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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs +2 | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 30 h 13 m | Show | |
The Super Bowl LVIII is set to be a thrilling game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers on February 11, 2024. The Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes, are looking to become the first team to win back-to-back Lombardi trophies since the New England Patriots in 2003 and 2004. They finished the regular season 11-6, winning the AFC West title for the eighth consecutive season. Their journey to the Super Bowl included victories over the Dolphins, Bills, and Ravens, making them currently 14-6 S/U and 12-7-1 ATS. On the other hand, the 49ers, led by Brock Purdy, are seeking to avenge their Super Bowl 54 defeat and capture the organization's first Super Bowl win since Super Bowl 29 nearly 30 years ago. They finished the regular season with a 12-5 record and defeated the Packers and Lions in the playoffs to advance to the Super Bowl with a 14-5 record and 9-9-1 ATS mark. You can make an argument for either side here on Sunday. 49ers had some practice issues as they had to practice outdoors in rainy conditions at the old UNLV turf which isn't very good. Meanwhile, the Chiefs got the state-of-the-art facility that the Raiders use for their practice facility. This one looks to come down to which team makes the better adjustments at halftime and with that I have to go with the Chiefs and Andy Reid. This game is expected to be a clash of the Chiefs' experience and the 49ers' resilience. It's going to be an exciting match to watch! But for me, I'm on the Chiefs both with the 2-points and straight-up. |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 149 h 41 m | Show |
There must be some kind of curse on Buffalo Bills kickers in the postseason. Those misses back in the Super Bowl days on Sunday Buffalo's Tyler Bass missed the game tying 44-yard field goal with 1:47 left in the 4th quarter. Once again we get the Kansas City Chiefs surviving and heading the the AFC Championship. Patrick Mahomes was 17 of 23 for 215 yards and two TD's for the Chiefs connecting on both TD's to his favorite target, Kelce. Kelce had five receptions for 75 yards and those two TD's. Josh Allen was 26 of 39 for just 186 yards and one TD. He also led the team in rushing with 12 rushes for 76 yards and two TD's. The Ravens had little trouble with the Houston Texans on Saturday, winning 34-10. The game was tied at half, 10-10, but the Ravens pulled way in the second half for a 24-0 run. QB Larmar Jackson had two passing and two rushing TD's in the win. He also led the team in rushing with 100 yards. Now we get two see two of the most dynamic QB's in the game matchup here on Sunday. KC proved that they can win a playoff game on the road with Mahomes, their first on the road with him. Now he has to do it again for the Chiefs to return to the Super Bowl. For me, this one is a no-brainer, I'm taking these points with the Chiefs as my NFL Game of the Year and expect a straight-up win. |
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01-21-24 | Bucs +6.5 v. Lions | 23-31 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay pulled one of the big upsets last week by drubbing the Philadelphia Eagles in the Wildcard round, 32-9, as a 3-point dog. The Bucs have momentum, closing the regular season with five straight wins and then their playoff win last week. They had 426 yards vs the Eagles to just 276 yards. The Detroit Lions own their first playoff game in more than 30 years with their win over the Rams, 24-23. The Lions have the 2nd ranked passing offense in the league and 5th in rushing. One area they are lacking is scoring defense, where they rank 23rd with a 23.2 ppg allowance. These teams met back in October with Detroit taking that one in Tampa Bay, 20-6, as a 3-point favorite. The one issue when you lay this many points is when the team can't really stop anyone. And, teams have moved the ball against the Lions in the last eight or so games. The Lions have given up 300 or more yards passing in four straight games. I look for the Bucs to hang around in this one. Too many points to lay with a team that has the momentum that Tampa Bay has. Take the Bucs here on Sunday. |
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01-15-24 | Steelers +10.5 v. Bills | 17-31 | Loss | -125 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
This game had to be moved from Sunday because of blizzard conditions in Buffalo with winds gusting to hurricane levels of 75 mph. The weather won't be great on Monday either. There will still be a chance of snow with temps in the teens. But the winds will be much calmer near 10 mpg. Buffalo had to beat Miami last week to get this home game and not go to frigid Kansas City as the Dolphins did. The Steelers finished the season with three straight wins and got in the playoffs by beating Baltimore to close out the regular season. They finished 10-7 overall and look for a road upset today. Buffalo had to win its final five regular season games to win the division and finished 11-6. The Bills offense struggled to finish drives vs Miami, but got enough done to get the win. The Bills are 8th in the league in passing and 7th in rushing. Buffalo has a number of players on the injury report including some key players on defense. Both teams come into this game with momentum. The weather conditions could play a part and this is a big line to fade for any NFL team, let alone a playoff game. I'm taking the points here today. Play Pittsburgh. |
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01-14-24 | Rams +3 v. Lions | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
NFC Wild Card action continues here on Sunday evening in Primetime as the LA Rams take on the Detroit Lions. The Rams finished the regular season at 10-7 S/U and 10-6-1 ATS. The interesting thing is that QB's from both teams face their former team as Rams Matthew Stafford faces the Lions and Jared Goff of Detroit faces the Rams. The Rams had a successful season since they weren't expected to win more than 6 games or there about. The Rams are peaking now too, which is to their benefit as they bring lots of momentum into this playoff game. The Rams were 8th in the NFL in scoring with a 23.8 ppg average. The Lions were 12-5 S/U and ATS to finish the regular season. The last time the Lions won a division crowns was back in 1993 when the NFC North didn't even exist. Goff was 2nd in the NFL in total passing yards, 269.1 ypg and had 30 TD's with just 12 INT's. The Browns were 5th in scoring this year with a 27.1 ppg average. The Lions passing defense is their weak point as they ranked just 27th in the NFL compared to the Rams 10th ranked pass defense. The Rams also hold a coaching advantage with Sean McVay. Detroit HC Dan Campbell is a candidate for Coach of the Year, but McVay has been to the Super Bowl. The Rams momentum and experience could be the deciding factors in this game. I'll take the points with the Rams. |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -4.5 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
 Miami had a chance to play at home in nice weather, but a loss to the Bills last week thrust them into this wild card slot and a trip to frigid Kansas City today. Preliminary weather has bitter cold at -10 degrees at kickoff and a potential wind chill around -30 degrees with winds 10-20 and gusting higher. Not a great door prize for Miami losing last week. That makes this game more about mental mindset then stats or physical. Chiefs HC Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes are 4-2 vs the spread in playoff games since 2021. They also have the experience of two Super Bowls. Miami comes in with inexperience in postseason and a 1-3 ATS as road dogs this year. The weather will be the great neutralizer to the Dolphins speed and will keep the score from getting out of hand. With blustery snow, high winds and that freezing wind chill this all plays into the Kansas City Chiefs hands. I'll take the Chiefs today. |
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01-13-24 | Browns -2 v. Texans | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 14 m | Show |
These teams met back on Christmas eve as the Browns defeated the Texans, 36-22 in Houston. WR Amari Cooper set a Browns record with 265 yards receiving. Cleveland comes in winners in four of the last five games. They lost in the last week of the regular season as they rested most of their starters. The Browns have QB Joe Flacco at QB who has Super Bowl experience with Baltimore. The Texans got to the playoffs behind exciting Rookie QB CJ Stroud. They had to beat the Colts in the final week of the season to get here and they did, 23-19. Though they had to hold the Colts on 4th down inside the redzone that could have been the difference in that game. Stroud plays in his first NFL playoff game. How will he do against veteran Flacco? He will face a very good Browns defense and will face a lot of pressure in this game. The Browns have done well as the favorite, going 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS on the season. I like the experience and defense of the Browns in this game. Play Cleveland. |
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01-08-24 | Washington v. Michigan -4 | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 32 h 25 m | Show | |
 NCAA Championship game here on Monday has Washington taking on Michigan. The Washington Huskies are 14-0 S/U and 7-6-1 ATS on the season. The Huskies averaged 37.6 ppg and allowed 24.1 ppg. The Huskies held on last week to defeat Texas, 37-31, as Texas had one last shot as time expired but came up short. The Huskies had 532 total yards of offense in that game. The difference in today's contest might just be Washington QB Michael Pennix Jr who hit 29 of 39 vs Texas for 430 yards and 2 TD's. Pennix Jr was the Heisman Trophy runner up this year. Conversely, the Michigan Wolverines are led by their defense. They held Alabama to 288 total yards and 3 of 13 on third down conversions. The Wolverines did nothing in the second half but came alive on the final drives to tie the game and then win it in OT. The defense is first in the country in scoring (9.5 ppg) and yards (239.7). This might be the best offense and definitely best QB that the Wolverines have faced this year. Washington has had to play top defenses all season and come out on top. The points are a plus here but I look for Washington to win the National Championship. Take the Huskies. |
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01-07-24 | Eagles v. Giants +5 | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
NFC East clash here on Sunday as the NY Giants welcome the Philadelphia Eagles to the Meadowlands. The Eagles have been terrible lately on the road and overall. They have lost two straight away from home and lost last week at home to the Cardinals, 31-35 as a 12.5-point favorite. The Giants gave the Rams all they could handle last week, but just came up short in a a 25-26 loss as a 6.5-point dog. The Eagles looked to have the NFC East won, but their poor play down the stretch has relegated them to a wild card now. Unless the improbable happens and the Cowboys lose at home to the Commander, which I don't see happening. The Giants have lost three straight and last week summed up their season, as they missed the winning field goal in the final seconds in that loss to the Rams. It looks like the Eagles will play Jalen Hurts here, I'm not sure why. If the Cowboys jump out to any big lead I'm sure we'll see the Eagles pulling starters left and right here. The Giants have played with some guts as they did vs the Rams last week. I'll take the points in this one as the Eagles lose interest in the 2nd half. |
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01-07-24 | Bucs -4 v. Panthers | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
The final week of the season sees the 8-8 Tampa Bay Bucs taking on the 2-14 Carolina Panthers in a NFC South clash. Tampa Bay is coming off a lackluster home loss to the Saints last week, 13-23. The Bucs had just 57 rushing yards though QB Baker Mayfield did get 309 yards passing and Two TD's. The fate is still in the Bucs hands though. A win here today and they claim the NFC South and that playoff spot. The Panthers have nothing but pride to play for here today. They have lost two straight since that win over the Falcons, 9-7. They were shut out last week by the Jaguars, 0-26. The Panthers had just 124 total yards in that loss. Rookie QB Bryce Young has been a major disappointment this year and last week was par for the course as he went 19-of-32 for 112 yards and an INT. This one is easy for me. The Bucs have it all to play for against a very bad Panthers team that has nothing to play for. The Bucs are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games. I look for an easy Tampa Bay win here on Sunday. |
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01-07-24 | Jets v. Patriots -1.5 | 17-3 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
The Ny Jets and the New England Patriots will finish their respective seasons here on Sunday. The Jets are 6-10 while the Pats are 4-12. The Jets lost last week to the Brownss while the Pats gave the Bills all they could handle. Seems like yesterday that QB Aaron Rodgers went down in the first 75 seconds of the season with that Achille's Heel injury. Since then the Jets have had all kinds of issues at QB and covered just one of their last five games. The Patriots look to finish this miserable season on a up note, winning their last game. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games. Is this the end of an era in New England as Bill Belichick is done in Foxboro? If so, then the Patriots will want to send him out on a winning note. Take New England. |
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01-07-24 | Browns v. Bengals -7 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
The final week of the regular season is here, boy how fast it goes. And today we have a battle of Ohio as the Browns take on the Bengals. Hard to believe these teams met way back in week one. Now Joe Flacco is the Browns QB, who would have thought that? Browning is the Bengals QB as Burrows was lost to a season ending injury. The Browns have clinched a playoff spot, so don't expect much from them here today. The Browns beat the Jets last week, 37-20 for their 11th win of the season and the Wild Card slot. The Bengals playoff hopes ended last week with their loss to the Chiefs, 17-25. Really it comes down to who wants to play today. I think the Bengals play for some Ohio pride today as the Browns just look to get out of this one healthy. Play Cincinnati. |
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01-01-24 | Texas v. Washington +4 | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
The 2nd semifinal and the right to face the winner of the Alabama vs Michigan game on Jan 8th for the National Title has No 3 Texas taking on No 2 Washington in the Sugar Bowl. Texas won the Big 12 Championship with a convincing win over Oklahoma State, 49-21. Washington won the PAC-12 by just getting by Oregon, 34-31. Texas won its final seven games after losing in the Red River Rivalry to Oklahoma. They are 12-1 overall S/U and 7-5-1 ATS. They averaged 36.2 ppg while allowing 17.5 ppg. They are 18th in passing offense and 24th in rushing offense. They allowed 17.5 ppg, good for 12th in the nation. The Washington Huskies are 13-0 S/U and 6-6-1 ATS, averaging 37.7 ppg while allowing 23.6 ppg. The Huskies are 1st in the nation in passing offense behind QB Michael Penix Jr. They are 10th in the nation in scoring offense and 51st in scoring defense. Washing will be at full strength as they won't lose anyone to the NFL draft opt-out or the transfer portal. Both these team will be lighting the scoreboard today. Despite being 13-0, Washington is the overlooked team to some degree. Even the oddsmaker has them a 4-point dog here today. I like Penix a lot for this Washington team. I'll take those points with the Huskies. |
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01-01-24 | Alabama +2 v. Michigan | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
The 110th edition of the Rose Bowl is all set to host one of the two playoff games here on Monday from Pasadena. The No 1 Michigan Wolverines will take on No 4 Alabama for the right to go to the championship game one week from today. Michigan is 13-0 S/U and 7-5-1 ATS on the season. They have averaged 36.7 ppg while allowing 9.5 ppg. The offense is very good and balanced, ranking 26th in scoring but only 62nd in rushing and 72nd in passing. Defense is the leader of this team, ranking first overall in the country in points allowed, sixth vs the run and second vs the pass. This looks to go either way here today but Alabama is the team that will be seeking their 7th National title. I'll take the Tide here today. Play Alabama. Meanwhile, 12-1 S/U and 9-4 ATS Alabama looked like they wouldn't get to this game after losing early in the season to Texas. The Tide average 36.7 ppg while allowing 9.5 ppg. The Alabama defense ranks 17th in the country in points allowed. |
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12-31-23 | Rams -6 v. Giants | 26-25 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
The LA Rams are 8-7 and tied for 2nd place in the NFC West. The Rams are the No6 Seed right now in the NFC. The Rams greatly improve their playoff chances with a win here today at the NY Giants. They have won five of their last six games to breath life back into their playoff hopes. The Rams average 23.8 ppg and allow 22.1 ppg. However, if you just look at their last five games, they have scored at least 28 points in every game. Their one loss that OT loss at Baltimore, 31-37. The Giants have nothing to play for as they sit 5-10 with the Rams today and the Eagles next week. The can play the role of spoiler though. They are coming off a loss at Philly last week, 25-33, covering the 14-point dog line. They have gone over inf three of their last five games. If the Rams continue their recent play then they should be able to score a lot of points here on Sunday. I'll take the OVER in this one. |
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -5 | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions are 11-4 and have locked-up the NFC North, the first time this has happened in 30 years. The Lions visit Dallas in what might be a NFC Playoff matchup here in a few weeks. The Lions will get at least one home playoff game and maybe more depending on these last two weeks. They still can get the #1 seed. Detroit is fifth in the NFL in scoring offense and third in total offense. The defense isn't as good, ranked 24th in points allowed and 15th in total defense. The Cowboys road woes continued last week after losing two weeks at Buffalo, 10-31, they lost last week at Miami, 20-22. They return home today where they are 7-0 S/U and 6-1 ATS and outscoring their visitors by a staggering 24.4 point margin. The Cowboys have been dominating at home and I don't see any reason for that to change here today. They are one game back of the Eagles in the NFC East and have lowly Washington next week. Take Dallas here on Saturday. |
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12-30-23 | Toledo v. Wyoming -3.5 | 15-16 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
The Toledo Rockets are 11-2 on the season as they play the 8-4 Wyoming Cowboys in the Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl from Tucson AZ here on Saturday. Toledo lost in the MAC Championship game to Miami OH, 14-23, snapping its 11-game win streak. Once again we have to go to the Transfer Portal and NFL Opt Outs to see what's up. And, for Toledo, they lose their best offensive weapon in this game, QB Dequan Finn as well as a top CB in Quinyon Mitchell and OG and their punter. Wyoming loses just one player in CB Kolbey Taylor. This Toledo team averaged 33.6 ppg and 426.7 ypg of offense. But the loss of Finn will ruin those number as Tucker Gleason will now be behind center. Gleason has some experience this year, but is not nearly as good as Finn. Wyoming will have all their skill players here on Saturday. They averaged 26.1 ppg and 324.8 ypg on the season. They rushed very good, averaging 157.6 ypg on the season. The defense is solid, ranked 47th in points allowed and 50th in yards. The Rockets lack of offense today is the key for me. I'm taking Wyoming in this one. |
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12-29-23 | Missouri +5 v. Ohio State | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
Cotton Bowl here on Friday has Missouri taking on Ohio State from the AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX. Missouri finished 10-2 on the season and 8-4 vs the spread. The Tigers finished ranked 9th in the country and won their last three games. QB Brady Cook having an excellent season with 3189 yards and 20 TD's. They also have one of the best Running backs in the country in Cody Shrader. Shrader rushed for 100 or more yards in all but four games. Missouri had the 27th ranked scoring offense in the country. Ohio State will battle today without key players due to the transfer portal. They finished 11-1 on the season with their only loss at Michigan, 24-30. They will be without their starting QB in Kyle McCord who opted out of this game. They will be starting Devin Brown a redshirt freshman. This will be the Ohio State defense against the Missouri Offense. Both units are top notch. Without McCord I'm not sure if the Buckeyes will score enough points to win this one. I'll take Missouri. |
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12-28-23 | Rutgers -2 v. Miami-FL | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
Pinstripe Bowl from Bronx NY today has Rutgers taking on Miami Florida. As always you can almost throw out season stats and just look at those players who will play and those sitting out due to the Transfer Portal or NFL. The big news today is that Miami is down to their third string QB. Miami was just 7-5 during the regular season and now Junior QB Tyler Van Dyke enters the transfer portal. Backup Emory Williams is injured and will miss today's game. That leaves sophomore Jacurri Brown who did play a snap in 2023. Rutgers will be at full strength here today and while that kind of evens the playing field, I'm taking Rutgers in this one. The Hurricanes will also miss both safeties. Rutgers is only 6-6 on the season and has lost four straight. The Knights rely on their defense this year. They score just 22.6 ppg and that's good for just 105th in the country. But with all the losses for Miami I have to take Rutgers in this one. |
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12-27-23 | North Carolina v. West Virginia -6.5 | Top | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
We have to look at the players that are in the portal or opting out for the NFL draft. These players change the way the team looks from how they did before they got here. That's really important in this game today between North Carolina and West Virginia in the Mayo Bowl from Charlotte, NC. I'm not even going to look at the stats these teams put up during the regular season. Instead lets see who's sitting out. Tar Heals hit hard in this area. TE Kamari Morales, WR Tychaun Chapman, WR Andre Greene, CB Tayon Holloway, DT Kedrick Bingley-Jones, and LB Sebastian Cheeks transferred. QB Drake Maye, LB Cedric Gray, C Corey Gaynor, and WR Tez Walker will sit out the bowl game to prepare for the draft. The big one is QB Maye and Walker. That completely shifts the dynamics of this game. The Mountaineers should run crazy over the this 89th ranked Tar Heel run defense. Plus they will miss all those players, especially Maye. I'm taking West Virginia here on Wednesday. |
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12-24-23 | Cowboys v. Dolphins -1.5 | 20-22 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys play Miami today in what becomes more serious times for the Cowboys. They are 10-4 and tied for first with the Eagles in the NFC East. However, they are coming off that big loss to the Bills last week, 10-31. Now they have to face another big offensive AFC team in Miami. The Cowboys average 30.8 ppg while allowing just 18.9 ppg. They also average 368.1 ypg while allowing 294.3 ypg. The Cowboys will play at home vs Detroit next week before finishing up at Washington. The Miami Dolphins are also 10-4 S/U and 9-5 ATS. They are in 1st place in the AFC East, 2-games ahead of the Bills. They don't have an easy road here at the end with Dallas today, at Baltimore next week and then home vs Buffalo in the final week. The Dolphins average 31.5 ppg and allowing 21 pg. They are coming off a shutout win last week over the Jets, 30-0, as a 7-point favorite. They held the Jets to just 23 yards rushing and 80 yards passing for 103 yards. Miami not in danger yet, but they don't have things wrapped-up either. I'll take Miami here at home on Sunday. |
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12-24-23 | Jaguars v. Bucs +1.5 | 12-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Bucs are close to securing a playoff spot, something unheard of just a few weeks ago. Tampa Bay is 7-7, but that is after winning three straight games from being 4-7. They are now in first in the NFC South, a half game ahead of the 7-8 New Orleans Saints and one full game ahead of the Falcons. That makes today's game huge for the Bucs. Tampa Bay averages 21.1 ppg while allowing 20.7 ppg. They also average 314.9 ypg while allowing 359.9 ypg. After today's contest is the big one next week vs the Saints and then they finish up at Carolina. The Jaguars are 8-6 both S/U and ATS. They are in a 3-way tie for the AFC South division lead with Houston and the Colts. The Jags average 22.8 ppg while allowing 22.4 ppg. After today they finish against Carolina and then at Tennessee. The Jags have lost three straight games including last week vs the Ravens, 7-23. Both teams really need this game, but with the Bucs on a winning streak and the Jags on a losing streak, I'll stick with the home team here today. Play Tampa Bay. |
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12-24-23 | Lions v. Vikings +3 | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 41 m | Show | |
A NFC North battle here on Sunday has the 10-4, first place, Detroit Lions taking on the 7-7, second place Minnesota Vikings. The Lions are coming off a big win over the Denver Broncos, 42-17. That rebounded from the loss the previous week at Chicago, 13-28. The Lions have alternated wins and losses the last four weeks, going 2-2, both S/U and ATS. The Lions have to face the Vikings twice in the last three weeks with Dallas sandwiched in between. The Vikings could tie the Lions if they win out and Detroit losses the last three games. Detroit averages 27.3 ppg while allowing 23.6 ppg. They also average 394.4 ypg and allow 320.9 ypg. The Vikings playoff chances to a hit last week when they lost in OT to the Bengals, 24-27. They led big in the 2nd half but the Bengals rallied to tie and force OT. The Vikings offense ranks 11th in the NFL while their defense ranks 13th. The Vikings have lost three of their last four games and are 2-1-2 vs the spread the last five. The Vikings need this game badly if they hope to have a chance at the postseason. Plus we get the Vikings at about a field goal home dog here. I'll take the Vikings plus the points. |
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12-23-23 | Georgia State v. Utah State -1 | 45-22 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
Mid-Major game here on Saturday in the Potato Bowl from Boise Idaho. This one pits the Mountain West Utah State Aggies against the Sun Belt's Georgia State Panthers. Ga State finished their season with a loss to Old Dominion, 24-25, as a 2.5-point road dog. Utah State just got past New Mexico to finish their season with a win, 44-41 in double OT. Ga State lost its last five games of the season and ended 6-6 S/U. Utah State won three of its final four games. The Aggies are 26th in scoring with 34.1 ppg and 43rd in passing with 259.8 ypg. One good thing for Utah State, they weren't hit hard by the transfer portal, so they should be good here on Saturday. Ga State though will be without their starting running back and top wide receiver in this game as both are transferring. Utah State was the better team down the stretch and that should carry over to this Bowl game. Take Utah State. |
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12-23-23 | James Madison -1 v. Air Force | 21-31 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
The Armed Forces Bowl here on Saturday has Air Force taking on James Madison. James Madison Dukes is 11-1 S/U and 8-4 ATS. The Dukes had a season of all times in their school history as they make their first ever Bowl appearance. Air Force looked great to start the season as they jumped out to a 8-0 record. However, they lost their last four games to finish 8-4 S/U and 5-7 ATS. Which Air Force team shows up today? Both teams suffered a lot of losses to the transfer portal so we'll just have to see how that effects them here on Saturday. If you talk motivation then that falls squarely on James Madison. Making their first ever bowl game nothing would please them more then to finish the season with a bowl win. The Dukes did average 35.2 ppg this season, good for 18th in the country. They only allowed 18.5 ppg, 18th in the nation. Air Force averaged 27.6 ppg. This is a tough game since you have to think of both teams with their portal losses. Still, I believe the Dukes want this game more than Air Force does. I'll take James Madison here on Saturday. |
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12-22-23 | Central Florida -4.5 v. Georgia Tech | 17-30 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
Two teams that finished just eligible for this bowl at 6-6 meet today as Central Florida takes on Georgia Tech in the Gasparilla Bowl from Tampa Bay. Georgia Tech Yellow Jacks were 6-6 S/u and 7-5 vs the spread. The Jackets lost their last game of the season to Georgia, 23-31, but played well in covering a 25-point dog spread. Tech was 3-2 their last five games including a upset win over North Carolina. They became bowl eligible in their win over Syracuse, 31-22 on Nov 18. The offense is very good, scoring 30 in three of their last five games. The problem is the defense, that allows 30.5 ppg and 437.4 ypg. The rush defense is particularly bad, ranking 131st in the country. That will play right into the UCF Golden Knights hands here on Friday. The Knights have an elite rushing attack led by RJ Harvey. Harvey has at least 80 yards rushing in all but three games this year. The UFC offense averages 233 rushing yards per game, fourth in the country. Now they get to face this bad Tech rush defense. In addition, UFC defense has played well down the stretch, allowing an average of just 16 points over their last four games. This game looks taylor made for UCF. Play Central Florida. |
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12-21-23 | Syracuse v. South Florida +3.5 | 0-45 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
The Boca Raton Bowl here on Thursday has a pair of 6-6 teams meeting up as Syracuse takes on South Florida. The Syracuse Orange finished the regular season at 6-6 S/U and 5-7 ATS. They averaged 25.5 ppg while allowing 23.7 ppg. They also averaged 359.3 ypg while allowing 381.9 ypg. The Orange became bowl eligible on their last game of the season with a win over Wake Forest, 35-31, as a 2-point favorite. Still, the club lost three of their last four both S/U and ATS. The Orange will be without some key players who have entered the transfer portal. Sophomore Linebacker Leon Lowry, one of the most experienced players they have, will not play. DB Jeremiah Wilson will also not play. WR Isaiah Jones also will miss today's contest. All in all, the Orange will miss 11 players today due to the transfer portal and 15 total who will miss the game. The South Florida Bulls were also 6-6 S/U and 5-6-1 ATS. They averaged 30.8 ppg while allowing 34.9 ppg. They also averaged 455.3 ypg while allowing 455.3 ypg. Like Syracuse, the Bulls had to win their last game to get to this bowl They beat Charlotte, 48-14 as a 7-point favorite to become bowl Eligible. The Bulls offense is excellent but their defense is not so good. The loss of 15 players for the Orange could be the difference maker here today. Plus, South Florida will be playing in their own backyard in Boca Raton. Play South Florida. |
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12-18-23 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion -4.5 | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
A couple of things you have to look for in the bowls. First, how many players have entered the transfer portal and those players sitting out because of the NFL draft. Second, motivation, does the team want to even be there. Today, we have one game on the Monday Bowl schedule and that's the Famous Toastery Bowl between Western Kentucky and Old Dominion. Western is 7-5 on the season but likely will be without their top QB in Austin Reed. Reed has an undisclosed illness/reason, but he's been downgraded to doubtful for today. The Hilltoppers have won two straight games after a win over Florida International, 41-28. The loss of Reed could be big here today for a team that averaged 29.8 ppg. Reed hit on 61.5% of his passes for 3,340 yards and 31 touchdowns. Hard to replace those kind of numbers. Western has struggled on the defensive side of the ball, allowing 28.2 ppg this season. ODU Monarchs have also won two straight games. They are coming off a win over Georgia State, 25.24 as a 1.5-point favorite. ODU averages 22.9 ppg as Grant Wilson leads the team at QB with 16 touchdowns. With Reed not in this game I look for ODU to come out on top and cover this spread today. Play Old Dominion. |
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12-17-23 | Cowboys v. Bills -1.5 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
The weather might be in the Bills advantage here on Sunday as Rain is expected with winds at least 15mpg and gusting higher. That could hurt the Cowboys potent pass attack. Dallas is 10-3 S/U and 9-4 ATS on the season. They are tied with the Eagles in the NFC East for first place but have a tough schedule the rest of the way. After today's game at Buffalo they go to Miami and then return home to face the Lions before a final road trip to Washington. With three of their last four on the road it could be a tough route for the Cowboys to the division title. Dallas is 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS in their last five games. The offense has been great, scoring at least 33 points in each of those five wins. They are coming off a win over the Eagles, 33-13 as a 3.5-point favorite. The Bills are 7-6 S/U and 5-8 ATS and right now are on the bubble to make the playoffs. The Bills were one of the preseason favorites to make the Super Bowl. Now, they are fighting for a playoff spot. Five teams in the AFC were tied at 7-6 and the Bengals won on Saturday to go to 8-6 as did the Colts. They also trail 1st place Miami by two games in the AFC East. After today they face the Chargers and Patriots (both should be easy wins) and finish vs the Dolphins, which could be for the division with some luck. As for today, the Bills will hope for as bad as weather as they can get. I'll take the Bills here today who need a win badly. |
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12-17-23 | Commanders v. Rams -6.5 | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
The Washington Commander won't make the postseason this year as they sit at just 4-9 overall and 5-7-1 vs the spread. The Commanders average just 20.1 ppg while allowing 30.4 ppg. They also average 336.1 ypg and allow 379.8 ypg. The Commanders will finish their season with a game at the Jets next week then home vs the 49ers and finish the season home vs the Cowboys. They have lost four straight games and are 1-3 ATS in those games. They are coming off a loss at home to Miami, 15-45, as a 8.5-point dog. The defense has not been good, allowing 90 points the last two games and at least 29 points in each of their last four games. The Rams had their three game win streak snapped last week at Baltimore. They fought the Ravens into OT and lost on special teams as Baltimore ran back a kick for a TD. The Rams offense has really been in high gear of late, scoring 31, 36 and 37 the last three weeks. At 6-7, the Rams chances of making the playoffs are not great, but they are around 40% at this point. A loss today almost assures them of not making the playoffs. The Way the Rams offense is playing and how bad the Commanders defense has been, I'll take the Rams here today. Play LA. |
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12-17-23 | Bears v. Browns -2.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
The Chicago Bears won their second straight game last week with a big home win over the Detroit Lions, 28-13, as a 3-point dog. The Bears were my NFC North Game of the Year Winner. The Bears are also 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games. The Bears average 20.8 ppg while allowing 23.8 ppg. They also average 324.2 ypg and allow 314.5 ypg. The Bears are 5-8 overall and in last in the NFC North. They will hit the road here today to face the Browns in Cleveland. Always have to look at the weather in Cleveland. It's going to be in the 40's with rain showers and winds from 15 Mph. The Cleveland Browns snapped their 2-game losing streak with a win over Jacksonville last week, 31-27, as a 2.5-point favorite. That improved them to 8-5 both S/U and ATS. The Browns have been very good at home, 6-1 S/U and ATS and out score their visitors by a 20.6 to 12.6 margin. The Browns have the best defense in the NFL, allowing 263 yards per game. That combined with the weather will be all the Browns need in this game. Play Cleveland. |
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12-16-23 | UCLA v. Boise State +6 | 35-22 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 44 m | Show | |
LA Bowl as UCLA takes on Boise State. The big issue to watch for in these bowls are players opting out because they don't want to get hurt and ruin their NFL draft chances or are entering the transfer portal. The latter is the case for UCLA as this LA Bowl team we saw during the season. HC Chip Kelly has already said that any play entering the portal at the end of the season won't play in this game. Seven Bruins have put their names into the Transfer portal and none of those will practice or play today. That includes star freshman player Dante Moore. Boise State won the Mountain West Championship in Las Vegas with a win over UNLV, 44-20. They have been red hot to finish the season, winning and covering their last four games. They have also scored 42 points or more in three of those games. For me, I have to back Boise in this one. They are getting points and UCLA will have to play without those seven players in the transfer portal. Take Boise State. |
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12-16-23 | Miami-OH +6.5 v. Appalachian State | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
Reason: The Cure Bowl from Orlando Florida here on Saturday has Miami Ohio taking on Appalachian State. The Miami Ohio Redhawks are the MAC Champions and finished the regular season at 11-2, including five straight wins. App State Mountaineers joined the FBD in 2014 and will make their 7th bowl appearance. Miami will be without their top QB in Brett Gabbert who will miss the game with a leg injury. They will have to start Henry Hessen or Maddox Kopp today. Rushing though will be the main focus on this game as the weather is not expected to be good with lots of rain. That means Rashad Amos will be the key for Miami. Amos finished 5th in the MAC in rushing this year. The team's strength is the defense, which ranks 1st in the MAC and 26th in the country. They are also 7th in the nation in redzone defense. App State got beat bad in the Sun Belt Championship game by Troy, 23-49. Their defense is not nearly as good as Miami, ranking 73rd in the nation. The defense did improve late though. With weather likely to play a role in this one, I'm going with the better defense here today. Take the points with Miami Ohio. |
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12-16-23 | Vikings v. Bengals -3 | 24-27 | Push | 0 | 23 h 55 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Vikings improved to 7-6 after a snooze-fest win last week over the Raiders, 3-0. After today's game at Cincinnati, the Vikings will finish against the Lions and Packers at home before their season finale at Detroit. Their win last week snapped a 2-game losing streak vs Chicago, 10-12, and at Denver, 20-21. The Vikings can still make the playoffs, but those odds will drop with a loss today vs the Bengals. This game will also be a battle of backup QB's, a theme we are seeing way too often in the NFL this year. Vikings QB Kirk Cousins is out for the rest of the year. Joshua Dobs has taken over and went 10 for 23 last week for just 63 yards. The Bengals are also 7-6 and on the playoff bubble wit Houston, Denver and Buffalo. A win today will help their chances. QB Jake Browning has stepped in for injured Joe Burrows. Browning went 18 for 24 last week for 275 yards and 2 TD's. After today, the Bengals will go to Pittsburgh, Kansas City and then finish up at home vs the Browns. I like the way Browning has been playing and I will take the Bengals here on Saturday. |
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12-11-23 | Titans v. Dolphins -13.5 | Top | 28-27 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
It's been one of those years for the Tennessee Titans. They are in last place in the NFC South with a 4-8 record and won't be going to the postseason this year. They average just 17.7 ppg and allow 21.2 ppg. They also average just 292.1 ypg while giving up 337.0 ypg. They have lost three of their last four games both S/U and ATS. That includes last week at home to Indianapolis, 28-31, as a 1-point dog. That was a high in points, in fact the 28 points last week was a season high for the team. Miami is 9-3 on the season and 8-4 vs the spread. The Dolphins are in first place in the AFC East with the Bills on their heels. This team can score, with an average of 32 ppg on the season while they allow 22.2 ppg. They also average 428.4 ypg while allowing just 300.2 ypg. With the Jets next week the Dolphins have nothing to take their attention away from tonight's contest. I'm taking the Dolphins in a Monday night blowout. Play Miami. |
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12-10-23 | Broncos +2.5 v. Chargers | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
Denver's four game win streak came to an end last week at Houston as a last second touchdown attempt came up short in their 17-22 loss as 3-point dogs. The Broncos had a good shot at the win but couldn't get the ball in the endzone as time ran out. The loss also hurts their playoff chances as they dropped to 6-6 overall and 4-7-1 ATS. They had big wins in recent weeks too with wins over the Browns, Bills and Chiefs. Denver average 21.9 ppg and allows 25.2 ppg, though they did allow 70 points in that one game at Miami to skew the average. The Broncos finish up with games at Detroit, home vs the Pats and the Chargers and then at Las Vegas. Denver could easily go 4-1 down the stretch. The Chargers are also 6-6 on the season and 4-7-1 ATS. They snapped a three-game losing streak last week with a win at the Patriots, 6-0. They had just 241 total yards and held the Pats to 257. The offense has been a bit anemic the last few weeks with just 16 total points. The offense is missing their best WR in Mike Williams who is out. Plus WR Joshua Palmer is questionable with a knee injury. The loser of this one could easily see their playoff chances go way down. I'm taking the points with the Broncos today. |
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12-10-23 | Jaguars v. Browns -3 | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
After leaving the last game, Jacksonville QB Trevor Lawrence, is questionable for today's game at Cleveland. Lawrence was limited in Friday's practice. The Jags ended up losing that game at home last week to the Bengals, 31-34, as a 10-point favorite. If Lawrence can't go then C.J. Beathard will have to start after going 9-of-10 last week for 63 yards. To make matters worse for Beathard could be the weather. It's supposed to be in the 30's in Cleveland Sunday with a chance of rain and winds that are at least 13 MPH. The Browns also have QB issues. Deshaun Watson is out for the rest of the year. Dorian Thompson-Robinson missed last week with a concussion. Thompson-Robinson could play today or it will then be veteran Joe Flacco. Either way the windy condition could make throwing a bit more difficult. I like the Browns quite a bit here at home with this excellent defense they have. Play Cleveland. |
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12-10-23 | Lions v. Bears +3.5 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
The Detroit Lions jumped out to a huge lead last week at New Orleans, but had to hold on late to get the win, 33-28 as a 4-point favorite. The Lions rushing game continues to shine with 142 last week and at least 140 in four of their last five games. The Lions have now won four of their last five games and eight of the last 10 for their 9-3 record to go along with their 8-4 ats mark. Unless the Lions completely collapse in their last five games, they should cruise to the NFC North crown. They lead 2nd place Green Bay and Minnesota by 3-games with five to play. They do face Minnesota twice yet along with Denver and Dallas. The Bears won't be going to the postseason with their 4-8 record. They are coming off a big win at Minnesota last week, 12-10 as a 3-point dog. It was just on Nov 19th that they faced the Lions in Detroit and gave them all they could handle in their loss, 26-31, covering the 8-point line. In that game they rushed for 183 yards on the Lions defense while holding the Lions to just 115 yards rushing. It will be cool in Chicago with the temps in the 30's and winds around 12 mph. That might not seem like a lot but it can hinder passing. This game looks to be controlled more on the ground and with that I'm going to take the Bears who had run all over the Lions just a few games ago. Take Chicago. |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers +6 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
Sunday Night football has the Kansas City Chiefs heading to Wisconsin to take on the Green Bay Packers. The Chiefs spotted the LV Raiders to a 14-0 lead last week in Vegas before waking up and outscoring the Raiders 31-3 the rest of the way for the win and cover. They are just 2-2 their last four games both S/U and ATS with losses to Philadelphia, 17-21, and to Denver, 9-24. The 8-3 Chiefs are 3-2 on the road and 2-3 vs the spread. They also average just 21.4 ppg on the road while allowing 18 ppg. Compare that to their 25.6 ppg overall and 15.4 ppg allowed. The Packers are 5-6 S/U and 6-5 ATS on the season. They are in 3rd place in the NFC North, 3-games back of the Lions. They average 21 ppg overall and allow 20.4 ppg. The Packers have won two straight games with their last game coming on Thanksgiving day with a win at Detroit, 29-22. They had last week off to prepare for this game so they have had plenty of time to rest and prepare. They also beat the Chargers in the previous game, 23-20 as a 3-point dog. The Packers defense keeps the team in games, allowing 24 points or fewer in each of their last seven games. Looks to be a good game on Sunday night. I'll take the points though with the home team in this one. Play the Packers. |
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12-03-23 | Browns v. Rams -4 | 19-36 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
 The Cleveland Browns head West to take on the LA Rams from Sofi Stadium. The Browns had to go out and sign a one-time Super Bowl as they brought in Joe Flacco. Flacco has been named the starter for today's contest. QB Deshaun Watson remains out with a shoulder injury as does RB Nick Chubb, both of whom will miss the remainder of the season. How much Flacco has left in the tank will remain to be seen, especially since he hasn't played this year. The Browns had their 3-game win streak snapped last week at Denver, 12-29. The offense scored just 12 last week and 13 the previous week vs Pittsburgh. The Browns are still in the playoff race as they are tied for 2nd place in the AFC North with Pittsburgh at 7-4, both 2.5-games back of Baltimore. The Browns average just 21.7 ppg while allowing 19 ppg. They also average 320.6 ypg while allowing 247.9 ypg. The LA Rams can climb back to the .500 mark with a win here today. They are 5-6 and in 3rd place in the NFC West. They average 21.1 ppg while allowing 21.3 ppg. They also average 340.6 ypg while allowing 331.2 ypg. The Rams have won two straight games over Seattle and last week at Arizona, 37-14, as a 2.5-point favorite. The Rams had one of their best offensive games with 228 yards rushing and 229 yards passing. I am not sold on Flacco taking over at QB here for the Browns. With no game experience this year and not exactly much results when he did last play, I can't imagine the Browns giving him a lot of the playbook here today. I'll take the Rams at home today. |
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12-03-23 | Broncos +3 v. Texans | 17-22 | Loss | -102 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
Who would have guessed the Denver Broncos are one of the hottest teams in the NFL. The Broncos are 6-5 S/U and 4-6 ATS and 2-games back of the Chiefs in the AFC West. After starting the season 0-3 and 1-5, they have won five straight games, including last game over Cleveland, 29-12, as a 1-point home favorite. QB Russell Wilson looks more like his old self from Seattle then the version the Broncos have had to this point. The defense has also been very good of late, allowing 22 points or fewer in each of their last five games. The Broncos had that one horrible game at Miami earlier in the season where they gave up 70 points and that has skewed their averages. But consider that they allowed more points in that one game at Miami then they have their last four games combined (63). The Houston Texans, like the Broncos, both have a shot at the postseason. They are also 6-5 S/U and 5-6 ATS. The Texans are tied for 2nd place in the AFC South with the Colts, 2-games back of the Jaguars. The Texans average 23.5 ppg while allowing 21.1 ppg. They also average 374.9 ypg and allow 347.6 ppg. Houston is coming off a loss last week to the Jags, 21-24, failing to cover the 1-point dog line. That makes them 1-4 ATS their last five games. I have to take the Broncos here today as they have been playing with lots of confidence both on offense and defense. Take Denver. |
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12-02-23 | Louisville +1.5 v. Florida State | Top | 6-16 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 23 m | Show |
ACC Championship game from Charlotte, NC has Louisville taking on Florida State. Florida State will be without it's leader in this one as QB Jordan Travis will be out for the rest of the season with a leg injury. He missed last week's rivalry game with Florida, but that didn't really come into playa as the Seminoles beat their rivals, 24-15, covering the 6-point favorite line. Still, they had just 90 yards rushing and 134 yards passing in the win. This was a team averaging 38.7 ppg on the season and 432 yards. Florida State will have its perfect 12-0 record on the line here today. Louisville finished 2nd in the ACC with a 10-2 record. This team average 33 ppg while allowing just 20 ppg. They also averaged 440.1 ypg while allowing just 317.2 ypg. Louisville is coming off a loss to their rivals, Kentucky, last week, 31-38, as a 7.5-point favorite. Louisville's defense much better than Florida's and this Seminole team had issues moving the ball last week. I'm taking Louisville to win this game without the QB for Florida State in the lineup. |
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12-02-23 | SMU +3 v. Tulane | 26-14 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
American Championship Game here on Saturday has SMU taking on Tulane from New Orleans. Tulane finished first in the conference with a 11-1 record while SMU was second at 10-2. The SMU Mustangs were also 7-5 vs the spread. They averaged 41.8 ppg while allowing 17.7 ppg on the season. They also averaged 474.8 ypg and gave up just 302.3 ypg. These teams didn't meet this season. The Mustangs are riding a eight game win streak after starting the season 2-2. They are coming off a win over Navy last week, 59-14, as a 19-point favorite. The Tulane Green Wave were just 5-7 vs the spread. They averaged 27.9 ppg while allowing 18.3 ppg. They also averaged 390.2 ppg while allowing 328.2 ppg. Their only loss of the season coming way back in week 2 at home to Ole Miss, 20-37. Since then they have won 10 straight games. I'm siding with SMU here today. SMU has the much more prolific offense and their defense is just as good. I'll take the points with the Mustangs. |
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12-02-23 | Georgia v. Alabama +5.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
SEC Championship has undefeated and playoff bound 12-0 Georgia taking on 11-1 Alabama. Lots of teams at 11-1 so a win by Alabama could make a argument for them being included in the playoff picture. Georgia is coming off a lackluster performance against Georgia Tech, 31-23, not coming close to covering the 23-point line. The Bulldogs allowed Tech to rush for 205 yards. Georgia is also 4-7-1 vs the number this year and 6-6 over/under. Georgia averages 39.6 ppg while allowing just 15.7 ppg. They also average 496.6 ypg while allowing 294.5 ypg. Alabama is 11-1 S/U and 8-4 vs the spread. The Crimson Tide is coming off a win over Auburn, 27-24, but failed to cover the 13.5-point favorite line. That was the teams first non-cover in their last five games. Alabama averages 35.7 ppg and 409.3 ypg while allowing 17.9 ppg and 312.7 ypg. Both teams have potent offenses and stingy defenses. While Georgia is the favorite in this one, I'm taking the points with Alabama in the rare dog role here today. |
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12-01-23 | New Mexico State +11.5 v. Liberty | Top | 35-49 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 9 m | Show |
 New Mexico State and Liberty face off here on Friday for the Conference USA Championship. The New Mexico State Aggies were 10-3 S/U and 7-1 in conference this season. Liberty Flames were perfect with a 12-0 overall and 8-0 conference records. New Mexico State is coming off a 20-17 win over Jacksonville state as a 2.5-point dog. Liberty is coming off a 42-28 win over UTEP as a 18-point favorite. The one time these teams met was back on Sept 9 with Liberty winning, 33-17, as a 9.5-point favorite. New Mexico State brings a 8-game win streak into today's contest. They will try and hand Liberty it's only defeat to date. The Aggies average 28.2 ppg and have a very well balanced offense that averages 217 rushing yards and 205 passing yards per game. They also play well defensively, allowing 19.7 ppg on the season. Liberty averages 40.1 ppg and they also have a well balanced offense that averages 203 rushing and 295 passing yards per game. They allow 21.7 ppg. Liberty has a slight edge on offense but New Mexico State gives up a bit less on defense. Getting all these points today is difficult to pass on. I'll take New Mexico State. |
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11-30-23 | Seahawks +9.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 35-41 | Win | 100 | 24 h 48 m | Show |
 Week 13 of the NFL kicks off here on Thursday Night with a NFC battle between the Seattle Seahawks and the Dallas Cowboys. The Seahawks have lost two straight games after their loss last week at home to the 49ers, 13-31, as a 7-point dog. The Hawks had just 220 total yards in the game. Seattle is 2nd in the NFC West with a 6-5 record, though two-games back now of the 8-3 49ers. A few weeks ago Seattle look like they would make the playoffs, now they are a underdog to get there. And, the teams they are battling for a Wildcard have some of the easiest schedules remaining. Seattle still can make the playoffs but they have a tough game tonight at Dallas. The Cowboys are 8-3 S/U and ATS on the season. They are in second place in the NFC East, two games back of the 10-1 Eagles. Philly plays the 49ers this week and that is going to be a touch game for the Eagles. Dallas could close to one game back after week 13. Then, next week it's one of the biggest impact games with Dallas hosting the Eagles. It could be these teams will be tied after that game. This is the biggest reason I'm taking Seattle tonight. I expect Dallas to have their eyes looking ahead to next week's Eagles game. And with this big spread and the Hawks needing to win, we could see Seattle stay very close in this game or even have a shot to win. I'm taking the Seahawks here on Thursday. |
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11-27-23 | Bears +3 v. Vikings | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 57 m | Show | |
 The Chicago Bears are 3-8 S/U and 4-5-2 ATS on the season. They travel to play Minnesota tonight. The Vikings are 6-5 S/U and 7-3-1 ATS on the season. The Bears are in last place in the NFC North with a 3-8 record and -56 point differential. The good news is that they got back QB Justin Fields. The Bears average 20.9 ppg and allow 26.0 ppg. They also average 323.8 ypg and allow 325.5 ypg. The Bears are coming off a loss at Detroit, 26-31, but covered the eight point dog line. Minnesota has to play the rest of the season with QB Kirk Cousins, who went down with an injury. That gives QB Joshua Dobbs a chance to shine. The Vikings average 23.0 ppg while allowing 20.9 ppg. Minnesota coming off a loss last week at Denver, 20-21, covering the 2.5-point dog line. That loss snapped a five-game winning streak for the Vikings. The Vikings have been a good under team too, with six of their last eight games going under the total. I'll take a chance with the dog here on Monday Night. Play the Chicago Bears. |
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11-26-23 | Ravens -2.5 v. Chargers | Top | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show |
Sunday Night action here has the Baltimore Ravens traveling to LA to play the Chargers. The Ravens will be without a key offensive player in TE Mark Andrews, who is out with a leg injury. The Ravens are in first place in the AFC North with a 8-3 record. They also have a great point differential of +127. The Ravens average 27.6 ppg while allowing 16.1 ppg. Baltimore bounced back from their loss to Cleveland two weeks ago with a win last week over Cincinnati, 34-20, as a 4-point favorite. The Chargers are 4-6 S/U and 3-6 ATS on the season. If they hope to grab a wild card the Chargers will have to almost win out. They are in last in the AFC West, three games back of the Chiefs. The Chargers average 25.9 ppg and allow 23.8 ppg. They also average 354.3 ypg and allow 393.6 ypg. Even without Andrews the Ravens have enough offense to go with their excellent defense to get the cover today. Play Baltimore. |
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11-26-23 | Bills +3 v. Eagles | 34-37 | Push | 0 | 18 h 40 m | Show | |
The marquee matchup on the schedule here today has the Buffalo Bills going to the city of Brotherly love to play the Philadelphia Eagles. Though I doubt there will be much love for the visiting Bills in this one. The Bills are 6-5 and 2nd in the AFC East behind the 8-3 Miami Dolphins. The Bills need to win games and not fall out of the Wild Card race. Dropping to 6-6 today could hurt their chances. The Bills average 26.7 ppg while allowing 17.3 ppg. They also have a +104 point differential. The Bills snapped a two-game losing streak last week with a win over the Jets, 32-6, as a 8.5-point favorite. They held the Jets offense to just 155 total yards in that win. The Philadelphia Eagles are 9-1 and in 1st place in the NFC East ahead of the 8-3 Dallas Cowboys. The Eagles average 27.3 ppg while allowing 21.2 ppg. The Eagles have won four straight since their first and only loss of the season to the Jets on Oct 15, 14-20, as a 6.5-point favorite. Both teams have the offense and defense to win this game. I'll take the field goal here today with the underdog Bills. |
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11-25-23 | Washington State +16.5 v. Washington | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
This will be the last time these teams will meet as PAC-12 conference foes. Washington State can get to bowl eligible today as they sit at 5-6 on the season. Washington is 11-0 and will solidify a playoff spot with a win here today. Washington State coming off that blowout win over Colorado, 56-14, as a 4.5-point favorite. Washington is coming off that big road win over #11 Oregon State, 22-20 as a 1.5-point dog. Washington State averages 32.6 ppg, but is only good for 5th in the PAC 12. Washington State jumped over Florida State last week and into the playoff top 4 picture. A win today pretty much guarantees a spot in the playoffs for the Huskies. Washington ranks third in scoring in the PAC-12 with a 39.3 ppg average. One thing is for sure, both these teams can score and a lot. I expect a shootout here on Saturday. The two TD dog Washington State Cougars look too much to pass on with the points they put on the board. I'll take the visitors here today. Play Washington State. |
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11-25-23 | Alabama -12.5 v. Auburn | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -111 | 16 h 35 m | Show |
 One of the best rivalries here on Rivalry Saturday has No 8 Alabama taking on Auburn in the Iron Bowl. Alabama has won nine straight games and is 10-1 overall and 7-0 in the SEC with playoff aspirations. Auburn is 6-5 overall and 3-4 in the SEC and looks to spoil Alabama's playoff run. Alabama's only loss of the season came way back on Sept 9th to Texas,24-34. Alabama will win the SEC West, but really needs an impressive win here today and some losses by PAC-12 teams to sneak into the playoff picture. Alabama's defense is once again very good, 17th in yards and 29th in points allowed. Auburn still trying to overcome that embarrassing home loss to New Mexico State, 10-31. It was the Aggies first ever SEC win and what hurts even more is that Auburn paid almost $2 million dollars for N.Mex State to come out and play the game. Auburn had just 213 total yards and 11 first downs vs the Aggies. Auburn is a strange team and they have the ability to stay in this game, but not if they are the team that lost last week to New Mexico State. I'm taking Alabama here to win and make a bid for one of the playoff spots. |
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11-25-23 | Miami-OH v. Ball State +4.5 | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
MAC game here on Saturday has the 9-2 S/U and 5-6 ATS Miami Ohio playing at 4-7 S/U and 6-4-1 ATS Ball State. The Miami Redhawks are in 1st place in the MAC East, one game ahead of Ohio U. The Hawks average 28.2 ppg and allow 16.5 ppg this season. They also average 345.1 ypg and allow 319.3 ypg. The Hawks still have one game left on Dec 2 at Toledo. Miami has won and covered its last three games including last game vs Buffalo, 23-10, as a 8-point favorite. The Hawks defense has been excellent, allowing just 26 points over their three game win streak. Ball State looks to close the season a positive run. The Cardinals have won two straight games including last game over Kent State 34-3, as a 10-point favorite. They held Kent State to just 29 rushing yards and 68 passing yards. Still, the Cards average just 18.5 ppg while allowing 25.1 ppg. They also average 303.1 ypg while giving up 326.2 ypg. Ball State is next to last in the MAC West with their 4-7 record. This is the last game of the season for Ball State, which won't be going to any bowl game this year. For Ball State, this is their Bowl game. They can close the season strong with a win and have some momentum to build on for next season. I'll take the points at home with Ball State. |
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11-24-23 | TCU +10 v. Oklahoma | 45-69 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
 Big 12 action here on Friday has the TCU Horned Frogs taking on the Oklahoma Sooners from Norman, OK. TCU way down in the Big 12 standings and with today's game their last it looks like the season that started with that home loss to Colorado will come to an end. The Frogs are coming off a win over Baylor, 42-17, covering the 13-point chalk line. That snapped a 3-game losing streak. TCU does have a very good offense that averages 30.1 ppg and a defense that allows 24.1 ppg. They also average 461.4 ypg while allowing 390.5 ypg. Oklahoma is 9-2 on the season and 7-4 vs the spread. The sooners are in 2nd in the Big 12, one game back of Texas. They average 40.8 ppg while allowing 20.2 ppg. The Sooners also average 494.7 ypg while allowing 378.4 ypg. The Sooners have won two straight games after last week's win over BYU, 31-24, though they failed to cover the 24.5-point line. Sooners really have nothing to play for here today and while I do believe they will win the game, I will take the points with TCU who will look to finish the season at .500. |
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11-23-23 | 49ers v. Seahawks +7.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
The late game on the Thursday NFL slate has the San Francisco 49ers traveling to Seattle to take on the Seahawks. San Francisco has gotten back to winning after three straight losses. They have since bounced back with wins over Jacksonville, 34-3, and last week at home over Tampa Bay, 27-14, though they failed to cover the 14-point home line. After starting the season 4-0-1 vs the spread, the Niners are now 1-4 ATS their last five games. The 49ers average 27.9 ppg while allowing 15.7 ppg and have a very nice +122 point differential. It initially looked like Seattle QB Geno Smith might miss time with an elbow injury he sustained last week. However, he's not been upgraded to probable for tonight's contest. Seattle lost last week at the Rams, 16-17, but covered the 2.5-point dog line. That makes them 1-2 the last three weeks. They average 21.6 ppg while allowing 21.8 ppg and have a -2 point differential. Big game here as the Seahawks can tie the 49ers in the NFC West at 7-4 with a win. I'll take the points at home with the Seahawks. |
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11-20-23 | Eagles v. Chiefs -2.5 | 21-17 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
One of the better Matchups of the NFL season here tonight as the KC Chiefs host the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles are 8-1 S/U and 5-2-2 ATS on the season with five of nine going over. The Chiefs are 7-2 S/U, 6-3 ATS and 2-7 O/U on the season and coming off a win over Miami, 21-14 in Frankfurt. The Eagles coming off a win over the Cowboys, 28-23, despite being outgained by Dallas, 292-406. The Eagles average 28 ppg (3rd in the NFL) and 376.8 ypg (5th in the NFL). They allow 21.7 ppg and 323.3 ypg. The Chiefs defense has been excellent, which takes a lot of pressure off the offense. They only average 23.1 ppg (13th) and 368.7 yards (8th). But they allow just 15.9 ppg (2nd in the NFL) and 288.2 yards (4th). This is a rematch of last year's Super Bowl that the Chiefs won. Can they get the rematch here today? I look to their defense to keep Jalen Hurts under control and that's the key. They held the best scoring offense in the NFL (Miami) to just 14 points. They can do it again here tonight. Take Kansas City. |
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11-19-23 | Steelers +1.5 v. Browns | 10-13 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
Bad news for the Cleveland Browns as QB Deshaun Watson is done for the year after needing shoulder surgery. The Browns were coming off a huge win over the Baltimore Ravens as they came from behind to get the AFC North victory, 33-31, as a 5.5-point dog. That win brought the Browns to 6-3, just one game back of the Ravens in the division. The Browns also had won two straight and four of their last five both S/U and ATS. Now the QB job goes back to P.J. Walker with rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson as the backup. This could be the end of the season for the Browns as they likely will regret not getting a better backup QB. This could open the door even more for the Steelers who are tied with the Browns at 6-3. Pittsburgh coming off a win last week over Green Bay, 23-19, as a 3-point favorite. That makes four wins in their last five games both S/U and ATS for the Steelers. Even though Pittsburgh goes to Cleveland, I have to take the Steelers here today now that Watson is gone. Get this one early as the line will move quickly as the game time approaches. Play Pittsburgh.  |
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11-19-23 | Raiders v. Dolphins -13.5 | 13-20 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
The LV Raiders look to go 3-0 under interim coach Antonio Pierce. Pierce was a Super Bowl Champion and Pro Bowler as a player and has been quite the showman taking over for the Raiders after they fired Josh McDaniels. Don't count too much into this though as their wins have come against both New York teams. They beat the Giants at home, 30-6 and then last week beat the Jets, 16-12, covering both games. They also removed Jimmy Garoppolo at QB and replaced him with Aidan O'Connell. But is the honeymoon period over? We'll see today as they have to face the high flying Miami Dolphins. The Raiders, 5-5, still have a shot at a Wildcard, but they need lots of wins down the stretch. They face the AFC East 1st place Miami Dolphins today. The Dolphins are 6-3 and one game ahead of the Bills. They average 31.7 ppg and 435.3 yards per game. Not the pathetic offenses they have faced the last two weeks. The Dolphins will look to rebound after losing at Kansas City last week, 14-21. For me, I believe the Dolphins offense will dominate this game and be way too much for the Raiders. The Raiders offense isn't built to come from behind and we'll see that here today. Play Miami. |
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11-18-23 | Texas v. Iowa State +7.5 | 26-16 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 47 m | Show | |
Big 12 action here on Saturday has Iowa State hosting Texas. Texas is 9-1 S/U and 4-5-1 ATS on the season. The Longhorns leading the Big 12, one game ahead of Oklahoma. Iowa State is 6-4 S/U and 4-6 vs the spread and in 4th place in the Big 12. The Longhorns only blemish to their record coming at Oklahoma in a 30-34 loss as a 5-point favorite. Texas will finish the regular season with a home game next week against Texas Tech. Iowa State Cyclones have won four of their last five games after last week's win at BYU, 45-13, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Cyclones average 25.7 ppg and 348.2 ypg while allowing 19.9 ppg and 331.6 ypg. Iowa State needs a win today or next week at Kansas State to keep a winning record. I think that win can come this week, but I'll take the points with Iowa State. |
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11-18-23 | Washington v. Oregon State -1 | 22-20 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
PAC 12 matchup here between undefeated and 10- Washington as they travel to take on the 8-2 Oregon State Beavers. Washington Huskies looking for a CFB playoff bid with just Oregon State and then at home vs Washington State next week. In reality, this is the final hurdle for the Huskies as they will be huge favorites next week vs their instate rivals. Washington might be perfect in the W/L column but the Huskies are only 4-5-1 vs the spread. They average 41 ppg and 504.9 ypg on the season. They are coming off a win over Utah last week, 35-28, but failed to cover the 9-point line. That makes them just 1-3-1 ATS over their last five games. Oregon State is 8-2 S/U and 6-4 ATS. The Beavers also have a dynamic offense, averaging 37.9 ppg and 453.9 ypg. Their defense is better than Washington as they allow just 20.5 ppg and 333.2ypg. They are coming off a win over Stanford last week, 62-17, covering the 21-point spread. The Beavers have outscored their opponents at home by a 40-12.8 margin as they are a perfect 5-0 on the home turf and 4-1 vs the spread. I'm going to take Oregon State here on Saturday as they ruin the Huskies playoff bid hopes. Play Oregon State. |
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11-18-23 | Florida +11.5 v. Missouri | 31-33 | Win | 100 | 19 h 17 m | Show | |
SEC action here on Saturday has Florida taking on Missouri. The Gators are 5-5 on the season and 3-7 vs the spread. Florida looking to snap its three-game losing streak here today. The Gators are coming off a loss at LSU last week, 35-52, as a 15.5-point dog. The Gators have averaged 29.5 ppg this year and 420.4 ypg. They allow 27.4 ppg and 386.6 ypg. The Gators will finish their season next week at home vs Florida State. With no bowl game this year, they will look to finish strong with wins today and next week. The Missouri Tigers are 7-3 S/U and 5-4-1 ATS on the season. Missouri is 2nd in the SEC East, two games back of 10-0 Georgia. The Tigers are averaging 32.8 ppg and 443.3 ypg. They allow 22.3 ppg and 344 yards. They are coming off a win last week at home to Tennessee, 36-7, as a 2-point dog. That follows that loss at Georgia two weeks ago, 21-30. Missouri will finish the regular season next week at Arkansas. Nothing really to play for here for Missouri as they can't win the SEC East and they have secured a bowl. I'll take the points with the visitor in this one. Take Florida. The Missouri Tigers are 7-3 S/U and 5-4-1 ATS. |
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11-18-23 | UNLV +3 v. Air Force | Top | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
It's not very often this can be said, but UNLV controls its own destiny. It can win the Mountain West on its own without any other help. But standing in the Rebels way is Air Force. Air Force is tie with UNLV and Fresno State in the conference at 8-2. However, the Falcons have lost two games in a row to a pair of teams they were 18 and 20 point favorites to. They lost at home to Army, 3-23, as a 18-point favorite then lost at Hawaii, 13-27, as a 20-point favorite. The Falcons score nearly 29 ppg and totaled just 16 points in the two losses. UNLV having its best season in recent memory. The Rebels will go to a bowl game but they want to win the conference. They have won two straight games since their loss to Fresno State. They beat New Mexico 56-14 and then last week beat Wyoming, 34-14. The Rebels offense has been great with 36.4 ppg and 423 ypg this season. This will be a great game, but I will take the points with the Rebels. Play UNLV. |
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11-18-23 | Utah +1.5 v. Arizona | 18-42 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
Another great PAC-12 matchup here on Saturday has a pair of 7-3 teams meeting up as Utah travels to Tucson to face Arizona. These teams tied for 4th in the PAC-12 behind Oregon State, Oregon and Washington. The Utah Utes are 6-3 vs the spread this year as they average 25.3 ppg and allow just 17.8 ppg. They also average 356.5 ypg while allowing a very good 300.2 ypg. Arizona is 7-3 S/U and also 8-2 vs the spread. The Wildcats have averaged 31.1 ppg while allowing 20.9 ppg this season. They also average 438.4 ypg while allowing 335.1 ypg. Arizona coming off a win at Colorado last week. 34-31, but failing to cover the 8-point favorite spread. This looks to be a good defensive battle as both teams have done well on that side of the ball this year. I'll take the Utah Utes as a small dog here on Saturday. |
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11-16-23 | Bengals +3.5 v. Ravens | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
AFC North clash here tonight has the 5-4 and last place Cincinnati Bengals looking to make ground on first place 7-3 Baltimore Ravens. The Bengals lost last week at home to Houston, 27-30, as a 5-point favorite. That snapped a nice 4 game win streak both S/U and ATS. The Bengals have average 20.2 ppg and 301.7 ypg this season. They have allowed 21.3 ppg and 383.7 ypg. The Ravens have to be kicking themselves after leading big last week at home against Cleveland, only to lose to the Browns, 31-33, as a 5.5-point favorite. That snapped a four game win streak for the Ravens. Baltimore averages 27 ppg and 362.7 ypg on the season. They have allowed 15.7 ppg and 273.6 ypg. Both teams looking to rebound from tough losses last week. The Bengals need this one more as a win puts them right into the thick of the AFC North race. I'll take the points with the Bengals tonight. |
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11-12-23 | Giants v. Cowboys -16.5 | Top | 17-49 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show |
NFC East matchup here on Sunday has the last place 2-7 NY Giants traveling to Texas to take on the 2nd place 5-3 Dallas Cowboys. The Giants have lost two straight games after losing last week in Las Vegas, 6-30, as a 1.5-point dog. The Giants offense has been horrible, scoring 14 points or fewer in each of their last four games. They had just 277 total yards last week. The Giants average 11.2 ppg and 268.9 ypg on the season. They allow 24.1 ppg and 338.3 ypg. Now they face a Dallas team that has averaged 27.5 ppg on the season and 346.5 yards. They are coming off a loss at Philadelphia last week, 23-28, as a 3-point dog. They will return home where they are 3-0 both S/U and ATS this season and average 37 ppg while allowing just 11 ppg. Bad spot for the Giants today. Not only do they not score but they face a Dallas team that will be looking to rebound from that loss last week. I'll lay the big points here today with Dallas as I believe the line should be at least a touchdown more than it is now. Play Dallas. |
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11-11-23 | USC v. Oregon -15.5 | Top | 27-36 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 34 m | Show |
USC having a fine season, but they have struggled against the best teams. The Trojans are 7-3 S/U and 2-8 ATS and score 45.5 ppg with 485.5 yards per game. The problem is the defense, which allows 34.5 ppg and 436.5 yards. That was apparent again last week as their offense tried to stay with Washington, but couldn't keep them from scoring in a Huskies 52-42 win. The Trojans have now allowed a whopping 101 points in their last two games. It won't get any easier this week at they travel to Eugene to face the high scoring Oregon Ducks. The Ducks are 8-1 in and in 2nd place in the PAC 12 behind 9-0 Washington. Oregon averages 47.4 ppg and 540.1 yards. They are coming off a blowout win over Cal last week, 63-19, as a 27-point favorite. The Ducks should have little trouble scoring on this USC defense today. The Oregon defense is much better than USC, as they allow just 16 ppg and 301 yards. USC likely will get their points in this one, but they won't be able to match this Oregon offense. Play Oregon. |
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11-11-23 | Auburn v. Arkansas -2.5 | 48-10 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
SEC Matchup here on Saturday has Auburn looking to become bowl eligible as they sit at 5-4 on the season and 4-5 vs the number. The Tigers have won two straight games after a three-game losing streak. They are coming off a win over Vanderbilt, 31-15, as a 12.5-point favorite. They have covered their last two games. The Tigers average 27.2 ppg while allowing 21.7 ppg. They also average 357.8 ypg while allowing 357.6 ypg. They sit tied for fourth in the SEC West standings. After today's contest, only two games remain on the schedule, at home vs New Mexico State and then a home game vs Alabama. Arkansas is 3-5 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the season. The Razorbacks snapped a four game losing streak last week at Florida, 39-36, as a 3-point dog. The Hogs had one of their best offensive games of the season with 481 yards, well above their 327.4 ypg average. They also were above their season 27.9 point average. The Hogs are last in the SEC West with games at Florida International and at home vs Missouri to close the season. Not out of the question to get to six wins, but they have to win out to do that. I'll take Arkansas here today. |
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11-11-23 | Appalachian State v. Georgia State -2 | 42-14 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
Sun Belt Conference action here today has the 5-4 App State Mountaineers taking on 6-3 Georgia State. James Madison has this conference locked-up with a 9-0 record and Coastal Carolina, Ga Southern and Ga State all right behind at 6-3. App State has won two straight games after winning last week at home over Marshall, 31-9, as a 3-point favorite. They have struggled on the road though, going 1-3 S/U and 1-2-1 vs the spread. They have also been outscored 28.8 to 32.5 on the road this year. The Georgia State Panthers should be going to a bowl but after today they do have to go to LSU before finishing at Old Dominion. A win here today would go a long with with two tough road games coming up. The Panthers look to snap a two game losing streak. They lost at home to conference champ James Madison, 14-42 and two weeks ago at Ga Southern, 27-44. This is a important game for Ga State and it's their last home game of the season so I expect a great effort today before the home faithful in their final game of the season on the home turf. Play Georgia State. |
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11-06-23 | Chargers v. Jets +3.5 | 27-6 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers are trying to catch the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC West but it's not going so well. The Chiefs won on Sunday in Frankfurt over Miami, improving to 7-2 on the season. Now the Chargers can just get back to the .500 mark at 4-4 with a win here on Monday Night in New York vs the Jets. The Chargers average 24.9 ppg while allowing 24.0 ppg. They also average 362.4 ypg while giving up 390.9 ypg. The Chargers snapped a two-game losing and spread streak last week with their win over the Bears, 30-13, as a 9.5-point favorite. The Jets are 4-3 S/U and 4-2-1 vs the spread this season. The Jets trail the Dolphins and Bills in the AFC East. However, both the Bills and Dolphins lost on Sunday, so this is a key spot for the Jets to improve to 5-3 and pick up a game on both the teams ahead of them. The Jets have a excellent defense, which allows 18.4 ppg and 329.3 ypg. The offense isn't so good, scoring just 18 ppg and 273.3 ypg on the season. The Jets have won three straight games though, going 2-0-1 ATS vs the spread. They are coming off a win over the Giants, 13-10. They also led the high flying Eagles offense to just 14 points in that win two weeks ago. Now the Jets find themselves a home dog to a team with a losing record. I'll take the points at home here on Monday. Play the NY Jets. |
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11-05-23 | Bills v. Bengals -1 | Top | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
The Buffalo Bills hit the road on Sunday for their game at Cincinnati. The Bills are 5-3 on the season and in 2nd place in the AFC East, one game back of Miami. They have a +86 point differential. The Bills also average 27.7 ppg while allowing 17 ppg. They average 376.9 ypg while allowing 326.1 ppg. The Bills are coming off a win over Tampa Bay last week, 24-18, but failed to cover the 10-points spread. In fact, they are 0-4 against the number the last four games. The Cincinnati Bengals are in 3rd place in the AFC North, behind 5-3 Pittsburgh and 6-2 Baltimore. They average 18.7 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg on the season. The Bengals finally put together a complete game last week, beating San Francisco on the road, 31-17, as a 4.5-point dog. That makes three straight wins both S/U and ATS. They have also gone over in two of their last three games. The Bengals have also scored 31 points or more in two of the last three. I like the Bengals at home here on Sunday night. Play Cincinnati. |
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11-05-23 | Colts v. Panthers +2.5 | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
The AFC South is one of the worst divisions in football as three of the four teams have just three wins. That includes the Indianapolis Colts who are 3-5 and have a -24 point differential. The Colts are trailing 6-2 first place Jacksonville by three games. The Colts average 25.6 ppg while allowing 28.6 ppg. They average 362.4 ypg while allowing 371.3 ypg. QB Anthony Richardson is out for the rest of the season after sustaining a shoulder injury. That leaves Gardner Minshew as the starter. The Colts have lost three straight games, including last week at home to New Orleans, 27-38, as a 2-point dog. Now they hit the road to face the Panthers. Carolina won its first game of the season last week at home over Houston, 15-13, covering the 3.5-point dog line. The Panthers average just 18.1 ppg while allowing 28.4 ppg. They also average 284.6 ypg and allow 326 ypg. QB Bryce Young had one of his better starts, completing 22-of-31 passes for 235 yards, one TD and no INT's. With Richardson out, I like the Panthers to get win number two here on Sunday. Play Carolina. |
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11-04-23 | Washington v. USC +3 | 52-42 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
Huge PAC 12 contest here today as #5 Washington travels to LA to take on #20 USC. The Huskies are a perfect 8-0 and looking to get into the playoff picture while USC is 7-2 and hopes to play spoiler here today. Two of the best QB's in college will matchup with Washington Michael Penix Jr taking on USC QB Caleb Williams. The Huskies coming off a win at Stanford last time out, 42-33, but didn't come close to covering the 27.5-point spread. USC had to come from behind last week to eek out a win at Cal, 50-49. Right now Huskies' QB Penix Jr leads the nation in passing and is the odds on favorite to win the Heisman. Williams is second in passing and will be considered in the Heisman voting. Both these teams have great offenses led by future NFL QB's. You can make a case for either side here tonight. For me, I like a home dog like USC that wants nothing more than to spoil Washington's chances at that playoff bid. I'll take the points in this one. Play USC. |
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11-04-23 | Kansas v. Iowa State -3 | 28-21 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
The Big 12 is loaded with teams that can be bowl eligible so wins will be important for all these teams. That includes these two today. Kansas is 6-2 and tied for 2nd with Oklahoma State. Iowa State is 5-3 and tied wit BYU and West Virginia. The Jayhawks coming off that big win last week over Oklahoma, 38-33. First time in ages that the Jayhawks have beaten the Sooners and the fans tore down the goal posts at the end of the game. Now they take on Iowa State that has won and covered three straight games, including last week at Baylor, 30-18, as a 3-point road dog. The Cyclones last loss came to Oklahoma, 20-50. Iowa State averages 23.9 ppg while allowing 19.7 ppg. They don't pile up the yards though with just 338.3 ypg while allowing 329.6 ypg. Kansas averages 35.7 ppg and 443 ypg. Big offensive advantage here to the Jayhawks. Iowa State has the better defense and I look for that to be the difference here today. I'll lay the small points with the home team. Play Iowa State. |
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11-04-23 | Penn State v. Maryland +9 | 51-15 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
Big 10 action here on Saturday has Maryland hosting Penn State. Penn State is 7-1 S/U and 5-3 ATS on the season. The Nittany Lions only loss coming a few weeks ago at Ohio State, 12-20 as a 4-point dog. The Lions won last week at home over Indiana, 33-24, but failed miserably to cover the 31-point chalk line. The loss carried over to last week's game as the offense had just 342 total yards of offense. Penn State is behind both 8-0 teams in the Big 10 East, Michigan and Ohio State. Maryland is 5-3 S/U and sits behind the aforementioned teams and Rutgers too. The Terapins have lost three straight both S/U and ATS, including last week at Northwestern, 27-33, as a 14.5-point favorite. The Terps can score, averaging 32.6 ppg and 418.5 ypg of offense. They are holding opponents to 20.4 ppg and 341.4 ypg. Maryland getting almost double digits at home here today. I expect their offense to give the Lions all they can handle. Take the points with Maryland. |
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11-04-23 | Kansas State +3.5 v. Texas | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Big 12 action here today as Kansas State takes on the Longhorns of Texas from Austin. Kansas State is 6-2 S/U and ATS on the season and one of the best rushing teams in the nation with a 226 ypg average. The Wildcats average 37.4 ppg while allowing only 15.9 ppg. They also average 464.8 ypg while allowing 344.3 ypg. They are coming of a rout of Houston last week, 41-0 where they held the Cougars to just 208 total yards. They will face a 7-1 S/U and 4-4 ATS Texas team here today. The Horns also one of the best rushing teams, averaging 180.3 ypg. They are tied with Oklahoma for the Big 12 conference title with Kansas State, Kansas and Oklahoma State all one game back. The Horns average 34.5 ppg while allowing just 16 ppg. Texas coming off an easy win over BYU last week, 35-6, covering the 20.5-point spread. Still, they have covered just one of their last three games. Should be a great game here today. If Kansas State can use their running game to control the ball and clock they should be in this one at the end. I'll take the points with Kansas State. |
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11-04-23 | Arkansas +3 v. Florida | 39-36 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Arkansas looks to get a much needed win here today as they are just 2-6 overall on the season. The Razorbacks are also 4-3-1 vs the number as they head to Florida to face the Gators. The Hogs are last in the SEC West with a 2-6 conference record, which doesn't bode well in the bowl picture. They average 26.5 ppg while allowing 22.9 ppg. They also average 308.3 ypg while allowing 334.5 ypg. The Hogs need a win desperately after dropping six straight including last week vs Mississippi State, 3-7 as a 6.5-point favorite. The defense keeps them in games though, allowing just 24 points to Alabama, 27 to Ole Miss in their last two weeks. Florida is 5-3 on the season and fourth in the SEC East. They are coming off that loss last week at home to Georgia, 20-43, failing to cover the two TD dog line. That snapped a two game win/spread cover for the Gators. Florida averages 28 ppg while allowing 22.9 ppg. I'm taking the road dog here today. Play Arkansas. |
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11-03-23 | Boston College +3 v. Syracuse | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
A couple of former Big East schools meet here today as Syracuse hosts Boston College. BC coming off a win over U Conn last week, 21-14, but failing to cover the 14.5-point spread. Syracuse coming off a loss at Virginia Tech, 10-38. The BC Eagles started the season at 1-3 but have since won four straight. Syracuse started the season 4-0 and have since dropped four straight games to even their record at 4-4. The have been outscored in those four games 34-150. They have also dropped all four vs the spread. Momentum seems to be all on the side of Boston College as we come into this contest. I'll take BC here plus the points. |
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11-02-23 | Titans v. Steelers -2.5 | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans look to climb back to the .500 mark here on Thursday night as they visit the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Titans have a -8 point differential this season. The Titans will also be without QB Ryan Tannehill who will miss this game with a ankle injury. In his place will be Will Levis. Levis will make his second NFL start here tonight. Levis made his debut last week at home vs the Atlanta Falcons and threw for FOUR touchdowns in the win, 28-23 as a 2.5-point dog. That win snapped a two-game losing streak for the Titans. It also eclipsed a 18.9 ppg average for this Titans team. Still, they are a good deal back of first place and 6-2 Jacksonville. The Steelers are tied with Cincinnati and Cleveland in the AFC North at 4-3. They all trail the 6-2 Baltimore Ravens. The Steelers also have a -34 point differential. They average just 16.1 ppg and allow 21.0 ppg. The Steelers offense manages just 271.7 ypg while allowing 382.6 ypg. The Steelers coming off a loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars, 10-20 last week. They managed just 261 total yards in the loss. That loss snapped a two-game winning streak by Pittsburgh. I'm taking the Steelers at home. The Steelers and J.J Watt have a better defense then the Falcons so we likely won't see Levis throw for another four TD's here tonight. Play Pittsburgh. |
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11-01-23 | Ball State v. Bowling Green -5 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
It's a Big MAC attack here on Wednesday as this conference takes center stage as Ball State and Bowling Green face off. Ball State comes into this game 2-6 S/U and 3-4-1` ATS on the season. Bowling Green comes in 4-4 S/U and 5-3 vs the number. The Ball State Cardinals are last in the MAC West and won't be going to the Bowl season. The Cardinals offense is pretty pathetic, averaging 16.1 ppg and 295.1 ypg. The defense allows 29 ppg and 361.9 ypg. The Cardinals snapped a four game losing streak last week with a win over Central Michigan at home, 24-17, as a 5.5-point dog. The Bowling Green Falcons can still make a bowl, but they need to wi here tonight. They sit third in the MAC East. The Falcons average 22.2 ppg and 302.9 ypg. They allow 25 ppg and 331.0 ypg. The Falcons have won two straight games including last week over Akron, 41-14 as a 7.5-poing home favorite. This is a running team, as they have over two hundred yards in each of the last two wins and fewer than 100 yards passing. Ball State allows 125 rushing yards per game and that should be good news for this Bowling Green running game. I'll take the home team in this one. Play Bowling Green. |
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10-30-23 | Raiders v. Lions -7 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
The LV Raiders couldn't have looked much worse then they did last week in their loss at Chicago, 12-30. They hade just 39 yards rushing and without their starting QB they had just 196 yards passing. They couldn't stop the Chicago rushing attack as the Bears piled-up 173 yards on the ground. Good news is that QB Jimmy Garoppolo (back) has been upgraded to probable after missing that game last week. How effective he will be will remain to be seen however. The 5-2 Detroit Lions having one of their best seasons in many years. They are in first place in the NFC North and can extend that tonight over the second place Vikings who just lost their QB Kirk Cousins for the season. The Packers and Bears look to be no show as both have just two wins. The Lions will look to rebound from their worst performance of the season last week at Baltimore, 6-38. It was their worst offensive output and they allowed over 500 yards to the Ravens. That loss snapped both a four game win streak S/U and against the number. I look for the Lions to rebound from that bad performance last week. The Raiders have no answer if they lose their QB again, which could happen with every play. I'll take Detroit. |
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10-29-23 | Texans v. Panthers +3.5 | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
 The Houston Texans look to get above .500 with a win today at Carolina. The Texans are 3-3 and in 2nd place in the AFC South behind 5-2 Jacksonville. The Texans have a +22 point differential. Meanwhile, Carolina looking for its first win of the season at 0-6 and in last place in the NFC South. The Panthers have a -74 point differential this season. Houston is coming off a win at home over the Saints last week, 20-13 as a 2-point dog. They had just 297 yards compared to the Saints 430 yards. Carolina coming off a loss at Miami last week, 21-42, as a 14-point dog. The Panthers average 18.7 ppg while allowing 31 ppg. This will be a battle among the top two QB draft picks from last season with the Panthers Bryce Young against the Texans CJ Stroud. Everyone keeps waiting for Young to make an impact. Growing pains can be difficult for a rookie in the NFL. I'm going to take the home dog here with Carolina and see if Young can finally be a factor. Play Carolina. |
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10-29-23 | Jaguars v. Steelers +2.5 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
The Jacksonville Jaguars won their fourth straight game after last week's win at New Orleans, 31-24, as a 2.5-point dog. The Jags haven't been dominating, but good enough. They average 24.7 ppg while allowing 20.9 ppg. They also average 336.3 ypg while giving up 354.4 ppg. The rushing defense has been very good, allowing just 80.6 ypg on the season. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh is 4-2 S/U and ATS despite averaging just 17.2 ppg while giving up 21.2 ppg. The Jags 5-2 record has them in first place in the AFC South, with Houston and Indy the next closest teams at 3-3 and 3-4. Pittsburgh is in a crowded AFC North where the Ravens lead with a 5-2 record. Pittsburgh and Cleveland are at 4-2 and Cincinnati at 3-3. The Steelers have a -24 point differential, but somehow keep winning. This is a strange one for me. Not sure why the Jags are favored. But, that's ok, I'll take it. Play Pittsburgh! |
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10-28-23 | Oregon State v. Arizona +3 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
Late evening action here on the Saturday schedule has a pair of PAC-12 teams facing off as Arizona hosts Oregon State. Oregon State comes into this contest with a 6-1 S/U and 5-2 ATS record. Arizona is 4-3 S/U and 6-1 vs the spread. Oregon State won at home two weeks ago against UCLA, 36-24, as a 3.5-point favorite. They had last week off. That makes three wins in row since their loss to Washington State for the lone blemish on their record. The Beavers average 38.1 ppg while allowing 20.3 ppg. They also average 445.1 ypg while allowing 343.9 ypg. Arizona also had last week off to prepare for this game. They snapped a two game losing streak two weeks ago at Washington State, 44-6, as a 7.5-point road dog. They have now covered their last three games, all as underdogs. Arizona averages 31.9 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg. They have 452.4 ypg and allow 333.4 ypg. Arizona covers spreads, especially as a dog. They are a home dog here today and I'll be on the points with this one. Play Arizona. |
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10-28-23 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +14.5 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
Big 10 clash here on Saturday has Wisconsin hosting Ohio State. Ohio State kept its perfect record in tact as the Buckeyes improved to 7-0 a big win last week over Penn State, 20-12, covering the 4-point favorite spread. That was a huge win for the Buckeyes and will have them in the current playoff picture. It was also the teams third cover in a row and 4-0-1 ATS their last five games after starting the season 0-2 vs the number. Not only does the Buckeyes offense rank 33.7 ppg, but they have one of the best defenses in the country, allowing just 10 ppg and 260 total yards. Ohio State has its sights set on that Nov 25th clash with currently 8-0 Michigan in the regular season finale. Wisconsin lucky to be in the Big 10 West where they don't have to contend with either Ohio State or Michigan. The Badgers are 5-2 and a half game back in the West behind Iowa. Wisconsin averages 26.9 ppg while allowing 18.3 ppg. They also average 396.4 ypg while allowing 334.9 ypg. Getting somewhere around two TD's at home with Wisconsin too much to pass up on here today. The Buckeyes should be in a bit of a letdown spot after that big win last week. I'll take the points with Wisconsin. |
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10-28-23 | Wyoming +4.5 v. Boise State | 7-32 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
Two teams with postseason aspirations meet today in this Mountain West clash between Wyoming and Boise State. Wyoming can take a big step to a Bowl game with a win today that would improve them to 6-2 on the season. As for Boise, a win and they even their season at 4-4, a loss and they could be behind the eight ball for the postseason. Wyoming is 4-2-1 vs the spread after last week's loss at Air Force, 27-34, though they covered the 12.5 point dog line. That snapped a three game win streak for the Cowboys. Wyoming averages 26.3 ppg while allowing 25.6 ppg. They also allow more yards then they gain with a 324.7-380.7 mark. Boise State looks to rebound after their loss at Colorado State two weeks ago, 30-31, as a 8.5-point chalk. The Broncos had last week off to stew over that loss, their second in their last three games. The Broncos average 29.7 ppg but allow 30.9 ppg on the season. They also allow 428.3 ypg while averaging slightly less at 425 ypg. I like the Cowboys getting points in this since I believe they can win straight up. Play Wyoming. |
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10-28-23 | Purdue +2 v. Nebraska | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Big 10 action here on Saturday as a pair of West division teams matchup. Purdue is last in the West with a 2-5 conference record, while Nebraska is fourth at 4-3. Purdue had last week off to prepare for today's contest. They looks to snap a two-game losing streak, including last game vs Ohio State, 7-41. The Boilermakers average 23 ppg while allowing 29.9 ppg on the season. They also average 370.7 ypg and allow 396.3 ypg. The Huskers coming off a win last week at home vs Northwestern, 17-9, but failed to cover the 11-point line. That makes them 1-3 ATS in their last four games. Nebraska averages just 18.7 ppg and allows 19.3 on the season. They also average 330 ypg while allowing 313.6 ypg. I'll take the well rest Purdue team in this one plus the points. Play Purdue. |
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10-28-23 | Oregon v. Utah +6.5 | 35-6 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
Huge PAC-12 contest here as Oregon travels to the Beehive state to face Utah U. Both teams come into this contest at 6-1 S/U. Oregon rebounded from their first loss of the season two weeks ago at Washington (33-36) with a win over Washington State, 38-24, but failed to cover the 19.5-point chalk line. This Oregon team is very dynamic with Nix at QB after transferring to Oregon this year. They average 553.4 ppg and 47 ppg on the season. They are also very balanced with over 200 yards rushing average. Utah coming off a big win over USC last week, 34-32, as a 7-point dog. That's two wins in a row that they have scored 34 points. They only allow 296 ypg and 15 ppg this season. This should be one of the marquee games on Saturday. Utah getting almost a TD at home too much for me to pass on. I'll take Utah and see if they can keep the ball out of the hands of this dynamic Oregon offense. Play Utah. |
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10-25-23 | UTEP +3.5 v. Sam Houston State | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Not sure how the oddsmakers favor a team by a field goal or more when they are 0-7 on the season. But, that's just what they did with Sam Houston State tonight who is still looking for its first win of the season after seven losses. The Bearkats lost last week to Florida International, 27-33, again a favorite, this time 5.5-point chalk. The Kats are also 3-4 vs the number and 1-4 ATS their last five games. They average just 13.4 ppg while allowing 25.9 ppg. The Kats also average just 283.1 ypg while allowing 383.3 ypg. UTEP isn't great either, in fact the Miners won't be going to a bowl as they sit at just 2-6 S/U and ATS. The Miners lost to New Mexico State last week, 7-28, as a 3-point dog. The Miners average more yards then the Bearkats with 353.8 ypg. They average 16.4 ppg and give up 26.4 ppg. The Miners are a run first offense and average around 40 rushing attempts per game so I look for them to control the ball and the clock in this game. Conversely, Sam Houston doesn't have much of a run attack which will find them behind the sticks a lot in this one. This is a good matchup for UTEP as I look for the Miners run game to control the ball, the clock and the final score. Play UTEP. |
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10-22-23 | Dolphins v. Eagles -2.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
Sunday night football has the AFC vs the NFC as the Dolphins take on the Eagles. The Miami Dolphins are in first place in the AFC East with a 5-1 record. They have a point differential of +67 and have won two straight after last week's win over Carolina, 42-21, as a 14-point favorite. Their lone loss coming in that AFC East showdown with the Bills a few weeks ago, 20-48. The Eagles are in first place in the NFC East with a 5-1 record. They lead the Dallas Cowboys by one game. They have a +31 run differential and are a perfect 2-0 at home. The Eagles lost their first game of the season last week at the NY Jets, 14-20, as a 6.5-point favorite. They held the Jets to just 89 yards rushing and 155 yards passing. Should be an excellent game here on Sunday night. I'll take the Eagles at home. |
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10-22-23 | Chargers +5.5 v. Chiefs | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
AFC West clash here on Sunday has the first place Kansas City Chiefs looking to take a commanding lead in the division. The Raiders are 3-3 while the Chargers are 2-3. The Chargers, despite having a losing record, have a +3 point differential. They rallied late last week, but Herbert's INT on the final drive locked the win for the visiting Cowboys, 17-20, as a 1.5-point dog. The loss snapped a 2-game win streak for the Chargers. The Kansas City offense hasn't been as explosive this year as in recent seasons. However, the defending champions defense hasn't allowed more than 20 points in any of their last five games. The Chiefs have a +59 point differential this season thanks in big part to the defense. Chargers already in a must win spot this early in the season. I'll take the points with LA here on Sunday. |
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10-22-23 | Falcons +3 v. Bucs | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
 NFC South meeting here between the top two teams in the division. The Bucs are 3-2 and in first place with a +2 point differential. The Falcons are 3-3 with a -21 point differential. The Falcons are just 1-5 vs the spread and average 331 yards per game while allowing 278.2 yards. They also average 16.5 ppg while giving up 20.0 ppg. The Falcons lost last week at home to Washington, 16-24, as a 1.5-point favorite. They held Washington to just 72 rushing yards and 121 passing yards despite losing. Tampa Bay also coming off a loss last week as the dropped their home game to the Detroit Lions, 6-20, as a 3-point dog. They had just 46 rushing yards and 205 passing yards. They average 18 ppg while allowing 17.6 ppg on the season. Weak division here so the winner could be .500 or even below. I'll take the Falcons plus the points in this one. |
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10-21-23 | Duke +14.5 v. Florida State | 20-38 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
ACC Clash here on Saturday as 5-1 Duke taking on 6-0 Florida State. The Blue Devils are 4-2 vs the number while FSU is also 4-2 ATS. Duke's only loss was that seven point loss at home to Notre Dame, 14-21, as a 5.5-point dog. FSU expects to win the ACC with an undefeated season thus far. Duke goes as their QB goes in Riley Leonard. Leonard has been nursing an ankle injury with his status questionable for today. Duke has an excellent rushing game, ranking 19th in the country. The FSU Seminoles have a well balanced offense, ranking 37th in passing and a running game around the middle of the pack in the nation. Duke getting double digits looks like a gift here today. But only if Leonard actually plays. They do have the rushing game to lean on, but that also opens up with Leonard in the game. I'll take the points with Duke today. |
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10-21-23 | Minnesota +3.5 v. Iowa | Top | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
Big 10 West clash as Minnesota take on 24th ranked Iowa from Ames. Iowa is 6-1 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS on the season. Minnesota coming off a bye week after losing to Michigan, 10-52 as a 18.5-point dog. Iowa is coming off a win over Wisconsin, 15-6. Minnesota will rely on the ground game, ranking 5th in the Big 10 in rushing with 180.5 yards per game. The defense ranks 10th in the Big 10 allowing 21.7 ppg. Iowa lost it's high profile transfer QB, Cade McNamara to a torn ACL. Deacon Hill has had to step into the starting position. Hill has averaged just 87.3 ypg passing thus far. The Hawkeyes rank 11th in the Big 10 in scoring with 20.9 ppg. They are last in passing with 116.6 ypg through the air. Hard to lay points with a Iowa team that will struggle to put TD's on the scoreboard. I'll take the points here with Minnesota. |
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10-21-23 | Central Florida +17.5 v. Oklahoma | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
 Big 12 showdown from Gaylor Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium as the Sooners host Central Florida. Central Florida Golden Knights started the season 3-0 before dropping their last three games. They are coming off a loss at Kansas, 22-51, as a 2.-5 point favorite. Oklahoma is coming off one of its biggest wins in some time in the Red River Classic as they beat Texas, 34-30 as a 5-point dog. That makes the Sooners a perfect 6-0 on the season both S/U and ATS. Now have to think they could be in for that letdown week after that emotional win last week. The Sooners have all the great numbers, they average 45.2 ppg while allowing just 14 ppg. They average 506.7 yards while allowing 353 yards. Central Florida can score, averaging 35 ppg and 516 yards per game. The Knights getting 17.5-points here on Saturday. I feel Oklahoma will be somewhat flat in this game and take this 3-3 UCF team for granted. Take the points with UCF. |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints -2 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Week 7 of the NFL begins tonight with the Jacksonville Jaguars traveling to New Orleans to take on the Saints. The Saints are 3-3 S/U and 1-4-1 ATS on the season while the Jags are 4-2 S/U and ATS. The Jags are coming off a easy win over the Colts last week, 37-20. QB Trevor Lawrence was injured late in the game, but came back to finish up. There was some doubt on his status tonight, but he looks to play. The Jags defense has been very good vs the run (3rd in NFL) but bad vs the pass (31st). Meanwhile the Saints look to get some consistency after losing last week at Houston, 13-20. They were without star RB Alvin Kamara for the first suspended early on and then QB Derek Carr dealing with a shoulder injury. Despite just 13 points last week the team had 24 first downs and 430 total yards. How healthy will Lawrence be tonight could be the big question. The team has logged a bunch of miles traveling this year. With a poor rushing game a lot might be on a hobbling Lawrence. I'll take the Saints tonight in this one. |
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10-17-23 | Middle Tennessee State v. Liberty -14 | Top | 35-42 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Conference USA clash this week between Middle Tennessee State and Liberty. Mid Tenn State Blue Raiders are just 2-5 S/U and 1-4 ATS. They are coming off their first cover of the season vs Louisiana Tech, 31-23, as a 3-point favorite. Now they face their biggest challenge of the season in undefeated Liberty Flames. The Flames are also 5-1 ATS. They are coming off a win over Jacksonville State, 31-13, as a 7-point favorite. The Flames average 35.3 ppg while allowing 17.2 ppg. They average 479.3 yards while allowing 315.3 yards per game. Mid Tenn gets outscored 31.9 to 22.1 on the season. The Blue Raiders offense is not that good, ranking 75th in total offense and 112th in rushing. The defense ranks 95th in the country and they give up the yards through the air as they rank 112th. They have to face Liberty's 12th ranked offense and a viscous ground game that is 3rd in the country. Also don't expect many turnover from this Liberty team as they protect the ball well, ranking 5th in the country in turnover differential. I fully expect Liberty to extend to 7-0 tonight and to easily cover this spread. Take Liberty as your Conference USA Game of the Year! |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys v. Chargers +2 | 20-17 | Loss | -111 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys can cut the Philadelphia Eagles NFC East lead down to just one game with a win here on Monday night. The Eagles lost their first game of the season on Sunday opening the way for the Cowboys to close the gap. Dallas is 3-2 S/U and ATS after losing last week at the 49ers, 10-42. The Cowboys defense gave up more points to the 49ers then they did in the previous four games combined. They will face a Chargers team that started the season 0-2 but have since put together wins over the Vikings and then two weeks ago over the Raiders, 24-17. The Chargers had last week off to prepare for this game. The Chargers average 27.5 ppg while allowing 26 ppg. They have averaged 388.8 ypg while giving up 404 ypg. Dallas has lost its last two road games by a combined 26-70 score. Now they hit the road again. I'm taking the Chargers who had a week off to prepare for this game and are a small home dog. Play LA Chargers. |
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10-15-23 | Colts +4 v. Jaguars | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
Jacksonville back on US soil after two straight weeks playing in London. The Jags might want to go there for a new home as they won both games in London. The Jags beat the Bills there last week, 25-20, and the Falcons the previous week, 23-7. That improved the team to 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The Jags offense has averaged 21 ppg this season while allowing 20.4 ppg. They have also averaged 358.2 ypg and allowed 344 ypg. The Indianapolis Colts got good news last week with the return of Jonathon Taylor after missing the first four games with a contract dispute. The Colts went right out last week and beat the Titans, 23-16. That makes them 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. They have scored 24 ppg while allowing 23 ppg. These teams are pretty evenly matched. However, have to think the Jags might be a bit Jet lagged from their trips to London. I'm going to take the points here with the Colts. |
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10-14-23 | USC +3 v. Notre Dame | 20-48 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
The big annual rivalry between USC and Notre Dame will take place today from South Bend, IN. USC puts its 6-0 record online here Saturday and hopes of a college playoff berth. A loss could pretty much sink those playoff hopes. USC is only 2-4 vs the number, but that's mainly because they have been laying big numbers. While they have won their last three, they have failed to cover as 21-point favorites or more. That includes a close call at home vs Arizona last week in which the Trojans just got by with a 2-point win as a 21-point favorite. USC allowed 506 yards to the Wildcats while gaining just 365 themselves. Notre Dame is 5-2 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS on the season. The Irish have averaged 34.1 ppg while allowing 15.9 ppg on the season. They have averaged 437.9 ypg and allowed 279.7 ypg. The Irish lost their second game of the season last week at Louisville, 20-33, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Irish had just 44 yards on the ground and 254 passing yards. The Trojans can't let their guard down here on Saturday evening if they want that playoff berth. I'll take USC plus the few points. Play USC. |
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10-14-23 | Louisville v. Pittsburgh +7.5 | Top | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
The Louisville Cardinals improved to 6-0 S/U and 3-3 ATS with a big win and statement last week at home over Notre Dame, 33-20, as a 6-5-point dog. The Cardinals rushed for 185 yards and passed for another 145 yards in the win. They held the Irish to just 44 rushing yards. Louisville now averages 193 yards on the ground this year and 36.3 ppg. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has bad a rough go thus far at 1-4 both S/U and ATS. The Panthers coming off a loss two weeks ago at Virginia Tech, 21-38, as a 2.5-point favorite. They got the week off to rest and prepare for this week's game. Pitt averages 23.4 ppg while allowing 26 ppg. They have also averaged 308.8 ypg and allowed 303.8 ypg. Pitt has played better then its record shows. Pitt getting around or just over a TD at home. With the week off and getting the points, I'll take a shot with the Panthers here on Saturday and look for Louisville to have a letdown after that big win last week. Play Pittsburgh. |
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10-14-23 | Illinois +13.5 v. Maryland | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
 The 2-4 Fighting Illini will travel to to the 5-1 Maryland Terps in this Big 10 battle. Illinois is coming off a loss last week to Nebraska, 7-20, as a 3-point favorite. The Illini have yet to cover a spread this season. They have averaged 377.3 ypg while allowing 401.8 ypg. The Illini average 19.2 ppg and give up 28.8 ppg. Maryland is 5-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off their first loss of the season last week at Ohio State, 17-37, as a 18 point dog. They held the Ohio State team to just 64 rushing yards, but gave up 320 passing yards. Maryland has averaged 429.3 ypg while giving up 337.5 ypg. They also score 35 ppg while allowing 17.2 ppg. Have to think their might be a big of a letdown here this week after that tough game at Ohio State last week. I'll take the points with Illinois in this one. |
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