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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-07-21 | Cubs v. Padres -122 | Top | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Padres (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). The Padres come in off back-to-back losses to the Mets, but they have to be feeling confident they can bounce-back here, as they're 7-1 in their last eight home games after suffering back-to-back home losses. This is a tight starting pitching matchup, but it's also one which I believe favors the home side. Adbert Alzolay (4-4, 3.62 ERA), beat the Padres at home last Wednesday, while Padres starter Ryan Weathers (2-2, 2.06) fell to the Cubs last Tuesday. It was Weathers worst start of the year, but he owns a sub 2.00 ERA at home. I think Alzolay takes a step back here and I like the Padres to snap this small two-game skid; lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Padres. |
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06-07-21 | Nuggets v. Suns UNDER 220.5 | Top | 105-122 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets/Suns UNDER (10* TOTAL OF WEEK). This is a great situational play in my opinion. Denver is going to be much tougher on Chris Paul and Devin Booker with its perimeter defense. Denver won't want to turn this into a "shootout" either, instead running its offense through big man Nikola Jokic. I think Game 1 of this series will absolutely fall below this number! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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06-07-21 | Bucks v. Nets OVER 233.5 | 86-125 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Nets/Bucks OVER (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). Game 1 looked like it could go over the number after the first half, but each team struggled somewhat with offensive consistency in the second half. The Bucks are going to have to be the aggressors here though to avoid an 0-2 hole. Brooklyn lost a valuable piece in James Harden temporarily, so the onus is on Kevin Durant here to carry the load for the home side. Instead of a defensive affair this time around, I expect a much more wide-open one. A faster pace = more shots and more shots = more points; this number is low, the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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06-07-21 | Islanders v. Bruins OVER 5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bruins/Islanders (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). This series is all tied up. The first two games went over the number, the second two went under. With the shift in venue, I absolutely expect another high-scoring contest here in this all important Game 5. Boston has also seen the total go over the number in seven of its last ten in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it was held to one or less goals in. Everything points to a huge offensive explosion; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Boston. |
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06-07-21 | Islanders v. Bruins -1.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bruins PUCK LINE (-1.5) 8* MONEY-MAKER. This has been a back-and-forth series. We're all tied up at two games apiece. Each team has won in the other team's building as well. So why do I think Boston will not only win here, but also win by a sizeable margin to lay the 1.5 goals for the big "plus-money" return? I don't trust this Islanders offense on the road. Boston is also 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it was held to one or less goals in. I'm banking on "home ice" being a major factor in the Bruins' big win tonight; lay the 1.5 goals on the Bruins! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Boston. |
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06-06-21 | Avalanche v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Avs/Vegas UNDER (10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST). Two great offenses and two great defenses. Honestly, it wouldn't be difficult at all to write a convincing argument for this total to either over or under today. So why will Game 4 fall under the total in my opinion? Vegas was "lucky" to earn a victory in its last outing, needing two late goals to secure the unlikely win. Both teams are sitting back and waiting for the other to make the first mistake, and everything in my opinion points to this same game-plan happening here in Game 4. In what I expect to be another highly-competitive affair, look for this one to stay well under again! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Vegas. |
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06-06-21 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yanks/Red Sox OVER (10* AL TOTAL OF MONTH). In my opinion, the Sunday night game has slug-fest written all over it. Garrett Richards (4-4, 3.75 ERA) owns a poor 14/12 K/BB over his last three outings. Domingo German (4-3, 3.27) has been a solid starter in this struggling Yankees rotation this year, but note that New York has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 11 after three or more straight losses in a row; this one has over written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Yanks. |
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06-06-21 | Mets v. Padres -136 | 6-2 | Loss | -136 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Padres (8* SLUG-FEST). This is the finale of a four-game series. After losing four in a row, San Diego won the first two games of this series, before dropping yesterday's matchup by a score of 4-0. Jacob deGrom continued his unreal season, but now the home side is in a prime position to bounce-back here in my opinion. I'll call these starting pitchers a "wash." It's hard to completely trust Marcus Stroman on the road, while Chris Paddack hasn't been at his best overall this season. That said, each has been decent, and as I said, I'll eliminate these two from the equation here and call them "even." The difference for me though is that the Padres are 7-1 in their last eight in trying to revenge a shutout home loss to an opponent. Great situational play here, lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 San Diego. |
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06-06-21 | Mavs v. Clippers OVER 209.5 | 111-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection:Clippers/Mavericks OVER (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). These teams have engaged in several low-scoring games, but everything points to an offensive explosion on Game 7 in my opinion. Dallas actually has been averaging more points on the road in the playoffs than at home (115 compared to 105.1 in Dallas). The Clippers average 108 points at home, but they'll be the aggressors here from the outset. I'll point out as well that Dallas has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 11 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it was help to 100 points or less in. Everything points to a shootout, the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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06-06-21 | Hawks v. 76ers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 128-124 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: 76ers/Hawks UNDER (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). Joel Embiid is out, and that's significant for this Philadelphia team. On both ends of the court. Atlanta rolled over the Knicks in five games though, which is impressive, as New York came into the playoffs with a ton of momentum. Atlanta made it look easy though against a very good Knicks defense. The Hawks though stifled the Knicks defenensively and if they have any hopes of winning this game (and series), they'll have to double-down again on that end. Philly can play either a high-tempo or defensive affair (finished as the No. 3 defense), and without Embiid in the line-up (or playing at less than 100%), I believe Philly also tries to generate its offense, through tough defensive play. The bottom line is, it all adds up to a play on the under! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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06-05-21 | Mets -110 v. Padres | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mets (10* GAME OF THE MONTH). The Padres held on for a 2-0 win in a pitchers duel last night and everything points to a similar competitive and lower-scoring "duel." And that's because it's New York ace' Jacob DeGrom going against the Padres Joe Musgrove. Musgrove has been unbelievable this year, he's 4-4 with a 2.08 ERA. deGrom is 4-2 with a 0.71 ERA. Both are dominating across the board, but I still give the slight nod to deGrom over Musgrove, who has shown signs of volatility this year. The clincher for me though is that the Mets are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to revenge a shutout road loss to an opponent. I'm laying the very reasonable price on the best pitcher on the planet in this revenge-scenario; the play is New York! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 New York. |
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06-05-21 | Bucks v. Nets OVER 239 | Top | 107-115 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nets/Bucks OVER (10* 2ND ROUND TOTAL OF YEAR). If you think either of these teams are going to play any defense in this series, then I have a bridge to sell you over in Brooklyn. Milwaukee was the highest-scoring team in the league, it averaged 120.1 PPG. The Nets were No. 2 in the league, averaging 118.6. And Brooklyn averaged that with its "Big 3" only playing eight games together in the regular season. These teams easily marched through their first round opponents and each comes in fresh and healthy. Expect an up-tempo, high-scoring shootout in Game 1; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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06-05-21 | Bruins v. Islanders +132 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 132 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Islanders (10* MONEY-MAKER). This has been a very even series. With a line like this, clearly the oddsmakers believe these teams are evenly matched. And they are for the most part on both ends of the ice. New York though is the play here for me, based upon the fact that it's a near-perfect 7-1 in its last eight in trying to avenge an OT home loss to an opponent. The Bruins are going to get caught flat-footed this time around, and I think we're absolutely getting a great price here as well; the play is New York! T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Isles. |
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06-05-21 | Indians v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 10-4 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Orioles/Indians UNDER (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). I'm expecting an absolute pitchers "duel" here between two line-ups that struggle with offensive consistency. Aaron Civale is 7-2 with a 3.28 ERA. He hasn't been at his best over his last two starts, but that's only because he's set the bar so high so early. Civale is still 4-1 with a 3.37 ERA on the road. John Means (4-1, 2.05) has been spectacular this year. He's off his first loss of the year to the White Sox despite only allowing three runs over five innings. To go along with his tiny ERA, he also owns a great 0.80 WHIP. Everything points to these two studs battling into the latter frames; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Orioles. |
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06-04-21 | Avalanche v. Golden Knights +104 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 104 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vegas (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Colorado has taken advantage of a tired Golden Knights team to secure a 2-0 series lead, but it barely held on for the twin in Game 2. The Knights were tired after their seven game series win over the Wild. But they looked better in Game 2 and now back home, there's no reason not to think that (and especially at this price!), that Vegas can bounce back here on home ice. The Knights are 8-3 in their last 11 in trying to revenge an OT loss to an opponent. I think Vegas finds a way to deliver in this crucial spot! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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06-04-21 | Clippers -145 v. Mavs | Top | 104-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Clippers MONEY LINE (10* TRADE-MARK). I think Kawhi Leonard and Paul George and company will play their best game so far in this series. On both ends of the court. I think it's very important to note that LA is 7-2 ATS in its last nine when trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it was held to 100 points or less in. This has been a competitive, very even matchup so far and I look for that strong trend to continue here with LA pushing this one to a decisive Game 7. The play is LA on the money line! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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06-04-21 | Nationals +104 v. Phillies | Top | 2-1 | Win | 104 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nationals (10* MONEY-MAKER). This is a great pitching matchup, featuring two red hot hurlers. Zack Wheeler is 4-2 with a 2.52 ERA and 0.93 WHIP for the Phillies, while Max Scherzer is 4-2 with a 2.34 ERA and 0.82 WHIP. These starters are evenly matched. I don't trust the Phillies' bullpen whatsoever though. I'll also point out that Washington is 7-2 in Scherzer's last nine road starts when playing as the underdog. I love Scherzer in this spot, the play is Washington! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Nationals. |
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06-03-21 | Suns v. Lakers -2 | Top | 113-100 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lakers (10* TRADE-MARK). Simply put, I expect the Lakers to lay the hammer down here in this "must win" game. This is LA's biggest game of the entire year and whether Anthony Davis plays or not, I think that King James will get plenty of support tonight from his cast of backups. Both Andre Drummond and Dennis Schroder had terrible games and I don't expect that to happen again. Phoenix has been consistent, but not dominant. I don't think they can put away the champs on their own floor. I'm laying the short points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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06-03-21 | Nuggets v. Blazers -5 | 126-115 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Blazers (8* MONEY-MAKER). This has been a back-and-forth series. Very even. The Blazers though are one loss away from being eliminated, and one win away from a Game 7. With their season on the line, I like the Trail Blazers to get the job done here. Damian Lillard exploded for 55 points and ten assists and it still wasn't enough. Denver's going to be "gassed" on the road here though in my opinion. With the knowledget that they still have one more game to win this series at home, I think the Nuggets get caugth flat-footed here after their epic double OT win in Game 5; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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06-03-21 | Tigers v. White Sox -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 104 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox (10* RUN-LINE BEST OF THE BEST). After back-to-back losses, I like the White Sox to bounce back here in this favorable matchup. The Tigers have looked decent of late, but Case Mize is in over his head here facing White Sox' ace Lance Lynn. Lynn is 6-1 with a 1.37 ERA and he's been dominant at home. Chicago is also 28-18 in its last 36 when playign with a day off, while Detroit is just 39-98 in its last 137 vs. clubs with winning records; lay the 1.5 runs, expect a massive beatdown! T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Chicago. |
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06-03-21 | Hurricanes +1.5 v. Lightning | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hurricanes (10* PUCK-LINE ELITE OF THE ELITE). I'm laying the price here for the extra 1.5 goals. I think this game will be the most competitive of them all. Tampa is "lucky" I think to have won both opening games. Carolina though is resilient and I expect it to throw its best shot at the defending champs. These team's numbers are almost identical on both ends of the ice, but Carolina is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge back-to-back losses to an opponent. Lay the price, the play is the Canes on the puck line! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Carolina. |
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06-02-21 | Grizzlies +9.5 v. Jazz | Top | 110-126 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Grizzlies (10* GAME OF THE MONTH). The Grizzlies road back-to-back "play in" victories to a 112-109 win in Game 1 of this series, but then Donovan Mitchell returned to the Jazz lineup and it's been all Utah since. The Jazz have won three straight, but note that the Grizzlies are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Memphis was better on the road for bettors this year, going 23-17 ATS away from friendly confines. Facing elimination, this young Grizzlies team may not battle back and win this game outright, but I do expect a competitive war until the final moments; grab the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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06-02-21 | Rangers v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockies/Rangers OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). Colorado won 3-2 in extra innings here yesterday. After that low-scoring contest, I expect plenty of offensive fireowrks here on Wednesday. The bottom line is, I don't trust either Antonio Senzatela (1-5, 4.97 ERA) of the Rockies, or Jordan Lyles (2-4, 5.79) of the Rangers here as starting pitchers. Each has struggled with consistency from game-to-game this year and throwing at Coors is definitely not what the doctor ordered. Finally, note the Rangers have seen the total go over the number in seven of their last ten in trying to revenge an extra innings road loss to an opponent; this number is low, the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 8-7 Rockies. |
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06-02-21 | Canadiens v. Jets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Habs/Jets UNDER (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). Clearly, Montreal is going to be tired. Fatigued. After an emotional seven-game series victory over the Leafs in which they had to battle back from a 3-1 deficit, the only way Montreal is going to win this series is to do exactly what it did to Toronto, to Winnipeg in this game, and series. And that's play stifling defense and ride the fantastic play of goaltender Carey Price, who has been fantastic. I think the Jets afterburners get cooled here after a week off between series. Look for this one to stay well under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Winnipeg. |
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06-01-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets -1.5 | Top | 140-147 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets (10* TRADE-MARK). I'm travelling today gentlemen, so I'm going to have to keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I usually do. This has been a back and forth series. Each team has won on the others court, but I expect Denver to rally here at home. Denver is a near-perfect 7-1 ATS in its last eight in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it was held to under 100 points in. Look for Nikola Jokic to have another big game here at home and lay the short points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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06-01-21 | Lightning v. Hurricanes -109 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hurricanes (10* BEST OF BEST). I'm travelling today gentlemen, so I'm going to have to keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I usually do. With a line like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched. And they are for sure (on both ends of the ice.) Carolina though is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it was held to one or less goals in. I think the Hurricanes had a minor letdown after their tough series win over the Preds, but I expect them to dig deep and deliver here in Game 2; the play is Carolina! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Carolina. |
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06-01-21 | Marlins v. Blue Jays -151 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* MONEY-MAKER). I'm travelling today gentlemen, so I'm going to have to keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I usually do. Robbie Ray is 2-2 with a 3.81 ERA for the Jays, while Sandy Alcantara is 2-4 with a 3.46 ERA for the Fish. Alcantara though has been terrible on the road this year with a ballooned 5.36 ERA. The play is Ray! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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05-31-21 | Twins -165 v. Orioles | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Twins (9* MONEY-MAKER). This is a massive mismatch on the mound and it's one which favors the visiting side. No need to overthink this one today guys, I'm 100% basing this selection upon the starting pitchers, and as I just mentioned, this one definitely favors Jose Berrios (5-2, 3.67 ERA) and the Twins. Berrios has a strong 63/7 K/BB over 56.1 innings of work. He's actually been much better on the road this year as well, going 2-1 with a 2.65 ERA (compard to 3-1 with a 4.79 ERA at home.) His counterpart is the volatile Jorge Lopez (1-6, 5.80) who owns a much less impressive 45/20 K/BB over 45 innings. Lopez has now lost three in a row and note that he's been at his absolute worst in this spot all year, going 0-2 with an atrocious 7.71 ERA in all day games. This line could/should in fact be much larger; the play is the Twins! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Minnesota. |
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05-30-21 | Clippers v. Mavs OVER 221 | 106-81 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Clippers/Mavericks OVER (8* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). The last two games have flown over the number, and everything points to Game 4 following suit in my opinion. The Clippers are right back in this series after their 118-108 Game 3 win. LA has seen the total go over in eight of its last 12 after a SU/ATS road victory of ten or more points. The Mavericks score 240 cmbined points over the first two games, but only had 108 last time out. Expect a "return to the norm" here on the offensive end for the Mavericks though, as note that they've seen the total soar over the number in six of their last eight in trying to revenge a home loss of ten or more points against an opponent; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-30-21 | Lightning +100 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lightning (10* SLAP-SHOT). These teams are evenly matched. On both ends of the ice. The reason I like Tampa in Game 1 though, is that it's had a few extra days off between games. The Canes just finished a tough six-game series win over the Predators, with four of those games going to overtime. Tampa is 7-1 in its last eight when playing with three or more days rest; the Lightning strike first in Game 1! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Tampa. |
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05-30-21 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Giants/Dodgers UNDER (10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE). The last two games of this four-game series have flown over the number, but everything points to a classic "pitchers duel" between each team's bonafide "ace" on the mound to start. The visitors go with Kevin Gausman (5-0, 1.53 ERA), who went five shutout innings in a victory over the D-Backs in his last start, striking out nine in the process (allowed 11 runs over 64.2 innings.) Clayton Kershaw (7-3, 2.94) counters for the LA, and he gave up one run and struck out six over eight innings in a win over the Astros on Tuesday (owns a ridiculous 71/10 K/BB this year as well.) This one will be decided by these two starters; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Dodgers. |
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05-30-21 | Knicks +5 v. Hawks | Top | 96-113 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Knicks (10* TRADE-MARK). This has been a tight, back-and-forth series to begin with and I expect that trend to continue here. The Hawks have played better than most would have expected, but a predictable letdown is imminent in my opinion after their 105-94 Game 3 victory. The Knicks has somehow been slowed down by this poor Hawks' defense, and I definitely don't expect that weird trend to continue. New York is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 95 points or less in; the play is New York! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-29-21 | Jazz v. Grizzlies OVER 223.5 | 121-111 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Grizzlies/Jazz OVER (8* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). These teams are all tied up at one game apiece. Both games have gone over the number so far in this series, and I expect that trend to continue here. Donovan Mitchell returned to the Jazz line-up in Game 2 and Utah pulled away for a huge 141-129 victory. Note that Utah has seen the total go over in eight of its last 11 off a SU/ATS home victory in which it scored 130 or more points in. The Grizzlies will have to match pace with their suddenly confident opponent and in my opinion, all of these listed factors add up to a high-scoring over T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-29-21 | Islanders v. Bruins OVER 5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Isles/Bruins OVER (10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE). These are two tough defensive teams. New York is ranked No. 2 on the defensive side, while Boston is ranked 15th. Each only ranks in the middle of the pack on the defensive end as well. So why is this total going to go over the number, instead of under? I believe the winner of this series will be the one that can establish itself on the offensive end and I expect each team to open up the pace in an attempt to do that in Game 1. While everyone else "zigs," we're going to "zag." This number is low, the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Boston. |
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05-29-21 | Padres -143 v. Astros | Top | 11-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Padres (10* BEST OF THE BEST). Sometimes I completely analyze a pick and break it wide open, looking at every tiny detail. Other times I keep it simple and it give it the "eye test." That's the case here today, as I think Padres' ace Yu Darvish (5-1, 1.75 ERA) is definitely worth the price of admission here vs. Jake Odorizzi (0-2, 10.13), who returns after a long stay on the injured list. Odorizzi will likely only see a few innings, before making way for a battered bullpen; I'm laying the price on the red hot Padres! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Padres. |
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05-29-21 | Nuggets v. Blazers -4.5 | Top | 95-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blazers (10* TRADE-MARK). Portland took Game 1, but Denver has taken the last two games. The Blazers now look to respond, and I believe they'll pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover. Portland has the superior offensive numbers, while Denver has the better defensive numbers. I believe CJ McCollum and Damian Lillard will take over this game for the home side, and stretch this Denver defense, which has granted played well without Jamal Murray in the lineup; lay the points, expect a blowout! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-29-21 | Reds v. Cubs -116 | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cubs (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). I think the Cubbies will find a way to deliver here at home vs. Luis Castillo. Zach Davies is coming off his best outing so far this year for Chicago, going five scoreless against the Cardinals, and I expect him to build off that great effort. Castillo is struggling this year and when he faced the Cubs earlier, he allowed three runs over five innings. Davies earned a no-decision against the Reds this year, allowing two runs over five innings. Chicago though is 8-2 in its last ten at home, while Cincinnati is just 7-20 in its last 27 in Game 2 of a series. Great value on the undervalued home side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cubs. |
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05-28-21 | Giants v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers -1.5 (10* RUN-LINE BANKROLL BUILDER). Anthony DeSclafani (4-2, 3.54 ERA), was rocked hard by the Dodgers last Sunday, allowing ten runs off nine hits with three walks over 2.2 innings in a loss. I think he'll do better this time around, but only a little. Walker Buehler (3-0, 2.78) is the correct call here in my opinion, as he has a tiny 0.78 WHIP so far this year and he gave up one run over seven innings in a victory over San Francisco last Saturday. Lay the 1.5 runs, expect a blowout! T.M. Prediction: 7-1 LA. |
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05-28-21 | Wild v. Golden Knights UNDER 5 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vegas/Wild UNDER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). Minnesota has clawed its way back into this series, winning two in a row and it'll have to keep up the intensity here, especially on the defensive side if it wants to complete the upset comeback. Minnesota was blanked last time out in Game 6 by a score of 3-0. The Knights have the best defense in the league, and I expect them to fall back on their strength here in Game 7. Expect a hard-hitting, grind-it-out affair, where every puck is contested and back-checking throughout; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Vegas. |
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05-28-21 | Nets v. Celtics OVER 227 | 119-125 | Win | 101 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Celtics/Nets OVER (8* MONEY-MAKER). Brooklyn has been surprisingly good on the defensive end of the court over the first two games of this series, but I think Boston will bring its "A" game here as it tries to get back into this series with a win at home in Game 3. Another loss will surely spell "D-O-O-M" for Boston, which almost assuredly couldn't get back into this series down 3-0. Jayson Tatum was held in check in Game 2 and there's no way I expect that to happen twice. The strength of Brooklyn though is in transition, so today's faster pace will suit it just fine. Everything points to the over as the correct call in Game 3! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-28-21 | Knicks v. Hawks OVER 211 | Top | 94-105 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Knicks/Hawks OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). Yes, the first two games of this series have gone under, but everything points to more of a shootout in Game 3. The Knicks looked bad again over the first half of Game 2, but Julius Randle finally showed up and New York finally was able to pull away in the second half for a convincing victory. The Knicks have seen the total go over in eight of their last 11 after back-to-back home unders as well. The last thing the Hawks can do is allow New YOrk to control the pace of this one, so expect an all out attack from the opening tip, until the final horn from the home side. Wheh you add it all up, everything points to the over as the correct call in Game 3! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-27-21 | Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 227.5 | Top | 120-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blazers/Nuggets OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). The first two games of this series have flown over the number and I absolutely expect this trend to continue here. Portland struggled to contain Nikola Jokic in Game 2. The Blazers are back on their home floor though and they'll now look to stretch this Denver defense by jacking up plenty of three-balls. Portland isn't going to win this series with its tough defensive play, instead getting out on transtion on offense is the key to victory for the home side. With each side pushing the tempo, look for this one to fly over before the final buzzer sounds! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-27-21 | Hurricanes v. Predators +123 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Predators (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). With their backs against the wall, I like the Predators to dig deep here and push this series another game. Nashville and Carolina have now played to three straight OT's. This has beena comopetitive series, with each club winning on its own ice. Expect that pattern to continue, as the Predators are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge an OT road loss vs. an opponent; great value on the Predators! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Nashville. |
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05-27-21 | Angels +142 v. A's | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Angels (10* MONEY-MAKER). Both teams enter off victories. I think the visiting side offers great value to pull off the minor upset in this one. The Angels go with ace Shohei Ohtani, who is 1-0 with a 2.73 ERA, and I'm giving him the big nod here over Chriss Bassitt (4-2, 3.69). Ohtani is on a completely different level right now and I expect him to outduel his counterpart. As stated off the top, great value on the visitors here! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Angels. |
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05-26-21 | Panthers +1.5 v. Lightning | 0-4 | Loss | -180 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Panthers (+1.5) 6* TRADE-MARK. Florida earned a Game 5 victory and it'll be risking life and limb again here to try and push this one to a decisive Game 7. These teams have almost identical numbers on both ends of the ice. This really is almost an "any given Sunday" type of matchup, where either team can easily win against the other on any given night. But Florida is 7-2 in its last nine after a three goals or greater victory over its previous opponent. I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals in our back pocket! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Florida. |
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05-26-21 | Dodgers -138 v. Astros | 2-5 | Loss | -138 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). At some point the red hot defending champs are going to have a letdown, but I don't expect that to be tonight in this favorable matchup and with what I believe to be the vastly superior starter on the hill for them. LA has won eight in a row, including a decisive 9-2 effort in the opener of this three-game interleague series last night. Houston comes in on the other end of the spectrum, having lost four in a row. Luis Garcia (2-3, 3.38 ERA), has actually been a bright spot for the Astros this season, but I still think he's dramatically overmatched here vs. the Dodgers' Trevor Bauer (5-2, 1.98 ERA, 0.76 WHIP.) Look for the visiting side to keep the foot on the gas for at least one more game! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Dodgers. |
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05-26-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -128 | Top | 92-101 | Win | 100 | 36 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Knicks MONEY LINE (10* GAME OF MONTH). I love the Knicks to bounce back here after their 107-105 loss to Atlanta in Game 1. The Hawks are just too young and inexperienced to lay the hammer down here and take both games. Just look at the Suns last night at home, beating the Lakers easily in Game 1, but then falling flat in Game 2. Knicks' leading scorer Julius Randle had likely the worst game of his career as well, and New York still almost won. Look for the veterans of the Knicks to lead them to a convincing SU/ATS victory here; play on the money line! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-26-21 | Wizards +8.5 v. 76ers | Top | 95-120 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wizards (10* TRADE-MARK). Philadelphia won 125-118 in Game 1, but it was unable to cover the large spread. I think that's going to be the case again here. I'm not calling for an outright victory, but I do absolutely expect the Wizards to throw their "best shot" at the 76ers here so as to avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole. Note as well that the Wiz are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which they allowed 125 or more points in. No outright as I stated above, but definitely closer than what this spread would suggest; grab the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-26-21 | Wizards v. 76ers OVER 230.5 | 95-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Wizards/76ers OVER (8* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). Game 1 went over the number, and I believe that Game 2 will as well. Neither team is known for its defensive prowess. Clearly, the last thing the Wizards can do here is try to sit back and let Philadelphia dictate the tempo of the game. Philly will try its best to run its offense through its big man Joel Embiid, but Russell Westbrook and Bradley Beal will absolutely be pushing the pace of this one from the opening tip until the final horn. The stage is now set for some offensive fireworks; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-25-21 | Cardinals +125 v. White Sox | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cardinals (10* TRADE-MARK). I like the Cardinals to bounce back from last night's 5-1 loss here in Chicago. St. Louis has lost three of four now, including two in a row. The White Sox had been in terrible form leading up to yesterday's victory, but their inconsistencies at the plate has still seen them lose six of their last ten. Lucas Giolito (3-4, 4.35 ERA) has not been sharp for Chicago this year. Jack Flaherty (8-0, 2.53), has been super sharp for the Cardinals. Look for St. Louis to get the job done here in this favorable starting pitching matchup! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cards. |
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05-25-21 | Predators +1.5 v. Hurricanes | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Predators PUCK LINE (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). Carolina won the first two games of this series, but after back-to-back OT home victories, the Predators now have all the momentum as we head back to Carolina for this one. These teams are evenly matched, and I think this series is going to go a full seven games. So far home ice advantage has proved important, but this one has "overtime" written all over it again. Nashville is getting great offense now and that trend continues here on the road. Outright victory is possible of course, but let's lay it and grab the spread! T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Nashville. |
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05-25-21 | Celtics +9.5 v. Nets | 108-130 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Celtics (8* MONEY-MAKER). Boston looked decent for three quarters in Game 1, but then it fell apart down the stretch. The Celtics have a great player in Jayson Tatum, and they'll once again be leaning heavily on both him and Kemba Walker tonight. The Nets managed to hold on for the victory and cover, but let's not expect a duplicate performance on that end of the court. The Celtics had a terrible shooting game, and still almost managed to cover. The Nets are loaded with talent, but which is yet unproven as working together as a unit, especially in difficult moments in the playoffs. Outright victory? Probably not. But look for the Celtics to give their absolute best shot here as they try desperately to pull off the upset and avoid the 0-2 hole; grab the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-24-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets OVER 227 | Top | 109-128 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets/Blazers OVER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). Was I surprised by Portland's big 123-109 win over the Nuggets? Not entirely, especially with a spread which was almost a "pick em." I was a little surprised though at the Nuggets offensive inconsistency, which I expect to get corrected here. Denver was eighth in the regular season in scoring with 115.1 PPG, while Portland was fifth, averaging 116.1. Don't expect Portland's inconsistent defense to show up like that two games in a row. The Playoffs are all about adjustments from game-to-game. Denver will be out to push the pace and take command of this game before heading back to Portland as well. When you add it all up, this one has over written all over it! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-24-21 | Cardinals v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cards/White Sox UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). The White Sox are struggling at the plate right now. They enter off a three-game series loss at New York. Thankfully they're sending their ace to the mound in Lance Lynn (4-1, 1.55 ERA), who has a sharp 0.98 WHIP. The Cardinals are 26-20 and overall. Kwang Hyun Kim (1-1, 2.73), looks to bounce back from an off outing vs. San Diego and he's been sharp in all "night" games by going 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA. Look for these two hungry/capable starters to battle deep; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 ChiSox. |
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05-24-21 | Heat +4.5 v. Bucks | 98-132 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Heat (8* MONEY-MAKER). The Heat won't be happy losing 109-107 in Game 1, as they had a golden opportunity to pull off the minor upset in that one. The Bucks were playing with revenge after getting bounced from the ECF's last year by the Heat, but Miami is just so great in making adjustments, and that's exactly what I expect to see here from Eric Spolestra. Yes, the Heat lost, but there were A LOT of positives that Miami can take away from that "nail-biter." I say that the Bucks have much more to worry about here, as their inconsistent play leads to another ATS setback (at the least!) in Game 2 as well; grab the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-24-21 | Islanders v. Penguins -133 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -133 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Penguins (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). This series is all tied up at 2-2, but after dropping the last one by a score of 4-1, I think the home side will bounce back here and find a way to deliver. The Islanders have slightly better defensive numbers than the Penguins, but not by much. Pittsburgh's offensive numbers though are vastly superior. Pittsburgh is also 5-0 in its last five following a loss of 3 or more goals, while the Islanders are just 2-5 in their last seven as a road dog. Expect "home cooking" to be the difference-maker here! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Pittsburgh. |
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05-23-21 | Grizzlies +9 v. Jazz | Top | 112-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Grizzlies (10* TRADE-MARK). Outright win? Very possible! The Grizzlies come in on top form, as they won both their "play in" contests, after losing to Golden State in their regular-season finale. Memphis is a deep team, which I think will help it here in Game 1. Utah earned the No. 1 seed after going 52-20 in the regular season. The big question though is, will rest lead to rust? Note that the Grizzlies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 as an underdog, while the Jazz are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten at home and only 1-5 ATS in their last six playoff games as a favorite. While I do think the outright upset is possible, in the end let's grab the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-23-21 | Oilers -127 v. Jets | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -127 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oilers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Enough is enough for this Edmonton offense! Wow, the Jets have sure looked great over the first two games of this series. Fantastic goaltending and defensive play have Winnipeg in the proverbial "drivers seat" with a commanding 2-0 series lead and three straight at home. It's now or never for the visitors. Do or die. A 3-0 hole will just be too big of one to climb out of. Very similar offensive and defensive numbers for each side, but note that Edmonton is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge two straight losses against an opponent. All things considered, I believe this to be the very definition of great line value; the play is the Oilers! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Edmonton. |
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05-23-21 | Dodgers -126 v. Giants | Top | 11-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (10* TRADE-MARK). After a shaky stretch, the Dodgers have won eight of their last ten, including the first two in this series. The Giants had been rolling along until this series, and I think they'll struggle again here in the finale. We have a really good starting pitching matchup here between Anthony DeSclafani (4-1, 2.03 ERA) of San Francisco and Julio Urias (6-1, 3.04) of the Dodgers. Let's call these starters "even." LA is 7-2 in its last nine after back-to-back road victories and I expect the champs to keep that trend rolling strong here. All things considered, I believe this to be the very defintion of great line value; the play is the Dodgers! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Dodgers. |
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05-23-21 | Lakers v. Suns UNDER 213.5 | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Suns/Lakers UNDER (8* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). These two teams are both in the Top 10 in several defensive categories. Each likes to run its offense through its big men, or to set up isolation plays for star players. This invariably leads to a lot of clock-killing on the offensive end. The Lakers will be out to establish their defensive superiority from the "get go," here, as they'll look to avoid getting into any track meets with Chris Paul and Devin Booker. I expect a hard-fought, but lower-scoring Game 1. The play is the under! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-22-21 | Blazers +1 v. Nuggets | 123-109 | Win | 101 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Blazers (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Nuggets are a deep team. Star guard Jamal Murray went down with a season-ending injury at the half-way point, and Nikola Jokic "upped" his game and earned Denver the fourth spot in the difficult Western Conference. The Blazers won 10 of 12 games down the stretch and the backcourt tandem of Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum will prove to be too much for the Nuggets to overcome here. A big factor working in favor of the Blazers as well is the return of big man Nurcic, who plays well against Jokic. Look for Lillard to be the difference-maker in Game 1! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-22-21 | Rays v. Blue Jays -115 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* ELITE OF THE ELITE). I love the Jays here. They're coming off a 9-7 defeat here yesterday to Tampa, and they've now lost three in a row. They won't be lacking for motivation facing Rays' rookie starter Shane McClanahan (1-0, 4.67 ERA), who earned his first win over three appearances so far last time out, despite allowing four runs over five innings in a 12-5 victory over the Mets. New York is a terrible hitting team, so giving up four runs in a victory to it has to be taken with a grain of salt. Duplicating that performance on the road against the hard-hitting Jays is another thing entirely though. Robbie Ray (2-1, 3.79), allowed four runs over seven innings with nine K's in a victory over the Phillies in his last outing. What's up with this line? Unload with confidence, the play is Toronto! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-22-21 | Mavs v. Clippers OVER 221.5 | Top | 113-103 | Loss | -103 | 79 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mavs/Clippers OVER (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). Its payback time for the Mavericks, who lost 4-2 to the Clippers in the first round last year. It was an even series until Kristaps Porzingis got injured. Dallas won two of three in the regular season series. The Mavericks excelled on the offensive end this year, but struggled defensively. The Clippers are hoping that Paul George can return to form here after a shaky playoff performance last year. The Clippers are a defensive oriented team, filled with veterans, but with the visitors pushing the pace, look for this one to fly well over befor the final horn sounds; the play is indeed the over! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-22-21 | Twins v. Indians -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 129 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indians -1.5 (8* RUN LINE MONEY MAKER). Off yesterday's 10-0 loss, I love the home side to not only bounce back and win today, but to win BIG time. The home side goes with ace Shane Bieber (4-3, 3.17 ERA), who gave up three runs over five innings with seven K's in a loss to the Mariners. Bieber is second in the league with a K/9 of 13.88. The visitors counter with the volatile Kenta Maeda (2-2, 5.26) whos last start was skipped over due to a groin issue. Maeda has been unimpressive with a 1.57 WHP and 7.9 K/9. Look for Bieber and the revenge-minded home side to lay the hammer down here! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Indians. |
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05-22-21 | Penguins v. Islanders -110 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Islanders (10* TRADE-MARK). Pittsburgh averages more goals per game, but the Islanders defensive numbers are better. The playoffs are all about making adjustments, and after coming up short in Game 3, that's exactly what I expect from the revenge-minded home side here. The Iles are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which they allowed five or more goals in as well. I look for New York to bounce-back here and to avoid going down 1-3. All things considered, a great price! T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Islanders. |
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05-21-21 | Astros v. Rangers +1.5 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rangers (+1.5) 10* MONEY-MAKER. In a game which I see being decided late or in extra frames, I'm going to lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. Tyler Ivey (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his big league debut here for the Asros. Over 6.1 innings in two minor league starts, he's conceded five earned runs. He'll go against Rangers' ace Kyle Gibson (3-0, 2.32), who comes in off another strong outing, allowing two runs off four hits with three K's in an unfortunate no-decision vs. these very Astros last Wednesday. Over 54.1 innings of work, he has a sharp 44/17 K/BB. As stated off the top, I think the outright is possible, but I'll lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Texas. |
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05-21-21 | Hurricanes v. Predators OVER 5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Predators/Canes OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). Carolina won the first game by a score of 5-2 and the second one in this opening series by a score of 3-0. With their backs against the wall, The Predators return home and look to push the pace from start to finish as they try their best to claw their way back into this series. It's very intesting to note that Nashville has seen the total go over in eight of its last 11 in trying to revenge a road shutout loss vs. an opponent as well. Carolina is one of the best on both ends of the ice, but it hasn't had any issues scoring against Nashville. Don't expect that trend to change here either. This number is low, the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 6-5 Carolina. |
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05-20-21 | Pacers v. Wizards OVER 237 | Top | 115-142 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wizards/Pacers OVER (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). Indiana managed a massive 144-117 rout of the Hornets in its first play-in game, and if it has any shot at taking this one in the Nation's capital, it'll have to duplicate that performance. The Wizards will be extra motivated here as well after falling 118-100 to Boston. The Wizards are one of the highest-scoring teams in the league though, and there's no reason not to think it won't be able to bounce-back here against a team it won all three-games against in the regular season, scoring 132, 154 and 133 in the process. Also note that the Wiz have seen the total go over in eight of their last 12 after getting held to 100 points or less in a SU/ATS loss in their previous outing. All signs point to a wide-open shootout; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-20-21 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 34 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canadiens PUCK LINE (10* TRADE-MARK). Montreal got out to a great start this year, then it got hit by COVID. It was a constant struggle after that, but the Canadiens did enough to earn a spot in the playoffs and they actually enter healthier right now than they've been in a while. The Canadiens have strong goaltending and defense. The Leafs won the North conference regular season title, and they're one of the best on both ends of the ice. Montreal though is 7-2 in its last nine when playing with two or more days of rest. Edmonton got surprised last night, and everything points to the Leafs coming out flat here as well. Great value on the Canadiens puck line! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Montreal. |
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05-20-21 | Astros v. A's +106 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: A's (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The A's two-game win streak was snapped in yesterday's 8-1 setback. Oakland won the series opener 6-5. I think Cole Irvin and the home side offer great value to bounce-back here though. Irvin (3-4, 3.02 ERA), has a fantastic 39-to-8 strikeout-to-walk ratio. He most recently allowed one run over 6.2 innings in an unfortunate no-decision to the Twins. Luis Garcia (1-3, 3.34), comes in off a decent outing vs. the lowly Rangers, going five scoreless, but note that he's yet to complete six innings in a start this year. Also note that Oakland is a sharp 7-2 in its last nine after a home loss in which it was held to one or less runs in; the play is Oakland! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Oakland. |
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05-19-21 | Tigers v. Mariners OVER 8 | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Mariners/Tigers OVER (8* SUPER TOTAL). The Mariners won't be lacking for motivation here off back-to-back low-scoring losses to Detroit, including yesterday's 5-0 setback (the M's though have seen the total go over in eight of their last 11 in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which they were shutout in.) The Tigers can't look past any opportunity either after a slow start. Tarik Skubal is 0-6 with a 5.73 ERA for the Tigers, while Logan Gilbert is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA for the Mariners. Expect these two to get the hook early and look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 6-5 Mariners. |
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05-19-21 | Jets v. Oilers -148 | 4-1 | Loss | -148 | 36 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Oilers (8* MONEY-MAKER). I respect Winnipeg, but I just can't see it keeping pace with the high-flying Oilers. The Jets averaged 3.0 GPG, led by 47 goals combined from Kyle Connor and Mark Scheifele. The defense allowed 2.7 GPG. Edmonton averages 3.2 GPG, led by Connor McDavid, who led the league with 105 points. Edmonton's defense was also great, allowing just 2.7 GPG. The Oilers dominated this season series, and nothing is going to change here. Lay it. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Oilers. |
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05-19-21 | Nationals -146 v. Cubs | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nationals (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Nats won't be lacking for motivation here, as they're last in the competitive NL East. Max Scherzer is 3-2 with a 2.10 ERA for Washington and he's been a bright spot whenver he's been on the mound. Note that he owns a ridiculous 30/2 K/BB, most recently going five scoreless vs. the D-Backs. Jake Arrieta is 4-2 with a 4.10 ERA. He has a less impressive 29/13 K/BB over 37.1 innings. I think that Scherzer isn't getting nearly enough respect from the oddsmakers; lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Nationals. |
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05-19-21 | Spurs v. Grizzlies -3.5 | Top | 96-100 | Win | 100 | 35 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Grizzlies (10* TRADE-MARK). San Antonio allowed 110.7 PPG through the regular season, but it completely fell apart over the final few weeks. Over the last four games of the regular season the Spurs allowed 128, 102, 140 and 123 points. Overall the Spurs average 111.1 PPG. The Grizzlies allowed 110.9 PPG this year, but over theri final five games, all victories, they conceded 113, 106, 110, 104, 110 and 99. The Grizz averaged 113.3 PPG, and they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games when playing with two or more days of rest; lay the short points, expect a major blowout! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-18-21 | Islanders v. Penguins -132 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Penguins (10* FIRST ROUND GAME OF YEAR). Game 1 was competitive, but I believe that Pittsburgh will dig deep here and deliver in this revenge spot. The Peguins were 22-4-1 at home, and the Isles were just 12-13-3-1 on the road. Evenly matched offensive and defensive numbers, but Pittsburgh's are still better on both end of the ice. The Pens are also 7-2 in their last nine in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent; lay the price, expect a rout! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Pens. |
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05-18-21 | Rays -142 v. Orioles | Top | 13-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rays (10* MONEY-MAKER). I absolutely love the pitching matchup here. Matt Harvery (3-3, 4.81 ERA) is coming off back-to-back poor outings, most recently getting rocked for seven runs by the mets on Wednesday over just four innings of work. Further regression is imminent in my opinion, as his early sparkling numbers were just a mirage. Luis Patino (1-1, 1.54) was handed a loss vs. the Yanks last time out despite allowing just one earned run over four innings. The Orioles are struggling at the plate as well, which doesn't bode well facing this red hot Tampa starter; great value, the play is Tampa! T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Tampa. |
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05-18-21 | Hornets v. Pacers UNDER 227.5 | 117-144 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Hornets/Pacers UNDER (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). Both teams are banged up, but especially the Pacers. Indiana will be without the services of leading scorer Malcolm Brogdon in this one, and Caris Lavert is also questionable. Charlotte enters on a five-game losing streak. The Hornets are dealing with injury issues as well. I believe each team will body up on their opponents throughout, with plenty of full and half-court pressure. This one has under written all over it! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-17-21 | Blues v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Avs/Blues UNDER (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). St. Louis struggles offensively, but it makes up for it on the defensive end. The Blues average 2.9 GPG, while allowing 2.9 as well. Colorado averages 3.5 GPG, but it concedes just 2.3. The last thing the Blues can do here is turn this into a wide-open game and expect to hang with Colorado. Two great goaltenders going head-to-head here and everything points to a classic battle; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Avs. |
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05-17-21 | Yankees -1.5 v. Rangers | 2-5 | Loss | -160 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Yankees (-1.5) 8* Sometimes I completely dissect a play, looking at every tiny angle, motivational factor, ATS stats and other information, but other times a simpler "eye-test" strategy is the better method, and that's the case here in my opinion. After a sub-par season during the shortened Covid campaign last year, Gerrit Cole (5-1, 1.37 ERA) is on a mission for the Yanks. His counterpart is a confirmed "gas can" in Jordan Lyles, who is 1-3 with a 6.63 ERA so far. Lyles is only in the rotation out of necessity as well. The Yanks have turned the corner at the plate and I expect them to take advantage; lay the 1.5 runs on the Yanks! T.M. Prediction: 6-1 New York. |
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05-17-21 | White Sox v. Twins UNDER 9 | Top | 16-4 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox/Twins UNDER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). I think these starting pitchers are in line for a classic duel on Monday night. Chicago goes with Dallas Keuchel (2-1, 4.53 ERA), who comes in off his worst start of the season, allowing six runs off eight hits over 5.2 innings vs. these very Twins, but still managed to get the victory. Previous to that he delivered seven scoreless. The home side counters with JA Happ (2-1, 4.26), who will also be out to atone for last week's poor outing vs. the White Sox, as he threw opposite Keuchel, conceding nine runs off nine hits over 3.1 innings. Heading into that contest Happ had a 1.91 ERA and 0.85 WHIP over 28.1 innings. Expect these hungry and capable starters to get back on track; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 White Sox. |
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05-17-21 | Bruins -129 v. Capitals | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Bruins (10* GAME OF WEEK). Game 1 could have gone either way, but Washington managed to pull off the victory in overtime. With their backs against the wall, I think the Bruins will bounce back here and find a way to get the job done. These teams offensive and defensive numbers are completely similar, and clearly they're evenly matched, as evidenced by Game 1. As evidenced by this Game 2 line. So why is Boston going to win Game 2? I do expect a very tight game again, but the difference-maker for me is the fact that the Bruins are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to revenge an OT road loss vs. an opponent. Great value on the revenge-minded visiting side! T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Boston. |
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05-16-21 | Mavs -7 v. Wolves | Top | 121-136 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mavericks (10* TRADE-MARK). I don't expect the Mavericks to take the foot off the gas here. Dallas has won two in a row and six of seven. Dallas is now a season-high 13 games over the .500 mark. The T-Wolves are going through the motions at this point, as they won't even reach the 25 win plateau. They're coming off back-to-back losses, most recently a 124-108 setback to the Celtics. “It doesn't look like they're locked in to finish the season the way we wanted to," Timberwolves coach Chris Finch said. Despite already being locked into their seed, I look for Dallas' role players to deliver in this spot; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-16-21 | Lightning -115 v. Panthers | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Lightning (8* MONEY-MAKER). To be the champ, you gotta beat the champs. The Lightning and Panthers enter the playoffs on win streaks, but the depth and experience that Tampa brings to the table, espeicially with Andrew Vasilevskly in net, is the difference-maker for me. I'll also point out that the Lighting are 7-2 in their last nine playoff road games as a favorite in the -105 to -135 range; lay it and expect a blowout! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Tampa. |
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05-16-21 | Rennes v. AS Monaco -125 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: AS Monaco (10* GAME OF THE MONTH). Monaco has been impressive this year, and holds the upper hand here vs. Rennes. Rennes is going through a poor campaign, currently sitting in seventh in the standings. The bottom line is though, Monaco is in a dog fight with Lyon for a top-three finish and it simply can't afford to drop any points here (won 1-0 over Reims in league play last time out.) Considering the gravity of this contest for Monaco, I foresee no letdowns here. In fact, I think that Monaco is undervalued here for sure; lay it and expect a decisive win in regulation! T.M. Prediction: 2-0 AS Monaco. |
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05-16-21 | A's +107 v. Twins | Top | 7-6 | Win | 107 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: A's (10* TRADE-MARK). The A's let a late lead slip away to the Twins last night, but I think they'll bounce back today vs. this inconsistent Minnesota side. I absolutely love Chris Bassitt (3-2, 3.54 ERA) over Kenta Maeda (2-2, 5.08) as well. Maeda gae up three runs over five innings vs. the White Sox on Tuesday and he's been consistently inconsistent all season. Bassitt on the other hand just keeps getting better with each start. He has a sharp 53 to 12 strikeout to walk ratio over 48.1 innings and he comes in off a dominant win over the Red Sox, striking out ten and givin gup two runs over seven innings. In my opinion, this is the very definition of great line value! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Oakland. |
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05-16-21 | Islanders v. Penguins OVER 5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Isles/Penguins OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). These two teams are very evenly matched. Pittsburgh was one of the best home teams in the league, and it got the job done by crushing teams with a relentless offensive attack, which saw it post 3.4 GPG. That offense will be going up against the league's top defense in the Islanders, which allowd just 2.00 GPG. However note, the Isles have seen the total go over in eigth of their last 12 road games as an underdog in the +105 to +135 range. If this Game 1 was being played in New York, I'd like the under, but because it's in Pittsburgh, the value has swung the other way; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Pens. |
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05-15-21 | Tony Ferguson +125 v. Beneil Dariush | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 227 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tony Ferguson (10* FIGHT OF MONTH). Tony Ferguson was on a 12 fight win streak until he got annihilated by Justin Gaethje in his last fight. He then got smashed by Charles Oliveira last December. This is a "make it or break it" fight now for Ferguson, who can't afford to keep fighting at this level with three straight losses. Beneil Dariush is a good fighter, but this is a massive step up in competition for him. I like Ferguson to get back into the winners circle here and for Dariush to get overwhelmed in the moment; lay it! T.M. Prediction: TKO/SUB/KO. |
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05-15-21 | Indians v. Mariners +100 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mariners (10* SHOCKER BEST OF THE BEST). The Mariners broke a five-game slide in yesterday's 7-3 series opening win vs. the Tribe, and I look for them to build and carry that momentum over here in a favorable starting pitching matchup. Justus Sheffield is just 2-3 with a 4.91 ERA for the Mariners, but he's been at his best at home, going 2-1 with a 3.89 ERA, comapred to 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA on the road. Trison McKenzie isn't anything to write home about for the Indians. That said, he comes in off a great start vs. the Royals on Thursday, going five scoreless. Previous to that he was shelled for five runs over two innings. Look for McKenzie's inconsistencies to come back and haunt him here again! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Seattle. |
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05-15-21 | Bruins v. Capitals +117 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 117 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Capitals (10* MONEY-MAKER). Wasington is now the underdog in Game 1. Boston looked terrible over the first part of the season, but a second half surge has its numbers on par with Washington's heading into this series. The Capitals also struggled with defensive consistency early, but each team is among the leaders on both ends of the ice heading into the playoffs. I love the Capitals at home here though, as I expect them to "up" their level of play now that the post-season is here. Also note that the Capitals are 7-2 in their last nine as a home dog in the +105 to +125 range; great value on the home side here! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Washington. |
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05-15-21 | West Ham United v. Brighton & Hove Albion UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: West Ham/Brighton UNDER 2.5 (10* TOTAL OF WEEK). West Ham is looking to keep its top four hopes alive. The Seagulls are 17th in the standings, and I think they'll just go through the motions here. The Hammers on the other hand are sixth, so this is a big game for them. And after drawing 2-2 in the reverse fixture earlier, don't expect the visitors to take anything for granted; this one has under written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 1-0 Hammers. |
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05-15-21 | Suns v. Spurs UNDER 223 | Top | 140-103 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Spurs/Suns UNDER (10* TOTAL PLAYBOOK). The Spurs struggled in their last game, falling 102-98 in New York, and I think they'll struggle again here vs. the Suns. Phoenix held on for a 118-117 win over Portland last time out, and everything points to a letdown here (note that the Suns have seen the total go under the number in eight of their last 11 after scoring 115 or more points in their previous outing.) This number is high, the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-14-21 | Pelicans v. Warriors OVER 229.5 | Top | 122-125 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Warriors/Pels OVER (10* TOTAL BEST OF BEST). The Pelicans have lost three of four, but I expect them to push the pace of this one in an attempt to try and play spoiler here. When Zion Williamson went down with injury a couple weeks ago, so too did the Pels chances. The Warriors though are pushing hard for a playoff spot and they've won six of their last seven overall. Most recently the beat the Suns at home 122-116, getting 38 points from Andrew Wiggins. Most stars are sitting this one out, so look for the backups to push the pace in a contest which I don't foresee having any defense played whatsoever; this number is low, the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-14-21 | Maple Leafs -155 v. Jets | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -155 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Leafs (10* MONEY-MAKER). This is the final regular season game and I like the North conference leading Leafs to send a message to the struggling Jets, who have lost eight of their last ten. Winnipeg comes in off a highly satisfying 5-0 win over the Canucks as well. Both teams will be resting starters, but Toronto's depth is the difference here. It's superior defense is as well. I'm laying the price, but expecting a lop-sided blowout! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Toronto. |
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05-14-21 | Phillies v. Blue Jays -143 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -143 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* TRADE-MARK). Vince Velasquez (1-0, 4.18 ERA) of the Phillies goes up against Steven Matz (5-2, 4.86) of the Jays. These starters are a "wash" right now in my opinion, although I'll give the slight nod to Matz, who has done better over a longer period of time. The Phillies are poor on the road, and in interleague contests. The Jays are four games above .500 for the first time this season. Toronto has much better bullpen. All things considered, I believe this line should definitely be a lot larger; pull the trigger, the play is the Jays! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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05-13-21 | Reds v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | 8-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Reds/Rockies OVER (8* MONEY-MAKER). Coors Field is the great equalizer in sports. Now, both the Reds and the Rockies have struggled with offensive consistency this year, but each is primed for a big night at the plate facing these confirmed "gas can" starters in the opener of this series. Luis Castillo (1-4, 6.42 ERA) and Chi Chi Gonzalez (1-1, 5.97), are both struggling this season and I simply can't seem them "flipping a switch" and resolving their issues in this brutal pitchers arena. This one has over written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 8-7 Reds. |
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05-13-21 | Nuggets -4.5 v. Wolves | Top | 114-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets (10* TRADE-MARK). Yes, Minnesota has been playing a lot better of late. That tends to happen to teams which have played poorly all season, and then catch other teams tired or disinerested at the end of the season. Minnesota just hammered the Pistons 119-100 on the road, but the Nuggets aren't going to roll over here, as they're still in a tight race in the West standing with just a couple of games to go. Denver is playing well right now as well, as it's won 11 of its last 14. I say Minnesota is the one due for a letdown here after its rare big road win, while I look for the Nuggets to improve upon their impressive 21-4-1 ATS record here in their last 26 visits to Minnesota; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-13-21 | Yankees -134 v. Rays | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -134 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yankees (10* TRADE-MARK). The Yankees will have no mercy on Tampa. New York has been stifled by the Rays over the last couple of years, so it will always look to kick Tampa when it's down moving forward. After a very slow start as well, New York is finaly starting to hit its stride, as it enters having won four in a row and eight of its last ten. Tampa is trending the other way now, loser of four of its last five. Jameson Taillon (1-2, 5.02 ERA) and Rich Hill (1-1, 5.17) are a "wash" as far as the starters are concerned, but look for New York to improve upon its 7-2 record in its last nine after three or more straight vicotries in a row; great price on the red hot Yankees! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Yanks. |
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05-12-21 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks -131 | 3-2 | Loss | -131 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: D-Backs (8* MONEY-MAKER). Whoever the Marlins decide to go with today, I like Arizona and Zac Gallen to get the job done here. NOTE: this play is based upon the fact that as of writing, the Marlins are still undecided who is pitching. WHOEVER gets the start in this one, I like Gallen. He's 1-1 with a 3.04 ERA. He has a sharp 32/14 K/W over 26.2 innings of work. Arizona smashed Miami 11-3 yesterday and everything points to a similar blowout victory here as well; lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Arizona. |
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05-12-21 | Cardinals v. Brewers -167 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
TM Selection: Milwaukee Brewers St. Louis took the series opener by a score of 6-1 in extra innings yesterday, so I expect the home side to respond here. The Cards are 22-14 and the Brewers are 19-17. But after four-straight wins, I think St. Louis is going to finally stumble here vs. the revenge-minded home side. John Gant walked six mets over four innings in his last start as well for the Cardinals. He's a veteran reliever, and I think he'll struggle in this difficult road venue. Brandon Woodruff counters for the home side and he's dominated the Phillies in his last start, allowing one run off tow hits with 11 K's over six innings. Bank on the Brewers bouncing big in this favorable matchup! TM Prediction: 5-2 Brewers |
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05-12-21 | Wizards v. Hawks OVER 240 | Top | 116-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wizards/Hawks OVER (10* EAST-CONF TOTAL OF YEAR). These two teams just played here two nights ago and the Hawks won a high-scoring 125-124 contest. With revenge on its mind, look for Washington to once again push the pace and for the Hawks to match suit. There won't be any defense played here at all, and there's no reason no to think these players can't duplicate their efficiency this time around as well. Finally, note that Washington has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last 11 in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed 125 or more points in; this number is low, the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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