For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.
CLICK A CAPPERS NAME TO SEE THEIR PREMIUM DAILY EXPERT PLAYS + PREDICTIONS!
Schedule: NFL |Â CFB |Â MLB |Â NBA |Â CBB |Â NHL
WANT FREE SPORTS PICKS to your inbox? | Newsletter Sign-UP!
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-23-11 | Green Bay Packers -3.5 v. Chicago Bears | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
Packers -3 -120 buy
|
|||||||
01-16-11 | Seattle Seahawks +10 v. Chicago Bears | Top | 24-35 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 53 m | Show |
Seahawks +16/U49 (4.4 Dime Teaser POD); Seahawks +10.5 -120 buy 1/2 (3-Dimes)
I get it the Seahawks have a bad defense, but everyone is forgetting a few things and I'm happy to be one of the few on the Seahawks here today. Bears are 30th in total offense 28 passing, and 22nd running. They go up against a suspect defense that struggled on the road, but this is a good match up for them I believe. Cutler is not Brees and I expect lots of runs to Forte to keep the clock moving and a balanced attack. Brees had to throw basically all game to put up the numbers he did which was why the game was such a high scoring game. Next, this game comes down to, do you trust Cutler? I don't time and time again I've seen him not live up to his name and make mistakes. This is his playoff debut and it's going to be cold he was sacked 6 times in week 6 vs. the Seahawks and was just 17-39. Hassleback had a good game against the Bears secondary which is 20th vs. the pass. Look for the Seahawks to spread it out and get the ball in the hands of Mike Williams who had 10 catches for 123 yards in the first match up. I just don't believe the Bears can be double digit favorites with a league's 30th ranked offense especially with the momentum that the Seahawks have carried into this game. |
|||||||
01-15-11 | Green Bay Packers +3 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 48-21 | Win | 100 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
Packers +3 -120 buy half 5.5 dime pod
All six of packers losses have come buy 4 PTs or less they are playin their Best football. Not only is the Defense flying around but the offense is methodical an balanced with the emergence of Starks. I went back an watched the game and it could have gone either way in Atlanta during the regular season. Packers offense looked much better and I love Aaron Rodgers ability to scramble and pick up yards and avoid the sack. You can't blitz him he either finds the open guy or has awareness to move in the pocket and find an open lane to run or allow receivers more time to get open. There were plenty of bad play calls that lost the packers that game but overall I think they are the better team and I think they win out right! |
|||||||
01-15-11 | Baltimore Ravens +3 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | 24-31 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Ravens +3.5 (3.3 Dime EB play)
The last 4 matchups including two regular season games were decided by a total of 3 points. Granted the RAvens have never beaten the Steelers when Big Ben is the QB in Pittsburgh, but I still feel like this years team has something special. For one Flaco can really move the ball in the air against the Steelers and in the end I think that's the difference because the STeelers offensive line is going to have trouble with an aggressive blitzing defense of the Ravens. This game will be close into the fourth quarter with the winning team winning by a field goal and either way we can't lose. So buy the half if you can it will probably move to 3.5 by game time if it's not already at your book I see it at oddsmaker at +3 at +110 odds. |
|||||||
01-10-11 | Oregon v. Auburn -1 | Top | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Auburn -1.5 (5.5 Dime POD); Under 73.5 (3.3 Dime Bonus)
SEC is 6-0 in their last 6 BCS National Championships including 4 in a row! Of course that is not the only reason why I am going with Auburn here. One thing to consider is the size advantage and each aspect of the game in how Auburn matches up against Oregon and I think they hold some significant advantages most importantly the offensive line vs. the defensive line. Oregon has a very small team their interior line is just 272lbs where Newton at 250 and 6 |
|||||||
01-09-11 | Boston College +8.5 v. Nevada | Top | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
[b]Boston College +8 (4-Dime play)[/b]
BC is a very physical football team they only give up 72 ypg on the ground and that's where Nevada does it's damage. I expect BC to stay in this game late especially with their physical defensive style of play. This team held a similar offense to just 19 points in Virginia Tech who can run the ball but managed just 2.7 yards per carry against them. Blessed with exceptional Linebackers BC will shock alot of people here tonight. |
|||||||
01-09-11 | Green Bay Packers +3 v. Philadelphia Eagles | Top | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
Packers +3 -120 buy 1/2 (5.5 Dime POD)
I'm going with the hotter team in this game and that would be the Packers and it's not because of their offense, but rather their defense. Their defense flies around and is exactly the kind that will give Vick troubles. Vick was sacked a bunch down the stretch and that's why he comes into the post season not playing since the Vikings game. I expect an overall close game, but I trust the Packers defense which is a top 5 defense they can stop the run up front with BJ Raji or get to your QB with creative blitz packages including Woodson and Clay Mathews. Look for this to be another entertaining game. |
|||||||
01-09-11 | Baltimore Ravens -3 v. Kansas City Chiefs | 30-7 | Win | 100 | 1 h 16 m | Show | |
Ravens -3 (3.3 Dime Play) Under 41 (1.1 Dime bonus)
I'm jumping on with the rest of the public. I'm surprised this line has not moved much, but I don't trust the Chiefs against a good run stop unit. Sure Flaco did not play well down the stretch, but Ray Rice came a live and this is a battle tested Ravens team that just wins on the road in the playoffs plain and simple. I don't like how the Chiefs played against the Raiders in a must win game as they lost last week at home 31-10. Raiders have a better secondary, but the Ravens are going to get pressure on Cassel and force the same type of mistakes while the running game won't find much room. Expect a low scoring game here too. |
|||||||
01-08-11 | New Orleans Saints v. Seattle Seahawks +11 | Top | 36-41 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
Seahawks +10 (4.4 Dime POD)
The Saints are just decimated with injuries probably the biggest one that nobody is talking about is Jimmy Graham who really came on at the end of the year in the red zone. Not having him along with the running back injuries. Seattle is one of the toughest places to go and play. More fall starts from road teams happen here than any other stadium in the league. There is also supposed to be some rain which could slow down Brees and the Saints just enough to have a chance in the 4th quarter. |
|||||||
01-06-11 | Middle Tenn State -1.5 v. Miami | Top | 21-35 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
Mtsu -2. 5dime pod
Middle Tenn has a great pass rush that will be the difference in this game. They had 33 sacks and 85 tackles for loss on the year they can do it with a 4 man rush which is why they are ranked 20th vs. the pass and that |
|||||||
01-04-11 | Arkansas +3.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 26-31 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Arkansas +3 (5.5 Dime POD); Arkansas +140 (2-Dime bonus)
I really like Ryan Mallet in this game he's had an excellent season and he can find any one guy. Expect DJ Williams, his TE to have the biggest game. I see Ohio State full of great players, but when it comes down to it they have struggled in bowl games. 1-3 in their last 4 and tonight they get to play a solid SEC team. SEC teams are 3-0 SU and ATS thus far and Big Ten is just 2-5. Normally I like the Big 10 just not against a top flight conference like the SEC. Auburn played the two best teams in America this season as far as I"m concerned and they lost to both. Alabama beat them 20-24 and they lost in a shoot out when Mallet went down with an injury to Auburn. This team is ready and I think they'll take this game out right. |
|||||||
01-03-11 | Virginia Tech +4 v. Stanford | Top | 12-40 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
Virginia Tech+3.5 (5.5 dime pod)
No surprise to me that Stanford is favorites in this spot. All the buz with Jim Harbough and Andrew Luck going to the NFL next year. What I |
|||||||
01-02-11 | NY Giants -4 v. Washington Redskins | 17-14 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Giants -4 (4.4 Dime OE play)
Giants... Well they laid an egg and I'm sure the Packers cruise against the Bears, but the Giants won't know that until their game is over. Couglin is 24-8-1 ATS as a coach vs. a team off a straight up win over a dog. He's 11-3 ATS in week 17 games while Redskins just 1-12 vs. division opponents who just allowed 35 or more points in previous contest. I really don't like what the Redskins did down the stretch. I expect them to get after Grossman and have a bunch of sacks and forced turnovers. Look for Manning to play a mistake free game for the first time all year as the Giants cruise. |
|||||||
01-02-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Houston Texans -3 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
Texans -3 (5.5 Dime POD)No Garrard, no Jones-Drew. Texans on revenge for that hail mary play earlier this year. Jags know they don't have a prayer with the Colts facing the Titans and without their two big stars to make the playoffs. I expect Texans to come out with a purpose at home.
|
|||||||
01-02-11 | Oakland Raiders +3.5 v. Kansas City Chiefs | 31-10 | Win | 100 | 2 h 40 m | Show | |
Raiders +3.5 (3.3 Dime play)
Chiefs may be 7-0 at home, but what do they have to play for here? Raiders are 5-0 in the division and barely lost to the hot Colts a week ago. Road team in this match up are 19-7-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings. I look for the Raiders to really come out and try to go 8-8 to close the season. |
|||||||
01-02-11 | Minnesota Vikings v. Detroit Lions -3 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 2 h 35 m | Show | |
Lions started the season with 6 of their losses in the first 12 games by 5 pts or fewer. They even had the Patriots on the ropes through 3 quarters on Thanksgiving. They have been a favorite bet of mine all year long and they average 26.3 pts game at home this season. Look for them to continue that against a Vikings team coming off a short week playing on Tuesday and now having to travel to Detroit to play the Lions going for 4 straight wins for the first time in a long time. Shaun Hill has the offense moving and the Vikings defense has struggled. Up front I expect Lions dline to take Peterson out of the game and force Joe Webb to win the game.
|
|||||||
01-01-11 | TCU v. Wisconsin +3 | Top | 21-19 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Wisconsin +3 (4.4 Dime POD)
|
|||||||
01-01-11 | Northwestern +8.5 v. Texas Tech | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 1 h 22 m | Show | |
Northwestern +8.5 (3.3 Dime Early bird)
|
|||||||
12-31-10 | Central Florida v. Georgia -6.5 | Top | 10-6 | Loss | -120 | 2 h 25 m | Show |
Georgia -6.5 *4.4 Dime POD
Georgia is better than their 6-6 record suggests they closed the year 5-2 and Aaron Murray is clearly the future of hte program. I think he stays hot in this game and hooks up with AJ Green early and often. Georgia's offensive line played extremely well and has been healthy and it should neutralize Central Floridas strength and speed giving Murray plenty of time to operate and find his open targets. In the end Georgia scores too much and Central Florida and freshmen Godfrey's great season will come to an end. |
|||||||
12-31-10 | Notre Dame v. Miami (Florida) -3 | 33-17 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 34 m | Show | |
Miami -3 (3.3 Dime play) I'm actually more confident with an interim coach for Miami I think Jeff Stoutland will be trying to prove that he can be a head coach some where and we'll see what he can do with a team that is extremely talented. This game comes down to the play of the QB's and Jacoby Harris vs. Tommy Rees. Harris is back healthy, but will he be that QB that made mistake after mistake? Notre Dame improved a lot down the stretch but I'm still not impressed as they beat Army (who cares), USC (without their starting QB), and Utah (hang over after losing to TCU). All in all those victories are more impressive on paper. The injuries are still stacked against them and I don't think they'll have enough offense in this game and Rees will be intimidated by the pass rush that Miami will bring. This will be the key difference maker in the game in my opinion. Look for Miami to get a strong rush all day and for Rees to make a few critical errors.
|
|||||||
12-30-10 | Washington v. Nebraska -13 | 19-7 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Nebraska -13 (3.3 Dime LNF); Jazz -1 (3.3 Dime NBA POD)
It was not good for Washington the first time around and Bo Pelini is not the type of coach to let his team get cocky. They'll be read for everything Washington will throw at them. Bottom line Nebraska had three guys run for over 100 yards in the 56-21 win and the game still wasn't even that close. Washington was home in that game and they had no answer for Taylor Martinez who was also efficient with 7-11 150 yards 1 TD. Martinez got better through his schedule throwing the ball and he'll get plenty of balance from the running game that average 7.3 yards per carry vs. Washington's 107th ranked run defense. Whenever Wash played a good team they folded. Jake Loker played his worst game ever vs. Nebraska 4-20 with 2 INT's. If he can't play well Wash has no shot. Nebraska is 4-1 in their last 5 bowls and they played Arizona last year and dominated in a 33-0 victory. The defense is not as quite dominant, but the offense is better so I expect another blow out here. |
|||||||
12-30-10 | North Carolina v. Tennessee +1.5 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Tenn +1 (4.4 Dime POD)
I still question whether or not TJ Yates can play in big games although he had a great year. They slowed down the stretch and Tenn comes into this game hot holding their last 4 opponents to 13ppg while averaging 37.5 ppg themselves. It was a complete 180 from a 2-6 start of the season and Tenn did it with the switch at QB from Matt Simms to Tyler Bray who threw 14 TD's and just 5 interceptions over his last 5 games. He had 354 yards passing against a good Kentucky secondary ranked 18th vs. the pass. He'll have to have another big game vs. a talented secondary of UNC. Yates too will have to pick his poison because Tenn knows the team can't run with their two starters Elzy and White out and veteran Shaun Draughn is not the same he was a few years ago he's injury plagued and they have nobody really behind him so look for lots of passing in this one and Tenn has really improved the most in their secondary. IN their last 5 games they had 11 interceptions and gave up only 5 passing touchdowns. Watch out for big play maker Prentiss Waggner already drawing comparisons to Eric Berry. He had 5 interceptions and took back 3 to the house. OL is another issue for the Volunteers and it's not for lack of talent but the lack of experience. The extra time to prepare and the extra practices for a young Tenn team is huge. They gave Bray a lot more time down the stretch. Wrapping up here both teams played LSU. Tenn played on the road and nearly had a win before LSU pushed the ball into the endzone with 0 seconds for a 14-16 win while North Carolina lost at home to open the season 24-30 as they trailed 30-10 at the half. Look for Yates to get some yards but also to make mistakes. There will be no run game so Tenn will have UNC figured out by half time as they have a lot of veteran leadership on defense including two srs up front and 3 linebackers that are sr's. |
|||||||
12-30-10 | Army +7.5 v. SMU | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 1 h 5 m | Show | |
Army +7.5 (3.3 Dime Early Bird Special)
The academy teams have done really well in these bowl games in recent years and I don't see anything that SMU did during the season that warrants a full TD and more favorite. In the Conference USA Championship the coach made stupid calls including not kicking a field goal down 10 so I have no reason to believe this team can dominate a very sound and diciplined Army team. SMU did lose at Navy where they gave up 253 yards rushing. Army dominated Navy despite losing by two touch downs. That game was all about one play the fumble at the goal line returned for a TD. SMU has the offensive talent but they have yet to show me they can put it together. |
|||||||
12-29-10 | Arizona v. Oklahoma State -4 | Top | 10-36 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
Okl St -4 (5-Dime POD); Okl St +2/Over60 (2.2 Dime Teaser)
Arizona closed the year with absolutely no momentum. They faced two similar offensive teams with balance down the stretch that can be compared to Oklahoma State in Stanford and Oregon and they gave up 48 and 44 points to both. I expect Oklahoma St to be well within that number as they have even more balance than both of of those programs with the #2 passing game and #29 running game for the #3 scoring offense. Arizona did not play well last year against a Big 12 opponent in their bowl game as they were shut out to Nebraska 33-0. Oklahoma State has been able to put up points on everyone and everyone thinks it's because of Justin Blackmon who had 102 catches for 18td's and 1,665 yards, but it all tartes with Kendall Hunter at tailback who had 1,516 yards rushing. He's also backed by Joseph Randle who is a nice back to make catches. They also have Josh Cooper at WR who is by far their best route runner and don't forget their kick returning specialist Justin Gilbert who is a budding star as a freshmen and provided 2 TD's on runbacks in last 3 games. There is just too much to worry about here for Arizona. They'll get their points, but I don't think they can stop Oklahoma State int he end who is #1 red zone offense. Oklahoma State's defense struggled for most of the year and Arizona has a top flight offense, but the different will be Oklahoma State takes gambles. They had 16 interceptions and a +8 TO margin on the year. The extra time to prepare has made the young defense better in my opinion. When they had extra time against Texas AM they come up with 5 turnovers. LB Orie Lemon will be the key for them on defense and his 119 tackles on the year should prove that he'll be up to the task. Who I'm really more excited to watch is Big 12 defensive rookie of the year Shaun Lewis at LB. He has a chance to be the best player on defense for this team and again the extra practices only improve them more. Lastly common opponents is what these two teams had in Washington State. Arizona got by 24-7 and was +53 yards, but Oklahoma State opened the season in a 65-17 runaway. They were +222 yards. It just goes to show you in my opinion that the Pac-10 is still down. The two top teams in Stanford and Oregon are dominating but the rest are so so and it'll show here tonight. |
|||||||
12-29-10 | East Carolina +8 v. Maryland | 20-51 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
East Carolina +7.5 (2.5 Dime Play)
East Carolina's defense was bad down the stretch and at least one team scored at least 33 pts in all of their games this year. Their offense can light it up and Maryland's strength is in their linebackers which will be used for stopping the run. East Carolina can have a lot of success and they will through the air. This game should go back and forth a little bit, but I think East Carolina will find themselves in striking distance. They always seemed to come with their A game vs. BCS opponents. They actually had a more challenging schedule than Maryland this year as they played 8 bowl teams this year. They too beat NC State much like Maryland in similar scores. Maryland edged Navy on opening day 17-14 but were -213 yards while East Carolina got beat by Navy and were only -29 yards. We know East Carolina can play with a Maryland team and I think it helps out their struggling defense to know that Maryland has the worst offense of anyone they have played in 5 games. Maryland is one dimensional 85th in total offense their drives will stall while East Carolina and Dominique Davis is responsible for the 7th passing offense in the nation. Davis has been a surprise and he'll continue to show off his talent in this game. |
|||||||
12-28-10 | Missouri v. Iowa +3 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Iowa +3 (3.3 Dime LNF)
I'm not buying into all those suspensions Iowa has. Iowa's head coach Kirk Ferentz has done wonders with much less talent. In a year when the Big 10 was dominant with three 1 loss teams Iowa is now flying under the radar against a Big 12 team. I believe Iowa is better because they play defense. They are #1 pass efficiency defense and should give Gabbert a lot of problems like he had against Nebraska another good pass defense. I don't know how much I trust Missouri any way in these bowl games they lost as big favorites vs. Navy a year ago 35-13 so look out here because they have to play a team that does not turn the ball over and one with a good defense. Ricky Stanzi has been great this year with 25 TD and 4 INT he won't have his running back or top WR but I believe his defense makes it so he doesn't have to do much. |
|||||||
12-28-10 | Minnesota Vikings v. Philadelphia Eagles -14 | 24-14 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Eagles -13.5 -120 buy 1/2 (3.6 Dime PTE play)
With or without Adrian Peterson this defense seems disinterested. I've had the Vikings a few times down the stretch and a combination of their offense and defense is just not coming close in these games. No Brett Favre and Joe Webb can not do much here. On the road on a Tuesday with all the motivation on the side of Vick and the Eagles. I just don't see the Vikings having the coverage or run defense to stop this team from scoring and to be honest I think their aggressive defense will create points off Joe Webb as well. Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6. |
|||||||
12-28-10 | North Carolina State v. West Virginia -3 | Top | 23-7 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
West Virginia -2.5 (4.4 Dime POD)
A healthy Noel Devine and an offense that really does not turn the ball over that much with the exception of two games this year and I love West Virginia. They clicked down the stretch to 37, 17, 35, and 35 point totals down the stretch. NC State is a team that had 24 take aways and that's how they win along with the arm of Russel Wilson who will be the biggest key in this game. Geno Smith threw just 6 int's on the year and with Devine back in the mix you can bet the fumbling issues (7 times at Uconn) won't be an issue here. Now both these teams have two common opponents in Maryland and Cinci. West Virginia blasted Maryland at home 31-17 and racked up 260 more yards while NC State failed in their last game at Maryland 31-38 as they only were +25 yards. That game was a devastating blow it took them out of the ACC title game and I wonder how up they will be for this game. Then Cinci scores were pretty even as Nc State won 30-19 at home +108 yards and West Virginia won 37-10 +138 yards. This is the best defense NC State will face all year and when Russel Wilson has thrown an INT in each of his last 9 games and has a one dimensional attack as they are ranked 93rd in running the ball the Mountaineers can concentrate on a pass rush they were 3rd in the nation in sacking the QB and forcing turnovers. This is one of the most talented secondaries in the nation one that features 3 all stars and they've only given up 5 TD passes in their last 9 games. The 3-3-5 scheme will really frustrate Wilson and is a perfect game plan against a pass happy team in my opinion. This is a dynamic defense and they are facing an offense that can put up points, but it all comes through the air I'll always take a dominant defense over a one dimensional offense. Look for Geno Smith to have a nice accurate game as he led the Big East in pass efficiency and for Noel Devine to make some noise in his last game in college. |
|||||||
12-27-10 | New Orleans Saints +3 v. Atlanta Falcons | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
Saints +3 -120 (4.5 Dime NFL OE play)
Saints are hot at the right time though they lost against the Ravens last week that was an even tougher road game against the Ravens. I think they have the team to beat the Falcons who win with their passing game at home not their running game. Don't get me wrong the Falcons and Michael Turner are having a great year but in the close games it's the passing game and Matt Ryan that are getting it done. They'll go up against the leagues #2 pass defense and a team that had scored 30 points in 5 games straight before scoring just 24 at Baltiomore which if you ask me is still pretty darn impressive. I think they get even better now that both Reggie Bush and Pierre Thomas are back healthy. They have a lot to play for while the Falcons have already clinched the playoffs etc. Look for the Saints to break the Falcons streak of wins at home. |
|||||||
12-26-10 | Florida International +1.5 v. Toledo | Top | 34-32 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Florida International +1 (4.4 Dime POD)
I like what Flint did this year there is no doubt that they had a more challenging schedule with games at 4 BCS schools to start the season in Rutgers, Pitt, Maryland and Texas A&M. Actually they lost to TX AM on the road just 20-27 and they were in a battle with Pitt before they gave up 28 4th quarter points in a 44-17 loss. Toledo was wildly inconsistent and are also coming into this game as over achievers. This will be game #2 of the bowl season of MAC vs. Sun Belt and in the first game Troy waxed the MAC's Ohio team one that's really good. Florida International went on the road to Troy and gave them a beat down and rushed for 448 yards against a very talented defensive line. I believe they will be able to run the ball and control the clock on Toledo here today a team that does not have a great defense and they are inconsistent on offense. They won games by forcing turnovers this year with 30 in their 8 wins. Florida International will not be turning the ball over and I think the Sun Belt player of the year TY Hilton will have a huge game. Many people have told this team they can't win they are in just their 6th year of the program. I think they love the under dog role and they'll wear it tonight in front of a national audience. Toledo closed the year giving up an average of 407.3 yards in their last 3 games and I don't think they can stop the 28th run game one that allows the fewest sacks and plays great pass defense with a better pass rush than what Toledo can offer. What does that mean? It means if Florida International can take a lead in this game I believe it'll be over. They can concentrate on running the ball limiting turnovers and finishing the game off with a win! |
|||||||
12-26-10 | NY Giants +3 v. Green Bay Packers | Top | 17-45 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
Giants +3.5 -120 buy 1/2 (5.5 Dime POD) Giants +150 (2-Dime Bonus)
What a collapse a week ago against the Eagles. All in all this defense still looks good and I'm not in love with Rodgers at home coming off a concussion against the best pass rush in the league. He's going to be under pressure and I'm not sure how he will react. I think he's going to show some rush especially when you come back to a game where you are facing a team that's going to pressure you. Giants also have the leagues #2 pass defense which falls into the strength of what Green Bay does. I think the Giants can cover the Packers and on the other side I believe they'll run against the Pack who are 19th vs. the run. Giants when they are concentrating on their run game have maybe the NFC's best rushing attack behind Jacobs and Bradshaw. Manning has suffered by lots of tip picks and leads the league but it's not as bad as it looks on paper I still trust what Manning can do and he has arguably a top 5 WR to help him in Hakeem Nicks. Look for him to have a big game along Kevin Boss especially if the Pack try to stop the run. All in all I believe the Giants win this game. It's unfortunate because the Packers have a lot of talent and I'd love to see them in the playoffs, but still Rodgers though puts up huge numbers has not come close to living up to what Favre did. |
|||||||
12-26-10 | Detroit Lions +3.5 v. Miami Dolphins | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
Lions +3.5 (3.3 Dime OE play)
Lions have been one of my favorite bets all year and they have made me look good with the exception of Thanksgiving Day against the Patriots despite covering after 3 quarters they melted in the 4th and that's what they have done when they haven't covered the spread. It will be hard for that to happen in Miami considering Miami is 1-6 at home and their offense is pretty bad. I still like the Lions front 4 as one of the best in the NFC especially with SUH. Look for the Dolphins to have to pass and that has not been a good thing with Henne looking like he has moved back as a QB. Miami is 6-28 in their last 34 as a home favorite. Lions get back Shaun Hill who was quietly having a nice year. He's got many more weapons than does Henne and the Lions offense has clicked even against good defenses. This game will be a close one and I think the Lions pull out the victory. |
|||||||
12-26-10 | San Francisco 49ers v. St. Louis Rams -2.5 | 17-25 | Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
Rams -1.5 (4.4 Dime Early Bird Special);
This is a playoff like atmosphere today between these two teams fighting for the NFC West. Probably a joke because both teams have a losing record. I got to go with the team with the better QB, and the more consistent team as well as the home team. The Rams are all of those things. They had the Chiefs on their heels last week at home and almost won. They've had a very challenging home schedule and this is one of those games they should be excited to dominate. The 49ers offense is awful let's be honest they barely average 14 points a game on the road and are 1-6 this year. Bradford was ultra efficient last time 30-42 for 251 yards a TD in his first match up which the Rams lost 20-23. Look for the Rams to take revenge on the Niners here today and move 1 win away from the division title. |
|||||||
12-25-10 | Dallas Cowboys v. Arizona Cardinals +7.5 | Top | 26-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Cardinals +7.5 beted (4.4 Dime POD)
Cardinals vs. Cowboys what another ugly game over the holidays as we had Pittsburgh and Carolina on Thursday where we gave you the Steelers. This time I'm playing the under dog role as Dallas should not be up for this game. Playing on Xmas on the road where they are 1-5 ATS as favorites in their last 6 against an under rated Cardinals team defense. We know the story they struggle to find a QB and now they have the rookie out of Fordham starting. So what makes me think the Cardinals can cover the spread? Well they are 3-4 at home this year 9-3 ATS in their last 12 as home under dogs and their defense is playing their best ball of the season giving up just an average of 293 total yards over their last 3 games. That would put them #4 on the season in total yard allowed. This is a team that wins on defense at home they beat the Broncos by 30 points, they also beat a good Raiders team here as well as the Saints by 10 and lost to the Bucs by only 3 points. Cards are as bad as any team on the road but when they play at home they are competitive. That's all they will need to be against a Cowboys team that is 4-2 since Garrett took over, but Phillips who called the defense has been missed on that side of the ball where the Cowboys are now giving up 27.3 points per game since his departure. I expect a game played in the 20's with the Cardinals having a chance to win. |
|||||||
12-24-10 | Tulsa +10.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 62-35 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
Tulsa +10 (4.4 Dime POD); Tulsa +310 (1-Dime bonus)
Tulsa Hawaii should be an exciting match up Christmas Eve. Lots of offense and I don't see Tulsa being beat by double digits here. They have played plenty of high octane offenses so their offense too is capable of putting up the points. A few teams come to mind that they have played that have nice offenses in Southern Miss, Houston, SMU and Oklahoma State. We already saw Boise struggle in their bowl and I'm not sold on the WAC and Hawaii just yet their non-conference schedule was not particularly hard and they lost bad to a bad Colorado team 31-13. Tulsa can score with the best of them and are much more balanced ranking in the top 15 in rush and passing offense and it comes from GJ Kinne their QB the offensive player of the year out of the conference. They have NFL talent including their receiving fullback Charles Clay. The all time leader in all purpose yards Demaris Johnson. He's just 5 foot 8 170 pounds but blazing fast and shifty. He can take it to the house at any point look for him to have a huge impact on tonight's game. |
|||||||
12-20-10 | Chicago Bears v. Minnesota Vikings +7.5 | Top | 40-14 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
Vikings +7.5 -120 buy 1/2 (5-Dime) Vikings +13/U40.5 (2.2 Bonus Teaser)
Love the Vikings here it's not often you see a home dog more than a TD in the weather conditions they'll have tonight. It's going to be snowy and cold and you got a third string QB taking over for the Vikings in Joe Webb. We saw his big arm last game on one play to Sidney Rice and I'll be interested to see what he can do with his feet. I think he'll be able to do some decent things in this weather because he is a very mobile QB. I'm sure the game plan will be very vanilla for him. We already saw what the Bears offense could not do in snow vs. the Patriots in their own stadium. Well the Vikings defense is better than New England to be quite honest with you and they are still very under rated group. Expect lots of running in this game and for it to come down to a field goal. |
|||||||
12-19-10 | Buffalo Bills +5.5 v. Miami Dolphins | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
Baltimore -2 (5.5 Dime POD); Bills +5.5 (3.3 Dime play); Lions +4.5 (3-Dime Play)
I'll talk about Baltimore here real quick as they are 44-21-1 ATS in their last 66 as a home favorite. The Sains are red hot, but a closer look you see wins against teams like Minnesota, San Francisco, Carolina (twice), Arizona, Cleveland, Seattle, St. Louis and Cincinnati. That's not real impressive to me. This will be their toughest road game of the year as the Ravens play excellent ball here. Bills on the other hand have been in just about every game they have played in and they've played great teams and have been right in the thick of things on the road vs. Chiefs, Ravens, Steelers and a 3 point loss vs. the Bears. Fitzpatrick is an intelligent QB who doesn't force the ball and has turned one of his WR into a star. I believe Buffalo can pass on the Dolphins and the Dolphins right now can not put up points their offense is pretty bad and one dimensional. |
|||||||
12-19-10 | Detroit Lions +4.5 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
Baltimore -2 (5.5 Dime POD); Bills +5.5 (3.3 Dime play); Lions +4.5 (3-Dime Play)
I'll talk about Baltimore here real quick as they are 44-21-1 ATS in their last 66 as a home favorite. The Sains are red hot, but a closer look you see wins against teams like Minnesota, San Francisco, Carolina (twice), Arizona, Cleveland, Seattle, St. Louis and Cincinnati. That's not real impressive to me. This will be their toughest road game of the year as the Ravens play excellent ball here. Bills on the other hand have been in just about every game they have played in and they've played great teams and have been right in the thick of things on the road vs. Chiefs, Ravens, Steelers and a 3 point loss vs. the Bears. Fitzpatrick is an intelligent QB who doesn't force the ball and has turned one of his WR into a star. I believe Buffalo can pass on the Dolphins and the Dolphins right now can not put up points their offense is pretty bad and one dimensional. |
|||||||
12-19-10 | New Orleans Saints v. Baltimore Ravens -2 | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
Baltimore -2 (5.5 Dime POD); Bills +5.5 (3.3 Dime play); Lions +4.5 (3-Dime Play)
I'll talk about Baltimore here real quick as they are 44-21-1 ATS in their last 66 as a home favorite. The Sains are red hot, but a closer look you see wins against teams like Minnesota, San Francisco, Carolina (twice), Arizona, Cleveland, Seattle, St. Louis and Cincinnati. That's not real impressive to me. This will be their toughest road game of the year as the Ravens play excellent ball here. Bills on the other hand have been in just about every game they have played in and they've played great teams and have been right in the thick of things on the road vs. Chiefs, Ravens, Steelers and a 3 point loss vs. the Bears. Fitzpatrick is an intelligent QB who doesn't force the ball and has turned one of his WR into a star. I believe Buffalo can pass on the Dolphins and the Dolphins right now can not put up points their offense is pretty bad and one dimensional. |
|||||||
12-18-10 | Ohio +2 v. Troy State | 21-48 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Ohio +3 buy 1/2 (4-Dime OE play)
I like Ohio and Frank Solich has his team ready as he finally gets a match up they can win. There defense has been solid all year long ranked 21st in total yards and 34st in points allowed. They surely will be tested by the Trojans here today especially by Jernigan who is #8 in all purpose yards. Troy has plenty of other weapons, but their defense is not good enough to win a bowl game and they have had turnovers that have plagued them all year. Ohio had 17 interceptions this year andt hey have more vets in more key spots as this is their 3rd bowl in 5 years. They are 0-4 in bowl games so although they choked vs. Kent State down the stretch Troy does not have a defense close to Kent St and Ohio's run option should work to perfection here today with Boo Jackson leading them at QB ast hey rushed for 170 a game with 25 TD's during the year. They are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 as an under dog and Troy themselves are 1-3 in bowl games. Don't get me wrong this game will be tight as Troy has played their losses close which is why I recommend buying the half. If you ask me Ohio wins out right but just in case we have a tie game with Troy driving at the end of the game it's good to feel insured. |
|||||||
12-18-10 | Northern Illinois v. Fresno State +2 | Top | 40-17 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 35 m | Show |
Fresno State +1.5 (4.4 Dime POD)
Fresno and Northern Illinois both played Illinois this year so we do have something to gauge this game on. Fresno came up with the upset while Northern Illinois did not. However Fresno did play that game at home while Nill had to travel to play there game. Overall I don't put too much weight into that game. I do however look at the schedules and Fresno plays in a tougher conference one where they had to play Boise, Hawaii, and Nevada and they played a much tougher non-conference schedule that featured Illinois, Miss, and Cinci while Northern Illinois played Iowa State and bottom feeder Minnesota. Northern Illinois comes into this game after a colossal gag in the MAC Championship game which they lost as 17 point favorites. Now they have to follow that up without their head coach Jerry Kill who took the job in Minnesota and interim coach Tom Matukewicz who has really nothing to coach for since the new coach is already hired. On the other side Fresno has plenty to play for and they are used to playing in bowl games. Fresno gets healthy with Andrew Jackson arguably the best blocker on the team returning as well as Robbie Rouse who could steal the show here. The key is to stop Northern Illinois running game and Chris Carter will help to do his best as he ledt he WAC with 11 sacks and 16.5 tackles for loss. Illinois ran all over Fresno but they still hung on to win. I think Robbie Rouse has the better running game between the two featured backs and I think Ryan Colburn will back up his performance that he had against Illinois. |
|||||||
12-16-10 | San Francisco 49ers v. San Diego Chargers -10 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
Chargers -10 (4-Dime OE); Chargers -4 & U51 teaser (2.2 Dime Play)
I like the Chargers at home this is when they turn it up and as you can see their defense is playing at an all time high this year being #1 in the league while their passing game is top flight too. They play the visiting 49ers who won big last week, but now Troy Smith has to contend with the best team on the West Coast in the Chargers. There is reason this spread is so big. I've been fooled into taking the dog here in the past and the team that's favored dominated anyway. I think this is another one of those games. Chargers only struggle on offense when a team has a pass rush and strong cover corners. I'm sorry Nate Clements is solid but he's not Revis or Asimghua. Look for the Chargers to really hold the 49ers offense intact which is why this game goes under I expect a 24-7 or 31-7 type game. |
|||||||
12-13-10 | Baltimore Ravens -3 v. Houston Texans | Top | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Vikings +4.5 (3.3 Dime OE play); Ravens -3 (4.4 Dime POD)
I like the Vikings in the early game. I think Minny defense steps up as they have in recent weeks overall they have the #6 total defense and the Giants are still banged up on the offensive line with two starters out. Vikings have injury problems of their own, but I expect Favre to play and if he doesn't I think Jackson poses a lot of issues for the Giants anyway. IN the end this will be a low scoring and close game til the end. Ravens play a bad defense in Houstonw ho is ranked 31st and not getting any better. I expect Houston to be stopped offensively as they struggle vs. physical defenses. Ravens will get the out right win in this spot as their offense will click as JOe Flaco throws over 300 yards with Mason and Boldin having huge days. |
|||||||
12-13-10 | NY Giants v. Minnesota Vikings +4.5 | 21-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Vikings +4.5 (3.3 Dime OE play); Ravens -3 (4.4 Dime POD)
I like the Vikings in the early game. I think Minny defense steps up as they have in recent weeks overall they have the #6 total defense and the Giants are still banged up on the offensive line with two starters out. Vikings have injury problems of their own, but I expect Favre to play and if he doesn't I think Jackson poses a lot of issues for the Giants anyway. IN the end this will be a low scoring and close game til the end. Ravens play a bad defense in Houstonw ho is ranked 31st and not getting any better. I expect Houston to be stopped offensively as they struggle vs. physical defenses. Ravens will get the out right win in this spot as their offense will click as JOe Flaco throws over 300 yards with Mason and Boldin having huge days. |
|||||||
12-12-10 | Cleveland Browns v. Buffalo Bills | 6-13 | Win | 100 | 1 h 2 m | Show | |
Bills pk (5.5 Dime POD); Redskins+1 (3.3 Dime play)
Love the Bills today as our POD this is a big revenge game for the Bills they've lost to the Browns 3 times in a row including a 6-3 loss last year. Both teams have been victim of losing close games. Bills back at home play a team that is 1-5 in games decided by 7 points or less. I like the Bills to take advantage of the Browns secondary with their two solid WR Lee Evans and Steve Johnson. Browns do not have the pass rush to make Fitzpatrick panic and make mistakes. At home Buffalo will have more of a pass rush getting off the ball quicker than the OL and that will force Jake Delhomme into more mistakes. He had 3 interceptions with the Panthers vs. the Bills last year in a 20-9 loss. Expect the Bills to be licking their chops as they know they have a chance to win. Browns are just 2-4 on the road. Everyone is down on the Skins but the Bucs just got hit hard by injuries losing their best CB Talib and two good offensive linemen. Their offense hasn't been the same only 295 yards per game over their last 3 and now they are on the outside looking in. I think the Skins win this game today after they got rid of the distraction of Haynesworth the defense can finally go back to what they were a year ago solid at home. I think they take away the running game of TB despite being one of the worst run defenses. Expect Shanahan to run the ball more and win this game by a TD. |
|||||||
12-12-10 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Washington Redskins +3 | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 1 h 1 m | Show | |
Bills pk (5.5 Dime POD); Redskins+1 (3.3 Dime play)
Love the Bills today as our POD this is a big revenge game for the Bills they've lost to the Browns 3 times in a row including a 6-3 loss last year. Both teams have been victim of losing close games. Bills back at home play a team that is 1-5 in games decided by 7 points or less. I like the Bills to take advantage of the Browns secondary with their two solid WR Lee Evans and Steve Johnson. Browns do not have the pass rush to make Fitzpatrick panic and make mistakes. At home Buffalo will have more of a pass rush getting off the ball quicker than the OL and that will force Jake Delhomme into more mistakes. He had 3 interceptions with the Panthers vs. the Bills last year in a 20-9 loss. Expect the Bills to be licking their chops as they know they have a chance to win. Browns are just 2-4 on the road. Everyone is down on the Skins but the Bucs just got hit hard by injuries losing their best CB Talib and two good offensive linemen. Their offense hasn't been the same only 295 yards per game over their last 3 and now they are on the outside looking in. I think the Skins win this game today after they got rid of the distraction of Haynesworth the defense can finally go back to what they were a year ago solid at home. I think they take away the running game of TB despite being one of the worst run defenses. Expect Shanahan to run the ball more and win this game by a TD. |
|||||||
12-11-10 | Navy v. Army +8 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 23 m | Show |
Army +7.5 (4.4 Dime POD); Under 53 (1.1 Dime Bonus)
Love Army here granted they have scored just 6 points in the last three match ups, but they have come along way this year and I feel Navy digressed a bit this year. Navy still has Ricky Dobbs who dominated this game last year with 30 carries at QB. Dobbs was a dark horse for Heisman this year, but he didn't put up the same kind of numbers early he was hurt and it hasn't been the same Navy offense as years past. It also hasn't been the same Navy defense and I feel Army can take advantage of that with Trent Steelman having another year of experience. Navy gives up more yards in the passing game on their defense and I think Steelman who was just 7-20 last year will have a better game with his limited throws. This game will be close to the end and that's because Army's defense will keep them in. They really missed their leading tackler Stephen Anderson a year ago in the 17-3 loss but now he's back pair him with Stever Erzinger who made 11 tackles in last years match up and you have two guys that can sniff out the triple option. Navy loves to mix it up with runs up the middle but Army is strong up front with Josh McNary. All in all Dobbs and the Navy offense will move the ball but I see them being forced to settle for field goals. Same goes for Army I have seen them look very impressive against some good teams this year, but they have failed to put the ball in the end zone. Same happens today with each team trading field position and settling for field goals. This is too big for both teams and bigger for Army who has their best team in many years and they want to make a statement that they are no longer a push over. |
|||||||
12-09-10 | Indianapolis Colts -3 v. Tennessee Titans | Top | 30-28 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Colts -3 (4.4 Dime POD)
Titans are the worst team right now just 6 points in their last 2 games combined! And no offensive TD's in their last 13 quarters. The Colts can at least still score points and if Peyton isn't turning the ball over they beat the Patriots and a hot Cowboys team. Now he faces a defense in the Titans that is banged up on the defensive line and has a 24th total defense and 23rd pass 22 rush. This is not a defense that is strong up front like in years past that have given the Colts issues. I expect Peyton to resort to a check down style game rather than his timing routes with receivers who he's unfamiliar with. Also expect a lot more running which will set up the play action. Kerry Collins has yet to look good just a 68.8 QB rating and Moss has 5 receptions for 0 TD's in 4 games with the Titans. NOw they do get Kenny Britt back, but how good will he be with Kerry Collins tonight? Indy is 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 road games in a must win game I trust Peyton Manning to get a lead early and unleash their pass rush on a bad offense with an unmobile QB in Kerry Collins at the helm. |
|||||||
12-05-10 | Chicago Bears v. Detroit Lions +6 | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 51 m | Show | |
Lions
Lions have played extremely well at home. The blow out loss at home vs. teh Patriots and the Bears win over the Eagles gives us a very big inflated line here in my opinion. First thing I think of was their first match up when Calvin Johnson caught the ball that would have given them the score, but if you saw that game you know what I'm talking about. That was on the road and the Lions are at home where their offense has clicked even against good defenses. Bears look like the old bears right now but I think they have a hang over against a hungry Lions team that is playing on extra rest! |
|||||||
12-05-10 | Washington Redskins +7 v. NY Giants | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 52 m | Show |
Redskins +7.5 buy 1/2 5-Dime POD' Lions +4.5 (3.3 Dime OE play)
Skins are 6-2-1 ats in their last 9 road games and they have played many opponents close on the road. Despite their rankings I still think their defense is under rated and the Giants are banged up on offensive line with a possible of 3 guys out of the line up on offensive line and two star WR out in Steve Smith and Hakeem Nicks. McNabb has always played the Giants well and he's had a pretty good year passing the ball if he can avoid the interceptions the Skins can win out right. Lions Lions have played extremely well at home. The blow out loss at home vs. teh Patriots and the Bears win over the Eagles gives us a very big inflated line here in my opinion. First thing I think of was their first match up when Calvin Johnson caught the ball that would have given them the score, but if you saw that game you know what I'm talking about. That was on the road and the Lions are at home where their offense has clicked even against good defenses. Bears look like the old bears right now but I think they have a hang over against a hungry Lions team that is playing on extra rest! |
|||||||
12-04-10 | Nebraska v. Oklahoma -4.5 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 6 m | Show | |
Oklahoma -4.5 (3.3 Dime PTS)
Oklahoma and Nebraska both held the their common opponents to the same # of points basically with Oklahoma giving up 140 and Nebraska giving up 134. Oklahoma |
|||||||
12-04-10 | Florida State +4 v. Virginia Tech | 33-44 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 51 m | Show | |
FSU +4 (5-Dime OE play)
FSU their 6 common opponents that they have with Virginia Tech are very even results. Vtech won 206-85 while Florida State outscored them 193-115. The two games that they have in common in terms that they faced them both at home and away was first Wake Forest who they both played at home. FSU won 31-0 and had +30 yards while Virginia Tech won 52-21 and were +25 yards. They both also won at Miami 45-17 +4 was Florida State while Virginia Tech won 31-17 and were -9 yards. At the end of the day I |
|||||||
12-04-10 | Auburn -5 v. South Carolina | Top | 56-17 | Win | 100 | 46 h 9 m | Show |
Auburn -5.5 (5.5 Dime POD)
They say South Carolina has the #5th run defense in the country? Tell that to Auburn and Cameron Newton, Dyer, and McCalebb who only rushed for 334 yards in their earlier match up. Auburn has a premier rusher too in Lattimore, but in South Carolina |
|||||||
12-04-10 | SMU +9 v. Central Florida | 7-17 | Loss | -105 | 42 h 12 m | Show | |
SMU +9 (4-Dime EB play) SMU +285 (1-Dime Bonus)
June Jones |
|||||||
12-04-10 | Pittsburgh +2 v. Cincinnati | 28-10 | Win | 100 | 42 h 10 m | Show | |
Pitt +2 (2.75 Dime Play)
PITT |
|||||||
12-03-10 | Illinois v. Fresno State +6 | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 35 h 45 m | Show | |
Fresno +6 buy 1/2 -120 (4-Dime LNF)
Fresno is a very balanced team especially on defense where it can stop the run and it's been tested by plenty of teams that can run the ball including Nevada, Boise, and Miss to name a few as they have faced six teams in the top 55 in running the ball. That's the only thing Illinois really does is run the ball with their beast Mikel Leshoure who has 1371 yards rushing on the year. Illinois has really been clicking as of late averaging 46.8ppg and they deserve to be favorites in this spot, but they don't remember what a defense looks like as they have faced and average 86th total defense and 89th scoring defense in their last 5. Fresno matches up and can stop the run in my opinion. Illinois will also face a good running game despite Fresno's Robbie Rouse looking doubtful to play. They'll have the back up Ellis ready as he ran for 55 yards on 11 carries vs. Idaho last week. The defense for Fresno is also playing well giving up just 3 pts to a high powered Idaho passing game a week ago through 3 quarters. Fresno will get to Illinois QB as they have 33 sacks on the season 10 by Chris Carter. Again this is a tough schedule for Illinois after they have not much to play for they are already calling their season a success from last year. This will be a late start and the travel for Illinois will have an impact just ask Cincinnati who traveled to lose by 2 TD's at Fresno in the beginning of the year. |
|||||||
12-02-10 | Arizona State +6 v. Arizona | Top | 30-29 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
Arizona St +6 (4.4 Dime POD)
We have been hovering at .500 all season long and this is about the time last year where we just flat out dominated with 69% winners the rest of the year. Championship week this week and then the bowl games begin. New QB for the Sun Devils as Threet suffered a concussion and he probably could play this game, but they are turning to the pre-season competition of Threet in Brock Osweiler. Osweiler is a beast at 6'8 242lbs and has a very accurate arm which is what you want in the spread offense. In the second half against UCLA Osweiler picked apart a UCLA secondary ranked 60th in pass defense. He finished the day with 27-36 for 380 yards and 4 TD's and 0 INT's (the key). Threet often got Arizona State out of contention this is a team that lost to STanford by only 4 3 to Oregon State gave Oregon their best game losing by 11 and lost on the road at Wisconsin by just 1 point as a missed extra point cost them a tie. Threet threw 16 interceptions on the year and lucky for the Sun Devils Arizona is among the worst in picking off passes with just 9 on the year. I expect a very close game in what is a huge rivalry game. Arizona State still has a shot at a bowl game at 5-6 and I believe they finally get it done tonight! Arizona State is very fast on defense and athletic they are right behind Arizona in total defense in the Pac-10 and Nick Foles may struggle because DE Junior Onyeali is fast and get put pressure on Foles. Foles is careless under pressure. Arizona is also 112th in red zone offense with just 73% of their opportunities into scores. I expect Arizona State to possibly cause some turnovers that should give them the edge in possibly stealing this from an Arizona team that was ranked before their 3 straight losses by a combined score of 67-113 against Stanford, USC and Oregon. Arizona State against those three opponents also went 0-3 but the product was a lot closer 77 to 93 which gives me reason to believe they can pull an upset. Arizona St has a lot to look forward to next year, but they lost this game 20-17 last year and you better believe they want it and will plan this game as their bowl game. The running game has picked up and they have weapons all over on this offense with RB's Deantre Lewis who can hurt you out of hte backfield or in the passing game he had 100+ rushing yards against each Oregon team while Sophmore Cam Russel had 147 yards in the win a week ago. They can spread it out on offense with not a single WR being the go to guy. There is a different guy each week and I like the rise of Jamal Miles who had a 99 yard return a week ago. He's fast and could go the distance. |
|||||||
11-28-10 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Seattle Seahawks +2.5 | 42-24 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Seahawks +3 buy 1/2 (3.5 Dime Play)
What have the Chiefs done on the road to deserve being favorites? Seattle is 3-1 at home and always plays tough. This is a tough cross country trip for the Chiefs who are 0-4 in their last 4 road games. Recently both teams played the Cardinals and both won easily. Seattle went on the road and won 36-18 and were +163 yards while the Chiefs won at home 31-14 and were -30 yards. Seattle can stop a run especially in their home building and the key to Hasselback having success is having time to throw. He's had a lot of time as of late and that's why he's throwing for more than 300 yards in back to back games. Chiefs only 20 sacks total on the season will not be able to get to him on the road. |
|||||||
11-28-10 | Green Bay Packers v. Atlanta Falcons -1.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
Falcons -1 (3.3 Dime Bonus)
Falcons have been great as of late and they are beating good teams. We know the story here Matt Ryan is 18-1 at home and I look at this game as similar to the match up against the Ravens. Green Bay has a great pass rush here, but I think Atlanta can take that way just like they did with Baltimore by running their Texas Package. Which is simply just the no huddle that really kept the Ravens away from Matt Ryan. Ryan is really growing up and he's got a balanced offense with Michael Turner having a great year. Aaron Rodgers too is having a great year, but he goes up against a defense that can stop the run without loading the box. Falcons are much better at stopping the run and in their home building they should have an edge getting off the ball. I look for them to really force Rodgers to make quick decisions which has not been a bad thing, but in a game where the Falcons will know when Rodgers is passing because his run offense just isn't there it could mean trouble. |
|||||||
11-28-10 | Minnesota Vikings -2 v. Washington Redskins | Top | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
Vikings -1.5 betonline (5.5 Dime POD);
Lesly Frazier takes over as the head coach and just like when the Cowboys got rid of Wade Phillips I think it's going to have a huge impact on the season. I expect the Vikings to come out and run the ball against a Redskins defense that gave up 260 and 151 yards in their last 2 games. Redskins are depleted with injuries they had 16 guys that could not practice this week and their coach even said it's hard to practice with that many guys out. Vikings got to be hungry and I think they will play hard for Frazier who has been a top head coaching candidate for some time now. Expect a clean game from Favre as I think the game plan will be lots of running with AP and play action throws from Favre. If Favre plays mistake free and we all know that's a big IF this will be close, but if Favre can clean it up for his new coach then I think the Vikes come out and win by a TD or more. Again I expect lots of running and on the other side of the ball the Vikings are allowing almost 100 yards less than the Redskins last ranked total defense. Redskins can't do much on offense either as McNabb is in a completely new offense and he really hasn't been handed the keys yet. Vikings will take away the running game as they are one of the best in the league in stopping the run once again as Redskins start Keiland Williams as their two starting RB are out once again. Next McNabb would like to go to Chris Cooley but the Vikings have controlled most teams TE only allowing TE to catch 38 balls for 362 and 4 TD's that's among the best in the league. |
|||||||
11-27-10 | Notre Dame v. USC -4 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
USC -4 bookmaker (5.5 Dime NCAAF POD)
I love the Trojans at home here today. Their offense is big and explosive and that's something the Irish won't be able to contain especially on the road. This line is deflated because of how well the Irish have played of late, but they haven't played a team like USC in weeks so I expect them to get smacked around. They had to travel over the holiday out west and now they face a USC team that will be playing with a lot of confidence at home and nothing to lose. Notre Dame is now bowl eligible so they don't have that to play for and this is USC's Sr. Day. I also love the fact that Notre Dame got beat at home by Stanford easily and USC went on the road and nearly beat Stanford 35-37. Expect USC to control this game from the start and finish. |
|||||||
11-27-10 | Florida +2.5 v. Florida State | 7-31 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Florida +3 buy 1/2 (4.4 Dime OE play); Ark St +5 (3.3 Dime play)
The Gators could be suffering from a hangover after their loss a week ago but they get a crack at Florida State an in state rival that they have dominated over the past few years. They should be motivated by being the under dog here I feel. FSU's offense hasn't been right all year and the Gators will shut them down this is the best defense they have faced all year long. Watch out as Florida will be able to pass the ball in my opinion with their 3 QB system that did not work against South Carolina, but it may work here. The Gators have picked off 17 passes and FSU's offensive line is a joke when it comes to protecting Ponder. Look for the Gators to generate more outside pressure from Sr. ends Justin Trattou and Duke Lemmens to get pressure on Christian Ponder. |
|||||||
11-27-10 | Arkansas State +5 v. Florida International | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
Ark St +5 (3.3 Dime play)
|
|||||||
11-27-10 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -2.5 | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 1 h 4 m | Show | |
Tenn -2.5
|
|||||||
11-26-10 | Auburn v. Alabama -3.5 | 28-27 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
Alabama -4 (4.4 Dime OE play)
Bama, wow who could have predicted this out come this year with Auburn being as good as they are? Nobody really, but Alabama is still in position to knock out rival Auburn and I think it says a lot when this team is more than a field goal favorite in this big time game. Couple things. Auburn's defense that struggles in coverage has never faced a team that is balanced like Alabama ranked in the top 40 in pass and run offense. Look for Julio Jones to have a big game like AJ Green did for Georgia against Auburn. You could say the same for Alabama as they have never faced an offense this good, but at the same time I still view Auburn as one dimensional although Cam Newton has shown he can throw the ball, but never has he had to throw the ball to win the game and against Alabama's defense that's what you will have to do. Alabama in it's own stadium with a chance to pull off the upset despite being favored this would be an upset! |
|||||||
11-26-10 | Western Michigan -7 v. Bowling Green State | Top | 41-7 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
Western Mich -6.5 buy 1/2 -120 (5.5 Dime POD)
This is a dangerous team fighting for a bowl game while Bowling Green has nothing to play for at 2-9. This is a young team with 44 of 85 scholarship players as redshirt fresh or true fresh. QB Matt Schilz has not been the same since he sprained his shoulder in September. This team has only averaged 14.5 points in their last 5 games against similar defensive rankings of 54, 55, 62 and 72 as Western Mich is ranked 60th in scoring defense. My opinion would be different a few weeks ago, but Western Mich has now shown they can run the ball with freshmen Brian Fields and Tevin Drake who combined for 259 yards against Kent State a team that is ranked in the top 10 in run defense. This makes their offense way more dangerous as QB Alex Carder can take over a game with WR Jordan White who is about to take over the school record for receiving yards in a season. Western Mich pass rush is aggressive and I think they get to Schilz and cause him to make mistakes. |
|||||||
11-26-10 | West Virginia +3 v. Pittsburgh | 35-10 | Win | 100 | 1 h 18 m | Show | |
West Virginia +3 (3.3 Dime EB play)
This game is about defense and running the ball. The last 3 match ups have been decided by 4, 4, and 3 points in the Backyard Brawl. This game will have major implications as it usually does at this time of year and these teams are simply to similar not to bet on the under dog. At the end of the day how could you not go with the better defense overall and better run defense. West Virginia is ranked 4th overall and all of their rankings are in the top 10 including their run defense at #4. They have faced better running games than Pitt the last three weeks and have won 2 of those 3 games. They lost at Uconn despite out gaining them by 136 yards. Pitt also lost at Uconn but they were just +14. Running game, Pitt was better last year, but not this year as they rank #59 as they have faced an average run defense ranked 51st they have faced one team with a run defense ranked inside the top 30 and that was Utah who they lost to on the first game of the season. West Virginia is ranked #46th and they have also done it against a tougher schedule an average opponent ranked 49th with some tough run defenses on the board in LSU, Cin, and Maryland. In the end I think West Virginia has more play makers on defense DE Julian Miller and Bruce Irvin are going to get to Sunseri and force some key turnovers to get the win in a close game. |
|||||||
11-25-10 | Texas A&M v. Texas +3.5 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -105 | 45 h 56 m | Show |
Texas +3.5 5dimes (4.4 Dime NCAAF POD)
I love this match up for a few reasons. One being that Texas finally has confidence again. Although they won for the first time in over a month over a lowly Florida Atlantic team. FAU still does some things well including ranking #22 in pass defense and 66th in scoring defense yet Texas put up their highest scoring game of the year with 51 points. Now they can go to a bowl game again if they get a win at home against Texas A&M a team that is coming off a monster win against Nebraska at home. Not often that you would say let down when you face an in state rival like Texas, but A&M may be considering Texas has gotten beat up. One final though here is that Texas A&M has struggled against good defenses. The two teams that are close to what Texas does in ranks of total yards, pass yards and rushing yards given up on defense are Arkansas 38/18/72 which A&M lost to Arkansas 17-24 at home. Against Nebraska 9/2/57 they squeeked out a victory 9-6 at home. Now they face Texas who is 8/11/31st very capable of shutting a team down in fact they held Nebraska to 13 poitns in a win. A&M will be at Texas where they are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings playing a good defensive team fighting for their bowl streak on Sr. Day. I expect a great day from DE Sam Acho who had his best game a week ago he'll be the key to disrupt Tannehill. A&M is beatable through the air as they rank 97th in the nation. Gilbert will be the key as he has been all year 15-21 263 yards 2 TD's against FAU gave him the confidence he needs to put together scoring drives on Thursday. |
|||||||
11-25-10 | New Orleans Saints -3.5 v. Dallas Cowboys | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 26 m | Show | |
Saints -3 -125 buy 1/2 (4-Dime NFL OE Play)
Love the way the Saints have been playing as they have returned to their high power offense with 29.8ppg in their last 4 wins which have come in their last 5 games. This is trouble for the Cowboys because they are going to have their hands filled with the Saints Defense that is flat out a top 10 defense in this league. Saints come in with major revenge after getting their first loss at home to the Cowboys last year. They'll like to knock them out of the playoffs with a win here. The Saints lost that game because the Cowboys got pressure, but that hasn't been something the Cowboys have done consistently and the Saints don't give up many sacks. This will leave Brees time to go against a very weak secondary of the Cowboys that has struggled big time if there is no pass rush. It's great the Cowboys beat the Lions and Giants, but those teams are playing very sloppy right now and the Saints are just returning to their Super Bowl form. I think Brees picks apart this secondary and the Saints roll on the road in their first thanksgiving Day Game! |
|||||||
11-25-10 | New England Patriots v. Detroit Lions +7 | Top | 45-24 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 36 m | Show |
Lions +7 5dimes (5.5 Dime POD)
I love the Lions here this team has played very well as 5 of their 8 losses have been by 5 points or less. People really under value how hard it is to come on a short week after playing a tough team in the Colts and play on the road. The Lions have played extremely well at home and at 2-8 they are much better than their record suggests. They are 2-2 at home but every game has been close their two losses were to arguably the best teams in the NFL in the Eagles 32-35 and the Jets 20-23. Now they play the Patriots as a +7 under dog because they lost the Cowboys (a hot team) and they nearly covered that game and because the Patriots just beat two great teams out of the AFC in the Steelers and the Colts. Let me remind you that the STeelers are banged up and so are the Colts I'm not as impressed with those wins as the majority of the public and Vegas. Lions strength is where New England struggles. Pass coverage. Expect the Lions to test this team early and often as Calvin Johnson, Nate Burlesson have advantages over the Pats secondary. I also think the Lions are better up front on defense than many give them credit for and that comes down to Ndamukong Suh who will go up against an under sized Koppen. How do you beat Tom Brady? You pressure him and the Lions have an impressive 27 sacks. Expect them to really dial up a variety of blitzes on Thursday in what is their super bowl game. Overall the Lions will score their points as they have averaged 33.2 ppg at home this season. X-factor is Stefan Logan as he can take it back at any point in the game. If he can take one back the Lions won't only cover they will win out right! |
|||||||
11-22-10 | Denver Broncos v. San Diego Chargers -8.5 | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
Chargers -8.5 sia (3.5 dime play)
I like the chargers I'm surprised this line is so large but on paper it's a mismatch and this is the time of year Phillip rivers just takes his team over and refuses to lose. They are #1 in total offense and there defense is playing at a top level too top 5 in the league. Kyle orton is having a fantastic year but now he'll finally be tested. Broncos are 30th in points allowed and only have 13 sacks and 5 inta not a good combo when goig up against Rivera I expect more running than usual from both teams and the chargers to get up early in this or. Broncos are 30th in rush yards allowed meaning chargers should be able to keep that two td lead! |
|||||||
11-21-10 | Indianapolis Colts +4 v. New England Patriots | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Colts +4 (3.3 Dime OE play)
This line is very strange to me the Colts are beat up but this is not a great Patriots team like many think. I think the Colts will keep this within a field goal and even win out right. It's going to be an early thanksgiving as Peyton will carve up this young Patriots secondary that's ranked in the bottom of the league in pass defense. Tom Brady will be excellent again using his TE's, but the Colts are great at stopping TE's. Probably because they are used to seeing it in practice with Peyton. Don't over look the Colts to come in on this old rivalry and shock the Pats. |
|||||||
11-21-10 | Detroit Lions +6.5 v. Dallas Cowboys | 19-35 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
Lions +7 -120 buy 1/2 (4.5 Dime EB play)
This line is interesting. What it says to me is the Cowboys are back to be a dominating force and the Lions just can't win on the road. I disagree, though it's been a long time since they won on the road they are playing much better as they had a loss @Chicago by 5 that they really won with the infamous Calvin Johnson TD continuation play, only 2 at GB and 8 at the Giants and 2 at Buffalo. It seems the Lions offense can score no matter who is the QB and Shaun Hill looked good a week ago. Lions defense is also improved and that's the addition of Suh making a big impact already as a rookie. Expect the Lions to be in this one with a chance at winning the game. |
|||||||
11-21-10 | Washington Redskins +7 v. Tennessee Titans | Top | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
Redskins +7 (5.5 Dime NFL POD)
I love taking a team a week after they got embarassed. I expect the Redskins to come out with a lot of fire especially on defense. Watching the tape must not have been fun and I've seen this defense play much better. I like how the corners tackle on the outside in DeAngelo Hall and Carlos Rogers making it difficult for Chris Johnson to do what he does. On the other side McNabb and the offense continues to get better and I think they'll have some success against the Titans who are 20th in total yards allowed and 25th vs. the pass. McNabb is #13 in passing offense and he gets the return of Clinton Portis on Sunday making the offense that much better. Look for Cooley to have a huge game for the Skins as the Titans struggle guarding TEs. |
|||||||
11-20-10 | Notre Dame v. Army +8.5 | 27-3 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 56 m | Show | |
Army +8.5 (4.4 Dime Oe play)
Got to love this line. I thought it would be more like +4 or something, but then Notre Dame did us a solid and they went and beat Utah at home 28-3. Don't read into that too much Utah was beat down from their dissapointing loss against TCU which defined their season. I wasn't shocked that Notre Dame came up with the win. I have faded Notre Dame many times this year and each time I came away with wins. I was there on Tulsa when they upset them, and against Stanford, Navy, the Pitt push and Michigan. This weekend the game will be at Yankee Stadium the long tradition betwee these two teams. Notre Dame looked lost against Navy at the meadowlands a couple weeks ago on the triple option. Unfortunately seeing it only once doesn't make a team able to shut it down and Army can do something better. I also think Notre Dame will be playing with two much confidence and Army will be able to stroll in and give them a close game. Notre Dame has had injuries and that also benefits us as now true freshman Tommy Rees makes his first road start against an Army pass defense ranked #22 out of 120 teams. Army can do both pass and run as Trent Steelman will pull out all the stops against a team that can't guard the pass. He was 9 for 10 last week vs. Kent State and he just does not turn the ball over as Army is #5 in the nation in TO margin. This is a senior led offensive line with enough talent on defense to hold up a #21 ranked passing offense that is not as good as the paper says. My prediction Army wins in a tight one! |
|||||||
11-20-10 | Idaho v. Utah State -2.5 | 28-6 | Loss | -115 | 39 h 59 m | Show | |
[b]Utah State -2.5 (4.4 Dime OE play)[/b]
The weather is calling for 20mph winds rain or possible snow. That's not good news for an Idaho team that is used to playing indoors as Idaho is a pass heavy team and will look to pass first as they have not gotten a rushing game going ranked 117th in the country this year. Utah State can run the ball Derruin Speight has had back to back 100 yard rushing games and dual threat QB Diondre Borel is capable of doing some running of his own. This is Utah State's last chance at a win before they go to visit Boise STate so I expect them to be pumped up in this game in their last home game. Idaho meanwhile is 8-25 ATS in their last 33 conference games they have lost three times in a row to Utah State they have allowed 36 sacks on the year. I think Utah State takes advantage and keep their slim playoff hopes alive. |
|||||||
11-20-10 | Kent State v. Western Michigan -3 | Top | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 38 h 44 m | Show |
Wmich -3 (5.5 Dime POD) This was a play for us just two Fridays ago and Western Mich got robbed. I'm comfortable backing them again as they have two common games with Kent State with Akron and Toledo. Western Mich is +393 yards in those two games while Kent State is -55 yards. That should tell it all, but it doesn't. Kent State has gotten a lot of credit because of their run defense which was ranked #1 for a few weeks, but slowly moving backwards. What most people don't know is this team does not have an offense and against Western Mich a team that can force turnovers and has some speedy athletic guys on that side of the ball they should have issues. This team used 3 QB's vs. Army and that won't really help them this week against another good pass defense ranked #54 in the nation. Kent State has not run the ball and I doubt they'll take advantage of the Western Mich weakness. The #17 total defense is the best Western Mich has faced all year, but that number is flawed as they have faced an average 97th total offense. In fact Western Mich is the best offensive team they have faced year to date. Yes that includes Boston College and Penn State. Western Mich with the #10 passing attack behind Alex Carder and WR Jordan White and Juan Nunez are explosive. They balanced it out last week with an effective running game 27 for 169. They won't run on this defense, but they'll score their points as Army which has the same scoring offense in terms of national ranking put up 45 a week ago. The closest passing game to what Western Mich does was Miami Ohio and Kent State lost on the road 21-27. Western Mich is much more explosive and they see a bowl game in site. I think Carder and the offense keep ticking and they come home with a win.
|
|||||||
11-20-10 | Duke +11 v. Georgia Tech | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 37 h 14 m | Show | |
Duke +10.5 5dimes (3.3 Dime Play) Can Georgia Tech blow a team out by double digits? I don't think so even at home I don't think it's possible. Duke has too many options on offense including backup QB Brandon Connette who has rushed for six scores in his situational role. I like this team to continue that success and their defense is really playing better especially vs. the run. The triple option is hard for any team to contain, but Duke has already seen Navy and Army's triple threat and they were in both of those games including a win over Navy. Georgia Tech has their back up QB in their with no Nesbitt and the early struggles of Duke turning the ball over seem to have gone away as Renfree has not thrown an interception in 3 games or 116 attempts. He's found a big target in Conner Vernon who had 12 receptions against a BC team that has a good defense compared to Georgia Tech. Tech has been sloppy with penalties including 8 false starts in the past two games and they have not been able to put the ball int he end zone which means it's going to be hard to win by double digits without a dominating game in the red zone and forcing TO's from Duke.
|
|||||||
11-18-10 | Chicago Bears v. Miami Dolphins -1.5 | Top | 16-0 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
Dolphins -2 (4-Dime OE play)
This line is off if the Dolphins QB situation was different they'd be -4 favorites in my opinion. The Dolphins have dominated the Bears division and I think Tyler Thigpen is more than capable of coming up with a big win. This team is better than many realize and they have struggled at home another reason why there is a weak line. However, the Bears are not that good and the Dolphins will prove it tonight. Expect the Dolphins to go back to their running game that they have seem to go away because they want to play with their new toy Brandon Marshall. Tonight it'll be all about the running game. Thigpen can run the ball too and if you don't know about him go back to 2 years ago and look up what he did as the Chiefs QB. |
|||||||
11-17-10 | Bowling Green State +10.5 v. Toledo | 14-33 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Bowling Green +10.5 (3.3 Dime OE play)
Love Bowling Green to play and cover this spread on the road. If this was Toledo's last home game I'd second guess it but instead you got Toledo who just got their bells rung by Northern Illinois 65-30 in what was their chance to go to the MAC Championship game. They are mathematically alive, but this team knows Northern Ill is not losing their last two games. They still have a lot to play for and a solid bowl game if they win out, but this is a hangover game in my opinion against a Bowling Green team that is hungry to upset in what is a BIG Rivalry game. The two are just 30 miles apart and it's been a long history between the two. Toledo has their back up QB playing just like in last years game as their starter is out and they turn to red shirt freshmen Terrance Owens who was 18-38 vs. Northern Ill passing the ball. Owens can run, but his accuracy is limited. Expect a closer game and for Bowling Green to force turnovers. They have 28 take aways on the season. This team has not been able to run the ball , but I wouldn't be shocked if they can tonight as Willie Getter who has only rushed over 100 yards twice will be behind the healthies offensive lines all season as Center Ben Bojicic will return which will allow Scott Lewis to relieve freshmen LG Dominic Flewellyn. This is a huge difference and I expect Bowling Green to prove why many are calling this game their bowl game! |
|||||||
11-16-10 | Ohio +9 v. Temple | Top | 31-23 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show |
Ohio+8.5 visit 4-dime play
I like this play despite the likely concussion of boo Jackson ohios qb. Phillip bates is more than capable in a spread offense and though temple hasn't given up a td in three games they were off playing 105 120 112 ranked offenses. Ohio can score an bates was good enough to be recruited by Iowa state and has a 7.5 yard per carry average on the year for more than 400 yards. Temple has been suspect tothe running game ESP running games witha rb and qb zac dysert comes to mind. Ohio has owned the series and tho temple wants revenge it won't be That easy giants a very good coach in frank solich who is 28-12-2 ats in conference games. The defense strength is against the run and Rhys what temple will do it'll be rainy and breezy so a low scoring game is more likely I give Ohio a chance to win outright! |
|||||||
11-15-10 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Washington Redskins +3.5 | Top | 59-28 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
Redskins +3.5 4.4 dime NFL pod
I like the redskins as home dogs on Monday night off the bye where shanahan has a Lon history of good performances with extra preparation he'll be working hard to restore his relationship with mcnabb as the skins are right in the thick of things in the NFC east. The skins are still under rated and I see them having some big plays down field with all the injuries in the Secondary for the eagles as they are pretty banged up. Either way I think it's a three point game though eagles are on revenge the skins have a huge benefit coming out of the bye. Philly has not played great on the road with a three point win in Detroit and San Fran and a blowout loss recently at Tennessee I think Vegas under estimated what the skins can do at home off a bye week under Monday night lights or then again maybe they just know the public will be all over the eagles for me I stay with my strategy of backing the redskins as under dogs! |
|||||||
11-14-10 | St Louis Rams +6 v. San Francisco 49ers | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 17 h 3 m | Show | |
Rams +5.5 (3.3 Dime Oddsline Error Bonus)
The Rams are 0-3 on the road and haven't won on the road in quite some time, but a closer look and we some close games this year on the road. They are off the bye just like the Niners and I think this is a game decided by a field goal. Bradford is really growing up with 5 TD's and 0 INT's in his last 3 games. This just feels like a magic season for the Rams now all they have to do is win on the road and they go up against the #22 total offense and their defense should keep this game close they are under rated #10 in the league James Hall and Chris Long off the edge should give 49ers some issues. |
|||||||
11-14-10 | Dallas Cowboys +14 v. NY Giants | Top | 33-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
Cowboys +14 -120 buy 1/2 (5-Dime POD);
I like the Cowboys new look and new attitude now that Wade Phillips is out and Jason Garrett is in. He'll be sure to have his team ready and I think this game will be much closer than many expect as it's an in divisional game. The public is just pouring in on the Giants at -13.5. Vegas is loving the action why wouldn't they move this to -14 to for 78% of the bettors who are on the Giants to have to win by more than 2 TD's. This Cowboys team still has plenty of talent and I expect it to be a close game that the Giants win late. Rams +5.5 (3.3 Dime Oddsline Error Bonus) The Rams are 0-3 on the road and haven't won on the road in quite some time, but a closer look and we some close games this year on the road. They are off the bye just like the Niners and I think this is a game decided by a field goal. Bradford is really growing up with 5 TD's and 0 INT's in his last 3 games. This just feels like a magic season for the Rams now all they have to do is win on the road and they go up against the #22 total offense and their defense should keep this game close they are under rated #10 in the league James Hall and Chris Long off the edge should give 49ers some issues. |
|||||||
11-14-10 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Denver Broncos +1.5 | Top | 29-49 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
Broncos +1 4.4 Dime OE PLAY
I like the Broncos here coming off the bye they have the #31 run defense which will have to step up against the Chiefs, but we saw the Raiders who struggle to stop the run able to stop the chiefs. That's because they are one dimensional. Cassel won't make mistakes, but he can't realy spread the field so I think the Broncos have an advantage with Kyle Orton and an offense that has clicked at home and has been tough to stop. Look for the Broncos to make one last stand before finishing the year in the basement of the division this will be a statement game for them here today. |
|||||||
11-13-10 | Stanford v. Arizona State Sun Devils +5.5 | Top | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 45 h 39 m | Show |
Arizona St +5.5 bodog (5.5 Dime POD) Ariz ST +190 1-Dime
I love this play Arizona State is really really sneaky and Threat who does have 15 interceptions has gotten better each week and will pose a lot of issues for Stanford team that is riding high after a huge prime time win over Arizona. They are due for a let down here on Saturday. Arizona State is a desperate team that needs to win out to become bowl eligible. They are also a team that has lost 3of their games by 3 points or less and are 3-1 at home with their only loss to the hands of the #1 team in the country in Oregon. The biggest challenge all year that ORegon had was against Arizona State and then next against Stanford. They won at Arizona State 42-31 but were -192 yards as Threet put up 597 yards on Oregon. They were down 28-24 at the half and went on to score just 1 TD in the 2nd half. Stanford too gave Oregon a hell of a fight, but they were -108 total yards. Arizona State's defense is one of the quickest in the Pac-10 and I don't think Andrew Luck will have as productive as a day as he has grown accustomed to as of late. Stanford's defense has played extremely well this season, but they are prone to play poorly against this type of offense. Threet and company love to push the tempo witha fast paced spread offense. Sound familiar? Oregon did the same thing to beat this team. I think Stanford will be victimized by this type of offense because they won't be able to easily organize their blitz packages. This is a game where I think Arizona should be +3 or less. Arizona State plays reallyw ell at home they are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 at home and the home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings with STanford going 3-10 in Tempe in their last 10. |
|||||||
11-13-10 | Georgia +7.5 v. Auburn | 31-49 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 3 m | Show | |
Georgia +7.5 (5-Dime OE play)
I haven't been one of those bandwaggon jumpers on Auburn and I'm still not going to jump. Georgia clearly has the better defense in this game and unlike a few weeks ago where LSU had no offense Georgia can put up some points. Look for Aaron Murray who has 18 TD to 6 INT's on the year to have a big game connecting with AJ Green who will be a top 10 pick in the spring. Auburn secondary is very beatable 94th in pass defense and Arkansas went over 400 yards, Ark State went over 300 and South CArolina went over 300. I didn't want to start this off with the Cameron Newton distractions, but now that I've told you why I think Georgia covers it's important to note. I think it has an impact on a young athlete and it will on Saturday. Something those 3 teams I mentioned who put up big offensive numbers on Auburn didn't have was a balanced offense. Georgia has that and they have won 6 of 8 over Auburn. The run defense giving up just 106 yards per contest. Look for Justin Houston who leads the SEC in sacks with 9 and has 16.5 tackles for loss to be a factor here and Akeem Dent will shadow Newton although I don't think it matters as Newton will get his yards. Dent has 92 tackles on the year and is 2nd in the SEC. Georgia is a team that is clicking on offense now and this is dangerous for Auburn they have scored 41 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games. Murray has the hot hand and he'll continue with that hot hand on Saturday. |
|||||||
11-13-10 | Virginia Tech v. North Carolina +4 | 26-10 | Loss | -115 | 40 h 2 m | Show | |
UNC +3.5 (4.4 Dime ODDSLINE ERROR)
You heard it right I was on the Heels last week over Florida State at +10.5 and now they get Ryan Houston back at RB making this offense more balanced as TJ Yates is getting attention from NFL scouts with his 66.4% completion percentage and 15 TD to 4 INT's. Virginia Tech has struggled against teams with good run defense and with Quinton Coples up front and a great group of LB's behind him that is exactly what this team has in my opinion. The two key match ups are UNC WR Dwight Jones who has 612 receiving yards in his last 4 games against Rock CarMicahael. The way this TarHeels offense clicked last week and the way Jones has played I'm giving the edge to UNC. On the other side we have Boykin vs. kendric Burney who missed the first 7 games this match up has to go to Boykin but I don't trust Taylor to deliver it to him and Burney if you remember is an NFL talent. The line opened up at +5.5 and is moving towards +3 and less. |
|||||||
11-13-10 | Army +1 v. Kent State Golden Flashes | 45-28 | Win | 100 | 39 h 33 m | Show | |
Army +1 (3.3 Dime EB play)
Early we have got Army and their #8th ranked rushing attack against the #2 overall rush defense and I'm taking Army as they have the better overall defense and better overall offense in this game and they have both faced Temple team that just put a beat down on Kent State a week ago 28-10 Kent was -242 total yards while Army also lost against TEmple was by the score of 35-42 but they were only -48 yards. This may be Army's last chance for 6 wins with Notre Dame and Navy on deck so I think Army really musters up and blocks Kent State that won't be used to this style of offense. They are also without their MLB Cobrari Mixon who is doubtful with a shoulder injury and that will make things much tougher with a heavy running game. Kent State is 9-28 in November and their QB Spencer Keith is day to day right now with a thumb injury. |
|||||||
11-13-10 | Iowa v. Northwestern +10 | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 1 h 19 m | Show | |
Northwestern +10 (3.3 Line Mover)
Northwestern has been good at home and I like Dan Persa's abilities he has proven he can beat just about any team in the Big Ten. A week ago he went into Penn State and had a 21-7 lead at the half. We know the story there as we had Penn State, but I think Northwestern bounces back and I think this line is a reflection of that game. I expect Northwestern to put a little scare into Iowa here early and have a chance to win out right. |
|||||||
11-12-10 | Ball State Cardinals v. Buffalo -3 | 20-3 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Buffalo -2.5 -120 buy 1/2 (4-Dime play)
This week has been tough in NCAAF we have not gotten it done yesterday's two games looked like we were on our way to winning until the 2nd half and 4th quarter of the UAB game just fell apart, but that's gambling. Tonight expect a difficult game to watch both Ball State and Buffalo are extremely sloppy and love to turn the ball over. I'm however going with the better defense on Buffalo's side. More importantly Ball State is one of the few teams that have not had a bye week and they are coming on a short week after a double OT game against Akron a winless team ranked 120th in the nation in total offense. Buffalo should be licking their chops with 2 extra days of preparation and finally facing a defense not ranked in the Top 60 which they have just 1 time in their last 7 games when they went on the road and beat Bowling Green 28-26. Ball State is bad on defense ranked 92nd and they haven't faced many good offenses so that ranking is bad for a reason. Buffalo which has only 19 point in their last 3 home games faced two top 15 scoring defenses in UCF and Temple in those gamea nd then faced a very good Miami Ohio defense. Tonight they catch a break and the difference will be the defense. keith Wenning, Ball State true freshmen QB is not afraid of thorwing the pick 9 interceptions in his last three games against pass defenses ranked 111, 88, and 83 and now they'll face arguably the best secondary of the year with next level talent from Davonte Shannon at free safety who now is the career record for solo tackles at Buffalo and two talented CB's in Josh Thomas and Sherrod Lott who were burned by Ohio for TD's a week ago I think they will look to return to what they have done well force turnovers. They have 13 on the year Cook has six and Shannon has three. On offense I expect QB Alex Zordich to start using his feat more as he rushed for 105 yards vs. Ohio this adds another dynamic that a struggling Ball State team will have to defend. |
|||||||
11-11-10 | Baltimore Ravens v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
Falcons -1 (4.4 Dime POD)
I can not ignore the way the Falcons play at home. They are now 17-1 at home when Matt Ryan Starts which is an incredible number. Tonight I think they win a very tough game. I've seen the Ravens on the road and they have not been impressive offensively. I expect them to win a close game here tonight. They are scoring just 14.2 points per game on the road and are 2-2 but could easily be 0-4 with the 1 point win against the Jets to open the season which had more to do with the Jets and less to do with the Ravens. They also beat Pitt who was playing with their 3rd string QB. Both come off the short week which is tough as it is, but the road team traveling on 3 days rest is even tougher. |
|||||||
11-11-10 | East Carolina v. UAB -1.5 | Top | 54-42 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
UAB -2 (4.4 Dime POD)
89% of the public is on a East Carolina team that gave up 75 points to a one dimensional Navy team? Well the public loves East Carolina tonight, but I'm on the other side. Other than the puzzling loss to Marshall on Saturday and it was puzzling, UAB has been in every game and has faced a stronger schedule in terms of defenses that they have faced and still have put up a balanced offensive attack with 43/43 for run and pass. They will tonight at home face the worst defense they have faced all year! UAB is a team that put up some good numbers against some good defenses 27 points against UCF ranked 15thin scoring defense, 24 points on the road against MIss St ranked 9th in scoring defense Southern Miss they scored 50 points on the road. Let's just throw out the Marshall game and look at tonights match up because both teams played bad on Saturday. Now East Carolina can pass and Dominique Davis will definitely try for 300 yards and get it, but UAB has more balance and a better defense which is why I like them. East Carolina is now 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games and are 1-3 straight up this year. UAB has been impressive at times and should be able to run with Pat Shed and I expect Bryan Ellis to have a huge game and then bring in QB David Isabelle who has 72 caries for 395 yards a 5.5 ypc average. He'll be the x-factor tonight as I don't think East Carolina can stop UAB at home and I look for UAB to stop the one dimensional Pirates. |
|||||||
11-10-10 | Miami RedHawks v. Bowling Green St Falcons +3 | 24-21 | Push | 0 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
Bowling Green +3 -115 betonline (4-Dime Play)
On the surface Miami Ohio has everything to play for and looks like they have the better offense and defense, but Bowling Green has faced a much tougher schedule and I think the edge they have at home is a big one under the national spot light. This is a huge recruiting tool and the players will be up for this one despite Miami Ohio having more to play for. I think Bowling Green shocks Miami Ohio this week as both teams can not run the ball ranked 119th and 120th. Most of the offense will come through the air and whichever team makes the most turnovers will lose. Zac Dysert has been getting better each game, but he is prone to the interception with 12 TD and 12 INT on the year. Bowling Green can take advantage here because they are 2nd in the MAC and #4 nationally in takeaways with 13 interceptions and 12 fumble recoveries. They have also been playing better including their last game on the road vs. Central Michigan a similar team to what Miami OH is. Good passing team with a decent defense the national ranks are almost identical with Central Michigan being a little better on offense actually. Well that's bad news for Miami OH because Bowling Green had a dominating defensive performance against the Chippewas holding them to 231 yards with 12 tackles for loss. DT Chris Jones will be a key player in stopping the run game and getting pressure on Dysert. They also had 6 sacks against Central Michigan and with the time off should be able to get pressure again. Lastly the line opened at +3.5 and has moved to +2.5 in most places despite 75% of the public being on Miami Ohio for obviously reasons (their record). I still think Central Mich has a lot to improve they are too one dimensional to win on the road although they have so far this season the turnovers will haunt them tonight. Bobcats -1 (4.4 Dime POD) Bobcats have a 1-6 record just like Toronto the public has sided with the home team at 54% but the line has moved 2.5 points since opening up at -1.5 Toronto now at -1 Charlotte. Charlotte is the better team and a border line playoff team a year ago. Toronto is really as bad as their record indicates. Look for Wallace, Augustin, and Stephen Jackson to beat a team they are supposed to here tonight! |
|||||||
11-09-10 | Toledo Rockets +11 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 30-65 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 31 m | Show |
Toledo +11.5 sportsbetting (4.4 Dime POD)
The winner of this game may very well represent as one team in the MAC Championship game. This line is pretty high for a game of that magnitude and it's all based on a true freshmen QB starting in Terrence Owens, but Owens is pretty good including his 10-15 4TD 0 int performance vs. Eastern Mich (75th pass defense) in his first action. Granted this will be different, but the team overall matches up really well against Northern Illinois in my opinion. Toledo is calling this the biggest game of the year and maybe their lives, said offensive lineman John Morookian. This team imposes an aggressive style defense that has produced 26 turnovers this year with 21 sacks 16 interceptions and 10 fumbles recovered. That is how they'll have to win and they'll try to do it with their 22nd ranked rushing defense in the nation. That defense has been tested in my opinion with Arizona, Ohio, Purdue, Boise State all on the schedule. They held Arizona to just 105 yards and a very similar Ohio team to 46 yards. Ohio is fairly similar to Northern Illinois when you look at both their offense as they are similar in pass and rushing offense at 99/34 national ranks where Northern Illinois is 97/11. Defense Ohio is a little bit better 32 overall and 65/21 on pass and rush defense while Northern Illinois is 41/59/ and 35. I like the strength of schedule Toledo has faced which is superior to Northern Illinois who really has only faced 3 maybe 4 bowl teams and Western Mich the common opponent they only won by 7 while Toledo won by 13. Toledo also beat Ohio on the road 20-13 and that is as I already mentioned as close to Northern Illinois as we can get on this schedule. Think 11 points is too much and I think Terrence Owens my be better than DAntin who turned the ball over too much. Toledo will put in a scare to Northern Illinois tonight. |
|||||||
11-08-10 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cincinnati Bengals +6.5 | Top | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
Bengals +6 -110 (4.4 Dime POD)
This is the biggest game of the Bengals season and it's the style of game they love to play. I expect a very low scoring game for the Bengals Steelers and it'll be a hard fought game. Bengals will be trying to save their head coaches job and I think they pull out all the stops. The Steelers defense has been beatable in back to back weeks giving up 20 points in each. Brees showed the blueprint with a dink and dunk technique that Carson Palmer and his receiving weapons can surely duplicate. Pitt is giving up 68% pass completion to opposing QB's. Palmer should have a decent game and if he doesn't turn the ball over I expect the Bengals to be in position to win this game. On the other side Bengals defense is still under rated. Although they are beat up I don't think the Steelers will be able to run much on them and Bengals will finally put some pressure on a QB as the Steelers offensive line is suspect putting Big Ben in danger. At the end of the day I think it's a close game one that the Bengals have a chance to win and for that you have to go with the home dog. |
|||||||
11-07-10 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Oakland Raiders | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
Raiders pk (5.5 Dime POD)
I like the Raiders going into tomorrow. Chiefs are way too one dimensional and even though they have the best running game I believe the Raiders have the players to stack the box and let their corners play one on one on the outside. McFadden is the real deal finally getting a shot to play to his strengths which is on stretch plays and getting to the edge. Look for Cassell to finally throw some picks he's been pretty much dink and dunk and not a lot of the offense is coming from him. Sooner or later teams are going to catch up. Raiders last two weeks have been great offensively and I think it will be again. |
|||||||
11-07-10 | New England Patriots v. Cleveland Browns +5 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 2 h 35 m | Show | |
Browns +4 -110 (4.4 Dime EB play)
I like the Browns coming off the bye after beating New Orleans on the road. This defense is under rated under Rob Ryan. It's the exact same defense that Tom Brady and the Pats struggled against when they faced the Jets in terms of aggressive blitzing. I expect a very low scoring type game and could see the Patriots losing. Mangini has shocked them before if anything I think this is a field goal type game. |
|||||||
11-06-10 | Oklahoma Sooners -3 v. Texas A&M | 19-33 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 50 m | Show | |
Oklahoma -3 (4.4 Dime PTE)
I like Oklahoma they have absolutely owned this match up the last few years and although this line is a little fishy I'm sticking with my guts here as Texas A&m looks like they are making a huge gamble starting Ryan Tannehill at QB as it looks like Jerrod Johnson (darkhorse Hesiman candidate) is being benched. This will be something as Tannehill lit up Texas Tech, but that was TExas Tech 119th pass defense and this is Oklahoma ranked #29 in pass efficiency defense and under rated because of their yards allowed at #83 int he country. They are taller, stronger, faster than Texas Tech. We get a weak line for a few reasons. The idea that Oklahoma struggles on the road which they absolutely have, but I believe this is an inferior opponent that is getting more credit for blowing out two bad defensive teams in Kansas and Texas Tech. Oklahoma is better on both sides of the ball than those teams and they should really give Texas A&M's defense troubles as they are ranked 102nd vs the pass. landry Jones is having a special year with 21 TDs and 5 interceptions leading the #5 ranked passing offense. Oklahoma should also create some issues as they will blitz A&M has allowed 27 sacks this year and could get hurt in this spot. Oklahoma's under rated defense also is top 5 in the nation in tackles for loss per game with 8.3. The common opponent was MIssouri both teams lost, but Oklahoma was much more competitive on the road vs. Missouri than AM was at home in a 9-30 beat down. |
|||||||
11-06-10 | Nebraska Huskers v. Iowa State +18 | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 39 h 21 m | Show | |
Iowa State +17.5 -110 5dimes (2.2 Dime Oddsline Error)
Love Iowa State to cover this although it worries me a bit that they haven't faced a Taylor Martinez type QB that can run the ball. Iowa State has by far faced a much stronger schedule and the one common opponent is Texas who Iowa State went on the road and beat 28-21 while Nebraska lost to by 7 at home. Iowa State really does not do one thing great which is why this game is so high as Nebraska handed Missouri it's lunch last week. Iowa State leads the league in turnover margin and Nebraska lieks to put the ball on the ground. Iowa State can also beat Nebraska with the running game with dual threat QB Austen ARnaud and RB Alex Robinson. |
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more.
We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning!
For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.