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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-14-20 | Canadiens v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the UNDER Montreal has gone Under its last four games. Pittsburgh has gone Under its last three games. So recent trends are definitely on our side tonight for this play. In those last four games, Montreal has found the back of the net only eight times. Pittsburgh has scored just six times in its last three games, though two of those were against a Tampa Bay team that is playing as well as anyone in the league right now. It’s uncharacteristic to see the Penguins to score so little, but there are two things you should keep in mind. One is that they are 13-9 Under at home this year when the total is 6.0 or higher. The second is that they only allow 2.5 goals per game at home. Twice these teams have met this season. Each game saw only five total goals scored. The road team won both times. Pittsburgh won 3-2 in Montreal. Montreal won 4-1 here in Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh’s power play is not what it once was. Play UNDER Montreal-Pittsburgh AAA |
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02-14-20 | Akron v. Central Michigan OVER 155 | Top | 80-67 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Akron just notched a pretty big win, beating MAC-leading Bowling Green 74-59. That the Zips were a 6.5-point favorite for that contest should tell you who oddsmakers think is the best team in this conference. Tonight’s game is against a wounded Central Michigan team that has lost two in a row. Tuesday, the Chippewas lost 73-70 at home to Eastern Michigan. They were outscored 45-35 in the second half. It was a much different showing that what they turned in their own home win over Bowling Green where CMU finished with 92 points. Make no mistake about it - the Chippewas are one of the highest scoring teams in the country. They average 81.3 points/game, which is sixth most in the entire country. The offensive numbers at home are eye-popping. It’s a 90.3 point/game average here. That’s enough to convince us that Over is the correct call here. Akron isn’t going to match the defensive efforts from its last two games. But they should hit their 76.0 point/game average. Play OVER Akron/Central Michigan AAA |
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02-14-20 | Davidson +4 v. St Bonaventure | Top | 93-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DAVIDSON St. Bonaventure has been picking off the bottom feeders of the Atlantic 10 and the result is a five-game win streak entering Friday. The Bonnies’ last four wins were against George Mason, George Washington, Duquesne and St. Louis. They covered the spread against all four. They’ve now risen to third place in the conference and have to be feeling pretty good about themselves. On the surface, laying a short number with the Bonnies at home against 12-11 Davidson seems logical. But Davidson is an underrated team. The Wildcats crushed Fordham 79-49 Tuesday, their second win by at least 30 points this month. In the last seven games, Davidson has suffered just one regulation loss and it was to preseason conference favorite VCU. While they’ve struggled as an underdog this year, this looks like a spot where they pull the upset. They’re 8-3 ATS when off a win by 20 or more points the last couple seasons. Play on DAVIDSON AAA |
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02-13-20 | Washington State v. UCLA -8 | Top | 83-86 | Loss | -108 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UCLA Washington State proved to be a huge revelation on this end when they upset Washington over the weekend. That was a huge play for us and the Cougars delivered a 79-67 victory as 2.5-point home dogs. But the road has been a much different story for this team. They’ve covered only six of the last 21 times including 1-5 ATS in 2019-20. Bottom line is that this is a game UCLA needs to have. The Bruins just beat a much better Pac 12 team, Arizona, 65-52 as a 12.5 point underdog last weekend. They’ve got revenge here for a 79-71 loss in Pullman earlier this year. UCLA has won three of four and five of seven, so they’re in better form now. They are 10-5 ATS the last 15 times they’ve played with revenge for a road loss. Play on UCLA AAA |
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02-12-20 | Blackhawks v. Canucks -139 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 9* on VANCOUVER Vancouver treated us nicely Monday when they were our Game of the Week and delivered an impressive 6-2 beatdown of Nashville. We were pretty firm in our belief that there was no real justification for the Canucks to be ML dogs in that game (which was at home). The Pacific Division leaders had lost four in a row prior to that, but three of the losses were on the road. They’re back home this evening to face Chicago, a team that has lost four in a row. Even worse for the Blackhawks is how this will be the third road game in four nights for them. The previous two have seen them give up five goals each time. Last night’s 5-3 loss to the Oilers (who did not have McDavid) leaves them in last place in the Central Division. Vancouver is honoring several key players from the past tonight so expect a fired up home crowd for this one. The Canucks are 14-6 coming off a multi-goal victory. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
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02-12-20 | Hornets v. Wolves -8.5 | Top | 115-108 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MINNESOTA The Timberwolves laying this many points should tell you something and that “something” is that Charlotte is not good. While the Hornets did just win an ugly 87-76 game at Detroit two nights ago, that was preceded by five consecutive losses. Overall they’ve dropped 13 of 15 games and fallen near the bottom of the Eastern Conference standings. There are only three teams in the league that have been outscored by more points. Those are Cleveland, Atlanta and Golden State, who happen to have the three worst records in the league. So expect more losses to pile up for Charlotte in the coming weeks. In terms of laying this many points with the Timberwolves, who have lost 14 of their last 15 games, do not fret. They already won at Charlotte by 22 points earlier in the year. In the last home game, they hung 142 on the Clippers. If they can do that to a good team like the Clippers, they can certainly blowout the Hornets. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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02-12-20 | Rutgers v. Ohio State -5.5 | Top | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OHIO STATE Ohio State was once ranked as high as #3 in the entire country. Now the Buckeyes find themselves in 10th place in the Big 10 with a 5-7 conference won-loss record. Despite their relatively poor effort at Wisconsin Sunday, we are still of the belief that OSU remains one of the better teams in the Big 10 and the entire country for that matter! Look for them to handle their business tonight in Columbus against a Rutgers team that seems to be failing under the pressure of expectations. The Scarlet Knights managed to get into the Top 25 a couple weeks ago, but then lost two straight (to Michigan and Maryland), followed up by an unimpressive win over Northwestern. Not only is Rutgers only 1-4 ATS its past five games, they have just one true road win all year and that was against Nebraska, who along with Northwestern represent the two “weak” Big 10 teams this year. Ohio State keeps teams to 57.0 PPG at home where they are 9-4 ATS. Expect this to be a statement-type game by the Buckeyes. Play on OHIO STATE AAA |
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02-11-20 | Bulls v. Wizards -2.5 | Top | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WASHINGTON The Chicago Bulls have not made the playoffs in several seasons. This year, the Eastern Conference is really lacking in depth so fans in the Windy City were hoping the drought would end. Unfortunately though, the Bulls are 16 games below .500 and have lost five in a row. Defense has been atrocious with them giving up 124 points/game during the current losing streak. Bad defense is something Washington knows all too well, but it was a poor offensive effort that cost them against Memphis on Monday night. They finished with only 99 points, the first time in a month they failed to break 100. The Wizards are normally a good offensive team (they average 115.5 points/game) so look for them to get back on track against this struggling Bulls team tonight. What happened against Memphis was they fell apart late, missing 18 of 22 shots in the fourth quarter as a double digit lead evaporated. Play on WASHINGTON AAA |
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02-11-20 | Western Michigan v. Ohio -5.5 | Top | 61-73 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OHIO Both these MAC schools sport 11-12 SU records. Western Michigan won the first meeting 77-65 as a 1-point home underdog. But Ohio remains the decided favorite for the rematch. Pulling what would be a third consecutive upset is going to be tough here for WMU. They won at Miami last week, then at home vs. Ball State. They entered those games at +4.5 and +5.5 respectively. The Broncos should be commended for that success, but eventually the tank hits empty. Ohio showed what it is capable of doing when it destroyed Miami here in Athens, 77-46 on Saturday. Certainly that was a much more impressive win than what WMU did to the RedHawks, winning by just four points. The win over Ball State also was by four points. Brandon Johnson carried them in those two wins, scoring 50 points including a career high 29 vs. Ball State. But can he keep that up? Western Michigan has not beaten three straight D-I opponents all year. Play on OHIO AAA |
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02-10-20 | Predators v. Canucks +103 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 103 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* on VANCOUVER Vancouver is fighting to hold onto the top spot in the Pacific Division, which they lead by one point over Edmonton and Vegas. Two other teams are within four points. Nashville is just trying to get into playoff position as they are four points back of the Wild Card. While it’s not a huge gap between the teams when it comes to points, there’s no reason Nashville should be favored in this one. The Canucks are a very solid 17-6-3 at home and they’ve already beaten Nashville twice this year. Now the Canucks are on a four-game losing streak and just got blasted by Calgary (6-2!) Saturday night. But the other three losses all came on the road. This is the spot where they rise up. The Predators find themselves playing a fourth straight road game in Western Canada, in a seven-day span. The Canucks score 3.6 goals/game at home while giving up only 2.7. They’d won nine straight home games prior to Saturday’s loss and this four-game losing streak of theirs matches a season-worst. Just can’t see them losing again and this is a great price to back them at. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
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02-10-20 | Nets v. Pacers -7 | Top | 106-105 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* on INDIANA Indiana comes into Monday on a five-game losing streak. Two of the losses came to a Toronto team that has won 14 in a row. The Pacers are lucky in that the East has no real depth, so they’re not in any real danger of falling further than where they’re at right now, which is 6th. The 7th place team (Brooklyn) is who they’ll face tonight and there’s a seven game gap between the teams even with the Pacers losing streak. The Nets also just lost in Toronto and it was by the same exact score (119-118) that Indiana lost by on Feb 5th. Both teams covered the spread in those losses and the Nets do come in riding a 3-game ATS win streak. But they’ve won only one time on the road going back to the start of 2020. To us, it’s just a question of whether or not the Pacers can cover the spread and we think they can as they already hold two double digit wins over Brooklyn this year and both of those were on the road. They didn’t have Victor Oladipo either. Now the Nets don’t have Kyrie Irving. The Nets are 1-8 ATS their last nine times as a road underdog. Play on INDIANA AAA |
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02-10-20 | Florida State v. Duke -8.5 | Top | 65-70 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DUKE The notion of laying this many points with a Duke team that is only 48 hours removed from a wild, 98-96 overtime win at North Carolina might seem problematic to some. But not us as our view is the Blue Devils are clearly the superior side in this one. Florida State has the same overall and ACC record as Duke, but we believe the respective rankings in the Top 25 don’t accurately reflect what the true gap is here. Duke would be favored against almost anybody on a neutral court while Florida State seems more like a team that is ranked high only due to its won-loss record. The Seminoles are obviously a Top 20 team, but we’re not sure about Top 10 and certainly not Top 5. Their three losses were to Virginia, Indiana and Pitt, all unranked teams. Duke is winning by an average of 21.2 points/game at home. They just won three straight on the road, scoring 97+ twice. Florida State is 1-5 ATS its last six Monday games (didn’t cover last week vs. UNC) while Duke is on a 6-2 ATS run its last eight Monday affairs. Play on DUKE AAA |
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02-09-20 | Grizzlies v. Wizards +1.5 | Top | 106-99 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WASHINGTON A .500 record in the NBA may not seem like much to “crow” about, but the Grizzlies (26-26) are plenty happy with it as right now they’d be the 8th and final playoff team out West. Not much was expected from Memphis this year. Certainly not a playoff berth. But led by Ja Morant, they’ve really transformed and are currently on a 7-2 SU/ATS run. They did lose Friday in Philadelphia though. Both losses in the last nine games were on the road and by double digits. Washington is another team we expected little from this year and they’ve been more in line with that projection, coming in at 18-32. But they upset Dallas on Friday, right here at home, for what was their third win in four games. All those games have been at home and they were a three-point dog when they beat the Mavs 119-118. What we find significant about the line here is that Memphis has only been a road favorite three times previous to this. While they may be 14 games below .500, the Wizards are only 2.5 games back of the final playoff spot in the East. So don’t look for them to pack it in anytime soon. They are 10-6 ATS as a home underdog, winning nine of those games straight up. They can score (115.6 points/game) and have won seven of nine home games overall. Play on WASHINGTON AAA |
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02-09-20 | Washington v. Washington State +3.5 | Top | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WASHINGTON STATE Washington has lost seven out of eight, not to mention five straight. It should be pointed out that all but one of the losses (at Colorado) was by six points or fewer. Once ranked in the top 25, the Huskies’ NCAA Tournament dreams are now on life support. Obviously they can hardly afford another loss. But rival Washington State would love nothing more than to play “spoiler” here, just as they’ve done three of their past four home games. They weren’t as lucky last weekend, losing 66-49 to Arizona, but that’s one of the top teams in the Pac 12. Before that the Cougars had won three in a row here in Pullman, every time as an underdog. While neither team has played since last Saturday, we do know that Wazzu has won the last three times it has taken the floor with at least seven days rest. We also know Washington has failed to cover eight straight road games. The key to the Huskies’ slide has been the absence of PG Green, who was ruled academically ineligible last month. They’ve won just once without him and now are the last place team in the conference. Can’t back this young team laying points on the road. Play on WASHINGTON STATE AAA |
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02-09-20 | Butler v. Marquette UNDER 142 | Top | 57-76 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER Playing on FS-1 was kind to #19 Butler on Wednesday as they beat #10 Villanova at the buzzer 79-76. They are hoping history repeats itself Sunday when they travel to face a well-rested Marquette team that’s 11-1 at home and been off for eight days. The last time Marquette played, they came from behind to defeat last place DePaul 76-72. They’ll obviously take the win, but it ended a 5-game ATS streak as they were 7.5-point favorites. When these teams met last month at Hinkle Fieldhouse, it was an 89-85 Butler win. Marquette hoisted 38 three-pointers and made 16 of them. But it still wasn’t enough. We look for the rematch to be a lot lower scoring. It must be noted that the first meeting did go to overtime. It was 71-71 at the end of regulation. Both teams are solid defensively as Marquette gives up only 63.8 points/game at home while Butler gives up just 60.6 points/game period. The Under is 4-1 in the five games so far where Butler has been an underdog. Play UNDER Butler-Marquette AAA |
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02-08-20 | UCLA v. Arizona UNDER 138 | Top | 65-52 | Win | 100 | 23 h 29 m | Show |
analysis soon |
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02-08-20 | Montana v. Idaho +8 | Top | 82-71 | Loss | -107 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* on IDAHO To Big Sky country we go for this week’s top College Basketball side. Montana is leading this conference with a 9-3 record while Idaho is in last at 2-9. But Montana has a major problem when they hit the road as they’ve won just 3 times in 12 tries there and are also 3-9 ATS. They are laying a pretty decent sized number here, maybe not as large as what you’d typically think a first place team would be giving to a last place team. But the gap between first and last in the Big Sky just isn’t as large as it is in other conferences. Idaho lost by only four in Missoula last month, holding the Golden Grizzlies to only 67 points. They missed eight free throws, which cost them the game, but it was still an easy cover as 13-point underdogs. Based on that number and result, this line clearly is too high. Montana has only one conference road win by more than two points. Play on IDAHO AAA |
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02-08-20 | Stars v. Blues -155 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -155 | 22 h 40 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ST. LOUIS The last 13 months have been nothing short of incredible for the St. Louis Blues. It was around this time last year that they caught fire and went on to win the first Stanley Cup in franchise history. That “momentum” has clearly carried over into 2019-20 as they lead the Western Conference with 72 points. But they have stumbled a bit recently. Over the last eight games, they are 2-5-1 with just one of those two victories coming in a non-shootout situation. Tonight is a big game against the third place team in the division, Dallas, who has given up the fewest goals of any team in the West. But the Stars have lost two in a row and given up seven goals in doing so. They’ve allowed 30 goals over the last eight games. The Blues have won both times they’ve faced Dallas this season and are 10-1-1 L12 home games. They are allowing just 2.4 goals/game at home this year. Dallas has been outscored on the road. Play on ST LOUIS AAA |
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02-08-20 | Nets v. Raptors UNDER 222.5 | Top | 118-119 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Somehow, some way Toronto keeps winning. They ran their win streak to 13 in a row by defeating Indiana last night by a score of 115-106. They did so despite losing Kyle Lowry to an injury. Lowry isn’t likely to play tonight, which means the Raptors are going to be without three members of the starting five. Brooklyn isn’t going to have Kyrie Irving for this game either. What they hope to have is the same kind of defense that led them to convincing wins against Phoenix and Golden State earlier this week. Both games saw the Nets allow fewer than 100 points. They held Golden State to 88. Toronto is no slouch defensively in its own right. In fact, they are the #1 team in the league in defensive efficiency. That’s played a major role in how they keep winning despite all these injuries. On the second night of back to back, we just don’t see the Raptors scoring a ton of points. Same with the Nets, who are without Irving and 9-2 Under when off a double digit win. Play UNDER Brooklyn-Toronto AAA |
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02-08-20 | Virginia v. Louisville -7 | Top | 73-80 | Push | 0 | 18 h 31 m | Show |
This is an 8* on LOUISVILLE There is a pretty big gap between the top three teams and everybody else in the ACC this year. What’s surprising is that last year’s National Champ Virginia is not among the three teams well ahead of the pack. The Cavaliers are currently running 4th in the standings, but this line is pretty indicative of the gap that exists between them and the three teams above them. Louisville is in first place having won 11 of its 12 ACC games. That one loss was a while ago as the Cardinals have won nine in a row, including at Duke. The last four Louisville wins have all come by double digits. What ails UVA this season is an offense that only scores an average 56.0 points/game. The average gets even lower on the road. They are just 276th in offensive efficiency nationally. This game means a lot to Louisville. They’ve lost nine in a row to Virginia. So there won’t be any kind of letdown. If anything, the favorite should be at its best this afternoon. They’ve gone 5-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. Play on LOUISVILLE AAA |
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02-07-20 | Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 234.5 | Top | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Second time in a week that the Hawks and Celtics are playing. If unaware of who won the first time, you’d probably guess the Celtics. You would be correct. They prevailed 123-115 and both teams shot 50% from the floor. This time around though, a stunning number of key players from both sides are likely to be sitting on the bench. Trae Young is probable despite being bothered by an ankle injury. As for the rest of the Hawks roster, it will look vastly different from the last time they played Boston due to a bevy of trades. Four of Boston’s five starters are on the injury report here. This total is just too high for two potential skeleton crews to go Over. The Under is 6-2 in the Celtics last eight games (win over Atlanta being one of the two Overs). This time expect a lower-scoring affair. Play UNDER Atlanta-Boston AAA |
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02-07-20 | Iona +6.5 v. Quinnipiac | Top | 73-52 | Win | 100 | 24 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* on IONA Iona continues to underperform as they are now 3-13 ATS this season following an UGLY 72-49 loss to Manhattan on Super Bowl Sunday. That was the Gaels third loss in a row. Although Sunday wasn’t one of them, there have been seven different times that the Gaels have lost a game outright that were favored to win. They’ll be underdogs again tonight in Quinnipiac, who isn’t exactly tearing it up against the rest of the MAAC either. The Bobcats lost 75-59 to Niagara on Sunday, their fourth double digit loss in the past six games. While a decent team at home, Quinnipiac just doesn’t have what it takes to cover this spread. They were favored in that loss to Niagara on Sunday and the last time they laid this many points was vs. St. Peter’s on 1.18, a game they promptly lost by 20. Iona is better than its record as tonight marks just the THIRD time in conference play that they are getting points. Can’t say the same for Quinnipiac. Play on IONA AAA |
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02-07-20 | Sabres v. Rangers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER For the second consecutive season, the Sabres are fading fast after a strong start. Since opening 2019-20 at 9-2-1 SU, they have lost two-thirds of their games including five out of the last six. They haven’t done much scoring since the All Star Break either. Were it not for a game-tying goal near the end of regulation last night, that would have been six straight games finishing with two goals or less. They ended up losing 4-3 in OT, at home, to the worst team in the league (Detroit). Tonight Buffalo takes on a Rangers team that’s also on the outside looking in when it comes to the playoffs. NY’s last two games have both ended up 5-3 with them winning one and losing one. The win was Wednesday vs. Toronto. We like this game to go Under. Buffalo’s scoring woes aren’t confined to recent times as they average just 2.5 goals/game on the road. The Under is 8-3 the L11 times they have played with zero days rest. The Rangers have allowed more than three goals only two times in the last seven games. Even more encouraging is how few shots they’ve allowed the last five games (average of 25.4/game). Play on UNDER Buffalo/NY Rangers AAA |
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02-06-20 | Spurs v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 117-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PORTLAND After a four-game win streak that saw them upset Houston, the Lakers and Utah, Portland got severely humbled out in Denver Tuesday night. They lost 127-99 as a 4.5 point underdog. It was their worst defeat of the year, at least when it comes to margin. But now they return home for a big game against San Antonio. Both these teams are chasing the 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Right now, the Blazers have a half game lead. San Antonio is on its annual “Rodeo Road Trip” and it hasn’t started well with losses to both the Clippers and Lakers. The Lakers got them by 27 on Tuesday so both teams are coming into this game off blowout losses. But it’s the Spurs third road game in four nights, putting them at a distinct disadvantage. The Spurs are 8-16 on the road. Damian Lillard has been on fire recently for Portland and should lead his team to an easy home victory tonight. Lay the points. Play on PORTLAND AAA |
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02-06-20 | California v. Colorado -17 | Top | 65-71 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* on COLORADO California might be a lot better now when compared to years past, but they still have yet to win a single game outside of Berkeley this season. They are 0 for 7. The three road games they’ve played against Pac 12 opponents have all been double digit losses with the average margin coming by just over 19 points/game. Despite being off three straight ATS wins (all at home) and an upset of Oregon State on Saturday, the Bears are up against it tonight in Boulder where they face a Colorado side that has been pretty impressive throughout 2019-20. The Buffaloes are 17-5 and ranked #24 in the latest AP Poll. They are definitely a top three team in the Pac 12. Saturday saw them go to USC and crush the Trojans 78-57. At home, they are averaging 76.2 points/game. That should be more than enough to cover tonight’s spread as Cal is averaging a rather pathetic 53.7 points/game on the road. Play on COLORADO AAA |
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02-06-20 | Golden Knights v. Panthers +125 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* on FLORIDA Though they lost in overtime at Columbus on Tuesday (1-0), the Panthers have been one of the league’s hotter teams over the last month or so. They went into the All Star Break on a six-game win streak. Might the time off have stunted their momentum? They’ve lost two of three since and were shut out in both defeats. But all three games since the All Star Break were on the road. Tonight the Panthers finally return home where they have not played a game since January 16th. While they were shut out in the two losses since the Break, Florida has scored four or more goals in each of its last seven wins. We expect a big offensive night here against a Vegas team that is probably feeling a bit homesick right now. The Panthers average 4.0 goals/game when playing on home ice. The Golden Knights have been on the road since January 14th and couldn’t get the job done Tuesday in Tampa Bay where they lost 4-2. Florida’s record vs. teams that have losing records is 15-7 this year. Play on FLORIDA AAA |
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02-05-20 | Heat v. Clippers -7 | Top | 111-128 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the CLIPPERS Today is the beginning of the most challenging part of the season for the Miami Heat. From now until Feb 20th (which is the first game after the All-Star Break), they’ll be on the road. We all know what the Heat are capable of at home where they’ve gone 22-3 and just destroyed Philadelphia 137-106. But obviously the road has been far less kind as the Heat have played only .500 ball, going 12-12. The long road trip starts against one of the best teams in the league and the Clippers can be pretty rude hosts themselves. LA is 21-5 at home and this will be their final time playing here before breaking for All Star Weekend. When Paul George and Kawhi Leonard both play, the Clippers are pretty unbeatable. WIth those two both in the lineup tonight, the game being on national television and it being the last home game before the All Star Break, look for a really solid effort from the home side. The Heat are 0-3 this year after a game in which they scored 130 or more points. Play LA CLIPPERS AAA |
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02-05-20 | Wake Forest v. Louisville OVER 142 | Top | 76-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Louisville is ranked #5 in the new polls, the highest ranking for any ACC team. That makes sense as the Cardinals are the first place team in the ACC with a 10-1 record. They’ve won eight straight games and five of those were on the road. Hosting Wake Forest tonight should lead to another win. But the Demon Deacons are getting a lot of points. So let’s instead focus on the fact all but one of WF’s 11 ACC games have gone Over the total. The “one” was the last game they played, a 56-44 win against Clemson, an awful shooting night for both sides. Look for Louisville to put up plenty of points here. Two of Wake’s last three road games have seen them give up 90. Wake should score at least 65 here, making the Over an easy call here. Play OVER Wake Forest-Louisville AAA |
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02-05-20 | Bruins -156 v. Blackhawks | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is an 8* on BOSTON If you follow our NHL plays, this pick should not surprise you - at all. Last night’s 2-0 sweep involved us taking Boston (4-0 win) and fading Chicago (3-2 win). With these teams now matched up Wednesday, we’re sticking to the same script. Sure, Boston is now on the road (played at home last night) and Chicago is at home (played at Minnesota last night). But home ice advantage alone cannot save the Blackhawks here. They’re facing the team with the second most points in the league. The Bruins have now won four in a row and have outscored those four opponents 15-4. That includes a couple of road wins over Chicago’s division rivals (Winnipeg, Minnesota). Of course, the Blackhawks just lost in Minnesota last night. While the Bruins rolled to a relatively easy 4-0 win last night (vs. Vancouver), the Blackhawks had to go to overtime. Boston is 4-1 off its previous five shutout victories. They also have revenge for a loss at home last month. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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02-05-20 | Hawks v. Wolves OVER 236.5 | Top | 127-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Expect the scoreboard operator to be busy in this one as neither Atlanta nor Minnesota plays much defense. When the Hawks hit the road, they allow an average of 122 points/game. There’s only one team in the entire league giving up more points than Atlanta this year and while it’s not Minnesota (it’s Washington), the Timberwolves certainly give up their fair share of points (115.3 points/game). By the way, the T’wolves have lost their last 12 games! During that losing streak, there have been only two games where they didn’t give up at least 113. If they are to snap said streak, it will be by outscoring Atlanta. Fortunately for them, that may not be too difficult. The Over is 5-1 in the Hawks past six games as they’ve allowed at least 117 every time and 130+ three times. When these teams met in Atlanta back in November, it was a 125-113 win for the Timberwolves. The Hawks are 13-4 Over when seeking revenge for a home loss. Play OVER Atlanta-Minnesota AAA |
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02-05-20 | Pittsburgh v. Notre Dame -6 | Top | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NOTRE DAME There is no doubt that the ACC is having a down year. There are three really good teams (Duke, L’ville, FSU), but beyond that no one is a lock to make the NCAA Tournament. Only five of the 15 members have winning records in conference play right now. Neither Pitt nor Notre Dame are among those five. But when it comes to positioning yourself for the ACC Tournament, winning games such as this are potentially huge. Notre Dame is just 3-4 SU its past seven games, however all four losses came by five points or fewer. They have won their last two, both here in South Bend where they are now 11-3 SU this season. Both wins were as favorites as they covered a nine-point spread vs. Wake Forest (won 90-80) and 6.5-point spread vs Ga Tech (won 80-72). This is a similar type matchup for the Fighting Irish. They average 79.9 points/game at home. Pitt averages only 63.9 points/game on the road. Two things we really like about this ND team are that they 1.) turn the ball over at the lowest rate in the country and 2.) send their opponents to the FT line at the lowest rate in the country. Pitt won’t score enough to cover here. Play on NOTRE DAME AAA |
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02-04-20 | Blackhawks v. Wild -125 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MINNESOTA Minnesota is in last place in the Central Division with only 52 points. So every game now has an added importance as they try and make up ground in the playoff chase. Taking on Chicago tonight at home feels like a “must-win,” especially on the heels of being embarrassed by Boston on Saturday. That 6-1 defeat was highly unusual for a team that - more often than not - performs quite well in home games. The Wild’s record at home is 14-7-4, which is much better than their 9-15-2 SU road record. It is worth mentioning that the game vs. Boston was the Wild’s first since the All-Star Break, so maybe it can be chalked up to rust. Before the break, they’d won three of four games - all at home - one of them against Tampa Bay and one 7-0 win over Dallas. The Blackhawks remain the portrait of mediocrity, even though they have won six of their last seven games. We don’t think their recent play is an accurate snapshot of where the team is really at. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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02-04-20 | Canucks v. Bruins -180 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 6* on BOSTON Boston has lost 11 home games so far this season, but only two of those 11 losses have occurred in regulation. With 74 points, second most in the league right now, the Bruins should be feeling pretty good about themselves. If anything, it’s an 0-7 record in shootouts that’s held them back. We fully expect the B’s to have a strong second half of the season, especially at home. Since the All Star Break, they have won games by scores of 2-1 and 6-1 and those were both played on the road. Up next is a visit from Vancouver, who will be playing for a third time in four nights and all three times have come on the road. The Canucks’ five-game win streak came to a halt Sunday as they fell in a shootout at Carolina. Vancouver also happens to be a 1st place team, but has nine fewer points than Boston and plays in a much weaker division. They are a below .500 team on the road where they give up 3.4 goals/game. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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02-04-20 | Auburn v. Arkansas +1 | Top | 79-76 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* on ARKANSAS While it now seems like a bit of “ancient history,” Auburn was one of the final two undefeated teams in College Basketball (only San Diego St still left). The Tigers suffered their first loss of the season back on January 19th as they were blown out in Alabama, 83-64. They followed that up with yet another blowout loss, also on the road, 69-47 at Florida. Four straight wins, the most recent being against Kentucky, have followed. But three of the four wins came at home. We can’t overlook those two road losses or the fact the only win on the road since then came by one point (83-82 at Ole Miss) in a double overtime game. Now the Tigers head to Arkansas to face a team that’s coming off a win at Alabama, 82-78 as 3.5-point underdogs. Auburn did not shoot well in the win over Kentucky, making only 35.3 percent of their total field goal attempts, which includes 6 of 23 from three-point range. A big reason Arkansas has been able to win 11 of its 13 home games this year is that they are allowing only 59.5 PPG. Auburn comes in ranked #11 in the country, which is clearly too high. They also have a giant lookahead to a home game vs. LSU this weekend. Play on ARKANSAS AAA |
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02-03-20 | 76ers v. Heat OVER 213 | Top | 106-137 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER The way things are looking now, this could be a first round playoff series. Miami has definitely been a little lucky this season as they have gone 8-0 in games that went to overtime. Really! Philadelphia, like Miami, is a dominant team at home but a little more suspect on the road. The Sixers and Heat have combined to go 43-5 straight up in home games but are also a combined 21-29 straight up on the road. It’s Philadelphia (9-17 SU) that really seems to struggle on the road, so this game being in Miami would seem to be a large edge for the Heat. Philly gives up 109.4 points/game on the road as opposed to 101.2 at home. Miami is up to 115.7 points/game at home. But we still feel more comfortable taking the Over than laying the points here. The Over is 28-19-1 in all Heat games including 15-9 at home. Philly’s last three games have all gone Over. Play OVER Philadelphia-Miami AAA |
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02-03-20 | Knicks v. Cavs -1.5 | Top | 139-134 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CLEVELAND We’ve got two BAD teams facing off here, although the Knicks have surprisingly been playing better of late. They’ve gone 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games, which includes a 106-86 win here in Cleveland back on MLK Day. On Saturday, the Knicks shocked the Pacers, winning 92-87 as 11-point underdogs. The Cavs have been terrible, with just one win in their past 11 games, but we like them to get revenge against the Knicks tonight. It’s been a LONG time since the Cavs won a game at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. You’d have to go back to before Christmas when they won three in a row. Since then, it’s been 10 straight losses here, including an embarrassing one to Golden State on Saturday where they were favored and lost 131-112. We expect an “all hands on deck” approach to this one from the home side as this is a game Cleveland “knows” it can win. The Knicks have won as an underdog eight times previous to the win at Indiana. Only twice have they followed that up by winning again. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
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02-03-20 | North Carolina v. Florida State OVER 143 | Top | 59-65 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER North Carolina’s season-long struggles are well documented at this point. The Tar Heels, who just lost as 12-point favorites to Boston College on Saturday, are 10-11 overall and it would take a miracle run in the ACC Tournament for them to get into March Madness. But at least Cole Anthony is now back and he scored a team-high 26 in the 71-70 loss to BC. The struggles of UNC and some other ACC squads has resulted in a top-heavy conference in 2020 with three top 10 teams and no one else guaranteed to make the Big Dance. One of those top teams is Florida State, who did lose a game last week (61-56 at Virginia), but then quickly bounced back with a 74-63 win at Va Tech on Saturday. Both games last week were road games for the Seminoles. Back in Tallahassee we are likely to see more scoring from them tonight. They are averaging 82.8 points at home where they have won all 10 times. North Carolina averages a solid 71.5 points/game and now has Anthony back, but defense is their issue. Only two ACC opponents have been unable to hit 71 points on Roy Williams team. FSU has gone Over in four straight and the Over is 10-1 for them at home when the number is 140 to 149.5. Play OVER North Carolina-Florida State AAA |
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02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 268 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER Both Super Bowl participants have seen their defenses get the job done over multi-game stretches. San Francisco’s defense didn’t allow more than 20 points in any of its first seven games. Then came a rash of injuries, which in turn saw them allow more points per game over the second half of the season. But they got healthy again just in time for the playoffs - and just like we saw over those first seven games - they have been an elite group. They held the Vikings and Packers to just 30 points, pitching a shutout for a half in each game. They’d allowed just 10 points through six quarters before Green Bay put some “garbage time” points up. The 49ers rank second in yards allowed and are a top 10 scoring defense. But surprisingly, the Chiefs are also a top 10 scoring defense and allow just 18.0 points in road games. They held Tennessee and Houston to basically nothing after the first quarter of each playoff game. In the final six regular season games, the Chiefs held every opponent to 21 points or less. Play UNDER 49ers-Chiefs AAA |
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02-02-20 | Bulls v. Raptors OVER 217 | Top | 102-129 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Toronto made it 10 straight wins on Friday. They won in Detroit 105-92 as a 3.5-point favorite. One more win and the Raptors tie the franchise’s longest win streak in history. They’ll have to go through Chicago Sunday. Odds are in the Raptors favor, but we don’t want to lay double digits with a side playing for a third time in four days. We are counting on plenty of points to be scored, however. The Bulls just allowed a season-high 133 in their last game, 54 of them coming from Kyrie Irving. It was the Bulls fourth straight time going Over as they scored 118 themselves. Toronto games - by in large - are much more high scoring at home. We’re looking at an average of 222.7 points/game as opposed to 214.0 on the road. The Over is also 6-0 the last six times the Raptors have been off an ATS win. Play OVER Chicago-Toronto AAA |
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02-02-20 | Penguins v. Capitals UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER The NHL picked a good “spotlight” game for Super Sunday as the Capitals and Penguins meet for the 1st time this season. The Capitals have the most points in the league (75) and lead the Metropolitan Division. But the Penguins aren’t too far behind with 69 points. Both teams come in hot. Washington has won five out of its last six contests including 5-3 at Ottawa on Friday. Pittsburgh has won seven of its last nine. They also won Friday, 4-3 in overtime against Philadelphia. Alex Ovechkin, coming off two straight hat tricks, is chasing history Sunday as he nears 700 career goals and an 11th straight season with 40+. But Ovechkin may have to wait another day to achieve those marks. Because we’ve got this one staying Under. Pittsburgh is 12-4 the last 16 times they’ve faced a team off 5+ goal game. The Pens have also been held to two goals or less in three of the past five games. Washington cannot possibly maintain its 4.8 goal average from its past five games. Play UNDER Pittsburgh-Washington AAA |
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02-01-20 | Blackhawks v. Coyotes -155 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -155 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ARIZONA Arizona has lost seven of eight including both games they’ve played since the All Star Break. This has caused them to slide down the Pacific Division standings where they are now in fifth despite having the second best goal differential (+5). The good news for the Coyotes is that they are only two points out of second place and four out of first. We like their chances of picking up two points tonight as they host a Chicago team they’ve already beaten twice this season. The Blackhawks have yet to play a game since the All Star Break, so there’s a good chance they’re rusty. The Break came at somewhat of a bad time for the ‘Hawks as they’d won five of six prior to it. Before losing Thursday to Los Angeles, the Coyotes had been 3-0 when off three straight losses. Look for their longest losing streak of the season to come to an end Saturday. Play on ARIZONA AAA |
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02-01-20 | Warriors v. Cavs -1.5 | Top | 131-112 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CLEVELAND How far the mighty have fallen! The Warriors and Cavaliers met four straight years in the NBA Finals (2015-18), but that seems like “ancient history” now as Golden State (who won three of those finals) have been besieged by injuries while Cleveland (won 2016 Finals) saw LeBron James leave them for a second time. The Cavs are still trying to find their way post-LeBron, but they actually have a better record than the Warriors this season (13-36 vs. 10-39), which is obviously something that nobody anticipated being the case. Since a four-game win streak from 12/20-12/27, Golden State has won just once (1/18 vs. Orlando). They have lost 15 of 16 overall and their last road win was December 6th in Chicago! It’s 10 straight losses on the road including a pair of double digit defeats to Boston and Philadelphia this week. Therefore, we relish the opportunity to lay such a short number here, even with a team like Cleveland. It’s not like the Cavaliers aren’t going to be motivated tonight. Since the 2016 Finals (when they came back to win after facing a 3-1 series deficit), they are just 2-13 vs. Golden State including nine losses in a row. Time for that streak to end. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
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02-01-20 | UC-Santa Barbara v. Long Beach State +4.5 | Top | 87-62 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
THis is a 10* on LONG BEACH STATE You may not think much of a Long Beach State team that’s just 7-15 overall and 2-4 in conference play. But there are two reasons you should believe in the 49ers tonight. First off, they are at home. While the 49ers may have lost Thursday at UC Riverside (77-69 as eight-point underdogs), their last home game saw them upset UC Irvine, who is the top team in the Big West. LBSU is the only team to have handed UC Irvine a conference loss thus far. They also handed tonight’s opponent, UCSB, a loss back on January 11th. That was an even bigger upset as the 49ers were 14-point underdogs in a 55-52 win. They held the Gauchos to 9 of 29 on two-point attempts, which is pretty ridiculous. It was the fifth time in a row the road team won in this particular Big West rivalry. We’ll buck that trend tonight, however, as three of those five games were decided by five points or less and UCSB has lost its last two Big West road games. The last one was Thursday as they fell to CS-Northridge 79-67 as a three-point favorite. Play on LONG BEACH STATE AAA |
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02-01-20 | Harvard v. Princeton +2 | Top | 69-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
This is an 8* on PRINCETON Ivy League teams are accustomed to playing back to back nights (Friday and Saturday). But this week marks the first occurrence of that happening in conference play. Harvard, who has not covered once in its last four games, lost 75-72 as a one-point favorite to Penn last night. It was the Crimson’s 1st Ivy League loss as they had previously swept a home and home from Dartmouth. Princeton now has a 3-0 conference record after beating Dartmouth 66-44 last night. The Tigers were 5.5-point favorites and at home for that one, so the schedule is in their favor as Harvard is playing two straight on the road. Princeton previously swept a home and home from Penn (who just beat Harvard) and has won five in a row overall. They are 0-4 straight up and against the spread vs. Harvard the past two years, so you know they are eager to take the court tonight. We really don’t understand why the home team isn't favored in this one. Play on PRINCETON AAA |
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02-01-20 | Eastern Illinois v. Austin Peay UNDER 147.5 | Top | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Austin Peay has been nothing short of incredible since conference play began. The Governors have opened with nine consecutive wins over OVC teams and have covered the spread in all nine games. They are headed for an eventual showdown with Murray State, who also has a 9-0 conference record, but the two unbeatens won’t play until Feb 13. Not only is Austin Peay unbeaten in conference play, they also have a 10-0 record at home, which is where they’ll be Saturday vs. Eastern Illinois. The visiting Panthers are five games off the pace set by Austin Peay and Murray State in the OVC and just lost to Murray State two nights ago, 73-70. They did easily cover the 11-point spread though in a game effort. The loss snapped a four-game win streak. We’re going Under in today’s matchup as Austin Peay just held its last opponent (SIU Edwardsville) to 58 points and Eastern Illinois tends to not do much scoring on the road. EIU is 6-1 Under this season playing with one or zero days rest and their last two games both went Under. Play UNDER Eastern Illinois/Austin Peay AAA |
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01-31-20 | Golden Knights +1.5 v. Hurricanes | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 6* on VEGAS +1.5 For both teams, this is the first game since the All Star Break. Vegas ended the first half by losing six of its last seven, so they’re eager to hit the ice and we can’t see this being anything worse than a one goal loss for the Golden Knights. Their last two losses, 5-4 at Montreal and 3-2 at Boston, were by both a goal. In terms of how many goals they’ve scored vs. allowed this season, the Knights are basically even (+2). Increasing the sense of urgency is they’ve fallen into fifth place in the division, leaving them on the edge of the playoffs. But a win tonight could have them back in third place. Out East, Carolina is in a similar situation, that being fifth in their own division and tied for the final Wild Card spot. Neither of these teams has won a game this year when playing three or more days rest. So there’s no edge there. The Hurricanes did win two straight before the ASB, but one of those wins was by just a goal and before that they’d lost three in a row. Play VEGAS on the PUCK LINE (+1.5) AAA |
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01-31-20 | Mavs v. Rockets -8.5 | Top | 121-128 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* on HOUSTON This game is on ESPN. Unfortunately, we won’t be seeing Luka Doncic as the Mavs superstar re-injured his ankle in practice Thursday. The same ankle was sprained earlier in the year causing Doncic to miss four games. He’s reportedly going to miss at least the next two. Both Dallas and Houston enter this game at 29-18, tied for 5th in the Western Conference. But with Doncic out, it’s pretty clear which team is going to be better and we’ll look to take full advantage. The Rockets have lost six of nine and just split four games on the road. They’re off a loss in Portland, 125-112 as a 5-point favorite. So look for them to come out highly motivated in their return home against a wounded rival. They are 6-2 ATS off a double digit loss this season. Dallas was just buried, at home, by Phoenix and that was with Doncic in the lineup. We faded the Mavs there as they lost for a third time in the last five games and gave up a season-high 133 points. Houston also has revenge here for a 14-point loss earlier in the year when Doncic went for 41 points. He won’t be there tonight so look for superstars James Harden and Russell Westbrook to carry the Rockets to a big victory. Play on HOUSTON AAA |
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01-31-20 | Flyers v. Penguins -165 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
This is an 8* on PITTSBURGH This is technically the back half of a home and home between the NHL’s two Keystone State teams. But the first half was played ten days ago, before the All Star Break. The Flyers were 3-0 winners at home, giving them 60 points, but that’s only good enough for sixth place in a tight Metropolitan Division race. The Penguins have 67 points, which has them in second and a safe bet to make the playoffs. To us, Pittsburgh is a clear top four team in the Eastern Conference and they should get payback tonight. After scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game, the Penguins have gone 8-2 SU the next time out. This game being in Pittsburgh really affects how we handicap it. The Pens are 18-5-3 in home games and average 3.5 goals while giving up just 2.5. The Flyers aren’t good road team as they average only 2.8 goals while giving up 3.8, leaving them with a 10-13-2 mark. Honestly, being outscored by a full goal per game, you’d think they’d have a worse road record. This is a game where we expect the home team to dominate. Play on PITTSBURGH AAA |
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01-31-20 | Columbia +16 v. Yale | Top | 62-93 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* on COLUMBIA Yale is the class of the Ivy League this year, but with that comes the weight of expectations and we’re likely to see them be overpriced on a game by game basis. The Bulldogs opened Ivy League play by sweeping a home and home with Brown. In between those two wins, they beat Howard 89-75 on the road. But Columbia won’t be intimidated tonight. They won here last season, as a 12.5-point underdog, 83-75. The Lions split a home and home with Cornell to open their Ivy League schedule. There was no game in between for them. Both teams have been off for at least six days coming into tonight. Yale lost its only previous game this year when they had that much rest and could be rusty tonight. Columbia is 3-1 when playing with 5 or 6 days rest this season. Pulling the outright upset at Yale for the second straight year may not seem likely, but Columbia staying within the number certainly does. This is only the 4th time Yale has been a favorite of 12.5 or more points the last three seasons. They are 1-2 ATS the previous three instances. Play on COLUMBIA AAA |
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01-30-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets -1.5 | Top | 100-106 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DENVER Bad spot here for Utah as they lost last night in San Antonio and now head to Denver where they’ll have to not only deal with the elevation but also a Nuggets team that sports the same 32-15 SU record. Denver, like Utah, lost its last game. But that was in Memphis. When playing at home, the Nuggets are 18-6 and holding teams to 103.9 points/game. Utah hasn’t had many back to backs this year (only four prior to this one). The last two games have seen the Jazz fall as favorites. Not only were they -5 at San Antonio, but they were -14.5 vs. Houston as the Rockets won that game without James Harden and Russell Westbrook. A third game in four nights, with no rest, is going to be too much to overcome here as Denver is every bit as motivated off their loss. While this is the first time facing the Jazz, he Nuggets record in division games this year is 6-0 (straight up). Play on DENVER AAA |
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01-30-20 | Tenn-Martin v. Eastern Kentucky -4 | Top | 86-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* on EASTERN KENTUCKY Eastern Kentucky has put together a three-game win streak and what’s most impressive about it is that all three wins were on the road. Two were as underdogs of 7.5 points or more and the Colonels scored 80 or more in all three. They might be just 9-12 overall, but they have a 6-2 record vs. the Ohio Valley Conference as they’re a solid third, trailing only the two unbeaten teams - Murray State and Austin Peay. Tonight EKU takes its turn as a favorite facing a bad Tennessee-Martin team that is near the bottom of the OVC with a 2-6 record. The Skyhawks are giving up a ton of points this year, 83.7 per game to be exact, and it only gets worse when they are on the road. They picked up a rare win Saturday, beating SIU-Edwardsville 79-76, but at no point this season have the Skyhawks been able to win two in a row. This is a shockingly low number to lay to a bad team like Tenn-Martin. Play on EASTERN KENTUCKY AAA |
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01-30-20 | Canadiens v. Sabres -102 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Buffalo just gave up five goals in a loss to Ottawa on Tuesday and now must deal with the loss of #1 netminder Linus Ullmark as they are set to host Montreal in a battle of desperate Atlantic Division teams. Both the Sabres and Canadiens have 51 points. They also share the distinction of being 0-1 since the All Star Break. Montreal lost a home game, 4-2 to Washington. No matter who gets the call in goal for tonight, we expect both teams to be stingier than they were last time we saw them. Buffalo had allowed a total of just six goals in its last four games before the break. Interestingly, none of the five goals they allowed to Ottawa were at even strength. Three came when they were a man down, then they allowed one when on the power play themselves and the final tally came on an empty net. The Under is 5-1-1 in Montreal’s last seven games and they are 23-8-2 Under in the month of January the last three seasons. Play UNDER Montreal-Buffalo AAA |
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01-30-20 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Cleveland State UNDER 144 | Top | 62-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER IUPUI and Cleveland State are at the bottom of the Horizon League. IUPUI’s 89-85 win against Oakland on Saturday required overtime and was just their second conference win of the year. The only Horizon League game the Jaguars were favored to win, they lost, and that was against Cleveland State on December 30th. The Vikings won that game 82-80 on a buzzer beater, but look for the rematch to feature a lot less scoring. The Under is 5-0-1 in Cleveland State’s past six games and they just held Milwaukee to 53 points in a win Saturday. The Under is also 6-0 this season for them when the total is 140 to 149.5. This is also an offensively challenged team that averages only 63.4 PPG. In that December 30th meeting, both sides shot north of 50 percent, something we don’t see taking place this time around. Play UNDER IUPUI-Cleveland State AAA |
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01-29-20 | Canucks v. Sharks -102 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SAN JOSE We said San Jose was in quite the hole coming out of the All Star Break as there is a lot of ground to make up if they are to get back into serious playoff contention. But Monday’s 4-2 win against Anaheim was the first step in the right direction. We backed them Monday and will do so again tonight vs. Vancouver. While the Canucks currently lead the Pacific Division, it’s a tenuous lead at best. They have 10 fewer points than every other division leader across the league. Something we mentioned in backing the Sharks Monday is that they haven’t played too many home games recently. But when they have, they’ve made the most of it. They’re a perfect 3-0 at “The Tank” in 2020. Vancouver comes in riding a 3-game win streak, but all three wins were at home. On a recent road trip, they finished just 2-3. They’ve lost six of the last seven times they’ve come to San Jose. Home ice matters! Play on SAN JOSE AAA |
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01-29-20 | San Jose State +16 v. Boise State | Top | 71-99 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SAN JOSE ST San Jose State won its last game, 90-81 over Air Force, which will give it some much needed confidence going into tonight where they are big underdogs at Boise State. The host Broncos won their only game last week, 87-53 at Fresno State. But before that, they hadn’t won a game by more than 11 points since before 2020 began. So we’re going to fade here as this looks to be an inflated line. San Jose State has definitely struggled here in Boise in the past, including a 48-point loss last year. That was the 16th straight loss here and the Spartans are just 3-13 ATS in those games. But this time will be different as this team comes in motivated and ready to play. Boise State is just 1-3 ATS off its conference wins this season. Play on SAN JOSE STATE AAA |
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01-29-20 | Grizzlies v. Knicks +3 | Top | 127-106 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NEW YORK The Knicks 5-game ATS win streak came to an end last night in Charlotte as they lost to the Hornets by a score of 97-92. They blew a 13-point lead. We thought the game would end up being a lot higher scoring and the reason it wasn’t is NY couldn’t buy a basket. That was a stark contrast to their last time playing at home when they shot 53.3% in a 110-97 win over Brooklyn. The Grizzlies head to Madison Square Garden this evening looking to win a fourth straight game and for the 11th time in 13 games. Memphis also played yesterday as they beat Denver 104-96, thanks to some real sharp shooting. They finished the game at 56.1%, their third game in a row at above 52% (3-0 ATS). Don’t think they’ll be able to sustain that level of shooting. There’s also some pressure on Memphis here as a win would get them to .500, something they haven’t been this late in a season in several years. The Grizzlies have not fared well in non-conference games the last few seasons, going 20-56 straight up and 27-47 against the spread. This is a team that’s only been favored in 12 games all season! Play on NEW YORK AAA |
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01-28-20 | Suns +6 v. Mavs | Top | 133-104 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PHOENIX Dallas was a winner last night as they went into Oklahoma City and prevailed 107-97. That was no small feat as the Thunder came into the game on a 5-0 SU/ATS run. Here the Mavs get to play host to a Phoenix team that is like Dallas in the sense that each probably feels they should have a better won-loss record. Though they’ve lost three of the last four games, two of them were by five points or less. This is a quick 24-hour turnaround for the Mavericks and they just played three tough road games (Utah, Portland, OKC). Winning here by any kind of substantial margin seems like a difficult proposition. Phoenix is 10-11 straight up on the road and 13-8 against the spread. They’ve won at Boston and San Antonio already this month. Grab the points. Play on PHOENIX AAA |
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01-28-20 | Virginia Tech v. Miami-FL +3 | Top | 61-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 8* on MIAMI Miami is having a pretty dreadful season. Back to back road games with Duke and North Carolina last week may have been the nadir. They lost those two games by a combined 55 points. That makes it four straight losses for the Hurricanes and six losses in the last seven games. But during that time they’ve played Duke twice, not to mention Louisville and Florida State. They’ve arguably faced the toughest schedule of any ACC team. Virginia Tech has avoided all those teams and thus is a surprising 5-4 in conference play. But the Hokies did just lose as a 4.5-point favorite at Boston College Saturday. They also got humiliated down the road in Virginia last month, losing 65-39. So they aren’t to be trusted on the road. We’ll fade here as this line screams “upset.” Miami can score at home (76.7 PPG), something they struggle to do on the road. Play on MIAMI FL AAA |
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01-28-20 | Senators v. Sabres UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER The Senators suffered a pretty painful loss last night, losing 4-3 in a shootout to New Jersey. None of Ottawa’s goals came at even strength as one was via the power play and two came shorthanded. Scoring twice when down a man is exceedingly rare for one game, so don’t look for that to happen again anytime soon. The Senators aren’t a very high scoring team to begin with as they only average 2.3 goals per game on the road. Buffalo will begin its second half tonight looking to bounce back from a 2-1 defeat to Nashville in their last game. The Sabres are 7-2 Under when off a game where they scored 1 or 0 goals. On the flip side, they have allowed just six goals in the last four games. So it should be a low-scoring affair tonight in upstate NY. Both previous meetings this season have stayed Under the total. Play UNDER Ottawa-Buffalo AAA |
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01-28-20 | Knicks v. Hornets OVER 209 | Top | 92-97 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The Knicks have inexplicably caught fire at the betting window, covering five straight games with the most recent being a 110-97 SU win over Brooklyn. During the 5-game ATS win streak, they’ve allowed 100 points or less four different times. The Under is 6-1 their last seven games. Here they’ll travel to Charlotte to face a Hornets team that is 5-1 Under its last six games. Speaking of travel, the Hornets are back from Paris where they lost 116-103 to Milwaukee. Here in the States, they’ve been held below 100 four of the last five games. By the way, they’re also on an eight-game losing streak and 2-14 their last 16 games. Despite both teams recent rash of low-scoring affairs, we look for this one to go Over the total. Over the course of the season, neither team has played consistently good defense. The Over is 18-6-2 the previous 26 meetings and 4-1 the last five times the Knicks have been a road underdog. The Hornets are 14-4 Over the last 18 games vs. teams that have losing records. Play OVER NY-Charlotte AAA |
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01-28-20 | Syracuse v. Clemson -1.5 | Top | 70-71 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CLEMSON Given the relative lack of depth we’re seeing in the ACC, someone was bound to overachieve. One of the bigger beneficiaries of that lack of depth seems to be Syracuse. The Orange have won their last five games to get to 6-3 in league play. They’ve also covered the spread in all five wins, which includes a pair of 2-point road victories. Jim Boeheim’s crew is back on the road this evening, visiting Clemson, who just lost to Louisville to fall to 4-5 SU in ACC play. This game would seem to be more important to the Tigers. One thing we like is Clemson holds visiting teams to an average of just 61.6 points/game. Syracuse allows 75.6 points/game on the road. Unlike Clemson, the ‘Cuse has somewhat skirted the ACC’s top teams. No Duke, Louisville or Florida State. They were picked to finish 8th for a reason. The win streak ends tonight in Death Valley. Play on CLEMSON AAA |
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01-27-20 | Ducks v. Sharks -140 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 9* on SAN JOSE It wasn’t a great first half of the season for either of these Pacific Division teams and it’ll take one heck of a run for either to get back into serious playoff contention. Considering what a down year it’s been in the Pacific (no one running away), both teams probably went into the All-Star Break scratching their heads a little bit. Anaheim did win a pair of road games, on back to back nights, against Nashville and Carolina before the Break hit while San Jose has lost three straight. All three Sharks losses were on the road though. Since the calendar turned to 2020, the Sharks have gotten to play only two home games and won them both - beating Columbus and Dallas - both of whom are red hot teams right now. So getting the Ducks at home should lead to a nice start to the second half for San Jose. They are 10-4 vs. Anaheim the last three seasons and we don’t think those two Ducks road victories before the All Star Break should be taken too seriously. This is a team that is 8-15-2 SU on the road and being outscored by a full goal per game. Play on SAN JOSE AAA |
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01-27-20 | Northern Colorado v. Eastern Washington | Top | 84-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* on EASTERN WASHINGTON Eastern Washington needed OT to prevail on Saturday, 81-78 over Southern Utah. The win ensured the Eagles would remain in a second place tie in the Big Sky with a 5-2 conference record. Tonight they host the team that they are tied with, Northern Colorado. These two are two back of first place Montana (7-2) in the win column, so whomever wins here is only a half game back. We believe that team will be EWU as they are averaging an incredible 93.7 points at home where they own a 7-1 (straight up) record. The Eagles are one of the highest scoring teams in the entire country, so it’s going to be interesting to see how they do against one of the conference’s better defensive teams. Northern Colorado only gives up 60.8 points/game, but we don’t like this spot for them as it’s the second road game in three days. The Bears beat Idaho handily on Saturday, 74-53 as an 8.5-point favorite. But be aware that before that win they’d lost outright as a 10.5-point favorite at home to Northern Arizona. This is the first time all year that Northern Colorado has this quick of a turnaround between road games. Play on E WASHINGTON AAA |
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01-27-20 | Cavs +7 v. Pistons | Top | 115-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CLEVELAND The Cavs lost their seventh straight game Saturday night as a long season seemingly gets even longer. But it’s pretty crazy to think that Detroit has only five more wins on the year than Cleveland does. Seeing this number attached to the Pistons immediately caught our eye as there’s no real reason for them to be this big of a favorite. Earlier in the month, these Central Division foes played a couple of tight games - both decided by three points or less - with the road team going 2-0. The Pistons are off a couple of double digit losses here at home - to Memphis and Brooklyn - so again, not sure why anyone would want to lay this many points with them right now. The Pistons have lost six of their last nine overall and are just 9-15 straight up and against the spread on the road. They are 1-5 ATS L6 as a favorite including 0 for 4 when laying more than two points. They didn’t cover either game vs. the Cavs earlier in the month. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
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01-26-20 | Raptors v. Spurs +3.5 | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SAN ANTONIO Toronto has won six straight games, pulling them into a tie with Miami for 2nd place in the Eastern Conference. However, the Raptors did not cover last time out as we said they would not. We took the points with the Knicks and tonight is a far more daunting road trip into San Antonio. While the Spurs are not as strong as they’ve usually been for Greg Popovich, this is a team that has won outright each of the last three times it has been getting points. They did lose, as a favorite, Friday at home to Phoenix. That game saw us go against SA, making us winners on each of these team’s last game. The Spurs won in Toronto 105-104 back on January 12th as a 4.5-point underdog. The Raptors are a bit healthier now than they were back then, but not as well rested, so this pointspread doesn’t make much sense to us. Toronto was off three days rest when they hosted the Spurs two weeks ago. Now they’re playing a second road game in three days. The Spurs have covered the last five games vs. the Raptors. Play on SAN ANTONIO AAA |
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01-26-20 | San Diego State v. UNLV +7 | Top | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNLV The only team in the country still undefeated is San Diego State, who is 20-0 and ranked #4 in the country. But in the last week we’ve seen them fail to cover the number in home games against Nevada and Wyoming. They’ve covered all six road games this year but today is going to be one of the more challenging ones as they visit Las Vegas. We don’t believe the Aztecs are running the table so an eventual loss is inevitable. UNLV is holding visiting teams to 40.4% shooting and 65.5 PPG. The Runnin’ Rebels lost at Nevada earlier this week, thanks to a poor defensive effort. But they are certainly going to be “up” for this game, which figures to be the biggest home date of the conference schedule. That loss to Nevada was just the second in nine games for the Rebels and they beat Utah State (MWC’s 2nd best team) by 17 here at the Thomas & Mack Center back on New Year’s Day. UNLV is now the second place in the conference and the most motivating factor of all is they’ve lost 14 straight home games to SDSU. We believe they are capable of pulling the upset here today. UNLV has at least covered off four of their last five losses. Play on UNLV AAA |
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01-26-20 | Tulsa +6 v. Connecticut | Top | 79-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
This is an 8* on TULSA Tulsa will technically be gunning for a third straight upset on Sunday. They were 1.5 point underdogs when they won 67-54 at Tulane last Saturday. Then came the big one as they stunned Memphis 80-40 on Wednesday. They were three-point underdogs at home for that one, which was basically over by halftime as the Golden Hurricane led 40-17. It was their largest margin of victory EVER over a ranked team as they shot 50% against the team that came in leading the country in field goal percentage defense (35%). Tulsa also held Memphis to 28.6% shooting including 2 of 21 on three-point attempts! Here they are up against a far weaker opponent in UConn, who has lost five of six. The only win during that stretch was by six points. The Huskies are off back to back road losses where they were held under 60 points. Connecticut is 3-12 ATS after being held to 60 points or fewer. That includes an 0-4 record this season. Tulsa is 6-3 ATS as a dog this year, winning outright five times. With the way these teams are trending, we’ll grab the points. Play on TULSA AAA |
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01-25-20 | Colorado State v. Utah State OVER 140.5 | Top | 61-77 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER It’s been a pretty disappointing season for Utah State. Like everyone else in the Mountain West, they are left staring up at San Diego State, the only team in the country still undefeated. The MWC had belonged to Utah State the last couple seasons, but they’ve been upset four different times in 2019-20, leaving them with a 15-6 overall record. But at home the Aggies are still pretty lethal. They average 86.4 points/game in Logan where they’ve lost only one time and that was to San Diego State. Scoring on Colorado State shouldn’t prove too difficult tonight, but defending the Rams is a whole different matter. CSU has won five straight games and averaged 86.4 points/game in doing so. They just dropped 86 on Fresno State Wednesday night. The two times these schools met last year, the final scores were 87-72 and 100-96 (both Utah State wins). This is going to be another track meet. Play OVER Colorado State-Utah State AAA |
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01-25-20 | Lakers v. 76ers OVER 216.5 | Top | 91-108 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The Lakers head to Philadelphia having gone 12-2 the last 14 games. A road trip that began last Saturday in Houston wraps up tonight against a team that has won 20 of its 22 home games. But the Sixers are coming off a loss here as they could only score 95 points at Toronto Wednesday night. They should score a lot more tonight as they average 111.4 points/game at home and the Over is 8-3 when they are off an ATS loss. The Over is also 7-2 their last nine home games. Of course, the Sixers also figure to be challenged defensively in this game. The Lakers are 7-1 Over their last eight games overall and 6-1 Over their last seven road games. The Over is also 6-0 the last six times LA has been off a win. Look for a high-scoring affair tonight on ABC. Play OVER Lakers-Sixers AAA |
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01-25-20 | Bulls v. Cavs +1 | Top | 118-106 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CLEVELAND Since New Year’s Eve, Cleveland is just 2-11. Tonight at home, they hope the “third time will be the charm.” This week has seen them lose twice at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse, to the Knicks and Wizards, teams that are well below .500. They were even favored (-2.5) against Washington Thursday, but lost 124-112 due to lack of defense. But tonight looks like a good time to take a flier on the Cavs. They are getting Chicago, who is fresh off a terrible showing last night at home vs. Sacramento. The Bulls lost that one 98-81 as it was the third time in the past five games they failed to score 100 points. The Bulls aren’t a great offensive team to begin with and shot just 39% last night. They had only 12 points in the fourth quarter vs. the Kings as they played for the first time without Lori Markkanen. For a Cleveland team that doesn’t win much, this is one of their more “winnable” games in some time and will be treated as such. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
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01-25-20 | USC v. Oregon State -2.5 | Top | 75-55 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OREGON STATE Since turning in arguably their best performance of the season, that being an 82-65 beatdown of Arizona here in Corvallis, Oregon State has lost three in a row. Two of those losses came on the road, but Thursday’s 62-58 setback to UCLA did not. But we can’t see the Beavers losing two straight home games, even if USC is 5-1 ATS in Pac 12 play. This is an absolutely terrible situation for the Trojans. Not only is it a second road game in three nights, which is always problematic, but Thursday saw them come up short in a double overtime affair with #12 Oregon. Getting over that kind of defeat is tough and not something most teams can do within a 48 hour turnaround. USC is only shooting 40.5% in conference play while Oregon State averages 78.5 PPG at home. Play on OREGON STATE AAA |
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01-25-20 | Miami-FL v. North Carolina -5.5 | Top | 71-94 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
This is an 8* on NORTH CAROLINA What coach Roy Williams already called “not a very gifted team” has become far worse than that as North Carolina is now 8-10 and on a 5 game losing streak. They just covered for the first time in 2020 in Wednesday’s 79-77 loss at Virginia Tech. Those around the program are saying the problems are far deeper than just Cole Anthony getting hurt. Regardless we’ll back the Tar Heels on Saturday as they play host to a Miami team that just got blown out by 30 at Duke. UNC is no Duke but they don’t have to be with a pointspread of this size. Miami has lost five of its last six games, putting them ahead of only … North Carolina in the standings. Four of those five Miami losses have been by double digits. They’ve allowed 80 or more points in each of the last three games. As bad as UNC has been so far, this is a game they should … and will win handily. Play on NORTH CAROLINA AAA |
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01-24-20 | Marquette v. Butler -5.5 | Top | 85-89 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
This is an 8* on BUTLER Butler looks to get back on track here as all of a sudden they’ve dropped three in a row. They were 15-1 with the only loss coming by 1 point to current #1 Baylor. But the competition is fierce here in the Big East and the Bulldogs have already lost to the two teams that will be their main competition. That would be Seton Hall and Villanova. We were on ‘Nova against Butler on Tuesday and that was a 76-61 game the Bulldogs were never really in. Thankfully, tonight the schedule lessens up with a visit by Marquette. The Golden Eagles just aren’t as good as Seton Hall or Villanova, even though they do hold a win over the latter. They are also 1-5 straight up and against the spread their last six visits to historic Hinkle Fieldhouse. Can’t see Butler losing again. They give up 54.1 points/game at home. With this not being a large spread, we’ll lay it. Play on BUTLER AAA |
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01-24-20 | Suns +4.5 v. Spurs | Top | 103-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PHOENIX More than half of the games have already been played this NBA season and it very much looks like the top seven in the Western Conference have really solidified themselves. What order those seven teams finish in is still to be determined as is who is going to get the #8 spot. The Suns and Spurs are both contenders (for the #8 spot) and meet Friday in the Alamo. San Antonio, who hasn’t missed the playoffs since the late 1990’s, currently has the position after knocking off New Orleans in Zion Williamson’s debut Wednesday. Phoenix has the second longest active playoff drought in the league (2010) but has the feel of an improved team this year. Despite being eight games below .500, the Suns are very much a competitive team. They just faced the Spurs earlier in the week, at home, and lost by two points. So this is a revenge game and they are 18-9 ATS the L27 games in that situation. After losing by two to the Spurs Monday, it was a far worse showing vs. Indiana on Wednesday. But this is a team that’s gone 4-2 SU its last six on the road including an upset over Boston. While the Spurs are on a three-game win streak, all three wins have been by five points or less. Play on PHOENIX AAA |
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01-24-20 | Raptors v. Knicks +8 | Top | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
This is an 8* on NEW YORK Despite losing the Finals MVP (Kawhi Leonard) to the Clippers and a myriad of holdovers to various injuries, the Raptors have persevered into 2020 with the third best record in the Eastern Conference. They’re as healthy now as they’ve been all season and that’s resulted in a five-game win streak where they’ve averaged 124.2 points/game. But tonight’s game is far trickier than its looks with the Knicks having covered three straight. New York played both Philadelphia and the Lakers tough here at home, losing those games by only three and eight points. In between, they went to Cleveland and picked up a 20-point victory. This is a pretty decent number that Toronto is laying here. Though they’ve yet to drop a game as a road favorite this season (9-0 straight up), they just failed to cover in Atlanta as 8.5-point favorites (won by 5) and that’s the only time they’ve been asked to lay more in a road game than what they are laying for this one. Play on NEW YORK AAA |
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01-24-20 | Marist v. Siena -11 | Top | 57-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SIENA The jumbled mess that is the MAAC figures to untangle itself over the next month. One team to keep an eye on is Siena. Though only 3-4 in conference action, the Saints have been favored in all but one game -- a loss at Rider. Virtually every game has been close with four of the seven games decided by three points or fewer. A three-game road trip ended with a 72-71 loss at Niagara on Sunday, but Siena gets a reprieve here in the form of a home date with Marist, who is likely the MAAC’s worst team. The Red Foxes are 4-13 overall and that’s after going 2-0 last week with home victories over Iona and Manhattan. Siena figures to put an end to that win streak tonight as they are a perfect 7-0 at home and averaging 76.9 points/game. Marist averaged 79 points in its two victories last week, but that number is misleading as the 75-73 win over Manhattan went to overtime. On the season, the Red Foxes are averaging a paltry 55.6 points/game on the road. Expect this game to quickly turn into a blowout. 10* SIENA AAA |
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01-23-20 | Lakers v. Nets +6 | Top | 128-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* on BROOKLYN From 12/28 to 1/13, the Lakers have won nine in a row. Now they’ve lost two of the last four games. They played last night, and won, but it was in unimpressive fashion beating the Knicks 100-92. That was on the heels of a humiliating 139-107 loss in Boston Monday. The road trip continues Thursday in Brooklyn where LA will be solidly favored. This is not only because the Lakers have the best record in the Western Conference but also because the Nets have been struggling badly. It’s four straight losses for the Nets and they’ve failed to cover every time. A 2-11 record since Christmas isn’t scaring anybody. But with Kyrie Irving and Caris LeVert having returned to the lineup, the Nets can only be down for so long. This is a really bad spot for the Lakers, who are playing their third road game in four days. It’s been a brutal schedule of late for the Nets. However they have been off since Monday. By not covering last night, the Lakers are just 1-5 ATS their last six tries as road favorites. Play on BROOKLYN AAA |
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01-23-20 | UTEP v. Rice +3 | Top | 72-64 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* on RICE When UTEP and Rice meet - whether it be the football field or basketball court - the only thing on the line is usually pride. Both athletic departments should feel pretty ashamed. Here we are and the Conference USA rivals meet Thursday. UTEP is 3-7 straight up its last 10 games. They have covered only two of those. Rice is 1-7 straight up its last eight games. Here’s the thing though: UTEP is 0-7 on the road. In those games, they average just 62.3 points/game. For Rice, who is just 1-6 in conference play, this is one of their best shots at picking up a win. The Owls also are averaging 82.3 points/game at home. UTEP has just two conference wins. The Miners are just 13-30 ATS their last 43 Conference USA games. They just gave up a season-high point total (86) to Southern Miss last Saturday. The Miners should not be favored in this game. This is a price you probably won’t see the rest of the season if looking to fade UTEP on the road. Play on RICE AAA |
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01-22-20 | Spurs v. Pelicans -3.5 | Top | 121-117 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 35 m | Show |
This is an 8* on NEW ORLEANS This game was moved to 9:35 et so that it could be shown on ESPN. You may be wondering why that is considering it’s two teams with losing records. Well, tonight will mark the debut of Zion Williamson for New Orleans. The top overall choice from last summer’s draft finally takes the court and it comes at a time when the Pelicans are playing their best basketball of the season. Since December 23rd, the team is 10-4 straight up and 12-1-1 ATS. They just won by 10 in Memphis, which is pretty significant seeing as the Grizzlies came in sporting the league’s longest active win streak at seven straight. The Pelicans scored 126 points and made 21 three-pointers. The Spurs don’t play great defense, so with Williamson in there and Jrue Holliday being back, look for the Pelicans to go off again. This will be a successful debut for the #1 draft pick. Play on NEW ORLEANS AAA |
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01-22-20 | Pacers v. Suns +1 | Top | 112-87 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 10 m | Show |
This is an 8* on PHOENIX Indiana did not handle the second leg of a back to back well, losing by 30 at Utah on Monday. They had just beaten Denver the previous night 115-107 in a come from behind effort. The Denver-Utah doubleshot is one of the hardest in the league. But still, the Pacers losing by 30 in the second game was rather discouraging. This isn’t a great road team as the WL record is just 11-11 SU and they’ve been outscored. Phoenix, despite a 9-15 record at home, actually has a positive point differential in those games. The Suns have made the leap to respectability this year and are 13-7 ATS as underdogs. Since Devin Booker and Deandre Ayton have played together, the team is 6-5 straight up. They did lose by two to San Antonio on Monday, but shot well in the game and almost won after being down by 20. Phoenix is a much better team than you think and worthy of a play here. Play on PHOENIX AAA |
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01-22-20 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Wild | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DETROIT +1.5 It wasn’t that long ago that we cashed the Red Wings on the puck line. They lost that game (to the Penguins) by 1 goal, so it was a winner. Unfortunately for Detroit, the losses continue to mount as they’ve since fallen 4-1 to Florida and 6-3 to Colorado. It’s now five in a row and they are 12-34-4 for the season. While a little frightening as to just how uncompetitive they’ve been most of the year, this is another time we’ll back the Red Wings +1.5. Minnesota has lost five of seven, often times by large margins. They were just on the wrong end of a one-goal decision, 5-4 to Florida, which came right here in the Twin Cities. The Wild have given up more goals than they’ve scored this season, so they’re no safe bet. They’ve actually lost 8 of the 12 games they’ve played against teams with losing records. Play DETROIT +1.5 (PUCK LINE) AAA |
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01-22-20 | Kings v. Pistons UNDER 222 | Top | 106-127 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 10 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the UNDER The last five Sacramento games have all gone Over. The Kings have also lost all five games. Tonight they are in Detroit to play a Pistons team that hasn’t exactly been tearing it up lately either. The Pistons have just five wins in the last 18 games and most recently lost to struggling Washington 106-100. With two struggling teams facing each other here, we’re going to go with the Under. Yes, this flies in the face of the Kings recent results, but this is a high total for them. Their games only average 216.9 points total. Detroit is a little higher, but only at 219.6. The Pistons are missing a ton of key scorers from their lineup right now. Note that because of a trade made yesterday, the Kings could be short-handed for tonight’s game. Sunday’s loss to Miami would have stayed Under if not for overtime. Play UNDER Kings-Pistons AAA |
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01-22-20 | St. Louis v. Davidson -2.5 | Top | 59-71 | Win | 100 | 25 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DAVIDSON St. Louis had a valiant effort Friday vs. Dayton, but ultimately lost to the Flyers 78-76 in overtime. They did cover the spread, but after leading the #7 ranked team in the country by eight at halftime and coming up short, there has to be a feeling of disappointment from the Billikens. Despite a 14-4 record, they are an underdog to 8-9 Davidson, which is telling. Before the loss to Dayton, St. Louis had been 4-0 straight up in games decided by five points or less. So, aside from Friday, luck mostly had been going their way. Davidson on the other hand has lost some close games. But the Wildcats were winners on Saturday, 72-64 at Fordham. As far as the respective won-loss records go, Davidson has played a harder schedule than St. Louis. They also average 83.8 points/game at home where they have won 29 of their last 33 games. Play on DAVIDSON AAA |
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01-21-20 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin -15 | Top | 68-82 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 49 m | Show |
This is an 8* on WISCONSIN Wisconsin should clobber Nebraska here. Nebraska is one of only two teams in the Big 10 that has no chance of making the NCAA Tournament. They’ve lost 8 of 11 and three in a row. This is a team that gives up an average of 78.6 points in road games. Wisconsin may not score a ton as is evident by the fact they have not gone over 60 points in any of their last three games. But they still won two of those, only losing the one to Michigan State on Friday. Other than that loss, the Badgers have been playing tremendous defense recently. Five of the last seven opponents have not gone over 57 points. They win by an average of 15 points/game in Madison where their only loss in nine tries came by a single point. Considering Nebraska just allowed 80 points in its last two losses, this should be a big offensive night of the Badgers. Combine that with the usual brand of defense and you get a blowout. Play on WISCONSIN AAA |
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01-21-20 | Clippers +1.5 v. Mavs | Top | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the CLIPPERS A lot of teams are competing for “second best” (behind the Lakers) in the Western Conference. These are two of them. The Clippers currently have that second position with a 30-13 record. They’ve won three straight coming into this game. Dallas has won four straight and has a slightly better point differential. But the Mavericks are only 5th in the West, 2.5 games back of the Clippers. Earlier this season, they lost by 15 at home to the Clippers. Both teams have recently been hampered by key absences. Kristaps Porzingis could return tonight for the Mavs after missing the last 10 games. Paul George likely will not be back for the Clippers. But we’re still on LA. They are 6-0 ATS on Tuesday nights this season. But perhaps more pertinent is the fact Dallas is just 3-7-1 ATS its previous 11 home games. We believe that - with or without George - the Clippers are the better team here. Play on LA CLIPPERS AAA |
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01-21-20 | Penguins -129 v. Flyers | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -129 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PITTSBURGH Pittsburgh has surged into second place in the Metropolitan Division by going 7-2-1 in their last 10 games. They are now only four points back of Washington. They just exacted some revenge for one of their few recent losses, beating Boston 4-3 on Saturday. (They had previously lost in Boston on Thursday.) Now the Penguins head to a place where they’ve been pretty successful through the years. They are 6-1 their last seven games here in Philadelphia and also beat the Flyers 7-1 in Pittsburgh in the only prior meeting of this season. The Flyers have fallen into sixth place in the Metro, meaning they would not be a playoff team. While they may be good enough to climb back into the top four, they simply aren’t as good as Pittsburgh is. We will note the Flyers have a 16-4-4 record at home. But Pittsburgh has proven it can win here plus the Flyers are missing top goaltender Carter Hart. Play on PITTSBURGH AAA |
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01-21-20 | Golden Knights v. Bruins -145 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 57 m | Show |
This is an 8* on BOSTON Boston comes off a home and home split with Pittsburgh, the home team having won each game. It’s been one of the rougher overall stretches for the Bruins of late as they’ve lost six of the last 10, though they still have collected points in seven of the games by going 4-3-3 overall. They remain in 1st place in the Atlantic Division with 68 points. That lead would be even wider were it not for a head-scratching NINE home losses in either OT or a shootout. Incredibly, they are 0-7 in shootouts this season. Meanwhile, they’ve lost only two times at home in regulation all year. We believe this is a team ready to start dominating at home. As for Vegas, they’ve lost five of six and are set to play a fourth consecutive road game out East. The Golden Knights are 0-4 this season after playing their previous three games on the road. The only win they’ve had the last 17 days is over a struggling Ottawa team. After some really poor luck (weird to say about a division frontrunner) in the first half of this season, we don’t think Boston is going to lose many more games at home. They’ll definitely win this one. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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01-21-20 | Butler v. Villanova -4 | Top | 61-76 | Win | 100 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* on VILLANOVA Villanova has been the standard bearer for the Big East since the conference realigned in 2013. They have the regular season title every year but one since then. But in 2020, they are joined at the top by both Seton Hall and Butler. The Wildcats will host Butler Tuesday. They come in as the higher ranked team due to the events of last week. They won both games while Butler lost both of theirs. So they’ve got the momentum. They also have the home court edge. Nova is 9-0 at home so far and giving up only 62.4 points/game here. At 14-3 SU overall, they are 12-1 when favored. This is a pretty small number. Butler just lost on the road - to DePaul. It was a 13-point loss. The Bulldogs turned it over 17 times and gave up a season high point total with DePaul scoring 79 and making 10 of 17 three-point attempts. Villanova comes in playing very well as they’ve won four straight. Their recent defensive play has been very good. They have won and covered four of the last five games against Butler. Play on VILLANOVA AAA |
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01-20-20 | Rice +13 v. North Texas | Top | 59-79 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* on RICE North Texas is humming along with a 5-1 Conference USA record. They’ve won five straight games, covering the spread in all of them. That gives them a 13-4 ATS record overall and they are 6-1 ATS as a favorite. But it’s a big spread Monday, larger than what the Mean Green are accustomed to laying. They escaped Louisiana Tech with a 51-50 win on Saturday, a game where they were a six-point underdog. They won at the buzzer and it was their first win in Ruston since 1952! Fading North Texas in this spot seems pretty straightforward as there’s a letdown factor after pulling an upset like that. With Rice, there’s no letdown as they have lost six of seven and are desperate to pick up a victory. The Owls probably won’t win this game, their third on the road in the last five days, but keeping it close is something we like them to do. They are 5-0 ATS this season after allowing 80 or more points in their last game. Play on RICE AAA |
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01-20-20 | Thunder v. Rockets -6.5 | Top | 112-107 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* on HOUSTON This isn’t the first time that the Rockets have lost three in a row. But it does feel like a season low-point. Monday sees them hosting an Oklahoma City team that beat them on January 9th by 21 points. But that game was in Oklahoma City. While Houston has lost three in a row as favorites and two straight at home, we expect this is the spot where they get back on track. The Thunder are just 2-3 straight up and against the spread since beating the Rockets. This is a third game in four days for them. They’ve been a good bet as a road underdog, but the Thunder are statistically below average on the road. Expect a very motivated effort from the home side in this one. Play on HOUSTON AAA |
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01-20-20 | Red Wings v. Avalanche -1.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 9* on COLORADO -1.5 Colorado hasn’t always had luck on their side this year, but they are a good team and should roll Monday against Detroit. After a four-game losing streak that included two overtime losses, the Avalanche didn’t need any luck in wins over San Jose (4-0) and St. Louis (5-3). The latter we were on and made it our Game of the Month. The Avs scored five goals on only 18 shots, three of them coming in a decisive second period. They’ve scored 33 more goals than what they’ve allowed this season. You might be surprised to hear that’s the best goal differential in the Western Conference and tied for third best in the entire NHL. Detroit, as you probably know, is the worst team in the league. They have a -85 goal differential and their 28 points are 13 fewer than every other team. A current four-game losing streak has seen the Red Wings get outscored 19-5. They’re coming off a 4-1 loss at home to Florida. Unfortunately, the news gets worse as the Wings are 4-22 when off a home loss by three or more goals. This will be an easy, multi-goal win by the home team. Play COLORADO -1.5 AAA |
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01-19-20 | Pacers v. Nuggets -1.5 | Top | 115-107 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DENVER Denver is second in the Western Conference with a 29-12 SU record. They’ve come out ahead in five of the last six games, including each of the last three. They continue to be a strong home team as their record here in the Mile High City is 17-5 and they hold opponents to 103.1 PPG. Indiana, like most of the teams in the Eastern Conference, are strong at home but only so-so on the road. The Pacers have won four straight overall, but any of the last three could have been a loss. Now Denver did need OT to get by Golden State Thursday. But that was a road game. This seems like an awfully low number for the Nuggets to be laying on their home floor. We realize there are injuries that they are dealing with, but they still scored 134 points against the Warriors even without Murray, Milsap and Harris. Milsap could be back in the lineup tonight. Denver won 126-114 at Indiana earlier this month and is a deep team. Indiana is 6-14-1 ATS its last 21 road games vs. teams who have a home win percentage of better than .600. Play on DENVER AAA |
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01-19-20 | California +9 v. UCLA | Top | 40-50 | Loss | -116 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CAL Two struggling Pac 12 teams close out the week against one another. California won a couple home games last week, beating the Pac 12’s Washington contingent, but failed to “show up” in an ugly 88-56 loss at USC on Thursday. Going back, the Bears have lost 5 of 7 and 7 out of the last 10 games. All the wins were in Berkeley. They’re on the road tonight, but UCLA is struggling in its own right. The Bruins have lost three in a row and six of their last seven games. They also could not even muster 60 points in their last game as they fell to Stanford on Wednesday. UCLA is 1-7 ATS its last eight games, so the idea of laying this many points with them is not appetizing to say the least. The team’s only win since December 14th was by two points at Washington. We don’t see how you could lay the points in this one. Play on CALIFORNIA AAA |
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01-19-20 | Packers v. 49ers UNDER 46.5 | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -105 | 74 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER Green Bay’s offense did next to nothing when it faced the San Francisco defense in the regular season. They were held to eight points, a pathetic 81 yards passing and just 2.8 yards per play. They’re bound to do better this time, but will the 49ers score 37 points again? Not likely. Since taking it on the chin from the 49ers, the Pack are an undefeated 6-0 and allowing just 15.7 points/game. San Francisco is giving up only 18.8 points/game (5th), GB isn’t far behind as it gives up just 19.8 points/game (9th). The Under is 5-1 the last six times GB has been an underdog. As it turns out, the regular season matchup between these two teams did stay Under a near identical total. The Packers were only three-point underdogs for that game. Including last week’s 27-10 win over Minnesota, the Under is 4-0 the 49ers past four playoff games. The Packers, as we predicted they would, went Over last week. But that was against a bad Seattle defense. Play UNDER Green Bay-San Francisco AAA |
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01-19-20 | Islanders v. Hurricanes -170 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 7* play on CAROLINA The NHL’s Metropolitan Division has been controlled by Washington and Pittsburgh ever since realignment took place several seasons back. Those two franchises are back on top this year. But right behind them is a crowded field of playoff contenders. Count the Islanders and Hurricanes among them. Even though Carolina is sitting in sixth place with 57 points, that’s just three points back of the third place Islanders. Besides Washington and Pittsburgh, it is the Hurricanes that have the division’s best goal differential at +23. But three straight losses are what has the Canes in the position they are in right now. Two of those were division losses, but both were on the road. Losing 2-1 to Anaheim here at home Friday was not good, but we see Carolina bouncing back here and reasserting itself. Prior to losing to Anaheim, the Hurricanes had won three in a row at home, two of them shutouts. The Islanders lost to Washington yesterday, 6-4, and have now dropped four of their last five games. The only win was over Detroit, the worst team in the league. Carolina has had just one four-game losing streak this season. Won’t happen again. Play on CAROLINA AAA |
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01-19-20 | Titans +9 v. Chiefs | Top | 24-35 | Loss | -135 | 96 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TENNESSEE Tennessee will seek to become the first 9-7 team to make the Super Bowl since the Giants in 2011. So far they have knocked off the Patriots and Ravens, both on the road. That’s the defending Super Bowl Champs and the team that finished with the best record in the league this year. Considering how well the Titans have played since Ryan Tannehill took over as the starting QB (gone 9-3), we just don’t think they should be getting this many points. We were dead wrong to go against them last week in Baltimore. A key edge for Tennessee against Kansas City is the running game with Derrick Henry. Henry has already run for 377 yards in two playoff games. He ran for 188 more in Week 10 over the Chiefs. In three career games vs. Kansas City, all of them wins, Henry has run well. The Chiefs defense has consistently been bad against the run this year as it ranks 26th in yards per game and 29th in yards per rush attempt allowed. Tennessee is 4-0 SU/ATS the L4 meetings vs. Kansas City including a playoff upset here at Arrowhead back in 2017. The Chiefs were able to storm back from a 24-0 deficit last week against Houston and score 51 points. But the Titans are much stronger defensively than the Texans are. Baltimore and New England combined for just 25 points against them. For the year, they give up just 19.8 points/game and were even better than that on the road. Not saying the Titans win outright, but they’ll cover the spread. Play on TENNESSEE AAA |
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01-18-20 | BYU +13 v. Gonzaga | Top | 69-92 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* on BYU Gonzaga is #1 in the country, but we don’t believe they are the best team. It’s quite likely that they would be underdogs against Duke, Kansas or Michigan State on a neutral floor. They may not be facing any of those teams tonight, but they are laying too many points. Coming off a 50-point win over Santa Clara, we figured the Zags would be overvalued for this Saturday night matchup with BYU and they are. BYU has covered eight of its last night games, also going 8-1 SU in the same stretch. The only SU loss was by three to St. Mary’s in overtime. Since then, the Cougars have recorded two straight wins by more than 20 points. Look for them to give Gonzaga a run for the money late Saturday night. Play on BYU AAA |
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01-18-20 | Tim Elliott v. Askar Askarov -145 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* on ASKAROV This fight takes place relatively early on tonight’s UFC 246 card and can only be viewed on ESPN+. But whether or not you have the capability or desire to watch, rest assured we’re looking at an easy bet tonight. This fight takes place at flyweight with a rising Russian prospect (Askarov) taking on the journeyman Elliott. Askarov is 10-0-1 so this looks to be a wonderful price. The draw came in his only fight for the UFC so far, back in September. But he’s ready to impress the brass tonight with what should be a finish against Elliott, who has dropped three of his past five fights. Before September’s draw, all 10 Askarov wins had come by either TKO or submission. Play on ASKAROV AAA |
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01-18-20 | Bucks -8.5 v. Nets | Top | 117-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
THis is a 10* on MILWAUKEE The Bucks are just plain ridiculous. At 37-6 SU, they are ahead of last year’s pace when they ended up having the best record in the league. If you’re surprised by the size of tonight’s line, you shouldn’t be. Brooklyn may have Kyrie Irving back in the lineup, but that hasn’t mattered so far as they’ve lost games to Utah and Philadelphia. Those are two good teams. But guess what? There aren’t any better teams than Milwaukee. Plus, while Irving is back, the Nets have lost some key support. It looks like backup center DeAndre Jordan is going to have to sit this one out. They may have won by only five points Thursday night, but the Bucks led Boston by as much as 20. They have scored at least 122 points in four straight games. The last three times they’ve gone to Brooklyn, they’ve come out ahead and covered the spread. The Bucks are winning by 12.5 points per game, which is amazing and we see them winning by double digits tonight. Play on MILWAUKEE AAA |
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01-18-20 | Oregon -1.5 v. Washington | Top | 64-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OREGON Oregon comes into this game ranked #8 in both polls. But they are almost certain to see that ranking drop after they lost out in Pullman on Thursday, 72-61 to Washington State. That was a shocking loss as the Ducks came in as nine-point favorites. They were outplayed by a team that had not beaten a top 10 opponent going back to 2007. While, on paper, today’s matchup with Washington looks to be the tougher of the two games this week, we are looking for the Ducks to bounce back here. Washington has lost four of its last six games to fall to 12-6 on the year, though they did beat Oregon State on Thursday. The Huskies are pretty strong defensively, but have not faced an opponent with the offensive capabilities of an Oregon since allowing 83 in a loss to Gonzaga over a month ago. The Ducks have dropped two straight conference games just six times in the last three seasons. Earlier this month, in what was a second road game in three days, they bounced back from a loss to Colorado to win at Utah. It’ll be the same deal here and the line is a non-factor. Play on OREGON AAA |
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