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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-08-20 | Lions +4.5 v. Vikings | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Does anyone get remotely excited about this matchup anymore? How about the Vikings taking it to the Pack last week? Scored TDs on each of first 4 possessions. Dalvin Cook was running HARD in Lambeau last week: 30 carries, 163 yards, & 3 rushing TDs. Also 63 receiving yards & a receiving TD. Good for him: 2nd only to Henry in rushing yards, along with 11 TDs. He became the first Viking with 4 TDs in a game since Ahmad Rashed in 1979. Time flies. Lions have now lost 16 of last 20 games, but have scored 21+ points in each of their first 7 games of a season for the first time since 1954. |
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11-07-20 | Baylor v. Iowa State -13.5 | 31-38 | Loss | -114 | 69 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units "Always Dangerous" Bears losing their ferocity, with 27, 64, 93 rushing yards L3 games (0-3 SU, 0-2-1 ATS), & Brewer just 69th in passing efficiency. Cyclones have the weapons in Purdy (219 passing yards per game), & Hall (901 rushing yards, #2 in land). Dog series, but Cyclones remember last year's heartbreak. |
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11-07-20 | Oklahoma State -11.5 v. Kansas State | 20-18 | Loss | -112 | 66 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Four turnovers did 'Pokes in in 41-34 loss to Texas, despite 32-17 first downs & 530-287 total yard edges. Sanders: career-high 400 passing yards, but 3 turn overs. 'Cats owned a 7-0 ATS run, before 485-225 yard deficit in loss to West Virginia. Have outplayed just one foe, ranking 84th in total "O". |
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11-07-20 | Texas Tech +9.5 v. TCU | 18-34 | Loss | -114 | 27 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Second of three revenge setups for Raiders, while this is a revenge sandwich for the Frogs, who are in off a 247-93 rushing yard edge in solid win over Baylor, leading 30-0 in the 2nd. Raiders have allowed 30+ points in 13 of their last 15 games, but 8-of-10 Tcu games been decided by less than 8 points SU. |
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11-07-20 | Houston v. Cincinnati -13.5 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 70 h 38 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CFB Game of the Week Bearcats were a pleasure, with their annihilation of Memphis last week, & with much to prove, following last season's late season collapse, they are hardly in a "letdown" state of mind for the rest of the year. Consecutive 31½ & 32½ covers, while climbing to the #6 spot in the polls, has their enthusiasm at an all-time high, with QB Ridder passing for 5 TDs LW, while Cincy's overland game has posted a 555-80 yard edge the past 2 weeks. Cougars have allowed 35 points per game over their last 22 lined affairs. Spot bit light. |
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11-07-20 | Boston College -14 v. Syracuse | 16-13 | Loss | -100 | 64 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The reason that this one isn't on the top of our list, is a bit of reluctance in pegging the Eagles, in a bit of a fear of a letdown, following their near miss in last week's killer loss to the #1 team in the land, as they led Clemson, 28-10, only to lose 34-28 in the final 1:18. Other than that disappointment, they've been a steady play, on the plus side of the spread in 7 of the last 8 years. The Orange haven't crossed the recruiting threshold, with this season's 1-6 mark the result. Lost last 3 HGs by 38-24, 38-21, & 38-14. |
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11-07-20 | West Virginia +6.5 v. Texas | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 66 h 51 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Mismatch of the Week Dog continues to bark in Steer contests. Now 27-12-1. Took Oklahoma State in OT, despite negative stat dominance, with another 3 TDs with 0 INTs from Ehlinger (now 20 TDs with 5 INTs). Mounties have outgained all six foes, ranking 10th, 5th, 17th, & 4th in rushing, passing, scoring, & total "D". We take the TD. |
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11-06-20 | San Jose State v. San Diego State -9 | 28-17 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Spartans not exactly an overland power, but QB Starkel is something else: 467 passing yards, 5 TDs 0 INTs in 17-0 windup win over New Mexico. Aztecs came in for us, with 30-11 first down edge. And note a 694-183 rushing yard edge this season |
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11-05-20 | Utah State v. Nevada -16 | 9-34 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Pack QB Strong is at 385 passing yards per game (6 TDs with 0 INTs) to help stake Nevada to identical 37-point outputs, & we heartily agree, as this represents their 3rd straight revenge setup. The Aggies are struggling, with 25-12 & 30-11 first down deficits in combined 80-20 point, & 1,020-418 yard shortage. Only way to go. |
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11-02-20 | Bucs -12.5 v. Giants | 25-23 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Yes, we know that we're bucking the Monday Night double digit home dog with this call. Tom Brady is no stranger to this venue. The most famous was when the 15-0 Pats came in here in 2007, with the 2 playing one of the most memorable regular season games ever. Of course, the Pats won, 38-35, for a perfect 16-0. A month later: Giants 17 Patriots 14, in Super Bowl LI. Bucs seem to have landed another weapon: none other than Antonio Brown. Brady last week: 33-of-45, 369 yards, 4 TDs and 0 INTs, with another rushing TD. His first career game with 4+ TD passes & a rushing TD. Not exactly what the Giants needed, after blowing game with the Eagles. No Monday upset |
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11-01-20 | Cowboys v. Eagles -10.5 | 9-23 | Win | 100 | 34 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Not exactly the sexiest matchup here, as these 2 continue to disappoint. However, a huge game in regard to the NFC East title. Cowboys giving up points by the bushel, allowing 16 TD passes with just a single pick. Zeke: 1st 4 seasons: 97 rushing yards per game. This season? Try 69 yards per game. Not what the 'Boys need with Dak out for the year. He has zero games this season with 100+ rushing yards. And Dalton was the victim of a vicious hit in 3rd quarter in Washington. If you need to know just how bad the Dallas "D" is, it gave up 125 first half rushing yards to a Washington team that had the worst run attack in the NFL. Dallas has trailed by 14+ pts in each of its last 6 games. Just sad |
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11-01-20 | Saints v. Bears +5.5 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 30 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These 2 battled here in the 2006 NFC Championship game. The Bears romped to a 39-14 win in that one, before losing to Peyton Manning & Co in Super Bowl XLI. Rex Grossman was the winning QB in that one, even though Brees outplayed him. Chicago is coming in off Monday Nighter vs the Rams, but is 5-0 vs the Saints. Streaky New Orleans at 30.7 points per game in current 3-game winning streak, with 6, 3, & 3 point margins. Bears are masters of the 4th quarter comeback, enabling them to stay with Packers atop the NFC North, with their wins coming by 4, 4, 4, 1, 7 points. More of same |
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11-01-20 | Chargers -3 v. Broncos | 30-31 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Battle of bottom feeders in the AFC West, but these 2 have shown a weird capacity to win a few games every year as a big underdog. Also a penchant for losing close games, as well. For the Broncos, just take the road team, as it has covered 5 straight, which includes Denver's upset of the Patriots (13-pt cover). Chargers in off snapping 4-game losing streak, as Herbert had 347 passing yards, 3 TDs, 66 rushing yards, & a TD. First rookie Charger QB to win a start since Ryan Leaf in 1998, & just the 2nd rookie QB ever with 3+ TD passes in 3 straight games (Deshaun Watson). Road call |
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11-01-20 | Rams v. Dolphins +3.5 | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This one doesn't seem nearly as easy for the Rams as it did on Thurs, May 7, when the NFL officially released its 2020 schedule. L.A. coming in off its Monday Nighter vs the Bears, so a bit of a plus for the Fish, who are in off their bye week. But for the record, Rams are 8-1 ATS vs a road opponent with rest. For Miami, try consecutive wins by 20+ points in the same season for the first time since 1990, & first shutout since 2014. And note CB Xavien Howard the 1st Dolphin with a pick in 4 straight games since '70 merger. That's 50 years, folks! Could be won on final play. |
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10-31-20 | San Diego State -7.5 v. Utah State | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 53 h 41 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Mountain West Game of the Week That Aztec "D" was again front-&-center in its rout of Unlv (424-186 yard edge). Giving up just 11.2 points per game in 8 outings. Should continue vs Aggies, who are in off a 203-450 yard deficit (12 first downs), & have allowed 31+ points in 5 of last 8 outings. Aggies pay for last year. |
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10-31-20 | North Carolina -6.5 v. Virginia | Top | 41-44 | Loss | -130 | 51 h 58 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit ACC Play of the Day The visitor has covered 7 straight games involving North Carolina, but can't see bucking this consistent outfit. Check out UNC's last 3 games: 31, 27, & 34 first downs; 656, 558, & 585 yards. Virginia got Armstrong back last week: 2 TDs with 0 INTs. North Carolina allowed zero TD passes from Miami's King, after he burned them for 43-yard TD pass in game's first 0:28. But Virginia giving up 927 yards last 2 weeks. |
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10-31-20 | Texas +3.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 41-34 | Win | 100 | 47 h 58 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week Extremely tight series, & obviously we expect more of same. The dog is now 26-12 ATS in Steer games. Texas held a 159-64 rushing yard edge over Baylor, & another 3 TDs from Ehlinger, now 17 TD with only 5 interceptions. Oklahoma State perfect balance (236 rushing yards, 235 passing yards) in win over Iowa State. Best game of the week? |
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10-31-20 | Purdue -7 v. Illinois | 31-24 | Push | 0 | 43 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Another dog cover in Boiler upset of Iowa (TD in L2:15), despite a 195-104 rushing yard deficit. So Purdue is 8-1 ATS lately, & the dog is now 9-0 in Boiler games, with the visitor 47-20 vs points. Just 11.8 points per game last 4 Illini tilts, & in off allowing 20-of-21 (5 TDs). Lost last home game by 26 points ATS. Revenge! |
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10-31-20 | UTSA +5.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 3-24 | Loss | -116 | 42 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units FAU in off rare setback, which brings their current SU log to 12-2, as 9-7 lead over Marshall ended with a 20-9 setback, with a 150-yard deficit. However, that reinforced the dog edge in Owl games: 15-6 ATS. UTSA continues its overland assault: 188-78 rushing yard edge over Louisiana Tech. A 14-0 windup, winning it on 45-yard McCormick run. 'Runners 12 pts from a 12-0 line run. |
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10-31-20 | Memphis v. Cincinnati -6.5 | Top | 10-49 | Win | 100 | 43 h 4 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit CFB Game of the Month The Bearcats have been as solid play for the past decade, with six double-digit win seasons since '07, & eight years with at least 9 wins, routing BC, 38-6, in last year's Birmingham Bowl. Returning 15 starters, including QB Ridder, who is in off a brilliant display in last week's rout of previously unbeaten SMU (4 TDs with 0 interceptions, & 179 rushing yards) has elevated them to the 7th spot in this week's polls. Memphis sure can score, but field the worst defense in the land. Cincinnati has been pointing to this one all year, since losing to the Tigers twice last year. |
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10-30-20 | Minnesota -19.5 v. Maryland | 44-45 | Loss | -102 | 26 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Any hopes of a Maryland improvement dashed in 40-point loss to North Western. Now a 319-61 point deficit in their last 7 games: -132½ points ATS. Worst rushing "D" in land, along with 4th-worst rushing "O". Tagovailoa last week: 0 TDs with 3 INTs. Quick bounce back for Minnesota, following Michigan debacle: 328-223 point edge L10. |
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10-29-20 | Colorado State -2.5 v. Fresno State | 17-38 | Loss | -114 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bulldogs carrying over in their recent frustrations, opening with a 325-126 rushing yard deficit in hosting Hawaii. Are on an 0-5 run, both SU & ATS (-61 points). And check Haener's 3 picks last week. Rams return 8 "O" starters, including QB O'Brien (2,803 passing yards, 62½). Colorado State ready. |
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10-29-20 | Falcons +1.5 v. Panthers | 25-17 | Win | 100 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Two teams that seem to be headed in opposite directions at this point in the season. For the Falcons a quick revenge shot just 3 weeks removed from 23-16 loss to Panthers. Atlanta 5-1 ATS in series (3-1 at Carolina). Another brutal last-second loss for the Falcons in 2020. That's 4 losses by 7 points, or less. And it was their 3rd loss when leading entering the 4th. Now 0-4 at home for first time since 2003. Matty: another 339 passing yards (1 TD 0 INTs). Ditto the Panthers, whose 3-4 is their worst start since '16. Were outrushed, 138-37 by the Saints, although Teddy was a solid 23-of-28, 254 passing yards, & 2 TDs 0 INTs. Note that the home team is 1-6 ATS in Falcon games, so reason enough for slightest dog call. |
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10-26-20 | Bears +6 v. Rams | 10-24 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This one could loom large as a post-season tie-breaker come January. Trust us, the Rams don't want to travel to Soldier Field in January. Remember the Bears crushing Eric Dickerson & the 'Boys in the 1985 NFL Title Game, 24-0? We can still see Wilbur Marshall scoring that TD with the snow falling on NFL Films: 35 Years Ago. Bears' 5-1 start is their best since 2012, & 5-0 vs NFC for first time since 2006 (Super Bowl loss that year). Chicago has allowed only 4 TD passes this year, & has been masterful in those 4th-quarter comeback wins.All 4 of the Rams wins come against the 4 putrid NFC East teams! Meanwhile, some have called the Bears 5-1 record lucky, but their wins (including an impressive one against Tom Brady and Tampa) look much more legit |
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10-25-20 | Seahawks -3 v. Cardinals | 34-37 | Loss | -125 | 80 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Any questions about the legitimacy of the Cards were washed away with Monday's 38-10 romper over the Cowboys, along with a 438-344 yard advantage. Murray another 2 TD passes, with 164 rushing yards from Drake. Now tied with the Rams for 2nd place in the AFC West. But still two games behind the Seahawks, who have made the late-game comeback their stock-&-trade, with Russell Wilson more amazing by the week. Remember that the Cards are not only in off a short week, but the Seahawks are a rested squad, off their bye. |
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10-25-20 | Lions +2.5 v. Falcons | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 50 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Battle of dome teams, & 2 QBs who always seem to put up big numbers, but not the big "W". Ryan should be a Super Bowl winning QB, to go along with his MVP in 2016, but a couple of ill-advised deep-drop passing attempts killed it. Lions are in off consecutive road wins for first time since November 2017. And check Swift vs Jacksonville: 116 yards & 2 TDs (8.3 yards per rush). First Lion rookie with 100-plus rushing yards & 2 TDs since Barry Sanders in 1989. Falcons snapped 5-game losing string, doing it in style: 20½ point cover at Minnesota. Matt: 30-of-40, 371 yards & 4 TDs with 0 INTs, his 7th career game with 350+ passing yards & 4+ TD passes. And note picking off 3 Cousin passes in the first half. Call upset |
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10-25-20 | Browns -3 v. Bengals | 37-34 | Push | 0 | 50 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Hopefully, this one will be as exciting as their earlier Thursday Night matchup in Week 2. What a game that was. Last week was quite a comedown for the Browns, in 38-7 loss to the Steelers, after posting 37.5 points per game in their previous 4 outings. Second straight game with 2 picks from Mayfield. And note that Cleveland has allowed 30+ points in 4-of-6 games this year. However, 5 straight games with a sack for Miles Garrett, 1st Brown to do that since Anthony Pleasant in 1995. Bengals in off their 3rd loss this season, by 5 points or fewer. Joe Burrow's 3rd game without a TD pass, with Cincy 0-3 SU in those contests. Call a quick bounce back for the Browns here. |
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10-25-20 | Steelers v. Titans -1 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams enter with perfect 5-0 slates. The Titans weren't give their due, with 2, 3, & 1 point wins to start their season, but Henry's stiff arm in win over the Bills has folks taking another look. Try a franchise record 601 total yards (263 rushing yards - Henry: another 212 yards, including a 94-yard TD run). Pitt "D", & '85 Giant "D" only units ever with 3+ sacks, & 1+ interception in each of their first 5 games of the season. Titans have had an opportunity to welcome back wide receivers who wouldn’t have been available to huddle-up against the Steelers had the game been played in Week 4: A.J. Brown and Adam Humphries. They are an impressively physical bunch and will give the Steelers trouble |
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10-25-20 | Bills -12 v. Jets | 18-10 | Loss | -102 | 50 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Some of the shine has fallen off the Bills after that humiliating loss in Tennessee last Tuesday. Titans did them no favors with all those positive covid tests, & constant delay of that game. You know Buffalo was looking forward to playing the Chiefs in front of a national audience on Thursday, Oct 15th, but it had to be scrapped. Jets only winless team in the NFL, losing 3 games by at least 20 points. Note that the Bills had scored 31 & 30 points in first 2 road games, while the Jets have allowed 31, 37, & 30 points in their 3 home games, to date. Second 0-6 start for Jets franchise, & have been outscored 114-29 in the first half this season (21-0 vs Miami). Bill bounce backer |
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10-24-20 | Air Force -7 v. San Jose State | Top | 6-17 | Loss | -105 | 59 h 41 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit CFB Play of the Day The Falcons can run, & can stop the run, while the Spartans can't run, & can't stop the run. Thus, it's all up to whoever replaces the productive Love at QB for San Jose State (5,886 passing yards L2 years). A huge gap to fill. Air Force took Navy apart in its only other game. Again. |
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10-24-20 | Virginia v. Miami-FL -12.5 | Top | 14-19 | Loss | -109 | 56 h 11 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week The addition of QB King (transfer from Houston) has done wonders for the 'Cane offense, which ranked 98th in the country a year ago. He is in off tossing 4 TDs vs stellar Pitt defense, 3 of them of the long range variety: 35, 38, & 45 yards. That only opens it up for UM's overland game, which has come from #121 in '19, to #21 in '20. Eliminating its game with Clemson, the 'Canes have averaged 35.3 ppg. That goes nicely with the fact that the Cavs have allowed at least 27 points in 10 of their last 11 games (40 pts & 483 yards vs Wake. |
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10-24-20 | Alabama -21 v. Tennessee | Top | 48-17 | Win | 100 | 94 h 54 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week What an "O". Alabama 2nd in passing & scoring "O", behind Jones' 379.5 passing yards per game (12 TDs with only 2 INTs). In off posting 567 yards vs Georgia's previous 236 yards per game "D", & turning 24-20 deficit, into 41-24 win. Tennessee 7 points from 10-2 ATS, but have been outscored, 61-7 since 0-27 windup at Georgia. Romp!! |
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10-24-20 | Houston v. Navy +14 | 37-21 | Loss | -109 | 51 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Coogs have extra day to ease the sting of last week's loss to BYU, in which they saw 26-14 lead evolve into 43-26 loss. Have ceded 31+ points 16-of-20 lately, but Tune 619 passing yards & 6 TDs L2 weeks. Navy ranks unheard of 24th in rush "O", but L3 home games decided by 3, 5, 2 points SU. Barnburners the rule |
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10-24-20 | Southern Miss v. Liberty -11 | 35-56 | Win | 100 | 49 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Flames have been a welcome addition to the FBS these past 3 years, making it to a bowl (which they won) last year. They've won 7 straight games (5-0 this year), with a rushing offense, that has posted 354, 219, 250, 180, & 343 yards to date. Of course, their opposition was anything but formidable, which also applies to the Eagles of Southern Mississippi, who are allowing 40 point per game, as well as 491 yards per game. A sudden decent showing in 41-31 upset of North Texas, only serves to lower the line on this one. We'll lay the double digits. |
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10-24-20 | Temple +13.5 v. Memphis | 29-41 | Win | 100 | 48 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Owls have let us down, so far, especially in last week's narrow escape vs previously horrid South Florida, who stood at -54½ points ATS for the season. Temple is on a 34-17 spread, in spite of that USF wrencher. The Tiger offense is nearly unstoppable, as evidenced by its 50 points & 734 yards, in upset of Central Florida. However, its defense ranks as the worst in the nation, allowing an amazing 798 yards vs the Knights. Two straight barnburners for Memphis (30-27 loss & 50-49 win), with this one making it three. To wire |
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10-24-20 | Kansas v. Kansas State -19.5 | Top | 14-55 | Win | 100 | 90 h 9 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week No Thompson at QB for Wildcats (209 passing yards per game & 4 TDs with 0 INTs), but with, or without him, this is one that Kansas State always gets, & gets impressively. Line moved more than a TD with Thompson's absence, but can't see KU competing, allowing 38, 47, 47, 38 points, & only Vanderbilt a worse "O". |
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10-22-20 | Giants +4.5 v. Eagles | 21-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Hard to believe that the Eagles are approaching the Giants in regard to futility, but it's true. Yes, we are aware the Giants are 1 point from winless, but Philly's demise is shocking. That being said, they're still very much alive for a division title, which shows just how horrible the NFC East is, at this point. Eagles' 1-4-1 mark their worst start since '98. No first downs on their first 6 drives vs the Ravens, & have allowed 20+ points in all 6 games. And check Wentz with 18 lost fumbles since '17 (most among NFL QBs). Six straight games for the Giants with 300 Total Yards, or fewer (first time since 2003). Visitor has covered last 4 games between these 2. Make it 5 straight |
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10-18-20 | Jets v. Dolphins -8.5 | 0-24 | Win | 100 | 30 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units All good (or bad) things must come to an end, but until they do, just continue to buck the Jets (0-5 SU & ATS). Are 0-3 at home for 1st time since 1999. Weekly dig their hole, as their 93-29 point scoring deficit in first half testifies. And allowing 30+ points in 4 straight games for first time since '96. What a game for Dolphin QB Fitzpatrick at San Francisco: 22-of-28, 350 passing yards, & 3 TDs. That's his 5th career game with 350+ passing yards & no picks. Another? How about Miami scoring on 9 of its 12 possessions vs the 49ers, as well as their points scored (43) since 2015. Jet faithful are quickly losing their belief in "hope" |
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10-18-20 | Ravens -7.5 v. Eagles | 30-28 | Loss | -104 | 89 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In '04, these 2 battled at the Linc. That's when Terrell Owens perfectly mimicked Ray Lewis' "Entrance Dance" after scoring a TD. A thing of beauty. Would you expect anything different from T.O.? Best start (4-1) for Ravens since '12: last time they won a Super Bowl. Seemingly unstoppable Jackson has been neutralized, of sorts, lately. Only 19-of-37, for 180 passing yards 2 TDs and 1 interceptions vs Cincinnati, while running for just 3 yards on 2 carries. But Raven "D" had no problem with Bengals: just 12 first downs, 7 sacks, 3 take aways, & a TD. Fourth win this season by 14+ points. Eagles off to worst start (1-3-1) since 2011, with Wentz' 9 picks most by Philly QB thru 5 games since Jaworski in '77 |
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10-18-20 | Broncos v. Patriots -9.5 | 18-12 | Loss | -115 | 89 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Newton was battered fairly viciously in his last 2 meetings with the Broncos (Super Bowl & following season's opening week). He should be ready for this, as he is recovering from Covid. No matter, as Belichick is again, masterful, despite the fact that Brady is now wearing a Tampa Bay jersey. What a pair they were. Simply the best. But Pats aren't about to fold their tent, and will be in the thick of division play. The Broncos are hurting (what's new?), especially with the loss of Miller. Pats again |
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10-18-20 | Falcons v. Vikings -4 | 40-23 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units 22 years ago, the Dirty Birds came into Minnesota & shocked the #1 seed Vikings, in overtime in the NFC Title Game. Bye-bye HC Quinn of the Falcons, after their 0-5 start, allowing 30+ points in 4 of those 5. Crazy thing is, he should have been a Super Bowl winning coach if he didn't outsmart himself vs the Pats in '16. First 0-5 start since '97, going on to the Super Bowl the following year. And check "Matty Ice" with zero TD passes in back-to-back games for the first time since his 2008 rookie season. Minnesota felt the sting of latest Russell Wilson comeback, losing to Seattle in the final 0:15, but did post 31 first downs, 201 rushing yards, & 248 passing yards. Minnesota extends Falcon woes |
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10-18-20 | Bengals v. Colts -7 | 27-31 | Loss | -117 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Young Gun vs the Old Vet in this one. Burrow vs Rivers, good stuff. However, both are coming off some pretty brutal performances in losses in Cleveland & in Baltimore. Bengal "O" vs Ravens: try 3 points, 7 punts, 3 turn overs, & a turnover on downs. Burrow sacked 7+ times for the 2nd time this season. They need to find a way to keep this guy healthy. And Cincy "D" has allowed 150+ RYs for the 4th time this season. For Indy, check allowing points on the Browns' first 4 drives, & ceding season-high 32 points, & 385 yards. And Indy is 2-0 at home for the first time since 2010, as well as 10-0 ATS off a SU loss vs a |
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10-17-20 | Texas A&M -6.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 101 h 33 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week Texas A&M took Florida at the gun (10 points in L4:30), behind 338 Mond passing yards (656 L2 outings). And check 174 rushing yards from Spiller vs Gators. Mississippi State's Costello has come from 623 passing yards (Lsu), to 313 (Ark), to 232 with no TDs and 4 interceptions (Ky). From 44, to 14, to 2 points. Momentum squarely A&M's. |
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10-17-20 | UMass v. Georgia Southern -29 | Top | 0-41 | Win | 100 | 94 h 5 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Blowout of the Week This is the only game scheduled by the Minutemen this season, as they were among the first schools to bow to the germ. Cannot imagine the lack of proper preparation they bring to the table. Even if everything was normal, the fact that they were bottom rung occupants in scoring defense in '19 (53 points per game), cannot be overstated. The Eagles of Georgia Southern are always an overland threat, and again this year, ranking 4th in the land, at 272 rushing yards per game.. UMass was also last in rushing containment last year. Eagles have a rare chance to explode, & despite the Minutemen hopes, we can't envision them staying in it |
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10-17-20 | Army v. UTSA +7 | Top | 28-16 | Loss | -104 | 92 h 35 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CFB Upset of the Week Roadrunners are an "under-the radar" squad, despite their vast improvement under new head coach Traylor. They've been a spread dream, covering 8 of their last 10 games, & are just 8 pts from a 10-0 ATS run, with the latest coming in last week's narrow 27-20 to a BYU squad which entered with a 148-24 point edge for the year (+84 points ATS). The dog as covered all 4 of their games so far, by 54½ pts. The Cadets are overland giants again (#2), but are anything but a road play, as host in Army games 5-0 ATS lately (+87½ pts). |
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10-17-20 | Auburn v. South Carolina +3.5 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 90 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units South Carolina got healthy, overland, vs Vanderbilt, coming from 103 rushing yard per game, to 289 vs Vandy (Harris: 171 yards). Ditto the Tigers (from 65 rushing yards per game to 259 at Arkansas), but note not much help from QB Nix, who ranks 58th in passing efficiency. Carolina has LSU up next. So what |
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10-17-20 | South Florida v. Temple -10 | Top | 37-39 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 22 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week Bulls in off ultimate downer, being taken apart by East Carolina. Now a 124-31 point deficit in lined games, while rushing for 106, 83, & 92 yards. And QB McCloud is just 1 TD with 4 interceptions for the year. Owls 9-1 ATS as AAC chalks, & in off a 106-yard edge over Navy, losing on 50-yard FG & 2 missed PATs. |
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10-11-20 | Giants v. Cowboys -8 | 34-37 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Just what the doctor ordered for the 'Boys, this disaster of a team coming down to Dallas. We imagine for those of you still alive, that the 'Boys will be a very popular choice for those of you in "Survivor Pools". Worst start for Dallas (1-3) since 2010. Check allowing 333 yards & 31 points in the first half vs the Browns, & now yielding 38+ points 3 straight for 1st time since 1960 (first season in team history). More? Okay, how about ceding 307 rushing yards in that loss (most ever by a Cowboy "D"). But Giants are even worse. Back-to-back games without a TD for the first time since '98. NY "D" away this year: 17, 17 points. But Dak (502 passing yards last week) & Co won't be corralled here |
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10-11-20 | Dolphins v. 49ers -8 | 43-17 | Loss | -118 | 30 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Don't tell us it was 36 yrs ago when these 2 battled in Super Bowl XIX, when Montana & Co throttled Marino, & the "Marks Brothers" in Dan's only Super Bowl. Many call that Niner team one of the greatest ever. Second of 3 home games for San Francisco, which let one get away in the late going, allowing 2 TDs in final 4:08 of 25-20 loss to Philly. Have to see quick bounce back, with 26th-ranked Dolphin "O" doing little vs 49ers' 3rd-ranked "D". Miami has now allowed a sack in 30 straight games (longest in NFL), & Fitzpatrick has thrown for no less than 64 4th quarter interceptions since '08. Niners are 9-1 ATS as chalks vs AFC, & 7-1-1 vs the Dolphins. Only way to go |
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10-11-20 | Raiders v. Chiefs -11 | 40-32 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Can anyone in the AFC West scare the Chiefs, just a little? If anyone can, it's down to the Raiders. KC is coming in off a delayed Game vs the Pats. Vs Baltimore on Monday 2 weeks ago: 34 points, 10-of-13 on 3rd down, 517 yards (385 passing yards & 132 rushing yards). And 5 more TDs for Mahomes with zero turnovers vs the Ravens. So Chiefs are now 3-0 for 4th consecutive season (longest streak in team history), & have won 9 straight games, while covering 11-of-12. And Chief "D" has held opposing QBs to passer rating under 100 in 9 straight games. Pity the Raiders |
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10-11-20 | Panthers +1.5 v. Falcons | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Not the most glamorous of matchups, but sometimes these are the best games. No questioning rebirth of the Panthers last couple of weeks, behind Bridgewater, who was a sweet 26-of-37 for 276 yards, & 2 TDs vs up-&-coming Arizona. Check Carolina's 444-262 yard edge, as it scored TDs on 3 of its first 4 drives vs the Cards. That marked Panthers' 1st win over an NFC opponent since October 13, 2019 (9 straight losses). And it was also their first game this season without allowing a rushing TD. Falcons in off Monday Nighter at Green Bay |
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10-11-20 | Cardinals -7 v. Jets | 30-10 | Win | 100 | 27 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The "Todd Bowles Bowl", as he was DC of the Cards, & HC of the Jets for a time. Can the Jets win 3 games this year? Doubtful. First road chalk role for the Cards since 20-10 win over the Niners on Nov 5, 2017. Quick start, but allowing 28.5 points per game in current 2-game losing streak, with this the 2nd of 3 consecutive RGs. Faltered badly in 1st traveler, with 4 punts, a TD, & a fumble in their first 6 possessions at Carolina, winding up with a 444-262 yard deficit, despite decent Murray effort: 24-of-36 & 3 TDs and 0 interceptions, but just 133 yards. Jets stayed with Broncos, but note Darnold being sacked in 20th consecutive game (longest streak in NFL). Cards looking past nobody. |
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10-10-20 | Temple -3 v. Navy | Top | 29-31 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 8 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Mismatch of the Week First game for the always dangerous Owls, who are on a spectacular 34-15 ATS run, including 3 straight vs the Middies. Navy is always a standard as a rushing "O" elite (#1 last year). Not this year, with 301-119, 265-204, & 369-90 rushing yard deficits. And note visitor is 22-13 ATS in Navy games |
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10-10-20 | Kansas State +9 v. TCU | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 45 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cats are something else, seeming to get stronger as their games wear on, as their back-to-back comeback wins over Oklahoma & Texas Tech attest. Try 31-5 & 14-0 windups with those upsets, for covers of 35 & 12 points, which continued to extend the success of the underdog in Kansas State games, with the pup now 10-2 ATS in last dozen 'Cat outings. As a matter of fact, the dog has won the last 7 Wildcat games Straight up! First chalk role for the Frogs, who are a paltry 4-14 as home favorites, and are only 14-13 SU past 2 years |
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10-10-20 | Pittsburgh v. Boston College +6.5 | Top | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 97 h 4 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit CFB Play of the Day Third straight home game for Eagles, who still can't run (84, 87, 40 rushing yards), although Jurkovec in off 310-passing yard effort vs North Carolina. BC had tying 2-point try run back in L0:45. Solid dog play, & Pitt "D" allowed 29 first downs & 336 passing yards in L0:23 loss to NC State, offsetting Pickett's 411 passing yards. To wire |
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10-10-20 | Virginia Tech +4.5 v. North Carolina | 45-56 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Hokies keep on doing it, despite health problems, taking Duke, despite being down to 21 players, & just 2 full-time coaches. Note 643 rushing yards L2 weeks. Herbert LW: 208 rushing yards (10.4 yards per rush). UNC #1 in rushing "D", with QB Howell, RB Carter smoking. Points the play. |
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10-10-20 | Oklahoma v. Texas +2.5 | 53-45 | Loss | -109 | 41 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units For the 11th straight time, the Longhorns have been pegged as the dog in this classic "throw away the records" series, & they've paid off handsomely in that role, covering 7 of 8 since '13, with the only miss coming in the '18 conference title match. And this has been the case for the recent history, the Okies field one of the most potent offenses, only to be damaged by a highly porous defense, having dropped 2 straight games for the first time since 1999, & 2-10 ATS. Ehlinger (308 passing yards per game)does his thing in this |
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10-10-20 | Florida -6.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 38-41 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 11 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week |
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10-08-20 | Bucs -3 v. Bears | 19-20 | Loss | -130 | 1 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Potential playoff matchup? This is another big one with late season tie-breakers on the line. Even though Brady has had a ton of success in cold Foxboro in January, he'd like to avoid Soldier Field if possible. Three straight wins for the Bucs with Tom at 1,123 yards, & a TD catch in 5 straight games for Evans. The Bears at home this year: 17 & 11 points (0-2 ATS), & only 28 rushing yards in hosting loss to the Colts. Their first 10 possessions: 3 points & 7 punts, & they're the only team not to score a 3rd quarter TD this year. Tom last week: 369 passing yards & 5 touchdowns with 1 interception (oldest player with 2 straight 3+ TD games). Lay the points |
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10-04-20 | Eagles +7.5 v. 49ers | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 53 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Third matchup this week that could have a major impact in the NFL playoff picture. Check Niner rout of hapless Giants, despite going it without their starting QB, RB, WR, TE, LB, CB, & 3 "D" linemen. No Jimmy, no problem, as Mullens threw for 323 yards (now has 275+ passing yards in 5 of his last 6 starts). And check San Francisco's first game without a punt since 1993. However, 49ers are 0-6 ATS off a pair of SU/ATS wins. Eagles being killed by the turnover: minus 7 for the season, with Wentz the first Philly QB with 2+ picks in 3 straight games since Ron Jaworski in '85 |
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10-04-20 | Giants v. Rams -12.5 | 9-17 | Loss | -105 | 98 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right, the road team has covered all 3 Giant contests, with their only spread success by a single point at Chicago. For the first time since 1983, NY has managed 16 points, or fewer, in each of their first 3 games of the season (QB Jones: multiple turnovers in all 3). And Check an NFL-worst 12-39 record since the start of the 2017 season. Quite a comeback for the Rams at Buffalo, turning a 28-3 deficit into a 32-28 lead, only to lose in L 0:15. Donald: 2 more sacks. Should overwhelm toothless Giants |
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10-04-20 | Ravens -13 v. Washington Football Team | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 95 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sure, there is an excellent chance that the Ravens will have been drained, off their Monday Night Classic War with the Chiefs. Possibly, but jumping off this machine is not in our repertoire, with their current 11-2 spread run, the vast majority of which came with some to spare. Now 7-0 ATS as road favorites of 6+ points. Jackson: 21-3 SU as a starter, & Ravens first team to rush for 200+ yards per game, & pass for 200+ yards per game in same season since 1950. Washington perfect foils, allowing 30+ points in 5 of their last 6 games, with Haskins coming in off 3 picks in loss to Browns, & may have lost Chase Young |
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10-04-20 | Vikings v. Texans -3.5 | 31-23 | Loss | -108 | 66 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A pair of unexpected winless teams here. Kirk Cousins on the road vs a quality team. No thank you. Texans have run the gauntlet of KC, Baltimore, & Pitt: thus 0-3 for 5th time in franchise history. Chance for redemption here, as Watson is the first Texan QB with 250+ passing yards in each of his first 3 games of the season, while Cousins has nine interceptions in his last 7 games (just 3 picks in his previous 13 outings). No, neither team is a defensive stalwart, but Watson can just make things happen |
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10-03-20 | Oklahoma v. Iowa State +7 | Top | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 79 h 3 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Big-12 Play of the Day Call reversal of LY's 42-14 Sooner win. Oklahoma in off shocking 38-35 loss to Kansas State, after leading 28-7 (24-0 windup), as Frosh QB Rattler tossed 3 key picks, thereby offsetting 387 passing yards (4 TDs). Sooners are now on a 2-9 ATS run by 126½ points. All that despite a 900-683 point edge in their last 22 lined games. Cyclones in off wrenching win over Tcu, despite a sweetly balanced 212 rushing yards & 213 passing yards, with steady Purdy 18-of-23, & 154 rushing yards from Hall (3 TDs & 8.6 yards per rush). All the trends are in favor of the Cyclones.. |
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10-03-20 | Arkansas v. Mississippi State -17.5 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -120 | 79 h 7 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week Mike Leach is an offensive god. His acquisition was a stroke of genius by the Bulldogs, who came in at #111 in passing "O" last year. Not only that, but ex-Stanford QB Costello has just the right tools to take full advantage. A spectacular 623 passing yards & 5 TDs (31, 43, 75, 9, & 24 yards) set new SEC records. And against LSU, no less. Arkansas is now 2-22 SU of late, allowing 45 points per game over their last 8 outings. Note an unanswered 32 points to wind up their 37-10 loss to Georgia. Won't slow this train down a bit... |
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10-03-20 | Texas A&M v. Alabama -17 | Top | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 75 h 11 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Mismatch of the Week Well, the 'Tide let us down in 38-19 win over Mizzou, allowing the backdoor cover, after taking a 35-3 lead in the 3rd. Thus a 15-3 deficit over the final 16:09. A closer peek shows 'Bama with just a 92-yard edge. However, QB Jones, who filled in ably for the injured Tagovailoa, was an effective 18-of-24 ( TD's with 0 picks). Aggies aren't the best of plays in this situation (1-14 ATS as an SEC dog), & enter off a sloppy win over Vandy (25½ point ATS loss), with only 2 TDs vs last year's 92nd-rated "D". 'Tide covers every other week. |
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10-03-20 | South Florida v. Cincinnati -22 | 7-28 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bearcats just continue on. They're in off a pair of back-to-back 11-win seasons, with current SU run of 14-3 (only misses coming vs Ohio State, & twice vs Memphis, who combined for a 25-3 record in '19. Fifteen returning starters, with strength along both offensive & defensive lines. In last week's win over an Army team, which entered with a 79-7 point edge (admittedly over Middle Tennessee & Monroe), they held the Knights to just one TD, that on a 41-yard fumble return. The Bulls are on an 8-15 spread run, managing to top 10 points in just 1 of their last 12 games. Thus, the 3-TD spread shouldn't scare anyone |
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10-03-20 | South Carolina v. Florida -17.5 | 24-38 | Loss | -116 | 71 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Gator QB Trask took the 'Cocks apart last year, with 4 TD tosses. Ditto his effort in Florida's win over Ole Miss: 6 TD passes, 4 to TE Pitts, as Gators punted only once, in a 652-yard effort. Caveat? Try being stung for 613 yards themselves (Ole Miss). Gamecocks ranked 81st in rushing "O:" in '19, picking up where they left off, with a paltry overland yards in losing to Tennessee. Carolina has a 36-18 points per game deficit in its last 14 lined games, & serves as fodder for this oncoming train. |
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10-03-20 | NC State v. Pittsburgh -14 | 30-29 | Loss | -107 | 71 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Panthers are off to a sweet 3-0 start, including last week's 23-20 upset of Louisville, allowing only 10 first downs & 223 total yards. And therein lies their advantage, a defense which ranked 13th in the land in '19 (11th vs the run). And they also have better states than 11 of their 12 opponents. In their 3 starts this season, they've allowed only 27 first downs & 173 rushing yards. Off to their best start since '14. In that win over the Cards, they posted 7 sacks & 3 picks. The 'Pack is in off a 314-169 rushing yard deficit, in losing to Virginia Tech. Not concerned with the 2-TD spot, as NC State is now on an 0-9 ATS slide when named as the dog. It's Pitt |
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09-27-20 | Lions v. Cardinals -5 | 26-23 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Two QBs with completely different styles, as you have classic drop back passer in Stafford, & the "do-it-all" in Murray. No questioning the legitimacy of the quickly rising Cards, who have opened at 2-0 for first time since making the NFC Title game in '15. Another 353 scrimmage yards for Murray who has 3 rushing TDs of 20+ yards in his young career (Cards had just 2 total TD runs of 20+ yards by a QB from 1970-2018). As for the Lions, Sunday was the 10th time that Detroit led by double digits since last year (lost 7 of those 10). Are 0-2 for 5th time in Matthew Stafford era, finishing under .500 each of those |
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09-27-20 | Jets v. Colts -11.5 | 7-36 | Win | 100 | 30 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Hard to believe that these 2 squads were playoff fixtures in the early 2000s. They played 3 times from '02, '09 & '10, with the Jets taking 2-of-3. New York's Darnold has been sacked in 18 straight games (longest active streak in NFL), & Jets at 0-2 for 3rd time in last 4 seasons. Note Jets allowing an 80-yard TD run on Niners' first play last week, while Indy "D" ceded only 3 points on the Vikings first 9 drives. Philip Rivers is tied with Fran Tarkenton (124) for the 8th-most wins as a starting in NFL history, & that Indy "D" is in off a splendid display, holding Minny to 11 pts, & 175 total yards |
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09-27-20 | 49ers -3.5 v. Giants | 36-9 | Win | 101 | 27 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Was it really 34 years ago when the Giants' Jim Burt knocked out Joe Montana in the '86 Divisionals? Of course, the Giants went on to win their first Super Bowl 2 games later. Second of back-to-back games in this building for the Niners, who are 8-1 on the road since last year. Nice start for San Francisco in rout of the Jets, with 80-yard Mostert TD run in game's first play (he now has a TD in 8 consecutive road games: 2nd longest streak in team history). Giants now without RB Barkley, & that sinks them. NY is 2-17 since '18 vs all teams not named Washington. It all continu |
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09-27-20 | Raiders v. Patriots -5.5 | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 27 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Hooray for the Raiders, in opening up their new stadium location, with that splendid upset of the Saints, behind Carr's 28-of-38, & a time controlling 36:18-23:42 edge. He looked as sharp as ever. So a short week, after the ultimate high, while traveling to Foxboro to take on the best coached team in the NFL. Hold onto your hats, but many an expert figures the Pats with Cam under center, just may be a tad better than with Brady (397 passing yards & 47 rushing yards in loss at Seattle). Sets up perfectly for patented Belichick win |
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09-26-20 | Kansas v. Baylor -17 | Top | 14-47 | Win | 100 | 55 h 52 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week This is one that the Bears always get, & get in style, covering the last 8 vs the always struggling Jayhawks, with last year's rout just the latest. No letup the rest of the year for BU, so the getting is good vs this vulnerable squad which has allowed 38+ points in 7 of its last 9 outings, with the only misses coming in 31 & 34 allowances. Only caveat is fact that the Jays did cover vs bowl-bound BC, Oklahoma, Texas, & Iowa State last year. History call. |
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09-26-20 | Tennessee -3 v. South Carolina | Top | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 54 h 23 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week What a nice display that the Vols presented in last year's stretch, covering 6-of-8 (7-1 SU: Alabama), & only 7 points from an 8-0 spread run. They return 16 starters, including their top 3 QBs, & their entire "D" line. A year ago, they took the 'Cocks apart, with a 24-0 2nd half edge, & the series visitor is a profitable 18-5 ATS. Carolina is just 26-30 SU of late, ranking 104th in scoring & 97th in total "O" last year. Revenge won't work here |
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09-26-20 | Army +13 v. Cincinnati | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The Cadets have opened impressively enough, with a 776-112 rushing yard edge over the likes of Middle Tennessee State & Louisiana Monroe, which was something of a given, as those squads were hardly defensive stalwarts. The Bearcats, obviously, provide a much sturdier picture, returning 9 starters from last year's 48th-ranked stop unit. However, note that the Bearcats were stung for 353 yards by hapless Austin Peay in last week's cakewalk. Army has always been a thorn on the side of quality opposition, such as last year's 24-21 loss to Michigan, as a 3-TD dog |
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09-26-20 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma -27.5 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 12 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Big-12 Play of the Day Okies' only road spread slip came at the hands of these Wildcats, featuring a 41-6 point run! 'Cats return only 3 offensive starters, which is crucial in staying with OU, which owns a mere 865-645 point edge in it last 21 games. Only 2-8 ATS (-96½ pts). The fact that the dog is 8-2 ATS in Kansas State games seems applicable, as well. However, we can't dismiss the history of this series, which shows home dominance. Okies |
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09-26-20 | Florida v. Ole Miss +13.5 | 51-35 | Loss | -106 | 47 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units A year ago, the Gators finished 6th in the national polls, & deservedly so, as their 11-2 log was spoiled only by the likes of mighty Lsu & Georgia, while finishing 10th & 5th in total & scoring "D", & holding a 469-230 point edge in their last 13 lined games. Return 12 starters including QB Duo of Trask & Jones. The Rebels, however, are no pushovers, covering 7-of-last-8 (1-point miss vs A&M), & welcome aboard HC Lane Kiffin. Rebel yel |
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09-20-20 | Patriots +4 v. Seahawks | 30-35 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Second time these 2 have met since questionable ending to '14 Super Bowl. No more Brady, but Cam did just fine: 15-of-19, with 75 rushing yards, along with a pair of TD plunges. So 17th game under Belichick with 200+ rushing yards, winning all 17. Get this: Cam is the first Pat QB with a Week 1 rushing TD since Jim Plunkett in 1974. For the Seahawks, Wilson opened with a bang vs the Falcons: 31-of-35, 322 yards, & TDs with no interceptions. However Seattle "D" has slipped, thereby opening Belichick door. So no breathing room |
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09-20-20 | Chiefs -8.5 v. Chargers | 23-20 | Loss | -103 | 51 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Extra 3 days to prepare for the Champions, which is hardly what hopeful Chargers desire. The Chiefs have now won 10 straight games, both SU & ATS. What more can be said of Mahomes? Was 24-of-32, 211 passing yards & 3 TDs vs Texans. Completed more than 50% of his passes in each of his 37 career games. And now KC has added first class rusher in Edwards-Helaire (25 carries, 138 rushing yards in debut). L.A. was outscored 10-0 in 4th quarter of last week's 13-10 squeaker at Cincy |
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09-20-20 | Ravens -7 v. Texans | Top | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 51 h 53 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day Quite a pair of killers in which the Texans open the season (Chiefs & Ravens). Looked great in their opening 80-yard drive of the season, & stayed with KC, stat wise (9-yard deficit). That wasn't the case when these 2 met last season, as the Ravens posted a 491-232 yard edge in that 41-7 wipeout. Thirteen straight regular season wins for the Ravens (longest active streak in league). Baltimore is in off another opening drive TD (had 8 last year), with Jackson posting 7th game with 3+ TD passes & no picks since last year |
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09-20-20 | Lions v. Packers -6 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 47 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Seven straight division wins for the Pack, so obviously zeroed in on league competition. Check Rodgers' 32-of-44, 364 passing yards, & 4 TDs (no picks) in rout of Minny (522-382 yards edge). That's his fifth regular season game with 350+ passing yards & 4 TD passes with zero picks. His 368 career TDs passes now places him 7th on the all-time list. As for the Lions, they haven't won the division since '93. Only Cleveland has a longer drought. Led Bears 23-6 after 3 last week, only to allow 3 Trubisky TD passes in final 13:39. Very similar to opening '19 season by blowing 18-pt lead to Arizona, for the tie |
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09-19-20 | Wake Forest v. NC State -2 | 42-45 | Win | 100 | 71 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units What a back breaker for us when the Deacons snuck in the backdoor, after trailing mighty Clemson 37-3 in the 3rd, despite managing just 15 first downs & 37 rushing yards. Wake has allowed 36.3 points per game in their last 6 outings, & has said goodbye to QB Newman, who had a field day vs the 'Pack last year. NC State has been horrid (247-100 point deficit in its last 6 games), but returns 17 starters (10 on "O"), & this the ultimate home series. |
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09-19-20 | Appalachian State -4.5 v. Marshall | Top | 7-17 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 9 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Mismatch of the Week We go to the well again, with the Mountaineers, who had trouble getting started in their eventual 35-20 win over Charlotte (1½ point spread setback), despite 29-16 first down & 512-286 yard advantages. Note holding the 49ers to just a pair of field goals & a 97-yard kick off return TD over the last 50 minutes. As per usual, the Mounties posted a nicely balanced attack (308 rushing yards, 204 passing yards), which meshed nicely with last year's 216 rushing yard & 213 passing yards per game. Nine returning offensive starters, with the 'Herd losing 7 defensive starters. Marshall isn't the best of homers, with current 1-6 ATS host run, coupled with Appalachian State's 13-7 ATS road favorite run. |
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09-19-20 | Tulsa v. Oklahoma State -23 | 7-16 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The always potent Cowboys return 18 starters from last year's 19th ranked offense, including the brilliant Hubbard, who led the nation in '19, with 2,094 rushing yards (21 TDs). And against the Hurricane, he set a personal high with 256 rushing yards. Just 4 defensive returnees for Tulsa, which was 90th in containing the run. Oklahoma State head coach Gundy annually fields explosive outfits, & this team is on a mission. Look for quick start |
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09-19-20 | Boston College +6 v. Duke | Top | 26-6 | Win | 100 | 63 h 48 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week Devils did themselves proud, in tight loss to Notre Dame, & despite managing just 75 rushing yards (QB Brice: 259 passing yards) trailed 17-13 in the 4th, before 27-13 final. That moved the dog to a super 16-7 ATS run in Duke tilts, but have allowed 38+ points in 4-of-last-7 contests. Eagles rarely non-competitive (current 19-9-1 ATS run), & have been a profitable road dog (covered their last road game by 34 points). New HC Hafley & QB Jurkovec rewarded |
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09-14-20 | Steelers -6 v. Giants | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 34 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Last year, Steelers missed the playoffs in consecutive seasons for the first time since 2012-13, with their 8 losses tying the most in 13 seasons under HC Mike Tomlin. Not only that, but they ended the season by managing 10, 10, & 10 pts in 0-3 windup. Then again, Ben wasn't playing. Remember, he missed 14 games with that elbow injury. And Conner posted only 330 RYs (fewest by Pitt's leading rusher since 1970). Giants in off 3rd straight 11+ loss season, & enter this season without Eli for the first time since 2003. Steelers the play. |
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09-13-20 | Cardinals +7.5 v. 49ers | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 49 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Niners were sure in control of last year's Super Bowl, before head coach Shanahan decided to limit his dominant overland game. Opening vs the Cards may seem a "given", but San Francisco is banged up, & Arizona has always given the Niners more than decent competition, & look for Card QB Murray to extend his excellent play (>3,500 passing and rushing yards). The Super Bowl loser has gone 4-15-1 ATS since 2000, & the Niners will have to be at their best for a runaway to open the season. Cards are 4-0-1 ATS in this series of late, & worth a look as a TD dog |
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09-13-20 | Browns v. Ravens -7.5 | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 88 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Without a doubt, last year's most disappointing teams were the Cowboys & Browns. Now 12 straight losing seasons, missing the playoffs 17 straight years, not winning their division since 1989 (27 yrs - longest active drought in NFL - 27 years). They now have their 12th head coach (Kevin Stefanski) since 1999. The rest of their division has a combined 8 head coaches over that same span. For Ravens, Lamar Jackson just continues to amaze, despite coming up short in the playoffs the past 2 years. When he is on, he is unstoppable. |
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09-13-20 | Eagles -5.5 v. Washington Football Team | 17-27 | Loss | -108 | 88 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Insane stat: the NFC East has gone 15 straight seasons with a different champion, extending the longest stretch since the NFL merger. Not good news for Philly, although McNabb & Co did it 4 straight times ('01 thru '04). Eagles 14-4 SU vs division foes since '17 (all 4 losses to Dallas). Contrast that to 'Skins tying franchise record in futility last season, with 13 losses, & have now lost 10 straight division games for first time since 1993-94. Hard to believe they won division in '12 & '15. |
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09-13-20 | Bears +3 v. Lions | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 46 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bears have missed the playoffs 8 of the past 9 years, & haven't won a playoff game since 2010. However, they've won 9 of their last 11 division games, with a defense which was 4th best in NFL last year. Lions ended up 2019 with a 9-game losing streak, their first since 2009-10. Worst record for Detroit in 10 years, but then again Stafford was injured for a good portion of the year. Lions: 0-6 SU in division (1st time since 2012). |
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09-12-20 | Coastal Carolina +7 v. Kansas | 38-23 | Win | 100 | 32 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units When a Big12 team takes on a member of the Sun Belt, the public invariably moves toward the Power 5 squad, such is the case in this contest. A year ago, the Chanticleers pulled off the minor upset of the Jayhawks, 12-7, in a game that featured the only favorite role for Kansas in the entire '19 season (9th such in the last 11 years). The 'Cleers return offensive linemen, & that is always key, as is the return of RB Marable, who posted 148 RYs in last year's meeting. The old adage, of "never back a bad team as a favorite" applies here, especially with the added fact that the Jays have no less than Baylor up next week. Thus the "look-ahead" angle has to be considered. Kansas returns only 9 starters, & with their recruiting woes, the green replacements are no answer |
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09-12-20 | Clemson -32.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 37-13 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 49 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week The Tigers have had to live with that national title loss to LSU for 8 long months, and are chomping at the bit to get things going. An incredible SU record of 111-16 since '11, including 4 national title games. They couldn't contain the unstoppable, in last year's 42-25 loss to LSU & Joe Burrow, being outscored 35-8 to wind it up. This team has it all, & the fact the irrepressible Etienne has foregone the NFL to stay with this team speaks volumes. Clemson has outscored its last 25 lined opponents, 1,104-322, with a 353-61 point edge in its last 7 regular season tilts. Wake "D": 36.2 points per game in its last 5 games |
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09-12-20 | UL-Lafayette +11.5 v. Iowa State | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 63 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cyclone spread magic has vanished, at least as far as their current 0-4 slide (-55 pts ATS), with a 60-26 point deficit in last 2, is concerned. QB Purdy rareturns (3,982 yds, 27 TDs), & RB Hall is certainly a keeper, so note that the Cyclones are a home power. The 'Cajuns have been an overland power (#7), & ranked 9th in scoring, as well as 8th in total "O". La-La averaged 38 points per game in 10 of its last 11 road regular season lined games, & has been a solid play on the road. |
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09-12-20 | Charlotte v. Appalachian State -17 | Top | 20-35 | Loss | -101 | 65 h 46 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day They're off a running once again. ASt has to be one of the top "under-the-radar" squads in the land. Note 5 consecutive bowl seasons (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS in holiday contests), reaching 31 pts in all five, & ranking 9th in scoring for the '19 season. Returning 9 offensive starters, including duel-threat QB Thomas, ensures a continuance of this school's brilliance, despite the departure of first-year HC Drinkwitz (to Missouri). A year ago, the 49ers were stung for 47.3 points per game in their first 6 games. Lambs to slaughter |
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09-07-20 | BYU +1 v. Navy | 55-3 | Win | 100 | 34 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The BYU Cougars have clawed their way to a 22-7 SU and 19-10 ATS mark against military teams dating back as far as 1980. In fact, in their only meeting against Navy they beat them, 31-10. Navy was the only team in the nation to improve both its offense and defense over 100 yards per game each last season’s 11-win campaign. However, coming off an 11-win effort last season, their offense lacks returning production (No. 100 overall) in 2020 and figures to take time to become a cohesive unit. Consider: BYU is 4-1 Game One and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on field turf. While Navy is 1-3-1 ATS in their last five versus Independent teams. |
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09-05-20 | Arkansas State v. Memphis -18.5 | 24-37 | Loss | -115 | 62 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Thanks to the recently revised CFB Rankings (post Big Ten and Pac-12 defections), the Tigers are the only ranked team playing this week and they take the field with a new head coach in Ryan Silverfield, a four-year assistant at Memphis. Don’t expect them to miss a beat as he knows the team like the back of his hand. Look for the Red Wolves to fall to 9-31-1 SU in openers here |
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09-05-20 | SMU v. Texas State +22 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 58 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The visiting Mustangs put a 30-point beat down on the Bobcats last season but are only 5-18 SU and 6-15 ATS in season openers. That figures to have TSU fully focused here and with head coach Jake Spivital back in his second season in San Marcos, expect the home cats to improve to 7-2-1 ATS in their last ten games as dogs of 20-plus points |
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09-05-20 | Middle Tennessee State v. Army -3 | 0-42 | Win | 100 | 55 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After having a three-year bowl skein snapped with a 5-win effort last season, the Black Knights are a dangerous “mission team” this year. That’s not good news for the visiting Blue Man Group as military teams in “mission” seasons are 15-1 SU as home favorites, winning by an average margin of 14.4 points per game. With CUSA dogs of less than 6 points just 5-28 SU and 13-20 ATS against military teams, expect Army to begin their “mission” today. |
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02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 198 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Fact that the Niners rank so high in all statistical columns (#1 "D") only cements their worth. But would they have gotten here at all, if not for narrow escape in season finale at Seattle? Ditto the Chiefs, who were presented with that bye, thanks to lowly Dolphin upset of the 16½ pt chalk Pats in final regular season game. Bucking the top defensive team in the NFL (Niners), especially when that squad is in the dog role, may seem suicidal. However, this Chief outfit, with the best QB in the NFL, has been extra special in its borderline miraculous performances, despite the circumstances (double digit deficits into double digit wins in both playoff games). All the ingredients of a classic matchup, with the edge to the Chiefs. |
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