Free Week 5 Prediction: Packers vs Bengals NFL Odds
Looking for Green Bay Packers vs. Cincinnati Bengals free NFL Week 5 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Packers taking on the Bengals on Sunday, October 10th at the Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio . Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Packers Bengals matchup.
NFL Handicapping: Week 5
(3-1) Green Bay Packers vs. Cincinnati Bengals (3-1)
Date: Sunday, October 10th
Time: 1:00 PM
Venue: Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
NFL Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: Cincinnati +3 (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 5 Moneyline Odds: Green Bay -160, Cincinnati +140
NFL Week 5 NFL Betting Total: O/U 50.5
- *Click Here* Check out our Live Betting Odds for this game!
- *Click Here* Check out our Updated Sportsbook Bonuses for today!
The Packers won last game rather easily against the Steelers in Green Bay. Aaron Rodgers didn’t have a spectacular game, but he didn’t need to, going 20/36 for 248 yards and 2 TDs. His passer rating was 95.6.
The Bengals won their game as well, but in a much different manner. They were down 14-0 at half to the Jaguars – almost 21-0, before crawling back to tie it and then win late. Joe Burrow had a great game, and Trevor Lawrence looked much better.
Football Outsiders has these teams ranked at 17th (Green Bay) and 10th (Cincinnati). PFF has the Packers overall team ratings ranked much worse than the Bengals, but it’s flipped in their power rankings (which is strength of schedule adjusted).
Green Bay Packers
After Week 1, everyone was wondering if Rodgers was going to have an off season. He had a much better Week 2 and an even better Week 3, but this last game was unimpressive. He ended with a PFF rating below 65, but they still won the game uncompetitively.
Green Bay’s biggest weakness right now is their pass coverage, ranking 15th in the league according to PFF. Their passing offense has been good, but not as good as we’re used to seeing from this team. It’s basically Rodgers to Adams and that’s it.
The pass rush of the Packers should pose a problem for the weak offensive line of the Bengals. Burrow has been fine with the rush the last two weeks though, even against a good Pittsburgh defensive line.
Cincinnati has had the 2nd easiest schedule so far, and Green Bay has had the 6th easiest. Strength of schedule has been a big factor this season, with teams looking much better or much worse than they are depending on who they’ve played.
Joe Burrow has played much better in his last two games than his first two. He might be able to have another good game against the Green Bay pass coverage that isn’t the best. The offensive line needs to give him enough time to make throws, though.
It’s not exactly great that this team needed a second half comeback to beat the lowly Jaguars, but it is reassuring that they were able to face adversity and get the win. His passer grade this season is significantly higher than Rodgers’, surprisingly.
This might come as a surprise, but Cincinnati’s pass coverage is just slightly worse than the Green Bay passing offense, and the Bengals’ run defense is better than the Packers’ run offense. At least so far – it is early in the season.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Packers are 5-0 ATS after 350+ total yards in their previous game.
- Packers are 3-2 ATS in 2020 as a road favorite.
- Bengals were 8-7 ATS in 2020 as an underdog.
- The Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
- The Over is 6-0 in GB games vs. a winning team.
- The Over is 6-1 in CIN games vs. a winning team.
4* Free NFL Betting Prediction: Cincinnati Bengals +3
We have to take the home underdog in this position. Cincinnati has been impressive statistically but they don’t get the credit they deserve because they’re still the Bengals. The Packers, meanwhile, have a reputation as a top team so they get the benefit of the doubt.
The sharps hit the Bengals early, betting this line down from +4.5 all the way down to the key number +3. At the time of writing this, the Bengals have 52% of the money on only 16% of bets, meaning big money is coming in on the home team.
If you’re looking for more NFL picks like this Green Bay Packers vs. Cincinnati Bengals matchup we’ll be providing 4* free NFL predictions on the blog all season long, and check out our Experts for guaranteed premium & free NFL Football picks!
Register here for a FREE NFL Football Betting Account Now for Daily Free Picks & More Special Offers!