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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-17-24 | Indiana State -4.5 v. Southern Illinois | Top | 69-74 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 14 m | Show |
There hadn't been this much excitement about Indiana State since Larry Bird played for the Sycamores. Unfortunately for the 23rd-ranked Sycamores they are coming off a stunning home upset loss to 12-14 Illinois State this past Tuesday. |
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02-17-24 | Cal-Riverside v. UC-Davis -5 | 67-61 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
UC Davis is the better all-around team. The Aggies are home and in stop-the-pain mode with two straight losses.  Cal-Riverside is two things - unable to win on the road and a terrible shooting team.  The Highlanders are 1-12 in their away games. They average fewer than 70 points per game and rank 357th in field goal percentage at 39 percent.Â
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02-17-24 | Marquette v. Connecticut -6 | 53-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
I don't see top-ranked Connecticut losing to Marquette at home. The Huskies have won 13 in a row and haven't forgotten how Marquette knocked them out of the Big East Conference Tournament last season. |
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02-16-24 | Brown v. Princeton -12.5 | Top | 63-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
Princeton has the best overall record of any team in the Ivy League at 17-3. Brown has one of the worst records at 6-16 with a 3-9 road mark. |
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02-16-24 | Siena v. St. Peter's -9 | 53-75 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
St. Peter's is an 11-11 average team that is in circle-the-wagons mode with a four-game losing streak following a 64-62 home loss to Fairfield, the second-best team in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference. The Peacocks did cover that game, though, as 3 1/2-point 'dogs. |
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02-16-24 | Jacksonville v. Queens NC -1.5 | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Queens is 9-3 at home. Jacksonville is 2-12 in true road games. |
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02-15-24 | Northwestern v. Rutgers -3.5 | Top | 60-63 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 4 m | Show |
Big Ten Conference basketball is all about defense and protecting your home floor. Both of these key factors are in play for Rutgers in this matchup. |
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02-14-24 | Clippers +4.5 v. Warriors | Top | 130-125 | Win | 100 | 22 h 42 m | Show |
No need to overthink. The Clippers are 35-17, one of the three best teams in the Western Conference along with the Timberwolves and Thunder. The Clippers' goal is to finish with the best record in the NBA. That's a lofty goal, but attainable for a team this good.
Golden State is 26-25. The Warriors are off an emotional road victory against the Jazz this past Monday. They play at Utah again on Thursday to close out the first half of their season. It's a game that was rescheduled following the untimely death of Warriors assistant coach Dejan Milojevic from a heart attack. So returning home for this one game against the Clippers sandwiched in between trips to Utah is an usual and tough spot for the Warriors. Their concentration level may be hindered. There's also a physical fatigue to go with the mental stress as this marks the Warriors' fifth game in eight days. Unlike the Warriors, the Clippers won't play again until after the All-Star break. Also unlike the Warriors, the Clippers are off a huge, disappointing loss. They were embarrassed at home by the Timberwolves, 121-100, this past Monday. That defeat dropped the Clippers 1 1/2 games behind the Timberwolves for best record in the Western Conference. Even with that loss to Minnesota, the Clippers still are 10-3 in their past 13 games. They won't lack motivation for this matchup and should be fully focused and engaged. The Clippers have both a top-10 offense and defense. They rank first in 3-point field goal percentage. The Warriors are below average defensively ranking 19th. |
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02-14-24 | Miami-FL +7.5 v. Clemson | 60-77 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Clemson returns home after posting impressive road victories against North Carolina and Syracuse. But the Tigers haven't played well at home and have had matchup problems against Miami.Â
Clemson is 2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS in its last five home games. One of those losses was to Georgia Tech as an 11 1/2-point favorite. The Tigers only defeated Louisville by six at home as a 16 1/2-point favorite. The Tigers are playing their first home game in 11 days. Miami is 1-3 in its last four games, but nearly beat North Carolina at home this past Saturday losing, 75-72. The Hurricanes have defeated Clemson in the last four meetings, including 95-82 on Jan. 3. |
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02-13-24 | Wolves v. Blazers +8.5 | Top | 121-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
This is enough line value for me to take the Trail Blazers given the probable return of Anfernee Simons and the favorable spot Portland is in. |
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02-13-24 | Duquesne v. Dayton -8.5 | Top | 59-75 | Win | 100 | 19 h 17 m | Show |
You have to go back 12 years to find the last time Duquesne won at Dayton. I don't see the Dukes ending their long road losing streak here against the Flyers. |
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02-13-24 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia -6.5 | 74-63 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh upset Virginia when these teams last met last season. The Cavaliers won't let it happen again, especially at home where they are 13-0. Virginia, in fact, has the longest home winning streak in NCAA Division I with 23 straight victories. Pittsburgh is fat and happy riding a three-game win streak. Two of those wins were in a favorite's role against Notre Dame and Wake Forest. The Panthers' 3-point defense is showing signs of regression. That could prove crucial as the Cavaliers' strengths are their third-ranked defense and 15th-ranked 3-point shooting percentage. During the past four weeks, the Cavaliers are the fifth-hottest shooting 3-point team. |
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02-12-24 | Bulls +4 v. Hawks | Top | 136-126 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show |
This is an important game for playoff seeding in the East. The Bulls rank ninth while the Hawks are 10th, one game behind Chicago. The Bulls are the superior defensive team and have a winning point spread mark. They are 7-4 ATS in their past 11 games. |
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02-11-24 | Penn State +8.5 v. Northwestern | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
Northwestern is laying too many points here against a hot Penn State team that has won and covered its last three games, beating Rutgers and Indiana on the road and Iowa at home. The Nittany Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games. |
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02-10-24 | Rockets +5 v. Hawks | 113-122 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Both teams are playing without rest. But here's what you have to know. The Hawks have the worst point spread record in the NBA at 16-36 (31 percent). They are 5-16 ATS when favored by more than 1 1/2 points.  The Hawks just beat a reeling 76ers squad that is trying to learn life without Joel Embiid. Atlanta will be missing center Clint Capela. Onyeka Okongwu has played well in Capela's place, but logged 34 minutes against the 76ers last night.  Houston is 0-3 in its current four-game road swing that ends here. The Rockets have come close in their last two games losing to the Pacers by three points this past Tuesday and by three points to the Raptors last night cutting a 23-point deficit to one point with 23 seconds left.  The Rockets nearly won despite their two leading scorers, Alperen Sengun and Jalen Green, shooting a combined 6-for-18 (25 percent) from the floor. Sengun shoots 54.1 percent from the field.Â
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02-10-24 | Providence v. Butler -3.5 | 72-75 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
Providence defeated Butler, 85-75, in overtime on Dec. 23. Much has changed since then. Butler is the better team. |
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02-10-24 | Vanderbilt v. South Carolina -11 | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Before the season, the SEC media picked Vanderbilt to finish 11th in the conference and South Carolina to place last. Vanderbilt has held true to that prediction with a 1-8 SEC mark. |
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02-10-24 | Creighton v. Xavier +1.5 | 78-71 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Xavier is playing well and in revenge mode for an 85-78 road loss to Creighton on Jan. 23. |
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02-09-24 | Hornets +14.5 v. Bucks | 84-120 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
As bad as the Hornets are, the Bucks are in no position to lay this many points to them. Milwaukee is 1-5 SU and 1-5 ATS in its last six games. The Bucks carry a high fatigue rating, have key injuries and Doc Rivers has been a near-disaster so far as the Bucks' coach. |
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02-09-24 | Dayton -1.5 v. VCU | Top | 47-49 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
Dayton is 18th-ranked in the country, leads the Atlantic 10 Conference and has won 16 of its last 17 games. But this matchup against VCU holds special meaning for the Flyers. |
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02-08-24 | Nuggets v. Lakers +3.5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
The Lakers have picked up their pace winning eight of their last 12 games. This includes three straight victories to close out a six-game road trip. |
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02-08-24 | Pistons v. Blazers -5.5 | 128-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
The Pistons are 3-20 on the road this season. Their latest road victory came last night in a 133-120 upset of the Kings. The Pistons achieved this unlikely victory without injured Cade Cunningham and Bojan Bogdanovic leaving them with only nine players. |
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02-08-24 | Washington State v. Oregon State +9 | 64-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Forget Oregon State being just 3-8 in the Pac-12 Conference and 11-11 overall. The Beavers are much stronger when playing at home. They are 11-2 at Gill Coliseum. One of the victories was an 83-80 win against then ninth-ranked Arizona on Jan. 25. The Beavers were 18 1/2-point 'dogs in that game. |
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02-07-24 | Pelicans +6.5 v. Clippers | Top | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
The Pelicans are in prime position to ambush the Clippers. |
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02-07-24 | Spurs +8 v. Heat | 104-116 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
Miami hasn't gotten going this season, losing eight of its last 11 games. But the Heat did win a satisfying game beating in-state rival Orlando, 121-95, last night. |
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02-07-24 | Furman -2.5 v. Mercer | 69-78 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
Furman is in better form than Mercer and has too much offense for the Bears to stay close. |
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02-06-24 | St. Mary's v. Pacific +21.5 | 84-43 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
Saint Mary's probably could name its score. The Gaels did that when these two teams met on Jan. 25. The Gaels embarrassed Pacific, 76-28. |
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02-06-24 | Bucks +4 v. Suns | 106-114 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
Milwaukee is concluding its five-game road trip here. The Bucks are 1-3 on their road swing. This is a good time to buy low on the Bucks coming off a 123-108 Sunday loss to the Jazz. |
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02-06-24 | Oklahoma State v. Houston -20 | Top | 63-79 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
I want Houston going for me at home after it was smashed, 78-65, by Kansas on the road this past Saturday. That was the Cougars' worst regular-season defeat in two years. |
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02-05-24 | Kansas v. Kansas State +4.5 | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Fresh off a 78-65 home victory against fourth-ranked Houston, Kansas is looking good. But now the Jayhawks find themselves in a difficult scheduling spot. They have to travel to Kansas State for this in-state, Big 12 Conference rivalry matchup. |
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02-05-24 | Raptors +11.5 v. Pelicans | 100-138 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Toronto is 2-11 in its last 13 games, 1-7 in its last eight games and playing its fifth straight road game. |
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02-04-24 | Bucks v. Jazz +1.5 | Top | 108-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
At first glance this opening line might look strange with the 33-16 Bucks around a pick'em against the 24-26 Jazz. But the spot sets up extremely well for Utah. So I'm on the Jazz. The Bucks came back to beat Dallas on the road Saturday night. Milwaukee trailed by 25 points at one stage. The Bucks' three best players all logged heavy minutes in the victory. Damian Lillard and Khris Middleton each played more than 38 minutes. Giannis Antetokounmpo logged more than 40 minutes. It wouldn't be shocking if any of those three were rested today. I'm getting down now on the Jazz because the line would change if Antetokounmpo or Lillard sat out. Note, too, the Bucks are going into Utah's high altitude.  Milwaukee also is in transition with new coach Doc Rivers. Beating Dallas was the Bucks' first win under Rivers this season.  The Jazz are 15-7 at home - and rested. They last played this past Thursday. The Jazz lost to the 76ers, 127-124, in their last game. Philadelphia didn't have injured Joel Embiid. However, the Jazz had just returned from a six-game road trip and been idle for only one day before hosting the 76ers. Now they are rested and ready to go with a strong home court.Â
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02-04-24 | Magic v. Pistons +7 | 111-99 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
I know it's difficult to get behind the Pistons. But they are in an excellent situational spot here. |
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02-03-24 | St. Mary's +4.5 v. Gonzaga | 64-62 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
I'm not convinced Gonzaga is better than Saint Mary's so I'm taking these many points. The Bulldogs have fewer wins than Saint Mary's and have battled inconsistency. Saint Mary's is in top form winning 14 of its last 15 games, including nine in a row. |
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02-03-24 | Tennessee v. Kentucky +1.5 | Top | 103-92 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 25 m | Show |
This is Kentucky's game to win and I see the Wildcats doing just that. Getting any points with the Wildcats is just a bonus. |
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02-03-24 | Weber State +2 v. Northern Colorado | 82-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a power ratings play. These teams have similar records, but I have Weber State as the superior team. So I will back the underdog. Weber State ranks 65th in the nation defensively holding foes to 65.2 points per game. That's remarkable for a Big Sky Conference team. Northern Colorado has had some high-scoring games in its last few games, but the Bears have played weak competition during this span. They rank 326th defensively allowing 78.2 points per game. |
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02-03-24 | Houston v. Kansas +1.5 | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Maybe it's a sucker's play. But I'm not going to turn down Kansas as a home underdog to Houston. The last time the Jayhawks were an underdog in Allen Fieldhouse was 2021 when they rolled past future national champion Baylor, 71-58. |
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02-03-24 | The Citadel +7.5 v. East Tennessee State | 60-62 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
East Tennessee State has only been favored once in its last eight games. That was against VMI. The Buccaneers were 10 1/2-point chalk and ended up winning by one point. |
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02-02-24 | Magic +8 v. Wolves | Top | 108-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
Points are going to be hard to come by in this matchup between the Magic, who ranked fifth in the NBA defensively, and the Timberwolves, who give up the fewest points per game. That's why the oddsmaker has set a low total. So I find this to be a lot of points to get. |
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02-02-24 | Siena v. Rider -10.5 | 50-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Siena is 3-17 and tied for last in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference with a 2-7 mark. However, one of the Saints' victories came against Rider. |
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02-02-24 | Quinnipiac -6.5 v. Manhattan | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Manhattan is one of the worst teams in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference. The Jaspers don't have much of a home-court edge and are weak both offensively and defensively where they have permitted at least 81 points in three of their last four games. |
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02-01-24 | 76ers +4.5 v. Jazz | 127-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Let's get the bad out of the way first. No Joel Embiid and the 76ers are concluding a five-game road trip here. They have lost the first four games of their road swing. But things aren't good on the Utah side either. The Jazz are 2-5 in their past seven games with the only victories during this time frame coming against the Wizards and Hornets. Those two bottom feeders have a combined record of 19-74.  The Jazz also are in a tough situational spot. This is their first home contest since Jan. 18. The Jazz just concluded six consecutive road games with losses to the Nets and Knicks this past Monday and Tuesday nights.  Embiid may be out for a while. The 76ers need to prove they can win without him. They shouldn't lack motivation to salvage one game from their road trip. They also have revenge incentive for a 120-109 home loss to the Jazz on Jan. 6 when Embiid also was out.  There's a good chance the 76ers get back underrated Tyrese Maxey, who has missed the last three games with an ankle injury, and versatile Nicolas Batum.
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02-01-24 | Appalachian State v. Georgia State +6 | 81-71 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm going to buy low on Georgia State. The Panthers have lost four in a row to drop below .500 on the season. Those four defeats, though, all came on the road. Georgia State is 6-1 at home, including winning its last six home games. |
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01-31-24 | Mavs +14 v. Wolves | Top | 87-121 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
I'm more interested in the Mavericks when they are underdogs - and they certainly are underdogs in this matchup judging by the lopsided point spread. It's way too many points for the Timberwolves to be laying. Dallas has ended its mini-slump winning two of its past three games, including nipping the Magic, 131-129, at home two days ago. Tim Hardaway Jr. has been picking up the slack for Kyrie Irving's absence. He had 36 points against Orlando.  The Mavericks are 12-9 on the road. They have covered seven of the last 11 times when getting points. Dallas also defeated the Timberwolves, 115-108, in the last meeting on Jan. 7 at home.  The Timberwolves are coming off a satisfying road win against the Thunder, in which Minnesota coach Chris Finch challenged his defense, but are just 3-3 in their last six games.  It's not an ideal situational spot either for the Timberwolves being their first home game in nine days following four consecutive road games. Minnesota is 0-2 in its last two home contests losing to the Hornets and Thunder.Â
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01-31-24 | Furman v. The Citadel +7.5 | 82-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Furman is a high-scoring team, but this is too many points for the Paladins to lay on the road. |
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01-30-24 | San Diego State v. Colorado State -1.5 | Top | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 22 h 18 m | Show |
It's gut check time for Colorado State after consecutive road losses to Wyoming and Nevada. The Rams are in the NCAA Tournament hunt with a 15-5 record, but blew an 11-point lead with 1:11 left to fall to Wyoming in overtime this past Saturday in their last game. |
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01-30-24 | Jazz +4 v. Knicks | 103-118 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
I tried to step in against the Knicks with the Hornets on Monday. It was a mistake. The Hornets are an immature, gutless team. The Jazz aren't. They are well-coached, have a deep rotation and are below-the-radar with a 10-5 record this month. |
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01-29-24 | Knicks v. Hornets +9 | 113-92 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
The Knicks have won a season-high six straight games. But don't be shocked if the Knicks stumble here against the lowly Hornets, a team they have easily beaten in all three meetings this season. |
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01-28-24 | Raptors +6.5 v. Hawks | 125-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Yes, the Raptors are going through a rocky stage now losing eight of their last nine games. |
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01-27-24 | 76ers v. Nuggets -4.5 | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show | |
Denver is 5-2 in its last seven games. The Nuggets' losses during this span came to the Pacers this past Thursday on the final game of their five-game road trip and to the 76ers at the start of their road trip, which was 11 days ago. |
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01-27-24 | Colorado v. Washington State +1.5 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 18 h 31 m | Show |
It's easy to cite revenge for Washington State when going with the Cougars to beat Colorado at home in this matchup. The Buffaloes beat the Cougars, 74-67, in Boulder on Dec. 31. |
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01-26-24 | Magic -5 v. Grizzlies | 106-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The Magic are finally healthy with Franz Wagner back in the lineup. The Grizzlies are so decimated with injuries that Scotty Pippen Jr. is now a key member of their rotation. |
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01-26-24 | Ohio v. Kent State -2.5 | Top | 71-64 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
Kent State is far superior to Ohio in two key categories - 3-point shooting and free throw shooting. The Golden Flashes also are home for this Mid-American Conference matchup. That's a key, too. Ohio is 0-5 SU and ATS in its five true road games. |
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01-25-24 | Mt. St. Mary's +4.5 v. Quinnipiac | 65-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Mount St. Mary's beat Quinnipiac straight-up last season on the road as a bigger underdog than this. Quinnipiac is riding high on a five-game win streak after a home win against Iona. |
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01-25-24 | SMU v. North Texas +1.5 | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 17 h 53 m | Show | |
SMU plays outstanding defense. But North Texas plays even better defense. The Mean Green rank third in the nation defensively holding foes to 58.3 points a game. |
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01-24-24 | Hawks v. Warriors -7 | Top | 112-134 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show |
A disappointing season turned tragic for Golden State when assistant coach Dejan Milojevic died of a heart attack last Wednesday. The Warriors haven't played since. |
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01-23-24 | San Diego +3.5 v. Portland | 85-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Portland is too weak defensively to lay this many points. San Diego is 0-5 in the West Coast Conference. But the Toreros are 10-10 overall. Their conference losses have been against the best teams in the league, Gonzaga twice, St. Mary's and San Francisco. |
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01-23-24 | Houston v. BYU +2.5 | Top | 75-68 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Houston is finding out the hard way that winning on the road in the Big 12 Conference is tough. The Cougars are ranked fourth in the country, but they are 0-2 SU and ATS on the road in the Big 12 losing to Iowa State and TCU. |
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01-22-24 | Hawks v. Kings -8 | 107-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Who's the most underachieving team in the NBA? If you go by point spread records it's the Hawks. Atlanta has covered only 26 percent of its games going 11-31 ATS. |
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01-22-24 | Cavs +1.5 v. Magic | Top | 126-99 | Win | 100 | 17 h 51 m | Show |
Cleveland is one of the hottest teams in the NBA riding a seven-game win streak. During this span, the Cavaliers have held their opponents to an average of 98.4 points. That figure would easily lead the NBA in defense if it were season-long. Orlando ranks 25th in scoring and has the second-worst 3-point shooting percentage. |
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01-21-24 | Blazers v. Lakers -11.5 | 110-134 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
The Lakers are good enough - and the Trail Blazers are bad enough - for an LA blowout win here. The spot sets up for the Lakers. |
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01-21-24 | Oregon v. Utah -5 | 77-80 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 26 m | Show | |
Oregon wasn't expected to win as a six-point road 'dog to Colorado this past Thursday. But the Ducks' 86-70 loss to the Buffaloes shows some red flags concerning the team when playing away from Eugene. |
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01-20-24 | Packers v. 49ers -9.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
Lost in the glare of the Packers' 48-32 smashing upset victory of the Cowboys last Sunday was that Green Bay's defense was on the field for 89 plays.
Now the Packers go back on the road for the fourth time in the last five weeks - and on a short week with this being a Saturday game - to face a rested and healthy 49ers offense that led the league in net yards per passing play, rushing touchdowns and had the best red-zone conversion rate. The 49ers produced the second-most yards in the league and third-most points. I don't like Packers defensive coordinator Joe Barry and I don't trust Green Bay's defense. The Packers gave up 30 points, 26 first downs and nearly 400 yards of offense to Carolina just four games ago. It's scary to think how many points Brock Purdy, Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk can put up against the Packers defense, which was 28th in stopping the run and hasn't been innovative all season. Star cornerback Jaire Alexander is questionable, too, with an ankle injury. It's easy to overrate the Packers. After all, they just were seen burying the Cowboys in a game that was far more lopsided than the final score while the 49ers haven't played a meaningful game in three weeks. The 49ers are an elite, "A'' team. The Packers are two levels behind them and in a difficult situational spot. Green Bay has gone as far as it can go. Congrats to the Packers on a nice season, but it ends here and it ends in a big way. |
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01-20-24 | Purdue v. Iowa +7 | Top | 84-70 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
Iowa is much improved since an 87-68 road loss to Purdue back on Dec. 4. The Hawkeyes are 6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS in their last seven games. They have won and covered three in a row beating Rutgers, Nebraska and Minnesota by an average of 12 points. |
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01-19-24 | Wild v. Panthers -1.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Florida is in second place in the Atlantic Division with 58 points. But the Panthers are in must-win mode having lost three in a row - two in overtime - and finishing a five-game homestand with this matchup. |
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01-19-24 | Marist +3.5 v. Mt. St. Mary's | Top | 48-65 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 49 m | Show |
Maybe I'm a sucker, but I can't turn down taking points with the better team. That's what I find in this Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference matchup between Marist and Mount St. Mary's. |
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01-18-24 | Troy State v. South Alabama | Top | 71-74 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 5 m | Show |
Troy enters this matchup riding a lot of momentum and has significant edges on South Alabama in several key areas. |
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01-17-24 | Heat v. Raptors +1.5 | 97-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
There are enough factors going to support the home underdog Raptors. |
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01-17-24 | Lafayette v. Holy Cross +5.5 | Top | 72-68 | Win | 100 | 20 h 57 m | Show |
The bar is set low for Holy Cross in this Patriot League matchup. Holy Cross is 4-13. Lafayette is 5-12, but leads the Patriot League with a 4-0 mark. The Crusaders are 1-3 in league making this a crucial home game for them. |
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01-17-24 | Rhode Island +8.5 v. St Bonaventure | 64-99 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Rhode Island had a rough December. But sparked by David Green, the Rams are playing their best ball winning and covering their last four games. |
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01-16-24 | Wisconsin v. Penn State +7.5 | Top | 83-87 | Win | 100 | 24 h 25 m | Show |
Wisconsin remains the lone unbeaten team in Big Ten play. But no team goes unbeaten through the conference schedule in this rugged league. So the Badgers are on borrowed time. That time could be up in this matchup. |
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01-16-24 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas +3.5 | 77-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Arkansas is 7-2 at home, including a victory against Duke, and draws Texas A&M in a letdown spot.
The Aggies are off their finest win of the season. They beat Kentucky, 97-92 in overtime, at home this past Saturday. It was the first time the Aggies defeated a ranked team this season and it was their first victory against the Wildcats since 2018. The Razorbacks should be fired-up after consecutive road defeats to Florida and Georgia. Arkansas coach Eric Musselman ripped his team following the latest loss. |
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01-15-24 | Eagles -2.5 v. Bucs | Top | 9-32 | Loss | -120 | 154 h 59 m | Show |
The Eagles catch two major breaks here. This game is on Monday night so they get extra rest. They also draw the Buccaneers. The Eagles are at low ebb right now dropping five of their last six games. They certainly won't lack motivation now that the playoffs are here. Tampa Bay, winner of the weak NFC South Division, is one of the worst teams in the postseason. The Bucs are last in rushing and Baker Mayfield is banged-up. Tampa Bay has produced a combined 22 points in its last two games going against the Panthers and Saints. Philadelphia played a much more difficult schedule than Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers only went 1-5 in games vs playoff teams. The one victory came against the Packers. The Buccaneers hosted the Eagles back in Week 3. It didn't go well for Tampa Bay. The Eagles won, 25-11. The Buccaneers could only manage 12 first downs and 41 yards rushing. |
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01-15-24 | Dartmouth +18 v. Princeton | 58-76 | Push | 0 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
Dartmouth is below the radar and justifiably so with three straight losses and non-covers. But the Big Green has had injuries. Now they finally are healthy. |
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01-14-24 | Washington v. UCLA +3 | 61-73 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
UCLA covered against Marquette and Gonzaga in narrow losses to those schools earlier this season. Few, though, are rushing to the window to bet the Bruins these days. UCLA is 1-8 in its last nine games and off an embarrassing, 90-44, road loss to Utah this past Thursday. |
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01-14-24 | Packers v. Cowboys -7 | Top | 48-32 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 49 m | Show |
The Packers surprised many people sneaking into the playoffs as the final wild-card team. But that is their ceiling. |
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01-13-24 | Pelicans +3 v. Mavs | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
The Pelicans are fully healthy. The Mavericks are not. Luka Doncic is out with an ankle injury. Dante Exum, the Mavericks' fifth-leading scorer, is out, too. Rotation player Dereck Lively II is questionable. |
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01-13-24 | CS-Fullerton v. CS-Northridge -4 | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
Cal Northridge is a better team than Cal State-Fullerton and the timing sets up well for the Matadors.
The Matadors just played on Thursday and lost, 95-75, to UC Davis on the road. That was just the second time in 14 games that Northridge failed to cover the spread. The Matadors are 12-4 and 12-2 ATS in their lined games. One of those victories was a 76-72 victory against UCLA on the road as a 17-point underdog. It wasn't a fluke win either as the Matadors were in control for much of the game. Fullerton is 1-3 in its last four games. The Titans haven't played in a week. So they figure to be rusty while Northridge is anxious to atone for its poor showing this past Thursday. Another factor Northridge has going is its coach, Andy Newman, is a former coach at Fullerton. He's been pointing to this game. |
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01-13-24 | San Diego State v. New Mexico -3.5 | 70-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
San Diego State isn't the same on the road. The Aztecs are 2-6 ATS in away and neutral site games this season. |
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01-12-24 | Dayton +1.5 v. Duquesne | 72-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Dayton has won nine in a row. The Flyers shouldn't be an underdog to Duquesne. |
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01-12-24 | Minnesota v. Indiana -3.5 | Top | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 17 h 7 m | Show |
I'm selling high on the Gophers right now. |
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01-11-24 | Blazers +13.5 v. Thunder | Top | 77-139 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
Portland is going through another tough period with four blowout losses and a victory during its last five games. So why back the Trail Blazers here? The complex answer is when things don't seem to make sense in the NBA, that's usually the right side to be on. |
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01-11-24 | Celtics v. Bucks -4.5 | 102-135 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Only once all season have the Celtics been an underdog. But there are good reasons why Boston is getting so many points in this matchup. |
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01-11-24 | Stony Brook v. Towson -4.5 | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
I find this line short. Towson is 6-0 at home. Stony Brook hosted Towson last year and lost, 67-55. Towson is superior to the Seawolves again this season. |
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01-10-24 | The Citadel v. Furman -9.5 | Top | 68-82 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show |
Back on Dec. 19, The Citadel stunned Notre Dame, beating the Irish, 65-45, as an 8 1/2-point road 'dog.
Much has changed this month, though, for the Bulldogs. And it's not good. The Citadel suffered multiple injuries, losing leading scorer AJ Smith to a shoulder injury and second-leading rebounder Winston Hill to a season-ending knee injury. The Bulldogs were missing four players in their last game, which was an 80-64 home loss to Samford this past Saturday. Now the Bulldogs have to go on the road to meet Furman. The Paladins are in stop-the-pain mode with three straight losses. Furman buried The Citadel at home last season, 97-72. However, the Bulldogs upset the Paladins, 69-65, when they hosted them later in the season. Furman hasn't lost two in a row to The Citadel in 11 years. Furman averages 81.8 points a game. The Citadel has allowed 80 points in each of its last two games. The Paladins have two big scorers in Marcus Foster and JP Pegues. They are averaging 19.8 points and 18.8 points per game, respectively. Minus Smith, the Bulldogs' leading scorer is Elijah Morgan at 14.5 points. Ed Conroy, coach of The Citadel, admitted his team is going to have to reinvent themselves following all these injuries. That's going to take time. So the spot sets up well for Furman. |
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01-09-24 | Raptors v. Lakers -5 | Top | 131-132 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 27 m | Show |
Next to winning the NBA in-season tournament, the Lakers won perhaps their most important game of the season this past Sunday edging the Clippers, 106-103. The Clippers had won five in a row entering that matchup while the Lakers had dropped four straight.
The Lakers were 3-10 since capturing the in-season tournament before defeating the Clippers. There was growing friction inside the Lakers between some players and coach Darvin Ham. But LeBron James and Anthony Davis had huge performances and D'Angelo Russell returned after missing three games because of a bruised tailbone to lead the Lakers past the Clippers and take the focus off Ham. I don't see the Lakers just giving back that game by losing at home to the Raptors here. Toronto is a bit fat and happy following a 133-118 road win against the Warriors this past Sunday. That gave the Raptors a 2-1 record on their current six-game road trip. This marks the Raptors' fourth road game in seven days and seventh overall game in 12 days. The Raptors haven't been playing good defense, surrendering an average of 122.3 points a game during their past six games. |
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01-09-24 | Rhode Island v. Davidson -5 | 79-74 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm looking for a strong bounce back effort from Davidson at home after the Wildcats lost its Atlantic-10 opener six days ago to Dayton, 72-59. That was the Wildcats' first home defeat in seven games and also halted a seven-game win streak. Davidson had a bad shooting night, while Dayton was hot making 50 percent of its shots from the floor. |
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01-09-24 | Houston v. Iowa State +2.5 | 53-57 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
Getting even a basket with Iowa State is huge in this matchup of defensive giants. |
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01-08-24 | Washington v. Michigan -4 | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 76 h 19 m | Show | |
It's time. Michigan has the superior defense, ground attack and big-game experience having been in three straight college football playoffs to beat Washington by more than a field goal. |
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01-07-24 | Eagles v. Giants +5 | Top | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 136 h 9 m | Show |
The Eagles don't need to beat the Giants unless the Cowboys happen to lose to the Commanders. That's not going to happen. The Cowboys are two-touchdown favorites in that game. So the Eagles will be the NFC's No. 5 seed. |
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01-06-24 | Cincinnati v. BYU -8.5 | Top | 71-60 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 7 m | Show |
BYU is 12-1 SU, 11-2 ATS, ranks fourth in the nation in scoring, 12th in the country defensively and has a winning margin of 28.9 points, which leads all Division I teams. |
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01-06-24 | Knicks v. Wizards +9 | 121-105 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
The Knicks are 3-0 since acquiring three players from the Raptors, including OG Anunoby. They are off their most lopsided win of the season, a 128-92 rout of the 76ers last night. |
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01-06-24 | Steelers v. Ravens +3 | 17-10 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Just because the Steelers are in a must-win spot to keep their playoff hopes alive, doesn't mean they will win. Yes, I understand the Ravens have clinched the No. 1 seed in the AFC and will be sitting out multiple starters, including Lamar Jackson. |
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01-05-24 | Wolves -3.5 v. Rockets | Top | 122-95 | Win | 100 | 20 h 15 m | Show |
The Timberwolves are off consecutive losses to the Knicks and Pelicans at home. They have not lost three in a row all season. |
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01-05-24 | Connecticut -4.5 v. Butler | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Butler has never beaten Connecticut in seven tries. Butler has never kept the final score below double-digits either in any of its losses to Connecticut. Maybe the Bulldogs can keep this game in single digits, but I don't see them pulling the upset. |
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01-04-24 | Texas-Arlington +5 v. Tarleton St | 76-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Texas Arlington is underpriced here. The Mavericks have played a tougher schedule than Tarleton State. They are 5-1 ATS in their last six lined games. This includes the Mavericks covering against Texas, Texas Tech and Grand Canyon, who they led in the second half against. |
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01-03-24 | Pistons +9 v. Jazz | Top | 148-154 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
Utah is fat and happy after getting satisfying revenge on Dallas this past Monday. The Jazz whipped the Mavericks, 127-90, after having lost to the Mavericks by 50 points in their previous matchup on Dec. 6.  The Pistons have their own short revenge here. The Jazz defeated the Pistons, 119-111, as 2 1/2-point road favorites on Dec. 21.  Since then the Pistons halted an NBA record-tying 28-game losing streak by edging the Raptors. Following that victory, the Pistons had their own letdown losing to the Rockets, 136-113, on the road two days ago.  The Pistons should be ready again now. Bojan Bogdanovic and Alec Burks shouldn't lack motivation having formerly played for the Jazz.  This is just the second time since Dec. 2 that Utah is favored. It's also the most points Utah is laying all season.Â
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01-03-24 | Indiana v. Nebraska -5 | 70-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
This is Fred Hoiberg's best Nebraska team since taking over the Cornhuskers in 2019. The Cornhuskers are 11-2, including 9-1 at home. I see them getting the job done at home against Indiana, a game Hoiberg has been pointing to. Indiana has played three straight easy home games beating Morehead State, North Alabama and Kennesaw State. This is only the Hooisers' second true road game.Â
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01-03-24 | St. Thomas -4.5 v. Idaho | 75-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
I have no problem fading Idaho, who has played a very weak schedule. The Vandals are a below average scoring team and rank 326nd in 3-point defense. St. Thomas is 2-0 in the Summit League with impressive wins and covers against North Dakota and Kansas City. The Tommies have covered five of their last six lined games, including the past four. They are giving up just 54.5 points in their last four games.Â
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01-02-24 | Hornets +16 v. Kings | 111-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
This is the biggest margin the Kings have been favored all season. It's justified considering the opponent is Charlotte. But the spot isn't good for the Kings. So I'll accept this many points with the Hornets. |
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