanding athletes on offense and now has its best quarterback, David Ash, in the past four years. The Cougars aren't used to seeing an offense this good and Texas is 5X better than Virginia. The Longhorns win big here on Saturday evening! 10* GAME OF THE WEEK! |
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09-07-13 | Navy v. Indiana -12 | Top | 41-35 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
4*
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09-07-13 | Florida -3 v. Miami (Florida) | Top | 16-21 | Loss | -106 | 1 h 14 m | Show |
The Florida offense returns 6 starters from a team that scored 26.5 ppg a year ago. QB Driskel plays pretty well in this system and he is only getting better. The defense for the Gators is the reason for this play. Florida allowed 14.5 ppg a year ago and despite just 4 returning starters we look for another big season from this stop unit. Florida held down a very good offense vs Toledo last week which is hard to do regardless of who the Rockets play. Toledo had gone 36 straight games without being held to single digits and they managed just 6 against the Gators last week.Look for the Gators to pull away in the 2nd half and get us the cash here. 10* College Game of the Week
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09-06-13 | Wake Forest +3 v. Boston College | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
WF has a pair of very good receivers and has a couple of extra days to prep off a Thur Night gm while BC is on a short week off a Sat game. The winner here takes a major step towards getting back to a bowl gm after missing one LY. In his career, BC QB Rettig has thrown for 6,538 yards and 37 touchdowns, and at 6-foot-3, he is able to stand in the pocket and make throws over the defensive line to his receivers. Rettig is 1-2 in his career against the Demon Deacons, and has struggled against their defense, throwing six interceptions. The Eagles are going to have their hands full with the pass-catching duo of Campanaro and Williams of Wake Forest. With his size, Boston College is going to have to have a safety over the top at all times. Not only is Williams big, but he also has a burst of speed that allows him to create separation from the cornerback. I like Wake catching 3 points here on Friday night on ESPN2. 5*
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08-31-13 | Boise State v. Washington Huskies -3.5 | Top | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
Playing this time at Husky Stadium following its $250 million redecorating job, Petersen expects to encounter a raucous, signal-extinguishing crowd of around 70,000 on Seattle's waterfront with 20 returning starters Big things were expected of UW triggerman Keith Price after he out-performed Robert Griffin III in the wild 2011 Alamo Bowl, but Price wasn
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08-31-13 | Georgia v. Clemson +3 | Top | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
4*
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08-31-13 | BYU -1 v. Virginia | Top | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
Not many teams fielded a defense capable of dominating games the way the Cougar's did in 2012. Perhaps the most impressive display came in an epic battle with Boise State on September 20, that resulted in the Broncos winning 7-6 when BYU missed a 2-point conversion. The Cougars open the season on the road versus Virginia, and this isn't an easy matchup by any means. The Cavs though are coming off a disappointing 4-8 campaign last year, and that has resulted in bringing in new coordinators on both sides of the ball. The defense should be solid with all four starters returning in the secondary, led by all-star candidate Demetrious Nicholson at cornerback. The passing game was the Achilles heel last season, and there is no reason to expect it to get any better this year. This is a nightmare matchup for Virginia, and it's unlikely they will get anything going offensively against this Cougar's defense. I love this BYU team and I see them winning here on Saturday. 10* Diamond in the ROugh
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08-29-13 | Washington Redskins v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5 | Top | 30-12 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
With RGIII and Kirk Cousins both sidelined and veteran Rex Grossman not needing any more game reps prior to the regular season, Redskins head coach Mike Shanahan has indicated that Pat White will start and play the entire game Thursday with the 2nd string. Pat is going to be in trouble with a lot of pressure here playing with the 2nd team. Bucs head coach Greg Schiano has indicated that backup QB Mike Glennon will see the majority of the snaps Thursday night. We want Mike to keep getting repetitions. Dan is a multi-year vet who has had a lot of repetitions. They
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08-29-13 | North Carolina v. South Carolina -10.5 | Top | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
Both of these teams know how to put up points, with the Tar Heels finishing 8th in the FBS in scoring last season with 40.6 PPG, while the Gamecocks compiled 31.5 PPG despite playing in the toughest conference in the nation. Although UNC has big shoes to fill with RB Giovani Bernard gone, QB Bryn Renner returns along with his top two receivers from 2012. Now healthy, South Carolina QB Connor Shaw should be able to march his team down the field against a NC defense that struggled last season in a weak conference. On the other hand, the Gamecocks defense is one of the nation
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08-25-13 | Minnesota Vikings +3 v. San Francisco 49ers | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
The 49ers have been unspeakably dull in the first two preseason games and I think there is some real concern behind QB Colin Kaepernick, with Jim Harbaugh not likely to risk his franchise QB any more than he should in the second half. The Seneca Wallace pickup late this past week is a sure sign that Harbaugh is dissatisfied with his QB rotation behind Kaepernick. With just 1 week in the system, I dont expect Wallace to do much tonight.
Adrian Peterson gets his first work of the preseason in this one with the 1st team and the starters and coaches are treating this as a regular game. I like the Vikings here plus the FG. 5* |
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08-24-13 | Cleveland Browns +2.5 v. Indianapolis Colts | Top | 6-27 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
I like the Browns this evening as this is a major schedule advantage with Cleveland in this one, as the Browns played their last exhibition contest on Thursday night in their home 24-6 win and cover over the Detroit Lions. As for the Colts, Indy saw action this past Sunday night in their 20-12 road outright win at the Giants.
I cannot believe that on such a short week the Colts are going to risk getting any of their starters injured as we get ready for the real football to be played in September. Cleveland has gone 5-1 both straight up and against the spread their last 6 preseason games versus the AFC, and I like them to up that mark to 6-1 as they play an Indianapolis team that will be easing off the gas pedal early in this one. PLAY THE BROWNS. 5* |
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08-22-13 | New England Patriots v. Detroit Lions -1 | Top | 9-40 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
On Thursday night I am backing the 1-1 Detroit Lions at home vs the New England Pats at 730pm EST. Lions Head Coach Swartz will get the D back together & playing well after last weeks torch job by Browns QB Weeden. 8-12 last week and 2 tds. Last weeks performance was a train wreck for these Lions, poor O , poor D and special teams yet we believe in these Lion who have the talent.This is week 3 so expect a full gameplan by Detroit tonight. On the filp side these Pats come in 2-0 ...wins over Phila/Tampa Bay and the more we watch the Pats ...it is just that system they run and they wont want to risk any more injuries to their starters here. 5*
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08-17-13 | Dallas Cowboys +4 v. Arizona Cardinals | Top | 7-12 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
This is a Very Good spot to back the Cowboys on Saturday as Arizona is coming off their impressive 17-0 shutout win against Green Bay, and they play a Dallas team already playing their 3rd pre-season game. The Cowboys starters are expected to play into the 2nd half here as they started their pre-season a week early with the Hall of Fame Game against Miami in Ohio,
Dallas was severely out-gained in their first 2 games (which they split 1-1) and I expect a full effort here where the Cowboys starters will see a lot of time and they are taking this game seriously as a regular season game. The defense is solid and their offense is much improved and very good from what I saw. I am riding the Cowboys +3 here on Saturday afternoon. |
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08-16-13 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 v. New England Patriots | Top | 21-25 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
5*
The Pats are banged up and they dont want to risk losing anyone else in the 2nd week of the preseason. While off their big win in Philly, New England won't have much interest in this contest, Tampa Bay feels differently. This is a make or break year for Tampa Bay and they were run off the field by the Ravens. Adam Weber, a practice squad player last year, threw INT's on his first two passes, and veteran 3rd stringer Dan Orlovsky, who didn't play Saturday, should be effective in the second half against a Patriots team lacking cornerback depth. Seven projected starters didn't play last week for the Bucs, and several will be in the game for this one. Ryan Mallett, the Pats backup QB, is no great shakes. Tebow is only accurate to about 6 yards or so. The Patriots are placing a lot of emphasis on their Tues/Wed practice sessions with the Bucs. Greg Schiano knows this is a pivotal year for his club to bounce back from last season's disappointment, and the confidence garnered from a win here would help his cause. Go with Tampa Bay here PLUS THE POINTS on Friday night |
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08-15-13 | Detroit Lions v. Cleveland Browns -1.5 | Top | 6-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK:
I expect a whole lot of blitzing from the Browns here tonight as the new coaching staff is taking this preseason very seriously. Defensive coach Ray Horton has the team believing and playing very well. He wants his defense to focus on creating turnovers in tonight's game. The Browns are better then past years and their defense is very good! This is one of those games where there is clearly an advantage to taking the Browns here at home, and tonight they should get the job done for us. The Browns have a serious QB duel taking place and their coach is putting the two battlers in position to show their best stuff and let them battle it out with the 1st strong offense. The Cleveland first unit will play most or all of the first half tonight, with Weeden at the controls. Richardson will play tonight and see valuable time as well followed my Jason Campbell at QB. He is expected to play deep into the fourth quarter of this game. I like the Browns here at home to get a solid win and cover tonight over the Lions. |
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08-11-13 | Buffalo Bills v. Indianapolis Colts -4 | Top | 44-20 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
When the Colts had Peyton Manning, they seemed to protect him through these games while the losses mounted knowing that when the bright lights went on it didn't matter. They now have another rising star at QB in Andrew Luck but he is still young and needs the reps in this game, who will be followed by Hasselbeck and Harnish. The focus for Indy, however, will be an overhauled defense. Defensive coordinator Greg Manusky will be watching closely as he looks to fill the void left by six defensive starters from 2012 that have moved to new teams. There is also a nice battle at running back going on in Colts camp. The No. 1 job belongs to Vick Ballard, but he's being pushed by Donald Brown and rookie Kerwynn Williams who has put in some time with the first team at camp.
Buffalo has just three wins in the last three years in the NFL preseasons and their main concern is to not injure any of their starters in this game. Also their QB rotation is very weak. 5* |
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08-08-13 | St Louis Rams v. Cleveland Browns -3.5 | Top | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
I like the QB rotation that the Browns are using here as this will give them a huge edge starting with Weeden and followed by Jason Campbell and Hoyer as couple of veterans.
I like the additions for the Browns in Free Agency and Bess from Miami on draft day he adds to this young talented WR core. Weeden, Gordon, Little, Bess and TRICH should have very good regular seasons. It hasn |
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06-20-13 | San Antonio Spurs +5.5 v. Miami Heat | Top | 88-95 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
After watching the first six games of this series, it's clear to us that San Antonio is equal or better than the defending champs overall. Yes, they are older, but more experienced and hard workers. Many will talk about the way the Spurs lost the last game as a reason to play against San Antonio here, but this is a veteran team and they'll be ready once again for game 7 tonight. San Antonio has outscored the Heat in this series with both teams playing three games apiece at home. The Spurs will keep this one tight right to the end. PLAY THE SPURS +6
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06-16-13 | Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs +1.5 | Top | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
The Spurs look to bounce back from their 109-93 loss in Game 4 and build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
I expect the Spurs to play big tonight in their final home game of the season and notch a win here. Like many great teams, the Spurs usually make adjustments after a loss, going 22-5 following a defeat this season, outscoring these opponents by 9.4 PPG. And the Heat have now alternated wins and losses for 11 straight games, going 0-5 (SU and ATS) with a mere 85.4 PPG when following an SU victory since beating the Pacers in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals. The Spurs are also 10-2 SU their last 12 after two off-days of rest. Look for Parker, Duncan and Ginobli to come up big once again on Sunday night. 10* |
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06-13-13 | Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs +1.5 | Top | 109-93 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
Parker strained a hamstring in Game 3, but I still like the Spurs at home where they shoot much better and have the rebounding and size to contain the inside game of the Heat. The only way the Spurs lose tonight is if the Heat shoot lights out from behind the 3-pt arc. The Heat are 3-23 in franchise history at this site and the Spurs are 7-1 at home in playoffs, GO SPURS! 5*
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06-11-13 | Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs -2 | Top | 77-113 | Win | 100 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
I expect the SPURS to be ready here at home on Tuesday night. They allowed the Heat to go on a HUGE 33-5 run in their game 2 collaspe. Look for the Spurs behind Parker, Ginobli, and Duncan who were 10-33 shooting combining to score just 27 points to play and shoot better at home and clamp down on their defense in convincing fashion. My guess is that the SA Spurs perimeter game will get going early in this one and this veteran team win game 3.
10* NBA PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE YEAR |
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06-03-13 | Indiana Pacers +7 v. Miami Heat | Top | 76-99 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 19 m | Show |
The Indiana Pacers have been an extremely solid team in the playoffs. They are dominate inside and are a much better defensive and rebounding team. They came together with a 91-77 victory in Game 6 in the face of elimination. While the Pacers are a team coming together heading into Game 7, the Heat seem to be falling apart at the seams losing 4 of their last 10 games overall in the playoffs. Indiana comes in as the underdog with almost no pressure on its shoulders and has the inside/outside game to keep this one close. Indiana is 16-7 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more this season. Miami is 4-13 ATS in home games after playing a road game this season so the stats are also in our favor. Take the Indiana Pacers in game 7 on Monday night. 10*
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06-01-13 | Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers +2.5 | Top | 77-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
Indiana counts on its size advantage on the frontline to lead the way, as it has in each of the Pacers
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05-28-13 | Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers +3 | Top | 92-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Indy play awful in game 3 and Miami had 70 points at halftime with only one turnover, as several role players had big games. I fully expect the Pacers to come out in zone of some kind to make James give up the ball. If Haslem goes 8-9 from floor and Birdman hits all of his shots, the Heat ain't losing, but Indiana has to make him take more shots, they can't let James destroy their defense inside. Indiana covered six of its last seven home games, and I fully expect their best effort tonight to even up the series. 5*
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