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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-18-15 | Wolves v. Magic -3 | Top | 101-104 | Push | 0 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
Orlando is one of the most improved teams in the league as its young talent matures and reaches its potential. The oddsmaker hasn't fully grasped how good Orlando is as the Magic own the best point spread mark in the NBA at 8-3 ATS. |
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11-17-15 | Hawks -3.5 v. Nets | Top | 88-90 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
This is Brooklyn's first home game in 11 days. The Nets just returned from a four-game road trip where they beat the struggling Rockets and nearly upset the Kings and Warriors during their past two games. |
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11-17-15 | Dartmouth v. Marist +2.5 | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Marist is well balanced, is home and coached by Mike Maker, who coached at Dartmouth for 11 years so he knows that team extremely well. |
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11-16-15 | San Diego State v. Utah -5 | Top | 76-81 | Push | 0 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
Power-ratings-wise I have Utah favored by more than this line.  Look for San Diego State to have problems containing Utah center Jakob Poeltl. The Utes are going to be tough especially with the improvement made by sophomore forward Kyle Kuzma. |
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11-15-15 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 39-32 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 8 m | Show |
The Seahawks haven't lost a game coming off a bye since 2012. I don't see them losing at home either in this matchup. Seattle is 4-4. Arizona is 6-2. Obviously this is a must-win spot for Seattle. |
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11-15-15 | Grizzlies -2.5 v. Wolves | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
Memphis is a disappointing 4-6. But the Grizzlies have taken care of business when playing bad teams beating the Pacers early in the season before Indiana got turned around, beating the Nets and Kings by double-digits and holding a fourth-quarter 10-point lead on Portland this past Friday before winning by just one point. |
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11-15-15 | Cowboys +2 v. Bucs | 6-10 | Loss | -108 | 58 h 45 m | Show | |
The good news for the Cowboys is they finally get back Tony Romo next week. |
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11-15-15 | Browns +5.5 v. Steelers | 9-30 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 40 m | Show | |
I can't see Ben Roethlisberger playing in this game. That puts the Steelers in peril for this heated, division rivalry game because the Browns, while not talented, can be ornery. They have an excellent track record as underdogs, too, 10-5-1 ATS since Mike Pettine became coach in 2014. |
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11-14-15 | Washington State +10.5 v. UCLA | Top | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 34 h 5 m | Show |
Everything is in place for Washington State to pull the upset and defeat UCLA. Even if that doesn't happen, the Cougars should definitely be able to hang in. To get double-digits is a nice bonus. |
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11-14-15 | Western Michigan +5.5 v. DePaul | 63-69 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
DePaul has failed to cover in its last six non-conference games. I see that trend continuing here. |
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11-13-15 | Rice v. California -15.5 | Top | 65-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
California has won its last nine opening games. That streak should easily continue against Rice. |
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11-13-15 | Texas -11 v. Washington | 71-77 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Early money has come on Texas and it's smart money. New coach Shaka Smart is a great fit for the Longhorns with his trapping, full-court pressure style.Â
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11-13-15 | Rockets -5 v. Nuggets | 98-107 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
The Rockets are a bunch of talented head cases. So far they are underachieving at 4-4. But this spot and a correction in their outside shooting makes them worth backing here. |
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11-13-15 | Blazers v. Grizzlies -6.5 | Top | 100-101 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
Neither team is playing well. The difference is the Grizzlies are a proven playoff contender with the same solid core that made them one of the best teams in the NBA. The Trail Blazers are a stripped down version that can't match the Grizzlies' front line and lacks depth. |
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11-11-15 | Spurs -7 v. Blazers | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Not only are the Spurs far superior to the Trail Blazers, but the schedule lays out for them. The Spurs last played on Monday and won't play again until Saturday when they host lowly Philadelphia. |
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11-11-15 | Clippers v. Mavs +7 | Top | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
This is the home game the Mavericks have had circled ever since DeAndre Jordan backed out of his word to come to Dallas. After Jordan verbally agreed to sign with the Mavericks in free agency, various Clippers personnel came to his home and convinced him to change his mind. |
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11-09-15 | Bears +4.5 v. Chargers | Top | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
San Diego isn't nearly good enough to overcome its multitude of injuries to beat many teams by more than a field goal, including the Bears. |
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11-09-15 | Bulls -7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 111-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
The winless 76ers are as bad as they have been during their last two tanking seasons. |
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11-08-15 | Eagles -2.5 v. Cowboys | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 58 h 55 m | Show | |
Dallas beat the Eagles, 20-10, back in Week 2. It was a costly victory as the Cowboys lost Tony Romo. They haven't won since going 0-5, 1-4 ATS. Dallas is averaging less than 15 points a game during its last four games. |
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11-08-15 | Lakers v. Knicks -4.5 | Top | 95-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
The records show the Lakers to be 1-4 and the Knicks 2-4.Â
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11-08-15 | Raiders v. Steelers -4 | 35-38 | Loss | -105 | 102 h 25 m | Show | |
Bad spot for Oakland. Near desperation time for Pittsburgh. |
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11-08-15 | Titans +8.5 v. Saints | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 50 h 57 m | Show | |
Look for the Titans to come out fired-up playing harder and with more intelligence under new coach Mike Mularkey. |
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11-07-15 | Minnesota v. Ohio State -23.5 | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 43 m | Show | |
No pun intended, but the Buckeyes are in a "Kill' spot here. A big factor why is Minnesota having little left in the tank after an emotional home game last week against Michigan. That was the Gophers' first game following Jerry Kill's resignation due to health reasons. |
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11-07-15 | Hawaii v. UNLV -9.5 | Top | 21-41 | Win | 100 | 36 h 21 m | Show |
I've never been in the habit of laying points with UNLV, but circumstances make this a bargain spot to back the Rebels.
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11-07-15 | Notre Dame v. Pittsburgh +9 | 42-30 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 45 m | Show | |
Notre Dame got past Temple, 24-20, in a physical road matchup last week. Now the Irish get a physical Pittsburgh team coached by Pat Narduzzi. He was Michigan State's highly respected defensive coordinator and knows the Irish well. |
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11-06-15 | Nuggets +18 v. Warriors | Top | 104-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
It's dangerous to step in against Golden State. But this is a clear flat spot for the Warriors. |
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11-05-15 | Grizzlies -4 v. Blazers | 96-115 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Portland is breaking in four new starters, has a weak bench and carries a heavy fatigue rating playing for the fifth time in seven days.Â
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11-05-15 | Browns v. Bengals -11 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
I can't see anything but a lopsided Bengals victory here. |
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11-04-15 | Kings +9 v. Suns | 97-118 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 0 m | Show | |
Sacramento was rusty and minus DeMarcus Cousins when it lost, 103-89, to Memphis last night. The timing wasn't good for the Kings. They had been idle since Saturday, while the Grizzlies were super fired-up having been embarrassed by 50 points by Golden State on Monday night. |
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11-04-15 | Nets +8.5 v. Hawks | 87-101 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
The Nets won't be lacking for motivation. The Hawks eliminated them in the first round of the playoffs last season. Brooklyn played Atlanta tough in that series taking the heavily favored Hawks to six games while covering four times. |
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11-04-15 | Spurs v. Wizards +4 | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
The Wizards finally proved they could beat the Spurs, winning 101-93 at home last Jan. 13. That ended a 17-game losing streak to San Antonio. |
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11-03-15 | Grizzlies -5 v. Kings | 103-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
It's difficult to come back on the Grizzlies after they lost by 50 points to the Warriors last night to begin their season-long five-game, nine-day road trip. |
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11-03-15 | Northern Illinois +8 v. Toledo | Top | 32-27 | Win | 100 | 28 h 10 m | Show |
Toledo is unbeaten at 7-0. But I'm not convinced the Rockets are better than Northern Illinois. |
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11-02-15 | Grizzlies +9 v. Warriors | Top | 69-119 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 57 m | Show |
 Memphis has proven it can hang with Golden State taking the defending champions to six games in the playoffs last season, including winning Game 2 at Oracle Arena, 97-90. The Grizzlies have their same cast of rough customers that helped them to finish in the top five in defensive scoring each of the last four years. This figures to be a fierce, intense battle with the Grizzlies out for revenge. Memphis has covered in seven of its last 10 visits to Golden State. The Warriors haven't seen a defense this good yet. Golden State has looked good in going 3-0. But two of the victories came against 0-3 New Orleans, which ranks last in defense, has injuries and point guard Jrue Holiday playing limited minutes. The Warriors' other victory occurred against the struggling 0-3 Rockets, who rank 25th defensively and 28th in defensive shooting percentage. Steve Kerr has yet to return to the bench and big man Andrew Bogut is questionable. |
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11-02-15 | Thunder -2 v. Rockets | 105-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
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11-01-15 | Packers -2.5 v. Broncos | Top | 10-29 | Loss | -123 | 105 h 38 m | Show |
Both teams are 6-0 and off byes. The Packers' 6-0 is real. The Broncos' 6-0 is bogus. |
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11-01-15 | Montreal +8.5 v. Edmonton | Top | 22-40 | Loss | -118 | 65 h 57 m | Show |
Edmonton is trying to clinch the Western Division. But the Eskimos are going to have problems doing that against Montreal. |
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10-31-15 | Warriors v. Pelicans +5 | Top | 134-120 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
The Pelicans have revenge for last season's playoffs when the Warriors swept them four games. New Orleans did cover three of those matchups, though. |
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10-31-15 | Oregon State v. Utah -24.5 | 12-27 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a kill spot for Utah after it lost to USC on the road last week. |
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10-31-15 | Clemson v. NC State +10.5 | Top | 56-41 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 39 m | Show |
Clemson is sitting at 10-0 having destroyed Miami, 58-0, in its last game and with its biggest game of the season on deck versus Florida State on Nov. 7. |
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10-30-15 | Blazers v. Suns -4.5 | 92-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Look for a Suns bounce back after Phoenix was blasted by Dallas, 111-95, two nights ago. |
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10-30-15 | Jazz -7 v. 76ers | 99-71 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
Utah closed as one of the hotter teams in the NBA last season going 21-11. The Jazz were the strongest defensive club in the league down that stretch. The Jazz's priority is to start fast this season. That didn't work out in their first game, a 92-87 road loss to Detroit. Utah plays again on the road in their next game. All together, the Jazz open with a brutal slate of eight of 10 road matchups. So this game has high priority for Utah. The 76ers, on the other hand, have a different priority. They have a young, short-handed roster - only nine healthy players and an extremely weak bench - and are in rebuilt mode again playing for the future. It was not a surprise the Celtics blew out Philadelphia two nights ago. The 76ers could have the worst offense in the league. It's a big concern of their coach, Brett Brown. Utah has won the last five in this series, holding the 76ers to an average of 77 points on 34.6 percent shooting in last season's two victories. |
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10-30-15 | Thunder v. Magic +8.5 | 139-136 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a dangerous, flat spot for Oklahoma City. The Thunder were impressive in beating San Antonio, 112-106, at home two nights ago. Up next for the Thunder following this game is a home game on Sunday versus 1-0 Denver followed by a road game against Houston on Monday. |
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10-29-15 | Hawks -3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 112-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
Let's not overreact to one game. The line is shorter than normal for this matchup because the Hawks lost their opener on Tuesday at home to the Pistons while the Knicks upset the Bucks on the road last night. |
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10-28-15 | Hornets +6.5 v. Heat | 94-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
Charlotte was impressive during preseason going 7-1. The Hornets traditionally are good in an underdog role. They have a healthy Al Jefferson and Kemba Walker. Those two missed a combined 37 games last season. |
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10-27-15 | New Orleans Pelicans +9.5 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 95-111 | Loss | -102 | 29 h 5 m | Show |
The Pelicans have been waiting all offseason for this opening matchup after Golden State ended their season by sweeping them in the playoffs. New Orleans did cover three of the four playoff games and I see the Pelicans covering here, too. |
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10-25-15 | Cleveland Browns v. St Louis Rams -5.5 | Top | 6-24 | Win | 100 | 82 h 56 m | Show |
This is my Favorite's Play of the Month. I'm not surprised the line has gone up since I released the play as the Rams clearly are the right side. The Browns have gone hard three straight weeks losing 30-27 to the Chargers, beating Baltimore in overtime and losing in overtime last week to the Broncos. Cleveland doesn't have an abundance of talent. The Browns' skill position players are among the weakest in the league. It takes a supreme effort for the Browns to hang in against most opponents. |
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10-25-15 | New Orleans Saints v. Indianapolis Colts -4 | 27-21 | Loss | -102 | 51 h 34 m | Show | |
The Saints have the worst defense in the league and are on the road. Not a good combination. |
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10-25-15 | Houston Texans +5 v. Miami Dolphins | 26-44 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 34 m | Show | |
Miami got a boost with a new head coach and defensive coordinator last week steamrolling Tennessee. But the Dolphins are as mediocre as Houston and the Texans will be far better prepared now that they have film on what the Dolphins did under interim coach Dan Campbell and defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo. |
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10-24-15 | Utah +3.5 v. USC | Top | 24-42 | Loss | -103 | 52 h 60 m | Show |
Utah is in its fifth year in the Pac-12 and can play with the big boys. The Utes are 6-0 and it's a strong 6-0. They are the only team in the Pac-12 South without a loss. |
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10-23-15 | Utah State v. San Diego State +5 | Top | 14-48 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
San Diego State is playing its finest football limiting its last three opponents to an average of 9.3 points per game. The Aztecs have held opponents to 162.7 yards per game this month, lowest in the FBS for October. |
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10-18-15 | New England Patriots v. Indianapolis Colts +10 | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 40 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm fully aware of New England's strong history against the Colts during the past three years - a 4-0 record with four blowouts. |
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10-18-15 | Houston Texans +1.5 v. Jacksonville Jaguars | Top | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 35 h 32 m | Show |
Now that Bill O'Brien has figured out what everybody else knew that Brian Hoyer is his best quarterback, the Texans are ready to improve. They start here against one of the worst teams in the NFL - the Jaguars. |
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10-18-15 | Chicago Bears v. Detroit Lions -3 | 34-37 | Push | 0 | 34 h 16 m | Show | |
The Lions are at low ebb right now. But they finally are in a good spot. |
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10-18-15 | Arizona Cardinals -3.5 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | 13-25 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 29 m | Show | |
Much credit to the Steelers for upsetting San Diego this past Monday. But I don't see the Steelers minus Ben Roethlisberger pulling off a second consecutive upset. |
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10-18-15 | Denver Broncos -3.5 v. Cleveland Browns | 26-23 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
This line has come down enough where I'm going to get involved with the Broncos. |
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10-17-15 | Oregon State v. Washington State -8 | 31-52 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show | |
Oregon State is outmatched here and can't keep up with Washington State's high-powered attack and star quarterback Luke Falk. |
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10-17-15 | Alabama v. Texas A&M +4 | Top | 41-23 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 51 m | Show |
This is unbeaten Texas A&M's biggest game of the four-year era of Kevin Sumlin. Everything is in place for the Aggies to upset Alabama. |
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10-17-15 | Ole Miss -10.5 v. Memphis | 24-37 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 45 m | Show | |
The rankings say Mississippi No. 12 and Memphis No. 22. But make no mistake there remains a huge class difference between these two teams. |
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10-12-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. San Diego Chargers -3 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -119 | 98 h 26 m | Show |
The oddsmaker considers these teams even with this point spread factoring in the Chargers' home field advantage being worth a field goal. |
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10-11-15 | Chicago Bears v. Kansas City Chiefs -9 | Top | 18-17 | Loss | -105 | 86 h 55 m | Show |
This is a kill spot for the frustrated Chiefs, who are much better than their 1-3 record indicates. The Chiefs have already gone against three undefeated teams - Broncos, Packers and Bengals. |
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10-11-15 | St Louis Rams +10 v. Green Bay Packers | 10-24 | Loss | -123 | 67 h 35 m | Show | |
The Rams have that winning combination with the best pass rushing defensive front in football and potential franchise back Todd Gurley to run the ball. |
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10-10-15 | California v. Utah -7 | Top | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 20 m | Show |
When last spotted Utah was hammering Oregon, 62-20. That was two weeks ago. The Utes were idle last week. They are rested, prepared and have the offense and defense to cover this number against surprising Cal. |
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10-10-15 | Navy +14 v. Notre Dame | 24-41 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 7 m | Show | |
Navy has played Notre Dame very tough the past two seasons and are better this season, while the Irish have lost key offensive starters and face a huge look-ahead home revenge game against Southern Cal next week. |
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10-05-15 | Detroit Lions v. Seattle Seahawks -9.5 | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
Seattle's defense is rounding into championship form with the arrival of safety Kam Chancellor last week.Â
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10-04-15 | Dallas Cowboys v. New Orleans Saints -3 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 47 h 11 m | Show |
The Saints are desperate at 0-3. They'll receive a huge lift with Drew Brees returning to the lineup. It's a Sunday night nationally televised game at home so the Saints will be super pumped. |
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10-04-15 | Cleveland Browns +7.5 v. San Diego Chargers | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 42 h 27 m | Show | |
Granted San Diego has a big edge at the skill positions. But the Browns have five Pro Bowl players combined in their offensive line and secondary. |
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10-04-15 | Houston Texans +7 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 21-48 | Loss | -130 | 143 h 19 m | Show |
Atlanta is a surprising 3-0. The Falcons are fat and happy right now. |
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10-03-15 | Oregon -7.5 v. Colorado | Top | 41-24 | Win | 100 | 36 h 10 m | Show |
Oregon is down this season without Marcus Mariota, but do you believe Colorado can upset the Ducks? I sure don't. |
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10-03-15 | Washington State +17.5 v. California | 28-34 | Win | 100 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
Cal just nipped Washington State by one point last season when the Cougars missed an easy field goal. I believe the Cougars can hang with the Golden Bears again. |
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10-03-15 | San Jose State v. Auburn -20 | 21-35 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 57 m | Show | |
Consecutive SEC losses to LSU and Mississippi State have left Auburn in an angry mood. Look for the Tigers to vent their frustrations on visiting San Jose State. This is a kill spot for the Tigers, who are stepping way down in class.Â
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09-27-15 | Denver Broncos -3 v. Detroit Lions | Top | 24-12 | Win | 100 | 47 h 3 m | Show |
There are reasons why Detroit is 0-2. Namely the Lions' offense isn't clicking and their defense is much worse than last season. |
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09-27-15 | Indianapolis Colts -3 v. Tennessee Titans | 35-33 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 24 m | Show | |
The Colts are out of the gates slow. But keep in mind they faced two of what I consider to be the top four defenses in football the Bills on the road and Jets where they suffered a turnover festival. |
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09-26-15 | UCLA v. Arizona +3.5 | Top | 56-30 | Loss | -120 | 59 h 8 m | Show |
Arizona has covered five of the past six times it has hosted UCLA. Now it's the Wildcats' turn to beat the Bruins straight-up. |
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09-26-15 | UMass +28 v. Notre Dame | 27-62 | Loss | -110 | 113 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a huge letdown spot for Notre Dame. The Irish are coming off a gutty upset beating 14th-ranked Georgia Tech at home this past Saturday. The Irish have a much bigger game on deck playing at Clemson next week. |
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09-20-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. Green Bay Packers -3 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 146 h 43 m | Show |
This isn't just a normal game for the Packers. It's their Revenge Game of the Century. And that's saying a lot since they've been in the NFL since 1921! I've personally closely followed the Packers since 1963, being a native of Wisconsin, and have never seen a bigger revenge game. |
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09-20-15 | Dallas Cowboys v. Philadelphia Eagles -5 | 20-10 | Loss | -107 | 119 h 50 m | Show | |
The Eagles finally got their offense in gear during the second half against Atlanta. Unfortunately for the Eagles, they had dug themselves into too big of a hole to recover. Still, they could have taken a late lead if not for a missed 44-yard field goal. |
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09-20-15 | San Diego Chargers v. Cincinnati Bengals -3 | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 116 h 38 m | Show | |
The Bengals are better than perceived. They are solid on both sides of the ball without any major weaknesses. |
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09-20-15 | San Francisco 49ers v. Pittsburgh Steelers -5 | 18-43 | Win | 100 | 115 h 24 m | Show | |
The Steelers are a much better team than San Francisco and catch a huge scheduling break. |
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09-20-15 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +10.5 v. New Orleans Saints | 26-19 | Win | 100 | 37 h 32 m | Show | |
The Saints are getting by on reputation considering how big of a spread this is. |
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09-19-15 | Colorado -3 v. Colorado State | Top | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
I tabbed Colorado to be much improved in Mike MacIntyre's third season and I like the Buffaloes strong in this rivalry matchup. |
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09-18-15 | Florida State -7 v. Boston College | 14-0 | Win | 100 | 35 h 37 m | Show | |
The line has shrunk low enough to get involved with Florida State, which holds a talent and speed edge on Boston College. |
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09-17-15 | Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 v. Atlanta Braves | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 17 h 51 m | Show |
Toronto can stake its claim to being one of the best teams in baseball. Certainly, the Blue Jays have the No. 1 offense. |
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09-14-15 | Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 24-26 | Loss | -122 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
The Eagles certainly looked sharp in preseason steamrolling the Colts, Ravens and Packers. Now looking good during preseason doesn't necessarily equate to an opening week win, but in the Eagles' case it's not a fluke. Philadelphia has achieved double-digit victories during each of Chip Kelly's first two years. Now, in Year 3 of Kelly's super high octane offense, the Eagles look the best they ever had under Kelly. The Eagles' defensive front seven has been upgraded, the secondary is fortified with quality depth at the nickel and dime spots and Sam Bradford is the most talented quarterback Kelly has had at Philadelphia. The Eagles also have the finest running back trio of any team led by defending rushing champion DeMarco Murray. The Eagles are ready to state their Super Bowl case with an offense that has yet to be stopped. The Falcons don't have nearly the defense to slow down Philadelphia. Defensive guru Dan Quinn, formerly the Seahawks defensive coordinator, makes his head coaching debut for Atlanta. Quinn is trying to overhaul the worst defense in the league from a year ago, a defense that recorded only 22 sacks. Quinn is implementing a 4-3 scheme. Atlanta's defense, at best, is a work in progress right now. Quinn brings excellent credentials. However, this is way too tough of a test and way too early for the Falcons to show the necessary major defensive steps to stop the Eagles' already-in-sync powerhouse offense that is better with the highly accurate Bradford. The Falcons are going to need to trade points with the Eagles, matching them score for score. I don't see Atlanta being able to keep up. Matt Ryan and Julio Jones get a lot of media attention. They are outstanding. I rate Jones as the best wide receiver in the NFC. But the Falcons have a very suspect offensive line that also is learning a new system and Atlanta also lacks a polished ground attack. The Eagles' first three running backs - Murray, Ryan Mathews and Darren Sproles - are all better than anything the Falcons have at running back. The Eagles not only hold edges offensively and defensively, but on special teams, too. Atlanta's home field isn't nearly enough to compensate for any of that. The spread is cheap here. Lay it. |
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09-13-15 | Cincinnati Bengals -3 v. Oakland Raiders | 33-13 | Win | 100 | 196 h 22 m | Show | |
There can be a tendency to overthink sometimes especially in the NFL. This game is an example of this. |
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09-13-15 | Green Bay Packers -6.5 v. Chicago Bears | Top | 31-23 | Win | 100 | 193 h 56 m | Show |
The Packers have Jay Cutler's number. Cutler has lost his last seven starts against Green Bay, which has dominated at Solder Field winning 18 of the last 22 times there. The Packers have intercepted Cutler 19 times in 10 games. Cutler has a strong arm and is not without talent, but he's a head case and the Packers are inside his head. |
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09-12-15 | Temple v. Cincinnati -6.5 | 34-26 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 32 m | Show | |
Congrats to Temple on beating long-time rival Penn State for the first time since 1941. |
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09-12-15 | Oregon State v. Michigan -14.5 | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
Expect the Big House to be rocking in Jim Harbaugh's Michigan home debut. Also expect quarterback Jake Rudock to play better than he did in Michigan's opening loss to Utah last week. |
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09-10-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. New England Patriots -6.5 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 78 h 54 m | Show |
When these two teams last met two years ago at Gillette Stadium, the Patriots buried the Steelers, 55-31. That was the most points the Steelers allowed in their 81-year history. Tom Brady threw for 432 yards and four touchdowns helping the Patriots pile up a staggering 610 yards. Now it's two years later. And guess what? Pittsburgh's defense is far more inexperienced and worse than what it was in 2013. Troy Polamalu and Dick LeBeau are gone, too. The Patriots received a huge mental lift with Brady's suspension overturned, while the Steelers experienced a huge mental jolt after not expecting Brady to see the field. It has been a rough off-season and preseason for Pittsburgh. The Steelers lost All-Pro center Maurkice Pouncey with a broken leg. Star running back Le'Veon Bell is suspended. So is promising wide receiver Martavis Bryant. The Steelers' defense has looked terrible giving massive indications they are going to struggle. This is the 14th opening Thursday kickoff game. The home team has won 11 of the first 13. The Steelers have only covered one of their last nine September games. |
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09-06-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Kansas City Royals -1.5 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
The Royals have won 68 percent of their past 79 home games. They aren't going to lack for motivation here either having lost the first two games of this series to the White Sox by an embarrassing margin of 18-2. |
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09-05-15 | Wisconsin v. Alabama -10.5 | Top | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 120 h 47 m | Show |
Too much of a class difference here for Wisconsin to stay within double digits of Alabama, especially being one-dimensional and lacking a passing attack. |
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09-05-15 | Texas v. Notre Dame -9.5 | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Texas has a big time reputation. But truth be told, the Longhorns can't compare to Notre Dame in terms of talent and experience. |
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09-04-15 | Washington v. Boise State -12 | 13-16 | Loss | -102 | 81 h 58 m | Show | |
Washington underachieved last season and doesn't have nearly the talent it had in 2014. The Huskies are young and in rebuilding mode. |
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09-04-15 | Baylor v. SMU +37 | 56-21 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Baylor blew out SMU, 45-0, at home opening week last season. |
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09-03-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. San Diego Padres +1.5 | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
The Dodgers are in letdown mode after sweeping the Giants in a pivotal series.Â
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09-03-15 | TCU v. Minnesota +17 | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
Minnesota is not the pushover the oddsmaker and marketplace think it is. Not under Jerry Kill and his long time assistant staff. |
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09-03-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Kansas City Royals -1.5 | Top | 7-15 | Win | 107 | 19 h 53 m | Show |
The Royals are extremely tough at home and the Tigers have almost become an auto fade these days. |
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08-29-15 | Philadelphia Eagles -3 v. Green Bay Packers | Top | 39-26 | Win | 100 | 53 h 9 m | Show |
The Eagles are unbeaten in preseason. They've beaten the Colts by 26 points and Ravens by 23 points. |
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08-29-15 | Calgary Stampeders v. Winnipeg Bombers +5 | Top | 36-8 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 15 m | Show |
Calgary leads the CFL's Western Division with a 6-2 mark. But the Stampeders have won only one game by more than five points with four of their victories coming by three points or less. Calgary wins, but doesn't cover spreads. The Stampeders have covered only one of their last nine games. They are 0-5-1 ATS versus foes with a losing record. One of those non-covers for Calgary occurred last month when it just nipped Winnipeg, 26-25, as 7 1/2-point favorites. Winnipeg has a new quarterback, Robert Marve. He made his first start in replacing injured Drew Willy two weeks ago and completed 18 of 29 passes for 203 yards with a touchdown and interception in a 27-20 loss to Toronto. The Blue Bombers haven't played since giving Marve an extra week to practice and prepare. That's huge. Calgary is on the road a second straight week and has a much bigger game on deck when it hosts Edmonton, it's main challenger in the West Division. The Stampeders could be without defensive end Charleston Hughes, who has been bothered by a bad back. It would hurt Winnipeg's pass rush if Hughes can't play.  Not only do the Blue Bombers have extra preparation time, but they picked up former Stampeders special teams and defensive player, Jasper Simmons. He won't play against Calgary because he doesn't know Winnipeg's system yet, but he can aid in the preparation knowing the Stampeders. |
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08-28-15 | Detroit Lions v. Jacksonville Jaguars -1 | Top | 22-17 | Loss | -120 | 45 h 19 m | Show |
Motivation is a big key during preseason. The Jaguars have it for this matchup. The Lions don't. |
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