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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-27-18 | Twins -138 v. White Sox | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -138 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The White Sox came through for us last night as they rallied from a 4-2 deficit to win 8-4 for their second straight victory. The offense has been catching fire as Chicago has scored 30 runs over their last four games, but they face their toughest test of this stretch. The White Sox have not won three straight games since the end of April and they are now 0-5 in their last five games following consecutive wins. Minnesota has lost four of its last five games as it has allowed at least eight runs in all four of those losses. Starting pitching has been partly to blame as has the bullpen which ruined a quality outing for Kyle Gibson in his last game against the Red Sox. Gibson has been on a roll as after posting a 4.29 ERA through his first four starts, he has allowed three runs or less in 10 of his last 11 starts, putting up a 2.93 ERA in those 11 games. The Twins are 18-3 in his last 21 road starts against teams with a losing record. James Shields has been more good than bad this season, but he has just two wins and the White Sox are 6-18 in his last 24 starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (919) Minnesota Twins |
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06-26-18 | Twins v. White Sox +109 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 109 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Twins closed their homestand with a 2-0 win over Texas on Sunday and they hit the road as a favorite despite a 14-20 record on the highway. They are hitting just .234 on the road which is tied for ninth worst in baseball and going back, they are 3-7 in their last 10 games following an off day. The White Sox have been in rebuilding mode all season, but they have held their own at home, going 10-9 over their last 19 home games. After scoring two runs in the first game of their four-game series against Oakland, the offense unleashed for 22 runs over the final three games and overall, they are hitting .250 at home against right-handed pitching. Lance Lynn has turned his season completely around as he posted a 7.47 ERA through his first eight starts but has put up a 1.73 ERA over his last six outings. However, this includes a 0.76 ERA at home and a 3.55 ERA in two road starts over that stretch. Chicago counters with Reynaldo Lopez who is having a solid season, but the schedule has hurt him as nine of his 15 starts have come on the road where he has a 4.72 ERA and 1.51 WHIP. In contrast, he has a 2.25 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in his six home starts, four of which have been quality outings. 10* (970) Chicago White Sox |
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06-25-18 | Reds v. Braves -147 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Game of the Month. The Braves lost two of three against the Orioles over the weekend, but they still maintain a 2.5-game lead in the National League East. They are 22-15 at home and have won seven of their last 10 games here despite the two losses to open the homestand. Cincinnati is tied with Cleveland for the hottest team in baseball right now as it has won seven straight games including a four-game sweep at home against the Cubs. The run includes six wins at home and the Reds hit the road where they are seven games under .500 and going back, they are 9-20 in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Atlanta hands the ball to Mike Foltynewicz who is having a fantastic season that not many even know about. He has a 2.16 ERA which is fourth best in the National League. While his numbers are slightly worse at home than on the road, that is due to just one poor starts against the Giants in early May and he has not allowed a run at home in his last three starts over 19 innings. Overall, he has allowed two runs or less in 12 of his 13 outings. Tyler Mahle counters for the Reds and he has been solid of late, but he has struggled on the road with only two quality outings in eight starts. The Braves are 10-2 in their last 12 home games against right-handed starters and they fall into a great situation where we play against road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last three games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA less than 2.50 over his last five starts. This situation is 54-9 (85.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (906) Atlanta Braves |
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06-23-18 | Orioles v. Braves -115 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. Baltimore erupted for six runs in the ninth inning and eventually won in extra innings last night to avoid its 30th loss on the road but it still possesses the worst road record in baseball at 11-29. The Orioles have won consecutive games only twice in the last five weeks and going back, they are 7-23 in their last 30 games following a win. Atlanta has now lost two straight games which is just the second time this month the Braves have dropped consecutive games. Their lead in the National League East is down to 2.5 games over the Phillies and we expect a bounce back here at a short price as the Braves are 24-8 in their last 32 games following a loss. Dylan Bundy is having a fine season, but he remains inconsistent on the road with just three quality outings in six starts. The Orioles are 0-5 in his last five road starts against teams with a winning record while the Braves are 9-1 in their last 10 home games against right-handed starters. Julio Teheran gets the ball for Atlanta and while he has been better on the road than at home, he has been much better of late. In his last five home starts, four have been quality outings and overall, the Braves are 6-1 in his seven home starts on the season while the Orioles are 12-39 in their last 51 games against right-handed starters. 10* (930) Atlanta Braves |
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06-22-18 | Rangers v. Twins -107 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. The Twins are coming off two impressive series wins over Cleveland and Boston and despite being six games under .500, they are just six games behind the Indians in the American League Central. Minnesota took two of three over the Red Sox to open the week as it is now a game over .500 at home and going back, it has won five of its last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. Texas has suddenly caught fire as it has won five straight games including a three-game sweep in Kansas City against the hapless Royals. The starting pitching has led the way with a 3.13 ERA over this stretch, but things should change in a big way tonight. The Rangers are 4-11 in their last 15 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game while also going 4-11 in their last 15 games when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game. The reason for the starting pitching demise is that Mike Minor takes the hill for Texas and while he has been decent at home, he has been atrocious on the road with an 8.14 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in five starts, none of which have ben quality outings. The Twins are 14-5 in their last 19 home games against left-handed starters. Minnesota counters with Fernando Romero who has quietly put together a start to the season. He has one bad start against the Royals and take that away, his ERA is 2.89 in his other eight starts, all of which he has allowed three runs or less. 10* (976) Minnesota Twins |
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06-21-18 | Red Sox -120 v. Twins | Top | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Thursday Afternoon Dominator. We lost with the Red Sox last night as David Price pitched a good game but was done in by two home runs that accounted for his three runs allowed. Boston has now dropped four of its last five games on this roadtrip and going back, the Red Sox are 12-2 in their last 14 games after losing the first two games of a series. Minnesota has been just the opposite as it has won four of its last five games in what has been a very disappointing season. The Twins are now two games over .500 at home following the first two wins in this series but they have gone 2-6 in their last eight games in Game three of a series. Rick Porcello takes the hill for the Red Sox and he is coming off an outing where he allowed four runs against Seattle which snapped a string of three straight quality outings. 10 of his 15 starts have been quality outings and in two starts at Target Field in the last two years, he has allowed two runs over 14 innings. Kyle Gibson has finally showed the potential of what he was expected of as he has posted a 3.27 ERA and 1.17 WHIP this season, but his success has been limited to being on the road. He has a 4.78 ERA and 1.49 WHIP at hone where he has just two quality starts and going back, the Twins are 3-7 in his last 10 home starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (913) Boston Red Sox |
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06-20-18 | Red Sox -136 v. Twins | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -136 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. Minnesota was able to pull off the upset last night as they beat Chris Sale but in reality, it beat the Boston bullpen while getting another great performance from Jose Berrios. The pitching has been solid of late across the board, but this has the making of a breakout game from the Boston offense. The Red Sox fell to 5-3 on this current roadtrip and they still possess the second best road record in baseball behind the Astros. They are 16-8 this season following a loss and turn to David Price who has been on a great run. Since getting roughed up in Texas to open the month of May, he has posted a 2.64 ERA with five of those games being quality outings and six where he allowed two runs or less. Minnesota has not given him much resistance as he has a 2.52 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 17 games against the Twins which have lost six of their seven games against left-handed starters. Minnesota counters with Lance Lynn who looked like a bust early in the season, but he has turned things around. He had a 7.47 ERA and 2.04 WHIP through his first eight games, but he has put up five straight quality starts, while posting a 2.01 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in those outings. He now faces a Boston team hitting .268 against righties, which is the best in baseball and going back, the Red Sox are 41-14 in their last 55 games against right-handed starters. Despite the recent surge from Lynn, the Twins are 2-6 in his last eight starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (967) Boston Red Sox |
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06-19-18 | Tigers +114 v. Reds | Top | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Tuesday Underdog Triple Play. The Tigers are riding a five-game winning streak heading into this two-game set in Cincinnati and they are just three games behind Cleveland in the American League Central. They have not been great on the road, but they have won four straight games on the highway and going back, the Tigers are 6-1 in their last seven games following an off day. The Reds salvaged a game against Pittsburgh to close out a 3-2 roadtrip but they possess just 11 wins at home and while they are not favored by a huge amount, it is the third highest moneyline they have been favored by at home this season. They split the first two with the only win coming against Jason Vargas and his 7.39 ERA. Matthew Boyd is having a solid season with a 3.23 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 13 starts and while his numbers dip slightly on the road, four of six starts have come against teams .500 or better. He gets a good matchup here as Cincinnati is 17-40 in its last 57 games against left-handed starters. Sal Romano is coming off a rare quality start which came after a putrid five-game run where he posted a 10.72 ERA. He has not put up consecutive quality starts this season and in his other three games after a quality outing, he allowed 12 runs over 12 innings. The Tigers are 6-1 in their last seven games against starters with a WHIP greater than 1.30. 10* (925) Detroit Tigers |
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06-18-18 | Mets -116 v. Rockies | Top | 12-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Mets took the final two games of their series against Arizona to split the four-game set and gain some momentum heading to Colorado. They came into Saturday on a 1-12 run where they scored a total of 21 runs and hit close to half of that over the last two games. Colorado closed its roadtrip with a pair of losses at Texas to drop to 23-18 on the road which is certainly a good record, but the Rockies have been surprisingly bad at home with an 11-19 record. They have struggled with the lightweight offense as they are 6-15 at home against National League teams with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. Jacob deGrom has had a ton of bad luck this season as he has a 1.55 ERA and 1.01 WHIP but has just four wins to show for it. He opened the season with a 3.24 ERA through four starts but has dominated since with a 0.87 ERA over his last 11 outings. Tyler Anderson has been dependable for the Rockies all season with a 4.48 ERA in 14 starts and while he is coming off a pair of quality outings, both of those were on the road and at home, he has 5.14 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in five starts with the Rockies going 1-4 in those games. Going back, the Rockies are 4-13 in his last 17 starts following a quality outing in his last start. 10* (957) New York Mets |
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06-17-18 | Cubs v. Cardinals +112 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 112 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple play. We lost with the Cardinals last night as they allowed three runs in the eighth and ninth innings to drop their fourth straight game. The Cubs have scored 19 runs over the last two games after consecutive shutouts and they come in as favorites yet again despite a starting pitching disadvantage. Jose Quintana has been good, but far from the dominating pitcher many expected as he has a 4.09 ERA and 1.34 WHIP through 13 starts. While he has been better on the road, he has struggled during the day with a 5.79 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in seven games. Jack Flaherty has taken advantage of landing in the rotation because of the Alex Reyes injury as he has posted a 2.96 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in eight starts. He has allowed three runs or less in seven of those and he is part of a successful situation where we play on National League teams when the moneyline is +125 to -125 that are hitting .250 or worse with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is between 3.70 and 4.20. This situation is 91-45 (66.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (908) St. Louis Cardinals |
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06-16-18 | Cubs v. Cardinals +113 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. After getting shut out in Milwaukee in back-to-back games on Tuesday and Wednesday, the Cubs took their frustrations out on Michael Wacha who had his worst and shortest outing of the season. Chicago has turned its season around after a slow start and it will remain a public team to back, hence being favored on the road once again. St. Louis is now five games behind Milwaukee in the National League Central following its third consecutive loss. The Cardinals are three games over .500 at home still and despite the loss last night, they are 10-4 in their last 14 home games against teams with a winning record. Carlos Martinez gets the ball tonight and he is having another strong season with a 2.50 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 10 starts. He is coming off a poor outing but that was on the road and he has been dealing at home with a 1.83 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in six starts. The Cardinals are 4-0 in his last four home starts against teams with a winning record. The Cubs counter with Kyle Hendricks who is off to a solid start and his home/road splits are similar which pouts him in a tough spot. He has a 4.50 ERA and 1.46 WHIP on the road with Chicago going 1-4 in his five road starts. On the season, St. Louis is 8-0 against National League starting pitchers whose WHIP is 1.15 or better. 10* (958) St. Louis Cardinals |
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06-15-18 | Tigers v. White Sox -123 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -123 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. We played against Chicago yesterday as it had won two straight against Cleveland and was bound for a loss in what has been a predictably bad season. The White Sox remain home where they have only 12 wins but that is due to a horrible start as they have gone 9-6 over their last 15 home games and they are playing .500 baseball overall for the past month. Going back, the White Sox are 6-0 in their last six games following a loss. Detroit won the final two games at home against Minnesota to complete a 3-3 homestand. The Tigers have been somewhat of a surprise this season as they are just 4.5 games behind Cleveland in the American League Central but a lot of that is due to the averageness of the way Cleveland has been. Detroit is ties for the second most home wins in the American League however, its 10 road wins are the second fewest behind Baltimore. Chicago hands the ball to Reynaldo Lopez who has been really solid this season but has not gotten the respect because he is on a bad team. He has a 3.26 ERA and 1.22 WHIP through 13 starts but he has only two wins to show for it because his offense has backed him up with only 2.85 rpg. The schedule has not aided him much as eight of his 13 starts have been on the road and he has been dominant at home with a 1.85 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in five starts. Chicago is 4-1 in his last five home starts against teams with a losing record while the Tigers are 19-44 in their last 63 road games against right-handed starters. Mike Fiers has been up and down this season and while he is coming off a quality start, he has an 8.59 ERA is his other three starts following a quality outing last game. 10* (918) Chicago White Sox |
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06-14-18 | Red Sox v. Mariners +124 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. Both Boston and Seattle are coming off three-game sweeps to open the week, but it is the Mariners that have a significant advantage. The Red Sox finished off the Orioles on the east coast and while it was a day game, it was a later than usual afternoon start, and the travel can take its toll heading to the west coast. Boston has been a great road team this season but the home/road splits with Seattle are very similar which makes the Red Sox overpriced at this number. The Mariners maintained their lead in the American League West and after underachieving for the last couple years, they are finally showing their potential. A big reason the Red Sox are road favorites is that David Price has been spot on of late, allowing three runs or less in six straight starts. However, five of those were against teams with a losing record and in 13 starts overall, only four have come against teams .500 or better and he has a 5.49 ERA. The Mariners are tied for fourth with Cleveland with a .269 average against left-handed pitching. Felix Hernandez counters for the Mariners and he has been average this season to say the least. Pitching at home has been a strength though as he has a 4.04 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in seven home starts compared to a 7.71 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in seven road starts. Here, we play on American League home underdogs that average between 4.4 and 4.9 rpg and with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.30 to 1.40 going up against a starter with an ERA of 4.20 or better. This situation is 36-16 (69.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (968) Seattle Mariners |
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06-13-18 | Twins v. Tigers +145 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 145 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Wednesday Underdog Triple Play. Minnesota won the opener of this series last night to leapfrog Detroit in the American League Central to take over sole possession of second place. The fact the Twins are just a half-game better than the Tigers and that they have only 12 road wins makes this line overinflated as it seems to be based on names of starting pitching and not necessarily results. The loss of Miguel Cabrera is not as big as it seems with his three home runs and 22 RBIs on the season. Jose Berrios gets the ball for Minnesota and he is the reason behind this line and while he has been solid, he has not been overly dominating, especially on the road where he has a 4.55 and has just two quality outings in five starts. The Twins are 3-13 in his last 16 road starts. Matthew Boyd has been quietly superb this season as he has a 3.20 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 12 starts including a 2.48 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in six home starts. He has won all five games as a home underdog and he falls into a successful situation where we play on American League home underdogs with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.10 or better on the season- going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.20 or better on the season. This situation is 70-43 (61.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (920) Detroit Tigers |
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06-12-18 | Giants -118 v. Marlins | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Miami won the battle of left-handers last night as it was able to solve Madison Bumgarner but now in a righty vs. righty matchup, the Giants have the advantage. San Francisco dropped back to .500 on the season and while it has struggled on the road, it has had only one road series against a losing team prior to this one. Miami has had a rough time of it as expected and despite the win last night, it is just 3-8 in its last 11 games following a win. Chris Stratton has been dependable for the Giants as a couple bad starts has inflated his numbers. He has allowed three runs or less in four straight games with the Giants winning all of those. San Francisco is 10-3 in his 13 starts and going back it is 11-4 against the moneyline against National League teams team with an on base percentage .325 or worse. Meanwhile, the Marlins are 2-10 in their last 12 games against right-handed starter. Trevor Richards counters for Miami with a 5.02 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in six starts. He looked good in his last stat after being recalled but he now faces a Giants team that is 8-0 in its last 8 games against right-handed starters. 10* (953) San Francisco Giants |
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06-11-18 | Pirates v. Diamondbacks -143 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Arizona is coming off a three-game sweep in Colorado to maintain its 2.5-game lead in the National League West. The Diamondbacks are also riding a three-game home winning streak where they are 19-13 on the season. Going back, they are 5-0 in their last five home games following a road trip of seven or more days. The Pirates have opened 1-2 on this current six-game roadtrip and it has been a real struggle going back further as Pittsburgh is 6-16 over its last 22 games. During this stretch, the Pirates have failed to win consecutive games. They send Joe Musgrove to the hill and he has been a pleasant addition to the rotation as he has a 1.89 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in his first three starts, allowing three runs or less in all three of those including a pair of quality outings. However, all of those were at home and this is his first road start since July of last season. Arizona sends Patrick Corbin to the hill and he is off to a spectacular start. He has a 2.87 ERA and 0.94 WHIP through 13 starts while his home/road splits are relatively equal. The big thing at home is his 62:8 K:BB ratio which is outstanding and has to a 0.78 WHIP at home. Going back, the Pirates are 5-16 in their last 21 road games against left-handed starters. 10* (908) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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06-08-18 | Yankees v. Mets +103 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Mets are in an offensive funk as they have scored seven runs total during their current six-game losing streak including a mere two runs over their last four games. Three of those games came against lefties where they totaled just two runs so facing a struggling right-hander is just what they need. The Yankees are percentage points ahead of the Red Sox in the American League East thanks to a 5-1 start to this current roadtrip and the public is all over them tonight at this short price. Masahiro Tanaka has had a rough stretch, posting a 5.40 ERA over his last five starts but the Yankees won four of those thanks to the offense that bailed him out. That will be tough to repeat tonight against Jacob deGrom who has been nasty all season with a 1.49 ERA, which leads the National League. Over his last eight starts, he has a ridiculous 0.57 ERA and the Mets are 20-7 in his last 27 starts after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. The Mets fall into a great contrarian situation as we play against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 after allowing three runs or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring one run or less three straight games. This situation is 33-12 (73.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (980) New York Mets |
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06-07-18 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -144 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. Toronto looks to bounce back from a two-game sweep at the hands of the Yankees as the offense managed only two total runs. May was horrible for the Blue Jays and June has not started any better as they are 1-4 in June and now sit a whopping 16.5 games behind the Red Sox in the American League East. Baltimore took two games from the Mets as it won those games thanks to solid pitching, 2-1 and 1-0. That has not typically been the case this season as the Orioles have the fifth worst ERA in baseball. Baltimore is the only team in baseball that has yet to register double-digit wins on the road while its 23 losses are the most in MLB. Jaime Garcia has had a rough time of it in his first year in Toronto and it could easily be his last at this point. He has struggled on the road for the most part as his 3.43 ERA at home is solid where Toronto has won three of his four starts. David Hess has been pitching well since entering the rotation as three of four starts have been quality outings, but he is still unproven. Toronto has a great contrarian situation on its side as we play on American League home favorites with a moneyline of -110 or higher that have an OBP of .320 or worse and starting a pitcher with a 7.50 ERA or worse over his last three starts going up against a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or better. This situation is 53-15 (77.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (912) Toronto Blue Jays |
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06-06-18 | A's -113 v. Rangers | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND A'S as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. We were on Oakland last night and it blew a 4-2 lead as it allowed five ruins in the seventh and eighth innings with the bullpen ruining a solid outing from Sean Manaea. That was just the fourth loss in its last 17 games against teams with a losing record, but the A's get back on track tonight in a big pitching mismatch in their favor. They are 7-0 in their last seven games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Texas opened its homestand with a rare win as it is just 12-19 at home which is the sixth worst home record in baseball. Winning streak have been few and far between as the Rangers are 7-20 in their last 27 games following a win. Daniel Mengden gets the ball for the A's and he has been great this season with a 2.91 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 12 starts. He has tossed five straight quality outings, posting a 1.47 ERA over that stretch. He was recalled late last season and he has a 2.47 ERA in 17 starts. The A's are 7-1 in his last seven starts after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Bartolo Colon got off to a great start with a 1.45 ERA through his first four games, but he has been very inconsistent since then, posting a 5.29 ERA over his last eight starts. He has allowed six runs in two of his last three starts and Oakland is 7-1 in its last eight road games against right-handed starters. 10* (967) Oakland A's |
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06-05-18 | Braves -123 v. Padres | Top | 14-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. San Diego took the opener of this series last night to make it three straight wins for the second time in a week. The Padres have been on a decent run since a horrible start but are still six games under .500 and they are 5-16 as a home underdog this season. Despite the loss, Atlanta is still in first place in the National League East, one game ahead of Washington. The Braves are 19-13 on the road and have won seven of their last nine road games against losing teams. Sean Newcomb has quietly put together a great season with a 2.73 ERA through 11 starts and that ERA is ninth best in the National League. Meanwhile, his road ERA of 2.06 is ranked seventh among qualified starters. Jordan Lyles has been inconsistent through five starts since entering the rotation in May but to his credit, he has been great at home with three quality starts but that actually helps put Atlanta into a strong situation as we play on National League favorites of -110 or higher that are hitting between .255 and .269) and starting a pitcher with an ERA of 3.00 or better going up against a pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or better. This situation is 94-31 (75.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (909) Atlanta Braves |
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06-03-18 | Indians -110 v. Twins | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. Cleveland had a six-game winning streak snapped on Friday and lost its second straight game yesterday and leads the Tigers by just two games in the American League Central. Minnesota was on a 1-7 run prior to Friday and it is in a tough spot today. Mike Clevinger bounced back from a poor start against Houston and he hits the road where he has been sensational this season with a 1.61 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in four starts, three of which have been quality outings. Kyle Gibson is showing flashes from his 2015 season as he has regressed badly the last two seasons. What ha not changed are his struggles at home where he has a 5.76 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in five starts and now he catches Cleveland at the wrong time. 10* (919) Cleveland Indians |
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06-01-18 | Brewers -129 v. White Sox | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -129 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Milwaukee won on Wednesday against the Cardinals to win the three-game series and close out an 8-2 homestand. The Brewers possess the best record in the National League with much of that having to do with their 18-10 record on the road and they have dominate the poor teams, going 13-3 in their last 16 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. Chicago ended a 1-5 roadtrip by getting swept in Cleveland and a return home is not necessarily a good thing as the White Sox are 8-18 at home which is the worst record in MLB. Additionally, they are 0-9 in their last nine home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Chase Anderson looks to keep the run going and he has been average of late which is not a bad thing as it is keeping this line lower than it should be. He has allowed four runs or more in three of his last four starts but two of those were at home and he has been great on the road with a 2.19 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in four starts, three of which were quality outings. Hector Santiago gets the ball for Chicago and he has struggled with a 4.87 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in five starts and 10 relief appearances. This has been ongoing as over the last three years, he has a 5.42 ERA over 41 games. 10* (929) Milwaukee Brewers |
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05-30-18 | Cubs v. Pirates +117 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 117 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The Cubs have won the first two games of this series as they go for the three-game sweep tonight as road favorites for the second straight night. Chicago is playing better after a slow start to the season but are not in a good position tonight. The Pirates have been going the other way as they have lost four straight games and nine of their last 11 to fall six games behind the Brewers in the National League Central. Joe Musgrove will be making his second start of the season after a spectacular opening start where he allowed no runs on five hits and no walks in seven innings against the Cardinals. The Cubs hand the ball to Kyle Hendricks who is also coming off a solid effort last time out at home against the Giants. He has struggled on the road with a 4.71 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in four starts with Chicago losing three of those. The Cubs are 1-5 in his last six starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (906) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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05-29-18 | Cardinals +103 v. Brewers | Top | 6-1 | Win | 103 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. Milwaukee took the opener of this series yesterday to make it four straight wins, but we expect the Cardinals to bounce back tonight and even up the series. The Brewers remain 4.5 games ahead of the Cubs in the National League Central and increased their lead to five games over the Cardinals. St. Louis is now 2-2 on this current roadtrip and it is still a game over .500 on the road for the season. The starting pitching has been leading the way and while the offense has surprisingly struggled, the Cardinals are in a good spot tonight to break out. Zach Davies gets the ball for Milwaukee and he has been very average. He has a 4.74 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in seven starts and while his numbers are slightly better at home, the Brewers are just 1-3 in his four home games as they are giving him only 2.0 rpg of support. He has faced St. Louis four times since last season and has posted a 6.86 ERA. The Cardinals counter with Michael Wacha and since allowing four runs in 4.2 innings in his season opening start, he has allowed three runs or less in his last nine starts. He has posted three straight quality starts and since that opener, he has a 2.44 ERA in those nine games. St. Louis has won his last four starts against winning teams and it is 14-3 in his last 17 starts during the second game of the series. 10* (955) St. Louis Cardinals |
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05-27-18 | Angels v. Yankees -150 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK YANKEES for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. Typically, we avoid public plays like this and the Yankees are going to be a very public play today, but the situation and setup are ideal while we are getting a very reasonable moneyline price to back it up. The Yankees got crushed yesterday 11-4 to make it three losses in their last four games and they now trail the Red Sox by two games in the American League East. They have been dominant at home this season and going back they are 39-12 in their last 51 home games. The Angels have cooled off after a hot start as they are now 4.5 games behind the Astros in the American League West. They will face Masahiro Tanaka who has pitched better than what his 4.95 ERA indicates as he has a 1.10 WHIP through 10 starts. The Angels are 0-5 in their last five games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15 while the Yankees are 7-0 in his last seven starts after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Additionally, Tanaka has a 1.60 ERA in five career starts against the Angels, all quality outings. Garrett Richards is having a solid season as well, but he squares off against a nemesis as he is 0-4 with an 8.10 ERA in six games against the Yankees. New York falls into a great value situation where we play on American League favorites with a moneyline of -125 to -175 that are averaging 5.1 or more rpg and with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.50 or better. This situation is 36-9 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (964) New York Yankees |
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05-26-18 | Mets v. Brewers -141 | Top | 6-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. Milwaukee is playing some of the best baseball in the league as it has won 16 of its last 23 games including a win last night over Noah Syndergaard. The Brewers kept their three-game lead over the Pirates in the National League Central intact with the victory while improving their record to 4-1 on the current homestand. Going back, the Brewers have won 11 of their last 15 home games. The Mets have dropped three of their last four games but remain just three games behind the Braves in the National League East. It has been a struggle since their 11-1 start and those struggles have mostly been on offense as the starting pitching remains strong. That is not the case today however as New York trots out Jason Vargas for his fifth start of the season. He is coming off his best outing of the season where he allowed no runs on two hits in five innings against the Marlins. It was bad prior to that however as he posted a 13.86 ERA in his first three starts so he is lucky to even still have a job. Chase Anderson counters for the Brewers who has been solid this season with a 3.86 ERA and 1.13 WHIP through nine starts. He is coming off a quality outing in his last starts and going back, the Brewers are 6-0 in his last six starts following a quality performance in his last start. Meanwhile, the Mets are 10-24 in their last 34 games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15. 9* (904) Milwaukee Brewers |
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05-25-18 | Cardinals v. Pirates -121 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. The Pirates head back home following a 1-2 series in Cincinnati and they remain three games behind Milwaukee in the National League Central. The road has been a struggle for Pittsburgh as it is a game under .500 but the Pirates have won 10 of their last 14 home games. St. Louis also lost two of three in its most recent series at home against the Royals and it is also three games out of first place in the division. The Cardinals have been decent on the road, but they are 1-5 in their last six road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Pirates will get their first look at the five-man rotation they envisioned entering Spring Training. Though Joe Musgrove spent most of last season in the Astros bullpen, Pittsburgh viewed him as a starter from the moment he joined the organization. He landed on the disabled list with a right shoulder strain and in four rehab starts, he showed why he is a former top-100 prospect. He allowed just 17 hits, a home run, walked a pair, and struck out 17 in 17.2 innings. He will be on no pitch count restriction. The Cardinals turn to John Gant who has made two starts and both have been average. He started the season in the bullpen and in three relief appearances, he posted a 2.35 ERA but in the two starts, he has a 6.52 ERA and both of those were at home, so this marks his first road start of the season. 10* (954) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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05-24-18 | Astros v. Indians +121 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. This is the first game of a four-game series between Cleveland and Houston that features four incredible pitching matchups. The Astros took two of three at home against the Indians last weekend and followed that up with a two-game sweep of the Giants to start this week. Houston is 32-18, has a two-game lead over Seattle in the American League West and comes in as a road favorite which is fair considering its solid road record. Cleveland is also coming off a two-game sweep over the Cubs and is now back over .500 for the season. The Indians have struggled on the road despite the two wins in Chicago but are 13-9 at home and this has been a great situation going back as the Indians are 10-4 in their last 14 home games following a road trip of seven or more days. This is a rematch of the series opener last weekend as Mike Clevinger tossed a quality start but was outdueled by Charlie Morton. Clevinger has a 2.87 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in nine starts with six of those being quality outings including four in a row. He has allowed more than three runs only twice and going back, the Indians are 11-2 in his last 13 starts after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Morton has been even better as his career resurgence continues and he too is a reason the Astros are the road chalk here. He has made only two starts on the road with the last coming in Arizona which has scored two runs or less in 11 of its last 13 games. 10* (912) Cleveland Indians |
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05-23-18 | Braves v. Phillies -116 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The National League East is shaping up to be a great race and two teams involved square off for the series finale tonight. The Braves won last night to regain their 1.5-game lead over Philadelphia and they have taken seven of the first 11 meetings this season. Atlanta improved to 18-9 on the road which is the best road record in the National League but going against that is doable as it keeps the price down. We won with the Phillies in this series opener behind a solid pitching performance from Nick Pivetta and we are expecting another similar outcome tonight. Philadelphia is 6-2 in its last eight home games and it is 17-7 on the season and that .708 winning percentage is second best in all of baseball behind the Yankees. The Phillies are 8-2 in their last 10 games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Jake Arietta gets the ball for Philadelphia and he has been great in his first season with the Phillies as he has a 2.82 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in eight starts. He has allowed two runs or less in seven of those games and while the lone poor outing was against the Marlins, it was on the road. His home 1.07 ERA and home 0.83 WHIP are two of the best numbers in baseball. Atlanta counters with Luiz Gohara who is making his first start of the season after logging seven innings in the bullpen. He made five starts last September and was average with a 4.91 ERA and while he did have a quality outing against the Phillies, he got the loss and the Phillies are now 14-3 in their last 17 home games against left-handed starters. 10* (956) Philadelphia Phillies |
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05-22-18 | Angels v. Blue Jays -101 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. After a scorching start to the season, it has been a rough month for the Blue Jays as they are 4-12 over their last 16 games. They just got swept in four games against Oakland at home where they have fallen four games under .500 as they continue to rely on their strong bullpen. The Angels are in a funk as well, albeit not as lengthy, as they have lost five of their last six games and they are coming off a disappointing 4-7 homestand. Los Angeles trails the Astros by 3.5 games in the American League West after leading throughout most of the early season. The Angels are 8-21 in their last 29 games following an off day. J.A. Happ gets the ball for Toronto and he is coming off his best start of the season as he allowed just two hits and no runs in seven innings while striking out 10 and walking none against the Mets. He has had only one bad start and taking that game against the Mariners out of the equation, he has a 3.14 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in his other eight starts with Toronto going 6-2 in those games. The Angels counter with Garrett Richards who is having a solid season as well with a 3.47 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in nine starts. However, only three of those starts have been quality outings including one of four on the road. The Angels are 0-7 in his last seven starts when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams that are hitting .190 or worse over their last five games going up against an opponent that is hitting .225 or worse over its last 15 games. This situation is 42-17 (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (914) Toronto Blue Jays |
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05-21-18 | Braves v. Phillies -114 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Phillies closed their roadtrip with a 5-1 loss in St. Louis but finished 3-2 overall and look to gain ground on the Braves in the National League East where they are 1.5 games out of first place. Rhys Hoskins hit a home run yesterday, one of just two hits for Philadelphia and that puts it into a great situation explained later. Additionally, the Phillies are 7-2 in their last nine games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Atlanta took two of three against the Marlins to conclude a 3-2 homestand including a 10-9 win yesterday where they rallied from an 8-2 deficit and scored six runs in the bottom of the ninth inning. That certainly is a momentum-builder for the Braves, but it can also be considered a letdown opportunity going into today. While the Braves are 17-8 on the road, the Phillies are 16-6 at home including wins in five of their last six. Nick Pivetta gets the ball for the Phillies and with the exception of one poor outing against the Nationals, he has been great. He has a 3.72 ERA and 1.13 WHIP through nine starts and those numbers are better at home where he possesses a 2.48 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in five starts. Atlanta counters with Mike Foltynewicz who has a 2.87 ERA but his WHIP of 1.34 is a concern as his control is very spotty. His 24 walks are twice as much as Pivetta in the same amount of innings. The Braves are 3-13 in Foltynewicz' last 16 starts while the Phillies are 13-3 in Pivetta's last 16 starts. Here, we play on home teams after a game where they had two or less hits, starting a pitcher who walked one or fewer hitters each of his last two outings. This situation is 33-10 (76.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (954) Philadelphia Phillies |
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05-20-18 | Padres v. Pirates -127 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -127 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. After taking the opener of this series on Thursday, Pittsburgh has been shut down on offense the last two days by scoring just two runs in each game and ended up losing both. Still, the Pirates are 8-3 over their last 11 games and on the season, they are 15-8 at home. They have fallen a game and a half behind Milwaukee in the National League Central but look for the series split today in a good pitching matchup. The Padres have been playing better the last couple weeks, but the offense remains a work in progress as their .229 average is tied for third worst in baseball. San Diego is 6-12 following a win this season and going back, it is just 8-26 in its last 34 games after having won three of its previous four games. The Padres have gotten some solid pitching performances from arms you would not expect and one of those was from Jordan Lyles in his last start. He took a perfect game into the eighth inning before a one-out single broke it up in what ended up being the best start of his career. This is the time to fade that however. Trevor Williams have been the Pirates most consistent starter as he has a 2.72 ERA and 1.13 WHIP through nine starts, six of which have been quality. He has allowed more than three runs only once, which came on the road, and going back to last season he has allowed two runs or less in eight straight home starts. His ERA is a spectacular 1.43 over that eight-game stretch. The Padres are 0-6 in their last six games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15. 10* (908) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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05-19-18 | Diamondbacks -122 v. Mets | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Sot. The Mets took the opener of this series last night behind a gem from Jacob deGrom as he held the Arizona offense in check once again. New York is two games over .500 and it sits 3.5 games out of first place in the National League East. The Mets have not won consecutive games since mid-April when they opened the season 11-1 as they have now gone 0-10 in their last 10 games following a win. Arizona has dropped eight of its last nine games as the offense has been awful. The Diamondbacks have scored more than three runs only once during this stretch while averaging a mere 1.9 rpg. Their batting average has dipped to .219 which is the worst in baseball as is their .210 average against right-handed pitching. They have fared better against lefties and they get a chance to break out today against Steven Matz who has been decent but unspectacular. He ha only one quality outing in seven starts and going back, the Diamondbacks are 25-10 in their last 35 games against left-handed starters. Arizona counters with Patrick Corbin who has been great with a 2.53 ERA and 0.86 WHIP through nine starts. He had his streak of eight straight starts of allowing three runs or less snapped last time out, so we can expect a bounce back. Here, we play on road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 that are batting .190 or worse over their last five games, with a bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.000 the last 5 games. This situation is 46-12 (79.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (959) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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05-18-18 | A's v. Blue Jays -107 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Toronto dropped the opener of this series last night as May continues to disappoint. The Blue Jays are 6-10 this month including a 0-6 record following a victory so coming off a loss is not a bad thing. The Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last five games when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. Oakland moved back to .500 with the win last night and it is now 4-3 on this current roadtrip. It has not been a great month either as Oakland is 8-8 in May and is still two games under .500 on the road. The Toronto starting pitching has been horrible this season for the most part and Marco Estrada can be lumped into that with his 5.32 ERA through eight starts. Five of those have been on the road however and in three home starts, his ERA is 6.00 but two of those were against the Red Sox and the other against the Yankees. Toronto is 8-0 in his last eight starts when its opponent scores five runs or more in its previous game. Brett Anderson opened the season on the DL and his first start back was successful but his last two outings have not. He has a 12.38 ERA over eight innings in those games which has added to his struggles since 2016 where he has an overall ERA of 7.44 in 20 games. 10* (916) Toronto Blue Jays |
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05-17-18 | Padres v. Pirates -135 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. The weather forecast for Pittsburgh was not looking good as rain was in the forecast for tonight, putting the game in jeopardy. It has changed however, and it is looking good for this one to get in, so it is worth putting up. The Pirates have won two straight games and seven of their last eight to remain in a tie for first place in the National League Central where only two games separate four teams. With its 4-1 record on this homestand, Pittsburgh has improved to 14-6 at home. The Padres are coming off a respectable 6-6 homestand but they are still 10 games under .500 despite what has been a very favorable schedule. San Diego has played 29 of its 44 games at home but it has been unable to take advantage and it is not in a good spot here as the Padres are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a win while going 0-6 in their last six series openers. They sent Eric Lauer to the hill and it has not been a good start to his rookie season. He is 1-2 with an 8.27 ERA and 2.14 WHIP in four starts even with one of those being a quality outing. Pittsburgh is hitting .264 against left-handed pitchers while winning four of its last five games against left-handed starters. Chad Kuhl counters for the Pirates and he is having a decent season with a 4.17 ERA and he is pitching better at home as he has a 3.52 ERA in four starts, three of which have been quality outings. Pittsburgh is 5-1 in his last six home starts against teams with a losing record. 9* (954) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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05-16-18 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks +105 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our MLB Wednesday Afternoon Dominator. We won with Arizona last night, but it was far from pretty as the Diamondbacks managed only three hits the entire game as Daniel Descalso singled home the tiebreaking run with two outs in the eighth inning. That victory snapped the six-game slide for Arizona and will be back them again at this price which is surprisingly undervalued. It was a rare one-run loss for the Brewers which are now 10-5 in that category and while they are off to a great start this season, being favored in some spots in this matchup is a head-scratcher. Milwaukee fell to 15-9 on the road, which is very strong, but it has won just one of its last five road games against teams with a winning home record. Brandon Woodruff gets the ball for Milwaukee and while he was solid in four relief appearances, his two starts have not been good as he has a 12.15 ERA over 6.2 innings. The Brewers won both games however than to 8.0 rpg of support. We do not expect that today as Matt Koch counters for the Diamondbacks and he has quietly put together a solid season. He has a 2.43 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in five starts and has allowed two runs or less in all of those. Three of four home starts have been quality outings and here, we play on National League home teams when the moneyline is +125 to -125 with an on base percentage of .300 or worse on the season, after scoring four runs or less in five straight games. This situation is 54-27 (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (902) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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05-14-18 | Mariners v. Twins -105 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. The Twins went on a 3-13 run in late April and early May but have since won seven of their last nine games, all on the road. They did lose the final game of the roadtrip yesterday, but the confidence is back, and the offense is hitting again. Minnesota is still two games below .500 (17-19) but trails the American League Central-leading Indians by 1.5 games and got a boost as outfielder Byron Buxton returned to the lineup after he missed 21 games. The Twins are 4-1 in their last five home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Seattle dropped two of three against the Tigers and is now 3-3 on this current roadtrip. The Mariners took a big hit yesterday with the loss of Robinson Cano who broke his hand after getting hit with a pitch. Jake Odorizzi gets the ball for the Twins as he looks to extend a two-game winning streak. He has a 2.76 ERA in his last three games and held the Cardinals to a run and two hits in five innings his last time out. He has one back start against the Yankees which was his only big blemish as he has allowed three runs or less in six of his eight starts. Wade LeBlanc counters for Seattle and he has been solid in two starts but has yet to be stretched out as he has gone just nine innings overall. Minnesota is sixth in baseball with a .266 average against left-handed pitching and is it 10-1 in its last 11 home games against left-handed starters. 10* (916) Minnesota Twins |
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05-13-18 | Royals +252 v. Indians | Top | 2-11 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS for our Sunday ultimate Underdog. The value on Kansas City in this game is tremendous as we are going against nearly a 3-1 favorite that is sitting at .500 on the season. The Indians won yesterday behind another solid outing from Mike Clevinger and they send their ace to the hill today, but Cleveland is just 7-11 following a victory this season. It has been a rough go for the Royals, but they have picked up their game of late as they are 8-6 over their last 14 games following a 2-17 stretch. The Royals are 5-0 in their last five when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game. The reason for this big number is Cleveland pitcher Corey Kluber as he is once again putting together a great season. In eight starts, he has a 2.62 ERA and 0.81 WHIP, and all eight starts have been quality outings. There have been problems of late though as he has not been as dominant over his last four starts. He has allowed three runs in each of those games to post a 3.77 ERA and he has given up eight home runs during this stretch. He allowed his 10th home run on July 15th last season. Additionally, his K:BB ratio is not nearly as good as it was at this time last season. Daddy Duffy gets the ball for Kansas City and while his season has been up and down, he has shown positive signs along the way and is coming off a solid effort in his last start against the Orioles. Cleveland is hitting just .188 over its last five games against left-handed pitching and it is ninth in the American League against lefties for the season. 10* (971) Kansas City Royals |
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05-12-18 | Mariners v. Tigers +138 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 138 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS (Game One) as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. This is the same play from yesterday that was rained out. Detroit is back home following a disappointing 2-5 roadtrip as it is now 15-21 on the season. 13 of those 21 losses have come on the road as the Tigers have been much better at home where they have won seven of their last 10 with two of those losses coming by just one run. Overall, half of their home losses have come by just a single run showing they have been close to a much better record which gives the underdog price more backing. The Mariners took two of three in Toronto to improve to a very impressive 13-7 on the road. They have not been able to put any big run together of late as they have dropped their last four games following a win. It has been an up and down season for Marco Gonzales as he has a 5.19 ERA and 1.44 WHIP through his first seven starts with just three of those resulting in quality outings. He has been getting better with his K:BB ratio and while the Detroit offense has been inconsistent, it is hitting .268 against left-handed pitching which is third best in baseball. Gonzales has thrived in day games but has been torched at night as he has a 9.26 ERA and 2.14 WHIP in three starts under the lights. Detroit counters with Matt Boyd who has quietly having a solid season with a 3.00 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in six starts, four of which have been quality outings. His numbers are even better at home where he is 3-3 in quality performances with the Tigers going 2-1 in those games, the lone being a 1-0 defeat. 10* (922) Detroit Tigers |
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05-10-18 | Royals v. Orioles +103 | Top | 6-11 | Win | 103 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Thursday Triple Play. Baltimore picked up a rare win last night as it snapped a seven-game losing streak with a 5-3 win over the Royals. The Orioles got a solid pitching performance from Andrew Cashner and it has been the pitching that has been the disaster as they have a 5.64 ERA from the starters which is the worst in baseball. Kansas City has not played much better this season as it is 12-24 as its pitching has been the big letdown as well. The Royals have the third worst ERA in baseball and going back, they are 4-13 in their last 17 games when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. Chris Tillman has been part of the starting pitching problem, but his numbers are skewed. He has a 9.24 ERA on the season through six starts with all of that damage coming on the road. In four road starts, he has a 16.04 ERA and those games were against the Angels, Astros, Yankees and Red Sox which are four of the five highest scoring teams in baseball. At home, he has a 2.77 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in two starts so heading back to Camden Yards is just what he needs, especially facing a Royals team that has struggled to score runs this season. Kansas City is 4-17 against the moneyline against right-handed starters this season. Ian Kennedy has been the most consistent starter for Kansas City as he has a 2.92 ERA but his numbers dip on the road and he faced Baltimore once here last season and allowed four runs in four innings. 10* (914) Baltimore Orioles |
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05-09-18 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -118 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The Dodgers let us down last night as Enrique Hernandez hit a ninth-inning home run to tie the score 5-5 and force extra innings but they allowed a three-run home run in the 12th inning to drop their third straight game. They are now 7-9 at home and it took them until June 5th to lose their ninth game at home. Los Angeles is nine games behind Arizona in the National League West, so it needs to make a move and force a split in this short two-game set. Arizona has won three straight games to remain 3.5 games in front of Colorado which has made a move following six consecutive victories. They were able to solve Rich Hill last night as they hit three home runs off him, but the challenge will be tougher tonight facing Alex Wood who has allowed only two home runs all season. Despite a 3.82 and 0.92 WHIP in seven starts, he is winless as the bullpen has been letting him down. In three home starts against Arizona, he has a 1.33 ERA and going back, the Dodgers are 13-3 in his last 16 starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. While Wood has let to win, Patrick Corbin has yet to lose as he is 4-0 with a 2.15 ERA and 0.76 WHIP through seven starts. He has had much more success at home with a 1.32 ERA in five starts where all four wins have taken place, but his ERA jumps to 4.50 on the road. He dominated the Dodgers twice but both games were at home and going back, the Diamondbacks are 6-16 in his last 22 road starts. 10* (960) Los Angeles Dodgers |
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05-08-18 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -116 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -116 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Dodgers are back home after losing their series against the Padres in Mexico to fall to 15-19 on the season as injuries continue to mount. The good news is that they are getting one of their top pitchers back from injury tonight in an important series to gain ground on Arizona. The Dodgers are 11-3 in their last 14 home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Arizona closed out a 4-3 homestand with a pair of underdog wins against Houston as it has yet to lose a series this season. That is keeping this price down with a number that is rare in a similar spot. Rich Hill was placed on the 10-day disabled list nearly three weeks ago due to inflammation in his left middle finger. He was on track to start against the Diamondbacks at Chase Field, but those plans were changed because of an infection in the finger. He got an extra two days after getting scratched due to the humidity of Mexico and he is statistically been one of the best left-handed pitchers in the game when healthy even though that has not shown this season. A bad start prior to his DL stint was the difference as he had allowed just three runs over 10 innings in his first two starts. Zack Godley gets the ball for Arizona and he has been inconsistent as he has three quality starts in six outings and he has struggled on the road of late. Over his last two road starts, he has a 9.00 ERA and in three career starts at Dodger Stadium, he has a 5.17 ERA. 10* (910) Los Angeles Dodgers |
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05-07-18 | Giants v. Phillies -103 | Top | 0-11 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. San Francisco has turned the corner as it has won four straight games and seven of its last eight with both offense and pitching stepping up. The Giants are now four games over .500 and trail the Diamondbacks by four games in the National League West and are now starting to become overvalued. The Phillies have been going in the opposite direction as they have lost six of their last eight games following four losses in their recent six-game roadtrip. They head home where they have lost their last two games, but they are 11-5 at home with the pitching leading the way with a 3.26 ERA which is tied for fifth best in baseball. We backed Zach Eflin in his first start of the season and while he pitched good enough to win, he got no run support. He went six innings and allowed just three hits with a home run being his lone mistake as he looked like he can fit into this rotation. While his career numbers are nothing to get excited about, injury issues have hurt him as he had tendonitis in both knees and a stress fracture in his foot, but he is now healthy once again. Jeff Samardzija counters for the Giants and he has been up and down through three starts. He allowed six runs against the Nationals in just 3.2 innings and while he gave up only two runs in his other two starts, he lasted just five innings in each of those. 10* (952) Philadelphia Phillies |
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05-06-18 | Indians +133 v. Yankees | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. The Yankees will be out for sweep today while Cleveland is looking to avoid going back to .500 on the season. We expect the latter to take place today as the Indians have a solid pitching edge and at a great price on top of that. New York is 14-1 in its last 15 games after opening the series with a 7-6 win Friday and following it up with a 5-2 victory Saturday afternoon. Cleveland had chances to win both games, but the bullpen blew it the first game while the defense let it down yesterday. The Indians offense has been much better of late after a slow start and they have a chance to Bust out today. Domingo German will be making his first career start after 12 games in the bullpen dating back to last season. He is taking the place of Jordan Montgomery who will be out six-to-eight weeks with a left elbow flexor strain. German owns a 3.77 ERA and 18:7 K:BB across 14.1 innings and he is coming off a season-high 61 pitches when he replaced Montgomery on Tuesday, so we cannot expect too much from him today. Mike Clevinger counters for Cleveland and he is off to a solid start with a 2.82 ERA and 1.15 WHIP through six starts. He has made two starts on the road and has yet to allow an earned run and that has been the case in his whole career with better splits on the road than at home. He has never faced the Yankees which is a big edge for him. Here we play on underdogs with a bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season, with a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.00 or better over his last three starts. This situation is 35-21 (62.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (915) Cleveland Indians |
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05-05-18 | Astros v. Diamondbacks +110 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 110 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Astros rebounded from three straight losses against the Yankees as they blanked Arizona last night behind the first ever shutout for Gerrit Cole. Houston is 11-4 on the road this season after posting a 53-28 road record last year, which was tied with the Indians for best in the Majors. This road domination is hard to look past, but it gives incredible value the other way which is the case tonight for Arizona. The Diamondbacks have lost three straight games for the first time this season as the offense has been handcuffed, scoring a total of three runs during the losing skid. They still lead the National League West by 3.5 games over Colorado and it has been a three-game swing since the losing steak began. Arizona has won eight of ten games following a loss and it turns to Zack Greinke to help stop the slide. His home/road split differential is enormous as on the highway, he is 1-2 with a 7.27 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in three starts but in three home starts. He is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.75 WHIP after going a major league-best 13-1 at home in 2017. The Diamondbacks are 7-0 in his last seven starts after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Charlie Morton counters for the Astros and he is off to a great start after six starts but this is just his second road outing on the season. He dominated at home last season but posted a 4.17 ERA in nine road starts. This has been the case throughout his career as his road ERA is over a run and a half higher than it is at home. 10* (980) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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05-04-18 | Rockies v. Mets -112 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. The Mets got off to an 11-1 start but have dropped 11 of their last 17 games including three in a row against the Braves as part of a three-game sweep. They were shutout the last two games while the pitching allowed 18 runs so nothing has been going right of late. New York is in a good spot tonight however based on those two shutouts and going back, they are 7-3 in their last 10 games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Colorado took two of three games in Chicago against the Cubs as it won the last two including an 11-2 win on Wednesday. Prior to that, the Rockies had scored a grand total of seven runs in their previous five games and they have had one of the most disappointing offenses this season as they are hitting just .226 which is ahead of only Baltimore and Miami after leading the National League in hitting last season. The Mets hand the ball to Zack Wheeler who has been inconsistent with a bad outing against St. Louis, but he has turned in three strong performances. This includes a quality outing in his lone home start against the Nationals. He faces the worst hitting offense against right-handed pitching in baseball as Colorado is hitting just .212. Colorado counters with German Marquez who has been more inconsistent than Wheeler as he has two quality outings over his six starts. He is coming off a quality game last time out which was his best start of the season, but he still walked three and his control has been a problem which has ballooned his WHIP to 1.57. Here, we play against road teams after allowing two runs or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after getting shut out two straight games. This situation is 46-20 (69.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (906) New York Mets |
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05-03-18 | Twins v. White Sox -102 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. The Twins and White Sox have gotten off to disappointing starts and while the latter was expected due to a rebuild, the Minnesota struggles are concerning. The Twins were able to salvage their final game of their homestand yesterday where they finished 2-4. Minnesota is just 3-9 on the road including seven straight losses and going back, the Twins are 2-9 in their last 11 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. The White Sox have lost four straight games and they head back home where they are just 2-10, which is a big reason they are slight underdogs here. The starting rotation for the White Sox has been horrible this season with a 5.23 ERA which is tied for fifth worst in baseball, but the one bright spot has been Reynaldo Lopez who has been sensational to start the season. He has a 1.78 ERA and 1.22 WHIP through five starts, four of which have been quality outings. He has allowed two runs or less in all five starts and he has been even better as home, allowing only one earned run in two starts over 12 innings. He carried this over from a good spring and we can expect one of the top prospects to continue to pitch well. Jake Odorizzi was a significant signing for the Twins rotation, but he has disappointed thus far. He has a 3.94 ERA which is not bad, but he has struggled with control as his 1.38 WHIP indicated which comes with a 27:16 K:BB ratio. Over his last five starts, he has tossed two quality outings, but both of those came at home and he has a 4.80 ERA in three overall road starts. Here, we play on American League home teams when the moneyline is +125 to -125 with a team slugging percentage of .410 or worse on the season, after two straight one run losses. This situation is 66-35 (65.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (964) Chicago White Sox |
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05-02-18 | Yankees v. Astros +115 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Wednesday Revenge Annihilator. The Astros lost a brutal game last night as Justin Verlander dominated for eight innings as he did not allow a run while striking out 14. He was pulled, and Houston allowed a three-run home run to Gary Sanchez and while many scrutinized not walking him with first base open, he came in with a .212 average, so it was just a bad beat. The Astros look to bounce back tonight and should do so with a pitching edge despite being a slight underdog. The Yankees had their nine-game winning streak snapped in this series opener but were able to bounce back last night to even the series. The bullpen did the job last night as after Jordan Montgomery was forced to leave after one inning with elbow tightness as they went eight innings and that puts a lot of pressure on Luis Severino. He is favored because he is having a great start to the season with a 2.61 ERA and 0.89 WHIP, but his success has come at home as his road numbers jump up to a 4.08 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. That is not even the big disadvantage mentioned earlier as in four career starts against the Astros, he has a 7.16 ERA. Dallas Keuchel is coming off a poor outing against Oakland as it was the first time in six starts he allowed more than three runs. Facing the Yankees has been no issue as he has a 1.59 ERA in nine career starts including a 0.76 ERA in three home starts. The Astros are 9-1 in his 10 starts against teams with a winning percentage of .620 or better. Additionally, we play against teams when the money line is +125 to -125 after allowing two runs or less four straight games going up against an opponent after scoring two runs or less two straight games. This situation is 39-14 (73.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (924) Houston Astros |
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05-01-18 | Phillies +101 v. Marlins | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Phillies opened the season with a 16-9 record but have since dropped three straight while going 2-5 over their last seven games. This is still a team on the rise and this recent stretch is just a small bump as Philadelphia looks to rebound from the series opening loss last night. Despite giving up 18 runs over the last two games, the pitching has led the way with a 3.76 ERA which is 10th best in baseball. The Phillies are 7-1 in their last eight games when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. The Marlins have won three straight games and five of their last six after a 5-17 start that saw them win consecutive games not a single time. We expect this run to come to a crashing halt tonight as the Marlins are 0-7 in their last seven games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Zach Eflin was recalled and will be making his season debut for the Phillies. While his career numbers are nothing to get excited about, injury issues have hurt him as he had tendonitis in both knees and a stress fracture in his foot, but he is now healthy and facing Miami in his first start is ideal. In 2016, he had a six-game stretch where he posted a 1.93 ERA with 21 strikeouts and two complete games. He had another impressive four-game stretch last season with an ERA of 3.00 with opponents hitting .245 against him. Miami turns to Jarlin Garcia who has been solid through his first three Major League starts as he has allowed just one run over 17 innings. He did make seven relief appearances and his worst came against the Phillies where he allowed two runs in four innings. The Phillies are 15-3 in their last 18 games against left-handed starters. 10* (953) Philadelphia Phillies |
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04-30-18 | Pirates v. Nationals -110 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The slow start for Washington continued this past weekend as it lost its series against Arizona which was its third straight series loss and after a 4-0 start to the season, the Nationals are just 8-16 over their last 24 games. Home field has not been kind as they are just 4-9 at Nationals Park compared to sitting a game over .500 on the road but this will turn around and this is the time to back them as we get to buy low with great value. It has been a streaky season for the Pirates as they opened the season by going 11-4 through their first 15 games but then lost seven of their next eight games before winning their last five games. This included a home sweep over the Cardinals to maintain their half-game lead over the Cubs in the National League Central. Going back, the Pirates are 2-12 in their last 14 road games after allowing three runs or less in two straight games while going 2-11 in their last 13 games after two straight wins by four runs or more. Washington hands the ball to Tanner Roark and he has been a tough luck pitcher. He has a 3.77 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in five starts but Washington is 1-4 in those games as it has been a mix of poor run support and the bullpen allowing 11 runs in his starts. The Nationals are 19-8 in his last 27 starts when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. James Taillon counters for Pittsburgh and after a good start in three outings, he has posted a 20.25 over his last two starts. His only good road start came against Miami and those recent struggles continue tonight. 10* (902) Washington Nationals |
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04-28-18 | Mets v. Padres -127 | Top | 2-12 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Mets took the opener of this series last night behind another strong pitching performance from Jacob deGrom but the pitching advantage shifts to the other side tonight. New York snapped a two-game losing streak with the victory and since an 11-1 start to the season, it is just 5-7 over its last 12 games while going 0-5 in its last five games following a victory. The pitching has taken a big hit since the strong start and we will see a piece of that tonight. San Diego has dropped three straight games, five of its last six and eight of its last 10 but it was an underdog in all those games as the competition and the opposing starter put the Padres at a big disadvantage. Because of this, the offense has been held in check and it puts them in a strong situation explained later. They get to face Jason Vargas who is making his first start of the season after having surgery on his non-throwing hand to treat a spring training injury. He made one rehab start in Las Vegas and it was not great as he allowed three runs on three hits and two walks in four innings. San Diego turns to Joey Lucchesi who is a top pitching prospect and he is already showing why. He did not allow a run in the Cactus League until his final outing and has been strong through five starts, posting a 2.70 ERA and 1.12 WHIP to go along with a 29:8 K:BB ratio. His numbers are even better at home and faces a Mets team hitting just .222 against left-handed pitching. The situation in play is to play on National League home teams with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse while hitting .215 or worse over their last 15 games. This situation is 102-62 (62.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (912) San Diego Padres |
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04-27-18 | Reds v. Twins -113 | Top | 15-9 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Twins are back home from a roadtrip they wish they never took as they went 0-7 including a brutal loss yesterday as the Yankees hit a three-run walkoff home run for a 4-3 win. They fell to 3-9 on the highway but are back home where they are 5-3 which includes a 4-2 record against the Indians and Astros. Minnesota takes a big step down in competition here and it has won four straight home games after a roadtrip of seven or more days while going back, it is 8-0 in its last eight Interleague home games. The Reds are not a good team despite a mildly successful 2-2 split with the Braves at home but now they hit the road where they are 2-11. Take your pick as to what has been worse as Cincinnati is hitting .218 while the pitching has a 5.25 ERA in those 13 games. The Reds 5.3 rpg allowed on the road and 2.9 rpg score on the road are both second worst in the National League. Phil Hughes had a rough first outing with the Twins as his command was off, but he has a great chance to rebound here. His best days are long gone but we can pick his spots, and this is one of those, especially at this price which is ridiculously undervalued. The Twins have won nine of his last 11 series openers. Luis Castillo takes the mound for Cincinnati and he has just one quality outing through his first five starts. Overall, he has a 6.51 ERA and 1.45 WHIP and making this one even tougher is the fact this will be his fifth straight start on the road. 10* (980) Minnesota Twins |
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04-26-18 | Mariners v. Indians -103 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. Cleveland is coming off a split with the Cubs as it lost the first game but came back on Wednesday with a 4-1 to finally get some aspect of revenge after blowing a 3-1 lead in the 2016 World Series. The Indians are now 7-3 at home and going back, they have won 40 of their last 53 home games. The offense remains inconsistent as they are hitting just .218 on the season which is second to last in all of baseball and that is keeping this line lower than it should be. The Mariners are coming off a pair of series wins against the Rangers and White Sox, but those teams are a combined 19 games under .500. they are 8-5 on the road which looks good however, all road games have come against teams with losing records, so this is a whole new situation starting tonight. James Paxton is coming off a great season in 2017 but he has yet to find that form this year as he has a pair of quality starts but he has also been blown up in two other starts which includes his season opener against Cleveland where he allowed six runs in 4.2 innings. He squares off against Mike Clevinger who is coming off his first career shutout as he allowed just two hits against the Orioles. He has been average at home because of one poor outing against the Blue Jays and going back, the Indians have won seven of his last eight home starts. 10* (912) Cleveland Indians |
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04-25-18 | Braves -103 v. Reds | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The Braves nearly pulled off the great comeback last night as they scored four runs in the ninth inning to tie the game only to eventually lose in overtime. Atlanta has lost the first two games of this series as the pitching has uncharacteristically struggled by allowing 19 runs, but we expect a better effort tonight. The Reds have now won consecutive games for the first time this season, but they are at a huge disadvantage tonight. Matt Wisler will be making his second start on the season after a great opener. He allowed one run on two hits, no walks and eight strikeouts in seven innings against the Mets and he became the first and still only Braves starter to hit the seven-inning mark this season. He made two starts at Gwinnett, carrying a no-hitter into the sixth inning of his second outing and observers said it was the best he had looked in a long time. He pitched in 20 games last season, making one start, and posting an 8.35 ERA with 22 strikeouts and 14 walks. He allowed 30 earned runs in 32.1 innings but has a new attitude this season and has become more aggressive on the mound. The Reds counter with Brandon Finnegan who is making his third start as injuries have derailed him the last tow years. He sustained a strained left trapezius last April after three starts. Upon his return in June, he strained the teres major muscle near his left shoulder in the fourth inning of his comeback outing. He opened this year on the DL and his first two starts have been awful as he has allowed nine runs in 7.1 innings. 10* (955) Atlanta Braves |
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04-24-18 | Nationals -111 v. Giants | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. It has been a miserable start for the Nationals as they are now 10-13 following their third straight loss in the series opener last night against the Giants. The offense, which should be one of the best in baseball, has scored just five runs during this recent losing skid and they are hitting only .230 on the season. They are without a couple key pieces but going back, they are 13-4 in their last 17 road games after batting .200 or worse over a five-game span. The Giants have also been bad to open the season as they are 10-12 and are already 5.5 games out of first place in the National League West. They have won two straight games but going back, they are 9-20 in their last 29 after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Washington hands the ball to Tanner Roark who has pitched very well with a 3.24 ERA and 0.92 WHIP through four starts, posting quality outings in three of those. Both road starts have been quality performances and the Giants have been a favorite target as he has a 1.00 ERA in four starts, all resulting in victories. Ty Blach has been pretty good through five starts as he has a 4.10 ERA, but he has a 1.59 WHIP and his numbers go up a lot more at home where the Giants are 0-2. Here, we play against National League underdogs that are allowing 3.5 or fewer rpg, after allowing four runs or less three straight games. This situation is 83-33 (71.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (911) Washington Nationals |
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04-24-18 | Braves -118 v. Reds | Top | 7-9 | Loss | -118 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Cincinnati Picked up a rare win last night in this series opener as the offense tied a season-high with 10 runs as it broke open a close game with a five-run sixth inning. The Reds are off to the worst start in franchise history as they are now 4-22 and have yet to win consecutive games, going 0-3 following a win and getting shut out twice in the process. The Braves are still three games over .500 and trail the Mets by 2.5 games in the National League East. They have been a great bounce back team, going 7-1 following a loss and going back, they are 9-1 in their last 10 games revenging a loss where the opponent scored 10 or more runs. Brandon McCarthy gets the ball for Atlanta and he has been a great addition to this rotation as he has posted a 2.91 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in four starts, all resulting in Braves wins. His numbers are better on the road than at home as he has allowed just four runs in 11 innings against the National and Rockies. The Reds received a great first start from Tyler Mahle, but he has struggled over his last three starts, posting a 7.20 ERA and 2.00 WHIP. The Braves have a great situation on their side as we play against home underdogs with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts, with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last five games. This situation is 81-32 (71.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (901) Atlanta Braves |
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04-24-18 | Twins +130 v. Yankees | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Yankees handed Minnesota a 14-1 loss in this series opener, the first meeting since they defeated the Twins in the A.L. Wild Card last season. New York is starting to get the offense grooving as it has scored 28 runs during its three-game winning streak but the pitching should be overshadowed as they have allowed only three runs to improve to 12-9 on the season. Minnesota has lost four straight games to fall under .500 for the first time since losing opening Day. The pitching has been atrocious as the Twins have allowed 40 runs during this recent skid, but they turn to their ace tonight to put an end to the bleeding. Jose Berrios takes the hill for his fifth start and he has been sensational as he has a 1.63 ERA and 0.58 WHIP through four starts. He had a poor outing against Seattle, but his other three starts resulted in no runs allowed over 23 innings. He faced the Yankees twice last season and allowed just four runs in 10 innings. C.C. Sabathia continues to pitch well as he has a 2.70 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in three starts but he has not gone past five innings as he has been pulled before serious damage occurs. The Twins are hitting well against lefties and they are 5-1 in their last six games against left-handed starters. Here, we play against home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 that are outscoring opponents by 1 or more rpg on the season, after scoring 10 runs or more. This situation is 36-22 (62.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (915) Minnesota Twins |
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04-23-18 | Padres v. Rockies -155 | Top | 13-5 | Loss | -155 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Rockies lost a tough game yesterday as they nearly rallied from a 6-0 deficit against the Cubs. The defeat was the third in its last four games for Colorado and in those losses, it allowed 10, 16 and 9 points but the pitching is in good position tonight as far as quality starter and facing a poor offense. The Rockies have taken on the Cubs, Pirates and Nationals in their last three series and all three of those teams are ranked in the top half of the league in runs scored. That is not the case with the Padres as they are averaging just 3.65 rpg which is tied for eighth lowest while their .219 batting average is tied for second lowest in MLB. San Diego has lost five of its last six games and the poor offense is to blame as it has managed only 2.8 rpg in those five losses. The Padres are 2-10 in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. Chad Bettis takes the hill for Colorado and he is off to a sensational start as he is 3-0 with a 1.44 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in four starts with all of those resulting in Colorado victories. He has dominate San Diego throughout his career as he has a 2.96 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 12 games and going back, the Rockies are 14-3 in his last 17 starts after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. The Padres counter with Bryan Mitchell who has shown signs of solid pitching but has also blown up in two of his four starts. Overall, he has a 5.03 ERA in four starts, all San Diego losses, and that including allowing five runs in five innings against Colorado and that was at home. This is his first experience at Coors Field. 8* (954) Colorado Rockies |
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04-22-18 | Giants v. Angels -108 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. The Angels snapped a four-game slide with a win over the Giants last night as they received a strong pitching performance from Garrett Richards while getting the offense going after a dismal four runs being scored during the losing streak. They remain a half-game behind the Astros in the American League West and this is a crucial game to keep the momentum going as Los Angeles heads to Houston for a three-game series starting tomorrow and then is back home for a three-game set against the Yankees. San Francisco has been awful of late as the loss last night dropped it to 6-12 over its last 18 games and on the season, it has scored three runs or less in 12 of its 20 games. The Giants are averaging 3.1 rpg which is second worst in all of baseball, ahead of only the lowly Reds. Jaime Barria will be making his second career start following a very strong MLB debut as he allowed just one run and one hit, which was a home run, in five innings against the Rangers. He broke out in 2017 with an excellent season at three levels: 2.48, 57/13 K/BB in 65 innings in the California League; 3.21, 47/15 K/BB in 62 innings in the Southern League; 2.45, 13/3 K/BB in 15 innings in the Pacific Coast League. Johnny Cueto has been outstanding thus far as he has allowed just one run in three starts yet he is just 2-1 and could be 1-2 as San Francisco has given him one run in two of those games. He faces a tough offense and not having the run support will cost him again. 10* (930) Los Angeles Angels |
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04-22-18 | Pirates +122 v. Phillies | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. The Pirates have come back to earth after a great start to the season as they have dropped the first three games of this series and look to avoid the sweep today. The offense has been completely shut down by Aaron Nola, Ben Lively and Jake Arrieta and while they face another tough arm today, it is the best of the bunch to get the bats going after scoring three runs total in the first three games of this series. The Phillies turnaround continues to flourish as they are one game out of first place in the National League East with a 13-7 record. They have lost just one game at home and while the start to this series has been impressive, the other five home wins have come against the Reds and Marlins which are a combined 8-32. Nick Pivetta gets the ball for Philadelphia and while he possesses a 2.49 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in four starts, he has not been as dominating as those numbers may show. He shut down the aforementioned Reds and Marlins at home, but he was average in his other two starts, both coming against the Braves. He struggled at home last season with a 5.34 ERA and facing a tough offense today that is due is not a good situation. The Pirates counter with Trevor Williams who has been just as dominant and against much stronger offenses. He has a 1.93 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in four starts and it is no fluke as he has a 3.01 ERA in 17 starts since the All Star Break last season. 10* (901) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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04-20-18 | Twins +117 v. Rays | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Minnesota split with the Indians in its two-game set in Puerto Rico following a 16-inning victory on Wednesday. The Twins are 8-5 to maintain their half-game lead over the Indians in the American League Central. Tampa Bay won its most recent series against Texas but brings in a 1-11 record against winning teams and it is overpriced in this spot. Despite a 5-13 record, Tampa Bay is the favorite for the 10th straight game and that is because of who is on the hill for the Rays but even that is not deserving. Chris Archer is coming off a poor outing last time out and many will be ready to back him here to bounce back but there is no reason to think he will. He is considered the ace of the staff and that moniker does not hold up much anymore. Once considered an ace, Archer's struggles date back to last season when he allowed 18 earned runs in 21.2 innings in September and adding on to this season, he has allowed 36 earned runs in his last 42.1 innings. His best season came in 2015 when he posted a 3.23 ERA in 212 innings, but he has not been able to keep his ERA under 4.00 since then. Lance Lynn finally gets to pitch again as he has been off for 10 days due to multiple postponements, travel and rotation alignment. He got roughed up in his first start with Minnesota but bounced back with a five-inning shutout against the Astros in his last outing. He faces an offense that is averaging just 2.8 rpg at home against right-handed pitching and has scored three runs or less in half of their games. 10* (921) Minnesota Twins |
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04-19-18 | Red Sox v. Angels -105 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our MLB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. We were on the wrong end of this game last night as the Red Sox won again and have taken the first two games of this series by a combined score of 19-1. Boston has won six straight games by an average score of 7.5-1.8 and not many bettors will be getting in its way, but we have seen this moneyline come down despite the majority of the early money coming in on the Red Sox. Going back, Boston is 7-15 in its last 22 games after scoring eight runs or more two straight games. The Angels great start to the season has bene slowed the last two nights as two of their top starters have been bashed while the offense has been completely shut down. The Angels are still 4-1 in their last five games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Eduardo Rodriguez takes the hill for Boston and while he has a solid 3.72 ERA, he has a 1.45 WHIP as his command has not been sharp. This sets up well for the Angels as they are 8-0 in their last eight games against starters with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Meanwhile, the Red Sox are 0-6 in his last six starts after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Nick Tropeano is making his second start of the season after tossing 6.2 shutout innings in his first outing. Going back, the Angels are 7-1 in his last eight starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (966) Los Angeles Angels |
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04-18-18 | Red Sox v. Angels -123 | Top | 9-0 | Loss | -123 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our MLB Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. The Red Sox continued their torrid start to the season as they are the first team to get to Angels pitcher Shohei Ohtani as they knocked him around for three runs on four hits and two walks in just two innings but a lot of that can be attributed to a blister. Boston is now 14-2 which is the best record in baseball by two games as it has won five straight heading into tonight in the second game of this three-game series. The Angels had their seven-game winning streak snapped last night as they fell behind 8-0 in the third inning and basically tossed in the towel after that. Los Angeles is now 13-4 so it is not far off of the Red Sox so the fact it is favored tonight should not come as a surprise, yet the public is all over Boston. Tyler Skaggs is off to a great start as he is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in three starts, all Angels victories. He has battled injuries throughout his career but when healthy, he has a nasty curveball that is a strikeout pitch against either left-handed or right-handed batters. Boston is hitting just .228 against left-handed pitching and going back, the Angels are 8-3 in his last 11 starts when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. The Rick Porcello of 2016 has reappeared after a rough season last year as he is 3-0 with a 1.83 ERA and 0.76 WHIP in three starts. However, two of those starts came against the Rays and the other against the Yankees, two teams he has dominated throughout his career. 9* (926) Los Angeles Angels |
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04-18-18 | Indians v. Twins +112 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 112 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The Indians grabbed the first game of this two-game series that is taking place in San Juan, Puerto Rico thanks to a solid performance from Corey Kluber and an offense that is starting to find its way. Cleveland has won six of its last seven games as the pitching has been dominant, allowing more than three runs only once while giving up an average of just 2.1 rpg. But while the offense might be turning the corner, the Indians are still hitting just .208 which is lowest in all of baseball as is its .284 OBP. Minnesota had its three-game winning streak snapped with the loss yesterday, but it can hardly be faulted considering it had four days off because of three postponements and a travel day. The Twins are now 7-5 and have won three of their first four games following a loss with that one defeating coming against Justin Verlander. We expect the Indians to continue their offensive struggles tonight against Jose Berrios who is off to a solid start. He has posted a 2.18 ERA and 0.63 WHIP through three starts and it is important to note that he is on normal rest despite all of the off days. He had 139 strikeouts in 145.2 innings last season and this year, he has a 24:1 K:BB ratio in 20.2 innings. Berrios is from Bayamon, which is only a few miles from San Juan, so this is a big game for him. Carlos Carrasco is off to a 3-0 start with a 3.48 ERA and 0.87 WHIP but his lone start away from home was a bad one against Seattle and another dud here would not be a surprise. 10* (924) Minnesota Twins |
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04-18-18 | Rangers v. Rays -109 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Wednesday Afternoon Dominator. Tampa Bay won the opener of this series prior to Texas tying it up last night as two last place teams conclude the three-game set this afternoon. The Rays won for us two nights ago as they scored a season-high eight runs, but the offense got stymied last night against Matt Moore of all pitchers who came in with an 8.76 ERA. The advantage goes to Tampa Bay tonight as it will be facing a left-handed starter for the third straight game. Texas is now 7-12 on the season as it scored a season-high seven runs last night as its offense has also been a detriment. While the Rays are myriad in a slump that can be broken, the Rangers are dealing with a rash of injuries as Elvis Andrus, Delino DeShields and Rougned Odor are all on the shelf. The Rangers are Rangers are 0-6 in their last six games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Cole Hamels gets the ball for Texas and it is starting to show that his best days are behind him. He is averaging 89.8 mph with his four-seam fastball, the one that is supposed to explode through the strike zone and that has led to his seven home runs allowed, most in the league. Jake Faria has some horrible numbers through three starts but that is attributed to a bad start in Boston as his two starts at home have resulted in a 1.93 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. In eight career home starts, he has allowed one earned run in five of those and three runs or less seven times. 10* (916) Tampa Bay Rays |
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04-17-18 | Cardinals v. Cubs -122 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -122 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Cardinals remain on the road fresh off a four-game sweep over the Reds, but Cincinnati is expected to be one of the worst teams in the league and that is already showing. Pitching led the way over the weekend and that has been a bright spot all season as the 3.30 ERA is ninth best in baseball and that is keeping this line within reason. St. Louis has dropped five of its last seven series openers while the Cubs have won nine of their last 12 opening games of a series and they will be ready to go after a second straight rainout yesterday. Chicago rallied from a 10-2 deficit on Saturday which could be the spark it needs after an inconsistent start to the season. Tyler Chatwood gets the ball for the Cubs and after a great opening start, he struggled last time out as he allowed five runs in five innings against the Pirates. This is not a bad thing as over the last two-plus seasons, he has allowed five runs or more nine times and bounced back by allowing three runs or less in eight of those follow up starts. Adam Wainwright counters for the Cardinals and he is coming off a good start against the Brewers after opening the season with a dud against Arizona. This is his first road outing of the season and since coming back in 2016 from an Achilles injury, he has a 6.62 ERA over 30 games on the highway. 10* (960) Chicago Cubs |
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04-15-18 | A's -112 v. Mariners | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND A'S for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. Seattle has won four straight games to improve to 8-4 on the season and it looks to keep the momentum rolling along before a visit from Houston starting Monday. The Mariners bats have woken up as they have scored 29 runs over this recent four-game stretch but do not see that continuing today. Going back, Seattle is 9-20 against the moneyline in its last 29 home games against A.L. starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.30 or better. Oakland looks to salvage a game from this series and avoid the sweep today following a 10-8 loss last night. The starting pitching has been a real struggle for Oakland and has played a big role in its 5-10 start, but we are expecting a reversal of that today with Sean Manaea taking the hill. He is off to a strong start with a 1.74 ERA and 0.77 WHIP through three starts. He is the real deal and while looking back at last season as seeing his 4.37 ERA might not show that, three bad starts inflated that. Take those out and his ERA drops to 3.51 so looking just at the big picture can skew numbers as he allowed three runs or less in 21 of 29 starts. The public is all over Felix Hernandez as a slight underdog, but he is no longer the dominating pitcher he used to be. He is off to a rough start this season with a 6.60 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in three starts with none of those being quality outings. His 8:8 K:BB ratio shows his overpowering days are a thing of the past. 10* (975) Oakland A's |
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04-14-18 | Phillies v. Rays -119 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. We played on Tampa Bay last night and lost a tough 2-1 game as the Phillies scored the game winning run in the ninth inning. We are backing the Rays again tonight for many of the same reasons. As mentioned yesterday, they have played a tough schedule thus far and while the offense has struggled but they have faced some tough starters and speaking of starters, Tampa Bay owns a 2.59 ERA at home from its starting pitching after another strong start from Jake Faria. The Phillies picked up just their second road win last night as they are 2-4 on the highway. Philadelphia is hitting only .184 on the road and has scored just 16 runs in those six games and it faces another tough starter tonight. Chris Archer has not been at his best yet this season, but he faced the Red Sox and Yankees in his first two starts where he allowed eight runs in 11 innings. He is coming off his best start against the White Sox as he was a third of an inning short of a quality outing. He is back home where he has dominated with a career 3.24 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 812 starts. Jake Arrieta gets the ball for the Phillies and he is coming off an average opening start against the Marlins where he allowed three runs in just four innings. His dominating days may be behind him. Here, we play on American League home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse, after two straight one run losses. This situation is 66-35 (65.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (930) Tampa Bay Rays |
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04-13-18 | Brewers +115 v. Mets | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Friday Triple play. The Mets have been the surprise in the early part of the baseball season as they own the best record at 10-1 and they can attribute that to the second-best starting rotation and second-best bullpen in the National League. They have a 3.17 ERA from the starters, while the bullpen has posted a 1.49 ERA while going 5-0, the only undefeated bullpen in MLB. The offense has not been very good as they are hitting .240 and we expect that offense to struggle tonight. Milwaukee is in second place in the National League Central following a series win in St. Louis to begin the week. The Brewers are now 5-1 on the road thanks to both solid pitching and offense and both categories can shine tonight. The only loss on the season for the Mets came at home with Steven Matz on the hill and it was a game where he did not pitch well. He allowed three runs on four hits and three walks in just four innings against the Cardinals. Along with Matt Harvey, he has been the one of the two most inconsistent starters the last two seasons as he has a 5.71 ERA in 15 starts. The Brewers counter with Zach Davies who also opened with a bad start against the Cardinals but be came back with a quality outing last time out against the Cubs. This is his first start on the road and this is not a bad thing as he 2.86 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 30 road starts compared to a 4.81 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 39 home starts. 10* (957) Milwaukee Brewers |
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04-13-18 | Phillies v. Rays -104 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS as part of our MLB Friday Triple play. Not much is expected this season from Tampa Bay and so far, that is panning out. The Rays are 3-9 but to their credit, the schedule has not been in their favor with seven games against the Red Sox and two games against the Yankees where they went 1-8. They are coming off a series win against the While Sox and they catch another scheduing break with the Phillies in town. The offense has struggled but they have faced some tough starters and speaking of starters, Tampa Bay owns a 2.84 ERA at home from its starting pitching. The Phillies are coming off a sweep of the Reds while going 5-1 on their homestand but they come in at just 1-4 on the road yet are overpriced tonight. Philadelphia is hitting only .189 on the road and has scored just 14 runs in those five games while the pitching has not been much better with a 5.77 ERA. Tampa Bay hands the ball to Jake Faria who was shellacked in Boston in his last outing, allowing eight runs in five hits and five walks in just 1.2 innings. He was much better in his first outing, which was at home, and that last game can be considered an anomaly as he posted a 3.43 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 16 games last season. That included a 3.02 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in seven home starts. Vince Velazquez takes the hill for Philadelphia and while he is coming off a quality start, that came against the Marlins. He was shelled on the road in Atlanta and he possesses a 4.80 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in his career on the highway. 10* (980) Tampa Bay Rays |
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04-12-18 | Angels v. Royals +115 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. This line came out late because of a delayed pitching decision. It has been a rough start for Kansas City as it is 3-7 after dropping two of three against the Mariners in its most recent series. The Royals offense has been non-existent as they have scored three runs or less in eight of their 10 games and their .222 average is sixth lowest in baseball, but they have a good opportunity to break out tonight. The Angels meanwhile are off to a 9-3 start including four straight wins and are the biggest public road consensus today. They have the top offense in baseball as they are hitting .284 and their 86 runs scored are by far the most in the bigs. With the small price, this is a contrarian play on the Royals as they do have a significant edge in starting pitching. Ian Kennedy gets the ball for Kansas City and he is 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA in his first two starts as he has allowed one run on eight hits with two walks and 13 strikeouts over 12 innings. Last season, he had some tough breaks as he was 5-13 with a 5.38 ERA but his 1.32 WHIP and .246 BAA shows he pitched better than that. Two of his best starts last season came against the Angels as he posted a 0.64 ERA and 0.50 WHIP over 14 innings. Nick Tropeano was called up from Triple-A to make his first start since July 2016 after going through Tommy John surgery. Over the last six games, the Royals have faced five top starters and the one exception was a game against Marco Gonzales where they tallied 10 runs and they are facing a similar type starter tonight. 10* (916) Kansas City Royals |
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04-10-18 | A's v. Dodgers -121 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. It has been a tough start to the season for the Dodgers as they are off to a 3-6 start but were able to salvage a win in San Francisco on Sunday to avoid a 0-5 roadtrip. They are 2-2 at home after opening the season with back-to-back 1-0 losses but came back with two shutouts of their own, winning 5-0 and 9-0. We can expect Los Angeles to extend its two-game home winning streak after posting the best home record in baseball the last two seasons, going 110-52. Oakland is 4-7 following a series loss against the Angels yet it is shorter than expected road underdogs here with a lot of that based on the pitching matchup. Sean Manaea has gotten off to a great start as he has a 1.15 ERA and 0.51 WHIP through two starts, posting quality outings in both. Those were both at home however and he has had his struggles on the road throughout his short career with a 4.70 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 27 road outings. Going back, the Athletics are 3-11 in his last 14 road starts against teams with a losing record. The start has not been the same for Hyun-Jin Ryu as he allowed three runs in 3.2 innings in his first start. That was in Arizona, one of the two biggest hitters parks in baseball so he can be excused. He is coming off a great season last year and head home where he has a 3.25 ERA in 38 career starts. The Dodgers are 17-5 in his last 22 home starts against teams with a losing record. 10* (928) Los Angeles Dodgers |
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04-09-18 | Mariners v. Royals -104 | Top | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. Kansas City has gotten off to a slow start as it is 2-5 with the offense shouldering the blame as after scoring seven runs in their season opener, the Royals have scored only nine runs over their last six games. Their wins have come by identical 1-0 scores but tonight presents a good opportunity to get the bats going. Seattle had its game postponed yesterday after an 11-4 win on Saturday and it has now allowed four runs or more in six straight games. The Mariners stick with Marco Gonzales who posted a quality outing in his first start of the season as he allowed three runs in six innings against the Giants. His issue was that he allowed two home runs after allowing eight home runs in eight starts last season. He caught a break not having to pitch in the extreme cold yesterday, but we still expect him to struggle here as five of six road starts with the Mariners have resulted in non-quality outings. Jakob Junis is coming off a great effort in his opening start as he tossed seven shutout innings against the Tigers while allowing just three hits and a walk while striking out six. He continues to fly under the radar as after an uneven start to his rookie season last year, he picked it up in August as he posted a 3.15 ERA over his last 10 starts and carried that into the spring where he put up a 1.88 ERA in 14.1 innings with a 20:1 K:BB ratio. 10* (976) Kansas City Royals |
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04-09-18 | Astros v. Twins +154 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. We had the Twins yesterday, but their game was postponed due to the possibility of snow on the way and conditions are expected to be bitter cold once again today. They go from a moderate home favorite to a significant home underdog based on the starting pitching matchup and we are going to back them again here with the cold weather negating a pitching disadvantage. Houston is off to a solid 8-2 start, but their first three series have come against teams not expected to do much this season, so this is the first test. The Twins signed Lance Lynn to shore up their starting rotation, but his first start was not what they were expecting. He allowed five runs on three hits and six walks in just four innings against the Pirates, but Pittsburgh gave him troubles when he was with the Cardinals, so we can expect a solid rebound effort here. Justin Verlander has looked great in his first two starts as he has a 2.31 ERA and 1.11 WHIP as his career resurgence continues in Houston. This one will be tough though. In his 13 seasons pitching for Detroit, he noted an icy opening day at Yankee Stadium, but he said he never pitched in a game so cold as the one expected for his start Monday. Both teams are hitting in the low .230s against right-handed pitching so the Astros supposed offensive edge is not an edge in this particular matchup. 10* (974) Minnesota Twins |
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04-08-18 | Orioles +185 v. Yankees | Top | 8-7 | Win | 185 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Sunday Afternoon Triple Play. The Yankees bounced back yesterday after losing the first two games of this series, but we will be backing Baltimore as a big underdog. The Orioles were expected to struggle this season with their pitching, but the bats have been the problem early on as they are hitting just .193 which is fourth worst in baseball, but this is a potent lineup that can crush at any time. New York sends Jordan Montgomery to the hill and he is coming off a decent opening start, but it came against Tampa Bay whose offense is expected to struggle all season. He allowed one run over five innings but issued four walks and that lack of control has hurt him in the past and could be a problem against a team like the Orioles. Baltimore counters with Mike Wright who is also making his second start of the season. Wright pitched pretty well on Tuesday but was victimized by Astros Carlos Correa, who touched him up for a two-run, inside-the-park home run and a sacrifice fly to account for all three earned runs. 10* (915) Baltimore Orioles |
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04-07-18 | Braves v. Rockies -135 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Rockies lost their home opener yesterday as German Marquez was roughed up for seven runs in just 4.2 innings after a successful season debut against the Diamondbacks. Colorado is now 4-4 on the season as the offense has yet to wake up as the Rockies are hitting just .233 which is fifth lowest in the National League. The Braves rebuild is starting to take shape as they are off to a 4-2 start thanks to a solid offense that leads the Majors in runs scored with 56 and a bullpen that has posted a 1.45 ERA, third best in the bigs. The starting pitching has been the weakness and we expect that to continue tonight with Anibal Sanchez taking the hill. He tossed three shutout innings of relief in his first appearance this season and this will be his first start. Once a very solid starter, he has been horrible the last three seasons as he has a 5.67 ERA over the last three years in 108 games. The Rockies counter with Chad Bettis who had a decent outing in his opener against the Padres where he allowed two runs over five innings. He was limited last season due to a bout with cancer, but he is healthy once again and pitching in Coors is no issue as the Rockies have won 22 of his last 30 home starts. 10* (964) Colorado Rockies |
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04-05-18 | Reds v. Pirates -137 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. The Pirates opened the season 4-0 before losing against the Twins yesterday and we expect a bounce back tonight as they take a step down in competition. They were the last undefeated team in baseball which was surprising to come considering what they gave up in the offseason. The Reds got swept by the Nationals in their first series of the season but defeated the Cubs 1-0 on Monday to get their first win of the season. Cincinnati has been off since then as a rainout and an off day have given it two days off which is more of a disadvantage, killing early momentum. No. 1 Reds starter Homer Bailey was impressive in his opening start, but we do not expect a repeat as he allowed one run on five hits in 5.2 innings against Washington. He has not been healthy in recent years and it has impacted his performance as he posted a 4.17 ERA through 2014 when he was healthy but since then, he has a 6.18 ERA in 27 starts and while a claim can be made that he may be back to past form, he was awful this spring with a 7.50 ERA over 18 innings. Steven Brault gets the ball for the Pirates for his first start after pitching three innings of relief on opening day and picking up a win. He was impressive last season when he was inserted into the rotation and had a solid spring as well. 10* (958) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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04-04-18 | Mariners v. Giants -125 | Top | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The Giants made a lot of noteworthy offseason moves on offense to make a run at the Dodgers and so far, not so good. San Francisco tallied just two runs in its first four games and while it put up four runs last night, it was not enough as the losing streak has now reached three games. Seattle scored four first inning runs yesterday, which led to its third win through its first four games and it will be going for the two-game sweep tonight before heading east for a pair of series against the Twins and Royals. The Mariners got a solid effort from Felix Hernandez in his season opening start as he allowed just two hits and no runs in 5.1 innings. He is no longer the overpowering pitcher he used to be, so he will be experiencing highs and lows this season and he is catching a Giants lineup that finally showed some positive signs and can carry that momentum into Wednesday. Johnny Cueto takes the hill for San Francisco and he had a memorable season opening start. He took a perfect game into the seventh inning against the Dodgers and finished with seven scoreless innings of one-hit ball. Expect another solid performance tonight. 10* (926) San Francisco Giants |
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04-03-18 | Cardinals v. Brewers -133 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Milwaukee opened the season with a three-game sweep in San Diego but lost its home opener yesterday afternoon as Zach Davies got hit hard in his first start of the season. The Brewers narrowly missed the playoffs last season and they are expected to contend once again with a potent offense and a strong top part of the rotation. St. Louis has won two straight games after a 0-2 start, but it is in a tough spot tonight as it hits the bottom of its starting rotation. Jack Flaherty takes the hill for his season opener after getting recalled from the minors to take the spot of Adam Wainwright, who was placed on the 10-day disabled list. In six appearances last season, five of them starts, he posted a 6.33 ERA and 1.55 WHIP, and those numbers were worse on the road. Milwaukee gives the ball to staff ace Chase Anderson who is making his second start after a strong debut. He threw six scoreless innings, striking out six while holding the Padres to one hit despite dealing with a stomach virus. He is coming off a great 2017 season where he went 12-4 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 25 starts. 10* (958) Milwaukee Brewers |
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04-02-18 | Indians -117 v. Angels | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the Cleveland INDIANS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Cleveland lost its opening series in Seattle as it bookended a pair of one-run losses around a one-run victory. The Indians are hitting only .186 which is second lowest in baseball while their 4.32 ERA is in the bottom half of the league but only three games in, we cannot take these numbers too seriously. This goes the other way as well as the angels are ranked within the top ten in both batting average and ERA after four games where they took three of four against Oakland including each of the last three. Now we are at the bottom of the rotation as JC Ramirez takes the hill for Los Angeles after secreting the No. 5 spot in the rotation. Ramirez began last season in the bullpen and moved into the rotation after three appearances and he was average. He finished 11-10 with a 4.15 earned-run average in 27 games and his spring was average as well as he posted a 5.40 ERA in 13.1 innings where he allowed four home runs. Mike Clevinger counters for the Indians and he is the forgotten man in this rotation that is loaded. He posted a 3.11 ERA and 1.25 in his first full season and expectations are higher this season. Clevinger made six starts this spring and was very efficient as he went 19 innings and posted a 3.79 ERA, 0.84 WHIP and .176 BAA while striking out 25 and walking just four. 10* (923) Cleveland Indians |
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04-01-18 | Cardinals -135 v. Mets | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Sunday Afternoon Dominator. The Mets have opened the three-game series with a pair of wins and go for the sweep today, but the Cardinals have a significant edge in the pitching matchup. The Cardinals top two starters got rocked while the Mets top two in the rotation looked as good as expected. Things switch today however as St. Louis sends Luke Weaver to the hill and an argument can be made that his stuff is good enough to make him the No. 1 starter on this staff. He was great as a rookie last season with the exception of his last two outings where he allowed 14 runs as those were an anomaly. He had a 2.05 ERA going into those final two games through 11 games and he had a sensational spring where he posted a 0.55 ERA and 0.67 WHIP in five starts over 16.1 innings. Steven Matz is on the opposite end of this discussion as he takes a step down from Noah Syndergaard and Jacob deGrom. He opened last season on the disabled list and he was not good when he came by as he had a 6.08 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 13 starts. He is the No. 3 option only because there is no other choice as his spring was awful as he went 0-4 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in six starts over 20 innings. 10* (953) St. Louis Cardinals |
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03-31-18 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -103 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. Toronto has dropped the first two games of this series as the offense was shut down by Luis Severino and Masahiro Tanaka, but it gets a chance today to finally get going. The hype with the Yankees will continue throughout the season and going against them in certain spots is the way to go based on their already inflated lines. The Blue Jays have the pitching matchup advantage yet come in as the home underdogs and we will bite. Marco Estrada dipped last season after putting together two great seasons in Toronto and we are anticipating a return to form this year. He posted a 4.98 ERA after a 3.29 ERA in the previous two years and his spring training was solid. His ERA was 4.60 but that is a poor indication of success as he had a 1.03 WHIP to go along with a 13:3 K/BB ratio. CC Sabathia is in his 10th year with the Yankees and he is actually coming off his best season since 2012. It was still average though and this could be his final season. He pitched only six innings in the spring, so it is hard to tell how much down his velocity actually is. He had his struggles against the Blue Jays last season, posting a 6.23 ERA and 1.52 WHIP over five starts. 10* (920) Toronto Blue Jays |
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10-12-17 | Cubs v. Nationals +101 | Top | 9-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
Washington got an all-out effort from Stephen Strasburg on Wednesday to force a Game Five of the NLDS and a chance to win its first ever playoff series since relocating to Washington. Of the finishes thus far, Washington is not in a prime spot as all three of the teams that already punched their tickets to the next round clinched their Division Series on the road, a trend that bodes well for the visiting Cubs in their quest to repeat as World Series champions. We are going against that here however as we are backing the Nationals at a very good price as on the season, they went 8-2 at home when the moneyline is between +125 and -125 while the Cubs are 14-18 this season on the road when the moneyline is between +125 and -125. Kyle Hendricks gets the ball for Chicago and he has been the epitome of a No. 1 starter as he has had an incredible second half of the season. Getting to him will be a challenge but the Washington offense is very overdue for a breakout performance. Gio Gonzalez counters for Washington and he too has been great as well as consistent all season. 11 of his 16 home starts have been quality outings and since 2012, Gonzalez has been lights out at home against the Cubs as he has a 1.79 ERA in seven starts. He labored a little in Game Two as he allowed two home runs but he allowed only nine at home prior to that. The Nationals fall into a very solid situation as we play on National League teams that are averaging 5.0 or more rpg and after allowing two runs or less two straight games going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or better. This situation is 30-78 (62.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (960) Washington Nationals |
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10-09-17 | Astros -115 v. Red Sox | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
Unlike the Indians/Yankees series where the last two games have been decided by just one run, the home team has dominated this series thus far by outscoring the visitors 26-7. The thinking is that comes to an end today as long as the rain holds off. Pitching has been the difference in this series as it has allowed the winning opposing offenses to unleash the production and it should be the Astros turn again tonight. So far in the series, Boston's starting rotation of Chris Sale, Drew Pomeranz and Doug Fister has allowed a combined 14 runs over 8.1 innings for a 15.12 ERA. Now will hand the ball to Rick Porcello to extend the series, and it would help if he can revert a year to the pitcher that won the American League Cy Young Award and not the 2017 pitcher that has struggled with a 11-17 record and a 4.65 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. His struggles were even worse at home where he posted a 5.43 ERA and 1.52 WHIP where Boston lost 11 games, exactly one-third of its total losses on the season. He faced the Astros once this season and was shelled for seven runs in six innings and that was on the road where his overall numbers were significantly better. Charlie Morton has had a very good season with a 3.62 ERA and 1.19 WHIP and while his numbers dip on the road, they do not dip significantly. He has allowed three runs or less in six straight road outings which includes a solid start at Fenway just over a week ago. The Red Sox are 3-7 in his last 10 starts against teams with a winning record and the Astros are 41-18 in their last 59 games following a loss. 10* (909) Houston Astros |
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10-08-17 | Indians -113 v. Yankees | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
The Yankees are coming off an epic collapse in Game Two as they blew an 8-3 lead and ended up losing 9-8 in 13 innings. Instead of tying the series at 1-1 and gaining home field advantage, they are in jeopardy of becoming the 67th team in 76 series that have lost the first two games and eventually lost the series. That is not good news for New York that essentially lost the game because of manager decisions and despite possessing the best home record in the American League, the Yankees are in a horrible spot today. Cleveland hopes to advance today and not let the Yankees back in the series even though history is on the Indians side. While the Yankees finished with the best home record in the A.L., the Indians finished tied with Houston for the best road record in all of baseball. Additionally, the Indians are 10-2 in their last 12 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The bullpen is a huge issue for New York after three taxing games and not stretching C.C. Sabathia longer could come back to haunt them. Masahiro Tanaka gets the ball for New York and he has been all over the place of late. He is coming off a masterful performance against Toronto in his last start but he has allowed seven runs in two of his previous three outings. He has been very solid at home but he has yet to face this Cleveland offense this season. Cleveland counters with Carlos Carrasco who is coming off a career season. He is coming off his first 200-inning season, in which he had an adjusted ERA+ 39 percent better than league average with a Major League-high 18 wins and 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings. 10* (953) Cleveland Indians |
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10-06-17 | Cubs v. Nationals -150 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -150 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Washington is making its fourth playoff appearance in seven years and will be looking to get out of the NLDS for the first time. The Nationals lost to the Dodgers in five games last season despite having home field advantage as they dropped two of three games at Nationals Park. They finished 47-34 at home and their 5.2 rpg scored were tied for No. 6 in baseball while their 4.3 rpg allowed finished tied for No. 10. The Cubs begin their World Series defense but they had the advantage of having home field in the first two rounds. Chicago was a solid road team but the offense struggled with a .244 average and it has a tough task tonight. Stephen Strasburg gets the ball for the Nationals and this will be just his second postseason starts as he has been limited due to injuries but now he is as healthy as he has ever been. He did land on the disabled list for a month but he has been at his best since then as he has posted a 0.84 ERA in eight starts since his return, seven of which resulted in quality outings, six of which he allowed no earned runs. He has fared well against the Cubs as he allowed two earned runs over seven innings in his only start against them this season and has surrendered eight earned runs in 34.2 innings over five career starts for a 2.08 ERA. The Cubs counter with Kyle Hendricks who was their most consistent pitcher with a 3.03 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 24 starts. His numbers were better on the road but Chicago went just 5-6 in 11 road outings. He has pitched here twice and did not fare well either time as he allowed five earned runs in 10.1 innings. The Nationals are 10-3 in their last 13 home games against right-handed starters. 9* (982) Washington Nationals |
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10-06-17 | Red Sox +1.5 v. Astros | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -140 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
Houston struck first with a Game One win as the offense got to Chris Sale while Justin Verlander continued his dominance since putting on an Astros uniform. They look to take a commanding 2-0 series lead and despite the easy start yesterday, things will not be as easy today. We played against Sale based on his struggles down the stretch of the season and his lack of success against playoffs teams throughout the season but Boston is in a better spot today with Drew Pomeranz on the hill. As mentioned yesterday, Sale had a 4.63 ERA in 54.1 innings against playoff teams but Pomeranz was much more successful as he put up a 2.62 ERA in 55 innings against playoff teams compared to a 3.64 ERA against non-playoff teams. This included allowing two runs in 12.1 innings over two starts against the Astros. Yesterday, the Astros offense put up eight runs on 12 hits, seven of those runs charged to Sale which would seem to give Houston an edge facing another lefty but during the regular season, the Astros finished under .500 against lefties, going 21-23. Boston had a similar record against lefty starters and it has a good chance to get the offense going today. Dallas Keuchel labored to recover from midseason neck discomfort and while he finished the season with a solid 2.90 ERA, he had a 4.24 ERA in 12 starts after coming back off the disabled list. In three career appearances (two starts) against the Red Sox, Keuchel is 0-1 with a 9.88 ERA. We have yet to see a playoff game decided by fewer than three runs but this one is capable of changing that with the Red Sox in good position to even the series. 10* (985) Boston Red Sox Runline +1.5 Runs |
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10-05-17 | Red Sox v. Astros -129 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
Boston and Houston square off this afternoon for Game One of the ALDS and we give the edge to the Astros which took three of four against Boston in the most recent series in September-October. After an 11-17 August, Houston went 21-8 in September-October so the momentum is on its side especially with Boston going 2-5 down the stretch. Chris Sale is an underdog for the first time this season and while that represents some unheard-of value, he is not in a good spot. He struggled late, posting a 4.09 ERA in his final 11 starts after a 2.37 ERA in his first 21 starts. Overall, he had a great season and we cannot take that away from him but the opposition played a big role in how he fared. In 23 starts against non-playoff teams, he posted a 2.31 ERA and 0.87 WHIP over 160 innings while striking out 231 and walking 27. In nine starts against playoff teams, he put up a 4.63 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 54.1 innings while tossing 77 strikeouts and issuing 16 walks. The Astros finished first in runs scored, batting average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage, as well as finishing second in home runs. More importantly, they finished last in strikeouts which is not good for Sale who faces Houston for the first time this season. Justin Verlander counters for the Astros and they got everything they wanted out of him after acquiring him from the Tigers as he went 5-0 with a 1.06 ERA and 43 strikeouts in his five starts. The key is his four-seamer, which has the highest spin rate of any regular starting pitcher in baseball and when he can work up in the zone, he is nearly unhittable. He has dominated the Red Sox over the years and in two starts this season, he allowed just three runs in 12 innings and that was with the Tigers. 10* (936) Houston Astros |
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10-03-17 | Twins +1.5 v. Yankees | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
The winner of this game heads to Cleveland on Thursday for the ALDS in this win or go home, one-game scenario. Minnesota had a remarkable season as it because the first team in the history of baseball to lose 100 games and then make the playoffs in the very next season. Even more impressive, the 103 losses last year were the most in Twins history so what they did this season was something special. They had a strong second half on offense as the Twins had a .342 wOBA in the second half, which is a big 25-point improvement over their first half performance. The pitching improved as well and very importantly for tonight, their success on the road. The Yankees played well down the stretch to give Boston a run at the division title but they just fell short. New York was involved in 44 one-run games which was the most of any playoff team in the American League and we are banking that to continue tonight. Ervin Santana gets the ball for the Twins and he had a great season with a 3.28 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. His numbers were better away from Target Field where he was 10-3 with a 2.71 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. Of the last seven losses the Twins have incurred with Santana on the hill, five of those were by just a single run so going back to the beginning of July, they have lost only two of his 16 games by more than one run. He is flying under the radar as all the talk is about Luis Severino whose overall numbers were better but not by much. New York was just 3-2 in his five home starts against playoff teams and that does warrant such a big number tonight and that also adds value to the runline. 10* (931) Minnesota Twins +1.5 Runs |
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09-27-17 | Padres +185 v. Dodgers | Top | 0-10 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
It is not uncommon for lines to come out late if playoff teams are involved as linesmakers want to gather as much information as to not put out a bad number. Because this is the final game of the night, lineups are not going to be in until late in the day but no doubt the Dodgers are overpriced. They clinched home-field advantage through the National League playoffs Tuesday with their third consecutive victory and the number is still huge as they are aiming for the best record in baseball. Los Angeles has a 2.5-game lead over the Indians with four games left (five for Cleveland). The Padres are 70-88, but they have played their best baseball in the second half. The Dodgers series is their eighth straight against a team with a winning record, and they won or split four of the previous seven. They cannot win or split this one but winning the final game of the season against the Dodgers is the goal here. Clayton Richard gets the ball for San Diego and he has been pitching his best ball of the season. He has made nine starts in August and September and has posted a 2.90 ERA over 59 innings. He has allowed no earned runs in four of those games and in two starts against the Dodgers over this stretch, both resulted in quality performances. Los Angeles counters with Rich Hill who has been up and down and unable to go deep into games. Only eight of 24 starts have been quality outings and despite the Dodgers home domination, they are just 7-6 in his 13 home starts. 10* (913) San Diego Padres |
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09-20-17 | Indians v. Angels +111 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
Cleveland had its 22-game winning streak snapped last Friday and it has started a new one as it has won three straight games since that defeat, making it an incredible 25-1 over its last 26 games. The Indians have taken over the best record in the American League so they are still playing for something as the regular season winds down but there are big stakes on the other side as well. The loss last night was the second straight for the Angels and they have gone just 3-4 on this very important homestand. They have two more games against Cleveland and then must travel to Houston for three games so these games against elite opposition will go a long way. Los Angeles is two games over .500 and remains two games ahead of Texas in the American League Wild Card while sitting a game and aa half behind the Twins for the second spot. The Angels are 6-1 in their last seven games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. We played against Josh Tomlin in his last start during the historic Indians winning streak and while he did not factor in the decision, he was in line for the loss before Cleveland tied the game in the ninth inning when it was down to its last strike and eventually won it in extra innings. Tomlin has made three starts since re-entering the rotation and he has been solid but not dominating and has yet to go past 79 pitches in those three games. He has not pitches great on the road as he has a 4.68 ERA over 10 starts with only four of those being quality outings and Cleveland has gone 4-6 in those games. The Angels counter with Ricky Nolasco who has been all over the place this season but he gives them a great opportunity to bounce back. He has a 4.41 ERA and 1.33 WHIP at home and he has allowed two runs or less in six of his last eight home starts. 10* (976) Los Angeles Angels |
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09-18-17 | Twins +150 v. Yankees | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
Minnesota is coming off a 4-2 homestand and remains two games ahead of the Angels for the second Wild Card spot in the American League. The Twins have maintained their success with solid pitching, timely hitting and one of the best defenses in baseball. They now hit the road where they are 39-32 which is the third best road record in the American League and they enter tonight riding a four-game winning streak against teams with a winning record. The Yankees took three of four against Baltimore but a Sunday loss kept them three games behind the Red Sox with 13 games left. The schedule is favorable as this is the last series against a winning team and it will be a playoff atmosphere with what looks like could be the American League Wild Card matchup. Ervin Santana gets the ball for Minnesota and he has been having a very solid season with a 3.35 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 30 starts. Six of his last nine starts have been quality outings and he has been more dominant on the road with a 2.74 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 14 starts with the Twins winning 10 of those. Jaime Garcia counters for the Yankees and he has been average since coming over in August. In six starts, he has yet to toss a quality outing while posting a 4.60 ERA and 1.70 WHIP. Minnesota has won six of its last eight games against left-handed starters. 10* (961) Minnesota Twins |
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09-14-17 | Royals +185 v. Indians | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
What Cleveland has done is certainly remarkable as its 21-game winning streak is now the longest in American League history. There are plenty of goals remaining for the Indians with breaking the all-time baseball winning streak of 26 games being at the bottom of the list. They are going for home field advantage throughout the playoffs as they are now 2.5 games in front of the Astros in the American League and four games behind the Dodgers in all of baseball. Taking nothing away from the streak but the last 14 wins have come against teams that are most likely out of the playoff chase. Kansas City is hanging around in the American League Wild Card race and while facing the Indians is not ideal being four games out, this can work in their favor. After the four-game set against the Indians, the Royals nine of their next 10 games are against teams at least 10 games under .500. Kansas City is 8-6 over its last 14 road games and they have won six of their last seven games following a loss. Jakob Junis has the task of slowing down a Cleveland offense that has been rather inconsistent as it has scored five runs or less in five of its last six games. Junis has been one of the most consistent Royals starters of late as he has allowed three runs or less in six straight games since re-entering the rotation, five of which have been two runs or less and his ERA over this stretch is 2.48. This is his first ever start against the Indians which is a big advantage. Cleveland counters with Josh Tomlin who is making his third start after missing over a month. He has been decent but not dominating and is arguably the one pitcher that could get lit up compared to the other starters that have been lights out. 10* (967) Kansas City Royals |
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09-13-17 | Reds +155 v. Cardinals | Top | 6-0 | Win | 155 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
St. Louis jumped out to an 8-0 start after four innings and never looked back as it won its fourth straight game to open this homestands. The Cardinals remained two games behind the Cubs in the National League Central and three games behind the Rockies in the National League Wild Card chase. Going back, the Cardinals are just 6-5 in their last 11 games at home. The Reds lost three of four games against the Mets before the defeat last night but are catching a favorable number based on a pitching matchup where they are not at as big of a disadvantage as this line is dictating. Last night, Cincinnati faced Lance Lynn who had allowed two runs or less in 12 of his previous 13 starts so a big moneyline was justified. Tonight, they face Jack Flaherty who is making just his third ever Major League start and was fortunate for those to come in two of the best pitcher-friendly park in baseball, Petco Park and AT&T Park. He did well in San Diego after a poor debut against the Giants and overall, he has a 6.00 ERA and 1.78 WHIP in nine innings. Tyler Mahle counters for the Reds and he is making just his fourth start following three decent yet unspectacular outings. He has allowed three runs or less in all of those which has translated into a 3.60 ERA which includes a 2.70 ERA in two road starts. 10* (909) Cincinnati Reds |
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09-13-17 | Mets +260 v. Cubs | Top | 5-17 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
The Cubs snapped a three-game slide with a win last night in the series opener against the Mets as they scored eight runs after scoring a total of three runs in the three previous games. A three-run home run from Kris Bryant was the difference and while putting up the eight-spot was nice, this offense has not been right all season. Chicago is two games up in the National League Central and the second-half surge can be attributed to the starting pitching. This is just the fourth time all season that the Cubs have been home favorites of -250 or higher and they went 1-2 the first three times. The Mets have lost two straight games following a four-game winning streak and despite unloading a ton of their offense, they have been hitting the ball well, averaging 5.6 rpg over their last nine games. While the starting pitching has been the recent strength for the Cubs, Jon Lester has been inconsistent as his command has been a concern. He went through a nice stretch from mid-July through mid-August as he benefitted from big run support but over his last three starts, he has an 8.53 ERA and 2.05 WHIP. The Mets are hitting .287 on the road against left-handed pitching. New York hands the ball to Matt Harvey who came off a horrible outing after coming off the DL but responded with a solid outing last time out and looks to carry that into Wrigley. 10* (905) New York Mets |
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09-12-17 | Padres +158 v. Twins | Top | 0-16 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
Despite a pair of loss against the Royals to close their roadtrip, the Twins kept hold of the second Wild Card spot in the American League as they are a game up on the Angels with four other teams within 3.5 games at the most. Minnesota is back home and in must win mode which affects moneylines this time of the season because team vying for the postseason are having their numbers inflated despite not having big advantages. The Twins are two games under .500 at home and are just 3-10 in their last 13 games following a day off. San Diego has been out of the playoff picture for some time now but it has been playing well for a while as the Padres are 8-5 over their last 13 games as the offense has come to life in those victories. We can expect the offense to keep it going against Kyle Gibson who is currently on one of the best runs of his career. He has allowed three runs or less in eight straight starts which has come out of nowhere after he posted a 6.29 ERA through his first 17 starts. San Diego counters with Travis Wood who has been decent since coming over from Kansas City with the exception of two bad starts. One of those came last time out and after a similar start last month, he bounced back with a solid outing and a victory. 10* (979) San Diego Padres |
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09-12-17 | Tigers +378 v. Indians | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
The Indians are going for their 20th consecutive victory which would tie several teams including the 2002 Oakland A's which is the only truly modern era team on the list. During that Oakland streak, it had only one game where it was favored by -300 or more but now Cleveland has hit the rare -400 sector and pushing -500 in some spots. This after closing at -350 behind Carlos Carrasco last night. This is the linesmakers way of saying they have been destroyed by Cleveland bettors and they are trying to keep future Indians bets out. Fair enough. This streak will not last forever and this is a great opportunity to take advantage of incredible value. Corey Kluber has tossed four straight quality starts. The last three resulting in Indians wins and all three of those were on the road. His last loss came at home against Boston four starts back and on the season, Cleveland is just 8-5 in his 134 home starts. Matthew Boyd counters for the Tigers and he has been in a bit of a funk but his best start since August happened to come against the Indians where he allowed just one run in a 3-2 loss and in three starts against the Indians this season, he has a 2.41 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. While Cleveland will play hard to keep the run going, Detroit wants to be the team to stop the streak. 10* (971) Detroit Tigers |
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09-07-17 | Indians v. White Sox +239 | Top | 11-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
The Indians picked up their 14th straight win last night as they broke open a 1-0 game with three runs in the eighth inning and rode Carlos Carrasco who was an out away from a complete game shutout. They are now a comfortable 11 games ahead of the Twins in the American League Central and are chasing the Astros for the best record in the American League as they sit three games back. The White Sox had won two straight games and 11 of their last 17 home games before Cleveland came to town and will be out to salvage the series finale where they have won seven of their last nine Game Four contests. Corey Kluber gets the ball for Cleveland and he has surpassed Chris Sale as the American League Cy Young favorite but it is still close. He has tossed three straight quality starts and while he has been successful on the road, he has not been nearly as dominant as four of his 11 starts have been non-quality outings including his last start here in Chicago in July. It took Carlos Rodon some time to settle in after coming back from the DL in June but he has been on a roll. He has allowed two runs or less in six of his last seven starts where he has posted a 3.00 ERA and in his short career against Cleveland, he has a 2.34 ERA where eight of nine starts have been quality performances. The White Sox are 7-3 in his last 10 home starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (914) Chicago White Sox |
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09-05-17 | Cardinals v. Padres +146 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
We lost with the Padres yesterday as they ran into a buzzsaw in Carlos Martinez as he tossed a three-hit, complete game shutout. We will back them again tonight as they are now 5-3 on this current homestand with all three of the losses being shutouts but the five wins have resulted in 6.0 rpg. San Diego is 38-33 at home while going back, they are 23-10 in their last 33 home games against teams with a losing road record. St. Louis moved to within five games of the Cubs in the National League Central and remains three games out of the final Wild Card spot. Despite the win on Monday, St. Louis is still three games under .500 on the road and it is 14-28 in its last 42 road games against teams with a winning home record. Michael Wacha gets the ball for the Cardinals and while Martinez has been inconsistent, Wacha has been in a much worse place. He has a 7.36 ERA over his last four starts and he has struggled on the road this season with a 5.16 ERA and 1.48 WHIP over 11 starts. The Cardinals are 2-8 in his last 10 starts following a quality outing in his last start. San Diego turns to Travis Wood and the fact that he is pitching once again at Petco Park is big. He has made seven starts with the Padres and the venue has made all the difference as he has an 8.40 ERA in three road starts while posting a 1.61 ERA in four home starts. San Diego has won all four of those games and St. Louis is hitting just .197 over its last 10 games. 10* (914) San Diego Padres |
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09-04-17 | Astros v. Mariners +135 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
The Astros are coming off an emotional home series against the Mets as they took all three games in their first series back home since the devastation caused by Hurricane Harvey. They are now back on the road where they have to experience a huge letdown following the brief trip back to Houston. The Astros are trying to hold off Cleveland for the best record in the American League but we are going to fade them here in a classic overpriced spot. The Mariners are coming off a home sweep of Oakland to extend their home winning streak to five games and move back over .500 overall. Seattle is right in the Wild Card mix in the American League as it is 2.5 games behind Minnesota but also has to deal with Baltimore and Los Angeles that are both a game in front. The Mariners have won seven of their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage above ..600. they hand the ball to Erasmo Ramirez who has been very solid since entering the starting rotation as he has a 3.62 ERA in six starts and five of those were on the road. He did not allow a single earned run in his lone home start against the angels and is riding a four-game quality outing streak. Dallas Keuchel is coming off a poor outing against Texas and he has not been himself since coming back from the DL in July. He as posted a 5.35 ERA in seven starts with only two of those being quality performances. 10* (974) Seattle Mariners |
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