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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-25-16 | A's v. Angels -138 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -138 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
We are going contrarian here on two levels with the Angels as they have been struggling of late as have their starting pitcher for tonight. Los Angeles has dropped five straight games, getting swept at Houston and then dropping the first two games of this four-game set against Oakland. They are sitting in last place in the American League West and have the second worst record in the American League but we are backing them here based on the opposition. Oakland is just a half-game better following the back-to-back wins but prior to this, it went 4-13 over a 17-game stretch and this is the first time since April that they have won consecutive road games. The Angels go with Jhoulys Chacin who has had his share of struggles since coming over from Atlanta but we should see a bounceback here after his worst performance of the season. He has faced some potent offenses in his defense and this is not one of them and going back, Oakland is 10-27 in its last 37 games against right-handed starters. Dillon Overton will be making his Major League debut tonight after a solid run through the minors but he is likely coming up a little too quick which is due to the Oakland injuries on its staff. He is the fourth starter to be making his big league debut for Oakland which tells us a lot. 10* (978) Los Angeles Angels |
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06-25-16 | Blue Jays -125 v. White Sox | Top | 10-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
The Blue Jays dropped the opener of this series last night which was their fourth loss in five games and are now 3.5 games behind Baltimore in the American League East. This came after a four-game winning streak where the Blue Jays put up 44 runs compared to just 17 runs over the last five games and this is a good spot to bust out. The White Sox are back to .500 overall thanks to a 4-1 run but the offense remains a question as they have scored three runs or less in six of their last eight games and have nowhere near the same production ability as Toronto. R.A. Dickey has been getting a lot of bad press for not living up to expectations but he has not been that bad this season all despite a 4-8 record. He has allowed three runs or less in 11 of his 15 starts but his run support has been minimal as he has gotten just 2.9 rpg on the season. The White Sox are 6-17 in their last 23 games against right-handed starters. They turn to Miguel Gonzalez who has been inconsistent with just four quality outings in his nine starts this season His first start this season came against Toronto and he was shellacked for five runs on 11 hits in just 5.1 innings and going back, the Blue Jays are 9-2 in their last 11 games against starters with a WHIP greater than 1.30. 10* (967) Toronto Blue Jays |
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06-22-16 | Rockies v. Yankees -140 | Top | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
The Yankees dropped the opener of this two-game set last night and will be out today to avoid the four-game season sweep after dropping two games in Colorado last week. The pitching had been roughed up for 27 runs in the three games but that should change today. The Rockies have won two straight games but are still under .500 on the road where they are hitting just .207 against left-handed pitching. They will face C.C. Sabathia who has been outstanding this season after a run of three pretty poor years in New York. He has a 2.20 ERA in 11 starts and has allowed no more than three runs in any of those games. The Yankees are 14-5 in his last 19 interleague starts while the Rockies are 29-69 in their last 98 road games against left-handed starters. Colorado turns to Jon Gray who is on a run of five straight quality starts but has struggled to get wins despite outstanding run support the majority of the time. However, the Rockies have given him just one run in three of his five road starts and going back, they are 2-8 in his last 10 road starts. 10* (918) New York Yankees |
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06-19-16 | Rangers v. Cardinals -138 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -138 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
We lost a tough one with St. Louis yesterday as Texas scored two in the eighth and two in the ninth for a 4-3 victory to make it five straight wins for the Rangers. Meanwhile the Cardinals have dropped four straight games and will look to avoid a second straight sweep at home prior to heading to Chicago for a big three-game set with the Cubs. Typically, this has been a solid spot for St. Louis as the Cardinals are 35-16 in their last 51 games after losing the first two games of a series. They turn to Mike Leake today who has been exceptionally solid of late as six of his last seven starts have been quality outings and in all of those, he allowed two runs or fewer. Possibly even more impressive, six of those games came on the road so he has been limited in his home starts but the lone start at Busch Stadium was arguably his best one where he did not allow a run over seven innings against the Diamondbacks. Martin Perez had a nice run going as well as he had a four-game quality start streak going before allowing four run in his last outing against Oakland. Those four quality games were all at home however and his road ERA is over a run and a half higher than his home ERA. That is an issue that has been ongoing as the Rangers are 0-5 in his last five road starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (980) St. Louis Cardinals |
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06-18-16 | Rockies v. Marlins -128 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Miami took the opener of this series last night and has now won five of its last seven games at home to move within a game of .500 at Marlins Park. Going back further, the Marlins are 7-2 in their last nine games at home against teams with a losing record and the victory last night moved them to within just a half-game out of first place in the National League Wild Card spot. The Rockies had a four-game winning streak snapped with the loss last night while a solid 8-2 run was also halted in the 5-1 defeat. They have held their own on the road which is due mainly to one starting pitcher that we go contrarian against tonight and looking back they are 22-59 in their last 81 road games against teams with a winning record. Tyler Chatwood missed most of 2014 and all of 2015 because of Tommy John surgery but has come out of nowhere to put up some very impressive early season numbers. He has a 2.89 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 13 starts and those numbers go down much more on the road where the Rockies are a perfect 6-0 in his six starts on the highway. This is where we get the contrarian value with Miami which sends Wei-Yin Chen to the hill. He was the big free agent signing for the Marlins but a slow start has lessened the hype. He has a 4.68 ERA but his WHIP of 1.26 shows he has not been that bad and Miami has won his last four starts at home. 10* (904) Miami Marlins |
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06-17-16 | Brewers v. Dodgers -155 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
The Dodgers lost a tough one last night as they rallied from a 6-3 deficit to tie the game only to give up two runs in the top of the ninth for an 8-6 loss. It was the fourth loss in six games for Los Angeles which now trails San Francisco by 6.5 games in the National League West despite being just five runs behind the Giants in run differential. Despite the defeat last night, the Dodgers are still 10-4 in their last 14 games against teams with a losing record. Milwaukee snapped a three-game slide with the victory last night and winning on the road has not come in bunches as it is 3-6 this season on the road immediately following a road win. Additionally, the Brewers are 9-27 in their last 36 road games against teams with a winning record. The Dodgers send Julio Urias to the hill and while his overall numbers are not great, he has been getting more comfortable and throwing the ball a lot better. Plus, this is by far his easiest test after facing the Mets, Cubs, Rockies and Giants in his first four starts. The Brewers are hitting just .201 on the road against left-handed pitching. Zach Davies has tossed three straight quality outings but all of those came at home and he hits the road for the first time in nearly a month where he has a 7.82 ERA and 2.05 WHIP in three starts. The Dodgers are 7-2 in their last nine home games against right-handed starters. 10* (960) Los Angeles Dodgers |
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06-17-16 | Angels -134 v. A's | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -134 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
We played on the Angels Monday as they dropped the series opener against the Twins but they were able to make up for it by taking the final two games and winning the series. Now it is time to start winning on the road where Los Angeles is on a four-game losing skid but this is just the third road series on the season that is coming against a losing team. Oakland took the series opener against Texas on Monday but lost the final three games by a combined score of 22-12 and now sits 12 games under .500. The 27-39 record is the second worst in the American League while its 14-19 home record is also second worst which includes a 5-12 run against teams with a losing record. The Angels send Matt Shoemaker to the mound and he is having a significant turnaround after a very rough stretch in April. Four of his last five starts have been quality outings where he has posted a 1.88 ERA and even more impressive is his 46:1 K:BB ratio over his stretch. Going back, the Angels are 14-3 in his last 17 road starts against teams with a losing record while Oakland is 6-24 in its last 30 games against right-handed starters. Oakland counters with Kendall Graveman who has been up and down all season with the latter being more prominent. He has a 5.28 ERA overall with just three of 12 starts being quality and Oakland is now 0-9 in his last nine starts with four days of rest. 10* (973) Los Angeles Angels |
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06-16-16 | Yankees -134 v. Twins | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
The streaky Yankees are at it again as after a five-game winning streak, they have dropped four in a row heading into the opener of this four-game series in Minnesota. They lost both games in Colorado to open the week and going back they are 2-7 over their last seven road games but tonight sets up a great opportunity to get rid of that horrible highway run. The Twins have been one of the biggest disappointments in baseball as it is 25 games under .500 after finishing four games over .500 last season and there is no looking ahead to anything positive tonight. Minnesota has a 12-21 record at home which is the worst home record in the American League and going back, the Twins are a dismal 13-41 in their last 54 games following a loss. C.C. Sabathia left the Yankees prior to the end of last season to enter rehab and while many questioned the time of the move, it is paying huge dividends now. He has been outstanding this season as he has not allowed more than three runs in any start while posting a 2.28 ERA and 1.21 WHIP over 10 starts. His numbers have been even better on the road and going back, the Yankees have won six of his last seven starts against the Twins. Kyle Gibson looks to turn around what has been a disastrous start to the season. He went on the DL after four starts with a shoulder issue and came back by allowing five runs in 5.2 innings against the Red Sox. Facing the Yankees is not ideal as he is 1-3 with a 10.72 ERA in five career starts against them. 10* (915) New York Yankees |
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06-16-16 | Rangers -115 v. A's | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
After getting swept last month by Oakland, Texas has a chance to come close to returning the favor today and continue its hot run where it is 19-6 over its last 25 games. A win here would make it five straight series wins on the road which is always a huge part of overall success in the league. Last night- the Rangers rallied from a 5-0 deficit and that only gives them more momentum heading into today before rolling into St. Louis for a three-game weekend series. Oakland has been on a horrific run as a five-game winning streak has been followed up by a 2-9 run that has put it 11 games under .500 for the season. They are four games under .500 at home and going back, they are 11-27 in their last 38 home games against teams with a winning road record. Texas gives the ball to Colby Lewis who has been sensational this season and has yet to lose a game as he is 5-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. The Rangers are 9-4 in his 13 starts and only one of those has been a poor one as of those, 11 have been quality performances. He has owned Oakland as well with six straight quality starts, posting a 1.58 ERA in the process. Oakland counters with Daniel Mengden who is coming off an uneven start against the Reds in his Major League debut and will have a much tougher time facing a stronger offense. The Rangers are 10-3 in their last 13 games against right-handed starters. 10* (911) Texas Rangers |
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06-15-16 | Tigers v. White Sox -170 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
After opening the season with a 23-10 record, the White Sox have fallen off considerably as they have won just nine of their last 32c games but are still in the hunt in the American League Central. Chicago trails Cleveland by just 3.5 games and today is a pretty big game considering it heads to Cleveland for a three-game set before going to Boston for four games. The Tigers took the game last night as they have scored 20 runs in the first two games of this series but that offensive outburst should come to a halt tonight. With the White Sox now a game under .500, the Tigers are 1-6 in their last seven games against teams with a losing record. Chris Sale gets the ball tonight and he should be more than ready to break out of what has been a rough four-game stretch where he has allowed 17 runs. This comes after a remarkable start to the season where he won his first nine starts with just one of those being a non-quality outing. Despite the recent slump, he has the chance to become the first 11-game winner in the bigs and he has dominated the Tigers overall in his career but especially at home. The White Sox are 6-1 in his last seven home starts where he owns a 2.89 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 108 career games. Mike Pelfrey counters for Detroit and he has been pretty average in his first season here. He is 1-6 with a 4.68 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in 12 starts with only three of those resulting in quality outings. On the road, his ERA is actually better but his WHIP is worse and Detroit is just 1-5 in his six road starts. 10* (968) Chicago White Sox |
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06-14-16 | Reds v. Braves -123 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -123 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
The Braves dropped the opener of this series last night to make it three straight losses to add to their Major League worst record but playing the team with the second worst National League record gives them an opportunity to bounce back today. They have just seven home wins on the season but a look at the schedule shows it has been a tough one but Atlanta has won five of its last 11 at home so it has certainly gotten better. The Reds are the second worst team in the National League and they are coming off a very rare road victory and even though it was their third straight going back to their previous roadtrip, they are just 8-20 on the highway. Going back, the Reds are 20-50 in their last 70 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game and hand the ball to Brandon Finnegan who is having a decent season but has not been getting the wins to go along with it. In 13 starts, he is just 2-4 while Cincinnati has gone just 3-10 in those 13 starts as the bullpen has really hurt him late in games. The Reds own a 6.43 bullpen ERA which is by far the worst in baseball which goes along with the fact that they are 0-8 in his last eight starts after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. The Braves have an identical 3-10 record in the 13 starts from Julio Teheran which is due to low run support which will change tonight. He has an outstanding 2.85 ERA and 1.02 WHIP and the fact Atlanta is 0-7 in his seven home starts gives us contrarian value. 10* (906) Atlanta Braves |
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06-14-16 | Phillies v. Blue Jays -213 | Top | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
The Blue Jays look to rebound from a bad loss last night as they were shut out by the Phillies following three straight wins over Baltimore. They are still just three games out of first place in the American League East thanks to going 16-8 over their last 24 games and the biggest part of that is they have only had a multiple-game losing streak only once as they are 7-1 in their last eight games following a loss. Philadelphia snapped a four-game skid with the win last night and the struggles go further back than that. The Phillies are just 6-17 over their last 23 games, scoring two runs or less 11 times. Going back, they are 2-11 in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record while going 0-6 in their last six games following a win. Marcus Stroman is in dire need of a big effort and this is the team to end what has been a horrible run. He has posted a 9.37 ERA over his last three starts and his ERA has gone up by close to a run and a half over his last five starts. He has fared well this season against poor offenses as take away three starts against Boston, his ERA goes from 4.94 to 3.76. The Phillies are 29-60 in their last 89 road games against right-handed starters and they turn to Zach Eflin who is making his Major League debut and he is being thrown into a difficult situation. He has been solid in Triple-A but this is a whole different animal and going back, the Blue Jays are 39-19 in their last 58 home games against right-handed starters. 8* (926) Toronto Blue Jays |
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06-13-16 | Twins v. Angels -128 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -128 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
The Angels have gotten off to a very disappointing start this season as they are nine games under .500 and currently sit 12 games behind Texas in the American League West. They were not expected to win the division but they were expected to stay in the hunt for a possible Wild Card spot and they are not even close to that right now. That being said, they have played a brutal schedule as nine of their last 10 series dating back to early May have come against teams with a winning record so they finally catch a break to start this week. The Twins have been an even bigger disappointment as after finishing four games over .500 last season, they are currently 24 games under .500 and their 19-43 record is second worst in baseball. Minnesota has only seven road wins on the season and this situation is not good as the Twins are 0-8 in their last eight road games against teams with a losing record. Ricky Nolasco gets the ball for Minnesota and like most starters on this team, he has been very inconsistent. He has a 5.17 ERA overall and while his road ERA is a lot better, just three of his six road starts have been quality outings. Jered Weaver has not been much better but is in a good bounce back spot after allowing six runs last time out. Weaver has allowed four runs or more on five different occasions this season prior to this most recent time and has followed those up with a quality outing in his next start four times. 10* (966) Los Angeles Angels |
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06-12-16 | Indians -156 v. Angels | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Laying a number this big on the road may seem a little too much but this is a great situation for the Indians to bounce back from a lough loss last night. They trailed 3-0 going into the ninth inning and tied the game only to allow a run in the bottom of the frame to lose 4-3. Cleveland would like to get out of here with a series win before heading to Kansas City tomorrow for a big three-game series. The Angels snapped a five-game losing streak with the victory last night as it has been a tough season. They are just 13-18 at home as both offense and pitching have been inconsistent and they have won just one of their last six games following a win. Los Angeles turns to journeyman David Huff who is making just his third start since 2013 which show how bare the cupboard is for the Angels. This is his second start this season after he was lit up for five runs in 3.2 innings against the Yankees. Overall he has made 56 starts and 63 relief appearances and has posted a dreadful 5.15 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Danny Salazar has been extremely efficient with a 2.24 ERA and 1.13 WHIP through 11 starts and he has allowed two runs or less in six of his last seven outings. The Indians are 21-9 in his last 30 starts against teams with a losing record while the Angels are 7-22 in their last 29 games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15. 9* (925) Cleveland Indians |
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06-12-16 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -167 | Top | 9-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
We are going for three in a row with Toronto as it won again yesterday, putting up five runs in the sixth inning to blow open a close game. The Blue Jays are now 3.5 games behind the Orioles in the American League East and can cut into that by another game which is big at this point. Toronto heads to Philadelphia for a four-game set after this so it can turn into a huge run before the Blue Jays and Orioles meet again next weekend. Baltimore fell to 12-14 on the road and those 26 games are still nine game fewer than it has played at home and those 35 home games are the most of any team in baseball for it has had a fortunate scheduling break. Going back, the Orioles are 4-12 in their last 16 games during game four of a series. Aaron Sanchez has been excellent this season as he is 5-1 with a 2.91 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 12 starts, 10 of which have been quality. Toronto has won six of his last eight home starts going back to last season. Baltimore counters with Ubaldo Jimenez and he is having a dicey season. He has a 6.21 ERA and 1.89 WHIP in 12 starts with only three of those resulting in quality performances. His numbers are even worse on the road where he has a 7.85 ERA and 2.07 WHIP in four starts, all losses. 9* (916) Toronto Blue Jays |
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06-11-16 | Dodgers v. Giants -127 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
The Giants ran into a buzzsaw last night as it was their second straight game where they had to face the top guy in the rotation and while they survived David Price on Wednesday, they could not get past Clayton Kershaw last night. The loss sent them to 1-4 over their last five games with the Dodgers now sitting just three games back in the National League West. Despite the defeat last night, the Giants are an incredible 17-4 in their last 21 divisional games. The Dodgers got the win despite another poor offensive effort and their struggles at the plate are one of the most surprising of the season. Los Angeles is hitting just .231 on the season which is ahead of only the Phillies so it has been the pitching that has kept this team in the running. Obviously Kershaw is the main ingredient but Scott Kazmir has been solid as his return from what looked like a career ender back in 2011 has turned into a great story. He has had his ups and downs as only five of his 12 starts have been quality outings including just two of six on the road. One team has had his number and that is the Giants as they have tagged him for 10 runs in eight innings over two starts. Jeff Samardzija has been awesome this season and while he is coming off his worst start of the season, his previous poor outing was followed up by a gem. Only four of 12 starts have come at home where he possesses a 2.93 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. 10* (960) San Francisco Giants |
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06-11-16 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -150 | Top | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
After a brutal loss on Thursday, Toronto came back last night with an extra-inning victory last night and we will ride them again on Saturday in what is another great matchup. The Blue Jays have evened the series at a game apiece to remain 4.5-games behind the Orioles in the American League East while also getting back to .500 at home. A walkoff homerun from Edwin Encarnacion last night can carry right over into this afternoon. As mentioned yesterday, the Orioles had won five straight games prior to last night but have been fortunate to play a home heavy schedule that has featured 10 more games there than on the road where they are now a game under .500. The second go-around in Toronto for J.A. Happ has been a very good one as his 3.57 ERA and 1.19 WHIP do not even tell the whole story. He has had two bad starts, one against the Rays and one against the Tigers last time out and take those away, his ERA drops to 2.10 with all 10 other starts being quality performances. The Blue Jays are 6-0 in his last six starts against teams with a winning record. Mike Wright counters for Baltimore and despite a 7-3 team record in his 10 starts, he has not been good. He is coming off a great start against Kansas City but followed up his previous three quality starts with non-quality games next time out. He is 0-3 with a 7.11 ERA in three career starts against Toronto. 10* (966) Toronto Blue Jays |
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06-10-16 | Cardinals v. Pirates -145 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
Pittsburgh was caught in a tough situation yesterday as it was coming off loss against the Mets Wednesday night and then had to travel to Colorado for an early game yesterday as part of a makeup due to an April rainout. The Pirates not surprisingly lost yesterday but are back home for a night game so there has been plenty of time for rest. Pittsburgh now trails the Cubs by 10 games in the National League Central but is tied for second in the Wild Card standings so it is still in solid shape. The Cardinals come in with an identical 32-28 record following a series win over Cincinnati which was their third straight series win. Things will be more difficult this weekend though as St. Louis has not won a single series on the road against a team with a winning record and going back, the Cardinals are 3-8 in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record. Gerrit Cole gets the ball for Pittsburgh and he has been on a great run. Since getting hit hard by the Cubs on May 2, he has posted a 2.08 ERA in six starts, allowing three runs or fewer each time out. He has never lost to St. Louis at home, going 4-0 with a 2.67 ERA in four starts and the Pirates are 11-3 in his last 14 home starts against teams with a winning record. St. Louis counters with Michael Wacha who is in the midst of his worst season with the team as he is 2-6 with a 5.16 ERA in 12 starts including a pair of rough outings against Pittsburgh. Going back, the Cardinals are 0-7 in his last seven road starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (904) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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06-10-16 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -131 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
We lost a tough one with Toronto last night as the Blue Jays blew leads of 4-1 and 5-3 and lost 6-5 in the opener of this all-important four-game set against the Orioles. They now trail Baltimore by 5.5 games in the American League East and are now actually under .500 at home after finishing last season with a 53-28 record here. The good news is that they have avoided losing streaks of late as they are 6-1 in their last seven games following a loss. Baltimore has now won five straight games and moved to .500 on the highway with the victory last night. The Orioles have had a fortunate early season schedule as they have played 11 more games at home than on the road and going back, the Orioles are 0-4 in their last four road games against teams with a losing home record. They turn to Kevin Gausman to keep the run going but he is not in a good spot as he has struggled in this situation. He opened the season with four straight quality starts but has posted a 4.71 ERA over his last five starts and he has not fared well in Toronto with a 5.40 ERA in two games. The Orioles are 2-9 in his last 11 starts against teams with a winning record. Toronto hands the ball to Marco Estrada who had a great first season in Toronto a year ago and is even better this year. He has posted a 2.41 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 11 starts which includes a 1.30 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in five home starts, all of which have been quality performances. Going back to last season, the Blue Jays are 9-4 in his last 13 home starts. 10* (918) Toronto Blue Jays |
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06-09-16 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -147 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -147 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
This is a big early season series in the American League East and with Toronto trailing the Orioles by 4.5 games, this is a bigger series for the home team to make up ground as well as not to lose too much ground. The Blue Jays caught a break in this four-game series as they will miss Chris Tillman who is the best Orioles starter as he pitched a gem last night against the Royals. Toronto avoided the sweep in Detroit with a 7-2 victory yesterday and after an average start, the Blue Jays have won 10 of their last 14 games. The Orioles have won four straight games and have won seven of their last eight but all of those were at home where they are 24-11 and they come into this one having dropped five of their last seven road games. Marcus Stroman was expected to be the ace of the Toronto staff but he has not been that as of yet. He started strong but has faltered of late as he has been roughed up for 21 runs in his last four starts, yielding six runs or more three times. There should be no concern however and going back, the Blue Jays are 8-2 in his last 10 home starts against teams with a winning record. The Orioles counter with Tyler Wilson who has been decent but inconsistent. He has a 4.39 ERA in eight starts which includes a 6.35 ERA over his last four starts, all resulting in Baltimore losses. 10* (960) Toronto Blue Jays |
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06-09-16 | Astros v. Rangers +117 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 117 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
After eight straight losses to open the season against Texas, Houston finally was able to snap the skid yesterday with a 3-1 victory over the Rangers and Yu Darvish. The Astros also snapped a 12-game slide in Arlington but just like that, they come in as a favorite on Thursday afternoon for no apparent reason. They are just 12-18 on the road and have no advantage on the hill so we will take advantage of this home underdog line. The Rangers had a five-game winning streak snapped but remain three games ahead of Seattle in the American League West. They are 23-10 at home which is tied for the second best home record in baseball and that record includes a 10-3 mark as home underdogs. Martin Perez gets the ball today and he is having a very solid season with a 3.24 ERA in 12 starts, eight of which have been quality outings. He does not have a ton of wins due to early season lack of run support but it is picking up and he has been even better at home with a 2.55 ERA in seven starts, all of which have resulted in quality performances. Perez has a 1.71 ERA in six starts against Houston. Colin McHugh has been below average with a 4.97 ERA including a 5.27 ERA in five road starts. The Rangers have won six of their last seven home games against right-handed starters. 10* (956) Texas Rangers |
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06-08-16 | Red Sox v. Giants -112 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
The best pitching matchup on Wednesday takes place in the last game of the night as Boston concludes its two-game set in San Francisco. The Red Sox took the opener last night to put a halt to a 1-4 run but they have struggled on the road of late after a hot start as they are just 6-8 over their last 14 games on the highway and encounter one of the hottest pitchers in baseball. The Giants dropped their third straight game last night and are 3-5 over their last eight games following a 15-2 run but do not expect this little skid to last for long. Madison Bumgarner takes the hill for San Francisco and after posting a 4.50 in his first three starts, he has put up a 1.27 ERA over his last nine starts, all of which have been quality performances with the Giants winning his last eight. He has allowed one run or less in five straight starts while the Giants are 19-7 in his last 26 starts against teams with a winning record. David Price counters for Boston and he has been on a solid run as well with five straight quality starts but he has been very average overall with a 4.88 ERA in 12 starts. He has gotten a ton of run support as his 6.42 rpg is third most in baseball but he will not get close to that tonight. 10* (930) San Francisco Giants |
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06-07-16 | Rays +156 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
Tampa Bay took the opener of this series last night to make it four straight wins. The Rays are still four games under .500 overall but have improved to 15-15 on the road with these last four wins after starting this roadtrip 0-4. Going back, the Rays are 16-7 in their last 23 interleague road games against teams with a losing record. Arizona has now dropped six of its last eight games as the struggles continue for this underachieving team that was expected to make some noise this season with some big acquisitions. Home field has been a real problem as the Diamondbacks are just 9-21 at Chase Field this season. Zach Greinke was supposed to be the savior in the starting rotation and while he has been solid for the most part, he has a few blowups along the way. Arizona is 5-0 in his five road starts but just 3-4 in his seven home starts with only two of those resulting in quality outings. Tampa Bay counters with Matt Moore who has not been the same since coming back from injury last season but the potential is there. This has been a non-pressure role as the Rays are 3-2 in five underdog starts while going just 1-5 in six starts as a favorite. 10* (977) Tampa Bay Rays |
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06-07-16 | Cardinals v. Reds +155 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 155 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
St. Louis won its series over the weekend at home against San Francisco and hits the road again for a six-game roadtrip. The road has not been bad for the Cardinals which are 15-11 on the season but this has been a problem situation where they have won just four of their last 10 series openers. The Reds also won their series over the weekend as they took two of three from the Nationals and overall they have been playing much better as they are 6-3 over their last nine games following an 11-game losing streak. John Lamb is coming off his best start of the season as he allowed just one run in seven innings at Colorado which is certainly not an easy place to perform well at. He now heads home where he has been great, posting a 2.81 ERA in three starts but the offense has let him down which is the reason Cincinnati is 0-3 in those games. In two starts against the Cardinals last season, he did not allow a run over 11 innings of work. The Cardinals go to Mike Leake who is having a decent yet unspectacular season. He has a 3.82 ERA over 11 starts with St. Louis just 6-5 in those games and in five starts as a favorite, he has posted just two quality outings. 10* (956) Cincinnati Reds |
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06-06-16 | Angels +144 v. Yankees | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
Despite identical records on the season, the Yankees come in as pretty big favorites in the opener of this four-game set. New York had a tough roadtrip where it went 4-6 and it has been average at home as well where it is just 13-12. The Angels took two of three in Pittsburgh to move over .500 on the road so the issue for them surprisingly has been their play at home. The offense has been solid on the road as their .277 road average is third best in baseball and going back, they have won six of their last seven games on the highway against right-handed starters. Tonight it is Masahiro Tanaka which is a big reason the price is as large as it is as he is a public take and his numbers have been very solid. He is coming off three straight gems, all of which came on the road where his ERA is 1.36 in six starts compared to a 4.55 ERA in five home outings. The Yankees are 2-5 in his last seven starts following a team loss in their previous game. Matt Shoemaker gets the ball for the Angels and after a slow start, he has been pitching in top form. He has a 1.59 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in his last three starts which includes 31:0 K:BB ratio. Additionally, the Angels are 14-2 in his last 16 road starts against teams with a losing record. 10* (909) Los Angeles Angels |
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06-03-16 | Nationals v. Reds +144 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 144 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
After a disastrous start on the road this season, the Reds closed their roadtrip going 4-2, gaining a lot of much needed confidence along the way. The offense exploded for 33 runs in four games in Colorado and even though it was Coors Field, that is a huge momentum boost. The Nationals are coming off a sweep in Philadelphia and have won four in a row to increase their last to three games in the National League East but feel they are a bit overpriced here. Brandon Finnegan has been a tough luck pitcher this season. His numbers are not outstanding but they are very adequate and the Reds have dropped his last eight starts despite him allowing three runs or fewer six times. Of those eight losses, five were one run defeats which shows how they could have gone either way. In the four losses at home during the stretch, he allowed 14 earned runs while the bullpen gave up an astounding 32 runs after his departure. Gio Gonzalez has been surprisingly good on the road because typically his home/road splits are the opposite. Still, he is coming off two horrific outings where he allowed 13 runs over 9.2 innings so his confidence cannot be good right now. He has dropped his last two starts in Cincinnati and going back, the Nationals are 1-7 in his last eight starts when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (958) Cincinnati Reds |
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06-03-16 | Royals +161 v. Indians | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
Kansas City dropped the opener of this series on Thursday as the normally reliable bullpen allowed three runs in the eighth and ninth innings to lose 5-4. That loss snapped a six-game winning streak and decreased their lead to a game and a half over the Indians in the American League Central. The Royals are 21-8 in their last 29 games following a loss. The Indians made it two straight wins which came on the heels of a three-game slide with both victories coming in walk-off fashion. They are just 3-4 on the current homestand as the pitching has been very spotty. Danny Salazar is having a very solid season as six of ten starts have been quality outings but the Indians have dropped five of his last eight outings. He has had his troubles against the Royals in his career as he is 5-5 with a 4.05 ERA in 10 starts with only three of those being quality outings. Edinson Volquez counters for the Royals and he has been very solid this season sans two poor outings. His other nine starts have resulted in a 2.48 ERA with seven of those being quality performances. One of those bad starts was here in Cleveland and that should provide plenty of motivation going into tonight. Going back, the Royals are 16-5 in his last 21 starts when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (969) Kansas City Royals |
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06-02-16 | Diamondbacks +135 v. Astros | Top | 3-0 | Win | 135 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
While last night was a tough loss with Arizona, the fact it scored three runs in the ninth inning to even get to extra innings should negate any confidence lost with the defeat in 11 innings. The Diamondbacks look to avoid the four-game sweep this afternoon after dropping the previous two games at home in the first two games of this home-and-home set. Houston is slowly moving in the right direction with five straight wins but it still remains four games under .500 overall. The offense continues to be below average as the Astros .235 average is second worst in the American League. They will be hard pressed to have success tonight against Zack Greinke who has been up and down but is in good position as he has won his last three starts, two of which were quality. He has a 1.93 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in four road starts, all resulting in Arizona wins and one of those was his lone daytime start which was his best start of the season where he allowed just one run in eight innings at St. Louis. Dallas Keuchel is having a miserable season as only five of his 11 starts have been quality. Five of the non-quality outings resulted in him allowing at least five runs each time out and Houston is just 2-6 in his last eight starts. 10* (917) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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