Free Week 4 Prediction: Panthers vs. Cardinals NFL Odds
Looking for Carolina Panthers vs. Arizona Cardinals Free NFL Week 4 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Panthers taking on the Cardinals on Sunday, October 2nd, 2022 at Bank of America Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Carolina – Arizona matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
Carolina Panthers (1-2) vs. Arizona Cardinals (1-2)
Date: Sunday, October 2nd, 2022
Time: 4:05 PM EST
Venue: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
NFL Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: Panthers -2 (-110) | Cardinals +2 (-110) (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 4 Moneyline Odds: Panthers -125 | Cardinals +103
NFL Week 4 NFL Betting Total: O/U 42.5
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Carolina is fresh off of their first win of the season and once again make a stand at home. Arizona looks forward to a softer matchup in week 4.
One of my favorite Bond movies is Daniel Craig’s 2006 franchise debut film, Casino Royale. The basic premise is that the bad guy, Le Chiffre (played by the incomparable Mads Mikkelsen), incorrectly shorted a stock and now needs to win money in a high stakes poker game to pay off his homicidal lenders.
Knowing where the money is headed, it is now up to Bond to beat Le Chiffre in the poker game so that he cannot finance global terrorism. For both men, the stakes are incredibly high — a do or die situation.
Neither Rhule nor Kingsbury will lose their life from this game, but both are in equally precarious situations. First coach fired props are available online. Can you guess which two coaches are the chalk for this prop? You guessed it, Kingsbury (+300) and Rhule (+350) are the most likely to lose their jobs before the other 31 coaches in the NFL.
So while the allegory is a bit dramatic, the loser may have grave consequences. The two coaches might be sharing stares across the field, similar to Bond and Le Chiffre when that last card hits the board for Bond to make his full house and send the bad guy packing.
Carolina Panthers
Carolina was a popular pick ATS in week 3 and proved to be a sharp decision. Jameis, historically is an auto-fade spot when he’s a road favorite, but the Panthers were also better than their record indicated (another reason I despise the famous Parcells quote).
Baker Mayfield didn’t run the offense effectively, but he didn’t shoot them in the foot either, playing turnover free football. He remains a paltry 29th in EPA/play among QB’s this season ranking just behind Daniel Jones. It was surprising to see a lackluster performance, given the Saints’ inability to generate pressure.
McCaffrey produced another 100+ yard rushing day, behind an offensive line that is 6th in adjusted line yards. The Cardinals have allowed the 11th fewest rushing yards per game, so the offensive line will have their work cut out. Shenault did Mayfield a favor by taking a short pass for a 67 yard house call that ended up being the difference in this game.
The real star of the day was the Panther defense. Two interceptions and a fumble recovery for touchdown gave Carolina the win in the turnover battle for the game at 3-0. Though only one sack was recorded and 3 tackles for loss, the Panthers still managed 8 passes defensed, meaning they weren’t letting up a whole lot of separation.
Special Teams kicked in as well, blocking a field goal and worming into Lutz’ head for a later miss. Shenault even averaged 27 yards per kick return, helping with field position.
Arizona Cardinals
Kyler Murray set Twitter ablaze in week 2 with a dazzling, comeback performance in Las Vegas to prevent the Cards from falling to 0-2. Week 3 was not so kind as Arizona took on the defending champs in Phoenix.
The box score is a bit mystifying in their 20-12 loss, as they outgained the Rams 365-339, ran 35 more offensive plays and won the turnover battle 1-0. Their only sources of points on the day came from 4 field goals, as they struggled in the red zone and fringe areas.
James Connor struggled to get much going on the ground against the NFL’s 4th best rush defense by DVOA. He will get a small, but not significant reprieve against Carolina’s 13th ranked rush defense.
Marquise Brown had his best game of the season, leading Cardinals pass catchers with 14 receptions and 140 yards. He will be tested this week against Jaycee Horn. Kyler Murray threw the ball 58 times against LA and will likely be asked to shoulder a similar load against Carolina’s 17th ranked pass D.
The defense for the Cardinals has been incredibly disappointing, giving up the most points per defensive drive. Given that Arizona is dead last in adjusted sack rate, and Ben McAdoo’s offense is a one-read, west coast scheme where the ball comes out quick, this is a bad matchup for the Cards.
NFL Betting Trends:
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona’s last 6 games when playing Carolina
- Arizona is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
- Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
- Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
4* Free Week 4 NFL Betting Prediction: Panthers -2
Carolina will certainly have their detractors but with a +3 scoring differential, Pythagorean states they should have 1.6 wins, which is closer to 2 than 1. I like the matchup for Carolina’s offensive style against an Arizona defense that leads the NFL in blitz rate, but is dead last in adjusted sack rate. Baker should have some easy one on one reads.
Kyler has been a creator this season, which isn’t entirely surprising and I typically don’t like betting against the best player on the field. Carolina’s defense remains underrated and something Murray will have to contend with. The Cardinals defense just scares me too much to side with.
Matt Rhule will take this one, trying to pull off his best Bond impersonation, showing the Cardinals and Kliff Kingsbury to be just like his martini order: shaken.
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