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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-11-16 | Dodgers v. Giants -127 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
The Giants ran into a buzzsaw last night as it was their second straight game where they had to face the top guy in the rotation and while they survived David Price on Wednesday, they could not get past Clayton Kershaw last night. The loss sent them to 1-4 over their last five games with the Dodgers now sitting just three games back in the National League West. Despite the defeat last night, the Giants are an incredible 17-4 in their last 21 divisional games. The Dodgers got the win despite another poor offensive effort and their struggles at the plate are one of the most surprising of the season. Los Angeles is hitting just .231 on the season which is ahead of only the Phillies so it has been the pitching that has kept this team in the running. Obviously Kershaw is the main ingredient but Scott Kazmir has been solid as his return from what looked like a career ender back in 2011 has turned into a great story. He has had his ups and downs as only five of his 12 starts have been quality outings including just two of six on the road. One team has had his number and that is the Giants as they have tagged him for 10 runs in eight innings over two starts. Jeff Samardzija has been awesome this season and while he is coming off his worst start of the season, his previous poor outing was followed up by a gem. Only four of 12 starts have come at home where he possesses a 2.93 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. 10* (960) San Francisco Giants |
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06-11-16 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -150 | Top | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
After a brutal loss on Thursday, Toronto came back last night with an extra-inning victory last night and we will ride them again on Saturday in what is another great matchup. The Blue Jays have evened the series at a game apiece to remain 4.5-games behind the Orioles in the American League East while also getting back to .500 at home. A walkoff homerun from Edwin Encarnacion last night can carry right over into this afternoon. As mentioned yesterday, the Orioles had won five straight games prior to last night but have been fortunate to play a home heavy schedule that has featured 10 more games there than on the road where they are now a game under .500. The second go-around in Toronto for J.A. Happ has been a very good one as his 3.57 ERA and 1.19 WHIP do not even tell the whole story. He has had two bad starts, one against the Rays and one against the Tigers last time out and take those away, his ERA drops to 2.10 with all 10 other starts being quality performances. The Blue Jays are 6-0 in his last six starts against teams with a winning record. Mike Wright counters for Baltimore and despite a 7-3 team record in his 10 starts, he has not been good. He is coming off a great start against Kansas City but followed up his previous three quality starts with non-quality games next time out. He is 0-3 with a 7.11 ERA in three career starts against Toronto. 10* (966) Toronto Blue Jays |
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06-10-16 | Cardinals v. Pirates -145 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
Pittsburgh was caught in a tough situation yesterday as it was coming off loss against the Mets Wednesday night and then had to travel to Colorado for an early game yesterday as part of a makeup due to an April rainout. The Pirates not surprisingly lost yesterday but are back home for a night game so there has been plenty of time for rest. Pittsburgh now trails the Cubs by 10 games in the National League Central but is tied for second in the Wild Card standings so it is still in solid shape. The Cardinals come in with an identical 32-28 record following a series win over Cincinnati which was their third straight series win. Things will be more difficult this weekend though as St. Louis has not won a single series on the road against a team with a winning record and going back, the Cardinals are 3-8 in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record. Gerrit Cole gets the ball for Pittsburgh and he has been on a great run. Since getting hit hard by the Cubs on May 2, he has posted a 2.08 ERA in six starts, allowing three runs or fewer each time out. He has never lost to St. Louis at home, going 4-0 with a 2.67 ERA in four starts and the Pirates are 11-3 in his last 14 home starts against teams with a winning record. St. Louis counters with Michael Wacha who is in the midst of his worst season with the team as he is 2-6 with a 5.16 ERA in 12 starts including a pair of rough outings against Pittsburgh. Going back, the Cardinals are 0-7 in his last seven road starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (904) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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06-10-16 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -131 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
We lost a tough one with Toronto last night as the Blue Jays blew leads of 4-1 and 5-3 and lost 6-5 in the opener of this all-important four-game set against the Orioles. They now trail Baltimore by 5.5 games in the American League East and are now actually under .500 at home after finishing last season with a 53-28 record here. The good news is that they have avoided losing streaks of late as they are 6-1 in their last seven games following a loss. Baltimore has now won five straight games and moved to .500 on the highway with the victory last night. The Orioles have had a fortunate early season schedule as they have played 11 more games at home than on the road and going back, the Orioles are 0-4 in their last four road games against teams with a losing home record. They turn to Kevin Gausman to keep the run going but he is not in a good spot as he has struggled in this situation. He opened the season with four straight quality starts but has posted a 4.71 ERA over his last five starts and he has not fared well in Toronto with a 5.40 ERA in two games. The Orioles are 2-9 in his last 11 starts against teams with a winning record. Toronto hands the ball to Marco Estrada who had a great first season in Toronto a year ago and is even better this year. He has posted a 2.41 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 11 starts which includes a 1.30 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in five home starts, all of which have been quality performances. Going back to last season, the Blue Jays are 9-4 in his last 13 home starts. 10* (918) Toronto Blue Jays |
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06-09-16 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -147 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -147 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
This is a big early season series in the American League East and with Toronto trailing the Orioles by 4.5 games, this is a bigger series for the home team to make up ground as well as not to lose too much ground. The Blue Jays caught a break in this four-game series as they will miss Chris Tillman who is the best Orioles starter as he pitched a gem last night against the Royals. Toronto avoided the sweep in Detroit with a 7-2 victory yesterday and after an average start, the Blue Jays have won 10 of their last 14 games. The Orioles have won four straight games and have won seven of their last eight but all of those were at home where they are 24-11 and they come into this one having dropped five of their last seven road games. Marcus Stroman was expected to be the ace of the Toronto staff but he has not been that as of yet. He started strong but has faltered of late as he has been roughed up for 21 runs in his last four starts, yielding six runs or more three times. There should be no concern however and going back, the Blue Jays are 8-2 in his last 10 home starts against teams with a winning record. The Orioles counter with Tyler Wilson who has been decent but inconsistent. He has a 4.39 ERA in eight starts which includes a 6.35 ERA over his last four starts, all resulting in Baltimore losses. 10* (960) Toronto Blue Jays |
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06-09-16 | Astros v. Rangers +117 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 117 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
After eight straight losses to open the season against Texas, Houston finally was able to snap the skid yesterday with a 3-1 victory over the Rangers and Yu Darvish. The Astros also snapped a 12-game slide in Arlington but just like that, they come in as a favorite on Thursday afternoon for no apparent reason. They are just 12-18 on the road and have no advantage on the hill so we will take advantage of this home underdog line. The Rangers had a five-game winning streak snapped but remain three games ahead of Seattle in the American League West. They are 23-10 at home which is tied for the second best home record in baseball and that record includes a 10-3 mark as home underdogs. Martin Perez gets the ball today and he is having a very solid season with a 3.24 ERA in 12 starts, eight of which have been quality outings. He does not have a ton of wins due to early season lack of run support but it is picking up and he has been even better at home with a 2.55 ERA in seven starts, all of which have resulted in quality performances. Perez has a 1.71 ERA in six starts against Houston. Colin McHugh has been below average with a 4.97 ERA including a 5.27 ERA in five road starts. The Rangers have won six of their last seven home games against right-handed starters. 10* (956) Texas Rangers |
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06-08-16 | Red Sox v. Giants -112 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
The best pitching matchup on Wednesday takes place in the last game of the night as Boston concludes its two-game set in San Francisco. The Red Sox took the opener last night to put a halt to a 1-4 run but they have struggled on the road of late after a hot start as they are just 6-8 over their last 14 games on the highway and encounter one of the hottest pitchers in baseball. The Giants dropped their third straight game last night and are 3-5 over their last eight games following a 15-2 run but do not expect this little skid to last for long. Madison Bumgarner takes the hill for San Francisco and after posting a 4.50 in his first three starts, he has put up a 1.27 ERA over his last nine starts, all of which have been quality performances with the Giants winning his last eight. He has allowed one run or less in five straight starts while the Giants are 19-7 in his last 26 starts against teams with a winning record. David Price counters for Boston and he has been on a solid run as well with five straight quality starts but he has been very average overall with a 4.88 ERA in 12 starts. He has gotten a ton of run support as his 6.42 rpg is third most in baseball but he will not get close to that tonight. 10* (930) San Francisco Giants |
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06-07-16 | Rays +156 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
Tampa Bay took the opener of this series last night to make it four straight wins. The Rays are still four games under .500 overall but have improved to 15-15 on the road with these last four wins after starting this roadtrip 0-4. Going back, the Rays are 16-7 in their last 23 interleague road games against teams with a losing record. Arizona has now dropped six of its last eight games as the struggles continue for this underachieving team that was expected to make some noise this season with some big acquisitions. Home field has been a real problem as the Diamondbacks are just 9-21 at Chase Field this season. Zach Greinke was supposed to be the savior in the starting rotation and while he has been solid for the most part, he has a few blowups along the way. Arizona is 5-0 in his five road starts but just 3-4 in his seven home starts with only two of those resulting in quality outings. Tampa Bay counters with Matt Moore who has not been the same since coming back from injury last season but the potential is there. This has been a non-pressure role as the Rays are 3-2 in five underdog starts while going just 1-5 in six starts as a favorite. 10* (977) Tampa Bay Rays |
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06-07-16 | Cardinals v. Reds +155 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 155 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
St. Louis won its series over the weekend at home against San Francisco and hits the road again for a six-game roadtrip. The road has not been bad for the Cardinals which are 15-11 on the season but this has been a problem situation where they have won just four of their last 10 series openers. The Reds also won their series over the weekend as they took two of three from the Nationals and overall they have been playing much better as they are 6-3 over their last nine games following an 11-game losing streak. John Lamb is coming off his best start of the season as he allowed just one run in seven innings at Colorado which is certainly not an easy place to perform well at. He now heads home where he has been great, posting a 2.81 ERA in three starts but the offense has let him down which is the reason Cincinnati is 0-3 in those games. In two starts against the Cardinals last season, he did not allow a run over 11 innings of work. The Cardinals go to Mike Leake who is having a decent yet unspectacular season. He has a 3.82 ERA over 11 starts with St. Louis just 6-5 in those games and in five starts as a favorite, he has posted just two quality outings. 10* (956) Cincinnati Reds |
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06-06-16 | Angels +144 v. Yankees | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
Despite identical records on the season, the Yankees come in as pretty big favorites in the opener of this four-game set. New York had a tough roadtrip where it went 4-6 and it has been average at home as well where it is just 13-12. The Angels took two of three in Pittsburgh to move over .500 on the road so the issue for them surprisingly has been their play at home. The offense has been solid on the road as their .277 road average is third best in baseball and going back, they have won six of their last seven games on the highway against right-handed starters. Tonight it is Masahiro Tanaka which is a big reason the price is as large as it is as he is a public take and his numbers have been very solid. He is coming off three straight gems, all of which came on the road where his ERA is 1.36 in six starts compared to a 4.55 ERA in five home outings. The Yankees are 2-5 in his last seven starts following a team loss in their previous game. Matt Shoemaker gets the ball for the Angels and after a slow start, he has been pitching in top form. He has a 1.59 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in his last three starts which includes 31:0 K:BB ratio. Additionally, the Angels are 14-2 in his last 16 road starts against teams with a losing record. 10* (909) Los Angeles Angels |
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06-03-16 | Nationals v. Reds +144 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 144 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
After a disastrous start on the road this season, the Reds closed their roadtrip going 4-2, gaining a lot of much needed confidence along the way. The offense exploded for 33 runs in four games in Colorado and even though it was Coors Field, that is a huge momentum boost. The Nationals are coming off a sweep in Philadelphia and have won four in a row to increase their last to three games in the National League East but feel they are a bit overpriced here. Brandon Finnegan has been a tough luck pitcher this season. His numbers are not outstanding but they are very adequate and the Reds have dropped his last eight starts despite him allowing three runs or fewer six times. Of those eight losses, five were one run defeats which shows how they could have gone either way. In the four losses at home during the stretch, he allowed 14 earned runs while the bullpen gave up an astounding 32 runs after his departure. Gio Gonzalez has been surprisingly good on the road because typically his home/road splits are the opposite. Still, he is coming off two horrific outings where he allowed 13 runs over 9.2 innings so his confidence cannot be good right now. He has dropped his last two starts in Cincinnati and going back, the Nationals are 1-7 in his last eight starts when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (958) Cincinnati Reds |
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06-03-16 | Royals +161 v. Indians | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
Kansas City dropped the opener of this series on Thursday as the normally reliable bullpen allowed three runs in the eighth and ninth innings to lose 5-4. That loss snapped a six-game winning streak and decreased their lead to a game and a half over the Indians in the American League Central. The Royals are 21-8 in their last 29 games following a loss. The Indians made it two straight wins which came on the heels of a three-game slide with both victories coming in walk-off fashion. They are just 3-4 on the current homestand as the pitching has been very spotty. Danny Salazar is having a very solid season as six of ten starts have been quality outings but the Indians have dropped five of his last eight outings. He has had his troubles against the Royals in his career as he is 5-5 with a 4.05 ERA in 10 starts with only three of those being quality outings. Edinson Volquez counters for the Royals and he has been very solid this season sans two poor outings. His other nine starts have resulted in a 2.48 ERA with seven of those being quality performances. One of those bad starts was here in Cleveland and that should provide plenty of motivation going into tonight. Going back, the Royals are 16-5 in his last 21 starts when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (969) Kansas City Royals |
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06-02-16 | Diamondbacks +135 v. Astros | Top | 3-0 | Win | 135 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
While last night was a tough loss with Arizona, the fact it scored three runs in the ninth inning to even get to extra innings should negate any confidence lost with the defeat in 11 innings. The Diamondbacks look to avoid the four-game sweep this afternoon after dropping the previous two games at home in the first two games of this home-and-home set. Houston is slowly moving in the right direction with five straight wins but it still remains four games under .500 overall. The offense continues to be below average as the Astros .235 average is second worst in the American League. They will be hard pressed to have success tonight against Zack Greinke who has been up and down but is in good position as he has won his last three starts, two of which were quality. He has a 1.93 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in four road starts, all resulting in Arizona wins and one of those was his lone daytime start which was his best start of the season where he allowed just one run in eight innings at St. Louis. Dallas Keuchel is having a miserable season as only five of his 11 starts have been quality. Five of the non-quality outings resulted in him allowing at least five runs each time out and Houston is just 2-6 in his last eight starts. 10* (917) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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