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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-15-23 | Red Sox v. Nationals +155 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. After getting swept against Toronto, Boston closed its homestand with series wins against Kansas City and Detroit, winning five of those seven games, and kept itself afloat in the playoff picture. The Red Sox are dead in the division but just three games out of the final Wild Card spot. Washington is coming off a home sweep against Oakland over the weekend and it has been playing better in the long term. The Nationals opened July 1-6 but have gone 19-12 since then and the return has been even better considering they were underdogs in all but six of those games. Nick Pivetta had a 6.30 ERA after making eight starts to open the season and was demoted to the bullpen but in the 20 appearances he has made since then, he has a 2.67 ERA, striking out 78 while walking just 19 across 57.1 innings. This includes a pair of good starts but still an unknown, this is a big price to be laying down. Josiah Gray represented the Nationals at the All Star Game but he has struggled since the break, posting a 4.78 ERA and 1.44 WHIP over five starts but Washington pulled out two wins and suffered a one run loss so all is not horrible. Overall, his 3.69 ERA is still very solid. 10* (968) Washington Nationals |
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08-14-23 | A's +184 v. Cardinals | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. St. Louis is coming off a rare Sunday off day following a two-game split with Kansas City and since a six-game winning streak in mid-July, the Cardinals are 8-13 over their last 21 games while still being favored in over half of those despite an awful season and now come in as massive favorites. Oakland opened its roadtrip by getting swept in Washington to make it five losses over its last six games. After scoring seven runs total over their previous four games, the athletics put that number up yesterday but the bullpen allowed six runs in the ninth inning to blow a 7-2 lead as a slight underdog. JP Sears is coming off a poor outing against Texas but has been the most consistent starter in the rotation as he has allowed three runs or fewer in 16 of his 23 starts and has posted a decent 4.15 ERA overall but has a 1.11 WHIP to back that up which is tied for 15th lowest in all of baseball. Miles Mikolas has tossed two straight quality outings, allowing two earned runs over seven innings in both, but both resulted in Cardinals losses which has been the theme this season. He has pitcher worse at home where he has a 4.78 ERA to go along with a solid 1.25 WHIP but not numbers good enough to warrant this price tag. 10* (913) Oakland Athletics |
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08-14-23 | Yankees +198 v. Braves | Top | 3-11 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK YANKEES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Yankees were looking at a series win over Miami as it took a 7-3 lead going into the bottom of the ninth inning but blew the lead to lose 8-7 and drop the series. It has not been a great stretch for New York as it has gone 7-11 over its last 18 games to fall into last place in the American League East and is now five games back in the Wild Card standings. The Braves were looking for the four-game sweep over the Mets but New York used a six-run fifth inning to salvage the finale and the game 7-6. Atlanta is 11-6 over its last 17 games and has locked up the National League East while holding a four-game lead over the Dodgers for the best record. Clarke Schmidt has been the forgotten part of this rotation as he has been one of the most consistent starters. He had a rough start to the season with a 6.30 ERA and 1.65 WHIP over his first nine starts but has posted a 3.15 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in his last 14 starts, allowing three runs or less in all of those. Max Fried is slowly making his way back into the rotation for the stretch run and the postseason and after tossing six shutout innings in his first start in three months, he allowed four runs over four innings against the Pirates and is overpriced at this stage of his return. 10* (911) New York Yankees |
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08-13-23 | Guardians +180 v. Rays | Top | 9-2 | Win | 180 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Cleveland is slowly playing its way out of playoff contention as it has lost the first two games of this series and is on a 4-10 run over its last 14 games following a modest 7-3 stretch. The Guardians now trail Minnesota by 4.5 games in the American League Central and are all but done in the Wild Card. Tampa Bay has remained steady in the American League East as it still trails Baltimore by two games after both winning last night. The Rays are 8-4 over their last 12 games and have been a below average team for two months, going 24-29 since June 10, when their division lead was 6.5 games. Tanner Bibee did not get into the rotation until the last week of April and he has made the most of it with a 2.92 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 18 starts. He had a bad outing in San Diego in late June but since then he has now allowed more than three runs in nine starts, posting a 2.02 ERA with Cleveland going 7-2. Zach Eflin turned in another strong performance as he allowed just one run on four hits and no walks in seven innings against St. Louis. He has been excellent for the most part all season but has a couple recent blips where he allowed five runs twice over his last five starts. 10* (961) Cleveland Guardians |
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08-13-23 | Reds +125 v. Pirates | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Cincinnati and Pittsburgh will play two today and we are backing the Reds in Game One based on the starting pitching reconfiguration. Cincinnati won the series opener Friday but has gone 2-8 over its last 10 games to fall three games behind the Brewers in the National League Central. The Pirates knocked themselves out of any postseason consideration with a 2-12 start to the month of July and they have been average since then, going 11-10 over their last 21 games. Pittsburgh is now 12 games under .500 overall and three games under .500 at home. Brandon Williamson was the projected starter yesterday and was the small favorite prior to the game being postponed. Now he is the underdog with value as he has pitched well, allowing two runs or less in six of his last seven starts going back to July 1 for a 2.30 ERA in those six outings. Mitch Keller was the projected Sunday starter so he is on normal rest and was moved up over Andre Jackson to pitch the first game. He opened the season fantastic with a 2.44 ERA in 10 starts but has not been reliable since late May with a 5.89 ERA over his last 14 starts including a 9.11 ERA over his last five. 10* (951) Cincinnati Reds |
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08-12-23 | Orioles +152 v. Mariners | Top | 1-0 | Win | 152 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Mariners are catching fire at the right time as their 9-2 victory on Friday was their eighth straight win and they have moved to within a half-game of Toronto for the final Wild Card spot in the American League. Seattle also has moved to within 5.5 games of first place in the division. Baltimore lost for the third time in its last four games but its lead remains two games over Tampa Bay in the American League East. This comes after a 7-1 run and it has been one of the best teams in the league over the last few months so getting the Orioles at a price like this is a bonus. Cole Irvin opened the season in the starting rotation and it did not go well as he posted a 10.66 ERA in three starts and was demoted. He came back and put up a 2.66 ERA in five starts and has been used out of the bullpen since but is making another start as Baltimore heads to a six-man rotation. George Kirby has been putting together a great season. While he has pitched better more often than not where he has allowed three runs or less in nine of his last 13 starts, he has allowed five runs or more in those other four outings and this lineup can get to him. 10* (917) Baltimore Orioles |
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08-12-23 | Angels +162 v. Astros | Top | 3-11 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The trade deadline decisions by the Angels looks to have backfired as they went through a seven-game losing streak right after and while they put an end to that with two straight wins, Los Angeles dropped the opener of this series last night 11-3. They are back under .500 and 6.5 games out in the Wild Card standings. Houston has won eight of its last 11 games to continue to hang around in the American League West as it trails the Rangers by 2.5 games while it continues to hold onto the No. 2 Wild Card spot in the league. The Astros are just six games over .500 at home and down five units in profit. J.P. France has had a monster rookie season but now is favored by the biggest amount against a team not named Oakland or Colorado. He has allowed three runs or less in 10 straight starts and Houston has won his last six but this is too steep of a number to be putting down. Tyler Anderson has had a decent season with two different three-game stretches that has inflated his numbers overall. Since the last stretch, he has been solid with a 3.22 ERA covering seven starts and allowing more than two runs only twice. 10* (915) Los Angeles Angels |
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08-11-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks +145 | Top | 10-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The downward spiral continues for Arizona as it is now on an eight-game losing streak prior to an off day Thursday. The Diamondbacks have struggled further back as well, going 7-24 over their last 31 games and have fallen into third place in the National League West, 11.5 games behind Los Angeles and 2.5 games out of the Wild Card. Despite playing not as bad lately, San Diego is worse off as it remains under .500 on the season at 55-60 and is 13.5 games behind the Dodgers and the Padres are 4.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot, needing to overtake four teams. They are 27-32 on the road and down over 12 units. San Diego still remains overpriced and tonight it is because of Blake Snell who to his credit, is pitching outstanding. He has allowed three runs or less in 14 straight starts and he allowed three runs last time out for the first time since May 19. The wins are not there though as San Diego is 2-9 in his 11 road starts. Ryne Nelson counters for Arizona and he has not had close to the same season but he is coming off a bad outing and he has bounced back in spots like this before, posting a 3.06 ERA in his last six starts after allowing four runs or more. 10* (956) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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08-11-23 | Brewers v. White Sox +154 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Milwaukee has alternated wins and losses in its last 10 games following a win over Colorado on Wednesday in 10 innings. The Brewers are eight games over .500 and have a 2.5-game lead over Cincinnati in the National League Central yet come in just two games over .500 on the road. The White Sox lost season has been better of late as they have won four of their last five games and have won two straight series over playoff contenders Cleveland and New York. Chicago has not been great at home at five games under .500 but it is much better than its 22-39 road record. Corbin Burnes is the reason for the big price as he has been dominant of late, going seven straight starts of allowing two runs or fewer and Milwaukee has gone 5-2 in those games after going just 88 in his first 16 starts. He has gotten little run support of just 2.8 rpg in his last five outings. Michael Kopech has been all over the place this season as the long ball has killed him as he has allowed 24 home runs which have accounted for nearly half of his overall earned runs given up. He has been better of late as over his last 10 starts, he has three runs or less eight times. 10* (976) Chicago White Sox |
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08-10-23 | Royals +222 v. Red Sox | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Boston had a come-from-behind win last night as it won 4-3 to make it two wins in three games to open this series following a 1-7 run that included opening this homestand by getting swept by Toronto. Boston is now just games over .500 and laying another monster number tonight. Kansas City lost for the fourth time in five games following a season-high seven-game winning streak which included six significant underdog victories. The road has been a struggle all season but playing the Royals in spots has been the way and this is one of those. The starting rotation has not been very good for Kansas City so pitching a bullpen game is not at a disadvantage. Austin Cox gets the starting call and he has been effective with a 3.58 ERA and 1.16 WHIP through 27.2 innings and will give way after a couple innings. James Paxton has kept this starting rotation afloat although he has taken a step back after a blistering run to open his season that started late in mid-May. Over his last four outings, he has a 6.16 ERA and 1.63 WHIP covering 19 innings with Boston losing three of those four games. 10* (913) Kansas City Royals |
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08-10-23 | Nationals +220 v. Phillies | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Philadelphia is coming off a 7-0 win last night behind a no-hitter from Michael Lorenzen to make it four wins in five games while going 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Phillies have taken over the National League Wild Card lead by a game over the Giants and are a steep favorite in this letdown spot. Washington was no-hit for the first time in franchise history since moving from Montreal and the loss snapped a 5-1 run by the Nationals. For being a last place team, they have excelled on the road at just two games under .500 and with a +18.7 profit return in units. Aaron Nola is still considered the ace of the staff but he has been far from pitching like one. He has had only one stretch this season where he allowed three runs or less in three consecutive games and since May 25, he has posted a 4.80 ERA covering 13 starts. Patrick Corbin has been basically on the level with the same inconsistencies but getting 2-1 odds. He is coming off a quality start in his last outing against the Reds which came on the road where his overall numbers are not great but he has a 3.55 ERA over his last four road starts. 10* (903) Washington Nationals |
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08-09-23 | Twins v. Tigers +146 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 146 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Twins had their five-game winning streak snapped with a 6-0 loss but remain in front in the American League Central, building a 4.5-game lead over Cleveland. Minnesota has not fared well on the road where it is four games under .500 and come in as a big favorite. Detroit snapped a two-game skid with the shutout victory last night and can build off that to win consecutive games for the first time since July 23-24. While it has not been a good season for the Tigers, they have held their own and have been better than expected and shown a profit through their first 113 games. Bailey Ober has had a great season for the Twins with a 3.21 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 18 starts but could be showing some later season fatigue as he is coming off his worst two-game stretch of the season, posting an 8.00 ERA against Kansas City and Arizona. Alex Faedo has been recalled from Triple-A again. He made a spot start 16 days ago and blanked the Padres over six innings while issuing four walks and allowing one hit, lowering his WHIP to 1.04 through seven starts which is a great indication of how he has pitched rather than his 5.80 ERA. 10* (966) Detroit Tigers |
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08-09-23 | Cardinals +140 v. Rays | Top | 6-4 | Win | 140 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Tampa Bay won the series opener 4-2 on Monday to make it two straight wins and the Rays have gone 6-2 over their last eight games. They have been able to keep pace in the American League East after losing their lead as they trail Baltimore by two games. St. Louis is having a toss out season as it is now 16 games under .500 having lost two straight games and eight of its last 11. The Cardinals have been equally poor on the road as at home and the value is finally starting to turn after being overpriced as an overrated team. It will be a bullpen game for Tampa Bay with Jalen Beeks getting the start and he will likely be held to one inning, maybe two if all goes well but he has not been very good. He has mainly pitched in relief and has a 6.27 ERA and 1.47 WHIP through 37.1 innings. Dakota Hudson will be making just his second start as he looks for a strong finish after his first outing where he went only three innings in his first start but was impressive last time out. He went seven innings against Minnesota where he allowed three runs on just two hits and three walks. 10* (975) St. Louis Cardinals |
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08-08-23 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +142 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The wheels have officially fallen off in Arizona as it heads back home on a six-game losing streak. The Diamondbacks have struggled of late, going 7-22 over their last 29 games and have fallen into third place in the National League West, nine games behind Los Angeles and two games out of the Wild Card. The Dodgers took a while to get into first place in the division but have done so on a recent 7-2 run to take a four-game lead over the Giants. They are just five games over .500 on the road and down money. Julio Urias goes for the Dodgers and he has not been himself this season in limited action. He started great with a 1.90 ERA in his first four starts but over his last 12 outings, he has posted a 5.75 ERA with the long ball being his detriment, allowing 15 over this 12-game stretch. Brandon Pfaadt has some overall gaudy number this season but that was due to early struggles and over his last three starts, he has a 3.37 ERA and 0.86 WHIP covering 18.2 innings. Here, we play against National League road teams hitting .255 or worse and starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse. This situation is 46-24 (65.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (912) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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08-08-23 | Rangers v. A's +222 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Texas won the series opener last night to make it seven straight wins to move three games ahead of Houston in the American League West. While being 40-20 at home, the Rangers are just one game over .500 on the road. Oakland had its two-game winning streak snapped with the loss last night but has been playing a decent stretch of late and are catching a huge number in what is not a big pitching disadvantage. JP Sears has been the most consistent starter in the rotation as he has allowed three runs or fewer in 16 of his 22 starts and has posted a decent 3.99 ERA overall but has a 1.07 WHIP to back that up which is tied for ninth lowest in all of baseball. Max Scherzer had a rough first inning against the White Sox in his Texas debut but settled down after that to get the victory. He has been up and down all season and it is hard to gauge what to expect. Here, we play on American League home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more averaging 3.6 or fewer rpg and with a bullpen that blows 38 percent or more of their save opportunities going up against a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.50 or worse. This situation is 59-40 (59.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (924) Oakland Athletics |
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08-07-23 | Rangers v. A's +188 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Texas has caught fire once again as it is coming off a pair of sweeps against Chicago and Miami to make it six straight wins to move 2.5 games ahead of Houston in the American League West. Those were all at home however and the Rangers hit the road where they sit right at .500. After getting swept by the Dodgers on the road, Oakland had a rare off day Friday and then won both games at home over the weekend against San Francisco. It has obviously been a struggle this season for the Athletics but they are 4-4 over their last eight games and bring in momentum. Dane Dunning has had a solid season since coming into the rotation in May as he has a 3.53 ERA and 1.21 WHIP through 16 starts and is coming off a quality start against the White Sox. His road numbers are better but the Rangers are just 3-5 in his eight road outings. Ken Waldichuk has had his ups and downs and has made his way back into the rotation after spending some time as a bulk reliever. He had one poor inning against the Dodgers in his last start but he is back home where his numbers are better and Oakland has shown a profit in his seven home outings. 10* (972) Oakland Athletics |
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08-07-23 | Twins v. Tigers +152 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Twins are coming off a sweep of slumping Arizona to make it four straight wins following a 1-6 stretch and they have finally taken control in the American League Central, building a 4.5-game lead over Cleveland. Minnesota is back on the road where it is four games under .500 and come in as a big favorite. Detroit lost its series with Tampa Bay as it was able to steal the middle game prior to the 10-6 loss yesterday. While it has not been a good season for the Tigers, they have held their own and have been better than expected and shown a profit through their first 111 games. Pablo Lopez has had a successful first season in Minnesota with a 4.01 ERA and 1.12 WHIP through 22 starts while allowing two runs or less in his last three outings. He has had his blowups along the way however as he has allowed five runs or more five times, the most recent coming against Oakland four starts back. Joey Wentz is a big prospect who had his struggles and was sent down to Triple-A Toledo. He has made just one appearance with the Tigers since June 29, when he pitched against the Marlins and was solid in a bulk-relief role, allowing four hits and no runs in 4.2 innings. 10* (964) Detroit Tigers |
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08-06-23 | Rockies +185 v. Cardinals | Top | 1-0 | Win | 185 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. We will come back with Colorado today after losing 6-2 on Saturday and the matchup Sunday is far from a disadvantage. The Rockies have had their struggles on the road this season but are catching another big number despite the pitching being in their favor. As mentioned yesterday, the Cardinals are the most disappointing team in baseball this season as they went from preseason division favorites to 49-63 and down a whopping 27.1 units because of big prices and they are still being priced like a quality team. It will be a bullpen game for St. Louis and is laying an unheard of price in a situation like this with a below average bullpen. Zack Thompson will be making the start and he has not tossed more than 33 pitches in a big-league game this season, so he will likely be capped around there Sunday. Austin Gomber has some poor overall numbers but this was mostly due to a poor start to the season as well as not pitching well at Coors Field where he has a 6.82 ERA and that comes down by nearly three runs on the road. Recently, he has allowed two runs or less in six of his last seven starts. 10* (905) Colorado Rockies |
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08-06-23 | Pirates +185 v. Brewers | Top | 4-1 | Win | 185 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Pittsburgh blew a chance for the win on Saturday as it allowed a game-tying hit in the ninth and lost the game in the tenth inning. This is a young roster that has obviously struggled but will play hard every day and going back, the Pirates are 8-7 over their last 15 games and getting a great price today. Milwaukee skated by last night and it has been a struggle for the Brewers which are still in first place in the National League Central by a game and a half over the Reds, which are struggling mightily. Milwaukee is just 6-9 over its last 15 games so it is lucky to be where it is. Johan Oviedo has been solid this season with a few blowups along the way but in 22 starts, he has allowed three runs or less 14 times. This includes each of his last two as he turned in quality outings against the Tigers and Padres and is out for redemption after Milwaukee handed him his worst start of the season. Brandon Woodruff will be making his first Major League start since April 7, before he landed on the injured list with a sub-scapular strain. He made three rehab starts with increased pitch counts but and expects to be only in the range of 75 to 80 pitches. 10* (903) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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08-05-23 | Rockies +210 v. Cardinals | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Colorado won the series opener 9-4 last night as it jumped out to a 6-0 lead after two innings to make it a modest three wins over its last two games. The Rockies have had their struggles on the road this season but are actually catching a bigger number tonight than last night. The Cardinals are certainly the most disappointing team in baseball this season as they went from preseason division favorites to 48-63 and down a whopping 28.1 units because of big prices and they are still being priced like a quality team. Steven Matz is part of the reason for the big number as he has pitched well after being out of the rotation for 10 weeks but that does not warrant this price. He tossed back-to-back shutout performances, each covering six innings. Not to be outdone, Ty Blach is back in the rotation after not having made a start since May of 2022. He has made two starts, both of which were considered bullpen games and after going two innings in the first one, he tossed five shutout innings last time out and can be stretched out again. 10* (957) Colorado Rockies |
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08-05-23 | Mets +160 v. Orioles | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Mets have lost all four games since the trade deadline including a 10-3 loss last night to open this series. Getting swept by the Royals was legitimate rock bottom for New York and it is now playing out the string to it is spot picks the rest of the way and this is one of those. Baltimore has now won five of its last six games to maintain its lead in the American League East at two games over Tampa Bay. The Orioles have been one of the hottest teams over the last two months but this is not an ideal matchup, especially at this price. The main reason is Kyle Gibson. He is coming off his best start in two months as he allowed only one run in six innings against Toronto but has not strung together three consecutive starts of allowing two or less runs which would be his goal tonight. After a stint at Triple-A Syracuse, Tylor Megill is back with the Mets and is coming off a solid start in his last appearance. He is back due to the Mets depleted rotation and while he was not great early in the season, this is a chance to show something to close out the season. 10* (975) New York Mets |
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08-04-23 | White Sox +144 v. Guardians | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Chicago is coming off a sweep at Texas to make it four straight losses as it blew a 3-0 first inning lead yesterday to fall 5-3. The White Sox were a seller as it unloaded seven players at the deadline including six pitchers but a lone top starter goes tonight. Cleveland is also coming off a sweep as it lost three games in Houston as the offense remains in a drought. The Guardians have averaged 2.0 rpg during its recent 1-5 stretch and they now trail Minnesota by 2.5 games in the American League Central. Mike Clevinger has pitched well this season with a 3.59 ERA and he was cruising along before suffering a biceps injury that made him miss six weeks but he came back with a solid return start, allowing no runs on two hits and no walks in five innings. Logan Allen has been hit or miss of late as he allowed five runs in back-to-back starts before tossing three straight shutout games but that was over just 12.2 innings and he has now allowed nine runs in 13 innings over his last two outings. Here, we play against American League home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season, in August games. This situation is 54-40 (57.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (915) Chicago White Sox |
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08-04-23 | Blue Jays +141 v. Red Sox | Top | 7-3 | Win | 141 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Toronto is coming off a 3-1 series loss against Baltimore to fall 7.5 games behind the Orioles in the American League East. This has turned into a big series for the Blue Jays which hold onto the final Wild Card spot in the American League but just two games ahead of Boston. Obviously, this is a big series for the Red Sox as well after losing four of their last five games on their most recent roadtrip and a day off on Thursday. They are 30-23 at home but have gone 5-15 this season when coming off a roadtrip of five or more games. The wild card in the Toronto rotation going forward will be Alek Manoah who has had mixed results in four starts since re-entering the rotation after a month off. He has allowed three runs or less in three of the four starts and has a 3.09 ERA in two road outings. James Paxton has been very consistent since coming into the rotation in mid-May as he has allowed three runs or less in 11 of 13 starts but Boston is just 6-7 in those 13 outings including 2-3 in five home starts. Here, we play against American League home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season, in August games. This situation is 54-40 (57.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (917) Toronto Blue Jays |
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08-03-23 | A's +242 v. Dodgers | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Oakland will not be given much of a chance here after losing the first two games of this series 17-4 combined but it does not a big disadvantage at starting pitching like the first two games. The Athletics can close out this roadtrip with a 3-3 record with a victory. The Dodgers have been scuffing along recently with a 4-5 record over their last nine games and are just 8-7 over their last 15 games but have held their lead in the National League West only because the other teams have faltered more. The Dodgers are dead even at home in units because of overprices like this one. JP Sears has been the most consistent starter in the rotation as he has allowed three runs or fewer in 15 of his 21 starts and has posted a decent 4.09 ERA overall but has a 1.05 WHIP to back that up which is tied for sixth lowest in all of baseball. Keep the home runs in check and he is just fine. Julio Urias counters for the Dodgers and he has not been himself this season in limited action. He started great with a 1.90 ERA in his first four starts but over his last 11 outings, he has posted a 6.24 ERA with the long ball being his detriment as well, allowing 15 over this 11-game stretch. 10* (971) Oakland Athletics |
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08-03-23 | Reds +149 v. Cubs | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. After winning the series opener 6-5, Cincinnati has lost the last two games by a combined score of 36-15 and could use a Bounceback victory. The Reds still hold a half-game lead in the National League Central over Milwaukee and have been great on the road at 31-25. Chicago won eight straight games and followed that up with a pair of losses prior to the recent two blowout victories. The Cubs have gotten back into the playoff talk as they are now two games over .500 which puts them three games out in the division and 2.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League. Luke Weaver has not been good this season with an over ERA of 6.80 over his 18 starts but he is coming off his best start in a while as he allowed one earned run on two hits and two walks over six innings against the Dodgers in Los Angeles. Cincinnati is 11-7 in his 18 outings. Jameson Taillon has equally struggled throughout the entire season with a 5.56 ERA overall but has been pitching a lot better with four straight really good outings. The two best were on the road and he is back home where he has a 6.61 ERA with Chicago going 3-7 in his 10 starts here. 10* (957) Cincinnati Reds |
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08-02-23 | Diamondbacks +180 v. Giants | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. After winning the series opener 4-3, Arizona lost the second game last night by an identical score after blowing a 3-0 lead. The Diamondbacks have struggled of late, going 7-17 over their last 24 games and have fallen into third place in the National League West, 4.5 games behind Los Angeles and a game out of the Wild Card. The Giants have not been at their best as after a seven-game winning streak, they have gone 5-8 over their last 13 games and sit 2.5 games behind the Dodgers in the division. San Francisco does hold the top Wild Card spot in the National League but only two games separate five teams. Slade Cecconi makes his Major League debut as the No. 9 overall prospect in the organization. He has 104 strikeouts to 29 walks this season with Reno, continuing a trend dating back to his Double-A season a year back where his 5.5 BB rate ranked No. 5 overall among all Double-A qualifiers. Logan Webb has been excellent all season with a 3.68 ERA in 22 starts but he has had his ups and downs over the last two months and his strikeouts have come down while home runs allowed have gone up. While he has a stronger ERA at home, the Giants are just 4-6 in his 10 home starts. 10* (909) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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08-02-23 | White Sox +125 v. Rangers | Top | 1-11 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The White Sox has lost six straight games before a series win over the weekend against Cleveland but lost the series opener last night 2-0 off a pair of solo home runs as the offense was unable to muster anything, getting only three hits. Chicago was a seller as it unloaded seven players including six pitchers but the best remaining starter goes tonight. Texas has lost seven of its previous nine games which included getting swept at San Diego over the weekend but the victory last night kept the Rangers one game ahead of Houston in the American League West. Newly acquired Max Scherzer and Jordan Montgomery are slate to pitch the nest two games. Tonight it will be Dane Dunning who has not looked great of late as he has posted a 6.10 ERA and 1.55 WHIP over his last four starts. He has allowed five home runs over this stretch after giving up only two over his previous five starts and has performed better on the road than at home. Dylan Cease had a rough stretch in late April and early May but has pitched pretty consistent since then, allowing three runs or less in 11 of his last 14 starts while allowing only seven home runs total over this stretch. His ERA is a solid 3.34 over those 14 outings. 10* (919) Chicago White Sox |
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08-01-23 | Guardians +167 v. Astros | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Cleveland lost for a us last night despite a solid effort from Noah Syndergaard in his first start with the Guardians as the bullpen allowed six runs and they have fallen back to a game under .500. The Guardians are only one game out in the American League Central however thanks to Minnesota having lost five straight games. Houston bounced back from a series loss to Tampa Bay and the Astros have dropped three of five overall. They are now a half-game behind the Rangers in the American League West and have been a much better road team than at home where they are 29-25 and down eight units. Framber Valdez got off to an amazing start this season where he allowed more than three runs only once in his first 15 starts including giving up two runs or less 12 times. However, he has allowed four runs or more in four of his last five outings for a 7.00 ERA. Gavin Williams is coming off a good effort but was pulled after four innings and 85 pitches where he did not allow a run on three hits as a long first inning cut his outing short. All signs were good after a blister issue in his previous start and in seven starts, he has a 3.34 ERA. 10* (967) Cleveland Guardians |
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08-01-23 | Angels +224 v. Braves | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Angels are playing with some new found confidence as the team has made moves for a playoff push. They won the series opener last night to make it 10 wins in their last 13 games and are only 4.5 games back in the American League West and three games in the Wild Card. Atlanta was coming off a sweep against Milwaukee over the weekend but it has been an average run of late as the Braves are 7-9 over their last 16 games but there is no urgency right now as they have an 11-game lead in the National League East. With the loss last night the Braves will be a massive public play tonight. That is due to Spencer Strider taking the hill but he has not been his best of late. He has allowed 11 runs over his last three starts and going back, he has a poor 4.69 ERA over his last nine starts. The strikeouts are there but so are the home runs allowed, 16 over his last 13 outings. Patrick Sandoval has been consistent this season, allowing three runs or fewer in 14 of his 18 starts including two runs or less in his last three outings for a 2.08 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. Unlike Strider, he does not give up the long ball as he has allowed only seven home runs including just two on the road in 10 starts. 10* (973) Los Angeles Angels |
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07-31-23 | Padres v. Rockies +181 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 181 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. San Diego is coming off a three-game sweep against Texas to try and maintain any playoff hope in the National League Wild Card as the Padres are five games out but with four teams ahead of them to pass. The are still two games under .500 and hit the road where they are four games under .500. Colorado snapped a four-game losing streak with a win over Oakland and despite the very rough season, the Rockies have been competitive at home where they are four games under .500 but have a profitable return thanks to numbers like the one tonight. The Padres were massive favorites against Texas with Joe Musgrove, Yu Darvish and Blake Snell on the hill and they are a big favorite again, this time with Seth Lugo who does not deserve a number this big. He has pitched well with a 3.62 ERA but San Diego is just 6-9 in his 15 starts. Austin Gomber has some below average numbers but his struggles were early on. He is coming off one of his best starts of the season as he did not allow an earned run over six innings. In his last six starts, he has a 3.00 ERA that includes four quality outings. 10* (908) Colorado Rockies |
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07-31-23 | Guardians +164 v. Astros | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Cleveland opened its seven-game roadtrip with a four-game split against Chicago to remain afloat at 53-53. The Guardians are only a half-game out in the American League Central thanks to Minnesota having lost five straight games. Houston was making a move on Texas but lost two of three against Tampa Bay over the weekend and the Astros have dropped three of four overall. They remain one game behind the Rangers in the American League West and have been a much better road team than at home where they are 28-25 and down nine units. Noah Syndergaard makes his Cleveland debut tonight after being acquired from the Dodgers where his time did not go well. He rehabbed at Triple-A after hitting the injured list in early June because of a blister on his right index finger. J.P. France gets the ball for Houston and he has been great in his rookie season. He has a 2.87 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 14 starts with only a couple blowups early on. He has been much better on the road though as he has a 3.86 ERA at home with Houston going 3-3 in his six starts here. 10* (915) Cleveland Guardians |
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07-28-23 | Rays v. Astros +101 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Analysis to follow 10* (968) Houston Astros |
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07-27-23 | Guardians +100 v. White Sox | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS for our MLB Game of the Month. The White Sox have added to their miserable season with five consecutive losses heading into this four-game series. Chicago is now 21 games under .500 after blowing a 7-2 lead yesterday against the Cubs with morale down even more following a trade with the Angels as the housecleaning has begun. Cleveland took two of three against Kansas City and has gone 6-3 over its last nine games to get back to .500 and the Guardians have trimmed the Minnesota lead in the American League Central to two games with just over a third of the season remaining. Tanner Bibee has quietly helped pace one of the most consistent rotations in the league as he has posted a 3.04 ERA and 1.19 WHIP through 15 starts since coming in late April. He has allowed more than three runs only twice and is on his best stretch of the season with a 1.21 ERA. Dylan Cease has had a very good season as well but not quite on the same level. He has come out of the break with a pair of solid starts, allowing two runs over 11 innings on the road but brings in a 4.04 ERA in 10 home starts. Here, we play against American League home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better. This situation is 42-15 (73.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (907) Cleveland Guardians |
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07-26-23 | Rangers +162 v. Astros | Top | 13-5 | Win | 162 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS RANGERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Texas came out of the All Star break by winning their first six games but have dropped four of its last five games including a pair of one run losses to open this series. The Rangers lead has dropped to just one game over Houston in the American League West. The Astros has been consistent out of the break as they are 8-3 in their 11 games to close the gap in the division and move up into the second spot in the Wild Card standings. Their ace takes the hill but he has been far from last of late. Framber Valdez allowed three runs or less in 14 of his first 15 starts but has allowed four runs or more in three of his last four outings including both out of the break and facing this Rangers lineup will not make for an easy cure. Texas turbs to Andrew Heaney who has also leaked some oil after a superb start to the season as he has a pair of shutout performances over his last four starts but also allowed 11 runs in the other two. He allowed four or more runs four other times and posted a 1.23 ERA in the four follow up outings. Here, we play on American League road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher who strikes out five or more batters per start. This situation is 45-21 (68.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (965) Texas Rangers |
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07-26-23 | Braves v. Red Sox +144 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 144 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. After taking two of three games against the Mets, Boston made it three straight wins as it cruised to a 7-1 victory on Tuesday in this series opener. The Red Sox are now just a game and a half out of the final Wild Card spot in the American League. The loss dropped Atlanta to 4-6 in its 10 games since the All Star break but the lead in the National League East is at 11 games so there is no cause for concern. The Braves will be a massive public play tonight. That is due to Spencer Strider taking the hill but he has not been his best of late. He has allowed nine runs over his last two starts and going back, he has a poor 4.98 ERA over his last eight starts. The strikeouts are there but so are the home runs allowed, 14 over his last 12 outings. Brayan Bello counters for Boston and he has quietly put together a great season with a 3.60 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 16 starts. He is coming off his worst start of the season against Oakland but is in bounce back mode after getting his seven-game quality outing streak snapped. Here, we play against National League favorites with a money line of -110 or higher hitting between .255 to .269 and with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season going up against an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or better. This situation is 41-19 (68.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (976) Boston Red Sox |
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07-25-23 | Reds +140 v. Brewers | Top | 4-3 | Win | 140 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Cincinnati had its five-game winning streak snapped with a 3-2 loss last night as the Brewers won on a walk off single in the series opener. The Reds now trail Milwaukee by a game and a half in the National League Central and are in a four-way tie for the three Wild Card spots. The Brewers were coming off a series loss against the Braves but have been playing their best baseball of the season over the last month as they are 17-8 over their last 25 games to move 11 games over .500 yet are still just five games over .500 at home. Corbin Burnes has been a pitcher to avoid of late as he has won four straight games with four quality outings including a pair of shutout efforts over 14 innings in his last tow starts. He does not have a big edge here though. Cincinnati counters with Andrew Abbott who has turned some heads in his rookie season. He had one poor outing against Milwaukee but he has a 1.23 ERA in his other eight outings. He backed that up bad Milwaukee game with a quality effort against the Brewers next time out. Here, we play against National League favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with an OBP of .310 or worse and starting a pitcher who gave up one earned runs or less in his last two outings going up against a very starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.25 or better. This situation is 53-34 (60.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (903) Cincinnati Reds |
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07-25-23 | Marlins +180 v. Rays | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Both Miami and Tampa Bay limp into this interstate series as both have headed in the wrong direction. Miami snapped an eight-game losing streak with a series finale win over Colorado on Sunday as the offense has sputtered. Still, the Marlins are in a four-way tie for the three Wild Card spots. Tampa Bay lost three of four against Baltimore to fall out of first place in the American League East as it is now 2.5 games back following a 4-14 run over the last 18 games. The Rays are the top team in the American League Wild Card but are overpriced here. Tyler Glasnow is the big favorite and he has pitched very well in his limited action as he has allowed three runs or less in nine of his 10 starts to post a 3.62 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. He has five straight quality outings but the Rays are just 2-3. Edward Cabrera does not have great overall numbers as he has a 4.50 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 15 starts but has limited the damage for the most part. He has allowed three runs or less in 12 of those starts including six of his last seven for a 3.68 ERA. Here, we play on National League road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a slugging percentage of .400 or worse and with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.35 to 1.45 going up against an American League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or better. This situation is 31-19 (62 percent) since 1997. 10* (919) Miami Marlins |
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07-24-23 | Pirates +227 v. Padres | Top | 8-4 | Win | 227 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. San Diego took the first two games in Detroit before losing 3-1 on Sunday in the series finale to close their roadtrip an average 5-5 and that has been the story of the season of high expectations. The Padres are three games under .500 and well out in both their division and the Wild Card. Pittsburgh lost two of three against the Angels to open its six-game roadtrip and the offense has shown some promise by averaging 5.0 rpg over its last four games after scoring six runs in its previous four games. The Pirates are catching great value tonight. Yu Darvish has been one of the most overvalued pitchers this season and is now favored by his biggest amount this season. He is coming off a pair of impressive start after the break but he has been inconsistent in this situation as he has allowed two runs or less eight times, and in the first seven, he followed that up by allowing four runs or more four times. Quinn Priester will be making his second career start and looks to bounce back after a disaster debut as he allowed seven runs in 5.1 innings against Cleveland. He is a big prospect in the organization s he is ranked No. 6 overall and should settle down after that jittery opening. 10* (957) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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07-24-23 | Royals +174 v. Guardians | Top | 5-3 | Win | 174 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Royals were swept in New York by the Yankees over the weekend and has lost five straight games but picking them in spots has been the way to go and this is one of those at a great price. Four runs have been the number to get of late as they are 3-2 in their last five games when scoring that or more. Cleveland won the first two games against the Phillies but lost a tough one yesterday in extra inning 8-5 to fall three games behind the Twins in the American League Central. The Guardians are back under .500 on the season and yet laying a huge number tonight. The Royals go with Ryan Yarbrough who is making his third start since early May after getting struck in the head with a line drive that caused skull fractures. We won with him in his first game back right here in Cleveland and he has posted a 3.09 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in those first two outings. Logan Allen has not allowed a run over his last three starts, which is certainly impressive but he has not gone deep into games as he has totaled only 12.2 innings and has maxed out as five innings. This is not good for a Cleveland bullpen that has posted a 6.28 ERA over its last seven games. 10* (959) Kansas City Royals |
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07-23-23 | Mets +134 v. Red Sox | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
07-23-23 | White Sox +132 v. Twins | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Chicago lost 3-2 Saturday despite outhitting Minnesota 10-6 as it allowed two runs in the seventh inning to make it two straight losses and the White Sox fell to 3-5 on this current roadtrip but fall into a good spot on Sunday to claim the series finale. Minnesota is now 7-2 coming out of the All Star break to keep its two-game lead in the American League Central over Cleveland. Despite the run, the Twins are just four games over .500 and while six games over .500 at home, they are down nearly six units. Lucas Giolito takes the hill for Chicago and it is bounce back time as he is coming off his worst start of the season, allowing eight runs including three home runs in 3.2 innings against the Mets. He had allowed three runs or less in seven of his previous eight starts including two runs or fewer six times. The Twins turn to Bailey Ober who has been fantastic this season with a 2.74 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 15 starts as he has allowed four runs or more only once. His numbers are slightly worse at home and the Twins are just 4-5 in nine home outings, averaging only 2.3 rpg. 10* (915) Chicago White Sox |
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07-22-23 | Pirates +172 v. Angels | Top | 3-0 | Win | 172 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Pittsburgh offense did its part last night but the pitching came up small and they are in another really good value spot tonight. Despite the loss and the losing road record, the Pirates are down only three units on the road. The Angels are now two games over .500 following a sweep over the Yankees and the win last night. Los Angeles is eight games behind Texas in the American League West and now four games out of the Wild Card but are overpriced again. The Pirates got to Shohei Ohtani as expected and now the Angels turn to Reid Detmers who is nearly the same price. He has been solid all season but after a great five-game stretch, he has allowed 11 runs over his last two starts covering 9.1 innings. Pittsburgh counters with Osvaldo Bido and while he has only one quality outing in his six starts, he has been good enough to keep the Pirates in games but the bullpen has not been able to close the door, allowing 28 of 43 runs in his starts. Here, we play on National League road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with an on base percentage of .310 or worse and hitting .230 or worse over their last 10 games going up an American League starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.30 or better. This situation is 36-21 (63.2 percent) since 1997. 10* (979) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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07-22-23 | Astros v. A's +177 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 177 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Houston came away with a 6-4 victory last night thanks to Kyle Tucker hitting three home runs. The Astros have won three straight games and now trail the Rangers by three games in the American League West but the offense has struggled aside from Tucker. Oakland has lost two straight games which came after a pair of big underdog winners against Boston and while it is a lost season, the Athletics have at least shown a pulse after one of the worst starts ever in baseball history. Christian Javier was sensational through his first 12 start where he posted a 2.84 ERA and 0.99 WHIP but he has struggled over his last six outings with an 8.44 ERA and 1.92 WHIP. He has struggled on the road all year with a 5.47 ERA. Paul Blackburn has been inconsistent through his first eight starts with Oakland as he has allowed four runs or more in four of those but in the other four, he has been brilliant with a 1.71 ERA and those were against the Yankees, Rays, Brewers and Braves, which are some pretty potent offenses. Here, we play on home teams with a starting a pitcher who allowed five or more runs in his last two outings and hitting .240 or worse over their last 10 games. This situation is 62-34 (64.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (970) Oakland Athletics |
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07-21-23 | Pirates +180 v. Angels | Top | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The promising start to the season for Pittsburgh ended abruptly and the Pirates have gone through the typical young roster struggles but are catching a good number following a win over Cleveland to close their homestand. Pittsburgh is down just two units on the road. The Angels continue to fight as they are back over .500 following a sweep over the Yankees but that momentum is gone following a day off. Los Angeles is nine games behinds Texas in the American League West and while only five games out of the Wild Card, it will be a tough road. Shohei Ohtani is laying a big number because of who he is and not what he has produced of late. He posted a 0.64 ERA in his first five starts and while he has some great starts since then, he also has six games where he has allowed four or more runs and has a pedestrian 4.66 ERA in his last 13 outings. Johan Oviedo has some very average numbers with a 4.53 ERA but he has been very good in the majority of his games as he has allowed two runs or less in 11 of his 19 starts. After some needed rest during the all Star break, he is coming off his best start, allowing one run over seven inning while striking out a season-high 10. 10* (929) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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07-21-23 | White Sox +144 v. Twins | Top | 4-9 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The White Sox avoided the sweep in New York with a series ending 6-2 victory on Thursday against the Mets and continue their length road trek back to the American League. After getting shutout 9-0 against Atlanta to open this roadtrip, Chicago has won three of its last five with the offense averaging 6.2 rpg. The Twins won five of their first six games out of the break but were shutout 5-0 on Thursday in Seattle. Minnesota maintains its lead in the National League Central at two games over Cleveland but comes in severely overpriced tonight. After an incredible start to the season where he posted a 2.21 ERA through his first 10 starts but Joe Ryan has come back down to earth as he has put up a 5.61 ERA over his last nine outings. He produced eight quality performances in those first 10 games but has just four since then. Lance Lynn has been all over the place this season as anther below average performance has pushed his ERA over 6.00 as the long ball has killed him the entire season. He negates that with missing bats as he has 133 strikeouts which is tied for fifth most in baseball while the Twins lead the league in strikeouts with 1,002. 10* (915) Chicago White Sox |
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07-20-23 | Orioles +166 v. Rays | Top | 4-3 | Win | 166 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Tampa Bay has come back down to earth as it is not in first place in the American League East by itself for the first time since Opening Day. After starting the season 29-7, the Rays are 31-32 since then including a 3-11 record in July yet are still priced as the dominant team. Baltimore salvaged the series finale against the Dodgers with an 8-5 win on Wednesday and got into a first place tie with the Rays, leading by percentage points. The Orioles had won eight straight games wrapped around the All Star Break before two straight losses but are catching a great number today. Tyler Glasnow will be very important for the Rays stretch run as he has made only nine starts since coming back in late May and has been very solid with eight of those starts allowing three runs or less but the one blowup came against the Orioles at home where he allowed six runs over 4.1 innings and faces the very tough lineup again. Kyle Gibson had a rough outing against Miami in his first start after the break but he has been solid for the most part and his 1.34 WHIP in 20 starts shows that. He has allowed only 10 home runs in 115 innings and has been excellent on the road with a 2.84 ERA over his last six road outings. 10* (963) Baltimore Orioles |
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07-20-23 | White Sox +140 v. Mets | Top | 6-2 | Win | 140 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. It has been a disaster of a season for Chicago from the start. The White Sox did steal two games in Atlanta over the weekend at big prices but have dropped the first two games of this series following a 5-1 loss last night as they managed only three hits, one of which was a home run that accounted for the lone run. The Mets have underachieved as well but they have won three straight games to get back to six games under .500 but need a massive finish to the season to contend for a playoff spot. New York is well out of the division race while sitting seven games out of the Wild Card positions with five teams to pass. Jose Quintana was one of the best pitchers in baseball last season with a 2.93 ERA over 32 starts and is finally making his season debut after rib surgery. He built up to 4.1 innings and 78 pitches in his fifth rehab start where he posted a 4.60 ERA and will be limited and is in a tough spot for his first start to be a very early first pitch. Michael Kopech has been the talk of trade rumors as he has been dependable but has lost some usage of late that should be returning back. He has not made it through five innings in five straight starts but could be on an upswing now as he has tossed only 18 innings the last 40 days. 10* (969) Chicago White Sox |
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07-19-23 | Brewers +170 v. Phillies | Top | 5-3 | Win | 170 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Philadelphia has now won four straight games following a 4-3 series opening win last night and the Phillies have been on a long-term heater as they are 27-10 over their last 37 games and have taken over second place in the National League East, albeit 8.5 games back. They are third in the wild Card Standings, however. Milwaukee had its four-game winning streak snapped with the loss on Tuesday but remains in first place in the National League Central and the lead actually increased to 2.5 games after the Red were swept yesterday. The Brewers have also been on a hot streak, going 17-8 over their last 25 games to take over that lead. Colin Rea is coming off his worst start of the season as he allowed five runs in 4.2 innings against the Reds but this will be his first start in 11 days so the rest came at a good time. His ERA of 4.63 is nothing great but he has a 1.18 WHIP which is a better indication of how he has pitched. Cristopher Sanchez has been a great addition to the rotation as he has posted a 3.26 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in six starts, five of which have come since he re-entered after one outing in April. He has not been nearly as good at home however and the Phillies are just 1-3 in his four home starts. 10* (903) Milwaukee Brewers |
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07-19-23 | Dodgers v. Orioles +132 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 132 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Dodgers have won the first two games of this series and have been playing well since before the all Star break as they are 16-6 over their last 22 games. Los Angeles has taken over first place in the National League West as it has a 1.5-game lead over the Giants and a 2.5-game lead over the Diamondbacks. Baltimore was cruising along with eight straight wins prior to this series which halted a 1-6 stretch but the Orioles have not lost any ground in the American League East as they are still only one game behind Tampa Bay and they have a 4.5-game lead in the Wild Card Standings. Dean Kremer opened the season with some struggles as he allowed four or five runs in five of his first six starts but has been a different pitcher since then. He did have a pair of bad outings against the Twins and Brewers but has allowed three runs or fewer in his other 11 starts including two runs or less eight times. Julio Urias is coming off his best start of the season as he allowed no runs on just one hit in six innings against the Mets which was a rare quality road start as he has struggled away from home. In his previous six outings on the road, he posted an 8.44 ERA covering just 26.2 innings. 10* (924) Baltimore Orioles |
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07-18-23 | Nationals +153 v. Cubs | Top | 3-17 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The road success continues for Washington as it jumped ahead 5-1 and held on for a 7-5 win last night and we will back the Nationals again at an unfair price. The win snapped a two-game slide and Washington remains solid on the road at 23-24 and up over 17 units of profit. The Cubs have now lost two straight games and are 3-5 over their last eight with the pitching being a big problem, allowing 5.8 rpg over that stretch. The Cubs fell to 43-50 which puts them 8.5 games out in the National League Central as well as in the Wild Card Standings. Patrick Corbin has been up and down of late but it has been mostly the former as he has had a couple blowups but has allowed three runs or less in six of his last eight starts and he is fine as long as he avoids giving up the long ball as he has six games of allowing multiple home runs. Jameson Taillon is coming off his best start of the season as he did not allowing a run on just one hit over eight innings against the Yankees, his former team, but that is now 11 days ago and prior to that, he had allowed four runs or more in eight of 10 starts for a 7.71 ERA. 10* (959) Washington Nationals |
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07-18-23 | Marlins +133 v. Cardinals | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Miami has hit a small bump with four straight losses to come out of the break following a 6-4 loss last night in the series opener despite outhitting the Cardinals. The Marlins are still nine games over .500 but are 10 games behind the Braves in the National League East yet remain in one of the three Wild Card spots. St. Louis has caught a little fire with three straight wins and having gone 6-2 over its last eight games but it is too little, too late. The Cardinals are still 12 games under .500 and 11 games out in both the division and the Wild Card standings. Edward Cabrera is coming off his worst start of the season as he allowed five runs on just four hits over four innings but allowed two home runs at Seattle. Prior to that, he had allowed three runs or fewer in 11 of his first 13 starts while posting a 2.93 ERA in his previous five outings. Jordan Montgomery has had a very solid season with a 3.23 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 18 starts but the Cardinals are just 6-12 in those games. His numbers increase at home where he has made half of those starts and St. Louis is 4-5 and down close to six units because he continues to be overpriced. 10* (957) Miami Marlins |
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07-17-23 | Nationals +130 v. Cubs | Top | 7-5 | Win | 130 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Washington came up small for us yesterday as they won the opener in St. Louis but allowed 17 runs over the final two games to take the losses yet Washington remains solid on the road at 22-24 and up nearly 16 units of profit in a good bounce back spot. The Cubs lost their series with Boston following an 11-5 loss on Sunday which was not even that close as Chicago scored the final five runs over the last two innings. The Cubs fell to 43-49 which puts them eight games out in the National League Central as well as in the Wild Card Standings. Mackenzie Gore went just 1.3 innings in his last start because of a rain delay and while he has been up and down this season with a 4.42 ERA in 18 starts, he has allowed three runs or less in 13 of those where his ERA is a solid 2.56 so when he avoids the occasional blowup, he has been efficient. Drew Smyly counters for Chicago and he has been on a similar path as Gore with some recent bad starts tossed in with some good ones but he has been more inconsistent of late. Over his last eight outings, he has posted a 6.75 ERA and in four starts over this stretch where he has allowed three runs or less, only one has been quality. 10* (905) Washington Nationals |
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07-16-23 | Astros v. Angels +130 | Top | 9-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Angels lost the series opener on Friday for their sixth straight loss and were looking like it was going to be seven straight defeats but they rallied from 9-3 and 12-9 deficits to send it to extra innings which they eventually won in 10 innings to provide some massive momentum. Houston closed the first half on a 1-3 run before the Friday victory and the loss last night was a huge kick in the teeth with their best starter on the hill and now go into Sunday with a depleted bullpen. The Astros fell to three games behind the Rangers in the American League West. Tyler Anderson got off to a horrible start this season with a 7.20 ERA through his first four starts but then settled down with five straight starts of allowing three runs or less before hitting another small rough patch. He has bounced back again though, posting a 2.81 ERA over his last three outings and looks to keep that rolling here. Christian Javier opened the season as one of the most consistent starters in the rotation as he had a 2.84 ERA over his first 12 starts, allowing a total of 22 earned runs but he has allowed that same combined amount over his last five outings to put up a 9.14 ERA in just 21.2 innings. 10* (970) Los Angeles Angels |
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07-16-23 | Nationals +170 v. Cardinals | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. After winning the first game Saturday in the continuation of the Friday suspended game, Washington lost the nightcap 9-6, erasing a 4-0 deficit at one point. The Nationals are a very respectable 22-23 on the road and have won over 16 units in the process and catch another good number here. The Cardinals have a long second half road ahead of them as they remain 14 games under .500 including eight games under .500 at home. St. Louis is down over 18 units in those home games which shows the overpricing that continues today as it looks to crawl out of the division basement. Fresh off his All Star appearance, Josiah Gray makes his first start since the break and it has been a breakout season. He has a 3.41 ERA through 18 starts which includes a 2.39 ERA in 11 road starts and has a good matchup here despite the Cardinals hitting him hard earlier this season, so he will be out for retribution from his worst start of the season. Jack Flaherty was all over the place early in the season and after some time off, he came back with a pair of shutout starts prior to the break, as he went six and 6.2 innings after allowing 12 runs in his previous two outings before then but we cannot be sold that he is back to his form from a few years ago. 10* (959) Washington Nationals |
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07-15-23 | Astros v. Angels +143 | Top | 12-13 | Win | 143 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Angels were in a good spot last night with Shohei Ohtani on the hill but he allowed four earned runs in five innings before leaving with a hand issue and they lost the opener 7-5. Los Angeles has lost six straight games going back to before the break. Houston closed the first half on a 1-3 run and the victory last night kept the Astros two games behind Texas in the American League West. The line has flipped from last night but the Angels are not at a big disadvantage in this one. Reid Detmers is coming off his worst start of the season as he allowed seven runs in 3.1 innings against the Dodgers but he had allowed more than three runs only three times in his first 15 starts while posting a 1.42 ERA in his last five outings before that last start. Framber Valdez has been solid all around with a 2.51 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 17 starts which is the reason for the big road price but the Astros are an average 10-7 in those games. After solid command early, his strikeout numbers are down and his walks are up. Here, we play on American League home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season and with a WHIP of 1.00 or better over his last five starts. This situation is 44-21 (67.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (920) Los Angeles Angels |
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07-15-23 | Giants v. Pirates +150 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. San Francisco rallied from a 4-3 deficit with three runs in the seventh inning to take the series opener and the Giants have won three straight games going back to before the break. San Francisco improved to 50-41 and are now just 2.5 games behind Arizona in the National League West. The Pirates early good fortunes have gone away as they are now 9-23 over their last 32 games and have fallen nine games under .500. They are 8.5 games behind Milwaukee and Cincinnati but are still sitting at .500 at home and catch a good contrarian number here. Alex Cobb is having a great season with a 2.91 ERA and 1.34 WHIP overall but his success has mostly come at home where he has a 1.24 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in seven outings compared to a 4.50 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in nine starts. The All Star break came at a good time for Johan Oviedo who allowed 13 runs over his final two starts. He was rolling along with a 2.96 ERA in his previous nine outings so the consistency is there and some added rest should get him back. Here, we play on home teams starting a pitcher who allowed five or more runs in his last two outings and batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games. This situation is 37-18 (67.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (906) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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07-14-23 | Yankees v. Rockies +179 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 179 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Yankees limped into the All Star Break with losses in four of their last five games and they have fallen into fourth place in the American League East, eight games behind Tampa Bay. They are just two games over .500 and are severely overpriced here. Colorado closed the first half on a bad run as well as it went as it went 1-6 over its last seven games but most of those were on the road where the Rockies are 14-33. They are just four games under .500 at home which is far from great but loaded with value here. Carlos Rodon made his first start of the season a week ago and it was solid as he allowed two runs on four hits in 5.1 innings against the Cubs. He has more extended break which is not a bad thing but now heads to Coors Field for his first road start. Austin Gomber easily could have been taken out of the rotation as he put up some horrible starts but he also mixed in some good ones and he closed the first half with a 3.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last three outings, allowing two runs in each. Here, we play on National League home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season and who walked one or fewer hitters each of his last two outings. This situation is 32-16 (66.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (980) Colorado Rockies |
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07-14-23 | Guardians +132 v. Rangers | Top | 4-12 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Texas survived the first half as it entered the break leading the American League West by two games over Houston. But it was a bad finish as the Rangers are just 5-11 over their last 16 games while going only 12-19 over their last 31 games. Cleveland closed with a loss but finished the first half on a 13-7 run in its last 20 games to take over first place in the American League Central. Granted, it is only a half-game lead and the Guardians are right at .500 but still a quality team. Aaron Civale made two early starts before getting put on the shelf for nearly two months and has been great since. He has a 2.48 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in his seven starts since his return and he has been sensational on the road with a 1.25 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in four outings. Jon Gray counters for Texas and after an average start, he put together six straight starts of allowing one run or less but he has been inconsistent since then. Over his last four outings, he has a 6.98 ERA and 1.76 WHIP and Texas has lost four of his last five starts. Here, we play against American League home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game and with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better. This situation is 32-17 (65.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (961) Cleveland Guardians |
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07-09-23 | Royals +220 v. Guardians | Top | 4-1 | Win | 220 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Kansas City pulled off a pair of home upsets over the Dodgers in it series with Los Angeles but this roadtrip has not been kind as they have lost the first six games following a 10-6 loss last night as it was another team that fell behind early and could not catch up. Cleveland has won three straight games and six of its last eight to get back to .500 on the season and pull within a half-game of the Twins in the American League Central. It is rare to find close to a 2.5-1 favorite that is sitting at .500 but here it is as the value is on the other side. Shane Bieber is the big reason for the huge line as he is the ace of the staff but has been anything but of late as over his last four starts, he has a 5.09 ERA, allowing four runs or more in three of those outings. His overall numbers are decent but Cleveland is just 7-11 in his 18 starts. The Royals go with Ryan Yarbrough who is making his first start since early May after getting struck in the head with a line drive that caused skull fractures. In four rehab appearances, he has posted a 2.55 ERA across 17.2 innings, allowing only five runs while striking out 20. 10* (913) Kansas City Royals |
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07-09-23 | A's +155 v. Red Sox | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Oakland lost its third straight game on Saturday in a 10-3 loss as it fell behind 5-0 after the first two innings and it was game over after that. The Athletics had won four of their previous five games and have a good matchup today to head into the break with a victory. Boston has won four straight games and seven of its last eight games as prior to this series, it pulled off the sweep in Toronto and backed that up with a series win against Texas. Nonetheless, the Red Sox will enter the break in last place in the American League East. J.P. Sears is a big reason for this play as he is coming off his best start of the season, allowing no runs on five hits and no walks in 7.1 innings. A rough late April and early May hurt his start to the season but since then he has been great, posting a 3.14 ERA over his last 10 starts, allowing two runs or less eight times. Tayler Scott counters for Boston as the will be the opening starter in a bullpen game with Chris Murphy likely taking over to manage a bulk of the innings after that. It is not an ideal situation for the Red Sox and they are overpriced based on uniform name. 10* (911) Oakland Athletics |
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07-08-23 | Braves v. Rays +131 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Tampa Bay is in the midst of its worst stretch of the season as it has lost six straight games including the opener of this series 2-1 despite allowing only two hits. The Rays have seen their lead in the American League East shrink to three games over the Orioles. Atlanta has won two straight games following a rare recent loss as going back, the Braves are 19-2 in their last 21 games. The win last night came via a two-run home run and that was the 24th straight game Atlanta has hit a home run. The Braves now have a 9.5-game lead in the National League East. It will not get any easier for the Rays with Spencer Strider on the hill who has been solid over his last three starts but he did show some inconsistencies prior to that and faces a great offense that has simply been mired in a slump. He has a 4.54 ERA in his last six road starts. Taj Bradley was off to a great start to his Major League career as he had a 3.85 ERA through his first 10 starts but struggled over his last two outings, allowing 11 runs in 7.1 innings but both of those were on the road and looks to feed off his most recent gem at home against the Orioles. 10* (978) Tampa Bay Rays |
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07-08-23 | Rangers v. Nationals +167 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 167 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Texas remains in first place in the American League West with the lead now being three games over Houston following a 7-2 wins last night but the Rangers have been very average after a great start to the season. They are just 5-9 over their last 14 games as the consistent offense has tailed off. Washington was on a solid run as it went 6-2 over an eight-game stretch but has dropped its last five games since then that included a four-game sweep at the hands of the Reds prior to last night. The Nationals have struggled at home but that is being factored into this big number. Jake Irvin gets the ball for Washington and after a rough stretch in his first seven starts to begin his career, he has been pretty solid by allowing three runs or fewer in each of his last four outings and most important, his command has been sharp as he has posted a 1.15 WHIP over that stretch. Andrew Heaney counters for Texas and he has been fairly consistent all season. He is coming off a solid outing where he allowed no runs over five innings against Houston but that lowered his ERA to just 4.12 and the Rangers are just 9-7 in his 16 starts this season. 10* (976) Washington Nationals |
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07-07-23 | Orioles +141 v. Twins | Top | 3-1 | Win | 141 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Minnesota is coming off a sweep of Kansas City to start the week and the Twins have maintained their lead in the American League Central which is now at three games over Cleveland. They are overpriced in this series opener with that mostly based on pitching but is not a huge advantage. Baltimore is coming off a 14-1 win over the Yankees to force a series split and the Orioles have won consecutive games for the first time in nearly two weeks as they came in on a 1-6 run prior to these two recent wins yet are still just four games behind Tampa Bay. Bailey Ober has been great with seven straight starts of allowing three runs or less and the price says that. He is coming off his best start of the season as he allowed no run on just two hits and no walks while striking out eight and while that came against the Orioles, Baltimore has the offense that can adjust. Cole Irvin had a poor start in April against Oakland and was sent down to the Minors to work things out and it rejuvenated him as he has made four starts since coming back, posting a 3.12 ERA and he could be stretched out more should the success continue. 10* (919) Baltimore Orioles |
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07-07-23 | Phillies v. Marlins +116 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Philadelphia comes in as a road favorite and that is for two reasons. The Phillies have been playing some great baseball of late as they have won 22 of their last 29 games which includes 13 straight road wins as well as the fact Zack Wheeler is on the hill, who has been overpriced all season long. Miami took the first three games against St. Louis before losing the finale last night 3-0 as they could not get to Jack Flaherty. The Marlins are still on top of the Wild Card standings and have a three-game cushion of staying in and falling out into fourth place. This is a big home series prior to the All Star break. Wheeler does have decent numbers overall and the Phillies are 11-6 in his 17 starts but he has been the beneficiary of solid run support and he has not looked great of late, allowing nine runs in 10.1 innings over his last two starts. He has allowed four runs or more in seven of those 17 games. Sandy Alcantara has had a very disappointing season after winning the Cy Young Award last season as he has posted a 5.02 ERA in his 17 starts but a lot of those runs have been inherited as he possesses a solid 1.26 WHIP which drops to 1.19 in eight home outings. 10* (902) Miami Marlins |
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07-06-23 | Pirates +212 v. Dodgers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Pittsburgh won the opener of this series on Tuesday in dramatic fashion and was on pace last night with a 4-0 lead but allowed six unanswered runs to take the loss. The Pirates fell 7.5 games behind the Reds who remain red hot and a big weekend before the All Star break could do wonders. The Dodgers have won two of three but they have been nothing special over the last month, going 14-17 over their last 31 games and they are again a massive home favorite with the linesmakers having no choice. The remain 1.5 games back in the National League West. Julio Urias is back after a long stint on the IL and his first start back was not good as he allowed five runs in three innings against the lowly Royals, which raises big questions. He was decent prior his injury but still had a couple blow up starts and he is a huge risk at a number this large. Jose Oviedo has quietly gone about his business and we catch him coming off his worst start of the season where he allowed eight runs against the Brewers and that is playing into this number. In 17 starts, he has allowed two runs or less 10 times. 10* (959) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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07-06-23 | Cardinals +118 v. Marlins | Top | 3-0 | Win | 118 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Miami was swept by the Braves last weekend which put a big gap between it and the Braves in the National League East but the Marlins have won the first three games of this series go get some momentum back. Miami still sits atop the National League Wild Card. The Cardinals remain in a funk and going nowhere quickly as they have now lost three straight games and six of their last eight to fall 18 games under .500 and 12.5 games behind Cincinnati in the National League Central. The preseason favorites hope to get their pitching back in order tonight. Jack Flaherty is just the guy to do that as he was rolling along with a 2.06 ERA in six starts starting late May but was hammered for six runs in consecutive games against the Nationals and Giants but bounced back with a gem against the Yankees and brings in a 3.73 ERA in nine road starts. Eury Perez is the future and after an incredible start to his career, he finally got taken to the shed, allowing six runs on seven hits while getting just one batter out against Atlanta. His first test of adversity comes here against a very capable and potentially potent lineup. 10* (955) St. Louis Cardinals |
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07-05-23 | Cubs v. Brewers +135 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Cubs were able to sneak out a 7-6 win in extra innings on Tuesday as they nearly blew a 6-2 lead by allowing four late runs but defense came up big with Ian Happ throwing out two runners in the extra frames. The win snapped a three-game skid and a 1-7 slide. The Brewers had a three-game winning streak snapped with the loss and they lost for just the fourth times in their last 12 games. Milwaukee is now one game behind Cincinnati in the National League Central and it comes in as a home underdog tonight. That is mostly due to the pitching of Justin Steele for the Cubs as he is coming off another gem as he tossed 6.1 shutout innings against Cleveland to lower his ERA to 2.43 which actually leads the National League. It is solid but nothing extraordinary to top the league. Adrian Houser is making another spot start after a quality outing against the Mets and two solid outings out of the bullpen. He has made five starts with mixed results and the three good starts were very good and now he faces a Cubs offense that is ranked No. 20 in both wOBA and slugging percentage. 10* (906) Milwaukee Brewers |
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07-05-23 | Royals +224 v. Twins | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. We lost with the Royals yesterday afternoon but will come back with them here with a great price. Kansas City pulled off a pair of home upsets over the Dodgers in it series with Los Angeles but lost the opener of this series 8-4 prior to the 9-3 loss on Tuesday. Minnesota has now won two straight games and has retook the lead the lead in the American League Central and the Twins are back over .500 on the season. Stringing wins together has been an issue as they are just 8-12 in their last 20 games following a victory while going 3-10 in their last 13 games following consecutive wins. The first season in Minnesota started great for Pablo Lopez who had a 1.73 ERA in his first four starts but he has been very inconsistent since then, posting a 5.09 ERA over his last 13 outings, allowing two runs or less only five times. He brings in a 5.93 ERA in eight home starts. Alec Marsh did not have a good Major League debut but it came against the Dodgers where he allowed five runs on six hits including a pair of home runs from Mookie Betts so other than that, we was not that bad and takes a big step down in class here. 10* (917) Kansas City Royals |
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07-04-23 | Pirates +192 v. Dodgers | Top | 9-7 | Win | 192 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Dodgers had won four straight games and seven of nine games to close June but they have been nothing special over the last month, going 13-16 over their last 29 games and they are again a massive home favorite with the linesmakers having no choice. The remain 2.5 games back in the National League West. Pittsburgh strung together a four-game winning streak but has lost its last three games including a 5-2 loss in the series opener last night. The Pirates prior tow losses were important ones against the Brewers and they are now 6.5 games behind Cincinnati and Milwaukee in the National League Central. Luis Ortiz is coming off a not so great start against the Padres as he allowed four runs over 4.2 innings but that was only the second time in nine starts he has allowed more than three runs with the other also being only four runs. In those other seven starts, he has a 3.31 ERA. Emmet Sheehan is a top pitching prospect in the organization and he has shown his qualities as he has posted a 2.65 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in his first three starts but his first start was the best. His last two outings produced a 4.09 ERA with teams getting more film on him. 10* (959) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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07-04-23 | Royals +174 v. Twins | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Kansas City pulled off a pair of home upsets over the Dodgers in it series with Los Angeles but lost the opener of this series yesterday 8-4 as a 3-3 game was opened up by the Twins with five runs in the eighth inning. Despite a rough season overall, the Royals are 7-8 over their last 15 games. Minnesota retook the lead the lead in the American League Central with the victory coupled with the Guardians loss and the Twins are back to .500 on the season. Stringing wins together has been an issue as they are just 7-12 in their last 19 games following a victory. Zack Greinke hits the road following a quality outing against Cleveland and while he has struggled in his last two road starts, those were against Tampa Bay and Miami. His command remains solid as he has a 1.28 WHIP overall and a 1.29 WHIP on the road. Kenta Maeda is making his third start since returning to the rotation and the first two have been solid as he has allowed a total of two runs over 10 combined innings. Both were on the road and in his two home starts this season, he has struggled to a 14.00 ERA and 2.33 WHIP. 10* (965) Kansas City Royals |
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07-03-23 | Braves v. Guardians +144 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS for our Interleague Game of the Month. The Braves are coming off a perfect 6-0 homestand with sweeps over the Twins and Marlins to extend their winning streak to eight games and now they hit the road with a nine-game lead in the National League East. They are non-surprising big road favorites but have a test in the opener. Cleveland is coming off a successful roadtrip where it went 4-2, winning both series against the Royals and Cubs. The Guardians are tied with Minnesota atop the American League Central but they still possess a losing record at one game under .500. Gavin Williams did not have a good entrance into the Majors as he struggled in his first career start against Oakland but made up for it in his second turn as he allowed only one hit and no runs in seven innings against Kansas City. Bryce Elder opened June with a pair of bad outings against the Mets and Nationals but has recovered with three straight quality starts, posting a 1.42 ERA in those games. He has been great for the majority with a 2.44 ERA in 16 starts which is a main factor in this price. 10* (916) Cleveland Guardians |
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07-02-23 | Marlins +189 v. Braves | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Miami went into Boston and swept the Red Sox but that momentum did not move forward as it has dropped the first two games of this series by a combined score of 23-4. The Marlins are now catching their biggest number of the series with the reigning Cy Young winner on the hill. Atlanta continues to roll along as it has now won seven straight games to move eight games ahead of Miami in the National League East. We should expect to see some starters rest today before Atlanta hits the road for a six-game roadtrip prior to the All Star break. Sandy Alcantara has not performed up to his standards this season but he is coming off one of his best starts of the season as he limited Boston to one run on six hits over seven innings which was his third quality start in his last four road games. He has avoided damage by allowing only eight home runs all season. Spencer Strider is the reason for the big number and he is coming off a pair of quality outings following a rough stretch where he posted a 6.47 ERA over his previous six starts. The wins have been coming but has been vulnerable at home with a 4.11 ERA and has a tough counterpart today. 10* (951) Miami Marlins |
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07-02-23 | Nationals +216 v. Phillies | Top | 5-4 | Win | 216 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. After three straight wins and victories in five of their previous six games, the Nationals gave it back yesterday in a 19-4 blowout loss but are in a good spot to bounce back at a price that does not make sense. Washington is just two games under .500 o the road and has brought in +13.7 units of profit. The Phillies were rolling with four straight wins before the 2-1 loss on Friday but certainly made up for it Saturday. Philadelphia is 19-6 over its last 25 games which has gotten them six games over .500 and back into the Wild Card mix where they are currently 1.5 games back. The Phillies are overpriced with Ranger Suarez on the hill and while he has pitched great of late, he has not been more than a -150 favorite since his return into the rotation. He has allowed one runs or less in five straight starts but brings in a 5.21 ERA in four home starts. Trevor Williams has quietly had a very good season as he has accounted for nearly 25 percent of the Nationals overall victories this season. In 16 starts, he has allowed three runs or fewer in 12 of those including four straight on the road with games at the Braves and Dodgers mixed in there. 10* (955) Washington Nationals |
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07-01-23 | Dodgers v. Royals +195 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 195 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Royals have been in a funk all season at 23-59 and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games that included a pair of wins over Tampa Bay. Kansas City has been equally as bad at home as it has on the road but it is catching a strong number today. The Dodgers had won four straight games and are 7-2 over their last nine games but they have been nothing special over the last month, going 12-14 over their last 26 games and they are again as a massive road favorite with the linesmakers having no choice. Julio Urias is back in the rotation after extended time away as he was placed on the IL way back on May 20 because of a hamstring issue and it took a while to recover. He struggled prior to the injury as he posted a 6.25 ERA over his last six starts. Daniel Lynch was late into getting into the rotation but he has looked very good. He had one poor outing against the Reds but has a 2.76 ERA in his other five outings which includes two straight quality outings where he allowed only one run over 13 innings. Here, we play against National League teams hitting .250 or worse and starting a pitcher who is working on seven or more days rest going up against an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or better. This situation is 38-16 (70.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (926) Kansas City Royals |
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07-01-23 | Marlins +151 v. Braves | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Miami had its five-game winning streak snapped last night with a 16-4 loss which was a statement for the Braves showing how much better they potentially are but it was a bad pitching matchup and that changes Saturday. The Marlins are now seven games back in the division. The Braves are running hot with six straight wins and the victory last night gave them twice as many wins as losses at 54-27. Atlanta improved to 28-15 at home but at just +5.5 units, the Braves are a very overpriced team here and this is the case tonight. Eury Perez is the real deal as he has come into the big leagues and dominated with a 1.34 ERA and 0.98 WHIP through nine starts. He has not allowed a run in his last three outings and five of his last six. He has given up just one home run in his last seven games. Charlie Morton continues deal despite his age as he has not gone three straight starts of allowing three runs or less but he has not gone deep as his control is becoming a real issue as proven by his 1.48 WHIP that includes 39 walks. Here, we play against National League teams averaging 5.0 or more rpg and after a game where they committed three or more errors going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better. This situation is 40-12 (76.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (909) Miami Marlins |
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06-30-23 | Astros +145 v. Rangers | Top | 5-3 | Win | 145 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The first big series in the American League West starts Friday with a four-game set between the Astros and Rangers. Houston has won two straight games and five of its last eight games to pull within five games of Texas in the division and this is a huge series to keep the Astros within striking distance. Texas split its series with Detroit following an 8-5 loss on Thursday and since a late-April to early-June run where they went 26-9 over a 35-game stretch to create some space in the division, the Rangers have struggled considerably. Texas is only 9-12 over its last 21 games with the potent offense cooling off. That is good news for Ronel Blanco who is making his fifth start since entering the rotation as the start of the month. He has been solid with the exception of one bad start against Cincinnati as his other three outings have produced an ERA of 3.63 including two quality starts. Jon Gray has been great all season as he has allowed more than three runs only twice in 14 starts as he has a 2.89 ERA and 1.04 WHIP overall. Both of those poor outings were at home however and against two potent offenses in Toronto and Arizona and he faces yet another one here. 10* (965) Houston Astros |
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06-30-23 | Nationals +161 v. Phillies | Top | 2-1 | Win | 161 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Phillies swept their series against the Cubs to make it four straight wins and they have been playing some better baseball of late, going 18-5 over their last 23 games which has gotten them six games over .500 and back into the Wild Card mix where they are currently 1.5 games back. Washington has won two straight games and has started this nine-game roadtrip with a pair of series wins over San Diego and Seattle. The Nationals are firmly in last place in the National League East but have been a very good road team where they are 19-21 and are +12.9 units. Josiah Gray is coming off his second start of the season where he allowed no runs as he tossed 5.1 shutout innings against the Padres and it was the 11th time in 16 outings he has allowed two runs or fewer. His ERA is now 3.43 which includes a 2.48 ERA in 10 road starts. Christopher Sanchez is making just his fourth start of the season and only his third since coming back into the rotation after a spot start in April. He has been decent as he allowed no runs in four innings against lowly Oakland and then gave up three runs in five innings against the Mets on Saturday. 10* (951) Washington Nationals |
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06-29-23 | Dodgers v. Rockies +185 | Top | 14-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Colorado rallied from a 6-4 deficit last night with five runs in the sixth inning and held onto a 9-8 win to make it a 3-2 homestand thus far. The Rockies are horrible on the road at 13-29 but are a different team at home with a 19-21 record and are again seeing value here. The Dodgers had won four straight games but have dropped two of their last three and they have been nothing special over the last month, going 10-13 over their last 23 games but here they are again as a massive road favorite despite being just one game better on the road than Colorado is at home. Emmet Sheehan has made two career starts and both have been solid as he has allowed just two runs over 12 innings including six no hit innings against the Giants. He does not miss many bats though as he has just seven strikeouts and this is his first career road start and it comes at the worst venue possible. Chase Anderson was rolling along with a 3.16 ERA in his first six starts this season before getting tagged by the Braves for seven runs in three innings on the road and followed it up being part of that 25-1 debacle where he allowed nine runs against the Angels. That could affect some, but he is a veteran that can easily erase it. 10* (908) Colorado Rockies |
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06-29-23 | Brewers +170 v. Mets | Top | 3-2 | Win | 170 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. We won with the Brewers last night and will back them again at another great price. Milwaukee has won two of the first three games of this series and the win last night kept it in second place behind Cincinnati in the National League Central by a half game. The Brewers have now won eight of their last 12 games to get to four games over .500. The Mets have now lost eight of their last 11 games as the season has gone sideways since a 14-7 start as they have gone 22-37 since then. New York is eight games under .500 overall and trail the Braves by a 17 games in the National League East. No one will question the heart of Max Scherzer but word came out yesterday he is willing to waive his no trade clause so just how vested is he here? He is coming off a pair of quality outings but he has allowed five runs or more in four of 13 starts and the home run is a problem with five allowed the last four games. Adrian Houser will get a spot start after two solid outings out of the bullpen. He has made four starts with mixed results and the two good starts were very good and now he faces a Mets offense that is bottom third in OPS and slugging percentage. 10* (903) Milwaukee Brewers |
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06-28-23 | Phillies v. Cubs +115 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Phillies took the series opener last night 5-1 to make it two straight wins and they have been playing some better baseball of late, going 16-5 over their last 21 games which has gotten them four games over .500 and back into the Wild Card mix where they are currently three games back. Chicago has dropped two straight games following an off day on Monday following the trivial London two-game series and now are back on regular time. The Cubs are 3.5 games behind Philadelphia in those Wild Card standings but more importantly, they are 3.5 back in the National League Central. The overpricing of Aaron Nola continues as he is again a road favorite despite below average pitching throughout the season. He is coming off a solid outing against the Braves as he allowed two hits and no runs over six innings but still has a 4.38 ERA that balloons to 5.17 in nine road outings with the Phillies going 3-6 in those games. Drew Smyly has been very consistent as he is also coming off a shutout performance over five innings to lower his ERA to 3.59. Take away three poor starts, two against the Reds and one against the Pirates and his ERA drops to 2.29 in his other 12 starts where the Cubs have gone 8-4. 10* (956) Chicago Cubs |
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06-28-23 | Brewers +135 v. Mets | Top | 5-2 | Win | 135 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Milwaukee took the opener of this series but gave it back last night to snap a two-game winning streak and it is back in second place behind Cincinnati in the National League Central by a half game. The Brewers have now won seven of their last 11 games to get to three games over .500. The Mets are coming off a rare win as they have lost seven of their last 10 games with both the offense and pitching nor being able to show any signs of consistency. New York is now seven games under .500 and trail the Braves by a massive 16 games in the National League East. Wade Miley opened the season strong with a 2.31 ERA through his first six start before getting hit hard by the Dodgers before an early exit next game showing something was wrong. After a stint on the IL with a lat strain, he has made two starts, not allowing a run over 11 combined innings. Kodai Senga has been the go to starter as he leads the team in ERA at 3.52 following a decent performance at Philadelphia but he still does not consistently go deep in games which is an issue with the poor bullpen behind him. His command is an issue still as he has a 1.34 WHIP in part due to 44 walks. 10* (953) Milwaukee Brewers |
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06-27-23 | Padres v. Pirates +170 | Top | 4-9 | Win | 170 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Pittsburgh was the big story in baseball a month ago when it took the lead in the National League Central but it has been a rough stretch as the Pirates are 1-12 in their last 13 games to fall seven games under .500 but are still just 5.5 games out of first place. San Diego has been a disappointment all season long as it has not come close to meeting expectations. The Padres have lost two straight games and are just 4-7 over their last 11 games to remain four games under .500 yet are massive favorites despite being just 1.5 games better than Pittsburgh. The reason is Yu Darvish being on the hill but that should mean nothing at this point as he has been pitching awful. He had a couple uneven outings early on but posted a 3.16 ERA through his first seven starts but in seven starts since then, he has a 6.75 ERA. Rich Hill allowed three runs or fewer in seven of his first nine starts before putting up a pair of rough outings to end June against the Giants and Reds but has gotten back to better form as he has posted a 3.32 ERA over his last four starts, allowing no more than three runs in any outing. Here, we play on teams batting .175 or worse over their last three games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 7.00 or worse over his last five starts. This situation is 43-20 (68.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (902) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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06-27-23 | Reds +126 v. Orioles | Top | 3-1 | Win | 126 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Following a 12-game winning streak, the Reds have lost their last three games following a series opening loss last night which came after a pair of tough 7-6 losses against the Braves. Cincinnati has a strong, young nucleus and the confidence is still there. Baltimore has won three straight games after taking the final two games against Seattle over the weekend prior to the 10-3 victory last night. The Orioles are 11-5 in their last 16 games to remain four games behind the Rays in the American League East and are a huge public bet tonight. Tyler Wells in a cause for that as he has quietly put together a sensational season with a 3.42 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 14 starts as he has allowed more than three runs only three times and has allowed two runs or fewer in five straight starts. The Reds meanwhile are getting this number somewhat low because of Andrew Abbott who was called up in early June and posted three straight starts of allowing no runs covering a total of 17.2 innings. His last start was his worst but it was still a quality outing as he allowed three runs, all solo home runs. Here, we play on National League teams hitting between .255 and .269 and with a starting pitcher whose strikes out five or more batters per start going up against an American League starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better. This situation is 44-20 (68.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (917) Cincinnati Reds |
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06-26-23 | Twins +182 v. Braves | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Minnesota won in extra innings against Detroit on Sunday to win the series and has now won three of four to take a two-game lead over Cleveland in the American League Central. The Twins are big underdogs tonight and worth the take with an elite pitcher on the hill. Atlanta also took two of three over the weekend as it won the final two games against the Reds but they were not easy as the Braves won both by identical 7-6 scores. They maintained their lead in the National League East by six games over Florida. Sonny Gray has been sensational and one of the most consistent pitchers in baseball as he has a 2.44 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 15 starts. He has not allowed more than three runs in any start and has allowed than many runs only three times with two being against Cleveland. The Braves are heavy favorites because of how good they are playing and having Spencer Strider on the hill. He is one of the best in the game but he has been inconsistent as after a 1.80 ERA in his first five starts, he has a 5.10 ERA over his last 10 outings and while his strikeouts remain up, his hits and walks allowed are up as well. 10* (959) Minnesota Twins |
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06-26-23 | Brewers +163 v. Mets | Top | 2-1 | Win | 163 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Milwaukee took two of three in Cleveland over the weekend following a 5-4 extra-inning win on Sunday and has now won six of its last nine games to get to three games over .500. The Brewers have closed the gap to a half-game behind Cincinnati in the National League Central. The Mets are one of the most disappointing teams in baseball along with the Padres and Cardinals as they are coming off another loss on Sunday and have lost six of their last eight games. New York is now seven games under .500 and trail the Braves by a massive 15 games in the National League East. The Mets are huge favorites because of the name pitcher on the hill as Justin Verlander still warrants these prices despite an inconsistent start to the season. He has a 4.50 ERA through nine starts with the Mets going 3-6 in those games and his strikeout numbers are way down with his 7.6 K/9 rate is his lowest since 2015. Colin Rea has been decent yet far from spectacular as through 12 starts, he has allowed three runs or less in half of those while allowing four runs in the other half. The good news it that is has been no more than four and overall he still has a very strong 1.23 WHIP. 10* (951) Milwaukee Brewers |
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06-25-23 | Astros +119 v. Dodgers | Top | 6-5 | Win | 119 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Houston has lost the first two games of this marquee series, both by just a single run, and going back, the Astros have dropped seven of their last nine games and have fallen 6.5 games behind the Rangers in the American League West. They are getting a good price with the best pitcher on their side in this series so far. The Dodgers have won four consecutive games to keep pace in the National League West as they are two games behind Arizona but have been jumped by San Francisco to fall into third place. They are 10 games over .500 but are down in profits and have a tough matchup here. Hunter Brown is a top young prospect that has already made some noise. He is coming off his worst game of the season but in his other four outings after allowing four or more runs, he has bounced back strong. It is hard to argue his stuff when he has four outings of seven inning and allowing no runs. Tony Gonsolin is also coming off his worst start of the season as he was lit up by the Giants for seven runs in 5.2 innings after opening the season with nine starts of allowing three runs or less. A bounce back is expected here as well but this lineup will be another big challenge. 10* (929) Houston Astros |
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06-25-23 | Diamondbacks +116 v. Giants | Top | 5-2 | Win | 116 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. San Francisco remains red hot as it has taken the first two games of this series and has now won 12 of its last 13 games to move into second place in the National League West, just a game and a half behind Arizona. The offense has rolled to an average of 7.3 rpg and that includes getting shutout in that lone defeat but this output is not sustainable. Arizona has remained in first place for a while now but the deficit has obviously shrunk and after going on a 12-2 run, the Diamondbacks are 5-7 over their last 12 games with this being a big game for momentum and breathing room with a series against Tampa Bay on deck. Ryne Nelson has been mostly good as he has allowed three runs or less in nine of 15 starts and his success is on the road. At home, he has a 7.09 ERA in eight starts but in seven road starts, his ERA is 3.41 and that drops to 2.18 when taking out his Coor Field outing. Anthony DeSclafani has been much more inconsistent no matter the venue as he has a 4.38 ERA in 15 outings which includes a 4.80 ERA in nine home starts. His command is becoming an issue as after five walks through eight starts, he has issued 13 over his last seven. 10* (909) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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06-24-23 | Angels v. Rockies +141 | Top | 25-1 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. We won with the Rockies last night and will come back with them again tonight as the Colorado 7-4 victory last night snapped an eight-game losing streak with the last seven coming against Atlanta and Cincinnati which had won a combined 19 straight games at the time. The Angels have dropped three straight games with the offense mustering only four total runs following a 6-2 run that got them into second place in the American League West for a short time but they are now seven games behind the Rangers in the division. Griffin Caning goes for the Angels and he has been very solid as he has gone six straight starts of allowing three runs or fewer but now hits a tough road environment where he already brings a 4.28 ERA in six road starts where he has allowed seven home runs. Chase Anderson got his season off to a great start as he put up a 3.16 ERA in his first six starts after entering the rotation in mid-May but he was lit up in his outing as he allowed seven runs in just three innings but that was against the Braves in Atlanta. He brings in a solid 2.57 ERA at home in four starts. 10* (980) Colorado Rockies |
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06-24-23 | Nationals +172 v. Padres | Top | 2-0 | Win | 172 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. San Diego broke open a close game last night by scoring six runs in the fifth inning and rolled to a 13-3 win to make it two straight wins following a three-game losing streak. The Padres are still a disappointing two games under .500 and do not deserve this price with an unknown on the hill. Washington has dropped two straight games and is 1-7 over its last eight games and despite the defeat last night, they have been a much better road team than at home as they are just five games under .500 while netting +6 units in profit. Josiah Gray is coming off his worst start of the season as he allowed a season high in runs and hits with six and nine respectively but we should see a bounce back. Overall, he has a solid 3.64 ERA and in nine road starts, that ERA drops to 2.73 where he has allowed two runs or less seven times. Matt Waldron will be making his Major League debut and a rare appearance from a knuckleball pitcher that has become almost non-existent. He posted a 7.02 ERA in 66.2 innings at AAA so while he could baffle the Nationals at times, the outcome does not look promising. 10* (961) Washington Nationals |
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06-24-23 | Twins v. Tigers +142 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 142 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. Minnesota has won three straight games to move back over .500 which is a pretty sad state for a team leading their division. It is now two games over Cleveland in the American League Central and despite the 4-1 win last night, this is a below average road team three games under .500 that does not deserve a price this big. Detroit opened June with a nine-game losing streak but has turned it around since then by going 6-5 over its last 11 games and in this division, the Tigers cannot be counted out as they are only 5.5 games behind the Twins and look to bounce back here. The first season in Minnesota started great for Pablo Lopez who had a 1.73 ERA in his first four starts but he has been very inconsistent since then, posting a 5.48 ERA over his last 11 outings, allowing two runs or less only four times. Reese Olson has a 6.91 ERA through his first three Major League starts but that can be attributed to one bad outing against the Braves as he has allowed three runs or less in his other two starts including a quality outing last time out against the Royals. A much better indicator is his overall WHIP of 1.19. 10* (974) Detroit Tigers |
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06-24-23 | Pirates +140 v. Marlins | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES for our Saturday Free Play. Pittsburgh snapped its 10-game losing streak with a 3-1 over Miami last night as it scored all three runs in the top of the ninth inning which is a huge momentum boost for the Pirates. They remain 5.5 games behind Cincinnati in the National League Central. Miami is 1-3 in its last four games following a five-game winning streak and a 17-5 run in its previous 22 games and it now sits six games behind the Braves in the National League East. Pitching has been the strength but that should not be the case tonight. Osvaldo Bido is making his third start of the season and after a decent Major League debut where he allowed one run on four hits across four innings against the Cubs, he faced Chicago against and tossed a quality outing over six innings and has compiled 13 combined strikeouts. Bryan Hoeing made a pair of starts in April and the results were not good as he allowed six runs in 8.2 innings and he got back into the rotation last week and it was a solid return. He did not allow a run and gave up just three hits against Toronto but he was limited to only four innings. Play (959) Pittsburgh Pirates After a miserable run in baseball, Fargo turned the corner Friday with wins on the +140 Rockies and +130 Brewers for a +$2,700 night and he carries that into today. MLB Underdog Triple Play 3-0 SWEEP for Saturday! |
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06-23-23 | Angels v. Rockies +142 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 142 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. After opening its 10-game roadtrip with a pair of wins in Boston, Colorado brings home an eight-game losing streak with the last seven coming against Atlanta and Cincinnati which have won a combined 19 straight games. The Angels dropped their two games against the Dodgers by identical 2-0 finals following a 6-2 run that momentarily got them into second place in the American League West. They are now six games behind the Rangers in the division. Patrick Sandoval was coming two awful starts where he allowed 11 runs on 18 hits in 8.1 innings against the Astros and Mariners but bounced back with a solid effort against Kansas City. Still, his ERA is now 4.08 with a 1.42 WHIP and his command is off as his K:BB ratio is just 54:29. Kyle Freeland is coming off his worst start of the season but in his defense that was in Atlanta where he allowed seven runs on nine hits over 4.1 innings. His road numbers are not good but that is due to three starts against three of the best teams in baseball, Atlanta, Arizona and Texas. Here is back home where he has a solid 3.19 ERA. Here, we play on home teams after a loss by two runs or less going up against an opponent after scoring two runs or less in two straight games. This situation is 87-43 (66.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (926) Colorado Rockies |
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06-23-23 | Brewers +131 v. Guardians | Top | 7-1 | Win | 131 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Milwaukee was off on Thursday following a series loss against Arizona at home and it has not been a great run as the Brewers have lost eight of their last 12 games. Coupled with the Reds 11-game winning streak, Milwaukee has fallen into second place in the National League Central, 1.5 games behind Cincinnati. Cleveland has won four straight games after a sweep of Oakland. The Guardians are still two games under .500 but are in second place in the American League Central, one game behind the Twins. The Guardians are significant favorites because of Shane Bieber on the hill and he has been very good with a 3.50 ERA and 1.22 WHIP across 15 starts but Cleveland is just 6-9 in those games. Wade Miley came off the IL after missing a month with a lat strain and pitched great, allowing no runs on two hits over five innings against Pittsburgh and now has a 3.28 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in nine starts, allowing three runs or less eight times. Here, we play on National League road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a slugging percentage of .400 or worse and batting .215 or worse over their last five games going up against an American League starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.30 or better. This situation is 34-18 (65.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (923) Milwaukee Brewers |
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06-22-23 | A's +168 v. Guardians | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND ATHLETICS for our MLB Afternoon Dominator. After winning seven straight games, Oakland has given all of those back with seven straight losses but is still +5.6 units over the .500 stretch because of the big prices and it is seeing another one today. The Athletics were up 6-4 going into the seventh inning last night but gave up three unanswered runs. Cleveland has won three straight games after the first two wins in this series following salvaging the series finale in Arizona over the weekend. The Guardians are still three games under .500 but are in second place in the American League Central, just one game behind Minnesota. JP Sears has put together a great start to his season as he was up and down early but has posted a 2.97 ERA over his last seven starts despite allowing four runs against the Phillies last time out. He gave up just four hits but three were home runs and overall, he has a 1.06 WHIP in 14 starts. Logan Allen got his career off to a solid start as through his first eight starts, he posted a 2.76 ERA but he has struggled over his last two outings, allowing ten runs in just nine innings and his overall WHIP has ballooned to 1.46. Here, we play on American League road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher who strikes out five or more batters per start. This situation is 45-20 (69.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (957) Oakland Athletics |
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06-21-23 | Rangers v. White Sox -105 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our MLB Non-Division Game of the Month. The White Sox rallied last night for a 7-6 win by scoring three runs in the bottom of the eighth inning in what ended up being a controversial ending but provides them with some momentum heading into the series finale. It snapped a two-game slide and a 2-7 run for the White Sox. Texas had its three-game winning streak snapped with the loss and after a monstrous run where the Rangers went 26-9 over a 35-game stretch in late April, the Rangers are just 5-8 over their last 13 games. They still possess a five-game lead in the American League West. Michael Kopech has been on a great run after a somewhat slow start as he posted a 5.97 ERA through his first seven starts but in his seven starts since then, he has put up a 2.01 ERA, allowing two runs or less in six of those including three shutout efforts over 20 combined innings. Martin Perez has been the opposite as he started the season with a 2.41 ERA in his first six starts but he has struggled since. Despite coming off a quality outing in his last starts, he has posted a 6.18 ERA in his last eight outings. His splits have been significant with a 1.71 ERA at home but a 6.50 ERA on the road. Here, we play against American League teams averaging 5.9 or more rpg on the season going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.10 or better over his last 10 games. This situation is 38-17 (69.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (924) Chicago White Sox |
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06-20-23 | Rockies +152 v. Reds | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. The Reds continue to surge as they have won nine straight games, their longest winning streak in nearly 11 years, to move into first place in the National League Central. It has been some timely wins but those will eventually catch up. Colorado nearly pulled it out for us last night as it blew a late inning lead, outhit the Reds and left nine players on base which did them in but the Rockies are catching another big number. The Rockies have twice as many losses as wins on the road but this is a favorable matchup again despite the one run loss Monday. Kyle Freeland is coming off his worst start of the season but in his defense that was in Atlanta where he allowed seven runs on nine hits over 4.1 innings. His road numbers are not good but that is due to three starts against three of the best teams in baseball, Atlanta, Arizona and Texas. Ben Lively opened the season great with three solid starts where he allowed just four runs over 17.1 innings but was then lit up in consecutive starts against Milwaukee and St. Louis where he gave up 12 runs in 13.2 innings before rebounding against Kansas City last time out but still allowed a season high ten hits. 10* (957) Colorado Rockies |
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06-20-23 | Cubs v. Pirates +115 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. Chicago was on a great run with five straight wins and a 7-1 stretch before losing on Sunday but got it back last night in the 8-0 victory. The Cubs are still four games under .500 including a 14-21 record on the road. It was not a good roadtrip for the Pirates which were swept at Chicago to open the week and followed that up by getting swept by the Brewers over the weekend prior to the loss last night. They have completely turned the corner by giving up their lead in the National League Central to now being three games back. Marcus Stroman is having a resurgence as he has been outstanding with a 2.45 ERA and 1.04 WHIP through 15 starts. He has allowed two runs or less in six straight starts which have all been Chicago wins with the offense giving him a to of runs and the bullpen allowing just one run. Johan Oviedo is coming off his first bad start since early May as he allowed four runs in 4.1 innings against Chicago after going six consecutive starts of allowing three runs or fewer for a 2.62 ERA over that stretch. He is back home where he has been rock solid with a 3.86 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in seven outings. 10* (954) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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06-20-23 | Cardinals v. Nationals +131 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. St. Louis took the opener of this series last night as it has now won three straight games and is again a favorite that we will go against after rallying from a 5-0 deficit in the 8-6 victory. The Cardinals had a six-game losing streak prior to this and remain dead last in the National League Central. Washington was swept at home against Miami with all three games being attainable as it was tied or within one run late in each contest and this was the case again last night as they had the same number of hits, 11, as St. Louis but the home runs were the difference. Jordan Montgomery has been favored in all but one start this season and is overpriced again. Despite pitching well with a 3.91 ERA in 14 starts, the Cardinals are only 3-11 in those games while winning just one of seven on the road. Mackenzie Gore backed up his worst start of the season with his best as he did not allow a run over 5.2 innings while allowing just four hits at Houston. He has better overall numbers than Montgomery but comes in as a home underdog because of the name on the front. 10* (956) Washington Nationals |
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06-19-23 | Rockies +145 v. Reds | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. The Reds are the talk of baseball right now as they have won eight straight games to move into second place in the National League Central, just a half-game behind Milwaukee. The pitching and bats have both turned it up at the same time but this is not a sustainable run. Colorado is certainly not a big threat as it has lost five straight games to possess the second worst record in the National League but this is a great price against a newfound public darling. The Rockies have twice as many losses as wins on the road but this is a favorable matchup. Austin Gomber has some gaudy numbers but Coors Field has been his nemesis where he has a 9.40 ERA but that is cut by more than half on the road. Overall, he has allowed three runs or less in seven of his last 10 starts including all four on the road where the ERA is 3.20. Brandon Williamson has been serviceable but far from dependable and after being favored by his biggest number at -110, he is now a heavy favorite for the first time ever. He has a 5.40 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in six starts and those jump to a 5.94 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in three starts at home. 10* (905) Colorado Rockies |
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06-19-23 | Cubs v. Pirates +109 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. Chicago was on a great run with five straight wins and a 7-1 stretch before losing on Sunday to the Orioles 6-3 in a game that was not even that close as it was outhit 14-3. The Cubs are still five games under .500 including a 13-21 record on the road. It was not a good roadtrip for the Pirates which were swept at Chicago to open the week and followed that up by getting swept by the Brewers over the weekend. They are back home to regain their home where they are 18-16 and now four games back in the National League Central. Osvaldo Bido is making his second start of the season and he is coming off a decent Major League debut, allowing one run on four hits across four innings with six strikeouts. He limits hard contact with his four-seam and slider, averaging in the mid-80s in exit velocity most of the time. Drew Smyly opened the season with a rough start against the Reds then was fantastic, posting a 2.13 ERA over his next nine starts. He has struggled since then as over his last four outings, he has a 6.05 ERA and 1.75 WHIP with the Cubs going 1-3, being bailed out by the offense in the lone victory. 10* (904) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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