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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-20-16 | Iowa v. Villanova -6.5 | 68-87 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
The Big Ten has looked bad in the NCAA Tournament. I'm not a fan of Iowa either. The Hawkeyes survived rather than won their first round tournament game nipping Temple, 72-70, in overtime as seven-point favorites. It's the eighth time in their last nine games the Hawkeyes have failed to cover. |
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03-19-16 | Warriors v. Spurs -3 | 79-87 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
As great as the Warriors are, they are trumped in this spot by San Antonio. |
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03-19-16 | Clippers v. Grizzlies +10.5 | Top | 102-113 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
The Clippers are less awesome minus Blake Griffin. They don't have the star power to cover double-digit type road spreads in letdown spots, which this matchup is for them.Â
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03-19-16 | Yale v. Duke -6 | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Don't get caught overthinking this matchup. Yale is Yale and Duke is Duke. |
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03-18-16 | Stephen F Austin +8 v. West Virginia | 70-56 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
There is tremendous parity in this year's NCAA Tournament, more than in most years. So getting this many points with an underseeded Stephen F. Austin team is excellent value. |
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03-17-16 | Yale v. Baylor -5 | Top | 79-75 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 3 m | Show |
The monster difference between the Big 12 - arguably the best conference in the nation - and the Ivy League doesn't merit this short of a spread. |
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03-16-16 | Clippers +3.5 v. Rockets | 122-106 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
The Rockets are playing better. But don't put much stock in their 130-81 burial of the Grizzlies this past Monday in their last game. The Grizzlies are just a shell of themselves with multiple key injuries. The Rockets' history is to fall back once they start looking good. |
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03-16-16 | Princeton v. Virginia Tech -3.5 | 81-86 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
There's enough of a class difference here where I feel comfortable laying this number. Virginia Tech is one of those schools happy to play in the NIT. It's the Hokies' first postseason tournament appearance in five years. |
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03-16-16 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Duquesne -4.5 | 112-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
First make note this matchup is in the College Basketball Invitational not the NIT. That's important because the CBI doesn't have any teams from the Power Five conferences, or the Big East, this season. Take away those conferences and it leaves the Atlantic 10 as the highest-rated conference according to RPI numbers. |
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03-15-16 | IUPU Ft Wayne +11.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 55-79 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne is well rested and excited about making its first NIT appearance since elevating to Division I status 16 years ago. |
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03-15-16 | Akron +5 v. Ohio State | 63-72 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Akron will be sky high for this in-state rivalry matchup. Ohio State has far less enthusiasm. The Buckeyes had their course set for the NCAA Tournament. This is a big disappointment for them and their crowd count will be way down.Â
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03-14-16 | Pelicans v. Warriors -15 | Top | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
Short-handed New Orleans is way overmatched to begin with and the situation makes it worse. |
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03-12-16 | Thunder +8.5 v. Spurs | 85-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
OK here are the facts regarding San Antonio at home. The Spurs have won 40 in a row at AT&T Center, including 31 games this season. San Antonio has covered 67 percent of its last 43 home contests.
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03-12-16 | Pelicans v. Bucks -5 | Top | 92-103 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show |
Nearly decimated New Orleans gave it all it had before losing in overtime to Memphis last night. The Pelicans have lost five players for the season, including key cogs Tyreke Evans and Eric Gordon. All but one of New Orleans' starters played at least 41 minutes last night. Anthony Davis logged 47 minutes. Top reserve Ryan Anderson went nearly 37 minutes. Point guard Norris Cole didn't play and is questionable for this matchup. |
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03-12-16 | Seton Hall +6.5 v. Villanova | 69-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Seton Hall is coming on and can win this game straight-up sparked by its star sophomore guards Isaiah Whitehead and Khadeen Carrington. The Pirates are young but have steadily grown and are now peaking at the perfect time.Â
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03-11-16 | Colorado State v. Fresno State -3 | Top | 56-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
Both teams have strong offenses, but Fresno State is better defensively and is the fresher team. The Bulldogs also are peaking at the right time winning nine of their past 10, including their last seven games. |
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03-11-16 | Illinois v. Purdue -10.5 | 58-89 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
The Boilermakers have the size, situation and revenge motive to steamroll the Illini.
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03-10-16 | Suns +8.5 v. Nuggets | 98-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
I'm not buying the Nuggets as this big of a favorite when they don't have their best player, injured Danilo Gallinari. You have to go back to Dec. 11-15 to find the last time Denver won three in a row. |
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03-10-16 | Western Kentucky +6.5 v. UAB | 88-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky has covered five of its last six meetings versus Alabama-Birmingham. The past four get togethers have all been decided by seven points or less. This includes the Hilltoppers losing by four points on the road to the Blazers two weeks ago. This game is in Birmingham but not on the Blazers' home floor. |
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03-09-16 | Knicks +2.5 v. Suns | Top | 128-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
Phoenix is 3-2 in its last five games and coming off an impressive 109-100 road win against the Grizzlies this past Sunday. But don't for an instant think the Suns are any good. They aren't. Neither are the Knicks. This is bad on bad and the point spread has become out of whack here. |
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03-09-16 | Syracuse v. Pittsburgh -2 | 71-72 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
Neither Pittsburgh nor Syracuse is playing its best ball right now going into this second-round matchup of the ACC Tournament. But the Panthers match up well to Syracuse. This is proven in Pittsburgh winning the past four times, including going 2-0 this season versus the Orange with both victories coming by double-digits. The Panthers are 14-6 against the Orange since Jamie Dixon became Pittsburgh's coach. |
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03-08-16 | Pennsylvania +16 v. Princeton | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
Penn has depth and is much improved from last season. The Quakers nearly upset Princeton as seven-point home 'dogs losing 73-71 in overtime back in January. The Quakers blew an 11-point lead with four minutes left. |
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03-07-16 | Magic v. Warriors -14 | Top | 113-119 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
I want the Warriors off their most shocking and worst-played game of the season, a 112-95 road loss to the Lakers Sunday afternoon. The Warriors haven't shot as bad from 3-point range as they did against the Lakers - 4-for-30 - since December of 2013. |
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03-07-16 | Grizzlies +12.5 v. Cavs | 106-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies are being undervalued in this spot. It's understandable. They just lost to the Suns, 109-100, on Sunday while the Cavaliers are coming off a hugely-satisfying 17-point home victory against the Celtics this past Saturday in a big revenge spot. |
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03-06-16 | Wisconsin +6 v. Purdue | Top | 80-91 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
Yes, Purdue is tough at home. But the oddsmaker isn't giving enough respect to Wisconsin with a line this high. The Badgers have won 11 of their last 12 games - losing only to Michigan State during this span - while going 10-2 ATS. |
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03-06-16 | Blazers v. Pistons | Top | 103-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
Detroit played last night, but it's Portland that carries a high fatigue rating in this matchup. The Pistons were idle for two days before losing to the Knicks, 102-89, on Saturday. Now they return home where they have covered 64 percent of their games at The Palace of Auburn Hills. |
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03-06-16 | Mavs -3 v. Nuggets | 114-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Dallas can't afford to slip up here in its quest for a playoff quest. The Nuggets weren't good to begin with and they are not nearly as good now minus their top player Danilo Gallinari. He was the one player they couldn't afford to lose. The Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games. |
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03-05-16 | Nets v. Wolves -5 | 118-132 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
Rarely do I care to lay points with the Timberwolves. This is one of those times. |
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03-05-16 | Celtics v. Cavs -7 | Top | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
A month ago Avery Bradley hit a buzzer beater as the Celtics upset the Cavaliers in Cleveland, 104-103. The Cavaliers haven't forgotten. Not only is this a huge revenge spot for them, but it's a great situation, too. |
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03-05-16 | Oregon v. USC +3 | 76-66 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
My first look when it comes to the Pac-12 is to any home underdogs as the host school sports an 83 percent winning average. USC fits the bill on today's card. |
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03-04-16 | Austin Peay v. Belmont -10 | 97-96 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Midnight is about to strike for Austin Peay, which has pulled off two upsets in the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament. This is the Governor's third game in three days. They came from 19 points down to edge Tennessee State last night. That game took a lot of energy out of Austin Peay, which did some heavy celebrating following the victory. Even with that win, the Governors are still 5-17 ATS following a straight-up victory. They are not a good team. |
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03-03-16 | Suns +14 v. Heat | 92-108 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
It's not so much the Suns that the Heats are dealing with today. It's a battle against human nature. After just facing the Warriors, Celtics, Knicks and Bulls - the last two of whom they beat - the Heat now draw the Suns at home. That's followed by consecutive games against the 76ers. Can you say letdown? |
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03-03-16 | Austin Peay v. Tennessee State -4.5 | 74-72 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Tennessee State is much superior to Austin Peay and has a schedule advantage in this quarterfinal Ohio Valley Conference Tournament game being played in Nashville. |
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03-02-16 | Lakers +7.5 v. Nuggets | 107-117 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
No. Denver, at 14 games below .500, can't lay this many points especially minus its best player and maybe missing its second-best player, too. |
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03-02-16 | Michigan State v. Rutgers +24 | 97-66 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Now that plus 24 can be found, I'm going to hold my nose and take Rutgers. Yes, I know how bad the Scarlet Knights are. But this is a value play based on the return of Rutgers' star freshman point guard Corey Sanders and a look-ahead spot for Michigan State, which hosts Ohio State on Sunday. That will be Senior Day and the Spartans' final regular-season game. |
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03-01-16 | Kentucky -3.5 v. Florida | Top | 88-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
Kentucky has much to prove on the road. I see the Wildcats bouncing back following a 12-point road loss to Vanderbilt by solidly defeating fading Florida, which has dropped three in a row and is 0-4 in its last four home games. |
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02-29-16 | Grizzlies -2 v. Nuggets | Top | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show |
Memphis is 10 games above .500 and 4-2 since losing its best player, Marc Gasol, to a broken right foot. The Grizzlies are still a borderline playoff team without Gasol, at their best versus lower tier opponents such as the Nuggets. The Grizzlies have defeated Denver four straight times and are in a great spot to continue that streak. |
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02-28-16 | Heat +1.5 v. Knicks | Top | 98-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
The Heat have dominated the Knicks, winning eight of the past nine times, including going 4-0 SU and ATS at Madison Square Garden. |
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02-28-16 | Colorado State +3.5 v. Nevada | Top | 80-87 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
Colorado State defeated Nevada Reno, 76-67, as three-point home favorites three weeks ago. Nevada Reno's star point guard Marquez Coleman played 33 minutes in that game. Colorado State, which often lives and dies with the 3-pointer, missed 24 of 32 from 3-point range in that game. The Rams did get 26 more rebounds than the Wolf Pack. |
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02-27-16 | Montana +2.5 v. Weber State | Top | 54-60 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
Montana is in position to grab its first regular-season win at Weber State since 2004. Weber State heavily relies on guard Jeremy Senglin and big man Joel Bolomboy. The duo has  accounted for 46 percent of the Wildcats' scoring. However, the 6-foot-9 inch Bolomboy suffered a knee injury in the Wildcats' last game and the senior power forward is not expected to play. |
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02-27-16 | Spurs v. Rockets +6 | Top | 104-94 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
Even a well-coached, veteran team such as the Spurs can be excused if they are anxious to finally get home. This marks the final game of the Spurs' annual "Rodeo Road Trip." They are 6-1 in their last seven games, all on the road. |
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02-27-16 | Wolves +5 v. Pelicans | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
New Orleans could be in for a letdown facing the lowly Timberwolves after upsetting the Thunder at home on Thursday. The Pelicans are 7-13 ATS as chalk while the Timberwolves have covered 13 of their last 18 on the road when facing a foe with a winning home mark. |
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02-27-16 | West Virginia -6.5 v. Oklahoma State | 70-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State has multiple injuries. That's always tough on a team, but it is made especially worse when taking on West Virginia. The Mountaineers have excellent depth and play tough, pressing defense. |
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02-27-16 | Kentucky v. Vanderbilt +2 | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm far from convinced Kentucky even has better talent than Vanderbilt. We know the Wildcats struggle on the road where they have lost to Auburn, Tennessee, Kansas, Texas A&M, Ohio State and UCLA. |
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02-26-16 | Hornets v. Pacers -3 | Top | 96-95 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
This is a big revenge spot for Indiana. The Hornets whipped the Pacers by 23 points on Feb. 10. That was the game, though, where the Hornets lost Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, their best defender, for the season.Â
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02-25-16 | Spurs -3.5 v. Jazz | Top | 96-78 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
San Antonio is a very good team without Kawhi Leonard. But when they have Leonard, the Spurs rank with the Warriors as the top team in the NBA. Leonard came back last night after missing three games with a calf injury and helped spark the Spurs to an easy 16-point win against the Kings. Leonard will be less rusty now that he's had a game. Considering the class difference and matchup - the Spurs are 2-0 versus the Jazz this season winning by 25 and 37 points - San Antonio should easily be able to cover this number. |
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02-25-16 | Texas State v. Arkansas State -3 | 71-60 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
Texas State upset Louisiana-Lafayette, 61-57, at home in its last game. The Bobcats, though, are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a spread cover and 0-4 ATS following a victory. They also are 1-4 ATS in their last five Sun Belt games. |
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02-24-16 | Spurs -7 v. Kings | 108-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
The Spurs haven't been real sharp coming out of the All-Star break. The Clippers destroyed them by 19 points and they only beat the Lakers by six points and Suns by seven points. San Antonio failed to cover any of these three road games. Up until the All-Star break the Spurs had never gone more than two straight games without covering the spread. They still have a winning road spread mark and have had two full days off to regroup and get motivated for this matchup. |
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02-24-16 | Tennessee v. South Carolina -8.5 | Top | 58-84 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
 South Carolina is a dominant 14-1 at home this season. The Gamecocks have covered 14 of their last 17 at home, including going 9-3 ATS this season. |
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02-23-16 | UNLV v. Boise State -6.5 | Top | 69-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show |
First off, UNLV isn't very good on the road. The Rebels are 2-8 in true away contests this season. They've failed to cover in their last four road matchups. |
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02-23-16 | Magic -5.5 v. 76ers | 124-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Adding veteran Ersan Ilyasova and Brandon Jennings while getting rid of Channing Frye has made Orlando a better team. The Magic came back from All-Star break by defeating Dallas after falling 21 points behind. The Magic then lost a close game to Indiana, 105-102. |
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02-23-16 | Alabama +13.5 v. Kentucky | 53-78 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
This is going to be a tough number for Kentucky to cover. Alabama is very strong as underdogs under Avery Johnson and the Wildcats have injuries and a fatigue factor working against them playing for the third time in six days. |
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02-22-16 | Warriors -7 v. Hawks | Top | 102-92 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
The Warriors aren't just great at home. They also are an NBA-best 25-5 on the road, including 18-11-1 (62 percent) ATS on the road. The Warriors also are 12-5 following a non-spread cover. |
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02-22-16 | Youngstown State +17 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | 51-87 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
The University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee has been a bad point spread team at home all season. The Panthers are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home contests. They are 0-6 ATS following a point spread cover, which came for the first time at home this past Saturday, 88-54, over Cleveland State. |
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02-21-16 | Pelicans v. Pistons -5 | Top | 111-106 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
The Pistons have covered 64 percent of their home games this season and have revenge for an embarrassing 115-99 road loss to New Orleans from last month. |
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02-20-16 | Hawaii v. UC-Irvine -2.5 | Top | 75-71 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
This is a battle for first place in the Big West Conference and one of Irvine's biggest home games ever. A rare sellout crowd is expected. |
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02-20-16 | Warriors -4.5 v. Clippers | Top | 115-112 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
Golden State is the best team in basketball. The Warriors haven't dropped two in a row all season - and I don't see it happening here. The Warriors should be extremely focused and fired-up following a shocking 137-105 road loss to Portland Friday night. The Trail Blazers are tough at home and brought their "A" game. The Warriors were rusty and not as focused as they should have been coming off All-Star break. |
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02-20-16 | Southern Illinois +7.5 v. Evansville | 71-83 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
These teams are very close. Each is 21-7 overall and 10-5 in the Missouri Valley Conference. It's also a conference rivalry matchup so taking this many points looms large. Evansville pulled out an overtime victory against Southern Illinois on Jan. 28 after forcing overtime on a buzzer-beating 3-pointer. The Salukis want revenge. |
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02-20-16 | Butler +11 v. Villanova | 67-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Butler played Villanova tough in their first meeting losing 60-55 after leading by seven points early in the second half. The Bulldogs catch Villanova in a tough scheduling spot. |
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02-19-16 | Harvard +7.5 v. Columbia | 76-90 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
Harvard is down this season. The Crimson have failed to cover an Ivy League game all season. But this still is a lot of points for this series. It's too many in my view because the linemaker has shaded Columbia too much and the marketplace has nudged the line even higher. |
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02-18-16 | Florida Atlantic +6 v. Rice | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Florida Atlantic has improved its outside shooting and catches Rice in a letdown spot following the Owls' road upset victory against Old Dominion. The Owls are 1-6-1 ATS versus foes with a losing record. They also are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight Conference USA games. |
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02-18-16 | Jazz v. Wizards | Top | 89-103 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
The Wizards started slow last season, but ended up finishing 10 games above .500, earned the No. 5 spot in the Eastern Conference playoffs and swept the Raptors in the first round. |
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02-18-16 | Tennessee State +5.5 v. Morehead State | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Tennessee State is the better team. The Tigers are 9-3 in the Ohio Valley Conference just one-half game behind Belmont and Tennessee Tech. The Tigers have momentum having won three in a row and 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games. |
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02-17-16 | Houston -5 v. Tulane | Top | 82-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
Tulane is coming off a 94-87 overtime home win against Memphis as seven-point 'dogs. Does this suddenly make the Green Wave a good team? No. Tulane is six games under .500 on the season and just 3-10 in the Atlantic Athletic Conference despite that victory. The Green Wave are 1-6-1 ATS the past eight times they have gone against an opponent with a winning record. |
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02-17-16 | Providence +9 v. Xavier | 74-85 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Providence has revenge for a 75-68 home loss to Xavier on Jan. 26. Xavier shot 50 percent from the floor in that game. The Friars were getting 1 1/2 points for that matchup. Now they are getting much more and catch Xavier in a letdown spot. |
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02-16-16 | Ball State v. Miami (OH) +2.5 | Top | 73-56 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
Ball State is favored on the road for the first time since its opening away matchup back on Nov. 13 against Bradley, who beat the Cardinals, 54-53. The Red Hawks not only have revenge motivation but focus shouldn't be a problem either after they were embarrassed, 93-49, on the road against Toledo this past Saturday. Prior to that the Red Hawks had won and covered three of four, including the past two two. |
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02-15-16 | Oakland -1 v. Wright State | Top | 89-73 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
At stake here is sole possession of second place in the Horizon League, which means a lot because the top two seeds in this conference tournament draw double byes. |
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02-14-16 | West -5 v. East | Top | 196-173 | Win | 100 | 57 h 47 m | Show |
Normally I don't get involved with All-Star games, but this game is an exception. |
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02-14-16 | Bradley +18.5 v. Illinois State | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
Illinois State is coming off three wins and covers, the last two as double-digit 'dog winners against MIssouri Valley Conference leader Wichita State at home - Â coming from 18 points down to do it - and winning at Evansville this past Thursday. The victory against Evansville moved Illinois State into second place in the league. Now the Redbirds get a well deserved home rest stop against Bradley, which is second-to-last in the conference. |
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02-13-16 | CS-Northridge +11 v. UC-Irvine | Top | 84-93 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
Cal-Northridge can't match Cal-Irvine's defense, but the Matadors average more points, shoot better from the floor and have a far better free throw percentage than Irvine. |
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02-13-16 | Kentucky -2 v. South Carolina | 89-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
This is the game where Kentucky proves itself on the road. |
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02-11-16 | Loyola Marymount +5 v. Pacific | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
Now that this game has nudged up to five, I'm going to get involved with road underdog Loyola-Marymount. This has been a 'dog series with the underdog covering the past five times. |
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02-11-16 | Pelicans v. Thunder -11.5 | Top | 95-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
New Orleans doesn't have the defense to control the Thunder. The Pelicans rank 24th both in points allowed and defensive field goal percentage. Oklahoma City ranks No. 2 in the NBA in scoring at 109.9 points a game and has been averaging 112.4 points during its last 15 games. Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook are each playing at high levels and the Thunder have the big bodies in Serge Ibaka and Steven Adams to slow down Anthony Davis. Durant is averaging 36.3 points during his last three games. |
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02-10-16 | San Jose State +15.5 v. UNLV | 61-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
San Jose State is much improved. That improvement has shown up well on the road where the Spartans have covered eight of the last nine times. They also are 8-2 in their last 10 Mountain West Conference games and should be fresh for this matchup having been idle the past week. The Spartans have double revenge motivation from losing twice last season to the Rebels. |
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02-10-16 | Warriors v. Suns +16 | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
If the Warriors ever are going to have a letdown this is the game. This is Golden State's final game before All-Star break. During the past four days, the Warriors beat the Thunder and Rockets last night in a rematch of the Western Conference finals. Three Golden State players will be heading out to play in the All-Star Game. At 47-4, the Warriors have set the record for best 51-game record in NBA history. This is a fun spot and a well-deserved rest stop for the Warriors. |
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02-10-16 | Clippers +1.5 v. Celtics | Top | 134-139 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
I like Brad Stevens a lot. But there exits a huge talent gap between Stevens' Celtics and the Clippers. LA has enough star power to go 18-4 despite not having Blake Griffin the last 22 games. The Clippers don't need Griffin to beat Boston on the road especially given the circumstances of the matchup. |
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02-09-16 | Wizards +2 v. Knicks | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
The Knicks are broke and interim coach Kurt Rambis isn't going to fix them. Rambis was horrible when he coached the Timberwolves from 2009 to 2011 and he takes over a bad situation that isn't likely to get resolved until next season, certainly not during the brief period before All-Star break. |
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02-09-16 | Auburn v. Tennessee -11 | 45-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
The revenge angle really factors here with Tennessee remembering an 83-77 road loss to Auburn to begin its SEC season back at the start of January. The Volunteers can really take advantage of the Tigers' backcourt shortage due to injuries and suspension of leading scorer and assist man Kareem Canty and Auburn being in a five-game losing streak. |
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02-08-16 | Pelicans +1.5 v. Wolves | 116-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Just last week the Pelicans were talking playoffs three games out of the No. 8 seed in the Western Conference. Now New Orleans trails Utah by seven games for that final playoff seed having lost four in a row. Three of those defeats were to the Grizzlies, Spurs and Cavaliers, though. |
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02-08-16 | Bulls +6 v. Hornets | 91-108 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
The Bulls are in stop-the-pain mode going 2-4 heading into this their final matchup of a seven-game road trip. Chicago has tumbled all the way to being the sixth-seed in the Eastern Conference. |
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02-08-16 | Clippers v. 76ers +9 | 98-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
The 76ers opened 1-30. They are not that team anymore. The 76ers are 7-13 in their last 20 games. It's not a coincidence the 76ers have picked up their game since veteran point guard Ish Smith joined the team. Philadelphia also has gotten healthier. That combination has made the 76ers semi-respectable, capable of springing upsets at home against a fat and happy opponent in a flat spot. |
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02-08-16 | St. John's v. Georgetown -14.5 | 67-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
I see this as a venting, kill-spot for the Hoyas, who have lost three straight games. That means the Hoyas have to take St. John's seriously.
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02-07-16 | Panthers v. Broncos +4.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 324 h 5 m | Show |
Five times Denver has been an underdog this season. Five times the Broncos have covered winning four of those games straight-up. |
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02-07-16 | Clippers +1.5 v. Heat | Top | 100-93 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Miami is playing well and is healthier than it has been. However, the Clippers are a level higher and have been in Florida since Friday when they defeated the Magic, 107-93. So the Clippers shouldn't be bothered by the early start and difference in time. |
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02-06-16 | Jazz v. Suns +6 | 98-89 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
The Suns are 2-0 ATS since Earl Watson replaced Jeff Hornacek as head coach. The Suns should provide a strong home effort here, too, in what shapes up to be a low-scoring game. |
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02-06-16 | Bulls +4 v. Wolves | 105-112 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
At plus 4 I'm going to get involved with the Bulls. Chicago is short-handed and playing without rest. But I like the Bulls' bench and don't see them losing by this big of a margin to the Timberwolves, who are 7-17-1 ATS at home. |
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02-06-16 | Oklahoma -5 v. Kansas State | 69-80 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Kansas State has lost 7 of its last 10 and is off a hard-played loss to arch-rival Kansas. The Wildcats are in a bad spot to take on the Sooners. |
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02-06-16 | Tennessee-Martin -2.5 v. SIU-Edwardsville | 79-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
Tennessee-Martin is one of the most improved teams in the Ohio Valley and is playing well. The Skyhawks have won their last two games to even their season record at 12-12. One of these wins was against Murray State, a team SIU lost to by 16 points. The Skyhawks are 6-1 ATS following a victory. |
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02-06-16 | Boston College +21 v. Louisville | 47-79 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
Normally I wouldn't get involved with Boston College, but it's going to be very difficult for Louisville to be focused enough to cover this huge spread. The Cardinals may also not get many minutes out of leading scorer Damion Lee, who missed practice this week with a bruised knee. There is no reason for Lee to log much time in this matchup. |
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02-05-16 | Kings v. Nets +5.5 | 119-128 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
As bad as the Nets are, the Kings can't be supported laying this many points on the road. |
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02-05-16 | Pacers +5.5 v. Hawks | 96-102 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
The Hawks are playing better and their lineup is littered with All-Stars. But Indiana is a bad matchup for Atlanta because of the Hawks' rebounding problems. |
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02-05-16 | Fairfield +12.5 v. Monmouth | 67-91 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Fairfield is excellent value as a double digit 'dog in this spot against Monmouth being in a revenge spot. The Stags had won and covered three in a row prior to their last game. They are 5-1 against the spread following a defeat. |
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02-04-16 | Texas State +8 v. Georgia State | Top | 56-59 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
This is more than just a case of taking points in a matchup of two bad Sun Belt Conference teams. Both schools ranked in the top 25 in defense, but lack height and struggle to score while playing at a slow pace. |
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02-04-16 | Knicks v. Pistons -4 | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Detroit is very underrated at home where it is 22-8-1 ATS the past 31 times for 73 percent. The Pistons are particularly strong at home when going against weak opponents covering eight of the past nine times versus foes with a losing road mark. |
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02-03-16 | Pacers -6.5 v. Nets | 114-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
The apathetic Nets are limping toward the All-Star break having lost 14 of their last 16. They also have dropped 15 of their last 17 at home. Brooklyn is 4-11-1 ATS in its last 16 games. Â |
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02-01-16 | Bulls +4.5 v. Jazz | Top | 96-105 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 9 m | Show |
The Bulls are due to play better and Utah hasn't won three games in a row all season. |
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01-31-16 | Warriors -10 v. Knicks | Top | 116-95 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
I see a kill spot here for the Warriors after they narrowly escaped the 76ers last night, winning 108-105. The Warriors almost blew a 24-point lead. Look for a more focused effort after that scare especially now that they've settled into East Coast time playing their second of three road games in a row. |
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01-30-16 | Warriors v. 76ers +18 | 108-105 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
Golden State has failed to cover in nine of the last 12 times it has played an opponent with a losing home record. |
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01-30-16 | New Mexico v. Boise State -5.5 | Top | 88-83 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Boise State is 10-1 at home. New Mexico is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 road contests, 2-8 ATS when playing against a home opponent with a winning record. |
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01-29-16 | Magic +8.5 v. Celtics | 94-113 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
No knock here on Boston. The Celtics are playing well winning seven of their last nine. But this line is inflated. |
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