For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.
CLICK A CAPPERS NAME TO SEE THEIR PREMIUM DAILY EXPERT PLAYS + PREDICTIONS!
Schedule: NFL | CFB | MLB | NBA | CBB | NHL
WANT FREE SPORTS PICKS to your inbox? | Newsletter Sign-UP!
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-23-19 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 218 | Top | 105-99 | Win | 100 | 34 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Raptors/Bucks under (10*) Kawhi Leonard is a new face to the Raptors, but he comes in with a ton of experience in the playoffs. Overall the Raptors have the advantage in the “experience” department. After getting “shell shocked” over the first two games of this series, Toronto returned to form on its own floor in Game’s 3 and 4 and I think it’ll carry that momentum over here. Leonard has been an absolute beast on both ends of the floor, but especially defensively vs. Bucks’ star Giannis. Toronto’s role players are back playing with a ton of confidence, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Milwaukee has been tough defensively as well in this series. This one has the feel of an all out war, where every possession is contested. This number is high. T.M. Prediction: 106-104 Raptors. |
|||||||
05-23-19 | White Sox +180 v. Astros | Top | 4-0 | Win | 180 | 29 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago White Sox (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) After dropping the first two games of this four game series, the White Sox bounced back with a convincing win on Wednesday. Now with its ace Lucas Giolito coming to the mound, I look for Chicago to build off that win. Giolito is 5-1 with a 3.35 ERA and he’s gone 3-0 with a 0.82 ERA over his last three starts. He’s been crushed by the Astros in the past, but that was then and this is now. I think Giolito has a big advantage over his rookie counterpart Corbin Martin, who is 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA. Martin’s been strong over his first two outings, but clearly regression is imminent at some point and in my opinion, that’s going to happen sooner, rather than later. I expect Giolito to continue his progression and I look for Martin to take a big step back. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Sox. |
|||||||
05-23-19 | Nationals v. Mets UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nats/Mets under (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) A couple of competent hurlers square off in this afternoon National League contest and in my opinion, runs are going to be at a premium. The Mets have won the first three games of this series, including last night’s 6-1 victory (all six runs engineered in the eighth inning.) While both teams have struggled with offensive consistency, this pick is based primarily on the starting pitchers. The visitors hand the ball to Stephen Strasburg, who is 4-3 with a 3.32 ERA and who so far has been best in all “day” games this year, going 3-1 with a 2.01 ERA. His counterpart Steven Matz, who is 3-3 with a 3.96 ERA, returned from the DL to give up two runs over four innings in a 2-0 loss to Miami last weekend (he owns a 3.60 ERA in 11 career starts vs. the Nats.) The stage is set for a “duel.” Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Nationals. |
|||||||
05-22-19 | Braves v. Giants OVER 7.5 | Top | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 31 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves/Giants over (10* TOTAL U of U) Max Fried is 6-2 with a 2.86 ERA for the Braves and Jeff Samardzija is 2-2 with a 3.69 ERA for the Giants. These starters have each gotten out to a decent start to the 2019 campaign, but I think each takes a step back here and gets the hook early. San Francisco completed a dramatic bottom of the night come from behind win last night and I expect that momentum to get carried over here. Note that Fried’s career ERA vs. the Giants is 4.50 with no decisions. Samardzija is 3-2 with a 3.00 ERA vs. the Braves lifetime. Note though that ATL has seen the total go over in nine of 12 already this year after having lost two of its last three games, while San Francisco has seen the total fly over in five of its last six after scoring four runs or less in three straight games. This number is low. T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Giants. |
|||||||
05-22-19 | Diamondbacks +124 v. Padres | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 57 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Arizona Diamondbacks (9* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Padres swept a two-game set vs. the Mariners earlier in the year. They lost two of three to the Pirates last weekend. Arizona though will be desperate to avoid the sweep by the Padres today. The Padres have scored two one-run wins over the first two games, but I think Eric Lauer, who is 2-4 with a 5.24 ERA, will falter here for the Friars in the finale. The visitors counter with Merrill Kelly, who is 4-4 with a 4.21 ERA. Lauer is already 0-2 vs. the D-Backs this year, giving up seven runs off 17 hits with a 6.30 ERA and 1.80 WHIP. Kelly is 1-0 in two starts vs. the Padres, giving up seven runs over 11 innings with a 5.73 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. Note though that Arizona is 9-4 (+7.5 units) already this year as a road dog of +100 to +150, while SD is just 6-7 vs. clubs with winning records. I think the hungrier team gets the job done at the end of the day. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 D-Backs. |
|||||||
05-22-19 | Reds -117 v. Brewers | Top | 9-11 | Loss | -117 | 22 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati Reds (10* BEST OF BEST) I think Luis Castillo and the Reds build off yesterday’s 3-0 victory and find a way to earn the sweep of this two game set. Let’s call these starters a “wash.” Luis Castillo and Zack Davies have two of the best records in the league and it’s difficult to find any faults in either at the moment. The Reds’ though have momentum and they get set to welcome back slugger Yasiel Puig. Note as well that the Reds are already 3-1 this year as a road favorite, while the Brewers are only 2-4 as a home dog. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Reds. |
|||||||
05-22-19 | A's v. Indians UNDER 9 | 7-2 | Push | 0 | 22 h 28 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: A’s/Indians (8* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) Two hungry starters go head to head in this one and I think that runs will be at a premium. The A’s posted a 5-3 win yesterday and I think a similar final combined score will be in order here as well. The home side hands the ball to Jefry Rodriguez, who is 1-3 with a 3.45 ERA and who comes in off his first truly crummy start of the year vs. the Orioles, giving up four runs over seven innings. The A’s god with Frankie Montas, who is 5-2 with a 2.67 ERA. Montas enters off a gem vs. the Tigers on Friday, striking out a career-high ten and coming within an out of his first career complete effort. Note that Oakland has seen the total go under the number in 14 of 23 already this year when the money line in the contest is set between +125 and -125, while Cleveland has seen the total go under in eight of 12 in the same position. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Indians. |
|||||||
05-21-19 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 216 | Top | 102-120 | Loss | -103 | 36 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucks/Raptors under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) Game 2 of course would have gone well under the number if not for the Raptors double OT victory. Toronto looked a lot better defensively, especially Kawhi Leonard in slowing down Bucks’ super star Giannis Antetokounmpo (12 points on 5 of 16 shooting, committing eight turnovers.) Toronto is going to employ an identical defensive game plan here as well obviously, except this time each side comes in extra tired after the marathon game last time out. It sets up perfectly as more of a defensive affair in my opinion. Both teams have excelled defensively so far in the playoffs and I believe that will again be the case here. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 108-105 Milwaukee. |
|||||||
05-21-19 | Sharks v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -119 | 36 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sharks/Blues under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) When it comes to money line sports, 99.9 percent of the time I either play underdogs or totals. The rare occasion though I’ll lay chalk. And after taking the Blues as an underdog in Game 5 on the road in San Jose, I believe they’re going to carry over their recent momentum and end this series here and now. St. Louis was dominant on both ends of the ice in the 5-0 Game 5 victory. The Sharks appear to be on fumes, mustering a single goal over the last two games. San Jose is MUCH better at home as well, coming into this one at 24-24 on the road, averaging 3.29 goals and conceding 3.46. St. Louis is 27-22 at home, averaging 3.10 goals and allowing 2.98. Blues’ goaltender Jordan Binnington went 14-2 with a 2.02 GAA at home in the regular season. Take it for what you will as well, but SJ has seen the total go under the number in five of its last eight when trailing in a playoff series, while St. Louis has seen the total dip under in seven of nine this year after shutting out its opponent in its previous game. This number is high. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Blues. |
|||||||
05-21-19 | Nationals v. Mets OVER 8 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nationals/Mets over (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) It’s the Nationals’ Erick Fedde (0-0, 3.38 ERA) vs. the Mets Zack Wheeler (3-3, 4.85). New York ended a miserable five-game losing streak with a 5-3 win in last night’s four-game series opener and clearly it’ll be looking to keep the foot on the gas here as well. The Nationals can empathize though as they continue to struggle with game to game consistency as well. It’s interesting to note that the Nats have lost 13 games by two runs or fewer and two more in extra innings. These are two clubs with big expectations but which are both scuffling at the plate. I think that ends tonight. Last Thursday these exact starters faced each other and Wheeler gave up six runs over six innings in Washington’s eventual 7-6 win. All signs point to a similar final combine score in my opinion this time around as well. T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Mets. |
|||||||
05-20-19 | Warriors v. Blazers +155 | Top | 119-117 | Loss | -100 | 35 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Trail Blazers MONEY LINE (10* GAME OF WEEK) I thought Golden State was going to win this series, but I didn’t foresee a “sweep.” Especially with KD sidelined with injury. I believe Portland offers great value here though to salvage a little respect and to earn a Game 3 victory outright. It’s hard to say too many negative things about the Warriors, clearly they’ve “found their groove” riding the red hot shooting of Klay Thompson and captain Stephen Curry. I simply feel that Golden State has a letdown here with the knowledge that KD can now return and that they also have a Game 5 to wrap up this series in front of the home town crowd. I don’t think Damian Lillard and proud home side go down without a fight tonight. And the numbers/trends support that theory, as note that GS is just 4-12 ATS as a road favorite of six points or less this season, while Portland is still 5-1 ATS this season as a home underdog. Play on Portland money line. T.M. Prediction: 115-105 Blazers. |
|||||||
05-20-19 | Mariners +135 v. Rangers | Top | 9-10 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Seattle Mariners (10* GAME OF WEEK) Mike Leake (3-4, 4.00 ERA) gets the call for the Mariners, while Texas hands the ball to Mike Minor (4-3, 2.61). Seattle beat Minnesota 7-4 to salvage the final game of a four-game set. Seattle clearly won’t be taking anything for granted here after scuffling over the last three weeks. Texas on the other hand has reversed its fortunes of late, most recently mounting a furious 5-4 comeback win over the Cardinals. But I think the Rangers will have their hands full with Leake, who comes off his best start of the year, giving up three runs over seven innings to beat the A’s. Minor comes in off a win over the Royals, allowing one run over five innings. Note though that Minor is 2-3 with a 4.51 ERA in six starts vs. the M’s, while Leake is 1-2 with a 3.14 ERA in seven career starts vs. the Rangers. Additionally note that Seattle is still 14-8 (+7.2 units) this year following a win and 12-3 (+9.4 units) vs. clubs with losing records, while Texas is just 1-3 this season after a one run victory and only 8-10 vs. teams with losing overall records. T.M. Prediction: 6-5 Mariners. |
|||||||
05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors -2.5 | Top | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 33 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10* MONEY-MAKER). Toronto has looked decent in the first half of both games so far in the ECF’s, but the second half it’s been non-existent. The Raptors are better at home than on the road though, as they enjoy one of the league’s “best” home court advantages. It’s difficult to play North of the border and I believe the surging Bucks finally have a letdown here. Milwaukee has been playing at an extremely high level with only one loss so far in the playoffs, but it’s about to have its hands full in this difficult venue in my opinion. The Raptors are fantastic defensively on their own floor and I believe that trend carries over here. The numbers/trends support our theory as well, as note that the Bucks are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games following a three games or more unbeaten streak, while Toronto is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 home games revenging a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-112 Raptors. |
|||||||
05-19-19 | Giants +156 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-2 | Win | 156 | 23 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Fran Giants (10* TRADE-MARK) This series is tied at one-game apiece. Drew Pomeranz is only 1-4 with a 5.93 ERA this year, but he returns from the DL to make his first start since early May. His counterpart is Robbie Ray, who is 3-1 with a 3.14 ERA and who has looked sharp of late, but who I think is over-priced here. Note that San Francisco is 5-1 in its last six following a victory, while Arizona is only 11-12 at home this year. I look for the Giants to build off yesterday’s win and I expect Ray to finally take a step back after his blistering start. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Giants. |
|||||||
05-19-19 | Blues +115 v. Sharks | Top | 5-0 | Win | 115 | 29 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Louis Blues (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Blue have taken back control of this series in my opinion after their 2-1 Game 4 victory. St. Louis is 27-22 on the road, averaging 2.80 goals and allowing just 2.45. Goaltender Jordan Binnington went 10-4 with a 1.72 GAA on the road. The Sharks are better at home than on the road, now 32-19 there with averaging 3.67 GPG and allowing 2.86. Martin Jones is 22-12 with a 2.78 GAA at home, but I think his rookie counterpart steals the show here again on the road. I like Binnington and the Blues’ sting defense to win the day. Play on St. Louis. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Blues. |
|||||||
05-19-19 | Dodgers v. Reds +168 | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati Reds (8*) Hyun Jin Ryu is 5-1 with a 1.72 ERA for the Dodgers. Note that he hasn’t allowed a run in his past two starts, pitching 24 straight scoreless frames overall. Can anyone say letdown spot? This is a continuation of the end of last year’s performance for Ryu, but I think that imminent regression is imminent, as these numbers seem completely unsustainable to me. The Reds come in off the 4-0 win last night and with Tanner Roark on the mound, who is 3-2 with a 3.50 ERA, I think the home side does indeed have much more than just a “punchers chance” in this one. I think Ryu has his letdown here and is vastly over-priced on the road. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Reds. |
|||||||
05-19-19 | Rockies +143 v. Phillies | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Rockies (8*) I like the Rockies to bounce back here and salvage the finale of this three-game set after dropping the first two. The home side goes with Jered Eickhoff, who is 2-2 with a 2.65 ERA. Eickhoff though was shelled for five runs over four innings in a 6-1 loss to the Brewers on Tuesday. Also note that Eickhoff is a terrible 1-3 with a 7.50 ERA in five games vs. the Rockies. The Rockies are desperate now to avoid a fourth straight loss and they’ll be hoping that Kyle Freeland, who is 2-5 with a 5.68 ERA, can start that turnaround. Last year Freeland was 17-7 with a 2.85 ERA. Note though that in two games vs. the Phillies he’s 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA. Freeland though comes in off a decent outing vs. the Red Sox, given yup three runs with seven K’s over six innings. I like Freeland here, great value on the hungrier visiting side. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Rockies. |
|||||||
05-18-19 | Warriors v. Blazers UNDER 221.5 | Top | 110-99 | Win | 100 | 36 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Warriors/Blazers under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) Game 2 went “over” in the Warriors 114-111 victory. Portland controlled the game over the first half, but Golden State’s prowess from behind the arc once again proved to be too much for Portland to handle down the stretch. Remember, they’re doing all of this without Kevin Durant, possibly the best player on the planet. The Warriors were wildly inconsistent over the second half of the regular season this year (for their lofty standards anyways) and they looked very susceptible vs. the Clippers in their six game opening round series victory. Golden State’s achilles heel has been its play on the road though and clearly the Blazers will be doubling down on the defensive end as they try desperate to back into this series. The shift in venue points to more of a defensive affair finally in my opinion, as I expect the home side to press from the opening tip, until the final horn. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 108-106 Blazers. |
|||||||
05-18-19 | Dodgers v. Reds +140 | 0-4 | Win | 140 | 24 h 54 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Reds (8*) I like the Reds to bounce back here after yesterday’s series opening defeat. The home side hands the ball to Tyler Mahle, who is 0-5 despite a respectable 3.97 ERA. Mahle faced the Dodgers in LA in mid April and gave up four runs off 11 hits over six innings. Clearly it won’t be easy facing the improving Walker Buehler, who is 4-0 with a 4.15 ERA. He most recently went seven scoreless innings vs. Washington, but note that LA is already just 5-8 (-4.6 units) this year after having won six or seven of its last eight. Cincinnati on the other hand is still 10-5 in its last 15 at home. I’m banking on a bounce back. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Reds. |
|||||||
05-18-19 | Orioles +141 v. Indians | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orioles (10* TRADE-MARK) Baltimore comes in off a 5-1 victory last night and I think it offers great value to steal this one as well. The home side hands the ball to Adam Plutko on Saturday and he’ll be making his season debut here. Last year he was an unimpressive 4-5 with a 5.28 ERA and 60 K’s for the Tribe. Baltimore will look to take advantage and to build off yesterday’s production, posting a season-high seven extra-base hits in the win. The visitors counter with the red hot John Means, who is 5-3 with a 2.33 ERA and who has won four of his past five outings and given up one earned run or fewer in each of the four victories. All things considered, i think this is the very definition of “great line value.” T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Orioles. |
|||||||
05-18-19 | Rockies v. Phillies UNDER 9 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 49 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rockies/Phillies under (8*) Two “studs” going head to head here. I’m expecting each to work into the latter frames, which I believe will ultimately help in pushing this total under the number once it’s all said and done. The home side hands the ball to Aaron Nola, who is 3-0 with a 4.86 ERA. Over his last 21 1/3’s innings of work Nola has given up just six runs. Also note that in three career starts vs. the Rockies he’s 2-0 with a 2.79 ERA. The visitors counter with Antonio Senzatela, who is 3-2 with a 5.35 ERA. Coors Field is difficult on all starting pitchers, but note that Senzatela is 2-0 with a 3.31 ERA on the road this season. Note that Colorado has seen the total go under in 31 of 50 as a road dog in the +125 to +175 range, while Philadelphia has seen the total go under in nine of 13 home games already this year. This number is a tad high in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Phillies. |
|||||||
05-17-19 | Raptors +7 v. Bucks | Top | 103-125 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10* MONEY-MAKER) Toronto controlled Game 1 up until about mid-way through the fourth quarter. That’s when the Bucks were finally able to get over the hump, pulling away for a very tight cover in the closing moments. But I’m expecting the Raptors to come back even harder here. There’s no reason at all not to expect another battle here, as these two evenly matched sides aren’t going to give an inch. Note that Toronto is already 2-0 ATS this year when trailing in a playoff series and 20-12 ATS in its last 22 after failing to cover five or six of its last seven ATS, while Milwaukee is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 after five or more consecutive victories. While I do believe the outright is a possibility, in the end I’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on Toronto. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Raptors. |
|||||||
05-16-19 | Blazers +8 v. Warriors | Top | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 35 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland (10* MONEY-MAKER) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: 110-108 Golden State. |
|||||||
05-16-19 | Bruins v. Hurricanes +105 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Carolina Hurricanes (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I thought Boston was the better team before this series started, but I didn’t think the B’s would sweep the Hurricanes and I don’t think that’ll be the case tonight either. With their backs against the wall, I Carolina digs deep and delays the inevitable for at least one more game. The numbers support our theory as well, as note that Boston is just 6-12 in its last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while Carolina is 5-1 in its last six when playing on one days rest. Game 3’s loss was Carolina’s first home loss in the playoffs to this point. Boston has been a mediocre team at best on the road this season and I think that it packs up its tents early and prepares for Game 5 on home ice. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Hurricanes. |
|||||||
05-16-19 | A's v. Tigers +115 | Top | 17-3 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Tigers (10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE) Oakland comes in having lost three straight and i think that string of futility carries over here. Note that the A’s are only 5-15 on the road this year. The visitors go with Chris Bassitt on the hill this afternoon and he’s 1-1 with a 2.55 ERA. Bassitt most recently gave up three runs over seven innings in a loss to the Reds. He’s a pedestrian 2-2 with a 4.96 ERA in four career starts vs. the Tigers. Detroit has lost three straight as well, so it won’t be lacking for motivation either. The home side counters with Spencer Turnbull, who is 2-2 with a 2.42 ERA. The good news for Detroit though is that it’s won Turnbull’s last four starts. Note that Oakland is just 2-7 (-6.6 units) this year on the road when the money line in the contest is between -100 to -150, while Detroit is a solid 13-8 (+8.3 units) in all “day” games this year. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Tigers. |
|||||||
05-15-19 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 218 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 62 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Raptors/Bucks under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) Toronto lost three of four to Milwaukee in the regular season, but I think Kawhi Leonard and company will at the very least take Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals right down to the wire. These teams are similar in many respects, in that they have a clear top tier dominant player (Leonard for the Raptors and Giaanis Antetokounmpo for the Bucks), as well as a strong cast of starting role players, combined with a deep and talented bench. Toronto’s late acquisition of big man Marc Gasol could swing this series in favor of Toronto though as he and Serge Ibaka proved to be too much for 76ers’ big man Joel Embiid to handle. And I think the combination of the two will prove difficult for Milwaukee as well. The Bucks have yet to be tested in any real way so far in the Playoffs, but I believe that changes in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals. This one just screams “defensive battle” in my opinion. Note as well though that Toronto has seen the total go under in 11 of its last 16 when playing with two days rest, while Milwaukee has seen the total go under in all five games that it’s played in tho shear with three or more days of rest. This number is a tad high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 108-106 Bucks. |
|||||||
05-15-19 | Sharks v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sharks/Blues under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). This series is all knotted up at one game apiece. The sharks won 6-3 in Game 1 and the Blues won 4-2 in Game 2. So far each contest has gone “over” the number, but I believe with the shift in venue and with each side not wanting to make the first mistake at this point in this crucial contest, that we’re finally going to see a lower-scoring under. San Jose has the better overall offense between these tams, while St. Louis has the better defense. And probably goaltending in rookie Jordan Binnington, who for the most part has carried his team to this point. The Sharks though will definitely be leaning on net minder Martin Jones, who has also been spectacular overall. I think the netminders will be the main story line in tomorrow’s summaries, but note as well that San Jose has seen the total go under in 21 of its last 31 after playing three straight home games, while St. Louis has seen the total go under in three of four so far in the playoffs when tied in a series. This number is high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Blues. |
|||||||
05-15-19 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 9 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cards/Braves under (10* TOTAL OF MONTH). Two competent starting pitchers collide in the second game of this three game National League series and in my opinion, everything points to classic “duel” after St. Louis’ 14-3 win in yesterday’s opener. The Cards hand the ball to Michael Wacha (3-0, 5.35 ERA) who most recently gave up four runs over six innings in a win over the Pirates. The home side counters with Mike Soroka (3-1, 1.21) is the first others since 1913 to allow one run or fewer as a starter in eight of his first ten career games. Note as well that St. Louis has seen the total go under in 18 of its last 28 after having lost six or seven of its last eight games, while Atlanta has seen the total go under in 47 of its last 77 at home when the total is either 9 or 9.5. Expect these “studs” to battle into the latter frames and look for this one to stay well below the posted number once it’s all said and done. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Braves. |
|||||||
05-15-19 | Pirates v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 1-11 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 44 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pirates/Diamondbacks under (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) Chris Archer is only 1-2 with a 4.33 ERA and he hasn’t pitched since mid April because of injury, but he returns from the DL pumped up here to face the Diamondbacks. These teams have split the first two games of this series. Note that Archer is 1-0 with a 4.70 ERA in 7 2/3’s innings of work vs. Arizona. The D-Backs Zack Greinke enters on top form, having gone 5-0 with a 2.19 ERA in his past eight starts. Note that Greinke is 9-4 with a 4.17 ERA in 14 career starts vs. Pittsburgh. Additionally note that the Pirates have seen the total go under in 55 of its last 95 as a road dog between +125 to +175, while the D-backs have seen the total go under in ten of 16 “day” games already. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 D-Backs. |
|||||||
05-14-19 | Blazers +8 v. Warriors | Top | 94-116 | Loss | -108 | 39 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trail Blazers (10* GAME OF WEEK) Golden State got by the Rockets in Game 6 without the services of All Star Kevin Durant, but I think the defending champs will struggle in Game 1 of the WCF. These teams split four regular season meetings and in my opinion, everything points to another competitive affair here. Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum are going to be a matchup issue for the undermanned Warriors, and while I’ll stop short in calling for an outright upset, I think the conditions are definitely right for a war until the end. And the numbers/trends support that theory, as note that Portland is 50-32 ATS in its last 82 vs. teams which allow 106 plus points or more, while Golden State is just 18-27 ATS as a home favorite this year. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Warriors. |
|||||||
05-14-19 | Bruins v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 38 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bruins/Hurricanes under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) Boston has blown out Carolina over the first two games of this series, but I think Game 3 sets up as much more of a defensive affair. The playoffs is all about making adjustments from game to game and if Carolina can’t figure out how to slow down the B’s, then this series is all but over obviously. After going down 6-0 in Game 2, I expect a much more concerted effort at home from Carolina. Note that the home team is 9-2 in the last 11 in this series. Boston only allowed the Canes 23 shots in Game 2 and Carolina has in fact been held to just 29 shots over its last four periods of play. Additionally note that Boston has already seen the total go under in 14 of 22 road games this year when the total in the contest is set at 5.5, while Carolina has seen the total dip under in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more consecutive “overs.” This number is a tad high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Canes. |
|||||||
05-14-19 | Cubs v. Reds +125 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati Reds (10* TRADE-MARK). Both teams come in relatively hot, as Chicago hasn’t lost a series since losing the first three, while Cincinnati is 17-15 following a terrible 1-8 start. The home side has to be feeling confident here though in handing the ball to Tanner Roark, who is 3-1 with a 3.27 ERA, most recently shutting out the A’s on three hits over six innings. Note that over his last 13 innings of work Roark has conceded just seven hits and two runs. Note that Chicago right fielder Jason Heyward is 0 for 20 vs. Roark and only 4 for 39 over his past ten games. Roark is 5-2 with a 3.55 ERA lifetime vs. the Cubs. The visitors go with Kyle Hendricks, who is 2-4 with a 3.19 ERA. Hendricks comes in off back-to-back decent outings and while he’s had success against the Reds in the past, note that Chicago is still only 5-11 (-11.8 units) in its last 16 after allowing one run or less in two straight games. And finally note that the Reds have done well in this spot for bettors by going 14-11 (+4.9 units) in all “night” games. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Reds. |
|||||||
05-14-19 | Indians v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 9-0 | Push | 0 | 23 h 60 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indians/White Sox under (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) Both of these starters have struggled at times this year, but each has also looked very good in others. Each is coming off a crummy outing (Carrasco is 3-3 with a 4.91 ERA, most recently giving up four runs over eight innings in a no-decision vs. the Mariners, while Banuelos. who is 2-2 with a 6.67 ERA gave up nine runs off ten hits over 2.2 innings in a loss to the Red Sox on Saturday. Amazingly, all of the damage came in a single frame. Clearly it was a disaster of epic proportions, but note that despite that “brain fart,” Banuelos is 2-1 with a 5.96 ERA and 22 K’s over 22.2 innings of work. Note as well that Cleveland has seen the total go under the number in 14 of 21 on the road already, while Chicago has seen the total dip under in four of its last five home games then the total is set at 8.5 or higher. This number is a little high. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Indians. |
|||||||
05-13-19 | Blues v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -116 | 35 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blues/Sharks under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) I think St. Louis has a very real shot at earning an upset here in Game 2. It was an uncharacteristically poor defensive performance from the Blues in their 6-3 Game 1 loss, but I don’t think we should over-react to one poor effort. Blues’ net minder Jordan Binnington is still 8-6 with a 2.57 GAA in the playoffs (note he was 10-4 with a 1.72 GAA on the road in the regular season.) Martin Jones looked good for the Sharks in the Game 1 victory and he’s now 9-5 with a 2.74 GAA in the playoffs. Note as well that St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in 14 of 21 after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest. All signs point to Game 2 being a very defensive affair. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Blues. |
|||||||
05-13-19 | Astros v. Tigers +127 | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 38 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Tigers (8* MONEY-MAKER) The Tigers have been better than advertised this year and I think they offer great value to steal Game 1 of this series. Keep your eyes on Detroit slugger Brandon Dixon, who came over off waivers from the Reds in November. Dixon is batting .317 with three homers and 11 RBIs in 15 games this year. Overall Detroit has seven home runs over its last three games. Matt Boyd is 4-2 with a 2.86 ERA for the Tigers and he comes in on top form having posted seven straight quality starts, going 4-1 with a 2.58 ERA in that span. Brad Peacock is 3-2 with a 4.30 ERA for the Astros and while he’s been decent overall, I simply feel that he’s in the wrong place at the wrong time here. Houston is just 8-11 (-9.3 units) on the road so far, while Detroit is still 9-9 at home. I like Boyd in this matchup. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Tigers. |
|||||||
05-12-19 | 76ers v. Raptors UNDER 209 | 90-92 | Win | 100 | 55 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: 76ers/Raptors under (8* TOTAL BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) This has been another wild and unpredictable series. When these teams play at their best defensively, they have usually come out on top so far in the playoffs though and with so much on the line, I think that Game 7 sets up beautifully as a tightly contested, lower-scoring defensive battle. These have been two of the best defensive clubs during the postseason and I believe they continue that trend here. And the numbers/trends do indeed support that theory, as note that Philly has seen the total go under the number in 15 of its last 22 when playing with two days rest, while Toronto has seen the total dip below in ten of its last 15 in the same position. This number is a little high. T.M. Prediction: 106-100 Toronto. |
|||||||
05-12-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 212.5 | Top | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 51 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blazers/Nuggets under (10* SUPER TOTAL) This has been a back and forth series and in Game 7 I believe that we’ll witness a very defensive affair. Fatigue comes into play here in Game 7 of this second round contest. Also note that the thin air of Denver can’t help these “gassed” players either. Denver has been at its best at home, but I’m expecting a battle until the final horn. In my opinion, this one sets up as a very tight, closely guarded defensive battle, rather than a high-scoring run and gun “shootout.” And the numbers/trends support that theory, as note that Portland has seen the total go under the number in 14 of its last 22 following a home win vs. a division rival, while Denver has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of ten this year when playing with two days rest. T.M. Prediction: 105-100 Nuggets. |
|||||||
05-12-19 | Hurricanes +138 v. Bruins | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 51 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Carolina Hurricanes (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Game 1 was tight until midway through the third period. Carolina hasn’t shown any quit in the playoffs so far though and I think the visitors offer great value to bounce back and steal Game 2. Note that the five goals the Hurricanes gave up in Game 1 equals the total amount of goals they gave up to the Islanders in their four game sweep of that series. Note that Carolina did actually have a 2-1 lead heading into the third period, before then falling apart as I mentioned above. Boston exploded in the third period, but it’s inconsistency comes back to haunt it in Game 2 is my prediction. Additionally note that Carolina is already 3-1 (+2 units) when trailing in a playoff series, while Boston is just 3-6 (-4.6 units) in its last nine when leading in a playoff series. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Hurricanes. |
|||||||
05-12-19 | West Ham United v. Watford +123 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 46 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Watford (10* GAME OF MONTH) This is a big game with both teams fighting for a top ten finish. It’s also the last game of the season. I think home field is big here. Watford will be mindful to not get caught looking ahead to its upcoming FA Cup Final against Man City, but I believe it comes in focused on the task at hand as it looks to avoid slipping. T.M. Prediction: 1-0 Watford. |
|||||||
05-11-19 | Nationals +123 v. Dodgers | Top | 5-2 | Win | 123 | 30 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Nationals (10*) It hasn’t been Max Scherzer’s best year for the Nationals, but I still think he offers great value to help the Nats bounce back here after yesterday’s 5-0 defeat. Scherzer is 1-4 with a 3.78 ERA, but he enters off a dominant start vs. the Brewers on Monday, allowing two runs off six hits with 10 K’s over six frames in what turned out to be an unfortunate no-decision. He also generated 18 swinging strikes. Scherzer comes in on top form. Walker Buehler is 4-0 with a 4.95 ERA, most recently giving up three runs off five hits in a 5-3 win over the Braves on Monday. I’ll pint out though that LA is a money-burning 18-21 (-11.2 units) in its last 39 with a home money line in the -105 to -150 range. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Nationals. |
|||||||
05-11-19 | Blues +118 v. Sharks | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 58 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Louis Blues (10* MONEY-MAKER) Both teams advanced after going seven games in their previous round. While San Jose took two of three between the clubs in the regular season, I think the stingy visiting side offers great value to pull off the upset in Game. St. Louis’ goaltender Jordan Binnington has been unstoppable, he enters 8-5 with a 2.39 GAA. Note that he’s 10-4 with a 1.72 GAA on the road. San Jose goaltender Martin Jones is 8-5 with a 2.72 GAA in the playoffs and he went 22-12 with a 2.78 GAA at home. Note as well that St. Louis is 7-3 (+2.5 units) this year when playing with three or more days rest, while San Jose is just 10-11 (-7.9 units) in its last 21 in the same position. I like Binnington and the Blues’ suffocating defense to slow down the Sharks. In Game 1 anyways. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Blues. |
|||||||
05-11-19 | Pirates +151 v. Cardinals | 2-1 | Win | 151 | 26 h 60 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh Pirates (8*) Jordan Lyles has had issues vs. the Cardinals in the past, but as far as I’m concerned, that was then and this is now. The Cards scored 17 runs in Thursday’s series opening victory, but they then fell 2-1 on Friday to the Pirates. St. Louis is in a major hitting slump, and I think the currently red hot Lyles, who is 2-1 with a 2.20 ERA, offers great value in this spot. Note that the Cards have scored no more than one run in five of their last nine games. St. Louis pitcher Miles Mikolas is 4-2 with a 4.02 ERA and he comes in off back-to-back strong outings, but I still think that Lyles is the correct call and that the Cards are over-priced. Great value on the hungry visiting side here. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Pirates. |
|||||||
05-11-19 | Brewers +121 v. Cubs | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Milwaukee Brewers (8*) Milwaukee opened this series with a 7-0 win yesterday and I think it offers great value to do it again here. The visitors hand the ball to Zach Davies, who is 4-0 with a 1.56 ERA. The Cubs go with Cole Hamels, who is 3-0 with a 3.38 ERA. Note though that Milwaukee is already 16-9 this year when the money line in the contest is between -125 and +125, while Chicago is just 2-7 in its last nine home games after getting shutout and losing by five or more runs in its previous contest. Great value on the hot hitting visiting side. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Brewers. |
|||||||
05-11-19 | Tigers +135 v. Twins | 5-3 | Win | 135 | 23 h 60 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Tigers (8*) I like Detroit to bounce back in Game 1 of this double header after falling 6-0 in yesterday’s series opener. While the Twins’ have gotten unreal pitching of late, their starter today Michael Pineda, has struggled this year and I think he’ll get lit up by the hungry Tigers as well. Pineda is 2-3 with a 6.09 ERA. The Tigers come in desperate after getting shutout in back-to-back games. Spencer Turnbull is 2-2 with a 2.31 ERA and while he has struggled against the Twins in the past, he comes in off a great victory vs. the Royals, giving up one run off six hits while striking out seven over seven innings. A great spot bet and unreal value on the pitcher in better current form. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Tigers. |
|||||||
05-11-19 | Mariners +174 v. Red Sox | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 55 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Seattle Mariners (8*) I think the Red Sox are going to suffer a classic letdown here after yesterday’s big 14-1 series opening victory. The M’s won’t be lacking for motivation today after losing ten of their last 12. Felix Hernandez is only 1-3 with a 5.20 ERA, but he catches a break in facing Rick Porcello, who is just 2-3 with a 5.11 ERA. Let’s call these veteran hurlers “even” for this one. Boston is only a game over .500, so its long-term form is in question here as well. Additionally note that Seattle is still 17-13 (+5.2 units) this season vs. right-handed starters, while Boston is only 5-10 (-13.1 units) this year in all day games. Great value on the hungry visiting side. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 M’s. |
|||||||
05-10-19 | Warriors +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 35 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* GAME OF WEEK) I had a play on the Rockets in their tight Game 5 loss, but for Game 6 I’m going the other way as I expect the defending champs, despite playing without the services of Kevin Durant, to battle tight and to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. If ever there was a time for Klay Thompson to step up and show the basketball World that he’s worth a max contract, now is the time. With Durant available for the next round, the Warriors don’t need to panic at this point. If Golden State gets a decent game out of Curry and a good one from Thompson, they have a legitimate shot at taking this game outright. So far home court advantage has meant everything in this series, but the veteran leadership which the Warriors bring to the table in this instance is the difference maker in my opinion. Note as well that Golden State is 17-11 ATS in its last 28 when trying to close out a playoff series, while Houston is 0-2 ATS in its last two when facing elimination in a playoff series. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 107-106 Rockets. |
|||||||
05-10-19 | Phillies v. Royals UNDER 9.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 6 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Phillies/Royals under (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) I think this one has “duel” written all over it. The Phillies took the final two games of their series vs. the Cards, outscoring them 16-1 in the process. The visitors hand the ball to the steady Jake Arrieta, who is 4-2 with a 3.40 ERA. The veteran has gone at least six innings in seven of hits last eight starts. KC is only 13-25 overall so far, including just 8-11 at home. KC is struggling at the plate, as in Wednesday’s 9-0 loss at Houston it would strike out 17 times. The home side counters with Homer Bailey, who is 3-3 with a 5.25 ERA. Bailey most recently gave up two runs over six innings in a 15-3 win over the Tigers on Saturday. I expect these starters to battle into the latter frames. This number is high. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Phillies. |
|||||||
05-10-19 | Yankees +126 v. Rays | Top | 4-3 | Win | 126 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Yankees (10* MONEY-MAKER) Each team sends its ace to the hill. This is a battle of division and AL leaders and I think the visitors offer great value to pull off the upset in Game 1. The Yanks hand the ball to Domingo German, while the home side goes with Tyler Glasnow. German (6-1, 2.35 ERA) enters on top form having won three straight, most recently going seven innings vs. the Twins on Sunday, giving up one run in the 4-1 victory. Glasnow (6-0, 1.47) gave up three hits over seven scoreless vs. the toothless Orioles on Friday. Despite injuries to sluggers Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge, the Yanks have gone 16-6. I think Glasnow’s early remarkable numbers are unsustainable and while regression is also imminent in German’s future, I believe the Rays’ hurler has farther to fall. I’m banking on the hungry visiting side stealing Game 1. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Yanks. |
|||||||
05-09-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers UNDER 215.5 | Top | 108-119 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets/Blazers under (10* TOTAL EXPRESS) Coaching in the Playoffs, especially in the second round and beyond is all about “making adjustments.” Denver’s been great in that so far after taking out the Spurs in seven games and now seemingly getting a “firm read” on the Blazers and managing to slow down their star Damian Lillard. Clearly it’s up to the Blazers to respond, but these have historically been spots in which Lillard has faded in, not being able to step up and carry the load. And who else on Portland will step up to carry the load if Lillard can’t? I think this one sets up as a defensive affair, with Denver doing everything it can to control the tempo from the outset. Additionally note that the Nuggets have seen the total go under in three of four already this year off a win by ten points or more over a division rival, while Portland has seen the total dip under in three of four this year in trying to revenge a blowout loss of 20 points or more vs. an opponent. This number is high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 106-102 Blazers. |
|||||||
05-09-19 | Braves v. Diamondbacks +107 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 107 | 31 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Diamondbacks (10* TRADE-MARK) I had a play on the Diamondbacks in their 3-2, 13 inning win over the Rays yesterday. I like Arizona to build off that win, facing a Braves team which is struggling at the plate. For arguments sakes, let’s call these starers a “wash.” Mike Soroka and Luke Weaver faced off in Atlanta at the start of the year and Arizona won 5-1. Both were great in that game and each has been strong since. The Braves though enter after getting swept in LA and I think they’ll have a hard time producing much offense here either. Arizona on the other hand is already 13-7 (+7.3 units) this year when the money line in the contest is set between -125 and +125. Great value on the hot home side. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 D-Backs. |
|||||||
05-09-19 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 213.5 | Top | 101-112 | Win | 100 | 32 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Raptors/76ers under (9* TOTAL EXPRESS) Philadelphia is playing for its life here. After taking Game 1, Philadelphia has struggled with consistency and it now finds itself in a 3-2 hole. Toronto would clearly love nothing more than to end it here and now after taking Game 5 125-89. Where is Philadelphia’s scoring going to suddenly come from? Big man Joel Embiid is struggling with injury and sickness and for the most part Jimmy Butler and Ben Simmons have been completely ineffective. The last thing Toronto wants to do is to turn this into a track meet, instead I predict the visitors to come out and to blanket the 76ers once again from start to finish. Over the last ten years Toronto has had difficulty closing out series like this, but with Kawhi Leonard, perhaps that’s going to change this season. Regardless, from a situational stand point I think this one definitely sets up as a defensive affair, but also note that Toronto has seen the total go under in eight of ten so far in the playoffs anyways. This number is high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 105-103 Raptors. |
|||||||
05-09-19 | Hurricanes +135 v. Bruins | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Carolina Hurricanes (10* GAME OF MONTH) Carolina has surprised everyone and I think it has a very real shot of surprising the Bruins here as well in Game 1. After a gruelling seven game series win over the Leafs, Boston needed six games to get by a tough Columbus team. Carolina got the better of Washington in seven games in Round 1, but then it took care of the Islanders in four games in Round 2, meaning that it enters very well rested at the most opportune of times. I believe fatigue does finally catch up to the Bruins here, who looked less than spectacular on home ice in their win over Toronto. Great value on this under-rated underdog. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Hurricanes. |
|||||||
05-09-19 | White Sox +190 v. Indians | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 45 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Chicago White Sox (8* BLOWOUT) The Indians are overpriced here, as they continue to struggle at the plate. Cleveland won 5-3 on a walk off home run by Jose Ramirez last night, but previous to that it has been outscored 21-1 during a three-game losing streak. The visitors hand the ball to Manny Banuelos, who is 2-1 with a 5.96 ERA. He comes in off an outing to forget, giving up nine runs off ten straight hits in the third inning of his last start. Previous to that though Banuelos had been sharp, so I’m not going to over-react to one bad performance. He catches a break here as well facing the volatile Carlos Carrasco, who is 2-3 with a 5.60 ERA. Carrasco also enters off a terrible start, getting shelled for four home runs vs. the Mariners on Saturday. Note that Chicago is already 4-1 (+6.6 units) this season as an underdog in the +175 to +250 range, while Cleveland is a brutal 5-9 (-8.1 units) vs. the division thus far. I think the visitors have much more than just a “punchers chance” in this one. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 White Sox. |
|||||||
05-08-19 | Rockets +6 v. Warriors | Top | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 35 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston Rockets (10*) So far home floor advantage has meant everything in this series. But other than Kevin Durant, the Warriors have looked very “off” over the last two games and I think that Houston has a legitimate shot at stealing Game 5 outright. The Clippers won two games at Oracle Arena remember in the opening series. The Rockets made the necessary defensive adjustments and both Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson are struggling with consistency right now. James Harden and company though have definitely improved dramatically on both ends of the court and I see no reason that that momentum won’t be carried over here. Consider as well that Houston is 4-0 ATS this year as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while Golden State is only 9-18 ATS this year as a home favorite in the same points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Warriors. |
|||||||
05-08-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -108 | 34 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Avs/Sharks over (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) While last night’s Game 7 was a lower-scoring “under,” I think this one will be a much more offensive affair. Both clubs have great goaltending, but this series has been defined more by the offensive stars and I believe that trend carries over here in this pivotal affair. San Jose has made it into the playoffs in 19 of the last 21 years, but it’s still to win a cup. The Sharks won’t be taking anything for granted here and I’m expecting a frenzied back-and-forth pace. The numbers/trends support that hypothesis as well, as note that Colorado has seen the total go over in five of its last seven road games after an OT win in which it scored four or more goals in, while San Jose has seen the total go over in 20 of its last 32 after allowing four or more goals. This number is a little low. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Sharks. |
|||||||
05-08-19 | Celtics +9.5 v. Bucks | 91-116 | Loss | -104 | 33 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (8*) I played on the Bucks and the under in Game 4, but in Game 5 I’m back on the hungry underdog Celtics. Milwaukee has played with better chemistry all season and it’s bench has severely outplayed Boston’s so far. The Celtics have gotten an atrocious shooting performance from guard Kyrie Irving over the last three games, but I have a very hard time seeing the All Star being held down for a fourth straight contest. The Celtics are loaded with talent and experience and I simply can’t see them going down without a fight here. The Bucks are in unchartered territory and it’s yet to be seen if they can step up in a situation like this and deliver a decisive knock out blow. I think the stage is now set for a very competitive battle. Note as well that Boston is 4-1 ATS this year still as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while the Bucks are just 6-11 ATS in their last 17 after two or more straight road victories. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 105-103 Bucks. |
|||||||
05-08-19 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 218 | 91-116 | Win | 102 | 33 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Celtics/Bucks under (8*) I had a play on the Bucks and the under in Game 4, and while I’m going against Milwaukee in this one, I do believe we’re going to see another tight, lower-scoring defensive battle in Game 5. This is a trap game for the Bucks after two straight wins on the road and with a 3-1 series lead. It remains to be seen if this team is going to be able to close out in this situation and I certainly don’t expect the Celtics to go down without a fight. This one has “war” written all over it as I expect everything to be contended, from the opening tip until the final horn. The numbers support our theory as well, as note that Boston has seen the total go under in 12 of its last 18 after playing two straight at home, while Milwaukee has seen the total dip under in 14 of its last 22 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. This number is high in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: 105-103 Bucks. |
|||||||
05-08-19 | Diamondbacks +137 v. Rays | Top | 3-2 | Win | 137 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona Diamondbacks (10* BEST OF BEST) The Diamondbacks have cooled off dramatically now that Interleague play has started. Tampa has taken the first two games of this series, but I think the hungry visiting side will bounce back and take the finale this afternoon. It won’t be easy facing Charlie Morton, who is 3-0 with a 2.52 ERA this season. He’s also 5-1 with a 3.68 ERA in nine career starts vs. the D-Backs. The visiting side hands the ball to Robbie Ray, who is 2-1 with a 3.79 ERA. Tampa is surging right now at 11 games over .500, but note that it’s still a poor 1-3 (-2.8 units) this season at home with a money line in the -100 to -150 range. Additionally note that Arizona is still 8-3 (+7 units) this year as a road dog of +100 to +150. I think Tampa finally has a letdown here. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 D-Backs. |
|||||||
05-07-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 213.5 | Top | 98-124 | Loss | -109 | 35 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blazers/Nuggets under (10* TOTAL BEST OF BEST) This has been a back and forth series. The Nuggets lost in quadruple OT in Game 3, only to then bounce back and steal another high-scoring affair in Game 4 to even the series. After back-to-back “marathons,” I believe a much more defensive affair in Game 5. Especially with the shift in venue to the thin Denver air. This one sets up beautifully as a lower-scoring under from a situational angle, but also note that Portland has seen the total dip under in 13 of its last 21 as a road underdog of six points or less, while Denver has seen the total go under in four of five this year off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. This number is high. T.M. Prediction: 105-100 Denver. |
|||||||
05-07-19 | Stars v. Blues OVER 5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -103 | 32 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Stars/Blues over (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) This has been a great back and forth series. I’ve cashed out playing both the over and the under in this one. For Game 7 though I’m expecting a wide open affair. Dallas has traded good games with bad of late, and I do expect that trend to continue here. St. Louis broke out of its offensive slump in Game 6 and there’s no reason not to think that it won’t try to duplicate the identical game plan here. A great situational play on the over. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Blues. |
|||||||
05-07-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 89-125 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) This has been a very competitive series and I expect nothing different in Game 5. Toronto earned the 101-96 win last time out behind 39 points from Kawhi Leonard. In Game 3 Philadelphia star Joel Embiid had 30 points, ten boards and five blocks in the 76ers 116-95 victory. Leonard has been incredible so far, but one has to wonder how much gas he has left in the tank? The rest of the Raptors have been poor and it’s the opening that Philadelphia needs to once again take control of this series. Philadelphia’s role players have also struggled at times, but I still think that Philadelphia features the deeper and more skilled scoring talent. Additionally note that Philadelphia already 4-1 ATS this year off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, while Toronto is only 20-22 ATS this season after a game where it covered the spread. Grab the points, expect a nail-biter. T.M. Prediction: 106-105 Raptors. |
|||||||
05-07-19 | Twins v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 104 | 28 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Twins/Jays under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) The Twins’ Jose Berrios is 5-1 with a 2.91 ERA and 0.97 WHIP, while the Jays Aaron Sanchez has also gotten out to a great start by going 3-2 with a 3.09 ERA. Minnesota won 8-0 in the series opener last night and overall Minnesota has won eight of its last 11. Toronto continues to struggle with consistency at the plate and I think it’ll have a difficult time here facing Berrios as well. Toronto’s lone bright spot on the mound this year continues to be Sanchez and I look for the hard-throwing right-hander to continues his progress as well. This one has “duel” written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Twins. |
|||||||
05-07-19 | White Sox +145 v. Indians | Top | 2-0 | Win | 145 | 27 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago White Sox (10* BEST OF BEST). The White Sox send Lucas Giolito to the hill and he’s so far 2-1 with a 5.32 ERA. He most recently gave up three runs with two walks with seven K’s in a no-decision vs. the Red Sox on Thursday. Giolito has had issues with the Tribe in the past, but I think he’ll make the most of this situation, as Cleveland is forced to call up Jefry Rodriguez from Triple-A Columbus to make this start. He’s 0-1 with a 2.13 ERA, but there’s no doubt this is a difficult assignment on short notice. Chicago took Game 1 of this series 9-1 yesterday and I think the hungry Sox, with what I believe to be the superior starter on the hill, offer brat value to do it again on Tuesday. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 White Sox. |
|||||||
05-06-19 | Mets v. Padres +110 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 110 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Diego Padres (10* TRADE-MARK) I think these pitchers are a “wash.” Jacob DeGrom is 2-3 with a 3.83 ERA for the Mets, while Chris Paddack is 2-1 with a 1.91 ERA. Paddack has been dominant, especially at home. I think the late West Coast game is detrimental to the visitors here. Also note that the Mets are just 8-12 vs. teams with winning records, while SD is 7-4 this year after having lost two of its lats three games. Great value on Paddack. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Padres. |
|||||||
05-06-19 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 221 | Top | 108-112 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Warriors/Rockets over (10*) Houston is back in this series after its OT win in Game 3. Clearly the last thing Houston can do is take the foot off the gas in Game 3. I’m expecting a very similar style of contest in Game 4 (note I had the over in Game 3). With the home side pushing the pace from the opening tip until the final horn, the Warriors will be forced to match pace with that style of game play. It sets up great as a high-scoring shootout from a situational stand point. Look for these two offensive clubs to play to another “barn burner” in Game 4 and play the over. T.M. Prediction: 117-115 Rockets. |
|||||||
05-06-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 31 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bruins/Blue Jackets under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) I think Columbus “gets back to basics” in Game 6. It had better, or this series is over. Boston is up 3-2 and it’ll also be looking to continue its stellar play, especially on the defensive end of the ice. Boston goaltender Tuukka Rask is 7-5 with a 2.19 GAA in the playoffs, while Columbus net minder Sergei Bobrovsky is 6-3 with a 2.33 GAA in the postseason. Note as well that Boston has seen the total go under the number in 13 of 21 road games this year when the total is set at 5.5, while CBJ has seen the total dip under in 25 of 38 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent this season. This number is high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 2-1 CBJ. |
|||||||
05-06-19 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 221 | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 31 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bucks/Celtics under (8*) After dropping Game 1, it’s been all Milwaukee in this series, but with their backs against the wall, I believe we can expect the home side to double down on the defensive side tonight. This one has more the feel of a slower paced “chess match” than a run-and-gun “shootout.” Boston has also seen the total go under in 12 of its last 20 when trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. This number is a little high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 110-105 Bucks. |
|||||||
05-06-19 | Bucks +1.5 v. Celtics | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 31 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bucks (8*) Milwaukee came out flat in Game 1, but since then it’s made the necessary adjustments and now it’s the Celtics who are on the ropes. Boston is having difficulty with offensive consistency and think the Bucks can smell the blood in the water. With a chance to take a strangle hold on this series before heading back home for Game 5, I think the visitors lay everything on the line here. Note as we’ll that Milwaukee is 7-2 ATS this year as a road underdog of six points or less, while Boston is 8-11 ATS this year in trying to revenge a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-105 Bucks. |
|||||||
05-06-19 | Leicester v. Manchester City UNDER 3.75 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 31 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: City/Man-City under (10* EPL TOTAL OF MONTH) Leicester will be out to play spoiler here, but Man City won’t be taking anything for granted as it tries to secure its Premier League crown. Note though that Manchester City will once again be without offensive star Kevin De Bruyne, who has missed the last two games with a hamstring issue. Leicester managed the win in the reverse fixture in December, so look for the home side to return the favor here. This one has “chess match” written all over it. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 1-0 Man City. |
|||||||
05-05-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 210 | Top | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 32 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets/Blazers over (10*) This doesn’t have to be an extremely high-scoring game (like Portland’s four OT Game 3 victory), to go “over” this very low number. And that’s exactly what I’m expecting. While most likely are thinking that these two teams will come in “gassed” after the Game 3 “marathon,” I believe these offenses are finally just “warming up!” Both teams are in unchartered territory and with the Warriors looking more susceptible right now than at any other time over the last five years, the Western Conference is up for grabs at this point. These are two young/hungry teams and I think fatigue is an over-rated factor here. And the numbers support that theory, as note that Denver has seen the total go over in 12 of its last 17 in trying to revenge a close loss vs. an opponent of three points or less, while Portland has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of ten already this season off a no-cover where it still won SU as the favorite. This number is low, play the over. T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Blazers. |
|||||||
05-05-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +1.5 | 101-96 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 47 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (8*) I got down early on this one, before the Raptors got the news about the Pascal Sikiam injury, but regardless, I think Philadelphia will look to deliver the (near) knock out blow here. Despite losing Game 1, the 76ers have been dominant defensively in this series, holding the Raptors to just 98 PPG. Toronto was the sixth highest scoring team in the league in the regular season, but it’s had difficulties with consistency on the offensive end of the floor since the playoffs started. Philadelphia is healthy, its firing on all cylinders on both ends and it has the home floor advantage. Perhaps Kawhi Leonard is the best player on the floor, but Toronto’s lack of talent is clear in this series. I’m banking on a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 119-113 Philadelphia |
|||||||
05-05-19 | Raptors v. 76ers OVER 214.5 | 101-96 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 47 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Raptors/76ers over (8*) Toronto is suddenly on the ropes. I have a play on the 76ers as well in this three-game report, but clearly the Raptors are going to have to push the pace here as they try to snap out of their offensive doldrums. The 76ers would love nothing more than to push the pace though and with the home side indeed looking to deliver the second to last nail in the coffin, I definitely think that Game 4 sets up great as a high-scoring “shootout.” Play the over. T.M. Prediction: 119-113 Philadelphia. |
|||||||
05-05-19 | Blues v. Stars OVER 5 | Top | 4-1 | Push | 0 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blues/Stars over (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) These two teams sport two of the best goaltenders in the league. Rookie net minder Jordan Binnington of the Blues and veteran goaltender Ben Bishop of the Stars are largely responsible for their respective teams being where they are at the moment. St. Louis took the first game, but since then it’s been all Dallas. The Blues are going to be forced to open up the playbook and indeed push the pace of this one from the outset. Dallas will also be out to end it here and now as it looks to avoid Game 7. This one sets up great as a higher-scoring game in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Stars. |
|||||||
05-04-19 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 219.5 | Top | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 83 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Warriors/Rockets over (10* TOTAL OF MONTH) Even the most casual NBA fan knows the story lines and the strengths and weaknesses of these two teams, so breaking down individual player match ups is pretty much pointless in my opinion. Golden State dominated the first two games of this series at home, but with the shift to Houston, I’m expecting a much more wide open affair here. Clearly the Rockets are going to be looking to push the pace from start to finish as they try to turn the momentum around in this series. Golden State was surprisingly good defensively vs. Houston at home, but I believe it’ll struggle to duplicate that effort on the road. The numbers/trends support our theory as well, as note that Golden State has seen the total go over the number in 20 of 31 when leading in a playoff series, while Houston has seen the total go over in six of eight when playing with double revenge this year. This number is low. T.M. Prediction: 118-115 Warriors. |
|||||||
05-04-19 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 112 | 32 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: CBJ/BOS over (10* TOTAL OF MONTH) This has been a competitive series and I don’t think anything is going to change here either. So far it’s also been a very defensive series, which doesn’t come as a big surprise considering the level of talent in net for each team. The Jackets are 13-2 in their last 15 games, allowing just 2.00 GPG over that time. But if CBJ doesn’t start scoring (having just eight total goals in this series thus far), then clearly it’s going to struggle moving forward. The Bruins have only allowed 2.10 goals over their last ten games, but with the shift back to Boston, I’m finally expecting a more wide open affair in this important Game 5. Note as well that Columbus has seen the total go over in 13 of its last 21 after a loss by two goals or more, while Boston has seen the total go over in four of its last six after a win by two goals or more. This number is low. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Bruins. |
|||||||
05-04-19 | Nationals -110 v. Phillies | 10-8 | Win | 100 | 28 h 18 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Washington Nationals (8*) Washington came up short in its first game vs. ex team mate Bryce Harper and the Phillies last night, but I think it offers great value to bounce back in the second. The Nationals have now lost ten of their last 14, but they have to be feeling good that they can break the slide with Patrick Corbin on the mound as he’s a solid 2-1 with a 3.58 ERA. The home side counters with Jake Arrieta who is 4-2 with a 3.46 ERA. Corbin is 3-2 with a 3.41 ERA in five starts vs. the Phillies for his career and I think he’ll help his desperate team-mates “get off the schneid.” T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Nationals. |
|||||||
05-04-19 | Cardinals +104 v. Cubs | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: St. Louis Cardinals (8*) After yesterday’s 4-0 defeat, I look for the Cards to bounce back on Saturday afternoon. St. Louis hands the ball to Michael Wacha, who is 2-0 with a 4.78 ERA thus far. The home side counters with Yu Darvish, who is 2-3 with a 5.02 ERA. St. Louis though is already 10-5 in day games this year and 17-9 vs. right-handed starters, while the Cubs are a poor 3-7 in their last ten home games after shutting out their opponent. I like Wacha to take a step forward and I look for Darvish to take a step back. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Cardinals. |
|||||||
05-04-19 | Twins +120 v. Yankees | 7-3 | Win | 120 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Twins (8*) After being held to four hits in last night’s series opening loss, I look for the Twins to bounce back here in what I believe to be a favorable pitching matchup. The home side goes with JA Happ, who is 1-2 with a 4.68 ERA. Happ comes in off his best outing of the year vs. the Giants, but note that he’s a poor 3-4 with a 4.85 ERA in eight career outings vs. Minnesota. The visitors counter with Jake Odorizzi, who is 3-2 with a 3.34 ERA and who also comes off a gem of an outing, giving up four hits over seven scoreless vs. the Astros on Monday. Odorizzi is 6-8 with a 4.33 ERA in 16 appearances vs. the Yanks. Additionally note that Minnesota is still 8-5 on the road this year, while New York is only 7-7 (-9.4 units) this season as a home favorite. New York continues to play with a number of key injuries and I look for it to take a step back here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Twins. |
|||||||
05-03-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 215.5 | 137-140 | Win | 100 | 37 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets/Blazers over (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) The series shifts to Portland after each team split out in Denver. The Nuggets looked great in Game 1 and poor in Game 2. The Blazers looked poor in Game 1 and great in Game 2. The playoffs is all about making adjustments. That’s the same when it comes to wagering on the playoffs as well. While each team has looked inconsistent at times already in this series, I’m expecting a much more efficient and faster paced Game 3. And the numbers/trends support that theory, as note that Denver has seen the total go over the number in six of its last seven revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a home favorite, while Portland has seen the total go over in 22 of 38 as a home favorite. This number is low, play the over. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Nuggets. |
|||||||
05-03-19 | Stars +130 v. Blues | Top | 2-1 | Win | 130 | 36 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Stars (10* TRADE-MARK) This has been a back and forth series between two pretty evenly matched clubs. Clearly with a line like this the oddsmakers would agree. Dallas though has the more experienced goaltender in Ben Bishop and as the series and playoffs go on, I think that matter vs. the Blues’ Jordan Binnington, who has pretty much carried his team to this point of the season. Dallas features the better and deeper offense and once again, as this series continues, that’s going to matter. I believe Bishop and the Stars offer great value to pull off the upset here. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Dallas. |
|||||||
05-03-19 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies UNDER 11 | 10-9 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 13 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: D-Backs/Rockies under (8* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Totals are always high at Coors Field, but this one is is out of whack. The visitors hand the ball to Robbie Ray who is 1-1 with a 4.18 ERA thus far, while the home side counters with Tyler Anderson, who is 0-2 with an 11.34 ERA. Arizona comes in having won seven of its last ten. Colorado opened the season 3-12, but it returns home off a 4-3 road trip. Anderson looks to return to form for the home side and he’s had decent success vs. the D-backs, going 2-0 with a 5.77 ERA. Ray’s had success in Denver as well, going 1-1 with a respectable 4.15 ERA in five career starts at Coors. Note that Arizona has seen the total go under in seven of nine already this year following two straight victories, while Colorado has seen the total dip under in eight of 13 as an underdog in the +100 to +150 range. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 D-Backs. |
|||||||
05-03-19 | Bucks v. Celtics OVER 220 | Top | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 58 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucks/Celtics over (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) The Celtics blew out the Bucks behind a great defensive performance in Game 1, before Milwaukee returned the favor in Game 2. While the Game 2 total did sneak over the number, This series so far hasn’t seen any big time offensive fireworks, but I believe that’s about to change here. Milwaukee will obviously be looking to push the pace again here after its 123-102 Game 2 victory. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 29 points, 10 rebounds and four assists. Milwaukee had 20 3-pointers in Game 2 and I’m expecting a duplicate game-plan in Game 3 from the visiting side. Kyrie Irving looked great in Game 1 for Boston and poor in Game 2. With the shift in venue, we can expect the C’s best player to return to form here as well. This one has “shootout” written all over it, play the over. T.M. Prediction: 119-118 Milwaukee. |
|||||||
05-03-19 | Nationals +153 v. Phillies | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Nationals (10* ULTIMATE OF ULTIMATE) The Nationals face Bryce Harper for the first time since he left and I think they’ll find a way to get the job done. The visitors hand the ball to Jeremy Hellickson, who is 2-0 with a 5.82 ERA thus far. The home side counters with Jerad Eickhoff, who is 1-1 with a 2.12 ERA. Note though that Harper is 5 for 20 in his career vs. Hellickson. Also note that Hellickson is 2-1 with a 2.18 ERA in four career games vs. Washington. Eickhoff is 1-1 with a 2.88 ERA four lifetime starts vs. the Nationals, but note that Philadelphia is still a poor 7-9 (-5.2 units) this year following a victory. The stage is set for the upset. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Nationals. |
|||||||
05-02-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +1.5 | Top | 95-116 | Win | 100 | 35 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (10* GAME OF MONTH) After getting blown out in Game 1 the under 76ers earned the split with a dominant performance in Game 2 and I believe they’ll carry that confidence and momentum over into another small upset in Game 3 in friendly confines. Toronto shot only 36.3 percent from the floor and 27 percent from range in Monday’s loss. Philadelphia is deep and it earned the Game 2 win despite big man Joel Embiid pretty much being ineffective. With the shift in venue, I think Embiid has his biggest performance yet. Note that Toronto is just 4-8 ATS as a road favorite of six points or less and just 7-8 ATS when playing with two days rest, while Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS this year off a road win vs. a division rival. T.M. Prediction: 108-106 76ers. |
|||||||
05-02-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets OVER 5 | Top | 4-1 | Push | 0 | 34 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bruins/Blue Jackets over (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) The first three games of this series have fallen under the number, but I think that Game 4 finally sets up as a high-scoring shootout. Despite the setback in Game 3, note that the Bruins have seen the total go over in seven of its last ten on the road. In fact note that despite these teams have played to three straight “unders” in this series, they’ve still seen the total go over in nine of their last 13 in the series. I think the visitors push the pace from start to finish and I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Columbus. |
|||||||
05-02-19 | Astros v. Twins +103 | 2-8 | Win | 103 | 22 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Twins (8*) The Astros have a chance to to even up this four game series with a win today, but I think the home side will build off last night’s 6-2 win, bouncing back after Tuesday’s 11-0 loss. The home side has to be feeling pretty confident as well with ace Jose Berrios on the hill as he’s so far 4-1 with a 2.97 ERA, including 3-0 with a 1.77 ERA at home. The visitors counter with Brad Peacock, who is 2-1 with a 3.67 ERA. Additionally note that Houston is already 4-7 (-8.3 units) this year after playing three or more straight road games, while Minnesota is 10-5 at home and 10-3 in day games. Great value on Berrios and the surging home side. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Twins. |
|||||||
05-02-19 | Rockies +103 v. Brewers | 11-6 | Win | 103 | 22 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Colorado Rockies (8*) Freddy Peralta is 1-0 with a 7.13 ERA and he hasn’t thrown since April 16th. He’s 2-0 with a 1.54 ERA in two starts vs. Colorado for his career, but that was when he was on top form health wise. This is a difficult spot start for Peralta fresh off the IL. I definitely think that Jon Gray and the Rockies, who had their best offensive output of the season in yesterday’s win, offer great value to do it again here. Gray is 2-3 with a 3.65 ERA thus far. Colorado is 66-58 (+33.2 units) the L2 years as road dog, while Milwaukee is just 1-3 (-2.8 units) in its last four after allowing ten or more runs. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Rockies. |
|||||||
05-02-19 | Reds +160 v. Mets | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati Reds (8*) Tyler Mahle has struggled for the Reds this year, going 0-3 with a 4.50 ERA. But he catches a break here as his team has already taken two of three in this four game series and with a chance for a third win, I think the visitors offer great value here to pull off the upset. Mahle faces a struggling Noah Syndergaard, who is just 1-3 with a 6.35 ERA. Syndergaard has now conceded at least four runs in each of his last four outings an due has the highest ERA of the 97 pitchers who have thrown enough innings to qualify. The starters are a “wash” here in my opinion, but the home side is definitely over priced. Consider as well that the Reds are already 7-3 this year after three or more consecutive road games, while New York is a poor 1-4 as a home favorite of -150 or higher. Great value on the visitors. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Reds. |
|||||||
05-01-19 | Blues v. Stars UNDER 5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blues/Stars under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) These two teams were two of the best defensive clubs in the league in the regular season and that momentum was carried over into their respective first round victories. But this round 2 series has been higher-scoring, including the Blues 4-3 win in Game 3. I think thought that Game 4 will finally be a lower-scoring defensive/goaltenders battle. This is the second straight series that Dallas now finds itself in a 2-1 hole. St. Louis has interestingly now gone 4-0 on the road in the playoff so far. Note as well that St. Louis has seen the total go under in five of its last seven after scoring four or more goals in its previous outing, while Dallas has seen the total dip under in 12 of 18 this season after allowing four or more goals. This number is high. T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Dallas. |
|||||||
05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets OVER 217 | Top | 97-90 | Loss | -109 | 34 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blazers/Nuggets over (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) Denver won 121-113. I’m expecting another higher-scoring affair in Game 2 as well as the Blazers will look to get out and push the pace from start to finish. Denver looked great though after its seven games opening round victory over the Spurs in Game 1 and I don’t think there’s any reason not to think that it won’t carry that momentum over here. Nikola Jokic led the way for Denver in Game 1 with 37 points. Portland got 34 points from Damian Lillard and it’ll need a similar effort here if it hopes to earn a coveted split. Portland has seen the total go over in seven of ten off a loss vs. a division rival this year, while Denver has seen the total go over in 12 of its last 20 after playing two straight home games. This number is a little low. T.M. Prediction: 120-117 Nuggets. |
|||||||
05-01-19 | Islanders +111 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Islanders (10* TRADE-MARK) I’m shocked that Carolina has a 2-0 lead in this series. I’m fully expecting the Islanders to respond here. Carolina somehow knocked off the Capitals in seven games in its opening round series, including a double overtime win in Game 7. Can anyone say letdown spot here? It’s now do or die for the Islanders, who were solid on the road all year. I think Robin Lehner returns to form in net for the Isles as well (note that NY was 26-17 on the road, averaging 2.67 goals and conceding 2.33 in those contests.) New York is 13-7 (+7.1 units) after scoring one goal or less in its previous game, while Carolina is 6-7 (-2.6 units) following a three game unbeaten streak. I look for the “hungrier” team to deliver the goods tonight. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Isles. |
|||||||
05-01-19 | Cardinals +153 v. Nationals | Top | 5-1 | Win | 153 | 27 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Louis Cardinals (10* GAME OF MONTH) Washington ace Max Scherzer is 1-3 with a 4.12 ERA. In nine career starts vs. the Cardinals he’s 2-4 with a 2.84 ERA. His counterpart is Miles Mikolas, who has also gotten out to a slow start by going 2-2 with a 5.29 ERA. He’s just 1-1 with a 6.43 ERA in two starts vs. the Nats. St. Louis though comes in with momentum after yesterday’s 3-2 series opening victory and I think the hungry visiting side will keep the momentum rolling. In fact the Cards have won ten of their last 12 games, while the Nationals have dropped eight of their last 11. I think Scherzer’s decline is right in front of us. Let’s take advantage. Play on the visitors. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Cards. |
|||||||
04-30-19 | Rockets v. Warriors OVER 218 | Top | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 37 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockets/Warriors over (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) I had a play on the over in Game 1 and while that contest failed to eclipse the posted number, I think that the situation and the trends definitely now point to a higher-scoring shootout in Game 2. Houston was playing from behind all night in Game 1 and if it doesn’t want to return home in an 0-2 hole, clearly it’s going to have to make some major adjustments. Golden State surprised me defensively, but I think the Warriors will have their hands full this time with a Rockets team which I definitely expect to push the pace from start to finish. And the numbers/trends support our theory, as note that Houston has seen the total go over in ten of its last 15 trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent, while Golden State has seen the total go over in 19 of its last 29 when leading in a playoff series. This number is low. T.M. Prediction: 118-112 Warriors. |
|||||||
04-30-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche OVER 6 | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 36 h 24 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Sharks/Avs over (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) So far this has been a higher-scoring series. The Avs managed a 4-3 win in Game 2 and I think each team is going to keep the foot on the gas in Game 3. Both clubs feature plenty of scoring talent and depth and defense and goaltending has been adequate at best. And the numbers support that theory, as note that San Jose has seen the total go over the number in 13 of 19 this year in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while Colorado has seen the total soar over in six of its last eight after playing three straight road games. This number is low, play the over. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Sharks. |
|||||||
04-30-19 | Celtics +7.5 v. Bucks | Top | 102-123 | Loss | -109 | 35 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I had a play on Boston in Game 1 and I think it has a legitimate shot at pulling off the outright upset in Game 2 as well. If you didn’t get a chance to read my Game 1 analysis, do so now as the logic behind that play for the most part also directly applies to this one: I think Game 1 is going to be much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. The Celtics averaged 99.3 PPG in their series win over the Pacers, while allowing only 91.8. Kyrie Irving led the Celtics with 22.5 points, 4.5 boards and 7.8 assists per game. Milwaukee averaged 121.8 PPG in its series win over the Pistons, while allowing 98. Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the way for the Bucks with 26.3 points, 12 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game. Note though that Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last five on the road, while Milwaukee is a poor 5-13-1 ATS in its last 19 when playing on three or more days of rest. I think the Celtics’ depth and experience will keep this series and especially Game 1 competitive. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-113 Boston. |
|||||||
04-30-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets OVER 5.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 24 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bruins/Jackets over (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). Game 1 was a 3-2 win for Boston in OT, while Game 2 was a 3-2 double OT win for the Blue Jackets. With the change of cities though, I’m finally expecting a more wide open and ultimately higher-scoring shootout in Game 3. Boston went 2-1 on the road in its opening round win over the Leafs, winning the final two by scores of 6-4 and 4-2. The Blue Jackets destroyed the Lightning in two games at home in their four-game sweep, winning handily by scores of 3-1 and 7-3. The Bruins are 4-1 in their last five road games, while Columbus is 7-1 in its last eight at home. This one screams “over.” T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Bruins. |
|||||||
04-29-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 216.5 | Top | 113-121 | Loss | -106 | 35 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blazers/Nuggets under (10*) This is an interesting series, as two teams which are accustomed to either missing the playoffs entirely, or which inevitably go out early in the second round, now go head-to-head in Mile High in the second round. The Blazers haven’t played since Tuesday though and I think that rest is going to lead to rust after their five-game series win over the Thunder. Both teams have been exceptional defensively to this point and I expect those trends to carry over here. Portland comes in averaging 111 PPG and allowing 105.2 in the playoffs, while Denver is averaging 105.1 points and allowing 103.1. The under is 7-3-1 in the Blazers last ten road games and all signs point to that being added to right here. This number is high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 106-103 Nuggets. |
|||||||
04-29-19 | Dodgers v. Giants +130 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 130 | 30 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Giants (10* GAME OF WEEK) I think the Dodgers stumble here in the opening game of this three game set and after coming from behind to knock off the Rockies 7-6 on Sunday. The Giants on the other hand have been outscored 24-12 by then Yankees in losing three straight at home over the weekend and clearly they’ll be out to atone for that mess. The visitors hand the ball to Kenta Maeda, who is 4-3 with a 4.58 ERA in 11 career appearances vs. the Giants. Note though that he’s 0-2 with an 8.16 ERA in six appearances in San Francisco. He’ll be opposed by the red hot Jeff Samardzija, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his five starts. Over eight career appearances vs. the Dodgers he owns a respectable 3.99 ERA as well. This one has upset written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Giants. |
|||||||
04-29-19 | Blues v. Stars -113 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -113 | 33 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Stars (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Blues managed a 3-2 win in Game 1 despite getting outshot, but the Stars’ superior offense and equal goaltending and defense proved to be too much in their 4-2 Game 2 victory. I’m expecting a lower-scoring dominant victory for Dallas at home though. St. Louis was 0 for 5 on the power play in Game 2 and rookie goaltender Jordan Binnington allowed three goals on 34 shots. Ben Bishop made 32 saves in Game 2 for Dallas. Note as well that the Stars are 7-2 in their last nine home games vs. a team with an above .500 road record. Great value play. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dallas. |
|||||||
04-29-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | 94-89 | Win | 100 | 33 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (8* 76ers) The 76ers got in an early hole in Game 1 and were never able to recover, but I think the visitors will at the very least take this one right down to the wire. The 76ers averaged 122 points in their series win over the Nets, while allowing 110.8. Toronto has been getting the job done defensively so far in the playoffs, allowing only 92.5 PPG. Overall though the Raptors are averaging just 106.7 PPG. The playoffs are all about making adjustments. This has been a matchup problem for Philadelphia, but I think the 76ers’ depth keeps this one competitive late. Note as well that Philly is 8-1 ATS this year off a loss vs. a division rival, while the Raptors are only 21-23 as a home favorite this season. For all the reasons listed above, grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 106-105 Raptors. |
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more.
We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning!
For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.