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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-21-18 | Nevada +3 v. Hawaii | 40-22 | Win | 100 | 35 h 30 m | Show | |
Late night game here as Nevada makes the trip over the ocean to play at Hawaii. Nevada almost pulled out the upset win at home last week, narrowly losing to Boise State, 27-31 as 14-point dogs. The Wolfpack has won three of their last five games and covered two of the last three. Hawaii started the season 3-0, but since then has gone 2-3 S/U and 1-3-1 ATS. The Rainbow Warriors are coming off a blowout loss at BYU, 23-49 as 10.5-point dogs. The Wolfpack are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games. Hawaii is 7-22 ATS vs a team with a losing record and 6-21 ATS at home the last 27 vs a losing team. They are also 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 overall home games. Nevada has covered five of the last six in this series and I look for that again here Saturday night / Sunday morning. Play Nevada. |
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10-20-18 | USC v. Utah -7 | 28-41 | Win | 100 | 31 h 35 m | Show | |
 PAC-12 matchup has USC playing at Utah. Utah has been hitting on all cylinders of late, trouncing Arizona last time out, 42-10 and Stanford the week before, 40-21. The Utes only two losses were at home against highly ranked Washington, 7-21 and at Washington State, 24-28. USC has won three straight after opening the season 1-2. The Trojans are coming off a win over Colorado, 31-20. USC has covered two straight games after starting 0-4 vs the number. The big difference between these two teams is that Utah is ranked 9th in the country in total defense. They also have a very good redzone efficiency rating of 49.1%, holding opponents to just seven TD's in 16 redzone trips. USC is just 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 games and 2-7-1 ATS in the last 10 road games. Utah is 20-8-1 ATS in its last 29 vs a winning team. The home team has also covered six of the last seven in this series. I'm taking Utah. |
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10-20-18 | Oregon v. Washington State -2.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 30 h 59 m | Show |
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10-20-18 | Wake Forest v. Florida State -9.5 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 26 h 1 m | Show | |
Florida State did everything it could to pull out the big upset win two weeks ago at their rival, Miami. The Seminoles led a good portion of the way before giving up the ghost late and losing 27-28 as 14-point dogs. The Seminoles have been playing much better since starting the season 1-2. They have scored at least 27 points in four of their six games and covered two of the last three. Wake Forest also had last week off to stew over the thumping they took at the hands of Clemson, 3-63. Wake has a descent offense, ranked 38th in total offense. However, their rezone efficiency is not that good, scoring 16 TD's in 31 redzone trips. The Deamon Decons are ranked 123rd in defense and have one of the worst redzone efficiencies, allowing 14 TD's in 15 trips. Wake Forest has covered just one of its last eight games overall. The home team has also gone 5-2-1 ATS the last eight in this series. I like Florida State who has been much improved in recent weeks. Play Florida State. |
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10-20-18 | Tulsa v. Arkansas -5.5 | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 23 h 31 m | Show | |
Arkansas has covered three straight games, yet they have lost six straight up games in a row. The Razorbacks defense has not been good, but you also have to remember this team plays against SEC opponents. They have given up 65 to Alabama, 34 to Auburn and 37 to Ole Miss. By virtue of playing these powerhouse teams, the Razorbacks are ranked 101st in defense. Tulsa opened the season with a win over Central Arkansas, 38-27. Since then, the Golden Hurricanes have lost five straight games. They have covered the last two however and three of the last five. Tulsa is ranked 78th in defense. Neither one of these clubs will be going to a bowl. However, when you look at the level of competition, Arkansas has played a much tougher group of teams. This game will be like a week off for the Hogs and I'm taking them here on Saturday laying less than a TD. Play Arkansas. |
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10-20-18 | Michigan v. Michigan State +7.5 | 21-7 | Loss | -129 | 22 h 29 m | Show | |
Huge rivalry game here as Michigan State hosts their rivals, Michigan. Michigan opened the season with a loss at Notre Dame, 17-24. Since then, they are 6-0 S/U and 4-2 ATS. They have done this with the nation's 2nd overall ranked defense. The Wolverines allow just 238 yards on the season. The one knock would be they have a fairly high redzone efficiency of 80.6%, allowing 10 TD's in 14 redzone trips. Michigan State is coming off a huge road win last week over Penn State, 21-17 as 13.5-point dogs. The Spartans are now 4-2 S/U and 2-4 ATS on the season. Here is the amazing fact in this series. The Spartans have covered the last 10 years against Michigan. That's right, they are 9-1 S/U and 10-0 ATS the last 10 years! To say they have the Wolverine's number would be an under-statment. I'm not going to buck this trend, especially at home getting a touchdown. Take Michigan State. |
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10-19-18 | Colorado State +24 v. Boise State | 28-56 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Boise State looked to be the odds on favorite to win the Mountain West this year. However, after a 2-0 start that saw the team outscore those opponents 118-27, they have fallen on hard times. The Broncos are just 2-2 S/U and 1-3 ATS since those opening two wins. In fact, they struggled at home against San Diego State two weeks ago, losing 13-19 as 13-point favorites. Then last week they barely survived at Nevada, winning 31-27 as 14-point favorites. Colorado State started the season with two straight losses. However, they have played much better of late, winning their last two games over New Mexico and San Jose State. The Rams are not nearly as good as previous editions of this team, but they have showed improvement as the season has progressed. The Rams are now 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs a winning team. The Broncos are just 9-24 ATS their last 33 at home vs a team with a losing record. They are also 4-14 ATS their last 18 home games. I like the points here tonight with the Rams. Play Colorado State. |
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10-18-18 | Stanford -2.5 v. Arizona State | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
Stanford looks to rebound from a lopsided loss loss to Utah, 21-40. The Cardinal were without their top player in Bryce Love. Love missed that Utah game with a ankle injury, but looks ready to return tonight. With Love back, the Cardinal attack looks to get back on the winning track tonight after losses to Notre Dame and Utah. Arizona State had that big week 2 win over Michigan State, 16-13 and since then has gone 1-4 S/U and 2/2 ATS. The Sun Devils have struggled, scoring 21, 20 and 21 in their last three losses. The lone win in the last four games was a blowout home win over Oregon State, 52-24. The Cardinal have usually done well following a loss, evidenced by their 14-4 ATS mark their last 18 in this spot. With Love returning tonight I like Stanford to get back to winning. Play Stanford. |
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10-18-18 | Broncos v. Cardinals +1.5 | 45-10 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
Arizona lost last week at Minnesota, 17-27, though they did push the 10-point line. They have now covered three of their last four with a push. After a rough start to the season that saw the Cardinals give up 58 points in their first two weeks, they have played solid defense, allowing more than 20 points just one time in their last four games. The Cardinals still have the last ranked offense in the league and the 24th ranked defense, though they have played much better. Denver has now lost their last four games after starting the season 2-0. The Broncos lost at home last week to the Rams, 20-23. You have to wonder how much longer head coach Vance Joseph will be around. Despite adding Case Keenum at QB, the offense has produced more than 20 points just one time this season and that was opening week. The Cardinals are a slight dog here on Thursday. I see this as two teams headed in opposite directions with the Broncos sliding down while the Cardinals look to be improving. I'm taking the Cardinals here on Thursday. |
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10-15-18 | 49ers v. Packers -9 | 30-33 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
The 49ers lost last week at home to the Cardinals, 18-28 as three-point home favorites. The 49ers season pretty much was blown with the loss of QB Jimmy Garoppolo. Now they rely on CJ Beathard. Beathard ins't bad, but this team really isn't good. They scored 10 points less than Arizona despite having 40 more offensive plays. Of course, the five turnovers they had didn't help. Green Bay meanwhile lost at Detroit, 23-31. They fell behind early and could never catch up. Aaron Rodgers threw for 423 yards, but the Packers magic just didn't happen. Green Bay's offense still ranks 10th in the NFL while San Francisco's is 15th. The Packers have covered the last two meetings with the 49ers in 20015 and 2014. Moreover, the Packers are now 11-4-2 ATS their last 17 meetings with the 49ers. I like the Packers here tonight against a 49ers team that has to start thinking of next year. Play Green Bay. |
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10-14-18 | Chiefs v. Patriots -3 | 40-43 | Push | 0 | 107 h 32 m | Show | |
 Huge matchup here as the 5-0 Kansas City Chiefs take on the New England Patriots. The Chiefs have had an amazing first quarter of the season, covering all five games and going over in three of the five. The Chiefs offense has scored at least 27 points in each game. As good as their offense is, the defense is ranked last in the NFL in yards with 462 per game. That will be tested here this week against Tom Brady and Company. The Patriots started the season 1-2, but since then have beaten Miami 38-7 and last week the Colts 38-24. The offense has scored 76 points over the last two weeks and should do well again here vs the last place defense of the Chiefs. The Pats are laying 3.5 points here and while that may seem like a great take for the undefeated Chiefs, I like the Patriots. Once Tom Brady and Bill Belichick get rolling, they steam roll over teams. I think this is the week for the Chiefs to come back to earth and lose. Take New England. |
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10-14-18 | Ravens v. Titans +3 | 21-0 | Loss | -130 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
The Titans come into today's game with a 3-2 S/U and ATS record. They are coming off a last second loss at Buffalo last week, 12-13. If not for that last second loss, the team would be 4-1 and alone at the top of the AFC South standings. As it is now, the Titans are tied with the Jaguars for the AFC South lead, one game ahead of Houston. The Ravens are in 2nd place in the AFC North, one game behind the Cincinnati Bengals. The Ravens are coming off their OT loss at Cleveland last week, 9-12. The Ravens could manage just three field goals against a under rated Browns defense. The Ravens are now 1-2 S/U and ATS on the road. The Titans are now 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 on the grass. Tennessee is 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games vs the Ravens and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five at Tennessee. I like the Titans here against a Ravens team that has struggled on the road. Play Tennessee. |
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10-14-18 | Seahawks -2.5 v. Raiders | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 99 h 12 m | Show | |
 The Seattle Seahawks gave the LA Rams all they could handle last week, barely losing 31-33. After opening the season 0-2, the Seahawks have put together three straight impressive games. Now they have to travel to Oakland to take on the reeling Raiders. Oakland got its first win of the season two weeks ago, but came away with a very poor performance last week at the Chargers, losing 10-26. The Raiders have the 6th ranked offense, but the 30th ranked defense. Seattle is 11-4-2 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss. The Raiders are 5-12-2 ATS int heir last 19 games overall. The Raiders have the offense to play with anyone, but their defense is a liability. Maybe they should have signed Khalil Mack? Ya think? I'm taking the Seahawks here on Sunday. |
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10-13-18 | Boise State -16.5 v. Nevada | 31-27 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
Boise State will try and regroup this week after losing at home last week to San Diego State, 13-19. Boise could manage just 229 total yards in that loss despite have 21 more offensive plays then San Diego State. The Broncos did commit three turnovers and will have to cut down on those mistakes here today. Nevada has quietly gone 3-3 S/U and 2-4 ATS this year. The Wolfpack are coming off a loss at home to Fresno State, 3-21 as 16.5 point dogs.Nevada had 34 more offensive plays in that loss, but could only manage three points. They also outgained Fresno, 327 to 271. The problem came on three turnovers for the Pack. The Broncos usually do well on the road, going 8-2 ATS their last 10 away. Nevada is 1-4 ATS on the season and 8-17 ATS their last 25 games in October. I expect a good team like Boise to rebound here against an overmatched Nevada club. Play Boise State. |
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10-13-18 | Wisconsin +10 v. Michigan | 13-38 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
Wisconsin saw it's playoff hopes likely gone when they lost at home to unranked BYU a few weeks ago, 21-24 as 23.5 point favorites. The Badgers did bounce back with wins at Iowa and then last week at home vs Nebraska, 41-24. The Badgers are 4-1 S/U and 1-4 ATS on the season. Michigan lost it's opening game of the season at home to Notre Dame, 17-24. Since then they are 5-0 S/U and 3-2 ATS. Michigan has the top ranked overall defense in the country with a 231 yards per game average. Their redzone efficiency isn't the best at 79.1%. Wisconsin ranks 40th in the country in total defense and has a better 61.9% redzone efficiency. The Badgers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games. Meanwhile, the Wolverines are just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 vs a winning team. I think this game will be much closer than the oddsmakers do. The Badgers currently a 10-point dog. I'll take Wisconsin here on Saturday. |
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10-13-18 | Army -15 v. San Jose State | 52-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
San Jose State is coming off a loss at home to Colorado State, 30-42 as three-point dogs. They are now 3-2 ATS and 0-5 S/U on the season. They have allowed at least 31 points in ever game and over 40 points in three of their five games. Meanwhile, Army has been a very good team all season, posting a 3-2 S/U and 3-1-1 ATS mark. The Black Knights are coming off a impressive win at Buffalo, 42-13 as seven-point road dogs. The Knights played Oklahoma very tough the week before, losing just 21-28 at Norman as 30-point dogs. Army is now 5-2 ATS in its last seven road gaems and 4-1-1 ATS in its last six non-conference games. San Jose is just 4-9 ATs in their last 13 at home vs a winning team and 2-6-1 ATS their last nine games following a ATS loss. I like Army here, they are a much better class of team and it will show today. Play Army. |
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10-13-18 | Washington v. Oregon +3.5 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
Oregon rebounded nicely from that devastating loss at home three weeks ago to the Stanford Cardinal, 31-38. They had that game in hand before some strange events led to that loss. Still, Oregon has the 15th rated offense behind Heisman hopeful quarterback Justin Herbert. Oregon has scored at least 31 points in all five of their games this season. Washington opened the season with that loss at Auburn, 16-21. Since then, they are 5-0 S/U and 2-3 ATS. The Huskies had some trouble last week with UCLA, winning just 31-24 as 21.5 point road favorites. The defense has been very good, ranked 14th and allowing 24 points or fewer in every game this season. This game promises to highlight the Oregon offense vs the Washington defense. Oregon had the week off to prepare for this game. I like the Ducks here with Hebert at the helm. Play Oregon. |
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10-13-18 | Louisville v. Boston College -13 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
Louisville has struggled offensively this season, ranked just 116th in the country in total offense. They have a decent redzone efficiency, when they get there, with a 70.5% rating. The Cardinals are coming off a drubbing at the hands of Georgia Tech, 31-66. The 31 points did match their season high though. Louisville is just 1-5 ATS and 2-3 S/U on the season. Boston College started the season 3-0, but has gone 1-2 since then. The Eagles are 4-2 ATS on the season. Boston College has the 41st rated offense with 450 yards per game. Louisville is now 3-13 ATS their last 16 games when playing on fieldturf, as they will today. They are also 2-10 ATS against winning teams their last 12 games. Meanwhile, BC is 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games and 10-3-1 ATS their last 14 at home vs a team with a losing record. I like BC here, they have the much better offense and that's what's going to get it done today. Take Boston College |
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10-12-18 | Air Force v. San Diego State -10.5 | 17-21 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
 Air Force comes off their big rivalry win over Navy, 35-7. The win was just the second of the season against three losses for the Falcons. Now Air Force must play a very tough San Diego State squad. The Aztecs are also coming off a big road win at Boise State, 19-13. It was the team's fourth straight win after opening the season after a loss at Stanford, 10-31. Air Force has the 96th ranked offense with 371 yards per game while San Diego State is 110th with 350 yards per game. The big difference comes in defense, where San Diego State ranks 17th. They allow a college football 2nd best low of 62 yards rushing per game. Considering that the backbone of this Air Force team is their rushing attack, they will be up against it tonight against one of the best rushing defenses in the county. I like San Diego State to shut down the Falcons ground game here tonight. Play San Diego State. |
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10-11-18 | Eagles v. Giants +3 | 34-13 | Loss | -100 | 35 h 32 m | Show | |
The NY Giants seem to be in every game this year, but come up just short. They did it again last week, taking a late fourth quarter lead over Carolina, 31-30 before losing on a late field goal, 31-33. The Giants offense ranks just 25th, but they have been much better than that of late. The defense is 12th and is what is keeping them close in these games. Things just keep getting worse for the Eagles. They lost again last week, this time to the Minnesota Vikings, 21-23. Now, they lose starting running back Jay Ajayi for the season with a knee injury. Rumors have it the Eagles are in the trade market for Cardinals back David Johnson or Steelers RB Le'von Bell. The Eagles have also covered just one game this season at 1-4 ATS. Both teams come back on the short week here playing on Thursday night. I think the Giants are healthier and right now look to be the better team. I'll take the Giants as a home dog here on Thursday. Play New York. |
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10-09-18 | Appalachian State -10 v. Arkansas State | Top | 35-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
Appalachian State has covered all four games so far this season and in big fashion. They opened with a tough game at Penn State, giving the Nittany Lions all they could handle in a 38-45 loss as 23.5 point dogs. Then they proceeded to outscore their next three opponents 169-23! Conversely, Arkansas State is 1-4 ATS and has a 3-2 S/U mark. They are coming off a loss at Georgia Southern, 21-28, as 3.5 point road favorites. Ark State will have its hands full with the 11th ranked offense in the country today. Not only that, but their offense will have to face a Appalachian State squad that also has the 6th ranked defense in the country. Sure, you can take that with a grain of salt since they play a weaker than FBS schedule. Still, this is not a good FBS team in Arkansas State. I think this is a very overmatched Arkansas State team here today that will find the going tough. Take Appalachian State. |
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10-08-18 | Redskins +6 v. Saints | Top | 19-43 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 52 m | Show |
The Redskins have had two weeks to prepare for the Saints, as they had last week off. Washington is 2-1 both S/U and ATS so far after their big win over the Packers, 31-17. Washington is ranked 13th in the NFL in offense with 383 yards per game. It's the defense that has been very good, ranked 3rd in the NFL. The Saints offense is once again very good, ranked 4th in the NFL with 418 yards per game. The defense is ranked 24th, allowing 391 yards per game, of which 311 are through the air. The Saints started the season 0-2, but have rebounded with wins over Atlanta and the Giants. The Redskins have covered the last six in this series and are 4-0 ATS the last four in New Orleans. With the week off to prepare, I like the Redskins here with the points. Play Washington. |
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10-07-18 | Raiders +6 v. Chargers | Top | 10-26 | Loss | -116 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
Oakland got that much needed first win for Jon Gruden last week at home over the Browns in OT, 45-42. The Browns blew a late lead and the Raiders rallied. The Raiders had come close in just about every game this year, with the exception of the Rams contest on opening day. The Chargers, I fully expected this team to be much better then they have shown thus far. The Chargers did pull out the home win last week over the 49ers, 29-27. However, they were a 10-point favorite, so again they didn't live up to expectations. The Chargers are now 2-2 on the season and 1-3 ATS. The Chargers are now 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. The Raiders have covered seven of the last nine in this series at both San Diego/LA. The dog has also been really good play here, covering 15 of the last 18 meetings. I'm taking the points here with the Raiders who now have that win under their belt. Play Oakland. |
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10-07-18 | Giants +7 v. Panthers | 31-33 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
The Giants have pretty much been in every game so far this season. The rebuilding job they did in the off season is evident, though they still have a ways to go. They also need to give Eli Manning more time, as the offensive line has been suspect. Not suspect has been the play of RB Suquon Barkley, who has lived up to every expectation thus far. The Giants are 1-3 S/U and ATS so far, though their play hasn't been reflective of their record. The defense has been much improved this year, ranked 12th in the NFL. Carolina, usually known for its defense, ranks behind the Giants at 14th. Carolina had last week off after beating Cincinnati at home, 31-21 the prior week. The Panthers are 2-1 both S/U and ATS. The dog is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series. In addition, the Giants are 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings. I think the Giants getting 6 1/2 or even 7 here is too many points the way their defense has kept them in games. The Giants have the offensive weapons, they just need to put it all together. Play New York. |
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10-07-18 | Falcons v. Steelers -3 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
Atlanta is in desperate need of a win here today as they have fallen to 1-3 S/U and ATS on the season. The Falcons have given up 80 points in their last two games. Atlanta does have the 7th ranked offense in the NFL with 411 yards per game. But when you have the 27th ranked defense, you can't always outscore the opposition, as they have found out the last two games. Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in their last six games and 1-8 ATS in their last nine on grass. Pittsburgh also could use a win here after losing at home to Baltimore last week, 14-26. The Steelers are 1-2-1 on the season and 1-3 ATS. Both teams can look at this game as pivotal if they hope to make the post season. Falcons are not a good grass team and it's always tough playing in Pittsburgh. I'm taking the Steelers here on Sunday |
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10-07-18 | Packers +1.5 v. Lions | 23-31 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
Green Bay has had to play with QB Aaron Rodgers and his hurt knee all season. Still, Rodgers continues to produce wins as the Packers are now 2-1-1 S/U and 2-2 ATS. If not for that controversial call on Mathews in the Vikings contest, the Pack would be 3-1. The offense has been good, not great, but with Rodgers hurting I'm not surprised they have played more conservatively. The Lions have the 11th ranked offense. The offense is led by Mathew Stafford and once again they have almost no running game to speak of. Detroit has gone over in three of their four games. The Packers have gone over in 21 of their last 27 games, 20 of the last 26 vs the NFC and are 37-17 O/U their last 54 road games. The Lions are 8-3 O/U in their last 11 home games and 8-2 O/U last 10 vs the NFC. The over is 5-0 the last five meetings between these teams. Even though the offenses aren't as good as previous years, I'm taking the OVER here today. |
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10-06-18 | Notre Dame -6.5 v. Virginia Tech | 45-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show | |
Notre Dame kept their national championship hopes alive with their fifth win last week at home over Stanford, 38-17. The drubbing of ranked Stanford will go a long way to helping them toward an undefeated season. The Irish really have just a season ending road game at USC as their real bump to that undefeated season. Though they can't look past Virginia Tech here today. The Irish have the 48th ranked offense at 442 yards per game and a red zone efficiency rating of 78.6% with 16 TD's in 22 trips. The Irish defense will be tasked with the nation's 27th ranked offense in Va Tech. Tech has 480 yards per game and a red zone efficiency of 79.5%. Va Tech is 3-1 S/U and ATS this season, coming off a 31-14 win at Duke. Tech has the 78th ranked defense, though they have allowed just six TD's in 12 red zone trips this year. This looks to be a very good matchup, but Notre Dame knows how much is on the line with this game. I'm taking the Irish here on Saturday. |
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10-06-18 | Florida State +14 v. Miami-FL | Top | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
Florida State is 3-2 S/U on the season, but just 1-4 ATS. The Seminoles are coming off a win at Louisville, 28-24, but failed to cover the 5-point spread. Miami is 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS after their win last week at home over North Carolina, 47-10. Miami finally got a win in this season last year, 24-20, snapping a FSU six game wins treak. FSU has also covered three of the last four in this series. Miami is a 14-point favorite here today. Which is strange considering that in the last 16 meetings, this game has been decided by seven points or less 14 times. Personally, I believe this is way too many points to give FSU here today. You can throw out the stats and the records because this is between the two biggest football powers in the state. I'm taking the points here with FSU. |
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10-06-18 | Iowa -7 v. Minnesota | 48-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
Iowa looks to get back on the winning track after suffering its first loss of the season two weeks ago at home to Wisconsin, 17-28. The Hawkeyes had a week to stew about that loss. They are still 3-1 both S/U and ATS on the season on boast one of the best defenses in the country. Iowa ranks third in the country in total defense, allowing just 261 yards per game. Minnesota is no slouch defensively, allowing a FBS 14th best 300 yards per game. The Golden Gophers are also 3-1 both S/U and ATS and had last week off. Minnesota lost the previous week at Maryland, 13-42, giving up more points to the Terps then they did in the previous three games combined. Iowa is 19-9 ATS in their last 28 road games while Minnesota is just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six vs a winning team. The road team is 3-1-1 the last five in this series and that's just what I look for today, an Iowa win and cover. |
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10-04-18 | Colts v. Patriots -10 | Top | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 24 h 46 m | Show |
One thing I realize is that when the Patriots begin to roll, you best get on board or get out of the way. We saw that last week as New England steamrolled over Miami. As for the Colts, they rallied to tie Houston last week and then in OT a 4th and 5 in their own territory didn't work out, giving Houston the ball and the win. It was a controversial move by HC Frank Reich who later stated that he would do that 10 out of 10 times. Well, I'm not sure a tie is a bad thing in that spot, but a loss sure feels worse. Now they play the short week by traveling to Foxboro to play the Patriots. Good news for the Patriots is the return of Julian Edelman after serving his four-game suspension. Edleman has long been a favorite target of Tom Brady. Colts QB Andrew Luck continues to look more and more comfortable. Luck passed for 464 yards last week against the Texans. Luck may be without his top target in T.Y Hilton, who was injured last week. However, even with Luck looking better and better, I like the Patriots here. With Edelman back and the way they looked last week I have no problem laying the number here. Play New England. |
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09-30-18 | Ravens +3.5 v. Steelers | Top | 26-14 | Win | 100 | 60 h 29 m | Show |
The Baltimore Ravens improved to 2-1 after last week's win at home over the Broncos, 27-14. Baltimore shut down the Broncos in the second half, holding them scoreless after leading 20-14 at the half. The Ravens have the top rated defense in the league thus far, allowing just 273 yards per game this season. They will put that to the test at Pittsburgh this week. The Steelers were in a dogfight at Tampa Bay last Monday. The Steelers used a lot of pressure to force Bucs QB Ryan Fitzpatrick into first half mistakes that got the Steelers out to a 30-10 halftime lead. The Bucs rallied in the second half, cutting that lead to 30-27 into the fourth quarter. One glaring issue for the Steelers has been penalties. They have had at least 12 penalties in three straight games. Penalties have been a killer for the Steelers this season. The Steelers defense has also been burned by the TD pass, allowing nine in the last two weeks. The Steelers were able to hold onto that late lead in Tampa Bay, but their problems run deep. I like the Ravens, who have the defensive advantage. Play Baltimore. |
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09-30-18 | Saints v. Giants +3.5 | 33-18 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 24 m | Show | |
The Giants finally put together an entire game, great play calling and execution by QB Eli Manning and running and passing all came together. The Giants beat the Houston Texans last week on the road, 27-20 and never trailed. The Giants were +2 in turnovers and Eli completed 86% of his passes on 25-for-29 on 265 yards. The Saints had to keep coming from behind last week, something they have done all season. The Saints tied the game at Atlanta late and then took the ball in OT and never gave it back, scoring a touchdown for the 43-37 win. It's no surprise New Orleans is fourth in the league in offense with 428 yards per game. However, their defense has been horrible, third worst in the NFL. The Giants still not getting much respect from oddsmakers as they are a 3.5 point home dog here. The Giants have been competitive and the way the Saints give up yardage, I'll take the Giants her with the points. Play New York. |
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09-29-18 | Oregon v. California +2 | Top | 42-24 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 55 m | Show |
Can Oregon rebound after last week's shocking home loss to Stanford? I don't know, but they likely will have some carry over here to this game. The Ducks outplayed the Stanford Cardinal the entire game. The Ducks could have taken a 31-7 lead in the third quarter, but a called back TD followed by a fumble and 80-yard Stanford return for a TD started the fall. Now they have to hit the road at Cal. The Bears are 3-0 S/U after beating Idaho State last week, 45-23. The Ducks are just 6-14 ATS in their last 20 conference games and 2-5 ATS following an ATS loss. In addition, Oregon is 8-22-1 ATS their last 31 overall. The home team has covered eight of the last 10 meetings in this series. I'm taking Cal here on Saturday. |
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09-29-18 | Toledo v. Fresno State -9.5 | 27-49 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show | |
Toledo is 2-1 both S/U and ats to start the season. They are coming off a shoot-out win over Nevada, 63-44. Toledo has the 39th rated offense with 466 yards per game and a redzone efficiency rating of 86.9%. Fresno State is also 2-1 both S/U and ATS. The Bulldogs are coming off a win over UCLA, 38-14. Fresno has the 75th rated offense with 402 yards per game and a 79% redzone efficiency. The Bulldogs have been very good vs the number, going 20-5-1 ATS their last 26 overall games and 7-2 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. I like the home team here on Saturday. Play Fresno State. |
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09-29-18 | Stanford v. Notre Dame -5 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
This is one of the top marquee matchups of the day for Saturday as No 7 Stanford plays at No 8 Notre Dame. Stanford got the miracle win last week at Oregon. The Ducks fumbled late on a play they should have been kneeling on, giving life to the Cardinal who took advantage and rallied for the win, 38-31. That kept Stanford's final four hopes alive as they remained unbeaten at 4-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS. Notre Dame hasn't had it as easy, but they are 4-0 S/U and 2-2 ATS. The Irish are coming off a big win at Wake Forest, 56-27. The Irish have won nine straight home games vs ranked opponents. They are laying just five in this game at home. I like the Irish here. Play Notre Dame. |
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09-29-18 | Boise State -17 v. Wyoming | 34-14 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
To put it bluntly, Wyoming is not a good team. They lost Josh Allen to the NFL and now they are not even an average team. The Cowboys barely got by Wofford last time out, 17-14 as 14.5 point favorites. The Cowboys covered their first game of the season vs New Mexico State. However, since then they are 0-3 ATS and have been outscored 95-49. Boise State is the odds on favorite to win the Mountain West. They opened teh season with two blowout wins. Then two weeks ago they went to Oklahoma State and lost, 21-44. They had last week off to stew about that loss. I fully expect the Broncos to take out their frustration this week on Wyoming. Boise has the 6th ranked offense in the country while Wyoming is 122nd. This one won't be close as Boise in a blowout win. Play Boise State. |
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09-28-18 | UCLA v. Colorado -9 | 16-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
UCLA had a much needed week off after their loss at home to Fresno State, 14-38. The Bruins are now 0-3 S/U and 1-2 ATS in the young season. UCLA has struggled offensively so far under HC Chip Kelly. Kelly, long known as a offensive strategist hasn't been able to get his Bruins offense on track. UCLA has played QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson, a freshman, a lot at QB. However, expect to see both QB's here tonight, both Thompson-Robinson and Wilton Speight. Not sure it will matter much against a Colorado defense that ranks 67th in the country. Colorado has allowed only five trips into their redzone this year with just two of those turning into TD's. UCLA ranks 90th and has allowed 16 trips into the redzone with 13 TD's, one of the worst Redzone efficiencies in the country (86.6%). The Buffaloes can go 4-0 with a win tonight for the first time in 20 years. UCLA has been outscored 52-113 this year and I don't see that changing much tonight. I'm taking Colorado and laying the points. |
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09-27-18 | Vikings +7.5 v. Rams | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
I think we have to really discard last week's lackluster effort by the Vikings. They were clearly looking past the inept Bills to tonight's game with the Rams. Only problem was, the Bills showed up and kicked their behinds to the tune of 27-6. In fact, the Vikings didn't even score until late in the 4th quarter. Minnesota had three turnovers to no takeaways and rushed for a paltry 14 yards. The Rams, they cruised to victory over their intra-city rivals, the Chargers, 35-23. The Rams offense continues to thrive, however their much anticipated defense took some hits last week.The Rams lost CB Marcus Peters (calf) who will not likely play tonight. They also lost CB Aqib Talib to an ankle injury and the IR list. That's a big loss at both starting corners. The Vikings should get their running game back tonight with the return of Dalvin Cook who returns from a hamstring injury. I believe we get to see the real Vikings tonight. This is just way too many points to give a team of this caliber. With Cook returning I look for the Vikings to cover this number tonight. Play the Vikings. |
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09-23-18 | Chargers +7.5 v. Rams | 23-35 | Loss | -115 | 79 h 43 m | Show | |
 We get our first meeting of this new LA rivalry as the the Rams host the Chargers. The Rams are coming off their shut-out win over the Cardinals last week, 34-0. They lost one of the best place kickers in the league in Greg Zuerlein, who strained his groin. Zuerlein is expected to miss a few weeks. The Chargers lost in week one to the Chiefs, but bounced back last week with a win at Buffalo, 31-20. The Chargers have the third ranked offense right now with the Rams being seventh. Both teams have plenty to offer with the Rams being the better defensive team. The Chargers aren't terrible on defense, currently ranked 9th in yards. I think the seven points is too much here for the Rams to lay to a very good offensive. Play the Chargers. |
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09-23-18 | Colts +7 v. Eagles | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 76 h 37 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia offense needs something to infuse some life into them. The Eagles are 24th in the league in offense after two weeks and this week they look to be without starting RB Jay Ajayi and Darren Spoles. They are already missing their best receiver in Alshon Jeffrey, who is week to week at this point. The only good news is that it looks like QB Carson Wentz is set to make his return. Will he have anyone to throw to, that's the question? The Colts have looked better now that QB Andrew Luck is back and has a couple of games under his belt. The Colts beat the Redskins on the road last week, 21-9. The Eagles lost at Tampa Bay, 21-27. Even though Wentz is back, he's been off a long time and will need game reps to get back into a groove. I'm taking the Colts here against a still, injured Eagles offense. Play Indianapolis. |
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09-23-18 | Raiders v. Dolphins -3 | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 76 h 36 m | Show | |
 The surprising Miami Dolphins are 2-0 to start the season. Miami won at the NY Jets last week, 20-12 even though they ran just 54 offensive plays. The Dolphins used their ground game to rush for 135 yards. The 0-2 Oakland Raiders could have easily won at Denver last week, but a missed extra point and a last second Denver field goal did them in, 19-20. Now the Raiders have to make the cross country trip Eastward to play in the very humid heat of Miami. This will be a tough environment for the Raiders to play in today. What even surprises me more is that the Dolphins are just a three-point home favorite here today. Not sure what the oddsmakers are thinking in this one. Sure, it's still the Dolphins, but until they lose and the Raiders win, I'm stick with the home club here. Play the Dolphins. |
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09-23-18 | Saints +3 v. Falcons | 43-37 | Win | 100 | 76 h 36 m | Show | |
 The New Orleans Saints are fortunate to not be 0-2 going into this big division rivalry game at Atlanta. The Saints needed a late field goal to beat the Browns, 21-18. The Saints trailed by double digits in the 2nd half of their game vs the Browns. Both of these clubs are right in the middle of the NFL in offense, while the Saints are 29th in defense and Atlanta is 11th. The Falcons had to play last week without star running back Devonta Freeman, who missed their game vs the Panthers with an ankle injury. Initially it looked like Freeman was out for weeks, but now he's Day-to-Day. The Falcons beat the Panthers last week at home, 31-24. The NFC South looks to be one of the tightest divisions in football this year with Tampa Bay at 2-0 and then the Falcons, Panthers and Saints all at 1-1. I like the points here today with the Saints. The Saints always seem to start the season slow and I look for them to do even better here today. Take New Orleans. |
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09-23-18 | Broncos v. Ravens -5 | Top | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 76 h 37 m | Show |
 The Denver Broncos could easily be 0-2, but instead are 2-0 as they head East to play the Ravens. The Broncos beat the Seahawks in a back-and-forth battle in week one and then came from behind in the second half last week to beat the Raiders, 20-19 on a last second field goal. Raiders QB Carr was very good in this game, hitting on 29-of-32 passes for 281 yards. The loss of LB Kahlil Mack has really hit this Raiders team hard, no matter what head coach Jon Gruden says. The Ravens dismantled the Bills in week one and then lost to the Bengals last week, 23-34. Three turnovers to none hurt Baltimore in this loss. The Ravens had more yards than the Bengals, 425-373 and more offensive plays 77 to 70. But turnovers can be a killer and those three were big in this contest. The Broncos were lucky to be 2-0 and the Ravens are really unlucky to be 1-1. I believe the Ravens are the much better team here early in the season. Take Baltimore. |
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09-22-18 | Louisiana Tech +21 v. LSU | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
 Louisiana Tech had last week off after a easy game the week before against Southern U. Tech beat Southern 54-17 and is now 2-0 after their week 1 win over South Alabama, 30-26. The two wins moved the offense up to 17th in the country with 527 average yards per game. They also have one of the highest red zone efficiencies with a 87.3% rating after getting seven TD's in nine red-zone trips. LSU opened the season with a nice win over Miami Florida, 33-17 and then an easy win over SE Louisiana, 31-0 before their big showdown with Auburn last week. LSU beat Auburn 22-21 as 10-point dogs. My issue here is a letdown for LSU following that huge win. Plus, they are playing in-state rival La Tech, which would like nothing better than to beat LSU for recruiting reasons. I'm taking the points here with the Tech. They have a very good offense and I'm look for a LSU letdown. Play Louisiana Tech. |
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09-22-18 | NC State v. Marshall +6 | 37-20 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 9 m | Show | |
NC State had last week off after opening the season with a pair of wins. NC State looked slugish in their opening game at home vs James Madison, winning just 24-13 as a 14-point favorite. The did play better in week two with a win at home over Georgia State, 41-7. Now they take to the road for their first away game of the season. Marshall also had last week off after beating Eastern Ky the week before, 32-16 and Miami Ohio in week one, 35-28. These teams have met just once in the last 10 years and that was last season. NC State beat Marshall at home, 37-20, but failed to cover the 23.5 point line. NC State is just 2-5 ATS in their last seven vs a non-conference opponent. Marshall has fared much better, going 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 non-conference games. I like Marshall here on Saturday plus the points. Take Marshall. |
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09-22-18 | Kansas +7.5 v. Baylor | 7-26 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
Kansas should be 3-0 to start the season, but a opening week shocking loss to Nicholls State has them with that one blemish. They did bounce back with a win at Central Michigan, 31-7 and then a blowout win at home over Rutgers last week, 55-14. Baylor opened with a pair of softball games vs Abilene Christian and Texas San Antonio, winning those easily. Then last week, the Bears lost at home to Duke, 27-40 as a 6.5 point favorite. Kansas ranks well defensively, 15th as they allow 294 yards per game. Baylor ranks 68th defensively. Baylor does not do well when installed as the favorite, evidenced by their 5-14 ATS mark the last 19 tries. These teams in my opinion are evenly matched. Yet, the oddsmakers have installed the Bears as a 9.5 point favorite and they have dropped to 7.5. There is still good value in that number since I have this game closer to a 3-point line. Take Kansas plus the points. |
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09-22-18 | Louisville v. Virginia -5 | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
ACC battle here between Louisville and Virginia. Louisville has potential, but the offense has not been good. The Cardinals scored 14 points in their opening week loss at Alabama, then 31 vs Indiana State (as a 42-point favorite) and last week just got past Western Kentucky, 20-17 as a 22-point favorite. The Cardinals are 0-3 ATS and ranked 120th in the country in total offense. Virginia us 3-0 ATS after wins over Richmond, and Ohio U. They lost at Indiana, but covered the seven-point dog line. Virginia is 55th in offense and 42nd in defense. Virginia has covered three of the last four years these teams have met. I'm taking the home team here in Virginia. |
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09-22-18 | Boston College v. Purdue +7 | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 15 h 7 m | Show | |
 No 23 Boston College has looked good so far this year, especially on offense where they have scored 55, 62 and 41 points in their three wins. Sure, it's been against U Mass, Holy Cross and Wake Forest. They rank 11th right now in the country with 577 yards per game. Purdue is no slouch on offense, ranking 19th. The Boilermakers came close to a upset at home last week over Missouri, losing 37-40 as 6.5 point home dogs. This will be the fourth straight home game for Purdue, who takes to the road for three of its next four after this week. This is a non-conference game and Purdue is 6-1 ATS the last seven times vs non conference opponents. Purdue should be up for this game after starting the season 0-3 at home. They get a ranked opponent coming into Ross Ade Stadium. BC is ranked, but I like the points here with Purdue who will be ready for them with a good offense. Take Purdue. |
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09-22-18 | Georgia v. Missouri +15 | 43-29 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
 Big game here as Georgia takes on Missouri. Georgia is 3-0 after some easy wins over Austin Peay and Middle Tennessee State. This will be the first real challenge for Georgia. Missouri is also 3-0 with wins over Tenn-Martin, Wyoming and then last week at Purdue, 40-37. Both these teams rank high offensively by virtue of their competition. Missouri is 7th with 589 yards per game and Georgia is 32nd with 488 yards per game. Georgia ranks 7th defensively while Missouri falls to 74th. Missouri is 9-3 ATS their last 12 games and have covered four of the last five times they have met Georgia. I believe Missouri has too good of an offense to be getting 14 points at home here. While I don't expect them to win outright, I wouldn't be shocked if they did. Take the points with Missouri. |
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09-21-18 | Washington State v. USC -4.5 | 36-39 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
 PAC-12 clash here tonight as USC hosts Washington State. The WSU Cougars are 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS to start the season. However, I have to take that with a grain of salt. They beat, what is now a bad Wyoming team, 41-19 and then San Jose 31-0 and Eastern Washington 59-24. They really have not had any test yet. So tonight will be their first real test of the season. USC is 1-2 S/U and 0-3 ATS. They opened with a win over UNLV 43-21 and then lost at Stanford 3-17 and at Texas 14-37. Unlike Washington State, the Trojans have had two real tough games and a very pesky UNLV to deal with. They return home here tonight. The Cougars are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games and 0-5 ATS on their last five grass games. While Washington State has been the better team on paper, they have not really face a good team yet. I'm taking USC to bounce back here tonight. Play Southern Cal. |
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09-17-18 | Seahawks +4.5 v. Bears | 17-24 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
Seattle lost their opener last week at Denver, 24-27. The Seahawks ran just 49 plays to the Broncos 71 and both teams had three turnovers. The Broncos totaled 470 yards to just 306 by the Seahawks. Still, Seattle lost by just three points, pushing the 3-point line. The Bears had the bad luck of the Aaron Rogers comeback last week. The Bears led 21-3 before Rogers re-entered the game and led that amazing fourth-quarter comeback win, 24-23. It remains to be seen if the events of that loss will carry over to this week. These teams have met only one time since 2013 with the Seahawks winning at home, 26-0 as 15-point favorites. I expect the Bears will not let last week's shock carry over, but still, QB Russel Wilson will be tough to contain as the Seahawks cover this game. Play Seattle. |
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09-16-18 | Giants +3 v. Cowboys | 13-20 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
The Giants came up a bit short last week vs a very good defensive team in Jacksonville, 15-20. But two things you can take out of that game, 1) Saquon Barkley is the real deal and 2) the Giants defense is much improved this season. Can't say the same for the Cowboys, who's offense sputtered all game against the Panthers, losing 8-16. Dallas had just 94 rushing yards and 138 passing yads for 232 total yards. The Giants, despite playing one of the best defenses in the NFL, had 114 yards on the ground and 210 through the air for 324. They actually out-gained Jacksonville, 324 to 305. The Cowboys return home and I'm afraid we could be hearing some boos tonight after they see this pathetic offense that has no wide receivers. I'm taking the points with the Giants here tonight. |
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09-16-18 | Chargers -7 v. Bills | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 140 h 36 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills showed us in the regular season debut at Baltimore just what we saw in the preseason, lots of problems, especially with their offensive line. They had almost not rushing attack and no passing game. The Bills didn't even get their first first down until the second half of the game. The Ravens rolled to a 47-3 easy win over Buffalo. Josh Allen replaced Peterman in the game and it looks like going forward Allen will be the starter. The Chargers had their problems with the Chiefs offense that was let by Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs jumped out early and never looked back in a 30-13 win over the Chargers. I'm not putting too much into that opening game by the Chargers. This team has a very good defenses. The Bolts were without one of their best defensive players in DE Joey Bosa. Melvin Gordon was good as usual, gaining 166 yards in rushing and passing. The Bills were just embarrassing last week and will that change here today? I don't think so. The Chargers defense is very good, despite what we saw last week and they will take advantage of this Bills offense that just isn't clicking with anything right now. Lay the points with the LA Chargers. |
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09-16-18 | Colts +6 v. Redskins | 21-9 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
 The Indianapolis Colts looked pretty good last week, well at least for the first half of the game. They didn't in the second half as the Bengals came-from-behind to win, 34-23. QB Andrew Luck returned for the first time in two seasons, completing 39-of-53 passes for 305 yards, two TD's and one INT. In fact, the Colts had run 75 plays compared to just 48 for the Bengals. Meanwhile, Washington dominated the Arizona Cardinals last week, 24-6. The Redskins found a rushing game in Andrian Peterson, who with Chris Thompson combined for 182 yards on the ground. The Skins ran 72 plays compared to just 49 for the Cardinals. Today, the Colts are a six-point road dog. I believe the oddsmakers are giving the Redskins a bit too much credit for last week's win. In addition, now that Luck has some game action under his belt we'll see even better results from him. I'm taking the points here and wouldn't be surprised by a Colts outright win. Play Indianapolis. |
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09-15-18 | Washington v. Utah +5 | 21-7 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 0 m | Show | |
Utah played at Northern Illinois last week and pushed the 11-point line, winning 17 -6. The game easily going under the 49 total. The Utes rushed for just 68 yards, but did pass for 286. Both Utah and NIU had two turnovers. The Utah defense held the Huskies to just 228 total yards and 111 yards passing. Meanwhile, Washington has yet to cover a spread in two attempts after an easy home win over North Dakota, 45-3. They just missed the cover of the 45.5 point line. Washington had an easy week with 632 total yards to just 262. That makes this a tough road game for Washington after that softball they were tossed last week. The Huskies are laying points at Utah and I like home dogs, especially ones that have good defenses. The Utah defense has allowed a total of 16 points in its two games and I like them as the home dog here on Saturday night. Play Utah. |
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09-15-18 | Missouri v. Purdue +7 | 40-37 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
 Purdue coming off a loss last week at home vs Eastern Michigan. The Boilermakers lost as a home favorite, 19-20, giving up 15-points. Purdue allowed EMU 347 yards through the air and just 69 on the ground. Purdue was the opposite, gaining 341 on the ground and just 135 through the air. Missouri had an easy time at home vs Wyoming, 40-13. The Tigers were 17.5 point home favorites. I had Missouri last week and as I stated then, that play was as much against Wyoming who I did not think was a very good team. Purdue usually does well in non-conference games, posting a 5-1 ATS mark their last six tries. I like the Boilermakers to rebound here at home and cover this game as a home dog. Take Purdue. |
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09-15-18 | South Florida -10.5 v. Illinois | 25-19 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
South Florida is 2-0 after beating Georgia Tech last game, 49-38 as a three-point home dog. The Bulls offense was prolific in that contest, totalling 426 yards, 219 of which were on the ground as they rushed for 5.1 yards per carry. They also had a very good yards per point average, with a a 8.69 number. Meanwhile Illinois played at home vs Western Illinois and won 34-14 as a eight-point home favorite. The Illini had 238 yards on the ground and controlled the game through their ground and pound approach. Illinois is now 1-1 ATS on the season and 0-2 O/U. The SF Bulls are now 7-1 ATS vs a team with a winning record their last eight games and 5-1 ATS in their last six vs the Big 10. The Fighting Illini are just 2-5 ATS vs non-conference opponents and 9-23 ATS following an ATS win. I'm taking the points here with the visitor. Take South Florida. |
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09-15-18 | Boise State +2 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 21-44 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
 Boise State has had little trouble in their first two games, beating Troy 56-20 and then last week defeating U Conn, 62-7 as a 33.5 point home favorite. The Broncos return to the road this week to face Oklahoma State. The Cowboys opened with a 58-17 win over Missouri State and then beat South Alabama last week, 55-13. They are 1-1 ATS, covering the 30.5 point line last week. This should be an interesting matchup between two teams with explosive offenses who really face their first challenge of the season. This is the bigger game for Boise, because they know that Oklahoma State might be their real only obstacle to a 12-0 season. The Broncos have looked forward to this game since Spring and will have everyone ready. Not only has Boise covered seven of their last nine games, but they are 45-22 ATS in their last 67 road games. I think this game just means a lot more to this Boise squad and I'm taking them here on Saturday afternoon. |
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09-09-18 | Bills v. Ravens -6 | 3-47 | Win | 100 | 742 h 22 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens played last week in the Hall of Fame game. The Ravens looked good, but could have lost late to the Bears. Chicago scored a late 4th quarter TD to pull within one point, but missed the 2-point conversion. We got our first look at the new defensive hitting rule, which looks very confusing. On a few occasions, defensive backs were flagged for roughness when the hits looked perfectly legal. This season should be filled with lots of controversy. As for tonight, I'm taking the Ravens. They have that first game under their belt and have worked out a few game kinks. Play Baltimore. |
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09-09-18 | Jaguars v. Giants +3 | 20-15 | Loss | -100 | 124 h 3 m | Show | |
The Giants have plenty of NEWs in their lineup heading into the season with new HC Pat Shurmur and OC Mike Shula preparing the team. First round pick Shaquon Barkley is the new workhorse at running back. This Giants teams will not have to rely on QB Eli Manning as much with Barkley in the backfield. The should be much more balanced. Shurmur ran the ball more than anyone when he was with the Vikings, so expect Barkley to get a lot of work. The Jags will once again be a running team with Leonard Fournette the workhorse. The defense was very good last year and will be so again this year. The Giants find themselves a home dog here today. I like that since I think the revamped Giants were going to win this game outright. I'll take the points though. Play New York. |
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09-08-18 | Michigan State v. Arizona State +5.5 | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 21 h 50 m | Show | |
Arizona State opened their season with an easy win over Texas San Antonio, 49-7 as a 18.5 point favorite. The Sun Devils rushed for 266 yards and passed for 237 yards. They were +3 in turnovers and held UTSA to just two yards rushing on 34 attempts. Michigan State didn't have it so easy, struggling at home to a narrow 38-31 win over Utah State as a 22.5 point favorite. The Spartans allowed 319 yards passing to Utah State and both teams had two turnovers. The Spartans did rely on their ground game, rushing for 165 yards on 42 carries. MSU must make the long trip West to play in Tempe tonight. ASU is a 5.5 point home dog and I believe ASU can win this game outright. I'll take the points here with the home team. |
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09-08-18 | USC v. Stanford -6 | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 33 h 57 m | Show | |
Stanford opened up last week with a nice home win over San Diego State, 31-10 as 14.5 point favorites. The Cardinal threw for 332 yards, but rushed for just 50 in the game. The defense held San Diego State to 113 yards passing and 150 yard on the ground for less then 270 total yards. USC struggled early against UNLV, but eventually took over the game en route to a win 43-21. However, they did not cover the 27.5 point line. UNLV rushed for 308 yards against the Trojan's defense, which has to be disconcerting for this USC club. USC did amass 501 totals yards in the game, but did give up 405 to the Rebels. Stanford is one of the best teams in the PAC-12 while I look at USC as being in a rebuilding mode. They proved it last week as UNLV ran wild on them. I'm taking the Cardinal here at home in week 2. |
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09-08-18 | New Mexico State v. Utah State -23 | 13-60 | Win | 100 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
Utah State showed very well last week at Big 10 Michigan State. The Aggies were 22.5 point dogs and came up just seven point shy in a loss to the Spartans, 31-38. UTS had their passing game in high gear, completing 29-of-44 passes for 319 yards. The Aggies also had just one less first down than Michigan State. New Mexico State went to 0-2 after losing to Wyoming in the opening day, 7-29 and then at Minnesota 10-48 in game two. New Mexico State's offense has not been clicking, scoring just 17 points in two games. They also garnered just 38 yards on the ground and got outgained 271-522 by the Gophers. Utah State should win this one going away against this New Mexico State team that looks way down from last year's bowl team. Play Utah State. |
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09-08-18 | Wyoming v. Missouri -19.5 | Top | 13-40 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
Wyoming is 1-1 with that extra game under its belt. The Cowboys are in a rebuilding year after losing Josh Allen to the NFL. The Cowboys opened with a nice road win at New Mexico State, 29-7. However, that game lost some luster when we have seen how bad New Mexico State is this season. The Cowboys then lost at home to Washington State, 19-41 as just 3-point dogs. It seems the oddsmakers may have given Wyoming a bit too much credit after that New Mexico State win too. Missouri opened with a easy win over Tennessee Martin, 51-14, covering the 33.5 point spread. The Tigers totaled 558 yards of offense and held UTM to just 277 yards. Hard to gauge these games against non-FBS opponents, but it's clear that Wyoming isn't as good as first thought. Wyoming is a big road dog here today and for good reason. Missouri should easily handle the Cowboys. Take Missouri. |
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09-08-18 | Georgia v. South Carolina +9.5 | 41-17 | Loss | -110 | 134 h 21 m | Show | |
South Carolina had an excellent season last year with a 9-4 record. Will Muschamp begins his third year at the helm of the Gamecocks team. The Gamecocks were very good against the spread, going 7-1 ATS and grabbing five dog upsets. That makes 16 times in the last two years the Gamecocks have been installed as the dog. No 3 Georgia finished 13-2 last season and missed a national championship by one play. The defense will be young this season and the offense returns QB Jake Fromm. Georgia should be favored in every game this season and while some games will be tough, this one today will be one that Bulldogs will have to watch out for. South Carolina is almost a 10 point home dog and good enough to give Georgia all it can handle. I'm going to take the points in this one with a very good home team in South Carolina. |
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09-08-18 | Mississippi State v. Kansas State +7 | 31-10 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
 Kansas State got a bit of a scare last week at home, beating South Dakota by just a 27-24 margin. The Wildcats were 22.5 point favorites and failed to cover. The K State rushing attack was point on though, rushing for 256 yards and a 5.4 yards per carry average. The biggest problem was four turnover and no take aways for Kansas State. Mississippi State had one of those softball games last week, beating Stephen F Austin by a 63-6 score. The Bulldogs rushed for 220 yards and passed for another 398 yards, for a total of 618 yards. They also covered the 47.5 point spread. I had Kansas State ranked 34th to start the season after an 8-5 finish last year. HC Bill Snyder finds ways to win and these are the kind of games he does well with. I'm taking Kansas State here to start your day. |
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09-07-18 | TCU -22 v. SMU | 42-12 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
 TCU opened up with a softball game last week, a drubbing of Southern University, 55-7. Now No 16 TCU will play their instate rivals SMU. Don't expect much of a contest here though for the Horned Frogs. The Frogs were 11-3 last year and while they may not be quite as good this year, they are still one of the best. The only question is sophomore QB Shawn Robinson and if he's ready to lead this team. Robinson has plenty around him with WR Jalen Regor and RB Darius Anderson back. The defense will be one of the best again this year. SMU made some big coaching changes this year with OC Rhett Lashlee and DC Kevin Kane both taking over. Ben Hicks returns at QB and has some impressive passing numbers. The problem with this team is the defense. Kane will make progress, but not this year. SMU might still be a year away before being a contender. Take TCU. |
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09-06-18 | Falcons +3 v. Eagles | 12-18 | Loss | -125 | 59 h 22 m | Show | |
 Lots of questions facing the defending champion Eagles as they being defense of their crown here in week 1. First, it looks as if Nick Foles will start tonight in place of Carson Wentz. Wentz continues his recovery from his knee injury and though he looks like he could go, the Eagles have decided to sit him. Also, WR Alshon Jeffrey looks like he won't be playing tonight. Jeffrey was one of the best WR in the NFL last year and has also been recovering from an injury. The Eagles did take him off the PUP list though, which leaves open the possible return of Jeffrey in one of these early weeks. Still, the Eagles looked bad in the preseason, scoring very little points and just winning their final game. The Falcons defense will be waiting for Foles, as they finished in the top 10 in yards and points allowed in 2017. The Falcons defense looks even better this year with their young players continuing to develop. The Falcons did lose all four preseason games, getting outscored by 69 points. However they don't seem to concerned by that. Defense will be the key to this game. Atlanta has a very good defense, just as the Eagles do. I expect a low scoring game here tonight and I'm taking the points with the Falcons. |
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09-03-18 | Virginia Tech +7.5 v. Florida State | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Two top 25 teams face off today as the No 20 ranked Virginia Tech Hokies play at No 19 Florid State Seminoles. These teams haven't met since 2012 when Florida State beat Tech, 28-22. Va Tech welcomes JC transfer Damon Hazelton finally at WR after he sat out last year. QB Josh Jackson returns as signal caller after an up and down 2017 season. Both teams are having to replace a lot of talent on the defensive side of the ball. Both these teams are evenly matched and I look for a close game at the end. I'm taking the points here with Virginia Tech. |
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09-02-18 | Miami-FL -3 v. LSU | Top | 17-33 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
 Miami was 10-0 last year before the wheels fell off and finished with three straight losses. QB Malik Rosier returns this year and will be pushed by some younger QB's in the stable. They return a lot of experience on the offensive line and the defense will be another beast this year. LSU will be depending on Ohio State transfer Joe Burrow at QB and a pair of Texas Tech wide receivers that transferred. They also have a new OC in Steve Ensminger. I don't look for this LSU team to be as good as last year, especially with questions at skill positions like QB and WR. Miami just too good out of the gate to pass on this 3-point line today. LSU might be good, but not this early. Play Miami Florida. |
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09-01-18 | Boise State v. Troy +10 | 56-20 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
Boise State will once again be the odds on favorite to win the Mountain West. The Broncos won last year with a 11-3 record, their first in three years. QB Brett Rypien will be a senior this year and should be all the better. The defense will be led by a pair of the best pass rushers in the nation and more experience behind them. Troy was 11-2 last season and while I don't expect them to be as good this season, they should be right at the top of the Sun Belt conference come season's end. Gone is four-year starting QB Brandon Silvers. Both backups from last year return to fight it out for the starting spot. This team is full of depth though and should have no problem reloading for 2018. I'm going to take Troy here at home plus the 10 points. That's just too many for this early in the season with a team that was very good last year and should be just as good this season. Take Troy. |
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09-01-18 | Northern Illinois +10.5 v. Iowa | 7-33 | Loss | -112 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
 Northern Illinois playing one of the harder schedules in the country, starts off with a tough one here at Iowa. The NIU team has a very good defense that got them eight wins in 2017 and should do them good again here this season. The defense returns most of its quality from last year and will be the backbone of this team again this year. QB Marcus Childers brought some stability to a position that has had a lot of injuries over the last few seasons. Iowa is usually a solid team, good for seven or eight wins a season. The defense lost some big playmakers from last season. This will be a tough test for Iowa against this stiff NIU defense. Too many points here today for me to lay as I take NIU plus the 10 points today. Play Northern Illinois. |
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09-01-18 | Washington State v. Wyoming +3 | 41-19 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
I gave out this Wyoming team last week in what I saw was a very good defensive team. They didn't disappoint in their shutdown of a decent New Mexico State team, 29-7. Wyoming returns home and finds itself a 3-point home dog to Washington State. Washington State will have its hand full today in Laramie. WSU has to break in a new QB and hasn't done well in season openers under HC Leach, going just 1-5 the last six seasons. Wyoming has that important first game under its belt and the defense was every bit as good as I expected. I look for that defense to give the Cowboys a chance for the upset win here today. Take Wyoming. |
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09-01-18 | UMass +17.5 v. Boston College | Top | 21-55 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
If there is a season that UMASS might break out, this could be the one. The Minutemen return most of their star players to a team that was 6-6 and on the verge of that breakout last season. The good news is that this team started the season 0-6, but rallied to win its final six games of the season. They have a very good offense led by QB Andrew For. They return all their running backs, wide receivers and offensive lineman. This unit will be even better than last year. The defense might not be quite as good as they had to replace three very good starters. Meanwhile, Boston College finished 7-6 last year and while the team struggled offensively at times last year, they should be better in 2018. Just like U Mass, this team had to rally for five wins in the last six games to have that winning season. The defense is not deep and lost some big play makers from last season. The Eagles should be about as good as last year, but not much more. I like the points a lot here with U Mass and their strong offense against a weak BC defense. Take U Mass. |
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09-01-18 | Florida Atlantic +21 v. Oklahoma | 14-63 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Lane Kiffin begins his second season as head coach of Florida Atlantic. FAU was 11-3 last year under Kiffin and should be just as good again this year. The Owls have Devin Singletary, one of the best running backs in the country. The defense will be good again, with 10 returning starters. This is the first shot for FAU to score a huge road upset and they just might do it. Well, that is unless OU just falls apart. The Sooners begin life with out QB Baker Mayfield. Now they will build the offense around RB Rodney Anderson and QB Kyler Murray. The defense will be great once again this year. Getting 20.5 points here with the road team is just too much for me to pass on, especially with a very good FAU defense against a Sooner's offense that is unproven. Take the points with Florida Atlantic. |
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08-30-18 | Wake Forest v. Tulane +6.5 | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
Wake Forest already starts the season with a handicap, as their star QB Kendall Hinton will not play due to a suspension. He will miss the first three games of the season. They will also be without backup QB Jamie Newman (quad). These are big losses to a team that ranked 21st in offense last year. Freshman QB Sam Hartman will get the start here tonight. Expect to see a lot of RB Matt Colburn here tonight with the QB issues. Tulane is led by a very good QB in Jonathan Banks. Banks can throw and run and likely will give Wake lots of problems tonight. With Wake having a freshman start at QB, I give a big edge here to Tulane playing at home. Play Tulane. |
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08-25-18 | Wyoming -3.5 v. New Mexico State | 29-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
The post Josh Allen begins at Wyoming and you know what, it doesn't look so bad. This team is led by their defense and returns almost everyone from a team last year that won eight games. The defense finished the S&P at 7th, which was a huge game last year. What a season for New Mexico State last year as they qualified for and won their first bowl game in 57 years. NM State moves to an Independent status this year. The Aggies have an excellent rushing game in RB Jason Huntley, the issue is finding a QB. The defense returns nine starters and should be better this year. Expect a defensive game here as both offenses will struggle a bit with new Qb's. I give the edge to Wyoming here on Opening day. Play the Cowboys. |
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01-21-18 | Vikings v. Eagles +3.5 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 53 h 50 m | Show | |
Once again the top seed in the NFC, the Eagles, find themselves a home dog in the playoffs. The survived last week with a win over the Atlanta Falcons. Now they have to face the Minnesota Vikings, the Miracle Minnesota Vikings. Everyone has seen the play that got the Vikings into this game. The Vikes blew a 17-0 lead to the Saints and then had to have their miracle reception, the only thing missing on that play was Al Michaels. At this point in the season you can make a valid argument for either side. Both have great defenses, both have quality play makers on offense. For me, it comes down to the Eagles being the home dog. Foles has shown he can play the role the team has set out for him and then just feed their running backs. Let the defense keep you in the game and try not to lose it. I'm taking the points here again, just like I did last week with the Eagles. Play Philadelphia. |
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01-14-18 | Saints v. Vikings -4 | 24-29 | Win | 100 | 139 h 49 m | Show | |
The Vikings really needed that week off to help with some injuries, especially center Pat Elfein who missed two of the team's last four games. He's back and should be ready this week. QB Sam Bradford who has been out since early in the season should also be available here today. The Saints have to be concerned with their running game after the Panthers held Kamara and Ingram to virtually nothing last week, just 68 total yards. Now they face a Minnesota defense that has allowed the fewest yards and points in the league. Add to that the fact that New Orleans hasn't won on the road since week 10. Saints QB Drew Brees did step up with the rushing game limited vs the Panthers, tossing two TD's and 376 yards for a 115.2 passer rating. This game likely comes down to the Minnesota defense against Saints' QB Brees. If Brees can open things up early, that should help the running game. I like the Vikings here. They are rested, get some injured players back and of course play in one of the noisiest home fields in all the NFL. Play Minnesota. |
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01-13-18 | Falcons v. Eagles +3 | 10-15 | Win | 100 | 51 h 52 m | Show | |
The Eagles find themselves in the rare position of a home dog this season. Mainly because of QB Nick Foles. With Foles at the helm, bettors have lost confidence in the Eagles and thus the oddsmakers is a basically asking you to take Philly with this line. The Falcons got the big road win in LA last week over the Rams. However, it was Rams return man Cooper who almost single handed gave them the game with his turnovers. What was expected to be high scoring in the Falcons/Rams game ended up not being so. Both teams had good defenses and they dominated. That is what I see here today. The Eagles defense will keep them in this game. With the week off and being a dog here, I think the Eagles have good value. Even with Foles at the helm, don't write this team off just yet. Play Philadelphia. |
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01-06-18 | Titans v. Chiefs -7.5 | Top | 22-21 | Loss | -115 | 115 h 16 m | Show |
 Both of these teams have had issues this season, but I look at the Titans as the team here that has not played well on the road. The Titans have played without RB DeMarco Murray who missed the last game with a sprained knee. QB Mariotta has also had injury issues off and on all season. The Chiefs had up and downs all year, but finished with three wins and has momentum coming into this game with nice wins over Denver, Miami and the Chargers. The Titans won just one of their last four games, that against a Jacksonville team last week that had nothing to play for. I look at this game as one which the Chiefs are ready to win. I don't see that with the Titans, who haven't shown me anything most of this season. They have injuries and don't play well on the road. I'm taking the Chiefs here in the Wildcard game. |
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01-01-18 | Alabama v. Clemson +3 | 24-6 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 25 m | Show | |
The second half of today's CFP pits Alabama against Clemson. The top ranked Clemson Tigers were 12-1 this season. Even with the departure of Deshaun Watson last year, the Tigers just reloaded with QB Kelly Bryant. Alabama enters the fourth ranked team and was 11-1 this season with their only loss coming to Auburn. What I look at here is the Clemson defense will keep Alabama off their stride for most of this game. The Tigers have a great defensive line and will constantly pressure the Tide. I'm very surprised at Alabama now favored by three when I can easily see Clemson winning this one by 7 or more. Take Clemson. |
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01-01-18 | Georgia -2 v. Oklahoma | 54-48 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show | |
The Rose Bowl hosts one of the Final Four games today as Georgia takes on Oklahoma. Surprisingly, this will be the first ever meeting between these football powerhouses. Baker Mayfield is the star of this Oklahoma team and Heisman winner. Mayfield has been suffering from flu like symptoms and that could be just the edge this Georgia team needs. The Sooners average 585.3 yards per game, most in college football. Georgia counters with two of the best running backs in the country in Nick Chubb and Sony Michel. But today it will be the vaunted Georgia defense against the best offense in the country. My experience has always been that great defenses beat great offenses. Just think back a few years to when Payton Manning led the Broncos to the Super Bowl against Seattle. Same thing, and the outcome was a Seattle domination led by their defense. If Mayfield has any lingering effects of the flu, this could be a long day for Oklahoma. I'm taking Georgia here on Monday. |
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12-31-17 | 49ers +1.5 v. Rams | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 101 h 43 m | Show | |
Rams likely will be sitting a couple star players here, namely QB Jarod Goff and RB Todd Gurley. WIth their spot in the playoffs locked, HC Sean McVay has decided to give some of his players the day off. That means this line has dropped from an opening of nearly seven to its current 1 or 1 1/2 on the Rams. The 49ers player excellent ball with their new QB at that helm and I see the Niners wanting this game to finish the season on a nice win streak. Take San Francisco. |
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12-31-17 | Redskins -3 v. Giants | 10-18 | Loss | -108 | 97 h 29 m | Show | |
Giants currently have the 2nd pick in the draft so a win would drop them here. That makes little incentive for the Giants to win. The Skins have an excellent passing game and they face a terrible Giants defense that has struggled against offense, giving up a QB rating of 98. NY had no incentive here and the Redskins do as they can still have a decent record this year despite all their injuries. Play Washington |
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12-31-17 | Texans v. Colts -5.5 | 13-22 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
Both of these teams seasons come to a merciful end here today. The Texans season went down when QB Watson went down. The Colts season never got under way with QB Andrew Luck never stepping on the field this year. The Texans will not have their best player on the field today as WR Deandre Hopkins will sit out. WHo wants to win here today? I think the Texans already told us they don't want to win as they sit Hopkins. Take the Colts. |
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12-29-17 | USC v. Ohio State -7.5 | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
This matchup could very well be the best two teams not in the Final Four playoffs. Today's Cotton Bowl pits USC against Ohio State. Both teams were 11-2 S/U this season. Both teams come into this game with win streaks, USC with a five game streak and Ohio State a four game streak. The question today is if Ohio State will have their heads in this game after they were passed over for the Final Four. The Trojans won their first PAC-12 title since 2008 and have QB Sam Darnold at the helm, a potential 1st round NFL draftee. The biggest problem I saw in this game was the spread. I think the Buckeyes are the better team, buy not by 7.5 points. A team like USC can easily win this game and that means I'm taking the TD+ here with USC. |
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12-29-17 | Kentucky v. Northwestern -7.5 | 23-24 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 7 m | Show | |
Music City Bowl action here on Friday as Kentucky takes on Northwestern. Kentucky (7-5 S/U, 3-9 ATS) has not been a good grass team, posting just a 8-20 ATS mark their last 28 games. Meanwhile, Northwestern (9-3 S/U & ATS) has been very good to bettors, going 16-5 ATS their last21 games. Northwestern has the better offense and defense here today, averaging 29.7 ppg and allowing just 19.8 ppg. Kentucky averages just 25.8 ppg and allows 28.6 ppg. Kentucky also comes into today's game losers of two straight to Louisville, 17-44 and Georgia, 13-42. Northwestern has won seven straight games and has outscored their last three opponents by a combined 104-20. Northwestern is by far the better team here today and as long as they are motivated to win, they should cover this game easy. |
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12-28-17 | Michigan State -1.5 v. Washington State | 42-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
Holiday Bowl Action here from San Diego, CA. Michigan State missed out on the bowls last year and makes their first ever appearance in the Holiday Bowl. Michigan may be playing with a reason today as they were passed over for a bigger bowl by Michigan, who they beat this year. Michigan State also had the better wins and was ranked, unlike Michigan. Meanwhile, the Cougars making their second straight trip to the Holiday Bowl. The Cougars lost to a Minnesota team that not only lost many players to suspension but even threatened to boycott the Bowl. The Cougars just don't do well against the Big 10, evidenced by their 1-5 ATS mark their last 6 vs the conference. I look for this Michigan State team to come out and prove they deserved that better bowl then Michigan did. Play Michigan State. |
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12-28-17 | Stanford +3 v. TCU | 37-39 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
Alamo Bowl pits No 16 Stanford playing No 13 Texas Christian. The Stanford Cardinal are 9-4 S/U and 6-6-1 ATS this season. Stanford has done well in Bowl games, going 6-2 ATS their last eight times. These clubs are pretty evenly matched, with Stanford scoring 32 ppg and TCU at 33.2 ppg. Both clubs were excellent home teams, covering all six of their home contests. Stanford closed out the season with a pair of covers against USC and Notre Dame, while TCU lost their last two spread games to Oklahoma and Baylor. Stanford's success lies in Bryce Love, who rushed for 1,973 yards and 17 TD's this season. Love is also a big play back, breaking runs of 50+ yards in all but two of his games this year. Love will go against a TCU defense ranked 12th in the nation and 4th best rushing defense. I think this is one of the best two matched teams in the entire bowl season and will be one heck of a game to watch. I like the Cardinal though in what might be lower scoring than people think. Play Stanford. |
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12-27-17 | Missouri -2.5 v. Texas | 16-33 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
The Texas Bowl has Missouri (6-6 S/U, 7-4-1 ATS) taking on Texas (7-5 S/U, 7-5 ATS). Missouri comes into this contest having covered seven of their last eight games. The Tigers score an average of 39.3 ppg and pile up 522 yards per game. Texas averages 29.2 ppg and 408 yards per game. Texas lost their last game to TCU, 23-27 and have covered just once in their last four attempts. Meanwhile, Missouri comes in winners of six straight and has scored at least 45 points in each of those games while holding four of those opponents to 17 or fewer points. Missouri laying just three points here. This club has been killing opponents, not just winning. I like the Tigers laying three points or less. Play Missouri. |
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12-27-17 | Purdue +3.5 v. Arizona | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
The Foster Farms bowl has Purdue (6-6 S/U, 8-4 ATS) taking on Arizona (7-5 S/U, 6-6 ATS). Purdue has been a very good covering team of late, going 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games on grass. This game pits the Purdue defense (19.3 ppg allowed) against the Arizona offense (41.8 ppg). Purdue's defense ranks 28th nationally, while it's rush defense is 6th in the country. Arizona is led by QB Khalil Tate who can throw and run. Take finished the season with 1289 passing and 1353 yards rushing despite missing almost the entire first month of the season. My pick here today is Purdue, whose defense is built for this kind of team. I like the Purdue defense to shut down Arizona and with that I'll take the points with Purdue. |
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12-25-17 | Raiders v. Eagles -10 | 10-19 | Loss | -103 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
The Raiders looking forward to next season after and 6-8 mark this year. This after a great 2016 in which they finished 12-4. The pass defense has been horrible this year. They allowed Jay Cutler to complete his first 16 passes against them and then Brady came back the next game and completed 12 straight. The Eagles lost QB Carson Wentz, that is just something you can't replace. However, Nick Foles is adequate and with the weapons he has on offense and this excellent defense, the Eagles are still one of the favorites in the NFC. This game does have importance to the Eagles as a win here on Monday assures them home field throughout the playoffs. In addition, HC Doug Pederson can rest his starters next week with a win today. I like the Eagles defense and I see them controlling this game. I'm laying the points with the Eagles on Monday. |
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12-24-17 | Houston v. Fresno State +2 | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
Fresno State (9-4 S/U, 10-2-1 ATS) takes on Houston (7-4 S/U, 6-5 ATS) in the Hawaii bowl Sunday evening on ESPN. Both of these clubs have efficient offenses, scoring 26.7 ppg by Fresno and 28.4 ppg by Houston. It's on defense that Fresno has the edge, allowing just 17.2 ppg compared to Houston's 23 ppg. The Bulldogs also allow almost 100 fewer yards per game than Houston. I'm a bit surprised that Houston is a 1.5 point favorite here this evening against a very good Fresno team. I'm taking Fresno with the small points. |
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12-24-17 | Jaguars v. 49ers +4.5 | 33-44 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
Jacksonville can secure home field advantage with a win today at San Francisco. The 49ers will try and play spoiler with QB Jimmy Garoppolo at QB. The 49ers have played well since Garoppolo has become QB. Garoppolo has a 98 QB rating so far this year, better than that of Blake Bortles 89.7. San Francisco has won three straight including the last two with Garoppolo starting. Today the Niners are getting four points at home. I think is is too many for a team playing with lots of confidence behind their new QB. Take the 49ers. |
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12-24-17 | Lions -3 v. Bengals | 17-26 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
The Lions in that must win spot as a loss eliminates them from the playoff picture. No matter what else needs to happen and there are a few of those scenarios, the Lions must win today at Cincinnati. Detroit has averaged 25.6 ppg this year, well above that of the Bengals' 16.6 ppg. The Bengals defense is slightly better, allowing 21.8 ppg compared to the Lions 24.2 ppg. Detroit has won two straight games and I expect them to win and cover here today against a Bengals team that has lost three straight. In addition, the Bengals have scored just 14 total points in their last two games. Take the Lions. |
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12-23-17 | Colts v. Ravens -13.5 | 16-23 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Week 16 of the NFL begins this afternoon with the Colts playing at the Ravens. The Ravens hold their own destiny in their hands with wins in these final two weeks and they likely have a playoff date at Kansas City in the Wild Card round. All the Colts can do right now is the right for the No 2 pick in next year's draft. The Colts bring a five-game losing streak into today's contest. The Colts offense is terrible, 30th in yards, 31st in passing yards, 31st in scoring. I look for Baltimore to get done what they need to today against a poor Colts team. Take the Ravens in a blowout win. |
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12-23-17 | Texas Tech v. South Florida -3 | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
 Texas Tech just barely became bowl eligible with their 6-6 record. Now they take on ranked South Florida at 9-2. The main S.Florida weapon is QB Quinton Flowers. Flowers is primarily a running QB who rushed 182 times for 972 yards and 10 TD's. Both of these teams average well over 30 points per game with Tech at 34.3 and S.Florida at 38.3 ppg. One big difference is on defense, where Tech ranks just 98th and S.Florida is 28th. Tech hasn't done very well in bowl games, going 2-7 in their last nine Bowls. This should be a great offensive game with one of the better QB's in college football in Flowers. I'm taking South Florida here on Saturday. |
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12-22-17 | Central Michigan +3.5 v. Wyoming | 14-37 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
Wyoming has QB Josh Allen projected to go in the NFL 1st round draft. Even with All, the Cowboys offense that could manage just 21 points per game. Allen has missed the last two games with a shoulder injury, but is expected to start on Friday. Central Michigan really picked up the pace the 2nd half of the season, winning five straight games and scoring at least 31 points in the process. Central Michigan has senior QB Shane Morris and a core of four senior receivers, all looking to get noticed here on Bowl day. This one is more about Allen maybe not giving it his all here today. He likely won't want to get re-injured. I like Central Michigan to come ready to play and impress the scouts. Take Central Michigan |
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12-21-17 | Temple v. Florida International +7.5 | 28-3 | Loss | -130 | 21 h 50 m | Show | |
Another Bowl game that slightly favors one team as this game being played at St Petersburg, FL and Florida International from Miami. Slight edge to FIU. Temple comes South and will play on artificial turf. FIU played well on the fake stuff, going 8-2 S/U and 6-3 ATS. I give an edge here in coaching to FIU who has Butch Davis while Temple has first year coach Geoff Collins. Temple is only 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games. I think this line is too high on Temple, laying seven here tonight. FIU has plenty enough offense to hang with the OWLS and they have that slight home field edge. Take the points with Florida International. |
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