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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-01-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 8 | 11-2 | Win | 105 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in Baltimore vs Tampa Bay @ 7:05 ET - With yesterday's 6-3 Rays win, the over is now 7-2 in Tampa Bay's last 9 games. The Rays are likely to stay hot at the plate in tonight's match-up as they face Chris Tillman of the Orioles. In his last start (at Kansas City), he was tagged for 4 earned runs on 9 hits in just 6 innings of work. The last time Tillman faced the Rays in Baltimore he gave up 6 runs (5 earned) on 9 hits in less than 5 innings of work. I look for more of the same tonight. As for the Orioles sticks, look for them to pound Drew Smyly. The southpaw has given up 23 hits in just 14 innings of work spanning his last 3 starts (which were his first 3 since early May). The southpaw is struggling badly since his return and faces an Orioles lineup that pounds the ball at home. They have averaged 5 runs per game at home this season and are facing their fourth southpaw in their last five games. That will help them to hone in on the offerings of the left-hander Smyly tonight...especially with the way he's been struggling! Play OVER 8 runs in Baltimore as an *8* selection Tuesday. |
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08-31-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 10.5 runs in Colorado vs Arizona @ 8:40 ET - Colorado's game stayed under the total yesterday but the Rockies were in Pittsburgh. They are now back home where the ball carries well and the totals have a strong tendency to fly over the total in warm weather at this time of year. Looking for that to happen again on Monday with the Diamondbacks coming to town. Arizona lost 7-4 yesterday and that over means that they have recorded just 3 unders in their last 11 games. With the pitching match-up for tonight's game, that type of trending should continue here. The Diamondbacks send Robbie Ray to the mound. The southpaw is 0-3 in his last 3 starts with an 8.10 ERA and a ridiculous 2.18 WHIP during that time. The left-hander has produced some good overall numbers on the road this season but his current form outweighs that and two of his last three starts (producing overall ugly numbers as shown above) have come away from Arizona. Pitching in Colorado is never desirable and Ray's successful start here earlier this season will be a distant memory after he gets pounded at hitter-friendly Coors tonight. His current form dictates plenty of success for the Rockies at the plate. Colorado sends Chad Bettis to the mound tonight. He's making his first start at home since July 12th and Bettis has not fared well here. The Rockies right-hander has compiled a 5.18 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP in his home starts this season and those games have gone 5-2 to the over this year. Colorado is 30-17 to the over in divisional games this season and, it's a quirky stat but it's a fact: the Rockies are 11-3 to the over on Mondays this season. Coincidentally, the Diamonbacks games also enjoy extra fireworks on Mondays with a 9-4 mark to the over this season. Playing an afternoon game the day before can help to insure more rest the night before and the hitters certainly will be primed and pumped to face some "questionable" starting pitchers at a hitter-friendly venue tonight. Play OVER 10.5 runs in Colorado as a *10* Top Play Monday. |
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08-31-15 | Miami Marlins v. Atlanta Braves OVER 8 | 4-0 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in Atlanta vs Miami @ 7:10 ET - The Marlins hand the ball to Chris Narveson for tonight's match-up with the Braves in Atlanta. The veteran southpaw, who hadn't started in the majors since the spring of 2012, struggled mightily in his return to the bigs on the 26th. He tried to blame it on the fact it as an overhyped start and that basically emotions took over and he lost focus. I don't see it that way. What I see is an extremely hittable pitcher who has proven that even in his recent efforts at the minor league level as well. In other words, look for Narveson to get pounded again tonight. The Braves are off of a 20-6 beating at the hands of the Yankees yesterday and the over is now 9-4 in their last 13 games. The Marlins lost 7-4 at Washington yesterday and they are now 17-9 to the over in the month of August. Miami also is 29-19 to the over this season in games against divisional opponents. They should have no trouble with the offerings of Mike Foltynewicz tonight. The Braves right-hander is 0-3 in his last 3 starts with an 8.16 ERA and a 1.81 WHIP. The over is 6-2-1 in his home starts this season and he's compiled a 5.58 ERA in his starts at Turner Field this season. 5 of the 7 match-ups between these teams at Turner Field this season have resulted in overs. Look for another one tonight as struggling starting pitchers and exhausted bullpens give us the perfect combo for an over here. Play OVER 8 runs in Atlanta as an *8* selection Monday. |
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08-30-15 | Chicago Cubs -116 v. Los Angeles Dodgers | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Chicago Cubs Money Line -116 @ LA Dodgers @ 8:05 ET - The Cubs need their ace to step up here and that is exactly what should be expected. With yesterday's 5-2 loss to the Dodgers being their fourth straight, the Cubs turn to Jake Arrieta for a huge performance. The Cubs last victory was with him on the mound and he's 10-1 with a 1.94 ERA on the road this season. Overall, the Cubs have gone 12-2 in his road starts this season. Arrieta has a ridiculously miniscule 0.54 ERA in his five starts in the month of August. The Dodgers haven't faced him in two years so this is a big edge for the right-hander. Arrieta has allowed just 12 earned run in his last 14 starts! He's been simply phenomenal and is a great value at the short road price he's being offered at on Sunday. This is especially true when one considers whom he's facing in this one. Arrieta will be opposed by Dodgers southpaw Alex Wood in this one. The young lefty is 3-3 with a 4.89 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in home starts this season. He's walked 12 batters in his last 4 starts even though those outings have spanned just 22 and 2/3 innings of work. Wood struggled against the Cubs last season when he faced them in July as a member of the Braves. He also faced Arrieta in that game and the result was a loss for Wood. The Cubs are 16-7 this season in road games with a posted total of 7 runs or less. They get back on track with their ace on the hill tonight. Play the Chicago Cubs on the Money Line as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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08-30-15 | St. Louis Cardinals v. San Francisco Giants OVER 6.5 | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 6.5 runs in San Francisco vs St Louis @ 4:05 ET - The Cardinals won 6-0 yesterday to bring their run to 6-1 their last 7 games. The Cards have averaged 6 runs per game during this hot streak and yesterday's under (it fell just short due to Giants being shutout) was just the 2nd under for St Louis in their last 10 games. Look for the Cardinals to stay hot at the plate today against San Francisco's Chris Heston. He had been optioned to AAA Sacramento but was called up now to replace Matt Cain. This will be Heston's first start in nearly two weeks and he is likely to have some rust as well as issues with command of his pitches after the long lay-off. Heston is winless in his last 3 starts and he's compiled a 4.20 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP in those outings. One of them came against St Louis on the 17th and Heston walked 5 Cardinals in less than 5 innings of work in that game. He was lucky the damage wasn't worse in that start and now the Cards are getting a quick "second look" at him in this game. The Giants are also getting a quick "second look" at a hurler in this match-up as they just faced Jaime Garcia on the 19th. As strong as Garcia has been this season, the Giants did enjoy some success against him in that game. San Francisco got to Garcia for 3 earned runs on 7 hits in 6 and 1/3 innings of work. The Giants were averaging 5 runs per game in their last 7 games before getting shutout yesterday. The last time the Giants were shutout (August 20th) they responded with 6 runs on 14 hits in their next game. Garcia is a solid hurler but this is a low total and the Giants are in a good spot to do some damage at the plate while Heston is in a good spot to "give it up" to the Cardinals in this one. Play OVER 6.5 runs in San Francisco as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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08-30-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Chicago White Sox OVER 8 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 in Chicago White Sox vs Seattle @ 2:10 ET - Edgar Olmos makes his first career MLB start today. The Mariners southpaw hasn't been a regular start at any level of baseball since the 2010 through 2012 seasons in the minors. Those 3 years combined his record was 8-32 as a starter! In 2011, at the single-A level in the minors, Olmos compiled a 6.63 ERA in his 28 starts. Olmos will struggle to shake the demons that have plagued him as a starter in pro baseball and he's facing a White Sox team looking to bounce back from a 7-6 loss yesterday. The ChiSox should have no trouble with the offerings of Olmos but they will have trouble with their own starting pitcher situation. Jose Quintana gets the start for the ChiSox and he's 0-5 with a 5.85 ERA and a .297 BAA in day games this season. In the month of August he's been hit at a .301 clip and he was also hit at a .301 clip in June and a .322 clip in April. Simply put, this southpaw has trouble fooling hitters and he's facing a Mariners club that has produced 5.4 runs per game in going 5-2 in their last 7 games. The over is 7-2-1 in Seattle's last 10 games. Play OVER 8 runs in the Chicago White Sox game as an *8* selection. Â |
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08-30-15 | San Diego Padres v. Philadelphia Phillies OVER 8 | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 in Philadelphia vs San Diego @ 1:35 ET - Alec Asher was acquired from Texas in the Cole Hamels trade and he'll be making his MLB debut today. Though he pitched well at AAA Lehigh for the Phillies in 4 starts, 2015 is the first year that Asher has spent any time above the AA level in pro ball. His numbers with AAA Round Rock in the Pacific Coast League give more of the complete picture on how has his year as been as there he was 3-6 with a 4.73 ERA and 16 homers allowed in his 12 starts. Asher will struggle now in making the jump to the big league level and the 23 year old is facing a Padres lineup that averaged 5.3 runs per game in their 9 games prior to this series. The San Diego sticks have been a little quiet so far in this series but Asher will provide the perfect remedy for that. The Padres will have some pitching issues of their own in this one as James Shields takes the mound. He's off of an outing against Washington where he struggled with his command and his strikeout total was his lowest so far this year. Now he visits Philly where he's given up 9 earned runs on 17 hits in 11 innings combined in his last two starts. Also, he faced the Phils in San Diego earlier this month and allowed 3 homers! On the road this season Shields has a 4.97 ERA so facing the Phillies away from pitcher friendly San Diego is not going to do him any favors .Play OVER 8 runs in Philadelphia as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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08-30-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. Cleveland Indians OVER 7.5 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 in Cleveland vs LA Angels @ 1:10 ET - The Indians Josh Tomlin had shoulder surgery in spring training so he only recent got his 2015 season underway. He's lucky the damage has not been worse in terms of his ERA because Tomlin has given up only 7 earned runs in his 3 starts but he's allowed 6 homers! The power surge that he is allowing is eventually going to catch up to him with a lot of damage done and the Angels powerful lineup has produced 137 homers this season which is good for the #8 spot out of the 30 teams in the league. The Angels Jered Weaver continues the home/road dichotomy that he's displayed throughout his career. In pitcher-friendly Anaheim he's done well but on the road this season he's gone 3-7 with a 5.74 ERA. Also, in day games this season Weaver has gone 0-3 with a 6.23 ERA in his four daytime starts. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Cleveland as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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08-29-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Chicago White Sox OVER 7.5 | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Seattle @ 7:10 ET - The White Sox  suffered a home shutout yesterday but the over is still 13-5 in their last 18 games against teams with a losing record. Also, the over is 15-4 in the Mariners last 19 games against teams with a losing record. The last two times the ChiSox got shutout they responded with a big win and they averaged 6 runs per game in each of those two occurrences. The reason I am backing the over rather than the White Sox here is because, while I do fully expect the ChiSox sticks to bounce back, I certainly don't trust Jeff Samardzija on the mound. The White Sox right-hander has been struggling and he's now given up 28 runs on 39 hits (including 7 homers) in 28 innings in the month of August. Another rough outing is likely on tap tonight as he is on an overall 0-3 run in his last 3 starts. That's included two home outings where he's given up 4 homers in less than 12 innings of work. As for the Mariners starting pitcher tonight it's Hisashi Iwakuma getting the start. He made headlines earlier this month with his huge no-hitter performance versus Baltimore but he's "come back down to earth" since then and that includes getting roughed up for 7 earned runs in less than 5 innings of work on Monday against Oakland. Now Iwakuma faces a White Sox team that had scored at least 4 runs in 7 of their last 8 games before yesterday's home shutout. Look for the ChiSox to respond in a big way here but the Mariners (on a 4-2 run and averaging 5 runs per game during that stretch) will match them run for run here. Play OVER 7.5 in the Chicago White Sox game as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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08-29-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8.5 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 103 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top OVER 8.5 in Milwaukee vs Cincinnati @ 7:10 ET - The Reds have been shut out in back to back games. What's the remedy for that? A match-up with Matt Garza of the Brewers should certainly do the trick. The veteran right-hander gets the start for Milwaukee this evening and he's allowed 12 earned runs on 16 hits in his last 9 and 2/3 innings of work. Also concerning for Garza is the fact that he walked 6 batters in less than 5 innings of work in his most recent start. In his start against the Reds earlier this season Garza allowed 2 homers but was fortunate they were solo bombs. The way he's pitching right now, he is unlikely to be so fortunate this time around. The only good news for Garza tonight is that he should get plenty of run support. The Brewers should do plenty of damage against the Reds Keyvius Sampson. The Cincinnati right-hander has compiled an 8.03 ERA in his last 3 starts. His last two starts have been particularly bad as Sampson has given up 9 earned runs on 18 hits (including 2 homers) in the less than 8 innings of work that have spanned the two starts. Yesterday's under was the first under in a Brewers game in their past 9 games! Milwaukee did produce 5 runs yesterday and they've averaged 5.1 runs per game in their last 10 games. They will stay hot at the plate against Sampson. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Milwaukee as a *10* Top Play selection Saturday. |
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08-29-15 | St. Louis Cardinals v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7 | 6-0 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7 in San Francisco vs St Louis @ 4:05 ET - With yesterday's game flying over the total (by the 4th inning by the way!), the Cardinals are on a 9 game run where only 1 under has been recorded. As for the Giants, they've had just one under in their past 5 games. San Francisco sends Ryan Vogelsong to the mound and he was crushed in his most recent start - to the tune of 7 hits and 4 walks allowed in just 3 and 1/3 innings of work. The right-hander was lucky the damage wasn't much worse than the 3 earned runs he allowed in that outing. He now faces a Cardinals team that crushed him in the post-season last year for 4 earned runs on 7 hits in just 3 innings of work. That was the most recent appearance that Vogelsong made against the Cardinals in AT & T Park and I look for another rough outing today. St Louis is also likely to see their starting pitcher get roughed up in this one as well. Lance Lynn gets the start and he was extremely fortunate in his most recent start. Lynn was able to get four double plays from his defense in that one and he needed every one of them as the right-hander gave up 9 hits in just 6 innings of work. Lynn has a 1.95 WHIP in his last 3 starts as he's been constantly flirting with disaster in his starts. More of the same this afternoon in San Francisco. Lynn has been hit at a .280 clip on the road this season and the Giants lineup is filled with confidence as they've averaged 6 runs per game in their last 4 games. Play OVER 7 runs in San Francisco as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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08-29-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | 1-15 | Win | 102 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9.5 in Toronto vs Detroit @ 1 ET - Yesterday's game stayed under the total but the over was 7-1 in the Blue Jays 8 games prior to Friday's 5-3 win over the Tigers staying under the posted total of 9.5 runs. We again are dealing with a 9.5 on this total and this one flies over. Although Drew Hutchison was only sent to the minors for one start, and although it was because the Jays wanted to go briefly to a 4-man rotation due to scheduling, why was it Hutchison that was sent down? You can bet he's even asked himself that in his own mind. He's gone 12-2 this season but honestly (and Toronto management sees this too) he's done it with some smoke and mirrors. Hutchison was hit at a .296 clip for the entire first half of this season cumulative. His overall mark in July saw him get hit at a .360 clip. Just because he's looked a little better in August does not mean all is well with Hutchison and, hence, he was the odd man out sent to the minors recently. I do believe, although he's pitched well recently, this will play with his psyche here today and he's facing one of the most powerful lineups in baseball as the Tigers are in town. The issue for Detroit today will be their own pitching as they send Buck Farmer to the mound. He pitched well in his most recent start (at Cincinnati) but he did run out of gas as the game went on and the facts are still ugly on Farmer. He's 0-2 with an 8.10 ERA and 6 homers allowed in his 4 starts this season. He's facing a powerful Blue Jays lineup that is among the league's best. Today's game is all about the offense. Play OVER 9.5 runs in Toronto as an *8* selection Saturday. Â |
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08-28-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Chicago White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8.5 runs in Chicago White Sox vs Seattle @ 8:10 ET - The White Sox won 4-2 yesterday and stayed relatively sharp at the plate with 9 hits (including 3 for extra bases). Chicago is now 5-3 in their last 8 games and they've averaged 5.5 runs per game during this stretch. The White Sox are off of back to back unders but previously had gone over the total in 6 straight games. The ChiSox are 13-4 to the over in their last 17 games against teams with a losing record. The Mariners are 15-3-1 to the over in their last 19 games against teams with a losing record. Seattle had gone over the total in 6 straight games before yesterday's 4-2 loss. Even with their 0 for 6 performance at the plate with runners in scoring position yesterday, the Mariners have averaged 5 runs per game in their last 7 games. The M's should have no trouble with the offerings of John Danks tonight. The White Sox southpaw has lost each of his last two starts as he's allowed 12 runs (11 earned) on 13 hits (including 3 homers) in 12 innings of work. Danks has lost each of his last 3 starts against Seattle as he's given up 15 runs (14 earned) on 23 hits in 17 and 1/3 innings of work versus the Mariners. Tajuan Walker gets the start for the Mariners and he just matched up with Danks in Seattle on Sunday in a game that totaled 14 runs as both hurlers got rocked. Walker gave up 5 earned runs on 7 hits in less than 6 innings of work and I look for more of the same today in Chicago. The White Sox and Mariners combined to go over the total in all 3 of their games in Seattle and the big hitting resumes today after a rare tougher day at the plate in yesterday's game. Play OVER 8.5 runs in the Chicago White Sox game as a *10* Top Play Friday. |
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08-28-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9.5 in Toronto vs Detroit @ 7:05 ET - Prior to yesterday's 4-1 loss at Texas, the Blue Jays were on a 6-1 winning run where all 7 games went over the total. The Jays averaged 9.4 runs per game during that hot streak and their offense will get right back on track tonight. Toronto is facing Tigers southpaw Matt Boyd. The Blue Jays have hit .284 against left-handers this season and they are catching him at the right time too. Boyd has allowed 3 homers in his last two starts and has struggled with a 6.06 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The Detroit southpaw won't be the only hurler struggling tonight. Jays knuckleballer R.A. Dickey is in a down cycle right now as he's compiled a 7.31 ERA and 1.94 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Dickey also has struggled against the Tigers as he faced them on July 4th in Detroit and was rocked for 5 earned runs on 11 hits in less than 6 innings of work. These teams have faced each other 16 times the last three seasons and the over is 13-2-1. Play OVER 9.5 runs in Toronto as an *8* selection Friday. |
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08-27-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 7.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 103 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 7.5 in Tampa Bay vs Minnesota @ 7:10 ET - It's a match-up of southpaw hurlers in this one and the Twins rank 4th out of the 30 teams in the majors for runs scored against left-handed pitchers this season. The Rays rank 4th out of the 30 teams in the majors with a .432 slugging percentage against left-handed pitchers this season. Both teams hit the ball very well in last night's 5-3 Minnesota win. The resulting over last night was the 4th straight over for Tampa Bay. The over is 14-8 in Rays games so far this month. Also, the over is 3-1 in Tom Milone's 4 career starts against Tampa Bay. The Twins southpaw has compiled a 6.17 ERA in his career outings against the Rays. Since returning from the All Star Break Milone has not impressed overall. In his five starts since the break he's given up 19 runs (17 earned) in 25 innings of work for an ugly 6.12 ERA. As for the Rays starter tonight, it's southpaw Drew Smyly getting the ball. It will be just his third start since returning from the disabled list. He's allowed 14 hits (including a pair of homers) in his two starts since returning from the DL and those two starts combined for less than 10 innings of work. He's likely to get hit hard again here as the Twins are loaded with confidence at the plate right now with 6 straight wins highlighted by averaging 7 runs per game during this hot streak. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Tampa Bay as a *10* Top Play Thursday. |
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08-27-15 | New York Mets v. Philadelphia Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 8.5 in Philadelphia vs New York Mets @ 7:05 ET - With the Mets 9-4 win yesterday they have now won six straight games. New York has been red hot at the plate and the over is now 9-1 in the Mets last 10 games. NY has averaged an incredible 10.7 runs per game (that's the Mets alone, not including their opponents) during their 6 game winning streak. Facing Aaron Harang of the Phillies should ensure that the Mets stay absolutely red hot at the plate. Harang is off of a suprisingly solid outing at Miami in his most recent start. Don't look for another one here! In his prior 10 starts Harang gave up 51 earned runs on 83 hits in 54 and 2/3 inning of work. That equates to an 8.40 ERA over the past two and a half months! One good start against the Marlins doesn't erase all that and the Mets lineup is just oozing with confidence right now. As for the Mets starting pitcher tonight it's Jon Niese who gets the call. He was hammered in his last start and we can't chalk all that up just to the fact that he was pitching in Colorado. Niese saw his strikeout numbers come down in that outing and he gave up a lot of hits showing it was more than just a "power show" at Coors Field. Niese was simply very hittable in that outing and, in the last 22 match-ups between these clubs in Philadelphia the over is now 17-5 after yesterday's game also flew over the total. The Phillies have scored at least 4 runs in 8 of their last 9 games and the over is 7-2 in their last 9 games. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Philadelphia as a *10* Top Play selection Thursday. |
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08-26-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 8 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 in Cincinnati vs LA Dodgers @ 7:10 ET - These hurlers matched up in LA a week and a half ago and the result was an 8-3 Dodgers win that flew over the total. Look for another high-scoring game in the "rematch" tonight. Yesterday's game between these clubs did stay under the total but the key tonight is this pitching match-up. David Holmberg of the Reds is 0-3 with a 9.22 ERA and a 2.20 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The Dodgers Brett Anderson is 1-2 with a 6.88 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Anderson has been opposed by a southpaw for a rare lefty/lefty match-up 5 times this season. Only 1 of those 5 games stayed under the total. As for Holmberg, "the wheels have come off" in his last two starts and he's just having all sorts of problems on the mound. He's trying to turn things around but is facing the wrong team against which to do so. The Dodgers overall .422 slugging percentage this season ranks them 2nd in the National League behind only the Rockies (who of course have the added edge of playing their home games in such a hitter friendly venue). The Reds have a .426 slugging percentage against southpaws this season which ranks them at the top of the National League. The Dodgers bullpen has been awful on the road this season with a 5.20 ERA and the Reds have blown 10 of 23 save opportunities at home this year. Play OVER 8 in Cincinnati as an *8* selection Wednesday. |
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08-26-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Miami Marlins OVER 8 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 in Miami vs Pittsburgh @ 7:10 ET - Chris Narveson gets the start for the Marlins tonight. It will be his first major league start since 2012. He spent 2013 in Japan as a starter and has made six relief appearances for Miami this season but this is his first MLB start in three years. The southpaw went 0-3 with a 5.19 ERA and was pounded at a .342 clip at the AAA level in the minors this season. With that said, he certainly should not be expected to come out and dominate tonight. Though he has had some success out of the bullpen this season, Narveson is now thrust into the starters role and I look for him to struggle as a starter just like he did in the minors this year. The Pirates will be looking to bounce back after the 5-2 loss yesterday. Prior to the defeat yesterday, Pittsburgh had gone 10-2 and averaged 5 runs per game during that hot streak. They will be able to get right back on track at the plate against Narveson. As for the Pirates starter tonight, Jeff Locke is winless in his last 3 starts with a 6.46 ERA and a 1.83 WHIP. The over is 5-2 in Locke's road starts this season as the southpaw has struggled all season away from home. The Pirates are 4-6 in his 10 road starts and he's compiled a 6.02 ERA in these outings. The over is 16-9 in Marlins games against a left-handed starter this season. The over is 12-4 in Miami's Wednesday games this season. Also, the over is 15-7 so far this month in Marlins games. Play OVER 8 runs in Miami as an *8* selection Wednesday. |
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08-26-15 | New York Mets v. Philadelphia Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Philadelphia vs New York Mets @ 7:05 ET - The Mets sticks got red hot on their road trip to Colorado - a confidence building venue for hitters - and they have carried this hot streak right into their match-up with a division rival. The Mets won 6-5 yesterday after also dominating at the plate in a 16-7 win Monday. New York is now 8-1 to the over in their last 9 games. The Mets have averaged an insane 11 runs of offense per game in their last 5 games. I fully realize that the Phillies Jerad Eickhoff had a fantastic start in his MLB debut with the Phillies. Oftentimes a rookie hurler off a great debut like that takes a big step back in their second start and he's certainly facing the wrong team at the wrong time. The Mets lineup stays hot. As for the Phillies lineup, the over is now 6-2 in Philadelphia's last 8 games. The Phils have averaged a solid 5.5 runs per game during this stretch and they should pound Bartolo Colon tonight. The veteran right-hander is 4-7 with a 5.65 ERA on the road this season. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 road starts and Colon has been hit very hard in 3 of those 4 outings away from home. He's faced the Phillies 3 times within the past year and all 3 starts resulted in overs. Against the Phils, Colon gave up 13 earned runs on 23 hits in 17 and 1/3 innings of work. He'll again be hurt by giving up the big hits to Philly in this one too! Play OVER 8.5 in Philadephia as a *10* Top Play Wednesday. |
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08-25-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Kansas City Royals OVER 7.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs in Kansas City vs Baltimore @ 8:10 ET - Kansas City exploded for 8 runs in yesterday's 8-3 win over Baltimore. This was the Royals fourth straight over and they've averaged 6 runs per game during this stretch. Kansas City should have no trouble with the offerings of Miguel Gonzalez in this one. The Orioles right-hander has been struggling recently and just can't seem to command his pitches like he was earlier this season. He gave up 7 earned runs in just 5 innings in a loss to the Twins in his most recent start. The right-hander has compiled a 7.56 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The over is 8-3 in the last 11 starts Gonzalez has made. He's facing one of the strongest home hitting teams in the majors and the Royals will stay hot at the plate tonight. KC will need to score all the runs they can get in this one because their own starter, Danny Duffy, is likely to struggle in this one. The southpaw is off of a loss to the Red Sox where he allowed 4 earned runs on 7 hits and 2 walks in just 5 innings of work. Duffy has struggled badly in 3 of his last 5 starts and the Orioles potent lineup will take advantage. Baltimore is hitting .262 against lefties this season and that ranks them in the top third of the majors. The over is 12-6 in Orioles Tuesday games this season and the Royals will continue crushing the ball at home in this one. Two strong bullpens here but a lot of potency in each of these lineups and it's a match-up of two struggling starting pitchers. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Kansas City as an *8* selection. |
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08-25-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs in Texas vs Toronto @ 8:05 ET - Mark Buehrle has been hammered for 7 earned runs on 17 hits in just 9 and 2/3 innings of work in his last two road starts. Those outings came at Philly and Seatte so Buehrle is facing a much tougher road test today as he is facing the Rangers at Globe Life Park in Arlington. The over is 7-2-1 in Buehrle's last 10 starts. Look for Texas starter Derek Holland to also struggle in this one. He's coming back from a strained muscle in his left shoulder. Though the southpaw's first MLB start in four months was decent enough last week, it will be interesting to see how his injured shoulder responds in this one. Holland is facing a very potent Blue Jays lineup. The over is 9-1 this season in Toronto road games with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs. As a road favorite of -125 to -150 the last 3 years, Toronto has gone 13-4 to the over. The Jays have won four of their last five so far on this road trip and all five games went over the total. The Blue Jays have averaged an amazing 9.6 runs per game in these five games. The Rangers bats were relatively quiet on their road trip to Detroit but they now return home where they've averaged 6 runs per game in going 6-1 their last 7 games. Big hitting from both clubs in this one tonight. Play OVER 9 runs in Texas as an *8* selection Tuesday. |
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08-25-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 7 | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7 runs in Tampa Bay vs Minnesota @ 7:10 ET - The Rays send Nathan Karns to the mound and he's coming off of a solid start in his last outing but it came against an Astros club that is struggling to score runs right now. Prior to this outing, Karns gave up 6 earned runs on 10 hits and 7 walks in just 9 and 2/3 innings of work spanning his last two starts. He's been hit at a .254 clip in home games this season which is nearly 50 points higher than his .205 BAA on the road. Karns only career start against the Twins was an ugly one as he gave up 4 earned runs on 5 hits and 3 walks in just 3 innings of work. Karns will be opposed by the Twins Ervin Santana and he's 0-4 with an 8.46 ERA over his past 5 outings. He gave up a pair of two run homers in his most recent start and the Minnesota right-hander is facing a Rays lineup that has averaged 10 hits per game in their last 11 games. Tampa Bay has struggled some recently to produce runs but returning home where they've won 4 of their last 5 (and 4 of their last 5 have gone over the total) will boost their run production. This is especially true as they get to "tee off" against a struggling Santana on the mound. The Twins hurler is 6-6 with a 4.98 ERA in his career outings against the Rays. More struggles for him tonight. Play OVER 7 runs in Tampa Bay as an *8* selection Tuesday. |
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08-24-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 9 | 5-12 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 in Cincinnati vs Detroit @ 7:10 ET - The Tigers send Buck Farmer to the mound in this one. He's compiled an overall 8.39 ERA this season including an ugly 9.21 ERA in his three outings as a starter this year. Farmer is facing a Reds team that will be looking to bounce back huge after a home shutout yesterday. The Reds previously had scored 17 runs on 41 hits in their last 4 games and they should have no trouble with the offerings of Farmer. The right-hander has seen all 3 of his starts result in an over and I look for another one today. Getting this one over the total will certainly be helped by plenty of Tigers offense as they should pound the Reds Keyvius Sampson. The Cincinnati right-hander has followed up two strong starts with two poor ones and now he must contend with one of the strongest hitting teams in the majors. Sampson has been pounded for 6 runs on 14 hits in just 8 and 1/3 innings in his last two starts. In his most recent start, Sampson needed 95 pitches just to get through 3 and 1/3 innings of work. The Tigers are off of a 4-2 home loss yesterday but they are 4-2 in their last 6 road games and have averaged 7 runs per game in those 6 games away from home. They pound Sampson here and get their powerful offense right back on track. Play OVER 9 runs in Cincinnati as an *8* selection Monday. |
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08-24-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Miami Marlins OVER 8 | 5-2 | Loss | -114 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 in Miami vs Pittsburgh @ 7:10 ET - The Marlins were shutout yesterday but this was preceded by Miami scoring 40 runs in their 7 prior games. The Miami offense will get back on track tonight as they have pounded left-handers this season. In games against southpaw starters, the Marlins have hit .280 this season with a .427 slugging percentage. Miami will feast on the offerings of Pittsburgh starter JA Happ in this one. The Pirates lefty allowed just 2 hits in 6 shutout innings in his most recent start but he previously gave up 15 hits in just 9 and 2/3 innings spanning his two prior starts. On the road this season Happ has gone 2-4 with a 5.64 ERA. More struggles away from home for Happ tonight. The Pirates are off of a 5-2 win last night in a game that stayed under the total despite tons of scoring opportunities for both clubs. The Pirates pounded out 11 hits in the game and are now 9-2 in their last 11 games and averaging 5 runs per game during this hot streak. They will "tee off" against the Marlins Tom Koehler in this one. The Marlins right-hander is 0-5 in his last 5 starts and has a 7.48 ERA during this rough stretch. He allowed 9 hits (including 2 homers) in his most recent start and that outing lasted just 4 and 1/3 innings. Koehler is also 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA in his career starts against Pittsburgh. Play OVER 8 runs in Miami as an *8* selection. |
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08-24-15 | Houston Astros v. New York Yankees OVER 8 | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 in New York Yankees vs Houston @ 7:05 ET - The Astros Steve Feldman was fortunate to allow just two runs against Tampa Bay in his most recent start as he did allow nine hits in that seven inning outing. Now he faces a tough Yankees lineup in the Bronx and the Astros right-hander must contend with a Yanks team that is looking to respond off of a 4-3 home loss yesterday. Prior to that defeat the Yankees were 7-3 in their last 10 games and they averaged 6 runs per game in those 7 victories. They can respond at the plate against Feldman today but their own hurler is also likely to get roughed up. The Yanks send Nathan Eovaldi to the mound. The Yankees right-hander has won his last two decisions despite compiling a 5.11 ERA in those two starts. The Astros are off of a big confidence-boosting win after knocking off Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers yesterday in a low-scoring 3-2 win. After all the tough pitching they've faced recently in match-ups with the Dodgers and the Rays, the Astros bats will make a lot more noise against a pitcher whom is prone to giving up the big hits and whom Houston just saw less than two months ago. Play OVER 8 in the New York Yankees game as an *8* selection Monday. |
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08-23-15 | San Francisco Giants v. Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 7.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs in Pittsburgh vs San Francisco @ 8:05 ET - With yesterday's 3-2 win the Pirates are now 8-2 in their last 10 games and the offense has been leading the way. Pittsburgh has averaged 5.1 runs per game during this hot streak and should have no trouble with the offerings of the Giants Ryan Vogelsong tonight. The San Francisco right-hander played many seasons earlier in his career with the Pirates and PNC Park was not very kind to him, to say the least! Vogelsong is 6-13 with a 6.06 ERA in 54 games (20 starts) at PNC Park. The veteran righty also comes into this game having struggled on the road this season. He's compiled a 4.45 ERA away from home this season and the over is 7-4 in those 11 starts. Vogelsong's counterpart tonight is the Pirates Francisco Liriano. Although the southpaw is certainly a well-respected pitcher capable of coming up with gems from time to time, his recent performances do not indicate that one should be expected now. Though the team has won Liriano's last 3 starts, much of that has been due to run support. He's compiled a 6.75 ERA and 1.75 WHIP in these 3 outings. Though yesterday's game stayed under the total, 6 of the previous 8 meetings between these clubs in Pittsburgh had all flown over the total. The over is 17-9 in the Pirates last 26 games against teams with a winning record. The over is a perfect 6-0 in Liriano's last 6 starts. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Pittsburgh as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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08-23-15 | New York Mets v. Colorado Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 11 runs in Colorado vs New York Mets @ 4:10 ET - I am predicting a score of 14-9 in this game. All kidding aside, it is quite unusual that each of the first two games in this series have been Mets wins by a score of 14 to 9. The over is now 6-0 in the Mets last 6 games and the over is 6-3 in the Rockies last 9 games. Both teams have been crushing the ball so far in this series and there is no reason to expect that to change this afternoon. This pitching match-up is absolutely conducive to yet another over at Coors Field. The Rockies send David Hale to the bump in this one and he struggled badly in his first start since returning from the disabled list. Hale gave up 6 earned runs in just 5 innings of work. The Rockies right-hander has a 7.41 ERA in his last 3 starts and he's gone 2-4 with a 6.36 ERA in all of his starts this season. The over is 5-1, 83% in Hale's six home starts this season. He's been rocked for 4 homers in his last 17 innings on the mound. The over is a stellar 8-2, 80% in games between these clubs in Colorado the last 3 seasons. The Rockies lineup should stay hot against Mets starter Logan Verrett. The 25 year old rookie right-hander is making his first career MLB start and, of course there is no better place to make that then Coors Field. It's what ever rookie pitcher dreams about. Kidding of course. Tough deal for Verrett having to make his first ever major league start at the most hitter friendly ballpark in the majors. His last full season in the minors as a full time starter was last year in AAA ball. Verrett was hit at a .291 clip for the season and now faces a red hot Rockies lineup. Play OVER 11 runs in Colorado as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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08-23-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 8.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs in Baltimore vs Minnesota @ 1:35 ET - Yesterday's game stayed under the total as the Twins snuck out a 3-2 win in Baltimore. It marks the first time this month that the Orioles have stayed under the total in back to back games. The O's haven't recorded three straight unders since the beginning of July and I don't expect that rare occurence to happen here either. Not with this pitching match-up! Mike Pelfrey gets the start for the Twins and he's 2-5 with a 6.02 ERA and a 1.81 WHIP in road starts this season. Overall, each of his last three starts have gone over the total and he's compiled a 5.06 ERA in these outings. The over is 4-1-1 in Pelfrey's last six road starts and he's allowed 18 hits in 12 innings of work in his last two starts against Baltimore. The Orioles send Kevin Gausman to the mound for this one. He's 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA in his two career starts against the Twins. This includes getting pounded at Minnesota in early July. Two of Gausman's last three starts have gone over the total and he's compiled a 5.78 ERA in these three outings. Take advantage of the low posted total here on a warm late summer afternoon at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Baltimore as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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08-22-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9 | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 in Boston vs Kansas City @ 7:10 ET - Even with a strong fastball Red Sox rookie Matt Barnes quickly found something out in his first Major League start. It's a little tougher to blow it past MLB hitters! While Barnes did get 7 strikeouts in his first ever MLB start, he also was rocked for 6 earned runs in 5 innings of work. Barnes was hit at a .306 clip in his 5 appearances at the MLB level last season and he's getting hit at a .336 clip so far this season in his 22 games (1 start). He's just not quite ready yet to get MLB hitters on a consistent basis and facing a potent Royals lineup certainly won't help matters for the young right-hander. The Royals feast on right-handed pitchers and Barnes has a 12.34 ERA at home this season and an 8.47 ERA in night games this season. After a 7-2 loss last night, look for the Royals sticks to bounce back huge tonight. The Red Sox have been hot at the plate for weeks. In fact, the over is 13-4 in the month of August in Boston's games. The over is 17-9 this season in Red Sox home games with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs. The Royals send Yordano Ventura to the mound for this one and he's 0-2 with a 7.15 ERA and 1.94 WHIP in his career starts against Boston. Although he's off of back to back strong starts those came at home. On the road this season Ventura has struggled with a 5.43 ERA and 8 homers allowed in his 9 road starts. 6 of Ventura's last 7 road starts have been rough. More of the same here as he faces a red hot Red Sox lineup that has produced an average of 9 runs per game in the first 8 games of this homestand! Play OVER 9 runs in Boston as an *8* selection. |
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08-22-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Miami Marlins OVER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8 in Miami vs Philadelphia @ 7:10 ET - The Phillies Aaron Harang is 0-3 with a 10.80 ERA and a 2.20 WHIP in the month of August. Things aren't likely to improve for the veteran right-hander in Miami. In his last start here, nearly a year ago in September, Harang was ripped for 6 earned runs on 10 hits in a start where he was knocked out of the game in the 4th inning! The Marlins did lose 7-1 last night but that game did get over the total and that makes the over 15-3 in Miami games in the month of August. Their sticks had been hot before last night's game and after facing a rookie hurler they had never seen and whom is in great current form, the Marlins now get to face a veteran hurler who is struggling miserably. Miami, before last night's loss, was on a 7-3 run in their last 10 games and they averaged 6.3 runs per game during this hot streak. The strong hitting quickly resumes tonight. The Phillies have also been hitting the ball surprisingly well of late. Philadelphia has scored 26 runs in their last 4 games and all 4 have gone over the total. Tonight the Phillies will take advantage of a struggling Justin Nicolino. The southpaw has a 6.06 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in his last 3 starts and his two home starts this season have both been ugly. Look for more of the same here. The over is 28-16 this season in Miami's games against divisional opponents. The Phillies are 18-11 to the over in games this season with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs. Play OVER 8 runs in Miami as a *10* Top Play Saturday. |
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08-21-15 | New York Mets v. Colorado Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 14-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 10.5 / 11 in Colorado vs New York Mets @ 8:40 ET - The Rockies Jon Gray has pitched surprisingly well at the MLB level but let's not forget tonight will be just the 4th start he's made in the majors. Let's also not forget that this is the same Gray who was hit at a .281 clip in his 114 innings of work in the minors this season. Why is tonight the night Gray finally also gets pounded at the MLB level? Two reasons: 1) The Mets just saw him on the 10th of the month. This will be the first MLB team to get a second look at his offerings; 2) In his first home start Gray lasted just 4 innings and allowed 5 hits and 2 walks in that outing. Pitching at Coors Field on a warm summer's evening is tough and Gray struggles again in this one as the Mets will be much tougher to face in hitter-friendly Coors. As for the starter opposing Gray tonight, it's Bartolo Colon for the Mets. The veteran right-hander is 1-7 in his last 10 starts with a 4.83 ERA. Though he's coming off of a strong home start in his most recent outing, Colon is 4-7 with a 5.03 ERA on the road this year. In his most recent road start Colon was rocked for 4 earned runs on 9 hits in less than 7 innings of work. In his last two starts in Colorado, Colon was hammered for 12 earned runs on 19 hits and this was in just 9 and 2/3 innings of work. The Rockies are 31-18 to the over this season in their games against teams with a winning record. The Mets have gone over the total in 4 straight games and 5 of their last 6. The Rockies bullpen is among the leagues worst and Gray is only averaging 5 innings per start in his young career. Play OVER 11 in Colorado as a *10* Top Play Friday. |
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08-21-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 8 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 in Cincinnati vs Arizona @ 7:10 ET - These teams combined for 23 hits in yesterday's game that resulted in a 5-4 final that eclipsed the total. Another over should easily result tonight as well. Reds southpaw David Holmberg takes to the mound and he was rocked for 7 earned runs in just 2 innings of work in his most recent start. The left-hander allowed 3 homers and walked 4 in that very short stint against the Dodgers. The team is winless in his last 3 starts as walks and home runs continue to be a problem for Holmberg as he struggles to command his pitches. His counterpart tonight is the Diamondbacks Rubby De La Rosa. The right-hander has pitched better of late but his overall struggles on the road this season are too much to ignore. De La Rosa is 7-1 at home this season but he's 3-4 on the road with a 4.66 ERA away from home! His most recent start did stay under the total but, prior to that, the over was 6-2 in De La Rosa's last 8 starts. The Reds are 12-4 to the over this season as a home dog in a price range of +100 to +125. The Dbacks are 9-5 to the over this season when they are on the road and the posted total is 8 or 8.5 runs. Play OVER 8 in Cincinnati as an *8* selection Friday! |
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08-20-15 | Texas Rangers v. Detroit Tigers OVER 9 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 9 runs in Detroit vs Texas @ 7:05 PM ET - The Rangers bats exploded for 7 runs in yesterday's home win over the Yankees. Texas had 11 hits in the victory and they've now won 6 of their last 7 games and have averaged 10 hits per game during this hot streak. The Rangers should have no trouble with the offerings of the Tigers Alfredo Simon in this one. The Detroit right-hander has a 7,27 ERA in his last 3 starts and he's been pounded to the tune of 15 hits in his last 11 and 2/3 innings of work. He's got twice as many walks as strikeouts in his last 3 starts and Simon has allowed 3 homers in his last 3 outings. The Rangers .419 slugging percentage against right-handed pitchers ranks them in the upper third of the majors in that category and Simon allowed 3 homers in less than 2 innings of work in his only career start against the Rangers. Texas will have some pitching "issues" of their own in this one as they send southpaw Martin Perez to the mound in this one. The left-hander allowed 3 homers to the Tigers in his only career start at Detroit and this led to 5 earned runs in less than 6 innings for Perez. The Rangers southpaw comes into this one with a winless mark in his 3 road starts this season. In his starts away from home, Perez has compiled a 4.24 ERA and a concerning 1.71 WHIP. Detroit has a .454 slugging percentage against left-handed pitchers this year and that ranks 2nd in the majors! The Tigers .283 batting average at home this season ranks them 3rd in the majors. With their 15-8 win over the Cubs in Chicago yesterday, the Tigers are now 4-2 in their last 6 games and have averaged 7 runs per game during this hot streak. The over is 9-3 in Simon's last 12 starts and another high-scoring game erupts at Comerica Park tonight. Play OVER 9 runs in Detroit as a *10* Top Play Thursday. |
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08-19-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Boston Red Sox OVER 8.5 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs in Boston vs Cleveland @ 7:10 ET - The Red Sox offense has finally "hit its stride" to say the least. With yesterday's 9-1 win, Boston is now averaging 8.6 runs per game in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have averaged 13.5 hits per game during this red hot stretch. This is why, even though they're facing a solid pitcher in Corey Kluber of the Indians, the play here is once again the over. It's tough to shut down hot hitters and note that Kluber was rocked in his most recent road start prior to his domination of the Twins on Friday. The Indians right-hander previously allowed 5 earned runs on 10 hits in less than 6 innings of work in a start against the Angels in Anaheim earlier this month. Kluber is certainly facing another tough "road challenge" in this one. The good news for Kluber though is that he should get plenty of run support in this one. The Red Sox are sending Joe Kelly to the mound and he's 3-0 record his last 3 starts masks the fact that he's been far from unhittable. Yes he had a decent start against the Mariners prior but in his two prior starts Kelly was rocked for 7 earned runs on 16 hits in just 10 and 1/3 innings of work. Kelly also gave up 7 hits in just 5 innings in his only career start against the Indians while Kluber gave up 6 earned runs on 10 hits and 6 walks in the 11 and 2/3 innings of work spanning his last two starts against Boston. The Indians had exploded for 6.3 runs per game in their last 10 games before being held to just one run yesterday. Their bats will come back to life here and the Red Sox offense continues it's rampage as well. The over is 7-4 in the Indians last 11 games and the over is 9-0 in the BoSox last 9 games! Play OVER 8.5 runs in Boston as an *8* selection Wednesday. |
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08-19-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 7.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs in Pittsburgh vs Arizona @ 7:05 ET - A lot of bullpen used up in last night's 15-inning 9-8 Pirates victory means that both clubs are hoping for long starts from their starting pitchers tonight. The trouble is, neither team is likely to get a long outing from their starter tonight. The Diamondbacks Robbie Ray is 0-3 with a 5.87 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP in his last three starts and he's averaged just 5 innings per outing. The Pirates J.A. Happ is also winless in his last three starts and he's compiled a 7.62 ERA and a 2.16 WHIP during this stretch. His average innings pitched in these three outings is just 4 and 1/3 per outing! Look for both southpaws to continue to struggle here and early exits from this game will further expose already depleted bullpen resources. The over is 8-3-1 in the Pirates last 12 games. The Diamondbacks Ray last pitched in Pittsburgh last season and he was knocked around for 4 earned runs in just 5 innings of work in that start. More of the same expected tonight. The over is 14-9 in Dbacks games against southpaw starters this season. Additionally, the over is 10-5 in Arizona's last 15 games against teams with a winning record. The Pirates are 9-3 in their last 12 games and have averaged scoring 6 runs per game in those dozen games. The Diamondbacks have averaged scoring 6.6 runs per game in their last 9 games. With two struggling starters as well as depleted bullpens as well as offenses that have been heating up, this one should fly over the total easily. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Pittsburgh as an *8* selection Wednesday. |
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08-19-15 | New York Mets v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 7.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 7.5 runs in Baltimore vs New York Mets @ 7:05 ET - With the Mets 5-3 win going over the total yesterday, the over is now 10-5 in the Mets last 15 games! Though the Orioles were held to just 3 runs yesterday, they came into the game on a 4 game winning streak that saw them score 34 runs! Baltimore will bounce back today against the Mets Noah Syndergaard. Each of his last 3 starts have gone over the total and the long ball continues to be a problem as Syndergaard has allowed 5 homers in his last 3 starts. The Mets right-hander has also struggled in road starts all season long. The Mets are 1-7 in Syndergaard's road outings this season he's compiled an 0-5 record and a 5.44 ERA away from home. The Orioles also send a struggling hurler to the mound in this one. Ubaldo Jimenez, in his last two home starts, has been rocked for 10 earned runs on 15 hits in less than 10 innings of work. Overall, the over is 7-4-1 in the last 12 starts Jimenez has made. The Orioles right-hander has given up 8 earned runs in less than 8 innings of work in his last two starts against the Mets. Similar struggles resume tonight and, at the same time, Syndergaard's season-long road struggles continue. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Baltimore as a *10* Top Play Wednesday. |
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08-18-15 | Washington Nationals v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 15-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 10.5 runs in Colorado vs Washington @ 8:40 ET - Both these clubs were off yesterday and the Rockies were off of a 5-0 shutout win Sunday while the Nationals lost 5-0 at San Francisco Sunday. Note that Washington has now lost 6 straight games and the over is 11-2 in Nationals games this season when they enter the game on a losing streak of 3 games or more. The over is also 11-6 this season in Nats games where they are a road favorite in a price range of -125 to -150. Certainly the Nationals should have no trouble with the offerings of David Hale in this one. The Rockies right-hander is returning from a groin strain and brings a 5.83 ERA in home starts into this match-up with the Nationals. The over is 4-1 in Hale's home starts this season. In his most recent three starts, Hale has compiled a 7.02 ERA and he's given up 22 hits (including 4 homers) in just 16 and 2/3 innings of work. The right-hander will be opposed by fellow righty Jordan Zimmerman of the Nationals tonight. Zimmerman is off of a fantastic start in his most recent outing but that came at pitcher-friendly Dodger Stadium and tonight he'll be pitching at hitter-friendly Coors Field. In his most recent start in Colorado, Zimmerman was rocked for 4 earned runs on 8 hits (including 2 homers) in just 5 innings of work. His most recent start (at Dodger Stadium) stayed under the total but the over had been 7-3 in his road starts this season prior to that outing. The over is 13-7 the last 3 seasons in Rockies home games where they are a dog in a price range of +125 to +150. Play OVER 10.5 runs in Colorado as a *10* Top Play Tuesday. |
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08-18-15 | Miami Marlins v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8.5 | 9-6 | Win | 111 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs in Milwaukee vs Miami @ 8:10 ET - These teams combined for 19 hits in yesterday's game but lack of clutch hitting resulting in a push for over players as the game totaled 8 runs. The teams combined to go a ridiculous 3 for 17 with runners in scoring position. Look for some better hitting in key situations tonight as both of these hurlers just don't have the "stuff" to fool major league hitters. The Marlins are handing the ball to southpaw Adam Conley. The left-hander has been bouncing between the bullpen and a starting role and either way he's getting hit hard. He's compiled a 5.00 ERA in his last 18 innings of work overall. As a starter, he's compiled a 5.59 ERA in 9 and 2/3 innings. The Brewers will also take advantage of facing a southpaw starter on back to back nights and for the fourth time in six games. The Marlins are also set up nicely to do plenty of damage at the plate tonight. Miami is facing Brewers right-hander Tyler Cravy Tuesday. Milwaukee is continuing to give Cravy a chance to earn a starter's role with the club but he's continuing to fall well short of where he needs to be. Cravy is 0-4 this season with a 5.92 ERA at the big league level. Two inexperienced and struggling hurlers matched up in this one and the over is 11-3 this month in Marlins games. Look for plenty of fireworks in this one as the home runs have also been flying in these pitchers' starts. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Milwaukee as an *8* selection Tuesday. |
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08-18-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs in Texas vs Seattle @ 8:05 ET - These teams combined for 21 hits in yesterday's game but there was a ridiculous 5 double plays and the game stayed under the total. The Rangers burned me for 2nd day in a row as, on Sunday versus Tampa Bay, Texas led 5-3 after 4 innings and yet not one single run was scored the rest of the way! Is the third time the charm? You better believe it! With all the hype about Hisashi Iwakuma after his no-hitter in his last start, history shows us that it's amazing how hittable a pitcher often is in his next start after throwing a no-no. Look for Iwakuma to get rocked at hitter-friendly Globe Life Park in Arlington tonight. The Rangers have exploded for 32 runs on 53 hits in their last 5 games and they stay red hot at the plate tonight. Iwakuma gave up 7 hits in 5 and 1/3 innings in his most recent start at Texas and he'll get hit hard again here. The Rangers will need all the offense they can get in this one because their own starting pitcher is likely to also struggle. Chi Chi Gonzalez gets the start tonight and he's 0-4 with a 6.03 ERA in his last six starts. He's facing a Mariners club that has exploded for 23 runs on 39 hits in their last 3 games. The over is 7-3 in Seattle's road games with a total of 9 or 9.5 this season. The over is 3-1 in the last 4 starts Gonzalez has made. Play OVER 9 runs in Texas as an *8* selection Tuesday. |
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08-17-15 | Miami Marlins v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8 | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in Milwaukee vs Miami @ 8:10 ET - The Brewers erupted for 6 runs in yesterday's game but it stayed under the total as the Phillies were unable to match them. Now the Marlins come to town and Miami is off of a 6-4 win at St Louis yesterday and has won 4 of their last 6 games. The over is 8-2 in the Marlins last 10 games as Miami has averaged a solid 5.1 runs per game during this stretch. Miami is a tough match-up for Matt Garza as the Brewers right-hander has given up 8 runs (7 earned) on 13 hits (including 2 homers) in his last two starts against the Marlins and he only pitched a combined 9 innings in those two outings. Garza comes into this start having allowed a homer in each of his last 3 starts. Though he has pitched better of late, he is facing a very confident Miami lineup tonight and the Marlins have had plenty of pop at the plate in recent games. Garza is an ugly 1-8 with a 5.84 ERA and a .296 BAA in night games this season! The Marlins send Justin Nicolino to the mound this evening. The southpaw has given up 9 earned runs on 15 hits in his last two starts and those haven't even lasted a combined 10 innings. Most of his time has been spent at AAA New Orleans this sesaon and he was hit at a .300 clip down there! Is it any wonder that he's also getting pounded at the major league level? Of course not...and more of the same is on its way tonight. Play OVER 8 runs in Milwaukee as an *8* selection Monday. |
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08-17-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Houston Astros OVER 7.5 | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs in Houston vs Tampa Bay @ 8:10 ET - Despite pounding out 12 hits in yesterday's game at Texas, the Rays managed just 3 runs. Their offense has been hot for weeks but they just couldn't get the clutch hits they needed in yesterday's game. Those things have a way of quickly sorting themselves out after a frustrating day like Tampa Bay had yesterday with the missed opportunities. That was the 9th time in their last 11 games that the Rays reached double digits in hits. As you would expect with that type of hot hitting, the over was on an 8-2 run in Tampa Bay games before yesterday's surprising under - the game was 5-3 in the 4th inning yesterday and then died! That won't happend again today. The Rays are now in Houston and they will tee off against Scott Kazmir who has struggled some recently and it looks as if his red hot run is coming to an end. The Astros southpaw has given up 7 runs (though a few were unearned) on 13 hits (including 3 homers) in his last two starts spanning just 11 and 1/3 innings of work. Kazmir faced Tampa Bay earlier this season and gave up 3 runs (1 unearned) on 8 hits (including a homer) and was knocked out of the game without completing the 6th inning. Look for Kazmir to struggle some again here and, with the low total being offered on this game, it should easily get over the number. That's particularly true because Rays starter Erasmo Ramirez is likely to get pounded here. He's allowed 4 homers in his 3 career starts against Houston and the Astros are off of a 6-5 win yesterday as they got their sticks going again with 9 hits including a pair of homers and a pair of triples. Though he is off a strong performance in his most recent start, Ramirez did allow 14 runs (11 earned) in his 3 prior starts spanning 19 and 1/3 innings of work. That's a 5.12 ERA and look for more struggles as, just his last two road starts, this start away from home for Ramirez results in another over. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Tampa Bay as an *8* selection Monday. |
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08-17-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs in Texas vs Seattle @ 8:05 ET - The Rangers were involved in the crazy 5-3 win over Tampa Bay yesterday that was 5-3 after just 4 innings and then not another single run was scored the rest of the way despite numerous fantastic scoring opportunities. Some payback will come today by coming right back with the over in the Rangers game. Texas sends Cole Hamels to the mound and the southpaw has not impressed in his first two starts as a Ranger. The former Phillies southpaw has given up 9 earned runs on 16 hits (including 5 homers) in 13 and 2/3 innings of work as a Ranger. Look for him to get pounded by a red hot Mariners lineup tonight. Seattle comes into this series with Texas off of an insane series at Boston that featured 66 runs scored in 3 games - an insane average of 22 runs per game! The Mariners won the finale 10-8 yesterday afternoon and the over is now 17-7-1 in Seattle's last 25 games. They'll get to Hamels early and often in this one but their own pitching struggles are likely to continue here as well. Tajuan Walker gets the start for Seattle. The right-hander has pitched better of late but Globe Life Park in Arlington is not pitcher-friendly and Walker has a 5.03 ERA away from home this season. He did have a successful start earlier this year in Texas but watch what happens tonight when the Rangers get a second shot at him. Texas comes into this game on a 8-4 run in their last 12 games and the Rangers have averaged 5.6 runs per game during this hot streak. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Texas as an *8* selection Monday. |
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08-16-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 in Kansas City vs LA Angels @ 8:05 ET - With yesterday's 9-4 win the Royals have won 7 of their last 9 games and Kansas City is averaging 5.4 runs per game in their last 10 games. The Royals pounded out 14 hits in yesterday's game and they should have no trouble with the offerings of a struggling Hector Santiago tonight. The Angels southpaw has struggled with command of his pitches and this has led to an inability to work deep into games. This has exposed an Angels bullpen that has a 4.00 ERA on the road this season. Santiago has given up 5 homers in his last 3 starts as "mistake pitches" continue to get left up in the zone. The Royals will have Yordano Ventura on the mound tonight and he's also struggled with homers lately. Ventura didn't allow a homer in his most recent start but he allowed a pair of homers in each of his two prior starts. Even though Ventura is coming off of a solid start against the Tigers in his most recent outing, the 6 walks allowed in 6 innings of work are certainly a cause for concern and the Royals right-hander gave up 11 earned runs in the 12 innings of work that spanned his two prior starts. The Angels are 32-23 to the over this season when they are off of a loss in their prior game. The Royals are 13-8 to the over this season when they are at home with a money line between -100 and -125. Play OVER 8 runs in Kansas City as an *8* selection Sunday night. |
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08-16-15 | San Diego Padres v. Colorado Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 11 in Colorado vs San Diego @ 4:10 ET - A lot of clutch hitting in yesterday's game helped to get it over the total. Amazingly there were no homers hit at hitter-friendly Coors Field. Look for the clutch hitting to continue Sunday as both lineups have been playing with plenty of confidence due to hot hitting of late and another key Sunday will be the return of the long ball. The Padres starter today is Ian Kennedy and his 25 homers allowed rank among the most allowed in the majors this season. Colorado has gone over the total in each of their last 6 home games and the Rockies wil be ready to bounce back after losing each of the first two games in this series. While there is every reason to believe they get to "homer-prone" Kennedy in this one, the problem for Colorado will be starting pitcher Chris Rusin's inability to stop hot hitting San Diego. The Padres have averaged 4.7 runs this season in games when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. Rusin has a 5.62 ERA and an ugly 1.88 WHIP in his last 3 starts. San Diego is 11-3 to the over in the month of August. The over is 12-5 in Padres road games where they have a money line between -100 and -125. The over is 23-11 in San Diego day games so far this year. The over is 34-20 this season in Padres games when they are coming off of a win. The Rockies are 11-6 to the over this season in games where they have a money line of -100 to -125. The over is 30-16 in Rockies divisional games this year. Colorado is also 42-24 to the over this season when off of a loss. The Rockies also have one of the worst bullpens in baseball. Play OVER 11 runs in Colorado as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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08-16-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 in Texas vs Tampa Bay @ 3:05 ET - Rays southpaw Drew Smyly will be making his first start since coming off of the disabled list after dealing with a torn labrum on his throwing side. One should not expect him to just come back and start mowing hitters down and a chief concern for Smyly here is the fact he is facing a powerful Rangers lineup in hitter-friendly Globe Life Park in Arlington. Texas is one of the top hitting teams in the league when they are in their home park. Smyly is 0-2 with an 8.44 ERA in his 3 starts at the AAA level this year and now tries to come back at the MLB level after the labrum injury. This does not shape up to go well for him. His counterpart this afternoon should also be expected to struggle. Yovanni Gallardo gets the start for the Rangers. The Texas right-hander has been inconsistent since the All Star break as he's struggled in many of his outings and has produced a 6.57 ERA in his five starts since mid-July. Gallardo is facing a Rays team that, with their ten hits in yesterday's game, has now reached double digits in hits in 8 of their last 10 games. As you would expect with that type of production at the plate, the over is 8-2 in the Rays last 10 games. The Rays offense will stay hot here but the Rangers will match them run for run as Texas has produced an average of 6.3 runs per game in their last 11 home games! Hot hitting in hot weather continues Sunday for the Rangers and Rays. Play OVER 9 runs in Texas as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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08-16-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8 | 1-6 | Loss | -119 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 in Milwaukee vs Philadelphia @ 2:10 ET - Yesterday's 4-2 Brewers win stayed under the total but both teams return to their hot-hitting ways in this one. Milwaukee will be able to pound a struggling Aaron Harang in this one. Note that Harang has an 8.10 ERA since June 4th - a span of nine starts! So, as you can see, this is no fluke. The veteran right-hander is simply struggling badly for Philadelphia right now. Harang has a ridiculous 2.28 WHIP in his last 3 starts and putting too many base-runners on can get dangerous in a hurry at hitter-friendly Miller Park in Milwaukee. The Phillies were on a 6-1 run to the over before the bats went quiet in the first two games of this series. The Brewers have gone over the total in each of Taylor Jungmann's last two starts. In his last 3 outings, Jungmann has compiled a 1.50 WHIP and left-handed bats this season are hitting 51 points higher than right-handed sticks against Jungmann. The Phillies can absolutely load up from that side of the plate as they have a number of switch-hitters as well as solid left-handed bats. The Phils will do some damage as Jungmann is shaken by coming off an outing in which he couldn't even complete 3 innings. At the same time, look for Harang's horrible struggles to continue. The result should be an easy over in this one. Play OVER 8 runs in Milwaukee as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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08-15-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Texas Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-12 | Win | 106 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8 or 8.5 runs in Texas vs Tampa Bay @ 8:05 ET - The Rays had 12 hits in yesterday's game but they wasted too many opportunities and ended up with a 5-3 loss. Tampa Bay will again hit the ball well today but this time they'll have much more to show for it. The Rays will be able to "tee off" against the Rangers Colby Lewis who is known for getting rocked at home. Lewis has a 5.27 ERA in his 11 home starts this season and the over is an incredible 9-1-1 in those 11 outings. There is no reason to expect that trending to come to a stop today. The Rays have reached double digits in hits in 7 of their last 9 games and the over was 9-2 in their last 11 games prior to this series. As for the Rangers, they do face a "tougher test" than do the Rays as Tampa Bay will send Chris Archer to the mound. However, the key here is that the few times Archer has been roughed up this season have been confined to road starts against good teams. In his three road starts against Baltimore, Kansas City, and Washington, Archer allowed a combined 16 earned runs on 26 hits and 8 walks in 17 innings of work. Yes that equates to a 2.00 WHIP and note that Globe Life Park in Arlington is not a friendly venue for pitchers. Look for Archer to have another rough road outing here while Lewis also gets pounded on another hot Texas evening. The over is 5-2 this season in Archer's starts on grass fields this season. Out of Tampa Bay, Archer gets rocked by the Rangers tonight. Play OVER 8 or 8.5 runs in Texas as a *10* Top Play Saturday. |
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08-15-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins OVER 9 | 1-4 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs in Minnesota vs Cleveland @ 7:10 ET - Yesterday's series opener narrowly missed going over the total but the Indians came into this series on a 5-1 run to the over and the Twins came into Friday's game on a 7-1 run to the over. The hot hitting will quickly resume today. This pitching match-up means it's all about the sticks today in Minneapolis. The Indians are sending Josh Tomlin to the mound and he's making his first start since coming from shoulder surgery. The right-hander, in preparing for this start, has already shown the velocity on his pitches is not what it once was. This is certainly a concern for Tomlin while, at the same time, being a delight for Twins hitters who will have no problem turning on his pitches quickly! The Indians, off of the 6-1 win yesterday, have now scored at least 5 runs in 6 of their last 7 games. Cleveland pounded out 14 hits in Friday's victory and they've now reached double digits in hit totals in 7 straight games and 8 of their last 9 games! The Tribe will stay hot at the plate against Minnesota right-hander Tyler Duffey. The young pitcher got rocked in his MLB debut earlier this month against Toronto and he faces another tough challenge here with facing a red hot Indians lineup. Though he's pitched well in the minors this season, his start against the Blue Jays 10 days ago shows just how tough the jump is to come up to the majors from the minors. The Indians will show him the same thing tonight. Play OVER 9 runs in Minnesota as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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08-15-15 | New York Yankees v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8 | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in Toronto vs New York Yankees @ 1:05 ET - These two pitchers just squared off in the Bronx on Sunday and that was a pitchers' duel with the Blue Jays coming out on top in a 2-0 win over the Yankees. Quite often, in a quick rematch like this, the second result is nothing like the first. In other words, look for a slugfest to erupt in Toronto this afternoon. The hitters are getting a quick "second look" at the same pitchers they just saw less than a week ago. Oftentimes these leads to runs early and often in the rematch and that's what can be fully expected here. The Yankees Masahiro Tanaka has allowed 3 homers in his last 12 innings of work. The Blue Jays Marco Estrada was rocked by the Yanks in his only other home start against them this season. On May 5th the Toronto right-hander gave up 5 runs (4 earned) on 8 hits in a start in which he was unable to complete 5 innings. Prior to Tanaka's 2-0 loss to the Blue Jays on Sunday, the over was 5-1, 83% this season in his starts against AL East foes. In Yankees games on Saturdays this season the over is 11-6. Play OVER 8 runs in Toronto as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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08-14-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Houston Astros OVER 8 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8 runs in Houston vs Detroit @ 8:10 ET - Tonight should mark the return of Miguel Cabrera to the powerful Tigers lineup. This is a Detroit team that pounds left-handed pitchers. The Tigers .277 batting average against lefties ranks them 3rd in the majors in that category while their .434 slugging percentage against southpaws ranks them 4th in the majors in that category. Though the Astros Dallas Keuchel has put together some strong numbers so far this season, the left-hander has given up double digits in hits in two of his last three starts. Look for Keuchel to get hit hard once again here as he now faces one of the most powerful lineups in MLB that is expected to be further bolstered by the return of the powerful stick of Cabrera after he was out for 6 weeks. The fact that Keuchel has solid numbers on the season is helping to keep the posted total low on this one. That is significant because the over is 36-21 this season in Tigers games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs. The over is 17-7 this season in Detroit's road games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs. The over is also 17-11 this season when the Tigers are facing a left-handed starter and 32-20 this season when they are off of a win. Both Detroit and Houston were off yesterday and the over is 7-2 in Astros games this season when they were off the prior day. Look for Houston to "tee off" tonight against the Tigers Alfredo Simon. The over is 8-3 in Simon's road starts this season. This is largely due to his 5.64 ERA and 1.58 WHIP away from home this season. Even though his most recent start was at home, Simon again got pounded with 6 earned runs allowed in less than 7 innings of work. He's allowed 3 homers in his last two starts and the Astros have a powerful lineup that leads the league in home runs. Don't be surprised when this Friday evening match-up turns into a "slugfest". Play OVER 8 runs in Houston as an *10* Top Play Friday. |
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08-14-15 | Chicago Cubs v. Chicago White Sox OVER 8 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in Chicago White Sox vs Chicago Cubs @ 4:10 ET - With yesterday's 9-2 win the Cubs are now a red hot 13-1 in their last 14 games. The Cubbies have averaged a solid 5 runs per game in these 14 games and their offense should stay hot here. Jeff Samardzija gets the start for the White Sox and each of his last 4 starts has resulted in an over. He's been rocked in his last 3 outings as Samardzija has compiled a 10.38 ERA and given up 3 homers in his last 3 starts. The Cubs will counter with Kyle Hendricks on the mound in this afternoon match-up Friday and the over is 3-1 in his last 4 starts. The Cubs right-hander has allowed 13 earned runs on 23 hits and 9 walks in the 23 and 1/3 innings spanning those 4 starts. Like the Cubs, the White Sox come into this game having been hot at the plate. The ChiSox have averaged 5.7 runs per game in their last 20 games! The over is 13-3 in the White Sox last 13 games and it's 6-2 in the Cubs last 8 games. Play OVER 8 runs in Chicago as an *8* selection Friday. |
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08-13-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8 | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8 runs in Kansas City vs LA Angels @ 8:10 ET - The Royals are off of a 7-4 home loss yesterday but that snapped a 5 game winning streak for Kansas City. With the 4 runs they scored in yesterday's loss to the Tigers, the Royals have averaged 5 runs per game in their last 7 games. The offense will remain hot here as Kansas City is one of the top hitting teams in the league when in their home ball park. The Royals .278 batting average in home games ranks them 4th out of 30 teams in the majors! The issue for Kansas City today is going to be their pitching. Jeremy Guthrie gets the start for the Royals tonight and he's been getting absolutely clobbered. The Royals struggling right-hander has an 8.50 ERA in his last three starts and Guthrie has given up 31 hits in the 18 innings spanning those 3 outings. The Angels lineup should have no trouble with the offerings of Guthrie. In fact, they've hammered him for 15 runs in 21 innings in his last 3 starts against them. As for the Angels starting pitcher tonight, Garrett Richards gets the call. The right-hander has quite a home/road dichotomy because his home starts are in pitcher-friendly Anaheim. Note that on the road this season, Richards is an ugly 4-6 with a 4.84 ERA. The over is 7-3 in his 10 road starts this season and both he and Guthrie are having trouble with giving up too many long balls in recent starts. Richards has given up 4 homers in his last 3 starts and Guthrie has given up 6 homers in his last 3 starts. On another very warm evening in Kansas City, the ball will be carrying very well. One final important note here, the Angels had to use 7 innings worth of relief work in their extra-innings loss to the White Sox last night. Play OVER 8 runs in Kansas City as a *10* Top Play Thursday. |
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08-12-15 | Atlanta Braves v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 7 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 7 runs in Tampa Bay vs Atlanta @ 7:10 ET - Jake Odorizzi has had a fantastic season for the Rays but the Braves have already seen him once this season and that is a key to this play. Odorizzi, as strong as he's been this season, has been much more hittable the second time a team sees him. The Yankees got to him for 4 runs on 9 hits in 6 innings when they saw him for a second time on April 28th. The Red Sox got to Odorizzi for 14 hits in 13 innings in their 2nd and 3rd shots at him this season. The Orioles got to him for 4 earned runs on 7 hits (including 3 homers) in 6 innings in their second time against him on May 31st. Toronto got to him for 6 runs in just 4 innings on July 17th in their second shot at Odorizzi. You can clearly see the pattern here and I look for that to continue tonight as the Braves will do more damage against him than you might expect. Yesterday's 3-1 Rays win stayed under the total but the over was 7-1-2 in the Braves 10 prior games and the over was 8-1 in the Rays 9 prior games. This over trend will quickly resume tonight, especially with the way the Braves Matt Wisler has been struggling. The rookie right-hander hasn't been able to control his slider nor command his fastball in recent outings. The result for Wisler has been a 7.04 ERA since the All Star break. His last two starts have been particularly awful as he's given up 12 earned runs on 17 hits in just 10 innings of work. Don't be surprised when he gets pounded again here by a Rays lineup that has been surging with confidence thanks to Tampa Bay going 6-2 in their last 8 games with plenty of hot hitting. 3 of Wisler's last 4 starts have gone over the total and the same is true of Odorizzi's last 4 starts. Play OVER 7 runs in Tampa Bay as a *10* Top Play Wednesday. |
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08-12-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7 | 0-3 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7 runs in Seattle vs Baltimore @ 3:40 ET - With yesterday's 6-5 Mariners victory, the over is now 6-2 in Seattle's last 8 games. The over is a solid 7-4-1 in the Orioles last 12 games. The hot hitting will continue on a hot afternoon in Seattle Wednesday. Temperatures are expected to approach the 90 degree mark this afternoon and instead of the thick, heavy air often seen in the Pacific Northwest the ball will actually be able to carry quite well in this weather. The Mariners hitters should have no trouble with the offerings of Kevin Gausman. The Orioles right-hander has struggled in his road starts this season as he's gone 0-3 with an 8.41 ERA in his four starts away from home. That includes his most recent outing where he got roughed up in Anaheim by the LA Angels. Facing a surging Mariners lineup on a warm afternoon in Seattle certainly won't do Gausman any favors. His counterpart this afternoon. to the surprise of many, is also likely to get hit hard here. Yes, Hisashi Iwakuma has strung together some strong starts at times this season but he's off a game where he threw a career-high 118 pitches on Friday. Only twice previously this season has Iwakuma reached triple digits in pitches. He labored in his next start each time and was knocked out without completing the 6th inning each time. His combined numbers in those two starts show 8 earned runs allowed on 15 hits in 11 and 1/3 innings of work. Against a potent Orioles lineup, look for Iwakuma to have similar struggles this afternoon. The Mariners right-hander has a 5.35 ERA and has been hit at a .283 clip in home games this season. Play OVER 7 runs in Seattle as an *8* selection Wednesday. |
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08-11-15 | Texas Rangers v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 8.5 runs in Minnesota vs Texas @ 8:10 ET - The Rangers send Yovani Gallardo to the mound tonight and, with his current struggles, I had no doubt I was going with this as my Top Play Tuesday. Gallardo has allowed 18 earned runs on 27 hits and 10 walks in 19 innings spanning his last 4 starts. That equates to very nearly a 2.00 WHIP and allowing two base runners per inning gets a hurler in trouble very quickly. Of course this type of trouble is evident with Gallardo as he's compiled an 8.53 ERA in his last four starts. Gallardo allowed 2 homers in his most recent start at Minnesota. He also allowed 2 homers and was crushed for 6 earned runs in 5 innings of work when he hosted the Twins in his most recent start against Minnesota last June. The Twins come into this game on a streak of 5 straight overs. Though their sticks have been held a check in some of their recent games that's largely been due to facing some tough starting pitchers. Tonight they can pound a struggling Gallardo. A big key for the Twins recent runs of overs is their own pitching has struggled and with Kyle Gibson on the mound tonight those struggles are likely to continue. Gibson is 0-2 with an 8.47 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's facing a Rangers team that will be fired up to get back on track on offense after their 4-2 loss at Seattle Sunday. Prior to that defeat, Texas was on a 8-2 run in their last 10 games and they produced 6.1 runs per game in that 10 game stretch. 3 of Gallardo's last 4 starts have gone over the total. The over is 9-4 in Minnesota home games this season where the Twins money line is in a range of -100 to -125. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Minnesota as a *10* Top Play Tuesday. |
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08-11-15 | Oakland A's v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs in Toronto vs Oakland @ 7:05 ET - After opening up at a 9 this total has dropped to an 8.5 and it was already offering great value at 9 runs. The Blue Jays send Drew Hutchison to the mound tonight. He's compiled a 7.07 ERA with a 1.86 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Even though his overall numbers are excellent at home this season, Hutchison has not pitched well in Toronto in recent starts. Each of Hutchison's last two starts have come up at home and he's allowed 11 runs (6 earned) on 14 hits in just 10 innings of work. Tonight the Blue Jays right-hander faces an A's team that has won 6 of their last 9 games and has some confidence at the plate after getting 5 runs on 12 hits against the Astros on Sunday. The over is 38-26 in A's night games this season. The Blue Jays, like the Athletics, also had yesterday off. The over is 7-4 this season in Jays games after a day off. Toronto is 11-1 their last 12 games and they've averaged 5.6 runs per game during this hot streak. The Blue Jays should have no trouble staying hot at the plate against the A's Kendall Graveman tonight. Oakland is winless in Graveman's last five starts as he's given up 17 earned runs in just 24 and 2/3 innings of work. Though he has a 3.10 ERA on the road this season, Graveman has produced a 1.52 WHIP away from home and all those base-runners catch up with you when you're facing a potent offense like Toronto possesses. The Blue Jays are one of the most powerful offenses in the majors, and this is especially true when they are at home. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Toronto as an *8* selection Tuesday. |
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08-10-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8.5 runs in Arizona vs Philadelphia @ 9:40 ET - The Phillies remain one of the hottest teams in MLB since the All Star break and their bats continue to provide much of the momentum for the surge. The Phils won 5-3 at San Diego yesterday sending that game over the total. Philadephia is now 7-3 in their last 10 games and they've averaged 5.7 runs per game during this solid winning stretch. They will be facing Rubby De La Rosa of the Diamondbacks today. The key here is that De La Rosa is rock solid against right-handed batters but he's struggled to get left-handed hitters out throughout his career. This year alone, note that De La Rosa is getting crushed at a .305 clip and has a 1.64 WHIP against left-handed bats. The Phillies active roster, among position players, has 5 left-handed batters and 3 switch-hitters. Philadelphia will be stacked from the left side of the plate tonight and their hot hitting will continue. Speaking of hot hitting, the Dbacks should have no trouble with the offerings of Aaron Harang. The Phillies right-hander has been getting hit hard for many weeks now. After great performances in April and May, Harang turned in an 0-5 June with a 7.28 ERA and he was hit at a .291 clip for the month. In July and August combined (he spent some time on the disabled list), Harang has made 3 starts and he's produced a 7.80 ERA and a 2.47 WHIP. Ugly numbers and Harang is facing an Arizona club that is playing with confidence as they've won 10 of their last 15 games. The Dbacks have averaged 5.4 runs per game in those 10 victories and with how hittable Harang has been of late, they should no trouble getting on the board early and often in this one. Two hot teams, two pitchers likely to get hit hard, and neither team has an overly impressive bullpen (the Phils pen struggles on the road). Play OVER 8.5 runs in Arizona as a *10* Top Play Monday. |
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08-09-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 7.5 | 6-13 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs in Pittsburgh vs LA Dodgers @ 8:05 ET - These teams keep lighting up the scoreboard. They've combined for 20 runs so far in this series and in the finale of the 3 game set the runs will again be plentiful. The Dodgers have averaged 5.3 runs per game in their last 9 games. The Pirates have averaged 5.2 runs per game in their last 10 games. Pittsburgh sends Charlie Morton to the hill tonight. Though Morton is off of a strong outing in his most recent start, don't lose sight of the fact that - prior to defeating the Reds - he had allowed 30 earned runs in his last 37 innings of work! That equates to an ugly 7.30 ERA over Morton's most recent 7 starts prior to facing Cincinnati. Look for his struggles to quickly resume against a potent Dodgers lineup. LA will send southpaw Alex Wood to the mound tonight. He had a relatively solid start in his Dodgers debut but still allowed 4 earned runs in his 6 and 1/3 innings of work. The left-hander gave up 8 hits in that outing and he's been hit at a .290 clip on the season. Wood will continue to be very hittable tonight as the Pirates lineup steps in the batter's box with plenty of confidence. Pittsburgh has won 10 of their last 14 games and this has the team firing on all cylinders right now. The over is 9-4-1 in those 14 games for the Pirates and the Dodgers are going for their 4th straight over tonight. The over is 12-5 in the Pirates last 17 games against teams with a winning record and this series with a strong Dodgers team has already produced plenty of offense. More of the same tonight. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Pittsburgh as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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08-09-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. San Diego Padres OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 7.5 runs in San Diego vs Philadelphia @ 4:10 ET - The surprising Phillies did it again yesterday with their 4-2 win as they remain one of the hottest teams in the league here in the second half of the season. They have now scored 4 runs or more in 7 of their last 9 games. The Phillies will remain hot at the plate as they face Andrew Cashner of the Padres. The San Diego right-hander has struggled in his last two starts with 9 runs (7 earned) allowed on 14 hits (including 2 homers) and 6 walks in 11 and 1/3 innings. Lefties are hitting .290 against Cashner and the Phillies have some dangerous left-handed bats and switch-hitters that will be in their lineup for this afternoon match-up. The problem for Philadelphia though will be the fact that their own pitching situation is a big question mark in this one. Jerome Williams gets the start for the Phillies and he's 0-6 on the road this season with an 8.01 ERA and a 1.90 WHIP in his 9 starts away from home. Williams is coming off of an outing where he allowed just 1 earned run but he only lasted 5 innings and was constantly in trouble as he gave up 7 hits and walked 3 in that short stint. That start was at home and his prior two starts came on the road where he continues to get pounded just as he has all season long. The over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these clubs in San Diego. The over was 9-1 in the Padres last 10 games prior to yesterday's poor effort where they managed just 2 runs of offense. Facing the Phillies "road adverse" Williams will help the Padres offense to get right back on track Sunday! Play OVER 7.5 runs in San Diego as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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08-09-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Cleveland Indians OVER 7 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7 runs in Cleveland vs Minnesota @ 1:10 ET - These teams have combined for 40 runs in the first two games of this three game set. There is no reason to expect the hot hitting to stop and I'll take advantage of the low total posted in the series finale. The low total on this game is because both Phil Hughes and Corey Kluber have posted some solid numbers so far this season. The key here is that both have shown signs of weakness recently and with the confident lineups they are facing at the plate today, there is every reason to believe that the "breakdowns" continue and some more big innings are again the storyline in today's match-up. The Indians Kluber has allowed at least 5 earned runs in 2 of his last 3 starts. The over is 6-3 in his day game starts this season as Kluber has been hit at a .272 clip in day games (compared to his solid .229 BAA in night games). The Twins Hughes has allowed two homers in each of his last two starts and he's compiled a 6.75 ERA in these two outings. The Minnesota right-hander has allowed 4 earned runs in each of his last 3 starts against the Indians and Hughes has been rocked for 28 hits in the 20 innings spanning those 3 starts against the Tribe. Like Kluber, Hughes day game starts have trended over with the over going 6-3 as well in his day game outings this season. Look for another wild one at Progressive Field this afternoon. Play OVER 7 runs in Cleveland as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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08-08-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8 runs in Kansas City vs Chicago White Sox @ 7:10 ET - The White Sox lost the series opener yesterday by a 3-2 count and that was the first under they have recorded since 26 July! The ChiSox had gone over the total in 10 straight games before yesterday's pitchers' duel resulted in their first under in nearly two weeks! The hot hitting resumes tonight. The White Sox had averaged 6 runs per game during their 10 game win streak and they will be "teeing off" against a struggling Jeremy Guthrie tonight. The Royals right-hander has been getting absolutely crushed of late. Guthrie is winless in his last 3 starts and he's produced a 7.27 ERA and a 1.96 WHIP during this very rough stretch. In his most recent start Guthrie gave up 3 homers and he now faces a White Sox lineup that has been "feeling it" at the plate in recent weeks. The Royals will also certainly get their fair share of runs tonight. They are one of the top hitting teams in the league when on their home field and Kansas City had scored 5 runs or more in 4 of their last 6 games before putting up just 3 yesterday. They catch White Sox right-hander Jeff Samardzija at a good time as he got rocked in his most recent outing. Samardzija gave up 9 earned runs in less than 5 innings of work against the Yankees Sunday. He's now given up 13 earned runs in his last 12 and 2/3 innings of work and, like Guthrie, he's also been plagued bythe long ball as he's allowed 3 homers in those two outings. Samardzija has also given up 3 homers in his last two starts against the Royals and he's winless with a 5.59 ERA in 3 career starts against Kansas City. Play OVER 8 runs in Kansas City as a *10* Top Play Saturday. |
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08-08-15 | Houston Astros v. Oakland A's OVER 7.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs in Oakland vs Houston @ 4:05 ET - Yesterday's 3-1 Oakland win stayed well under the total but the value is on the over in Saturday's match-up. Houston sends Collin McHugh to the mound and don't be fooled by his 3-0 mark in recent starts. In his last two starts, the Astros right-hander has given up 15 hits while also walking 5 batters in 12 innings of work. That equates to a 1.67 WHIP which is far from impressive! Going even further back, note that McHugh has given up a total of 33 hits in his last 4 starts which have spanned 25 innngs. The fact he's been so hittable of late is definitely going to catch up with him and I look for that to be this afternoon in Oakland. The A's won't be the only club pounding out hits today. The Astros powerful lineup should have no trouble with the offerings of a struggling Jesse Chavez of Oakland. The A's right-hander is winless in his last 3 starts with a ridiculous 10.03 ERA and a 2.40 WHIP. Facing Houston is unlikely to help the Athletics hurler. He gave up 6 earned runs with 3 homers doing a lot of damage in his last starts against the Astros. Overall, Chavez has given up 13 runs (12 earned) on 17 hits and 7 walks in his last 16 innings against Houston. That translates to a 1.50 WHIP and the home run ball could certainly be a weapon in an afternoon game in Oakland. The over is 28-16 in A's divisional games this season. The over was 4-0 in the first 4 match-ups in Oakland between these teams this season. Consider yesterday's under an aberration and look for plenty of runs from the Astros and Athletics in this one. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Oakland as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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08-08-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. New York Yankees OVER 8 | 6-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in NY Yankees vs Toronto @ 1:05 ET - Taking advantage of a low total here and over-reaction by the betting markets. There is a lot of hype about David Price right now and how he dominated in his first start with the Blue Jays on Monday. What is being forgotten is that the start came at home and was filled with emotion and energy. Now Price takes to the road and faces a team that, to say the least, has been a nemesis lately. The Yankees have absolutely pounded Price in recent meetings. The Blue Jays southpaw was roughed up for 8 earned runs on 10 hits in less than 3 innings of work earlier this season. If you think that is completely a fluke, Price's prior start against the Yankees was in August last season and he also allowed 8 earned runs in that game and gave up 12 hits in just 2 innings of work. Certainly I don't expect those types of numbers today but I do expect Price to give up much more than what many are expecting here. Let's not forget that in Price's most recent road start he allowed 5 earned runs in just 6 innings of work. The Yankees are 11-5-2 to the over in Saturday games this season. The Blue Jays are 27-16 to the over in games not played on artificial turf this season. Toronto also is 13-4-1 to the over in games the last 3 seasons where they are a road favorite of -125 to -150. The Jays are facing Ivan Nova today and the Yankees right-hander has given up 10 earned runs on 20 hits and 6 walks in his last 13 and 1/3 innings against the Blue Jays. Toronto's sticks were relatively quiet last night but previously they had scored 57 runs in their last 9 games. They possess one of the most potent lineups in baseball and they get right back on track offensively this afternoon. These are the two highest scoring teams in the majors and they return to their hot hitting ways under the afternoon sun today. The pitching match-up is simply offering great value by keeping this total very low. Take advantage of it! Play OVER 8 runs in the NY Yankees game as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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08-07-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Cleveland Indians OVER 8 | Top | 10-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8 runs in Cleveland vs Minnesota @ 7:10 ET - The Indians Cody Anderson was on a fantastic run earlier this season but he's truly come back down to earth after putting up some phenomenal numbers. Anderson has an 8.40 ERA in his last 3 starts and the Twins come into this game off of back to back games that each easily flew over the total. Minnesota is facing an Indians right-hander who has allowed 4 homers in his last 3 starts and has gone winless after making some headlines with early success. Look for the Twins to take advantage of his recent struggles. The probelm for Minnesota tonight is going to be their own pitching situation. They send Mike Pelfrey to the mound and his most recent win was two months ago to the date as it's been since June 7th that Pelfrey has notched a W. The veteran right-hander is off of a strong start against Seattle but he's struggled mightily on the road this season. Away from home, Pelfrey is 2-5 this season with a 5.67 ERA and a 1.80 WHIP. The Indians are happy to be back home after losing 4 of their last 5 games on their recent 7 game road trip. Cleveland's most recent home game saw them pile up 12 runs on 18 hits and their bats come back to life tonight in their return home as Pelfrey's season long road struggles continue. All 3 match-ups between these clubs in Cleveland went over the total this season. That trend continues here. Play OVER 8 runs in Cleveland as a *10* Top Play Friday. |
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08-07-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. New York Yankees OVER 9 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs in NY Yankees vs Toronto @ 7 ET - Although R.A. Dickey has shown good form recently, most of that strong work came at home. Remember that, as a knuckleballer, he performs well in controlled conditions such as pitching his home games often "indoors" in Toronto. This season, Dickey has struggled away from home as evidenced by his 1-7 mark and 5.14 ERA away from home. Those struggles will continue tonight as the Yankees get their bats right back on track after a couple of quiet games at the plate. The Bronx Bombers had been one of the hottest teams in the league at the plate in recent weeks before getting shutdown by Boston pitching the last two nights. Seeing the knuckle-baller Dickey for the third time already this season will help their sticks return to their hot-hitting ways. As for the Yankees starter tonight, Nathan Eovaldi gets the call. The Yanks right-hander has been hit at a .300 clip this season and he now faces one of the strongest lineups in the majors. Couple that with the fact that the Blue Jays are also one of the hottest teams in the league right now and you have the recipe for some big numbers from the road team in this one. The over is 8-0 this season in Toronto road games with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs. The over is 12-4 this season in Yankees Friday games this season. Another Yankees weekend series gets underway with plenty of offensive fireworks, as has happened so often already this season. Play OVER 9 runs in the New York Yankees game as an *8* selection Friday. |
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08-07-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers -140 v. Pittsburgh Pirates | 4-5 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *7* LA Dodgers Money Line -140 @ Pittsburgh @ 7:05 ET - The opportunity to get the hottest pitcher in baseball at a reasonable price like this is one I won't pass up on. With the Dodgers on the road facing a solid team and a solid pitcher, the price on this one opened up in the -140 range for LA. That is a fantastic value, and one you likely will not see again during this hot streak, that affords the opportunity to grab a sizzling Clayton Kershaw. Not only has the Dodgers southpaw gone 37 innings without allowing a run, he's also struck out 45 batters in his last 34 innings. Kershaw has simply been masterful and he's backed by an offense that "got healthy" against the Phillies. The Dodgers are off of a 10-8 win at Philly last night and have now gone 6-1 in their last 7 games and averaged 6 runs per game in those 6 victories. The Pittsburgh bats are unlikely to be as hot tonight. Not only must the Pirates lineup deal with Kershaw in phenomenal form right now, they also could be trying to "shake the cobwebs" out a bit. They were off on Thursday and their Monday game got rained out. Additionally, the Pirates were shutout on Tuesday and they only managed to score 3 runs in each of their first two games this month. Take the hotter hitters here along with the hottest pitcher in baseball and lay the short road price here in a game that should be a dominating win for the road team. Play the LA Dodgers on the money line as a *7* selection Friday. |
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08-06-15 | Houston Astros v. Oakland A's OVER 7.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *7* OVER 7.5 runs in Oakland vs Houston @ 10:05 ET - Oakland is 27-15 to the over in divisional games this season. The A's are also a solid 37-25 to the over in night games this year. With yesterday's over (a 7-3 home loss to Baltimore), the Athletics are all set to explode over the total again tonight but, this time, a little more of the offense comes from their sticks. That's because Scott Feldman gets the start for the Astros. The veteran right-hander has been roughed up in two of his three starts since returning from the disabled list and I look for more of the same tonight. Feldman's team has gone 6-13 in his career starts against Oakland and he's compiled an ugly 6.16 ERA in those career outings against the A's. The hope for the Astros tonight however is that they just might be able to outhit the A's. Yes, Oakland starter Aaron Brooks had a fantastic start in his first MLB appearance this season but you often see a young starter struggle in his second start when off of such a stellar debut. Let us also not forget that his most recent start prior to shutting down Cleveland on Saturday was an ugly outing last year at Toronto where Brooks couldn't even make it out of the first inning! The Astros are off of a 4-3 loss at Texas last night but had averaged 6 runs of offense per game in their 8 prior games. They certainly possess a dangerous and powerful offense fully capable of providing Brooks with some problems tonight. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Oakland as a *7* selection Thursday. |
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08-06-15 | Miami Marlins v. Atlanta Braves OVER 7.5 | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *7* OVER 7.5 runs in Atlanta vs Miami @ 7:10 ET - The Marlins lost 8 to 6 yesterday and they've now allowed 5 runs or more in 6 of their last 8 games. Not surprisingly, that has resulted in a 6-2 run to the over in Miami games and I look for more of the same tonight. The Marlins send Jose Urena to the mound and he struggled in his first start since being called back up to pitch in the bigs after being away for about five weeks. Urena allowed 5 runs (4 earned) on 8 hits in just 5 innings of work. At the MLB level, he's gone 1-5 this season and has often struggled with command of his pitches which has led to an inability to pitch deep into games. This, of course, has further exposed a subpar Marlins bullpen. As for the Braves, they have some pitching concerns of their own tonight. Matt Wisler gets the ball for Atlanta and he's coming off another rough outing as he allowed 7 runs to the Phillies in an outing in which he was unable to complete 5 innings! Trouble with command of his slider is a bad sign as Wisler enters this match-up with a Marlins team that has been swinging the bats better than usual in recent games. Wisler has a 6.62 ERA in his last 3 starts and the over is 27-17 this season in Braves divisional games. The Marlins are 23-15 to the over in divisional games this season. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Atlanta as a *7* selection Thursday. |
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08-06-15 | Boston Red Sox v. New York Yankees OVER 9 | 1-2 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *7* OVER 9 runs in NY Yankees vs Boston @ 7:05 ET - The Yankees had won 7 of their last 10 games before yesterday's disappointing 2-1 defeat. They had averaged 9 runs of offense per game in those 10 games and they'll get right back on track tonight. Facing Red Sox southpaw Eduardo Rodriguez will help their sticks get healthy as he's struggled in 2 of his last 3 outings. The left-hander has been giving up far too many homers recently as he's allowed 5 homers in his last 4 outings and that's over a span of just 19 innings. Look for the powerful Yanks to get to him early and often and they'll need all the runs they can get because C.C. Sabathia takes the mound tonight and he's allowed 5 earned runs in each of his last two starts. Like Rodriguez, he's been struggling with allowing too much of the long ball lately as he's given up 5 homers in his last two starts. That's bad news for him tonight because, like the Yankees, the Red Sox also have a potent lineup that has been red hot at the plate lately. Boston has averaged 6 runs per game in their last 10 games and they've won 4 of their last 6 games after yesterday's tight, low-scoring win. The hot hitting resumes for both clubs tonight. The over is 7-3 this season in Yankees games with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs. The Red Sox have played 12 Thursday games this season and only a third of those (4) have managed to stay under the total. Play OVER 9 runs in the New York Yankees game as a *7* selection Thursday. |
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08-05-15 | San Francisco Giants v. Atlanta Braves OVER 7 | 6-1 | Push | 0 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7 runs in Atlanta vs San Francisco @ 7:10 ET - The Giants won 8-3 at Atlanta yesterday and the over is now 34-16 (68%) in San Francisco road games this season. The Giants are installed as a big road favorites for this Wednesday evening match-up and the over is a long-term 48-25 in Giants road games where they are a -150 to -175 favorite. With yesterday's result, the over is now 4-0-1 in the Braves last five games. Atlanta has averaged 6 runs per game in their last 3 games and they are catching Madison Bumgarner at the right time. The Giants southpaw struggled in the month of July. He's coming off of another tough outing where he allowed 6 earned runs in 7 innings of work at Texas and this included giving up two homers. He's also struggled recently versus Atlanta with 7 earned runs allowed in his last 11 and 1/3 innings of work against the Braves. Atlanta will have pitching issues of their own here as well. Williams Perez recently made his return from the disabled list and the results were not pretty. He gave up 9 earned runs in 4 and 1/3 innings and had more walks that strikeouts in that outing. Perez has a 9.00 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP in his last 3 starts. In his home starts this season the over is 3-1. Take advantage of the low total posted on this game as the hot hitting continues for both clubs - the Giants have scored 8 runs or more in 3 of their last 4 games! Play OVER 7 runs in Atlanta as an *8* selection Wednesday. |
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08-05-15 | Boston Red Sox v. New York Yankees OVER 9 | 2-1 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs in New York Yankees vs Boston @ 7:05 ET - With yesterday's 13-3 Yankees win, the over is now 10-2 in the Yanks last 12 games. The Red Sox have been trending just as hot as the over is now 8-1 in Boston's last 9 games. I am well aware of the fact that New York's Luis Severino comes into tonight's start with a lot of hype. But that's a lot of pressure for a young hurler making his MLB debut. Yes, he's known for attacking hitters and has put up some phenomenal numbers in the minors, but Severino will now face a much tougher test. He's facing major league hitters and, if he attacks them too aggressively there could be a lot of trouble for the young hurler. That's because the Red Sox lineup has a lot of confidence from having erupted for 7 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The BoSox will pressure Severino early and often in this one. The good news for Yanks fans though is that their epic scoring explosion should continue. The Bronx Bombers have scored 100 runs in their last 12 games and it's highly unlikely that Steven Wright can slow them down. The Red Sox right-hander is winless in his three road starts this season and that 0-3 mark is no fluke as Wright has produced an ugly 6.32 ERA away from home this season. With 4 homers allowed in his last 3 starts, Wright is facing the wrong team at the wrong time! Play OVER 9 runs in the New York Yankees game as an *8* selection Wednesday. |
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08-05-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Philadelphia Phillies OVER 8 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in Philadelphia vs Los Angeles Dodgers @ 7:05 ET - With yesterday's 6-2 win, the Phillies are an amazing 13-3 since the All Star Break. They have surprisingly been one of the hottest teams in the league in the 2nd half of the season and it's thanks in part to a resurgent offense. The Phillies have scored at least 5 runs in 10 of their last 16 games. Philadelphia has averaged nearly 6 runs per game in their last 11 games. They'll get their fair share against southpaw Brett Anderson. The Dodgers left-hander is winless in his last 3 starts and he's allowed 3 homers in those outings. His most recent road start was a disaster at Atlanta as Anderson didn't even make it out of the third inning in that one. Now he faces a Phillies lineup that is loaded with confidence right now. The Phils will need all the offense they can get because they send a struggling Aaron Harang to the mound. He's been so hittable of late that it's amazing the damage hasn't been even worse. Harang has given up 32 hits in his last 3 starts and that's a span of just 16 innings. Yes, your math is right, that's 2 hits per inning and folks, that's a lot of trouble in a hurry. Facing a potent Dodgers lineup won't help matters for Harang. He took the loss and was rocked in both starts against LA last season. The Phillies just saw Anderson a month ago and they got to him for 4 runs (3 earned) in just 5 innings of work. The Phillies are 7-2 to the over this season as a home dog of +150 to +175. Play OVER 8 runs in Philadelphia as an *8* selection Wednesday. |
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08-04-15 | Chicago Cubs v. Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 7 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 7 runs in Pittsburgh vs Chicago Cubs @ 7:05 ET - Although Jake Arrieta is having a fantastic season for the Cubs he did struggle with command of his pitches in his most recent outing. In his last two starts Arrieta has compiled a 3.75 ERA but has allowed 11 hits and 6 walks in 12 innings of work for a 1.42 WHIP. The Pirates will be seeing him for the third time this season and Pittsburgh comes into this game with plenty of confidence at the plate. That's because the Pirates have won 7 of their last 10 games and has averaged 5.4 runs per game in these 10 games. Look for Pittsburgh to stay hot at the plate in this one but they'll have some pitching issues of their own in this one. That's because J.A. Happ makes his debut in a Pirates uniform after coming over from the Mariners due to his slumping ways. I don't expect a change of scenery to magically transform Happ to top form again and that would be expecting a lot as he's winless in his last 3 starts with a 9.00 ERA and a 1.75 WHIP. Happ has walked 5 and given up 10 hits (including 3 homers) in his last 5 innings of work! The Cubs have won 6 of their last 7 games and have averaged 5 runs per game in those 6 victories. That said, take advantage of the low total posted on this game and look for runs early and often in this one. The over is 9-4 in the Pirates last 13 games against teams with a winning record. The over is 3-0 in the Cubs last 3 games against teams with a winning record. Big NL Central battle in this one and it's no pitchers duel! Play OVER 7 runs in Pittsburgh as a *10* Top Play Tuesday. |
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08-04-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8.5 runs in Toronto vs Minnesota @ 7:05 ET - The Twins came into yesterday's game on a 6-3 run to the over but they were shut down by David Price and the Blue Jays in that afternoon affair. Facing Marco Estrada today, the Minnesota sticks will quickly come back to life. Estrada has allowed 7 earned runs in his last 2 starts and those outings have totaled a combined 9 and 2/3 innings. Look for his struggles to continue in this match-up as he's winless in four career outings against the Twins. In his career against Minnesota, Estrada has compiled an ugly 6.00 ERA. The Blue Jays also were on a 6-3 run to the over before yesterday's series opener stayed under the total. Toronto did score 6 runs in yesterday's game and they are now averaging nearly 6 runs per game over their last 9 games. The Blue Jays sticks are tough at home and they stay hot against the Twins Phil Hughes. The Minnesota right-hander has allowed 23 hits (including 3 homers) in his last 19 innings of work. In his career against the Blue Jays he's gone 6-7 with a 4.85 ERA. Hughes has struggled on the road this season with a 2-4 mark compared to his 8-2 record at home. He's also known for giving up the long ball and the Blue Jays possess one of the most dangerous lineups in the league. The ball did carry well in yesterday's game and I look for more of the same tonight and also take advantage of this posted total dropping from 9 down to 8.5 runs as of Tuesday morning. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Toronto as a *10* Top Play Tuesday. |
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08-03-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Colorado Rockies OVER 9.5 | Top | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 9.5 runs in Colorado vs Seattle @ 8:40 ET - Felix Hernandez has never faced the Rockies. Facing them in Colorado for his first ever outing against them is not the ideal choice. The Rockies are hitting over .300 at home this season and they are happy to be back home at hitter-friendly Coors Field after struggling to score runs at St Louis this weekend. Home field will cure what was ailing them. The Rockies also catch Hernandez at a good time because he's off a poor start where he allowed 7 earned runs on 12 hits in less than 7 innings of work. For Hernandez, making his Coors Field debut after such an ugly start in his prior outing is certainly not ideal. The good news for the Mariners though is that they should definitely be able to match the Rockies run for run in this one. Eddie Butler gets the start for the Rockies and he's 1-3 with a 5.96 ERA and a 1.95 WHIP in his home starts this season. Though he's pitched a little better since returning from a stint in the minors, Butler still allowed 3 earned runs in each outing and plus gave up a pair of homers in his most recent start and that was on the road! At home this season, Butler has given up 37 hits in less than 26 innings of work! The over is 9-2 in Rockies Monday games this season. The over is 9-4 in Rockies games with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs this season. The over is 7-3 the last 3 years in Mariners road games where they are a favorite of -150 to -175. Seattle also is 4-2 to the over this season in games with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs. Play OVER 9.5 runs in Colorado as a *10* Top Play Monday. |
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08-03-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Washington Nationals OVER 8 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in Washington vs Arizona @ 7:05 ET - Zach Godley will be making just his third start at the MLB level for the Diamondbacks this evening. Though he has been successful in his first two outings, Godley certainly was hit a lot harder in the 2nd outing in comparison with his debut start. The Dbacks right-hander allowed 3 earned runs on 7 hits (including 2 homers) and 3 walks in 6 innings of work. That start was on the road and Godley is again on the road tonight and he's facing a Nationals team that is happy to be home after some struggles with scoring runs on the road. The Nats are 10-3 to the over this season in games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs. Also, Arizona is 8-4 to the over this season in road games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs. The over is 7-3 this season in Diamondbacks Monday games this year. The Dbacks will be "teeing off" against Washington right-hander Doug Fister tonight. Though he's off a quality start at Miami in his most recent outing, Fister had struggled in his prior two starts with 4 earned runs allowed on 9 hits in 5 innings in each of those two starts. Each of Fister's last two starts have gone over the total and both of Godley's starts have also gone over the total. Those trends continue tonight. Play OVER 8 runs in Washington as an *8* selection Monday. |
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08-02-15 | Washington Nationals v. New York Mets OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 6.5 runs in New York Mets vs Washington @ 8:05 ET - With yesterday's 3-2 loss, the Nationals have stayed under the total in 3 straight games now. Only twice this entire season have the Nats stayed under the total in 4 or more consecutive games. That's quite significant considering four months of the season are already in the books. Look for Washington to snap this string of unders with a strong performance at the plate tonight. Though the Mets Noah Snydergaard has produced rock solid numbers this season he was fortunate to allow just one earned run in his lone career outing against the Nationals. That start took place just a week and a half ago when Snydergaard faced the Nats in Washington and he allowed 5 walks and gave up 5 hits in just 5 inning of work in that outing. That equates to a WHIP of 2.00 and the Nationals will cash in some of those same opportunities tonight with plenty of base runners expected again. The Nats send Jordan Zimmerman to the mound tonight. The over is 6-3 in his road starts this season with a 4.65 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP. He enters this start with a winless record in his last 3 outings. Even though the Mets had just 6 hits in yesterday's game, 5 of them went for extra bases including 2 homers and they will do plenty of damage against Zimmerman as recent form has shown him being more hittable than he was early this season. On a warm summer evening in New York the ball will be carrying well and there is exceptional line value in this match-up. Yes the pitchers have great overall numbers but these pitchers just squared off in Washington and neither hurler was able to dominate the opposing lineup. Play OVER 6.5 runs in the New York Mets game as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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08-02-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Oakland A's OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 6.5 runs in Oakland vs Cleveland @ 4:05 ET - These teams stayed under the total again yesterday. Each of the first three games in this series have now stayed under the total and the result is tremendous line value in the fourth one. This total has dropped to a 6.5 and the value is huge for the over. The A's have not recorded four straight unders this ENTIRE season! The Indians have had a few four game under streaks this season and one streak that even reached five but that is truly the exception rather than the nrom and Cleveland's sticks will get back on track against Sonny Gray this afternoon. The A's right-hander is off of a complete game shutout on the road in interleague action but his prior two starts were at home against AL clubs and Gray gave up 7 earned runs on 14 hits (including 3 homers) in 13 innings of work spanning those two outings. The fact that the Indians just faced Gray three weeks ago will help the hitters "hone in" on his offerings this afternoon. As for the A's hitters, look for them to do a lot more damage against Trevor Bauer than many are expecting. Bauer is off of a complete game effort in his most recent start but, prior to that, he allowed 11 earned runs in his last 10 innings of work! Addtionally, Bauer has allowed 6 homers in his last 3 starts. The ball does carry better in day games in Oakland and the A's have shown plenty of pop in their sticks at home this season. Also, the Indians are 9-4 to the over this season in road games with a posted total of 7 runs or less. Play OVER 6.5 runs in Oakland as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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08-02-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Houston Astros OVER 8.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs in Houston vs Arizona @ 2:10 ET - With Houston's 9-2 win yesterday the over is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 games and 4-1 in the Astros last 5 games. Houston has averaged 6.4 runs per game in their last five games while the Diamondbacks had won 6 straight and averaged 5.2 runs per game in their six games prior to yesterdays 9-2 loss. The Arizona offense will get right back on track against a struggling Astros hurler today. Collin McHugh gets the start and the right-handers 3-0 mark in his last 3 starts is quite deceiving. He's been "lucky" to say the least as McHugh has given up 25 hits in his last 18 innings on the mound. The right-hander also walked 4 batters in just 5 innings of work in his most recent start. All the base-runners he has been allowing is going to catch up with him here. Arizona's lineup was red hot before being held to just two runs in yesterday's game and they resume the hot hitting here as McHugh gets pounded again. The Diamondbacks send southpaw Robbie Ray to the mound this afternoon and he's winless in his last 3 starts with a 4.32 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP. He's been far from unhittable and the Astros have plenty of confidence at the plate right now with the way they've been pounding the ball. The over is 10-1 in Astros interleague games this season. The over is 9-4 in Dbacks road games this season with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Houston as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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08-02-15 | Atlanta Braves v. Philadelphia Phillies +104 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies +105 vs Atlanta @ 1:35 ET - The Phillies are the hottest team in the league since the All Star break but they're still flying "under the radar" because of their poor overall record on the season. Make no mistake about it, this team has gelled. Philadelphia is 12-2 since the All Star brreak and they're hosting an Atlanta team that is going entirely in the opposite direction. The Braves are a ridiculously awful 4-16 in their last 20 games! The Phillies are 86% their last 14 games, Atlanta is 20% their last 20 games! Couple that with the fact that Philadelphia is also a home dog in this match-up and you have huge value with this play. The Phillies send southpaw Adam Morgan to the mound today and the Phillies are 3-0 in his home starts as he's compiled a solid 3.31 ERA in his home outings. The Braves also have struggled mightily against left-handed pitching this season and they were shutdown by Morgan when they saw him last month. The Braves send a struggling Julio Teheran to the mound today. He's 1-5 on the road this season with a 7.24 ERA and a 1.81 WHIP and he's struggled with his command in recent outings. This match-up today is a classic case of HOT vs NOT and with the added line value being offered here, this play easily got elevated to Top Play rating. Play Philadelphia on the money line as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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08-02-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs in Toronto vs Kansas City @ 1:05 ET - Great line value here with this total dropping from a 9 down to an 8.5 this morning. With yesterday's 7-6 Royals win, the over is now 4-2 in Kansas City's last 6 games and all 4 of those overs totaled 13 runs! With the Blue Jays scoring 6 runs in yesterday's defeat, Toronto has now scored at least 5 runs in 6 of their last 7 games. The over is 6-2 in the Jays last 8 games. The hot hitting continues this afternoon. The over is 6-2 in road starts for Edinson Volquez this season. His 2.70 ERA in his last 3 starts is deceiving as he has compiled a 1.50 WHIP in those 3 outings and putting too many baserunners on in Toronto can get hurlers into trouble very quickly. The Blue Jays have an ultra dangerous lineup as Volquez knows all too well. He's 0-3 with a 7.30 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in his career outings against Toronto. The Blue Jays send R.A. Dickey to the mound this afternoon. Though the knuckle-baller has enjoyed success in recent outings, the last time he faced the high-powered Royals he was rocked for 5 earned runs on 10 hits in just 5 innings of work! The over is 10-5 in Blue Jays Sunday games this season and another one flies over today. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Toronto as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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08-01-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Oakland A's OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Oakland vs Cleveland @ 9:05 ET - Back to back low-scoring pitchers duels have opened up this series but that all changes today. Let's not forget that the over was 8-3 in the Indians last 11 games prior to visiting Oakland. Additionally, the over is 36-23 in A's night games this season. The key tonight is the pitching match-up. The Indians send Cody Anderson to the mound and the young right-hander has quickly come back down to earth after his phenomenal start to his career. Anderson has allowed 11 earned runs on 18 hits in his last 8 and 1/3 innings of work. He's not a big strikeout guy either and his numbers are down in that department with just 4 punch-outs in his last 15 innings of work. Each of his last two starts have flown over the total and, with the current form he's been displaying, the A's bats will come back to life tonight. However, Oakland will have a "pitching situation" of their own tonight as well. The A's send Aaron Brooks to the mound tonight and he's only made one career MLB start and that was a disastrous outing in his MLB starting debut last May. As for this season he's seen limited action out of the bullpen and he's produced an unimpressive 6.23 ERA so far. In the minors this season Brooks has a respectable 3.71 ERA but we're talking about facing minor league hitting and, on that note, his .282 BAA this season when facing minor league hitters is certainly not impressive. The Indians had been hot at the plate coming into this series and they resume the hot hitting by facing an outclassed foe on the hill tonight. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Oakland as a *10* Top Play Saturday. |
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08-01-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 in Minnesota vs Seattle @ 7:10 ET - These teams combined to stay under the total yesterday but, previously, the over was on a 8-1-1 run in the Mariners last 10 games and a 6-0 run in Twins games! Those hot "over trends" will quickly resume here with this pitching match-up leading to runs early and often in this one. The Mariners Mike Montgomery had a great start to this season but the rookie's fade has been on since the calendar hit July. The Seattle southpaw is winless with a 7.09 ERA in his last four starts. The Twins have averaged 5.1 runs per game this season in games where they faced a left-handed starter and Montgomery has allowed 4 homers in his last 3 starts plus he's struggled with command of his pitches. Montgomery has walked 12 batters in his last 15 and 1/3 innings of work. Another rough outing is on tap for him here but his counterpart will also struggle this evening. The Twins are sending Kyle Gibson the mound tonight. The Minnesota right-hander has been crushed for six earned runs in each of his last two starts! The Mariners, striking for another 6 runs in yesterday's win, have averaged 5 runs per game in their last 11 games. They will pound Gibson who continues to struggle with letting the leadoff man in an inning get on base way too often. He's then forced to pitch out of the stretch and this has been a key part of the struggles for Gibson recently. That continues here against a red-hot Mariners lineup. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Minnesota as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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07-31-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Houston Astros OVER 8 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8 runs in Houston vs Arizona @ 8:10 ET - The Astros are off of a 3-0 shutout win yesterday and have now won 8 of their last 10 games. Though yesterday's game easily stayed under the total, Houston has now averaged 6.25 runs per game in the 8 wins during this 8-2 hot streak. They certainly should have no trouble with the offerings of the Diamondbacks Rubby De La Rosa in this interleague match-up on Friday. The Arizona right-hander is 2-4 with an ugly 5.04 ERA in road starts this season. He's also been crushed in both of his career starts against the Astros as De La Rosa has compiled an ugly 11.42 ERA and 2.54 WHIP in those two outings against Houston. He's facing a red hot and confident team tonight and the results will not be pretty! The only hope for the Dbacks here is to out-hit the Astros and they just might do that. The reasoning for this is that Scott Feldman gets the start for Houston and he's 2-4 with a 5.62 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP in his home starts this season. Also, Feldman has faced the Diamondbacks 4 times in his career and the over is a perfect 4-0 in those 4 starts. In his most recent home start Feldman was rocked by the Rangers including allowing two homers in that start. Arizona, like Houston, also comes into this game with plenty of confidence as they've won 6 of their last 7 games and the Dbacks have averaged 5.5 runs per game in those victories. The over is 8-1 in Astros inter-league games this season. The over is 8-1 this season in Diamondbacks games this season when they enter a game on a winning streak of 3 games or more. Play OVER 8 runs in Houston as a *10* Top Play selection Friday. |
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07-31-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 108 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8 runs in Toronto vs Kansas City @ 7:05 ET - Johnny Cueto makes his first start in a Royals uniform. His welcome to the American League could be tarnished by having to face one of the top hitting lineups in the league. In interleague action Cueto did face the Blue Jays twice and his only career outing at Toronto was an ugly one with 5 earned runs allowed in six innings of work. Though Cueto is coming off of a strong start at Colorado in his most recent outing, he previously had given up 7 runs (5 earned) on 11 hits and 7 walks in his two previous starts and those covered a total of just 9 innings. That equates to a 2.00 WHIP and the over was 5-2-1 in the Blue Jays last 8 games before yesterday's 5-2 win over the Royals stayed under the total. Toronto sends Drew Hutchison to the mound tonight. The over is 7-2 in his 9 home starts. The Blue Jays right-hander has a 6.60 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Hutchison has allowed 3 homers in his last 2 starts and the Royals have pounded right-handed pitching this season. Hutchison has faced Kansas City twice in his career and he's compiled a 6.57 ERA in those two starts. The over is 11-5 in Blue Jays Friday games this season and this one flies over the total to welcome us into the first weekend of August. Play OVER 8 runs in Toronto as a *10* Top Play Friday. |
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07-30-15 | New York Yankees v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 102 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 9 runs in Texas vs NY Yankees @ 8:05 ET - The Rangers have lost 3 of the last 4 starts that Yovani Gallardo has made and it's no surprise as the Texas right-hander has been struggling badly. Gallardo has given up 14 earned runs on 29 hits and 15 walks in his last 19 and 1/3 innings of work. That equates to a 2.28 WHIP and allowing an average of 2 base runners per inning against a powerful lineup such as the one the Yankees possess can get a hurler in trouble in no time. Gallardo's struggles continue here as the Yanks were 7-3 to the over before yesterday's low-scoring result. The over trend quickly resumes here as the Rangers will also enjoy plenty of success at the plate. They'll be teeing off against the Yankees Michael Pineda. The Yanks right-hander is 0-3 with a 5.04 ERA in his career starts against the Rangers and Texas has nailed Pineda for 5 homers in their last 3 match-ups with him. Texas is 9-1 their last 10 games and they've averaged 6.6 runs per game in those 10 games. Pineda continues to be victimized by the long ball as he's given up 4 homers in his last 3 starts heading into this one. Also, in his last two starts combined, Pineda has been rocked for 9 earned runs in 11 and 2/3 innings. The Rangers will continue to pound the long ball against Pineda but watch Gallardo also get pounded in this outing as he's showing no signs of returning to early season form. Last, but certainly not least, the Rangers 4.70 bullpen ERA ranks them dead last in the majors! Play OVER 9 runs in Texas as a *10* Top Play. |
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07-30-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8.5 runs in Baltimore vs Detroit @ 7:05 ET - Both of these clubs are off of tight, low-scoring wins yesterday but tonight the hot hitting resumes for each club. These are undoubtedly two of the most powerful lineups in the league and the Orioles are asking for trouble with the pitcher they are sending to the mound tonight. Miguel Gonzalez, in four career starts against the Tigers, has compiled an ugly 7.65 ERA and has a horrific 1.95 WHIP in those outings. Also concerning for O's fans here is the fact that Gonzalez has been rocked for 4 homers in his last 3 starts against Detroit. The right-hander got absolutely crushed by Washington in his most recent home start and he continues to be "homer-prone" which is a concern against a powerful lineup like the Tigers possess. Detroit will have pitching issues of their own in this one as Alfredo Simon takes to the mound. The right-hander finally had a solid start at Boston in his most recent outing but that doesn't completely erase the recent form he's been putting on display. Prior to that quality start against the Red Sox, Simon had given up 32 earned runs in his 6 prior starts which spanned just 28 and 1/3 innings. Yes, your eyes are not deceiving you, that equates to a horrible 10.16 ERA. Even including the solid start in Beantown, Simon has given up 58 hits in his last 34 and 1/3 innings of work. The Orioles will pound him as both powerful lineups enjoy a great night at the plate in this one. The Tigers are 27-8-1 (77%) to the over in their last 36 games. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Baltimore as a *10* Top Play Thursday! |
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07-29-15 | Washington Nationals v. Miami Marlins OVER 7.5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 7.5 runs in Miami vs Washington @ 7:10 ET - The Nationals managed just one run in yesterday's 4-1 loss at Miami. The over was 5-1-1 in Washington's L7 games before struggling at the plate in Tuesday's game with the Marlins. Look for the Nationals to bounce right back here. Though Miami's Tom Koehler has some impressive numbers on the season, he allowed 5 earned runs on 7 hits (including 3 homers) in his last start against the Nationals! Washington had averaged a solid 5 runs per game in their last 6 games before now struggling in their last two games. They step into the batters box with plenty of confidence after what they did to Koehler two months ago in Washington. As for the Marlins sticks, they should have no trouble with the offerings of a struggling Doug Fister. The Nats right-hander is 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA and a 2.10 WHIP in his last two starts. In his last 3 road starts, Fister has been hammered for 15 earned runs in just 13 innings of work. Look for more of the same this evening. The over is 29-20 in Nationals road games this season. The over is 20-13 in Marlins divisional games this season. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Miami as a *10* Top Play selection Wednesday. |
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07-29-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Cleveland Indians OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-12 | Win | 102 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 7.5 runs in Cleveland vs Kansas City @ 12:10 ET - After yesterday's 2-1 pitchers duel, look for the offense of each club to get back on track in this one. The Indians will take advantage of facing a struggling Jeremy Guthrie. The Royals right-hander has a 5.35 ERA on the season and he's been rocked for 28 hits in his last 18 innings of work. Guthrie has a 7.19 ERA and a 1.79 WHIP on the road this season and the over is 5-2 in his starts away from home this year. The Indians have been in a bit of a slump at the plate and it's an 0-6 run for the Tribe coming into this game. However, Guthrie will provide the perfect remedy for what has been ailing Cleveland as he gets hit hard once again in this early afternoon match-up at Progressive Field. The Indians send right-hander Corey Kluber to the mound and he's 5-11 on the season. Kluber has a 5.52 ERA in his last two starts and the Royals have had his number this season. The Cleveland right-hander has a 5.85 ERA in his 3 starts against Kansas City this season and they've gotten to him for 26 hits in 20 innings of work. The over was 7-2 in Cleveland's last 9 games before yesterday's low-scoring affair. The over is 24-16 in Royals games against teams with a losing record this season. The over was 7-2 this season in match-ups between these clubs heading into Tuesday's action. The high-scoring ways quickly resume here. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Cleveland as a *10* Top Play Wednesday. |
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07-28-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8.5 runs in Minnesota vs Pittsburgh @ 8:10 ET - Mike Pelfrey pitched "over his head" for quite awhile this season and that surprising result has led to even more line value as his fade continues here in the 2nd half of the season. The veteran right-hander is 0-2 with a 4.58 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP for the Twins in his last 3 starts. His strikeout numbers are down and he seems to be getting more and more hittable with each outing he makes. Now he must battle a Pirates lineup that, despite some low scores on the board, has averaged 10 hits per game in their last 7 games and they are ready for a breakout game at the plate tonight. The issue for Pittsburgh this evening is their own starting pitcher. It will be Charlie Morton taking the mound for the Pirates and he's 2-3 with an ugly 7.81 ERA in road starts this season. The right-hander has made two starts since the All Star break and he's given up 9 earned runs in less than 13 innings of work. The Twins are crushing the ball at home this season and should have no trouble with the offerings of Morton as his road struggles continue. The over is 3-1 in the Pirates last 4 games and the over is 3-0 in the Twins last four games. The over is 7-3 this season, and an impresive 27-16 the last 3 seasons, in Pirates games after a day off. Both teams have solid lineups that are rested and ready for this one after yesterday's off day. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Minnesota as a *10* Top Play Tuesday. |
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07-28-15 | New York Yankees v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 | Top | 21-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 9.5 runs in Texas vs NY Yankees @ 8:05 ET - This game just missed going over the total last night as it stalled out after the top of the 7th. I won't hesitate in coming right back with it. Especially with the season marks these two pitchers have in the key category of WHIP - Walks + Hits per Innings Pitched. Base runners eventually lead to runs and this especially true in hitter-friendly venues like the Ballpark in Arlington. Chris Capuano has a 1.74 WHIP and Martin Perez has a 1.91 WHIP as starters this season. Granted Capuano has made just 3 starts this season and Perez only two but the point is that the form of each pitcher has not impressed. Capuano has been knocked around for 18 hits in 12 and 2/3 innings of work as a starter and Perez has been hammered with 15 hits allowed in his 11 innings of work. Before last night's under resulted, the over was 6-2 in the Rangers last 8 games and 4-0 in the Yankees last 4 games. The Yankees did get 6 runs last night but the Rangers stranded 9 men as they couldn't come through in clutch situations. Against the soft-tossing Capuano, the result will definitely be different for the powerful Texas lineup tonight. Since the All Star Break, the over is 5-0 in Rangers games against southpaw starters. Play OVER 9.5 runs in Texas as a *10* Top Play Tuesday. |
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07-28-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9 | 3-2 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs in Toronto vs Philadelphia @ 7:05 ET - Who is the hottest team in the league in the 2nd half of the season? The Phillies are an insane 8-1 since the All Star break! Philadelphia has averaged 6 runs per game in those 8 victories and their offense will stay hot here against the Blue Jays Felix Doubront. The Toronto southpaw is struggling mightily with 10 runs (8 earned) allowed on 17 hits in his last two starts and those outings have spanned a total of just 9 and 2/3 innings of work. The left-hander will be opposed by a fellow lefty tonight as Adam Morgan takes the mound for the Phillies. The Philadelphia southpaw has an ugly 6.14 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Morgan is unlikely to have success against a powerful Blue Jays lineup that has pounded left-handed pitching this season and that also has been extremely strong at the plate in home games. Toronto comes into this game with a mark of 4-1-1 to the over in their last 6 games. The Jays have scored at least 5 runs in 4 of their last 6 games. Toronto is 7-3 to the over when playing with a day off. The Phllies are 12-1 to the over in Tuesday games this season. Also, when the Phillies are priced as a big underdog of +200 to +225, the over is on a long-term run of 30-13. Play OVER 9 runs in Toronto as an *8* selection. |
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07-27-15 | New York Yankees v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 9 runs in Texas vs NY Yankees @ 8:05 ET - Both of these clubs have been red hot at the plate. The Yankees won 7-2 at Minnesota yesterday and the over is now 4-0 in their last 4 games. Yesterday's game marked the 3rd time in their last 4 games that the Yanks have scored at least 7 runs. Tonight the Bronx Bombers are visiting a Texas club that was just involved in a 13-7 game in Anaheim yesterday afternoon. That was the 6th over in the last 8 games for the Rangers. That also was the 6th time in their last 8 games that Texas has scored at least 7 runs. Look for the Rangers lineup to stay hot against Ivan Nova. The Yankees right-hander is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA in his two road starts this season. Also, in his last 3 starts against the Rangers, Nova was reached for 11 earned runs on 21 hits and 11 walks in 18 and 2/3 innings of work. The way Texas is swinging the bats right now, and with their return back home, they will pound Nova tonight. The Rangers send Matt Harrison to the mound tonight. Although the southpaw is off of a strong outing in his most recent start, he was crushed in his only other start this season and that was at home against Arizona. Like Nova (who is coming off a Tommy John surgery), Harrison has pitched very little so far this season at the MLB level. In fact, Harrison has been pounded at the minor league level this year. Couple that with the fact that his strikeout numbers at the MLB level are down so far since returning to the bigs and you can see that his most recent start may have indeed been a fluke. Now Harrison must face a surging Yankees team that is red hot at the plate and this will not be a good match-up for the left-hander. Play OVER 9 runs in Texas as a *10* Top Play Monday. |
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07-26-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-11 | Win | 105 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 9.5 runs in Boston vs Detroit @ 8:05 ET - Yesterday's game between these club was 5-1 in the top of the 6th and then it died. These strong lineups will make up for that disappointment for over players today. The Red Sox send Eduardo Rodriguez to the mound and the over is 4-1 in his starts at Fenway Park this season. Overall, the southpaw has compiled a 6.41 ERA in his home starts this season. His most recent start came on the road at LA against the Angels and he was roughed up for 7 earned runs in less than 2 innings of work. He's allowed 4 homers in his last 8 innings on the mound. Rodriguez also has walked 4 while striking out just 2 during this poor two-start stretch. With his overall numbers at home this season, recent struggles, and the fact he's facing a Tigers lineup that is one of the most dangerous in the league, there is no hesitation in expecting him to get pounded tonight. As for the Tigers starting pitcher tonight, it's Shane Greene. The right-hander is 2-4 in his 7 road starts this season and he's been roughed up to the tune of an 8.43 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP away from home. Recent starts are not showing any signs of Greene turning this around as the Tigers are 0-3 in his last 3 starts with Greene posting an awful 12.40 ERA and ugly 2.11 WHIP in these 3 outings. The over is 10-3 in Red Sox Sunday games this season. The over is 11-4 in Tigers Sunday games  this season. Play OVER 9.5 runs in Boston as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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07-26-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. Colorado Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 11 runs in Colorado vs Cincinnati @ 4:10 ET - Warm afternoon at Coors Field in Colorado. After being held to just 2 runs on Saturday by Cueto I look for the Rockies offense to explode on Sunday against Michael Lorenzen. The young right-hander has an unimpressive 5.40 ERA and 1.73 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He also will be making his first ever start at Coors Field, a venue known for being unkind to pitchers in their first visit here. The Rockies had scored at least 6 runs in 3 of their last 4 games before yesterday's disappointing result and they will surely bounce right back on offense in this one. The problem for Colorado this afternoon will be their own pitching as Kyle Kendrick takes to the mound for this afternoon match-up. Kendrick has been rocked for a 6.90 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP in his home starts this season. His recent starts would not offer much of hope for him to do any better here. He's compiled a 6.55 ERA with a very dangerous 2.00 WHIP. That WHIP is "dangerous" because at Coors Field, base runners can equal "major damage" in a hurry! Kendrick has allowed 4 homers in his last 3 starts agiainst the Reds and it will be "hitter-friendly" weather today in Colorado. The Rockies are 31-21 to the over this season when they are off of a loss. The Reds lineup has produced an average of 6 runs per game in their last 4 games and they have pounded out 61 hits in their last 5 games. It's all about the "O" for each team in this one Sunday. Play OVER 11 runs in Colorado as a *10* Top Play. |
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07-26-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 7 | 5-2 | Push | 0 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7 runs in Tampa Bay vs Baltimore @ 1:10 ET - The Rays will bounce back after scoring just one run yesterday but their southpaw, Matt Moore, whom is taking the hill early this afternoon is likely to get pounded. That spells "O-V-E-R" in this one. Moore has a 7.07 ERA and a 1.93 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The left-hander also had one of the worst starts of his career against the Orioles the last time he faced them. Moore gave up 8 earned runs on 12 hits in 5 innings of work. The southpaw is likely to get pounded here again as the Orioles finally got some confidence back with yesterday's 5-1 win. The Rays offense should do plenty of damage agianst the Orioles starter today. It's Wei-Yin Chen getting the start and he's given up 18 hits in his last 14 and 1/3 innings of work. Also, he's allowed 4 homers in his last 3 starts against the Rays. This is a bit of a contrarian play to say the least as neither team has been scoring a lot of runs of late. But these are the types of situations where you also can often some of the best value on the board and that is the case here. The over is 9-4 in Rays games this season where their money line price is a home dog range of +100 to +125. Also, the over is 16-9 in Tampa Bay home games with a posted total of 7 runs or less this season. Play OVER 7 runs in Tampa Bay as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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07-25-15 | Texas Rangers v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 7.5 | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 7.5 runs in LA Angels vs Texas @ 9:05 ET - Yovani Gallardo is not right. The Rangers right-hander is lucky his ERA is not higher in his last 3 starts. He's 0-3 in his last 3 outings with a 5.28 ERA but even more alarming is the fact that he's allowed 21 hits and 12 walks in the 15 and 1/3 innings that have spanned these last 3 starts. With the Angels looking to bounce back off of two straight losses where they have managed to score a combined two runs, Gallardo provides the perfect remedy to heal their lineup! The Angels had won 7 straight games before this little two game mini-skid and their offense responds tonight. That said, why is the play here the over rather than the Angels? It's because there is plenty of reason to believe that the Rangers will do some damage against the Angels Hector Santiago. The southpaw allowed just one earned run in his most recent start but note that he gave up 8 hits in his 5 innings of work in that outing. Santiago has now allowed 16 hits in 12 innings spanning his last two starts. Though he's had success against the Rangers this season it's an added benefit that they just recently saw him - July 4th. It's also a huge benefit that they are seeing him for the fourth time already this season! The Rangers come into this game with 4 wins in their last 6 games and their offense has led the way with an average of 11 hits per game in their last 7 games. The over is 7-4 this season in Texas games when they are on a winning streak of 3 games or more. The over is 6-3 this season in match-ups between these clubs! Play OVER 7.5 runs in the LA Angels game as a *10* Top Play selection Saturday. |
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07-25-15 | Milwaukee Brewers +108 v. Arizona Diamondbacks | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play Milwaukee Brewers Money Line +108 @ Arizona @ 8:10 ET - Taylor Jungmann is "in the zone", to say the least, as the young right-hander has been dominating of late. Jungmann comes into this start having allowed just one earned run in each of his last three starts. In those three outings Jungmann has given up just 12 hits in 24 innings of work and I look for him to dominate the Diamondbacks lineup in this one. The Brewers have a better road record than home record this season while the Dbacks have a losing record in home games this year. That said, there is great value with taking the road team in this one with the much stronger hurler on the hill. The Dbacks are sending Rubby De La Rosa to the mound and he's compiled a 6.32 ERA and a 1.85 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Arizona has lost 4 of thei last 5 games that De La Rosa has started. Conversely, Milwaukee is a perfect 5-0 in Jungmann's road starts this season! With yesterday's 2-1 loss, the Diamondbacks are 2-9 in their last 11 games. As for the Brewers, with the victory yesterday they are now 15-6 in their last 21 games. Play the hotter team with the stronger pitcher and watch the Dbacks struggling offense continue to flounder as they face Jungmann for the first time this season whereas the Brewers lineup pounds De La Rosa just like the did two months ago in Milwaukee. The BrewCrew has averaged 5 runs per game in their last 9 games. The Dbacks have been held to 3 runs or less in 5 of their last 6 games. Play Milwaukee on the money line as a *10* Top Play Saturday. |
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07-25-15 | Houston Astros v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8 | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in Kansas City vs Houston @ 7:10 ET - Scott Feldman's first start after coming off of the DL was not impressive. He gave up 4 earned runs on 9 hits in less than 6 innings of work. He also allowed 2 homers in that start and now faces a Royals lineup known for knocking the cover off of the ball in home games. That said, a rare home shutout loss for Kansas City yesterday means a big bounce back today. The Royals will be happy to face against a right-handed starter today as they have struggled against southpaws this season but have a solid 40-21 record against right-handers. The reason the play here is the over rather than the Royals is because I also look for the KC starter to get clocked as well. Kansas City sends southpaw Danny Duffy to the mound this evening. He's off his deepest start of the season as he pitched into the 9th inning and threw 113 pitches in his win over the White Sox Sunday. Therein lies the key, the amount of pitches thrown. Each time Duffy has thrown at least 100 pitches this season in a start, he's been hammered in his next outing. The combined numbers of those two starts: 5 earned runs on 14 hits in just 5 and 2/3 innings of work! The Astros have won five straight games and they have averaged 6 runs per game in their last 6 games. They remain red hot against Duffy as he fatigues early in this one after the lengthy outing Sunday. Play OVER 8 runs in Kansas City as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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07-25-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Tampa Bay Rays -106 | 5-1 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* Tampa Bay Rays Money Line -106 vs Baltimore @ 6:10 ET - With their 3-1 loss in the series opener between these clubs, the Orioles have now lost 4 straight and 7 of their last 9 games. Things are unlikely to improve for Baltimore this evening as they face a Rays pitcher who has produced an impressive stat. Erasmo Ramirez has not allowed more than 2 runs in a start since May! In the past two months the Tampa Bay right-hander has gone 9 straight outings without allowing more than two earned runs. It is the 2nd longest such streak in Rays history. His consistency in this area should stay intact against a floundering Orioles offense. The O's have been held to an average of just 5.5 HITS per game in their last 4 games. Conversely, the Rays should have no troubles with the offerings of Miguel Gonzalez. The Orioles right-hander has a 7.20 ERA in his last two starts and has allowed 15 hits in the 10 innings that have spanned those two outings. The O's are only 4-4 in road starts for Gonzalez this season while the Rays are 11-3 in all starts for Ramirez this season. Play the hot team and the hotter pitcher as the Orioles losing streak is the longest current losing streak in the league and reaches 5 straight defeats today! Play Tampa Bay on the money line as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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