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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-20-21 | Heat v. Lakers UNDER 213 | Top | 96-94 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER This is the first time these teams have seen one another since October when they met in the NBA Finals. The way things are going this year, this could be the last time they meet for a while. The Heat are really struggling, 12-17 and just barely hanging on to what would be one of the “play-in” spots in the Eastern Conference. Truthfully, the Lakers have been a bit underwhelming as they are not leading the Western Conference. But they are definitely one of the league’s best teams and are only two games back of the Jazz. Being that LeBron is off a loss here, figure the Lakers will be “locked in” tonight. Though they fell to Brooklyn Thursday, they held the Nets to just 109 points, an achievement in its own right. Now the Nets didn’t have Durant/Irving, but that hasn’t stopped them from putting up a lot of points before. That Los Angeles only scored 98 themselves in that game is a bit concerning though. Only the Knicks are allowing less points/game and the Lakers are 1st in defensive efficiency. Miami isn’t a good offensive team. The Under was 4-2 in the NBA Finals last year. The Lakers still don’t have Anthony Davis. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-20-21 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Murray State -16.5 | Top | 62-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MURRAY STATE Everyone is chasing Belmont in the Ohio Valley and neither of these teams will be catching the Bruins, who are 17-0 in conference play. SIU Edwardsville is 8-13 overall and 6-9 vs the OVC. They’ve lost three in a row, all in a blowout fashion. The three losses have been by a combined 71 points, all by 20 or more and the worst was at home, 86-57 vs. the team they visit today, Murray State. The Racers are 9-8 vs. the OVC and 12-10 overall. That’s a disappointing mark for a squad that’s been favored in the vast majority of its games. Thursday was an ugly 68-59 home loss at the hands of Eastern Illinois. Murray State was a 15-point favorite in that one and the loss snapped a four-game run where every win was by 12 or more points. At home, the Racers are averaging 83.6 points/game while giving up only 65.2. SIU Edwardsville just does not rise up as a big underdog. They’re 0-3 ATS as a road dog of 12.5 or more and 4-12 ATS their last 16. Play on MURRAY STATE AAA |
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02-20-21 | Kings v. Coyotes -146 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -146 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* on ARIZONA The ‘Yotes are actually tied for third in the West with Colorado, which is something we would not have anticipated. Tonight they can move even closer to the top as they host a Kings team that has been even more surprising in that they have won three in a row. In case you haven’t been following the NHL, the Kings have been bad the last couple seasons. They won here 3-2 on Thursday, but we can’t see them doing it again. That game on Thursday went to a shootout and saw Arizona dig themselves into an early 0-2 hole. Arizona is capable of a lot more offensively than what they’ve shown the last few games. While they’ve been held to two or less goals in three of the last four games, they’ve also scored 3 or 4 in six of the last nine. In a five game losing streak that preceded this current three-game winning run, Los Angeles had allowed a combined 21 goals. Play on ARIZONA AAA |
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02-20-21 | Texas Tech +1.5 v. Kansas | Top | 61-67 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
This is an 8* on TEX TECH We believe Texas Tech is the better team here and aren’t afraid of them having to go to Lawrence. While it’s a 1-15 SU and 3-13 ATS run here for the Red Raiders, this isn’t your typical season when it comes to home court advantage. Kansas has won and covered its last four games, but the last three have seen them take on Iowa State twice and Kansas State. Those are easily the two worst teams the Big 12 has to offer. This is also a revenge game for Texas Tech as they were beaten 58-57 by KU in Lubbock back in December. It was a horrible shooting night for the Red Raiders, who finished at just 32.3%. They have had LOTS of time to prepare for this rematch as the last time they played was 11 days ago vs. West Virginia. That was another loss, so you can bet there will be no shortage of motivation here. Just not convinced that Kansas is all that good this year. Yes, they beat Texas Tech and have strung together four straight wins. But we expect the Red Raiders to shoot better than they did in the first meeting and they won’t be as sloppy as recent Jayhawks’ opponents either. Play on TEXAS TECH AAA |
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02-20-21 | Vanderbilt v. Alabama -14.5 | Top | 78-82 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ALABAMA Not sure at all why this line has come DOWN. Alabama, who just extended the contract of coach Nate Oats through the 2026-27 season, is the best team in the SEC this season. Vanderbilt is almost certainly the worst. We realize Vandy has been a little more competitive of late, going 5-0-1 ATS its last six games, but Bama won by 33 last Saturday and has had an entire week off as Thursday’s game vs. Texas A&M was postponed due to weather. The Crimson Tide are 10-1 in Tuscaloosa this season, winning by about 16 points per game. Five players were in double figures as they routed Georgia 115-82 last Saturday. Four of them average at least 10 PPG for the season. But while the Tide can score, it’s their defense that is largely responsible for them being ranked #8 in the country. They are second nationally in defensive efficiency and allow just 28.5% shooting from 3-point range, which is 9th best. The Commodores are severely outmatched in this one - at both ends of the floor. Alabama is 25-12 ATS after a game where it scored 80 or more points. Play on ALABAMA AAA |
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02-19-21 | California Baptist v. Grand Canyon -11 | Top | 61-71 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is an 8* on GRAND CANYON Grand Canyon, who is a PERFECT 6-0 in the WAC, should have no problem staying unbeaten in conference play tonight as they are set to host Cal Baptist for the first of two games this weekend. The Antelopes haven’t played a single game in February, but their 8-1 home record speaks for itself. In those nine games, they have scored 25 more points/game than they have allowed. They are really solid at both ends of the floor. Can’t say the same for Cal Baptist, who is allowing 85 points/game when they hit the road. They were torched for 97 in their last road game, which was at New Mexico State. Last weekend saw the Lancers split a couple home games with Sacramento State despite being favored in both. All six Grand Canyon home games that have had a line attached, they have covered. Cal Baptist has just one road victory and is not a threat to win here. Play on GRAND CANYON AAA |
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02-19-21 | South Dakota State v. North Dakota State +1.5 | Top | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NORTH DAKOTA STATE North Dakota State is coming off a loss, their second in the last three games. Both losses saw them come into the game favored. The Bison are still tied for the Summit League lead at 9-3 mind you, and haven’t played in nearly two weeks. It was a subpar effort defensively the last time we saw them, which is rare given they allow only 63.9 points/game at home. They’ll be tested here by a South Dakota State team that is averaging more than 80 points/game. This rivalry has been closely contested the last couple seasons with the last four meetings decided by a total of 10 points. We think it’s a real “steal” getting points with the home team. South Dakota State hasn’t been sharp defensively this year, at least on the road where they give up 77.3 points/game. As an underdog, North Dakota State is 4-1 ATS this year. They are also 2-0 ATS playing with seven or more days rest. Play on NORTH DAKOTA STATE AAA |
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02-19-21 | Suns -3 v. Pelicans | Top | 132-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
THIS IS A 10* on PHOENIX The Suns had a six-game win streak snapped Tuesday with a 128-124 loss to Brooklyn. We’re not at all concerned about that. They actually led the Nets, who were without both Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving, by 24. It’s obviously a game they should have won. They can get back on track tonight in New Orleans. The Pelicans have lost four of five while giving up an average of 126.8 points/game. Two nights ago, they were beaten here at home by Portland 126-124. They’ve also lost to the likes of Detroit and Chicago recently. Right now, the Pelicans’ record is 12-16 and they just don’t perform well off high-scoring games. They are 4-9 ATS after allowing 115 or more points and 3-9 ATS after scoring 115 or more themselves. The Suns are simply much better defensively as they rank 4th in league in scoring (108 PPG allowed). They’ve recently defeated Philadelphia, Milwaukee and Boston. We’ve got no hesitation with laying a small number with the better team. Play on PHOENIX AAA |
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02-19-21 | Hawks v. Celtics OVER 226 | Top | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER The Hawks have gone Over the total in six consecutive games, the most recent being a 122-114 win here in Boston Wednesday night. They look to make it two straight in Beantown tonight and we look for them to make it seven straight Overs. This team has put up a minimum of 112 points in its last six games while at the same time allowing no fewer than 114 in every game. They ripped the Celtics the other night, shooting 57.1% overall. Trae Young had 40 points on 14 of 20 shooting. Boston’s defense, particularly in transition, has not been good the last week or so. But we think their shooting (43.9% L10 games) is set to improve. Specifically look for Jayson Tatum to have a good game tonight. The team’s second leading scorer at 24.6 points/game, Tatum has made only 39.2% the L10 games. But he still scored 35 points on Wednesday. The Over is 12-4 in the Celtics previous 16 games off an ATS loss. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-19-21 | Blackhawks v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Chicago and Carolina are separated by just a point in the Central Division as both teams have generally been successful of late. Carolina did lose here at home to Florida on Wednesday, but had won three straight prior and is 8-2-1 its last 11. Chicago has won three straight and six of seven. Four of those wins have come in overtime. But it’s generally been a “different path” for the two teams’ respective success. Hurricanes games have been high scoring as eight of the last night have gone Over. Every Over has seen at least seven total goals scored. But the Blackhawks are on Under runs of 5-1 L6 and 3-0 L3 with all those Unders seeing no more than five total goals scored. So something will have to give tonight in Raleigh. Our view is that this is going to be a lower-scoring game. The ‘Canes allow just 2.2 goals/game at home while the ‘Hawks average just 2.1 per game on the road. Carolina is 14-8 Under when off three or more consecutive Overs. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-18-21 | Heat -1 v. Kings | Top | 118-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MIAMI Miami experienced a horrible loss last night as it blew a 19-point lead and lost to Golden State in overtime. It was a game where the Heat never actually trailed in regulation. Needless to say, that’s a game you “can’t lose.” But they did and are now sitting at 11-17 on the season, having lost three in a row. Sacramento is 12-15 and they’ve lost four straight, also going 0-4 ATS. Someone’s going to reverse their recent fortune here and we believe it will be the Heat, even though the Kings are rested. The four straight losses have all been at home. They’ve also all been by eight points or greater. Miami beat Sacramento on January 30th even though the Kings made 17 three-pointers in that game. The Kings defense is just horrendous as they allow more points per game than anyone in the West. At home, they are giving up an average of 121.6 points/game. Miami shouldn’t have any difficulty scoring tonight and we look for them to erase the painful memory of last night’s defeat. Play on MIAMI AAA |
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02-18-21 | BYU -5.5 v. Pacific | Top | 80-52 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* on BYU BYU already holds a win over Pacific this season. They beat them 95-87 in Provo last month. The 11.5-point spread proved too high to cover though as it was a double overtime game. That’s one of several reasons why the spread is shorter the second time around. You’ve also got to factor in the change in home court “advantage” (though Pacific doesn’t exactly have a strong one and this is a unique time in sports where being at home matters less) and that BYU lost its last game. But that loss was to #1 Gonzaga, so again we’re not going to go about penalizing the Cougars. They are definitely the better team here and should win by at least the same margin they did last time vs. Pacific, only this time in regulation. Pacific has dropped five of its previous six games and allowed 80 or more points in all five losses. The one win came against a dreadful Portland team. BYU has had 10 days to prepare since the loss to Gonzaga as their last two games got cancelled. They are simply stronger than Pacific at both ends of the floor and are 6-1-1 ATS last eight road games. Play on BYU AAA |
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02-18-21 | Houston v. Wichita State +7.5 | Top | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
This is an 8* on WICHITA STATE #6 Houston rolls into Wichita Thursday night to face a team they’ve already beaten by seven earlier in the year. But that was at home and Wichita State led that game by six points at half. It took a furious second half rally (16-0 run) from the Cougars to win that game. While three back in the win column, the Shockers have the same number of conference losses (2) as Houston. So a win here could make the conference race very interesting down the stretch. WSU has won nine straight home games vs. AAC opponents and four in a row overall. All four wins were close and though they haven’t covered a spread in a game since January 13th (0-5 ATS L5), we don’t need to worry about winning by any kind of margin tonight. Both teams have dealt with multiple postponements recently and thus are coming off eight-day layoffs. With the Shockers’ strong home record, we think they are a little underrated here, likely due to the 0-5 ATS mark their last five games. They’ve been pretty good as an underdog, including 7-3-1 ATS L11 times at home. Play on WICHITA STATE AAA |
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02-17-21 | Pacers -5.5 v. Wolves | Top | 134-128 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* on INDIANA Indiana’s woes continued on Monday as they lost in overtime to Chicago. It was their seventh loss in the last 10 games and the fifth time in those 10 games they lost as a favorite. They were down 11 in the fourth quarter Monday. But tonight it's a welcome reprieve for the Pacers as they face Minnesota, who just played last night. The Timberwolves lost 112-104 to the Lakers (no Anthony Davis) Tuesday. They too have dropped seven of their last 10 games. But while Indiana is still fifth in the Eastern Conference with the same streak, Minnesota is last in the Western Conference. A case can be made that they are the league’s weakest overall team, so we won’t hesitate to lay such a short number tonight as Indiana is on a 13-4-1 ATS run in the road favorite role. Another interesting trend here is that the T’wolves are 3-7 ATS when their five starters collectively played for more than 160 minutes the previous game. They combined for 161 last night. Play on INDIANA AAA |
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02-17-21 | Valparaiso v. Loyola-Chicago -20.5 | Top | 52-54 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* on Loyola Chicago Loyola Chicago remains ranked even after splitting two games vs. Drake over the weekend. They are also still in first place in the Missouri Valley Conference with a 13-2 record as they are two up on Drake in the win column. Walking away with a split against the second best team in the league is not all that bad when you think about it, especially since the loss was in overtime and both games were on the road. At home, the Ramblers are a perfect 10-0 this season. Tonight they host a Valparaiso team that simply cannot hang with them. Valpo just lost by 14 at Northern Iowa Sunday and this is their third straight game on the road (they did win at N Iowa Sat). The road has seen the Crusaders average just 62.3 points/game this year. They lost twice at Evansville, but most concerning of all is what happened the last time they faced Loyola. At home, they were destroyed 75-39. The game was never close as Loyola led 37-16 at halftime. When Valpo loses, it’s often by double digits. Earlier this month, they fell by 24 at home to Bradley. This one will get ugly in a hurry. Play on LOYOLA CHICAGO AAA |
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02-17-21 | NC-Greensboro v. VMI +4.5 | Top | 77-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is an 8* on VMI VMI is looking to play spoiler here and also win back to back games for the first time since a three-game win streak before Christmas. In conference play, it’s basically been “win one, lose one” for the Keydets by the KEY here is their perfect 8-0 ATS home record. They are 10-1 SU in games played here in Lexington City this season as opposed to 1-9 SU on the road. They have not gotten to play two straight at home since last month when they faced Wofford and The Citadel consecutively. It was then VMI did suffer its lone home defeat of the season. But it was by only two points to Wofford. The Keydets have four losses by three points or less this year, so their overall record could easily be a lot better. The team they are hosting tonight, UNC Greensboro, has won 9 of 10 and leads the SoCon with a 10-3 record. But tonight will be the second straight road game for the Spartans. The last time they were in this situation (last Monday), they lost at Furman. Saturday was a narrow escape for them as they won by only three at Mercer. Since VMI is so tough to beat at home, we will definitely take the points in this one. Play on VMI AAA |
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02-17-21 | Panthers v. Hurricanes -152 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -152 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
This is an 8* on CAROLINA These teams are tied for second place in the Central Division, but Carolina has more wins and far superior goal differential. The Hurricanes are also at home tonight where they have gone a perfect 4-0 this season. Add it all up and this should be an easy two points for them. The Canes have scored 50 goals in 13 games so far. The only team with a higher goals for average is Tampa Bay. They’ve only given up 36 and the last three games have seen them defeat Dallas twice and Columbus. In those three games alone, the Canes have scored 16 times. Florida is coming off a three-game set with Tampa Bay where they managed to win twice, including 6-4 on Monday. But the Panthers are still only 4-13 SU their L17 against teams that have winning records, plus they are 1-5 their last six vs. Carolina. The home team is on a 54-26-2 run in this rivalry. Play on CAROLINA AAA |
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02-16-21 | Wild v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER This will be Minnesota’s first game in two weeks. Not traveling with the rest of the team to LA will be forwards Nick Bonino, Victor Rask and Nico Sturm, defensemen Jonas Brodin, Ian Cole, Brad Hunt, Carson Soucy, and goalie Cam Talbot. That’s obviously a pretty sizable group. While it may seem difficult to know what to expect from the Wild here, what we do know is they could only score one goal in three of their previous five games. These teams were supposed to meet Saturday, but the Wild still weren’t cleared. So that’s why it’s just the one game that they play and the reason the Kings have been off for four days. Each of the Kings last four games have seen seven or more total goals scored. They had six themselves the last time they played, which was against the Sharks. But after a “mini-break,” we don’t see them coming out as sharp. The only other time the Kings played with three or more days rest this season, the Under was a winner. Lengthy absences from the ice = low scoring affair. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-16-21 | Raptors +5.5 v. Bucks | Top | 124-113 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TORONTO Two years ago, these teams met in the Eastern Conference Finals. In that series, the Raptors pulled off what was considered an “upset” and went on to win their 1st NBA Championship. Milwaukee has been the top seed in the East each of the last two years, yet hasn’t even advanced to a NBA Finals. They are currently in second place and just ended a six-game road trip with three consecutive losses. Losing to Utah and by one to Phoenix is excusable, however falling as an 11-point favorite to Oklahoma City (which is what Milwaukee did on Sunday) is not. They return home Tuesday, but the first home game following a long road trip always seems to be a tough spot, especially when returning from the West Coast. Toronto is off its own embarrassing loss (to Minnesota), so they’ve got something to play for. The Raptors had won five of six before dropping two straight. They also have revenge tonight for a seven-point loss last month. The initial line movement for this game definitely looks to be of the sharper variety. Take the points in this one. Play on TORONTO AAA |
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02-16-21 | Florida v. Arkansas -3.5 | Top | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 22 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* on ARKANSAS Arkansas, now ranked (#24), will look for its fourth straight win Tuesday night as they host Florida. The Razorbacks had an impressive road win Saturday at #10 Missouri, a game that went to overtime. They also won in Kentucky last week, by a single point. Things were much easier the last time the Razorbacks played at home. They downed Mississippi State 61-45. That’s the kind of score we should expect here as the Hogs are 12-1 in Fayetteville this season. They are averaging 84.4 points at home while giving up only 63.1. Florida is playing its first game in nearly two weeks as they’ve had three postponements in February. Their season has been severely disrupted by COVID as there was another 2+ gap between games in December. There’s also the matter of Keyontae Johnson collapsing on the court due to a heart issue back in December. So the Gators have never truly been able to get into any kind of real “rhythm” this season. Arkansas is playing its best ball of the season right now and has won six straight SEC games. With Florida allowing 77 points/game on the road, the Razorbacks get our vote of confidence tonight. Florida lost at home to South Carolina the last time it played. Play on ARKANSAS AAA |
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02-15-21 | 76ers v. Jazz OVER 226 | Top | 123-134 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the OVER The best teams from each conference meet Monday in Salt Lake City. The Jazz have made a strong case to be considered the league’s best team this year as they have won 18 of their last 19 games to get to 22-5 on the year. The Sixers are 18-9 and have actually lost two in a row, both on the road to Western Conference teams (Portland, Phoenix). It’s going to be a tall task to finish this four-game road trip with a .500 record. But we do expect there to be lots of points from both sides tonight. Four players scored 25 or more points for the Jazz in Friday night’s very impressive win against Milwaukee. In this 7-0 start to February, there has been only one game where Utah failed to score at least 112. The Sixers are 9-3 Over the L12 games. The Over is 4-0 in the Jazz’s last four Monday games. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-15-21 | Hawks -2 v. Knicks | Top | 112-123 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* on ATLANTA The Hawks desperately need a win tonight. They have lost three straight and six of seven. This losing streak has dropped them into ninth place in the East, even though they can still claim to have scored more points than they’ve allowed this season. The Knicks actually have a better record than the Hawks (two up in the win column) as they are coming off wins over Washington and Houston. They won those games by a combined 40 points! But be wary of a team that still only averages 103.4 points/game. The 121 the Knicks scored against the Rockets were their most since the third game of the season. Center Mitchell Robinson broke his hand Friday, which is a significant injury for this team. Atlanta really collapsed defensively against Indiana Saturday night, but we don’t see that happening again tonight. Plus Trae Young is going to have a better shooting night here than he did vs. the Pacers (he didn’t even attempt a single three-pointer in that game). Play on ATLANTA AAA |
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02-15-21 | Virginia v. Florida State UNDER 129 | Top | 60-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
This is 10* on UNDER Florida State returned from a two-week break (COVID) to defeat Wake Forest 92-85 in overtime Saturday. That final margin of victory wasn’t nearly enough to cover the 13-point spread, but the Seminoles will take the win considering they trailed by two with five seconds left in regulation. They’d let a double digit lead slip away and nearly lost at home for the first time in over two years. Now it’s a Top 25 showdown with #9 Virginia, a team that has lost only one time in 2021. The last eight FSU games have all gone Over, but considering Virginia just held North Carolina to 48 points on Saturday, this one has a good chance of going “the other way.” Plus, the Under has hit 11 straight times when Virginia has visited Tallahassee! As always, Virginia is one of the best defensive teams in the country. They are allowing just 58.8 points/game. They are 5-1 Under in road games. The 48-hour turnaround for both teams will probably result in below average shooting and FSU could again be without Balsa Koprivica. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-14-21 | Lakers -2.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 105-122 | Loss | -112 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the LAKERS The Lakers fell behind 22-2 at the start Friday night. But over the course of the final three quarters, they battled back and ended up winning fairly comfortably against Memphis, 115-105. They even covered the 8.5-point spread! They can ill-afford a similar start tonight in Denver but it’s fair to say we won’t see anything like the start vs. Memphis. The Lakers have won seven in a row, the most convincing of which was a 114-93 game vs. the Nuggets out in LA. Incredibly that was a game the Lakers trailed by 12 at halftime. It may not end up being as big of a blowout tonight, but it doesn’t have to be and again, we stress the fact the Lakers WILL get off to a better start. Denver has won two straight after losing four of five, but those wins were vs. Cleveland and Oklahoma City. Against the Thunder, the Nuggets had their own poor start as they fell behind by 19. The Lakers can’t let the Jazz get too far ahead in the fight for first in the Western Conference. Play on LA LAKERS AAA |
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02-14-21 | Avalanche v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER We know that St. Louis is in first place, but these are the two best teams in the NHL’s West Division. Colorado and Vegas are set to play four straight games against one another, the first two taking place here in Sin City where the Golden Knights are always tough to beat. Vegas was shutout in its last home game, 1-0 by Anaheim, but won 3-1 last night in San Jose. Before that loss to the Ducks, they’d won their three previous home games and scored a total of 18 goals (4.5 per) in the previous four. This is a team that’s scored at least four goals in seven of their 12 games this season. Colorado has averaged 4.0 goals per game over their last five, winning four of those. Tonight is their first game in 12 days though and we wonder if they’ll be a bit “leaky” in the defensive end. Both teams are top 10 in scoring. Nathan MacKinnon will be back for the Avs, who did get three practices under their belt while being under COVID protocols. Vegas scored three times on the power play yesterday. The Over is 7-1 the last eight times Vegas has been a home underdog. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-14-21 | Michigan +1.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MICHIGAN When Michigan played Wisconsin on January 12th, it was a 77-54 blowout in Ann Arbor. The Wolverines actually lost their next game, 75-57 at Minnesota, which is their ONLY loss this season. They then responded with a pair of victories, 87-63 against Maryland and 70-53 at Purdue. Then COVID hit. That win over Purdue was all the way back on January 22nd, so it’s been more than three weeks since the Wolverines took the floor. Will they be rusty? Maybe. But we don’t think enough has changed in three weeks for Wisconsin to completely reverse what happened the first time. The Badgers are just 3-3 their last six games and the wins have been against middle of the pack or bottom teams in the Big 10. They lost by double digits to both Ohio State and Illinois, two of the conference’s top tier teams. Michigan, ranked #3 in the entire country, is obviously in that top tier. They led by as many as 40 in the first game with Wisconsin. They’re at full strength. Don’t see them losing. Play on MICHIGAN AAA |
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02-13-21 | Hurricanes v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -111 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER It was 5-3 Carolina when these clubs met Thursday. That was Dallas’ fourth straight loss as a 4-0 start is now a distant memory. We expect Saturday’s rematch to see less goals scored. You’ve got to think Stars goalie Khudobin will start to play better. He’s 0-3-1 his last four starts, all three losses coming vs. Carolina, and his save percentage is just .866. Hurricanes goalie James Reimer is 6-1 vs. Dallas and made 34 saves Thursday. The Under is 37-15-2 in Dallas games if they allowed five or more goals their previous time out. We’re due to see a downtick in scoring tonight. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-13-21 | Rockets -1.5 v. Knicks | Top | 99-121 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* on HOUSTON Houston has lost four straight games and failed to cover the spread in all of them. The two that were on the road did not go well at all as they were beaten by a combined 54 points at Charlotte and New Orleans. Thursday they lost at home to Miami. But we look for the Rockets to blast off tonight in New York as the Knicks are in the second game of a back to back and off a win. They beat the Wizards 109-91 Friday night, a win which came on the road. Having to now head home without any rest in between games is a tough spot for a team we still don’t think is very good, even though it is 12-15, a more competitive record than expected. The Rockets had a 13-point lead Thursday and could be shorthanded here, but we still like them as they’d won seven of eight before this four-game slide. The Knicks have failed to cover four of the last five times they’ve played a back to back. Play on HOUSTON AAA |
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02-13-21 | South Alabama v. Troy State +2 | Top | 58-51 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TROY In-state rivals meet for the second time this year as Troy hosts South Alabama. The Jaguars won the first time, 73-70, however it was the Trojans leaving with the cash as six-point underdogs. They are underdogs again here, but only slightly at home. That first meeting was Thursday, by the way. Troy may be at the bottom of the Sun Belt’s East Division, but they are really good at home with a 7-1 record and they are allowing 59.9 points/game. They’re just a much better team here plus they are 8-1 ATS when seeking revenge for a road loss. When off a conference loss, the Trojans are 5-1 ATS this season. South Alabama has a losing road record and is just 2-5 ATS when playing with only one day of rest between games. The Jaguars have won five in a row, but the last four have all been decided by six points or less. It would seem they are due for a loss and Troy is going to be desperate to end a five-game losing streak in this rivalry. Play on TROY AAA |
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02-13-21 | Iowa v. Michigan State OVER 152 | Top | 88-58 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 32 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER Iowa doesn’t have a problem scoring on anybody as they are third in the country with an 87.4 points/game scoring average. They’ve actually failed to hit that average in six straight games, which partly explains why they’re just 2-4 in that stretch. But the Hawkeyes did down Rutgers 79-66 earlier this week and now look to take care of a Michigan State team that is simply not among the elite in the Big 10 anymore, let alone among the elite in the country. The Spartans are a money-burning 4-13 ATS, although they have won two straight games for only the second time in two months. Those wins were against Penn State and Nebraska though, probably the conference’s two worst teams (Nebraska is definitely the worst). They won those games in part because the opponents were terrible shooting from three-point range, but that will almost assuredly not be the case today as Iowa is making 39 percent of its three-point shots. But the Hawkeyes have an issue in that they allow more than 80 points/game on the road. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-13-21 | NC-Greensboro v. Mercer +1.5 | Top | 77-74 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 3 m | Show |
This is an 8* on MERCER Mercer hosts the top team in the Southern Conference, UNC Greensboro, on Saturday. The Bears are looking to win their third in a row after two overtime victories against Samford earlier in the week. The first of those was a 2OT game, however Mercer hardly ever trailed in that game and never faced a deficit larger than three points. They did need to come from behind to win on the road Wednesday. But at home the Bears’ record is 7-2 and this is a team that can score (80.9 points/game at home), something you can’t always say about UNC Greensboro. The Spartans were able to earn a split with Furman earlier in the week, but scored only 49 points in the loss, which was on the road. That’s their only loss in the last nine games, but this team is not dominant and we don’t think they’re the best team in the SoCon even though they are in first place. These teams’ overall records aren’t all that different. The first time they played was closer than it looked as Mercer failed to make a basket in the final three minutes. Play on MERCER AAA |
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02-13-21 | TCU v. Texas -12 | Top | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show |
This is an 8* on TEXAS Texas may be on a 5-game ATS slide, but we still believe the Longhorns are one of the better teams in the entire country. After losing three straight times on the court, they finally got back into the win column Tuesday with an 80-77 win at Kansas State. That one was closer than it should have been as Texas made a season-high 13 three pointers. Kansas State hadn’t stayed within single digits of anybody in the Big 12 since January 2nd. Both of the ‘Horns’ wins since Jan 9 have come against Kansas State but two of the losses have been by a total of three points. That Shaka Smart’s team has lost three of four in Austin should have them motivated today. TCU has won two in a row, both by three points, but is one of the conference’s poorer teams. This is their first Big 12 win streak of any kind since starting 3-0 last year and they’d lost five in a row prior to the two wins. Leading scorer Mike Mills has been out with a non-COVID related illness. Play on TEXAS AAA |
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02-13-21 | Wake Forest v. Florida State -13 | Top | 85-92 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
This is an 8* on FLORIDA STATE So Florida State has been off for a couple weeks. The 17th ranked ‘Noles last played on 1/30 when they were upset 76-65 in Atlanta by Georgia Tech. So they should be ready to go here in Tallahassee vs. Wake Forest, who comes in with just a single road win on the year and a 3-8 ACC record. Things have gotten better recently for the Demon Deacons as those three ACC wins have come over the course of the last five games, plus they are 6-1 ATS L7. But they are outclassed here and playing their third consecutive road game. Earlier this week is when they picked up that lone road win, beating Boston College 69-65 as a 2.5-point favorite. Boston College is the last place team in the ACC this year. What are the chances Wake can win two in a row? Obviously, very small. Now FSU has a spread to worry about here, but they are 9-1 at home and winning by an average of 13.6 points/game already. They’ve won the last three times they’ve played Wake Forest, who could be shorthanded here. The Seminoles are 6-2 ATS in ACC play. Play on FLORIDA STATE AAA |
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02-12-21 | Cavs v. Blazers -4.5 | Top | 110-129 | Win | 100 | 25 h 11 m | Show |
This is an 8* on PORTLAND While Portland upset Philadelphia last night, we do not see them suffering any kind of letdown in the second night of a back to back against Cleveland. The Cavaliers have been really lousy of late, losing seven of the last eight. They were just beaten by THIRTY EIGHT points in Denver on Wednesday. It was the fifth loss by 18 or more points since January 29th. You’re looking at a team that has the worst point differential among Eastern Conference teams, so it’s just a matter of time before the Cavs are at/near last place in the standings. The only team in the league with a worse power rating is Minnesota. Portland is 5th in the Western Conference and has to be feeling good about itself following the result last night. They have won four of the last five games and two straight at home. Cleveland let Denver make 60% of its field goal attempts, so the Blazers should have a big game offensively. The Cavs are also getting outscored by 12.6 points/game on the road, so we have zero hesitation about laying such a short number. Play on PORTLAND AAA |
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02-12-21 | Blues v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 24 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Welcome to the 2020-21 NHL season where we’ve got an incredible bit of scheduling brewing here in the desert. St. Louis and Arizona just met four times in the Gateway City with the Coyotes winning the last three. Now they’re set to play three more times here in Phoenix. That is seven consecutive games against the same opponent and the Stanley Cup Playoffs are still a couple months away! Three of the four games in St. Louis ended up being 4-3 finals with the last one going to a shootout. But with so much familiarity between the two clubs, we’ve got to expect less goals after a three-day break. The Blues are just 1 for their last 12 on the power play. The Under is 5-2 the past seven times they’ve been a road favorite. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-12-21 | Pelicans v. Mavs -2 | Top | 130-143 | Win | 100 | 23 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DALLAS We say it’s “time” for the Mavericks to actually cover a game! They are just 1-10 ATS L11, but have won the last three straight up, all three wins coming by five points or less. Those three wins were against Golden State, Minnesota and Atlanta. Against Atlanta Wednesday night, they had to rally back from a 13-point deficit. It’s a real small number that the Mavs are being asked to lay tonight as the Pelicans pay a visit to Dallas. The Pelicans just dropped a game in Chicago, 129-116, which snapped a four-game SU and ATS win streak. Neither of these teams are among the top eight in the Western Conference and both are two games below .500. So it would “seem” to be a fairly even matchup. However, Dallas has grossly underachieved to this point and in our estimation is due to improve its record. They are just 2-10 ATS at home. How long can they continue to sport such a poor covering rate? New Orleans is pretty atrocious at defending the 3-point line, giving up an average of 16 threes per game. They just let Chicago make 25! This has been a favorable matchup in the past for the Mavericks, who won all four matchups last season. Play on DALLAS AAA |
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02-12-21 | Oakland v. Robert Morris +1.5 | Top | 82-88 | Win | 100 | 22 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* on ROBERT MORRIS Robert Morris’ first season in the Horizon League is not going all that well as the Colonials are just 2-9 in conference play. Last weekend was just brutal as they lost two overtime games to Youngstown State. Had they won one (or both), perhaps more people would be looking at them differently coming into this next game. But we’re cool with it. They should be able to defeat Oakland at home Friday. The Golden Grizzlies are coming off their own painful set of results last weekend as they lost twice to first place Cleveland State. Something to note is that three of Oakland’s eight wins this season have been over Detroit. They are just 5-15 otherwise. Two of the other five were against IPFW, who isn’t any good either. Now certainly we can’t call Robert Morris “good,” but with six of their nine Horizon League losses coming by six points or less, it’s fair to say they’ve been unlucky. They deserve a better record and should get the win here. Play on ROBERT MORRIS AAA |
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02-12-21 | Middle Tennessee v. Marshall OVER 143 | Top | 79-107 | Win | 100 | 21 h 5 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER A couple games versus a pretty bad Charlotte team is what Middle Tennessee needed last weekend. The Blue Raiders had lost six in a row before that and five of the losses were by more than 10 points. But they defeated the 49ers 66-65 and 73-60, providing a brief glimmer of positivity in what has been a pretty awful season. At 10-5 on the year, Marshall is doing a lot better than MTSU, though they had some unscheduled breaks in January. They did play last weekend though and could only muster a split with Old Dominion despite being favored to win both games. The loss was by one point and the win was by 20. They should win big tonight. The game should also end up being high scoring. The Thundering Herd have scored more than 80 points in three consecutive games. They are basically averaging 80 per game for the entire season. Middle Tennessee does not score very much, but if they can reach 60 (doable!), then the Over is all but assured in this one. The Over is 4-0 the last four times MTSU has been off an ATS win. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-11-21 | 76ers v. Blazers +5.5 | Top | 114-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
This is an 8* on PORTLAND Philadelphia continues to lead the Eastern Conference with an 18-7 record. Their lead has now grown to two games with Milwaukee losing at Phoenix last night. The Sixers have won six of their last seven games and tonight finds them getting an opportunity to avenge that one loss as they travel to Portland. The Blazers beat them 121-105 last Thursday and that was in Philly. The Blazers were 10-point underdogs in that game and pulled the upset despite not even having Damian Lillard in the lineup! They also didn’t have CJ McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic. What they did have is six players score 14 or more points and a third quarter where they outscored the 76ers 40-19. Lillard will be in the lineup tonight and the game is in Portland where the Blazers just won 106-97 over Orlando Tuesday night. Philly had to rally late to win at Sacramento that same night and you’re going to want to take the points here. This spread is pretty similar to that Sixers-Kings game, which seems ridiculous on the surface as Portland is better than Sacramento. The Blazers are 4-1 straight up and against the spread the last five meetings. Play on PORTLAND AAA |
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02-11-21 | Sharks v. Kings OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER The Kings have dropped five straight. In those five losses, they have surrendered a total of 21 goals. They’ve allowed at least three in all five games and four in four of them. The last one was a 4-3 loss to San Jose, who they face again tonight. It should also be noted here that four of the Sharks’ last six games have seen seven or more total goals scored. Five of the last seven Kings’ games have seen at least seven total goals scored. San Jose is allowing 3.6 goals per game this year and LA is allowing 3.5. Those are among the highest averages in the league. You get where we’re going with this one? The Over is 15-5-1 in the Sharks last 21 games as a road favorite. Play on OVER. AAA |
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02-11-21 | Pacers -3 v. Pistons | Top | 111-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* on INDIANA Indiana, despite losing four in a row, is still in sixth place in the Eastern Conference. Detroit is at the bottom with a 6-18 record for the season. The Pistons did win Tuesday, over the team that just beat the Pacers last night (Brooklyn). But we’re looking at this as a classic buy low spot on the favorite. While it’s been a rough month so far, the Pacers have played a number of good teams. It’s been awhile since they faced anyone in the same class as Detroit, a team they have actually not faced since the end of 2019! This should be a welcome matchup. Indiana was -24 in free throw attempts compared to Brooklyn last night, a big reason they lost. A big reason why the Pistons beat the Nets is that they were an uncharacteristically hot 56 percent from the floor. This is a team that shoots just 43.3% for the season. Indiana’s starters had only 51 points last night and the team shot 39.1% overall. Again, it’s all about the “buy low” as the Pacers are a better team than the Pistons and should be laying a larger number. Detroit is 0-5 after a win this year. Play on INDIANA AAA |
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02-11-21 | Lightning -162 v. Panthers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -162 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
This is an 8* on TB The Lightning look to keep rolling in this matchup. It’s six straight wins for them, four against Nashville and two against Detroit. They’ve scored 27 goals in the six games and allowed just nine. While Tampa Bay may not have the most points in the league (Toronto does), that’s because they’ve only played 11 games. And yet they do have the best goal differential at +23. Tonight they face second place Florida, but the gap is wide between the NHL’s two Floridian franchises. The Panthers have lost seven of the eight head to head matchups in the last two seasons. They could only manage a split with the Red Wings. The Panthers are 0-7 their last seven Thursday games and 0-4 their last four against teams with a win percentage of .600 or higher. Six of Florida’s seven wins this year have been by one goal. So their record could be worse. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
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02-10-21 | Cavs v. Nuggets UNDER 219.5 | Top | 95-133 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER The struggling Cavaliers head to Denver Wednesday night in search of what would be their second win this month. It’s unlikely to come here as the Nuggets are heavily favored and on a three-game losing skid of their own. Two of those three losses were to the Lakers and Bucks. Then again, Cleveland has faced Milwaukee twice as well as the Clippers and Suns in their last four games. What we do see taking place tonight is a relatively low-scoring affair. The Cavs are dead last in the NBA in points per possession. The Nuggets join them in the bottom five in terms of pace of play. The Cavs have seen 8 of their 11 road games stay Under the total as they’ve shot only 43.5% in them. Denver goes Over a lot more than it goes Under, but this is a high total for Cleveland, whose last three games with a total of 220 or higher have all stayed Under. The Cavs have averaged just 104 points during their four game losing streak, but we like the move to “go big” (now starting two centers) from a defensive perspective. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-10-21 | Missouri v. Ole Miss +0.5 | Top | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OLE MISS Missouri may be ranked #10 in the country coming into this game, but they are slight underdogs to Ole Miss. Now we were very happy to see the Tigers deliver a 68-65 upset of Alabama over the weekend. They were a big play for us in that game. But it was very concerning how they almost blew all of a 22-point lead and nearly lost, despite the opposition shooting very poorly. Speaking of poor shooting, Missouri hit only 3 of its 20 three-point shots in that game. They’ll take the win, their third in a row, but all of them have been by five points or less and were at home. This is the Tigers’ first time hitting the road since a loss to Auburn on January 26th. They venture into a gym where visitors are averaging only 59.7 points/game. So it’s likely to be another rough shooting night. Over the course of its last six games, Ole Miss has beaten all three teams that have beaten Missouri this season. They held Tennessee to only 50 points in a win here in Oxford last week. Then they went to Auburn and won a high-scoring game in overtime Saturday. Play on MISSISSIPPI AAA |
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02-10-21 | Bruins -156 v. Rangers | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* on BOSTON The Bruins are tied for 1st in the East Division with 18 points and will be looking for a fourth consecutive victory Wednesday night. They’ve won 8 of 9 overall and have lost in regulation only one time so far, 1-0 to the Islanders back on January 18th. They just swept a set of games from the team they are tied with (Philadelphia) and both wins came on the road. Looking at goal differential, there is no doubt that this is the best team in the East. They’ll try to reaffirm that status tonight here in New York, facing a Rangers team that is at the bottom of the division with only 10 points. The Blueshirts were blanked 2-0 by the Islanders in their last game and will find it difficult to score tonight against a team that is allowing only 23.5 shots per game. The Rangers are 0-4 their last four games as an underdog and have also lost four straight times to the Bruins. Pretty easy, right? Play on BOSTON AAA |
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02-09-21 | West Virginia v. Texas Tech UNDER 140 | Top | 82-71 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER These teams played two weeks ago with West Virginia winning 88-87 as a 2.5-point favorite. While it was a back and forth game, the O/U was never in doubt as the total for the game was 144.5 and the teams went way Over that. The total is even LOWER for tonight’s second meeting, which may be a surprise to some, but this is a matchup we had circled to play the Under all along. The number of total points scored in Morgantown should be viewed as an aberration. The teams went 21 of 41 on three-point attempts, which is way more production than the 13 of 39 average that they combine for on a per game basis this season. The likely significant decrease in 3-point marksmanship tonight should alone account for this game staying Under. But if you need more convincing, note that Texas Tech allows only 56.5 PPG at home. Five of their last seven games have been on the road, which is why we’ve been seeing some higher scoring games from them recently. But in the last home game, they held Oklahoma to only 52 points and that game had just 109 total points scored. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-09-21 | Warriors v. Spurs OVER 231.5 | Top | 114-91 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Second of two straight games between the Warriors and Spurs. San Antonio won last night 105-100, which was a far cry from what we saw the very first time these teams played (back on January 20th). Then it was Golden State 121-99. Of course, last night’s game was in San Antonio. But what we were most taken aback by is the fact the Warriors scored just 100 points. They were coming off two straight games vs. Dallas where they scored 147 and 132. Things started out well enough, with a 36-point first quarter. But Golden State scored just 41 in the entire second half and Steph Curry was curiously absent for much of the 4th quarter when the Spurs made their run. Steve Kerr has said he’s not going to “stretch” Curry’s minutes to “chase wins,” which seems like an odd thing to say, but our assumption is that Curry will play his usual 34-35 minutes tonight. He had 32 points last night. Look for his teammates to shoot better than the 28 of 69 (40.5%) we saw from them Monday. Problem is Golden State also gives up 121.5 points/game on the road, so they’re number of points allowed is also expected to increase tonight. The Spurs are also 21-9-1 Over when playing the second night of a back to back. They shot only 40% last night. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-09-21 | Blackhawks v. Stars -159 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -159 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is an 8* on DALLAS The Blackhawks have been a bit of a “thorn in our side” recently as they’ve recorded upset wins over Carolina and Dallas in recent days. Both times we were on the other side. But we get a second chance here with the Stars, who had not lost on home ice before facing Chicago on Sunday. They’d gone 4-0, sweeping Nashville and Detroit, and against each opponent they had a 7-goal game. Chicago had not won on the road before Sunday, losing all six times by an average of 2.2 goals/game. The game on Sunday went to overtime with the Blackhawks’ lone regulation goal coming on a power play. Just can’t see Dallas losing twice at home to such a lowly opponent. Play on DALLAS AAA |
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02-08-21 | Gonzaga -10.5 v. BYU | Top | 82-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* on GONZAGA BYU has scored 200 combined points in their last two games. They are getting double digits at home tonight. The question as to whom the Cougars are facing tonight can only have one answer: Gonzaga. The top ranked Zags are 18-0 and have beaten BYU already by 17 points. Actually that score is misleading. They led by as many as 32 in the second half. Gonzaga not only has the nation’s longest active win streak (22 games), but the last 15 have all been decided by double digits. Only one team (West Virginia) this season has been able to stay within 12 of them. After a less than stellar effort in the last game (still won by 18 over Pacific), look for the Zags to come out and make a statement Monday night. Saturday’s game vs. Santa Clara was postponed so that’s extra time they’ve had to stew over the fact they actually trailed Pacific at the half Thursday. BYU’s last five games have all been against Pacific, Pepperdine or Portland, all of whom are horrible and offer little in the way of preparation for what they’ll face here. With only one win by less than 12 points this year (and it was the third game), we will gladly lay the points with the #1 team in the country tonight. Play on GONZAGA AAA |
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02-08-21 | Thunder v. Lakers UNDER 217.5 | Top | 112-119 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER The last time the Thunder and Lakers played, the game went pretty much how you’d imagine. LA dominated en route to a 128-99 win. That was only a little more than three weeks ago, so you’d anticipate tonight should go pretty smoothly for the Lakers, who are in fact favored by double digits. But we think the game has a better chance of being “low scoring” rather than another Lakers’ double digit victory. The most recent Lakers game has a very misleading final score. It was 135-129 because of double overtime. They allowed only 106 points in regulation, making it nine straight games they’ve allowed 108 or less (excluding OT). Four of those games, they’ve allowed fewer than 100. They are the best defensive team in the league right now. The Under is 17-7 in all Lakers games this season and 6-0 off their last six ATS losses. Oklahoma City just set a franchise record with 83 first half points against Minnesota on Saturday, but was then held to only 37 in the second half. That first half performance is indicative of nothing as the Thunder average only 107.5 points/game. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-08-21 | Wizards +3 v. Bulls | Top | 105-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WASHINGTON The Wizards HAVE to be better than this, right? Their 5-15 record is second worst in the Eastern Conference and yesterday’s 119-97 loss at Charlotte was just plain embarrassing. Tonight they try and dust themselves off in Chicago against a Bulls team they’ve already lost to twice this season, both times at home. Those games took place right before the new year and were relatively close. Washington was also a six and seven point favorite in them. This will actually be the Bulls sixth straight game being favored, which is pretty rare. But all those lines have been three points or less and they’re only 2-3. The Wizards have the NBA’s leading scorer in Bradley Beal (33.3 PPG) and are a lock to improve upon Sunday’s atrocious 9 of 40 shooting from three-point range. The Bulls are only 3-7 at home and 2-5 their last seven games overall. We think the road team is better, so it makes sense to grab them as underdogs. Play on WASHINGTON AAA |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs -3 v. Bucs | Top | 9-31 | Loss | -113 | 287 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* on KC Kansas City is the favorite to win Super Bowl 55, but perhaps you’ve heard that the sportsbooks have more “liability” on Tampa Bay winning here. Once they acquired Tom Brady, the Buccaneers were quite the popular bet to win it all. Now here they are facing last year’s SB champs. The favored team has won 35 of the previous 54 Super Bowls and are 3-1 ATS the last four (and 2-0 ATS L2). The AFC team has won and covered five of the last six. Now none of this guarantees the Chiefs will repeat. Nor does the fact Patrick Mahomes is 27-13-1 ATS in his career when he’s NOT a double digit favorite. But, to us, all signs point to the Chiefs winning and covering this game. They already beat the Bucs once this season, 27-24, back on November 29th. They didn’t cover, but this spread is now lower. Also that regular season score is a little misleading. Kansas City led 17-0 after one quarter and 27-10 going into the fourth. They put up 543 yards on this Bucs defense, which now has two injured safeties coming out of the NFC Championship Game. The Chiefs might only be 8-10 ATS this season, but they are 5-0 ATS when the spread is three points or less. Andy Reid is 18-9 ATS in his head coaching career when he has at least 13 days between games. Tampa Bay’s last two wins have seen them heavily rely on turnovers. The Chiefs offense averaged almost seven yards per play in the AFC Championship Game. Play on KANSAS CITY AAA |
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02-07-21 | Blackhawks v. Stars -160 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -160 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 7* on DALLAS The Stars’ season got off to a late start because of COVID. But when they finally hit the ice, they opened 4-0 with all those wins coming at home. The next four were on the road and those didn’t go as well as they finished with a 1-2-1 record against Carolina and Columbus. But now they get to return to Dallas for the first time in more than a week and it looks to be a favorable matchup vs. the Blackhawks. Chicago did win its last game, a 6-4 surprise against Carolina where they came in at +150 on the money line. But that was just their fourth win of the season, two of which were against lowly Detroit. Dallas has also beaten Detroit a couple times. It’s hard to look past the fact the Stars scored seven times in two of their four home games. They ended up with a +13 goal differential in the four victories. Chicago has lost all six road games and done so by an average of 2.2 goals per game. That’s horrendous. The home team has won each of the last four times these clubs have met. It’ll be a rookie goaltender starting today for the Stars, but we don’t see that as a downgrade considering Anton Khudobin has allowed 11 goals the last three games. Play on DALLAS AAA |
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02-07-21 | Quinnipiac v. Fairfield +3.5 | Top | 78-63 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* on FAIRFIELD It’s been awhile since we last saw either of these teams. It’s been a two-week absence for Quinnipiac since they defeated Niagara 78-69. For Fairfield, it’s been three weeks since they last played and upset Marist 55-52. Looking at the MAAC standings, you’ll find these two at the bottom. Quinnipiac has just two conference wins while Fairfield has three. Our side is technically in last with seven losses, but Quinnipiac has zero road wins this season and they are on the road today. The Bobcats have lost twice in true road games (both were at Monmouth) and are 0-2 in neutral court games. They are also 4-10 ATS their last 14 on the road. That Quinnipiac is laying points on the road here is very rare and would seem to make for a nice opportunity to fade. Though it’s been three weeks, Fairfield was excellent defensively in their last game as they’d allowed only 39 points with just over seven minutes remaining. The Stags are 20-8 ATS their last 28 games as a home underdog. Play on FAIRFIELD AAA |
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02-07-21 | Jazz v. Pacers +5 | Top | 103-95 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* on INDIANA Utah is unquestionably the hottest team in the league right now as they’ve won 14 of the last 15 games. Making the run all the more impressive is the fact all but one of those victories has been by double digits. The one single-digit win happened to be against the team that also beat them last Sunday, Denver. With the best overall record in the Western Conference right now, the Jazz have to be feeling good about themselves. But I view this game as a potential “slip up” as Indiana has got to turn things around. The Pacers have lost two straight and four of five. The last loss was close as they were beaten 114-113 by New Orleans here at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Remember that earlier in the week the Pacers did snap Memphis’ seven-game win streak with an emphatic 134-116 win at home. So there’s a precedent for beating a red-hot team.The Pacers are 5-2 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. They were -1.5 vs. New Orleans. Play on INDIANA AAA |
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02-06-21 | Warriors +4 v. Mavs | Top | 132-134 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* on GOLDEN STATE The Warriors crushed the Mavs on Thursday, winning 147-116. It was the second night of a back to back for Dallas, but that’s still no excuse to be beaten THAT badly, especially since Golden State had just nine players available for that game. Something is just not right with the Mavs, who have now dropped seven of their last eight. The lone victory during that stretch came in Atlanta, the night before getting destroyed by the Warriors. Golden State has yet to win (or lose) three in a row this season. But they have won back to back games five times. In fact, all 10 wins have “come in pairs.” So by that trend, they “should” win tonight. We’ll grab the points just to “be careful,” but it’s certainly difficult to look past what happened the other night and think this will be anything other than an outright win. Dallas is the worst three-point shooting team in the league. They are also just 1-7 against the spread their last eight games. The Warriors were our 10* Game of the Month last Saturday when they blew out the Pistons. They are our top choice again for this week. Play on GOLDEN STATE AAA |
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02-06-21 | Beneil Dariush v. Diego Ferreira OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Push | 0 | 99 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER This is a rematch from 2014 when Dariush was able to record a unanimous decision victory over Ferreira. Ferreira lost his next fight, a 1st round knockout at the hands of Dustin Poirier (doesn’t seem so bad now, does it?), but has gone undefeated since and is on a six-fight win streak coming into this rematch. He’s now 17-2 in his career. Dariush is 19-4-1 and on a five-fight win streak. He won by spinning backfist last August against Scott Holtzman and it didn’t even take him a full round to do so. Dariush’s last four wins have all come in the first or second round. Ferreira, on the other hand, has had three of his six straight wins go to decision. We see this one going along the lines of the first fight, i.e. leaving it in the hands of the judges. Dariush would prefer to keep this fight standing and he possesses the necessary takedown defense to keep it that way. He’s also a bit stronger now compared to six years ago, so he won’t get overwhelmed in the grappling department. Play on OVER 2.5 ROUNDS AAA |
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02-06-21 | Texas Tech -16 v. Kansas State | Top | 73-62 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TEXAS TECH The Big 12 is so tough this year (six teams are in the top 25). So if you are one of those top teams, you’ve got to take full advantage when you're faced with one of the conference’s couple lightweights. That’s the situation #13 Texas Tech finds itself in today as they get set to take on Kansas State. The Red Raiders are only 5-4 SU vs. the rest of the Big 12, which has them in 6th. But you should expect them to move up the standings after today’s tilt in Manhattan. Kansas State is really bad as they’ve now lost nine in a row. Most of the games haven’t been close either as the Wildcats’ ATS record is 4-13 including 0-5 L5. They are 1-10 ATS at home. The last four Big 12 games for KSU have resulted in losses by 23, 48, 22 and 26 points. They did actually stay within 11 of Texas Tech last month in Lubbock. But that was before the “bottom dropped out” on the season. The Wildcats’ have the second most starts in the country by true freshman and injuries/COVID have really taken hold of the roster. The last five games have seen Kansas State average 53.6 points. Texas Tech should keep them around that number and cover easily. Play on TEXAS TECH AAA |
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02-06-21 | Coyotes v. Blues -161 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -161 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* on ST. LOUIS The Blues had a four-game win streak end two nights ago. But the Stanley Cup Champs of two years ago will get a rubber match today with the ‘Yotes and it should prove to be a successful endeavor. The first two games here in St. Louis have both been decided by one goal, each by the same 4-3 score. The Blues won first (Tuesday) but then fell into an early 3-0 hole on Thursday that was too deep to climb out of. They ended up outshooting Arizona though 43-30. You’ve got to believe the Blues will get off to a better start tonight. Nor are they likely to be 0 for 4 on the power play again. Thursday also happened to be the Coyotes’ very first road win this season. They’ve won just five of their last 26 road games going back to the previous season. They are 7-21 off a win. All signs point to the home team taking Saturday’s game. Play on ST. LOUIS AAA |
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02-06-21 | Evansville v. Loyola-Chicago -20 | Top | 55-68 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
This is an 8* on LOYOLA CHICAGO Two teams stand above the rest this year in the Missouri Valley. They are #25 Drake and Loyola Chicago. Though the former is ranked and undefeated, our view (and the view of most in the College Basketball community) is that Loyola is better. The Ramblers can prove that NEXT weekend when they’ll play two at Drake, but for now they get a pair of games vs. Evansville. This should be a guaranteed two wins this weekend for the Ramblers. It’s a big number Saturday, but we’ll lay it considering that Loyola is 12-3 ATS in all games this season, including 12-1 when favored and 6-0 at home. Last weekend, they won by 26 and 20 at Missouri State. They’re winning their home games by a margin of 28.5 points/game. None of their previous eight opponents have reached 60 points as this is one of the premier defensive teams in the country. That’s bad news for an Evansville squad averaging only 64 points on the road this season. The Purple Aces have just one road win and aren’t going to be competitive here. Play on LOYOLA CHICAGO AAA |
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02-06-21 | Alabama v. Missouri +3 | Top | 65-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
THIS IS AN 8* ON MISSOURI These are the two top teams in the SEC, but right now there’s a huge gap between Alabama and everybody else. The Crimson Tide moved to 10-0 in conference play with another convincing win against LSU earlier this week. Looking across the country, you’re not going to find many teams that have a 10-0 record in their conference. But this is a stiff test for Bama as they head to Missouri on Saturday. The Tigers just took care of Kentucky on Wednesday to move to 12-3 overall this season. While G Pickett got injured vs. Kentucky, the Tigers have four double digit scorers that can more than account for his possible absence. Remember that last weekend Alabama lost to an Oklahoma team that didn’t have its leading scorer. Missouri has lost just once at home this season and that was to Tennessee. Alabama was picked to finish 10th (in the SEC!) in the preseason poll and we don’t see them going undefeated. This looks to be their toughest remaining game. Play on MISSOURI AAA |
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02-05-21 | Celtics +5 v. Clippers | Top | 119-115 | Win | 100 | 26 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* on BOSTON Boston is playing its third straight game on the West Coast and they hope it goes more like the first one than the second. They started this trip by defeating the Warriors 111-107 as a 2-point favorite. The following night they lost 116-111 at Sacramento (were favored by 1 pt). Tonight they are an underdog at the Clippers, who have won all but two of their previous 13 games. They are tied with the Lakers (17-6) for 2nd in the Western Conference, trailing Utah by one-half game. Boston is 4th in the East. Key here is the Celtics are 5-3 ATS as underdogs with four outright wins. Coming off a long road trip, the Clips may be prone to a letdown in this situation and it’s a decent number they are laying to a good team. They are only 4-5-1 ATS as home favorites and 7-8-1 ATS off a win. They don’t have point guard Patrick Beverely in this contest and we can’t see them shooting as well from three tonight as they did against Cleveland. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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02-05-21 | Pistons v. Suns UNDER 215.5 | Top | 92-109 | Win | 100 | 25 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER The Pistons are bad. They are 5-16 overall and 1-9 on the road. Those records are tied with Minnesota for worst in the NBA. This road trip has predictably started poorly as they’ve lost to Golden State and Utah. Neither game was close. Then came a positive COVID test, cancelling a game vs. Denver. After this game, they’ve got the Lakers and Nets on the schedule so it’s about to get ugly. Phoenix did not play well against New Orleans on Wednesday, but had won three in a row before that. They should be just fine as they’re about to play seven straight at home against Eastern Conference teams. The Pistons are 7-1 Under in non-conference games this year. They beat the Suns last month by a score of 110-105, coming back from an eight-point halftime deficit. Phoenix is 6-2 Under with revenge. Before getting blitzed by the Pelicans, Phoenix had allowed 108 or less in four consecutive games. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-05-21 | Red Wings v. Lightning OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER This is obviously a really big mismatch on the Friday slate. Detroit is the team most would consider to be the worst in the league. They have just six points and have lost seven in a row. Tampa Bay is the team most would consider to be the best in the league. They have 13 points and have been beaten only one time in regulation. The Lightning have already proven their superiority in this matchup with a 5-1 win Wednesday. It was the third straight win for them and they’ve scored four or more times in all three games. You’ve got to like the Over here as TB is 3-0 Over at home when the total is 5.5. You’ve got to figure they’ll score at least four goals tonight. They average 4.8 per game at home. Can the Red Wings get to 2? Certainly. The Over is 3-0 for them if they scored one goal or less in their last game. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-05-21 | UC-Davis v. CS-Northridge +2.5 | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CS NORTHRIDGE Prior to the last two weeks, Cal Davis had gotten only four games in all season and all four were prior to December 5th. They are just 1-3 since returning to action and lost twice at home last weekend to UCSB. Therefore, it’s hard for us to believe they are laying points on the road here. Cal State Northridge is by no means a good team, but the Matadors have at least been playing regularly enough to have a rhythm coming into this Friday night matchup. They are 6-7 and off a 64-51 win at Cal Poly last Saturday. One thing to like about this team is that it doesn’t turn the ball over much. Their turnover rate is second lowest among Big West teams. Cal Davis has yet to cover as a favorite this year and the last time they laid points on the road, they lost by 20. Going back to last year, the Aggies are 0-4-1 ATS their last five as favorites. CS-Northridge is 6-2 ATS off a straight up win and the home team has captured the cash in four of the last five meetings. Play on CS NORTHRIDGE AAA |
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02-05-21 | Jacksonville +7.5 v. Bellarmine | Top | 56-71 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 34 m | Show |
This is an 8* on JACKSONVILLE Jacksonville has lost five in a row, however, four of those losses have come by six points or less. Tonight they try to play spoiler against Bellarmine, who is one of three teams tied atop the Atlantic Sun with a 6-2 conference record. Bellarmine has won six in a row, four of the wins coming on the road. But it’s worth pointing out that those six wins all came against the bottom three teams in the league. Jacksonville just got done facing the other top two, Liberty and North Alabama. So the recent records are a little misleading on both ends here. Bellarmine’s last two wins were against Kennesaw State, who is 0-10 in conference play. Despite shooting 60% in their last game, the Knights won by only five. You’ll want to take the points here. Play on JACKSONVILLE AAA |
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02-04-21 | Nuggets v. Lakers UNDER 220 | Top | 93-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER It’s a rematch of last year’s Western Conference Finals tonight on TNT. You probably remember the Lakers won that series, 4 games to 1, last September. The Nuggets were pretty competitive though, never dropping a game by more than 12 points and two of the losses were by six points or less. The stakes obviously aren’t as high tonight, though both teams are looking to make their way to the top of the Western Conference. The Lakers are one-half game behind the Jazz and Clippers for what looks to be shaping up as a tight three-game race. Denver, 3.5 games back of the leaders, just beat Utah on Sunday. They were supposed to face Detroit on Monday, but that was postponed right before tipoff. The Lakers have been really strong defensively this year. Six of the last seven games have gone Under and they just kept Atlanta under 100 points on Monday. Los Angeles is #1 in the NBA in defensive efficiency. The Under is 6-0 when they face a team with a winning record this season. Denver has been an Over team, but has the potential to come out rusty tonight. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-04-21 | Hurricanes -168 v. Blackhawks | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -168 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 7* on CAROLINA Look for Carolina to take no mercy on Chicago tonight in this Central Division matchup. The ‘Canes are looking really good this season. They are 6-1 and have won five straight, including a 4-3 win here in the Windy City two nights ago. That was their second straight win in a shootout. It’s worth mentioning Carolina did have a 41-33 edge in shots. Petr Mrazek having surgery is a blow, but Carolina is lucky to still have James Reimer between the pipes. He turned away 30 of 33 shots Tuesday including all three he faced in the shootout. Reimer is now 4-0 as the starter this season and has a 2.19 GAA as well as a .915 save percentage. The Blackhawks have won only three games so far and two of those came against Detroit, who is the worst team in the league. They are 0-5 vs. the Hurricanes the last three seasons including 0-3 in Chicago. Play on CAROLINA AAA |
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02-04-21 | Ohio State v. Iowa -4.5 | Top | 89-85 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* on IOWA This is a top 10 matchup out of the Big 10 with #8 Iowa hosting #7 Ohio State. Despite being ranked one spot lower, Iowa is better. Considering that and the fact they are the home team, the Hawkeyes look like a solid value to lay the points with tonight. Now while they avoided what would have been a three-game losing streak by beating Michigan State on Tuesday, Iowa failed to cover the 9.5-point spread. (They won 84-78). So it’s three games in a row they haven’t covered. But the fact the team has lost just one time at home and is averaging 90.8 points per game at Carver-Hawkeye is definitely encouraging. Ohio State is also off a win over Michigan State, theirs coming by a score of 79-62. That was in Columbus though. We just don’t think the Buckeyes are going to produce enough offensive firepower to keep up with the Player of the Year (Luke Garza) and the Hawkeyes. Lay it! Play on IOWA AAA |
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02-03-21 | Bruins -127 v. Flyers | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* on BOSTON The Bruins have lost only one time in their last six games. That singular defeat occurred on Saturday, in overtime, against the Capitals. It was immediately avenged as they bounced back to beat the Caps 5-3 on Monday. The B’s have only lost once in regulation this season and that was 1-0 to the Islanders on January 18th, their third game. Now they travel to Philadelphia to play a Flyers team that’s on a four-game win streak. Winning here shouldn’t prove difficult for Boston. After all, they’ve already beaten the Flyers twice this year, 5-4 and 6-1. While those games took place in Beantown, the fact they scored 11 goals is definitely an encouraging sign. Though they are off to their best start in years, the Flyers (7-2-1) have been outshot in 9 of 10 games. So excuse us for being a bit skeptical. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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02-03-21 | Pacers +8.5 v. Bucks | Top | 110-130 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* on INDIANA Indiana looked really good last night, beating a Memphis team that had previously won seven in a row. The Grizzlies were playing on the second night of a back to back, but the Pacers made it look easy with a 134-116 victory. They shot nearly 60% for the game and now must avoid the same fate that befell their opponents last night as they play without rest. Milwaukee is the opponent, so it won’t be easy, but the Bucks are just 3-4 SU L7 games. Also no one on the Pacers logged more than 35 minutes last night. Playing on back to back days hasn’t been a problem before. They are actually 3-0 straight up and against the spread in such games this season. They are also 4-2 SU and ATS as an underdog. While the Bucks started this homestand by drubbing Portland 134-106, that may not be a good thing as they are 0-3 ATS this season if they scored 130 or more in their last game. Play on INDIANA AAA |
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02-03-21 | South Carolina v. Florida -8 | Top | 72-66 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* on FLORIDA Florida had its season paused in late December, but has really started to get on track of late. An impressive win at Morgantown (West Virginia) on Saturday was the fourth straight game the Gators have been the victors. The 85-80 win over the 11th ranked team in the country also got them in the Top 25 (#22). Now they turn around and will host South Carolina this evening. The Gamecocks have only played 10 games this season and are 4-6. They were not a participant in the Big 12 vs. SEC Challenge, but lost over the weekend anyway (at Vanderbilt). That was the fourth loss in five games. South Carolina has lost both games vs. ranked teams this year, neither of which ended up being particularly close. They lost by 11 at Missouri and by 23 to Auburn. One could make the case that Florida is better than those teams. South Carolina has also lost four straight road games, by an average of 9.5 points/game. Florida has won its last three at home by an average of 14 points. Too many injuries for South Carolina to compete vs. a team that just beat two top 15 teams (Tenn, WVU). Play on FLORIDA AAA |
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02-03-21 | Leicester +103 v. Fulham | Top | 2-0 | Win | 103 | 20 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* on LEICESTER CITY Leicester City enters this match in 4th place in the Premier League with a four point cushion over 5th. That’s not a bad place to be. A date with lowly Fulham on Wednesday provides an excellent chance for the Foxes to not only strengthen that cushion, but also potentially move into 3rd (depending on what happens with Liverpool against B&H Albion). Fulham sits near the bottom of the table, in 18th place, and has a lot of work to do to avoid relegation and a one-year stint back in the EPL. They have just two wins all season, the last one coming back on November 30th against Leicester. So the favorites won’t take this one lightly. Unfortunately for Fulham, they are also winless in their last seven at home across all competitions. They’ve earned a couple points from the last two matches, playing to a draw both times. But those were against a couple of other lowly sides. It’s been 10 straight Premier League matches without a win for the Cottagers. Leicester City is out for revenge here. They’ll get it and extend their unbeaten run in away matches to six. Play on LEICESTER CITY AAA |
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02-02-21 | Coyotes v. Blues -168 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ST. LOUIS We see no reason why we shouldn’t continue riding St. Louis Tuesday. After successive wins in Anaheim, they’ve won three straight. We had them Saturday when they won 6-1 against the Ducks and that was then followed with a 4-1 victory on Sunday. They’ve scored 15 goals in just the last three games and have scored four or more times in six of their nine games so far. Arizona, who the Blues are facing tonight, is not much of a threat to score. They were shut out in back to back games last week before picking up their own win (3-2) against Anaheim. The Coyotes haven’t played since Thursday, which is actually by design, not anything to do with COVID. They’re going to find it hard to score goals tonight as Blues goalie Jordan Binnington is 3-0-1 in his last four starts with a .939 save percentage. All sorts of trends say the ‘Yotes are likely to lose here. They are 1-5 their L6 as an underdog, 0-4 L4 Tuesday games and 20-41 when playing on three or more days’ rest. St. Louis is 61-22 L83 when facing an opponent that has a win % below .400. Play on ST. LOUIS AAA |
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02-02-21 | Blazers +2 v. Wizards | Top | 132-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PORTLAND Portland played a terrible game last night in Milwaukee, losing 134-106. The Bucks were coming off two straight losses, a rarity for them, but still there’s rarely an excuse for losing by 28 points. Tonight the Blazers face a Washington team that’s off a shocking win as they defeated Brooklyn 149-147 (a game that ended in regulation!) Saturday night. That was the Wizards’ first win since returning from a long COVID-induced layoff. They’d lost four in a row prior and were beaten soundly in all four games. That they were behind by five with just 10 seconds left against Brooklyn means the Wizards are quite lucky not to be on a 5-game losing streak here. We’re a bit surprised that they are the favorites tonight. Yes the game is in D.C. but the Wizards still have one of the worst records in the NBA at 4-12 SU. Portland has taken the last three meetings. Play on PORTLAND AAA |
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02-02-21 | Baylor v. Texas UNDER 144.5 | Top | 83-69 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the UNDER #2 Baylor puts its unbeaten 16-0 record on the line tonight, in what should be its toughest test to date, against #6 Texas. The Longhorns were supposed to face Kentucky in the Big 12-SEC Challenge last weekend. But that game was cancelled. Baylor didn’t have much problem with its SEC opponent, beating what had been a red hot Auburn team, 84-72. The Bears’ average margin of victory for the season is nearly 25 points/game and only one time (an 8-point win over Kansas on 1/18) have they failed to win by double digits. They are top three in the country at both ends of the floor. They’ve gone Over in four straight games, but had gone Under in four straight previous to that. Texas has gone Over in six of its last seven. But we anticipate a lower-scoring affair Tuesday night. This is a pretty high total for both teams. For Texas, if the current number holds, it will be the highest total for any game in 2020-21. The Under has hit the last two times these sides have met. Those games saw just 97 and 101 points scored. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-02-21 | Tennessee -4 v. Ole Miss | Top | 50-52 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TENNESSEE Tennessee flexed its muscle over the weekend, beating Kansas 80-61, and is now back in the Top 10. Tonight the Vols are at Ole Miss. We’re a bit shocked this line isn’t higher. The Rebels have lost five of seven. While some of those losses were close, none were to teams as good as this.They are not one of the SEC’s better teams. It can’t be understated just how good Tennessee looked on Saturday. They were up 14 by halftime and led by as much as 26 in the second half. They did not allow a single second-chance point! We realize they haven’t had to go on the road very often, but they did win by 20 at Missouri (who is ranked) and by 17 at Texas A&M. A big reason why Ole Miss is losing games is the three-point line. They are shooting 25.9% from long distance in SEC play. Their opponents are shooting 37.4%. This problem reared its ugly head again on Saturday as they were only 2 of 13 from three-point range vs. Georgia, who was 9 of 18. Tennessee is holding opponents to 30% on three pointers. They should win easily tonight. Play on TENNESSEE AAA |
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02-01-21 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech OVER 137.5 | Top | 52-57 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Oklahoma has ripped off three consecutive wins against Top 10 opponents, beating Kansas, Texas and Alabama. What a run that is! Saturday’s win in Tuscaloosa may have been the most impressive of the bunch considering how hot the Crimson Tide were and the Sooners were without their leading scorer. Another starter (Alondes Williams) was also out. Whether or not Williams and/or Austin Reeves (the leading scorer) will play tonight has yet to be determined. But we still like this game vs. Texas Tech to go Over the total. The Red Raiders are also off an impressive win in the Big 12/SEC Challenge, theirs coming at LSU where they scored the game’s final 12 points to make it a 76-71 final score. Texas Tech will be the 4th straight Top 10 team that OU has faced, a murderous stretch for anybody. You’ve got to question how solid the Sooners will be defensively. They give up 79 points/game away from home. Seven of Texas Tech’s last eight games have gone Over and their defense, which is usually very good, has been shaky of late as well. They’ve allowed 88 and 71 points the last two outings. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-01-21 | Kings v. Pelicans -3.5 | Top | 118-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NEW ORLEANS New Orleans certainly did right by me on Friday. They were able to defeat Milwaukee, right here at home, by a score of 131-126. That scoring output matched the most points allowed by the Bucks in any game this season. So it was a really impressive victory for the Pelicans. Unfortunately, they had to play the next night and lost 126-112 to Houston. That makes it nine losses in the last 12 games for a team that was expected to make the playoffs this year. Sacramento is not a team anyone expects to make the playoffs, so this is a game the Pelicans “have to have.” They’re laying a surprisingly short number, partly because the Kings are 4-0 ATS their last four games, but we’ll lay it. The Kings are just dreadful defensively despite a low-scoring loss in Miami over the weekend. No team in the league allows more points per possession and it’s not really close. The 119.6 points/game allowed by the Kings are the most in the Western Conference. Play on NEW ORLEANS AAA |
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02-01-21 | UCF v. Memphis -9 | Top | 69-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
This is an 8* on MEMPHIS Memphis saw its three-game win streak come to an end on Thursday with a two-point loss at SMU. They did cover the spread though as four point underdogs. It was the fourth consecutive cover by the Tigers, who were 2-9 ATS in their first 11 lined games. Having a couple extra days to prepare for this game with struggling UCF seems like a big deal. The Golden Knights have won only one time in their last seven games and it was against a terrible East Carolina team at home. UCF did play over the weekend and lost in overtime at Wichita State as they let a late eight-point lead slip away. There have been a lot of games this year where the Knights failed to crack 65 points and this figures to be another with Memphis allowing only 59.0 per game at home where they are 7-1 straight up. UCF has lost 12 of its previous 13 visits to Memphis, including by 20 the last time they came here. Play on MEMPHIS AAA |
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02-01-21 | Predators v. Lightning -170 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 7* on TB Tampa Bay looks to make it a 2-0 sweep against Nashville Monday night. They just beat the Predators on Saturday, 4-3, a game which they led 4-1 after two periods. We probably won’t see quite as much scoring - from either side - tonight as there were a total of four power play goals scored on Saturday, two from each side. But if there’s a team you can count on scoring, it’s the Lightning, who year in and year out are always near the top of the league in goals scored. They were actually shut out in Carolina last week, but Saturday marked the third time this season that they have scored at least four goals in one game. The Preds have not played well thus far, losing four of their last six and one of those losses was 7-0. The fact they are last in the league in penalty killing doesn’t bode well for them here either. They’ve yet to win on the road this season. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
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01-31-21 | 76ers v. Pacers UNDER 224.5 | Top | 119-110 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Philadelphia has been playing well lately. You can’t really say the same for Indiana, who is 3-4 straight up and 2-5 against the spread its last seven games. The Sixers have won five of six, the lone loss being a shocking upset against Detroit. They beat the Lakers earlier this week and then there was no letdown when they went to Minnesota and crushed the Timberwolves 118-94. Philly is #1 in the East with a 14-6 record and is a top five defensive team, at least in terms of efficiency. Only once in the last eight games have they allowed more than 110 points. The Under is 6-3 in their road games due in large part to them only giving up an average of 106.9 points. Six of the last eight times these teams have hooked up in Indianapolis, the Under has cashed. That includes four straight Indiana only scored 105 in their last game, but on the bright side has kept three of its last four opponents under 110. This should be a fairly “low-scoring” affair. Play on UNDER AAA |
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01-31-21 | CS Sacramento v. Eastern Washington -9 | Top | 60-68 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* on EASTERN WASHINGTON Eastern Washington started the season 0-3 but has since won 4 of 7 with the three losses all being by five points or less. Last weekend saw the Eagles split a couple games out in Northern Colorado as they lost the first by two points and won the second by six. There haven’t been many home games for the Eagles thus far, only three to be exact, so they should relish the opportunity Sunday when they welcome Sacramento State. The Hornets have also played many close games recently with three of their last four decided by six points or fewer and two of them going to overtime. So a lot of people are going to expect a close game here. But the line, which has EWU favored pretty strongly, is telling. Sacramento State may be 6-3 but they’ve played only three times on the road. They’ve lost two of them. They’ve also lost 9 of the last 10 matchups with Eastern Washington. These teams were actually supposed to play Thursday, but a positive COVID test on the Sacramento State forced a schedule change to Sunday & Monday. The disruption will affect the Hornets more as they have to travel. Play on EASTERN WASHINGTON AAA |
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01-31-21 | Devils v. Sabres UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER The Devils and Sabres played last night and it was the latter emerging victorious, 4-3, following a shootout. Both these teams are “middle of the pack” in the NHL’s Eastern Division with the difference being only the two points Buffalo earned Saturday. The Sabres have also played one more game than the Devils, who have not looked good of late. They arrived in upstate New York having just dropped two in a row at home to the Flyers. While they’ve given up a total of 12 goals the last three contests, it has been scoring goals that’s the concern for New Jersey. There have been only three games this season, including yesterday, where they’ve scored more than twice. They’ve yet to score three goals in consecutive games. Buffalo has had four of its last five games go past regulation, three of them making it to a shootout, so beware reading “too much into” some of these high-scoring games they’ve been involved in. The Under is 31-15-6 L52 meetings between these two clubs. It is also 5-0 the last five times Buffalo has been off a win. Play on UNDER AAA |
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01-30-21 | Pistons v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 91-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* on GOLDEN STATE There is an interesting pattern this year with Golden State as they have yet to win or lose three in a row. Thursday marked the fifth time they failed to win a third straight game. They lost by 21 at Phoenix, a shocking failure as it was only a five-point deficit at halftime. The problem was that other than Steph Curry and Andrew Wiggins, the rest of the team shot just 32 percent (22 of 68). There have been three times so far that the Warriors have lost back to back games. However, each time the second loss came on the road. And those losses were all to really good teams: Milwaukee, Denver and Utah. Tonight they are facing a bad Detroit team and the game is at home. The Pistons are 1-7 on the road and allow 119.0 points per game. Fresh off an upset of the Lakers at home, we say the Pistons are ripe to get blown out Saturday night. When they beat the Lakers, there was no Anthony Davis. LeBron James went uncharacteristically cold in the second half. Curry won’t be cold in this game considering the Pistons defensive woes on the road. The Warriors already beat the Pistons by 10 in Detroit last month. Play on GOLDEN STATE AAA |
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01-30-21 | Blues -166 v. Ducks | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ST. LOUIS The Blues have alternated wins and losses through their first seven games. Following a three-day break, they aim to win back to back times in Anaheim tonight. It was a 5-4 win at Vegas Tuesday, an impressive win for the Stanley Cup Champs of two years ago. Playing short-handed, literally, has been an issue for the Blues so far this season. They’ve been down a man on the ice 36 times so far and given up 11 power play goals. Their penalty kill ranks 28th. But tonight is an excellent opportunity to sort that all out. Anaheim is last in the league in goals per game (1.75) and opened the year by going 0 for 17 on the power play. The last three games have seen the Ducks get outshot 98-55. That they’ve won two of them is pretty shocking. There’s been only one game so far that Anaheim scored more than two goals. It was when they scored three vs. Colorado on Sunday. They lost 3-2 to Arizona on Thursday despite notching their first PP goal of the season. The Blues have won their last three trips to the Pond. Play on ST LOUIS AAA |
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01-30-21 | Gonzaga v. Pepperdine OVER 162.5 | Top | 97-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the OVER Gonzaga keeps rolling as Thursday’s 90-62 victory over San Diego makes it 16 wins without a loss for the #1 ranked team in the country. There are only three unbeaten teams left in College Basketball. Them, #2 Baylor and a Drake team whose season was interrupted by COVID. Believe it or not, tonight marks the first time all year the Zags have had to play a second straight game on the road. We certainly don’t have to worry about them scoring though. They lead the country with 94.1 points per game. But the fact they allow 76.4 on the road is notable and leads us to believe this game vs. Pepperdine is going Over. Pepperdine just beat BYU, by the way. That was here in Malibu. In the two home games before that, both of which the Waves won, they scored 80+ points. So you can see why the total has been set high tonight. But in our estimation it is not high enough. Both teams are 6-1 Under their last seven games, which includes a meeting in Spokane that Gonzaga won 95-70. But the total is lower this time. If the teams were to equal the total number of points scored in the first meeting, it would be an Over. We think more points will be scored. Play on OVER AAA |
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01-30-21 | Minnesota v. Purdue -2.5 | Top | 62-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PURDUE While we recognize Purdue is at home, any time an unranked team is favored against a Top 25 opponent, it catches our eye. Minnesota isn’t likely to be ranked for much longer, especially if they lose this game. Our money is on the Golden Gophers losing. Not only did they go down at home to Maryland last Saturday, they are 0-4 on the road this season. They could manage only 49 points vs. the Terps last week. All four road losses have been by at least 12 points. Why are they ranked again? Now Purdue is also looking to bounce back from an ugly loss. They lost by 17 to Michigan last Friday, here in West Lafayette. But that was preceded by a four-game win streak and it was their first home loss. Minnesota is giving up an average of 82.7 points on the road. Leading scorer Carr played the full 40 last Saturday vs. Maryland and scored 25 points. But his teammates could only manage 24 points on 6 of 32 shooting. Look for the Gophers to go down again. Play on PURDUE AAA |
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01-30-21 | TCU v. Missouri -9 | Top | 98-102 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
This is an 8* on MISSOURI Missouri is off their third loss of the season. They’ve performed quite well off the previous two. After losing by 20 to Tennessee, they came back and won on the road by 13 against Arkansas. After losing by 15 at Mississippi State, they came back and won by 16 at Texas A&M. This time the Tigers get to play at home and they got a fortunate draw in the Big 12 vs. SEC Challenge with TCU, who is one of the Big 12’s weaker teams. The Horned Frogs just played their first game in 16 days Thursday and they lost 58-51 at Kansas. After such a long layoff (coach Jamie Dixon had tested positive for COVID), let’s see how they do playing a second road game in three days. Our guess is that it won’t go well. Missouri’s loss on Thursday was to a surging Auburn team that is better than most realize. A poor 1st half cost Mizzou but at home they won’t be getting off to a slow start and they shouldn’t have much problem shutting down a TCU team that averages only 62.9 points away from home. Play on MISSOURI AAA |
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01-29-21 | Iowa v. Illinois OVER 162.5 | Top | 75-80 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 48 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER Watch this game get high-scoring in a hurry. Iowa averages 90.7 points per game. That’s second most in the country (Gonzaga is #1). So it sure was shocking to see the Hawkeyes score a season-low 69 in their last game. That loss to Indiana snapped a five-game win streak. They’d also covered the number in all five of those wins. Safe to say you can look for a bounce back game at the offensive end tonight. They are still #1 in the country in offensive efficiency. After making only 21.3 percent of their three-pointers vs. Indiana, you’ve got to expect more prolific shooting tonight. But we are concerned about their defensive play. The Hawkeyes are giving up 83.2 points per game when they are not the home team this season. Illinois averages 82.9 points per game. The Over is 10-5 in Iowa games. Illinois shoots better than 50% from the field - for the season. The Over is 7-2 in the Illini’s last nine home games against teams that have winning road records. Neither side will have an issue scoring here. Play on OVER AAA |
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01-29-21 | Manhattan v. St. Peter's -9 | Top | 55-59 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 9* on ST. PETERS Manhattan has won three straight games. They were an underdog in all three wins. The last two were at home vs. Niagara. But those games were played almost two weeks ago. They were supposed to play two vs. Monmouth last week, but those games got postponed due to a positive test in the Monmouth program. Playing with this much rest hasn’t gone well for the Jaspers as they are 8-21 ATS the last 29 times they’ve gone on seven or more days' rest. Let’s also talk about the fact that two of their three recent wins were by three points or less. They didn’t even score 60 points in any of them. Then again, St. Peter’s just scored only 40 in a loss at Siena. But something you should know is that this is the Peacocks’ first home game since December 12th! They’ve played seven in a row on the road. They’ve played only three home games, won all of them, and allowed just 51, 54 and 49 points. It’s quite telling that they are such prohibitive favorites here. Manhattan is just 2-7 ATS their previous nine road games. They are shooting an abysmal 32.8% on the road this season. Play on ST PETERS AAA |
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01-29-21 | Bucks v. Pelicans +7 | Top | 126-131 | Win | 100 | 22 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NEW ORLEANS Milwaukee is off a fairly big win over Toronto. This is the middle game of a three-game road trip. New Orleans just won, 124-106 against Washington. That was just their second win in 10 games. The Pelicans have only gotten to play six home games though. They are 3-3 in those six, not that great, but the Bucks are only 4-4 on the road. Playing on ESPN, you figure the Pelicans are going to come out highly motivated. The Bucks are just 5-15-1 ATS off a win and 2-6-1 ATS off an ATS win. New Orleans has been a home underdog only one time and they won that game, 120-116 over Toronto. They were actually only a one-point dog in that game. This is likely to be the most points they get in any home game this season (or at least until they play the Lakers). Even though they are just 2-8 the last 10 games, the Pelicans have only been outscored by an average of less than five points per game. Play on NEW ORLEANS AAA |
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01-28-21 | Warriors +1.5 v. Suns | Top | 93-114 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* on GOLDEN STATE Both the Warriors and Suns were in action last night. The respective results were quite different. Golden State handled its business at home against Minnesota, winning rather easily by a score of 123-111. Rookie James Wiseman led the way with 25 points after Steph Curry had 36 the previous game vs. the Timberwolves. Off that two-game sweep, Golden State now goes to the desert where they’ll face a wounded Suns team that is playing without leading scorer Devin Booker. Last night marked the third straight loss for Phoenix as they fell 102-97 here at home to Oklahoma City. It also marked the fifth loss in the last six games and seventh in the last 10. Last night was especially frustrating for the Suns as they jumped out to an early 17-point lead. But that didn’t last long. Booker isn’t the only one not playing for the Suns right now. Dario Sakic has been out due to COVID, so this team is pretty short-handed right now. You have to imagine that Curry is going to have a bounce back game tonight after missing his first seven shots last night. That’s bad news for a struggling Suns team that is just 1-5 ATS its last six games as a favorite. Play on GOLDEN STATE AAA |
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01-28-21 | Gonzaga v. San Diego +28.5 | Top | 90-62 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SAN DIEGO Top-ranked Gonzaga continues to “hum along” as they are 15-0 following a 95-49 win against Pacific last Saturday. There has been only one game all season - an 87-82 win vs. West Virginia on December 2nd - that the Zags DIDN’T win by double digits. But they don’t cover as much as you might think. The win against Pacific marked the first time in five games that Mark Few’s team left with the cash. They are just 5-8 ATS the last 13 games as the pointspreads keeping getting higher and higher. The Bulldogs are laying a huge number tonight at San Diego, which is understandable given the Toreros’ record and general inactivity. They’ve played only eight games this season and won just two. But one of the wins was on Saturday as they defeated Portland 78-70 on the road. They won’t win tonight, but this is a ton of points to be getting at home. Gonzaga has just one WCC win - Saturday’s game vs Pacific - that was by a larger margin than what tonight’s spread will end up being. They are just 4-8 ATS on the road laying at least 12.5 and 0-2 laying at least 24.5. Play on SAN DIEGO AAA |
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01-28-21 | TCU v. Kansas -14.5 | Top | 51-59 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 8* on KANSAS Kansas has lost three in a row, all on the road, so they should be in “desperation mode” come Thursday night at Allen Fieldhouse. They’ll be taking on a TCU team that has also lost its last three games, but has not played in 16 days. That’s because of coach Jamie Dixon testing positive for COVID-19, so this team is all out of sorts right now. The Horned Frogs’ three-game losing streak actually began at the hands of Kansas, a 93-64 result in Fort Worth. Since then they’ve lost by 18 to Baylor and by 36 at Oklahoma. This game was supposed to be played Tuesday before getting bumped back due to protocols. The extra 48 hours isn’t nearly enough for TCU to avoid the beatdown they’ve got coming to them. Again, they’ve already lost by 29 at home to Kansas. This is only the third 3-game losing streak for the Jayhawks in the past 25 seasons. They’ve never lost four in a row during that time. At home, their PPG allowed drops down to 63.6. It should be noted that it was three good teams they lost to on the road, Oklahoma State, Baylor and Oklahoma. It’s not as if they were blown out in any of them. All will be well again in Lawrence after tonight. Play on KANSAS AAA |
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01-28-21 | Flyers -152 v. Devils | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
This is an 8* on PHILADELPHIA The Flyers will look to make it two in a row over the Devils tonight. They won here on Tuesday, 5-3, breaking things open with three straight goals in the third period. Since starting the season with two straight wins over Pittsburgh, Philly has been unable to string together consecutive victories. We look for that to change Thursday. New Jersey’s top goalie MacKenzie Blackwood remains on the COVID list and backup Scott Wedgewood has generally struggled. So has the Devils’ penalty killing unit, which allowed two goals Tuesday, the fourth game they’ve done that this season. New Jersey has yet to drop back to back games this year, but they’ve been fortunate to win a couple low-scoring games off previous losses. The Flyers have scored 25 times this season, tied for most in the division. They outshot the Devils 31-26 on Tuesday. The five goals they scored were the most NJ has allowed in a game this season. Philadelphia is 6-0 its last six times as a road favorite. Play on PHILADELPHIA AAA |
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01-27-21 | Boise State v. Colorado State +1 | Top | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 26 h 53 m | Show |
This is an 8* on COLORADO STATE Boise State is as hot as any team in the country not named Gonzaga or Baylor. The Broncos have won 13 in a row. They are unbeaten in the Mountain West, although we should be clear that they have yet to face any of the top teams in the conference. That changes on Wednesday with a visit to Fort Collins. Colorado State has already knocked off Utah State, who also had been unbeaten in conference play. That was the last time the Rams played and they are now the third place team, trailing only Boise and Utah State. CSU is 8-2 in conference play and we like the fact they are undefeated at home (6-0) where they average 82.2 points/game.Look for the Rams to jump out to a big halftime advantage in this one. They are the best team Boise has faced since a season opening loss to Houston. Play on COLORADO STATE AAA |
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01-27-21 | Celtics -3 v. Spurs | Top | 106-110 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 27 m | Show |
This is an 8* on BOSTON After a three-game losing streak that saw them lose twice to the 76ers and in embarrassing fashion to the Knicks, Boston has battled back to win its last two games in very convincing fashion. They took care of the Cavs 141-103 and then the Bulls 119-103. Tonight they are in San Antonio to face a Spurs team that was supposed to play Monday in New Orleans, but didn’t due to COVID-19 protocols. The Spurs last played Sunday when they blew out a Washington team that was playing its first game in two weeks. Before that, the Spurs had lost two straight. With COVID now impacting them, we don’t see the Spurs playing well tonight. Jayson Tatum is now back for the Celtics, who are 4-1 ATS their last five as favorites. It appears that we don’t need to worry about this game not being played. So we’ll lay the points. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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01-27-21 | Senators v. Canucks -145 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show |
This is an 8* on VANCOUVER Vancouver just crushed Ottawa 7-1 on Monday. We see no reason not to come back with the Canucks in tonight’s rematch. After opening their season with a 5-3 win against Toronto, the Senators have lost five in a row and given up 21 goals in the last four games. Lineup changes are almost certain to be made in Ottawa and while that may be good for the long-term, it’ll take some time for the new line combinations to gel. If not for Detroit, the Sens would probably be considered the worst team in the league. They are 9-21 SU after being held to one or zero goals their previous game. They’ve allowed six and seven goals the last two, notable because both were on the road like this one is. This is a matchup Vancouver must take advantage of and they should seeing as they’ve won the last three home games over Ottawa, who is also 1-10 after allowing 5+ goals in their last game. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
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01-27-21 | Miami-FL v. Florida State -12 | Top | 59-81 | Win | 100 | 23 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* on FLORIDA STATE Florida State is now ranked #16 in the country. The Seminoles are 9-2 and have won their last four games. The current win streak began with a truly dominating effort where they defeated North Carolina State 105-73. That was the last time we took them. Since then, they’ve rolled North Carolina, Louisville and Clemson. The last two were double digit wins with the Louisville one being particularly impressive as it came on the road. Tonight they welcome Miami to Tallahassee and the Hurricanes are coming off an awful week where they lost 83-57 at Syracuse and 73-59 at home to Notre Dame. Those kind of putrid offensive efforts won’t cut it here. It is especially disconcerting that they could only score 59 against Notre Dame, who is not good defensively. FSU is 8-1 at home and winning by an average of almost 13 points/game. Miami is one of the weaker teams in the ACC this year, so this should be a third straight double digit victory by the Noles. They’ve beaten Miami five straight times, by an average of 10 points. They lead the ACC in points per game at home and have averaged 86.3 their last four at home. Play on FLORIDA STATE AAA |
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