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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-02-20 | Tottenham Hotspur +102 v. Sheffield United | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 52 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tottenham (10* GAME OF THE MONTH). Sheffield United is coming off a 3-0 loss to Man U and I expect a similar fate here as well. The Blades have now failed to find the back of the net in three straight fixtures since the re-start and I believe their ineptitude will definitely carry over here as well. The Spurs come off a 2-0 win over West Ham and I predict a similar outcome here as well. One player to keep your eyes on for the visitors is the surging Harry Kane, who had the winner in last week's London Derby. T.M. Prediction: 2-0. |
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07-01-20 | Granada v. Deportivo Alaves +137 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Alaves (10* MONEY-MAKER). Both teams come in struggling, but after three straight losses, I expect Alaves to find a way to get back into the winners circle this afternoon. Alaves most recently fell 2-1 on the road vs. Atletico Madrid. Alaves also plays with revenge here after a 3-0 loss to Granada in the reverse fixture. Granada is off a 2-1 loss at home vs. Eibar and it has just three victories in 16 away fixtures. The host team has been successful in all H2H matchups in this series since 2016 and I expect that strong trend to carry over here. T.M. Prediction: 2-0. |
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06-27-20 | Bayern Munich -123 v. VfL Wolfsburg | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 65 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bayern Munich (10* TRADE-MARK). After its 4-1 win over Schalke last weekend, a victory which cemented its place in the Europa League, I believe that Wolfsburg will take a stpe back here. Bayern Munich enters off a relatively simple 3-1 win over Freiburg last time out and I expect it to keep the momentum carrying over here. No letdowns or big upsets, as I look for the Bavarian Giant to get the job done. T.M. Prediction: 2-0 Bayern Munich. |
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06-27-20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers -118 v. Aston Villa | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 63 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wolverhampton (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Aston Villa is the host team here, but it enters injured with Tom Heaton, Wesley, and Bjorn Engels out, while Frederic Guilbert and Daniel Drinkwater are both rated doubtful as well. And that's music to the Wolves ears, who enter surging after B2B wins over West Ham and Bournemouth. I like Wolverhampton to keep the momentum rolling here, especially considering that Nuno Espirito has a full squad to call upon. I'm laying the price! T.M. Prediction: 2-0 Wolverhampton. |
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06-24-20 | AFC Bournemouth v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 75 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wolves/Bournemouth OVER (10* TOTAL OF WEEK). Wolverhampton laid the hammer down on West Ham in last week's first game back from the break by a score of 2-0 and I like the Wolves to keep that offensive momentum rolling over here. In particular I'll recommend to keep an eye on Mexican star player Raul Jimenez for the home side, as he scored his 14th marker last weekend. The Cherries won't be lacking for motivation here either though after a disappointing 2-0 loss at home to Crystal Palace in their opener. Bournemouth is on a five-match winless streak, but I expect it to have some opportunties today as well at Molineux Stadium. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Wolverhampton. |
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06-23-20 | West Ham United v. Tottenham Hotspur -143 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 53 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Tottenham (8* MONEY-MAKER). Tottenham scored a late goal to tie Manchester United last week, but I think the Spurs will "lay the hammer down" on the Hammers here on Tuesday. Tottenham can't lose anymore ground in its search for a Champions League berth. West Ham though came out flat in its first game back, losing 2-0 to the Wolves. This one SCREAMS beatdown in my opinion. The Hammers have several key injuries here as well, while Tottenham remains healthy. All things considered, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value," so lay it! T.M. Prediction: 2-0 Tottenham. |
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06-23-20 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Leicester -135 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -135 | 51 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Leicester City (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Leicester City will be ready to take out its frustrations on Brighton and Hove Albion after giving up a late goal to Watford in its first game back from the Covid break in extra time. One point is decent, but Leicester has a prime opportunity to produce the full three here vs. Brighton and Hove Albion. Brendan Rodgers men remain in the Champions League hunt. The Seagulls look primed for a letdown here as well after their improbable 2-1 comeback win over Arsenal last weekend. This one has "blowout" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 2-0 Leicester City. |
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06-20-20 | Bayer Leverkusen -158 v. Hertha Berlin | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -158 | 49 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bayer Leverkusen (10* MONEY-MAKER). Bayer Leverkusen picked up three points against Koln last weekend and now it aims to keep its spot among the top four teams in another favorable matchup here this week vs. Hertha. A spot in the Champions League is still in the cards for Leverkusen, so considering the recent form of Hertha, I absolutely expect the visiting side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Hertha literally has nothing to play for here and there won't even be fans in the stands for the season finale. All things considered, I think we're getting an unreal price in this one. T.M. Prediction: 2-0. |
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06-17-20 | Atletico Madrid -115 v. Osasuna | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 79 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atletico Madrid (10* GAME OF MONTH). The reverse fixture saw Atletico win 2-0 back on December 14th and I think a similar final result will be in the cards here as well. The home side is ranked 13th in the league with 35 points, while the visitors are ranked sixth with 46. After its poor 1-1 draw vs. Athletic Bilbao on Sunday, there's no way Madrid is going to "look past" lowly Osasuna here. Osasuna has just one win this matchup lifetime and I don't expect that strong trend to change in this position. Lay it. T.M. Prediction: 2-0 Atletico Madrid. |
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06-16-20 | SC Paderborn 07 v. Union Berlin -148 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 53 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Union Berlin (10* GAME OF WEEK). These teams played to a 1-1 tie in the reverse fixture back on December 14th, but I think the odds highly favor Union Berlin this time around. This is a big game for Union Berlin, which looks to build off its 2-1 win over Koln last week and which will secure Bundesliga status for next season with a victory today. Paderborn comes in on fumes and I think is ripe for the picking here after its 5-1 destruction to lowly Bremen last weekend. With a chance to win back-to-back games for the first time since November, I like Union Berlin to punch its eligibility vs. floundering Paderborn. T.M. Prediction: 2-0. |
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06-15-20 | Granada v. Betis +100 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Real Betis (10* MONEY-MAKER). Granada managed a 1-0 victory the last time these teams met on the 27th of October. Clearly a lot has happened since then, but as the old saying goes, "revenge is a dish best served cold!" Note that Real Betis has only lost back-to-back games once since August and after a disappointing 2-0 setback to Sevilla last Thursday. Granada on the other hand is primed for a classic letdown here in my opinion as Granada comes in off an upset in its first game back after the break, beating Getafe 2-1 after being down 1-0 at half time. Not many would have predicted Granada, who is newly-promoted, would be eight points ahead of Betis right now. With its back against the wall in this revenge and "must win" position, I think we're getting great value on at Real Betis in this one. T.M. Prediction: 2-0 Real Betis. |
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05-18-20 | Bayer Leverkusen -145 v. SV Werder Bremen | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 22 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bayer 04 Leverkusen -130 Pinnacle (10* GAME OF WEEK). Not too many upsets this weekend to open up the final stretch of the Bundesliga action and I'm not expecting one in this contest either. Simply put, Werder Bremen is an absolute disaster, having conceded the most goals, while scoring the least. And now Werder Bremen faces a Leverkusen side which is considered one of the best on the defensive end of the field and which will surely be even extra motivated here after RB Leipzig’s loss to SC Freiburg on Saturday. Bayer Leverkusen manager will be without striker Kevin Volland, but in my opinion it won't even matter. All things considered, I believe this line could/should in fact be much larger. T.M. Prediction: 3-0 Leverkusen. |
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05-16-20 | Alistair Overeem v. Walt Harris -156 | 1-0 | Loss | -156 | 135 h 55 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Walt Harris -161 Pinnacle (9* BANKROLL BUILDER). Alistair Overeem is ranked eighth, while Walt Harris is ranked ninth in the division. Overeem is 45-18 and in his last fight he was beaten by Jairzinho Rozenstruik by KO in the final few seconds of Round 5. Harris is 13-7 and he enters off two victories in a row, including a 12 second KO of Aleksei Oleinik in his last outing. Overeem is a difficult opponent here for Harris, but I think the younger fighter's power will be too much for the veteran to overcome here. Lay it. T.M. Prediction: KO/TKO/Submission/Decision. |
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05-16-20 | Cortney Casey -150 v. Mara Romero Borella | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 130 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cortney Casey -147 Pinnacle (10* PLAY OF MONTH). Cast Iron Cortney Casey is 8-7-0, while Mara Romero Brorella is 12-7-0. Both ladies are 33-years old. I think Casey though could/should easily be a much bigger fave here. For one, Casey lands 4.80 significant strikes per minute, compared to just 2.61 for Romero Borella. Casey went the distance in her last fight, but came up on the wrong end of the decision vs. Cynthia Calvillo. Same thing for Romero Borella, who went three rounds and lost in a decision to Montana De La Rosa in her last outing. Expect the superior accuracty of Casey though to be the difference tonight and lay the price with confidence. T.M. Prediction: KO/TKO/Submission/Decision. |
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05-16-20 | Rodrigo Nascimento v. Don Tale Mayes -120 | 1-0 | Loss | -120 | 130 h 44 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Don'Tale Mays -112 Pinnacle (8* MONEY-MAKER). This bout was originally scheduled for the second half of April, but the recent Pandemic closed that event down. But now Dontale Mayes (7-3, 6'6" tall) and Rodrigo Nascimento (7-0, 6'3" tall) are ready to go on Wednesday night's card. Both fighters are new to the UFC, with Mayes having competed once already and Nascimento making his debut. Mayes lost by submission in his first fight, so the pressure is on to bounce back here. And I think with that first fight out of the way, that the hard-hitting heavyweight does indeed have a sizeable advantage over his opponent tonight. Nascimento is in over his head in his debut in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: KO/TKO/Submission/Decision. |
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05-13-20 | Michael Johnson v. Thiago Moises -105 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 61 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Thiago Moises -106 Pinnacle (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Michael Johnson: He's 19-15 in MMA and 11-11 in the UFC. Johnson has fought the who's who of the division, including champion Khabib. Johnson enters this one on a two-fight losing streak: “Unfortunately, I put myself in a position to where I’m having to fight these newer guys,” Johnson told MMA Junkie Radio. “It doesn’t really sit well for me, but I’m in the trenches and I’ve got to fight my way back up to the top and get back to these big names." To me, this sounds like a man that's already defeated and hating having to take this fight. Thiago Moises: The 25 year old Brazilian has a big opportunity here to take out the veteran Johnson and build upon having won three of his past five fights. I think Johnson is out of gas and I fully expect the younger and hungrier fighter to take advantage. T.M. Prediction: KO/TKO/Submission/Decision. |
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05-10-20 | Justin Gaethje +155 v. Tony Ferguson | 1-0 | Win | 155 | 183 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Justin Gaethje (+158 Pinnacle). Odds like this in the UFC, especially in a main event, means that the oddsmakers do in fact feel that these two fighters are very evenly matched. In all honest, it would be very easy to write a convincing argument for either of these accomplished fighters to win this fight. Tony Ferguson was originally supposed to be fighting Khabib Nurmagomedov, but that fight was put on hold due to injury. Then it was put on hold because of the Coronavirus. Ferguson has stepped up in this difficult time to take this fight, but the letdown factor of having to face this "lesser" opponent will be a factor in my opinion. Justin Gaethje will look to take advantage and take full control of his destiny here (is 21-2 and won ten of his last 12 fights.) Both have big power in their hands and each is skilled on the ground. I think the underdog fighter is the correct call in the main event for UFC 249. T.M. Prediction: Knock-out/submission. |
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05-09-20 | Michelle Waterson v. Carla Esparza -150 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 269 h 1 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Carla Esparza (9* MONEY-MAKER). Michelle Waterson: She's 17-7 and she's split her last six fights, most recently coming off a loss to Joanna Jedrzejczyk. Waterson was completely overmatched in that contest and while a skilled fighter, I believe she's once again over her head vs. her more balanced opponent. Carla Esparza: She's 15-6 and she's won five of her last eight in the Octagon, most recently taking out Alexa Grasso in September. Esparza has won two in a row and I believe she has serious advantages over her opponent in this one, including in the clinch and on the ground. T.M. Prediction: Submission/Decision. |
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03-17-20 | Caykur Rizespor v. Goztepe UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Gozetepe/Rizespor UNDER 2.5 goals. Gozetepe enters off a 2-0 loss at the hands of Kasimpasa. Prior to that Gozetepe lost 3-0 to Istanbul Basaksehir, and before that 1-0 to Kayerispor. Gozetepe is having difficulties scoring right now and I think that trend carrries over here vs. Rizespor. Rizepor's last two matches has seen it draw 1-1 with Alanyasport and then going on to lose 2-1 to Ankaragucu. Both teams are gassed and each is going to be cautious here. I think this will in turn lead to a very tight and ulimtately lower-scoring "under." T.M. Prediction: 1-0. |
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03-15-20 | Necaxa v. Santos Laguna -130 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Club Santos Laguna (10* BEATDOWN). Note that Santos Laguna has not lost a home game in 17 straight matches of Primera Division and in 20 straight at home it's undefeated in 19 and overa it's won 13 of its last 16 at home in regulation Primera Division matches. Club Necaxa has lost four of its last five matches in Primera Division play. Club Santo Laguna is the deeper more experienced side and I think we're getting it at a complete "steal" at this price at home. Lay it. T.M. Prediction: 2-0 Club Santos Laguna. |
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03-15-20 | Club Atlas v. Toluca -104 | 3-2 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Deportivo Toluca (8* MONEY-MAKER). Both teams have been poor, but I think that Deportivo Toluca will find a way to get the job done here. Deportivo Toluca has won only one of its last eight Primera Division games, while Atlas has lost five straight Primera Division action. Atlas has in fact been defeated in 11 of its last 13 matches and in its six most recent away fixtures, it's suffered three losses by three or more goals. Toluca in actual season average scored 1.33 goals per match, while Atlas average scored 1.09 goals per match in season 2020. T.M. Prediction: 2-0 Deportivo Toluca. |
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03-14-20 | Bruno Silva -112 v. David Dvorak | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -112 | 24 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bruno Silva (10* GAME OF MONTH). The winner of this fight will likely be positioned well for a title shot. Bruno Silva is 10-4-2 in MMA and 0-1 in UFC, while David Dvorak is 17-3 overall. Dvorak though is making his UFC debut tonight and considering the circumstances with the coranavirus, I think the rookie will have his hands full with the more experienced Silva. I think what doesn't kill you, makes you stronger and smarter. Silva is looking to bounce back from his UFC debut loss to Khalid Taha, who actually missed weight for that fight and which was held at bantamweight. Silva is much more comfortable on the ground than his opponent as well. For all the reasons listed above, take Silva to win! T.M. Prediction: Decision/Knock out. |
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03-11-20 | Senators v. Kings OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -130 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sens/Kings OVER (10* TOTAL BEST OF BEST). The Senators enter off a 5-2 loss in Anaheim last night and I think this defensively challenged club is once again going to have its hands full with his hungry home side. The Kings are actually 18-13-2 at hoem this year and they enter this one on a six-game win streak. That's bad news for a Sens' team which is ranked a terrible 30th in the league in goals allowed per game when on the road. Expect LA to push the pace from start to finish and then look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Kings. |
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03-11-20 | Georgia +2.5 v. Ole Miss | 81-63 | Win | 100 | 24 h 46 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Georgia (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). Both teams enter with identical 15-16 records. Clearly with a spread like this, the oddsmakers believe these schools are very evenly matched. And I completely concur. So in a contest which I envision being decided late or even in extra time, I'm going to grab the points. Ole Miss beat Georgia by ten points in the regular season, which sets this up as a revenge spot as well for Georgia. Anthony Edwards though is easily the best player on the floor today (19.3 PPG for the Bulldogs) and I think he'll ultimately be a difference maker as well. Clearly the outright win is possible, but in the end let's grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 74-70 Georgia. |
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03-11-20 | Miami-FL v. Clemson -2.5 | Top | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Clemson (10* MONEY-MAKER). Both teams have some big signature wins this year, but for the most part each was pretty poor. The Hurricanes finished 15-15 and the Tigers ended up 15-15 as well. Clemson does play with revenge here after falling 73-68 in OT to Miami Florida in late December. Miami Florida comes into this game though without the services of leading scorer Chris Lykes, who was injured in a loss to Virginia last Wednesday. The Tigers are still ranked 39th in the entire NCAA on the defensive end as well. Expect the Tigers to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. T.M. Prediction: 70-60 Clemson. |
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03-10-20 | Bruins -110 v. Flyers | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bruins (10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST). The Bruins had won four in a row before a loss at home to the Lightning last time out. Boston still leads the East, but it's out for revenge here as it's lost two straight to Philly this year, both in the shootout. They say "all good things have to come to an end at some point," and after winning nine straight, I think the Flyers do indeed stumble here. It wouldn't be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either team, but the value on Boston is just too great here in my opinion, as I believe that it is a great overall situational play on the "better team." T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Boston. |
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03-10-20 | Celtics v. Pacers OVER 214.5 | Top | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pacers/Celtics OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK) The Celtics lost to the Thunder last time out. They can't be happy, as they were actually favored by 6.5 points. Jason Tatum is averaging 23.4 PPG and the overall depth of the Celtics remains a strength for the team. Indiana is a deep team as well and now that Victor Oladipo has slowly worked his way into "game shape," the Pacers have not surprisingly won eight of their last ten. Indiana has posted more than 110 points in three of its last five games, and Boston has seen the total eclipse the number in six of its last seven as a road favorite of six points or less. This one has "shootout" written all over it, play the over. T.M. Prediction: 111-110 Boston. |
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03-10-20 | North Carolina -3.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 78-56 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: North Carolina (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Obviously it's been a horrible season for the Tar Heels, who have endured several long losing streaks this season. UNC has the best player on the floor in this one though in Cole Anthony and I believe the dynamic player will be a difference maker in this one. UNC did lose to Duke in its finale for a second time this season, but it did play much better down the stretch. The Tar Heels play with revenge here too after a 79-77 double OT loss to the Hokies on January 22nd (previous to the loss to Duke, UNC had won four straight). VT lost in its finale to Notre Dame. The Hokies only average 69 PPG and they're a terrible 2-12 ATS in their last 14 overall. UNC averages 72 PPG and it's 4-2 ATS in its last six overall. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout of epic proportions! T.M. Prediction: 80-60 UNC. |
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03-10-20 | Maryland-Baltimore County +16 v. Vermont | 74-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UMBC (8* ROUT). Vermont is 25-7 and the No. 1 seed in the Tournament, while UMBC is 16-16 and the No. 4 seed. This is the semi-final of the 2020 Hercules Tire America East Tournament. The Catamounts enter off a bye, while the Retreivers come in "under the radar" in my opinion, having won six out of their last eight regular season contests. UMBC advanced the semis by beating UNH 73-67 in Baltimore. I think the momentum the Retreivers have created is "real," and while I'm not calling for the outright upset here, I do definitely think that UMBC is under-valued in this spot. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-60 Vermont. |
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03-10-20 | Pittsburgh +1 v. Wake Forest | 81-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh (8* MONEY-MAKER). The Demon Deacons won the only game between the schools this year by a score of 69-65 back in early January, which sets this up as a definite "revenge spot" for Pittsburgh in my opinion. Wake closed the season with two straight double-digit losses. The Panthers though enter desperate to break a seven-game slide. Pittsburgh is also 8-2 ATS in its las ten neutral court games, including 2-0 ATS this year. How about Wake Forest? It's just 5-6 ATS this season after playing a road game. I'm banking on the "revenge factor" as being the difference today. T.M. Prediction: 72-68 Pittsburgh. |
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03-09-20 | St. Mary's v. BYU OVER 145.5 | Top | 51-50 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: BYU/Saint Mary's OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). I think this total is a little low. Saint Mary's is 24-7 and BYU is 24-7. Each team was victorious against the other on its home floor. The Cougars won 81-79, while the Gaels prevailed 87-84. Both of those contests would have finished well above tonight's posted total and I aboslutely expect that to happen. The Cougars score 118.1 points per 100 possessions, while the Gaels average 114.9 points per 100 possessions. Both teams are super effecient from the floor and I expect this to once again translate into offensive production. This number is indeed low. T.M. Prediction: 80-75 BYU. |
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03-09-20 | Coyotes v. Jets -120 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Winnipeg Jets (10* BEST OF THE BEST). The Jets are 6-3-1 in their last ten and they're 19-13-3 at home this year. The Coyotes are 5-5 in their last ten and they're 16-16-4 on the road. After four straight wins though, I think the Coyotes finally take a step back here (note that they average just 2.36 GPG on the road.) The Jets have been tough at home this season, entering ranked ninth in the NHL in goals allowed per game in Winnipeg. The Jets are slo 4-0 in their last four as the favorite, while the 'Yotes are just 3-13 in their last 16 on the road. I'm banking on a blowout, great price here! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Jets. |
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03-09-20 | Hornets v. Hawks -4 | Top | 138-143 | Win | 100 | 25 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks (10* MONEY-MAKER). Atlanta destroyed the Hornets 122-107 in Charlotte back in December and I think a similar final result is on deck here in this one as well. The Hornets have been playing better of late, but after finishing a four-game homestand with an upset win over the Rockets, can anyone say "letdown spot" here?! Atlanta returns home on a three-game losing streak and I expect it to get the job done here. Charlotte has struggled in this spot for bettors as well, interestingly going just 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games vs. the Southeast Division. Atlanta on the other hand is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 home games vs. teams with losing road records. After three straight losses, look for the Hawks to push the pace from the opening tip, until the final horn. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-108 Atlanta. |
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03-09-20 | Eastern Michigan +8.5 v. Kent State | Top | 76-86 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Eastern Michigan (10* SUPER-DOG). The Golden Flashes are at home for this one after finishing sixth seed. EMU is the No. 11 seed in the tourmanent. If recent history is any precedence though, then EMU has to be liking its chances for an upset here, as it annihilated Kent State 70-49 at home back on February 18th. EMU has admittedly struggled down the stretch, but now that the conference tournament is here, the Eagles have new hope. The Golden Flashes completely underwhelmed this season as well, finishing with a 9-9 conference record and note that it was favored in seven of those nine games. EMU only allows an average 63.4 PPG, which ranks 31st in the country. No outright, but expect an all out battle until the final moments. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 67-63 Kent State. |
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03-08-20 | Heat -4.5 v. Wizards | Top | 100-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* TRADE-MARK). The Heat had won four in a row before their most recent loss to the Pelicans last time out. Miami is still 40-23 though and it's led by Jimmy Butler, who averages 26 PPG. Atlanta is coming off a 118-112 win over Washington, but a return to mediocrity is imminent in my opinion. Washington was able to exploit Atlanta's week defense, but I think it'll have a much more difficult time here. The Wizards however are the worst defensive club in the NBA, allowing 120 PPG. After the loss to New Orleans last time out, look for Miami to come in focused on the task at hand this evening. T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Miami. |
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03-08-20 | Lightning v. Red Wings OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bolts/Wings OVER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). Tampa enters off a 5-3 win over Boston just last night and I look for it to keep the foot on the gas here as it tries to run down the Bruins with just over a month left in the regular season. Detroit broke a six-game slide with a 2-1 win over Chicago on Friday. Yes it's true that the Wings are one of the worst offensive teams in the league, but they'll be trying to take advantage of this tired Lightning team and build off their latest victory (note as well that Detroit has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 12 of its last 18 after a non-conference contest.) The stage is set for a wide open affair, I'm hammering the over! T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Tampa Bay. |
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03-08-20 | Tulsa v. Wichita State -6.5 | 57-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Wichita State (8* MONEY-MAKER). This is the final game of the regular season for both teams and I'm not predicting any sort of upset here. The Shockers enjoy Seniors Night and they'll want to keep the foot on the gas before the Conference Tournament starts. This is a revenge game for the Shockers as well after they fell 54-51 at home earlier in the year. The Hurricane are the top team in the conference, so Wichita State certainly won't be lacking for motivation or focus this evening. I think Wichita State will use the above listed motivational factors as fuel today and I expect it to post a solid SU/ATS win/cover once it's all said and done. T.M. Prediction: 70-58 Shockers. |
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03-08-20 | Lipscomb +12.5 v. Liberty | Top | 57-73 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lipscomb (10* BLOWOUT). This is the Championship Game in the ASUN Conference and a trip to the NCAA Tournament is on the line. Liberty is likely going to punch its ticket to The Big Dance after the final buzzer sounds, but I definitely think the Bison can keep it interesting until the final moments. Lipscomb has experience on its side here, as this is the Bisons third straight appearance in the Championship Game, which includes a loss to these very Flames last year. These teams split their regular season series, eaching winning on its own floor. The Flames are hosting this one at home, but I think they'll have a battle on their hands from start to finish. Outright upset? Anything's possible, but I'm going to grab the points in the end. T.M. Prediction: 68-60 Lipscomb. |
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03-07-20 | 76ers v. Warriors +2.5 | Top | 114-118 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Warriors (10* MONEY-MAKER). I think this is a perfect spot for the Warriors to steal a game. The 76ers come to town without stars Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid, who were also both out for their team's big win over the Kings on the road last time out. The Warriors welcomed back Stephen Curry to the line-up in their last game and while they fell to Toronto at home, Golden State is healthier than its been all season and I think it can take advantage here. Note as well that Philly is also just 4-9 ATS this year as a road favorite, while the Warriors are 10-5 ATS this season revenging a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. Clearly I like the outright win, but in the end I'm going to grab the handful of points. T.M. Prediction: 116-112 Golden State. |
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03-07-20 | North Carolina +11.5 v. Duke | Top | 76-89 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: North Carolina (10* BEST OF THE BEST). UNC lost this game at home 98-96 and I expect another all out war between these rivals. Duke has plenty to play for here as it's currently tied with UVA for the third place in the ACC. UNC though enters not only trying to play spoiler, not only trying to avenge the earlier loss, but also playing its best ball of the entire season in having won three in a row (note that UNC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games after a three-games or longer SU unbeaten streak.) I'm grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-75 Duke. |
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03-07-20 | Louisville v. Virginia | Top | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Virginia (8* MONEY-MAKER). I think the defending champs grinding defensive play will once again be the difference maker for UVA tonight. Louisville won by seven at home in the reverse fixture, which sets this up as a revenge spot for the home side side as well. Note that it was the Cardinals first win out of the last ten in this series. Louisville's weakness this year has been its play on the road and on Seniors Night, I'm banking on the Cavs unrelenting defensive pressure to once again "win the day" here. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 60-54 UVA. |
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03-07-20 | Seton Hall v. Creighton OVER 151.5 | Top | 60-77 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Seton Hall/Creighton OVER (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). I expect each team to play at a frenetic pace in this huge game. The top seed in the Big East is on the line tonight. Note that Creighton won this game at Seton Hall 87-82 on February 12 and in my opinion, all signs once again point to a high-scoring shootout. Seton Hall comes in hungry here to avenge that setback, but also because they fell 79-77 at home on Seniors Night to Villanova on Wednesday. Seton Hall averages 75.2 PPG and it allows 67.9, while Creighton averages 78.4 PPG, while allowing 70.1. The Blue Jays hammered Georgetown 91-76 on Wednesday and clearly it'll be keeping the foot on the gas here. This one has "shootout" written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 83-80 Creighton. |
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03-07-20 | Kentucky +3 v. Florida | Top | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kentucky (10* TRADE-MARK). Kentucky has already earned the SEC regular-season title, but the last thing it'll want to do is to enter the tournament off a loss. Yes, Florida has a lot to play for here, but I simply don't see any sort of letdown here from Kentucky on the National stage. The Wildcats earned the hard-fought 65-59 win over the Gators in mid February and I expect a simialr result here as well. In fact, Kentucky is coming off a hugely disappointing loss at home to Tennessee, falling 81-73 on seniors night. Clearly the Wildcats will be eager to atone for that mess here (Kentucky is also 6-1 ATS in its last seven road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600. The Gators on the other hand are just 8-18 ATS in their last 26 at home. T.M. Prediction: 73-64 Kentucky. |
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03-06-20 | Bucks v. Lakers +1 | Top | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 28 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* SHOWDOWN). Is this a possible preview of the NBA Championships? The Bucks are favored to come out of the East and while the Lakers still have the best record in the West, they'll have their hands full with the Clippers once it's all said and done. Honestly, it wouldn't be too hard to write a convincing argument for either team to win this game. And with a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers agree. The Lakers opened as an underdog and the line continues to go back and forth ever since. So why do I think the Lake Show will pull off a big win here? Because the Bucks are just 1-5 ATS this season off a home win vs. a division rival, while the Lakers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. I think the Lakers' big men shut down Bucks' star Giannis Antetokounmpo this time around. T.M. Prediction: 119-109 Lakers. |
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03-06-20 | Missouri State v. Indiana State +1.5 | Top | 78-51 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana State (10* TORTURER). I like Indiana State to pull of the slight upset here. This is the quarterfinals of the Missouri State Conference Tournament. The Sycamores finished 11-7 in league play, while the Bears were 9-9. Missouri State may have hammered Southern Illinois 84-59 on Seniors Night, but I expect it to get overwhelmed in this matchup. Indiana State is the deeper and more consistent team and it enters the Tournament having won four straight. Indiana State is also 3-0-1 ATS in its last four overall, while Missouri State is only 3-13 ATS in its last 16 as an underdog. I'm banking on a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 70-65 Indiana State. |
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03-06-20 | Golden Knights v. Jets +120 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 120 | 25 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Winnipeg (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). I like the home side to dig deep here and to get the job done once the final horn sounds. After going 9-1 in their last ten, I think the Knights do indeed finally stumble here in this difficult arena. The Jets are 5-4-1 in their last ten Las Vegas is ranked 17th in the league in goals scored per game while on the road, while ranked ninth in goals allowed. Winnipeg? It's ranked 25th in goals scored per game at home and 11th in goals allowed per game at home. Las Vegas though has been downright terrible in this spot for bettors all year, going 6-9 (-8.8 units) when playing with two days rest and 6-9 (-8.6 units) in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent. I think this one sets up beautifully for the home side. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Jets. |
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03-06-20 | Southern Illinois v. Bradley -5.5 | 59-64 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 49 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bradley (8* MONEY-MAKER). I think the Bradley Braves are going to lay a beating on the Southern Illinois Saluki's in the quarter finals of the MVC Tournament. Bradley won both games already this year in this series, getting the better of SIU 67-48 and 69-67. The Salukis enter the tournament off three straight losses. Bradley lost 67-66 to second place Loyola in its final game but note that the Braves are 7-1 ATS in their last eight neutral site games. SIU on the other hand is only 1-4 ATS in its last five following at ATS loss. These teams may be ranked four and five, but I think the divide in talent is much bigger. Lay the points, expect a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 75-50 Bradley. |
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03-05-20 | Wild v. Sharks +103 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: San Jose Sharks (10* SLAP-SHOT). I'm expecting a slight upset in this one. The Wild have been all over the map as far as their game to game consistency is concerned and they've been consistently poor on the road this year but going 14-15-2 on the road. San Jose got off to a terrible start this year, a combination of injury and other off ice issues. The Sharks have looked better of late though and they come in with a still respectable 17-15-1 home record. Minnesota is also a TERRIBLE 6-12 (-4.6 units) this season after a win by two goals or more, while San Jose is 23-17 in its last 40 after a three-games unbeaten streak. Look for the surging home side to take advantage. Great value overall. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Sharks. |
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03-05-20 | Clippers v. Rockets -1 | Top | 120-105 | Loss | -102 | 22 h 24 m | Show |
Selection: Houston Rockets (10* TRADE MARK). Off a double-digit road win over OKC, I think the Clippers are going to stumble in this difficult road venue. Houston comes in as the "hungrier" team, as it stumbled badly in a loss to the lowly Knicks in its final game of a long Eastern swing. With a couple of days off to digest the stench of that failure, I look for the Rockets to come out and play with a chip on their shoulder tonight. Las is also just 3-6 ATS this year as a road dog, while Houston is 7-3 ATS this season when playing with two days rest. This one has "BLOWOUT" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 125-115 Houston. |
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03-05-20 | Illinois State v. Drake -2.5 | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Drake (8* ROUT) This is the start of the Missouri Valley Conference tournament and I can't understate how important I feel that home court advantage will be in this particular matchup. Drake was 18-13 overall this year and 8-10 in MVC action, while Illinois State was 10-20 and 5-13. Both teams are poor, but one of these sides is downright horrible. Drake beat Illinois State 57-53 on its own floor this year as a 1.5 points favorite and I expect an even bigger beatdown this time around. Illinois State posted a very satisfying win over Evansville in its regular season finale, which sets it up perfectly here for a massive letdown. Drake on the other hand enters as the more motivated team after three straight losses to end the regular season (note that the Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five following a SU loss of 20 or more points, while the Redbirds are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six following an ATS victory). I'm banking on a rout from start to finish. T.M. Prediction: 75-60 Drake. |
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03-05-20 | Nebraska +17.5 v. Michigan | Top | 58-82 | Loss | -107 | 21 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nebraska (10* MONEY-MAKER). I believe that in some small way the Wolverines are going to get caught "looking past" their lowly 7-22 opponent today to the upcoming Conference Tournament and that's going to be more than enough for the hungry Huskers to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Huskers are the worst team in the Big Ten, but they'll be eager to try and reverse their fortunes vs. a Wolverines team which has dropped two in a row. Note that they've given up an average of 79 PPG over their last two losses (Wisconsin and Ohio State). With a game at conference leading Maryland to end the regular season, this also sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the home side. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Michigan. |
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03-04-20 | Coyotes v. Canucks -118 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -118 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vancouver Canucks (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Arizona is 5-4-1 in its last ten, while Vancouver is 4-5-1 in its last ten. The Canucks though are the hungrier team in this fight in my professional opinion though, as they've lost three in a row. Arizona averages only 2.32 GPG on the road this year, while Vancouver is ranked second in the league in goals scored per game on home ice. Arizona ranks fifth in goals allowed per game on the road, but Vancouver ranks eighth in goals allowed per game at home. The Canucks are also still 12-3 in their last 15 at home while the Coyotes are interestingly just 1-4 in their last five vs. the Pacific. All things considered, I believe this is great value on the hungry home side. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Vancouver. |
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03-04-20 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma State -6 | 63-69 | Push | 0 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma State (8* MONEY-MAKER). All these teams can do with a victory today is improve their positioning in the upcoming conference tournament. K-State has lost nine straight and its failed to score more than 67 points in that stretch. OKlahoma State earned the 64-59 win over the Wildcats on their own floor earlier in the season, but I expect a much bigger beatdown here. The Cowboys only allow 63 PPG to their opposition, while averaging 68 of their own. I have a hard time seeing this struggling Wildcats offense mustering much of an attack here on the road and after nine straight losses. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-60 OKS. |
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03-04-20 | Morehead State v. Tennessee State -1.5 | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Tennessee State (9* BANKROLL BUILDER). This is the first round of the OVC Tournament and I expect Tennessee State to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Tennessee State is ranked fifth, and Morehead State is ranked eighth. Note that when Big Blue is rated higher than its opponent in the conference tournament, it's 7-3 the last ten in those matchups. TSU annihilated Morehead State 64-48 at home, but the Eagles bounced back with a tight 66-63 win over TSU in the rematch on Seniors night. I think Tennessee State is the bigger, more athletic team and I LOVE for it to bounce back and avenge the most recent setback in this series. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Tennessee State. |
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03-04-20 | Pacers v. Bucks OVER 222 | Top | 100-119 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pacers/Bucks OVER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). Yes, these are two of the better defensive teams in the league, as Indiana allows just 107.2 PPG (while averaging 109.4), while Milwaukee gives up just 106.8 PPG (while averaging a league-best 119.1 per contest.) And while Milwaukee enters having won four of its last five (Indiana has won four of five too), it certainly can't be happy with its performance of late, winning but barely covering vs. Charlotte, before then getting crushed in Miami the next night. The Bucks also play with revenge here after they lost to the Pacers in each team's respective final game before the All Star break. I look for the home side to push the pace of this one from the outset and I expect this total to fly well over once the final horn blares. T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Milwaukee. |
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03-04-20 | St. Louis -2 v. George Mason | Top | 69-57 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Saint Louis (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Saint Louis enters the final regular season game off a big win over Rhode Island and it won't want to take the foot off the gas now that it's so close to the finish line. With that victory the Billikens are now in the talk for an NCAA Tournament spot (as long as they can now run the table throughout the conference tournament). George Mason started 11-1, but it then went 4-13. Most recently it comes in off a heart-breaking 81-78 setback to Duquesne. These teams met at Saint Louis earlier in the year and the Billikens posted the 81-71 victory. Expect a similar (or even larger!) victory for the visiting side tonight. T.M. Prediction: 72-60 Billikens. |
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03-03-20 | Maple Leafs v. Sharks +1.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sharks PUCK LINE (10* GAME OF WEEK). I think the Leafs are poised for a letdown here. San Jose won't be rolling over despite it's poor overall season. The Sharks play with revenge here and they'll be extra hungry facing a Leafs team that I beleive is finally set up for a letdown tonight after winning three straight. San Jose is playing some of its best hockey of the season as well after two straight victories in which it's posted eight goals. In a contest which I envision being decided late or even in extra time, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Toronto. |
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03-03-20 | Wizards v. Kings OVER 232.5 | Top | 126-133 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kings/Wizards OVER (10* MONEY-MAKER). Both teams have been playing a lot better since the All Star game. Both are still on the outside of the playoff picture looking in, but they still each have a chance at squeezing into the postseason if it can continue to win. This is a big game for both teams and I expect a faster paced contest. Sacramento does play at a slower pace than Washington, but its numbers are skewed in my opinion due to the slow start in the first half. Neither team has been impressive on the defensive end and I believe that trend of futility continues for each here. Look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later in this one! T.M. Prediction: 125-120 Sacramento. |
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03-03-20 | Purdue +5.5 v. Iowa | Top | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (10* TRADE-MARK). Iowa is 20-9 overall, but Purdue annihilated it 104-68 at home last month. Clearly that's not going to happen again here and while I do believe the outright upset is in the cards tonight as well, in the end I'll be recommending for everyone to grab the ample points. Purdue also has wins over VCU, Virginia and Michigan State. The Boilersmakers have gone just 1-3 in their last four though and they'll need a few miracles to make it back into the NCAA Tournament at this point. And a victory here would certainly go a long away in helping their cause. The Hawkeyes have looked better of late, but note that they're just 2-5 ATS in their last seven in trying to revenge a same season loss vs. an opponent of 30 points or more. In the end, let's grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 73-72 Iowa. |
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03-02-20 | Idaho State v. Weber State -6.5 | Top | 78-70 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Weber State (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Idaho State is 6-20, while Weber State is 11-17. Idaho State comes in with zero momentum, as it's lost 12 straight and failed to cover in three straight as well. Weber State fans can empathize though, as the Wildcats enter hungry here after having lost three of their last four. The Bengals are horrible in every offensive and defensive category, but particularly in the rebounding department, pulling only 32.8 per game. And if recent history is any precedence, then the Wildcats have to be loving their chances today, as they already beat the Bengals 76-68 on the road. This is a big opportunity for the Wildcats after a scuffling stretch and with just a couple of games remaining in the regular season. The stage is set for an explosive home victory here. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Weber State. |
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03-02-20 | Oilers v. Predators OVER 6 | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Preds/Oilers OVER (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). This one has high-flying "shootout" written all over it in my opinion! Edmonton is dangerous on the road this year as evidenced by its 18-13-3 record. The Oilers are coming off a big victory and they're 5-3-2 in their last ten games. Nashville is 16-13-4 at home. Nashville is desperate to string some wins together here as its playoff hopes are on the bubble. Note as well that the Predators have seen the total soar over the number in eight of their last ten after playing three straight at home. Nashville hits the road for a difficult road trip after this, putting added importance onto this contest. As mentioned off the top, I fully expect this contest to be a very "wide open" affair. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Predators. |
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03-02-20 | Blazers +7 v. Magic | Top | 130-107 | Win | 100 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: BLAZERS (10* TRADE-MARK). The panic button has been hit in Portland. It's basically "do or die" for the visitors now, who enter off three straight losses, including a humbling double-digit setback to the Hawks on the road. The Magic have been playing a bit better lately. They also need as many victories as they can get. Orlando's offense has been a lot better, but it's strong defensive play which has defined the team for most of the season has taken a back seat during that stretch. Off a loss to San Antonio, I think the Magic will have their hands full with this now desperate Portland team. Outright is possible, but let's grab these points! T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Orlando. |
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03-01-20 | 76ers v. Clippers -12.5 | Top | 130-136 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10*) GAME OF THE WEEK. I think the Clippers come in angry and even with Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid in the line-up, I believe LA would have had a chance at covering this large spread anyways. But neither Simmons or Embiid will be playing tonight and because of that, I expect the home side to take full advantage and to win big once the final horn blares. The Clippers faced a fully prepared Nuggets team at home last time out and they annihilated them 132-103. Seven LA players scored in double figures in that one, including 43 points from Paul George. I expect a similar final outcome here as well, so lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-100 LA. |
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03-01-20 | St. Louis v. Rhode Island -6 | Top | 72-62 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rhode Island (10* TRADE-MARK). Saint Louis is 20-7 and Rhode Island is 20-8. Overall the Billikens average 71.8 PPG and they allow 66.1. Saint Louis though is just 4-4 in true road games this year. Rhode Island won't be taking anything for granted here after a slim road win over Fordham last time out. The Rams average 74.7 PPG and they allow 68.4. Rhode Island is also 4-0 ATS in its last four following an ATS loss, while Saint Louis is 0-5 ATS in its last five following a SU victory. I'm laying the points as all signs point to a big time home victory in the A-10 reg. season finale. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Rhode Island. |
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03-01-20 | Western Kentucky v. North Texas -7 | 72-78 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 51 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: North Texas (8* MONEY-MAKER). A lot is riding on this game. WKU is 19-9 and UNT is 19-10. Top seeding in the conference tournament is up for grabs, as well as implications for the NCAA Tourney. UNT though has the major situational revenge factor working in its favor today after it fell by nine points at WKU earlier in the year. The Hilltoppers used home court to their advantage in that matchup, and everything definitely points to that being the same for The Mean Green this afternoon. UNT is 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference home games trying to revenge a conference road loss vs. an opponent of seven points or more, while WKU is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine conference road games as an underdog in the -5.5 to -7.5 points range. Lay the points, expect a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 78-62 UNT. |
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03-01-20 | Cincinnati v. Houston OVER 135.5 | Top | 55-68 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cincy/Houston OVER. The Bearcats are in a race for first place with three games remaining. Clearly the visitors will have to try and push the pace and keep up with the home side. Cincinnati beat Wichita State last time out by a score of 67-64, but the Bearcats are definitely going to have their hands full here with a Memphis team also looking to lock down top spot in the conference and which enters off a tough 60-59 loss to Memphis in its last outing. Finally note that the Bearcats average 73.5 PPG and the Cougars average 72.8. Considering all of the above factors, I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. T.M. Prediction: 77-70 Houston. |
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03-01-20 | Flyers v. Rangers -107 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rangers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). This is the second game of a home and home set and the Flyers won the first one. Both teams have been hot of late and I think New York will return the favor here. Previous to the loss vs. the Flyers, the Rangers had won five straight. Philadelphia is poised for a letdown here after five straight wins and in this difficult road venue. Additionally take heed that Philly is just 10-12 (-2 units) in its last 22 after playing three straight at home, while New York is 11-6 (+7.7 units) already this season after a loss by two goals or more in its previous game. A great price here. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 New York. |
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02-29-20 | UC-Santa Barbara v. Cal-Irvine UNDER 137.5 | Top | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: 10* UNDER Santa Barbara/UC Irvine. I think this will be a battle from start to finish vs. the 19-9 UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. the 20-10 UC Irvine Anteaters. The Gauchos come to town red hot, winners of five of their last six. Their only loss came to UC Davis recently. UC Irvine is No. 1 in the Big West and it won't want to falter here so close to the finish line. UC Irvine though plays with revenge here as well after stumbling at Santa Barbara eariler in the year (the teams combined for just 124 points in that one.) Look for a similarily hard-fought affair and for this total to stay well under once the final horn blares. T.M. Prediction: 68-65 UC Irvine. |
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02-29-20 | Lakers v. Grizzlies +8.5 | Top | 88-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* MONEY-MAKER). Yes LA has won seven straight and covered in five of those contests, but I believe that Memphis is going to find a way to get the job done here. The Grizz are WITHOUT QUESTION the "hungrier" team here after four-straight losses on the road. This is also a BIG TIME "revenge" spot for the Grizz, who have lost all three SU and two of the three ATS in this season series thus far. And would anyone fault LA for "looking ahead" here with a game at red hot New Orleans tomorrow night? Memphis is off a disappointing loss at home to Sacramento just last night, but I believe that's going to just add "fuel to the fire" for the home side here as it looks to snap the five-game losing streak. Outright win? Very possible! However, let's grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-112 Lakers. |
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02-29-20 | Michigan State +2.5 v. Maryland | Top | 78-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10* TRADE-MARK). This is a big game, with big conference tournament implications and I'm calling for the minor upset. Michigan State comes to town off two straight wins. Maryland has won ten of 11, but I think it'll have difficulty here vs. this MSU team which plays with revenge after falling at home to Maryland a couple of weeks ago. Both teams have excellent defenses, but the overall experience that Michigan State brings to the table can't be underestimated as big factor working in its favor here. Michigan State has found its groove again and I believe the "revenge factor" DOES matter in this one (that said, let's grab the points!) T.M. Prediction: 71-69 Michigan State. |
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02-28-20 | Wolves +7.5 v. Magic | Top | 125-136 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wolves (10* MONEY-MAKER). The Wolves are in full rebuild mode, but they enter off an impressive win over the Heat in Miami, led by D'Angelo Russell, who continues to play with a chip on his shoulder and who has averaged 24.4 points and eight assists in five game since being aquired by Minnesota. The Magic have won four of five and they're coming off a big win over the Hawks, but with a tough road game in San Antonio tomorrow night, I think the stage is set for them to finally have a bit of a letdown here. I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but all the pieces are in place for a much more competitive affair (in my opinion), than what this spread would suggest. T.M. Prediction: 118-117 Orlando. |
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02-28-20 | Davidson v. Dayton OVER 140.5 | Top | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Davidson/Dayton OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). In my opinion, this one sets up as a shootout, not a defensive battle. The Flyers have won 17 straight and with just a hand full of games left to go before the Tournaments start, I have a hard time seeing Dayton taking the foot off the gas at this point. Especially at home. Davidson though would love nothing more than to play spoiler and it enters having won four of its last five. Both teams average over 70 PPG on the season and with what I expect to be a frantic pace from start to finish, we can expect this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Dayton. |
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02-28-20 | Kent State +1.5 v. Ohio | Top | 69-76 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kent State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Yes 14-14 Ohio is going to be "hungry" here, but I don't think that's going to matter vs. the vastly superior Kent State Flashes. These teams met two weeks ago and the Golden Flashes pulled away for a relatively simple 87-72 victory. Ken State is averaging 76 PPG and it's allowing 69.3, while Ohio is averaging 71.1 PPG and allowing 68.5. Kent State though is 5-0 ATS this year as a road dog of six points or less, while Ohios is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite of three points or less or pick. I'm grabbing the points, but expecting an outright. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Kent State. |
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02-27-20 | San Diego +26.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 59-94 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Diego (10*). San Diego is a putrid 9-20 overall and 2-12 in WCC action. Gonzaga though is going to get classically caught "looking past" its lowly opponent in my opinion though. The Bulldogs are 27-2 and 13-1 overall and they have their sights set on a National title right now, not on the lowly Toreros. SD also catches Gonzaga off a disappointing loss to BYU and I think it's collectively still caught up on that monster letdown. I definitely think that the conditions are correct for a much more competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. So grab the points! T.M. Prediction: (80-70 Gonzaga). |
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02-27-20 | Capitals v. Jets +131 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 131 | 27 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Winnipeg Jets (10* TRADE-MARK). I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the hungrier home side. Washington remains one of the top teams in the NHL and it comes in on a two-game win streak. It's difficult to poke too many holes in the Capitals, but I simply feel that they're in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one. Overall Washington sits 13th in the league in goals allowed per game while on the road. The Jets are also 8-3 (+5.6 units) in their last 11 after three or more consecutive losses. It's "gut check" time in Winnipeg. I'm grabbing the more motivated home in this one. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Jets. |
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02-27-20 | Blazers +10 v. Pacers | Top | 100-106 | Win | 100 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trailblazers (10* MONEY-MAKER). Portland comes in "hungry" after losing four of its last five games. The Pacers were blown out badly in Toronto, and then they bounced back big with a lop-sided win over Charlotte at home in their most recent tilt. However when these teams met in the Pacific Northwest earlier in the season, it was the Blazers that posted the 139-129 victory. Suffice it to say, I think the "on again, off again" Pacers are going to once again struggle with consistency here vs. this unbelievably determined Blazers side, which is currently in ninth place in the Western Conference. An unreal situation sets us up nicely for this 10* pick. T.M. Prediction: 110-108 Indiana. |
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02-27-20 | Towson v. Hofstra UNDER 141 | 76-65 | Push | 0 | 26 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Towson/Hofstra UNDER (10*). Towson is 17-12 overall and it's 4-1 in its last five. Hofstra though is 22-7 this season and the Pride enter on an eigh-game win streak. These are two of the hottest teams in the conference and I'm expecting an all out war, where every possession is contested. In what I believe will be a slower than normal pace for each side tonight, tempo will indeed contribute to this one staying well below the posted number in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: (70-63 Hofstra). |
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02-27-20 | Delaware v. College of Charleston -4 | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 25 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Charleston (8*). This is a big game and I think that the home floor advantage will turn out to be the difference for COC. Delaware is ranked fourth in the CAA, while the Cougars are right behind in fifth. And if recent history is any precedence, then COC has to be loving its chances tonight, as it already beat the Blue Hens on the road by erasing a 6-point deficit to win by 13. COC has won five straight at home over Delaware as well, most recently a 13 point victory of January of last year. This one has home side "blowout" written all over it. T.M. Prediction: (75-65 COC). |
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02-26-20 | Grizzlies +11 v. Rockets | Top | 112-140 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* MONEY-MAKER). Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: (Coming shortly) |
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02-26-20 | Furman v. NC-Greensboro -4.5 | Top | 81-67 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UNC Greensboro (10* TRADE-MARK). This is a big game for both 23-6 teams. Both teams enter off victories as well. The bottom line is though is that I can't stress how important I feel that the home court advantage will be in this particular matchup. The Furman Paladins got destroyed by the Spartans 86-73 at home back January 11th and I expect an even bigger lop-sided blowout here. Sometimes the revenge angle works and other times it's completely overrated. I believe the latter is definitely the case in this one. Lay the points, but expect a big blowout! T.M. Prediction: (75-60 UNC Greensboro). |
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02-25-20 | Blackhawks v. Blues UNDER 6 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hawks/Blues UNDER (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). The last thing St. Louis wants to do is to turn this one into a "track meet." That'd just play into Chicago's hands, as a faster paced game would help in it pulling off an upset here. St. Louis has slowly turned things around by winning three straight and I have a hard time seeing the Hawks mustering much of an offensive attack tonight. Chicago is ranked 17th in the NHL in goals scored per game while on the road, while St. Louis ranks fifth in goals allowed per game while at home. As mentioned off the top, I think the conditions are definitely right for a lower-scoring goaltenders battle tonight. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Blues. |
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02-25-20 | Drake v. Loyola-Chicago -7 | 60-64 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 7 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Loyola Chicago (8* MONEY-MAKER). This is a big game for both teams, but it's a revenge game for Loyola Chicago after it feel 65-62 at Drake back in early January. Drake comes in on terrible form as well, most recently falling 57-53 to lowly Illinois State. The Ramblers has won four in a row before a 72-64 loss to Missouri State in their latest action. Loyola Chicago has played well over the last month though and it sits with an 11-5 record in MVC play (compared to 8-8 for Drake.) The Ramblers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven at home, while the Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last four following an ATS loss. The conditions all point to a home side blowout. T.M. Prediction: 75-53 Ramblers. |
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02-25-20 | Missouri State v. Valparaiso -2 | Top | 74-89 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Valparaiso (10* BEST OF THE BEST). Missouri State is 14-15 and Valparaiso is 15-14. Both teams though come in having won three of their last four. Missouri State's only loss in that time though came against Bradley on the road, 83-79. The Crusaders though most recently come in off a win at home over Bradley, cruising to a 90-78 win. The Bears score 69.4 PPG and they allow 67.2, while the Crusaders average 72.3 PPG and allow 71.3. Valparaiso though is a near-perfect 6-1 ATS this year vs. teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and I expect that strong to get carried over here in this difficult road building. Lay the short points. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Valpo. |
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02-25-20 | Bucks v. Raptors OVER 231 | Top | 108-97 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucks/Raptors OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). Did Milwaukee get caught "looking ahead" to this game in its victory in the Nation's capital last night? The Bucks had a sizeable lead at half vs. the Wizards, but they'd need OT in the end to squeak by. Clearly the Bucks did in some small way get caught looking ahead to this big matchup. The defending champs are going to be feeling disrespected here as they're actually a slight dog in this matchup at home. The Raptors come in with plenty of momentum as well, after posting their biggest point differential victory in franchise history by annihilating the Pacers 127-81. Granted these are two of the best defensive clubs, but I expect a frantic pace. If the Bucks are going to get over the hump this year, they have to find a way to win in Toronto and take the confidence out of the Raptors. This one SCREAMS "shootout." T.M. Prediction: 120-119 Toronto. |
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02-25-20 | Barcelona FC +130 v. Napoli | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Barcelona Barcelona lost Jordi Alba to injury on Saturday, which was untimely. This team has the talent to overcome the injury though. This is a huge game and the Spanish side will step up its game. Last two times Barcelona and Napoli played, the scores were 2-1 and 4-0 both in favor of Barca. Barca didn't play its best against Getafe but still got the win, thanks to two goals in six minutes from Antoine Griezmann and Sergi Roberto. This is a team that can strike quicky at anytime. Don't count them out! T.M. Prediction: 3-0 Barca |
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02-24-20 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas OVER 134.5 | 58-83 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Kansas/Oklahoma State OVER (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). This is a dangerous spot for Kansas in my estimation. The Jayhawks come in off a huge win over No. 1 Baylor on the road last time out and it'll have to be extremely careful here to not look past their lowly opponent today. Oklahoma State will be out to pull off an upset of its own here, albeit a much bigger one. The Cowboys though will be feeling confident here after their latest 83-66 blowout win over rival Oklahoma in their last outing. I think the stage is set for a faster paced "shootout," not a lower-scoring "chess match." Play the over. T.M. Prediction: 85-70 KU. |
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02-24-20 | Magic v. Nets OVER 212.5 | Top | 115-113 | Win | 100 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Magic/Nets OVER (*10* MONEY-MAKER). The East is not nearly as competitive as the West and despite both teams coming into this one with sub-par records, each still legitimately has a shot at making the post-season. One game at a time. The Nets are playing better now that Kyrie Irving has been shelved for the remainder, coming in having gon 7-3 in their last ten. Orlando on the other hand is just 3-7 in its last ten. The Magic though have seen the total go over the number in four of their last five after playing four straight at home, while Brooklyn has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of 12 already this season after playing two straight games on the road. This number is a tad low in my professional opinion. T.M. Prediction: (115-112 Brooklyn) |
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02-24-20 | Senators v. Blue Jackets -1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jackets PUCK LINE (GAME OF MONTH 10*) It's now or never for Columbus. The Blue Jackets need to turn things around immediately, or their playoff hopes are going to now be over quickly. Indeed, Columbus comes into this one having lost eight straight. The Senators are the perfect opponent to get untracked against though! Ottawa is a poor 3-8 (-4.4 units) this year already after playing three straight at home. The Blue Jackets?! Note that they're still 61-39 (+9 units) in their last 100 vs. clubs with losing records. I expect Columbus to finally show up tonight and to not only find a way to win this game, but to win convincingly. T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Jackets. |
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02-24-20 | Louisville v. Florida State -2.5 | Top | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida State. These are two of the top teams in the country, but bottom line is that I don't think we can overlook the home floor advantage as being a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Louisville comes in off a 72-55 win over UNC, but FSU is an entirely different animal, especially at home. And especially on the defensive side of the ball. FSU already smashed Louisville on its home court the last time these teams played and I expect a similar result here as well. This one has double-digit destruction written all over it in my professional opinion. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 FSU. |
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02-23-20 | Blackhawks +1.5 v. Stars | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blackhawks (10* PUCK-LINE PUNISHER). In a game which I expect to be decided late or even in extra time or shootout, I'm going to lay the "pick em" price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. This is the third game of a four-game season series between the clubs. Last time out the Hawks won 3-0, ending a seven-game skid in the series. Interestingly Chicago is 8-4 (+4.5 units) in all "Sunday" games this year, while Dallas is just 1-5 (-5.8 units) in the same position. T.M. Prediction: (3-2 Stars). |
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02-23-20 | Indiana State -3.5 v. Evansville | Top | 64-62 | Loss | -111 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana State (10* MONEY-MAKER). Indiana State ended a three-game slide with a big 67-64 win over Northern Iowa last time out, getting 18 points and seven boards form Jake Laravia. Evansville though is a complete disaster and I expect it to continue to struggle here, most recently coming off a listless 70-53 loss to Southern Illinois, its 15th setback in a row. The Sycamores need to keep the foot on the gas here and after beating the No. 1 team in the league, I don't think there's any reason not believe that they can't in fact do that. Evansville is just 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 at home and I look for that record to get even worst after tonight. No trap here, look for Indiana State to instead take advantage! T.M. Prediction: (76-60 Sycamores). |
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02-22-20 | Deontay Wilder -116 v. Tyson Fury | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -116 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Deontay Wilder (10* TRADE-MARK). These two fighters went to a split draw in December 2018. Ultimately I expect Wilder to win this fight. Both fighters have knock out power, but Wilder is going to easily win on points. Overall Wilder's superior athletic skill should be more than enough to earn him the win vs. the less calculated Fury. T.M. Prediction: Wilder to win. |
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02-22-20 | Panthers v. Golden Knights -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 132 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Las Vegas (PUCK-LINE 10*). Florida stinks on the road and I believe the Panthers will indeed struggle in this difficult venue, vs. this surging Knights team. THe Panthers are in poor form, just 3-6-1 in their last ten, while the Golden Knights are 7-2-1 in their last ten. Florida is 0-4 in its last four as an underdog as well. Look for Las Vegas to to up early and to win by a decisive margin after it's all said and done. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Vegas. |
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02-22-20 | 76ers +8.5 v. Bucks | Top | 98-119 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (10* MONEY-MAKER). There's no way that the 76ers are going to roll over here. Does Milwaukee have the motivaion to try and blow out its opponent today? I don't think so. This one has "battle" written all over it. 76ers' big man Joel Embiid had 39 points in a 112-104 win over the Nets last time out and I think he carries that momentum over. While the Bucks come in off a relatively simple 126-106 win over the Pistons in their latest outing, note that they're just 2-7 ATS this year off a win by ten points or more vs. a division rival. Let's grab up the points, but also not be shocked if the outright occurs either. T.M. Prediction: 114-112 Bucks. |
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02-22-20 | Florida State -1 v. NC State | Top | 67-61 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). North Carolina State admittedly comes in off an impressive 88-66 win over Duke last time out, but I think it's poised for a classic letdown here. FSU is 12-3 in ACC play after its 82-67 win over Pittsburgh. The Wolfpack are just 8-7 in league play. NC State lost to Boston College previous to this big upset last time out, so I'm not reading too much into this most recent result. FSU's size and depth will prove to be too much for the home side to keep pace with down the stretch. T.M. Prediction: 76-70 FSU. |
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02-22-20 | North Carolina +9.5 v. Louisville | 55-72 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: North Carolina (8* MONEY-MAKER). I simply feel that the home side is going to get caught looking past the putrid Tar Heels today. UNC won't be rolling over today though after starting February 0-6. The Tar Heels are always in contention with Cole Anthony in the line-up and now that he's had a couple games to get back up to speed, there's no reason not to think that the dynamic player can't lead his team to an outright upset here. Louisville snapped a rare two-game slide with a win over Syracuse in its latest action. UNC though is 4-0 ATS in its last four as a road dog and I expect it to fight tooth and nail until the final horn. As such, I'll ultimately recommend to grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: 73-72 Louisville. |
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02-22-20 | Tennessee v. Auburn OVER 135 | Top | 66-73 | Win | 100 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tennessee/Auburn OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). This is a big game. These two teams will also meet in their regular season finales in Knoxville. The Vols have four players averaging in double-figures. Overall Tennessee averages 66.8 PPG, while allow 62.1. Auburn comes home eager to shake off consecutive road losses. Expect the home side to push the pace from start to finish. Tennessee averages 79 PPG and it allows 70.9. Auburn has scored 80 or more points in six of its last seven conference home games and Tennessee is going to have to match pace. This total is low. T.M. Prediction: 77-73 Auburn. |
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02-21-20 | Grizzlies +11 v. Lakers | 105-117 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (8*). Memphis lost 129-125 in Sacramento last night, but I think it can bounce back here and keep this one competitive. Mainly because I think the Lakers are going to come out slow after the All Star Break. LeBron James was kept busy throughout the festiviites and with the Celtics and Pelicans coming to town up next, I think the home side will classically get caught "looking ahead" as well. It all sets up nicely for a comfortable cover for the visitors. T.M. Prediction: 117-114 Lakers. |
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02-21-20 | Pacers -5.5 v. Knicks | Top | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 22 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers 10* MONEY-MAKER. The Knicks looked decent for about two weeks prior to the All Star break, but perhaps predictably they then fell apart in the final two games, lowing to the Hawks and the Wizards. Indiana won its final game over Milwaukee before the break. These teams have split two games this year, but New York won the most recent one. That sets this up as a revenge game for Victor Oladipo and the home side. The Knicks have failed to score 100 points in three of the last five in this head-to-head matchup and I think the home side once again strugglest. T.M. Prediction: 111-100 Indiana. |
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02-21-20 | Princeton v. Harvard -7.5 | Top | 60-61 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Harvard (10* IVY-LEAGUE). The bottom line on this one is, I don't think you can overlooked the "home court advantage" as being a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Harvard won't be taking anything for granted here after the Tigers snuck by the Crimson 70-69 in Princeton on February 1st. Both teams come in off less that impressive wins, but in this big contest, where the winner will take over the No. 1 spot, I think the revenge minded home side gets the job done vs. a Tigers team which just gave up 88 points to Yale. Lay the points here. T.M. Prediction: 80-62 Harvard. |
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