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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-10-19 | Rays v. Rangers UNDER 10 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rays/Rangers under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) For this selection I’m putting my full focus onto the starting pitchers. Ryan Yarbough is 11-3 with a 3.49 ERA this year for the Rays, while Lance Lynn has evolved into the Rangers’ ace this year by going 14-10 with a 3.81 ERA. Additionally note that TB has seen the total go under the number in 17 of its last 27 after a win by four or more runs, while Texas has seen the total dip under in nine of 13 already this season at home when the total in the contest is set at either 9 or 9.5. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Rangers. |
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09-10-19 | Nationals +151 v. Twins | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Nationals (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Jose Berrios has been terrible. Anibal Sanchez has been terrific. I think the Nationals offer great value here to pull of the upset. Washington just lost three of four to the Braves, but salvaged the finale on Sunday. It can’t take the foot off the gas. The Twins on the other hand have a comfortable 5.5 game lead for the division crown and after this series they play out the remainder of the season vs. sub .500 teams. Sanchez is 6-6 with a 3.98 ERA in 23 career games vs. Minnesota. Berrios has just one win in his last six starts, most recently allowing six runs to the Red Sox on Wednesday. Great value on the visitors here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Nats. |
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09-09-19 | Broncos v. Raiders +1 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 247 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oakland Raiders (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) When I released this pick, Antonio Brown was still a part of the Oakland Raiders. Regardless of that, I in fact say “good riddance” here. AB is an awesome player and he would have made Oakland better, but he was more of a distraction and now that he’s gone, I think that Jon Gruden and company are in fact better off in the short-term. Oakland looked decent in the preseason and AB wasn’t a part of that whatsoever. The Broncos have Joe Flacco under center now and he directs a team which went 6-10 last year. Denver also has a new head coach in Vic Fangio. With AB gone, keep your eyes on WR Josh Jacobs, who was selected in the first round of the 2019 NFL Draft. Two of Oakland’s three first-round picks were used on the defensive side of the ball as well and I believe the unit takes it to Flacco and company tonight. Play on the home side. T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Raiders. |
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09-09-19 | A's v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | Top | 0-15 | Loss | -114 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: A’s/Astros under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) These two teams are known for their offensive prowess, but I believe it’ll be the men on the mound who become the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Mike Fiers is 14-3 with a 3.51 ERA for Oakland, while Zack Greinke is 14-5 with a 3.09 ERA for the Astros. Houston exploded for a 21-1 win over the Mariners yesterday, but I’m expecting a classic “duel” here between these two “studs.” Note that Oakland has seen the total go under the number in eight of 12 this year already as an underdog of +150 or higher, while Houston has seen the total dip under in ten of its last 14 as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Astros. |
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09-09-19 | Braves +126 v. Phillies | Top | 7-2 | Win | 126 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Phillies are in the mix for a wild card berth after a decent weekend. The Braves of course are looking to play spoiler and to add to their lead. Aaron Nola is 12-4 with a 3.63 ERA for Philadelphia and he’s had plenty of success vs. ATL in the past, but note that he comes in off a poor outing vs. the Reds, getting shelled for five runs over four innings. in his most recent start. The Braves had won nine in a row before falling 9-4 to the Nats yesterday. Foltynewicz has endured an uncharacteristically difficult season, but note that he’s still 7-3 with a 3.14 ERA in 14 career games vs. Philadelphia (also note that he enters off a gem, giving up on runs over five innings in a victory over the Blue Jays.) All signs point to a slight upset in this one. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Braves. |
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09-08-19 | Lions v. Cardinals +2.5 | 27-27 | Win | 103 | 217 h 29 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Arizona Cardinals (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Cards. |
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09-08-19 | Giants +7.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 17-35 | Loss | -120 | 217 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Giants (10*) This is a big game for both divisional opponents. New York isn’t expected to do much this year. Dallas is hoping to compete for a Super Bowl. The Cowboys just signed RB Ezekiel Elliot to a long-term deal and they have to be feeling good about the future. But Eli Manning and company won’t be going down without a fight. Especially in Week 1. This isn’t Week 14, as Manning is well rested and ready to lay everything on the line. I think the wily veteran still has a few tricks up his sleeve. Look for New York’s improved defense to play a role here as well. Outright victory? Probably not. But I do definitely expect this one to be much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Cowboys. |
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09-08-19 | Bengals +10 v. Seahawks | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 217 h 9 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bengals (8*) The Bengals aren’t expected to win the Super Bowl this year. This will once again be a transition, re-building year for Cincinnati as it tries to figure out if Andy Dalton has anything left in the tank. Cincinnati has a decent run game, but it’s main offensive weapon in AJ Green has been sidelined with injury. The Seahawks were competitive last year and they should be even better this season. Seattle is always tough at home, but I think the Bengals will do just enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: 23-21 Hawks. |
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09-08-19 | Ravens v. Dolphins OVER 37.5 | Top | 59-10 | Win | 100 | 214 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ravens/Dolphins over (10*) Baltimore’s great pre-season (4-0), won’t mean much if it can’t continue to build momentum. Last year they fell 23-17 to the Chargers in the playoffs. The Fish were only 7-9 last year, but they went 3-1 in the preseason. These are two teams with big expectations and I believe we’re going to see a more wide open “shootout,” than a defensive “chess match.” Let’s throw the ATS stats out the window in Week 1. These are two teams which showed some of the most considerable “chemistry” in the preseason and while neither has been known for their offensive prowess the last couple of seasons, I believe the stage is set for an explosive offensive affair in Week 1. T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Ravens. |
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09-08-19 | Chiefs v. Jaguars +4 | 40-26 | Loss | -110 | 214 h 8 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Jacksonville Jaguars (8*) The Jags are missing their starting left tackle, but beyond that the team enters healthy. Jacksonville has a new QB in Nick Foles, whose ability is not to be questioned whatsoever. KC is also healthy, but defense remains a concern. Is there any team in the AFC that could suffer a bigger “letdown” than Kansas City? Patrick Mahomes had a break out season last year, but regression seems imminent for him as well in my opinion. Everything went right for Mahomes for the most part last year, but I think the hungry Jags throw a monkey-wrench in his plans early this season. That said, grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 28-27 Jags. |
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09-08-19 | Titans v. Browns -5 | 43-13 | Loss | -110 | 214 h 8 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Browns (8*) Cleveland put together a great campaign last year (for its low standards) and with the acquisition of receiver Odell Beckham Jr. in the off-season, big things are now expected from the Dog Pound in 2019/20. Cleveland is expected to have one of the better defenses in the league as well. Tennessee has a solid defense as well, but question marks continue on the offensive side with Marcus Mariota under center. Throw the ATS stats out the window obviously in Week 1. I don’t expect any upsets here. I think Cleveland’s defense will prove to be too much for Mariota and I look for Mayfield and company to do the rest. Lay the points with confidence. T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Browns. |
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09-08-19 | Rams v. Panthers +3 | 30-27 | Push | 0 | 214 h 8 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Carolina Panthers (8*) The biggest surprise (in my opinion) in the AFC last year was the Chiefs. The biggest surprise in the NFC was clearly the Rams. Did you know that Carolina actually started off the 2018/19 season by going 6-2? Then Cam Newton, who was on pace for his best statistical year ever, got injured. Both teams come in healthy, but I think that Carolina and Newton are the correct call in Week 1. The pressure is on the Rams after making it all the way to the Super Bowl and I believe regression is imminent. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 27-25 Panthers. |
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09-07-19 | Nevada v. Oregon -23 | Top | 6-77 | Win | 100 | 123 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oregon (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) Is there ever a “must win” game in Week 2? For the Ducks who were picked by many to win the Pac 12 and who lost 27-21 in Auburn last weekend, it has essentially turned into that for them. Oregon won’t be throwing in the towel on its season yet though. The Ducks still have a shot at a CFP berth, but they need to win and they need to win big. Nevada? It’s primed for a letdown here as well after it upset Purdue 34-31, capped off by a 56 yard field goal as time wound off the clock. Can anyone say letdown spot? The conditions are definitely correct for a home side rout. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-07-19 | LSU v. Texas OVER 52.5 | 45-38 | Win | 100 | 123 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LSU/Texas over (8* TOTAL BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) This is a massive non-conference matchup and I believe each side comes out firing. LSU will look to take advantage of a Longhorns defense that’s breaking in some new faces. The Tigers’ offense looked great in its season opening win over Georgia Southern and I think they keep the foot on the gas here as well. Last year LSU won ten games and it was invited to a New Year’s Six bowl. Last week LSU averaged 6.6 yards per play in its 55-3 win over Georgia Southern. Texas won ten games last year as well and it brought back one of the best QB’s in the nation in Sam Ehlinger. With the eyes of the College Football world on this one, look for each team to push the pace from the opening kick off, until the final whistle. Play the over. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-07-19 | South Florida +6 v. Georgia Tech | 10-14 | Win | 100 | 117 h 12 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: South Florida (8*) Both teams enter off blowout losses. USF’s Charlie Strong is desperate here though as dating back to last year the Bulls are now 0-7 after a 49-0 blowout loss at home to Wisconsin. Georgia Tech though looked equally as horrible in its 52-14 setback to Clemson. If recent history is any precedence though, then USF has to be liking its chances today because when these teams met last year, it was the Bulls who pulled away for the 49-38 win. Last week USF’s Blake Barnett was only 13 of 30 for 109 yards and two INT’s, but last year vs. Tech he completely dominated. Expect a similar style performance here, as this continues to be a matchup issue for the Yellow Jackets. Georgia Tech completely re-did its offense in the off-season and I think it’ll once again struggle to keep pace here. Grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-07-19 | UAB v. Akron +9.5 | 31-20 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 14 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Akron (8*) UAB comes to town off a 24-19 win over lowly Alabama State, with Tyler Johnston III going for just 114 yards and a TD. Akron won’t be playing with any such satisfaction this weekend though after a 42-3 loss to Illinois in its opener. Kato Nelson had 122 yards passing and an INT. So what do we take from each team’s Week 1 performance? I’m not reading too much into either result. UAB scraped by Alabama State and I think it’ll have its hands full with this determined FBS home side. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-07-19 | Army v. Michigan OVER 48 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 14 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Army/Michigan over (8*) The Golden Knights and Wolverines are both 1-0 after Week 1. Both teams however come off sloppy performances last weekend and because of that, I’m expecting a much more wide open affair this time around. Michigan had its hands full with MTSU, making several mistakes on both sides of the ball and while it did eventually pull away for a sizeable victory, clearly the Wolverines can’t be happy. Army on the other hand was a big favorite vs. Rice last weekend, but it only managed a 14-7 win. Army gave up 181 yards on the ground last week to the Owls and I look for this determined home side to hit that weakness early and often. From an overall situational stand point, there’s no question that this one sets up as a “shootout” Play the over. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-07-19 | Vanderbilt v. Purdue -7.5 | 24-42 | Win | 100 | 115 h 14 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (8*) Both teams are 0-1. Vandy fell to Georgia, while Purdue was upset in Nevada. The late game had an effect on the Boilermakers, but they’re now back home for a noon EST contest and I think the shift in venue will be a big difference maker. Vanderbilt has plenty of talent, but it’s defense is a big question mark for me. Purdue turned the ball over a whopping six times in last week’s loss, but still almost won. Expect the Boilermakers to clear up their act and to pull away down the stretch. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-07-19 | West Virginia v. Missouri OVER 62.5 | Top | 7-38 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: WVU/Missouri over (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) Neither team is happy about its Week 1 performance and because of that, I believe each will open up the playbook in Week 2, which will in turn help in pushing this total over the number sooner, rather than later. WVU scraped by FCS opponent James Madison 20-13, while Missouri fell 37-31 at Wyoming. WVU has a powerful run game that’s led by Kennedy McKoy and Leddie Brown. Mountaineers’ QB Austin Kendall was 27 of 43 last weekend. Bryant was 31 of 48 for 423 yards for the Tigers and I think he’ll have plenty of opportunity vs. WVU at home. When you add it all up and based strictly from a “situational” stand point, I definitely think this one sets up as a “shootout.” Play the over. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-06-19 | CS Sacramento +33.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 7-19 | Win | 100 | 101 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento State (10*) The Sun Devils rolled to an easy victory in Week 1 over Kent State and in Week 2, they face an even weaker opponent. No outright here, but I do think this one sets up as a classic “look ahead” spot for Arizona State. And that’s because I find it impossible for Herm Edwards and the home side to not already be planning for a road tilt at No. 18 Michigan State in Week 3. The Hornets destroyed Southern Oregon 77-19 in Week 1 and while it was just an NAIA program, they still come in with confidence and momentum. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-06-19 | Marshall v. Boise State UNDER 55 | Top | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 100 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Marshall/Boise State under (10*) From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up beautifully as a lower-scoring under. Marshall was untested in Week 1, easily rolling to victory over FCS opposition VMI. But now the Herd face a Boise State which comes in off a season opening upset win for the ages over Florida State. The Broncos looked incredible on the defensive end and I think they’re going to carry that momentum over here. As I stated off the top, I think from a situational stand point, looking at each team and what it did last weekend, that this weekend’s contest definitely sets up as more of a “chess match,” than a high-scoring “shootout.” Additionally note that Marshall has seen the total go under the number in 14 of its last 20 as a road dog in the 7.5 to 14 points range, while Boise State has seen the total go under in nine of its last 11 as a home favorite. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-06-19 | Wake Forest v. Rice +18.5 | 41-21 | Loss | -108 | 99 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rice (9*) They say defense wins championships. That said, you have to score to win though. Rice didn’t look very good last weekend on the offensive side of things in its 14-7 loss to the Golden Knights in Week 1, but the Owls were tremendous defensively. Wake Forest allowed over 400 yards passing in its 38-35 come from behind to stave off a massive upset over Utah State in Week 1. The Demon Deacons posted 587 yards of offense, but averaged only 4.6 yards per play. The Owls offense benefits from friendly confines and while I’m not going to call for an outright upset, the conditions are definitely right for another “nail biter” in my opinion. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-05-19 | Packers v. Bears UNDER 46.5 | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 150 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Packers/Bears under (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK) The Packers were just 6-9-1 last year, while the Bears went 12-4. Green Bay has a new head coach in Matt LaFleur, who is an offensive minded skipper, but I still believe that this number is too high. The Packers were terrible defensively in 2018, allowing 25.0 PPG and the team hopes that it’s addressed several issues on that side of the ball in the off-season, especially in the secondary. The Bears though return all of their main pieces from their league leading defensive unit which allowed only 17.7 PPG, led by Khalil Mack with 12.5 sacks and 13.5 tackles for a loss. I think the offenses come out flat on Opening night, leaving the door open for the defensive units to shine. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Bears. |
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09-05-19 | Nationals v. Braves UNDER 9 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nats/Braves under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) Clearly these are two of the best offensive clubs, not only in the Senior Circuit, but in the entire league. That said, these are two very capable starting hurlers and when the smoke does finally clear at the end of this one, I believe they’ll be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Stephen Strasburg is 16-5 with a 3.47 ERA, while Atlanta’s Max Fried is 15-4 with a 4.05 ERA. Strasburg enters on top form, off one of his best outings of all time, striking out 14 and allowing two hits and zero walks over eight scoreless frames vs. the Marlins. Fried allowed four runs over seven innings in a win over the White Sox on Friday, posting a career high 11 in the process. Look for these two red hot starters to battle deep and play the under with confidence. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 ATL. |
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09-05-19 | Phillies +151 v. Reds | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia Phillies (10* TRADE-MARK) I think Jason Vargas and the Phillies have much more than just a “punchers chance” in this one. Vargas is so far 6-7 with a 4.31 ERA and he’ll square off against the Reds’ Sonny Gray, who is 10-6 with a 2.80 ERA. Gray was phenomenal in August, going 4-0 with a 0.74 ERA, but regression is imminent in my opinion. After last night’s 8-5 loss in Washington, the Phillies are now three games behind the Cubs. Vargas hasn’t been great at all for this new team, but he faced the Reds on April 30th and was dominant, allowing one run over six frames (five K’s.) Gray’s been great, but I believe his sparkling numbers are completely unrealistic and I think the fall back to mediocrity begins sooner, rather than later. Play on Philadelphia. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Phillies. |
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09-04-19 | Twins v. Red Sox UNDER 11 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Twins/Red Sox under (10* TOTAL CASH MACHINE). Obviously these two line-ups feature plenty of offensive talent, but I think it’ll be the starting pitchers who become the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Jose Berrios is 11-7 with a 3.57 ERA for the Twins, while Eduardo Rodriguez is 16-5 with a 3.97 ERA for the Red Sox. Rodriguez has been Boston’s best pitcher of late, going 3-1 with a 3.41 ERA over six August starts. Berrios struggled badly in August, but despite being 0-3 to the Sox lifetime, he still sports a sharp 3.20 ERA in those contests. I think Berrios bounces back and I expect Rodriguez to carry over his recent momentum as well. This one has “duel” written all over it, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Red Sox. |
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09-04-19 | Giants +111 v. Cardinals | Top | 9-8 | Win | 111 | 27 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Giants (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Madison Bumgarner is 9-8 with a 3.62 ERA for the Giants this year, while Michael Wacha is 6-6 with a 5.07 ERA for the Cardinals. The Cards have taken the first two games of this series, 3-1 and 1-0 and I expect the visitors to respond finally on Wednesday. Bumgarner comes in on top form, allowing just eight runs over his last 32 innings of work. I think the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Giants. |
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09-03-19 | White Sox v. Indians OVER 9 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox/Indians over (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK) Cleveland is desperate for victories after a recent scuffling stretch and I expect it to make the most of this opportunity. The Tribe made the most of yesterday’s 11-3 series opening win and I expect a similar final combined score here. Mike Clevinger has been awesome for Cleveland, but this pick is based primarily on the ineptitude of White Sox’ starter Dylan Cease (3-7, 6.92), who went just two innings in his last start vs. the Twins, getting shelled for eight runs off ten hits. Note as well that Chicago has seen the total go over the number in nine of its last 14 in revenging a loss where an opponent score ten or more runs, while Cleveland has seen the total soar over in both games that it’s played in this season as a home fav in the -250 to -330 range. This one has “slugfest” written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Indians. |
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09-03-19 | Phillies +115 v. Reds | Top | 6-2 | Win | 115 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia Phillies (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) The Phillies upset the Reds last night and I expect the visitors to find a way to get the job done here as well. Vince Velasquez is just 6-7 with a 4.86 ERA this season for Philadelphia, but he’s 2-0 over his past three outings, most recently scoring the 12-3 victory over the Pirates on Wednesday, allowing two run over five frames. Lucas Sims (2-1, 4.99) will be called upon to make a spot start for the home side. As a reliever Sims is 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA, but as a starter he’s 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA. The over night change greatly benefits the hungry visiting side. Lay the reasonable price. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Phillies. |
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09-02-19 | Notre Dame v. Louisville +20.5 | Top | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 1353 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Louisville (GAME OF THE YEAR) I’m not calling for the outright victory, but I do believe that the stage is set for a much closer than expected battle. Notre Dame has a lot to live up to this season after posting 12 victories a year ago, including a par of 24-17 victory over Michigan and USC. The Irish’s season came to a crashing halt in the Cotton Bowl though, falling 30-3 to eventual Champion Clemson. Many key players return for Notre Dame, but there’s no question that the Irish lost a lot from last year’s squad in the offseason as well. The good news for Louisville fans? It’s practically impossible for this year’s team to do worse that last season’s (2-10). But Louisville has a new head coach in Scott Satterfield and I think he’ll have his team prepared to fight today. Notre Dame has the advantage with Ian Book under center, but his lines on both sides of the ball are a work in progress to open the season and I think that’s going to be the small opening that Louisville can use to keep this one competitive. Bryan Brown is the new defensive coordinator in Louisville and he is the beneficiary of seven returning starters. Louisville QB Jawon Pass now has a fall year under his belt and I think he’s going to be dramatically different in his second season in this offense. I believe the Irish come out flat to start and because of that, I’ll ultimately recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on Louisville. T.M. Prediction: 33-24 Notre Dame. |
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09-01-19 | Houston +26 v. Oklahoma | Top | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 1329 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston (10* CASH-MACHINE!) No outright victory, but Houston has the offense in place to keep pace. The Cougars have a dynamic play-making QB in D’Eriq King, who I think has a big advantage over Oklahoma transfer Jalen Hurts, who has plenty of weapons around him, but whose defense is still a big question mark (also note that Oklahoma brings back just one starter on the offensive line.) I think this one is going to come down to whichever of these teams has its hands on the ball last. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-01-19 | Indians +171 v. Rays | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Indians (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Tribe won’t be lacking for motivation here after losing five of the six meetings between the clubs this year. The Rays have taken the first two games of this series, but I expect the hungry visitors to find a way to get the job done on Sunday afternoon. The home side turns to Charlie Morton, who is 13-6 with a 3.11 ERA overall, but who fell to 0-2 in his last three starts after getting shelled for six runs off seven hits over four innings in a 15-1 loss to the Astros. The visitors counter with Adam Plutko, who is 6-3 with a 4.34 ERA this season and who is looking for a third win in his last four starts. All things considered, this is unreal value on a dangerous dog backed into a corner. Play on the Indians. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Tribe. |
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08-31-19 | New Mexico State v. Washington State UNDER 64.5 | Top | 7-58 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Mexico State/WSU under (10* TOTAL OF MONTH) The Aggies averaged only 25.2 PPG last year, while conceding 41.3. New Mexico State is expected to be much better defensively though with its entire line returning and the unit led by standout Javahn Ferguson. WSU averaged 37.5 PPG last year and it allowed only 23.3. I have a hard time seeing the Aggies mustering much of offensive attack today vs. this experienced WSU secondary. This total is much too high in my opinion, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 41-15 WSU. |
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08-31-19 | Virginia v. Pittsburgh +3 | Top | 30-14 | Loss | -105 | 1305 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh (10* GAME OF THE MONTH) It’s an important conference matchup right out of the gate for both teams and I don’t think that the home field advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor. Last year the Cavs were 8-5, but it lost at home to Pittsburgh and it lost three of its last four regular season contests. Pittsburgh went on to win the Coastal Division, but it fell apart down the stretch, losing to Clemson in the ACC Championship game and then 14-13 to Stanford in the Sun Bowl. Bryce Perkins is back under center for the Cavs and he had 2,680 rushing yards and 25 TD passes, along with 923 rushing yards and nine more rushing TD’s. The Cavs offensive line though is a weak point with seniors Marcus Applefield and Jake Fieler having moved on. Kenny Pickett is back as QB for the Panthers after finishing with 12 TD’s and six INT’s. The offensive line is s question mark as well for Pittsburgh, but its defense is the difference maker in my opinion. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-31-19 | South Carolina v. North Carolina +7.5 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 1301 h 60 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: North Carolina (9* BANKROLL BUILDER) After back-to-back nine loss campaigns, UNC went out and hired Mack Brown. South Carolina will prove a stiff season opening test with QB Jake Bentley back for his senior season. USC was 26th in the country in passing last year, but only 92nd in running the ball. That’s good news for UNC, as it struggled against the run last season, but was stout vs. the pass. Sam Howell will start for UNC and he has plenty of weapons at his disposal both in the back field and at receiver. I think the hire of Brown is significant in helping UNC making big strides this year. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-31-19 | East Carolina +20 v. NC State | 6-34 | Loss | -109 | 1298 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: East Carolina (8* BLACK-LABEL) East Carolina has the advantage at QB with Holton Ahlers, who had 1,785 passing yards and 12 TD’s compared to just three INT’s last season. But Ahlers was just as deadly with his feet, finishing with 592 rushing yards and six major scores. The Pirates also have two very strong RB’s in Darius Pinnix and Hussein Howe. NC State is starting with a new QB and two new RB’s. The home side has the advantage in the trenches, but I think Ahlers keeps his team in this one late. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-31-19 | Ball State +17 v. Indiana | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 1298 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indiana (8* MONEY-MAKER) Non-conference football action live from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis on Saturday and I think the Hoosiers make the most of this season opening “cream puff.” Indiana started the year 3-0, but it finished just 5-7 and clearly it’ll be hungry to punch eligibility this season. Peyton Ramsey is back under center for the Hoosiers and last year he had 2,875 passing yards and 19 TD’s. Overall Indiana allowed 29.9 PPG and it averaged 26.4. Last year the Ball State Cardinals allowed 45 PPG and they averaged 24.2. Ball State finished 4-8 last year and it starts a new QB and RB to open the new season. I’m laying the points and expecting a rout. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-30-19 | Purdue -8.5 v. Nevada | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 1283 h 10 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (8*) Purdue was 6-7 in 2018, while Nevada went 8-5. The Boilermakers went 0-3 out of the gate last year, so recovered well, which led to a bowl berth in the end. Nevada went to the Arizona Bowl and defeated Arkansas State. Purdue averaged just under 30 PPG last season though and I believe it carries over that offensive momentum here in this favorable matchup. Elijah Sindelar had 2,547 passing yards with 20 TD’s last year for the Boilermakers. Nevada though has a new face under center this season in Christian Solano, who was 23 of 45 for 200 yards in limited time last season (note though, Solano just suffered a hand injury, which has forced the Wolfpack to go to Carson Strong to open the campaign.) Look for the better led Boilermakers to pull away down the stretch. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-30-19 | Utah State v. Wake Forest -3 | 35-38 | Push | 0 | 1282 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Wake Forest (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-30-19 | White Sox v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | Top | 7-10 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox/Braves under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) The Braves are in the drivers seat right now after winning nine of their last 11. Chicago’s Ivan Nova is 9-10 with a 4.37 ERA and he’ll be trying his best to slow down surging Atlanta. He’ll have a difficult time throwing opposite Max Fried, who is 14-4 with a 4.03 ERA. Note though that Nova is on fire, literally the best pitcher in all of MLB right now, going 5-1 with a 0.94 ERA since July 22nd. Also note that over four career starts vs. the Braves he’s 3-1 with a 1.98 ERA. Look for these two starters to throw into the latter innings and for this total to sneak below the posted number once it’s all said and done. T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Braves. |
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08-30-19 | Tulsa +21.5 v. Michigan State | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 1281 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Tulsa (8*) Tulsa doesn’t have a great history of success, having posted more than six victories in a season just once in the past six years. MSU was just 7-6 last year, but it’s predicted to do much better this season. That said, I think the stage is set for a bit of a mental lapse on opening night. Definitely no outright upset, but I think the improved Golden Hurricane can make this much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. Note that the Spartans actually dropped three of their last four games last year, scoring only six points in each of those setbacks. Tulsa has a powerful weapon in RB Shamari Brooks, who ranked second in the AAC last year in rushing attempts and play from scrimmage. MSU allowed the fewest yards per game on the ground last year, but I think they’ll have their hands full with Brooks. I’m grabbing the points and expecting a solid back door cover. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-29-19 | Utah v. BYU +6.5 | Top | 30-12 | Loss | -110 | 1260 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: BYU (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) The outright win is of course not out of the question, but in this Holy War, I’m going to ultimately recommend to grab the points. 15 returning starters are back for Utah, and it’s been picked by many to win the Pac 12 this year. The defense is stout and the offense should only be better with QB Tyler Huntley back, along with RB Zack Moss. BYU actually had a 20 point lead over the Utes in the third quarter in last year’s instalment between the schools, but it wound up falling 35-27. The “revenge” factor also definitely comes into play here for the home side. BYU has a powerful new RB in Ty-Son Williams, who came over from South Carolina after posting 799 yards and five major scores on 165 carries. Grab the points and expect a nail-biter. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-29-19 | Florida International +3 v. Tulane | 14-42 | Loss | -110 | 1258 h 49 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Florida International (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) Clearly an outright upset isn’t out of the question here. FIU is led by veteran coach Butch Davis, who has come in and won 17 games over his last two years. The Panthers weren’t over ally dominant on the offensive end, but they limited teams to just 194.1 YPG game through the air (just 25.2 points per game allowed.) Tulane was 7-6 and they averaged 218.2 rushing YPG. But FIU looks good to me with QB James Morgan back, as he had 26 TD passes last year, including completing 65% of his passes overall. The Green Wave have a strong defense, but the offense is once again expected to underwhelm. Justin McMillian is back under center for the Green Wave and he completed only 51.3 percent of his passes in 2018. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-29-19 | UCLA +3.5 v. Cincinnati | 14-24 | Loss | -100 | 1257 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UCLA (8* UPSET SPECIAL) UCLA opens up its second season under head coach Chip Kelly and I think the Bruins have a prime opportunity at the outright upset here (that said, I will be ultimately advising everyone to grab as many points as you can.) Luke Fickell and the Cincinnati Bearcats had a breakout 11-win season last year, which started with a victory over these very Bruins. UCLA only managed 17 points in that one, but the Bruins finished up the year strong and they return many key players. But a big difference between last year’s team and this one is the emergence of RB Joshua Kelley, who racked up 1,243 yards and nine TD’s over the final stretch. UCLA’s defense should improve significantly this season as well. The Bearcats have plenty of weapons as well (RB Michael Warren II and QB Desmond Ridder), but after last year’s letdown, I think UCLA will at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-29-19 | Falcons v. Jaguars -4 | Top | 31-12 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Jacksonville Jaguars (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) Atlanta doesn’t put much stock into the preseason, as it has rested its starting players throughout for the last few seasons. Nothing will change here. Jacksonville is also 0-3 SU/ATS so far in the preseason, so that makes home field advantage the difference maker in this one in my opinion. Atlanta is already looking ahead to Week 1 of the regular season. ATL is 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road and while Jacksonville has struggled with production in the preseason, I think it’ll have more than enough in Week 4 to deliver the goods in front of the home town crowd. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: Jags. |
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08-28-19 | Cubs v. Mets UNDER 8 | Top | 10-7 | Loss | -113 | 28 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cubs/Mets under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). Two desperate teams square off on Wednesday night and each will trot out a competent starting pitcher. Suffice it to say, I believe that runs will be at a premium tonight. The Cubs turn to Kyle Hendricks, who is 9-9 with a 3.20 ERA, while the home side goes with Noah Syndergaard, who is 9-6 with a 3.71 ERA. Chicago earned a crucial 5-2 win in yesterday’s series opener, snapping a three-game losing streak. I believe that today’s contest sets up as even more of a “duel.” Both Syndergaard and Hendricks come in on top form, having earned victories with scoreless outing in their most recent starts on Thursday. When you add it all up, this one has “under” written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 New York. |
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08-27-19 | A's v. Royals OVER 9.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -113 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: A’s/Royals over (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) Oakland is surging towards the post-season with a 75-55 record. The A’s turn to Mike Fiers in this one and he’s so far 12-3 with a 3.46 ERA and a big reason why Oakland is where it is right now. The home side counters with Mike Montgomery, who is just 3-6 with a poor 5.01 ERA. Oakland won the opener of this series 19-4 last night and I believe a similar final combined score is in the cards on Tuesday as well. Fiers has been downright filthy over the last two months (1-0, 2.44 ERA over his past 19 trips to the hill), however it’s very interesting to note that he’s a poor 2-3 with a 5.30 ERA in seven career starts vs. the Royals. Note that Oakland has seen the total go over the number in 21 of 33 this years a -150 favorite or higher already, while KC has seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of four already this year in revenging a home blowout loss of eight or more runs. This one has “slug-fest” written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 9-5 A’s. |
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08-27-19 | Cubs +104 v. Mets | Top | 5-2 | Win | 104 | 25 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Cubs (10* GAME OF WEEK) Marcus Stroman is 7-11 with a 3.18 ERA this year, while the Cubs’ Yu Darvish is 4-6 with a 4.43 ERA. Darvish comes in off his worst effort of the year, allowing seven runs over 5 1/3’s innings in what turned out to be a 12-11 Chicago win over the Tribe (that stat line is a little misleading though, as Darvish was staked to an early massive lead and he changed his tactics up a bit and instead just started peppering the strike zone.) Regardless note that Darvish is 1-0 with a 3.91 ERA in four starts vs. New York. Chicago though is already 16-12 (+4.3 units) after two or more straight losses this year, while New York is just 13-15 (-3.9 units) after a loss by two runs or less. I like Darvish to bounce back. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Cubs. |
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08-26-19 | A's v. Royals +139 | Top | 19-4 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: KC Royals (10* SUPER SIDE) Homer Bailey is 11-8 for the A’s this year, despite sporting a poor 5.06 ERA. Brad Keller is just 7-13 for the Royals this season, despite owning a sharp 3.65 ERA. Based entirely on the starting pitching tonight, I definitely like the home side hurler in this matchup. Note as well that Oakland is already just 11-12 this year after two or more consecutive losses as well. Great value on the home side here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Royals. |
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08-26-19 | Pirates v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pirates/Phillies under (10* SUPER TOTAL) The Phillies’ just lost two of three in Miami and they’ll be desperate to get things turned around here. Jason Vargas is 6-6 with a 3.99 ERA and while he’s 0-1 over four starts for Philadelphia, he’s still posted a sharp 3.61 ERA. Pittsburgh is only 8-30 since the All Star break, thanks in part to poor starting pitching and an anemic hitting lineup. And after sweeping three straight over the Reds, an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent in my opinion. Musgrove won’t go down without a fight though, as he faced the Phillies on July 20th, giving up no earned runs and striking out eight over six frames of work. From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up beautifully for the a lower-scoring “duel.” Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Phillies. |
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08-25-19 | Steelers v. Titans -1 | Top | 18-6 | Loss | -130 | 151 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tennessee Titans (10* BLOOD-BATH) Pittsburgh will Ben Roethlisberger under center for the first time in the preseason and I believe he’ll struggle a bit in this difficult road venue. Practice is one, but going at full speed for the first time all year can be a bit disconcerting (even for veterans like Big Ben), so Marcus Mariota and backup Ryan Tannehill have the advantage in this Week 3 contest in my opinion. Note that Tennessee plays with some added incentive of “revenge” as well, as last year in Week 3 the Steelers beat the Titans 16-6. I think the overall situation definitely favors the home side. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-25-19 | Yankees v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yanks/Dodgers over (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) Clayton Kershaw is 13-2 with a 2.71 ERA and he’s been the model of consistency for the Dodgers this season. Domingo German is 16-3 with a 5.14 ERA for the Yanks and he enters off an uncharacteristically poor outing in which he allowed six runs over six innings. These are two great pitchers, but there’s no question that each faces a challenging line-up. Game 1 went well over the number in New York’s win, but Game 2 was a rule in last night’s 2-1 victory for the Dodgers. Note though that New York has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last nine interleague road games after being held to one run or less in its previous game. The writing is on the wall and a slug-fest is in the cards. T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Dodgers. |
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08-25-19 | Nationals v. Cubs +109 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cubs (10* MONEY-MAKER). After dropping the first two games of this series and now sitting 1.5 games behind the Cardinals, I believe the Cubs are going to find a way to avoid the series sweep. Stephen Strasburg is 15-5 with a 3.65 ERA for the Nationals and he’ll be opposed for Cole Hamels, who is 7-4 with a 3.73 ERA. Both pitchers are coming off victories. Granted Strasburg has had the stronger season and he comes in on top form (he’s also had plenty of success vs. the Cubs in the past), but as mentioned off the top I simply feel that he’s in the wrong place at the wrong time here. Hamels has dominated the Nationals throughout his career as well. The writing is on the wall and a letdown is finally imminent for the Nats in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Cubs. |
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08-24-19 | Arizona -11.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -100 | 1140 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think Arizona comes in focused on the task at hand and I look for it to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Khalil Tate is back to 100% health for the Wildcats and after finishing 5-7 in Kevin Sumiln’s first year as head coach, I’m expecting a dramatic reverse of fortunes this season. Conversely, after finishing 8-6 last year, I believe regression is imminent for the Warriors. True Cole McDonald is back under center for Hawaii, but I believe he’ll have difficult vs. this re-vamped Arizona defensive unit. The last time these teams faced off against each other, the Wildcats won 47-28 in 2016 and I believe a similar lop-sided blowout is in the card this time around as well. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-24-19 | Broncos v. Rams | Top | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 37 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Rams (10* TRADE-MARK) No need to overthink this one. Denver has already said that it plans to rest almost all of its starters, while LA has stated that it plans to play most of its star players. Denver comes in with zero momentum after last week’s 24-15 loss to San Francisco. Note though that the Broncos played in the Hall of Fame Game, which is the reasoning behind resting his starters today. But with the high-powered Rams finally unleashing their full offensive arsenal in Week 3, I look for this to be a blowout of epic proportions. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-24-19 | Saints v. Jets UNDER 42.5 | Top | 28-13 | Win | 100 | 126 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Saints/Jets under (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Jets’ Sam Darnold and the Saints’ Drew Brees are both expected to only see a couple of series in this one. After that it’s back to the back-ups and wannabe’s for both sides. With that in mind, I believe it’s going to be each side’s defensive units which end up “stealing the show.” Note as well that the Jets have seen the under hit in seven straight preseason home games, limiting their opposition to just 12.4 PPG over that stretch. Not only that, but New Orleans has seen the under hit in ten of its last 13 preseason match ups, with nine of those coming well below the 40 point mark. This number is a tad high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 17-14 Saints. |
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08-24-19 | Florida -7 v. Miami-FL | 24-20 | Loss | -115 | 1137 h 7 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Florida (8*) No. 8 Florida looks to kick things off with a winner on Opening night. Dan Mullen went 10-3 in his first year for the Gators, leading them to a win over Michigan in the Peach Bowl. With veteran QB Feleipe Franks back under center, the Gators once again looking promising in 2019. True Florida features four new players on the offensive line, but for the most part the offensive weapons remain in tact for Franks. Miami though is just 1-4 as an underdog the last two season and I believe first year QB Jarren Williams struggles vs. the aggressive Florida secondary. I’m laying the points. T.M. Prediction: 35-25 Florida. |
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08-24-19 | Florida v. Miami-FL OVER 50.5 | 24-20 | Loss | -107 | 1137 h 7 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Over Florida/Miami Florida (8*) No. 8 Florida looks to kick things off with a winner on Opening night. Dan Mullen went 10-3 in his first year for the Gators, leading them to a win over Michigan in the Peach Bowl. With veteran QB Feleipe Franks back under center, the Gators once again looking promising in 2019. True Florida features four new players on the offensive line, but for the most part the offensive weapons remain in tact for Franks. Miami though is just 1-4 as an underdog the last two season and I believe first year QB Jarren Williams struggles vs. the aggressive Florida secondary. I also believe that the Hurricanes are going to have their hands full with Frank, who will be looking to alleviate the pressure of his line by dominating from the “get go.” This one has “shootout” written all over in my opinion, play the over. T.M. Prediction: 35-25 Florida. |
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08-23-19 | Yankees v. Dodgers OVER 9 | Top | 10-2 | Win | 105 | 31 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yanks/Dodgers over (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) Hyun-Jin Ryu is 12-3 with a 1.64 ERA this season for the Dodgers, while James Paxton is 9-6 with a 4.53 ERA for the Yankees. Ryu though enters off his worst start of the season, allowing four runs over five innings in a loss to the Braves. The Yanks’ bats have quieted down some of late, but clearly they’re going to be focused on this particular opponent this weekend. Paxton most recently allowed five runs over six innings in a no-decision at Dodger Stadium back in 2015. I think the stage is set for some offensive fireworks between MLB’s best teams in what is very likely going to be a World Series preview. Play the over. T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Dodgers. |
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08-23-19 | Bills v. Lions OVER 41.5 | Top | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 103 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bills/Lions over (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) The Lions are 0-2. They have a competition for the No. 2 spot behind Matthew Stafford between Josh Johnson and David Fales. Detroit will be pushing the pace here, but note that it’s already allowed an average of 30.5 PPG over the first two games. Buffalo is getting huge production from rookie QB Josh Allen and backup Matt Barkley. With both teams opening up the playbook, look for this total to fly “over” sooner, rather than later. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-23-19 | Browns -1 v. Bucs | Top | 12-13 | Loss | -130 | 102 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Browns (10* GAME OF WEEK) So far Cleveland has looked like the real deal. It’s allowed only 14 PPG so far in the preseason and the offense, including the backups are already performing at an extremely high level. The Bucs have looked decent in one game, but last week they allowed three passing TD’s to the Steelers. The uncertainty at QB and with the offense as a whole make Tampa a risky call in Week 3. I’m banking on Cleveland’s momentum rolling for another week. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-22-19 | Packers v. Raiders +2 | 21-22 | Win | 100 | 79 h 47 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Oakland Raiders (8*) Yes Packers’ QB Aaron Rodgers is expected to see a few snaps in this game that’s being played in Winnipeg Manitoba on Thursday, but I think that Jon Gruden and the Raiders, who are already 2-0 so far this preseason, keep the foot on the gas in Week 3 as well. Last week the Packers fell 26-13 to the Ravens. Last week the Packers’ defense looked shaky after ranking 22nd overall last year. The Oakland backup QB’s looked sharp last week, with Mike Glennon going 11 of 14 for 175 yards and two TD’s, while Nathan Peterman was 8 of 8 for 41 yards. Look for Oakland’s strong start to the preseason to carry over in Week 3. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-22-19 | Jaguars +2.5 v. Dolphins | 7-22 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Jacksonville Jaguars (8*) Last year Jacksonville finished fifth on the defensive end. It has a new QB in Nick Foles and a RB that’s looking for a rebound season. After starting 0-2, I think Jacksonville’s starters take advantage of a Dolphins’ team that goes to veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick under center. Josh Rosen is also expected to see plenty of time today. The uncertainty for the Dolphins at the QB position swings the odds in favor of the Jags here in my opinion. Obviously the outright is possible, but grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-22-19 | Redskins v. Falcons +2.5 | Top | 19-7 | Loss | -105 | 78 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Falcons (10*) Both of these teams are winless so far in the preseason. The Redskins’ Jay Gruden and the Falcons’ Dan Quinn are both on the hot seat. Both teams have plenty of issues heading into this one. Atlanta likely won’t even start veteran QB Matt Ryan here. Washington though has major issues at the QB position, as it now looks like Case Keenum is going to have the starters job come Week 1. Keenum will see little time here, with Dwayne Haskins once again expected to get the bulk of action for the visitors. Matt Schaub will see most of the time for the Falcons under center. I like ATL to finally get off the schneid with a win at home in this favorable matchup. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-22-19 | Giants v. Bengals -1 | 25-23 | Loss | -120 | 78 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bengals (8*) Both teams had poor campaigns last year and each is expected to once again struggle this season. Giants coach Pat Shurmur is 7-7 SU all time in the preseason, which includes a 1-3 in mark in Week 3. New York has won and covered each of the first two games of the preseason, but I think a letdown is imminent here. New York continues to play without top WR’s Sterling Shepard and Golden Tate to injury. The Bengals are 1-1 after two weeks of the preseason, but the team benefits greatly in playing its first home game in Week 3. The Bengals prevailed 23-13 in Washington last weekend and I believe they carry that momentum over here. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-21-19 | Indians +140 v. Mets | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Indians (10* TRADE-MARK) After getting blown out in last night’s series opener, I think the hard-hitting visiting side will bounce back on Wednesday. The Indians go with Adam Plutko, who is 5-3 with a 4.67 ERA so far, while the home side turns to Marcus Stroman (7-11, 3.21). Cleveland is the much more “desperate” team here, as it’s lost five of its last seven and its grip on the wild card is down to just a handful of games. There’s no room for error for Cleveland. New York is on a tear, winner in 11 of its last 12, but I think a letdown is now finally imminent. Stroman is 1-0 for his new team, but sports an unsightly 5.17 ERA in that span. Plutko is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA in two appearances vs. the NL. I think the desperate Indians get back on track here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Indians. |
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08-20-19 | Brewers v. Cardinals +103 | Top | 4-9 | Win | 103 | 25 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Louis Cardinals (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Cards come in hot, having won five straight after last night’s series opening victory. St. Louis now has a half game lead over the Cubs and it’s three up on the Brewers. Michael Wacha is just 6-6 with a 5.44 ERA for the Cards this year, but he’s 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in two starts vs. the Brewers this season and 6-0 with a 3.84 ERA in 13 career appearances opposed. Wacha most recently allowd two runs over five innings vs. the Reds on Tuesday. Gio Gonzalez is 2-1 with a 3.81 ERA this year and in ten career games vs. the Cards he’s 3-4 with a 3.51 ERA. Most recently Gonzalez was shelled for five runs over three innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Nationals. Great value on the surging home side here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Cardinals. |
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08-20-19 | Royals v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Royals/Orioles under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK). Two pitchers who would like a “mulligan” on their respective seasons collide in this American League matchup of cellar dwellers. But both Brad Keller and Dylan Bundy greatly benefit in facing their respective soft-hitting opponents this evening and when the smoke does finally clear, I believe they’ll be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Last night the Royals managed a 5-4 win, but I think we’ll see much more of a “duel” here. Keller has lost four in a row, but note that the anemic Royals have scored only five runs in those contests. Additionally note that Keller is a spectacular 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in one career starts vs. the O’s. Bundy’s had a terrible overall season, but he’s been better of late and he has a big opportunity today facing the lowly Royals. Look for this one to sneak under. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Orioles. |
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08-19-19 | 49ers v. Broncos | Top | 24-15 | Loss | -130 | 176 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Broncos (10* ULTIMATE BEST OF THE BEST) San Francisco has position battles going on for the No. 2 QB spot and for top RB spot. I don’t think this venue is a very conducive atmosphere for positive production though. Denver looked sloppy in its 22-14 loss in Seattle in Week 1, but I think it gets back on track here in its first home opportunity of the season. The Broncos are 7-3 SU and 6-3-1 ATS in their last ten preseason games and after dropping their first one, I believe they pull out all the stops in front of the home town crowd. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-19-19 | Padres v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -101 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Padres/Reds over (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK) The recent form of each starting pitcher is the deciding reason why I like the “over” in this one. The Padres’ Eric Lauer is 6-8 with a 4.55 ERA and he’s been particularly ineffective on the road by going just 3-5 with a 6.20 ERA. Trevor Bauer is 10-9 with a 4.12 ERA for the Reds and while he had a strong start for his new team, he comes in off one of his worst outings of his career, getting shelled for nine runs off eight hits with two walks over 4.1 innings. I believe each starter gets the hook early and as a result, I’m playing the over. T.M. Prediction: 7-5 Reds. |
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08-19-19 | Nationals v. Pirates +118 | Top | 13-0 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh Pirates (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Nationals are in a furious race to the finish line for one of the Wild Card spots, but I think their Monday night game sets up as a “letdown” spot. The visitors go with Joe Ross on the mound and he’s so far 3-3 with a 5.91 ERA. The home side goes with Trevor Williams and he’s 5-5 with a 5.25 ERA so far. Ross comes in off his best start of the year, holding the Reds to one run over six innings on Tuesday. Ross has strung together three straight decent outings, but note that he’s still only 2-2 with a 5.76 ERA in all “night” contests thus far. I think Ross is “throwing over his head” at the moment and I think regression is indeed imminent. Williams the Pirates are out to play spoiler here. Williams is out to turn things around to finish off the 2019 campaign after a poor start to the season. As a reliever Williams is 0-2 with an 11.17 ERA, but as a starter he’s 3-1 with a 1.54 ERA. The stage is set for the upset in this one. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Pirates. |
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08-18-19 | Seahawks v. Vikings UNDER 42 | Top | 19-25 | Loss | -108 | 152 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hawks/Vikes under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) The Vikings took advantage of a terrible New Orleans Saints defense in Week 1 as they exploded for the 34-25 victory in The Big Easy. The Seahawks though present an entirely different challenge. The Hawks lost this game 21-20 last year. Seattle has already named its No. 1 starting RB in Chris Carson, leaving it wide open for the RB2 spot. The Vikes’ got great play out of their backup offensive players last week, but I’m expecting a more conservative approach in Week 2. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-18-19 | Saints +3 v. Chargers | Top | 19-17 | Win | 104 | 148 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Orleans Saints (10* MONEY-MAKER) Both teams come in off losses. The Saints fell 34-25 at home to the Vikings and while the defense played poorly, overall the offense was firing on all cylinders, even without Drew Brees on the field. With several defensive starters expected to see much more time this week, I believe New Orleans will look a lot better on that end of the field today. But as mentioned above, New Orleans got great QB play from Taysom Hill and Teddy Bridgewater and I believe they’ll both be difference makers in this one as well. LA had ten penalties for 85 yards in last week’s loss in Arizona. With QB Philip Rivers once again sitting this one out, Tyrod Taylor will once again take center stage for the Bolts. Taylor was 6 of 6 for 72 yards last week, but also as mentioned above, I think he’ll have a difficult time today vs. this Saints defense that’ll be playing with a chip on its shoulder. Outright victory?! Of course, but in the end let’s grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-18-19 | Twins v. Rangers -132 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -132 | 22 h 33 m | Show |
.M. Selection: Texas Rangers (10* MONEY-MAKER) Minnesota needs all the wins it can at this point as it tries to maintain its slim lead in the division. Texas of course would love nothing more than to play spoiler and I believe the stage is indeed set for that to happen in this one on Sunday afternoon. Martin Perez is 8-5 with a 4.57 ERA for Minnesota and he comes in off a strong start vs. the Brewers on Tuesday, allowing one run over six frames. Perez though comes in sporting a poor 2-3, 5.01 ERA in all “day” games this year. Lance Lynn is 14-8 with a 3.54 ERA for the Rangers this year and he enters off a tough luck loss, giving up one run while striking out six over five innings vs. the Jays on Tuesday. Lynn comes in highly motivated, as he’s lost back-to-back starts despite allowing just two earned runs spanning 12 innings of work (note that Lynn is a superb 9-1 with a 3.54 ERA at home this season as well.) I’m banking on the minor upset in this one. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Rangers. |
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08-17-19 | Patriots v. Titans UNDER 41 | Top | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 127 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pats/Titans under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) The Patriots destroyed the Lions 31-3 in Week 1, but they could be get caught looking ahead here to their first home game of the season in Week 3. That’s when Tom Brady is going to finally see some action. With the backup offense already firing on all cylinders, I believe an added emphasis will be put onto the defensive side of things for the visitors. Last year Mike Vrabel’s Titans went 0-4 in the preseason, but last week they crushed the Eagles 27-10. These team’s defenses are excelling early and I look for that trend to continue. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-17-19 | Browns v. Colts | Top | 21-18 | Win | 100 | 124 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Browns (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Browns steamrolled the Redskins 30-10 in Week 1 and I believe the visitors come in and find a way to get the job done here as well. Cleveland’s new head coach Freddie Kitchens has set an early precedent and I expect that trend to continue in Week 2. The Colts come in off a loss to the Bills, as Jacoby Brissett was just 2 of 5 for 21 yards. Look for the Browns to continue to put the pressure on team’s early. Play on Cleveland. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-17-19 | West Ham United v. Brighton & Hove Albion +162 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 73 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brighton and Hove Albion (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Seagulls come in off a 3-0 win at Watford last weekend and I believe Brighton carries that momentum over here. West Ham looked horrible in its Week 1 defeat by champions Manchester and I have a hard time seeing the Hammers doing much better here. Note as well that West Ham has lost both previous EPL matches in Sussex and it hasn’t beating the Seagulls since they were promoted. I don’t think Brighton’s Week 1 play is a “fluke.” Great value on the home side. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Brighton. |
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08-16-19 | Orioles v. Red Sox UNDER 12 | Top | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orioles/Red Sox under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) I’m expecting this total to sneak under once it’s all said and done. The Orioles hand the ball to Aaron Brooks, who is 2-6 with a 6.35 ERA. Brooks comes in off back-to-back poor outings and now owns a 59:21 K:BB over 71.2 innings. Brooks will be opposed by Rick Porcello, who is 10-9 with a 5.67 ERA. Porcello is sticking in the starting rotation out of necessity, but the veteran clearly has the track record and pedigree to get things turned around before the end of the season. So while both pitchers haven’t been great to this point, I will point out that Baltimore has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 11 road games as an American League underdog in the +150 to +200 range. I think Porcello comes in focused and takes advantage of this favorable matchup. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Red Sox. |
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08-16-19 | Bills v. Panthers UNDER 40 | Top | 27-14 | Loss | -108 | 103 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bills/Panthers under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) After going 9-7 in 2017, the Bills fell to just 6-10 last year. Buffalo is expected to produce a similar result here, with more questions than answers on both sides of the ball, but especially on the offensive end. The Panthers also took a major step back after making the Playoffs in 2018, falling to 7-9 last year. Note that these teams are practicing vs. each other on Tuesday and Wednesday and when that happens before a game in the preseason, those contests often are much more competitive. And I absolutely believe that’s going to be the case here. From a situational stand point I believe this sets up great as a lower-scoring affair. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-15-19 | Raiders v. Cardinals -3.5 | 33-26 | Loss | -105 | 80 h 47 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Arizona Cardinals (8*) Cards’ QB Kyler Murray looked good in his first start in last week’s victory and I believe the rookie and his team carry that momentum over here. The Raiders enter off a satisfying 14-3 win at home over the Rams in Week 1 and I believe that Jon Gruden and company just go through the motions here today. Raiders’ backup QB Mike Glennon threw two picks last week. LA’s defense looked OK last week, but note that none of LA’s starting offense was even on the field. I expect Arizona to take this game seriously and I will therefore lay the points with confidence. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-15-19 | Jets +1.5 v. Falcons | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 79 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: New York Jets (8*) Matt Ryan is expected to play less than a quarter for the Falcons on Thursday night, his first action of the preseason (the Falcons third game after also playing in the Hall of Fame Game.) New York has to be feeling pretty confident here though as note that the Falcons are a terrible 0-10 ATS in their last ten preseason games. Last week New York starting QB Sam Darnold played one series and he went 4 of 5 for 68 yards and a TD. The Falcons’ starters see limited time during the preseason and I believe that trend continues here. Clearly the outright isn’t out of the question, but in the end I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-15-19 | Bengals +3 v. Redskins | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 79 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati Bengals (8*) Dwayne Haskins will once again see the majority of snaps for Washington today. Last week he threw two INT’s in his team’s 30-10 beatdown loss to the Browns. Keep your eyes on the Bengals’ Tyler Boyd, who had three catches for 25 yards last week and who will the No. 1 receiver after the injury to AJ Green. I think Haskins continues to struggle. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-15-19 | Packers v. Ravens -3.5 | 13-26 | Win | 100 | 79 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Baltimore Ravens (8*) Aaron Rodgers and the starters will see limited time here, but the Ravens come in off a 29-0 beatdown win over the Jaguars and I believe they’ll carry that momentum over here. Baltimore takes the pre-season seriously though, as the Ravens come in having won 15 straight preseason contests. Matt LaFleur got his first win as head coach with the Packers in last week’s thrilling 28-26 come from behind effort over the Texans and I think the visitors suffer a predictable letdown here. From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up great for a home side rout. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-15-19 | Eagles v. Jaguars -3 | 24-10 | Loss | -103 | 79 h 48 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Jacksonville Jaguars (8*) 2018 Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles signed a four-year 88 million dollar deal with the Jaguars and he’ll see a bit of time today vs. his former team. Both teams come in off difficult/awkward losses in Week 1, which swings the value in favor of the home side in my opinion here with the advantage of playing on its own field. Note though that the Jags sat out 30 players in their 29-0 loss in Baltimore. The Eagles’ are trying to figure out who will play behind Carson Wentz, so expect to see a bunch of Nate Sudfield this evening. Expect a rejuvenated home side to bounce back big after last week’s vanilla effort. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-14-19 | Cubs +106 v. Phillies | Top | 1-11 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cubs (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Phillies won yesterday’s series opener, but I think the visitors bounce back here with Cole Hamels on the mound facing his former team. Philadelphia won 4-2 yesterday and it had nine hits despite also striking out 15 times. The home side goes with Aaron Nola, who is 10-3 with a 3.67 ERA. Nola comes in off a “dud,” allowing three runs over five innings in a 5-0 loss to the Giants (Nola is 2-1 vs. Chicago despite a ballooned 5.11 ERA over four career starts.) Hamels is 6-3 with a 3.09 ERA overall this year and he comes in off a poor start as well, allowing five runs to the Reds over three innings. Previous to that though Hamels had posted a minuscule 1.07 ERA. I believe the stage is now set for the Cubs to avenge yesterday’s setback and to pull off the slight upset here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Cubs. |
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08-14-19 | Orioles v. Yankees UNDER 11 | Top | 5-6 | Push | 0 | 20 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orioles/Yankees under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) So far every game in this series has flown over the number, with the Yanks continuing their domination of the Orioles, but I believe that the finale finally sets up as more of a “duel.” Dylan Bundy is just 5-12 with a 5.04 ERA for Baltimore this year, but he enters off a decent outing vs. Houston Friday, allowing two runs over six innings, making it the third time in four trips to the hill that he’s allowed two runs or fewer. JA Happ gets the nod for the home side and he’s 9-7 with a 5.48 ERA this season. Happ for the most part has been a major disappointment for New York this year after coming over from the Blue Jays, but the veteran has the experience and tools in place to finish up strong before the playoffs (note as well that Happ is a solid 8-7 with a 3.60 ERA in 24 career appearances vs. the Orioles.) When you add it all up, I think this one sneaks below the posted number once it’s all said and done. T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Yanks. |
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08-13-19 | Cubs v. Phillies +117 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 117 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia Phillies (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) I absolutely expect Jason Vargas and the hungry home side to deliver the goods here. Vargas is 6-6 with a 4.09 ERA this season and he’ll be opposed by the Cubs’ Jose Quintana, who is 10-7 with a 4.23 ERA. Chicago though is just 23-35 on the road this year and it comes in having lost 11 straight road series in a row (Cubs have a poor 4.80 ERA on the road.) Note that Quintana is 0-1 with a 5.29 ERA in three starts at Citizen’s Bank park. Philly is 34-26 at home this year and Vargas is 3-0 with a 3.95 ERA in seven career match ups vs. the Cubs. All things considered, a great deal on the home side here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Phillies. |
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08-13-19 | Orioles v. Yankees UNDER 10 | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orioles/Yankees under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) I had a play on the “under” in Game 1 of yesterday’s double-header between these teams and unfortunately, that was a loser. Both games blasted past the posted number, with the Yanks resuming their dominance of the lowly Orioles with a couple of blowout victories. I believe today’s contest sets up as more of a “duel” finally. John Means is 8-7 with a 3.36 ERA for the Orioles this year and while he enters off an outing to forget, note that he’s a sharp 6-4 with a 3.34 ERA in all “night” contests this season. The Yanks’ Domingo German is 15-2 with a 4.05 ERA this season and has a sharp 1.12 WHIP and a whopping 117/25 K/W as well. I expect the starters to go deep and for this one to stay well under once it’s all said and done. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Yanks. |
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08-12-19 | Pirates +122 v. Angels | Top | 10-2 | Win | 122 | 30 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh Pirates (10* TRADE-MARK) Rookie Mitch Keller is 0-1 with a 10.50 ERA and he’s been recalled from Triple-A to make his fourth career start here for the Bucs. Luckily for Keller he faces rookie Jose Suarez, who is just 2-3 with a 6.22 ERA. Pittsburgh’s been out of the playoff picture for a long time now, but it’s still competitive after an eight game losing streak. Last night the Pirates lost 9-8 in St. Louis, after having a 6-3 lead late. Clearly Pittsburgh won’t be lacking for motivation here. The Angels had lost six in a row, before taking two straight off Boston, but I think a return home leads to complacency. I believe the “hungrier” team is poised to break its slide and score the minor upset on Monday night. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Pirates. |
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08-12-19 | Orioles v. Yankees UNDER 10.5 | Top | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orioles/Yanks under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) New York leads the season series 13-2. The Yanks enter on a 12-game win streak vs. the Orioles. But after hitting 16 homers in Baltimore last week, I think the opener of this double-header sets up as more of a “duel.” James Paxton comes in on top form for New York, going 2-0 with a 2.13 ERA over his last two starts (note that Paxton is 4-1 with a 3.38 ERA in six career outings vs. Baltimore.) Gabriel Ynoa is just 1-6 with a 5.57 ERA for Baltimore this season, including 0-1 with a 3.99 ERA in two career starts vs. New York. Note though that the Orioles have seen the total go under the number in 15 of their last 20 American League day road game as an underdog in the +175 to +275 range. This number is a tad high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Yanks. |
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08-11-19 | A's v. White Sox +119 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago White Sox (10* TRADE-MARK) The White Sox turn to their ace Lucas Giolito today to try and win the rubber match vs. the A’s. Giolito is 12-5 with a 3.44 ERA and he enters off a quality start and victory over Detroit on Monday, a win which snapped a five start winless skid. Oakland fell to 4-1 in this series after last night’s loss and I think it’s ripe for the picking here as well with Chris Bassitt on the hill. Bassitt has been hit or miss this year and he’s just 1-1 with a 4.32 ERA over 16 2/3’s innings vs. the White Sox. Giolito has been “money in the bank” all season in this spot as well, going 6-1 with a minuscule 1.77 ERA in all “day” games. Great value on the superior starter here. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 White Sox. |
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08-11-19 | Cubs v. Reds UNDER 9 | Top | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 21 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cubs/Reds under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) I think that Jon Lester and Luis Castillo are primed for a classic “duel” on Sunday afternoon. Cincinnati won 10-1 on Saturday behind three home runs from 25 year old Aristides Aquino. Lester is 9-8 with a 4.39 ERA and he enters off his worst start of his career, allowing 11 runs off ten hits over four innings in an 11-4 loss to the A’s. The 35-year old has to be feeling good about a bounce back here though as he’s 7-2 with a 3.53 ERA in 17 career starts vs. the Reds. Castillo is 11-4 with a 2.63 ERA and he’s 2-1 vs. the Cubs this year and 4-2 with a 3.29 ERA in nine career starts against them. I think the finale of this series sets up as a “duel.” Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Reds. |
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08-10-19 | Cowboys v. 49ers -3 | Top | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 245 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Francisco 49ers (10* GAME OF MONTH) The Cowboys once again come into the season embroiled in controversy, with No. 1 RB Ezekiel Elliot holding out in a contract dispute. That turns the spotlight onto other hopeful backups before his issue is settled, but it certainly also is a major distraction for the team once again. San Francisco comes in as the much more prepared team. The Cowboys are interestingly 0-6 in their last six Week 1 preseason games under head coach Jason Garrett. And that includes a 24-21 loss to these very 49ers a year ago. Both team’s stars will see limited (or no) playing time at all here, but the home field advantage is the difference maker for me. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-09-19 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 32 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: D-Backs/Dodgers under (10* TOTAL OF YEAR) These are two really good pitchers going up against two really good hitting line-ups. When the smoke does finally clear at the end of night though, I do indeed believe it’ll be the starting hurlers who are the “main story-lines” in tomorrow’s summaries. Arizona ace Robbie Ray is 10-7 with a 4.03 ERA this year and so far he owns a sharp 178:58 K:BB over 134 innings of work. Walker Buehler gets the nod for the home side and he’s 10-2 with a tiny 3.22 ERA. Buehler comes in off a strong outing vs. the Padres on Saturday, allowing one run while striking out 15 over a complete nine innings. So far over 131.1 innings the 25-year old had 152 strikeouts. Look for these two horses to battle deep and for this total to stay well below the posted number. T.M. Prediction: D-Backs/Dodgers. |
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08-09-19 | Vikings v. Saints UNDER 37 | Top | 34-25 | Loss | -108 | 220 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vikes/Saints under (10* TOTAL OF MONTH) New Orleans is stacked with talent once again this year. The Saints have been knocked out of the playoffs in back to back seasons, both times on heart-breaking controversial calls. The Sainst picked up ex Viking Teddy Bridgewater and Latavius Murray, who will see time today in a backup role to Alvin Kamara. Minnesota won’t be lacking for motivation this season either though, as it was just 8-7-1 last year. The Vikes had a horrible run game and that lack of firepower clearly effected the play of QB Kirk Cousins. Minnesota has bolstered its offensive line and it’ll be focusing heavily on establishing its run game throughout the preseason. With the star players of each team seeing limited or no time at all, I do definitely expect this total to stay well under once it’s all said and done. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-09-19 | Norwich City v. Liverpool UNDER 3.25 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -112 | 246 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Norwich City/Liverpool under (10* TOTAL OF MONTH) The Premier League returns tonight with Champions League winner Liverpool taking on Norwich City at Anfield. Norwich City is one of three teams that has been promoted from the second division. The Reds finished second in the EPL last year behind eventual champion Manchester City. Liverpool is stout, with Alisson in goal and Virgil van Dijk on defense. I simply have a hard time seeing Norwich City mustering any attack today. And I don’t see Liverpool pressing the matter either. This one has the feel of a lower-scoring defensive affair in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: 2-0 Liverpool. |
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08-08-19 | Texans v. Packers -1 | 26-28 | Win | 100 | 197 h 30 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Green Bay Packers (8*) Both teams have big expectations coming into the season. Every team always has big expectations coming into the year, but a successful campaign has just as much to do with timing and chemistry as it does with the talent on the field and in Week 1 of the preseason, none of any of that matters anyways. The offensive and defensive stars for both sides will see limited to no time tonight. But Green Bay has a new head-coach in Matt LaFleur and I think he coaches to win his debut. And it’s as simple as that for me on this one. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-08-19 | Redskins v. Browns -1 | Top | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 196 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Browns (10*) Both teams have big expectations this year, but clearly the spot light is on the Browns to perform an this season. With big free agent acquisition OBJ and with QB Baker Mayfield with a year of experience under his belt, along with what is expected to be one of the best defenses in the league, Cleveland will absolutely want to be starting things off on the “right foot” right out of the gate. The offensive stars for both teams will see limited to no time, The Redskins used three QB’s over their final six games last year, Josh Johnson, Colt McCoy and Mark Sanchez and they’d go 0-5. The Browns were in playoff contention until Week 16 last season. Look for the home side to take advantage of familiar surroundings and lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-08-19 | Titans +3.5 v. Eagles | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 196 h 1 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Titans (8*) Tennessee was 9-7 last year under then first year coach Mike Vrabel. But after going 0-4 SU/ATS in the preseason last year, I think that Vrabel takes it more seriously this time around. Philadelphia welcomes back Carson Wentz to the mix, but there’s still plenty of question marks surrounding the Eagles. In Game 1 of the preseason, the starters won’t see much (if any) time on the field of play anyways. The Titans have an extremely capable back up QB in Ryan Tannehill, who comes over from Miami with a chip on his shoulder. I think he’ll be a difference maker in this one. Outright win is possible of course, but grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-08-19 | Jets v. Giants +2 | 22-31 | Win | 100 | 196 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Giants (8*) Instead of facing off in Week 3 of the preseason like these team’s normally do, the Jets and Giants are meeting in Week 1. Normally the starters play in Week 3, but in this one it’ll be the backups and wannabe’s. Last year the Giants defeated the Jets 22-16 and I’m expecting a similar final outcome here as well (note that Eli Manning completed four of seven passes for 26 yards in Week 1 of the 2018 preseason.) Sam Darnold isn’t expected to see any time here for the Jets under center, but Davis Webb, who played for the Giants last year in the preseason, is now the backup. The Giants selected Daniel Jones No. 6 in the draft and he’ll be seeing considerable time under center. I believe Jones comes to play today as this one has upset written all over it. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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