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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-19-20 | Packers v. 49ers -7.5 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 30 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Niners are in the NFC Title game for the first time since 2013, tying the Steelers for the most all-time. What a gem they have in Garoppolo, who is now 21-5 as a starter, while the Niners are 7-2 at home this year. Check Richard Sherman with his first playoff interception since 2015, when he was still with the "Legion of Boom" in Seattle. And what a defense San Fran has molded, standing at 2nd, 4th, & 1st in total, scoring, & passing "D", while the 'Bay ranks 18th in total defense, as well as well as 23rd against the rush, in trying to corral SanFran's 2nd-ranked overland offense. The 7 FDs that the Niners allowed vs the Vikings is tied for the 3rd fewest in post-season history, sacking Cousins 6 times, & allowing only 21 RYs, the least in franchise playoff history. Except for Rodgers, the edges are all with the Niners. |
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01-19-20 | Titans +8 v. Chiefs | 24-35 | Loss | -135 | 27 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These 2 have certainly made their mark this preseason, with the Titans taking their first divisional playoff game since 2002, in shocking upset of Ravens, with a 230-yard deficit. It's also the first time since '99 that they've won multiple playoff games. Tannehill looked impressive in Baltimore, with both his arms & his legs (3 total TDs), with Henry rewriting the playoff rushing records. Try this: 377 rushing yards in this year's playoffs. He had 30 rushes for 195 yards in Baltimore, with his 561 rushing yards in his first 4 post-season games also an NFL record. First player in NFL history with 180 rushing yards in 3 straight games. Titans have played their best ball on the road of late, with the visitor winning & covering their last 7 games. KC is the streakiest team in the NFL, but the Titans have more than proven their worth. |
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01-13-20 | Clemson v. LSU -5.5 | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 101 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Bengal QB Burrow just makes it look so easy. The fact that he leads the nation in passing efficiency (5,208 yards, 55 touchdowns with only 6 interceptions, and 78% completions) is hardly a surprise. And he saves his best for the best, which proved out in both the SEC Title game (37-10 win, & 20-pt cover over Georgia), & the Semi-Final tilt (63-20 win, & 22-pt cover over Oklahoma). Check 349 passing yards (4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions) & 493 passing yards (7 touchdowns and 0 interceptions) in those two. LSU is also in possession of brilliant RB Edwards-Helaire (1,305 yards, 6.6 yards per rush, 16 TDs), who sat out the Oklahoma game. And, as far as the overhead goes, WRs Chase & Jefferson rank 2nd & 3rd in the land with 1,559 & 1,434 receiving yards, along with exact same 18 TD receptions. Jefferson: 4 TD catches from Burrow in the first half of romp over Oklahoma (49-14 lead at intermission). We've been in Dabo's corner for just about all of Clemson's biggies, resulting in a nice profit. Sure, both squads are allotted the same amount of tickets, which will be well worth every cent. However, this classic is played in Bengals' backyard. |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks +4.5 v. Packers | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Wilson is now 9-5 in the playoffs, after going 18-of-30, 325 yards, & a TD to go along with 45 RYs (team high). And note that Metcalf's 7 catches for 160 yards & a TD, set an NFL-rookie record for receiving yds. Seattle a league-best 8-1 on the road, & 11-2 in one-possession games this season. However Rodgers as brilliant as ever: 26/4. Many lead changes in store. |
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01-12-20 | Texans v. Chiefs -9.5 | 31-51 | Win | 100 | 72 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Chiefs have consecutive seasons with 12+ wins for first time in franchise history. Texans outscored the Bills, 22-6 in 2nd half/OT, giving Bill O'Brien his 2nd playoff win in 6 seasons. First-ever win under O'Brien, when trailing by 16+ pts (had been 0-22). Watson ever-impressive (20-of-25, 247 yards, TD, 55 rushing yards, rushing TD). He was 4-for-4 for 72 yards on game winning drive. His rare negatives were his 7 sacks (51 this year). However, a rested Mahomes & Co should penetrate Texans' 29th ranked passing "D". Chiefs nail it. |
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01-11-20 | Titans v. Ravens -9.5 | 28-12 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Baltimore now faces a team that just knocked of the 6-time Super Bowl champs, behind Henry's 183 rushing yards, 22 receiving yards, & a TD. He is the first player with 200+ scrimmage yards against a Belichick-coached NFL team in a playoff game. Tannehill threw for just 72 yards and had that awful pick. Fewest passing yards in a playoff win by any team since '09 Ravens. Bask in that win, but these Ravens are relentless, & as we are familiar, we've taken this Lamar Jackson led "O" to the bank with regularity, & aren't about to jump ship. He is one of a kind. So lay it. |
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01-11-20 | Vikings v. 49ers -7 | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 49 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Cousins got his first playoff win in that thriller in New Orleans, as Vikings also got their first road playoff win since 2004. Cook came back with 94 rushing yards, and 2 TDs, while Thielen had 7 receptions for 129 yards, including that grab on Cousin's deep ball that set up the game-winning TD pass to Rudolph. And Minnesota "D" stepped up big time putting the heat on Brees with their 10 QB pressures. Can Garoppolo handle his first playoff start? Well, he has an outstanding cast surrounding him, as Niners rank 4th, or better, in 6-of-8 major statistical columns. Vikings come down to earth in this one. |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks v. Eagles +1 | 17-9 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Much like the Patriots, can the Seahawks get over the letdown of playing this weekend? That delay-of-game penalty from the Niners' 1-yard line with 22 seconds to go could end up haunting them forever, made all the more maddening was Beast Mode was about to take it in. Wentz is the first Eagle QB to pass for over 4,000 yards in a season, despite that poor start. A season of streaks for Philly, as 3 straight losses seemed to eliminate them from post-season play, only to follow that up with season-ending run, while topping 30 pts in 3 of their last 5 outings. A huge turnover edge for the Seahawks in this one. Call a levelling of that stat, resulting in playoff home call. |
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01-05-20 | Vikings v. Saints -7.5 | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Not the best of times for Minnesota to show its kryptonite, losing back-to-back games for the first time all year, altho they didn't play anyone in last week's |
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01-04-20 | Titans v. Patriots -4 | 20-13 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The New England Patriots were all but penciled in for a first-round bye, needing only to beat lowly Miami at home in their regular-season finale to clinch the No. 2 seed in the AFC. Instead, after a stunning 27-24 loss to the Dolphins, New England will play in the wild-card round for the first time since 2009 when it hosts the Tennessee Titans today night. Bidding to advance to the Super Bowl for a fourth consecutive season, the Patriots failed to earn a bye for only the fourth time in 17 trips to the postseason dating to 2001. Brady has a record 16 300-yard games in the playoffs, including 12 straight with at least 250 yards passing. Clinchers:Â Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New England while the Patriots are 42-20-3 ATS in their last 65 home games. |
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01-04-20 | Bills +3 v. Texans | 19-22 | Push | 0 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Buffalo has slowly leaned on Devin Singletary in the backfield, and the rookie has paid dividends with a robust 5.1 yards per carry that ranks fifth best in the NFL. John Brown led the team with 72 receptions and 1,060 yards while his six touchdown catches were tied with Cole Beasley. The Bills' bread and butter resides on the other side of the ball, as its stingy defense ranked second in the regular season in scoring (16.2 points allowed per game) and third in total yardage allowed (298.2). Pro Bowl cornerback Tre'Davious White, who shared the NFL lead with six interceptions, will draw the assignment of guarding Hopkins. Buffalo tied a franchise record with six wins on the road this season. Watson didn't fare well in his last meeting with the Bills, as he was sacked seven times, threw two interceptions and lost a fumble. |
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01-04-20 | Tulane -7 v. Southern Miss | Top | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 63 h 23 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Bowl Mismatch of the Month The Wave normally rests up during the bowl season, with last year's 41-24 Cure Bowl win (-3½) over La-Lafayette just its 3rd such game since 1998. Thus, this marks their 2nd straight bowl season, something which hasn't happened in Tulane link history since '79 & '80. And the Greenies have won 3 of their last 4 bowls ('98, '02, '18). 'Wave is 5-1 ATS as the chalk this year |
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01-02-20 | Boston College v. Cincinnati -7 | Top | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 46 h 24 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Bowl Game of the Day For the 'Cats, they've played in 17 bowls, with an 8-9 SU record, with this one making it 16 in the last 23 seasons. Hardly competitive in '13 Belk, '14 Military, & '15 Hawaii, before last year's thrilling 35-31 win over Virginia Tech, also in the Military, which featured 7 lead changes. Accolades to their defensive front 7, holding 6 opponents to 14 points, or less. Offensively balanced behind QB Ridder (25 touchdowns and 9 interceptions), with 545 rushing yards, & RB Warren (14 TDs), they should continue vs lacking Eagle defense. |
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01-01-20 | Baylor v. Georgia -4 | Top | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Bowl Game of the Month From 1996-2009, BU suffered through 14 straight losing seasons. But the arrival of QB Robert Griffin, & head coach Art Briles did wonders, with seven straight winning seasons, including 4 double digit victory campaigns, ranking 1st in both scoring & total "O" in '13 & '14. But then a scandal resulting in a 1-11 record in '17. However a quick recovery, & a 45-38 win over Vandy in '18 Texas Bowl (30 first downs, 668 yards). This year, they've tasted defeat only twice, both to Oklahoma, in similarly tight 34-31 & 30-23 (OT) finals. But a closer look shows the Bears with 34-18, 21-8 first down & 228-113, 239-116 rushing yard deficits. And QB Brewer is still questionable (concussion). Can the Bulldogs learn from last year's Sugar Bowl loss, as well last month's embarrassing 37-10 rout vs LSU in the SEC title game? Note that Georgia has allowed just 1 rushing TD all year, ranking 3rd, 2nd, & 4th in rushing, scoring, & total defense. Stats favor the 'Dawgs. |
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01-01-20 | Minnesota v. Auburn -6.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -118 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units As per usual, the Tigers are a force: 7 bowls in Malzahn's 7 years (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS): consecutive 34-31 losses in '13 & '14 (BCS Championship & Outback), while making up for 34-27 '17 Outback Bowl loss to UCF, with '18's 63-14 Music City stomping of Purdue, with a 586-263 yard edge. This season was highlighted by bookend wins over Oregon (overcoming 21-6 deficit in 3rd, winning on 26-yard TD pass in final 0:09) & Alabama (2 "pick-6" TDs, one of 100-yards). QB Nix ranks 86th in passing efficiency (56%), while AU's overland game has been bested just 3 times, with each coming in their only SU losses (Florida, Lsu, & Georgia). Quality of opposition is all in Auburn's corner. |
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01-01-20 | Michigan v. Alabama -7 | Top | 16-35 | Win | 100 | 21 h 44 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Bowl Game of the Day Fifth straight bowl for Wolves, since the arrival of Harbaugh, 9th in the last 10 years, & 48th overall. The downside shows UM losing its last 3 bowls: 33-32 in '16 Orange (89 rushing yards vs Florida State), 26-19 in '17 Outback (led South Carolina, 19-3 in 3rd), & 41-25 in '18 Peach (257-77 rushing yard deficit vs Florida). Ranking 6th in total "D" this year didn't prevent their normal wipe out loss to Ohio State (56-27), with a 264-91 rushing yard deficit. Wolves 6-15 SU in bowls after ending the regular season with a loss. |
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12-31-19 | Kansas State v. Navy -2.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 43 h 19 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit Bowl Game of the Year For the Middies, it's the same old thing: rushing. They lead the nation in the run, after finishing at #5 in last year's embarrassing 10-loss campaign. QB Perry, of course, is the key, with 1,804 rushing yards, 6.8 yards per rush, & 21 TDs. In Mids' showdown games with Houston, & Army, he guided Navy to 447-134, 395-123 rushing yard edges in 56-41 & 31-7 wins, personally rushing for 304 yards vs the Cadets. Defensively, Navy has improved, dramatically, coming from 89th in rushing "D", to 17th this year, & from 111th in total defense, to 20th this time around. The spread on this game has moved about a FG, after Middies dominated Army. Tenth bowl for Niumatalolo, who has made drastic changes, paying off with this year's 21st-ranking in the polls. SU winner pays off |
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12-30-19 | Virginia v. Florida -14 | Top | 28-36 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 47 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Bowl Game of the Month This season, Gators only missteps came in 42-28 & 24-17 losses to top-ranked LSU, & 5th-ranked Georgia. Not bad company. In both games, Gators' top defensive performer (LB Greenard) was either out, or under the weather. In that loss to LSU, the Gators (+14) led 28-21 halfway thru the 3rd, (3 QB Trask TD passes), before an 0-21 windup, & eventual push. Loss to Georgia featured an anemic 119-21 rushing yard deficit, reflective of Gators' 121st ranking in overland production. However, QB Trask is at 67.8%, with a sweet 24/6 TD to INT ratio. Defensively? Try 14th, 17th, 7th, 10th, in run, pass, scoring, & total. Two months have passed since Florida's last loss, while the Cavs demoralized by 62-17 loss to Clemson in ACC title match, allowing 619 yards. Defensive comparisons, & history favor Gators. |
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12-29-19 | Steelers v. Ravens +2 | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 25 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Ravens clinched #1 seed with that comeback win cover vs the Browns. Eleven straight wins, with a current 8-1 spread run, enabling them to rest anyone, but 3 weeks could make them rusty. You know they want to knock out the Steelers with a win here, however they need to give Ingram a break, after leaving last week's game with that calf injury. Jackson now 36 touchdowns with 6 interceptions, with another 103 rushing yards in Cleveland. Astounding. Pitt needs a win, & a Titan loss for a playoff slot. Have lost 7+ games for 1st time since '13. |
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12-29-19 | Raiders v. Broncos -3 | 15-16 | Loss | -125 | 25 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Believe it, or not, the Raiders are not out of it yet, needing losses by Tenn & Pitt, a Colts' win, & a win over these Broncos, to grab the #6 spot. Piece of cake. Carr's best game of the year in last week's upset of the Chargers (26/30, 291 yards, TD pass, & TD run), on their way to first sweep of the Bolts in 3 years. Broncos have come full cycle since opening up at 0-4, & failing to top 16 points in 6 of their first 8 games. Three straight home wins for first time in 3 years, with Lock now 3-1 since taking over under center. And check RB Lindsay, with Broncos 5-0 when he surpasses he century mark. |
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12-29-19 | Redskins v. Cowboys -12 | 16-47 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Redskins have lost 7+ home games for only the 2nd time in franchise history (1994). Also 9 straight division losses for first time since '93-'94, although Keenum came in & played great for injured Haskins (16-of-22, TD pass, TD run). Dak was off in last week's loss to the Eagles, although the Boys had 6 dropped passes. Still can't believe that Zeke had only 13 carries with everything on the line with a banged up QB. So 8-game NFC East winning streak was snapped. But a win here, & Giant win over Philly, will snag Wild Card. |
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12-29-19 | Chargers v. Chiefs -8 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chiefs are playing some of their best ball of the season. During these 5 straight wins, their "D" is giving up fewer than 10 points per game. Back-to-back weeks of holding their opponents to 3 points. Hard to believe that the Chargers won a playoff game in Baltimore last year. Bolts now 0-5 in the division & have lost 10+ games for the first time in Lynn's tenure as head coach. Six home losses for 1st time in 16 years, but can you really call them home games, with all the opposing fans there? Can't buck KC. |
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12-29-19 | Packers v. Lions +13.5 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 21 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Eight straight losses for the Lions, for the first time in seven years, with their 3-11-1 log their worst start in 10 years. And that, after opening the season at 2-0-1. So back-to-back 10-loss seasons. Could this be it for Patricia? Seems crazy how Belichick's disciples struggle as head coaches. Home field hardly favors Detroit, as the Lions are on a 2-8 spread run when hosting NFC opponents. However, in somewhat of a shocker, Detroit has covered its last 5 games with the Packers. So why not try it again? |
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12-28-19 | Memphis +7.5 v. Penn State | 39-53 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This year, the Nits had to replace QB McSorley, & his 9,899 career passing yards. However, a team at this level simply plugs in a competent replacement, which is just what the Lions did, with soph QB Clifford at 2,521 yards, 59.5%, & 22 touchdowns with 6 interceptions. However, he is ailing (leg), but is expected to start here, after missing regular season finale vs Rutgers (19 point ATS loss). The Lions rank 5th in rushing "D", a huge improvement over last year's 71st ranking. That unit had better be at its best, if it is to contain the overhead talent of Memphis Tiger QB White, who ranks 9th in the land with 3,560 yards & 33 touchdowns with 9 interceptions, after posting 3,296 yards & 26 touchdowns and 9 interceptions a year ago. Memphis' only slip this year came in a four TO 30-28 loss to Temple. And White is just a part of 3-piece offensive triumvirate of White, RB Gainwell (1,425 yards, 12 TDs), & WR Coxie (1,144 yards, 9 TDs). |
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12-27-19 | Washington State v. Air Force -2.5 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 37 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Falcons of Air Force return to the bowl scene, after missing out previous 2 years, as they rank 3rd in the nation in rushing, with an added weapon in QB Hammond, who has clicked on passing TDs of 31, 50, 28, 46, 59, 27, 76, & 75 yards over their last 3 games. Absolutely incredible, & all the more intimidating for that Cougar "D", which simply cannot load up in attempting to contain the run. Military schools normally do themselves proud in bowl games, with the Falcons obliging nicely, with their current 5-2 ATS run in holiday tilts. Can't see the Falcons smothering the Coogs' passing, nor the Cougars containing the suddenly dual offense of Air Force. A Falcon call. |
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12-27-19 | USC +2.5 v. Iowa | 24-49 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units This marks Trojans' 53rd bowl (eliminating a win & loss due to NCAA penalty), with a superb 34-18 SU record. USC lives by the pass, ranking 129th overland, & 5th overhead, with Frosh QB Slovis nation's 8th-ranked QB (2,738 passing yards & 14 touchdowns with 7 interceptions), while winding up the regular season vs Ucla with a superb 37-of-47 for 515 passing yards & 4 touchdowns with 0 picks. For the Hawkeyes, this makes 17 bowls in 19 years, all under the leadership of Ferentz: 8-8 SU & 10-6 ATS, with similar 27-20 & 27-22 (-2½, +7) wins in '17 Pinstripe, & '18 Outback, despite 383-200 & 342-199 yard deficits (3 takeaways in each). This year, Iowa seems totally dependent on its "D", which ranks 3rd & 12th in scoring & total defense. "O" an entirely matter, coming in at 96th, 97th, & 98th in scoring, rushing, & total offense. Hawkeyes rank 19th in AP poll, with weekly nail biters the norm, as 7 of last 10 games decided by TD or less |
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12-27-19 | Michigan State v. Wake Forest +4 | 27-21 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units For the Spartans, & their 16 returning starters, the year got off nicely, winning 4-of-5, while scoring 28, 51, 31, & 40 points, & holding their first 4 foes to 11.0 points per game. However, the dam broke quickly, dropping their next five games SU, with an accompanying horrible 6 straight ATS setbacks, also a 202-101 point deficit, entering their final 2 games with a 4-6 record, before taking the likes of 2-10 Rutgers & 3-9 Maryland, to somewhat save their season (at least a bowl). Deacons have narrowly won (34-26, 55-52, & 37-34) & covered 3 straight bowls, with this a chance for their first-ever 4-game winning bowl streak. Opened this year at 7-1 before rout losses to Va Tech & Clemson, & may have lost the services of stellar QB Newman (23 touchdowns with 10 interceptions), along with WR Surratt. Much like the Spartans, the Deacons returned a bushel of talent from last year's bowl-winning squad, & reached the 20th spot in the land, before their less than successful home stretch. Sure, always a possibility of a Big Ten blowout, but Deacons hang in this contest |
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12-26-19 | Miami-FL v. Louisiana Tech +6.5 | 0-14 | Win | 100 | 146 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bulldogs are a perennial bowl entrant, & need this for their first-ever 10 win season, but you'd never know it, as this one marks their 6th consecutive bowl campaign. Not only that, but they've won all of those first 5, covering all but '16's 48-45 win over Navy, as 7-point favorites. Their one-two punch of QB Smith (2,814 Passing yards, 17.4) & RB Henderson (967 rushing yards, 15 TDs) is formidable. Tech's quality of opposition at the bottom of all bowl squads, but UM's dedication is questionable. |
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12-23-19 | Packers v. Vikings -5 | 23-10 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Packers can breath a sigh of relief, after the end of the Bears' game, & can clinch division by winning either of their last 2 games. Now 4-0 in division for 1st time in 7 years. Rodgers last 8 games; 16 TDs & zero picks. Vikes can clinch a playoff berth with one more win. Have now won 10+ games for the 3rd time in Zimmer's 6 seasons. It's the first time it has happened to Cousins. Minny in off biggest margin of victory on the road since '92. Well, SEVEN takaways facilitate such prowess. Vikes may be better team. |
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12-22-19 | Chiefs -6 v. Bears | 26-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Great road test in cold weather for the Chiefs, as they most likely have to go on the road in the Divisionals & AFC Title game, if they make it that far. Now Ten division titles in the career of Andy Reid. And has won 26 of last 28 division games. Fifth straight year with at least 10 wins. Four straight for the Chiefs, allowing 11.3 ppg in that span. Mahomes vs Broncos: 27-of-34 for 340 yards & 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Bears officially eliminated from the playoffs, despite a 416-292 yard edge over the Packers. Chiefs again. |
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12-22-19 | Jaguars v. Falcons -7 | 12-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Two of the more disappointing squads this season. Minshew & Jags got their 2nd last-second road win vs the AFC West in last week's win over the Raiders (took Broncs in Sept, at the buzzer, as well). He was 5-of-6 & a TD in that game winning drive. It was Jags' first West Coast win since Jan of 2005 (0-9 prior). Despite the win, that's 6 straight games Jags have not topped 20 points. Falcons 4-2, after starting at 1-7, with 2 of those wins at New Orleans & San Francisco. Impressive, to say the least. Momentum all Falcons. |
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12-22-19 | Ravens -10 v. Browns | 31-15 | Win | 100 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Can the Browns do the unthinkable & sweep this juggernaut? Ten straight wins for the smoking hot Ravens. The last team to beat them? The Cleveland Browns. Ravens scored TDs on their first 3 possessions vs the Jets, on their way to clinching the AFC North. Five more TD passes for Jackson, to go along with his record 1,108 rushing yards. He now has 33 touchdown passes this season. More TD passes than Ravens have punts. Chubb: most rushing yards by a Brown since Jim Brown in '65. Ravens roll on |
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12-22-19 | Bengals v. Dolphins +2 | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A loss here, & Bengals will have Joe Burrow under center next season. For a while, there was a distinct possibility that this one could have pitted a couple of 0-15 squads battling against each other. But both rookie head coaches righted their respective ships to avoid that fate. Cincinnati gave up 150+ rushing yards for the 7th time this season (most in the NFL). Dalton: 4 picks last week. Miami can't get out of Gotham quick enough, after back-to-back losses in Metlife Stadium, to the lowly Jets & Giants. Nine DD losses for Fish. |
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12-21-19 | Washington v. Boise State +3.5 | 38-7 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Rumors of Washington QB Eason sitting this one out are rampant, especially with the loss of Peterson, along with senior tackle Adams also declining to participate. Obviously neither team is at its normal best, and although the Huskies are down, defensively, we feel the loss of QB Browning & RB Gaskin hasn't been resolved. Boise has not reached 13 wins since joining the Mountain West, as it had 4 previous years. Bronco QB Henderson has been a solid replacement for Bachmeier, with his 63.2% & 11 touchdowns with 2 interception ratio. Plenty of legitimate interest here, which won't be lost on anyone, either on or off the field. |
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12-21-19 | Bills +7 v. Patriots | 17-24 | Push | 0 | 27 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Not many would have predicted how huge this game was going to end up being, when the schedule came out last April. But here they are, with the Bills just a game back, after their brutal win at Pittsburgh. Pats always seem to be in Foxboro to wind up the season, after clinching a playoff berth for the 11th consecutive season, & it will be 11 straight division titles with one more win. Brady with just 128 passing yards vs Cincinnati, but did toss 2 more TDs. Bills are 3-0-1 ATS at New England, & won't back off in this one |
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12-21-19 | Liberty v. Georgia Southern -4 | 23-16 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units First bowl trip for Liberty, in its first year of eligibility, with the Flames doing it overhead, behind the passing of Calvert (3,393 yards, 58.8%, & 26/5), & the receiving of Gandy-Golden, who ranks 3rd in the nation with 1,333 yards (18 yards per catch). Hugh Freeze has replaced Turner Gill, as Head Coach of the Flames, after being dismissed at Ole Miss, coaching the first few games from a hospital bed (staph infection). So, it's the "grind-it-out" offense of Eagles vs the quick-strike "O" of the Flames. Both want this badly, but Georgia Southern experience will be the edge. |
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12-20-19 | Buffalo -6.5 v. Charlotte | 31-9 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units  Loss of a dozen starters, including All-MAC QB Jackson, got Bulls off to 2-4 start, but just one more loss (last 0:00, with an 0-24 windup at Kent). RB Patterson is the real deal (1,626 rushing yards, 17 TDs), while the Bulls placed 12 players on All-MAC teams. The 49ers of Charlotte are bowling for the first time in their limited history, winding up with 5 straight wins (4-1 ATS: +40½ points), while ranking 97th in run "D", in direct contrast to the Bulls, who come in at #4 vs the rush. And note just one Niner win over a winning team (Marshall). The SU winner stands at 10-1 vs the points in Bull games. We'll back the non-novice bowl squad, with much to prove. |
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12-15-19 | Rams v. Cowboys | 21-44 | Loss | -117 | 28 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Can "America's Team" turn it around? Three straight losses for the 2nd time this year, & have lost 7-of-10 after starting 3-0. Despite that, all they need is a win over the Eagles, & one other win and they will host a playoff game. Hard to believe. 'Boys need a new place kicker asap, as Maher has missed 10 field goals this season. This is a rematch of last year's Divisionals, when the Rams (-7) took the 'Pokes, 30-22. But this time, it's in Dallas. L.A. has been superb, following their disaster vs the Ravens |
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12-15-19 | Browns -2.5 v. Cardinals | 24-38 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Battle of the Young Gun QBs, former Sooners, former Heisman Trophy winners, &Â 1st overall draft picks. Oh, yeah, all of this took place in back-to-back seasons (Mayfield &Â Murray). Baker joins Sipe & Kosar as only Brown QBs with over 3,000 yards in back-to-back seasons, while Chubb over 100 rushing yards for 6th time this year . Cards showed early season promise, but have lost 6 straight home games for first time in 7 years. As a matter of fact, in the past 2 seasons, the Cards are 2-12-1 at home. Enuff for Brown call. |
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12-15-19 | Broncos v. Chiefs -10 | 3-23 | Win | 100 | 24 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Who are these guys? Drew Lock may be the answer for the Broncos. Sure didn't look like a rookie playing his first ever road game against the likes of the Texans, with Denver scoring on its first five possessions, as Broncs topped 24 points for 1st time since last Oct. KC clinched 4th straight AFC West title with upset of Pats. With Andy Reid at the helm, KC has won 9+ games in each of his 7 seasons, with "D" also stepping up big time. |
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12-15-19 | Eagles v. Redskins +6 | 37-27 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Eagles coming off their Monday Nighter vs the Giants are tied with the Cowboys for lead in NFC East. However, playing the Redskins isn't a guaranteed "W" anymore, as Washington continues to be frisky in Vegas, covering 3 straight. They're officially eliminated from the playoffs, as their loss column has hit double digits for the first time in 5 years. Peterson with another TD last week, becoming the 6th player in NFL history with 14,000 yards. We'll take the home division dog here |
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12-15-19 | Bucs -5 v. Lions | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Hard to believe that there was a time when these 2 squads were consistent playoff contenders. In fact, they faced off in the '97 Wild Card in Tampa (Bucs won 20-10). If that game with the Colts doesn't summarize Winston (33-of-45: 456 yards, 4 TDs & 3 Interceptions, including a "pick-6") than nothing will. Try 23 turn overs in his last 8 games. Bucs eliminated from playoffs, despite on 3-game run for 1st time in 3 years. Six straight losses for Lions, & 0-5 in division, while off to their worst start in 9 years. And another |
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12-14-19 | Army +11.5 v. Navy | 7-31 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating:Â 2 Units The Middies owned the Cadets, with a 14-game winning steak ('02 thru '15), but the Knights have gone 3-0 SU (2-0-1 ATS) since, & the series dog is on a 4-0-1 spread run, with final SU margins of 7, 4, 4, 1 & 7 points. last year, Navy (+7) got the push on a 46-yard field goal in the last 0:29, despite a 222-127 rushing yard deficit. Mids on a 10-3 ATS run, as well as a 6-1 ATS chalk. Cadets 12-6 ATS away, but 0-11 ATS away with rest off a SU loss. A double digit spot here? Call yet another dog cover, just as struggling Knights did vs Air Force. |
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12-12-19 | Jets v. Ravens -14 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 47 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Rex Ryan bowl. Needless to say, this will be a tough venue for Sam Darnold. Jets bounced back from the embarrassing loss to Cincinnati, to pull off last-second win over the Dolphins. Have won 4-of-5 since starting 1-7, & have won 3 straight home games for first time in 3 years. Sam's last 5 games: 11 touchdowns with 2 interceptions. Raven machine keeps purring, with 9 straight wins, with Jackson only the 2nd QB in NFL history to rush for over 1,000 yards (Michael Vick). And Raven "D" has held 7-of-8 foes under 18 points. Crank it up in this one. |
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12-09-19 | Giants v. Eagles -9 | 17-23 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units So much for the Eagles having the easiest remaining schedule in the NFL. Started celebrating too early after going up 28-14 in Miami. Were manhandled from that point on (outscored 23-3 while ceding 264 yards). First 3-game losing streak for Philly since 2016. Giants officially eliminated from the playoffs after dropping their 8th straight. First time they've done that in 5 yrs. Shurmur joining Ray Perkins to lose 10+ games in their 1st 2 seasons as Giants head coach. Barkley with 115 yards from scrimmage last week |
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12-08-19 | Seahawks +1 v. Rams | 12-28 | Loss | -106 | 33 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Fifty starts under the belt for Goff and it showed (32/43, 424 yards & 2 TDS). Second game this yr with over 500 yards of total offense. Gurley with 96 yards rushing & a TD. Rams have won 5 straight over the Cards by a total of 164-32. With the exception of the Ravens that Rams D has held their last 5 opponents to less than 17 points per game. Woods 172 yards receiving & Higbee with 107 yards receiving and a TD. Seahawks in off Monday Nighter, & are 10-0 ATS away vs a .500+ opponent. More room than 1st match. |
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12-08-19 | Ravens -6 v. Bills | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There was no way that Jackson could possibly duplicate his magnificent display in Monday's 45-6 thrashing of the Rams. However, Ravens winning streak is now 8 games, the latest coming on Justin Tucker's 49-yard field goal at the gun. Baltimore now 14-of-18 on 4th down tries, while Jackson is at 20 TDs & zero picks in his last 7 games. Bills were spectacular at Dallas, with Allen looking like John Elway. Three more TDs without a turnover. Bills guaranteed first winning record since 2000. Ravens again |
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12-08-19 | Dolphins v. Jets -5 | 21-22 | Loss | -103 | 26 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Jets 3-game winning streak is over, after that embarrassing loss to Cincinnati, to the previously win less Bengals. Jets are only team in NFL history to lose 2 games in a season, to teams with an 0-7 record, or worse. Now 1-7 vs the AFC, while failing to reach the Red Zone. What a fake field goal for the Dolphins! Never seen anything like that before, with Sanders the first kicker to catch a TD since Jim Turner in '77 for the Broncos. Fish scored on 6 of first 7 drives, but Jets scored 34 points in each of last 2 home games. |
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12-08-19 | Lions +13.5 v. Vikings | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 26 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Lions have led in every game this season, yet are just 3-8-1. QB David Blough added to another distinguished Lions record: being the 12th straight Lions' QB to lose his first start. He didn't look all that bad, though: 22-of-38 for 280 yards, 2 TDs, & just 1 pick. Galladay another 158 receiving yards and a TD. Vikings coming in off their Monday war with the Seahawks, so short week vs that machine may soften them up enough for Lions to get under spot. |
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12-08-19 | Bengals +8 v. Browns | 19-27 | Push | 0 | 26 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Well, the Bengals finally broke through, with their 22-6 upset of the Jets (19-point cover), thereby eliminating all thoughts of a win less season, & snapping the longest losing streak in team history (Dalton: team record 197 TD passes). That being the case, Cincinnati's stress has to be relieved (especially Taylor), while the Browns are just about out of it. The Bengals have now covered 3 straight, something Cleveland has yet to do. Browns are 1-9 ATS off a SU division loss, as well as 1-11 ATS off a SU division loss. Brownies, but not by enough.. |
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12-07-19 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State -15.5 | Top | 21-34 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 6 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Championship Play of the Day Not too many could have envisioned such a heavy spot in this one, especially when the Badgers got off to such an awesome start, behind the rushing of Taylor, who has reached the 200 rushing yard mark 12 times in his career. But it all came crashing down for Wisconsin, vs the best defense in the nation, with Bucks coming in at 4th, 2nd, 4th, & 1st in run, pass, scoring, & total "D". And, offensively: 4th, 1st, & 5th in run, scoring, & total. Passing? Just 45th, although Fields ranks 4th, with amazing 37 touchdowns and 1 interception. And never forget the ever-present Dobbins, with his 19 TDs & 6.6 yards per rush. Last 2 weeks vs Penn State & Michigan? Try 229-99 & 264-91 rushing yard edges. Buckeyes have won & covered all 3 of their Big Ten title matches, including '14's 59-0 romper over the 10-2 Badgers. The best team in the land? Goes a long way in finding out. Only way to go here |
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12-07-19 | Virginia v. Clemson -28.5 | Top | 17-62 | Win | 100 | 116 h 26 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Championship Game of the Week Oh, how the Tigers can perform. Twenty-seven straight wins, while ranking among the leaders in all categories: 10th, 25th, 4th, 3rd, 11th, 1st, 1st, 2nd, & 1st, to be exact. They sputted a bit out of the gate, spread wise, including that narrow 21-20 escape at North Carolina, as 27-point chalks. But fully focused since, with a 358-61 point edge in their last 7 games (+66.5 points ATS). Lawrence has shaken his early season doldrums (compared to last year's exploits, of course), but now ranks 9th in passing efficiency (30 touchdowns and 8 interceptions), while the irrepressible Etienne is sputtering along at 8.25 yards per rush. Cavs seem lost in the shuffle, but trying to take down such a formidable foe isn't in the Cards. So, we are not about to disembark from this unstoppable train. Regardless the spot, it's Clemson. |
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12-07-19 | Georgia v. LSU -7 | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 113 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units What a match! The top-ranked Tigers have been special since the opening kickoff, returning 16 starters (8 apiece on both "O" & "D"). Led by Heisman-leading QB Burrow (4,366 yards, 44 touchdowns and 6 interceptions), they've run the table with a 49-22 points per game edge. A week ago, they simply demolished a very respectable A&M team, 50-7 (26-point cover), with a 553-169 yard edge. The 'Dawgs know that a win here ensures them a playoff spot. They've allowed 10.2 points per game in lined games this year, but Fromm ranks just 42nd in passing efficiency. Bengals again! |
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12-07-19 | Miami-OH v. Central Michigan -6.5 | 26-21 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Another game with the spread just under a TD, which satisfies us more than a little. The Chips have turned it all around in McElwain's first year, as Central Michigan came from last year's 1-11 campaign, to this year's 8-4 mark, which includes a current 8-1-1 spread run (+145½ points ATS). The always dangerous Redhawks, were rolling, themselves (4-0 SU & ATS), before mere 20-17 SU win over Akron (worst team in the land), followed by a 2-TD loss to 5-7 Ball State. As we said, momentum is a very underrated adjective. |
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12-06-19 | Oregon v. Utah -6.5 | 37-15 | Loss | -105 | 93 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After the Utes' opening throttling of Byu, we decided to ride this team until things changed. So what happens? A 3½ point miss vs NIU, & a SU loss to Southern Cal. But those would be the only slips, as Utah was thereafter a perfect 8-0 (+102 points ATS), both SU & ATS, while inching its way to the #5 spot in the land, thanks, mainly to a "D", which ranks 1st, 14th, 3rd, & 3rd in rushing, passing, scoring & total defense. The 'Ducks are always a dangerous opponent, with QB Herbert at 31 touchdowns with only 5 picks, but OU is 0-6 ATS as a road dog. Utah! |
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12-01-19 | Rams v. Cardinals +3 | 34-7 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Very scary game for the Rams as the cards seem to get more dangerous by the week. Arizona is coming off a bye. Man, that Kylar Murray is impressive. The speed he showed on that 22 yard go-ahead TD with 6:00 left was incredible. Granted, they didn't hold onto the lead, but this team continues to improve. He had 3 total TDs (2 passing and that 22 yarder). He is the only QB to have 2 TDs & 0 picks vs that Niners' D this year. By the way the Cardinals outrushed San Fran 135-34 in that loss. |
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12-01-19 | Browns v. Steelers +2.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units One of the most anticipated games between these two that we can remember. Love how these 2 are facing off again so quickly after the Myles Garrett maylee. He is probably lucky to be suspended for this rematch as it could get ugly. Steelers have won 5 of 6. Rudolph benched in the 3rd quarter for Devlin Hodges, who did just enough to beat the winless Bengals. That's 10 in a row over Cincinnati. Snell 98 rushing yards to go along with Washington's 98 receiving yards & a TD. Quick retribution here. |
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12-01-19 | 49ers v. Ravens -5.5 | 17-20 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Rematch of Super Bowl XLVII and very well could be a Super Bowl preview. However, this time both Harbaughs won't be there and neither will Colin Kaepernick. Still can't believe the Niners didn't run the ball once after they had first and goal at the end of that one. Baltimore is coming off Monday Night game with the Rams, & have been the talk of the league, behind the brilliance of Jackson. Six straight wins, ranking atop of our weekly Power Ratings, with the Niners close by. Can't buck Lamar |
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12-01-19 | Jets -3 v. Bengals | 6-22 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This game is basically the Bengals' Super Bowl. Could be their last shot to win a game straight up. Three wins in a row for the Jets after dismantling the Raiders in NY last week. That's 3 straight games scoring 30+ points. That was their first win over an AFC squad this year. Bengals' first 0-11 start in team history and the first since the '17 Browns to have that dubious distinction. That's 13 straight losses. Six straight games with scoring less than 17 points. Boyd 5 grabs for 101 yards and a TD. Jets keep it going. |
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12-01-19 | Packers -6 v. Giants | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 25 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These 2 have some history, but those games seem to always be in Lambeau Field. Of course, Eli was front and center in those playoff classics, but not anymore. First 7-game losing streak since '14 for the G Men. That's 9+ losses for the 6th time in the last 7 seasons. Jones only 150 yards on 36 attempts while Barkley was limited to 59 yards rushing. Jones is the first player since 2003 with 10 lost fumbles in a season. Packers are 14-1 ATS in 2nd of 2 road games vs a division off a SU setback. |
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11-30-19 | BYU v. San Diego State +3 | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 80 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units - Unnoticed Aztecs are 8-3 SU, with 6, 4, & 3 point losses, ranking 3rd, 6th, & 8th in run, scoring, & total "D". BYU is 11-4 ATS on the road, but weak on both rushing "O" & "D". A mild take |
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11-30-19 | Colorado v. Utah -28 | Top | 15-45 | Win | 100 | 79 h 4 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Units NCAAF Game of the Week Buffs need this for bowl eligibility, so a decent play, right, especially when in off a 192-yard edge vs Washington? Hardly. The Utes are a marvel. Seven straight wins & covers, ranking 1st, 4th, 3rd in run, scoring, total "D". Huntley 5th in passing efficiency & host 6-0 ATS in CU games. |
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11-30-19 | Notre Dame -16 v. Stanford | 45-24 | Win | 100 | 75 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Normally a tight series, but Irish did it up right in last year's stomping. So why not a duplicate score, as ND has 120-24 point edge in its L3 games (23½, 24½, 12½ point covers, with 8 Book TD passes L2 weeks). Cards in off losing to Cal in L1:27, ranking #123 & #110 in run & total "O" |
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11-30-19 | Vanderbilt v. Tennessee -21 | Top | 10-28 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 28 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit SEC Play of the Day There was a time in the not too distant past, when the outcome of this contest pretty much depended on the Vols' bowl status. If Tennessee was already bowl bound, then the money went with the Commodores, as UT's urgency was already satisfied. That being the case, this one should be a Vandy call. Hardly, as the Vols are among the hottest teams in the land, completely turning their season around, turning from a 1-4 SU start (0-4 ATS), by winning 5 of 6 SU, covering ALL SIX (+86 points), including a 91-38 point edge in their last 3 home games. 'Dores the pits with current 1-10 spread run, with a 118-21 point deficit in their last 3 games. Momentum! |
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11-30-19 | Oregon State +20 v. Oregon | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 75 h 23 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit PAC-12 Play of the Day Beavers evolving into a legitimate force, especially in the guest role, covering L4 as visitors by 23, 15, 23, & 9½ points. OU got just 2/2 from Herbert in killer loss at Arizona State. Herbert (30 touchdowns with 5 interceptions) vs Luton (28 touchdowns with only 3 interceptions) |
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11-30-19 | Miami-FL -8.5 v. Duke | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Streaking 'Canes (3-0 ATS: +47 points) let walk-through win vs FIU turn into 30-24 nightmare (-26½ points). Quick chance to regroup, vs Imps: 5 straight losses (194-71 point deficit: -114 points ATS). Lay it |
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11-30-19 | Clemson -27 v. South Carolina | Top | 38-3 | Win | 100 | 72 h 39 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week Obviously, we could fill this column with Tiger exploits, so why not. The Tigers are now on a 26-game winning streak (98-11 since '12), with a 950-237 point edge in their last 21 lined games, & 315-58 point advantage last 6 games. Lawrence, who wandered, unimpressively through the early part of the season, has moved up to 8th in the nation in passing efficiency (28 touchdowns with 7 interceptions) while Etienne is more than holding his own with amazing 8.7 yards per rush for the season. The 'Cocks rank 100th in scoring, & there is no loved lost in this instate rivalry.. |
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11-29-19 | Iowa -5.5 v. Nebraska | 27-24 | Loss | -109 | 67 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Hawkeye (-2½, -3½) routs in '16 & '17, but not in last year's 31-28 escape, as 8½ point favorites (268-140 rushing yard edge), on 41-yard field goal at the gun (led 28-13). NU on 0-7 & 1-9 runs (0-7 as a home dog). Iowa on a 15-7 run, & a superb 13-3 as road favorite. |
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11-29-19 | Virginia Tech -2.5 v. Virginia | 30-39 | Loss | -112 | 65 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Six straight covers, by 128 points ATS, with accompanying 6-1 SU run (only setback: 21-20 loss at Notre Dame, as 17½ point dogs). No questioning ongoing success of the Hokies, who also have a 109-17 point edge in their last 3 games, which includes bowl-bound Wake & Pitt. In this series, Tech has won 19-of-20 meetings SU, which is all the more important, when taking into consideration, the minuscule line. The Cavs averaged only 113 rushing yards per game, before their decent overland display hosting Liberty. VT continues doing it. |
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11-29-19 | Bowling Green v. Buffalo -28.5 | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 65 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bulls 5-0 vs Falcons, including last year's 44-14 caker (7-7 in 1st, 44-7 in 4th), with 30-6 first down & 332-58 rushing yard edges! Buffs 22-11 lately, 6-0 & 11-2 home, & 12-4 in MAC. Falcons on a 13-31 run, but 4-1 at Buffalo, & 7-0 in road closer. |
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11-28-19 | Saints -6.5 v. Falcons | 26-18 | Win | 100 | 49 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A month ago, this one seemed like a 'cake-walk' for the Saints. However, 3 weeks ago the Falcons annihilated the Saints at home. Will the revenge hammer be dropped by the Saints or have the Falcons turned the corner? Saints can clinch the division with a win here. Ryan's 2 turnovers did the Falcons in last week in loss in Tampa. Now sitting at 3-8 which is their worst start since '13. Are 0-8 this season when allowing 24+ points. Note five games without a sack this year which is the worst in the league. |
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11-26-19 | Ohio -27.5 v. Akron | 52-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Zips are on an 0-11 ATS run, and 0-16 SU, with a 131-9 point deficit in their last 4 games. Ohio probably needs it for bowl eligibility. Zips just fade away. |
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11-25-19 | Ravens -3 v. Rams | 45-6 | Win | 100 | 54 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Six-straight wins for the smoking Ravens. Averaging 34.3 points during streak. Longest winning streak since they won it all in 2000. Four more TD passes for Jackson to go along with another 86 yards rushing. After starting 1 for 6, he completed 13 in a row. His last 5 games, 13 total TDS & 0 picks. For the season, Jackson has 19 TD passes, 5 picks and 788 yards rushing. For the Rams, Gurley is in off a season-high 188 yards from scrimmage, & a TD, helping them keep pace in the NFC playoff race. Until things change, we aren't about to buck this scintillating outfit. Ravens the play |
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11-24-19 | Seahawks +1.5 v. Eagles | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Streaky Eagles couldn't get it done in 17-10 loss to the Patriots, despite of the home field advantage, So, yet another host call for Philly, but vs the very best road team in the NFL, as the Seahawks are 5-0 SU in this year's guest shots. And as far as being pegged as the dog here, note that Seattle is on a 10-1-1 spread run in that capacity. Wilson? The absolute best in late game heroics, a step or two ahead of the oncoming Lamar Jackson. Eagles are hurting, managing just 10 pts in 2 of their last 4 games. Not sure who should be the favorite. |
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11-24-19 | Bucs v. Falcons -3.5 | 35-22 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bucs have lost 5 of 6 and 4 more picks for Jameis in that home loss to the Saints. Tampa ran the ball just eight times for 36 yards. Time of possession deficit of 37:00-23:00. Falcons' D & special teams stepped up big time with 5 sacks, 4 picks & a 78 yard punt return for a TD in Carolina. Second straight dominant defensive performance for the Falcons. Outscored NO and Carolina 55-12 last 2 wks while recording 11 sacks. Ryan passed Warren Moon for 10th on all-time pass yards list (49,325). Ridley - 8 catches for 143 yards & one TD. They are 2-0 in division this season |
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11-24-19 | Steelers -6 v. Bengals | 16-10 | Push | 0 | 23 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Four picks & key injuries to Connor & Smith-Schuster did the red-hot Steelers in on Thursday night. However, the status of QB Rudolph is the big question after taking a helmet to his bare head by Garrett 9 weeks after that vicious helmet-to-helmet hit he took vs Seattle by Earl Thomas that left him unconscious before he hit the ground. What do the Broncos and Bengals have in common? They are the only teams that haven't scored 25+ points in a game this season. Fifth straight game with less than 17 points, & are 0-10 for the first time since '93. Twelve straight losses ties the franchise record. |
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11-24-19 | Dolphins +12 v. Browns | 24-41 | Loss | -130 | 23 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Two-game winning streak over for Miami. It was fun while it lasted. 7th double-digit loss this season. 2-8 is their worst start since '07. D allowed points on first four possessions. Parker 7 grabs for 135 yards. Back to back wins for the Browns behind Baker's 3 TDs vs bitter rival Steelers. They are 2-0 in the division. However, the #1 story coming out of that game is Myles Garrett's status for rest of the season after what he did to Rudolph. Inexcusable and barbaric to say the least. Another 92 yards rushing puts Chubb over 1,000 total yards. Browns 1-9 ATS off a SU DD win |
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11-23-19 | Boise State -7.5 v. Utah State | 56-21 | Win | 100 | 97 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Year-after-year, the Broncs are among the elite, with double digit wins a given. This time around, they had to say good-bye to their brilliant QB Rypien, who set numerous school records. His departure meant first string playing time for Bachmeier, who was a decent replacement. What happens? He goes out with a shoulder injury. But Henderson picks up the load. Check 291 passing yards & 3 touchdowns with 1 interception in last week's win over NewMexico. Aggies were killed by attrition, losing 9 offensive starters, with QB Love on the injury check list. TD line extremely enticing |
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11-23-19 | Utah -22 v. Arizona | Top | 35-7 | Win | 100 | 97 h 7 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Conference Game of the Week Five straight losses for 'Cats, both SU & ATS, while allowing 44.6 points per game, & ranking 126th in total "D". However, they rank 17th in total "O". We've missed the Utes as a high choice for the last time. Stand at 9-1 SU & 6th in the polls, while ranking 1st, 4th, 3rd in run, scoring, & total "D" |
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11-23-19 | Oregon State v. Washington State -10.5 | 53-54 | Loss | -105 | 96 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Loved Cougar wipeout win over Stanford. Gordon: 520 passing yards: now 431 passing yards per game, & 39 touchdowns with 11 interceptions. Washington State's 114th "D" can be had, & Beaver QB Luton is now 23 touchdowns with 2 interceptions. Oregon State covered its last road game by 23 points, & visitor is 9-1-1 ATS in Beaver contests. But Coogs at 53 points per game in lined home games. |
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11-23-19 | Tennessee +4 v. Missouri | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 94 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The drop in production of a Tiger "O" has been astounding. The loss of Clemson transfer QB Bryant has triggered their fall, as they've come from scoring 33+ points in 20-of-26 games to managing just 14, 7, 0, & 6 points in their last 4 outings, all of which were spread losses, by the way. The Vols, on the other hand, have turned things completely around. Opened at 0-4 ATS, & 20-5 SU, they're now on a 5-0 spread run, as well as on a 4-1 SU run. Stats may not look all that pretty, but learning how to win has been ingrained in them, Not about to get off this train. |
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11-23-19 | Memphis -14 v. South Florida | 49-10 | Win | 100 | 91 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Don't look now, but the unnoticed Tigers hold the #18 ranking in this week's polls, as well they should, as they are just a field goal from a perfect record, with their only blip a 2-point loss at Temple, in a game in which they turned it over FOUR times, & we certainly don't have to explain the importance of that. QB White ranks 7th in the land in passing efficiency (28 touchdowns with 5 interceptions), with 5 TDs in last week's 45-17 rout of Houston, after trailing, 17-7. Bulls in off blowing a 10-point 4th quarter lead to Houston, losing in final 0:00, ranking 106th in total offense. Tigers! |
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11-23-19 | Purdue v. Wisconsin -23.5 | 24-45 | Loss | -115 | 91 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Badgers needed 3 OTs to take Boilers last year, but should have little trouble this time around, despite the fact that the dog is on a 6-0 ATS run Purdue tilts. Boilers can't run (double digits 6 times). Wisconsin fields 12th, 3rd, 6th, 4th, & 3rd run, pass, scoring, total, & pass efficiency "D"s. |
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11-23-19 | Air Force -21.5 v. New Mexico | Top | 44-22 | Win | 100 | 93 h 8 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week Falcons smoking. Are +70½ points ATS 4-of-last-5, & at 313 rushing yards per game, with Hammond clicking on 31, 50, 28 yard TD passes vs Colorado State. Lobos are 2-13 ATS, with the worst passing "D" in the nation. Romper! |
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11-23-19 | Penn State v. Ohio State -17.5 | Top | 17-28 | Loss | -117 | 87 h 5 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day Finally an ATS loss for the Bucks, in 56-21 romp over Rutgers (49-7 in 3rd). Fields a nice 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, & now 31 touchdowns with 1 interception for the season. So Ohio State has a 621-161 point edge in L11 regular season games. Nits in off 462-371 yard deficit vs Indy, with 2 of their 4 covers this year coming by 1 & 2 points. By the book |
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11-23-19 | East Carolina -14 v. Connecticut | 31-24 | Loss | -109 | 87 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Huskies' journey to futility not encumbered here. Are on a 3-24 SU slide, with a 104-13 point deficit in their last 2 outings. Rank 113th & 115th in total" O" & "D". Shaky Pirate "D" offset by reborn "O" (43-46 & 51-59 finals L2), with Ahlers in off 498 passing yards & 6 touchdowns with 0 interceptions vs Smu. |
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11-20-19 | Toledo v. Buffalo -7.5 | 30-49 | Win | 100 | 27 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bulls must regroup off blowing 28-7 lead in 4th to Kent, despite 245-119 rushing yard edge, pushing host to 7-1-1 ATS in Buffalo games. Rockets are a losing play as road dogs although on a 22-11 ATS run |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs -4.5 v. Chargers | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chiefs got the division and home field on a tie-breaker with the Bolts last year. Now the Chargers are 2 games below 500. After starting 4-0, Chiefs have lost 4 of 6. All 4 losses have come by less than 7 points. How about Mahomes numbers though? 36-50, 446 yards and 3 TDs (3, 11, 63 yarders). Chargers couldn't get that last stop when they needed it. Three Rivers' picks (including a Pick 6) did the Bolts in last week. He was 0-7 on their last drive. Had a 34:10-25:50 time of possession edge in that brutal loss in Oakland. KC is now healthier |
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11-17-19 | Bears +7 v. Rams | 7-17 | Loss | -130 | 26 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This contest had the look of a playoff preview, but the Bears are a full 3 games behind the Packers. However, a week ago, they snapped their 3 game losing streak, with Trubisky finally crawling out of the doldrums, by posting a season high 3 TD passes, with no picks. Only his 3rd game with 3+ TDs & no interceptions. The Rams are nearly in the same predicament (5-4 record), & enter this one without a TD in their last 19 possessions, managing just 3 offensive points at Pittsburgh. We'll grab the the points in this. |
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11-17-19 | Patriots -4 v. Eagles | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units What a Super Bowl these 2 had just 2 years ago. The Pats simply have kept it going, while the Eagles are struggling to make it back to the playoffs. Both teams coming in off their bye. The 13-game Patriot winning streak is over, as they were on the receiving end of Baltimore's smash mouth attack 2 weeks ago, with a time of possession deficit of 37:01-22:59. When you give up 210 rushing yards, that'll happen. Two straight wins for Philly, averaging 182 rushing yards, while allowing only 13.5 points per game in those 2 Ws. Have won 6-of-7 home games, & Wentz has thrown a TD pass in 12 straight games. |
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11-17-19 | Texans v. Ravens -4 | 7-41 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Awesome matchup here, with 2 of the more exciting QBs going head-to-head. Five straight wins for the Ravens,& 2nd road win by 36+ points this season, as Jackson is completely changing the way the QB position is being played in the NFL. Four more TDs for him, with his only incomplete pass in the first half vs Cincinnati, coming on a spike. Note his electrifying 47-yard TD run, with 17, 89, & 20 yard scoring passes, throwing only 2 incompletions. For Texans, Watson was 22-for-28 vs the Jags. First player ever with 17+ TD passes & 5+ TD rushes thru the 1st 9 games of the season. |
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11-17-19 | Jets +2.5 v. Redskins | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units For the first time in their 88-year history, the Redskins have gone 3 straight games without a TD. Keenum or Haskins, it doesn't matter. Worst start (1-8) since '98. Timeless Peterson: 18 carries for 108 yards. That's his 56th game with 100+ rushing yards (9th all-time). Fifth time this year with 9 points, or fewer, for the 'Skins. Check Jet win over Giants, holding Barkley to just 1 yard on 13 carries (worst game of his young career). Darnold a 24-yard run, longest of the year by any Jet! 'Skins are 1-7 ATS off their bye. |
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11-17-19 | Falcons +4.5 v. Panthers | 29-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Six-game slide is over for the Falcons, with 6 sacks from a Falcon "D", after entering that one with 7 total sacks for the season. Out rushed the Saints, 143-52, & Austin Hooper's 4th straight game with a TD, welcoming Matty back: 25-of-35 & 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. For the Panthers, just one inch, one lousy inch from a potential game-tying TD at the gun. For McCaffrey, another 108 rushing yards, & 2nd only to Dalvin Cook in rushing (991-989). Panther "D" added 2 more sacks, which brings their season total to a league-leading 36. Falcons 6-1 ATS as dogs off a SU win, as well as 3-0 ATS against Carolina lately. |
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11-16-19 | USC v. California +4.5 | 41-17 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bear "D" back in business after temporary failure at Utah. Cal has now held 15-of-16 teams to 24 points or less (led highly potent Washington State, 33-14, in eventual 33-20 upset). Last 3 Troy road games: 27-30, 35-31, 31-26. Can't run, but 432 Slovis passing yards in last weeks loss to Arizona St. |
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11-16-19 | Louisville -3.5 v. NC State | Top | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 72 h 54 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit ACC Play of the Day - A 3-0 turn over deficit did the Cards in at Miami, losing 52-27, despite a nicely balanced 496-449-yard edge. On 5-15 ATS run, while ranking 28th in total "O". Horrid 'Pack run continues: 1-6 ATS by 83 points, with a 144-44 pt deficit L3 games. Can't see a change |
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11-16-19 | Stanford v. Washington State -10 | Top | 22-49 | Win | 100 | 69 h 54 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week Coogs comfortable at home (58, 63, 41 points L3 hosters). In off embarrassing showing at Cal (despite yet another 402 passing yards from Gordon). Faltering Card being mauled for 39.3 points per game in its road games this season. Only TD vs defenseless Colorado last week: 79-yard Costello aerial. |
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11-16-19 | Syracuse v. Duke -10 | 49-6 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bounceback time for Imps, off embarrassing 38-7 home loss to Notre Dame, with 10 first downs & less than 200 yards (272-yard deficit). Syracuse rested off allowing most-ever 496 rushing yards in 58-27 loss to BC, while ranking 90th in total "O" & 114th in total "D". And the chalk is 11-2 ATS in Orange contests |
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11-16-19 | Wyoming +6 v. Utah State | Top | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 69 h 31 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week Ags in off snapping 2-game slide with L0:00 win over Fresno, behind 388 Love passing yards: 267 passing yards per game, but just 11 touchdowns with 12 interceptions. Ags rank 102nd & 103rd in total & passing "D". Wyoming has out rushed all 9 foes, & on 10-3 SU run (3, 4, 3 point losses), while ranking 15th & 10th in rushing "O" & "D". |
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11-16-19 | Wake Forest v. Clemson -34.5 | 3-52 | Win | 100 | 68 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating:Â 3 Units Just like clockwork for the defending National Champs, ever since North Carolina put a scare into them on Sept 28, when CU needed to stop 'Heels' 2-pt try in the final 1:17. Since then, a 204-41 point edge, and now a 935-248 point advantage in their last 21 games. Lawrence approaching last year's excellence, while Etienne is at an outstanding 8.9 yards per rush for the year. Deacons have been a decent play, behind Newman's 287 passing yards per rush, but rank 76th in total "D", in off allowing 470 yards in loss to Virginia Tech.. |
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11-16-19 | Navy +7.5 v. Notre Dame | 20-52 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Irish still among the elites (#18 in this week's polls), no matter their sporadic line successes. Are coming in off possibly their best performance of the year, taking an always respectable Duke team, to the tune of 38-7 (24½ cover). Logic says that if the Irish can do that on the road, they should continue that effort in the role of host. But a closer peek shows that ND barely prevailed in their 2 HGs (SoCal & VaTech), with a combined -24 pts ATS. QB Book is in off his best game, but he won't be on the field when that top-ranked Middie running "O" is unleashed. Navy is on an 8-2-1 spread run, with only misses by 1 & ½ pt). A sticky history. |
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