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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-26-20 | West Virginia +7 v. Oklahoma State | 13-27 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
 West Virginia and Oklahoma State both opened with wins. Not surprising for WVU as they usually start out hot, evidenced by their 7-1 spread record in their last eight September games. The Mountaineers had the week off to prepare for this game after an easy win over Eastern Kentucky, 56-10. Oklahoma State struggled in their game against intrastate rival Tulsa, eaking out the win, 16-7 as a 23 point favorite. Problem was, the Pokes lost QB Spencer Sanders early on and never really got it going after that. Sanders is questionable for this game with an ankle injury. West Virginia getting around a TD in this one and I like the Mountaineers to win this game, even if Sanders does make it back. Take West Virginia. |
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09-26-20 | Tulane v. Southern Miss +3.5 | 66-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
It was a rough week for both of these teams last week. First, Tulane led Navy 24-0 and lost as time expired, 24-27. So Miss led the entire game, only to lose with 14 second remaining on a 4th down pass to Louisiana Tech, 30-31. Tulane continues to build its game around the run game, which had 265 yards against Navy. Freshman Tyjae Spears had 119 yards in the loss. Southern Miss is led by QB Jack Abraham. Abraham was 24-for-32 last week for 264 yards and three TD's. Southern Miss has already lost two at home and they sure don't want to make it three in a row. More motivation on the Golden Eagles side here today. I'm taking Southern Miss. |
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09-26-20 | Iowa State -2.5 v. TCU | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Iowa State was supposed to be playing Oklahoma here today, but rescheduling due to the Covid virus and the Cyclones will have to settle for a road trip to TCU. Iowa state stumbled in its opener, losing to Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns, 14-31. Big plays killed the ISU team as they allowed a 95-yard kickoff return for a TD, a 78-yard pass play and a 83-yard punt return. TCU saw its opener scrubbed against SMU because of the virus. Brock Purdy returns to QB at Iowa State, but he will have to improve on a lackluster performance in week 1. TCU has many questions yet to be answered, but I know Purdy will be looking to have a standout game here on Saturday. Take Iowa State. |
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09-26-20 | Florida International v. Liberty -7.5 | 34-36 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Florida International plays its first game of the season here on Saturday. They will face a 1-0 Liberty team. Liberty opened with a win over Western Kentucky, 30-24. Auburn transfer Malik Willis had a great day at QB for Liberty with 168 yards rushing and three touchdowns. Hard to gauge this FIU team that hasn't played yet. I know what we are getting with Liberty and that's a solid offense with a dynamic QB at the helm. Take Liberty. |
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09-25-20 | Middle Tennessee State v. UTSA -6.5 | 35-37 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
 Mid Tennessee State (MTS) looks for its first win of the season after a pair of blowout losses. The Blue Raiders were destroyed by Army, 0-42 and then last week by Troy, 14-47. Texas San Antonio (UTSA) won in double OT against Texas State week 1, 51-48, and then beat Stephen Austin last week, 24-10. A win here today by UTSA and they could crack the top 25 poll as they are already receiving votes. The way MTS has been blown out their first two games I don't expect their defense to be able to stop this UTSA club. I'll lay the points in this one. Play UTSA. |
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09-24-20 | UAB v. South Alabama +7 | 42-10 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Both teams come into Thursday's contest with 1-1 records thus far. UAB Blazers started their season with a Thursday win over Central Arkansas, 45-35. They followed that with a Thursday loss to Miami Florida, 31-14. The Blazers got last week off before now playing their third game on a Thursday. The S.Alabama Jaguars opened with a dog win over Southern Miss, 32-21 in their opening game. Last week the Jags built a big lead over Tulane before losing that one in the final moments, 24-27. UAB will be without their QB, Tyler Johnston, who suffered a non-throwing shoulder injury. That leaves the starting job to redshirt freshman, Bryson Lucero, who will make his first college start. S.Alabama will also have a new starter in Chance Lovertich. Lovertich came into the Tulane contest and completed 18-of-29 passes for 247 yards. I'm sticking with South Alabama here tonight against this first time freshman starter. I think the oddsmakers got this one totally wrong as I believe South Alabama can win this one straight up. Take S.Alabama. |
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09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders +6 | Top | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 21 h 41 m | Show |
The Raiders begin their era in Las Vegas inside their brand new Allegiant stadium. The Raiders won a high scoring affair last week at Carolina, while the New Orleans Saints upended the Tom Brady led Tampa Bay Bucs. QB Drew Brees will be without his favorite target though as WR Michael Thomas is out indefinitely with a ankle injury. Even though there won't be a stadium full of Vegas fans here on Monday, it will still be an exciting beginning for the city and the Raiders. For me this is too many points to lay the Raiders. I won't be surprised by a straight-up Raiders win here on Monday, but I'll gladly take the points. Play LV Raiders. |
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09-20-20 | Patriots v. Seahawks -4 | 30-35 | Win | 100 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
 The Patriots began their post Tom Brady era with a win last week over the Miami Dolphins, 21-11 behind new QB Cam Newton. Seattle was carried by the arm of QB Russell Wilson last week to a win over the Atlanta Falcons, 35-28. Wilson had a QB rating of 143.1 after completing 31 of 35 passes for 322 yards and four touchdowns. The Patriots obviously have to find someone to carry the ball as six different plays rushed for 20 or more yards last week vs Miami. I feel that the Pats were lucky they played a weak Miami team last week and were able to see what they have. Personally, I don't think they have much and today it's going to show. Russell Wilson looks like an MVP once again and I look for him to give the Patriots all kinds of fits here on Sunday. My favorite play on Sunday is in this game and it's on the Seahawks. |
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09-20-20 | Rams v. Eagles | 37-19 | Loss | -123 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
The Eagles blew a 17-0 lead last week vs Washington. However, the Eagles get back some players this week and should play much better. The Eagles were outscored 0-27 after jumping out to that lead over Washington. The Eagles have won the last six meetings with the Rams. They have also averaged 32.2 points in their last six with the Rams. For me, the Rams making the long trip East is always tough on the West coast teams. I like the Eagles here on Sunday. Play Philadelphia. |
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09-20-20 | Giants +5.5 v. Bears | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears needed a 21-0 fourth quarter rally last week against the Lions to pull out a win, 27-23. QB Mitch Trubisky tossed three touchdowns in the win for the Bears. The Giants looking to avoid another 0-2 start to the season. Giants RB Saquon Barkley rushed for just six yards last week in their loss. The problem I see with both these teams lie in their respective defenses. The Bears allowed 426 yards to the Lions last week to go with 23 points. Giants QB Jones had another solid week last week but they played against a very good Steelers defnse. Won't be same here today though as Barkley and Jones should do much better vs the Bears defense. I'm taking the Giants not to go 0-2 once again. Play the Giants. |
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09-19-20 | Texas State -4 v. UL-Monroe | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 28 h 47 m | Show | |
UL Monroe looks to do better this week after Army ran rough shot over them last week to the tune of 7-37. Sure, they were about a 25-point dog, but they were never in that game. Texas State is 0-2 following a loss last week to Texas San Antonio. The Bobcats came from way back to for OT at 41-41 but finally lost in OT 48-51. The Cats were favorites in that game but trailed bit at halftime. Texas State has allowed an average of 521 yards so far this year. Texas State is averaging 445 yards on offense so far. Texas State was without Memphis transfer QB Brady McBride who had to sit out with Covid protocols. Junior Tyler Vitt started in his place and started last year, threw for 346 yards and 4 TD's in the loss. UL Monroe Warhawks return just six starters on offense and eight on defense. The Hawks gained only 200 yards of offense vs Army. Texas State has played two games and both were close while Monroe was blown out. No matter which QB starts for State, they should be able to dominate this Monroe defense. I'll lay the points here with the road team. Play Texas State. |
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09-19-20 | Louisiana Tech v. Southern Miss -5 | Top | 31-30 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 47 m | Show |
The La Tech Bulldogs had to miss their opening game of the season because of Covid, so today will be their opener. Tech lost their third Conference USA title last year in a tie breaker to UAB. Problem is they had a lot of seniors on that team from last year and this year return few starters. Southern Miss looks to rebound from last week's poor showing against South Alabama, losing by 11 as a big favorite. Can't really fault the Golden Eagles after all the craziness of this year and surreal experience of playing in empty stadiums at home in Hattiesburg. Now with game done, I expect a much better effort this week out of the Golden Eagles. With La Tech playing its first game here this week I look for some rust as Southern Miss had last week. I'm going to lay the points here with the host and expect to see a different Southern Miss club as I toss out last week's effort. Play Southern Miss. |
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09-14-20 | Titans v. Broncos +3 | Top | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 24 h 45 m | Show |
The Denver Broncos host the Tennessee Titans in the late Monday Night matchup. The Broncos haven't even played a game yet and are already having to deal with big injuries. Gone is Von Miller who will be lost for three months or more. Now Courtland Sutton is dealing with a sprained AC joint. Good news is that the Broncos have historically been a great team to bet on in their home opener. Denver is 22-3 S/U in their last 25 home openers and tonight they are a slight dog which makes that number come into play. Even without fans, the Broncos are one team that still carries a home field advantage into this game and that's the mile high altitude. The Titans came oh so close to a Super Bowl trip last year, losing in the AFC Championship game to the Chiefs. The Titans use their dominating rushing attack against their opponents. For me, the Broncos will do all they can to avoid that 0-4 start they had last year. That coupled with their great opening home record and the altitude will put me on the Broncos in this one. |
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09-13-20 | Cardinals +7 v. 49ers | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
The defending NFC champion San Francisco 49ers begin defense of their NFC crown here today with division rival Arizona. The 49ers won both game against the Cardinals last year, though they were both close games, 28-25 in Arizona and 36-26 at home (that game much closer than the final score). Will the 49ers come out and have a hangover from their Super Bowl appearance? Kliff Kingsbury returns as the Cardinals coach. Arizona got off to a bad start last year, going 0-4-1 in their first five games. However, they played pretty good the rest of the way, finishing at 5-10-1. Kyler Murray had flashes of brilliance last year and looks to build on that with his 2nd season as the starter at QB for the Cardinals. It was evident down the stretch last year that the 49ers wanted to run the ball and not put it in the hands of Garoppolo. Expect a lot of run here on Sunday. Still, the Cardinals gave them all they could handle last year and I look for that again here today. Take the points with Arizona. |
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09-13-20 | Bucs +3.5 v. Saints | 23-34 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
Great matchup here between two future hall of fame QB's in Tom Brady and Drew Brees. Brady brought his show South to Florida to head the Tampa Bay Bucs offense. Then recently the Bucs padded their backfield by signing Leonard Fournette to go with Ronald Jones. Brees looks to be playing his last season before retiring so you know the Saints will want him to go out with a Super Bowl. The Bucs will have to stop Alvin Kamara who has really killed them in recent meetings. Kamara just got a brand new contract so that weight will be lifted from his shoulders. So with Brady at QB, Rob Gronkowski coming out of retirement to join Brady, Ndamukong Suh coming over from teh Rams and Fournette also coming in - will this be too many star players? Will this Bucs team be able to come together and play together? Time will tell. Bucs get about a field goal here on Sunday. This might be my favorite game to watch and for me I'm taking the points with all the veterans who have come over to Tampa Bay. Take the Bucs. |
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09-13-20 | Browns +8.5 v. Ravens | 6-38 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
High expectations in Cleveland as they look to make the playoffs for the first time since 2002. The Baltimore Ravens had a great regular season last year and shocked many people with their high flying offense, but got derailed in the playoffs. They surely have expectations of making the Super Bowl in 2020. It might be nice if the Cleveland Browns could keep a head coach, something they have had trouble doing. Since Baker Mayfield was drafted, the team has had four head coaches. Kevin Stefanski takes over this year as he comes over from the Vikings organization. The Ravens had the top offense in the NFL last year, averaging 33.2 points per game. Baltimore will run the ball a lot this year with four legitimate rushers in the backfield lead by 2nd round pick J.K Dobbins. If Mayfield can step it up a bit here today I expect them to cover this game. It's only week one, but I'll take the points with the Browns. |
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09-13-20 | Dolphins +7.5 v. Patriots | Top | 11-21 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
NFL week 1 starts with a divisional game between the Dolphins and Patriots. Brian Flores spend 15 years in the Patriots organization and now returns as the head coach of the Dolphins. The Dolphins have won five of their last season openers. This will be a different look Patriots team as Tom Brady is gone at QB. Cam Newton takes over the helm at New England. The Dolphins know they can beat the Pats as they did at the end of the 2019 season. I'm taking the points here with the Dolphins in week one. |
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09-12-20 | Coastal Carolina +7 v. Kansas | 38-23 | Win | 100 | 28 h 8 m | Show | |
Late Saturday action has Coastal Carolina Chanticleers taking on the Kansas Jayhawks. Jayhawks were shocked by Coastal last year in Lawrence, 7-12. Now they will be looking for redemption as the Chaticleers make the trip once again here in 2020. Coastal went on to a 5-9 season last year and will be looking for its first ever bowl bid. Kansas finished 3-9 last year and ended the season on a four-game losing streak. Both teams are run oriented and will be looking for someone to take over the quarterback position. Kansas will also have a young defense and have its hands full stopping a good Coastal running attack. Coastal Carolina will have plenty of optimism since they know they can beat this Kansas team. Kansas also dealing with a number of active Covid-19 cases, which could further diminish the club's depth. I think this will be another close game. I'm taking the points in this one with the visitors. Play Coastal Carolina. |
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09-12-20 | Western Kentucky +12.5 v. Louisville | 21-35 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 47 m | Show | |
Rivalry game here as Western Ky takes on intrastate foe, Louisville. The W.Ky Hilltoppers return the Conference USA defensive player of the year in DeAngelo Malone. Malone recorded 11.5 sacks last year and will give this young Louisville offensive line fits all night. The Hilltoppers also had one of the best pass defenses, ranking fourth in the Conference USA with just 211 yards per game allowed through the air. Louisville was 8-5 last year under Scott Sattersfield. That was after the previous year which was a disastrous 2-10. The Cardinals are laying 11- points here in the opener. They typically are slow starters and with this very good W Ky defense, I'll take the points. Play Western Kentucky. |
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09-12-20 | UL-Lafayette +11.5 v. Iowa State | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 30 h 56 m | Show | |
The UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns take on the Iowa State Cyclones Saturday to start their 2020 season. This was not a game originally scheduled, but due to the Covid-19 these teams had to shuffle their schedules and as such now play each other. ULL is a team that looks to be improved under 3rd year coach Billy Napier. They had 11 wins last year and Sun Belt West Division title. The Cajuns return 16 starters so this should be another very good ULL team. Iowa State also looks for an improved season in 2020. The program has had three winning seasons in a row under HC Matt Campbell and three consecutive Bowl trips. The Cyclones are led by QB Brock Purdy. This will be the first meeting between these schools and it looks to be one of the best on Saturday. While I believe Iowa State wins this game, I do think that this is too many points to give a very good ULL club. I'll take the points with the dog in this one. Play UL Lafayette. |
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09-10-20 | Texans +10 v. Chiefs | 20-34 | Loss | -125 | 35 h 51 m | Show | |
The NFL is back and we start off with the defending NFL champion Chiefs in a replay of their AFC Championship Game win over the Texans, 51-31. That game was a different world, one with the Pandemic and daily NFL testing. Many players have opted out of the season. For the Chiefs that includes Laurent Duvernay-Tardif, right guard. The biggest loss is RB Damien Williams, the Chief's leading rusher in 2019. That puts first round draft pick Clyde Edwards-Helaire on the hot spot this season. The Chiefs defining crowd will be reduced to 22% of capacity and masks will be required. Gone for the Texans is WR Hopkins, who has taken his show elsewhere. It's going to be a different season, that's for sure. I like to go against the defending Super Bowl champion in their first game of the next season. A lot of points here for the Texans and I'll take them. Play Houston. |
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09-07-20 | BYU -1 v. Navy | 55-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
 Both these teams lost their openers to some big rivals due to the pandemic. The BYU Cougars were set to take on Utah before the Mountain West opted out of this season. The Navy Midshipmen were set to play in Ireland against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Now they settle for their openers here tonight against each other. Navy won 11 games last year including a Liberty Bowl victory over Kansas State. BYU had a mediocre year at 7-6, but did get to the Hawaii Bowl where they lost to Hawaii, 34-38. BYU will have to rebuild at Wideout, with their top four receivers from last year all missing. Running back will be by committee this year. Navy has the difficult task of replacing Malcolm Perry. Perry was 2nd in the FBS last year with 2,018 rushing yards and tied for 1st with 21 TD's. Navy is 5-0 in their last five home openers under Ken Niumatalolo. However, those have all come against FCS opponents and now Navy moves up in class to face BYU in their opener. I look for a close game here as the line indicates, but I give the edge to BYU in this one. Play BYU. |
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09-05-20 | Arkansas State +19.5 v. Memphis | 24-37 | Win | 100 | 34 h 8 m | Show | |
These teams were two of the highest scoring teams in the FBS last year with Memphis averaging 39.3 ppg and the Red Wolves coming in at 33.1 ppg. Memphis has a new head coach in Ryan Silverfiled and losses running back Kenneth Gainwell (opted out due to Virus). Brady White at QB is what this team is all about. White Threw for over 4,000 yards last year. Arkansas State has Layne Hatcher at QB after his freshmen year that saw him start nine games. Very high total here at 74, but I'm going to take the 19 points with the dog. Arkansas State should be able to put up points here and I'm not sure if Memphis will score enough to cover this huge line. Take the dog, Arkansas State. |
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09-05-20 | Middle Tennessee State v. Army -3.5 | 0-42 | Win | 100 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
Middle Tennessee State (MTS) Blue Raiders were only 4-8 overall last year and looking for improvement this year. Army Black Knights weren't much better at 5-8 overall. However, Army did finish 3rd overall in the nation in rushing. The Blue Raiders do return both QB's from last year and look for them to use them both. Army has a new QB in Christian Anderson. Sandon McCoy returns at running back where he rushed for 576 yards last year. This game looks to be somewhat close, but I give the edge here to Army now that the line has dropped from five to 3 1/2 points. Take Army and look for them to control the ball on the ground against a suspect MTS defense. |
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08-29-20 | Austin Peay State +3 v. Central Arkansas | 17-24 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
While it may not be the opening of college football we are used to seeing, it's still college football in the FCS here as Austin Peay Governors take on the Central Arkansas Bears. Central Arkansas returns 18 starters while Austin Peay has welcomes back 14 starters. Central Arkansas will be without their star right tackle in Parker Ray who is rehabbing a knee injury. Neither team was very good at rushing as Central Arkansas was in the bottom ten of the FCS in rushing yards. Both teams return their QB's and I look for plenty of yards through the air here todfay. I expect a close game here but an outright Austin Peay win. I'll take the points though with the AP Governors. |
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02-02-20 | 49ers +1.5 v. Chiefs | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 139 h 60 m | Show | |
Realistically, you can make a case for either team in this Super Bowl. For me, it comes down to the ground control game of the 49ers vs the passing game of the Chiefs. Kyle Shanahan was on the losing end of Super Bowl 52 with the Falcons leading the Patriots 28-3. He has said he learned a lot from that loss and you know it weighs heavily on him here in this Super Bowl. He won't ask Jimmy Garrapolo to do much in this game, not that he has in the last two games. Jimmy G threw just eight times vs the Packers and they still scored over 30 points. It all comes down to the 49ers running game vs the Chiefs defense. For me, if the Niners get out to a lead they will take the air out of the ball and the ball out of Garappolo's hands. Expect to see a lot of Mostert running in this game. I don't think the 49ers can be a come from behind team and ride the arm of Jimmy G, they need to get out front here and keep the Chiefs offense off the field. I believe that Shanahan learned from his prior mistakes and will get out in front and be more conservative. I'm going to take the 49ers here in Super Bowl 54 |
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01-19-20 | Packers v. 49ers -7.5 | 20-37 | Win | 103 | 101 h 3 m | Show | |
NFC Championship game here as the winner earns the right to head to the Super Bowl. The Packers jumped out to a big halftime lead over the Seahawks last week and then held on tight for the win, 23-28, just covering the 4 1/2 point spread. The Hawks went for two on a crucial play that ended up being the difference in the cover for the Packers. The 49ers had a much easier time with the Minnesota Vikings. The two teams tied at 7-7 to end the first quarter, but after that it was all 49ers as they easily pulled away for the win. This is a rematch of the week 12 matchup as the 49ers easily beat the Packers in San Francisco, 37-8. The 49ers defense was on display in that game just as it was in last week's divisional series win over the Vikings. They have held four other opponents under 20 points on their home turf and I expect that the defense will once again be key to a 49ers win here on Sunday. I'm laying the points with the home team as the 49ers move on to the Super Bowl. Play San Francisco. |
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01-11-20 | Vikings +7.5 v. 49ers | 10-27 | Loss | -130 | 53 h 14 m | Show | |
Division action from the NFC here will determine if the Vikings or the 49ers advance to the Conference Championship game. The Vikings pulled of the huge upset last week at New Orleans, 26-20 in OT. The Saints never got the ball in the OT period. That was the 2nd year in a row that the Saints lost in the playoffs in OT. The Vikings defense played very good, keeping the high flying Saints offense to just 20 points. The offense was back at full strength with Dalvin Cook returning from his shoulder injury and Adam Thielen catching that big OT ball to set up the win. The 49ers had a great season, though they did lose that tough home game to the Cardinals and then almost gave away the NFC West to the Seahawks on the last play of the game. HC Pete Carrol making another bonehead move as his team was hit with a delay of game on the 1 yard line. I'm still amazed at some bonehead moves Carrol makes in big games. The Vikings have rushed for 310 yards in their last two games and now have a healthy Dalvin Cook back. QB Kirk Cousins got that monkey off his back about not winning the big games and getting his first playoff victory. The 49ers defense struggled a bit down the stretch, which concerns me. The Vikings ground game will take pressure off Cousins here today. I expect this to be a close game, just like last week's for the Vikings. That means this 7 or 7 1/2 points is a mountain for the Niners to climb. San Francisco may win this game, but I don't think it will be by more than three-points or an outright loss here today. Take the Vikings plus the points. |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks -1.5 v. Eagles | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 149 h 37 m | Show |
To say that football can be a game of inches has never been more true than the Seattle Seahawks game with San Francisco in week 17. The Seahawks win that game and they get a bye this week and home games the rest of the playoffs. Lose and they hit the road this week for a Wildcard game. Well, with just seconds left, the Seahawks missed scoring a touchdown literally by inches. The Seahawks had first and goal at the 1-yard line with just a few seconds left and in comes Marshawn Lynch. But that would not be as the Hawks committed a cardinal sin and let the clock run out for a 5-yard penalty. Now it's 1st and goal at the 6-yard line with time for just one play. Wilson completed the pass to Hollister, but he was stopped just inches from the goal line and the 49ers win and clinch home field in the playoffs. Whew! You would think that would deflate the Seahawks. But I don't believe that. The Eagles won the NFC East with their win in week 17 over the Giants. Seattle will be No 5 seed with an 11-5 record but must travel to Philly this week. The Seahawks are a 1 1/2 point favorite here next Sunday. This is a rematch of their week 12 matchup in Philly where the Eagles were a 3-point favorite. The Seahawks won that previous meeting, 17-9. The Eagles have never beaten Russell Wilson, so they have their work cut out for them here today. The Eagles have won four straight to close the season and the Seahawks have lost two straight. For me, the Seahawks have had to play in the tough NFC West, while the Eagles played in the weakest division in football, the NFC East. The Seahawks, in my opinion, are the far better team and with this small line I look for them to sweep the Eagles this year. I love this matchup and will make it my WildCard Game of the Year. Take Seattle. |
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01-04-20 | Titans +5 v. Patriots | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 45 h 5 m | Show | |
It came down to the final week of the regular season for Tennessee to make the playoffs. They beat Houston 35-14, though Houston sat many regulars who were ailing with injuries or illness. The NE Patriots could have had a bye this week, but instead their loss in the final week of the regular season vs Miami Dolphins, 24-27 as a 17-point favorite. That led to them playing this game in the Wild Card round instead of having the week off. Tennessee was 2-4 to start the season, but rebounded the second half. Tennessee RB Henry is key here as don't think the Patriots have an answer for him. Tannehill took over at QB this year and the offense changed around after that horrible start. Expect Henry, Henry and more Henry from the Titans today. Take Tennessee. Â Â Â Â |
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01-04-20 | Bills v. Texans -2.5 | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 43 h 34 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills and Houston Texans both finished the season at 10-6. The Bills winning a AFC Wildcard and the Texans winning the AFC South division. Buffalo did lose their last two games of the season to the Patriots (17-24) and then last week at home to the Jets, 6-13. Though the latter they had no incentive to win that game. The defense has been great for this team, ranked 3rd overall in the NFL behind the Patriots and 49ers. The Houston Texans defense isn't very good, at least statistically as they rank 28th overall in the league. Houston does hold the edge in offense, ranking 13th to the Bills 24th. Houston had to rest some of their injured stars in the final game, including QB Deshaun Watson (back) and WR DeAndre Hopkins (illness). They should be fine here today. The big news though is the return of DE JJ Watt who tore his pectoral muscle and has missed about half the season. WR Will Fuller could also return here today as he's been battling a groin issue. With the rest the players got last week coupled with Fuller and Watt returning, I like the Texans at home here. Play Houston Texans. |
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01-03-20 | Ohio -7.5 v. Nevada | 30-21 | Win | 100 | 39 h 4 m | Show | |
The Famous Idaho Potato Bowl has Ohio U taking on Nevada. Both of these teams just did become bowl eligible with the Ohio Bobcats finishing at 6-6 and the Nevada Wolfpack finishing at 7-5. Ohio had to win its final two games of the season just to get here beating Bowling Green and Akron by a combined score of 118-27. Don't let their six losses fool you too much, as Ohio lost those six games by a combined 41-points. The Cats have also won their last two bowl games, the 2017 Bahamas Bowl and the 2018 Friso Bowl. The latter bowl they shutout a good San Diego State team, 27-0. Nevada finished the season with a bitter loss to their rival from the South, UNLV, 30-33. The game was marred by a brawl after the game that has led to some suspensions. Saftey Austin Arnol will miss two games, Corner Daniel Brown and DT Hausia Sekona also will not play today. Nevada will also play with three interim coaches on the defensive side. For me, these suspension will play the biggest role. Ohio's offense, which was flying high at the end of the season, will take advantage of these absences. I'm taking the Bobcats here. Play OHIO. |
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01-01-20 | Baylor +6 v. Georgia | 14-26 | Loss | -110 | 146 h 54 m | Show | |
Sugar Bowl here on New Year's day as No 7 Baylor takes on No 5 Georgia. Georgia just missed out on the playoff final four teams, finishing fifth in the country. Both teams had a chance to make the Football Playoffs, but both teams lost in their respective conference Championship games. Both of these defenses are excellent, as both allow fewer than 20 points. Georgia QB Fromm will likely be without two of his top targets in Lawrence Cager and Dominick Blaylock. That will be a big loss here for the Bulldogs. In a great defensive matchup like this I like taking the points. Take Baylor. |
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12-31-19 | Texas +7.5 v. Utah | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Alamo Bowl action here on New Year's eve has Texas taking on No 11. Utah. The Texas Longhorns finished the regular season with a win over Texas Tech, 49-24. The Longhorns defense is their Achille's heal, they had a terrible year. The good news, the Utah offense isn't exactly all that great. Utah had hopes getting into the College playoffs, but those hopes were dashed when they lost the PAC-12 Championship to Oregon. The big problem for Utah, as we are seeing more and more these years, are players opting out of the game for the NFL upcoming draft. That's the case here with Utah. The Utes will be missing some of their star players here. The defense is their key and one loss is star defensive cornerback Jaylon Johnson who opted out of today's game. They will have to content with WR Collin Johnson, who is returning from an injury. I'm going to take the touchdown here with the Longhorns. Play Texas. |
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12-30-19 | Western Michigan +3.5 v. Western Kentucky | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 66 h 44 m | Show | |
The First Responder Bowl on Monday has Western Michigan taking on Western Kentucky. These are teams that have had a long history a long time ago in the pre 1950 era. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are led by QB Ty Storey. Storey is a grad transfer who had 11 TD's and a 70% completion rate. The only bad thing is that Storey also had 10 INT's this year. WKY scored 20 points or more in all but one game this year, while averaging 30 ppg. They will have to cutdown on turnovers though, with 19 give aways this year. Western Michigan has a balanced attack with QB Jon Wassink and RB LeVante Bellamy. Bellamy was the MAC offensive player of the Year. They rely a lot on Bellamy, who had over 1400 yards and 23 rushing TD's this year. This is going to be if Western Kentucky's defense can stop the Western Michigan offense. I think this is a close game and as such I'll take the points with Western Michigan. |
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12-29-19 | Eagles v. Giants +4 | 34-17 | Loss | -105 | 41 h 43 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia Eagles win and they are the division champions and make the playoffs. They lose and they will need Dallas to lose to Washington at home to make the playoffs. If I was Philly I wouldn't count on that to happen. That puts them really in a must win spot here Sunday. The Giants would like nothing better than to spoil those hopes. Philly is 2-4 ATS in their last six games while the Giants have covered four of their last five at home. Philly also hasn't done well vs the Giants, going 1-4 ATS their last five vs New York. Saquon Barkley had a great week last week and looks to be healthy again after an injury. The Eagles will also be without some big weapons on offense in the person of TE Zack Ert who is out today along with WR Nelson Algholor who is out. They join Alson Jeffrey, the WR who is also out. Key offensive losses will make this a close game. I don't expect the Giants to go quietly here. Take the points with the Giants. Play New York. |
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12-29-19 | Colts -4 v. Jaguars | 20-38 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 43 m | Show | |
The Indianapolis Colts can still finish at 8-8 on the season with a win here today at Jacksonville. The Colts beat the Panthers last week, 38-6 while the Jags lost at Atlanta, 12-24. The Colts will look to duplicate their effort vs the Jags from week 11 in which they ran for 264 yards. They tallied 218 yards last week, so they are still hitting on all cylinders in the run game. The only incentive for the Colts here is to make it to .500 and I believe that's enough vs this poor Jacksonville team. Take the Colts. |
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12-29-19 | Raiders v. Broncos -3 | 15-16 | Loss | -124 | 41 h 42 m | Show | |
The Oakland Raiders still have a shot to make the playoffs, but it's a longshot. First, they have to win at Denver today and then they need about eight other things to happen to have a shot. All of which don't look probable. The Raiders snapped a four game losing streak last week with a win over the Chargers, 24-17. That 1-4 their last five games really hurt their playoff chances. They opened the season against the Broncos with a home win, 24-16. The Broncos hope to payback the effort here in the last game. The Broncos are off a home win over Detroit, 27-17. Von Miller returned, though he wasn't 100% healthy. The Broncos have looked like a new team with QB Lock starting the last four games. They have wins over the Chargers, Houston and Detroit. I look for Denver to end the Raiders playoff hopes today with a win. Play Denver. |
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12-29-19 | Titans -6 v. Texans | Top | 35-14 | Win | 100 | 41 h 44 m | Show |
These two AFC South foes close out the regular season here today. Tennessee has their playoff hopes on the line today. Good news for the Titans is that Houston QB Deshaun Watson is questionable with a back injury. Considering that Watson likely will miss this game, that will help the Titans immensely here. The Titans need this game and the Texans don't. Get on this one early, play the Titans. |
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12-28-19 | Clemson -2 v. Ohio State | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 274 h 16 m | Show | |
One of the Final four games here on December 28th has No 3 Clemson playing No 2 Ohio State in the Fiesta Bowl. Both these clubs went undefeated in FBS regular season. This is a rematch from three years ago and Clemson came away winners in that game as they went to win the Championship. This game will be all about the Clemson defense vs the Ohio State offense. Clemson has the nation's overall top rated defense, allowing just 245 yards per game. They also have one of the best redzone efficiency ratings of 53.7%. Ohio State has the 5th ranke offense in the country, averaging 531 yards per game. Clemson ranks 3rd in offense with 548 yards per game. Ohio State is one of the few FBS teams allowing fewer than 100 yards per game, which will be put to the task against this potent Clemson offense today. Clemson will be tasked with containing Ohio State QB Justin Fields. Fields had 40 passing TD's this year and only one INT. For me, Clemson is just too talented on both sides of the ball and with that many weapons and laying just one point here today, I'm taking the defending National Champions in what could be a high scoring game. Play Clemson. |
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12-28-19 | Oklahoma +14 v. LSU | 28-63 | Loss | -106 | 45 h 27 m | Show | |
 Playoff game here as No 1 LSU takes on No 4 Oklahoma in the Peach Bowl from Atlanta, GA. This marks the first time we'll see a Heisman trophy winner in Joe Burrows vs OK QB Jalen Hurts. Oklahoma finished the season 12-1 with their only loss coming at Kansas State. This is a high flying offense with Hurts tossing for over 3,600 yards and 32 TD's. This is the nation's 2nd ranked overall offense. They will have their work cut out for them gainst this LSU defense. Plus, the Sooners will have to contend with Joe Burrows and that LSU offense, ranked No 1 in the country. Burrows has thrown for over 4,700 yards and 48 TD's with the Tigers being undefeated this year. Oklahoma's defense is much improved over last year, ranking 24th overall in the country. I think this one comes down to if Hurts can do damage on the ground as he has done most of the year. LSU is going to have to account for Hurts and that could be a key here. I'm going to take the double-digit points with an Oklahoma offense I believe can stay up with LSU. Play Oklahoma. |
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12-28-19 | Memphis v. Penn State -6.5 | 39-53 | Win | 100 | 17 h 14 m | Show | |
Two more teams that have never met before will matchup here in the Cotton Bowl. The Nittany Lions were 10-2 in the regular season. Memphis was 12-1 in the regular season under new HC Ryan Silverfield. Memphis has a top 10 ranked offense this year with 40.5 ppg average. QB Brady White is the leader with 33 touchdowns and 3,560 yards passing. For Penn State it's all about the defense, especially stopping the run. This will make getting Kenneth Gainwell starting tough. This Penn State defense will be the best Memphis has faced all season. This PSU defense is the only one that was able to handle Ohio State for most of the game. They should have little trouble containing Memphis. I'm taking Penn State. |
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12-28-19 | Iowa State +3.5 v. Notre Dame | 9-33 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 14 m | Show | |
 First meeting every between these teams and that's with both teams being in existence since the 1800's. They finally meet here on Saturday in the Camping World Bowl. No 14 Notre Dame finished the season 10-2 and a 5-0 record in November. Not so for Iowa State, that ended their season losing three of their last five. I have to wonder how much Notre Dame will be into this game considering they had a legitimate chance at the Playoffs. Iowa State finished 7-5, however of their five losses four of those came to ranked teams. I like the points here with Iowa State. |
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12-26-19 | Miami-FL v. Louisiana Tech +6.5 | 0-14 | Win | 100 | 150 h 46 m | Show | |
Independence Bowl action here on Thursday with afternoon start time between Miami Florida and Louisiana Tech. Miami is coming off a season ending loss at Duke, 17-27. It was the team's 2nd straight loss to finish the season both S/U and ATS. La Tech finished their season with a win at home over Texas San Antonio, 41-27, but failed to cover the 20-point line. It was the club's third straight spread loss after winning four straight. The Tech offense, which ranked 30th in total offense, faces a Miami defense ranked 16th vs the run and 22nd vs the pass. Miami had just a 6-6 year and just got to bowl eligible. With losses to Florida International and Duke, it was not a good finish to the season. Miami's offense has been inconsistent all season while the defense has been strong. However, the defense did wear down those final two games and face a solid offense here today. For me, Louisiana Tech getting 6 1/2 points is a bonus since I look for a straight up Tech win. Play Louisiana Tech. |
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12-23-19 | Packers +5.5 v. Vikings | 23-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
The NFC North Title is on the line tonight in Minnesota as the 11-3 Green Bay Packers take on the 10-4 Vikings. The Packers have improved greatly under first year coach Matt LaFleur after a 6-9-1 season last year. The Vikings have won eight of their last 10 games. The Rams loss on Saturday clinched the Vikings a playoff spot. The Vikings will have to play on Monday without star running back Dalvin Cook, who will miss Monday's game with a bad shoulder. Alexander Mattison is his backup, but he's not near healthy either with an ankle sprain. That leaves Matt Boone as possibly the starter here on Monday. Whoever is rushing the ball will face the league's fourth best rushing red zone defense in the Packers. I like the points here on Monday, with the Pack getting about 5 or 5 1/2 points. If Cook were playing this would be a much more even contest. Take Green Bay. |
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12-22-19 | Cardinals +10 v. Seahawks | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 38 h 28 m | Show | |
Arizona just playing for fun right now as they won't be going anywhere this postseason. The Cardinals showed just that last week, knocking off Cleveland, 38-24. Now they travel to the Northwest to take on the Seahawks. Seattle and San Francisco are tied in the NFC West with 11-3 records. The Seahawks had to hold on last week to beat the Panthers, 30-24, pushing the 6-point favorite line. This after jumping out to a big lead. This is not a game the Seahawks really care about because they have the 49ers up next week in the season finale. That game will likely determine the division winner and possibly the best record in the NFC. The Seahawks also have two key defensive injuries, Jadeveon Clowney and Bobby Wagner, neither of which have practiced. The Flu has also circulated through the locker room the last couple of weeks, hitting the defense particularly hard. They should be back today, but those effects could linger into this week's game. Just too many factors that make me believe that Seattle will be disinterested in this game. I expect them to win, but not cover this big spread. Take Arizona. |
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12-22-19 | Saints v. Titans +3 | 38-28 | Loss | -130 | 23 h 12 m | Show | |
New Orleans Saints still hoping to get that best record in the NFC with a 11-3 record. The Saints have two games left and are tied with three other teams at 11-3. New Orleans had an easy win last Monday night over the Colts, 34-7, covering the 9-point favorite line. The Saints get the shorter week here today as they play at the Titans. Tennessee is fighting for that last AFC Wildcard spot with Pittsburgh. Both teams tied at 8-6 with two games left. The Titans lost last week to division foe Houston, 21-24 at home. They finish up next week against Houston. The Titans could still win the AFC South as Houston is one game ahead at 9-5. Lots on the line here for the Titans, they can win the division, become a Wildcard or miss the playoffs all together. For me, the Saints coming off that short week and laying a few points here both go against them. I like the way Ryan Tannehill has led this Titans team and they had some bad luck last week that put them in an early hole. I look for the Titans to rebound here today. Play Tennessee. |
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12-21-19 | UAB v. Appalachian State -16 | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 32 m | Show | |
New Orleans Bowl action here on Saturday is the late game between UAB and 20th ranked Appalachian State. UAB coming into this game after getting totally demolished in their conference championship game. UAB lost to Florida Atlantic in the Conference USAQ Championship, 6-49 and never was in that game. Appalachian State finished 12-1 on the season after beating Louisiana in the Sun Belt Championship. App State lost to Georgia Southern in October and since then has average 40.8 points per game and over 400 yards per game. UAB has relied way too much on their running game since QB Tyler Johnston has been injured. Johnston should be back here today, but I'm not sure that will help the Blazers out that much. App State has an excellent rushing defense, allowing just 2.79 yards per carry in November. This App State team has it all, balanced offense, excellent defense and they should easily get their first ever 13 win season. I expect a Appalachian State blowout here on Saturday. Play Appalachian State. |
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12-21-19 | Rams v. 49ers -6.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
The 49ers final two games of the season are not easy ones. They play a LA Rams team today that likely is out of the playoffs. The Rams lost big last week to the Cowboys, 21-44. That was the first win against a winning team by Dallas. The loss dropped the Rams to 8-6 in the West and now two-games back of the Vikings with two games to play for the Wild Card. The 49ers lost a heart breaking game last week to Arizona, 22-29. The 49ers were leading with seconds left when Arizona scored a touchdown that had to be reviewed and overturned as the player just broke the plane of the goal line. That came with just a few seconds left in the game. The subsequent kickoff turned into another Atlanta touchdown during the throw backs by the Niners. San Francisco is tied with Seattle for the NFC West at 11-3 and they face each other next week. Normally I might expect a look ahead here by the Niners, but coming off that loss I expect them to be fully ready for the Rams here today. Plus, I feel the Rams will not be in the game here today as they have nothing left to play for as their playoff hopes are realistically gone after last week. Play San Francisco. |
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12-21-19 | Washington v. Boise State +3.5 | 38-7 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
Las Vegas Bowl action on Saturday evening has No 19 Boise State taking on Washington. Despite being ranked, Boise finds itself a small dog here in this game. The Broncos are 12-1 S/U and 8-5 ATS. The Broncos finished their regular season with a win over Hawaii, 31-10. Washington finished 7-5 S/U and and ATS. The Huskies finished with a win over Washington State, 31-13. Boyd Stadium hosts its final bowl game with the new Allegient Stadium taking over next year. The Broncos might be sorry to see Boyd go away, they are 4-0 on this field in bowl games. The Broncos were a 7-point dog vs Oregon in the 2017 Vegas Bowl and won, a 2.5-point dog in the 2014 Fiesta Bowl and won. They are now 5-3 on neutral site games. Washington HC Chris Petersoon announced his retirement and that means DC Jimmy Lake will be taking over has head coach. Two of the Huskies best offensive players have opted to skip this bowl game in favor of the NFL draft. A disappointing offensive season will be all the more disappointing this season. I don't see much motivation for Washington here. They are playing in a bowl they really don't want to play in and with a new coach. Look for Boise State to take this one. Play Boise State. |
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12-21-19 | Bills +7 v. Patriots | Top | 17-24 | Push | 0 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
 The Buffalo Bills moved to within one game of the New England Patriots with a win last week over the Pittsburgh Steelers, 17-10. It was the Bills fourth spread win in their last five games. The Patriots improved to 11-3 with their win last week over Cincinnati, 34-13. It was the first spread win for the Pats in their last four games and five of the last six. The Pats offense has been stagnant, scoring 24 or fewer points in five of their last six games. Both of these teams have excellent defenses. Buffalo ranks 3rd overall and New England ranks 1st in the NFL. I think nearly a TD is too many points for a good defense like the Bills. Plus the Pats just not scoring like they were. I'm taking the Bills. |
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12-21-19 | Liberty +4.5 v. Georgia Southern | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show | |
 Cure Bowl action here on Saturday from Orlando Florida has the Liberty Flames taking on Georgia Southern Eagles. Liberty finished the season 7-5 to become bowl eligible. Liberty in just its 2nd season in the FBS and their first ever bowl trip here on Saturday. The highlight of the season for Georgia Southern this year was a big win over Appalachian State on the road, 24-21. After that big win, it was a flat rest of the season with just a 2-2 record. Liberty has the 31st ranked offense with 33.7 points per game this year. They have a balanced offense both through the air and on the ground. Georgia Southern is a better running team than passing. This is evidenced by a 8th ranked nationally rushing game. I look for a shootout here and that favors Liberty. They don't want to let GSU take this to a ball control game. I'm taking Liberty here on Saturday. |
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12-15-19 | Broncos +11.5 v. Chiefs | 3-23 | Loss | -135 | 45 h 13 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos have the 27th ranked offense this season, but since they made the move to QB Drew Lock two weeks ago they have looked very good offensively. Lock had missed the season to that point with an injury or this could have been a much different season with all the close games the Broncos have lost. Denver's defense is still good, not great, ranked 12th in the league. They will contend with the 6th ranked offense here in Kansas City. QB Patrick Mahomes should play today, though he has been nursing a bad hand which could impact his performance today. KC has gone under in two of its last three games as the defense has played much better, not allowing more than 17 in any of those three contests. The Chiefs have the division locked up with a 9-4 record and Oakland sitting second at 6-7. That could come into play since Baltimore will have home field with the conference best record at 12-2. That being said and the fact that Lock has looked great and injected some enthusiasm into this Broncos team, I'm taking the points here today. Take Denver. |
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12-15-19 | Seahawks -6 v. Panthers | Top | 30-24 | Push | 0 | 50 h 27 m | Show |
The Seahawks NFC West division hopes were dealt a blow last week as they lost to the Rams in a key contest. The Hawks dropped to 10-3, now a game back of the 49ers. The Rams are just two games back of the Hawks at 8-5 and hold that head-to-head advantage. The Hawks have Carolina this week, at home vs Arizona next week and then finish with a big game at home vs the 49ers in the final week. Seattle looks to bounce back here at Carolina this week. The Panthers got beat bad last week at Atlanta, 20-40. It was the team's fifth straight loss. Carolina allowed 461 yards and turned the ball over four times in their loss at Atlanta. The Panthers just not a good team at this point and Seattle has a lot on the line. Take Seattle. |
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12-08-19 | Steelers v. Cardinals | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
With just four regular season games left, the Pittsburgh Steelers increased their odds of grabbing one of the Wild Card slots with a big win over Cleveland last week, 20-13. The Steelers are 7-5 now and tied with the Tennessee Titans for that last playoff spot. That makes all these game of great importance as they have a huge impact on their postseason chances. The Steelers defense has held three of the last four opponents to 13 points or fewer. Arizona got manhandled last week at home by the LA Rams, 7-34. They never were in that game, failing to come close to the +2.5-point line. Arizona has now allowed 28 or more points in each of their last five games. Arizona is now dead last in overall defense in the NFL. Pittsburgh's defense has climbed to 6th in the league now, though the offense is ranked 28th. This game has a lot more importance to the Steelers. I'm taking them here with the much better defense. Play Pittsburgh. |
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12-08-19 | 49ers +2.5 v. Saints | 48-46 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
Ever since Drew Brees has returned to the NO Saints, this club has look out of sorts. They just haven't been as fluid as they looked with Teddy Bridgewater running the show. Now, they may have to play without two starting offensive linemen who are hurt. That not only will hurt the running game, but pass protection. The 49ers lost a tough game last week in a driving rain at Baltimore 17-20 on a last second field goal by Justin Tucker. The loss drops the 49ers into a tie with the Seahawks at 10-2. No doubt that the 49ers will make the playoffs, but there is a big difference between a Wild Card and the best record in the NFC. So these last four games of the regular season are of utmost importance to the 49ers. The 49ers have the best point differential in the NFC with a +166 mark. Compare that to the Seahawks who they are tied with at just +36. The Saints are also 10-2 and have a +50 differential. Right now I believe the 49ers are a better team than the Saints. I look for the 49ers to be more hungry to win this game on Sunday. I'm taking San Francisco. |
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12-07-19 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State -15.5 | Top | 21-34 | Loss | -107 | 34 h 54 m | Show |
 Big 10 Championship from Indianapolis, IN has Wisconsin taking on the nation's top ranked team in Ohio State. Wisconsin is coming off a win over Minnesota last week, 38-17. It was the team's fourth win since they lost to these Buckeyes back on October 26th, 7-38. The Wisconsin offense is ranked 35th in the country and is predominantly a running team, averaging 244 yards per game. The defense comes in ranked 6th in the country. They will have their work cut out for them today against the 5th ranked offense of Ohio State. Ohio State also has the nation's top ranked defense, holding rushing teams to just 91 yards on the ground. I'm looking for a repeat of the first meeting where Ohio State dominated. I'm having no problem laying the points here with the Buckeys who have covered three of the last four in this series. Play Ohio State. |
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12-07-19 | Hawaii v. Boise State -13.5 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Boise State is 19th ranked in the nation as they play the Mountain West Championship here today against Hawaii. Boise gets somewhat home field here today with the game being played in Boise. Hawaii already having to make the long trip East to play here today. The Rainbow Warriors have one of the best offenses in the country, ranked 12th thanks in big part to a passing game that racks up 332 yards per game. Hawaii beat Army last week, 52-31. They trailed most of the 1st half before Army went for a 4th and 1 on it's own 32 yard line late in the half and failed, allowing Hawaii to score a TD. It was all Warriors after that. Hawaii is vulnerable to good defenses though, evidenced by their 14 points against San Diego State two weeks prior. I expect a shootout though in this one as Boise has the 29th ranked offense. They get to face a Hawaii defense ranked 94th in the country. Boise has scored 50 or more points in three games this year and 30 or more in nine games. Here on the mainland this Hawaii team doesn't have that huge home field it possesses back on the island. Boise should have little trouble against this poor defense today. Take Boise State and parlay it to the OVER. |
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12-05-19 | Cowboys v. Bears +3 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 34 h 31 m | Show | |
A bit confused to how Dallas is a road favorite here tonight at Chicago. The Cowboys have lost two straight games, losing last Thanksgiving at home to Buffalo, 15-26 and the week before at New England, 9-13. They play their third good defensive team here tonight, scoring 24 points total their last two weeks. Meanwhile, Chicago has won its last two games and three of the last four. The Bears defeated Detroit on Thanksgiving, 24-20 and the Giants the week before 19-14.The NFC East is just a mess, with the Cowboys leading at 6-6 and the Eagles right behind at 5-7. A loss today by the Cowboys and the division leader won't even be at .500 after this week. The Bears are 6-6 and look like they are out of any playoff implications. That doesn't mean they won't want to deal the Cowboys a blow here today. The Cowboys have the league's top ranked overall offense, but it sure hasn't looked that way the last few weeks. This team looks all out of sorts and now they look to have a lame duck head coach to top it all off. I'm going to take the points here with the Bears on Thursday and expect them to win outright. Play Chicago. |
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12-02-19 | Vikings v. Seahawks -2.5 | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 21 h 57 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks will likely make the postseason as they sit at 9-2. However, they can catch the 49ers at 10-2 with a win tonight over Minnesota as the 49ers lost on Sunday to the Ravens. What is more surprising is that Seattle is 3-2 at home this year and 6-0 on the road. Minnesota can also climb into a tie in the NFC North division with the Green Bay Packers with a win here today that would make both teams 9-3 on the season. The Vikings needed a big come from behind victory two weeks ago to defeat the Broncos, 27-23. The club had last week off to prepare for this game. Seattle has won four straight games after beating the Eagles on the road last week, 17-9. Seattle is now 11-5-1 ATS their last 17 vs the NFC and 10-4-1 ATS their last 15 on Monday Night football. I like the home team here tonight. Take Seattle. |
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12-01-19 | Raiders +13 v. Chiefs | 9-40 | Loss | -117 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
On paper this looks to be shootout with the poor defense of the Raiders and the high flying Chiefs offense. However, mother nature will be raring her ugly head a bit here in the form of some winds. Wind affects totals and sides more than rain or even snow. Winds, especially cross winds can hurt field goals and passing games. That being said, we can throw out all kinds of stats to play this game over or the favorite in this one. For me, I expect the winds to cause these teams to be a bit more conservative than usual. That being said, the +10.5 points for the Raiders might be a bit much if the scoring isn't going to be as high as normal. I'm taking a chance on the dog here. Play the Oakland Raiders. |
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12-01-19 | Redskins v. Panthers -10 | 29-21 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
The Washington Redskins are 2-9 on the season, but looking for win number two in a row here today at Carolina. They beat the Lions last week, 19-16 at home. Rookie QB Dwayne Haskins has looked terrible in that role, but the Redskins are sticking with the young QB. Haskins has 654 total yards with two TD's and six INT's. The Skins defense ranks 20th and don't put too much into that 16 points they allowed to the Lions. Detroit was playing with backup QB Driskell. The Panthers gave New Orleans all it could handle last week, losing on the road 31-34. That coming after a horrible outing at home the previous week against Atlanta which they scored just three points. Washington has been outscored in every quarter this year. I don't have much faith in the Washington QB here on the road today. Carolina still has a solid defense that can give Haskins all kinds of problems. I'm laying the points with the home team here on Sunday. Play Carolina. |
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11-30-19 | Arizona +14 v. Arizona State | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 33 h 50 m | Show | |
 Late game here as Arizona takes on rival Arizona State. Arizona has lost three straight to drop to 5-6. The Wildcats offense has generated just 13 total points the last two games vs Utah and Oregon. Arizona State broke a four-game losing streak with a upset win over Oregon last week, 31-28 as 14.5-point favorites. That win made the Sun Devils season and I can't help believe they will be in for a huge let down this week. This matchup has been a shootout the last five years with four of those going over the total and the one under they combined for 72 points and went under the 75 total. I still believe ASU got their big win last week and this week they will be in a let down mode. take the visitor, Arizona U. |
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11-30-19 | Ohio State v. Michigan +9.5 | 56-27 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 54 m | Show | |
Huge game here today for top ranked Ohio State. A loss to their bitter rivals, Michigan, and it will be interesting to see if they drop from the Playoff final four - though I doubt they would. Still, Ohio State has the nation's top rated defense with Michigan ranked 4th. Ohio State has the 6th ranked offense with Michigan coming in at 69th. Michigan getting more than a TD at home here is very tough to pass on. Michigan has covered three of the last five years, though OSU has won all five of those. I'm taking the points here today in what looks to be the best game on the board. Play Michigan. |
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11-30-19 | Louisville +3.5 v. Kentucky | 13-45 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 49 m | Show | |
Louisville is bowl eligible, but would like nothing better than to end its season with a big win over its rivals, Kentucky. Louisville has been a potent offense, scoring 30 points or more six times this year including last game in a big win over Syracuse, 56-34. Kentucky is 6-5 S/U on the season and last week had a easy win over Tennessee Martin, 50-7. The road team has covered the last five meetings between these rivals and that's what I'm looking for again here today. Play Louisville. |
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11-30-19 | Florida International v. Marshall -7.5 | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 48 m | Show | |
Florida International 6-5 S/U and 3-6-1 ATS on the season. FIU looks like they are bowl bound after beating Miami Florida last time out, 30-24. Fla Intl has the 62nd ranked defense in the country with Marshall ranking slightly better at 46th. FIU offense comes in at 93rd in the country with Marshall at 65th. Marshall is 7-4 S/U and 4-7 ATS on the season. I'll lay the 7 1/2 or 8 points here with Marshall. |
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11-29-19 | Cincinnati v. Memphis -11 | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
We could be seeing a preview of the AAC Championship game here on Friday as Memphis plays Cincinnati. A Memphis win here on Friday means that Cincinnati would have to stay in town and play the AAC Championship next week. A Cincinnati win means they get to host the AAC Championship and that would either be against Navy or these Memphis Tigers. Memphis has scored at least 42 points in each of its last five games, including last week's win over South Florida, 49-10. Cincinnati is more a of the defensive team, holding each of its last three opponents to 17 points or fewer. This looks to be a great matchup on Friday, but more at state here for Memphis. I will take the Tigers in this one. Play Memphis. |
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11-28-19 | Bills +7 v. Cowboys | 26-15 | Win | 100 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
Lots of discourse in Big D this week after they laid an egg last week at New England. The Cowboys lost to the Patriots, 9-13 despite out-gaining the Pats, 321-282 yards. The Cowboys rushed for 109 yards, but just couldn't pull out the win. Jerry Jones may have had it with his head coach and could be shopping. Problem is, the Cowboys played the 2nd ranked defense in the NFL last week and now face the 3rd ranked defense in the Bills. Dallas is no slouch though, ranking 6th themselves on defense. The good news for Dallas is that they still are tied for the best offense in the league with 433 yards per game. That will be tested here today against this stubborn Bills defense. Buffalo has allowed over 21 points just one time all season and that was 31 points to Philadelphia. The Bills look to have a solid hold on one of the Wild Card slots at 8-3. Dallas needs a win here to stay ahead of Philly who is just one game back of the Cowboys for the NFC East division. I like the points here, the Bills just don't allow enough points and this touchdown looks like a mountain to climb for Dallas. Play the Bills. |
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11-25-19 | Ravens -3 v. Rams | Top | 45-6 | Win | 100 | 22 h 27 m | Show |
Baltimore has scored 90 points the last two games, 49-13 over Cincinnati and then last week over Houston, 41-7. The Ravens have covered four straight games and their offense has at least 30 points in each of those games. The Ravens now have the league's second best offense at 445 yards per game. The Ravens are 1st in rushing yards per game in the league with 204 per game. The Rams offense has dropped to 13th with Todd Gurley and Jared Goff both under-performing this year. The Ravens are about a 3-point road favorite here today. The Ravens offense has been hitting on all cylinders. Can't say the same about the Rams. Ever since Goff signed that big contract he's performed well below his last two seasons. The Rams have 29 total points the last two weeks, though they did win at home over Chicago last week, 17-7. The Rams offense continues to drop in the rankings and I believe they will have issues keeping up with the Ravens potent attack here tonight. I'm taking the Ravens and laying the field goal. |
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11-24-19 | Packers +3.5 v. 49ers | 8-37 | Loss | -120 | 32 h 52 m | Show | |
Great matchup here between the league's second rated defense in San Francisco and the Aaron Rodgers led Packers offense. The Packers had last week off to prepare for this game after winning the prior week over Carolina, 24-16 as a 4.5 point favorite. San Francisco looked like they were going to go to another OT last week vs the Cardinals with seconds remaining and down by three points. However, a breakout run led to a TD and a four point lead with seconds to play. Then the improbable happened with Arizona, trying backward passes with no time left on the clock, let the 49ers take the ball and score another touchdown. The 49ers scored 13 points in the last 40 seconds of the game for a very improbable push of the 10-point line. The 49ers have now covered just one time in their last five games. The defense has also allowed at least 25 points in each of their last three games. Anytime a team has an extra week to prepare, especially a good team like the Packers, I'll take that team. Play Green Bay. |
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11-24-19 | Seahawks +1.5 v. Eagles | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 25 h 32 m | Show | |
Seattle Seahawks having a fine season as they look to either catch San Francisco for the NFC West or grab a wild card spot. At 8-2, the Hawks are one game back of San Francisco and tied with the Vikings for a Wild Card. The only other team possible close are the Rams and they are two-games back of the Seahawks. Philadelphia in all probability will need to catch the Dallas Cowboys for the NFC East division title if they want to make the playoffs. The Eagles trail Dallas by just one game and Dallas must play at New England this week. The Eagles, at 5-5 really have no shot at a Wild Card slot. The Eagles are laying one-point here on Sunday. I'm afraid I have to side with the much better Seahawks team here. They are just too good with Russell Wilson at the helm. Play Seattle. |
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11-24-19 | Bucs v. Falcons -3.5 | Top | 35-22 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 33 m | Show |
All of a sudden the Atlanta Falcons look like a real NFL team. After a horrible season that saw the club go 1-7 S/U and ATS their first eight games, the team has won back to back games against New Orleans and Carolina. What's even more impressive is that they got both those wins on the road and held the Saints to just nine points and the Panthers to three points. Now they return home where they get another very winable contest against Tampa Bay. The Bucs lost last week to the Saints, 17-34. It was the sixth straight game they have failed to cover the season and the eight straight game they have gone over the total. Tampa Bay's offense is ranked 8th in the league but their defense is ranked 23rd. Atlanta has improved to 10th in the league in offense and 21st in defense. Atlanta is laying 3 1/2 or 4 here today at home. The way the Falcons are playing, I have no problem laying those points. Play Atlanta. |
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11-23-19 | San Diego State +3 v. Hawaii | Top | 11-14 | Push | 0 | 32 h 21 m | Show |
The late game on the college slate for Saturday has 8-2 San Diego State playing at 7-4 Hawaii. Both these clubs will be playing in Bowl games. But I'm a bit surprised to see the very good defensive San Diego State team getting 2 to 3 points in this contest. Hawaii is a very good offensive team, ranked 10th in the country in overall offense. However, they are facing the 8th ranked defense in the country in the Aztecs. This really comes down to just that, can San Diego State contain the Hawaii offense? If they can, they get the win and cover. San Diego State is not a team built to outscore their opponents. I do think a great defense beats great offenses. So I'm taking the dog here on Saturday night. Play San Diego State. |
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11-23-19 | Oregon v. Arizona State +14 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 29 h 50 m | Show | |
Number 6 ranked Oregon takes its 9-1 record on the road to Arizona State this evening. The Ducks still hoping to make that final four playoff group, though it looks like a very long shot at this point. Oregon's only loss of the season came way back in week one to Auburn, 21-27, a game they could have easily won. The Ducks are 6-3 ATS since that game and are off a win at home over Arizona, 34-6. The Ducks offense is ranked 23rd in the country right now and the defense comes in at 14th. Arizona State is off a loss at Oregon State, 34-35. It was the team's four straight spread loss. The team also dropped to 5-5 and needs another win to possibly be bowl eligible. The Sun Devils are a double-digit home dog here tonight and would like nothing better than a huge upset win over Oregon. I don't expect that, but I do expect them to be competitive. Take the 14-points with the home team here. Play Arizona State. |
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11-23-19 | Texas +6 v. Baylor | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
A nice Big 12 matchup here today as 6-4 Texas travels to No 14. Baylor. Texas had a tough loss last week, losing at Iowa State 21-23 but covering the 7-point dog line. The Longhorns will be bowling this year but would like to upset Baylor here today. Baylor is 9-1 on the season and is laying around 6-points here today. The Bears fell from the ranks of the unbeaten last week with a home loss to Oklahoma, 31-34. They covered the 10-point line, but still little consolation for Baylor in that heartbreaking loss. Baylor now will be playing for a decent bowl game as they play Texas this week and then close out against Kansas next week. I am going to take the points here today. I have to feel Baylor will be in for a letdown with that perfect season now gone and really nothing else left to play for. Take Texas. |
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11-23-19 | Michigan v. Indiana +10 | 39-14 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 49 m | Show | |
13th ranked Michigan hits the road today for a game at Indiana. Michigan will be laying 9 1/2 points in this one, but they better not get over confident. They are facing the best passing attack in the Big 10 in Indiana. Michigan has won three straight games in easy fashion since their loss to Penn State four weeks ago, 21-28. Since then they have beaten Notre Dame 45-14, Maryland 38-7 and last week over Michigan State, 44-10. The one problem this week is that they might be looking past this Indiana club to next week's showdown with Ohio State. They better be careful here today against this Indiana team. The Hoosiers gave Penn State all it could handle last week, losing 27-34 on the road as a 14-point dog. The Hoosiers offense is ranked 31st in the country to thanks to their Big 10 best passing offense. Indiana has score 30 or more points in eight of their 10 games. These points look like a gift here today, especially with Ohio State up next on the Michigan slate. Take Indiana. |
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11-22-19 | Colorado State +7 v. Wyoming | 7-17 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Colorado State lost last week at home to Air Force, 21-38. That snapped a three game win streak for the Rams and also a spread run of three wins. The Rams have covered five of their last seven games. The Rams can still become bowl eligible but they need big wins over Wyoming and Boise, both tough games. Wyoming has an excellent defense and they have yet to allow any of their last nine opponents more than 26 points. They are coming off a loss last week at Utah State, 21-26. The problem is that they don't score a lot of points. They are a great dog, but covering as a favorite can be a problem when you don't score a lot. Here tonight they are 6 1/2 point favorite. This is a rivalry game with the Rams in nearby Fort Collins Colorado and Wyoming in Laramie. I expect a close game here. Play Colorado State. |
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11-21-19 | Colts +4 v. Texans | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show | |
 The Colts welcomed back QB Jacoby Brissett and thusly posted an impressive win over Jacksonville, 33-13. The only negative was losing RB Marlon Mack to a broken hand. He will be out indefinitely with that injury. The win snapped a 2-game losing streak while Brissett was nursing his own injury. Now they play a big game here on Thursday at Houston. Houston looked thoroughly confused in their loss at Baltimore last week, 7-41. It was billed as a battle of two of the best, young QB's in the league, but it turned out to be a lopsided Ravens win. The Texans have the Patriots up next, so they might not have full attention here on this game tonight. The Colts have covered the last two and four of five in this series with the Texans. The Colts have already beaten the Texans this year in Indy, 30-23. Houston holds the edge in this game offensively, but the Colts have the edge on defense. This should be a great Thursday matchup, but I'm going to take the points with the visitor here. They have a huge edge in coaching in my opinion and we saw that come to light last week in Houston's bad loss at Baltimore. Play Indianapolis. |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers +5.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The NFL moves to Mexico City tonight for Monday Night football. The problem here is the elevation, which is over 7,000 feet. The Chargers practiced all week in Denver, which at just over 5,000 foot is still well short of the elevation here tonight. Kansas City finally got back QB Patrick Mahomes after his kneecap injury. Still, the Chiefs lost last week with Mahomes, 32-25 at Tennessee. It was the team's second loss in the last three weeks. The Chiefs are also just 2-5 ATS their last seven games. The Chargers are also off a loss last week, at Oakland, 24-26. Despite having more plays and yards then the Raiders, the Chargers three turnovers and no take aways were the difference in that game. It's a wide open AFC West with both KC and Oakland tied right now at 6-4 and the Chargers at 4-6. Chargers can't afford another loss if they hope to make the postseason. I expect a high scoring game with this one going back and forth all evening. I'm taking the points here today and playing the OVER. Play LA Chargers & the OVER. |
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11-17-19 | Cardinals +10.5 v. 49ers | 26-36 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
Arizona Cardinals may be dead last in the NFC West at 3-6-1, but this is a team that is improving. All you have to do is look at their last two games. Last week at Tampa they went toe to toe with the Bucs and lost 27-30, but covered the 5.5 point spread. The prior week they gave then unbeaten San Francisco all it could handle in a 25-28 loss, but again covered the 10-point line. In fact, the Cardinals have now covered fie of their last six games. Now they face San Francisco for the second time in three weeks, but this time in Arizona. San Francisco saw it's perfect season come to an end last week in an OT loss at home to Seattle, 24-27. Their backup, rookie kicker had a chance to win the game in OT, but shanked the field goal attempt. San Francisco is just 1-3 ATS in their last four games. The 49ers have the league's 2nd best rated defense. They will have to contain dynamic Arizona QB Kyle Murray, who is proving he is the real deal in the NFL rookie class this year. Murray has the best percentage of NFL Qb's at avoiding pressure this year, 34.1%. Murray has improved wit each game this season and his sack avoiding skills will have to be on high today against the 49er's defense. Murray also has just one pass intercepted in his last four games. I'm going to take the 10 1/2 points here today with the Cardinals. |
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11-17-19 | Bills v. Dolphins +7 | 37-20 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills look to solidify their hold on a AFC Wild Card spot with a game at Miami today. The Bills are 6-3 and trail first place New England by 2-games. The Dolphins, who stared the season 0-7, have won two straight games. Buffalo lost last week at Cleveland, 16-19 as a 3-point dog. Miami won at Indianapolis last week, 16-12, as a 10.5-point dog. Buffalo has covered just one of its last four games while the Dolphins have now covered five straight games. Buffalo is laying anywhere from 6 to 7 points on the road today. The way Miami is covering spreads those points look very generous. I'm taking the Dolphins here on Sunday. |
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11-16-19 | Oklahoma v. Baylor +11 | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 42 h 32 m | Show | |
 Undefeated No 12 Baylor hosts No 10 Oklahoma here on Saturday. The Sooners are 8-1 and even though they are on the road against an undefeated and higher ranked team, they are a 10 1/2 point favorite. No doubt Oklahoma will be tough to stop here on Saturday with the nation's top ranked offense in the country. Baylor is no slouch though, ranked 25th in the country. Oklahoma has the 41st ranked defense while Baylor comes in at 31. Oklahoma had a narrow win last week at home over Iowa State, 42-41, failing to cover the 14-point line. The teams only loss came the week prior at Kansas State, 41-48. Baylor had to work hard last week to beat TCU in OT, 29-23. The Bears trailed at the half and needed a 2nd half rally to take the win. The defense has been solid though, allowing over 21 points just two times this season. I don't expect them to be able to contain this Oklahoma offense, but 10 points on the road is too many to lay to an undefeated Bears team on their own turf. Play Baylor. |
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11-16-19 | Stanford v. Washington State -10.5 | 22-49 | Win | 100 | 39 h 32 m | Show | |
PAC-12 matchup as Washington State hosts Stanford. The Stanford Cardinal coming off a loss at home to Colorado, 13-16 as a 3-point favorite. The loss dropped the Cardinal to 4-5 S/U. The Cardinal have a tough slate left with Washington State on tonight, then home games against Cal and Notre Dame. They will have to win some games yet to become bowl eligible. Washington State also coming off a loss to Cal, 20-33. That loss dropped the Cougars to 4-5 and the same remains for them. They have home games with Stanford, Oregon State and then close on the road at Washington. The Cougars have won and covered the last three years of this matchup and covered the last four overall. Washington State has the 7th ranked offense in the nation. The difference in this game is the Washington State offense. I will lay the points at home. Play Washington State. |
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11-16-19 | Minnesota v. Iowa -3 | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 38 h 8 m | Show | |
Iowa almost pulled off the upset win at Wisconsin last week, losing a narrow 22-24 game, but covering the 9.5-point line. The Iowa defense was solid again, though they allowed their most points this year in that game. Only two teams have score 20 or more points against them. No 7 Minnesota kept its perfect season in tap and proved they are for real with a huge home win over Penn State, 31-26. The Gophers quieted many critics who though they might not have been a legit undefeated team. However, they have to worry about the let down this week. They have to travel to Iowa here, a great defensive team. Iowa is a field goal favorite and really I think they are in the perfect spot to pull out the win over the Gophers. Play Iowa. |
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11-16-19 | Texas +7 v. Iowa State | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 38 h 33 m | Show | |
No 22 Texas takes to the road today to play at Iowa State. Texas lost two weeks ago at TCU, 27-37 and rebounded last week at home vs Kansas State, 27-24. The Longhorns are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games. Texas has two straight games on the road with today's game at Iowa State and then at Baylor before closing out the season at home vs Texas Tech. Iowa State dropped its second straight game last week in a shootout with Oklahoma, 41-42. The Cyclones almost pulled the upset win, but came up just short, still covering the two TD line. Iowa State could miss the Bowl season if they aren't careful. They host Texas today before close out at home with Kansas and then a tough road game at Kansas State. Two losses are a distinct possibility for Iowa State. Texas has the 20th ranked offense in the country with Iowa Sate coming in at 18th. This promises to be a high scoring game with these offenses. Texas getting a TD here today to me is just too many points. The Longhorns have too good of an offense to be spotted that many points by this 5-4 Iowa State team. Play Texas. |
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11-16-19 | Georgia -3 v. Auburn | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 38 h 32 m | Show |
Huge game here between ranked teams as No 5 and 8-1 Georgia takes on No 13 and 7-2 Auburn. Georgia cruised to an easy win last week at home over Missouri, 27-0. It was the teams 2nd cover in a row, as improved to 5-4 ATS on the season. This is really Georgia's final tough game. They finish with a home game against Texas A&M and then close on the road at Georgia Tech. They have an outside shot at the Final four, but either way will be in a top Bowl game. Auburn followed their 20-23 loss two weeks ago to LSU with a win last week at home over Ole Miss, 20-14. A little concerning is the offense that has now scored 20 or fewer points in three of the last four games. Two tough games left for the Tigers as they host Georgia today and then Alabama to close the year. Georgia laying a field goal or less is just too much to pass on such a quality club. Play Georgia. |
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11-15-19 | Fresno State v. San Diego State | 7-17 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 9 m | Show | |
Fresno State coming off a tough home loss to Utah State last week, 35-37. The loss dropped the Bulldogs to 4-5 S/U and 3-5-1 ATS. The Bulldogs have to win out to become bowl eligible and it's very possible. Today's game at San Diego State is the key one with a home game against Nevada and closing out at San Jose State left on the slate. San Diego State also coming off a loss last week at home to Nevada, 13-17 as a 17-point favorite. The Aztecs have a excellent defense, but the offense has not been very good. They scored just 20 points against a terrible UNLV defense two weeks ago and then just 13 at home against Nevada last week. The Aztecs rank 8th nationally on defense but just 115th in the country on offense. New Mexico State ranks higher than San Diego State. Fresno ranks 62nd in offense and holds the edge there. This game pick or Fresno a slight favorite. I expect Fresno to put up a good fight here or else their bowl season is gone. Play Fresno State. |
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11-14-19 | Steelers +3 v. Browns | 7-21 | Loss | -120 | 56 h 24 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers pulled another upset win last week, beating the Rams at home 17-12. The Steelers won the way they have most of this year, with defense. The win improved the Steelers to 5-4 on the season and 2-games back of division leading Baltimore. However, they are in the thick of things right now for a Wild Card slot in the AFC as just Buffalo has a better record at 6-3. So much hope was put into the Cleveland Browns this year with the addition of Odell Beckham Jr to the receiving corps. However, that really has not materialized as the Browns are just 3-6 on the season. The Browns did win last week, snapping a four-game losing streak with a 19-16 victory over the Bills. The Browns pushed the 3-point chalk line, making them just 2-6-1 ATS on the season. The Steelers are 5-1 ATS their last six vs the AFC North and 9-2-1 ATS their last 12 following a ATS Win. The Browns are 5-21-2 ATS against winning teams their last 28 tries. They are also 0-6-1 ATS their last seven on grass. The dog is 3-1-1 ATS the last five in this series. I expect a good defensive battle here this week and with that I'll be taking the points on Thursday night. Play Pittsburgh. |
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11-11-19 | Seahawks +7 v. 49ers | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 32 m | Show | |
Maybe our best MNF matchup of the season has the undefeated 8-0 San Francisco 49ers host their division rivals, 7-2 Seattle Seahawks. The 49ers saw the Patriots perfect season go down last week and they had a scare put into them by the Cardinals. Seattle no longer the great defense of year's past. Now, this is QB Russell Wilson's team. He makes this team go. This is going to be a true test of just how good the San Francisco team and their top ranked defense really is. For me, this game comes down to QB's. Yes, Jimmy Garoppolo is coming into his own this season. However, he's up against the top QB in passer rating in Wilson with a 118. Garoppolo isn't far behind though. My feeling is that getting nearly a TD with a Wilson led team is more than I can pass on. Should be a great game though. Take Seattle. |
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11-10-19 | Rams v. Steelers +4.5 | 12-17 | Win | 100 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
The LA Rams are coming off a win over the Cincinnati Bengals, 24-10. But that was against the worst defense in the league and they could only score 24. It was their 2nd win in a row though and their second cover. LA is 5-3 S/U and 6-2 ATS on the season. QB Jared Goff has struggled this year, 19th in QB Ratings. The Pittsburgh Steelers look for their third win in a row after last week's win over the Colts, 26-24. QB Mason Rudolph looks recovered from his concussion. As Rudolph and this offense develops from game to game, it's the defense that's been keeping the team in games. The Steelers are going to be tough at home, especially as a dog here. I'm taking the points with the host. Play Pittsburgh. |
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11-10-19 | Panthers +5.5 v. Packers | 16-24 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
 The Carolina Panthers coming off a win last week over the Titans, 30-20. It was the team's third win in their last four games. In fact, this Panthers team has score 30 or more points in three of those last four games. In addition, Carolina has covered five of their last six. The Green Bay Packers looked bad last week at the Chargers, losing 11-26. It was the team's worst performance of the season. Still, the Packers are 7-2 S/U and 6-3 ATS on the season. The problem with the Packers is which team do you get this week? The Panthers have been great against the pass this year and will be tested here today against Aaron Rodgers. Expect the Panthers to pound the ball on the ground with all purpose back Christian McCaffrey. I like the points here with the Panthers. This could be a shootout today, but the Panthers have enough weapons to stay close. Take Carolina. |
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11-10-19 | Cardinals +4.5 v. Bucs | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
 The Arizona Cardinals are 3-5-1 S/U and 6-3 ATS on the season. Rookie QB Kyler Murray continues to shine in the role of starting quarterback. The Cardinals gave a big scare into the undefeated 49ers last week, losing a tough game, 25-28 as a 10-point dog. Tampa Bay is 2-6 both S/U and ATS on the season. The Bucs played very good in Seattle last week and should have covered, losing in OT, 34-40. This team is a bit confusing, they looks great at times and very sloppy at others. They have lost and failed to cover their last four games now. No way the Bucs should be laying these points in this game. The Cardinals are improving game by game and really I believe are the better team right now. Take Arizona. |
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11-09-19 | San Jose State +8.5 v. Hawaii | 40-42 | Win | 100 | 22 h 28 m | Show | |
The late game on the board has a pesky San Jose State squad playing at Hawaii late on Saturday. The Spartans are coming off a loss at home to Boise in a shootout, 42-52. The Spartans did cover the 17.5-point line, their second cover in a row. San Jose is 4-5 on the season, but has an outside shot of a Bowl eligible season if they can win here tonight. Meanwhile, Hawaii has lost three of its last four games including last week at home to Fresno State, 38-41. The Warriors give up a lot of points and they also score a lot of points. That's why laying over a TD, as they are tonight, is risky business with this Hawaii club. I believe San Jose has the offense to keep up and therefore I'm taking the points with the visitor. Play San Jose. |
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11-09-19 | Appalachian State v. South Carolina -6 | 20-15 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
 Applachian State dropped from the top 25 last week after losing at home to Georgia Southern,21-244 as a 16 1/2 point favorite. It was a huge loss for App State since their defense let them down after holding the previous three opponents to a combined 17 points. Now they have to face a very good South Carolina team on the road. South Carolina is coming off a home win over Vanderbilt, 24-7. The Gamecocks improved to 4-5. It's highly unlikely the Gamecocks will make the postseason since they finish the year against Clemson. Still, this is a team they can beat here on Saturday. I'm laying the points with South Carolina. |
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11-09-19 | Iowa +9.5 v. Wisconsin | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
Iowa improved to 6-2 with a win last week at Northwestern, 20-0. It was the team's 2nd win in a row. Iowa with three tough games left on the schedule including today's game, then at home against Minnesota and a road game at Nebraska. Wisconsin hung in the first half with Ohio State last week, but the 2nd half was a different store as the Badgers lost, 7-38. It was the team's 2nd straight loss after starting the season 6-0, including holding four of those opponents to no points. The 52 points allowed the last two weeks is more than the previous six games combined. Wisconsin laying 8 1/2 to 9 1/2 here today. That to me is too many points for a team that doesn't have the most dynamic offense in the world. I look for a low scoring game and will take the points. |
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11-09-19 | USC v. Arizona State +2.5 | 31-26 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 0 m | Show | |
USC ran into a buzzsaw last week at home in the form of Oregon. The Ducks just had too much offense and beat the Trojans, 56-24. It was the 2nd straight cover loss for USC. ASU covered this game last year, winning at USC 38-35 as a 3-point road dog. USC is 5-4 and has three games left to still become bowl eligible. Meanwhile, ASU has lost two straight games both S/U and ATS. The Sun Devils lost two weeks ago at Utah, 3-21 and then last week at UCLA, 32-42. The Sun Devils started the season 3-0 including a road win at Michigan State. Since then, they are 2-4 and now are 5-4 overall. These are two teams that had much higher expectations for the season. I like the home team here tonight. Take Arizona State. |
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11-09-19 | Louisville +7 v. Miami-FL | 27-52 | Loss | -120 | 50 h 31 m | Show | |
The Louisville Cardinals 5-3 on the season after last week's win at home over Virginia, 28-21 as a 3.5-point dog. The Cardinals are 5-3 vs the spread also this season as they travel to South Florida to take on the Miami Hurricanes. Miami coming off a win over Florida State last week, 27-10. It was the Canes 2nd straight win and their 5th of the season against four losses. The Canes have Louisville as their last home game here on Saturday and then close the regular season with road games at Florida International and Duke. If the Canes want to make a Bowl game, they will need at least two more wins to secure that. These teams have met just one time in the last five years and that was in 2014 with a Louisville home win, 31-13. The 6.5 points with Louisville just too much to pass on here. I'll take the dog. Play Louisville. |
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11-09-19 | Kansas State +7 v. Texas | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
22nd ranked Kansas State taking on Texas today. Kansas is 6-2 on the season while Texas is 5-3. Kansas State Wildcats are also 6-2 ATs on the season and have won and covered three straight. Texas is coming off a loss at TCU, 27-37. The Longhorns have covered just one of their last five games. K State has covered the last three years against Texas and four of the last five years. I like the road team here today. Play Kansas State. |
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11-08-19 | Central Florida -17 v. Tulsa | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 55 m | Show | |
Central Florida will be bowling this year again with a 7-2 S/U record and 4-5 ATS mark. That will mark the fourth consecutive year that the Knights will have gone to the Bowl, first time in their history they have done that. This club ranks ninth in the nation in holding opponents to just 29.4% third down conversions. The Knights have scored 151 points in their last three games. Tulsa is 2-7 S/U on the season and winless in conference play. The club's only two wins this season came against San Jose State and Wyoming. The Golden Hurricane have lost five straight games and have allowed 40 or more points in four games this year. I expect Central Florida to score in bunches here on Friday. They have to lay around 17, but that shouldn't be an issue with this offense. Play Central Florida. |
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11-07-19 | Chargers -1.5 v. Raiders | 24-26 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers shocked the Green Bay Packers last time out, 26-11 as a 4-point dog. The Chargers actually are playing good defense, allowing 16 and 11 their last two games (both wins). After a terrible spread start that saw the club go 1-5-1 ATS, they have covered their last two games. The Oakland Raiders also coming off a win at home over the Detroit Lions, 31-24. The win snapped a two-game losing streak. The Chargers have the 8th ranked overall defense, compared to Oakland's 27th ranked defense. The Raiders are better offensively, ranked 11th overall with the Chargers coming in a 16th. The Chargers have covered the last four in this series and six of the last seven meetings. I like the Chargers here tonight. Play LA Chargers. |
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