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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-19-17 | Akron v. Florida Atlantic -22 | 3-50 | Win | 100 | 32 h 50 m | Show | |
 Boca Raton Bowl action here on Tuesday. Akron (7-6 S/U, 9-4 ATS) takes on Florida Atlantic (10-3 S/U, 9-4 ATS). Akron will have its hands full with the high Scoring FAU offense that averages 39.8 ppg this season. FAU has even averaged more on the road, posting 42 PPG average compared to just 16.7 by Akron. Akron also allows a lot more points on the road, 30.3 ppg compared to just 22.7 by FAU. Akron has had only two games in their last 10 where they had more yardage then their opponent did. And, if you look at rushing, they have been outrushed in all 10 games. FAU by comparison, has outrushed every opponent they have played this year. FAU laying 22 points, but that shouldn't be a problem for this offense. Plus this is basically a home game here for FAU, as they play their home games in Boca Raton. Too many points lining up on the FAU side. I'm laying the points here with FAU. |
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12-17-17 | Titans v. 49ers -1 | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
Tennessee Titans are playing their fourth game on the road in their last five games. This late in the season that is a big burden on any team. Add to that, the Titans are just 2-4 S/U, 1-5 ATS in their last six away games and the may have the deck stacked against them today. QB Marcus Mariota has played hurt most of the year and on the road he has just three TD's compared to 11 INT's. San Fran QB Jimmy Garoppolo makes his first home start after winning his first start last week for the Niners, 26-16 over Houston. San Francisco has won three of its last four games both S/U and ATS. I look at the Niners here today as the team to beat with Garoppolo at the helm and a terrible road Titans club. Play San Francsico. |
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12-17-17 | Cardinals +4 v. Redskins | 15-20 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 0 m | Show | |
The Washington Redskins have been injury plagued all season. The Skins are just 1-4 in their last five game. In addition, they have lost the last two games by a combined 41 points. With their playoff hopes gone, I look for this Washington team to not even show up here today. The Washington offensive line is in shambles and that means QB Kirk Cousins will be pressured the entire game. Washington can't rush either, ranking 25th in ground game. I can't imagine laying points with a team so riddled with injuries as this Washington club. Yet, here they are today laying four to the Cardinals. Arizona has had it's own share of issues on injuries, but in this matchup I'll take the points. Play Arizona. |
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12-17-17 | Eagles -7 v. Giants | 34-29 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 0 m | Show | |
The Eagles have really owned the Giants, going 15-4 S/U, 14-5 ATS the last 19 meetings. Manning is back under center for the Giants, but that really doesn't matter since he has no targets to pass to. The Giants do benefit from Philly QB Carson Wentz being out today. However, even with QB Nick Foles at the helm, the Eagles have way more offensive weapons than the Giants. The Eagles defense is much better too. We saw the Eagles overcome special teams errors and Wentz's departure against the Rams and still pull out the win. I don't see the Giants being able to stay with this Eagles team today. Play Philadelphia. |
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12-17-17 | Bengals v. Vikings -10.5 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 16 h 60 m | Show | |
The Vikings finally return home after three straight road games. Minnesota was 2-1 on that road stint, losing their last game at Carolina, 24-31. This club has used its dominating defense at home, holding one of the highest scoring offenses in the Rams to just seven points. They also held the Packers to just 10 and the Ravens to 16. Not sure how a Cincinnati offense that mustered just seven points at home last week against the Bears will crack this Vikings wall. The Bengals offense has been off all season long. Playing on the road against a similar defense in Jacksonville, the Bengals scored just seven points. Look for the Vikings to be energized at home today and shut down this Cincinnati offense. Play Minnesota. |
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12-16-17 | Chargers v. Chiefs | 13-30 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 1 m | Show | |
THis is a huge game for these two teams and their respective playoff chances. It wasn't too long ago that the Chiefs were 4-0 and the Chargers 0-4. Now, these teams are both tied for the AFC lead. This game will have all the atmosphere of a playoff game. The Chiefs have a terrible rush defense, 30th in the league. The Chiefs offensive line will also have to contend with a very good Charges defensive rush, tied for fifth with 37 sacks. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five games of this series. The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five visits to Arrowhead Stadium. Big game with big implications, I'm taking the Chargers as the team with all the momentum heading into this contest. |
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12-16-17 | Bears +5 v. Lions | 10-20 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 6 m | Show | |
Important game here for the Detroit Lions as they look to stay in the playoff picture in a convoluted NFC. A loss and the Lions can pretty much kiss their playoff chances goodbye. Detroit (7-6 S/U, 6-6-1 ATS) coming off a big win last week at Tampa Bay, 24-21. The Lions return home after a two game road swing. The Bears offense had their best output last week, scoring 33 points at Cincinnati. The offense cracked the 20-point ceiling just twice in their prior nine games. Surprisingly, the Lions are just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. The road club has covered in this series four of the last six with one push. The Bears are also 4-1-1 ATS the last six in this series. I'm taking the point here with a Bears team that will be loose and playing to spoil the Lions season. Play Chicago. |
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12-16-17 | Marshall +4.5 v. Colorado State | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show | |
Both of these clubs had much higher hopes than the New Mexico bowl. Both looked poised to get 10 wins this year, but both clubs went though late season slumps. Marshall Thundering Herd lost three games in four weeks by a combined eight points. Colorado State lost three straight games in October-November. The question now is which team wants to play this game? Marshall getting five points looks very good to me, considering the Herd lost three games by five points or less. Marshall is also 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 non-conference games. Colorado State is 0-5-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games and 0-6 ATs overall in their last six games. I'm taking the points here with Marshall that should keep this one close. |
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12-14-17 | Broncos -2.5 v. Colts | 25-13 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Not the best of matchups tonight as both teams not having the season they expected when this year started. The Broncos by virtue of being in the AFC West at least kept their playoff hopes alive for longer than really anyone expected. The Broncos did snap their eight game losing streak last week with a win over the Jets 23-0. Even with all their struggles, they still allow the fewest yards per game with three to go. The Colts played in a snow globe last week in Buffalo. The white-out conditions resulted in a 7-13 OT loss to the Bills.I'm taking the Broncos here tonight for a couple of reasons. First, the Denver defense is still great and they proved it last week. This Colts team has very little on the offensive side of the ball. Second, playing in that deep snow last week had to be exhausting, kind of like running in sand. That will be tough on the legs, especially with a short week here. For those reasons, I'm on the Broncos tonight. |
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12-10-17 | Ravens +4.5 v. Steelers | 38-39 | Win | 100 | 24 h 43 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off a very physical come-from-behind win at Cincinnati last week. Very chippy played game with injuries to both side. The most scary being Pitt LB Ryan Shazier who suffered a spinal injury and was carted off the field. The injury shook the Steelers as they fell behind. The Steelers are in a comfortable position at 10-2 and three games ahead of the Ravens. Baltimore can use a win this week to help solidify their Wild Card slot. The Ravens put together a third straight excellent effort as they manhandled the Lions in a 44-20 win. The rest of the schedule is fairly easy once they get past the Steelers today with the Browns, Colts and Bengals left. That means they can fully concentrate on this week's game and with all the momentum they have coming into today's contest combined with the letdown I expect from Pittsburgh, I'm taken Baltimore here today. |
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12-10-17 | Eagles v. Rams -1 | 43-35 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 49 m | Show | |
I don't think the Rams will be looking past this Eagles team today toward the Seahawks showdown next week. The Eagles showed they are human last week in their loss at Seattle, 10-24. The Eagles have no challengers for the division, so they don't have to risk injuries. They already lost TE Zach Ertz last week to a concussion. Now they face a very good Rams team that needs to win to keep pace over the Seahawks. The 9-3 Rams are tied for the best scoring team in the NFL with the Eagles. This game could come down to special teams and I give a big nod to the Rams with their excellent kickers in punter Johnny Hekker and PK Greg Zuerline. This will be a tough game, but I'm taking the Rams. |
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12-10-17 | Vikings v. Panthers +3 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
Minnesota (10-2 S/U, 9-3 ATS) plays at Carolina (8-4 S/U, 7-5 ATS) today. The Vikings coming off that win over Atlanta last week, holding the Falcons to just nine points on their home turf. The Vikings offense bogged-down too, scoring just 14 in the win. I'm going to be siding with the Panthers here on Sunday. The main reason is that the Vikings play their third straight road game and fifth in their last six games. This is a tough scheduling spot for the Vikes, having to play this many road games. The Panthers return home after a pair of road games, splitting with a loss at New Orleans and win at the Jets. I know the Vikings have the better team, but the better team doesn't always win. And this is just the case today as Minnesota will be road weary and that gives the Panthers the edge. Play Carolina. |
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12-10-17 | Packers -3 v. Browns | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
The Packers can improve to 7-6 with a win over winless Cleveland this week. And, possibly even see QB Aaron Rodgers return next week. Despite being winless, the Browns defense isn't too bad, ranked 7th against the run and 10th in fewest yards allowed. The problem the Browns have is way too many turnovers, that can hurt any defense and put them on their heals. The Browns want to get that win for HC Hue Jackson, they just have to stop making so many mistakes. This game will be close, but I'm laying the field goal with the Packers. |
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12-07-17 | Saints +2.5 v. Falcons | 17-20 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints (9-3 S/U, 8-4 ATS) can increase their lead over the Falcons to three games with a win tonight. The Falcons 7-5 S/U) will hurt their post season chances if they lose tonight. Atlanta coming off a home loss to the Vikings, 9-14. Sure, the Vikings are one of the best defensive teams in the NFL. However, the offensive woes go much deeper than that for Atlanta and fall squarely on the shoulders of OC Steve Sarkisian. Sarkisian was brought in from San Francisco this year and pretty much derailed the best offense from last year. The offense is scoring 12 fewer points per game and ranks 11th in both passing and rushing yards. The Saints can win their 10th in their last 11 tonight. They are off a win over the Pathers, 31-21. The Saints are 13-3 ATS their last 16 road games and 12-2 ATS their last 14 vs the NFC South. The dog has covered 13 of the last 16 in this series and the road team is 4-1 last 5 meetings. Take the points tonight with the Saints. Line is moving in my direction as I look for a +3 here on the Saints. Play New Orleans. |
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12-04-17 | Steelers -4 v. Bengals | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
The Steelers have a 1.5 game lead going into tonight's contest over the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC North. A loss tonight would put the Ravens just one game back. The Bengals are done at 5-6, though they could still have an outside shot at a Wildcard but it will take some help from other teams. Pittsburgh has won six straight games, but could be without star receiver Antonio Brown (Toe) who was downgraded to "?" tonight. The Bengals have won two straight, but that was against winless Cleveland and a terrible Denver team. The last two decent teams they played they lost, against Jacksonville and Tennessee. The offense has been terrible, ranked 26th in passing and 32nd in rushing. Though, rookie RB Joe Mixon is coming off his best game as a pro and may be ready to lead this ground game for the Bengals. The Steelers have the 4th best scoring defense, allowing just 17.5 yards per game. The Steelers have pretty much owned the Bengals, going 16-3-2 ATS their last 21 visits to Cincinnati and 20-7-2 ATS their last 29 meetings overall. I'm taking Pittsburgh tonight with or without Brown. |
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12-03-17 | Eagles v. Seahawks +6 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
Ok everyone, we all know who has the better record and who has been the hottest team in the NFL. But folks we all know nothing is as simple as that. Right? Did you know the Eagles have faced the 29th rated defense in the league? Seattle is a tough place to play. We all know that and we all know they are hurting this year. But a wounded Seahawk is dangerous and that will be the story today. Take the Hawks in an upset |
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12-03-17 | Giants v. Raiders -7.5 | 17-24 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
Probably the squarest play on the board, but even the squares win occasionally. Actually, there are fundamental reasons for this play. Oakland is in dire straights to win the AFC West. Serious question marks exist if they may not be able to make it as a Wild Card. The Chargers and the Chiefs are their main competition. They must keep winning to stay alive. Well publicized the Eli Manning debacle has split the locker room for the Giants. Blow out city here with the Oakland Raiders. |
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12-03-17 | Chiefs v. Jets +3.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 132 h 47 m | Show | |
How the Mighty have fallen. The Kansas City Chiefs are very fortunate to be playing in arguably the weakest division in football. Because otherwise, their playoff hopes would be fading quickly. Instead, they still remain in fist place in the AFC West with a 6-5 record after losing three straight and five of six games. The Chiefs lost to the Bills last week, a team that has been riddled with problems, 10-16. The Chiefs have company thought. The last three years there have been three teams that have started the season 5-0 and then lost their next five of six (Falcons 2015, Vikings 2016 and now Chiefs 2017). The Jets have played well, just keep coming up short week after week. Last week the team lost to the Panthers 27-35 and the week before to the Bucs, 10-15. The Jets playoff hopes are done, so why shouldn't they just pack it in for the year? Well, it's simple, they like their head coach and they will keep playing strong for Bowles. Remember, even though the Jets have lost five of their last six, each loss was by eight points or less. Right now we have two teams that have lost five of six. But I look at the Jets as a team that wants to compete right now and the Chiefs as a team that is looking for answers. Play the Jets. |
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12-03-17 | Bucs v. Packers -2.5 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
It appears that Tampa Bay QB Jameis Winston will return today after suffering shoulder problems off and on for a majority of the season. There were high hopes at the start of the season for this Bucs team, loaded with talent on both sides of the ball. Now, they are just 4-7 and looking toward next season. The Bucs haven't been good to bettors either, going just 2-7-1 ATS their last 10 games. Tampa lost last week at Atlanta, 20-34, snapping their modest two-game win streak. Meanwhile, have to give credit to QB Hundley and the Packers for a great effort last week at Pittsburgh. The Pack lost 28-31, but hung around the entire game as a 14-point dog. The Packers are a small home favorite here. At this juncture of the season the Packers look to still be fighting hard. Play Green Bay. |
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12-02-17 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +6 | 27-21 | Push | 0 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
Big 10 Championship on line here today as Ohio State Buckeyes take on the Wisconsin Badgers. Ohio State has not really played well against top competition this year, losing to Oklahoma by 13 and having to make a miracle comeback at home to beat Penn State. Wisconsin has great offensive and defensive lines and that will make a big difference here today. The defense will give OHio State signal-caller JT Barrett all kinds of problems today. Barrett did hurt his knee against Michigan so be sure to check his status. I'm not thrilled that OSU has trailed every good opponent they have played this year. That will catch up to them and I believe that's today. Take Wisconsin. |
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12-02-17 | Georgia +3 v. Auburn | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
 SEC Championship and National Championship implications on line here Saturday as the Georgia Bulldogs play the Auburn Tigers. Georgia has some revenge here today with the beating they took at the hands of the Tigers earlier this season, 41-17. Georgia HC Kirby Smart attributed that lopsided loss to his team's high penalties and key special team mistakes. I look for a well coached Georgia team to clean up their act this week and make this more of the contest we expect from these two teams. I'm taking the few points here with Georgia. |
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12-02-17 | Georgia Southern -2.5 v. Costal Carolina | 17-28 | Loss | -115 | 44 h 29 m | Show | |
 Georgia Southern has to be road weary by now as they play their second in a row away here at Coastal Carolina. Still they play at a Carolina club that has been juggling QB's in the number of three at the position. That hasn't led to much success at 2-9 and averaging just 23.3 ppg and even lower in Sun Belt at just 21.0 ppg. Carolina will be without QB Tyler Keane (Thumb) and will start Kilton Anderson. Doesn't really matter which QB they start, I'm taking Georgia Southern here on Saturday. |
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12-02-17 | North Texas v. Florida Atlantic -12 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Battle for the Conference USA Championship here on Saturday. This is a game North Texas would like to forget from early this season. The FAU offense scored on their first 11 drives en route to a 69-31 pummeling of NT. The FAU defense was second in the nation in interceptions (18)with two being brought back for TD's. The Owls have a very good QB in Jason Driskel, but he's helped immensely by the rushing game that ranks No 6 in the country. This game will be another monster high scoring affair with North Texas coming out on the short end. Take Florida Atlantic |
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12-01-17 | Stanford +4 v. USC | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 44 h 45 m | Show | |
The PAC-12 Championship is being played in Stanford's backyard, so expect a pro-Cardinal group of fans for this one. The Cardinal are 9-3 S/U and 5-6-1 ATS and coming off that big win over Notre Dame, 38-20. USC (10-2 S/U, 3-8-1 ATS) is just 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight vs the PAC-12. Stanford is 7-1 ATS in December and looks to avenge their September 9th loss to the Trojans, 24-42. USC has just two covers in its last 10 games, both coming against Arizona schools. Stanford a four point dog here and I have to look at this game as basically a Stanford home game. I'm taking the points here with Stanford as they can win this one outright. |
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11-30-17 | Redskins +1.5 v. Cowboys | 14-38 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 7 m | Show | |
If either of these two teams hope to keep their slim Wild Card chances alive, they must win this game. Both the Redskins and the Cowboys are 5-6 heading into this contest. Dallas has lost three straight games since they lost Ezekiel Elliot to his suspension. But most glaringly, is the fact that the offense just doesn't work without him. The Cowboys have scored 7, 9 and 6 points in the three games since his departure. The Redskins will have revenge on their minds here after being beaten by the Cowboys at home 33-19. Washington snapped its two game losing streak last week with a win over the Giants, 20-10. Both these teams had the extra rest after playing on Thanksgiving day. Hard for me to believe the oddsmakers made this game a 1 point favorite on Dallas. With Dallas not scoring more than a TD the last three games I don't know where they will get any scoring from here. I'm taking the Redskins to get their revenge. Play Washington. |
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11-27-17 | Texans +7.5 v. Ravens | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
 The 4-6 Houston Texans take on the 5-5 Baltimore Ravens tonight on Monday Night Football. The Texans are 6-4 ATS on the season while the Ravens are 5-4-1. Houston also plays well on the fieldturf, going 6-2 ATS in their last eight. Baltimore doesn't seem to do well against bad teams, evidenced by their 6-13-1 ATS mark the last 20 times against a team with a losing record. The loss of QB Watson was death blow to this Houston team. Savage has stepped in and thrown four TD's against three IND's, but his 71 QB rating is well below that of Watson's 103. Joe Flacco is also having a poor year, with nine TD's and 11 INT's and a QB rating of just 74.4. The twilight might be in the sky for the Raven's veteran signal caller. Houston did snap it's three game losing streak last week with a 31-21 win over Arizona. The Ravens shutout the Packers, 23-0 last week. I think this 7.5 point line is just too much for the Ravens to lay here on Monday. I'm taking the Texans and the points. |
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11-26-17 | Broncos v. Raiders -4 | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
Such high expectations from both of these teams at the start of the season. Now, both are looking toward next year. Denver (3-7) has lost six straight games and has the look of a team that has thrown in the towel. Oakland (4-6) has gone 2-2 their last four weeks and did show some promise when they beat KC 31-30 back in October. But we know how the Chiefs have played lately, so that win looks a bit tarnished. Still, this is the Raiders and the Broncos and both teams do get excited for this storied rivalry. The problem with the Broncos is that they have no QB, with rotations going on and neither signal called looking good. At least the Raiders have Derek Carr, who has under performed this year, but is still a very good QB. I'm backing the Raiders here, mainly because they are home and they have Carr. Take Oakland. |
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11-26-17 | Seahawks -6.5 v. 49ers | 24-13 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
This game has a lot of importance to Seattle both for the division and for the Wild Card playoff spots. The Seahawks lucked out getting San Francisco here today, because this is just the softball the team needed. The 49ers are just 4-12-1 ATS their last 17 against a team with a winning record. Home field hasn't meant much to the Niners either, going 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games. Seattle's defense needs a bit of a rest game against a team like the 49ers that have score 10 points in three of their last four games. Of course the Seahawks have to move forward without CB Richard Sherman (Achilles) and S Kam Chancellor (neck) who are both out for the season. The 49ers will start QB C.J Beathard today. He was upgraded after injuring his thumb. Still, this is a game Seattle can't look past. I like the Seahawks defense to buckle down and get business done. Play Seattle. |
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11-26-17 | Titans v. Colts +3.5 | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
The 6-4 Titans play the 3-7 Colts here today. Both these clubs have been good over plays. The Titans are 7-3 O/U on the season while the Colts are 6-4. In addition, the Titans are 10-2 O/U last 12 vs the AFC South. Neither team has much defense, with Tennessee allowing 25.3 points per game and the Colts 28 ppg. The Titans have not played well against losing teams, going just 15-34-3 ATS their last 57 tries. They are also just a plain poor covering team, with a 17-42-4 ATS mark their last 63 overall games. On the road, how about 7-21 ATS and it goes on and on. The Colts had last week off, so they at least get to rest some players and prepare for this game. Coming off their bye, the Colts are 8-2 ATS the last 10 years. They are also 16-5 their last 21 games in November. The home team has covered four of the last five in this series and the Colts are 10-2 ATS the last 12 meetings. I'm taking the Colts on Sunday. |
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11-25-17 | Notre Dame v. Stanford +3 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
Notre Dame can ill afford a loss here tonight if they want to get back into the top 4. They visit No 20 Stanford and that would go a big way toward getting them there. Notre Dame bounced back from their loss to Miami, 41-8 with a win over Navy last week, 24-10. Meanwhile, Stanford has a chance at the PAC 12 Title and the conference Championship. Notre Dame has lost three straight vs the number. Lots of pressure here on the Irish as they are in a must win spot. I am going to play against that position and go with the home dog in Stanford. |
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11-25-17 | Washington State +10 v. Washington | 14-41 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
These two intrastate rivals both enter this contest with 9-2 S/U records. The WSU Cougars are a tad better against the number at 7-4 with Washington at 6-5. These teams are very compatible on offense, with the Cougars averaging 33 points and the Huskies 36.5. The Huskies have the better scoring defense at 14.5 ppg, while WSU allows 22.9 ppg. Washington State can make the PAC-12 Championship game with a win here tonight. The Cougars are one of the best in the nation at takeaways, with 27 (3rd in country). Turnovers could play a big part in this contest. I think the line here on the home team is way too high. I'm taking Washington State plus the 10 points in what I think will be a close game. |
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11-25-17 | Clemson v. South Carolina +13.5 | 34-10 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 39 m | Show | |
Big rivalry game here as 10-1 Clemson faces their intrastate rivals South Carolina (8-3). The Tigers have won four straight after that big loss to Syracuse on October 13th, 24-27. South Carolina has strung together a pair of wins with a 28-20 win over Florida and then a tuneup for this week with a 31-10 win over Wofford. The Tigers haven't done too well in November, going 5-11 ATS their last 16. Meanwhile, the gamecocks are 8-2 ATS their last 10 vs the ACC. The home team has covered the last four in this series and South Carolina is 5-0 ATS the last five at home. I like the gamecocks to cover here today. Play South Carolina |
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11-25-17 | Penn State -22 v. Maryland | 66-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
 Penn State is now 15-4-2 ATS in their last 21 games overall and 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games. Ever since this Penn State team got back their full allotment of scholarships, they have taken off. Maryland has lost three straight games, getting outscored 83-41. Their lone win in the last seven games was at home over Indiana, 42-39. Maryland is also 3-9 ATS their last 12 against winning teams. Big difference in talent here and Penn State can't afford any more lapses. They will play the full game here and put this Maryland team away. Play Penn State. |
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11-25-17 | Alabama v. Auburn +5.5 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
This is the marquee game on the schedule this week as the top ranked Alabama Crimson Tide takes on No 6 Auburn Tigers. We'll see just how great the heralded Auburn Defense. Jordan-Hare Stadium will be rocking today I look for a upset here for Auburn. Alabama is a 4.5 point favorite heading in here. A win here and the Tigers are in the SEC Championship game and then into the Playoff four. It's all in their hands. Look for Kerryon Johnson to hit hard against a banged-up Alabama defense. Of course we are talking about Alabama, the top team in the nation. But I like Auburn here. They control their own destiny and it start today. |
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11-25-17 | Florida Atlantic -23 v. Charlotte | 31-12 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
Florida Atlantic looks to secure a decent bowl game by running their record to 9-3 here on Saturday. Big discrepancy in scoring here as FAU averages 40.5 ppg and Charlotte just 14.4 ppg. Defensively, Charlotte is allowing 32.9 compared to FAU's 26. FAU has covered six of their last seven games and has scored more than 42 points in five of those six. Don't like laying 21 points on the road, but it should be a problem with a high scoring team like Florida Atlantic. |
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11-25-17 | Boston College -3.5 v. Syracuse | 42-14 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
Boston College (6-5 S/U, 7-3-1 ATS) takes on Syracuse (4-7 S/U, 6-4-1 ATS). The BC Eagles have been hot for bettors, going 7-0-1 ATS their last eight games. They have won four of their last five game straight up. The Eagles have scored 39, 14, 35, 41 and 45 their last five games. Syracuse has lost four straight games, allowing 147 points over their last three games. BC laying just 3.5 here on Saturday. Take Boston College. |
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11-25-17 | East Carolina +29 v. Memphis | 13-70 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
East Carolina is only 3-8 on the season and now they take on a very good Memphis team that is 9-1. So you might wonder why I'm backing such a bad team in East Carolina? Well, that's because this game has zero meaning to the Memphis Tigers. The game they have their eye on is next week against No 13 East Carolina. The Tigers are laying 28.5 points here and that is a mountain considering they will try to just get out of here without any major injuries. Throw the numbers away in this game and just look ahead for Memphis, that's all you need to know. Play East Carolina. |
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11-24-17 | South Florida v. Central Florida -9.5 | 42-49 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
 Great game on tap today as the 9-1 South Florida Bulls take on the 10-0 Central Florida Knights. The Bulls are 4-6 ATS while the Knights are 6-3-1 ATS on the season. South Florida has won two straight games, with their only loss coming at home to Houston, 24-28. They have lost four straight against the number. This game is for a berth in the AAC Championship game and quite possibly a big New Year's day bowl. Usually when we think of big nationally ranked intrastate Florida rivals playing, the Florida Gators and Florida State Seminoles come to mind. Now it's South Florida vs Central Florida, both in the top 22. I'm taking the home team here though with Central Florida. |
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11-23-17 | Giants v. Redskins -7 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 49 h 27 m | Show | |
The NY Giants (2-8 S/U 4-6 ATS) play at the Washington Redskins (4-6 S/U, 4-6 ATS). The Giants maybe a terrible team, but they do come up with some big upsets. First it was the Broncos back in week 6 and last week they beat the Chiefs. Maybe the Giants need to join the AFC West? The offense still struggles, scoring 12 points last week and not over 24 in any game this season. The Giants average just 16.2 ppg this season and 308 yards of offense. Somehow the Redskins have a knack for snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. They led the Saints by double digits late last week only to allow the Saints to score twice late in the game and then win in OT. Washington can score, averaging 23.8 ppg behind QB Kirk Cousins. The passing offense is 7th in the NFL and the club is 9th in total yards. The defense isn't all that good, ranking 31st in points allowed (26.6 ppg). I'm going to take the Redskins here, mainly because they are at home and will want a win for the home crowd on Thanksgiving. Take Washington. |
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11-23-17 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -16 | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 33 m | Show | |
It's a big rivalry game here on Thanksgiving as the 5-6 Ole Miss Rebels play at their rivals, 8-3 Mississippi State. The home team has really dominated this series, going 11-5-1 ATS the last 17 meetings. Both teams offenses are pretty equal as they both score right at 33 ppg. Ole Miss tallies more yards at 472 to 412 with Miss State the better rushing team. It's defensively where the line is drawn. Ole Miss allows 35.2 ppg while MSU allows just 19.5 ppg. MSU also allows just 297 yards per game compared to Ole Miss allowing 455 yards. This reflects in the spread as MSU is 7-4 ATS and Ole Miss is 3-7-1 ATS on the season. This may be a rivalry, but it won't be close on Thursday as Mississippi State should win it easily. |
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11-23-17 | Vikings v. Lions +3 | 30-23 | Loss | -105 | 46 h 33 m | Show | |
Short week for both clubs coming off Sunday wins. The Vikings had their showdown with another first place team, the LA Rams. It was tied at half, but Minnesota pulled away in the second half for the win, 24-7. It was the club's six win in a row S/U and fifth ATS. The Lions also won at Chicago, 27-24, their third win in a row. However, their rush defense continues to give up way too many yards, about 114 per game compared to just 77 by the Vikings. QB Mathew Stafford is the highest paid player in the NFL, but Case Keenum continues to shine for Minnesota with 12 TD's and just five INT's. The public has moved this line from Detroit -1 to Minnesota minus three as of this writing. That has put me on Detroit here on Thursday. I like getting a field goal at home with Detroit that is always tough on their home court. Minnesota may also have a bit of a hangover from their LA win. Detroit is the play here on Thursday. |
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11-21-17 | Bowling Green v. Eastern Michigan -13.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
2-9 Bowling Green takes on 4-7 Eastern Michigan here on Tuesday night. Neither club will be playing in any bowls this year. BG has been a poor bet, going just 6-18 ATS their last 24. EM has been a wiser play for bettors, covering 19 of their last 26 games and 11 of their last 16 in the MAC. While both teams are comparable offensively, EM has a big edge on defense. BG allows an average of 519 yards per game and 38.4 ppg. Meanwhile, EM allows just 22.6 ppg and 355 yards. BG has allowed 66, 38, 16, 48 and 48 their last five games. EM has to cover 13.5 here, but that shouldn't be a problem against this horrible defense. Play Eastern Michigan. |
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11-20-17 | Falcons +1.5 v. Seahawks | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
The Seahawks got some extra rest with four days off after playing early last week. The bad news is they lost corner Richard Sherman for the season with a ruptured Achilles. In addition, the Seahawks may be without safety Earl Thomas too. That is not good against a high powered Falcons throwing attack. Yes, the Falcons are not scoring near their 32 point average of last year. Part of that problem lies in the OC of Steve Sarkisian, who just hasn't gelled with the offense yet. The 6-3 Seahawks have scored more than 24 points just one time in their last five games. With Sherman out and possibly Thomas too, they may have to ramp that up a bit. The Seahawks are just 3-8 ATS their last 11 following a straight up win. I have to wait and see how these Seahawks play without key components of their defense. I'll take the points here tonight with Atlanta. |
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11-19-17 | Lions v. Bears +3 | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 51 h 37 m | Show | |
Detroit struggled for much of the first half last week against winless Cleveland before Mathew Stafford took over in the second half. Tough to back a road Lions team that plays some strange football at times. They allowed 413 yards to the Browns of all teams, with 201 on the ground. Now they have to face the Bears predominant ground and pound. The Bears are no pushover at Soldiers field, beating the Steelers and the Panthers, with narrow misses to the Vikings and Falcons. I'm backing the Bears here on Sunday. |
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11-18-17 | Air Force +17.5 v. Boise State | 19-44 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 55 m | Show | |
Surprisingly the Air Force Falcons have won the last three games in this series, all as the dog. In fact, the Falcons are 5-0 ATS the last five vs the Broncos. In addition, in those five covers the Falcons have scored at least 26 points each time. So, here we go again. The Broncos are again a big favorite, 17 1/2 points. Yes, they are perfect at 6-0 in the Mountain West and sit atop the conference. However, this team has always been their Achilles's heal and the 17.5 points is just too much to pass on. Take Air Force. |
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11-18-17 | Missouri -7.5 v. Vanderbilt | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
Vandy still looking for its first win in the SEC as they sit at 0-6. Meanwhile, Missouri has a four game win streak and they have won those four by an average margin of 37 ppg. Missouri is also 9-4 ATS in their last 13 away games. I have to give Missouri a lot of credit after a dismal start that saw the club go 1-5. With four straight wins they can become bowl eligible now. Vandy will just be playing out the schedule at this point. Not much fight left in these Commodores. Take Missouri. |
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11-18-17 | Virginia +19.5 v. Miami-FL | 28-44 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
Miami cracked the top 4 in the country with their convincing win over ranked Notre Dame last week, 41-8. The Hurricanes have covered two straight but only two of the last five. Miami will be laying big wood here today with the line currently at 19.5. I'm going to take those points here today with Virginia. One big reason, letdown! I look for Miami to have a major letdown after last week's clobbering of Notre Dame. Also, this is a Miami team that needs a break, having played nine weeks now without a bye. So I look for HC Mark Richt to pull back on the reigns with his Hurricanes. Virginia, unlike Notre Dame, has a good passing game and can play from behind. Look for Virginia to keep this one closer than the oddsmakers think. Play Virginia as your ACC Game of the Month. |
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11-18-17 | SMU v. Memphis -12 | Top | 45-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
American Athletic Conference Game of the Year : SMU has lost its last two games, a wild 43-40 loss last week to Navy and hten a 31-24 setback two weeks ago vs Central Florida. Now they face a Memphis team that has won it's last five games, scoring over 41 in four of those wins and 30 in the other. In fact, the Tigers have outscored their last five opponents by a 239-136 margin. The Tigers are 8-1 on the season with their only loss coming at the hands of Central Florida. Memphis averages over 500 yards a games with 329 coming via the air and 173 on the ground. This Tigers club is just rolling right now and I don't see that changing here on Saturday before the home crowd. Take Memphis. |
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11-16-17 | Titans +7 v. Steelers | 17-40 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 14 m | Show | |
 We fully expected a flat Steelers team last week laying double digits at the Colts and played on the Colts as our hi-roller Platinum Play. Now both clubs have just the four days off between games to prepare for this contest. The Titans are now 6-3 S/U and 3-5-1 ATS on the season while the Steelers are 7-2 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the year. The Titans have covered the last three in this series, winning two straight up. In addition, the Titans are on a four game win streak and have held all four opponents to 22 or less points. The Steelers are also on a four game win streak and have held their four opponents to 17 points or less. I expect a lower scoring contest here and with the Steelers lay at or on 7 points, I don't see them being able to cover this large a number. Play Tennessee |
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11-12-17 | Cowboys +3 v. Falcons | 7-27 | Loss | -100 | 40 h 10 m | Show | |
Is he or isn't he? That's seems to be the question every single week in the Ezekiel Elliot suspension drama. However, it looks like the best Cowboys weapon may have finally run out of options as his appeal was denied by an appeals court. So for now, he's OUT! The Cowboys will now turn to a trio of RB's in Alfred Morris, Rod Smith and Darren McFadden. Zak Prescott has 16 TD's and just four INT's this season. As for the Falcons, ever since they lost Kyle Shanahan to the 49ers this offense has been in shambles. They are 17th in the NFL in scoring with just 21.1 ppg. Finding the end zone has been a problem all season for the defending NFC Champs. Matt Ryan, last year's MVP, has just 11 TD's on the season much to the dismay of his Fantasy football owners. Julio Jones has just one TD and is struggling through an ankle injury. RB Devonta Freeman is also nursing a shoulder injury that has limited his production. The Falcons just can't seem to find any groove this year. The Cowboys, with or without Elliot, should have little problem winning this game. Play Dallas. |
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11-12-17 | Jets -2.5 v. Bucs | 10-15 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 35 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay will be hard pressed to score points here on Sunday as their two best offensive weapons will miss this game. WR Mike Evans (Suspension) is out and QB Jameis Winston (Shoulder) is also expected to miss this contest. There were high expectations when the season began for the Bucs who are now 2-6 S/U and 1-6-1 ATS. Tampa has lost their last five games and is 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven. Meanwhile, the Jets are 4-5 S/U and 6-2-1 ATS. The Jets have also covered the last five games in this series. The Jets are a 2.5 point road chalk here, but not sure where the Bucs will score points here. I'll lay the points with the Jets. |
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11-12-17 | Steelers v. Colts +10 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 37 h 34 m | Show | |
The bad news for Colts fans is that QB Andrew Luck is done for the year and possibly even his career. Time will tell. The Colts are 3-6 SU and 5-4 ATS on the season. This has been a very good November team, covering nine of the last 10 games in November. Pitt is 6-2 S/U and 5-3 ATS for the season. The Steelers have won three straight both S/U and ATS. The defense has been solid, holding their last three opponents to 15 points or less and four of the last five. The Colts also coming off a win, 20-14 at Houston. The win snapped a three game losing streak for the Colts. Pittsburgh is coming off its bye week, but surprisingly they are just 1-5 ATS the last six years after the week off. Colts are a double digit home dog, not something you see a lot of in the NFL. Pittsburgh has a habit of looking past bad teams like this one. Don't be surprised if the Colts give the Steelers all they can handle. Take Indianapolis. |
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11-12-17 | Chargers +4.5 v. Jaguars | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 37 h 34 m | Show | |
The 3-5 LA Chargers travel East to play the 5-3 Jaguars. The Chargers had their bye week last week after a close, hard fought loss the week before at New England, 21-13. The loss snapped a three-game win streak for the Chargers. The Jags have won two straight games, outscoring the Bengals and Colts by a 50-7 margin. The Chargers have been very good to bettors on the road, posting a 12-5-1 ATS mark their last 18 away contests. In addition, the Chargers have covered the last six in this series. Getting 3.5 here with the Chargers who are playing very well of late is too much to pass on. Take LA. |
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11-12-17 | Vikings v. Redskins | 38-30 | Win | 100 | 37 h 33 m | Show | |
The Vikings have covered three straight games, which means they are now 36-15 ATS in their last 51 games. Minnesota coming off a 33-16 win over Cleveland in London two weeks ago and had the week off last week. The Vikings lead the NFC North with a 6-2 record and trail just New Orleans for the No 2 seed in the conference. Washington saw their two game losing streak snapped last week with a big upset of the Seattle Seahawks, 17-14. The spread win was the club's first in their last five games. Minnesota the better of these two teams and laying just over a point here is fine with me. Play Minnesota. |
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11-11-17 | Boise State -6 v. Colorado State | 59-52 | Win | 100 | 49 h 26 m | Show | |
Huge Mountain West showdown here as Boise State (7-2) plays at Colorado State (6-4). Boise has been winning convincingly of late with a pair of 41-14 wins over their last two weeks. In fact, the Broncos have allowed exactly 14 points in each of their last four games and just seven points in their fifth game. Boise has outscored their last five opponents 161-63. Meanwhile, Colorado State has lost two straight games (both as the favorite) at Wyoming 16-13 and at home against Air Force, 45-28. Boise has now covered four of their last five road games. CSU is 0-4 ATS in their last four conference games. The road team has also covered five of the last six games in this series. Boise State just the better of the two teams at this point in the season. Play Boise State. |
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11-11-17 | TCU +7 v. Oklahoma | 20-38 | Loss | -115 | 97 h 6 m | Show | |
Very difficult to run on this TCU Horned Frogs team. Little known though is how good they are among pass defenses also. The TCU pass defense is one of the top pass efficiency teams in the nation. TCU will have to rely on their defense this Saturday because they definitely don't want to have to get into an offensive shootout with this potent Oklahoma offense. TCU also counting on a bit of a letdown by this Sooners club this week. Oklahoma had their big intrastate rivaly game last week with Oklahoma State that resulted in a high scoring shootout win by the Sooners. TCU is also 5-1 ATS in their last five away games and have covered four of the last five games between these clubs in Norman. Getting points here with a solid TCU defense is too much to pass on. I'm taking TCU this week. |
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11-11-17 | Washington State v. Utah +1.5 | 33-25 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 40 m | Show | |
Washington (8-2) travels to Utah (5-4) to face the Utes. Both teams have winning spread records, though Utah is slightly better at 6-2-1 ATS. Utah coming off a convincing win over UCLA last week, 48-17. The win snapped a four game losing streak for the Utes. WSU is coming off a home win over Stanford, 24-21. The Cougars have lost two of their last three away games. In fact, the Cougars are just 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. I'm not convinced this WSU team can win consistently on the road. Meanwhile, Utah plays with lots of confidence before the home fans. Play UTAH. |
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11-11-17 | Arkansas State -10 v. South Alabama | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 5 m | Show | |
 Arkansas State (5-2) looks like they will be headed to a bowl this year as they play at South Alabama (3-6) tonight. ARST is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games, being very good to bettors. Can't say the same for South Alabama, which is 2-6 in their last eight home games and 6-20 ATS in their last 26 conference matchups. Ark State brings a four game win streak into today after three convincing wins where they outscore their opponents 135-41. Meanwhile, South Alabama has lost two straight, scoring just 14 and 13 points respectfully. Arkansas State should win this one going away and prove they deserve a decent bowl bid. Play Arkansas State. |
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11-11-17 | Michigan State +15.5 v. Ohio State | 3-48 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 2 m | Show | |
Michigan State is a 15 points road dog in this contest. Michigan State has done well against the Buckeyes in recent times, winning three of the last six meetings outright and going 5-3 ATS in the last eight meetings. MSU coming off its biggest win of the season, a 24-21 win over highly ranked Penn State last week. The Spartans offense finally clicked, totaling 474 yards with QB Brian Lewerke tossing 400 yards and a pair of TD's. Surprisingly, the Spartans have now outgained eight of their nine opponents this season. These teams are tied for first place in the Big 10 East division. A win today for MSU almost assures them to run the rest with games against Maryland and Rutgers left. Meanwhile, Ohio State had a major letdown after defeating Penn State two weeks ago. They fell flat at Iowa last week, losing 55-24. OSU has two losses this year, which means they likely won't be playing for the National Championship. The visitor in this series is 7-1 ATS the last eight meetings. Giving a very good Michigan State team two TD's+ is more than I need to be on the visitor here. Play Michigan State. |
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11-11-17 | NC State v. Boston College +3 | 17-14 | Push | 0 | 89 h 58 m | Show | |
The NC State Wolfpack (6-3, 4-1 Conf) play at Boston College (5-4, 3-3 conf) today. NC State runs a very balanced offense, scoring 32.6 ppg with 286 rushing and 160 passing yards per game. BC is also quite balanced with 171 yards rushing, 199 passing and 24.3 ppg. The Wolfpack have lost two straight, both to top 10 ranked teams. They lost to No 9 Notre Dame , 35-14 and to #4 Clemson, 38-31. Meanwhile, BC has won three straight. BC has done well against winning team, posting a 10-4 ATS record their last 14. They are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games. The Eagles have covered five of the last six meetings between these teams at Boston College. In addition, the home club is 9-3 ATS the last 12 meetings. Getting a field goal here at home with BC is too much to pass on. Play Boston College. |
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11-08-17 | Toledo v. Ohio +3 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Big matchup here in the MAC with the 8-1 Toledo Rockets at the 7-2 Ohio Bobcats. The Bobcats have now covered six of their last seven games overall and five of their last six at home. The dog in this series has covered six of the last eight meetings. Ohio broke a nine year win streak by Toledo in this series, winning last year on the road, 31-26. Ohio has won three straight and six of the last seven games. Ohio has the third best defense in the MAC this year, holding opponents to just 5.3 yards per play. This is a big rivalry and with Ohio finally getting that monkey off their back last year, I look for them to win again here tonight. Take Ohio U. |
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11-06-17 | Lions v. Packers +3 | 30-17 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
The 3-4 Lions travel to Wisconsin tonight to take on the 4-3 Packers. Both clubs come into this contest riding two-game losing streaks. The Packers have to go the rest of the way without QB Aaron Rodgers. Brett Hundley, the ex-UCLA standout, is the main guy right now. Hundley has completed just 52.5% of his passes for 244 yards, one TD and four INT's. Last week the Lions were 0-5 scoring TD's in the Red Zone. A lack of a solid running game has played a big reason for this Red Zone inefficiency. The Lions have had a 100 yard rushing effort just once this entire season. The Lions will also be fighting history in this game, having won just a single time in their last 26 trips to Lambeau Field. The Lions also don't like playing on grass, covering the spread just twice in their last 13 attempts. Detroit is just 1-5 ATS in their last six trips to Green Bay. While this may not be the same Packers team, I look for them to do just enough as the small home dog to win this game. Play Green Bay. |
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11-05-17 | Bucs v. Saints -7 | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints have been red-hot, winning five consecutive games and winning by an average of 14 points. They face a Tampa Bay team that had high expectations entering the season, only to disappoint. The Saints are 5-2 both S/U and ATS on the season while Tampa Bay is just 2-5 S/U and 1-5-1 ATS. Tampa Bay is coming off a lackluster effort at home against Carolina where they scored just three points. The Saints have covered 20 of their last 28 games and are 10-2 the last 12 against the NFC South. With the Bucs not having covered a spread in five straight weeks, not ready to back them here. Always difficult to play in New Orleans and until I see more production out of this Tampa offense, I'm going against them. Play New Orleans. |
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11-05-17 | Broncos v. Eagles -7 | 23-51 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
Broncos playing their third straight road game here and off a short week on top of it having played last Monday Night. It's been a horrible stretch for Denver, getting shutout by the Chargers and then losing by 10 to the Chiefs last week, 29-19. Denver hasn't scored over 19 points in any of their last five games. QB Trevor Siemian has been terrible and will be replaced today by QB Brock Osweiler. Osweiler hasn't fared much better, but the change could shake things up. Now they face the NFC East leading Eagles, who are 8-1 on the season. The Eagles have the bye next week so they can figure to go all out here today. The Denver defense is one of the best, but not sure how they will keep this team in this game against the best in the NFC. Play Philadelphia. |
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11-04-17 | Ole Miss v. Kentucky -3.5 | 37-34 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 59 m | Show | |
Ole Miss is really missing these days, having dropped five of their last six games including a improbable loss to Arkansas last week, 38-37. Miss outgained the hogs by 119 yards and led the game at one point 31-7. Have to winder here what kind of mental state Ole Miss will be in for this contest. Ole Miss will once again be without their top QB, Shea Patterson. Patterson had 17 TD's in his seven games he played. Despite scoring 37 last week, QB replacement Jordan Ta'amu did not throw a TD. Kentucky is 6-2 and bowl eligible at this point. HC Mike Stoops will want wins for sure now as each win after six results in $250 in his pocket. Ole Miss is just 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 road games and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven conference games. Mike Stoops will want this win bad, and I don't think Ole Miss can stop the Kentucky offense. Play Kentucky. |
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11-04-17 | Stanford v. Washington State +1 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
Both these clubs coming off lackluster efforts as Stanford (6-2) barely got by Oregon State and Washington State (7-2) has now lost two in a row. The good news is that both these teams still control their own destiny. Washington State win here and they have road games at Utah and Washington to play for the Conference Championship. Stanford wins here and they close out at home against Washington and Cal to play for the Conference Championship. WSU used two QB's last week that combined for 609 yards passing and four INT's. The only good news is that Stanford generates very little pressure on the QB and that should result in fewer INT's. The Cardinal are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four raod games and 2-5-1 ATS their last eight against a team with a winning record. WSU is 5-2 ATS their last seven and 20-8 ATS in games following passing yards of 280 or more. I see this WSU team finally getting back to what we saw when they started the season at 6-0. They know this is important and it's at home. Play Washington State. |
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11-04-17 | Northwestern -1.5 v. Nebraska | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
Northwestern showed lots of grit last week in their home win over Michigan State. Despite trailing 10-0 to the very good defensive Spartans, the Wildcats tied the score at 10 by half and then shut down MSU in the 2nd half to pull away for the win. Now the Cats will have revenge on their minds at Licoln today. The Wildcats were beaten on their home turf last year by Nebraska, 24-13. This year's Nebraska team has been going downhill the last few weeks. After starting the season strong with their running game, they have tallied just 44 and 40 yards the last two weeks on the ground. The team's lack of offense is why the Huskers are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 and 0-5 ATS in their last five home games. The Wildcats have been very good to bettors, going 12-4 ATS in their last 16 away games and 5-1 in their last six overall. In addition, the road team has covered the last four in this series. The Wildcats are a very good team with revenge on their minds and that results in a NWU win here on Saturday. Play Northwestern. |
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11-04-17 | Penn State v. Michigan State +10 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
I have to wonder how mentally effected this Penn State team will be after a devastating loss at Ohio State last week. They went from controlling their own destiny in the top four to now needing help. Meanwhile the Spartans will have to try and generate some offense as they have scored 17 points in each of their last three Big 10 games. Considering that Penn State has scored less than 30 points just once this year and the math means MSU has to step up the offensive effort. The weather might be of help here today for Michigan State as its expected to rain for the entire game. Statistically the Nittany Lions are the better team. However, this contest comes down to motivation and focus. I don't see Penn State getting blown out here and getting 9.5 points just seems too many to me. I'm taking the home dog, Michigan State. |
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11-02-17 | Bills -3 v. Jets | 21-34 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
A pair of AFC East teams clash here on Thursday as the Bills play the Jets. The Bills are 5-2 and can climb into a tie for the division lead with the Patriots with a win. The 3-5 Jets are in last place, but have been competitive. The Bills are having their best start to a season since 2008. The Bills are led by RB LeSean McCoy who is coming off a season high 27 rushes for 151 yards. The Jets have lost two straight and have seen RB Matt Forte question the play calling of OC John Morton. QB Josh McCown has thrown nine TD's in his last four games but the team looks to all but have abandoned the running game. The Bills are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games and have covered six of the last eight meetings with the Jets. Bills can control this game with their rushing attack and will be forced into what has got them into last place, their passing game. Play BUFFALO. |
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11-02-17 | Navy -8 v. Temple | 26-34 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
 Navy (5-2) travels to Philly to play Temple (3-5) in a AAC conference battle. Temple is in desperation mode if they hope to get a bowl bid, making a win here imperative. They only have one issue, they can't stop the run. And guess what? Navy runs the ball better than anyone. Temple allowed 248 yards to the Army option last week, including three rushing TD's. Navy should have QB Zach Abey back tonight after missing two weeks with a concussion. Abey is a big part of this Navy rushing game and they need him here tonight. The Middies are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games while the home team is 0-4 ATS the last four in this series. Don't really see how Temple will stop Navy when they couldn't stop Army last week. Middies run all over this Temple team. Play Navy. |
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10-30-17 | Broncos +7.5 v. Chiefs | 19-29 | Loss | -120 | 92 h 15 m | Show | |
These two AFC rivals face each other here on Monday with the Broncos facing the possibility of a 3-4 start. When is the last time we've seen the Broncos a 7-point dog? Doesn't happen very often. The issue here is whether Denver can get their run game going to take pressure off QB Trevor Siemian who has had two bad weeks. Is it time to sit Siemian? Maybe, but I don't think we'll see that here tonight. So how can Denver cover this TD line? It's simple, their top rated defense. The defense will have to step it up and keep the team close and not rely on Siemian to pass to win this game. I think this line is too much for such a good defensive team. Kansas City is the class of the division, but Denver isn't done yet. Play the Broncos plus the TD. |
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10-29-17 | Steelers v. Lions +3 | 20-15 | Loss | -115 | 68 h 18 m | Show | |
The Lions will have to do better offensively, where they rank 30th in yards per play and 26th in yards per game. QB Matthew Stafford has not been the start QB the Lions paid such a hefty offseason price for. Stafford is 20th in the NFL in QB rating and he's been sacked 23 times in six games. Detroit is coming off its bye week and that always gives a team a lift. The Lions have covered the last five seasons the week after a bye. Add to the fact that the Lions are at home on national TV and they will be ready, despite their recent problems and injuries. Take Detroit. |
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10-29-17 | Cowboys -1.5 v. Redskins | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 64 h 12 m | Show | |
Both of these clubs enter play today with key injuries. The Redskins lost three offensive linemen last Monday night and still don't have their star corner, Josh Norman back. The Cowboys lost the best kicker in the NFL in Dan Bailey. SO these two 3-3 teams will each have to contend with issues if they want to improve to 4-3. The Redskins lack of rushing has put a lot a pressure on QB Kirk Cousins. Now with injuries to the offensive line, Cousins will come under a lot of pressure from the Cowboys defensive line. The Cowboys easily handled the 49ers last week behind RB Ezekiel Elliot's 147 yards rushing. The Cowboys had five sacks last week and that could be the same here. Cowboys just have more weapons available on both sides of the ball. Play Dallas. |
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10-28-17 | USC v. Arizona State +3.5 | 48-17 | Loss | -115 | 69 h 16 m | Show | |
Arizona State's defense has really turned things around the last few weeks, holding Utah to just 10 points and Washington to just seven. The Sun Devils have covered four straight (all as dogs). Meanwhile, Southern Cal took a whipping in its annual game with Notre Dame. The Irish punished the Trojans, beating them 49-14. The Trojans now 1-7 ATS on the season. The Trojans still lead the PAC-12 south over these Sun Devils (3-1). So this is a big game for the home team to get back in the conference lead. Sun Devils have done well on their home turf, posting a 10-3 ATS mark the last 13. Take the points here against the underachieving Trojans. |
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10-28-17 | Washington State -3 v. Arizona | 37-58 | Loss | -107 | 68 h 47 m | Show | |
This game pits the passing of No 16 Washington State against the rushing of Arizona. Arizona QB Khilil Tate is an exciting player, rushing for 694 yards and 11 TD's in just his last three games. A win here today and the team becomes bowl eligible. In their way, top 25 team in WSU. The 7-1 Cougars are a excellent defensive team, third nationally against the pass, 7th in total defense and 21st in scoring defense. Arizona just 6-15 ATS their last 21 games and 5-11 ATS on grass. The Washington State highly ranked defense will give Tate all kinds of problems in this one. I'm taking the Cougars as my PAC 12 Game of the Year. |
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10-28-17 | Old Dominion v. North Texas -11 | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 59 m | Show | |
I'm taking a big leap of faith here with a North Texas team that allowed over 800 yards of offense last week. Yes, 800 yards. In NTU defense, they played a Florida Atlantic team that had the prior week off and was playing their homecoming game. I think NTU will be looking to put a pasting on someone after they were embarrassed last week. The victim? How about Old Dominion. Play North Texas who can easily hang a 50 spot on the scoreboard. |
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10-28-17 | Florida Atlantic -7 v. Western Kentucky | 42-28 | Win | 100 | 63 h 58 m | Show | |
Revenge minded Florida Atl had this one circled on its calendar after the 52-3 embarrassment last year. New coaching staff this year, but the players still remember the whopping they took. HC Lane Kifflin is 3-0 both SU and ATS in conference play with FAU. Last week FAU put a pasting on North Texas, 69-31, gaining over 800 yards in the process. Western Ky without their top QB has just gotten by much inferior competition in recent weeks. WKY is also a very one dimensional team, all pass, no rush. WKY is last in the nation in rushing with just 81 yards per game on the ground. I look for Kifflin to shut down the WKY pass attack and that is bad news for the home club. Take Florida Atlantic. |
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10-28-17 | UCLA v. Washington -17 | 23-44 | Win | 100 | 62 h 10 m | Show | |
Washington had last week off to prepare for this contest. UCLA beat a down Oregon team last week to improve to 2-2 in the PAC-12. Still, UCLA has yet to cover on the road this season. Washington is 6-1 overall and 3-0 at home. Huskies are 4-3 ATS compared to UCLA at 2-5 ATS. Both teams average well over 30ppg, however, the Bruins allowing 36.7 ppg while Washington allows just 10.6. With the UCLA problems on the road, I don't see them coming close to their scoring average. Lay the points with Washington. |
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10-28-17 | Kansas State -23.5 v. Kansas | 30-20 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 37 m | Show | |
The Kansas Jayhawks offense has been pathetic, grabbing just nine first downs and 136 yards in the last two weeks. Jayhawks outscored 88-0 in those two games to Iowa State and TCU. Not good news for the Hawks playing their instate rivals today. Kansas State coming off a tough loss to Oklahoma, 42-35. K State is 17-5 ATS the last 22 meetings in this series and 4-0 in the last four at Kansas. Can Kansas get shutout three straight? Possible. Play the Kansas State Wildcats. |
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10-28-17 | Louisville v. Wake Forest +3 | 32-42 | Win | 100 | 59 h 54 m | Show | |
Louisville is 5-3 overall and 2-3 in ACC play coming into this game. Wake is 4-3 overall and 1-3 in conference. The clubs have met just once in Winston-Salem, with the Cardinals winning 20-19. Louisville just 2-6 ATS on the season and outscoring opponents 37-29. Wake is 4-2-1 ATS and averaging 29.7 while allowing 19.7. Wake usually keeps these contests (all four) low scoring, with all four going UNDER the total. If they can keep it low again, Wake will cover. Play Wake Forest. |
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10-28-17 | Wisconsin -26 v. Illinois | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 23 m | Show | |
Wisconsin brings its perfect 7-0 record to Illinois today. The Badgers are averaging 36.6 ppg while allowing just 13.3. Illinois just 2-5 on the season and has lost five straight games. Badgers also 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 conference games and 8-0 ATS in their last eight road games. Illini just 2-8 ATS at home last 10 and 1-4 ATS the last five in this series. Don't look for Illinois to stay close here. Play Wisconsin. |
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10-26-17 | Toledo -24.5 v. Ball State | 58-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show | |
 Ball State has a poor offense, ranked 107th in the country. Compare this to Toledo, which is ranked 11th in offense with 506.9 ypg. Ball State still looking for its first win in conference play with a 0-3 record. Toledo is 3-0 in conference. Toledo is 6-1 overall compared to Ball State at 2-5. The Rockets are also 17-8-1 ATS their last 26 games after a straight up win. Cardinals just 3-11 ATS in conference an 16-35 ATS their last 51 home games. Toledo has too much offense for this Ball State club. Play Toledo. |
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10-26-17 | Eastern Michigan v. Northern Illinois -7 | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
Northern Illinois Huskies are 3-0 in conference play and 5-2 overall. The Huskies average 27.6 ppg at home this season. Eastern Michigan is 2-5 on the season and averaging 19.5 ppg. Both clubs have covered five of their seven games on the season. Huskies hold the edge in the series, going 6-2-1 ATS their last nine meetings with the Eagles. Favorite is also 6-2-1 ATS the last nine. NIU laying just a TD here is too much to pass on. Play Northern Illinois. |
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10-23-17 | Redskins +4.5 v. Eagles | 24-34 | Loss | -105 | 122 h 55 m | Show | |
The Eagles improved to 5-1 last week, but a loss here could have them tied in the loss column with the Redskins. This is a rematch of the week 1 contest in Washington, a Philly win of 30-17. Carson Wentz passed for 307 yards in that opening week win with two TD's. The Eagles have the extra rest here, having played last Thursday at Carolina. Expect the Washington offense to be much better this meeting, as QB Kirk Cousins has had time to gel with his new receivers. The Skins may also get back All-Pro cornerback Josh Norman, who has this game circled for his return. The Redskins have also covered 10 of their last 13 away games. Washington has also covered six of the last seven in this series and the dog is 5-2 ATS in this series the last seven. I believe this is a much improved Washington club and if Norman is back, all the better. Take the dog here, Washington. |
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10-22-17 | Falcons v. Patriots -3 | Top | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 98 h 2 m | Show |
Sunday Night Personal Elite : This is our rematch of the Super Bowl where the Falcons all but handed the trophy to New England. Patriots looking to re-establish their home field dominance they once had before a pair of losses this year. The Pats made a nice comeback win last week at the Jets (thanks in part to a blown replay). Don't count out the Pats though, their offense is still riding high and while the defense hasn't been good, they can still outscore teams. Expect this one to be a high scoring affair, but I'm taking Brady and Co to win it again. |
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10-22-17 | Bengals +5.5 v. Steelers | 14-29 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 56 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh in possible letdown spot here after their big win over the 5-0 Chiefs last week. Marvin Lewis comes into this game with his Bengals 1.5 games back of the 1st place Steelers, making this a huge game for Cincinnati. The Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games, 4-0 ATS their last four road games and 9-2 ATS their last 11 on grass. I'm not convinced the win over the flat Chiefs last week will carry over to this game. I'm taking the points with a Bengals team that needs this game to climb back into the race. |
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10-22-17 | Jets +3.5 v. Dolphins | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 91 h 31 m | Show | |
Power Parlay : The NY Jets really could have won last week at home against the Patriots if not for a controversial replay that took away a TD. Now they go from facing one of the best offenses to the worst in Miami, which is ranked 32nd with a 12 ppg average. The Dolphins are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 vs the division. The Jets have owned this series, going 16-5 ATS the last 21 meetings in Miami and 6-2 the last eight meetings overall. Jets hang close enough to win outright against a poor Miami offense. |
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10-22-17 | Cardinals +3.5 v. Rams | 0-33 | Loss | -115 | 90 h 27 m | Show | |
Both these West Coast teams travel across the pond to play in London. The 4-2 Rams rebounded from their Week 5 egg-laying contest against the Seahawks with a nice win last week at Jacksonville. This game will be for first place in the NFC West. The Cardinals got a big boost from little used Adrian Peterson. Peterson rode the pine in New Orleans and come over to Arizona where he promptly ran for two TD's and over 100 yards. The Cardinals defense will have its work cut out this week against the NFL's leading scoring team in the Rams (29.8 ppg). The Rams are just 3-10 ATS in their 13 games and 1-10-1 in their last 12 against the NFC. The Cardinals have covered six of the last eight in this series and I look for another one here on Sunday. Play Arizona. |
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10-21-17 | Wyoming +14 v. Boise State | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 76 h 48 m | Show | |
Wyoming won the last meeting with Boise State, 30-28, so the Broncos likely have revenge on their minds. Boise could be in for a letdown here at home after their big win at San Diego State last week. Wyoming plays its second of back to back road games here. The Cowboys are 9-3 ATS their last 12 as a dog and 11-5 ATS their last 15 overall. Moreover, they are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 Conference games. Surprisingly, Boise State is just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 on their home blue turf. Wyoming getting two TD's here and they play well as the dog. I look for their future NFL QB to keep them close. Play Wyoming. |
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10-21-17 | Wake Forest +4.5 v. Georgia Tech | 24-38 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 21 m | Show | |
Wake Forest scared the defending National Champs two weeks ago losing 28-14. The Deacons got last week off to help prepare for this contest. WF has the nations 12th best defense in the country allowing just 16.7 ppg. The Deacons are 4-2 overall and 1-2 in conference play. Bot teams are covering well, with Wake at 4-1-1 ATS and Tech at 5-0 ATS. Both offenses are evenly matched while defensive not goes to the Deacons. Wake getting 4.5 points here and I think they can win outright. Take the points with Wake Forest. |
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10-21-17 | Maryland v. Wisconsin -24 | 13-38 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
This Big 10 matchup could get very ugly for the visitor. Maryland has to be road weary, playing their third game in four on the road. The defense took a pounding at the hands of Ohio State's running backs last week. Won't get any easier for the Terps against a Wisconsin team that likes to pound the ball on the ground too. Wisconsin is outscoring their opponents by a 119-24 margin in the 2nd half of games. The Terps allow 36.5 ppg and that all means Wisconsin is in for a big day of scoring. Take Wisconsin in a blowout. |
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10-21-17 | Iowa State +7.5 v. Texas Tech | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
Iowa State has been scoring in bunches this year, averaging 36 ppg and scoring more than 40 points in four of their five games. ISU is also 4-1 ATS on the season. Texas Tech is also a high scoring offense, averaging 45 ppg and allowing 31ppg. Tech has a 3-1-1 ATS record. Iowa State's defense will have a much tougher time this week against a Red Raiders offense then they did last week in their home shutout of Kansas. The Cyclones getting a TD here with their offense is enough for me. This should be a very high scoring game with Iowa State hanging close. |
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10-20-17 | Colorado State -8 v. New Mexico | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Rams having to play their fourth road game in five weeks here and looking to avenge a loss to the Lobos last year, 49-31. Rams are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 conference games and 14-5 ATS in their last 19 overall. Rams have been the play in this series, going 4-0-1 ATS the last five meetings. Lobos were embarrassed last week by Fresno, 38-0. Two top ranked offenses here with CSU coming in 9th in the country and NMU at 57th. CSU has owned this series and I look for that to continue here on Friday. Play Colorado State. |
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10-19-17 | Chiefs -3 v. Raiders | 30-31 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
The Chiefs fell from the ranks of the last unbeaten team last week as the Steelers beat them in Kansas City. The Raiders have struggled lately with QB Carr in and out of the lineup. Oakland has also had their issues with the Chiefs, with Oakland HC Jack Del Rio posting a 0-4 mark against the Chiefs. The Raiders offense revolves around Carr and as long as he isn't 100%, the Raiders offense won't be 100%. The Chiefs offense is very good with an improved rushing attack and more weapons at the receiving core. This year the visitors in the Thursday night game is 5-1! And the Chiefs have been a great road team, covering 14 of their last 17 away games. Raiders just 3-7 ATS on Thursday night. Chiefs have covered 11 of the last 14 meetings in Oakland and that's what I expect tonight. Take KC. |
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10-16-17 | Colts +7.5 v. Titans | Top | 22-36 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
Colts come into tonight with an 11-game win streak vs the Titans and a 9-1-1 ATS mark the last 11. We may not see either team's starting QB as Andrew Luck and Marcus Mariota are both hurting. Look for the Titans to try and control the ball with their running game of DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry. Surprisingly, even without Luck, the Colts are just one game back in the AFC South. I have to side with coaching in this one and I give a big edge to Colts Chuck Pagano over the Titans Mike Mularkey. Pagano has handled his situation much better and has his team ready to play. Take the points here with the Colts who can win outright. |
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10-15-17 | Giants v. Broncos -11.5 | Top | 23-10 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 14 m | Show |
NFL Blowout Game of the Year: Things have gone from bad to worse for the NY Giants. Adding injury to insult, the Giants are now 0-5 on the season after losing at home to the Chargers, 27-22. The Giants lost their two top three receivers to season-ending surgeries, with Brandon Marshall, Dwayne Harris and Odell Beckham Jr all done for the year. The Giants don't have a rushing game to fall back on, as they have averaged just 77.8 ypg. Now they have to travel to Denver and face the "NO Fly Zone" defense of the Broncos. This game could get really ugly for New York and early. This is a game I want everyone down on early with the 4-1 Broncos. Denver will have to play their next three on the road, so this game has a lot of meaning for them to get to 5-1. I don't see any way the Giants put up even double digits here. I'll gladly lay the points with the Broncos |
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10-14-17 | UCLA v. Arizona +2 | 30-47 | Win | 100 | 54 h 42 m | Show | |
The UCLA Bruins are giving up tons of yards, 506 per game to be exact. So any good new? Nope, just gets worse as they now face Arizona's Khalil Tate who just set an FBS rushing mark with 327 yards. The Bruins have a QB in Rosen, but he's had his share of turnover this year too. Problem here is that the Bruins may not see the ball much if they can't stop Tate. The Bruins haven't done well ATS lately either, going 1-6 ATS their last seven games. Arizona should be able to control this game with Tate running the ball against a very poor Bruins defense. Play Arizona. |
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10-14-17 | UTSA v. North Texas +2.5 | 26-29 | Win | 100 | 52 h 49 m | Show | |
Late Inner Circle : North Texas was off last week and enters this contest as the home dog. NTU was beat by UTSA last year, 31-17. NTU QB Mason Fine had a great game in the loss to the Road Runners last year, completing 27-of-38 passes. Now he has an improved rushing game behind him and better receivers. North Texas had a week off to prepare for this contest and I like that. My play here is the home dog in North Texas with the extra week of rest. |
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10-14-17 | Houston -13.5 v. Tulsa | 17-45 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 43 m | Show | |
Conference USA Game of the Month: Tulsa is dealing with major injury issues on defense. To make matters worse, Tulsa can't keep their defense off the field as they have lost time of possession in their last three games (42:21, 39:38, 43:38). Tulsa's offense ins't much better, ranking in the bottom 10 of the nation in passing offense. Houston has been a very good bet on the road, going 20-6-1 in their last 27 away games. I don't see how Tulsa will be able to keep anyone from controlling the ball, the game and scoring lots of points. Lay the price with the road club here, Houston. |
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10-14-17 | Navy +3.5 v. Memphis | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 48 h 27 m | Show | |
 2017 College Football Game of the Year : Memphis has revenge factor here, but that didn't help them last year. Navy has scored 87 points against the Tigers the last two seasons, covering the spread by 48 combined points. Midshipmen averaging 412 yards per game rushing (No 2 nation) and will face a Memphis team playing shorthanded on defense with injuries. Navy is 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 conference games, 5-1 ATS in their last six overall away games. Memphis just 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games. Getting points here with a Navy team I fully expect to win outright is what puts me on this as my NCAA Game of the Year. They have the wrong favorite and we win for it. Play Navy. |
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