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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-20-24 | Texans v. Ravens OVER 43.5 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 76 h 27 m | Show |
10* OVER Texans/Ravens (DIV. RND TOY) With nearly 65% of the early public money on the Texans, most everyone here feels that CJ Stroud and company can keep the offensive momentum rolling here vs. this difficult Ravens defense. And why not though, as the Browns had the No. 1 defense in the league and were just torched for 45 points. And for Baltimore, it has had the advantage of having a week off to heal up. We're expecting LaMar Jackson to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. We base our picks on many different things, this particular one sets up really from a "situational" stand point in our opinion. Everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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01-20-24 | Bucks -13 v. Pistons | Top | 141-135 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
10* Bucks (ASSASSIN) We expect Milwaukee to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion. The Bucks are 28-13, but just 9-9 on the road. Detroit is 4-37, including only 2-18 at home. Milwaukee had its three-game win streak come to an end last time out in a 135-95 loss at Cleveland, but note that the Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. They're also 3-1 ATS in their last four after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. This is in fact the opener of two straight here between the clubs. Look for Milwaukee to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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01-19-24 | Nuggets +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 102-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
10* Nuggets (ASSASSIN) The defending champs would love nothing more than to give the Celtics, who are 20-0 at home this year, their first loss of the season in this building. Is that possible?! With Nikola Jokic on the court, of course anything is possible. That said, in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're definitely advising everyone to grab as many points as you can in this one. The Nuggets are off a loss to Philly, but we expect their defense to be "on point" tonight and to keep them in this one late. And with nearly 65% of the early public money on the home side, the clincher for us is going the other way and being contrarian with this release; grab the points, the play is indeed on Denver! AAA Sports |
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01-18-24 | Predators v. Kings -142 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -142 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
10* Kings (BOB) We think that LA is well worth the price of admission in this spot. Nashville is 24-19-1-0, while the Kings are 21-2-4-4. The Predators are off a 4-1 loss at Vegas and they're going to have their hands full here with this determined home side that's lost four of its last five. This is the opener of four straight at home for the Kings though, and so this is a perfect opportunity to get untracked; lay the price with confidence, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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01-18-24 | Thunder -3 v. Jazz | Top | 134-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
10* Thunder (ASSASSIN) OKC is 27-13 overall, including 11-8 on the road, while Utah is 22-20 overall, and 15-5 at home. Utah is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in its last ten, but after three straight upsets at home, we're expecting Utah to finally come out a bit flat here. After this they hit the road for six straight, so it's a look-ahead spot as well. The Thunder though are off back-to-back SU/ATS losses and won't be taking anything for granted here. This is a great 'situational' play on Oklahoma City! AAA Sports |
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01-18-24 | Tenn-Martin v. Morehead State OVER 149.5 | Top | 66-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
10* OVER Tennessee Martin/Morehead State (OHIO VALLEY TOY) These teams have both been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later in this particular matchup here on Thursday night. Tennessee Martin is 10-8 and Morehead State is 13-5. The Skyhawks snapped a two-game slide with a win over Little Rock last time out, and despite now having seen the total go "under" in four straight, note that Tennessee Martin has still seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Morehead State won't be taking anything for granted here after its five-game win streak came to an end last time out in a 61-48 loss at SIU Edwardsville. But note that the Eagles have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after a SU/ATS loss in which they were held to 49 or fewer points in. This number is indeed a little low when you take into account all of the above listed situational and trend-based factors; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-17-24 | Auburn v. Vanderbilt +11.5 | Top | 80-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
10* Vanderbilt (SEC GOM) No outright, but closer than expected in our opinion. This is a great situational play, as we're expecting 14-2 Auburn to get caught looking past its opponent to its home game vs. 15-1 Ole Miss. Auburn has won ten in a row, including three straight ATS, but note that the Tigers are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS victories in a row. Vanderbilt is off three straight losses and comes in "under the radar" here at home in our opinion. Auburn is just 1-1 in true road games this year, so the Tigers have not been at their best away from friendly confines. Either way, this is WAY too many points to be giving up on the road in our estimation; grab the points, the play is Vandy! AAA Sports |
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01-17-24 | Magic v. Hawks OVER 232 | Top | 104-106 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* OVER Magic/Hawks (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're now finally expecting more of a wide-open shootout here between two clubs in need of a victory. This is a great situational play. Orlando is just 9-13 on the road. It snapped a three-game slide with a 98-94 road win at New York last time out. Note though that the Magic have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Atlanta broke a two-game slide as well with a 109-99 victory over San Antonio last time out, but note that the Hawks have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. With each team pushing the pace from the ouset and throughout like we expect, all signs do indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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01-17-24 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Panthers | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* Detroit PUCKLINE (BLOOD-BATH) Florida is the better team, but we think the undervalued underdog can keep it interesting and in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time, we're going to suggest grabbing the visitors on the PUCKLINE option. Detroit is 22-16-5-0 overall, including 11-9-1-0 on the road. Florida is 27-13-2-1 overall and 13-6-1-0 at home. The Wings though are 14-7 on the puckline on the road, while the Panthers are just 7-13 on the puckline at home. Right away that tell us that the Wings have consistently been undervalued on the road this year and have been extremely competitive. Florida has looked susceptible of late as well; it beat LA 3-2 in overtime, but it's since lost two straight, falling 4-1 to New Jersey and then 5-4 in Overtime to the Ducks. Detroit is trending the other way; it lost 3-2 in overtime to Edmonton, but it's since bounced back with two straight victories, beating the Kings 5-3 and then a convincing 4-2 victory at Toronto as a +182 underdog. We're going to have a good old fashioned battle here in Florida on Wednesday night, and the best option we see is to grab the Wings on the PUCKLINE option! AAA Sports |
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01-16-24 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson UNDER 150.5 | Top | 93-90 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
10* UNDER Georgia Tech/Clemson (ACC TOY) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive affair here in our opinion. Georgia Tech is 8-8 and Clemson is 12-4. The Yellow Jackets are just 1-4 on the road though. they're coming off an 84-79 loss at Duke. Previous to that they fell 75-68 in OT at home to Notre Dame as 6-point favorites. The Jackets come to town dejected and fatigued. Clemson just snapped a three-game slide with an 89-78 win over BC, but note that the last time these teams met, the Tigers won 72-51 and we're fully expecting a similar final combined score here as well. Both teams have seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, but that fact has only helped in driving this particular O/U line here tonight, a few points higher than it normally would/should be; this number is high, the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs OVER 43 | Top | 9-32 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 17 m | Show |
10* OVER Eagles/Bucs (BLOCKBUSTER) Both teams struggled down the stretch of the regular season after great starts. Regardless, here we are and in our opinion, everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. This playoffs has so far been anything but predictable. The Browns had the best defense in the league and they just gave up 45 points to the Texans, while the Dolphins leds the league in total offense, and only managed 7 points vs. a sub-par Chiefs' defense. And we absolutely believe that the oddsmakers are wrong in this case as well. Philadelphia held Tampa to just 11 points in a low-scoring win here earlier in the year, but note that Tampa has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. This number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-15-24 | Lamar v. McNeese State -12 | Top | 69-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
10* McNeese State (SOUTHLAND GOY) This one sets up really well for the home side. We're expecting the 14-2 McNeese State Cowboys to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion. The Cowboys have in fact dropped three straight ATS, but note that McNeese State has responded incredibly well for bettors in this spot by going 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. The Cowboys actually lost this game 70-63 as ten-point favorites last time out, so there's no way their going to look past the 9-7 Lamar Cardinals this time around, especially with back-to-back road contests after this. Lamar has won four straight SU/ATS, including a 78-76 OT win at Nichols State as a 3.5-point dog last time out. Can anyone say "letdown" spot?! Look for the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points with confidence; the play is indeed on McNeese State! AAA Sports |
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01-15-24 | Celtics v. Raptors UNDER 244 | Top | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
10* UNDER Celtics/Raptors (EAST-CONF TOW) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive affair in our opinion. Boston is 30-9, but just 11-9 on the road. The Raptors are only 15-24 overall, but a more respectable 9-9 at home. Boston has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four, including in its most recent blowout 145-118 victory over the Rockets. Toronto has lost four of its last five. It's off a humbling 145-113 loss at Utah. Note though that the Raptors have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for a much more defensive affair overall here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-14-24 | Rams +3 v. Lions | Top | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 76 h 44 m | Show |
10* Rams (WC GOY) There are a lot of story lines going on in this Wildcard game, but the bottom line is that we feel that this one will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, and in a case like that, we're grabbing the points. That said, Matt Stafford is in his old stomping grounds here and we like the Super Bowl winning QB to put on a show here. The Lions have been questionable on the defensive end since November, giving up 38, 26, 28, 29 and 28 points over their final five games. The only loss LA has had since Week 11 was an OT road affair to the #1 seed in the AFC. The Rams are 3-1 the L4 in this series and in our opinion their offense and defense are in fact superior here; grab the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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01-14-24 | Kings +5.5 v. Bucks | Top | 142-143 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
10* Kings (ASSASSIN) While we do feel the outright in is a very real possibility, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can in what we expect to be a very competitive affair. Milwaukee is 18-4 at home, but after B2B high-profile home victories over Boston and Golden State, and with a few days off after this before an extended road trip, everything points to this being a classic "trap" for the home side as it gets caught "looking ahead." This is a great situational play. Sacramento started off its road trip with two wins, but stumbled 112-93 last time out at Philadelphia a 1-point favorite. Note though that the Kings are 7-3 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. Everything points to this one "coming down to wire," so let's grab the points with Sacramento! AAA Sports |
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01-14-24 | Washington v. UCLA OVER 140 | Top | 61-73 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* OVER Washington/UCLA (PAC 12 TOM) These two teams are in need of a win and we're expecting this faster-paced affair to ultimately eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. Washington is 10-6 overall, bust just 1-2 on the road, while UCLA is 6-10 overall, including 4-4 at home. The Huskies are slight favs on the road here, as they've snapped a three-game slide by winning their last two, including an 82-67 victory over ASU last time out. We're expecting a similar final combined scored here as well. The Bruins have lost four in a row and they've seen the total go "under" in four straight. Despite their 90-44 loss to Utah last time out though, note that the Bruins have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 off a conference road loss in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. With each team pushing the pace like we expect, all signs point to this total eclipsing the posted number; the play is indeed on the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Lakers -1 v. Jazz | Top | 125-132 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) Both teams are 20-20, but we love the way this one sets up for the visitors. LA's two-game win streak came to an end last time out in a 127-109 loss at home to Phoenix. Utah has won four straight, but after last night's big 145-113 home win over Toronto, we're expecting fatigue to be a major factor here. That's four straight upset wins for the Jazz, and alls signs point to a predictable letdown. Lay the short points, the play is the LA! AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins +4.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 7-26 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 8 m | Show |
10* Dolphins (BLOCKBUSTER) These teams are familiar with each other and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. These teams met in Germany this season and KC won by a score of 21-14. Note that Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponnet. With the expected return of key players Jaylen Waddle and Raheem Mostert, we do in fact think that the Fish have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. The Dolphins have had their fair share of adversity this season, but so to has Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. With the cold temperatures playing a role in the outcome of this game and eliminating the crowd a lot in this one, we feel that the Chiefs' advantage diminishes in that department for sure. There's something "off" this year with Mahomes and the Chiefs. They looked REALLY bad at times this year. The Dolphins stumbled, but have all the pieces in place to pull off the outright; that said, let's grab the points with Miami! AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Browns v. Texans UNDER 44.5 | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -109 | 97 h 50 m | Show |
10* Browns/Texans UNDER (WILDCARD RND TOY) They say defense wins championships, and in our estimation the team that plays the best on that side of the field and wins the war in the trenches and the field position battle will be the one that comes out on top. These teams will look to establish the run throughout as to limit the mistakes their QB's can make in this pressure packed situation. The Texans won the AFC South at 10-7, while Cleveland was second in the AFC North. This is the second meeting between the teams in the last three weeks, with the Browns getting the better of the Texans by a score of 36-22 on Christmas Eve. Note though that Houston has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent. CJ Stroud didn't play in that game and while he'll be back in this one, as stated off the top, we're absolutely expecting each side to try and use the run game to set up the pass. These teams didn't get here because of their explosive offenses and unbelievable QB's. They got here because of their great defensive play. And that's what we're expecting, a lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is indeed on the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Northern Kentucky v. Detroit +10.5 | Top | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
10* Detroit Mercy (HORIZON LEAGUE GOM) Outright win? If so, it would be the 0-17 Detroit Mercy's first outright victory of the season. We don't see that happening, but we do definitely see the door being left wide open for the hungry home side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. With nearly 80% of the early public money on the favorite, we are definitely going full on contrarian here. NKU has lost two straight games in OT, but is still 3-0 ATS its last three. However, note that the Norse are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after three or more ATS victories in a row. With a home game vs. Milwaukee up next, we say the visitors take the foot off the gas down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Manchester City -157 v. Newcastle United | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
10* Manchester City (EPL GOM) Newcastle United is going to have its hands full here at home. It's currently in ninth spot and off a 3-0 win over Dunderland in the FA Cup. Manchester City can't afford to take the foot off the gas though sitting in third place in the table, most recently annihilating Huddersfield Town by a score of 5-0. Newcastle United can't be feeling confident here, as it has just one win in 32 matches in the EPL in this series. Manchester City has scored in each of the last 30 in this series and we have a hard time seeing the home side keeping pace down the stretch; lay the price with confidence, the play is Manchester City! AAA Sports |
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01-12-24 | Predators v. Stars UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER Predators/Stars (CENTRAL DIVISION TOY) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a much tighter and ultimately lower-scoring battle here between the Predators and Stars in our opinion. Nashville is 10-7-1-0 on the road, while Dallas is 13-7-2-0 at home. The Predators have lost two of their last three after a 5-3 setback at home to the lowly Ducks last time out. Note though that the Predators have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Dallas has won two of its last three. It's seen the total go "over" the number in six of its last seven after a 7-2 victory over the Wild here last time out. Note though that the Stars play with revenge here after falling 4-3 here to the Predators at the start of the month (and that's significant to note, because Dallas has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a divsional home loss as a favorite.) This number is high, the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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01-12-24 | Kings v. 76ers -1 | Top | 93-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
10* 76ers (ASSASSIN) As primarily "situational" handicappers, this one falls right into our "wheelhouse." Sacramento is 10-7 on the road, while Philly is 13-6 at home. The Kings are off B2B road victories over Detroit and Charlotte, but note they face a determined 76ers side that's dropped three in a row SU/ATS. Note though that the 76ers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. It's an important three game stretch now for the 76ers, with Houston and Denver coming to town next. But with a game at Milwaukee upcoming, we also believe the visitors get caught "looking ahead." Lay the short points, the play is indeed on Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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01-12-24 | Fairfield v. Niagara UNDER 146.5 | Top | 72-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER Fairfield/Niagara (MAAC TOY) This one sets up well from a situational stand point to be a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Fairfield is 9-6 and Niagara is 6-8. The Stags come in on a big winning run, having won eight in a row. They've also seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after their 82-61 victory over Marist last time out (but note that Fairfield has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row.) Niagara has won three straight and it's seen the total go "over" in four of its last five, most recently off a 75-73 win at Iona as a 9.5-point underdog (note though that the Purple Eagles have seen the total go "under" the number in five or their last six off an ATS/SU conference road win as an underdog.) We expect this competitive battle to be defensive in nature; this number is high, the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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01-11-24 | Michigan v. Maryland OVER 139.5 | Top | 57-64 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
10* OVER Michigan/Maryland (BIG TEN TOY) These two teams are in need of a victory. Each has been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to much more of a wide-open offensive contest here on Thursday night in our opinion. Michigan is 6-9, including 2-1 on the road, while Maryland is 9-6, including 8-1 at home. To say the Wolverines are hungry for a win would be an understatement after four straight SU losses and five straight ATS losses (note though that Michigan has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after five or more ATS losses in a row.) Maryland is just 1-2 SU in its last two and it's seen the total go "under" in three straight. As bettors though, that's important for us to take note of as the Terrapins have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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01-10-24 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche -134 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
10* Avalanche (WEST-CONF NON-DIV GOM)Â Las Vegas is playing poorly right now and the Avs are playing well. Colorado also plays with revenge after a 7-0 loss at Vegas back in early November. Las Vegas is just 2-6 in its last eight, but it did post a 5-2 home win over the Isles last time out. With a home game vs. Boston tomorrow though, we're expecting the visitors to classically get caught "looking ahead" to that one. The Avs have won five of their last six including a 3-2 victory here over Boston last time out. All things considered, we feel this to be the very definition of "great line value" after considering all of the above favorable situational factors for the home side in this one; lay the price with confidence, the play is indeed on Colorado! AAA Sports |
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01-10-24 | Wizards +7.5 v. Pacers | Top | 104-112 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
10* Wizards (ASSASSIN) While we're stopping short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting in our opinion. Indiana is 12-8 at home and it's won seven of its last eight. That includes an upset 133-131 win here at home over Boston last time out. With an upcoming six-game road trip after this starting at ATL, everything points to the home side getting caught "looking ahead" here as well. Letdown + lookahead = "trap game!" This is a trap for the Pacers. No such luxury for the Wizards though who have lost five straight (but that's signficicant for us as bettors to take note of, as Washington has in fact gone 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more straight SU losses in a row.) No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Washington! AAA Sports |
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01-10-24 | Northern Kentucky v. Oakland UNDER 148.5 | Top | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
10* Horizon league TOY on the UNDER UNK/Oakland. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games leading up to this contest, but everything finally points to much more of a defensive battle here on Wednesday night in our opinion. These teams are evenly matched and we're expecting a war until the end. UNK is 8-8 and Oakland is 9-8. The Norse have lost three of their last four, including a heart-breaking 88-85 OT loss at Cleveland State just two nights ago. We believe that fatigue will indeed be a factor here. Oakland has won three straight and it's seen the total go "over" in three straight as well, which is significant to note as well as the Grizzlies have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Expect this tight battle to be a very low-scoring defensive one; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-09-24 | Canucks v. Islanders -124 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -124 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* Islanders (NON-CONF GOM) We're getting great value here on the rested and revenge-minded Islanders. We say this is a classic "trap" for the surging Canucks, who come in off a big 6-3 win over the Rangers just last night. They beat New Jersey 6-4 previously. Now on the second game of the B2B and with upcoming tough games right away at Pittsburgh and Buffalo, we're predicting that the visitors do now finally have a letdown. No such luxury for the Isles though, who have lost three of their last four. All on the road. They've had two whole nights off to prepare for this one as they try to avenge a 4-3 OT loss in Vancouver back in November. All things considered, we view this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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01-08-24 | Washington v. Michigan UNDER 57 | Top | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 30 h 3 m | Show |
10* UNDER Washington/Michigan (TOW) We think the time off between games will be detrimental to these offenses, and beneficial to the defenses early on. Note that when these teams met in 2021, the combined to score just 41 points. The Wolverines will be content throughout to let the clock run on offense as they use the run to set up the pass. This Michigan defense just held Alabama to 288 total yards of offnse in the win over the Rose Bowl and we're anticipating Michael Penix Jr. to have a hell of a time in this one as well. Everything points to this total being just a bit TOO high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-08-24 | Bulls v. Hornets OVER 216 | Top | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
10* OVER Bulls/Hornets (ASSASSIN) These teams have both been playing to several "unders" of late (including in the Bulls 104-91 home win on the 5th.) With that loss, Charlotte has now seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that the Hornets have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Charlotte has also seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. Chicago has seen the total go "under" in eight straight games now, but that fact has only helped in driving this particular total here tonight a few points lower than it normally would/should be in our opinion. With each side pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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01-08-24 | Northeastern +3.5 v. Monmouth | Top | 62-81 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
10* Northeastern (CAA GOY) We love the way this one sets up for the visiting side, and while we obviously feel the outright win is a very real possibility, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can in a contest that we see likely being decided by whichever side has its hands on the ball last. Northeastern is 5-9 and Monmouth is 8-6. With nearly 85% of the early public money on the home side here, we're definitely going full-on contrarian for this one. The Huskies have faced some stiff competition this year and done well, including a 56-54 road setback at Virgina as a 16.5-point dog. Monmouth's numbers are a bit skewed here. Look for the hungry visting side to, at the very least, keep this one competitive enough to earn the ATS cover; grab the points, the play is indeed on Northeastern! AAA Sports |
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01-07-24 | Bills v. Dolphins +3 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -118 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
10* Dolphins (AFC EAST GOM) Miami hammered the Jets 30-0 and then beat Dallas at home 22-20 on X-Mas Eve, but it fell flat last week in Baltimore, getting run over by a score of 56-19. The Dolphins not only look to atone for that setback, but they also play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 48-20 at Buffalo on October 1st (and note that the Fish are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional road loss vs. an opponent.) The Bills have won four straight, but we now finally predict that they'll come up short here in this difficult road venue. Miami is the more motivated team here on several different accounts and we expect it to hold on to the top spot in the AFC East; grab the points, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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01-07-24 | Hawks v. Magic UNDER 239.5 | Top | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Hawks/Magic (ASSASSIN) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive affair in our opinion finally in this one. Atlanta is 14-20 and Orlando is 20-15. The Hawks are 9-11 on the road and the Magic are 12-4 at home. The Hawks two-game win streak came to an end last time out in a terrible 150-116 loss at the Pacers, but note that Atlanta has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. After that poor defensive effort, we can expect the visiting side to "double down" on that end of the court. And for the Magic, they snapped a three-game slide with an upset 122-120 road win at the Nuggets as 10.5-point underdogs. Can anyone say "mental letdown spot?!" When you add up all of the above listed factors, we definitely feel that this O/U line is too high; the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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01-07-24 | Maryland +2 v. Minnesota | Top | 62-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
10* Maryland (BIG TEN GOY) We think that the Terps have a legitimate shot at winning this game outright obviously, but our official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Maryland is 9-5, while Minnesota is 11-3. It's 10-1 at home, while the Terps are just 1-2 on the road. With nearly 75% of the early public money on the Gophers though, we're definitely going full on contrarian here and going the other way. Minnesota has won six straight. It's won eight straight ATS. Fans are now quick to back Minnesota, especially after its 73-71 upset win at Michigan as a 5.5-point dog last time out. But what most people won't bother taking note of here right now is that the Gophers are in fact just 3-7 ATS in their last ten off an upset SU/ATS conference road win as a dog. This is a great situational play in our opinion on the hungrier team, against a home side that's primed for a major mental letdown; grab the points, the play is Maryland! AAA Sports |
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01-06-24 | Santa Clara v. Pepperdine OVER 149.5 | Top | 78-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
10* Santa Clara/Peppderine OVER (WEST COAST TOY) This is a great situational play in our opinion. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but the overall situation that each finds itself coming into this one, combined with the numbers/trends all finally point to a much higher-scoring offensive affair this time around. Santa Clara is 10-6 and Pepperdine is 7-9. Santa Clara is off the 68-57 road win at Loyola Marymount as a 2-point dog, but note that the Broncos have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten off an upset road win as an underdog in which they held their opponent to 59 or fewer points in. Pepperdine had won two in a row before an 86-60 loss at Gonzaga last time out. They fell 91-82 to Santa Clara in this game last year and we're expecting a similar final combined score here as well; this number is low, the play is the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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01-06-24 | Texans v. Colts | Top | 23-19 | Win | 100 | 50 h 29 m | Show |
10* Texans (AFC GOW) Houston is 9-7 straight up and third in the AFC South, while Indianapolis is 9-7 as well and second in the AFC South after holding the tie-breaker with Houston when the Colts won 31-20 on the road at the start of the season back on September 17th. The winner gets into the playoffs and the loser goes home empty handed. This one is for ALL THE MARBLES! So where does the value lie here? The oddsmakers are at least trying their best to lead us to believe that these teams are evenly matched with a spread like this, and obviously, they really are. Their offensive and defensive numbers are similar and their win/loss records are identical. But all that said, we think this one sets up well for the Texans to exact a little revenge, as note that they're 3-1 against the spread in their last four in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread divisional home loss vs. an opponent. The Texans have also won each of their last seven road games against AFC South opponents and they have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against AFC South opponents as well. The Colts on the other hand have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at Lucas Oil Stadium following a home win. We're going with Houston to get the job done at the end of the night! AAA Sports |
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01-06-24 | Predators v. Stars -156 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -156 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
10* Stars (ASSASSIN) We feel that this line could/should in fact be a lot larger. The Predators are 9-7-1-0 on the road, while the Stars are 12-6-2-0 at home. The Predators fell 6-3 at Calgary at home in their last game and we think they'll get caught "looking ahead" to their more winnable home game vs. the Ducks up next. The Stars will extra motivated here after back-to-back one goal losses, most recently a tough 5-4 OT setback to Colorado here; lay the price with confidence, the play is Dallas! AAA Sports |
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01-06-24 | Coastal Carolina v. UL - Lafayette OVER 149.5 | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER CC/UL Lafayette (SUNBELT TOM) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a much higher-scoring affair here finally in our opinion. Coastal Carolina won't be lacking for motivation here after starting the year 4-9. The Chanticleers comes in off a rare 71-63 win at Texas State as 8.5-point dogs and we're fully expecting them to keep that offensive momentum carried over here. UL Lafayette is 7-7 after back-to-back losses as an underdog. The last time the Cajuns plays CC, UL Lafayette stumbled and lost 77-76 as a 3.5-point favorite. We're expecting another tight and competitive battle here, but one that also flies "over" the number before it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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01-06-24 | Knicks v. Wizards +9 | Top | 121-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
10* Wizards (ASSASSIN) While we're not calling for the outright victory, all signs point to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opinion. New York is 3-0 SU/ATS in its last three after last night's 128-92 road win at Philadelphia as a 5.5-point dog, but note that the Knicks are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten off an upset road win as an underdog in which they held their opponent to 95 or fewer points in. They're also just 1-4 ATS in their last five after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. We think a small mental letdown is inevitable here in the second game of the back-to-back and off the big upset victory; grab the points, the play is Washington! AAA Sports |
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01-05-24 | Heat v. Suns OVER 229.5 | Top | 97-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
10* OVER Heat/Suns (NON-CONF TOM) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but in our opinion, the overall situation here finally points to more of an offensive affair. Miami is 20-14 and 11-8 on the road after snapping a two-game slide with a 110-97 win over the Lakers last time out. Despite that total going "under" the number and despite Miami having seen the total go "under" in four straight now, note that the Heat have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Suns four-game win streak came to an end in a 131-122 loss to the Clippers here last time out. We're anticipating a similar final combined score in this one as well; this number is low in our opinion, so the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-05-24 | Hurricanes v. Capitals +1.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -170 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
6* Capitals (PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION) We're going to lay the price with confidence here for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time. Carolina is 21-13, but it's just 11-10 on the road. After four straight wins and with a home game vs. the Blues at home tomorrow night, we feel this a letdown/lookahead/trap-game for the visitors. Washington is 18-12, but it's lost five of its last six. We see the home side risking life and limb to try and snap the slide here; lay the price, the play is Washington on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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01-05-24 | Connecticut v. Butler +6 | Top | 88-81 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
10* Butler (BIG EAST GOY) While we do think an outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. The UConn Huskies are 12-2, while the Butler Bulldogs are 10-4. What's been the one "achilles heel" for the Huskies this season? Their play on the road where they are 0-2 SU/ATS. And what's been the strength of the Bulldogs?! It's been their play at home, where they are 8-0 SU and 4-3 ATS. Butler is off back-to-back conference road losses as a sizeable dog, so it won't be taking anything for granted here as it look to snap the slide. After this UConn is at Xavier, so we also see the visitors get caught "looking ahead." Look for the hungry and determined home side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the spread; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Bulldogs! AAA Sports |
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01-04-24 | Nuggets v. Warriors +3 | Top | 130-127 | Push | 0 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
10* Warriors (ASSASSIN) Denver has won four of its last five. It beat Golden State 120-114 at home on X-Mas Day, unable to cover the 7.5-point spread. The Warriors are 3-1 ATS in their last four in trying to avenge a SU road loss vs. an opponent. We think the Nuggets will get caught "looking ahead" here to their home game vs. the Magic tomorrow. Golden State snapped a three-game slide with a quality 121-115 victory over Orlando and with a winnable game at home vs. Detroit tomorrow, we're expecting Golden State to step up here and take advantage of the scheduling; grab the points, the play is indeed on Golden State! AAA Sports |
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01-04-24 | Avalanche v. Stars UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNDER Avs/Stars (CENTRAL DIVISION TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to a much tighter and lower-scoring defensive battle in this one in our opinion. Colorado is coming off three straight wins and it's off a 5-4 OT win over the Islanders. The Avs could have their hands full here though with Dallas, who plays with revenge after a 6-3 loss here in mid November to the Avs. Note though that Dallas has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a divisional home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Everything points to a much tighter and lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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01-04-24 | College of Charleston v. Hofstra UNDER 154 | Top | 73-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Charleston/Hofstra (CAA TOY) Charleston is 9-4 and Hofstra is 7-6. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but from a situational stand point, this one now here on Thursday finally sets up as more of a defensive affair in our opinion. The Cougars enter off five straight victories and they've seen the total go "over" in six straight, but despite their 96-59 win over Montreat College last time out, the Cougars have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Pride have lost four of their last five and the last thing they'll want to do is to turn this into a shootout, instead they'll look to control the pace. When you add up all of the above factors, everything points to a much more defensive affair than what this O/U line is suggesting; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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01-03-24 | Maple Leafs -1.5 v. Ducks | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
10* Leafs puckline (ASSASSIN) Toronto is off a 3-0 win over LA just last night. Typically we would not play on a team on the second game of a B2B scenario, but we anticipate the Leafs taking advantage of this matchup. The Ducks are just 6-14 at home and just lost here 7-2 to the Oilers. Toronto will end its trip with a game at the Sharks, so this is a stretch of games that it'll be focussed on taking advantage of. Expect that to not only translate into a victory today, but a completely lop-sided one; the play is the Leafs on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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01-03-24 | Xavier v. Villanova OVER 138.5 | Top | 65-66 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER Xavier/Villanova (BIG EAST TOY) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring contests of late, but in our opinion everything finally points to more of a wide-open offensive battle between these Big East rivals. Xaiver is 7-6 overall, while Villanova is 9-4. The Musketeers have gone 3-1 in their last four and they've seen the total go "under" in three straight after their most recent 74-54 win over Seton Hall, but note that the Musketeers have in fact seen the total go "over" in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Villanova is 3-2 SU in its last five, but it's seen the total go "under" in five straight after its most recent 84-48 win at DePaul, but that's significant to note for a couple of reasons, as the Wildcats have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four off a SU/ATS road conference road win in which they held their opponent to 49 or fewer points in and also in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. We base our picks on many different things, and this particular one is a great situational play that's backed by very strong trends in our opinion; this number is low, the play is the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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01-03-24 | Thunder v. Hawks +2 | Top | 138-141 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
10* Hawks (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) This one sets up unbelievably well for Atlanta. OKC is 23-9 and 9-4 on the road, but after five straight SU/ATS wins in a row, including an upset 127-123 home win over Boston just last night, can anyone say "letdown spot?!" Also note that the Thunder are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. Atlanta just snapped a four-game slide with a 130-126 win over Washington to move to 13-19. That was three nights ago though. The Hawks are well rested and the play with revenge after falling 126-117 as one-point favorites in OKC back on November 6th, and note that ATL is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. A great situational play on Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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01-02-24 | Hornets +16 v. Kings | Top | 111-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
10* Charlotte (NON-CONF GOW) Of course we're not calling for the outright victory or anything, but all signs point to a much tighter affair than what this spread is suggesting in our opinion. The Hornets have won three of their last five, but they're off a 111-93 loss at Denver. But we say they fly in "under the radar" here vs. the Kings, who will get caught "looking ahead" to their much more high-profile game the following night here vs. the Magic. After back-to-back SU road wins, all signs point to the Kings having a small mental letdown here at home tonight; no outright, but closer than expected, so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-02-24 | Senators v. Canucks -138 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
10* Canucks (NON-CONF GOW) Vancouver is well worth the price of admission in this spot. As primarily "situational" cappers, this one falls right into our wheelhouse. Vancouver had won three of four before a 4-1 home loss to the Flyers last time out. This though is the final home game before a very tough seven-game Eastern road swing. Vancouver is 3-1 in its last four off an upset loss as a home favorite and with such a tough upcoming schedule, we're expecting the home side to risk life and limb here to try and secure the victory. This is the start of the Senators Western swing, but with a game at Seattle up next, we think they'll get caught looking ahead; lay the price with confidence, the play is indeed on Vancouver! AAA Sports |
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01-02-24 | Charlotte +8.5 v. SMU | Top | 54-66 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
10* Charlotte (AAC GOM) Outright win?! We're not predicting that. But we do think that 9-3 SMU is going to get caught "looking past" 6-6 Charlotte to its much more high-profile game vs. Memphis this weekend. SMU is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in its last five, but that's signficant for us to take note of as the Mustangs are in fact just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after five more ATS victories in a row. Charlotte is 0-3 SU/ATS on the road, but that fact has only made the general betting public quick to back the favored home side here. But now the value has finally swung the other way here. We're not going to try and convince that the 49ers are a better team than the Mustangs, because that's definitely not the case. But as primiarly situational handicappers, this one falls right into our wheelhouse. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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01-01-24 | North Alabama v. Texas Tech UNDER 144.5 | Top | 57-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER North Alabama/Texas Tech. Here's a great "situational" play. We're fully expecting Texas Tech to go up early, and then to take the foot off the gas as it plays its final "tune-up" game before the conference schedule. The Red Raiders are 10-2 overall and 7-0 at home. Texas Tech enters on a five game unbeaten streak, but that is in fact significant to note here, as the Red Raiders have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four after five or more straight SU victories in a row. North Alabama is 6-7, including a terrible 1-6 on the road. It's coming off back-to-back losses, failing to top 68 points in either game. We have a hard time seeing the offensively-challenged Lions even reaching 60 in this one though vs. this difficult Red Raiders' defense; this number is high, the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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01-01-24 | Liberty v. Oregon OVER 65.5 | Top | 6-45 | Loss | -110 | 333 h 16 m | Show |
10* OVER Liberty/Oregon (BOWL TOY) We're expecting very little defense to be played here in the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl in what sets up to be an interesting matchup between two teams that have somethng to prove. Liberty finished 13-0, capped off by a 49-35 win over New Mexico State in the Conference USA Championship Game. Clearly, the Flames will be out to prove to the nation that they should have been part of the College Football championship. Oregon went 11-2 and lost 34-31 to Washington in the final PAC 12 Championship Game. The Ducks averaged 44.2 PPG, while allowing just 17.3, but with the Flames pushing the pace like we anticipate, despite being such big underdogs, everything definitely points to a high-paced, wide-open "shootout," rather than a grind-it-out defensive affair. Liberty averaged 40.8 PPG, while allowing 22.7 and while these are admittedly two very good defensive teams, we're anticipating plenty of offensive fireworks; this number is low, the play is the "over!"Â AAA Sports |
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01-01-24 | Wisconsin +7.5 v. LSU | Top | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 333 h 60 m | Show |
10* Wisconsin (BOWL GOY) Wisconsin finished 7-5, while LSU was 9-3. We're not calling for an outright win or anything, but all signs definitely point to a much more competitive bowl game here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Badgers won 28-14 at Minnesota as 2.5-point favorites in their final regular season game. LSU fell 42-28 at Alabama on November 4th, but then rattled off three straight wins to close out the year, including 42-30 over Texas A&M. LSU averaged 46.4 PPG, which was No. 1 in the country. It also had 14 turnovers on the year, which ranked third. The offense had to be good though, as the defense was pretty terrible allowing 27.8 PPG. With many players transfering into the portal, LSU will have plenty of holes to fill on both sides of the ball. The Badgers only averaged 22.8 PPG, but they didn't usually have to be fantastic offensively, with the defense conceding just 18.9 PPG. Look for the longer lay off to throw a further "monkey wrench" into LSU's normally efficient offense; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Badgers! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | Packers v. Vikings | Top | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
10* Vikings (ASSASSIN) We think that home field advantage at this time of year will be the difference-maker for the Vikes today. Both teams are 7-8. Minnesota comes in as the "hungrier" team though after back-to-back competitive losses at the Bengals and to the Lions last week, who clinched the division on their home field. Clearly, they won't be happy about that at all. They beat Green Bay on the road 24-10 at the start of the year, and we're predicting a similar final score here as well. The Packers broke a two-game slide to save their season with a come from behind 33-30 win at lowly Carolina last weekend, but everything points to a predictable letdown here now in Minnesota. Both teams are dealing with plenty of injuries, but we like the Vikes to finally settle down here at home and get handle on their recent turnover issue; lay the short points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | Celtics v. Spurs UNDER 240.5 | Top | 134-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER Celtics/Spurs (BOB) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting a lower-scoring defensive battle here on New Year's night. Boston has won five straight, and it's seen the total go "over" in six straight, but note that the C's have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Spurs' issues are well documented this season. And with a game at Memphis on January 2nd, we believe the home side will get caught looking ahead here as well. Look for Boston to control the pace of this one here and for this total to ultimatley stay "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | Washington v. Utah OVER 153.5 | Top | 90-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
10* OVER Washington/Utah (PAC TOY) Washington enters 8-4 overall and 0-1 in Pac 12 action, while Utah is 10-2 and 1-0. Washington lost its conference opener by a score of 73-69, and clearly it won't be happy about that sub-par offensive performance. Note though that the Huskies do have a notable 78-73 win over Gonzaga this year already. Utah destroyed Washington State by 22 points in its conference opener and we're expecting it to push the pace here as well in this potentially difficult matchup. The bottom line here though is that each team really likes to push the ball, as each ranks in the Top 100 in adjusted tempo. Each also has multiple double-digit scoring forwards. For all the reasons listed above, look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs -6 | Top | 17-25 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
10* Chiefs (AFC GOW) Clearly, this is a big game for both teams, but a lot more so for Kansas City, which has lost five of its last eight, including a 20-14 setback here last weekend to the Raiders as 11-point favorites. Note though that the Chiefs are a near-perfect 7-1 ATS in their last eight after a SU/ATS home loss as a double-digit favorite. They barely squeaked by the Bengals 23-20 in last year's Playoffs, covering the 2-point spread, but now they face a Cincinnati team without Joe Burrow and off a poor 34-11 loss at Pittsburgh as a three-point favorite. Look for Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid to come out with a game-plan here to get back on track vs. this toothless Bengals' team; lay the points with confidence, the play is Kansas City! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | Raiders v. Colts -4 | 20-23 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
8* Colts (BLOOD-BATH) We think that home field advantage will be the difference-maker in this one. Las Vegas is 7-8, including only 2-5 on the road, while the Colts are 8-7, including 3-4 at home. Off back-to-back wins, a predictable letdown is now expected in our opinion for Las Vegas, especially after beating the Chiefs 20-14 last weekend on the road. The Colts have been trading wins/losses over their last four games, and off the 29-10 loss at the Falcons, all signs point to this pattern continuing. With the majority of the public money on the visiting side as well, we'll go full contrarian and go the other way; lay the points, the play is Indianapolis! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | CS-Fullerton +9.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
10* CSU Fullerton (BIG WEST GOY) We think that the Warriors get caught a little flat-footed here and that the Titans will, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the ample amount of points that they've been afforded. Fullerton is just 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS in its last three after an 81-71 loss to LBSU last time out, but note that the Titans are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They won this game 62-60 last year at home. Hawaii enters off two straight losses, falling to Georgia Tech and TCU and it's just 1-3 ATS in its last four overall. The Warriors are getting WAY too much respect here in our opinion. No outright, but MUCH closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Titans! AAA Sports |
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12-30-23 | Oilers v. Kings -110 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
10* Kings (PACIFIC DIV. GOY) The bottom line here is that we feel we're getting GREAT line value on the home side here. This play is based almost entirely upon that theory. However, note that this is also a great situational play. Edmonton has won three straight, but note that the Oilers are just 3-7 in their last ten after three or more straight victories in a row. With a late New Year's Eve game at the Ducks tomorrow night, we say the visitors get caught "looking ahead." This is the first matchup of the year between these Pacific Division rivals and we expect the Kings to defend home ice. Edmonton is 7-9-0-0 on the road, while LA is 7-6-1-2 at home. The Kings are off the 3-2 loss at Vegas, but everything points to them bouncing back here and taking advantage of the situation; for all the reasons listed above, the play is indeed on LA! AAA Sports |
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12-30-23 | Lions +5.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 36 m | Show |
10* Lions (BLOOD-BATH) Despite just clinching the NFC North, we're not expecting the Lions to take anything for granted here and taking into account the current form of the Cowboys, we feel that the visitors do in fact have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. The Cowboys are 7-0 at home, but it's been against really weak competition, or teams dealing with major issues at the time. It's a "Fugazi" that home record. The time to play your best football of the year is right now and of course the Cowboys are regressing right on cue after back-to-back losses to Buffalo and Miami. The Lions are off back-to-back wins, including a 30-24 victory at Minnesota last weekend and they have even bigger plans for the rest of the regular season; as stated off the top, we feel an outright victory is a very real possibility, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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12-30-23 | Toledo v. Wyoming UNDER 44.5 | Top | 15-16 | Win | 100 | 288 h 49 m | Show |
10* Toledo/Wyoming UNDER (BOWL TOM) This is the Arizona Bowl and we're anticipating a very defensive affair, and will therefore be hammering the "under" on this one. Wyoming's offense ranks 24th worst, averaging only 324.8 YPG and 26.1 points. But what the Cowboys lack on the offensive end, they more than make up for it on the defensive end by conceding only 22.9 points. Toledo is averaging 33.6 PPG, while allowing only 20.6. The Rockets are now faced with a similar tough defensive unit here. DeQuan Finn is a talented QB for the Rockets, but both teams are going to have to deal with several opt-outs and transfters before this game takes place. Look for the longer lay off to throw a "monkey wrench" into each team's offensive rythym and expect these talented defenses to be the "main storylines" in tomorrows summaries of this contest; this number is high, the play is on the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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12-30-23 | Ole Miss +4 v. Penn State | Top | 38-25 | Win | 100 | 284 h 48 m | Show |
10* Ole Miss (BOWL GOM) This is the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl between Ole Miss and Penn State. Ole Miss finished 10-2, while PSU finished 10-2 as well. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. These teams are hoping to take the next step in their respective conferences next season. James Franklin and Penn State won 11 games last year, but we don't expect "lightning to strike twice" this time around. Ole Miss though is looking for its first 11-win season in school history. SEC QB Jaxson Dart is a difference-maker here, as his stats were among the best in the SEC. Penn State is extremely talented defensively, but the Ole Miss offense is extremely efficient. It's a battle of strength vs. strength and while the outright win isn't out of the question, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Ole Miss! AAA Sports |
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12-29-23 | Avalanche -158 v. Blues | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
10* Avalanche (CENTRAL DIV GOY) Here's a great situational play on Colorado in our opinion, which is well worth the price of admission in this spot. Colorado is 21-11-2-1 this year, including 7-7-2-1 on the road, while St. Louis is 18-15-0-1 overall, including 11-5-0-0 at home. Colorado has responded really well in this spot for bettors though, as it's a near-perfect 7-1 in its last eight in trying to avenge a divisional home loss vs. an opponent (lost 8-2 at home on November 11th.) The Blues have won three straight, but with a road game at Pittsburgh tomorrow night, we also believe that the home side will get caught "looking ahead" here. Lay the price with confidence, the play is Colorado! AAA Sports |
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12-29-23 | Missouri v. Ohio State -4.5 | Top | 14-3 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
10* Ohio State (BLOCKBUSTER) The knock against Ohio State here is that it's down to its second string QB, which is true, but we in fact think that helps the Buckeyes here. The Tigers are missing two key defensive players in Ennis Rakestraw and linebacker Ty’Ron Hopper, and when those two players were missing earlier in the year, Missouri allowed 267 yards rushing. Which doesn't bode well facing this Ohio State offense and QB Devin Brown, who was in a battle for the No. 1 spot with Kyle McCord before the season started and before he got injured. Brown was 12 of 22 for 197 yards, two TD's and an INT this year, but he'll know that this is a "try-out" for him to be the No. 1 guy next year, as McCord has already left. The Buckeyes only allow 260 yards per game. Look for the Buckeyes to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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12-29-23 | Kent State v. St. Mary's UNDER 134.5 | Top | 46-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kent/Saint Mary's (NON-CONF TOY) We're anticipating a much more defensive battle between these two teams than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Kent is a big underdog here, but it won't be rolling over. The Golden Flashes are 7-4 overall, including 1-1 in true road games, while the Gaels are 8-6 overall, including 6-3 at home. Kent has seen the total go "over" in five straight now, but that's important for us to take note of as the Golden Flashes have in fact seen the total go "under" in three of their last four after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Saint Mary's five-game win streak came to an end in a 69-64 loss to Missouri State as a 13.5-point favorite, and that's also significant to note as the Gaels have seen the total go "under" in seven of their last ten off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. This number is a little high, the play is indeed on the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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12-29-23 | Raptors v. Celtics UNDER 226 | Top | 118-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
10* UNDER Raptors/Celtics (ATLANTIC TOY) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating a much tighter and ultimately lower-scoring affair here on Friday. The Raptors are only 12-18 overall, including just 4-9 on the road. Boston is 24-6 overall, including 15-0 at home. Toronto snapped a three-game slide with a 132-102 win in the Nation's capital last time out, but the Raptors fell 108-105 at home to Boston back in mid-November, and everything points to a similar final combined score here as well in our opinion. Boston is off four straight wins. It needed OT to get past Detroit 128-122 here last time out as a 17-point favorite, and with that "close call" fresh in their minds, we're anticipating the home side to double down on the defensive end. Finally, note that Toronto has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six as well in trying to avenge a SU home loss vs. a divisional opponent; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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12-28-23 | Kings v. Golden Knights -105 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
10* Knights (REVENGE DESTRUCTION) This is a great situational play. We'll go so far as to call this the very definition of "great line value." Las Vegas comes in desperate to snap a four-game slide after a 5-2 loss at Anaheim last night. It also plays with revenge after a 4-1 loss to the Kings back in early November, and note the the defending champs are a near-perfect 4-1 in their last five in trying to revenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Kings have been great and have won two straight, but after last night's satisfying 5-1 home win over the Sharks, all signs point to a predictable letdown here in this difficult road venue in our opinion; for all the reasons listed above, the play is indeed on Las Vegas! AAA Sports |
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12-28-23 | Arizona -2 v. Oklahoma | Top | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
10* WILDCATS (BOWL WINNER) Arizona is 9-3 and the Sooners are 10-2. Oklahoma will be without start QB Dillon Gabriel though, as well as their offensive coordinator and a slew of other offensive starters. Because of this fact, and this fact alone, we're going to take the Wildcats here. They have a great QB in Noah Fiftia, who had to step in for an injured Jay de Laura. The Wildcats losses were all close. This is a good, motivated and well-coached team that we're expecting to take advantage of the situation presented to them; lay the short points, the play is indeed on Arizona! AAA Sports |
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12-28-23 | Jets v. Browns UNDER 34.5 | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jets/Browns (TOW) This is an important game for both teams. To us, this is a great "situational" play on the "under." New York is 6-9 and hasn't thrown in the towel yet after a 30-28 win over Washington on X-Mas Eve. The 30 points scored is an outlier for sure though, as NY combined for just 14 points over its previous three games. Now on the road in this difficult venue, we can expect a return to form on the offensive end here, which is obviously really terrible. Cleveland is 10-5 and getting unreal play from veteran Joe Flacco, but after three straight SU/ATS victories in a row, soring 87 points in the process, we feel that the "short week" will benefit these defenses a lot more. This number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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12-28-23 | Jazz v. Pelicans -8 | Top | 105-112 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (ASSASSIN) We base our picks on many different things. This particular one is based on the "revenge" factor, which we'll admit, is completely overhyped at times. But not at all times, and definitely not in this case in our opinion. Utah is just 5-13 on the road, but after three straight SU/ATS victories in a row, we're expecting a predictable letdown here, as note that the Jazz are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. They beat the Pels 114-112 at home as a 6.5-point dog on November 27th, but note that New Orleans is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. After back-to-back SU/ATS losses in a row, we're expecting the home side to come out fired up and completely focussed on the task at hand; lay the points with confidence, the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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12-28-23 | Oakland v. Cleveland State UNDER 146.5 | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
10* UNDER Oakland/Cleveland State (Horizon League TOM) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games coming into this conference contest, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive affair, as the overall situation that each finds itself coming into this one, combined with the numbers/trends all point to this total ultimately staying well "under" the number once it's all said and done in our opinion. Oakland is 6-7 and Cleveland State is 8-5. The Grizzlies are just 3-4 on the road, while the Vikings are 7-0 at home. Oakland has seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that the Grizzlies have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Cleveland State has also seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that the Vikings have seen the total go "under" in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-27-23 | Texas A&M +3.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
10* Texas A&M (BLOCKBUSTER) Texas A&M finished 7-5, while Oklahoma State was 9-4. Both teams have plenty of transfers and opt outs for this one, and it really does level the playing field here. This one is going to come down to the wire and whichever team has it hands on the ball last is going to come out on top. Texas A&M turns to Jaylen Henderson under center and he averaged 234.7 yards per game over his final three games and had two TD's. The Aggies have a great defense as well that allows just 21.3 PPG. Oklahoma State has seven players opting out. The Cowboys rank dead last in the Big 12 on the defensive end, allowing 441.5 yards per game; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Aggies! AAA Sports |
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12-27-23 | Knicks v. Thunder UNDER 240 | Top | 120-129 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Knicks/Thunder (ASSASSIN) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a much tighter, and ultimately more defensive affair here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Knicks are 17-12 and have won three of their last four. Previous to their 129-122 win over Milwaukee they'd seen the total go "under" in three straight games, and we're expecting another more defensive affair here now as well after that big victory vs. their nemesis. Now travelling across the country for a non-conference battle, before then B2B road games at Orlando and Indiana, we feel the visitors could get caught looking ahead and ultimatley taking the foot off the proverbial gas pedal in this one. The Thunder are 19-9 and they've won four of their last five. They've also seen the total go "over" in three straight, which is important for us to take note of us as the Thunder have in fact seen the total go UNDER in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row; this number is a little high, so the play is indeed on the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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12-27-23 | Senators v. Maple Leafs -158 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -158 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
10* Leafs (ATLANTIC DIVISION GOY) We feel that Toronto could/should in fact be a much larger favorite in this spot. The Senators are just 3-8 on the road, while the Leafs are 9-5-2-0 at home. Toronto went into the X-Mas break off a 4-1 win at Columbus and we're anticipating it coming out with fresh legs here at home vs. the Senators, who they beat 4-3 on December 7th in Ottawa. The Senators broke a six-game slide with a 5-4 OT won at home over the Penguins, but everything points to an immediate letdown here after the layoff; as stated off the top, the value swings to the undervalued home favorite, which we believe will lay the hammer down from start to finish. The play is indeed on Toronto! AAA Sports |
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12-26-23 | Kings v. Blazers +8 | Top | 113-130 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
10* Portland (ASSASSIN) Outright win?! We're not calling for that, but we defintely expect this to be competitive until the final moments. The Kings are 17-11, but they're just 6-6 on the road. Off a 110-98 home loss to the Wolves, note that the Kings are in fact just 1-3 ATS in their last four off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. Portland comes in under the radar here. It's off B2B losses, falling 126-106 at Golden State, but with a few days off to prepare, we're expecting the Blazers to be competitive here, just as they were in a 121-118 OT loss at Sacramento in early November; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Blazers! AAA Sports |
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12-26-23 | Kansas v. UNLV +13.5 | Top | 49-36 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNLV (ROUT) UNLV is one of the bigger dogs during the entire Bowl season, but we think this spread is a little TOO large. Kansas finished 8-4, while UNLV was 9-4, finishing in a tie for first place in the MWC. The Jayhawks beat Cincinnati 49-16 back on November 25th. Jason Bean replaced Jaylon Daniels at QB during the season and threw for 1,681 yards and a 12:4 TD:INT. Overall the Jayhawks finished averaging 33.6 PPG, while conceding 25.8. UNLV is lead by QB Jayden Maiava, who finished with 2,794 passing yards and a 14:8 TD:INT. The Rebels averaged 34.3 PPG, while conceding 27. The Rebels are also 6-0 ATS on the road this year and while we're stopping short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to this contest being MUCH more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points the play is UNLV! AAA Sports |
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12-26-23 | Texas State -3.5 v. Rice | Top | 45-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
10* Texas State (ROUT) We think the 7-5 Texas State Bobcat's up-tempo offense will be too much for the 6-6 Rice Owls to keep up with. This is a big game for Texas State, making its first ever bowl appearance, and it won't be taking anything for granted. CJ Kinne has transformed the Bobcats into a good team. QB TJ Finley, wh ohas experience at LSU and Auburn is a difference-maker in this one. The Owls aren't the best at creating take-aways on defense and we have a hard time seeing their QB AJ Padgett keeping pace. Look for Texas State to push the pace behind Finley and for Kinne to continue this great overall season and turnaround for Texas State! AAA Sports |
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12-25-23 | Ravens v. 49ers OVER 46 | Top | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
10* OVER Ravens/49ers (NON-CONF TOW) Is this a possible Super Bowl preview here in Prime Time on X-Mas day?! Very possibly! Who knows for sure, but each side enters at 11-3. Each has dealt with injury issues this year and some off-field adversity. The Ravens are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS on the road, while the 49ers are 5-1 SU and 3-3 ATS at home. These teams are very evenly matched for the most part, and we feel this line is very sharp. We're going to steer clear of choosing a side, and instead focus on the total. The 49ers just annihilated the Cardinals 45-29 and there's no reason not to think they can't carry over that offensive momentum here. The Ravens have won four straight, which included a 37-31 OT win over NFC West LA Rams just two weeks ago, and we're expecting a similar wide-open offensive battle here on the West Coast on X-Mas day as well; this number is a little low in our opinion, the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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12-25-23 | Celtics v. Lakers +3 | Top | 126-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) The Celtics opened up their West-coast swing with a 132-126 OT loss at Golden State, but they've since won B2B away games, handling Sacramento 144-119 and the Clippers here two nights ago 145-108. But with three nights off after this, we feel that the temptation to get caught "looking ahead" will be there for the visiting side now. No such luxury for LA though, which just snapped a four-game slide with a convincing 129-120 win at OKC. Look for the Lakers to carry that momentum over here and while the outright is obviously very possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with LA! AAA Sports |
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12-25-23 | Giants v. Eagles -13.5 | Top | 25-33 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
10* Eagles (NFC EAST GOW) We base our picks on many different things, but this particular one is based on some very strong ATS trends that support our overall theory that Philadelphia is going to have no mercy on its overmatched opponent today. Philadelphia is 10-4, but it's lost three straight, both SU and ATS. That however is significant for us to take note of here, as the Eagles are a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last six after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. This is the first meeting of the year between the division foes. Philly then has a home game here next week vs. the Cards, followed by the regular season finale at the Giants. Clearly, there's no reason Philly can't now end the season on a three-game win streak, and that's what we're expecting, starting with a convincing blowout here at home; lay the points, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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12-24-23 | Patriots +7 v. Broncos | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
10* Patriots (AFC NON-DIV GOM) We're expecting a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting, as we look for New England to try and do everything it can to play "spoiler" here. The Pats are 3-11 and the Broncos are 7-7. The Pats beat the Steelers, then promptly lost 27-17 to a desperate Chiefs team last week. QB Bailey Zapp was 23 of 31 for 180 yards and a TD and we feel he can be effective here today as well. New England still concedes only 21.4 PPG. The Broncos are off a 42-17 loss to the Lions and have struggled with consistency from game-to-game all season long. Russell Wilson is the better QB here for sure in this matchup, but we think that Bill Belichick and his defense will be "hanging around late;" grab the points, the play is indeed on New England! AAA Sports |
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12-24-23 | TCU v. Hawaii +6 | Top | 65-51 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
10* Hawaii (ATS BLOOD-BATH) This is going to "come down to the wire," in our opinion, and because of that we're going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. TCU is 9-2 and Hawaii is 8-3. Hawaii looks to rebound here off the 73-68 loss to Georgia Tech as a two-point fav (but note that the Warriors have in fact responded incredibly well in this spot for bettors by going 4-1 ATS in their last five off an upset home loss as a favorite.) TCU is off an 88-75 loss to Nevada, and with Conference schedule looming after the X-Mas break, we say the visitors get caught "looking ahead" here. Grab the points, the play is indeed on Hawaii! AAA Sports |
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12-24-23 | Seahawks v. Titans +3.5 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
10* Titans (ASSASSIN) We're not expecting Tennessee to just roll over here and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Seattle is 7-7 and third in the NFC West, while Tennessee is 5-9, and looking to play spoiler and salvage pride after having already been eliminated. The Hawks are 20th in total offense and 28th in total defense. Seattle is really banged up coming into this game as well, including to QB Geno Smith. The Titans average 293.7 YPG, while allowing 339.3. Injuries have also been a concern for the Titans all year. Obviously its "next man up" for both teams. But Tennessee and its coaches are playing for their jobs and everything points to this one "coming down to the wire." As such, we're grabbing the points; the play is on Tennessee! AAA Sports |
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12-23-23 | Missouri State +15 v. St. Mary's | Top | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
10* Missouri State (MID-MAJOR ROUT) Missouri State won't be rolling over here in its final game before the XMas break. The Bears are 8-4 and they'll look to close out their non-conference schedule strong. Missouri State has won two of its last three and we think it catches Saint Mary's, which is 8-5 overall, but which has won five straight. The Gaels concede just 58.7 PPG. The Bears average 74.6 PPG, while allowing 67.6. We think the Gaels will win this game, but Missouri State's efficient offense will keep it competitive late; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Bears! AAA Sports |
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12-23-23 | Nuggets v. Hornets +9 | Top | 102-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
10* Hornets (ASSASSIN) We base our picks on many different things, this particular one sets up fantastically from a "situational" stand point. We say that Denver FOR SURE gets caught "looking ahead" to its X-Mas home game vs. Golden State. Charlotte has lost six straight SU and three straight ATS, but that's important for us to take note of us as the Hornets are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. We're just expecting Denver to take the foot off the gas in the second half, as it prepares for its Nationally televised affair; grab the points, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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12-23-23 | Bengals v. Steelers +3 | Top | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 42 m | Show |
10* Pittsburgh (AFC NORTH GOY) They say that divisional contests are always the most important and that they almost always mean the most to the home side, and that's definitely the case here in our opinion, and while we clearly wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend to grab as many points as you can with the Steelers. The Bengals are 8-6 and the Steelers are 7-7. The Bengals have won three straight with Jake Browning, but note that Cincinnati is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten in after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Pittsburgh turns to Mason Rudolph to snap the three-game slide. With nearly 75% of the public money on the visitors, we're going the other way here and expecting Rudolph to step up and deliver the goods in this spot; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Steelers! AAA Sports |
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12-23-23 | Arkansas State -140 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 19-21 | Loss | -140 | 20 h 31 m | Show |
10* Arkansas State (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Both teams enter at 6-6, but we feel this is a matchup that favors Arkansas State. The RedWolves return to a bowl game for the first time since 2019. In the end Arkansas State finished 6-5-1 ATS this year. Good news for the RedWolves is that their entire starting offense will be available in this one, including Jaylen Rayn, who had 2,300 passing yards and a 15:6 TD/INT. NIU won its final two games to become eligible, but overall the Huskies finished the year 5-7 ATS. Rocky Lombardi will be under center and he threw for 2,074 yards and had a 10:5 TD/INT. We feel this one will be decided by the men under center ultimately and that's why we're backing Arkansas State; so lay the short points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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12-23-23 | Manchester United v. West Ham United | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
10* DRAW between Man U/West Ham (EPL GOW) In what we believe will be a complete "war of attrition," we definitely feel that the value in this matchup lies in the "draw" option. Look at the odds, as the oddsmakers would agree that we have a very evenly matched matchup on our hands in this one. Manchester United just drew 0-0 with Liverpool in its last match, and while we'll see a bit more offense here, we do expect a "stale-mate" in the end. West Ham is off the back off a 5-1 defeat to Liverpool in the quarters of the EFL Cup last Wednesday and will be doubling down on the defensive end after that "brain fart." With each side content to sit back and wait for the other to make the first mistake, we're playing the DRAW in this one! AAA Sports     |
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12-22-23 | Fresno State +11.5 v. San Francisco | 57-77 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
8* Fresno State (MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION) Fresno State is 6-4 SU, while San Fran is 9-4. It's also 6-0 at home. We think the home side though takes the foot off the gas in the second half, allowing the hungry visiting side more than enough room to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Fresno State is off a 75-72 OT home loss to Portland State as a 3.5-point favorite, which is significant to take note of here as the Bulldogs are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten off an upset home loss as a favorite. The Dons have been great and it's difficult to point out to many faults, but we say everything points to a minor mental letdown here before the X-Mas break; grab the points, the play is indeed on Fresno State! AAA Sports |
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12-22-23 | Raptors +8.5 v. 76ers | Top | 111-121 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
10* Raptors (ASSASSIN) We like Toronto to comfortably cover and sneak in through the backdoor down the stretch. Toronto plays with revenge after falling 114-109 here back on November 2nd, and note that the Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional loss vs. an opponent. Philly's been playing great, but off a big win over the red hot Wolves, and with their X-Mas Day game at Miami up next, all signs point to this being a classic "trap game" for the home side. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Toronto! AAA Sports |
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12-22-23 | Central Florida v. Georgia Tech UNDER 67 | Top | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 25 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER Georgia Tech/UCF. Both teams finished 6-6. Both teams are among the best in the nation on the offensive side of the ball, and each is among the worst on the defensive. All of these team's regular season numbers would clearly point to this being a high-scoring affair, and the general betting public would agree, as this O/U line jumped nearly six points from where it opened originally. Now, though, we feel its much TOO high. We liked the "under" on the original line, but now we definitely think this is too many points for these teams to go over. The longer lay-off will prove detrimental to each team's offense and beneficial for the defensive units in our estimation. A LOT of things have to go right for this total to go "over" the number, and we just don't see it happening; this number is high, the play is the "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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12-21-23 | Lakers +5.5 v. Wolves | Top | 111-118 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) I lost with the Lakers last night in Chicago, but I think LA will risk life and limb here to try and snap out of its recent cold spell which has seen it lost three in a row. LA has now also lost five straight ATS, which is important here for this pick for us, as the Lakers have responded well in this position for bettors by going 7-3 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. Minnesota's three-game win streak came to an end last night in Philly and we believe the Wolves will come out flat here now returning home (especially with two road games sandwiched around X-Mas right after this!) Both teams will have to deal with fatigue, but the overall situation and the above listed trends do indeed make LA the correc call in this contest! AAA Sports |
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12-21-23 | Saints +4 v. Rams | Top | 22-30 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
10* Saints (ASSASSIN) With nearly 80% of the public money on the Rams, we're going full on contrarian here and going the other way. This is an important game for both 7-7 teams. The Saints have won two straight, while LA has won four of its last five. New Orleans is now tied for the lead in the NFC South. The bottom line here is the Saints' defense is legit, allowing just 248 total yards per game over their last two games and 19.1 PPG overall this season. They have 30 INT's and 30 sacks already, which is fifth in each category. The offense hasn't been shabby either, Derek Carr averaging 26 PPG over their last two, and 22.1 overall. The Rams have allowed just 21.2 PPG over thier last five games. Overall LA averages 23.4 PPG this season. Both teams enter with momentum. Last year the Saints won this game by a score of 27-20 at home. While we feel an outright is possible, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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12-21-23 | Syracuse v. South Florida UNDER 56.5 | Top | 0-45 | Win | 100 | 29 h 48 m | Show |
10* UNDER USF/Cuse (BOWL WINNER) This is a great situational play. Syracuse is the favorite here, but it's already undergone big changes since ending the regular season, including firing its head coach Nunzio Campanile, who will be replaced by Fran Brown. Both teams finished 6-6, but now Cuse will be using a new man under center for this bowl game in Braden Davis, who played in two games this season and has one pass and rushed the ball twice. That means that running the ball is paramount for the Orange, and they'll be leaning heavily on LeQuint Allen, who had 1,062 rushing yards and nine TD's. USF is led by QB Byrum Brown, who has 3,078 yards passing and a 23:11 TD:INT. The defense catches a break here this week, but expect Brown to be under pressure from the Orange who concede 23.8 PPG and ranked 75th against the pass. Expect the longer lay-off and the changes to the line-ups to help in contributing to the Boca Raton Bowl staying well "under" the number once it's all said and done this year! AAA Sports |
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12-21-23 | Maple Leafs v. Sabres UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 53 m | Show |
10* UNDER Leafs/Sabres (10* Atlantic DIV GOY) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a much tighter and ultimately lower-scoring battle here finally in Buffalo between these Atlantic division rivals. Toronto has seen the total go "over" the number in five straight, which is signficant for us to take note of, because the Leafs have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Toronto also plays with revenge here afer a 6-4 home loss to the Sabres back in early November, which is also important for us to take note of here because the Leafs have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a divisional road loss vs. an opponent. Off a 9-4 home loss to Columbus last time out and off B2B losses in a row, we can expect Buffalo to double down on the defensive end here. The overall situation combined with the numbers/trends all point to a lower-scoring "under!"Â AAA Sports |
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12-21-23 | Manhattan +11 v. Monmouth | Top | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
10* Manhattan (MID-MAJOR BLOWOUT) We're not predicting an outright upset or anything, but everything definitely points to much more of a competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Manhattan comes in "under the radar" here after B2B losses. Most recently it was a 76-71 home loss to FDU. Monmouth has been trading wins/losses over its last four games and coming off a 77-71 win over Rider, we're expecting this trend to continue here. That said, we're not expecting the outright upset, but rather we just don't see the Hawks covering this large spread. As stated off the top, DO NOT sprinkle anything on the moneyline in this one, but do DEFINITELY grab as many points as you can; the play is indeed on Manhattan! AAA Sports |
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12-20-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Kings -161 | 2-1 | Loss | -161 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
8* Kings (BIG-CHALK DESTRUCTION) We play underdogs. We play totals. We're also not afraid to "lay chalk" when we feel that our "play on" sides should/could in fact be much larger favorites, and that's DEFINITELY the case in this one. Seattle is just 4-6-3-3 on the road this year. LA just won 3-2 in a shootout in Seattle last weekend and we're expecting an even bigger blowout this time around. LA is 18-6 and off b2b victories and all signs point to another victory here at home, despite already crusing to a 4-1 win at San Jose just last night; lay the price with confidence, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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