Free Week 12 Prediction: Chiefs vs. Bengals NFL Odds
Looking for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals Free NFL Week 12 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Chiefs taking on the Bengals on Sunday, December 4th at Paycor Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long, including all NFL Week 12 games, so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Kansas City- Cincinnati matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(9-2) Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals (7-4)
Date: Sunday, November 20th
Time: 4:25 PM EST
Venue: Paycor Stadium
NFL Week 12 ATS Betting Lines: Chiefs -2.5 | Bengals +2.5 (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 12 Moneyline Odds: Chiefs -135 | Bengals +115
NFL Week 12 NFL Betting Total: O/U 52.5
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The Chiefs are the new favorites to win the super bowl this season surpassing the Buffalo Bills on the market for the first change in the odds we have seen all season.
There are great reasons to be a Chiefs backer this season for futures, but this team is only 5-6 ATS this year mostly due to their poor defence therefore a lot of sharp money stays away from their side week to week.
What the Chiefs despite their explosive ways are also 3-7 on the over in their last 10 which not many people would have likely guessed to be the case.
The Bengals are coming off a massive win as well in what’s been a sort of up and down season but they are 7-4 and are very much in the playoff picture.
So let’s dive into this rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game.
Kansas City Chiefs
There’s no arguing that these Chiefs are a wagon and in order to beat them you have to put up points with them. They are capable of putting two scores on the board within a matter of minutes and sometimes seconds.
What they do well and better than anyone in the league which I have covered here before but it bears repeating, is the death by a thousand cuts approach with their offence.
They obviously have a staple in their diet which is Travis Kelce but they are very democratic with how they beat you in the air and on the ground. Andy Reid really is the mad scientist with his installs because he will never give you the same look twice.
Their issues that can be exploited is that they are one of the worst teams in the league at defending the pass and opponents know this because they only run the ball against the Chiefs 37% of the time.
This teams passing stats on the defensive side are atrocious and they are not getting better anytime soon, which is why they need to bury teams on the other side of the ball.
There is a way for the Bengals here and we saw this matchup end well for them last year in the playoffs where they got some key stops and ended up winning the shootout.
Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals on the other hand have the bend but DO NOT break style on defence and they are one of if not the best at it. This team is 4th in the league in allowing touchdowns to opponents at just a shade under 2.0 per game.
Their other metrics have fallen to the middle of the pack tier for the most part, but what they have lost in defensive success they have gained in offensive success.
As you all recall this unit came out of the gate slow, but right now they are on a 3 game win streak and due to get back their top target Ja’Marr Chase for this contest.
They are 5th in the league in points per game and 6th in yards. This is an impressive offence that seems to keep getting better.
NFL Betting Trends:
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 6 games.
- Kansas City are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.
- Kansas City are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Cincinnati.
- Kansas City are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games against Cincinnati.
- Cincinnati are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cincinnati’s last 16 games.
- Cincinnati are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cincinnati’s last 13 games against Kansas City.
4* Free Week 12 NFL Betting Prediction: Chiefs -2.5
I wish this was 3.5 because I would love the Bengals to cover that. I think we are due for a shootout that will likely come down to whoever kicks the last field goal which usually ends up being the Chefs.
Things are just going their way right now, they’re feeling it and despite their defensive struggles they’re still getting the results. The Mahomes effect has ruined people’s expectations of what a good quarterback should be.
The dude is deservedly so the MVP favorite.
I contemplated buying a point with the Bengals to +3.5 but it’s a little too costly jumping from -110 to -163, a solid indication the books like the play hence why it is that pricey.
But nevertheless, gimme the Chiefs by a field goal.
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