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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-03-23 | Yankees v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
10* Astros runline (ASSASSIN) No need to overanalyze this one. After dropping the first two games of this series, we like the Astros to not only win the finale here on Sunday night MLB, but to do so in blowout fashion. And that makes the runline option the correct call in our opinion. Michael King (3-5, 2.96 ERA) has been solid for New York, but we feel he's for sure in the "wrong place at the wrong time" tonight. His counterpart Christian Javier (9-2, 4.66 ERA) is the correct call; lay the 1.5 runs and expect a blowout! AAA Sports |
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09-03-23 | Orioles v. Diamondbacks -138 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -138 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
10* Diamondbacks (BOB) Arizona took the opener, and Baltimore bounced back on Saturday. Now with the suprerior starting pitcher on the hill for them here, we like the Diamondbacks to respond in the finale of this three-game series and to find a way to get the job done. And for us, it just boils down to the starting pitching, as Baltimore's Jack Flaherty (1-2, 6.41 ERA) continues to look shaky for his new team, while Zac Gallen (14-6, 3.32) here at home at this price and in this situation seems like a gift; so lay the price with confidence, the play is Arizona! AAA Sports |
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09-03-23 | Northwestern +7 v. Rutgers | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -111 | 146 h 15 m | Show |
10* Northwestern (ROUT) Outright upset? Maybe, but after going 1-11 last year, Northwestern won't be lacking motivation today. Ben Bryant came over from Cincinnati to be the man under center and to refresh this offense. What better opponent to go up against to open the season than Rutgers, which went 4-8 last year? The Scarlet Knights once again have more questions than answers coming into this season. The Rutgers defense is its strength, but we're expecting this to be a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Northwestern! AAA Sports |
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09-03-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Crystal Palace -101 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
10* Crystal Palace (ASSASSIN) Crystal Palace is the "better" team on paper in this matchup, and I think that'll also translate into a decisive victory on the field of play this weekend as well in this favorable matchup. Wolverhampton is in complete disarray after a 5-0 loss to Blackpool last week. Crystal Palace on the other hand comes in off an encouraging 4-2 win over Plymouth Argyle. Crystal Palace has won three straight at home in this series and at this price, we LOVE that streak to continue; the play is indeed on Crystal Palace! AAA Sports |
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09-02-23 | South Alabama +7 v. Tulane | Top | 17-37 | Loss | -115 | 148 h 51 m | Show |
10* South Alabama (ASSASSIN) South Alabama was an amazing 12-1 ATS last year, and we're expecting it to get out to a quick start in 2023/24 as well. Tulane finished 13th in rushing a year ago, but the Jaguars finished 8th in rushing defense. South Alabama was 10-3 overall, but it fell to WKU in the New Orleans Bowl. Overall the Jaguars allowed just 21.3 PPG. The Green Wave conceded 22.2. In a contest that we believe will "come down to the wire," we're grabbing the points; the play is South Alabama! AAA Sports |
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09-02-23 | Toledo +9.5 v. Illinois | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 148 h 46 m | Show |
10* Toledo (SITUATIONAL BLOODBATH) Toledo has a stout offensive line and we think it'll be a difference-maker in being able to push around Illinois and hang and be competitive late. This was the MAC's best defense last year and that's going to be enough against this Illinois team on Saturday in our estimation. Toledo has the talen to run as well. Illinois is a great defense as well, so points will be at a premium. No matter which way you look at it though, this is a few too many points; grab the points, the play is Toledo! AAA Sports |
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09-02-23 | Yankees v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
10* Astros runline (DOMINATION) We not only expect Houston to win today, but we believe it'll do so in "blowout fashion," meaning that the runline option is definitely the savvy call in our estimation. Houston's five game win streak came to an end in yesterday's 6-2 loss, but note that the Astros are 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The bottom line here as well is that this is a starting pitching matchup that we definitely believe favors the home side, with the Yanks going with the erratic Luis Severino (4-8, 6.64 ERA), and the Astros countering with Hunter Brown (10-9, 4.47.) Lay the 1.5 runs and expect a decisive blowout! AAA Sports |
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09-02-23 | UTSA -115 v. Houston | Top | 14-17 | Loss | -115 | 148 h 16 m | Show |
10* UTSA (NON-CONF GOY) These teams are evenly matched, but I like the Roadrunners to find a way to get the job done in the end. With eight offensive and eight defensive starters returning from an 11-win squad in 2022, we believe UTSA will be one of the best Group of Five schools in the country. Last year these teams played at UTSA, and the Roadrunners fell 37-35 in OT as a 3.5-point dog. Look for UTSA to exact some revenge here in the Week 1 of the 2023/24 season this time around; the play is UTSA! AAA Sports |
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09-02-23 | Vancouver Whitecaps v. New York City FC +105 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 52 h 11 m | Show |
10* NYCFC (BOB) NYCFC is off a commanding 2-0 win over Montreal FC on Wednesday, and we're expecting the home side to carry over that momentum here at home on Saturday. The White Caps are already off back-to-back wins, including a 1-0 win over Chicago last time out, but like Montreal, Vancouver does not travel well. NYCFC has three clean sheets at Yankee Stadium in its last seven games there and we feel it offers tremendous value to keep the streak going here; the play is NYCFC! AAA Sports |
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09-02-23 | Bowling Green +10 v. Liberty | Top | 24-34 | Push | 0 | 141 h 59 m | Show |
10* Bowling Green (UNDERDOG SHOCKER) Liberty is a huge favorite here, but note that it was just 6-7 ATS. When favored by ten or more points, the Flames did not cover the spread once out of six times last season. Bowling Green was just 4-8-1 ATS, but with a low turnover in personel, the Falcons are expected to take a small step forward this year. Bowling Green was an underdog of 10 or more points in four different games last year and the Falcons went 2-2 ATS. We're not predicting an outright, but we definitely feel this is a few too many points for Liberty to cover here in Week 1; grab the points, the play is Bowling Green! AAA Sports |
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09-02-23 | AFC Bournemouth v. Brentford -135 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -135 | 47 h 27 m | Show |
10* Brentford (GOW) Dating back to 2020, Brentford has won four in this series, lost one and drawn one. The last time they clashed was last season and the Bees left with the 2-0 victory. Brentford had 50 percent possession , but 12 shots on goa, compared to Bournemouth's 7. Bournemouth will be competitive early, but the Bees momentum carries over here as they continue their recent domination of this series; lay the price, the play is Brentford! AAA Sports |
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09-01-23 | Stanford v. Hawaii +7 | Top | 37-24 | Loss | -120 | 130 h 22 m | Show |
10* Hawaii (NON-CONF GOW) Stanford has a ton of potential with new head coach Troy Taylor, whose Sacramento State team averaged around 500 yards per game. However, it's going to take time to build that chemistry, and that's where we ultimately see the door being open for the Warriors to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. The Warriors lost at Vanderbilt last weekend, but covered the spread. Stanford is a total rebuild and there are so many question marks, that we expect the home side to be able to move the ball and be competitive. We'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to a much more competitive battle than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Hawaii! AAA Sports |
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09-01-23 | Louisville -7.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 39-34 | Loss | -108 | 127 h 12 m | Show |
10* Louisville (ACC GOM) It would be difficult for Georgia Tech to be any worse than it was last year, so it will for sure be improved this season. However, that improvement is relative of course. Louisville does have plenty of new faces, including at head coach (Jeff Brohm) and defensive coordinator (Ron English), but the defense finished No. 1 in the nation in sacks last year, and this unit will have its way with the ACC's worst offensive line in tackles allowed for a loss. QB Jack Plummer has plenty of talent around him as well. These are the types of games that Louisville needs to run up the score on early, to allow its backups and wannabe's quality playing time in the fourth quarter; lay the points, the play is Louisville! AAA Sports |
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09-01-23 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
10* OVER Cubs/Reds (NL CENTRAL TOM) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end here. Chicago just went 2-1 vs. Milwaukee at home as it keeps its playoff hopes alive. All three games went "under" the number, but note that the Cubs have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Cincinnati hasn't thrown in the white towel yet on its season either. The Reds lost two of three at San Francisco, but did win the finale 4-1. All three games also went "under" the number. That's four straight "unders" for the Reds, but note that despite their low-scoring victory last time out, they've still seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Chicago goes with still unproven Jordan Wicks (1-0, 1.80 ERA) who looks primed for a dose of reality in our opinion after a decent debut vs. the Pirates last time out. He'll be opposed by Graham Ashcraft (7-8, 4.73) who is 1-4 with a 10.38 ERA in five career starts vs. Chicago. We're expecting these guys to "get the hook" early; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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08-31-23 | Nebraska v. Minnesota -7.5 | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -108 | 106 h 2 m | Show |
10* Minnesota (BIG TEN GOM) Minnesota was 9-4 last season, and it won the Pinstripe Bowl. The Gophers averaged 28.2 points per game, while allowing 13.8. Nebraska went 4-8 and failed to make a bowl appearance. It gave up 27.6 points per game, while averaging only 22.6 per contest. The Gophers are interestingly 5-3 ATS in their last eight as a 7.5-point favorite. Nebraska will be a lot better under Matt Rhule, and tranfer Jeff Simms is a dangerous play-maker. Defense is an issue again this year though. This game will once again be decided in the trenches (Minnesota won this game 20-13 last year, unable to cover the large 14.5-point spread.) Nebraska's lines on both sides of the ball will need some work to get up to speed. Look for Minnesota's tough defense to be the difference-maker; lay the points on the Gophers! AAA Sports |
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08-31-23 | Florida v. Utah UNDER 46.5 | Top | 11-24 | Win | 100 | 106 h 15 m | Show |
10* Florida/Utah UNDER (TOM) The Utes finished 10-4 last year and they lost in the Rose Bowl. Utah averaged 38.6 points per game while conceding 21.4. The Gators were 6-7 in 2022, and they lost the Las Vegas Bowl. They averaged 29.5 points, while allowing 28.8 per contest. Utah has question marks at QB though, as Cam Rising is still nursing a sore knee suffered in the Rose Bowl, while backup Brandon Rose was hurt in the preseason and he's up in the air as well. Florida's offense will be shaky to start this year as well, but it'll make up for it on the defensive side, which will be tough in the pass rush in this one. A great situational play on the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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08-31-23 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
10* OVER Marlins/Nationals (NL EAST TOY) Both teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting some offensive fireworks here in the Nation's capital in the opener of this series. Miami has lost five of its last six. It lost both games to Tampa Bay over the weekend, including falling 3-0 yesterday. Note though that the Fish have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 off a shutout home loss. These teams played just last week and the Nats took two of three, so the Marlins won't be taking anything for granted here obviously. Washington has lost three of four, includuing a 7-0 loss at Toronto last night. Note though that the Nats have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four off a shutout road loss. Neither starter has been terrible, and neither has been great. Braxton Garrett (7-5, 3.96 ERA) gets the call for Miami, while Washington counters with Joan Adon (2-0, 5.25.) The situation and trends/numbers all point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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08-30-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 9.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
10* D-Backs/Dodgers UINDER (BLOCKBUSTER) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to finally end this evening. Arizona has seen the total go "over" in both games to open this series, both have been losses. That's significant to note however, as the D-Backs have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Dodgers have now seen the total "over" the number in six straight. All of these "overs" have pushed the O/U line in this finale a little bit higher than it normally would/should be in our opinion. Brandon Pfaadt (1-6, 5.91 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, while Ryan Pepiot (0-0, 2.00) counters for the home side. The overall situation combined with the above listed trends finally points to a bit of a duel here on Wednesday; this number is high, the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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08-29-23 | Astros v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Red Sox (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to some really high-scoring games of late, including in the Astros 13-5 series-opening victory here yesterday. Houston has now seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that the Astros have in fact seen the total go "under" in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Boston though has now seen the total go "over" in 12 straight games. That fact though has for sure only helped in driving tonight's total a bit higher than it normally would/should be. Two really good starters here in JP France (9-5, 3.51 ERA) and Brayan Bellow (10-7, 3.56) for the home side. The overall situation and the numbers/trends all point to the "under" as the correct call finally! AAA Sports |
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08-28-23 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
10* Brewers/Cubs UNDER. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of a "duel" here in the opener of this important series. Milwaukee has won eight in a row, and it's seen the total go "over" in five straight. But note that the Brewers have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Cubs have won seven of their last nine and they've seen the total fly "over the number in six of their last seven. Milwaukee goes with Wade Miley (6-3, 3.18 ERA), while the home side counters with Jameson Taillon (7-8, 5.60.) The overall situation, combined with the above-listed O/U ATS stat makes the "under" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one! AAA Sports |
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08-27-23 | Royals v. Mariners UNDER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
10* UNDER Royals/Mariners (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this afternoon. Seattle continues to surge, after taking two of three from the White Sox, it's also taken the first two games of this series vs. the Royals, winning 7-5 and 15-2. Note though that KC has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. Alec Marsh (0-6, 5.56 ERA) gets the call for the Royals, while Luis Castillo (10-7, 3.15) counters for the home side. The overall situation, combined with the above listed ATS O/U trends does indeed make the UNDER the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one. AAA Sports |
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08-27-23 | Liverpool v. Newcastle United | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
10* Liverpool/ Newcastle United DRAW (ASSASSIN) Newcastle is 1-1, hammering Aston Villa 5-1 in the opening week, and then calling 1-0 last weekend to high-powered Manchester City. All signs point to bounceback here though in our opinion. Liverpool is off a 3-1 win over lowly Bournemouth, but we believe it'll have its hands full finally here in Week 3. Liverpool is unbeaten in its last 13 matches in the EPL, so the home side will have it hands full for sure as well. Each team is filled with impressive talent, and we believe we're going to witness a "stale-mate," meaning that the DRAW option offers the best overall value. AAA Sports |
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08-26-23 | Austin v. FC Dallas +100 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 55 h 6 m | Show |
10* FC Dallas (MLS GOW) This is the third time these teams have played this year, and each has one victory. FC Dallas though will look to Ausin FC is in seventh the Western Conference. FC Dallas though has won two of its last three matches. In its last six home matches FC Dallas has won three, drawn one and lost two, scoring eight goals and conceding five. Austin FC comes in on terrible form by going 1-3 in their last four matches. In Austin FC's last six away matches, it's won once, drawn once and lost four, scoring 11 goals, while conceding 16. Look for FC Dallas to take advantage and lay this price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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08-26-23 | San Jose State v. USC -30 | Top | 28-56 | Loss | -108 | 558 h 23 m | Show |
10* USC (BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT) If USC is going to take the next step as a program, it has to take advantage of these early season games, and hammer their lesser competition over the first three quarters, to give the backups and younger kids some real game time in the fourth, including Malachi Nelson and Miller Moss, among various other high-profile back-ups. It would be a massive wasted opportunity if the Trojans don't approach this game seriously and absolutely lay the hammer down over the first three quarters. SJSU finished 7-4 overall and 4-7 ATS last year. With plenty of new faces, we expect the Spartans to struggle in this difficult road venue; lay the points, the play is the Trojans! AAA Sports |
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08-26-23 | A's v. White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
10* UNDER A's/White Sox. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Chicago has lost the first two games of this series by scores of 8-5 and 12-4, but note that the White Sox have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. Two decent starters here in JP Sears (2-10, 4.61 ERA) for the A's and Touki Toussaint (0-1, 4.91) for the home side. The overall situation points to this finally being more of a "duel," the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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08-26-23 | Ohio +3.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -110 | 558 h 48 m | Show |
10* Ohio (NON-CONF GOM) SDSU finished 7-6 overall last year and 5-3 vs. the Mountain West. In the end the Aztecs fell 25-23 to MTSU in the Hawaii Bowl last year. Ohio finished 2022 with a 10-4 record, and was 7-1 vs. the MAC. The Bobcats then went on to win the Barstool Arizona Bowl by a score of 30-27 in OT over Wyoming. Tim Albin won the MAC Coach of the year and quarterback Kurtis Rourke earned MAC Offensive Play of the year as well. With another tough game at home vs. LIU next week, we're expecting the Bobcats to be on top of their Game in Week 0. With a "cream puff" vs. Idaho State next, we're expecting the home side to get caught "looking ahead." While we feel the outright is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Ohio! AAA Sports |
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08-26-23 | Guardians v. Blue Jays -162 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
8* Jays (ROUT) Despite last night's win, the Guardians are still just 28-35 on the road, while Toronto is still 32-28 at home. Note though that the Jays are 7-3 in their last ten after three or more straight losses in a row. They're also 3-1 in their last four in trying t avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. We like Logan Allen (6-6, 3.31 ERA) of Cleveland, but we think he's overmatched here facing Hyun-Jin Ryu (2-1, 1.89) at home; lay the price with confidence, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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08-26-23 | Navy v. Notre Dame UNDER 50.5 | Top | 3-42 | Win | 100 | 554 h 59 m | Show |
10* Navy/ND UNDER (NON-CONF TOW) This is the third time these teams have played each other in Ireland. Notre Dame is 2-0. The Irish are heavy favorites here, but we're steering clear of the side and instead focussing on the total. The last time was back in 2012 where the Irish won 50-10. Notre Dame finished 9-4 overall last year and 7-6 ATS. Sam Hartman transferred over from Wake Forest and he had 38 TD's and 12 INT's last year. He now steps behind one of the best offensive lines in the nation. Navy finihed 4-8 overall and 7-5 ATS. The Midshipmen came out on the wrong side of more than a couple close calls last week. Navy's offense is centered around the run and that's what we're expecting to see a lot of today. Also note that the Midshipment finished first in their conference in third down stops last year. They also ranked second in stopping the run in the nation and the defense returns most of the starters. Look for this "across the pond" contest to be decided by field position and special teams and expect it to fall "under" the number once it's all said and done. AAA Sports |
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08-26-23 | West Ham United v. Brighton & Hove Albion -188 | 3-1 | Loss | -188 | 48 h 43 m | Show | |
8* Brighton and Hove Albion (ROUT) Brighton and Hove Albion will get tripped up and lose at some point shortly, but it won't be this weekend in our opinion. The Seagulls hammered the Hammer 4-0 on the South Coast in March, and we're expecting a similar style beatdown here as well. So far Brighton has scored eight goals and conceded two. The Hammers are in over their heads here and have struggled in this matchup for a while now, going 0-3 in the last three in this series, falling by an aggregate score of 9-1. These two teams are moving in opposite directions and I expect those trends to continue here; lay the price with confidence, the play is Brighton and Hove Albion! AAA Sports |
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08-25-23 | Astros v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 105 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Tigers. Both teams enter this series have been playing to higher-scoring "overs" of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The visitors hand the ball to Framber Valdez (9-9, 3.55 ERA), while the home side counters with Matt Manning (5-4, 4.31.) Despite having played to several high-scoring affairs entering this one, all signs finally point to more of a "duel" here between these super competent starters; this number is high, the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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08-24-23 | Blue Jays v. Orioles UNDER 9 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/Orioles (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been playing to several high-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Toronto has gone 3-1 in its last four, including going 2-1 in this series. The first two games both flew "over" the posted total, while yesterday's game went "under" in the Orioles 7-0 victory. Note that Toronto has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 following a shutout road loss. We have two really competent veteran starters going head-to-head, and we're expecting a classic "duel" into the latter frames, with Jose Berrios (9-8, 3.39 ERA) getting the nod for the Jays, and Kyle Gibson (12-7, 4.97) countering for the Orioles. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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08-23-23 | Red Sox v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Red Sox/Astros (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. The Red Sox have now seen the total go "over" in five straight after losing the first two games of this series. Note though that Boston has seen the total "under" in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Houston has now seen the total go "over" in four straight as well. Two hungry starters collide, and we're expecting a "duel," with Chris Sale getting the nod for the Red Sox, and Jose Urquidy countering for the home side. This number is a little high in our estimation now, so the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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08-22-23 | Dodgers v. Guardians OVER 9 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
10* OVER Dodgers/Guardians (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. LA just went 2-1 at home to Miami this weekend, and the final two games both went "under" the number. Cleveland enters the series having played to six straight "unders." Despite that though, note that the Guardians have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight "unders" in arow. Cleveland is desperate to snap a horrible stretch, having lost four of its last five. LA goes with Bobby Miller (7-2, 3.70 ERA) who we feel is just in the wrong place at the wrong time, as we expect the home side to finally plate some runs tonight. Miller though will still be feeling confident here going up against confirmed "gas can" Noah Syndergaard (1-2, 5.06.) Look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later; the play is indeed on the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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08-21-23 | Rangers -150 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -150 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
10* Rangers (IL GOW) This will be a public play, but we like Texas to stop the bleeding here after four straight losses. Arizona looks primed for a letdown here in the opener after going 5-1 in its last six, including taking two of three at rival San Diego this weekend. Jordan Montgomery (2-1, 2.50 ERA) gets the call for the Rangers, while Slade Cecconi (0-0, 3.48) counters for the home side. The sample size is still too small to draw any firm conclusions on Cecconi, but we feel he's definitely overmatched here. Montgomery is the correct call here to snap the slide; lay the price, the play is Texas! AAA Sports |
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08-21-23 | Arsenal -165 v. Crystal Palace | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 29 h 3 m | Show |
10* Arsenal (ASSASSIN) Crystal Palace managed to hold on for the 1-0 win over Sheffield United last week, but we expect it to now have its hands full with much deeper Arsenal coming to town. Arsenal held on for a 2-1 win over Nottingham Forest last week. If recent history is any precedence, then Arsenal has to be feeling confident here, as Crystal Palace has won only one of its eight matches against it in the EPL. Overall Arsenal has the superior squad here, a team that can really give Manchester City a run for its money. Look for the "better" team to grind out a solid win here; the play is Arsenal! AAA Sports |
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08-20-23 | DC United v. New York Red Bulls -122 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 124 h 16 m | Show |
10* New York Red Bulls (MLS GOM) No big upsets here in our estimation as the MLS returns to action this weekend. New York gets ready to host DC at the Red Bull Arena on Saturday. DC United is just 8-10 and it's terrible on the road, most recently falling 4-0 at New England on July 15th. New York lost two straight vs. Cincinnati and Real Salt Lake to close out before the break, but we like it to easily bounce back here now in this favorable matchup; lay the price, the play is the Red Bulls! AAA Sports |
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08-20-23 | Phillies v. Nationals UNDER 9 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Phillies/Nationals. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting more of a "duel" here on Sunday. Philadelphia has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after last night's 12-3 win here. Note though that the Phillies have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight overs in a row. Washington has seen the total go "under" the number in interestingly three of its last four after a loss of 8 or more runs as well. Zach Wheeler (9-5, 3.63 ERA) of the Phillies faces off against Trevor Williams (5-7, 5.20) of the Nationals in the starting pitching matchup, and we're expecting these guys to battle into the latter frames; when you add it all up, the "under" is indeed the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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08-20-23 | Saints v. Chargers UNDER 38 | Top | 22-17 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER Saints/Chargers (NFLX TOY) Both teams come in at 1-0, and each of their games flew well "over" the posted number, but all signs point to a much more defensive affair this time around. One of the biggest things to constantly remember when betting the preseason, is not to "read" too much into the results from one week to the next. We believe we'll see a much more defensive affair this time around, with each team's defensive starters seeing plenty of time here in Week 2. While the majority all go one way, we're going the other on this total; the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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08-19-23 | Patriots +2.5 v. Packers | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 30 h 40 m | Show |
10* Patriots (ASSASSIN) The Pats lost 20-9 at home to Houston, but we'll caution in reading too much into that result, or any of the Week 1 results for any team, either good or bad. Green Bay got by Cincinnati 36-19, but we're expeting the Packers to have a much harder time moving the ball here against the Pats' tough defense. New England actually forced two turnovers on defense, including an INT that set up a field goal on their opening drive. The Pats signed Ezekiel Elliot to back up Rhamondre Stevenson. New England will use a vareity of QB's in this one. The Packers got 46 yards and a nine yard TD pass to Romeo Doubs from Jordan Love in last week's blowout victory, but we shouldn't expect a repeat performance here in this meaningless game. The majority of this contest will still be played by the backups and wannabe's, and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is New England! AAA Sports |
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08-19-23 | Giants v. Braves OVER 9 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
10* OVER Giants/Braves (NL TOM) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a more explosive "slug-fest" here finally on Saturday, despite a couple of decent starters going head-to-head. San Fran has now seen the total go "under" in three straight after yesterday's 4-0 setback here. Note though that the Giants have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a shutout road loss against an opponent. The Braves have now won four straight, while also seeing the total go "under" in three straight (but note that ATL has seen the total go "over" the number in six of its last eight after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row.) The Giants hand the ball to Logan Webb (9-9, 3.26 ERA), while the home side counters with Yonny Chirinos, who is 1-1 with a ballooned 9.33 ERA for his new team. Expect these guys to get "the hook" early and then look for this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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08-19-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion -105 v. Wolverhampton Wanderers | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 90 h 20 m | Show |
10* Brighton & Hove Albion (ASSASSIN) We like Brighton & Hove Albion to find a way to get the job done here in regulation. Brighton & Hove Albion most recently hammered Luton Town 4-1 and I believe a similar final outcome will be expected here. Wolverhampton hung around in its opener, but eventually fell 1-0 to Manchester United. But competing again like that vs. another difficult opponent will prove to be too difficult this week in our opinion. This line could/should in fact be much larger; the play is Brighton & Hove Albion! AAA Sports |
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08-18-23 | Marlins +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 11-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
10* Marlins runline (ASSASSIN) If the Marlins are going to make the playoffs, they'll have to win on the road, and they'll have to compete with the top teams in the league. Both of those factors will be on the line here in their trip to LA, and in a competitive opening contest that we foresee being decided late, or even in extra innings, we're going to grab the hungry Fish on the runline option. Sandy Alcantara (5-10, 4.09 ERA) is coming off his strongest outing of the year, giving up one run and striking out ten in a complete-game victory over the Yanks. It would appear that Alcantara has plenty left in the tank here now for a final push to the season (he owns a 1.69 ERA over his last four trips to the hill.) He hasn't fared well against LA in the past, but this is a case of that being then, and this being now. Tony Gonsolin (8-4, 4.24) counters for the home side, and he's coming off a strong outing against the Rockies, allowing one run over six innings. After 11 straight wins, we think LA is now complacent. No such luxury for the hungry Marlins though; the play is Miami on the runline. AAA Sports |
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08-18-23 | Bengals +6.5 v. Falcons | Top | 13-13 | Win | 100 | 29 h 14 m | Show |
10* Bengals (ASSASSIN) The Bengals lost 36-19 to Green Bay last week, but we expect the Cincinnati offense to improve a lot this time around. The Falcons beat the Dolphins 19-3. The moral of the story here, is not to "overreact." Don't over-react to good or poor results from one week to the next in the preseason. Joe Burrow once again won't be playing for Cincinnati, but Jake Browning and Trevor Siemian were decent enough, despite the loss. The Falcons got a 79-yard punt return from Dee Alford last week. Logan Woodside was decent with 146 yards passing. But we just can't lay this many points with the Falcons, as we do expect Cincinnati to be a lot sharper all around here; play on Cincinnati! AAA Sports |
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08-18-23 | Sheffield United v. Nottingham Forest -112 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 71 h 49 m | Show |
10* Nottingham Forest GAME OF MONTH. Sheffield United had a poor time against Crystal Palace, and playing at the City Ground will only make it more difficult here going up against Nottingham Forest. Off a 2-1 loss in its opener to Arsenal, we're predicting Nottingham Forest to bounce-back here in this favorable matchup. We expect the Reds to come in focused on the task at hand; lay the price for Nottingham Forest to win in regulation! AAA Sports |
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08-17-23 | Browns v. Eagles -172 | Top | 18-18 | Push | 0 | 30 h 58 m | Show |
10* Eagles MONEYLINE (GOW) The Browns are 1-1 so far in the preseason, while the Eagles are 0-1. Now the starters for both sides should see more time, but that benefits the home side here in our opinion. Jalen Hurts will see his first action of the year, and we don't see this vanilla Browns offense slowing down his drive. After dropping the game in Week 1, look for Philadelphia to come out on top here at home! AAA Sports |
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08-17-23 | Red Sox v. Nationals OVER 9 | Top | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
10* OVER Red Sox/Nats (ULTIMATE TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this afternoon. Boston has now seen the total go "under" in seven straight after yesterday's 6-2 loss. Note though that the Red Sox have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Chris Sale is 5-2 with a 4.52 ERA for Boston, while Patrick Corbin is 7-11 with a 4.85 ERA for the Nationals. Two veterans who have each seen better days collide here and this is just a case of each being in the wrong place at the wrong time; this number is low, the play is the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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08-17-23 | Mariners v. Royals UNDER 9 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
10* Mariners/Royals UNDER (ASSASSIN) The first three games of this series have all flown well "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a more defensive "duel" here in the finale (note that Seattle has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row.) Seattle hands the ball to George Kirby (10-8, 3.11 ERA), while the home side counters with Angel Zerpa (1-1, 7.71.) This pick is based mainly upon the form of Kirby, who is 2-0 with a 1.97 ERA and a 38:3 K/W over his last five starts. Zerpa hasn't made a start since July 26th last year, so he's a bit of an unknown, but note that he's 1-2 with a 1.29 ERA in three previous career starts. This number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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08-16-23 | Phillies +1.5 v. Blue Jays | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
10* Phillies RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) After dropping three straight, including the first game of this series, we like the Phillies to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire, meaning that the runline option is the savvy call for sure here as far as making a play on the side. We don't trust the Jays to pull off the sweep. We think these starters are very evenly matched, with Philly going with Aaron Nola (9-8, 4.49 ERA), and the Jays countering with Kevin Gausman (9-6, 3.04.) Philadelphia comes in desperate to snap the three-game slide, and while we do believe the outright win is possible, the runline option at this price is the correct call in our opinion; the play is Philadelphia on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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08-15-23 | Angels v. Rangers -159 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
8* Rangers (BLOOD-BATH) We don't expect any upsets here today in Texas. There sure wasn't yesterday in the Rangers' 12-0 victory. "They're all doing something to help contribute," Rangers manager Bruce Bochy said after yesterday's blowout victory. "They're all involved. If you look at the bench, they're all getting playing time right now, so it's good to have depth." Lucas Giolito (7-8, 4.37 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, and he's been pretty inconsistent since coming over from the ChiSox. He'll be opposed by Jordan Montgomery (7-10, 3.38), who is 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA in two starts for his new team. This line could/should be a lot larger in our opinion, so lay the price with confidence; the play is TEXAS! AAA Sports |
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08-14-23 | Yankees v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
10* Braves runline (BLOOD-BATH) The Yanks are just 60-58, including only 25-30 on the road and I believe that New York will not only lose this game, but it'll lost in blowout fashion. ATL is 75-42 overall, including 37-20 at home. NY just lost two of three to the Marlins over the weekend, including a late collapse in last night's 8-7 setback. With the thought of that crushing defeat fresh on the front of their collective mind, I say NY is ripe for the picking here. And I expect ATL to have no mercy. The Braves took three of four from the Mets, but dropped yesterday's contest by a score of 7-6. Clarke Schmidt (8-6, 4.23 ERA) gets the call for the Yanks, while Max Fried (3-1, 2.50) counters for the Braves. We give Fried the big nod here in this matchup; lay the 1.5 runs on Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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08-13-23 | Mercury +1.5 v. Storm | Top | 71-81 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
10* Mercury (BLOOD-BATH) We base our picks on many different factors. Line movement, injuries, scheduling, trends. Many different things. For this particular one, we're keeping it "simple." Both these teams are terrible. Phoenix is 9-20, while Seattle is 8-21. Phoenix though has won two in a row and it also plays with revenge after losing 97-91 at home to the Storm as 4-point favorites back on August 5th, which is very significant to note here, as the Mercury are in fact 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent; clearly the outright is possible, but let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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08-13-23 | Rangers v. Giants -132 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
10* Giants (IL GOW) After four straight losses, including the first two games in this series, we like the Giants to bounce back and deliver here in the finale of this three game set (note that SF is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent.) Texas has been great, but we expect it to get caught "looking ahead" to its upcoming home series with the Angels next. Two really good starting pitchers going head-to-head here, as Dane Dunning is 9-4 with a 3.21 ERA for the visitors, while Logan Webb is battle-tested at 9-9 witha 3.38 ERA for the home side. The revenge-factor and urgency in which the home side plays with today turn out to be the difference-makers; lay the price, the play is San Francisco! AAA Sports |
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08-13-23 | Chiefs v. Saints UNDER 38.5 | Top | 24-26 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chiefs/Saints. The Chiefs are the defending champs, but they have plenty to work on in the preseason, with new faces in the line-up on both sides of the field. Andy Reid won't be playing his starters here today, but the Saints will. But starters won't be playing for long on either side. The Chiefs won't be taking the preseason too seriously. We say this Week 1 NFLX contest will be more of a lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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08-12-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -129 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
10* Diamondbacks (BLOOD-BATH) We think Arizona will end its nine-game slide. The D-Backs may not be in the postseason, but they won't lose every game from now until the end of the season. The streak of futility ends here and now. Rich Hill (0-1, 18.00 ERA) can't be relied upon from one start to the next, and we feel he's completely overmatched on the road here in this starting pitching matchup throwing opposite D-Backs "ace" Zac Gallen (11-5, 3.37) who is 9-1 with a 1.97 ERA in front of the home town crowd this season; this line could/should in fact be a lot larger, so the value swings to Arizona! AAA Sports |
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08-12-23 | Sun v. Wings -1.5 | Top | 81-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
10* Wings (BOB) This one sets up well for the revenge-minded Wings in our opinion. Dallas has lost three straight, both SU and ATS, and that's significant to note in this case, as the Wings are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. They also indeed do play with the "revenge factor" after falling 88-83 to the Sun as 3.5-point favs here back in July. With an upcoming game at Connecticut, it puts added importance onto this contest as well. The Sun just had their three-game win streak snapped in a lackluster 90-84 loss at Phoenix as 7.5-point favorites and we feel they're "ripe for the picking" here as well. And with the majority of the public money on the visiting side, that'll "seal the deal" for us in pulling the trigger and laying the short points with Dallas! AAA Sports |
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08-12-23 | Colts v. Bills UNDER 38 | Top | 19-23 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 52 m | Show |
10* UNDER Colts/Bills (BLOCKBUSTER) The Colts have a new QB under center, as well as a new head coach, and chemistry will clearly be an issue for them to open the season. The Bills on the other hand have continuity in both of those spots once again this season. The Colts will have plenty of competition in the preseason, while the Bills will be looking to fill in some gaps in their already stacked line-up. Each will have different motivations going into each contest, and while most of the starters won't even see playing time in this one, we're absolutely expecting a lower-scoring defensive battle once it's all said and done. This one has "under" written all OVER it; the play is indeed on the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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08-12-23 | Titans v. Bears -165 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 23 h 41 m | Show |
10* Bears (GOW) Instead of playing the spread option, we're going to pay the price and play the Bears on the moneyline to just win this game straight up. Both teams missed the playoffs last year. Each has a lot to work on. Tennessee though has a lot more to work on, as Chicago made some savvy moves in the offseason. On paper, Chicago looks like the better team in this matchup, and I expect that to carry true in Chicago's home opener. The Bears understand the importance of a positive start, even if its in the preseason after last year's disappointing result; lay the price, the play is Chicago on the moneyline! AAA Sports |
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08-12-23 | Fulham v. Everton +125 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 0 m | Show |
10* Everton (EPL GOW) Everton is taking on Marco Silva's Fulham side, but we like the home side to prevail in this one. Fulham is overmatched here. It finished tenth in last year's table. It managed a 2-1 win over TSG Hoffenheim, but we feel they're completely overmatched here on the road in the season opener. Everton will be eager to get out to a decent start this year after finishing 17th-place in the table. Everton won the first 14 games in this series against Fulham at Goodison Park, but the Cottagers have taken the last two. Here's an opportunity get back on track; the play is Everton! AAA Sports |
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08-11-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
10* Padres/D-Backs OVER (ASSASSIN) This is a great situational play. These division foes' wildcard hopes continue to dwindle by each passing day. San Diego enters having lost five of its last six and four in a row, while Arizona comes into this series having dropped eight in a row. Arizona's fall from grace over the second half has been spectacular to say the least. Either way, these are two overhyped teams for sure. They've each played to several lower-scoring games. Arizona has played to three straight "unders," but note that the D-Backs have seen the total go "over" in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Blake Snell is 8-8 with a 2.61 ERA for the Padres, but Ryne Nelson is just 6-6 with a 5.16 ERA for the D-Backs. Snell is just in the wrong place, at the wrong time today, as all signs point to this total flying well "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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08-11-23 | Giants v. Lions OVER 35 | Top | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 29 h 25 m | Show |
10* Giants/Lions OVER (CONF TOW) We have no idea how long, if at all, either team's starters will play today. And that's pretty much the case throughout the preseason, as anything can change at the drop of a hat basically. That said, for the most part it's just going to be the backups and wannabe's in this one. New York will turn to Tyrod Taylor for most of this game, and we see him running up the score here. Not much defense being played in this one in our estimation, so the play is the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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08-11-23 | Packers v. Bengals +5 | Top | 36-19 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 16 m | Show |
10* Bengals (BLOCKBUSTER) The Bengals have "owned" the Packers in the preseason, going 5-11-1. Jordan Love may or may not even see time here in this one, and if he does, it'll be extremely limited. Joe Burrow is on the shelf, and there's a chance he'll miss Week 1. That means there's a QB competition in Cincinnati this preseason between Simian and Browning. The urgency in which this Bengals offense needs to get things figured out, turns out to the be the difference-maker here. The outright is possible, but let's grab the points; the play is Cincinnati! AAA Sports |
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08-11-23 | Manchester City -1.5 v. Burnley | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 26 h 33 m | Show |
10* Man City -1.5 (ASSASSIN) We'll have more stats to draw from as the season wares on, but overall this one sets up well for Man City to post a big blowout. Burnley has for sure come a long way under Vincent Kompany, but they're still severely overmatched in this one. Man City just lost to Arsenal in the FA Community Shield, so its going to be much more prepared here for this opener. It's lost talent, but Mancheter City still has more than enough to lay a beating on Burnley; lay the 1.5 goals and take Manchester City! AAA Sports |
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08-10-23 | Dream v. Storm OVER 165 | Top | 67-68 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
10* OVER Dream/Storm (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're now expecting much more of an offensive affair here on Thursday. ATL has seen the total go "under" in four straight after beating Indiana 82-73 at home last time out. Seattle has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four, including in its lastest 81-69 loss to Connecticut here at home last time out. The Storm lost 85-75 at Atlanta in July, and while that total also stayed "under" the number, the overall situation now points to tonight's O/U line being just a little lower than it normally would/should be; the value now swings the other way as far as the total is concerned, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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08-10-23 | Texans v. Patriots +3.5 | Top | 20-9 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
10* Patriots (BLOCKBUSTER) Houston finished last in the AFC South with a 3-13-1 record last season. New England missed the Playoffs for the second time in the last three years by finishing 8-9. Houston turns to new head-coach DeMeco Ryans, who turns to his new QB CJ Stroud. Not sure how much, or if any time Stroud will see in this opening game. The Pats offense is now being handled by former Texans' head coach Bill O'Brien. New England's strength was its defense last year, and we feel it'll be a difference-maker here at home in this meaningless preseason contest; grab the points, the play is New England! AAA Sports |
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08-10-23 | Blue Jays v. Guardians OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Jays/Guardians. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're now finally expecting those trends to end this afternoon in what sets up to be an explosive offensive affair. The Jays are now 35-27 on the road after their 1-0 win here yeterday. They are 2-1 in this 4-game series, all three games have gone "under" the number, but note that Toronto has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The bottom line though more than anything is we don't trust either starting pitcher lasting very long, with the Jays going with the erratic Alek Manoah (3-8, 5.72 ERA), and the home side countering with Noah Syndergaard (1-4, 7.16.) All signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. AAA Sports |
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08-09-23 | Astros v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Orioles (AL TOM) The Astros came from behind to knock off the Orioles by a score of 7-6 last night, and while that total flew well "over" the number, we're expecting more of a "duel" here on Wednesday night. The visitors go with Christian Javier (7-2, 4.39 ERA), while the home side counters with Jack Flaherty (1-0, 1.50.) The Orioles have in fact seen the total go under the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a dog vs. an opponent. Look for these savvy vets to "steal the show," and grab the "under" in this one! AAA Sports |
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08-09-23 | Marlins v. Reds OVER 10 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
10* OVER Marlins/Reds (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here on Wednesday afternoon. The Marlins have seen the total go "under" in three straight after last night's 3-2 victory, and note that Miami has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Reds have now lost seven of their last eight after yesterday's setback, and they've seen the total go "under" in six straight. Two confirmed "gas cans" go head-to-head" here though, with Cueto (0-3, 5.32 ERA) going for the Fish, and Ashcraft (6-7, 5.18) countering for the home side. Ashcraft is actually way worse at home this year as well; look for this total to fly well OVER the number before it's all said and done. AAA Sports |
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08-08-23 | Astros -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
10* Astros RUNLINE (TOP VALUE) A big time matchup between AL leading teams. This is a big time starting pitching mismatch working in favor of the Astros though, and we believe Houston will not only win this opening game, but will do so in blowout fashion. And that makes the runline option the savvy call here. Baltimore has been great this year, but we still feel that when faced with the elite teams in the league, the Orioles will struggle. Especially their starting pitching. This is a mismatch on the mound. The Astros go with Framber Valdez (9-7, 3.07 ERA, 1.07 WHIP), while the visitors counter with Grayson Rodriguez (2-3, 6.09, 1.50.) Expect Houston to send an early message here with a resounding victory; grab the visitors on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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08-08-23 | Sparks v. Fever +1 | Top | 87-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
10* Fever (REVENGE BLOWOUT) Two bottom feeders, but we like the way this one sets up for the Fever. LA is just 10-18, and off a rare 91-83 road upset at Washignton to snap a 3-game slide, everything points to an immediate return to mediocrity. The Fever are only 7-21, but here's an opportunity for them to score a victory and avenge an 81-68 loss at LA as 2.5 points dogs back in July (that's important to note though, as Indiana is in fact 6-2 ATS in its last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. And with the majority of the public money on the Sparks, we love the Fever to get back into the winners circle here tonight! AAA Sports |
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08-07-23 | Dodgers v. Padres UNDER 9.5 | Top | 13-7 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
10* UNDER Dodgers/Padres. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive affair here on Monday in the fourth game of this series. LA has now seen the total go "over" the number in six straight after last night's 8-2 victory, while SD has seen the total go "over" in the first three games of this series (which is in fact significant to note, as the Padres have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row at home. We have two really decent starters going head to head, with Tony Gonsolin (6-4, 4.11 ERA) getting the nod for the Dodgers and Seth Lugo (4-5, 3.54) countering for the Friars. All signs point to a classic "duel," finally in the finale; the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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08-06-23 | Dodgers v. Padres +1.5 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -146 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* Padres runline (NL WEST GOM) We like the Padres to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the spread option. After droppping the opener 10-5, the Padres bounced back with an 8-3 victory last night. THis is the third game of a four-game series. Both starters are making debuts for their new teams, but we give the advantage to veteran Rich Hill (7-10, 4.76 ERA) here at home. He'll face off against the volatile Lance Lynn (7-9, 6.32.) Look for the home-field advantage to be the difference-maker here, and while clearly the outright is possible, we feel more comfortable laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is San Diego on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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08-06-23 | Ottawa v. Saskatchewan OVER 44 | Top | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
10* OVER Ottawa/Saskatchewan (NON-CONF TOW) We're expecting this non-conference game to be less intense defensively, and more wide-open and high-scoring than what this O/U line is suggesting. These teams are in dire need of a victory, as Ottawa is 3-4, and Saskatchewan is 3-4 as well. We like betting on motivated teams when we're betting an "over," no matter what the sport is. Saskatchewan is off three straight SU losses, which is significant to note, as the Riders have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after three or more SU losses in a row. Ottawa had won two straight high-scoring OT games as an underdog before last week's low-scoring 16-12 upset loss to Hamilton. We expect the RedBlacks to regain their offensive form here though in what we anticipate will be a wide-open high-scoring "shootout." This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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08-06-23 | Sparks v. Mystics OVER 156.5 | Top | 91-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
10* OVER Sparks/Mystics. We base our picks on many different things. This particular one sets up fantastic from a "situational" stand-point. LA has seen the total go UNDER the number in five straight games after its 79-77 loss here just two nights ago (but note, the Sparks have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row.) LA has lost three straight, but the Sparks have also seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four after three or more SU losses in a row. Washington snapped a 3-game slide with the much-needed victory, but barely held, unable to even cover the small 3-point spread on Friday night. Expect the Mystics to push the pace and for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later; the play is indeed on the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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08-05-23 | Mets v. Orioles -170 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
10* Orioles (IL GOM) The Mets were sellers at the trade deadline, getting rid of both Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander. They're lacking identity and have lost four straight and five of their last six, including losing five straight on the road as well. Baltimore has the best record in the AL and we expect it to dominate here on Saturday in this lop-sided starting pitching matchup. The visitors go with Tyler Megill (6-4, 5.17 ERA), who has been called up from the minors to make this start. He'll be opposed by Kyle Gibson (10-6, 4.53), who is 2-0 in his past five starts, working into at least the sixth inning in all six of his July starts; lay the price with confidence, the play is Baltimore! AAA Sports |
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08-04-23 | Diamondbacks v. Twins -125 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
10* Twins (DESTRUCTION) Arizona continues to slide. The D-Backs just lost three of four at San Fran over the weekend and we think they're ripe for the picking here for Minnesota. The Twins snapped a 5-game losing streak by taking two of three at St. Louis over the weekend and we expect them to build off that interleague series victory with another one here at home vs. this floundering visiting side. Two really good starters here going H2H, as AZ goes with Merrill Kelly (9-5, 3.23 ERA), while the home side counters with Bailey Ober (6-5, 3.19.) Great line value here ultimatley, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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08-04-23 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox -150 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
10* Red Sox (ASSASSIN) Toronto went 16-3 vs. the Red Sox last year, but Boston is 7-0 so far in the season series in 2023. The Jays'll get off the schneid at some point, but not in this matchup. Toronto goes with the volatile Alek Manoah (2-8, 5.87 ERA), while the home side counters with James Paxton (6-2, 3.34.) This line could/should in fact be much larger in our estimation, so that swings the value in favor of Boston! AAA Sports |
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08-04-23 | Sun v. Fever OVER 159.5 | Top | 88-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
10* OVER Connecticut/Indiana (U OF U) We're expecting more of a wide-open offensive affair in this one. Connecticut is 4-1 in its last five, but it's coming off a lower-scoring 79-69 win over Minnesota. Indiana has seen the total go "under" in four straight after its narrow 72-71 home win here over Phoenix on Monday. A whole lot of collective "unders," but that fact has only helped in driving today's number a few points lower than it normally would/should be. These teams played a competitive game in Connecticut at the start of the season, with the Sun holding on for the 81-78 victory. All signs point to another competitive game, but one that flies well "over" the posted number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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08-03-23 | Jets +1.5 v. Browns | Top | 16-21 | Loss | -110 | 199 h 47 m | Show |
10* Jets (NFLX GOY) DeShaun Watson went just 1 for 5 in his first preseason series last year, and the Browns starting QB will likely see very little time here as well. Maybe one snap? Aaron Rodgers should see slightly more time, which obviously great works in four favor here. Cleveland's offense revolves around its run, but the Jets' strength defensively is stopping the rush. Finally, because this game will mostly be played by the back-ups and wannabe's, the advantage goes to the Jets again here with backup QB Zach Wilson playing with a chip on his shoulder after getting shoved to the side because of Rodgers coming to town; grab the points, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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08-02-23 | Rays v. Yankees +101 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 101 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
10* Yankees (AL EAST GOM) After dropping the first two games of this series, we like the Yanks to bounce back in the finale. New York has now lost 3 straight, but note that it's 7-3 in its last ten after three or more straight losses in a row. It's also 8-3 in its last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. Shane McClanahan (11-1, 3.00 ERA), has struggled big over his last five games, without a decision while posting a 6.45 ERA. Gerritt Cole (9-2, 2.64) here at home in this important contest and at this price is the correct call; lay the price, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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08-01-23 | Liberty v. Sparks OVER 166 | Top | 76-69 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
10* OVER Liberty/Sparks. Both sides have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here on the West Coast on Tuesday night. These teams just played here two nights ago and the Liberty came out on top by a score of 87-79. It was the Sparks third straight "under," but note that LA has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. New York leads the East and it enjoys a couple days off after this before a big matchup in Minnesota vs. the red hot Lynx. In what we anticipate will be a very fast-paced affair, expect this total to fly well "over" the number before the final buzzer sounds! AAA Sports |
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08-01-23 | Orioles +1.5 v. Blue Jays | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
8* Orioles RUNLINE (CHOKE-OUT) This is an important divisional series, and the Orioles drew "first blood" last night, winning by a score of 4-2. Toronto can't lose games to the division leader and expect to make the playoffs. The Orioles can continue to stick the dagger into the Jays' dwindling hopes. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. Kyle Bradish (6-6, 3.29 ERA, 1.14 WHIP) has been a consistent bright spot for the Orioles all year. He's battle-tested. Hyun-Jin Ryu though is making his season debut for the Jays. He's being thrown to the wolves here in his first start. The outright is possible, but we feel more comfortable taking the visitors on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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08-01-23 | Brewers -148 v. Nationals | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
8* Brewers (DESTRUCTION) A common sense play here more than anything. Milwaukee has now lost four straight after yesterday's 5-3 series-opening loss. The Brewers are now 57-50 and second in the NL Central. We expect Freddy Peralta (6-8, 4.46 ERA) to be on top of his game here and to get the better of his counterpart Josiah Gray (7-8, 3.27.) We're banking on the Brewers in finding a way to deliver here in this revenge bounce-back spot; lay the price the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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07-31-23 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rays/Yanks. We have an important divisional matchup here, but it's one that's going to be dominated by the men on the mound in our opinion. Tampa Bay is 64-44 overall, but just 27-25 on the road. New York is only 55-50 overall, but it's 32-24 at home. Tampa went 2-1 at Houston over the weekend, with the last two games flying "over" the number. New York lost two of three to Baltimore here at home over the weekend, and the final two also eclipsed the posted number as far as the total is concerned. But everything points to a "duel" here with the Rays' Tyler Glasnow (4-3, 3.36 ERA) facing off against the Yanks' Domingo German (5-7, 4.77.) This should have a "playoff-like" atmosphere about it, and everything points to runs being at a premium in the opener; the play is indeed on the under! AAA Sports |
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07-30-23 | Mariners v. Diamondbacks OVER 8 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
10* OVER Mariners/Diamondbacks. The first two games of this series have gone "under" the number, but all signs point to a more high-scoring affair here on Sunday in our opinion. This is just a case of both Luis Castillo (6-7, 3.02 ERA) of the Mariners and Merril Kelly (9-4, 3.12) f the D-Backs being in the "wrong place," at the "wrong time!" The overall situaation points to this one flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. AAA Sports |
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07-30-23 | Rangers +1.5 v. Padres | 3-5 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
8* Rangers runline (MISMATCH) After dropping the first two games of this series, and with nealry 70% of the public money on the home side, we're expecting the Rangers to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire and in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're going to grab the 1.5 runs of insurance here with the Rangers. Cody Bradford is 2-1 with a 4.62 ERA and 1.14 WHIP for Texas. He owns a sharp 32 to 8 strike-out-to-walk-ratio as well. The Padres counter with Blake Snell, who is 7-8 with a 2.61 ERA. We just see Bradford matching Snell inning for inning, and in a contest like that we like the visitors on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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07-30-23 | Storm +3.5 v. Fever | Top | 85-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
10* Storm (ASSASSIN) The Storm just snapped a lengthy losing streak with an 83-74 win at Chicago as 4.5-point dogs last time out, and we believe they'll keep that momentum roling here against the lowly Fever. Seattle plays with the added incentive of revenge here as well after Indiana scored the 80-68 road win as a 2.5-point dog back in June. THe Fever are just 6-18 and off back-to-back road losses at LA. We feel the outright win is a very real possibility, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Seattle! AAA Sports |
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07-29-23 | Rangers +1.5 v. Padres | 0-4 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
8* Rangers runline (SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION) We like the Rangers to bounce back on Saturday after falling 7-1 to the Padres in yesterday's series opener. The Padres have been inconsistent all year and we don't trust Yu Darvish (7-7, 4.80 ERA) at all. He'll be opposed by Martin Perez (8-3, 4.91), who we feel is the correct call for sure. The Rangers have responded well in this spot for bettors and while we do think the outright is possible, we're going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs; the play is Texas on the runline! AAA Sports |
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07-29-23 | Saskatchewan +11 v. Toronto | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 46 m | Show |
10* RIDERS (GOW) After winning the Grey Cup and despite a QB change, the Toronto Argonauts have so far not skipped a beat, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS as well. The Riders are 3-3 SU and 2-3-1 ATS, but we're expecting the Riders to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire and give the unbeaten Argos a run for their money here in this NEUTRAL site affair in Halifax. This is a weird game in a way for both sides, as it'll be held in Halifax at a neutral location, dubbed teh Touchdown Atlantic Game. This is the first time these teams have met this year, but it's a double-revenge scenario as well for the Riders after losing both games last year (30-24 and 31-21.) Also note that Saskatchewan is 2-1 on the road this year. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Saskatchewan! AAA Sports |
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07-29-23 | Angels +1.5 v. Blue Jays | 1-6 | Loss | -182 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
8* Angels RUNLINE (SPECIAL) LA had won 8 of 9 before last night's 4-1 series opening loss here. The Angels are 3-1 in their last four after a loss. We think they'll respond here vs. the Jay's "weak link" in Alek Manoah (2-8, 6.10 ERA), who has been a major disappointment. He'll be opposed by Reid Detmers (2-7, 4.38), who we feel is the correct call in this bounce-back spot. That said, lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs; the play is LA on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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07-28-23 | Rangers v. Padres -151 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
10* Padres (ASSASSIN) Dane Dunning (8-3, 3.18 ERA) gets the start for the Rangers in this one, but note that he's just 1-2 with a poor 4.98 ERA in four July starts so far. Joe Musgrove (9-3, 3.25) counters for the home side. He's 5-1 with a 3.40 ERA in eight starts at Petco this year, and despite a 2-3 record vs. the Rangers lifetime, he does spot the sharp 3.62 ERA over that span (eight appearances.) Look for home field advantage to play a part here as well; lay the price with confidence, the play is San Diego! AAA Sports |
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07-28-23 | Mystics v. Wings UNDER 164.5 | Top | 62-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
10* UNDER Mystics/Wings (BLOOD-BATH) These teams are 1-1 in the season series so far, but both games went "under" the number. We're expecting a similar defensive affair here as well now in the third matchup. Dallas has now seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, and note that the Wings have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Washington has been trading high-scoring contests, with lower-scoring "unders" over its last six games, and off a 97-92 loss last time out, we're expecting this pattern to continue; this number is high, the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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07-28-23 | Hamilton +3.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 16-12 | Win | 100 | 35 h 27 m | Show |
10* Hamilton (BLOOD-BATH) We like Hamilton to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire and give Ottawa everything it can handle. The Ti-Cats are now 2-4, while the RedBlacks are 3-3. Hamilton managed a 21-13 win over RedBlacks in Week 5, and after back-to-back upset victories (both in OT!), everything points to a predictable letdown here for Ottawa. The Ti-Cats are the more desperate team in this fight and while clearly the outright victory isn't out of the question, the official call will be to grab the points with the TI-CATS in what we feel is a great overall situational play! AAA Sports |
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07-27-23 | Fever v. Sparks OVER 161.5 | Top | 68-81 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
10* OVER Fever/Sparks (ASSASSIN) This one sets up great from a situational stand-point to be a higher-scoring shootout in our opinion. The Fever play with revenge after a tight 79-78 loss here just two nights ago, and note that Indiana has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU road loss vs. an opponent. LA broke an 8-game slide with that victory, and we're expecting it to come out play at a faster-pace here tonight as well to keep the momentum rolling. As stated off the top, a great situatinoal call for this rematch to fly "over" the posted total sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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07-27-23 | Angels v. Tigers UNDER 8 | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Angels/Tigers. These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting more of a "duel" here after the Angels 7-6 win in yesterday's series opener. More than anything though, we really like these starting pitchers and we're predicting a classic "duel" early here in Detroit. The visitors go with ace Shohei Ohtani (8-5, 3.71 ERA, 1.12 WHIP), while the home side counters with the under-rated Michael Lorenzen (5-6, 3.49, 1.09 WHIP.) Expect these two to battle deep and for this total to stay "under" the number once it's all said and done. AAA Sports |
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07-26-23 | Mystics +2.5 v. Lynx | Top | 92-97 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
10* Mystics (BLOOD-BATH) These teams are 1-1 this season, but the Lynx are 2-0 ATS. We like the Mystics to though, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire and find a way to deliver the goods. They're 12-10 and coming off a quality 84-69 win over Phoenix. The Lynx are just 10-13 and they're off an awkward 98-81 loss to Las Vegas in their last outing. And with an ultra-tough East Coast road trip starting in New York, and then B2B games at Connecticut (followed by another home game vs. New York!), there's no question that this sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the home side; while the outright is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Washington! AAA Sports |
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07-26-23 | Blue Jays v. Dodgers UNDER 10 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/Dodgers. The first two games of this series have flown well "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a bit of a "duel" here in the finale. The Jays won the opener by a score of 6-3, before the Dodgers bounced back in yesterday's come-from-behind 8-7 victory. These teams are a couple of the heaviest hitting clubs in the league, but they also have some of the best starting pitching and bullpens. This is a great starting pitching matchup, and after the first two games have plated a lot of runs, we're anticipating a classic "duel" here on Wednesday in LA, as Toronto goes with Yusei Kikuchi (7-3, 3.92 ERA, 1.27 WHIP), while the Dodgers go with Tony Gonsolin (5-3, 3.94, 1.08.) Look for these two competent starters to garner most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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07-26-23 | Mariners v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 8-7 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Mariners/Twins (DUEL) Seattle rallied for a 9-7 win last night, after falling 4-3 in the series opener. These two teams are in the playoff hunt, and we're expecting the finale to be more like the first game, as we have two really good starting pitchers squaring off, and all signs point to a classic "duel," as Seattle hands the ball to Bryce Miller (6-3, 3.50 ERA), 0.97 WHIP), while Minnesota counters with Joe Ryan (9-6, 3.88 ERA, 1.05 WHIP.) Finally, note that the Twins have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four as well in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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07-25-23 | Aces v. Sky OVER 168 | Top | 107-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
10* OVER Aces/Sky (WNBA NON-CONF TOW) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we don't expect a lot of defense to played in this one on Tuesday night, and ultimatley we look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. These teams played in Las Vegas back on June 11th, and while the Sky earned the cover in the 93-80 setback as 13.5-point dogs, the total flew "over" the posted number of 168. We're expecting a similar style pace and similar final combined score here as well once it's all said and done; this number is low, the play is the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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07-25-23 | Orioles v. Phillies -118 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
10* Phillies (BLOCKBUSTER) We're expecting Philadelphia to bounce back here after yesterday's 3-2 series-opening defeat. Note that the Phillies are 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. It's unreal the run the Orioles are on, but regression is imminent at some point, and for us, tonight's the night! The Phillies are third in the NL East and need to make their move. They've responded well in this spot for bettors, and at this price at home with Taijuan Walker on the hill, we're getting great value. Walker is 11-4 with a 4.11 ERA, while his counterpart Kyle Gibson is 9-6 with a pedestrian 4.76 ERA; lay the price, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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07-24-23 | Blue Jays +1.5 v. Dodgers | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
8* Jays RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION) The Jays went 1-1 in Seattle over the weekend, and are coming off the 4-3 win last night. We think the visitors can keep the momentum rolling here in LA. The Dodgers just went 2-1 at the Rangers, but are coming off an 8-4 loss yesterday. The bottom line with this one though is that this is a starting pitching matchup that definitely favors Toronto. The Jays turn to Jose Berrios (8-7, 3.39 ERA), while the home side counters with the volatile Michael Grove (2-2, 6.40), who remains in a starters role out of neccessity. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're laying the price with confidence for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Toronto on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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