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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-14-15 | Atlanta Braves v. New York Mets OVER 7.5 | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 or 8 runs in NY Mets vs Atlanta @ 1:10 ET - The Mets Dillon Gee is winless in his 6 starts this season and has compiled an unimpressive 4.46 ERA on the year. He's only getting the start today because it's a spot start that the Mets needed filled. The Braves send Mike Foltynewicz to the mound and he allowed 5 earned runs in less than 6 innings of work against the Padres in his most recent start. The Braves right-hander gave up 12 hits in that outing and he's having trouble locating his off-speed pitches. He's got a 5.50 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP in his last 3 outings. The Mets Gee has given up 14 hits and walked 6 batters in his last 9 innings of work! The Braves have 16 hits against Gee in 12 innings so far this season. This will already be the 3rd time they have seen him this season. With yesterday's over, the over is 11-2-1 in the Braves last 14 games. The over is 14-5-1 in the Mets last 20 games! The over is 15-5 in Braves games against teams with a winning record this season and the over is 21-7 in Atlanta's divisional games so far this season. The over is 13-7 in Mets day games this season. Play OVER the total in the NY Mets game as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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06-14-15 | Chicago White Sox -132 v. Tampa Bay Rays | 1-2 | Loss | -132 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* Chicago White Sox Money Line -132 @ Tampa Bay @ 1:10 ET - Southpaw Chris Sale has been nothing short of phenomenal for the White Sox of late. After some early season struggles, Sale has been mowing hitters down for weeks now. The ChiSox left-hander has struck out at least 10 batters in each of his last 4 starts entering this road outing at Tampa Bay. In his last 47 innings he's struck out 67 and allowed just 7 earned runs! He'll take advantage of facing light-hitting Tampa Bay in this one plus the Rays have some pitching concerns here. The Tampa starter today is Nate Karns and he's allowed 9 runs (8 earned) in his first two starts this month. In his only career start against the White Sox - late last season - Karns was rocked for 3 homers in just 5 innings of work. As for Sale, he's gone 7 innings and allowed just 2 earned runs in each of his last two starts against the Rays and those were back in 2013. It's an edge to the pitcher when his opponent hasn't seen him in awhile. Big edges all the way around for the White Sox here as they will respond off of yesterday's loss and are worth the moderate price here considering the huge edge they have on the mound on this one. Tampa Bay is an ugly 3-12 this season in home games with a posted total of 7 runs or less. The White Sox are 6-1 in Sale's last 7 starts. Play the Chicago White Sox on the money line as an *8* selection. |
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06-14-15 | Colorado Rockies v. Miami Marlins OVER 7 | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7 runs in Miami vs Colorado @ 1:10 ET - Jorge De La Rosa has a 5.51 ERA in his career outings against the Marlins. The problem has not just been that he pitches his home games in Colorado either. In fact, De La Rosa's numbers in Miami have been even worse as he's compiled a 7.71 ERA in his two career outings against the Marlins in Miami. De La Rosa will be opposed by the Marlins Dan Haren in this one. Haren of course is a big name pitcher from the big seasons he's produced in the past. But the Rockies have always been a bit of a nemesis for Haren. In fact, the right-hander has a career 5.12 ERA against Colorado. Both teams should enjoy plenty of success against these starters today. Also, the over is 8-3 in Marlins games against left-handed starters this season. Coincidentally, the over is also 8-3 in Haren's starts this season. Each of Haren's last 3 starts against the Rockies have gone over the total. Play OVER the total in Miami as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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06-13-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 7.5 runs in San Francisco vs Arizona @ 7:15 ET - Josh Collmenter was struggling badly for Arizona but it is still surprising to see Allen Webster selected as "the chosen one" to take his place in the rotation. Webster was struggling badly in the minors at Reno so far this season. Though he pitched better after returning from an injury this spring, he then returned to "true form" in his most recent start in the minors and got roughed up again. Yet he still got called up here and I expect the Giants to pound him after yesterday's tough 1-0 loss. The over is 27-19 in Giants games against right-handed starters this season. Also, the over is 16-9 in San Francisco's games against teams with a losing record this season. The over was on an overall 12-3-2 run in Giants games before yesterday's surprising pitchers duel. The sticks return today as the Diamondbacks also should do plenty of damage at the plate against Giants starter Ryan Vogelsong. The right-hander has allowed 8 earned runs in his last two starts and he's allowed 11 earned runs in 10 innings of work spanning his two most recent outings against Arizona. He's also walked 13 batters in his last 17 innings against the Dbacks. The over is 9-4 the last 3 seasons when the Diamondbacks are off of a shutout win. Look for the over to go to 8-3 in Giants games on Saturdays this season as both lineup take advantage of subpar starting pitchers i nthis one. Play OVER 7.5 runs in San Francisco as a *10* Top Play Saturday. |
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06-13-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 7 | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7 or 7.5 runs in Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia @ 4:05 ET - Yesterday's 13 inning affair used up plenty of bullpen for both clubs. The Phillies Sean O'Sullivan is sure to get rocked here and while Gerrit Cole certainly has impressive numbers on the season and is a rock solid starter, he will face some tough left-handed bats in today's match-up with the Phillies. The Phillies are a massive dog here and it's certainly noteworthy that the over is a long-term 43-19 when Philadelphia is a road dog in a range of +200 to +250. The over also went a perfect 8-0 in Phillies games to start the month of June. Each of the last two games have stayed under the total but the over trend will resume on Saturday. O'Sullivan is 0-3 with a 7.02 ERA in road games this season. Cole's ratio of ground ball outs compared to outs through the air is much better against righties than lefties. The Phillies have some pop from the left-hand side of the plate and they will do more damage than many are expecting here on Saturday. At the same time, O'Sullivan's recent struggles continues and that leads to an easy over here after yesterday's pitchers duel. Play OVER 7 or 7.5 runs in Pittsburgh as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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06-13-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 | 7-11 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 or 9.5 runs in Texas vs Minnesota @ 4:05 ET - Mike Pelfrey has enjoyed some surprising success for the Twins this season and it's a tough spot for him to continue that here. The Rangers have been one of the league's hottest teams at home and, on a very warm afternoon in Arlington, the ball will be carrying extremely well this afternoon. Texas has averaged 6 runs per game in their last 6 homes games and though they didn't get going until the latter innings yesterday, they will start that much earlier today as Pelfrey has registered just 13 strikeouts in 37 innings of work on the road this season. He's not missing many bats away from home and the Rangers possess a very confident lineup right now. The Twins offense has slowed down of late but Colby Lewis provides the perfect remedy for what has ailed them. Lewis has a 7.56 ERA in his last 3 starts overall and the over is a perfect 5-0 in his home starts this season. The over is 18-10 in Twins day games this season and both lineups are ready for an offensive explosion after yesterday's game was a surprising pitchers duel until the latter innings. Play OVER 9 or 9.5 runs in Texas as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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06-13-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Boston Red Sox OVER 8.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs in Boston vs Toronto @ 1:35 ET - With yesterday's 13-10 win the Blue Jays have now won 9 straight and their offense has averaged nearly 8 runs per game during this red hot stretch. However, the play today is the over rather than Toronto because although the Jays offense should absolutely remain on fire, R.A. Dickey can't be trusted. The knuckle-baller gets the start for Toronto today and he's 0-4 with a 6.52 ERA in road starts this season. Dickey has faced the Red Sox twice this season and he's lost both starts while allowing 10 earned runs in 13 innings of work. Boston sends Clay Buchholz to the mound this afternoon. The Red Sox right-hander has a 7.00 ERA in his two starts against Toronto and the Blue Jays offense is hotter now than it was earlier this season when Buchholz faced the Jays. Buchholz is coming off a rough home outing against Oakland where he allowed 4 earned runs on 10 hits in less than five innings of work and it won't get any easier against the Blue Jays. The over is 17-8, 68% this season in Toronto's games played on grass. The last 3 seasons, the over is 25-16 in Red Sox games when the BoSox enter on a losing streak of 3 games or more. The over is also 11-3 this season in Blue Jays road games when Toronto is in a money line price range of even money up to +125. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Boston as an *8* selection. |
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06-12-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 9 runs -102 in Texas vs Minnesota @ 8:05 ET - The Rangers got shutout at Oakland yesterday afternoon but look for them to come back to life now that they are back home. The Rangers had been one of the hottest teams of the league before dropping 3 of their last 4 games but their offense wll quickly heat back up now that they are home again. They get the added advantage of facing a struggling southpaw tonight. The Rangers will be facing a lefty for the second straight game and that will also help the sticks come to life. Tom Milone gets the start for the Twins and he's compiled a 6.75 ERA and 1.98 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Not surprisingly, all 3 of those starts went over the total. The Rangers send Wandy Rodriguez to the mound tonight. He's got an ugly 6.75 ERA and 1.91 WHIP in home starts this season. The Twins have averaged 5.7 runs per game in games against left-handed starters this season. Overall, the over is 15-7 this season in Minnesota's games against southpaws this season. Also, the Rangers have played 12 home games this season where the posted total was 9 or 9.5 runs and only 4 of those 12 games have stayed under the total. Look for plenty of fireworks in this one as the Rangers resume their hot hitting at home while the Twins resume their hot hitting against left-handed pitching. Play OVER 9 runs in Texas as a *10* Top Play Friday. |
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06-12-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9 | 13-10 | Win | 101 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs +101 in Boston vs Toronto @ 7:10 ET - Boston's bats came to life in a 6-5 loss at Baltimore yesterday. Though the Red Sox have trended under this season their offense has been heating up some. Yesterday was the 5th time in their last 7 games that the BoSox have scored at least 4 runs. The Red Sox should have no trouble with the offerings of Drew Hutchinson Friday. The Blue Jays right-hander has a 7.80 ERA on the road this season and, not surprisingly, the over is 5-1 in his 6 road starts. The Red Sox have already seen Hutchinson twice this season and they have hit him hard with 7 earned runs on 16 hits in just 9 innings of work. The Red Sox will have some pitching issues of their own in this one with Joe Kelly on the mound. Kelly has faced Toronto twice already this season and the Blue Jays have reached him to the tune of 11 earned runs in just 11 2/3 innings of work. Toronto comes into this match-up red-hot as they've won 8 straight games and the Jays have averaged 7 runs per game in those 8 victories. The over is 17-10 in Blue Jays road games this season and that includes an incredible 11-3 mark to the over in road games where the Toronto line ranges anywhere from even money up to +125. They are again a small road dog here. In Jays games on grass this season the over is 16-8 and the over is 4-0, 100% perfect in Toronto road games with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 so far this season. Play OVER 9 runs in Boston as an *8* selection Friday. |
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06-12-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. Chicago Cubs -109 | 5-4 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* Chicago Cubs Money Line -109 vs Cincinnati @ 4:05 ET - The Reds winning streak came to an end yesterday as the Cubs drilled them 6 to 3. Cincinnati has a tough match-up to try and bounce back today. They face Jason Hammel of the Cubs and he's been mowing hitters down. The right-hander has struck out 27 in his last 3 starts and the Reds haven't faced him in 4 years. That's a big edge to the pitcher. As for Reds starter Johnny Cueto, the Cubs have faced him 3 times in the past year and they've got to him for 11 runs in 18 1/3 innings including going deep against him 4 times in those 3 starts. The Reds are just 2-4 in Cueto's six road starts this season and he has a much higher ERA on the road compared to at home this season. As for Hammel, he's produced a solid 2.54 ERA in home starts including a stellar 0.85 WHIP at Wrigley Field so far this season. The Reds are just 10-19 on the road this season and Cincinnati has gone 1-6 in road games where they are even money up to +125 as a road dog. Installed as a small road dog again here, the Reds get crushed. Cincy is also an ugly 7-14 in day games this season and 5-11 in games against teams with a winning record this season. Tremendous line value with the small home favorite in this one. Play the Chicago Cubs on the money line as an *8* selection Friday. |
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06-11-15 | Colorado Rockies v. Miami Marlins OVER 8 | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8 runs in Miami vs Colorado @ 7:10 ET - These teams were elsewhere yesterday as Miami was in Toronto and the Rockies were hosting the Cardinals. Both the Marlins and Colorado were held to just 2 runs yesterday and neither one of their games went over the total. Thursday, both lineups bounce back huge and this one flies over the total. The Marlins are crushing lefties this season as, in games against left-handed starters, Miami has hit .295 and averaged 5 runs per game. Not surprisingly, the over is 8-2 in Marlins match-ups with left-handed starters. As for the Rockies, they are hitting .285 in their games against right-handed starters. They face Miami's David Phelps today and he's compiled an 8.62 ERA in his last 3 starts and that included getting crushed at Colorado in his most recent start. The Rockies start lefty Chris Rusin in this one and he did enjoy some success against the Marlins the same night that Miami starter David Phelps got crushed. However, Rusin is now giving Miami a quick second look at him since he just faced them in his most recent start. That said, the way the Marlins have attacked left-handed pitchers all season indicates plenty of offense should be expected from them in this chance for right-back revenge against Rusin. Play OVER the total in Miami as a *10* Top Play Thursday. |
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06-11-15 | Texas Rangers +155 v. Oakland A's | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* Texas Rangers Money Line +150 @ Oakland @ 3:35 ET - The Rangers blew yesterday's game late as, leading 4-2, they gave up 2 runs in the bottom of the 8th and then a run in the bottom of the 9th to lose 5-4. Texas will bounce right back here. The Rangers are an amazing 11-6 this season as a road dog of +125 to +150. That's a lot of profit! Texas also is an overall 20-13 in road games this season while Oakland, even after yesterday's victory, is still an ugly 10-18 in home games this season. The A's are also a pathetic 6-16 in day games this year! Southpaw Scott Kazmir gets the start for the Athletics this afternoon and he's been roughed up in 2 of his last 3 outings. The lone exception was a game in which he went just 3 innings. In the other two outings Kazmir was rocked for 17 hits in just 10 1/3 innings and he's lucky he didn't give up even more runs in those two outings. He's facing a Texas team that has gone 15-9 in their last 24 games at Oakland. Also, the Rangers will be seeing Kazmir for the 3rd time this season! That's a big edge whereas the Athletics lineup has never seen starter Chi Chi Gonzalez. The Rangers right-hander has not allowed an earned run in his two starts so far this season for Texas and he's given up just 5 hits in 14 2/3 innings of work! Tremendous line value here with a road dog that had won 8 of 10 before yesterday's loss as we fade an Oakland team that had lost 4 straight before last night's win. Play Texas as a big dog on the money line as an *8* selection Thursday. |
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06-10-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs -110 in Minnesota vs Kansas City @ 8:10 ET -Â Shorter analysis than typically seen as this is part of a special 3 game package for Rickenbach on Wednesday. Minnesota has been pounding the ball all season long in home games this year. But you wouldn't know that by the way they played yesterday. The Twins embarrassed themselves with one hit in the shutout loss. You can fully expect Minnesota's offense to bounce back in a huge way here. The over is 6-2 in Minnesota home games this season where the Twins line ranges from even money up to -125. The Royals Edinson Volquez is struggling recently with 7 earned runs allowed in his last 11 innings of work spanning his last two starts. The Twins will take advantage. The Royals sticks pounded out 9 hits last night but only had two runs to show for it. They'll cash in many more opportunities agianst the Twins Kyle Gibson tonight. Gibson allowed 3 homers in his most recent start and that was at home. In his prior start, also at home, the right-hander gave up 8 hits in less than 6 innings of work! The Royals have won 3 straight and the confidence of their lineup is surging with each win. They'll take advantage of a struggling Gibson tonight. Play OVER 8 runs in Minnesota as an *8* selection Wednesday. |
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06-10-15 | Chicago Cubs v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8.5 | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs -115 in Detroit vs Chicago Cubs @ 7:05 ET - Shorter analysis than typically seen as this is part of a special 3 game package for Rickenbach on Wednesday. These teams combined for 21 hits yesterday and yet the game ended with a total of just 6 runs as the Cubs were shutout. Look for Chicago to respond against Shane Greene of the Tigers. He's been getting crushed with an 11.57 ERA in his last 3 starts. As for the Tigers sticks, they stay hot against Jake Arrieta of the Cubs. Though he's having a solid season thusfar, the Chicago right-hander has been hit hard in 2 of his last 3 starts and both of those outings resulted in overs. The over is 8-4 this season in Cubs road games where the money line on Chicago is in a range of even money up to -125. They are a small road favorite in this spot again but the Tigers have pounded out 59 hits in their last 5 games and they stay hot at the plate while the Cubs pound Greene. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Detroit as an *8* selection Wednesday. |
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06-10-15 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 7.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -116 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 7.5 runs -116 in Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee @ 7:05 ET -Â Shorter analysis than typically seen as this is part of a special 3 game package for Rickenbach on Wednesday. Charlie Morton has solid overall numbers so far this season but his strikeouts are down recently and that is a concern. The Pirates right-hander has more walks than strikeouts in his last two outings combined. Morton has also been hit quite hard in 2 of his 3 outings this season. He also has an ugly 2-6 with a 4.63 ERA in his career outings against Milwaukee and the Brewers rocked him last season right here in Pittsburgh. The Brewers problem tonight will be their own pitching issues as Kyle Lohse gets the start. The veteran right-hander has allowed 18 earned runs in his last 17 1/3 innings against the Pirates. Also, Lohse has compiled a 10.44 ERA and been absolutely crushed in his last 3 overall starts. Not surprisingly, all 3 went over the total. Another over in a Lohse start results tonight. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Pittsburgh as a *10* Top Play Wednesday. |
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06-10-15 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 10.5 runs +107 in Colorado vs St Louis @ 3:10 ET - Carlos Martinez is enjoying phenomenal success for the Cardinals so far this season. But the 23 year old is making his first ever start at hitter-friendly Coors Field. This place has been known to break down many young hurlers and in fact Martinez has bad memories of this place even though he's never started a game here. In his only career appearance here the young right-hander gave up 4 earned runs on 5 hits and didn't even last two innings in that outing. The Rockies hand the ball to Chad Bettis for today's start. The Rockies right-hander has been pitching well this season but he came into this year with a 9.00 ERA in 21 career outings at Coors Field. He also came into this season with a 9.67 ERA in day games in his career. This is a rare day game start for Bettis at Coors Field and the Cardinals will pound him while the Rockies lineup crushes Martinez just like they did in his relief appearance at Coors Field. The over is 16-8 this season in Rockies games against teams with a winning record. The over is 7-2 this season in Cardinals games where they are on the road and priced from even money up to -125. Play OVER 10.5 runs in Colorado as an *8* selection Wednesday. |
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06-09-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8 runs in Minnesota vs Kansas City @ 8:10 ET - Chris Young gets the start for the Royals tonight and his 2.94 ERA on the season is masking the fact he's been very hittable of late. Overall, in his last 3 starts, Young has given up 21 hits in his last 17 innings of work. In his last 2 starts, the Kansas City right-hander has allowed 10 earned runs on 15 hits (including 3 homers) in just 11 innings of work. His most recent start at Minnesota came last year and he allowed 5 earned runs on 10 hits (including 2 homers) in his 7 innings of work. He did not register a single strikeout in that outing. He's facing a Twins lineup that is hitting .285 in home games this season! The Royals lineup is also quite potent. Kansas City is hitting .275 away from home this season and they should crush Trevor May tonight. Although May is off of a strong start it came against a struggling Boston lineup. In his two prior outings the Twins right-hander gave up a total of 7 earned runs in 13 innings of work. Also, in two career outings against the Royals, May has been crushed as he's allowed 8 earned runs on 15 hits and 5 walks in 10 innings of work. More of the same tonight. The over is 6-3 in home games for the Twins this season where their money line ranges from -100 to -125. After yesterday's game stayed surprisingly low-scoring, look for a slugfest tonight! Play OVER 8 runs in Minnesota as a *10* Top Play Tuesday. |
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06-09-15 | Chicago Cubs v. Detroit Tigers OVER 7.5 | 0-6 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs in Detroit @ 7:05 ET - The over is 4-0 in Jon Lester's 4 road starts for the Cubs this season. In his last two road starts Lester has allowed 8 earned runs on 14 hits (including 3 homers) in 12 innings of work. Also, his strikeout numbers have been down in recent starts. Detroit has seen plenty of him in his career and they've gotten the better of Lester as he's 2-4 with a 4.83 ERA in his career against the Tigers. The good news for Cubs fans here is that the Tigers starter, Anibal Sanchez, is also likely to struggle in this outing. The right-hander has allowed 11 earned runs in his last 12 2/3 innings at home. The over is 5-2 in the 7 home starts Sanchez has made this season. With a 3-7 record and 5.69 ERA on the season thusfar, Sanchez seems down in terms of his confidence and this has led to some shaky outings. In his most recent start he walked 4 batters while striking out just 1. The over is 8-4 this season in Cubs road games where Chicago's price is anywhere from even money up to -125. The Cubs will get their fair share of runs here and the Tigers will match them as Detroit is hitting .275 in games against left-handed starters this season. Lester has given up 19 hits in his last 9 2/3 innings at Comerica Park. More of the same here. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Detroit as an *8* selection Tuesday. |
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06-08-15 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10 | Top | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 10 runs in Colorado vs St Louis @ 8:40 ET - An unusual low-scoring game at Coors Field yesterday. Look for the fireworks to return today after the Marlins and Rockies combined to stay well under the total yesterday. The Cardinals are also off of an under yesterday as their 4-2 win at LA against the Dodgers stayed just under the total. The OVER is 4-1 this season in Cardinals road games this season where St Louis is a -125 to -150 favorite. The OVER is 15-7 this season in Rockies games against teams with a winning record. Colorado faces a tough Cardinals team today and that solid lineup will spell trouble for Rockies starter David Hale. The Colorado right-hander allowed 3 homers in his most recent start and he's fortunate that didn't result in more than the 4 earned runs he allowed in his 6 innings of work. He'll be making just his third start of the season tonight and he's been hit hard in each of his first two starts. The Cardinals John Lackey has been hit hard in each of his last two starts at Coors Field. Lackey has allowed 9 earned runs on 16 hits in 12 2/3 innings of work. He gave up 3 homers in his most recent start here, just like Hale did for the Rockies! Look for the ball to be carrying well at Coors Field again tonight and note that Lackey's overall ERA this season is helping to keep the posted total on this game lower than it should be. Coors Field is a tough place to pitch and Lackey does have a 4.66 ERA away from home this season while Hale is definitely an unproven hurler for the Rockies. Add it all up and you have the perfect recipe for plenty of fireworks in Denver tonight. The over is 11-6 the last 3 seasons when the Rockies are a home dog of +125 to +150. Play OVER 10 runs in Colorado as a *10* Top Play Monday. |
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06-08-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 or 8.5 runs in Minnesota vs Kansas City @ 8:10 ET - The Twins have crushed left-handed pitching so far this season and that should absolutely continue against Jason Vargas of the Royals. In fact, they've already faced Vargas twice this season and the results have not been good for the Kansas City southpaw. He's been rocked for 9 earned runs on 18 hits in less than 9 innings of work in those two starts. Overall, Vargas has struggled on the road this season as evidenced by his 5.00 ERA. The over is 15-6 this season in Twins games against left-handed starters. The over is also 6-2 this season in Minnesota home games where the Twins money line ranges anywhere from even money up to -125. They are a small home favorite in this one and the over is the way to go. Minnesota sends Phil Hughes to the mound and the team is just 4-7 in his starts this season as he's compiled a 4.96 ERA. Hughes was absolutely crushed in his most recent start and that was against a Red Sox team struggling offensively this season. Now Hughes must contend with a Royals team that is among the top hitting teams in the majors this season in road games. Kansas City is hitting .275 away from home this season and Hughes allowed 5 earned runs on 11 hits in 4 2/3 innings of work in his most recent start. The over is now 5-0 in Royals games on Mondays this season. Play OVER 8 or 8.5 runs in Minnesota as an *8* selection Monday. |
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06-07-15 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 6.5 runs in LA Dodgers vs St Louis @ 8:05 ET - It pays to be a contrarian when you time it right. That is the case here. This total has dropped to a 6.5 and that is offering solid line value because both of these pitchers are more susceptible tonight than they typically are. Yet each starting pitcher has solid overall numbers so that is helping to keep this total extremely low. Note that Zack Greinke is off a tough start against the Rockies where he allowed 5 earned runs on 10 hits in 6 inings of work. Similarly, Lance Lynn's most recent road outing saw him give up 5 earned runs on 10 hits in 6 innings of work! The Dodgers should get to Lynn early and often. They have given Greinke a lot of run support this season and that has led to LA going 8-3 to the over in his starts this season. Overall, the over is 20-10 in Dodger home games this season including 13-6 in home games with a posted total of 7 runs or less. Looking at specific match-ups here the Cardinals have a number of hitters who have enjoyed success against Greinke while the Dodgers have a number of batters having enjoyed success against Lynn. This game will surprise many and have much more offense then is being expected here. Play OVER 6.5 runs in the LA Dodgers game as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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06-07-15 | New York Mets -116 v. Arizona Diamondbacks | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play New York Mets Money Line -116 @ Arizona @ 4:10 ET - Losing streaks have been rare for the Mets this season and I look for Jacob deGrom to be a stopper here for the Mets. New York has rarely lost 3 straight games this season and that is the undesirable result they are trying to avoid here after dropping back to back games to the Diamondbacks. Look for deGrom to be the stopper the Mets need as he's struck out 28 and allowed just 2 earned runs in his last 3 starts spanning 23 1/3 innings. The Mets have won each of his last 4 starts and he's allowed a total of just 3 earned runs in those 4 outings. The opposite is true of Arizona's starter this afternoon as they send Josh Collmenter to the hill. The Dbacks have lost 3 of the last 5 starts that the righ-hander has made. Collmenter has registered just 11 strikeouts in those five starts. Compare that to deGrom who is getting in the range of double digits in strikeouts every start he makes of late! While deGrom has been missing a lot of bats, Collmenter has seen opponents crush him for 42 hits in his last 30 innings of work. As a home dog of up to +125 the Diamondbacks are an ugly 4-8 this season and 17-29 the last 3 seasons combined. The Mets are 13-5 in day games this season. Play the New York Mets on the money line as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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06-07-15 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs in Minnesota vs Milwaukee @ 2;10 ET - Michael Fiers gets the start for the Brewers. He is off of a start at St Louis where he shut out the Cardinals for six innings. However, prior to this outing, Fiers gave up 15 hits in 10 innings of work spanning his prior two starts. The Brewers right-hander is facing a Twins lineup that has produced 5.2 runs per game and a .285 batting average in home games this season. The over is 18-9 in Minnesota's day games this season and the over is 6-1 in the Twins Sunday games. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these clubs and I look for the Brewers to get the sticks going against the Twins Mike Pelfrey this afternoon. Pelfrey has been impressive in recent starts but he also faced some struggling lineups in those games. This afternoon Pelfrey will face a Milwaukee team that has pounded out 36 hits and averaged 6 runs per game in their last 3 games. Before yesterday's under, the over had gone 7-3 in the Brewers last 10 games. The high-scoring results resume today. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Minnesota as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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06-07-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Cleveland Indians OVER 8 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in Cleveland vs Baltimore @ 1:10 ET - Bud Norris is back on the mound for the Orioles and he's been awful all season. Norris is 1-4 with a 9.88 ERA this season and the over is 4-1 in his five starts this season. Carlos Carrasco gets the start for the Indians in this one. Though he's got some impressive overall numbers this season, Carrasco has compiled a 4.39 ERA in his home starts and the over is 4-1 in his five starts at Progressive Field this season. The Indians are a big favorite in this one due to the struggles of Norris so far this season and it is worth noting that the over is 10-3 the last 3 seasons in games where Cleveland is a home favorite of -175 to -200. This season alone, the over is 7-3 in games where the Indians are a home favorite of -150 to -200. Look for the over to move to 6-2 in Sunday games for the Tribe as a slugfest erupts at Progressive Field this afternoon. Play OVER 8 runs in Cleveland as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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06-06-15 | New York Mets v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8.5 or 9 runs in Arizona vs NY Mets @ 10:10 ET - Getting some great line value here because Bartolo Colon is on the hill for the Mets tonight. Even though the veteran right-hander is 8-3 this season, he's compiled a 4.72 ERA and he was inconsistent in the month of May. The Mets are 3-1 to the over in his road starts this season and Colon has allowed a 7.27 ERA and compiled a 1.56 WHIP in his last three overall starts. The Mets are 9-3-1 to the over in their last 13 games. Overall, this season, with a money line of even money all the way up to +125 the Mets have gone 7-3 to the over. They are 6-2 to the over in Saturday games this season. They should have no trouble with the offerings of Chase Anderson of the Diamondbacks today. The right-hander got clobbered at Milwaukee in his most recent start. Even though he allowed just two earned runs in his start prior to that he did allow 10 hits in just 6 innings of work. In fact, Anderson has now allowed 20 hits in his last 11 innings on the mound. He's facing a Mets lineup that has pounded out 50 hits in its last 5 games. The Diamondbacks sticks are also hot with 114 hits in their last 11 games. Arizona is 17-9 to the over in home games this season. The Dbacks also are 14-9 to the over this season in their games against teams with a winning record. The Diamondbacks bullpen has struggled all season and the way Anderson has been getting hit they could be called upon early in this one. Play OVER the total in Arizona as a *10* Top Play Saturday. |
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06-06-15 | Miami Marlins v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 10.5 runs in Colorado vs Miami @ 4:10 ET - I lost with this selection yesterday as, despite 24 hits in the game it still stayed under the total. I'll get some payback today. The Rockies send southpaw Chris Rusin to the mound. He's compiled a 4.69 ERA in his career and, as you would expect, the lefty struggles against right-handed hitters. The Marlins lineup will be loaded with right-handed bats today and hitter-friendly Coors Field will again yield plenty of runs. As for Miami's pitcher Saturday its David Phelps who hasn't won a game since May 9th. He's allowed 3 homers in his last 2 outings and he's only struck out 9 in his last 3 starts. At Coors Field, not getting strikeouts is a problem because when the ball is put in play it certainly carries well. Look for Phelps to get roughed up here as the Rockies respond after scoring jus t2 runs yesterday despite having 12 hits in the game! Colorado has averaged 11.4 hits per game in their last 8 home games. They were on a 5-2 run to the over in home games before yesterday's surprising under. The Marlins are 7-1 to the over in games against southpaw starters this season. Miami also is 12-7 to the over in day games this year. The Rockies are 19-11 to the over this season when they are off of a loss. Play OVER the total in Colorado as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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06-06-15 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 or 8.5 runs in Minnesota vs Milwaukee @ 2:10 ET - The Twins are going with JR Graham on the mound today. He's only pitched out of the bullpen so far this year but the twinbill that Minnesota had on Wednesday stretched the rotation thin so Graham gets this spot start. It is not an ideal opponent to make his first start against. The Brewers finally have their sticks going. They have banged out 84 hits in their last 7 games - an average of 12 hits per game. After yesterday's 10-5 win the BrewCrew bats keep it going this afternoon. Milwaukee is 6-2 to the over as a road of dog of even money up to +125. Also, the Brewers are 13-8 to the over when the posted total is 8 to 8.5 runs. The Twins are 19-11 to the over in games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs this season. Minnesota is also an incredible 18-8 to the over in day games this season. They should have no trouble with the offerings of Matt Garza this afternoon. He's off of a successful outing out of the bullpen but in his last 3 starts he's compiled an 11.66 ERA and a 2.12 WHIP as he's been pounded time and time again. The Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 home games and offense has led the way as they've averaged 5 runs per game during this stretch. Garza has never made a start at Minnesota in his career and the Twins are hitting a fantastic .287 in home games this season. Play OVER the total in Minnesota as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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06-06-15 | Chicago Cubs -115 v. Washington Nationals | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 48 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play Chicago Cubs Money Line -115 @ Washington @ 12:05 PM ET - The Nationals are starting Joe Ross. He's making his major league debut. Ross has never pitched about the AA level. The Cubs solid lineup will quickly show him the difference between MLB hitters and hitters at the AA level. Skipping right over the AAA level to come up to the MLB can be a tough jump for pitchers and I look for that to prove to be the case once again today. Jason Hammel gets the start for the Cubs and he's struck out 28 in his last 3 starts. He's got 53 strikeouts in his last 7 starts and he will have the Washington bats fooled in this early start game on Saturday. Hammel's WHIP is an incredible 0.90 on the season. He's been so tough to hit and the Nationals had lost 6 of their last 7 before notching the win yesterday. Also, Washington had been held to 3 runs or less in 9 of their last 10 games before a rare offensive explosion yesterday. The Cubs are 15-9 this season when off of a loss. The Nationals recent slump resumes today as their young hurler is clearly outclassed in this one. Play Chicago on the money line as a *10* Top Play Saturday. |
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06-05-15 | Miami Marlins v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 10.5 runs in Colorado vs Miami @ 8:40 ET – There will be some fireworks early today in the Denver area as thunderstorms roll through the area. But the rain will clear by this evening and then there will be a different type of fireworks at Coors Field Friday! These teams are destined for a slugfest here. The Marlins have won 4 of their last 6 games and they’ve scored 25 runs in those four victories as their offense has begun to heat up right along with the weather. As for the Rockies, they’ve averaged 7 runs per game in their last 8 home games and, as you would expect, 6 of those 8 games went over the total. Colorado is 6-2 to the over this season in home games with a money line between even money and -125. Also, the Rockies are 23-16 to the over against right-handed starters this season. They face one who is likely to struggle tonight as Miami’s Tom Koehler takes the mound. The Marlins are a perfect 5-0 to the over in his road starts as he’s compiled an unsightly 7.50 ERA away from home. Now he pitches in the toughest venue of all in the league and it won’t be a pretty result. The Rockies Eddie Butler knows all about how tough it is to pitch here. He has a 5.02 ERA at home this season and it could be much worse. His WHIP in home games this series is 1.95 so far. That means he’s giving up an average of 2 base runners per inning at Coors Field and, against a surging Marlins lineup, he’ll get hammered tonight. Miami is 16-9 to the over in road games this season. Also, the Marlins are 24-14 to the over when playing with a day off the last three seasons combined. That trend adds another W tonight as the rested Miami lineup is ready to explode on Butler this evening. Both teams enjoy plenty of success at the plate early and often in this one. Play OVER the total in Colorado as a *10* Top Play Friday. |
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06-05-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. New York Yankees OVER 8 | 7-8 | Win | 101 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in NY Yankees vs LA Angels @ 7:05 ET - The Yankees Nathan Eovaldi has been getting crushed lately and he's lucky his ERA hasn't climbed even higher. He's allowed 26 hits in his last 16 innings of work. Also, Eovaldi's most recent start against the Angels came late last season and he was crushed for 6 earned runs on 10 hits in just 3 and 1/3 innings of work! The Angels Jered Weaver has strong overall numbers as usual so far this season. But, also as is typical, he's a different pitcher on the road compared to at home. In his starts away from pitcher friendly Anaheim, Weaver has a 4.93 ERA with 7 homers allowed in his 6 road outings. In his most recent start in the Bronx, the Angels right-hander was crushed for 9 earned runs in just 5 innings of work in an outing in which he gave up two homers. That said, there is great value with the low total posted on tonight's game. The Yankees are 4-1 to the over this season when they are playing after a day off. The Bronx Bombers are also 6-1 to the over in Friday games this season. At home with a money line between even money and up to -125, the Yanks have gone 7-3 to the over this season. The last three seasons combined, the Angels are 39-22 to the over when they are on the road and the posted total is 8 to 8.5 runs. The Angels are also 21-13 to the over the last three seasons combined when they are playing after a day off. The Yankees are coming off of an under but had previously gone over in 5 of their last 6 games. The Angels have recorded just two unders in their last eight games! Play OVER the total in the NY Yankees game as an *8* selection Friday. |
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06-04-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Texas Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 8.5 runs in Texas vs Chicago White Sox @ 8:05 ET - The Rangers bats finally were cooled off yesterday but the game still went over the total as the White Sox erupted for 9 runs. The Texas sticks will bounce right back here as they get the added benefit of facing a southpaw starter on back to back nights. The key here is that this is no Chris Sale tonight. After facing that tough lefty yesterday, look for the Rangers to tee off on Carlos Rondon Thursday. The White Sox southpaw has a 3.63 ERA on the season but that is a deceiving number and is helping to offer some line value on this one. Rondon has had trouble with putting too many runners on base and that is going to catch up with him here against a red hot Rangers lineup. Rondon gave up 8 hits in 6 innings of work in his most recent start so he was fortunate to allow just 1 earned run. In his two prior starts Rondon gave up 9 hits and 11 walks for a total of 20 base runners in just 10 innings of work. These are the type of struggles with command of pitches that a strong lineup like the Rangers will take full advantage of. Yovani Gallardo gets the ball for the Rangers tonight and he's allowed 18 hits including 2 homers in his last 17 innings of work. The ChiSox lineup has plenty of confidence after last night's big win and they've now scored at least six runs in 3 of their last 5 games! The Rangers were averaging 7.4 runs per game in their 11 games prior to last night's 9-2 loss. Their lineup bounces right back here. The White Sox are 4-2 to the over in their last 6 games. The Rangers have gone over the total 5 of their last 7 games hosting the ChiSox. Play OVER the total in Texas as a *10* Top Play Thursday. |
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06-04-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Boston Red Sox OVER 8.5 | 8-4 | Win | 102 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs in Boston vs Minnesota @ 4:05 ET - Southpaw Tom Milone gets the ball for the Twins this afternoon. His last 3 starts (which were back in April) all went over the total as he compiled a 7.20 ERA and a 1.93 WHIP. Also, in his three career starts against the Red Sox, an under has never been recorded and Milone has compiled an 11.85 ERA Â and a 2.05 WHIP. With yesterday's over in Game 1 of the double header, the Twins are now 17-8, 68% to the over in day games this season. The Red Sox will start Steven Wright in this one. The right-hander has received plenty of run support recently and each of his last two starts have gone over the total. Wright has been victimized by the long ball and he's also been unable to pitch deep into games as he's averaged 5 2/3 innings per start. Both of these bullpens have received some extra work due to the double header yesterday following the game the night before as well. This will be the 4th game for these teams in a span of less than 48 hours! The Twins had won 7 of their last 8 games heading into this series with a red hot offense providing great run support to the pitchers. After being held quiet so far in this series, look for the Twins offense to make plenty of noise in the finale and the Red Sox will match them run for run as Milone's June starts off just like his April finished...with struggles! Play OVER the total in Boston as an *8* selection Thursday. |
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06-03-15 | Minnesota Twins - Game #2 v. Boston Red Sox - Game #2 OVER 9 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8.5/9 runs in Boston vs Minnesota @ 7:10 ET (Game 2 of Day Night Double Header) -Â After yesterday's pitchers duel look for plenty of fireworks early and often in Game 2 of this day night double header Wednesday. Boston's Rick Porcello has been giving up the long ball in bunches as he's allowed 5 homers in his last 3 starts. The Red Sox right-hander has given up 13 earned runs in just 11 innings of work spanning his last two starts. He now faces a Twins team that has been an "over machine" this season as a big road dog. When away from home and priced between +150 and +175, Minnesota has gone 6-1 to the over this season. The reason that the Twins are available at such big plus money in this one is because Trevor May is on the hill for them. The Minnesota right-hander has struggled all season with command and he continues to fall behind hitters and then he pays for it when he finally does find the strike zone again! Minnesota is 6-2 to the over in his 8 starts this season. On the road this season May has particularly struggled as he's compiled a 6.91 ERA away from home. Taking a look back at Porcello again, he's also been hammered in his last two starts against the Twins as he's given up 10 earned runs in his last 11 innings of work against Minnesota. That included an outing against the Twins last week. The Red Sox pen notched just it's 11th save in 18 opportunities by holding on for the 1-0 win last night. As for the Twins pen, they have not been as efficient on the road as they have been at home this season. Also, with this being Game Two of a double header, the pen is likely to have used up some arms in Game One this afternoon. Play OVER 8.5/9 runs in Game 2 of the double header Wednesday as a *10* Top Play. |
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06-03-15 | Minnesota Twins - Game #1 v. Boston Red Sox - Game #1 OVER 8.5 | 3-6 | Win | 110 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8/8.5 runs in Boston vs Minnesota @ 1:35 ET (Game 1 of Day Night Double Header) - After yesterday's pitchers duel look for plenty of fireworks early and often in Game 1 of this day night double header Wednesday. Yes, Boston's Eduardo Rodriguez pitched very well in his major league debut but the southpaw now faces a Twins team that has crushed lefties all season long. Only one team in the entire league has scored more runs than Minnesota against left-handed pitching. The Twins are averaging 6 runs of offense per game against left-handed starters and they've gone 14-6 to the over in games against southpaw starters so far this season. Also, Minnesota is 16-8 to the over in day games this season. The Twins hand the ball to Phil Hughes in Game 1 of this day night double header and he's 3-5 with an ugly 5.77 ERA in his career at Fenway Park. Plus, he just faced Boston last week in Minnesota and Hughes allowed 4 earned runs (and two homers) in his six innings of work. Overall, the over is 10-5 in Hughes' 15 career starts against the Red Sox. Play OVER 8/8.5 runs in Boston in Game 1 of the Wednesday double header as an *8* selection. |
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06-02-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Texas Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-15 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 8.5 runs -110 in Texas vs Chicago White Sox @ 8:05 ET - The Rangers Colby Lewis got crushed in his most recent start. He didn't even make it out of the third inning. He's now allowed at least 5 earned runs in each of his last 3 starts and he's compiled an unsightly 11.92 ERA in those outings. Tuesday Lewis will be facing a White Sox lineup that has plenty of confidence at the plate as the ChiSox come into this game having won four of their last six. Speaking of confidence, no team may be more confident than the Rangers are right now. Texas continues to roll as they've won 10 of their last 12 games after Josh Hamilton's dramatic game winning hit on Sunday. Hamilton's return has seemed to bolster this entire lineup and the Rangers have averaged 6.7 runs in their last 10 games. Texas will be facing Jeff Samardzija of the White Sox. Although he has impressive numbers so far this season, Samardzija's ChiSox have gone just 2-4 in his 6 road outings this season as he's compiled an unimpressive 4.72 ERA away from home. Also, in his lone career start at Texas (late last season), the White Sox right-hander gave up 5 earned runs in 7 innings as he gave up two long balls in that one. The ChiSox are 4-2 to the over in Samardzija's six road starts this season and the Rangers are a perfect 4-0 to the over in the four home starts that Lewis has made this season. The White Sox are 28-19 to the over the last 3 seasons after a day off. The Rangers are 5-2 to the over this season when they are on a winning streak of 3 games or more. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Texas as a *10* Top Play. |
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06-01-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Houston Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER the total in Houston vs Baltimore @ 8:10 ET - This total is dropping down to an 8 after opening up at an 8.5 and at 8.5 runs and plus nice money on the over, it is a great value. Both teams pounded out 10 hits in their respective games yesterday. But the Orioles ended up on the wrong end of a 9-5 final and the Astros wasted all their opportunities as they ended up being shutout despite notching 10 hits Sunday. Both teams will hit the ball well again Monday but, this time, they'll have a little more to show for it. Baltimore will take advantage of facing Brett Oberholtzer. The Astros southpaw was fortunate to allow just 1 earned run in his first start this season as he allowed 5 hits and 2 walks in just 3 innings of work. The Orioles are hitting 10 points higher against lefties than righties this season and Oberholtzer has already shown he's still trying to work out some kinks in his delivery. The Orioles send Ubaldo Jimenez to the mound. The Baltimore right-hander has allowed 7 earned runs on 17 hits in 11 innings of work spanning his last two starts. The most recent start was against the Astros so they now get a quick second look at him and they already hit him hard the first time plus this time they get to face him in Houston. The Astros are 17-11 to the over this season in games against right-handed starters. Don't be surprised if Oberholtzer struggles again in his first start off of the DL after dealing with a blister on the index finger of his throwing hand. Play OVER the total in Houston as a *10* Top Play Monday. |
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05-31-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. San Diego Padres OVER 7 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 7 runs -113 in San Diego vs Pittsburgh @ 9:10 ET - A match-up at Petco Park doesn't normally seem conducive to an over but that is the beauty of the value that is sometimes offered in these match-ups. This total has dropped all the way down to 7 runs as of Sunday morning and that is offering great value. The Pirates 5-2 win yesterday means that the Padres are now 3-0-1 or 4-0 to the over in their last 4 games. San Diego has been more of an "over team" so far this season compared to past seasons but the betting markets haven't quite caught on to that yet and that is why there is value in situations like this. San Diego is 8-3 to the over this season in games against left-handed starts as they have averaged 5.2 runs per game in those match-ups. The Padres are 10-4 to the over in day games this season. San Diego is also 6-2 to the over this season in games where they are a favorite of up to -125. The Pirates Jeff Locke is making his fourth road start of the season and none of the prior 3 have stayed under the total. Of course this has a lot do with the southpaw struggling on the road to the tune of an 8.10 ERA so far this season. Locke has had some issues with command as he's walked 9 in his last 15 innings of work. He'll be opposed by the Padres Odrisamer Despaigne tonight. The San Diego right-hander is off of a solid road outing but he's allowed 9 earned runs on 16 hits and 4 walks in his last two outings at home and he worked a total of just innings in those outings. He's facing a confident Pirates lineup tonight as they've averaged 6 runs per game in going 8-1 in their last 9 games. Both teams enjoy plenty of success at the plate tonight despite the pitcher-friendly ballpark. Take advantage of the low posted total. Play OVER 7 runs in San Diego as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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05-31-15 | Detroit Tigers -105 v. Los Angeles Angels | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play Detroit Tigers Money Line -105 @ LA Angels @ 8:05 ET - The Tigers are 9-1 this season in David Price's ten starts. This includes a PERFECT 5-0 in his road starts where the dominating southpaw has compiled a sparkling 1.82 ERA. His counterpart tonight is Matt Shoemaker of the Angels. He has compiled an ugly 6.20 ERA in home starts this season and the Angels are a WINLESS 0-4 in his home starts. Though the Angels got the win yesterday the Tigers bats actually outhit them by a 13 to 9 margin. Detroit will bounce back here. On the road this season, in games where the Tigers are a road favorite of up to -125 they are a stellar 7-1 this year! The Angels are a poor 1-6 in Sunday games this season. Shoemaker is off of a strong start against the Padres in his most recent start but, prior to that, he got crushed and allowed 7 earned runs in 6 innings against the Blue Jays. As for Price, he's made 10 starts this season and he's been dominant in all but one outing. The Tigers are turning to their ace in hopes of avoiding a four game sweep at the hands of the Angels. Look him to pitch a gem as the Tigers improve to 10-1 this season in games started by Price. Play Detroit on the money line as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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05-31-15 | Boston Red Sox v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs -110 in Texas vs Boston @ 3:05 ET - The Rangers have scored 15 runs and pounded out 25 hits in notching big wins each of the last two days. Look for the Red Sox to finally "join the party" today. Boston's quiet sticks will get back on track with a favorable match-up with Wandy Rodriguez here. The Rangers lefty did have a successful outing against Boston two starts back but now they get a quick second look at him and he walked five batters and gave up two homers in just 5 innings of work at Cleveland in his most recent start. The Red Sox have a solid .400 slugging percentage in games against left-handed starters this season. The BoSox will take advantage of Rodriguez and his 9.00 ERA in home starts this season. Look for Boston's starting pitcher to get hammered here. Joe Kelly has a 7.01 ERA on the road this season and he's giving the Rangers a quick second look at him as he just faced them on the 20th. That start was at home and he fared quite well but he hasn't been able to get anything done on the road this season. He gave up 7 earned runs in less than TWO innings of work in his most recent road outing. The Rangers are 13-9 to the over when off of a win this season and they are also 8-3 to the over in day games so far this year. As for the Red Sox, they are playing their 8th Sunday game so far this season. So far they've recorded just 2 unders in Sunday match-ups. Play OVER 9 runs in Texas as an *8* selection. |
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05-31-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs -120 in Minnesota vs Toronto @ 2:10 ET - Hutchison and Nolasco each have just one loss on the season. But neither one has truly pitched well enough to be in that position. They each have an ERA of 5.12 on the season and we are getting some line value here because each of these starting pitchers are off of strong starts. The key is that Nolasco, before his solid outing against the Red Sox, was knocked around for 10 hits in less than 6 innings of work in his prior start. As for Hutchison, before his shutout of the White Sox, he allowed 4 earned runs in his prior start. Also, those two starts came at home and that is significant because the Blue Jays are 4-1 to the over in his five road starts as Hutchison has an ugly 8.03 ERA in road starts this season. As for Nolasco, he was roughed up for four earned runs in less than six innings of work in his last start against the Blue Jays as Toronto took him deep twice in that game. The Twins are 16-10 to the over this season when off of a win and 15-8 to the over in day games. The Blue Jays are 17-10 to the over this season when off of a loss and 14-7 to the over in games played on a grass field. This total opened up at a 9, quickly dropped to an 8.5, and is now all the way down to an 8. Grab the value! Play OVER 8 runs in Minnesota as an *8* selection. |
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05-31-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Houston Astros OVER 8.5 | 6-0 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs -120 in Houston vs Chicago White Sox @ 2;10 ET - Danks is struggling for the White Sox. The southpaw has given up at least five earned runs in each of his last two starts. Facing the Astros is unlikely to cure what ails Danks. The ChiSox left-hander has allowed 18 earned runs in his last 15 innings against Houston! He's also given up 22 hits in his last 9 innings against the Astros. In other words, look for the home team to pound the ball in this afternoon's game. The road lineup should enjoy plenty of success at well. The White Sox are facing a struggling right-hander for the Astros. Roberto Hernandez takes the mound and he was roughed up for 7 earned runs in 5 innings of work in his most recent outing. Also, he has a 5.71 ERA in his career starts against the White Sox and those games have gone 11-5 to the over. The ChiSox are 0-4 against the Astros in Danks four careers starts against them and the left-hander has compiled a 9.14 ERA against Houston in those outings. The Astros shutout the White Sox yesterday and they are 6-3 to the over the last 3 years and on a long-term 90-67 run to the over when they are off of a shutout win. Look for the ChiSox to go to 6-2 to the over in Sunday games this season with another slugfest in a matinee affair. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Houston as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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05-30-15 | New York Yankees v. Oakland A's OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 120 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER the total in Oakland vs NY Yankees @ 10:05 ET - The first two games in this four game set have gone over the total. I see no reason that changes today. The fact that this play has dropped to a 7 in many spots adds even more value to the play. There has been an over-reaction to the most recent outing from Nathan Eovaldi. The Yankees right-hander allowed just 1 earned in his last start. But here is the key, he gave up 8 hits in that outing and in each of his prior two outings he allowed at least four earned runs each time and in one of those starts he couldn't even get out of the fifth inning. Now he faces an Oakland team that has been an "over machine" in home games this season. The A's are 18-6 to the over in home games this season. Included in that number is a mark that is a PERFECT 7-0 to the over this season. That is the A's record in home games where they a favorite of -125 or less. The Athletics send Jesse Hahn to the mound tonight and he's off a shutout win in his most recent start. Once again, after one great start, now the betting markets have over-reacted. Hahn previously had allowed 7 runs (5 earned) in his last two starts. The Yanks Eovaldi allowed 5 earned runs the last time he faced Oakland which was just last year. The Yankees are 14-8 to the over when they are off of a loss. Play OVER the total in Oakland as a *10* Top Play Saturday. |
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05-30-15 | Boston Red Sox v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 | 0-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER the total in Texas vs Boston @ 7:15 ET - This total has dropped as low as a 9 in some spots and, either way, at 9 runs or at 9.5 runs and + big $ this is a great value. Yes, David Ortiz is expected to miss again for the Red Sox but he was out of the lineup yesterday and that didn't stop the game from going over the total. Also, Josh Hamilton going yard twice seemed to rejuvenate the spirits of the entire Rangers lineup and that will continue to have an impact today. The Rangers have gone over the total in 5 of their last 8 games and they've averaged 7 runs of offense per game in doing so. The Yankees have scored at least 4 runs in 6 of their last 8 games and they will stay hot at the plate in this one too. They take advantage of Chi Chi Gonzalez making his first major league start today. He'll quickly find out the difference in facing hitters at the MLB level compared to AA and AAA sticks! The Red Sox send southpaw Wade Miley to the mound and, although he has pitched well of late the Rangers will be getting a quick second look at him since they just saw him on the 19th. Miley had 4 walks against just 1 strikeout in his most recent road outing and pitching in Arlington is no easy assignment. The Rangers are 13-8 to the over when they are off of a win and, in home games with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs, the Rangers are 6-3 to the over so far this year. Play OVER the total in Texas as an *8* selection. |
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05-30-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 8.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs -105 in Baltimore vs Tampa Bay @ 4:05 ET - These teams easily stayed under the total yesterday but don't look for a repeat of that today. The Rays are handing the ball to Erasmo Ramirez and he gave up 5 earned runs in 6 innings of work in his most recent start. In that outing he walked 5 batters plus gave up 2 homers. Ramirez has a 10.80 ERA on the road this season. As for the Orioles, they are sending Wei-Yin Chen to the mound. Tampa Bay has a .425 slugging percentage in games started by southpaw hurlers so don't be surprised if they rough Chen up in this one. The Rays will be seeing him for the 3rd time already this season. In his most recent outing Chen was fortunate to only give up 3 earned runs as he allowed 11 hits in just 5 innings of work. The Orioles are 9-5 to the over this season in games against teams with a losing record. After yesterday's snooze-fest look for this one to turn into a slug-fest. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Baltimore as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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05-30-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Minnesota Twins -112 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play Minnesota Twins Money Line -112 vs Toronto @ 2:10 ET - Even with yesterday's result (a 6-4 Jays win), Toronto is an ugly 9-15 on the road this season while Minnesota is a stellar 17-7 at home so far this season. Also, the Twins have gone 12-6 when off of a loss this season and Minnesota also is 21-8 this season when facing a team with a losing record. The Blue Jays have had trouble stringing wins together as evidenced by their 7-15 record thsi season when off of a win. Toronto hands the ball to Aaron Sanchez today and the right-hander is 1-2 with a 5.75 ERA and 1.82 WHIP in his 4 road starts this season. The Twins will have Kyle Gibson on the mound and he's 3-1 with a sparkling 1.40 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in his 4 home starts this season. Minnesota also has the bullpen edge in this match-up with the Twins pen compiling a 3.54 ERA in home games this season while Toronto's pen has compiled a 4.98 ERA on the road this season. Great value with the home team at a short price in this game and that elevates this play to Top Play status. Play Minnesota on the money line as a *10* Top Play Saturday. |
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05-29-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 8 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 8 runs -112 in Baltimore vs Tampa Bay @ 7:05 ET - The Rays were off yesterday. The last 3 seasons combined they have gone 23-16 to the over after having an off day. Also, there is something about Fridays with Tampa Bay. The Rays are 4-2 to the over this season (and 35-22 to the over the last 3 seasons combined) in Friday games. The pitching match-up today is the key to this play on the over. It's Nate Karns of the Rays facing Miguel Gonzalez of the Orioles. Each of these starts are making their 3rd start of the season against the lineup they face tonight. That is a big edge for the hitters as they are seeing these hurlers for the 3rd time in less than two months of time! The other key is that neither one of these pitchers has been particularly sharp of late. Karns has been fortunate to allow just 2 earned runs in each of his last two starts because he's given up 7 hits in just 5 innings in each start. As for Gonzalez, he's given up a total of 3 homers in his last two starts and has given up at least 4 earned runs in each start. In his most recent start, the Orioles right-hander was clobbered for 10 hits and also walked 3 batters in his 4 innings of work. Baltimore is off of a double header yesterday where the early game stayed under and the second game went over the total. The Orioles have provided Gonzales with 19 runs of support in his last 3 home starts. Look for more of the same this evening but the Rays will also get to Gonzalez early and often in this one as this turns into a slugfest on a warm summer-like evening in Maryland. Play OVER the total in Baltimore as a *10* Top Play Friday. |
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05-28-15 | New York Yankees v. Oakland A's OVER 8 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 115 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER the total in Oakland vs New York Yankees @ 10:05 ET - CC Sabathia will get the start for the Yankees Thursday in Oakland. He's a native of northern California and, interestingly enough, he struggles often in his starts when he is "back home". I look for that to happen again here. The last time he pitched here Sabathia was knocked around for 6 earned runs on 8 hits (including 2 homers) in 6 innings of work. The veteran lefty comes into this game off of a horrible outing versus Texas as he couldn't even make it out of the third inning in his last start. Now another AL West team will pound him tonight. The A's game stayed under the total yesterday but they are still 16-6 to the over in home games this season. Also, Oakland is 20-10 to the over in night games so far this season. The A's will send Kendall Graveman to the mound tonight and he's been pounded to the tune of a 14.62 ERA in his two home outings this season. The Yankees are off of a 4-2 win yesterday and have averaged nearly 6 runs of offense per game in their last 8 games. That said, look for Graveman's struggles at home to continue. When the Yankees are on the road as a small favorite (up to -125) the over has gone 6-2 so far this season. With this total sitting in the 7.5 to 8 range this play easily got elevated to Top Play status for me. Play OVER the total in Oakland as a *10* Top Play Thursday. |
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05-28-15 | Chicago White Sox - Game #1 v. Baltimore Orioles - Game #1 OVER 7.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs -104 in Baltimore vs Chicago White Sox (Game 1 of DH) @ 1:05 ET - In Game One of the double header Thursday in Baltimore the Orioles are expected to send Tyler Wilson to the mound. It wil be his first start of the season but out of the pen so far he has been very hittable. With 5 hits allowed in his 2 innings at the big league level this season don't be surprised if Wilson is getting hit hard early and often in this one. The White Sox send Chris Sale to the mound today and although the southpaw has greatly improved in recent weeks after a rough start to the season, he still struggles against teams that pound left-handed starters. One of those teams is Minnesota and they just got to him again in his most recent start as he allowed two long balls and 4 runs (3 earned) and took the loss. The Orioles are hitting a stellar .293 in games against left-handed starters this season and they can be expected to do some damage against Sale. The ChiSox southpaw has a 5.06 ERA and a 1.94 WHIP in his 3 career starts against the Orioles. Also, Sale has a 6.25 ERA on the road this season. Both of these clubs are off of wins yesterday where they each scored 5 runs. Baltimore is 5-3 to the over in games against left-handed starters this season. The Orioles are also 8-4 to the over in games against teams with a losing record. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Baltimore in Game 1 of the double header Thursday as an *8* selection. |
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05-27-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Oakland A's OVER 7.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER the total in Oakland vs Detroit - With Alfredo Simon going on bereavement leave, southpaw Kyle Ryan was called up from the minors to make this start. He has very little MLB experience and in recent seasons has been quite hittable even at the minor league level. The A's should pound him today after being shutout yesterday on their home field. It was a 1-0 loss for Oakland on their home field and those types of games have certainly been a rarity this season. The A's are 16-5 to the over in home game this season. They are also 13-2 to the over in home games where they are favored at a price point of -150 or less. With Scott Kazmir on the hill for the A's, Detroit should enjoy plenty of success at the plate today too. The southpaw has struggled in recent outings and Oakland has won just once in his last seven starts. Kazmir has compiled a respectable 3.94 ERA in his last three outings but that's deceiving as he has a 1.81 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Being too hittable and/or issuing too many walks will catch up with Kazmir this afternoon. The Tigers had scored 5 runs or more in 4 of their last 6 games before yesterday's pitchers' duel. With an unproven hurler on the mound for Detroit today, and a struggling veteran on the mound for Oakland, this game will be anything but a pitchers' duel Wednesday afternoon. Play OVER the total in Oakland as a *10* Top Play Wednesday. |
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05-26-15 | Texas Rangers v. Cleveland Indians OVER 8 | 4-3 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs -117 in Cleveland vs Texas @ 7:10 ET - The wind is again expected to be blowing out with mild temperatures also in the offing at Progressive Field Tuesday. Just like Monday's game look for the ball to be carrying very well. There were five homers in yesterday's slugfest and another big night at the plate should be expected for each lineup tonight. The two hurlers on the mound tonight are helping to keep the posted number on this total low. That's because they each have good overall numbers on the season. But the Rangers Wandy Rodriguez is giving Cleveland a quick second look after already not faring well at all against them just 11 days ago. In that start the Texas southpaw allowed 5 earned runs on 8 hits and couldn't even make it out of the 5th inning. It's a similar story for the Indians Danny Salazar. He faced the Astros 10 days ago and he gave up 5 earned runs on 9 hits and also didn't make it out of the 5th inning. Both lineups have plenty of confidence after yesterday's slugfest. In fact, the Rangers have crushed the ball for four straight games - averaging 10 runs per game during this stretch. The Indians have scored 27 runs in their 4 games against the Rangers this year. Overall, at home this season, Cleveland is 15-7 to the over. With a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs in home games this season, the Indians have gone 5-2 to the over. Play OVER 8 runs in Cleveland as an *8* selection Tuesday. |
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05-25-15 | Miami Marlins v. Pittsburgh Pirates -134 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play Pittsburgh Pirates Money Line -134 vs Miami @ 7 ET - Although Charlie Morton is making his first start of the season for the Pirates he looked fantastic in his two rehab starts and he's 2-0 with a 2.14 ERA in his last three starts versus Miami. The Marlins are 0-6 in Monday games this season. Miami is off of back to back wins but, prior to these two victories the Marlins had lost 8 straight and 11 of their last 12. Miami is 13-25 against right-handed starters this season and they face a tough one today in Morton. The Pirates overall record so far this season may not be impressive but, when presented the opportunity they have taken advantage of facing weaker competition. Pittsburgh is 8-4 this season when facing teams with a losing record. The Pirates have won 5 of their last 6 meetings with the Marlins in Pittsburgh. Miami sends David Phelps to the mound in this one. Although he shut out the Bucs for 5 innings when he faced them last season he did allow 8 baserunners in his 5 innings of work so he didn't exactly shut the Pirates down. Also, Phelps has allowed 14 hits and 3 walks in his last 11 innings of work and Pittsburgh is heating up with 3 straight wins. The Pirates are 114-68 the last 3 seasons when facing a team with a losing record. Also, the Bucs are 38-22 the L3 seasons when they are a home favorite in the range of -125 to -150. The Pirates look well worth that price range again in this match-up as I look for a strong start from Morton and I look for the Pirates sticks to stay hot (83 hits in last 8 games). Play Pittsburgh -135 on the money line as a *10* Top Play Monday. |
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05-25-15 | Texas Rangers v. Cleveland Indians OVER 8.5 | Top | 10-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8.5 runs -103 in Cleveland vs Texas @ 4 ET - The Indians Shawn Marcum gets the start and it will be just his 3rd appearance of the season after not appearing in the majors since the summer of 2013. Though his ERA may be sparkling in his two appearances so far this season, Marcum has been giving up the long ball and that's bad news as he faces the Rangers this afternoon with the wind blowing out at Progressive Field in Cleveland. Marcum has given up 3 homers in less than 12 innings of work and the Rangers are among the top ten teams in the league in terms of homers this season. Texas pounded out 13 hits in their 5-2 win in the Bronx last night and they've now struck for 30 runs on 40 hits in their last 3 games. Marcum will be facing a tough challenge this afternoon. The good news for Indians fans though is that they should definitely see the Tribe get their fair share of runs in this one too. The Rangers are sending the unproven Phil Klein to the mound this afternoon. He's making just his second start of the season and there will be "some notes" available on him after his first start (at Boston) where he was able to hold the Red Sox hitters in check most of the way. Klein now faces an Indians lineup that is very patient at the plate. They've drawn more walks than any other team in the league this season. Klein could get frustrated early and Cleveland will eventually be "teeing off" on him in this game with the wind blowing out on a mild afternoon also helping matters for the hitters. The Indians are 14-7 to the over in home games this season. The Rangers are 6-3 to the over in day games this season and also 4-0 to the over when they are a road dog of +100 to +125 this season. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Cleveland as a *10* Top Play Monday. |
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05-25-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. New York Mets OVER 7.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs -105 in NY Mets vs Philadelphia @ 1 ET - Severino Gonzalez makes just his fourth start of the season as he fills in because of injury in the Phillies pitching rotation. Gonzalez is 2-1 as a starter but he has compiled a 7.10 ERA and faces a Mets team that has been much stronger at home than on the road. The Mets are off another poor road trip but they've gone 17-6 at home this season and they've averaged 4 runs per game at home this season. Also, in going 4-2 in their last 6 home games, the Mets have averaged nearly 5 runs per game. They will take advantage of facing an unproven hurler as the Mets are happy to be back home. Although Citi Field is known as a pitchers park the wind is expected to be blowing out in this early afternoon match-up. That will spell trouble for Mets pitcher Bartolo Colon. Perhaps "Father Time" is catching up with the aging veteran as he's compiled a 9.98 ERA in his last 3 starts. In his last two starts against the Phillies, including one earlier this month, Colon has allowed 10 earned runs on 17 hits in 11 innings of work. Giving Philadelphia a quick second look at his struggling offerings will not do any favors for Colon and I look for him to get pounded again here. The OVER is 8-2 in Colon's 10 career starts against the Phillies. The Mets are 9-5 to the over in day games season. The Phillies are also 9-5 to the over in day games this season. Additionally, Philadelphia is 27-16 to the over the last 3 seasons when they are a big road dog (in the range of +150 to +175). Look for plenty of runs early and often in this one as both starters struggle. Play OVER 7.5 runs in the NY Mets game as an *8* selection Monday. |
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05-24-15 | Texas Rangers v. New York Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8.5 runs +100 in NY Yankees vs Texas @ 8:05 ET - Yovani Gallardo is 1-5 with a 4.63 ERA in his last 6 starts. He's also 1-4 with a 4.97 ERA on the road this season. Â Gallardo got absolutely crushed at Boston in his most recent start. He's not going to fare any better facing a Yankees lineup that has put up 13 runs so far in this series. The Bronx Bombers have still lost both games so far in this series because the Rangers have crushed Yanks pitching. That should continue today as New York sends Chris Capuano to the mound. The Yankees southpaw did not look good in his first start this season and he was knocked out early by the Royals. His most recent outings against the Rangers came last season out of the pen and he did not fare well overall in those stints. Texas is averaging nearly 6 runs per game in their last 12 games. The Rangers are 4-0 to the over this season as a road dog of +100 to +125. Texas also is 10-5 to the over against left-handed starters this season and 11-6 to the over when off of a win this season. As for the Yankees, they are 6-2 to the over this season when they are at home with a money line of -100 to -125. Overall, at home the Yankees are 10-5 to the over at home this season and they are 4-1 to the over in Sunday games. When off of a loss, they are 12-7 to the over. Neither starting pitcher is likely to go deep into this game and the Rangers bullpen has struggled on the road all season and the Yankees bullpen has been getting hammered in this series. Play OVER 8.5 runs in the Yankees game as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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05-24-15 | San Francisco Giants v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 | 2-11 | Win | 111 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8*OVER 10.5 runs +111 in Colorado vs San Francisco @ 4:10 ET - The 2nd game of yesterday's double header stayed under the total but, overall, both teams have fared well so far in this series. Playing their fourth game in less than 48 hours means that both bullpens have been pretty well exhausted. Neither bullpen has fared very well so far in this series. As for the starting pitching match-up today, Tim Hudson gets the ball for the Giants and he's 0-2 with a 6.80 ERA in nine career starts at Coors Field. As he heads into this outing, we take a look at his 3 most recent starts and note that he's been hit hard with 26 hits allowed in his last 18 innings of work. The Rockies lineup has an added edge here of facing Hudson for the third time already this season. As for the Giants lineup they are facing Chad Bettis for the first time in two years but the Rockies right-hander is unlikely to fare well in this one. He's given up 7 earned runs on 15 hits in his last 11 innings of work. Before yesterday's under in Game Two of the DH, the Rockies had gone over the total in 7 of their last 10 games. As for the Giants, they were on a 6-1-1 run to the over in their last 8 road games before that under late last night. San Francisco is 4-1 to the over in road games where they are priced at a money line of -100 to -125. As for Colorado, they are 11-6 to the over against teams with a winning record this season. The Rockies are also 18-12 to the over in games against right-handed starters this season. Play OVER the total in Colorado as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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05-24-15 | St. Louis Cardinals +107 v. Kansas City Royals | Top | 6-1 | Win | 107 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play St Louis Cardinals Money Line +107 @ Kansas City @ 2:10 ET - There is huge line value for the Cardinals in this one. Michael Wacha is on the mound and he's a perfect 6-0 on the season and St Louis is a perfect 8-0 in his starts. Because Kansas City is at home and has a strong record on the season, we are able to get plus money with a pitcher who has enjoyed phenomenal success along with his team so far this season. Note that Wacha has not allowed more than six hits in any of his outings this season. Also, he's allowed two runs or less in seven of his eight starts this year! Yordano Ventura gets the start for the Royals and Kansas City is just 4-4 in his starts this year. Additionally, he's had some particular struggles against left-handed hitters and 3 of the Cardinals 4 hitters who were hitting above .300 entering this series are left-handed sticks. Ventura is off of a strong start against the Reds but, prior to that outing, the Royals right-hander got rocked for 9 earned runs on 18 hits in 13 innings spanning his prior two starts. The Cardinals are in the midst of a rare losing streak and Wacha is the perfect (literally!) pitcher to fix that as St Louis still has not lost a game with him on the mound this season. Play St Louis +107 on the money line as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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05-24-15 | Houston Astros v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8.5 | 10-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs -120 in Detroit vs Houston @ 1:05 ET - The Tigers Anibal Sanchez continues to leave too many pitches up in the strike zone. This resulted in 3 homers allowed to the Brewers in his most recent start. This afternoon Sanchez will be facing an Astros team that is among the league leaders in homers. On a beautiful afternoon in Detroit the ball will be carrying well even though Comerica Park is known as a pitcher friendly ball park. Houston sends Roberto Hernandez to the mound this afternoon. Though he has a respectable ERA on the season note that in his last two starts he's got more walks than strikeouts and he doesn't miss many bats. Eventually all the contact is going to catch up with him and I look for the Tigers to connect against him early and often in this one. Detroit is 58-35 to the over the last 3 seasons combined in home games where they are a favorite in a range of -125 to -175. The Astros faced a southpaw yesterday and struggled some at the plate but they are 15-10 to the over in games against right-handed starters this season and they will connect for some big shots against Sanchez as his command issues continue and he leaves some juicy pitches up in the strike zone. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Detroit as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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05-23-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. Boston Red Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8.5 runs in Boston vs LA Angels @ 7:15 ET - The Angels CJ Wilson takes the mound tonight after allowing 4 earned runs on 10 hits in just 5 innings of work in his most recent start. The southpaw is likely to struggle again tonight. He's only allowed 5 earned runs in his last 3 starts against the Red Sox but he's been VERY fortunate. In those 3 outings, Wilson has allowed a total of 33 base runners in just 17 innings of work. That means, in looking at just walks and hits, it's been nearly two baserunners per inning that Wilson has allowed when facing the BoSox. Look for Boston to cash in many more of their opportunities tonight. After last night's game saw a total of 17 runs scored, look for another wild one tonight. The Red Sox are sending Steven Wright to the mound tonight and his first start this season was a respectable one but it was at pitcher-friendly Seattle. Now he's back home at hitter-friendly Fenway Park making his first start of the season here. Wright's other recent outing was at pitcher-friendly Oakland and he came into the game in relief of a starter already getting battered and he got hit quite hard despite facing an A's lineup that was already enjoying a rout and not exactly fully focused at the plate as a result. In other words, facing an Angels lineup that put up 12 runs yesterday and facing them in hitter-friendly Fenway is not going to be a good match-up for Wright! The Angels are 39-22 to the over the last 3 seasons in road games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs. The Red Sox are 23-14 to the over the last 3 seasons when they enter a game on a losing streak of 3 games or more. The BoSox respond after the loss yesterday, but the Angels have another big day at the plate. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Boston as a *10* Top Play Saturday. |
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05-23-15 | New York Mets +102 v. Pittsburgh Pirates | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* New York Mets Money Line +102 @ Pittsburgh @ 4:05 ET - The Mets lost 4-1 to open up this series yesterday but New York came into this series having won four of their last six games. As for the Pirates, they had lost six of their last seven before notching the victory yesterday. Pittsburgh will resume their losing ways today but we're being offered exceptional line vaue here because the Pirates are at home and AJ Burnett is on the mound. The veteran right-hander has put up some surprisingly strong numbers so far this season but that is helping to add to the line value here. That's because the Mets have absolutely crushed Burnett in recent meetings. Between late July and late August the Mets saw him 3 times. They crushed him to the tune of 17 earned runs on 28 hits in 17 innings of work. Look for more of the same this afternoon. New York sends Matt Harvey to the mound this afternoon and he's been absolutely dominant in recent outings. In his last two starts, Harvey has not allowed any runs while striking out 18 in 15 innings of work and giving up just 9 hits. His domination continues today as the Mets improve on an amazing 10-2 record in day games this season! A low-scoring game is expected today as one can see with this posted total of just 6.5 runs. Note that the Mets are 18-12 this season in games with a posted total of 7 runs or less while the Pirates are 4-8 this season in games with a posted total of 7 runs or less. Play the New York Mets on the money line as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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05-23-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs in Toronto vs Seattle @ 1:05 ET - These teams stayed under the total yesterday but the pitching match-up is conducive to an "over easy" in this early Saturday match-up. The Mariners will have southpaw James Paxton on the mound today and the Blue Jays have pounded left-handed starters this season. Toronto has hit .288 with a .469 slugging percentage against southpaw starters this year. Paxton has some impressive overall numbers on the season but he benefits from home starts in pitcher-friendly Seattle. Note that Mariners are 0-3 in his road starts this season and Paxton's ERA is up near 4.00 away from home. The Blue Jays also have a southpaw on the hill today as Mark Buehrle is on the mound. The veteran lefty is getting hit at a .326 clip on the season and opponents have a ridiculous .528 slugging percentage against him. The Mariners have scored at least 4 runs in five straight games and they will have no trouble with the offerings of Buehrle this afternoon. This is Seattle's tenth day game of the season. So far only 3 have stayed under the total. As for the Blue Jays, they are looking to respond after last night's home defeat and the Jays are 15-9 to the over this season when off of a loss. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Toronto as an *8* selection. |
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05-22-15 | San Francisco Giants v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10 | Top | 11-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 10 runs in Colorado vs San Francisco @ 8:10 ET - The Giants Ryan Vogelsong has nightmares about pitching at Coors Field. He was rocked here in each of his two starts last season and that included allowing an incredible 7 homers in just 6.3 innings of work. The mental aspect of pitching is a huge part of the game and Vogelsong's confidence level heading into this start is not good. Not helping matters for the Giants right-hander is the fact that he's compiled a 10.12 ERA in his three road starts this season and he's walked as many as he's struck out in road games this year. Not a good omen for what's to come tonight at Colorado. The Rockies though will have pitching issues of their own. Kyle Kendrick is finding out why so many pitchers dread signing on with Colorado...roughly half of your starts come in games in the thin air of the Rocky Mountains where the ball carries like crazy! Kendrick has compiled an ugly 9.00 ERA in his two home starts this seaason. He allowed 5 homers in those two outings and, similar to Vogelsong on the road, Kendrick at home has as many walks as strikeouts. Look for a ton of big hits tonight as the gopher ball continues to plague these two hurlers when pitching at Coors Field. The Giants are 10-6 to the over this season in road games. The Rockies are 9-5 to the over this season in games against teams with a winning record. As you would expect, the Giants are scoring a lot more runs away from pitcher-friendly San Francisco while the Rockies are hitting the ball much better at home compared to on the road. Play OVER 10 runs in Colorado as a *10* Top Play Friday. |
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05-21-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Colorado Rockies OVER 9.5 | 3-7 | Win | 107 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9.5 runs +107 in Colorado vs Philadelphia @ 3:10 ET - The Phillies won again yesterday and have now 7 of their last 8 games. The Philadelphia lineup has produced an average of nearly 5 runs per game during this 8 game stretch and they should have no trouble with the offerings of Jorge DeLaRosa today. The Rockies southpaw has a good long-term history in starts at Coors Field but that is helping to give us line value with this total today because he has been awful in his home outings this season. DeLa Rosa is winless in 3 home starts with an ugly 11.45 ERA. So look for the Phillies to stay hot at the plate today but they are likely to have pitching issues of their own. Jerome Williams takes to the mound for the Phillies and the right-hander is winless in his 3 road starts this season and he's compiled an ugly 8.16 ERA in those outings. Pitching at hitter-friendly Coors Field is about the "worst draw" of all when it comes to road venues too! The Phillies are 10-6 to the over in road games this season and 7-4 to the over in day games. As for the Rockies, they are 6-2 to the over this season in games with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs. This is superb line value with this low total today getting way too much weight from DeLaRosa's long-term history at Coors Field. He's struggling at home this season and will struggle again here while the Phillies Williams continues to be very hittable as well. Play OVER 9.5 runs +107 in Colorado as an *8* selection Thursday. |
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05-20-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 8 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs +115 in Pittsburgh vs Minnesota @ 7:05 ET - The Twins did it again yesterday in their 8 to 5 win at Pittsburgh...they again pounded left-handed pitching. They have been doing it all season and are now 12-4 to the over in games against left-handed starters. Wednesday, Minnesota gets the added benefit of facing a southpaw starter in back to back games. Jeff Locke takes the hill for the Pirates and he's compiled a 6.23 ERA in his last 3 starts and allowed 5 homers in those outings. The Twins notched two long balls of southpaw Francisco Liriano early in last night's game. A similar result tonight against Locke would not surprise. The Pirates also will again get their fair share of runs tonight. They face Mike Pelfrey of the Twins. The veteran right-hander is not the pitcher he once was and we can take advantage of some early season skewed results that has led to his ERA being lower than it should be. That is giving some line value here on this total as Pelfrey certainly isn't missing many bats! He's struck out just 2 batters in his last 3 starts! Pelfrey got rocked in two of his last three starts and the Twins bullpen has been worse on the road than at home this season while the Pirates bullpen has been worse on the home compared to on the road. Everything lines up for another slugfest in Pittsburgh tonight The Pirates are 10-5 to the over in home games this season including 6-1 to the over when a -125 to -150 home favorite. The Twins are 6-3 to the over this season when on the road in games with a posted total of 8 to 8.5 runs. Play OVER the total in Pittsburgh as an *8* selection Wednesday. |
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05-19-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 9 runs -105 in Toronto vs LA Angels @ 7:05 ET - As I stated in my write-up yesterday, Toronto has pounded left-handed pitching so far this season. They went on to pound the Angels 10-6 in yesterday's huge afternoon win. In games against left-handed starters they've compiled a .283 batting average. In home games this season the Blue Jays have compiled a .472 slugging percentage. They host southpaw Hector Santiago and the Angels in this Tuesday evening match-up. Santiago gave up 4 earned runs on 9 hits in just 5 innings of his work in his most recent road start. That outing came at pitcher-friendly San Francisco. This will be Santiago's first-ever start in hitter-friendly Toronto. Santiago is known for struggling with his command and issuing too many walks. The Blue Jays have recorded just 3 unders in the 10 games this season where the posted total on their game was a 9.5 or 9. The Angels have recorded just 1 under in the 6 games this season where the posted total on their game was 9.5 or 9. Over the last 3 seasons, these teams have met for 15 games and 10 of those games have gone over the total. The Jays send Aaron Sanchez to the hill today and he has more walks than strikeouts on the season and he's been particularly wild in recent starts. In his most recent outing, Sanchez gave up 5 earned runs on 7 hits and 4 walks in a start in which he was knocked out of the game before completing 6 innings. He struggles again this evening as the Angels sticks come up big again! Yesterday LA had 6 runs on 12 hits including 3 homers and 3 doubles. More of the same tonight but the Blue Jays also pound the ball again and that is why the play here is the over. Toronto erupted for 17 hits including 5 doubles and a homer in yesterday's game. Both lineups will have plenty of confidence at the plate after yesterday's slugfest. Play OVER 9 runs in Toronto as a *10* Top Play Tuesday. |
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05-18-15 | Philadelphia Phillies -105 v. Colorado Rockies | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -105 @ Colorado @ 8:40 ET - The Phillies have now won five games in a row and they send their ace to the mound to face a Rockies club that has lost 13 of their last 15 games! Philadelphia southpaw Cole Hamels has dominated in each of his last two starts and his counterpart today, Colorado right-hander Jordan Lyles, has given up 10 earned runs in his last 13 innings of work as he continues to deal with a hand injury. The Rockies are 2-7 against left-handed starters this season and tonight they face one of the better southpaws in the league in Hamels. Philadephia has been getting solid pitching this season but the key to their five game winning streak is that their bats are finally heating up too. Heading to Colorado will certainly help their sticks keep going while the fact is that Hamels does a fantastic job of keeping hitters off balance. Look for the Rockies to struggle to get good wood on the ball tonight and that negates the normal "hitters advantage" of Coors Field. This is a classic case of "hot versus not" this evening and we get the added line value thanks to the Phillies being on the road and having an overall poor record on the year. Play Philadelphia on the money line as an *8* selection Monday. |
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05-18-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9 | 6-10 | Win | 105 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs +105 in Toronto vs LA Angels @ 1:05 ET - Toronto has pounded left-handed pitching so far this season. In games against left-handed starters they've compiled a .283 batting average. In home games this season the Blue Jays have compiled a .472 slugging percentage. They host southpaw CJ Wilson and the Angels in this Monday afternoon match-up. Wilson has given up 15 runs (11 earned) in his last 3 starts against Toronto. In his most recent start at Toronto he allowed two homers. The Blue Jays have recorded just 3 unders in the 9 games this season where the posted total on their game was a 9.5 or 9. The Angels have recorded just 1 under in the 5 games this season where the posted total on their game was 9.5 or 9. Over the last 3 seasons, these teams have met for 14 games and 9 of those games have gone over the total. The Jays send Aaron Sanchez to the hill today and he has more walks than strikeouts on the season and he's been particularly wild in recent starts. In his most recent outing, Sanchez gave up 5 earned runs on 7 hits and 4 walks in a start in which he was knocked out of the game before completing 6 innings. He struggles again this afternoon as the Angels sticks respond after being shutout in yesterday's 3-0 loss at Baltimore. Play OVER the total in Toronto as an *8* selection Monday. |
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05-17-15 | Detroit Tigers v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 7.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs -115 in St Louis vs Detroit @ 8:05 ET - These teams combined for 23 hits yesterday and yet the game stayed under the total. That is helping to give exceptional line value with tonight's total. Detroit has scored 27 runs on 50 hits in their last 3 games! The Cardinals have tallied at least 9 hits in 10 of their last 13 games. The Cards have totaled 73 hits in their last 7 home games. The Tigers are hitting an impressive .281 in road games this season while St Louis is hitting .276 in home games thusfar this season. The Tigers send Alfredo Simon to the mound tonight and he's been hit very hard in each of his last two road outings. Also, St Louis saw him 3 times in a short period of time late last season so he won't be fooling many hitters in tonight's match-up. As for the Cardinals, they send Lance Lynn to the mound. He got rocked hard in his most recent home start and he now faces a surging, powerful, red hot Tigers lineup. Detroit is 4-1 to the over in Sunday games this season and they are on a 5-1 run to the over this season when they enter a game on a winning streak of at least three games. As for the Cardinals, they have played 21 night games this season and only 8 of those stayed under the total. Before yesterday's under, which was a fluke per se (23 hits in the game!), the Cardinals had gone over the total in 4 of their last 5 home games. Look for another high-scoring game tonight. Play OVER 7.5 runs in St Louis as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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05-17-15 | Colorado Rockies v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 8.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs -105 in LA Dodgers vs Colorado @ 4:10 ET - The Rockies got the job done against the Dodgers bullpen yesterday and that got them a big road win. As a result, Colorado's lineup brings plenty of confidence into this afternoon's match-up after homering 3 times in yesterday's big win. Though the Dodgers bats were held in check in yesterday's game they get the chance to bounce right back against a struggling Kyle Kendrick. The Rockies right-hander is 1-4 this season with an ugly 7.65 ERA. The last two times he's faced the Dodgers in LA he's been hit hard each time and that included a start last season as well as a start this season exactly one month ago. The Dodgers will again pound him today. Note that LA has gone over the total in 7 straight games and 10 of their last 11 games overall. The Rockies are 9-4 to the over against teams with a winning record this season. Colorado is also 14-9 to the over against right-handed starters this season. The Dodgers send Mike Bolsinger to the mound and he's still unproven in my book. Yes he's had two respectable starts so far this season but he faced two teams in the lower half of the majors for slugging percentage. Now Bolsinger faces a Rockies team that is 2nd in the NL (to LA as a matter of fact) for slugging percentage so far this season. Look for the Dodgers record in home games to go to 17-4 to the over with a wild one at Dodger Stadium this afternoon. Play OVER the total in the LA Dodgers game as an *8* selection. |
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05-17-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates +126 v. Chicago Cubs | 3-0 | Win | 126 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* Pittsburgh Pirates Money Line +126 @ Chicago Cubs @ 2:20 ET - The Pirates did hit the ball better than expected yesterday but they still fell short on the scoreboard as they wasted many opportunities. Though that extended their losing streak while extending the Cubs winning streak, look for all of those trends to come to an abrupt end today. The Cubs are sending Jake Arrieta to the mound today and we're getting some line value here because of the strong start he just had against the Mets in his most recent outing. Note that prior to this, Arrieta had given up 9 runs (8 earned) on 16 hits in his last 10 innings of work. That's bad news for Cubs fans because the Pirates were seeing the ball very well yesterday and today they are sending the stronger hurler to the mound. Pittsburgh will be starting AJ Burnett and he's been consistently strong so far this season. Amazingly, in 7 starts this season he's allowed a total of just 8 earned runs. Arrieta, by contrast, allowed a total of 8 earned runs in his two starts prior to the shellacking of the Mets. As for Burnett he's not allowed more than 2 earned runs in any of his 7 starts this season! Look for the Pirates to improve to 5-1 in Sunday games this season while the Cubs drop to 2-4 in games played on Sunday this season. Great value with the underdog Bucs in this one. Play Pittsburgh on the money line as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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05-16-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Oakland A's OVER 7.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs +105 in Oakland vs Chicago White Sox @ 9:05 ET - The ChiSox John Danks has made 3 road starts this season. The southpaw has gone 0-3 with a 7.10 ERA in those outings. Now he faces an Athletics lineup that is hitting .270 at home this season and with yesterday's game totaling 13 runs, Oakland is now an insane 15-2 (88%) to the over in home games this season. When coming off of a loss this season, the A's are an incredible 18-3 to the over. Look for the Athletics to pound Danks tonight as his road struggles continue. As for the White Sox lineup, they should get their fair share of runs against Jesse Chavez. The A's right-hander is facing a ChiSox team that has scored at least 4 runs in 9 of their last 10 games. The White Sox have averaged 11 hits per game in their last 6 games. If Chavez gets an early exit - his only home start this season lasted just 5 innings - it is certainly worth noting that Oakland's bullpen ranks among the worst in the league. Look for the White Sox to go to 5-1 to the over in Saturday games this season while the A's go to 7-2 to the over this season when facing a left-handed starter. Play OVER the total in Oakland as an *8* selection. |
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05-16-15 | New York Yankees v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs +105 in Kansas City vs NY Yankees @ 7:10 ET - Kansas City rolled to a 12-1 win in yesterday's game. It was the 6th time in their last 9 games that the Royals have notched at least 12 hits. KC is one of the top hitting teams in the league so far this season and they should stay hot against CC Sabathia of the Yankees. The southpaw is coming off of a win in his most recent outing but overall he's been hit hard on the season. The Royals hot sticks (and the fact they are hitting .291 against lefties) is not a good match-up for Sabathia. KC's problem today will be their own pitching concerns. They send Danny Duffy to the mound and the southpaw has been knocked out of each of his past two starts very early. The southpaw was knocked out in the 4th inning in his most recent start and in his prior start he recorded just three outs! The Yankees have 15 homers in the 11 games they have faced left-handed starters. Duffy couldn't find the plate in his most recent start either as he gave up 6 walks in his 3 and 2/3 innings of work. The Yankees are 9-5 to the over this season when they are off of a loss. The Royals are on an 8-3-1 run to the over and they are 10-6 to the over in home games this season. Play OVER 8 runs in Kansas City as an *8* selection. |
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05-16-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Chicago Cubs -105 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* Chicago Cubs Money Line -105 vs Pittsburgh @ 4:05 ET - The Pirates Gerrit Cole has a fantastic 5-1 record this season plus a sparkling 6-0 record against the Cubs in his career. So, how can I back the Cubs in this spot? It's easy. They are at home, they have Jon Lester on the mound, they are the hotter team, and the above stats for Cole are simply serving to give us exceptional line value with the home team in this one. The Cubs won their fifth straight game yesterday while handing the Pirates their third straight loss. Overall, Pittsburgh has lost 12 of their last 17 games. Lester has been pitching exceptionally well for Chicago. He's 3-0 in hls last three starts and the Cubs are already 3-1 this season in their home games against Pittsburgh. The Pirates are hitting an awful .228 against left-handed pitching this season. The Cubs have compiled a respectable .398 slugging percentage against right-handed pitching so far this season. Chicago has another edge today in that they're seeing Cole for the 2nd time this season and they also saw him (and hit him quite well) twice in the final month of last season! As for the Pirates, they will be seeing Lester for the first time since 2011. That's a big edge to the pitcher and the southpaw should roll again here as he stays hot. Look for the Cubs to make it 6 in a row at home while the Pirates drop to 1-4 against left-handed starters this season. Play Chicago on the money line as an *8* selection. |
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05-16-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs -105 in Minnesota vs Tampa Bay @ 2:10 ET - A lot of wasted opportunities in yesterday's game, especially for the Twins who stranded runners in scoring position too often throughout the game. However, that has been the exception rather than the rule for Minnesota of late. Prior to Friday's under, the Twins had gone over the total in 8 of their last 11 games. As for today's match-up, Minnesota is 11-7 to the over this season when they are off of a win. Also, the Twins are 11-6 to the over in day games this season. As for the Rays, they have certainly been an "under team" this season but they should clobber the Twins Trevor May today. The Minnesota right-hander has been absolutely awful of late with 24 hits and 6 walks allowed in his last 15 innings of work. That's 2 baserunners per inning on average folks and that will get you in trouble in no time so look for the Rays to score early and often in this one. The Twins should match them run for run. Tampa sends Alex Colome to the mound and he was rocked for 4 homers in his most recent start. Now the Tampa Bay righty faces a Twins team that is hitting .288 and averaging nearly 5.7 runs per game in home games. Play OVER the total in Minnesota as an *8* selection. |
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05-15-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Minnesota Twins OVER 7.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs in Minnesota vs Tampa Bay @ 8:10 ET - Tampa Bay's game stayed just under the total last night as it was a tight loss for me. Now the Rays visit Minnesota and face a Twins team off yet another over yesterday. They were a 13-1 loser yesterday and while they are likely to again give up a bunch of runs tonight look for their offense to respond with a huge night at the plate now that they are back at home. The Rays send Jake Odorizzi to the mound and his solid stats so far this season are keeping this total down. But Minnesota is hitting .289 in home games this season and they will respond after scoring just 1 run in yesterday's blowout road loss. The Twins are 4-1 to the over and have scored a total of 41 runs in their last 5 home games. They saw Odorizzi once last season and they rocked him in that outing. The problem for Minnesota today is their own pitching situation. They send Phil Hughes to the mound and he's been getting hit hard. Don't let his "moderate" ERA on the young season fool you. Hughes has been very hittable including allowing 12 earned runs on 26 hits in his last 17 innings of work. The Twins right-hander also has been absolutely crushed by Tampa Bay in recent match-ups with the Rays. Look for more of the same in tonight's game and this one should fly over the total very early as Tampa Bay goes to 5-1 to the over in Friday games this season. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Minnesota as an *8* selection. |
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05-14-15 | New York Yankees v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 8 | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs +118 in Tampa Bay vs NY Yankees @ 7:10 ET - Chase Whitley is making just his 4th start of the season but it will be the second time he's facing Tampa Bay. That's a huge edge for the Rays lineup. Also, Whitley is coming off his worst outing of this young season as he gave up five earned runs in less than six innings of work in his start on Saturday. Yesterday's game saw the teams combine for 17 hits but just 5 runs were scored and that is helping to give line value today as the early move on this total has been downward but both of these pitchers are likely to get rocked. The Rays send Erasmo Ramirez to the mound this evening. He's mostly worked out of the bullpen this season and that is with good reason. In his two starts this year he's compiled a 9.82 ERA as he's been absolutely crushed. Look for the Yankees to "tee off" against him Thursday. The Yanks are 5-2 to the over this season when on the road and in a price range of even money up to -125. The Yanks are also 4-2 to the over in games played in a dome this season. The Yankees have a solid slugging percentage on the season as they continue to pound the long ball and tonight the Rays take advantage of a quick second look at Whitley having just seen him in late April. Play OVER the total in Tampa Bay as an *8* selection. |
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05-13-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Detroit Tigers OVER 9 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 9 runs -101 in Detroit vs Minnesota @ 7:05 ET - Yesterday's game between these clubs stayed well under the total but the Twins will now be teeing off against a southpaw tonight while the Tigers get to face a struggling right-hander. That's the perfect recipe for a slugfest in Detroit Wednesday. The Twins have pounded left-handers to the tune of a .290 batting average and 6.2 runs per game so far this season! Though the Twins Kyle Lobstein has decent numbers so far this season he's now facing a team that has enjoyed phenomenal success against southpaws this season. Also, Minny did see him at the end of last season and they absolutely pounded him then. They will do it again tonight. Coincidentally, the Twins pitcher that night was the same guy it will be tonight, Ricky Nolasco. The right-hander also already faced Detroit earlier this season and he was roughed up. That's been status quo for him on this young season and he's been rocked in all three of his starts. The Twins are 11-3 to the over this season against left-handed starters. The Tigers are 29-17 to the over the last 3 seasons when they are a home favorite in a price range of -125 to -150. There is no reason that both of these starting pitchers won't get pounded tonight. Additionally, the bullpen for the Twins has been worse on the road then at home and the Tigers bullpen has been worse at home than on the road! Play OVER 9 runs in Detroit as a *10* Top Play. |
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05-11-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 8.5 runs in Baltimore vs Toronto @ 7:05 ET - Marco Estrada had good numbers working out of the bullpen but he then stepped into the starting rotation and got blasted by the Yankees. Estrada allowed 5 runs (4 earned) on 8 hits in less than 5 innings of work on Tuesday. Now he faces an Orioles team that has been crushing the ball at home this season where they've hit .303 plus averaged 6.1 runs per game. Baltimore is ready to bounce back after their 6-2 loss to the Yankees yesterday. The Orioles lineup will respond in a big way as they return home and facing a pitcher still trying to adjust to a starter's role. The issue for Baltimore is going to be their own pitching. Their bullpen has a 4.62 ERA at home this season. By the way, the Blue Jays pen is also "up there" in a "bad way" as their pen has a 4.64 ERA on the road this season. Back to Baltimore, Ubaldo Jimenez is averaging just 5 innings per start this season and he's struggled in 2 of his last 3 starts. Also, Toronto is getting their 3rd look at Jimenez this young season and the Blue Jays hit him hard the last time they saw him. Toronto is averaging 5.5 runs per game this season and they'll be ready to bounce back after their 6-3 home loss to Boston yesterday. Note that the Blue Jays are 7-1 (88%) to the over as a small road dog (up to +125) this season. The Jays are also 9-3 to the over in games played on grass this season. Overall, Toronto is 10-5 to the over this season in road games. As for the Orioles, they are 6-2 to the over in home games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Baltimore as a *10* Top Play. |
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05-10-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 8.5 runs -120 in Detroit vs Kansas City @ 8:05 ET - Yesterday's game between these clubs stayed just under the total but the Royals are still 12-4 to the over this season against right-handed starters. They should have no trouble with the offerings of righty Shane Greene tonight. He's been absolutely crushed in his last 3 starts as he's compiled a 16.36 ERA during this horrific stretch. Greene now faces an unenviable assignment as he takes on a Royals lineup that is hitting .309 in road games this season. As you can see, things won't get any easier for Greene tonight. As for the Royals starting pitcher tonight, it's Chris Young on the hill. He recently made his first start of the season and he did impress but it was against these same Tigers. That said, Detroit gets a quick second look at Young and this time it comes at home where the Tigers are hitting .283 this season. Note that Detroit is 4-0 on Sundays this season and all 4 of those games went over the total. For the Tigers to maintain that strong Sunday record, considering a struggling hurler is on the mound for them tonight, this game is going to have to turn into an absolute slugfest. That is precisely what I am forecasting here. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Detroit as a *10* Top Play. |
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05-10-15 | Chicago Cubs v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs +102 in Milwaukee vs Chicago Cubs @ 2:10 ET - Each of the first two games in this series have flown over the total. Nothing should change that pattern Sunday. The Cubs are 10-3 to the over in road games this season. The Brewers are 12-6 to the over in home games this season. Although Milwaukee's Matt Garza has looked a little better on the hill recently, the fact is that he is struggling with giving up the long ball. He's allowed 5 homers in his last 3 starts and I would not be surprised if the Cubs put together a couple of big innings against him today as a result. The Cubs issue today will again be their pitching. Their bullpen has struggled this season and that has particularly been an issue on the road. That bullpen may be called upon early Sunday because Cubs starting pitcher Kyle Hendricks is having trouble with command of his pitches. This has certainly played a factor in him lasting just 5 innings per start and he's particularly struggled on the road where he's compiled a 7.37 ERA so far this season. His struggles continue again today. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Milwaukee as an *8* selection. |
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05-09-15 | Atlanta Braves v. Washington Nationals OVER 7 | Top | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 7 runs -125 in Washington vs Atlanta @ 4:05 ET - These teams combined to go over the total yesterday in a game that saw Washington explode for 5 home runs! It will be warm weather this afternoon in D.C. and don't be surprised if the ball is carrying very well again in a park that is well known for being pitcher friendly. No matter how pitcher-friendly a park is, good hitters won't be denied and the Nationals have been heating up at the plate. They've scored at least 6 runs and had at least 11 hits in 3 of their last 4 home games. Now they face a Braves hurler who they just roughed up less than two weeks ago. Julio Teheran takes the mound for Atlanta and he was hammered by the Nats in Atlanta on the 28th of April. Now he must face them on the road where Teheran has compiled a 5.87 ERA on the season. As for his counterpart today, Doug Fister takes the mound for the Nationals. Although he's got a sparkling ERA on the season, Fister faced the Braves on the 27th of April and got hit hard. Overall he's given up 22 hits in his last 18 innings of work and the right-hander is facing a tough test again today. The Braves are 8-2-2 to the over in their last 12 games and they've shown a lot of pop at the plate against right-handed starters this season. Atlanta is 15-6 to the over in divisional games this season and 15-8 to the over in games against right-handed starters. The Nationals are 7-4 to the over in days games this season. Play OVER the total in Washington as a *10* Top Play. |
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05-09-15 | Boston Red Sox v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9 | 1-7 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs -105 in Toronto vs Boston @ 1:05 ET - Yesterday's game stayed under the total as the Red Sox were shut out and held to just two hits. Boston was unable to take advantage of the 5 walks they were given because they couldn't get good wood on the ball. There will not be a repeat of that this afternoon. Today the Red Sox get the luxury of facing a struggling Drew Hutchinson. The Blue Jays right-hander has allowed 12 earned runs on 17 hits and 6 walks in his last two starts which have totaled only 8 innings of work! This included a rough outing at Boston and Hutchinson will get rocked by the Red Sox again here. As for Boston's starting pitcher this afternoon, Joe Kelly takes the mound and he's compiled an ugly 8.62 ERA in his last three outings as he's been hit hard in recent starts. Kelly allowed 5 earned runs against Boston less than two weeks ago. The Red Sox are 9-4 to the over in road games this season. Boston is also 6-3 to the over in day games this year. As for the Blue Jays, they are 5-1 to the over this season in games against teams with a losing record and Toronto is also 5-3 to the over in day games this year. Play OVER 9 runs in Toronto as an *8* selection. |
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05-08-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Cleveland Indians OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-3 | Win | 101 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8.5 runs +101 in Cleveland vs Minnesota @ 7:10 ET - These teams were not matched up yesterday but each of them were involved in games that flew over the total. 11 runs in each game and I'll take advantage of the rather low total (8.5) posted on this Friday match-up as these teams begin a weekend series. The Twins have gone over the total in four of their last five games and have hit the ball very well the last two weeks. As for the Indians, they have gone over the total in 10 of their last 11 games as pitching continues to fail them. Sending Trevor Bauer to the mound tonight is unlikely to resolve that issue. The Indians right-hander has been pounded for 9 earned runs on 14 hits in 10 innings of work in his last two starts. He's also walked more than he's struck out in those two outings. As for the Twins, they send Mike Pelfrey to the mound and, after some surprising early season success, he returned to "normalcy" in his most recent start as he was pounded by the White Sox and knocked out of the start in the 4th inning. Cleveland is 9-3 to the over in home games this season and the Tribe is an amazing 11-1 to the over this season in games against teams with a winning record. As for the Twins, their bullpen has struggled in road games this season. Play OVER the total in Cleveland as a *10* Top Play. |
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05-07-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. New York Yankees OVER 9 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top OVER 9 runs +120 in New York Yankees vs Baltimore @ 7:05 ET - Both of these clubs are off of unders yesterday where they each managed just one run. But the pitching match-up tonight as well as beautiful weather in the Bronx is going to lead to plenty of runs in this one. The Yanks send Nathan Eovaldi to the mound tonight and he's compiled a 6.52 ERA at home this season plus he was hit hard in his one start against the Orioles this season, last month in Baltimore. At home where he's struggled thus far, Eovaldi will get hit even harder. As for his counterpart tonight, Chris Tillman is on the bump for the Orioles tonight. Tillman has a 4.96 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP in road outings this season. The Yankees are happy to be back home where they have slugged 17 homers in 12 games and they are 7-4 to the over so far this season in games played in the Bronx. The Bronx Bombers will get their sticks back on track against Tillman and Company tonight. These teams combined for 30 runs in their 3 game set in Baltimore earlier this season and 2 of the 3 games went over the total. With each of these starting hurlers tonight having issues with giving up hits in bunches of late, this one should turn into an absolute slugfest on a mild, spring evening in New York. Play OVER 9 runs +120 in the NY Yankees game as a *10* Top Play Thursday. |
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05-07-15 | Oakland A's v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top OVER 8.5 runs -105 in Minnesota vs Oakland @ 1:10 ET - As long as we can keep the scattered thunderstorms away we'll be fine in this one. Minnesota won yesterday's game 13 to 0 and they've scored at least 5 runs in 6 of their last 8 games. They will stay hot at home as they face a left-handed hurler today and the Twins are now 9-3 to the over this season in games against left-handed starters. Though the A's were shut out yesterday they came into this series with hot sticks and, in fact, they are on a 10-1-1 run to the over in their last 12 games. Oakland should have no trouble with the offerings of Ricky Nolasco. The Twins right-hander has struggled in each of his two outings this season. As for the Athletics Drew Pomeranz, the southpaw has a 6.46 ERA on the road this season and a 1.76 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The Twins will stay hot at the plate today while the A's get their lineup right back on track against a weak hurler this afternoon. The Athletics are 6-2 to the over in day games this season and 21-7 to the over in all games so far this season. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Minnesota as a *10* Top Play Thursday. |
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05-06-15 | New York Yankees v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs -105 in Toronto vs NY Yankees @ 7:05 ET - In his last two starts the Blue Jays Mark Buehrle has been ripped for 13 earned runs on 24 hits in 10 innings of work. The Yankees lineup has to be "licking their chops" about this match-up tonight. Things are unlikely to improve for Buehrle tonight. The Blue Jays southpaw has allowed 15 earned runs in his last 15 innings of work against the Bronx Bombers. The Yanks are 4-1 to the over this season in games played on artificial turf and 5-3 to the over in games against left-handed starters. The Blue Jays will be facing a southpaw also. The big veteran lefty C.C. Sabathia takes the hill for the Yankees. Sabathia is winless on the season and he's allowed 9 earned runs on 16 hits in 11 innings of work spanning his last two starts. His strikeouts are down recently too and that's a bad sign as both of these lineups are likely to be connecting early and often against the offerings of these two aging veterans. In two of their last 3 games the Yanks have struck for 11 hits and 14 hits respectively. As for the Blue Jays they've pounded out 42 hits in their last 4 games and, overall, the Jays are on a 4-1 run to the over. Toronto is now 40-22 to the over in May games over the last 3 seasons after last night's game snuck over the total. There will be no "sneaking over the total" tonight as these two lineups each pound the opposing starter. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Toronto as an *8* selection. |
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05-05-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. New York Mets OVER 7 | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *6* OVER 7 runs -120 in NY Mets vs Baltimore @ 7:10 ET - The Orioles are playing their first interleague match-up of the season. The past two seasons Baltimore has gone 27-12 to the over in interleague games. The Orioles are 9-5 to the over this season in games played on a grass field. Baltimore is 16-11 to the over the last 3 seasons combined when they are on the road and the posted total is 7 runs or less. That includes a perfect 2-0 this season that will be 3-0 to the over after tonight's game. Though Bartolo Colon has some impressive numbers on the young season he has been hit hard in his most recent starts. He's allowed 16 hits in 12+ innings in his last two starts. The Mets right-hander allowed 5 earned runs on 9 hits in 6 innings of work in his most recent start against the Orioles. The Mets hitters have struggled recently but they've got the perfect remedy to get back on track tonight. They are facing Bud Norris of the Orioles. The Baltimore right-hander has an ugly 12.18 ERA and a 2.00 WHIP on the season. His only road start this season was an absolute disaster and that was in the Bronx. He'll struggle again in New York tonight although this time it's the Mets rather than the Yankees that will be doing the damage. The Mets are 12-5 to the over this season when the posted total is 7 runs or less. The Mets also are 6-3 to the over this season when off of a loss and 7-1 to the over this season when playing a team with a winning record. The last time Norris pitched at Shea Stadium he gave up 10 hits in 6 innings. Look for more of the same here. Play OVER 7 runs in the NY Mets game as a *6* play. |
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05-04-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Boston Red Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 8.5 runs -117 in Boston vs Tampa Bay @ 7:10 ET - With last night's game going over in the 6th inning (13 runs scored), the Red Sox are now 15-7 to the over in games played on grass this season. Boston is also 13-7 to the over in games against right-handed starters. It was the Yankees in town this past weekend and the BoSox are hungry to fight back after being swept by the Bronx Bombers. Look for the Red Sox to bounce back against the Rays Jake Odorizzi. Though the Tampa Bay right-hander has good overall numbers on the season, he did struggle in his most recent road start as the Yankees got to him for four earned runs on 9 hits in 6 innings of work. Also, in his most recent start at Fenway Park, Odorizzi was torched for 5 earned runs on 7 hits in just 3 innings of work in late September. As for the Rays sticks, they also should enjoy plenty of success on this warm spring evening in Boston (weather expected to be beautiful today in Boston). Tampa Bay will face a struggling Clay Buchholz. The Red Sox right-hander has been absolutely pounded in his two home starts this season. As for his most recent start against the Rays at Fenway Park, Buchholz gave up 5 earned runs in late September. Play OVER 8.5 runs -117 in Boston as a *10* Top Play Monday. |
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05-03-15 | New York Yankees v. Boston Red Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 8.5 runs -125 in Boston vs NY Yankees @ 8:05 ET - Each of the first two games in this series have stayed under the total but beautiful weather and a pitching match-up that is favorable for the hitters has this one set up perfectly to fly over the total. Note that the Yankees Adam Warren has a 7.45 ERA and a 1.76 WHIP in his road starts this season. Both road outings resulted in overs. Also, the right-hander faced Boston earlier this season so the Red Sox are getting their 2nd look at him in a span of about 3 weeks. That favors the hitters. As for the Boston starter, Joe Kelly takes the mound this evening. The Red Sox right-hander has allowed 5 earned runs in each of his last two outings. Kelly has piled up some nice strikeout totals in his outings but he's consistently been plagued by giving up the big hits, including the long ball, in his starts so far this season. Kelly gave up 9 hits and 4 earned runs the last time he faced the Yankees at Fenway Park. The Yanks are 10-6 to the over in night games and 3-0 to the over in Sunday games this year. The Red Sox are 14-7 to the over in games played on grass and 3-0 to the over in Sunday games this year. Both these clubs rank near the top of the league for home runs this season and the ball should be carrying well at Fewway tonight. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Boston as a *10* Top Play selection. |
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05-03-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 8 | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs -105 in LA Dodgers vs Arizona @ 4:10 ET - With another easy over yesterday, the Dodgers are now 10-3 to the over in home games this season. There is no reason to expect that hot trend to end today either. Not with this match-up of "The Andersons" at Dodger Stadium Sunday. Arizona's Chase Anderson got hit hard by Colorado in his most recent start and now he faces a Dodgers lineup that already saw him earlier this season on April 10th. The other pitcher in that game was Brett Anderson so this is also the 2nd time this season for the Diamondbacks lineup to see the pitcher they are matched up with today. The Dbacks lineup is starting to put things together as yesterday's game was the 4th time in their last 5 games that Arizona has had at least 4 runs and at least 9 hits. This is a rather low total because of the long-term reputation of Dodger Stadium and the ball does carry better in afternoon games there. That said, it's also noteworthy that Brett Anderson was rocked here the Dbacks in his most recent home start against them back on April 6th of last year. The Diamondbacks are 7-4 to the over this season when off of a loss. The Dodgers are 12-7 to the over against right-handed starters this season. Play OVER 8 runs in the LA Dodgers game as an *8* selection. |
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05-02-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Cleveland Indians OVER 7.5 | Top | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 7.5 runs -105 in Cleveland vs Toronto @ 4;10 ET - The Indians sticks are heating up. Though they scored just 1 run on Thursday they actually pounded out 11 hits in that game. They followed that up Friday with another day of pounding out hits and they had the runs to show for it too as they knocked off the Blue Jays. The key to this play on Saturday is the fact that the Indians have confidence at the plate. The reason I say that is because we can take advantage of a low posted total on this game because the Blue Jays Aaron Sanchez has not given up many hits lately but he now faces a very confident lineup that has been piling up the hits at home. Sanchez has a 5.08 ERA on the young season for a reason and walks have been an issue for the right-hander. He's walked 9 in his last 11 innings of work. He's opposed by Indians right-hander Corey Kluber whose respectable 4.24 ERA on the season is hiding the fact that he's been very hittable in recent outings. In fact, Kluber has been "clubbed" to the tune of 23 hits in his last 12.1 innings of work! In his last home start against the Blue Jays he was rocked for 5 runs (4 earned) on 9 hits in 6.2 innings of work. Look for more of the same here and I'll gladly play over the low number here in what will be pleasant weather for a spring afternoon game in Cleveland today. The Indians are 5-1 to the over in their last 6 games. The Blue Jays are 7-3 to the over in games played on grass this season. The Tribe is 7-3 to the over in home games this season! Play OVER 7.5 runs as a *10* Top Play Saturday. |
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05-01-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 8 runs -108 in Minnesota vs Chicago White Sox @ 8:10 ET - I have written previously about how the Twins are pounded left-handed starters early this season and they did it again yesterday against Chris Sale of the White Sox. Today the Twins face another southpaw as Chicago sends Jose Quintana to the mound. The ChiSox lefty compiled a 6.55 ERA in April and was absolutely crushed in his most recent road start, at Detroit on the 19th of April. The Twins are 7-2 to the over in games against left-handed starters. Minnesota and the White Sox combined for 25 hits in yesterday's game and this was after the Twins were involved in a 10-7 game the day prior. The White Sox were happy to see their sticks get back on track yesterday although they did waste quite a few run-scoring opportunities. Look for the ChiSox to cash more of those in today as they face the Twins Kyle Gibson. The right-hander has a 4.83 ERA on the young season and he's walked 7 while striking out just 3 in his last two starts. Play OVER the total in Minnesota as a *10* Top Play. |
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04-30-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Cleveland Indians OVER 8 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 8 runs +110 in Cleveland vs Toronto @ 7:10 ET - Yes it will be chilly and damp tonight in Cleveland. Yes the Indians have struggled against left-handed pitching this season. But here's all you need to know. TJ House has been awful this season. The Indians southpaw has a 12.60 ERA and a 2.60 WHIP and there is no fluff in either number. House simply is not getting the job done on the mound early this season and I will take advantage with the low number posted on this total Thursday. The Blue Jays should pound the struggling lefty. As for Toronto's starter, they also send a southpaw to the mound tonight. Though Daniel Norris has a much more respectable ERA on the season he has given up 8 walks in less than 15 innings of work on the season. Also, although Norris is off of a strong start in his most recent outing, he was absolutely rocked in his prior outing. Toronto is 6-2 to the over this season in games played on grass. The Blue Jays are 4-1 to the over this season in games against left-handed starters. The Indians are 6-2 to the over in home games this season. Play OVER 8 runs +110 in Cleveland as a *10* Top Play. |
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04-29-15 | Colorado Rockies v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 9 runs +100 in Arizona vs Colorado @ 9:40 ET - Both of these clubs pounded out the hits yesterday and the runs followed. The Rockies have had hot sticks at the plate for the past week as they've reached double digits in hits in 5 of their last 6 games. While Arizona's sticks have certainly not been as prolific of late that will have extra confidence at the plate today being at home and being off the huge win yesterday. Note that facing Rockies starter Jordan Lyles will also help matters. The Colorado right-hander has allowed 16 hits in his last 10 innings of work against the Diamondbacks. He did have strong outings in his only road starts this season but those included a pitcher-friendly venue and an early season (cold bats) match-up. In his home starts in hitter friendly Denver he's been hit hard both times and now he's on the bump in hitter friendly Arizona. The Diamondbacks send Josh Collmenter to the hill and his stats look similar to Lyles. A strong road outing in a pitcher friendly venue but hit hard in his three home starts in a hitter friendly park. Now he faces a Rockies lineup that is oozing with confidence and that has enjoyed success against him in the past. Also, note that the Rockies are 4-1 to the over this season in games with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs. The Diamondbacks are 3-1 to the over in Collmenter's four starts this season. Play OVER 9 runs in Arizona as a *10* Top Play. |
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04-28-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 9 runs -109 in Texas vs Seattle @ 8:05 ET - The Mariners and Rangers game stayed well under the total yesterday but do not look for a repeat of that today. The fact is that there is great line value with this play today because the Mariners J.A. Happ has some deceiving numbers. While his ERA on this young season look impressive, this will be the southpaw's first start in a hitter friendly park this season. So far this season Happ has had two starts in Seattle and one in Oakland. Now the left-hander will try to record outs in the hitter friendly confines in Arlington! In his most recent start here he was knocked around for 7 runs (5 earned) on 8 hits in less than 3 innings of work. The Rangers have not hit the ball well this season but this is the type of hurler they can pound on their home field and they will quickly regain confidence at the plate. As for the Mariners, they will have no trouble with the offerings of Ross Detwiler. The Rangers southpaw has been absolutely crushed in all 3 of his starts this season and two of those outings came in pitcher-friendly ballparks. Detwiler has an ugly 10.95 ERA on the season and he's got more walks than strikeouts this season. The Mariners are 5-2 to the over in road games this season. The Rangers are 5-2 to the over against left-handed starters this season. Play OVER 9 runs in Texas as a *10* Top Play. |
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04-28-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Cleveland Indians OVER 7.5 | 11-5 | Win | 113 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs +113 in Cleveland vs Kansas City @ 6:10 ET - The Royals pounded out 13 hits yesterday in a 6-2 win that went over the total in the top of the 7th inning. Kansas City has been hitting the ball very well this season and they've been strong at the plate when on the road and when facing right-handed pitching. This is why, even though the Indians Trevor Bauer has solid numbers on this young season, I do expect the Royals to again do some damage at the plate today. Helping solidify this expectation is the fact the Bauer gave up 4 earned runs on 8 hits and 3 walks in just 4.3 innings of work in his most recent start against Kansas City. The Indians should have plenty of confidence at the plate too. They are facing Royals right-hander Jeremy Guthrie and he's allowed 15 earned runs on a ridiculous 31 hits in 14 innings spanning his 3 most recent starts against Cleveland. Guthrie walked six batters in his most recent start and in his start prior to that one he allowed 3 homers. Look for more early season struggles from the right-hander as he faces a true nemesis today that has had his number. The Royals are 5-3, 63% to the over against right-handed starters this season. The Indians are 6-1, 86% to the over this season in their games against teams with a winning record. Play OVER the total in Cleveland as an *8* selection. |
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04-27-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 110 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 9 runs +110 in Boston vs Toronto @ 6:10 ET - Boston is off of an ugly 18-7 loss while the Blue Jays were drilled 5 to 1 yesterday. The Red Sox are now 13-6 to the over this season. They should have no trouble getting to Toronto hurler Aaron Sanchez this evening. The right-hander has struggled to find the plate this season and that has resulted in 12 walks against only 9 strikieouts in his 14 innings of work on this young season. The Red Sox have plenty of confidence at the plate as they've put up 18 runs in their last 3 games and those were all on the road. Boston will be patient at the plate and allow Sanchez to get himself into trouble in this one as his command issues continue. Joe Kelly gets the start for the Red Sox. Though the right-hander has impressive ovreall numbers on the young season he did get roughed up in his most recent start and I expect more of the same here. Kelly was "off" at Tampa Bay in his last outing and allowed 5 earned runs on 8 hits in just five innings of work. Boston is 12-4 to the over in games played on grass this season. Toronto is 4-1 to the over in games played on a grass field this season. Play OVER the total in Boston as a *10* Top Play. |
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04-26-15 | New York Mets v. New York Yankees OVER 8 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 104 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 8 runs +105 in NY Yankees vs NY Mets @ 8:05 ET - With yesterday's over between these clubs, the Mets are now 11-5 to the over on the season and the Yankees are 12-5 to the over so far this season. There is no reason to stop riding this early season trend. The Mets are sending Jon Niese to the hill tonight and the southpaw is fortunate his ERA is as low as it is early this season. Niese has been hit quite hard and has walked nearly as many as he's struck out on the young season. Though he has not allowed many earned runs in recent outings against the Yankees he has given up 23 hits in 20.1 innings of work and, unless he again is able to scatter the hits today, the Yanks are likely to put up some crooked numbers in a few innings today. The Yanks have an impressive .471 slugging percentage against left-handed starters this season and are 4-1 to the over in games against southpaws. As for the Mets, they are 8-4 to the over in their games against right-handed starters and, like Niese, Nathan Eovaldi is fortunate to have a low ERA so far this season. Eovaldi has given up 24 hits in just 17.3 innings of work so far this season. The Mets most recently faced him in September and they roughed him up. The last time they faced him in the Bronx they got two long balls against him. The Yankees are 9-3 to the over in night games this season. The Mets are 6-1 to the over this season in games against teams with a winning record. Play OVER 8 runs in the NY Yankees game as a *10* Top Play. |
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04-26-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs -110 in Seattle vs Minnesota @ 4:10 ET - Once again the Twins teed off on left-handed pitching yesterday as I told you they would. Now they get the added benefit of facing another southpaw on back to back days. The Mariners are sending lefty Roenis Elias to the mound for his first appearance of this season. The Twins have pounded left-handed pitching all season and they have the added edge of having seen Elias twice last season and they pounded him in both of those outings too. Minnesota has gone 5-1 to the over this season in games against southpaw starters. The pitcher the Twins are sending to the hill this afternoon will help insure that this game goes over the total. Right-hander Kyle Gibson has struggled this season with 9 walks against 3 strikeouts and he's allowed 21 hits in his 15.3 innings of work. The Mariners did see him twice last season and they've seen him twice in Seattle over the last two seasons combined. They got to him for 14 hits including two long balls in just 11 innings of work for Gibson in those two starts. The Mariners are 3-1 to the over in day games this season and the ball carries a little better at Safeco Field in afternoon games. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Seattle as an *8* selection. |
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04-25-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7.5 | Top | 8-5 | Win | 102 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 7.5 runs +102 in Seattle vs Minnesota @ 9:10 ET - James Paxton has been roughed up in each of his last two outings and there is no reason to expect that to change today. The Mariners southpaw is facing a Twins team that has feasted on left-handed pitching this season and in fact, has recorded just one under in six games this season when facing a southpaw starter! Although Twins starter Trevor May is off of a solid outing his prior start saw him get roughed up and in his only other start this season he allowed two homers in what has been his only road outing so far this season. Now the right-hander is on the road again and facing a Mariners team that is hitting a respectable .265 in pitcher-friendly Seattle. Also, the M's have hit an overall .284 in their last 7 games. They are swinging the bats well but the Twins will match them run for run in this one as they love facing lefties and Paxton is "off" right now with his mechanics. Play OVER the total in Seattle as a *10* Top Play. |
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04-25-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -121 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs -121 in Arizona vs Pittsburgh @ 8:10 ET - Although the Pirates Burnett has an impressive ERA on the young season he's been finding a lot of bats in his last two outings as he's given up 15 hits in less than 13 innings of work. That will catch up with him here in hitter-friendly Arizona where the right-hander has been rocked for 3 homers and 7 earned runs in his last two outings. Like the Diamondbacks, the Pirates can be expected to score early and often in this one. Rubby De la Rosa is off to a rough start this season and that's even though two of his three starts have been in pitcher friendly parks. Yesterday's match-up stayed under the total but that was just the 2nd under for the Pirates in their last 8 games. As for the Diamondbacks, they gave De La Rosa 15 runs of support in his first two starts and they will bounce back after scoring just 1 run in his most recent start. Facing Burnett will help insure that is the case. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Arizona as an *8* selection. |
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