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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-18-16 | Titans +5.5 v. Chiefs | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 45 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a bad matchup for Kansas City made worse by cold weather conditions.  The Titans have the necessary ground attack to take advantage of the Chiefs' mediocre run defense made far more ineffective by star linebacker Derrick Johnson being out. Tennessee owns edges at running back, quarterback and offensive line. Kansas City may be the luckiest team in the NFL. The Chiefs are 10-3 despite being outgained by an average of nearly 90 yards during their last six games. They are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games.  Kansas City has scored either a defensive touchdown or special teams touchdown in four of its last five games. The Chiefs are a plus 11 in takeaways/giveaways. They need turnovers to win. But Titans rising star quarterback Marcus Mariota hasn't committed a turnover in his last three games while throwing for multiple touchdown in eight of his last nine games. The Titans are expected to get back their best defensive player in lineman Jurrell Casey. Tennessee's weakness is a vulnerable secondary. But Alex Smith's strength isn't as a downfield passer. Smith isn't helped either by freezing weather. This is going to come down to who runs the ball better and I'll take DeMarco Murray and Mariota plus these points against Spencer Ware and Alex Smith. Â
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12-18-16 | Packers -5.5 v. Bears | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 29 m | Show | |
Frightful weather isn't enough to stop the Packers from covering against the Bears. Chicago is just too beat-up and inexperienced at quarterback with Matt Barkley to stay with the Packers, who are starting to peak. Barkley is a Southern California kid who isn't accustomed to playing in weather that will have a wind chill factor of below zero. He doesn't have the skill level or weapons to keep up with Aaron Rodgers. The Bears do get Alshon Jeffery back from suspension. Barkley and Jeffery have never worked together, though.  The Packers' offensive line and defense have gotten healthier coinciding with their three-game winning and covering streak against the Eagles, Texans and Seahawks. Since Week 11, the Packers haven't allowed more than 13 points in a game.  The Bears are missing six starters on defense because of injuries and suspensions. They only have 10 takeaways, which ranks 30th.  Green Bay has won six in a row at Soldier Field beating Bears teams much better than this current edition.Â
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12-18-16 | Browns +10 v. Bills | 13-33 | Loss | -105 | 44 h 28 m | Show | |
The Bills are playing too bad and are too dysfunctional to be laying double-digits to any opponent.  Buffalo is 2-5 in its last seven games and just playing the string out after missing the playoffs for an NFL-high 17th consecutive season. Rex Ryan and quarterback Tyrod Taylor both are likely out the door following the season.  The Browns desperately want to avoid a winless season. They are not outclassed in this matchup. The Bills have surrendered 21 or more points in six of their last seven games.  Robert Griffin III is the Browns' best quarterback and he won't be rusty after playing last week. Griffin has some decent weapons, too, with Terrelle Pryor, Corey Coleman, Gary Barnridge, Duke Johnson and Isaiah Crowell, who has looked his best when Griffin has been the quarterback due to Griffin's dual threat capability.  The Bills could be without Kyle Williams, one of their best defensive players and a key run defender.Â
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12-17-16 | Southern Miss -4.5 v. UL-Lafayette | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 95 h 53 m | Show |
Not only does Southern Mississippi play in the stronger conference - Conference USA - but they have a huge quarterback edge on Louisiana-Lafayette, a Sun Belt Conference team.  Early bowl steam should be respected and the early money has all been on the Golden Eagles. I agree. It would have been nice to lay less than four points here, but Southern Mississippi is at least a touchdown superior to the Ragin' Cajuns.  Southern Mississippi wasn't the same team when star quarterback Nick Mullens had to miss two games last month due to a concussion. But the senior returned in the regular-season finale and led the Golden Eagles to a 39-24 victory as 14 1/2-point 'dogs accounting for four touchdowns. Mullens, not Brett Favre, holds the Southern Mississippi record for touchdown passes and passing yards. Mullens can exploit a vulnerable Lafayette secondary. The Golden Eagles also have a 1,321-yard rusher in Ito Smith. Sparked by this duo, the Golden Eagles average 33.2 points a game and rank 24th in yards. Lafayette's ground-oriented offense can't match that. The Ragin' Cajuns average 10 fewer points per game and 110 yards less per contest.  Lafayette's big gun on offense is running back Elijah McGuire, who has rushed for more than 1,000 yards three straight seasons and scored 52 career touchdowns.  Southern Mississippi's defense, though, has the second-lowest third-down conversion percentage in the country. The Golden Eagles also feature a top defensive lineman in Dylan Bradley. He should be highly effective operating against Lafayette's underclass interior linemen.Â
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12-14-16 | UC-Irvine v. Nevada -11 | Top | 69-76 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
Nevada Reno has way too much offense and talent for Irvine, which has height and can play defense but is far too limited offensively. The Wolf Pack are averaging 19 more points per game than Irvine.  I like Reno coach Eric Musselman. He's proved especially strong in a favorite's role as the Wolf Pack are 14-3-2 ATS the past 19 times they've been chalk. They also are 14-3-1 ATS during their last 18 home games.  Cal Irvine has 23 more turnovers than assists. The Anteaters are shooting 41.6 percent from the field despite a tall front line and hit only 31.3 percent of their 3-pointers. Reno does a great job of not fouling. Irvine averages less than 17 free throw attempts per game.  Irvine has no backdoor ability to cover if it should fall far behind, which I expect.  This shapes up as a blowout win for the Wolf Pack. The opening number is short.Â
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12-13-16 | Warriors v. Pelicans +10.5 | Top | 113-109 | Win | 100 | 21 h 57 m | Show |
The record shows New Orleans to be 8-17. But the Pelicans are 5-4 when starting point guard Jrue Holiday plays. Holiday returned to the Pelicans' lineup this past Sunday after missing the previous three games and helped New Orleans end a five-game losing with an overtime road victory against Phoenix. Holiday scored 23 in the win.  That win and Holiday's return should put the Pelicans in a good spot here. They catch Golden State playing its fifth road game in seven days. The long road trip has taken a toll on Kevin Durant, who has made less than 38 percent of his shots from the floor during the last four games.  New Orleans has a frontcourt advantage thanks to Anthony Davis, the best big man in basketball. Davis can really put up monster numbers if Warriors starting center Zaza Pachulia has to miss a third straight game due to a wrist injury. Pachulia does a lot of the dirty work underneath for the Warriors receiving none of the publicity that Durant, Stephen Curry and Draymond Green draw.  Golden State doesn't have a good recent history in these type of matchups failing to cover eight of the last nine times when facing a foe with less than a .400 home winning percentage. The Warriors return home following this game to begin a three-game homestand so their focus may not be 100 percent.Â
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12-11-16 | Pelicans +4.5 v. Suns | Top | 120-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
Knowing they weren't going to beat the Clippers on the road last night, the Pelicans did the smart thing. They rested big man Anthony Davis. Davis should be in for a monster performance against the guard-oriented Suns. New Orleans isn't going to lack for motivation not only looking to put a halt to a losing skid but gain revenge for a 112-111 home overtime loss suffered to Phoenix last month. That may have been the Pelicans' toughest defeat of the season.  While New Orleans is playing without rest, the Suns are in action for the fourth time in six days. Phoenix is 3-6 at home and has failed to cover four of its past five games at home. The Suns have been favored four times this season. Not only have they failed to cover each time, but they were blown out in each instance losing to the Kings by 19 points, Nets by 18, 76ers by 15 and Nuggets by six.  |
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12-11-16 | Cowboys v. Giants +4 | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 22 h 11 m | Show | |
Dallas has been maybe the major success story of the NFL season so far. The public loves them betting them past a field goal favorite on the road against a division rival that has won six of its last seven games. New York is 5-1 at home.  The Giants are the only team to beat Dallas. New York held the Cowboys to 19 points in that opening week win. The Giants' defense has gotten better since then. Only three teams have surrendered fewer touchdown passes than the Giants.  Not once have the Giants yielded more than 24 points during their last nine games.  Dallas hasn't lost since that opening week defeat. But the Cowboys have been in four close games the past four weeks. They've been outgained in three of those contests.  Both teams play ball control. The Cowboys by running. The Giants by throwing short passes. The Giants just activated their best-catching running back, Shane Vereen.  Temperatures are forecast to be in the 30's with snow flurries. This has all the makings of another back-and-forth matchup likely decided in the final minute. So I'm happy to take this many points.Â
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12-11-16 | Redskins +1 v. Eagles | Top | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 111 h 50 m | Show |
Washington is clearly the superior team. The Redskins showed that in the team's first meeting back in Week 6 when they outgained the Eagles, 493-239. Washington won 27-20 and the score should not have been that close but the Eagles got two non-offensive touchdowns.  Since then the Eagles have gotten worse. They are 2-7 in their last nine games. Philadelphia has allowed 26 or more points in five of its last six games. The Eagles have a terrible secondary and a pass rush that has only managed six sacks in the last six games. Washington has a much better secondary and an explosive offense - which ranks No. 2 in yardage and passing yards - that can take advantage of Philadelphia's many defensive shortcoming. It's a plus if star tight end Jordan Reed plays, but the Redskins have many other receiving weapons, including DeSean Jackson, underrated Jamison Crowder, Pierre Garcon and Vernon Davis.  The Redskins have won and covered the past four in the series.Â
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12-11-16 | Vikings -3 v. Jaguars | 25-16 | Win | 100 | 36 h 2 m | Show | |
The Vikings are the fresher team having played last Thursday and have playoff incentive something the Jaguars lack. |
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12-10-16 | Michigan +9 v. UCLA | Top | 84-102 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
UCLA has to deal not only with getting back down from the high of knocking off then-No. 1 Kentucky, but a rust factor, too. The Bruins haven't played since beating the Wildcats a week ago.  Michigan is a top-10 defensive club. The Wolverines have proven capable beating Texas.  The Bruins are in heady territory. Their youth and maturity could catch up to them here against this well-coached, tough Big Ten team. So I'll take this many points. Â
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12-09-16 | Pacers v. Mavs +5 | Top | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
Dallas is lottery-bound. We know that. We also know the Mavericks are the lowest-scoring team in the NBA.  But the Mavericks still have a number of prideful veterans who are not injured - Wesley Matthews, Deron Williams and Harrison Barnes - and they will be motivated to perform at a high level at home here following an embarrassing 120-89 loss to the Kings two days ago. Mavericks coach Rick Carlisle held a team meeting immediately following that game. Carlisle told reporters that the Mavericks' play in the second half of that loss was inexcusable.  Now the Mavericks have a chance to make amends against the Pacers, who are 3-7 SU and ATS on the road and playing their fifth consecutive road game. The Pacers are off a 109-94 victory against the Suns on Wednesday. Indiana is 2-8 ATS following a victory. The Pacers could be distracted, too, returning home immediately following this matchup to host Portland on Saturday.  The Pacers rank 25th defensively so points shouldn't come so hard for the Mavericks. It's a big drop down in class, too, for the Mavericks. During their last nine games, the Mavericks had had to play the Spurs twice, Clippers, Cavaliers, Hornets twice and Bulls.Â
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12-06-16 | Suns +7.5 v. Jazz | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Phoenix will bring energy to this matchup having been idle the past two days. The Jazz played last night beating the Lakers on the road. The Jazz have a bigger game on tap against the Warriors, who they host Thursday. So this is a letdown spot for them. The Jazz have been without point guard George Hill the past three games. He's been out with a toe injury. The Suns have covered 10 of their last 12 against above .500 opponents.
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12-06-16 | 76ers +8.5 v. Grizzlies | 91-96 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
In all honesty, I can't say this is a play on the 76ers. I am leery of them on the road. But the crippled Grizzlies can't be laying this many points against any opponent off a double overtime game last night.  Right now the Grizzlies are down Mike Conley, Vince Carter and Chandler Parsons. This is a huge letdown spot for them following their dramatic 110-108 two overtime road win against New Orleans. The Grizzlies, just like the 76ers, had to travel to get to tonight's game.Â
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12-06-16 | Brown +13.5 v. Providence | 57-95 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Brown takes this game much more serious than Providence. It's a very short trip - about one mile - so Brown will get fan support. Brown has covered 20 of the last 28 times going against foes with a winning home mark. The Bears are 6-1 ATS the last seven times taking 13 or more on the road. |
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12-05-16 | Blazers v. Bulls -4 | Top | 112-110 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
The Bulls are proven at home. The Trail Blazers have proven to struggle on the road. |
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12-04-16 | Panthers v. Seahawks -7 | Top | 7-40 | Win | 100 | 44 h 58 m | Show |
Expect the Seahawks to take no prisoners here in a double revenge spot against the Panthers, who beat them in the regular season and playoffs last season. |
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12-04-16 | Broncos v. Jaguars +3.5 | 20-10 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 16 m | Show | |
This is the lowest total on the Week 13 NFL betting board. So taking more than a field goal is huge even though it's with Jacksonville. |
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12-03-16 | Heat v. Blazers -6.5 | 92-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Portland plays much better at home and holds a huge backcourt edge. The Trail Blazers are well rested, too, having been idle since Wednesday. They've been home since before Thanksgiving.
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12-03-16 | San Diego State v. Wyoming +7 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 25 h 41 m | Show |
The host has won all three Mountain West Conference title games. Look for Wyoming to contribute to that trend. |
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12-02-16 | Rockets v. Nuggets -4.5 | 128-110 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Denver has the rebounding to keep the Rockets from playing their up-tempo style. The Rockets are going to have dead legs, too, after last night's double overtime victory against the Warriors. That huge victory also puts the Rockets in a major letdown spot. This marks Houston's fifth game in eight days. |
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12-02-16 | Colorado v. Washington -7.5 | Top | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 21 h 32 m | Show |
Colorado's had a great season, but now the Buffaloes meet their Waterloo here in the Pac-12 title game. |
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12-01-16 | CS Sacramento v. Pacific -10 | Top | 58-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
Sacramento State plays in the Big Sky, a very weak conference. The Hornets haven't covered a game all season. They're likely to get blown out here against a superior Pacific team that is looking to make a strong statement at home under first year head coach Damon Stoudamire. |
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12-01-16 | Heat v. Jazz -9.5 | 111-110 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
Kudos to Miami for pulling off a road upset against the Nuggets on Wednesday. That was a gutty victory by the Heat, who were down three rotation players with Dion Waiters, Justice Winslow and Josh Richardson all injured. None are going to play today. |
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12-01-16 | Cowboys v. Vikings +3 | Top | 17-15 | Win | 103 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Dallas is on a tremendous roll, but that stops here. The Cowboys aren't that strong to be laying this number on the road against this classy of a defense and against this strong of a home field, which ranks among the best in football. |
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11-30-16 | Spurs -8.5 v. Mavs | Top | 94-87 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
I want San Antonio going for me after the Spurs played their worst game of the season in a 95-83 home loss to the lowly Magic Tuesday night. That loss snapped a nine-game San Antonio win streak and can't make Gregg Popovich too happy. Neither can the fact that the Spurs had their lowest-scoring game of the season and committed a season-high 19 turnovers.Â
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11-30-16 | South Alabama -4 v. Southern Miss | 78-55 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
I want the now road-tested Jaguars off a double-digit loss in their last game. The Jaguars are better than Southern Mississippi and have proven themselves away from home beating UNLV. South Alabama also traveled to Europe during the summer and played four exhibition games. |
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11-30-16 | Grizzlies +14 v. Raptors | 105-120 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies are facing life without Mike Conley. This is their first game since losing their leading scorer and assists leader to a back injury. Teams usually respond with a hard and motivated effort in their first game without their star player. That should be the case here. |
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11-28-16 | Hawks +13.5 v. Warriors | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
This isn't a fade on the Warriors. It's just my belief that there is some line value to the Hawks, who aren't used to getting this many points in a game. |
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11-28-16 | Packers +4 v. Eagles | Top | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 14 m | Show |
Talent-wise the Packers are better than the Eagles. Philadelphia is tough at home, but Green Bay is way overdue to play better. I see that occurring here as the Packers are improved on offense and their defense is getting key players back. Clay Matthews played last week and cornerback Damarious Randall and linebacker Jake Ryan are expected back Monday. |
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11-28-16 | Thunder +1 v. Knicks | 112-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
I see a class difference here. Derrick Rose is still getting acclimated to his new team while Russell Westbrook has become the new Oscar Robertson averaging 31 points, 11 assists and 9.9 rebounds. |
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11-27-16 | Panthers +3 v. Raiders | 32-35 | Push | 0 | 88 h 15 m | Show | |
Credit Jack Del Rio with doing a great job this season with the Raiders. Having said that, though, I believe the Raiders are very overrated. Yes, they are 8-2. But they've also been outgained on the season, have committed the most penalties in the league by far and are 1-3 ATS in games played in Oakland. |
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11-27-16 | Titans -3 v. Bears | Top | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 136 h 40 m | Show |
The answer is yes I can trust the Titans on the road - against this battered foe whose season is shot. |
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11-27-16 | Bengals +4 v. Ravens | 14-19 | Loss | -110 | 85 h 43 m | Show | |
You have to go back to the opening game of the 2012 season to find the last time Baltimore beat Cincinnati by more than four points. Since then the Bengals have dominated this series winning the past five times. |
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11-27-16 | Cardinals +5 v. Falcons | 19-38 | Loss | -105 | 63 h 12 m | Show | |
Arizona is better than its 4-5-1 record. The Cardinals are in must-win mode and the pointspread has become inflated. |
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11-26-16 | Spurs -7.5 v. Wizards | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Both teams played last night each winning. But prior to last night, the Wizards hadn't played in three days. They are the fresher team. The Spurs are playing for the third time on the road in four days. There's always the possibility of Gregg Popovich resting key players as he's done periodically this season |
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11-26-16 | Oregon -3 v. Oregon State | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -111 | 21 h 9 m | Show |
The numbers are 34, 21, 24, 12, 27 1/2, and 16 1/2. Those are the spreads Oregon has been favored against Oregon State during the last six years. Oregon has won all of those games against arch-rival Oregon State with only one of the victories being by less than 10 points. |
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11-25-16 | Hawks +3.5 v. Jazz | Top | 68-95 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
My interest always is raised when I see the better team getting points. That's the case in this matchup. It's a series the Hawks have dominated beating the Jazz nine of the past 10 times. |
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11-25-16 | Boise State v. Air Force +9 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
Only once this season has Air Force been an underdog. That was as a one-point road 'dog to Army, a game the Falcons won, 31-12, three weeks ago. |
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11-24-16 | Vikings +2.5 v. Lions | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -100 | 35 h 32 m | Show |
Minnesota owned the best defense in the NFL during the first five weeks holding opponents to 12.6 points per game in opening 5-0. |
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11-23-16 | Nuggets v. Jazz -5 | 83-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a circle-the-wagons game for the Jazz and they catch the Nuggets traveling off a pair of home wins playing for the third time in four days. |
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11-23-16 | Spurs -5 v. Hornets | Top | 119-114 | Push | 0 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
The Spurs have won six in a row, but Gregg Popovich isn't happy calling out his players after they barely beat injury-racked Dallas, 96-91, two nights ago. |
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11-21-16 | Raptors +9 v. Clippers | Top | 115-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
It's a mistake for any team to lay this many points to Toronto. The Raptors did play last night losing in controversial fashion to the Kings in Sacramento. They are in a bitter mood following that loss when the referees waved off a game-tying shot by Terrence Ross at the buzzer. This is just a short trip from Sacramento to LA for the Raptors. |
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11-20-16 | Patriots -11 v. 49ers | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 43 h 22 m | Show |
I consider the Patriots to be the team to beat in the Super Bowl. At the other end, I consider the 49ers right there with the Browns as the worst team in the NFL. |
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11-20-16 | Jaguars +6.5 v. Lions | 19-26 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 51 m | Show | |
The Lions haven't won a game by more than six points all season. They have a six-point overtime victory. Their other four victories were by a combined 11 points. |
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11-20-16 | Ravens +7.5 v. Cowboys | 17-27 | Loss | -117 | 41 h 54 m | Show | |
It's tough to step in against the Cowboys, who have won and covered every game since opening week. But Dallas' line is inflated here. The Ravens are well-coached and strong defensively allowing 17.8 points a game. Only three teams give up fewer points per game. No team yields fewer yards and rushing yards per game than Baltimore. |
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11-19-16 | CS-Fullerton v. UNLV -7.5 | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 13 m | Show | |
The Rebels don't lack for talent and should play more relaxed after getting their first victory for new coach Marvin Menzies this past Wednesday. |
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11-19-16 | Duke +7.5 v. Pittsburgh | 14-56 | Loss | -118 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
Duke knows how to win on the road, can take advantage of a weak Pittsburgh secondary and catches the Panthers off a huge upset victory against Clemson. |
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11-18-16 | UNLV +28.5 v. Boise State | Top | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 58 h 9 m | Show |
Back in the 1990's, I covered the UNLV football team and have retained several key sources. It's a team I follow closely living n Las Vegas. I can tell you first-hand this Rebel team is different than what their previous teams from the past 30 years have been. Tony Sanchez is UNLV's best football coach since Harvey Hyde back in the early 1980's. Another big difference is these Rebels can be counted on for a full effort and can now be trusted on the road. That wasn't the case before Sanchez took over. The Rebels are about two-to-three star players away from being a serious conference contender, but they are vastly improved both talent-wise and mentally under Sanchez. |
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11-18-16 | Pistons v. Cavs -8.5 | 81-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Early betting activity has driven this number down. The Cavaliers are 6-1 at home but are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games at Quicken Loans Arena. |
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11-17-16 | Connecticut -7 v. Loyola Marymount | Top | 65-62 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
Could Connecticut actually open the season 0-3? Nope. I see a focused Huskies squad shooting much better and having no problem with Loyola Marymount, an average at best team from the West Coast Conference. Â |
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11-16-16 | Warriors -5.5 v. Raptors | Top | 127-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
The Warriors have won four in a row against the Raptors and the spot is ripe for them to continue that winning streak. |
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11-15-16 | Nets +6.5 v. Lakers | 118-125 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
The Nets have proven feisty this season usually providing a strong effort. They should be motivated here after getting blown out last night by the Clippers. Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS following a loss. The Nets did hold out Brook Lopez, their best player, against the Clippers and didn't have any player log more than 29 minutes. |
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11-15-16 | CS Bakersfield +17.5 v. Arizona | Top | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
Cal State Bakersfield is underrated and getting too many points just based on playing a Pac-12 opponent. The Roadrunners are a tough, physical defensive team. They won the WAC Tournament and made the NCAA Tournament last year giving Oklahoma problems in the first round. |
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11-15-16 | Dayton +1 v. Alabama | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 3 h 60 m | Show | |
Dayton is the better team and the Flyers proved it last year burying Alabama, 80-48, early in the season. Not enough has changed to make me think Dayton isn't the superior team again. |
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11-14-16 | Louisiana-Monroe +18 v. Texas | 59-80 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
Texas is very young with seven underclassmen in the rotation. The Longhorns were less than impressive in their opener beating Incarnate World, 78-73, this past Friday at home. Texas is 5-12 ATS during its last 17 lined non-conference matchups. |
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11-13-16 | Seahawks v. Patriots -7.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -100 | 95 h 33 m | Show | |
At first this spread may seem a little high. But New England is the best team in football while Seattle is down from past seasons and caught in a horrendous situational spot. |
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11-13-16 | Broncos +3 v. Saints | 25-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm not buying the Saints being favored against the defending world champions whose defense remains elite. |
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11-12-16 | Colorado State +6 v. Air Force | 46-49 | Win | 100 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
Colorado State is a bit under the radar improving each week. The Rams have covered in six of their last seven wins and are one win from being bowl eligible. They are fresh from having a bye two weeks ago and easily rolling past pathetic Fresno State last Saturday. |
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11-11-16 | Boston College +21 v. Florida State | Top | 7-45 | Loss | -104 | 18 h 55 m | Show |
Boston College is an opponent Florida State has problems matching up against. The Eagles have trouble with mobile quarterbacks such as Lamar Jackson and Deshaun Watson. Florida State doesn't present that. Seminoles freshman quarterback Deondre Francois has rushed for under 90 yards on the season. |
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11-11-16 | Evansville v. Louisville -22 | 47-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
I like the Cardinals to blow out Evansville here. Rick Pitino has installed a new uptempo offense so the Cardinals are going to be playing very fast, which could catch their early-season opponents such as Evansville off guard. |
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11-10-16 | Warriors -6 v. Nuggets | 125-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Golden State is enduring some criticism this season with some of it being that the team is in transition losing their rim protectors and adjusting to the presence of superstar Kevin Durant. |
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11-10-16 | Browns +10 v. Ravens | Top | 7-28 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 30 m | Show |
Rarely, if ever, am I going to recommend playing the Browns this season. Cleveland's talent level isn't better than expansion level and its priority this season is playing for the future not necessarily winning games. |
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11-09-16 | Rockets v. Spurs -8 | Top | 101-99 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
The Rockets are playing in their fifth straight road game and just beat Washington last night. The Spurs haven't played in four days. I'd rather have Gregg Popovich than any other coach with extra prep time. The Spurs have used this time to get healthier. |
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11-07-16 | Bills v. Seahawks -6.5 | Top | 25-31 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
Count me among those not impressed by Buffalo. I think the Bills' coaching is below par, their passing game is weak and the defense not nearly as good as it was two years ago when Jim Schwartz was the defensive coordinator and before Rex Ryan came on board. |
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11-06-16 | Flames v. Ducks -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 155 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
The Ducks have just dominated the Flames in Anaheim beating them a mind-boggling 23 times in a row and 28 of the past 29. The Ducks defeated the Flames at home last season by five, three and two goals.  |
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11-06-16 | Titans +5 v. Chargers | Top | 35-43 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 27 m | Show |
Love the Chargers as 'dogs, hate them as favorites where they are 1-5 ATS the past six times in that role losing straight-up in four of those games. |
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11-06-16 | Jaguars +8 v. Chiefs | 14-19 | Win | 100 | 96 h 1 m | Show | |
The Chiefs are a conservative, grind-out team not built to cover margins past a touchdown. Now the Chiefs will be without Alex Smith. The Chiefs already are thin at running back and have an overrated defense that doesn't apply much of a pass rush. That problem isn't likely to be corrected until Justin Houston returns to the lineup and he's not ready this week. |
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11-06-16 | Lions v. Vikings -6 | 22-16 | Loss | -102 | 93 h 36 m | Show | |
In Mike Zimmer we trust. The Vikings are coming off two terrible offensive performances. Their vaunted defense didn't cover themselves with glory either in an embarrassing Monday night road loss to the Bears. |
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11-05-16 | Alabama v. LSU +8.5 | Top | 10-0 | Loss | -114 | 56 h 38 m | Show |
Alabama won't finish the season unbeaten. How's that? Because the Crimson Tide are going to lose here in this toughest of tough road settings. Just in case, taking more than a touchdown with LSU is a tremendous cushion. |
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11-05-16 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +7 | 21-7 | Loss | -116 | 38 h 1 m | Show | |
Wisconsin always has trouble playing at Northwestern. The Badgers last won there in 1999. The Wildcats also beat the Badgers in Madison last year, winning 13-7. Northwestern has been playing well. The Wildcats had won three in a row and gave Ohio State a tough battle losing 24-20 on the road last week. |
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11-04-16 | Spurs -3.5 v. Jazz | Top | 100-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
Revenge and Gregg Popovich. That says it all here. I want the Spurs going for me and I'll lay a short road price to get them after Utah dealt San Antonio a 106-91 loss this past Tuesday at San Antonio. |
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11-02-16 | Mavs +4 v. Jazz | 81-97 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Dallas is getting into dire straits at 0-3. This is a circle-the-wagons game for the Mavericks and they catch the Jazz in a letdown spot. |
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11-01-16 | Warriors v. Blazers +5 | Top | 127-104 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
Not surprisingly it is talking a while for the Warriors to get in sync with newcomer Kevin Durant on board. Golden State is 0-3 ATS beating the Pelicans by eight and Suns by six each on the road in its last two games. This is the last stop on the Warriors' three game road trip. They host Oklahoma City on Thursday, which is a much bigger game for Durant going against his former team. |
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11-01-16 | Bucks v. Pelicans -3 | 117-113 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
New Orleans is 0-3 desperate for a victory. The Pelicans are better than their record. Their last two games were against Golden State and San Antonio. New Orleans has the best big man in basketball, Anthony Davis. The Bucks have no answer for him.
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11-01-16 | Western Michigan v. Ball State +17.5 | 52-20 | Loss | -102 | 20 h 8 m | Show | |
Western Michigan has a lot going. The Broncos are unbeaten, ranked in the top-25 and in line to play in a major bowl game. |
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11-01-16 | Lakers +9 v. Pacers | 108-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
The Pacers aren't playing well enough to lay this many points against an improved Lakers team that does have some young talent. Monta Ellis and Jeff Teague are a poor defensive backcourt for indiana. |
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10-31-16 | Vikings -4 v. Bears | Top | 10-20 | Loss | -102 | 93 h 11 m | Show |
The Vikings are vastly superior to the Bears, a true Super Bowl contender. Chicago is one of the five worst teams in the NFL. |
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10-30-16 | Eagles +5 v. Cowboys | 23-29 | Loss | -115 | 149 h 57 m | Show | |
This is too many points for the Cowboys to lay in this fierce division rivalry. |
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10-30-16 | Lakers +8 v. Thunder | 96-113 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
The Thunder are overrated. They are 2-0 but their wins have been against the 76ers by six points and Suns at home in overtime. |
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10-30-16 | Bucks +7.5 v. Pistons | 83-98 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
The Pistons aren't strong enough to lay this many points in a division matchup, especially being forced to use journeymen Ish Smith and Beno Udrih at point guard until Reggie Jackson returns from injury. |
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10-30-16 | Patriots -5.5 v. Bills | Top | 41-25 | Win | 100 | 147 h 36 m | Show |
It's rare to get Bill Belichick and his Patriots in a same season revenge game. But that's the case here as the Bills shut out the Patriots, 16-0, in Week 4. New England was forced to play third-string rookie quarterback Jacoby Brissett in that game. |
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10-29-16 | Nets v. Bucks -6 | Top | 108-110 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 6 m | Show |
Milwaukee is likely looking at being 0-3 if it loses this game. So motivation should be high. The Bucks' starters didn't play well with the exception of Giannis Antetokounmpo when they lost at home in their opener, 107-96, to Charlotte this past Wednesday. |
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10-29-16 | Army v. Wake Forest -6.5 | 21-13 | Loss | -115 | 44 h 47 m | Show | |
Wake Forest has defeated Army nine straight times. The Demon Deacons were idle last week giving them a needed break and extra prep time to work on stopping Army's one-dimensional option offense. |
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10-29-16 | Michigan v. Michigan State +24.5 | Top | 32-23 | Win | 100 | 40 h 19 m | Show |
This truly has been the season in hell for Michigan State and Mark Dantonio. It's the first time in 25 years the Spartans have dropped five games in a row. |
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10-28-16 | Magic v. Pistons -4 | Top | 82-108 | Win | 100 | 17 h 0 m | Show |
Detroit has won and covered in its last six games versus the Magic, winning those games by an average of 15.5 points per game. |
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10-27-16 | Wizards +4.5 v. Hawks | Top | 99-114 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
The Wizards are dangerous when motivated and their star backcourt is healthy. Both factors are in play here. |
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10-26-16 | Heat +4 v. Magic | Top | 108-96 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
Miami has won six of its last seven season-openers, including the past five. That's a nice history going into this matchup, but no longer do the Heat have any of their Big Three as LeBron James, Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh are all gone. |
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10-25-16 | Jazz v. Blazers -5 | Top | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 26 h 52 m | Show |
Oddsmakers are high on Utah projecting the Jazz to win 47 1/2 games. Utah was 40-42 last season. Utah could very well be improved, but this isn't the time to jump on the Jazz. |
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10-23-16 | Chargers +6.5 v. Falcons | Top | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 76 h 9 m | Show |
The Falcons are playing well, but face both a physical and mental letdown returning home from back-to-back road games against the bruising Broncos and Seahawks. |
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10-22-16 | Middle Tennessee State v. Missouri -7.5 | 51-45 | Loss | -106 | 26 h 29 m | Show | |
The class difference here should result in Missouri winning by double-digits.The Tigers drop down from SEC opponents needing a victory to keep alive their bowl hopes. The Blue Raiders haven't knocked off an SEC foe in 11 years. That's because SEC teams are stronger, quicker and more athletic. |
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10-22-16 | TCU +6.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 10-34 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
West Virginia has been a nice surprise, but I like TCU here. I'm not sold on West Virginia's defense, nor the Mountaineers' ability to control the trenches. The Horned Frogs have 21 sacks. Â |
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10-16-16 | Colts v. Texans -3 | Top | 23-26 | Push | 0 | 125 h 45 m | Show |
This line is off. These teams aren't even, which the oddsmaker is insinuating opening the game Houston minus 3 with home-field usually worth a field goal. |
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10-16-16 | Chiefs +1.5 v. Raiders | Top | 26-10 | Win | 100 | 127 h 17 m | Show |
I like the Chiefs a lot here for three main reasons: They are the superior team. The situation. And the line value with the Raiders opening the favorite. |
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10-15-16 | Arizona State +12 v. Colorado | Top | 16-40 | Loss | -108 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
Colorado isn't used to be in this lofty role - and the Buffaloes don't deserve to be nearly two touchdowns favorite here against a Pac-12 foe that isn't any less talented, bigger and faster than they are. Â |
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10-15-16 | Kansas State +13 v. Oklahoma | 17-38 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 1 m | Show | |
I love Bill Snyder as a big road 'dog. The Wildcats have covered 17 of their last 22 as a road 'dog. |
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10-13-16 | Broncos -3 v. Chargers | Top | 13-21 | Loss | -123 | 57 h 54 m | Show |
San Diego has lost its last 10 AFC West matchups. I don't see that streak ending with this game. |
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10-10-16 | Nationals +1.5 v. Dodgers | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
The Nationals should be able to hang in with the Dodgers in this spot - if not win outright with lefty Gio Gonzalez facing rookie Kenta Maeda. |
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10-09-16 | Chargers +4 v. Raiders | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 140 h 15 m | Show |
The Chargers are 1-3, but have outscored their opponents by 13 points. The Raiders are 3-1 and have outscored their foes by two points. |
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10-09-16 | Bengals v. Cowboys | 14-28 | Loss | -115 | 77 h 26 m | Show | |
The Bengals are at least a whole another tier higher than Dallas. The Cowboys are thrilled when they beat the lowly 49ers. The Bengals - who have made the playoffs five straight years - expect to the beat the 49ers. That's a huge difference between these two. |
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