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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-08-22 | TCU v. Kansas +7 | 38-31 | Push | 0 | 43 h 41 m | Show | |
TCU coming off a big win over Oklahoma last week. The Horned Frogs were a 7-point dog at home but demolished the Sooners, 55-24. TCU had 668 yards of offense in the win, 361 on the ground and 307 through the air while holding the potent OK offense to just 355 yards. Kansas plays its third home game in a row this week vs the Horned Frogs. The Jayhawks are coming off a win last week at home over Iowa State, 14-11, as a 3-point dog. That makes them 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS on the season. Kansas covered last year's contest in TCU, 28-31, as a 21-point dog. TCU has the nation's 2nd ranked offense while Kansas comes in at 59th. TCU is ranked 64th on defense with Kansas at 78th. TCU is just 4-9 ATS their last 13 on field turf. They are also 2-6 ATS in their last eight conference games. Kansas has covered their last eight games and is 5-0 ATS in their last five conference games. Not only has the dog covered seven of the last 10 in this series, but the Jayhawks have covered seven of the last 10 at home in this series. I'll take the points here with Kansas. |
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10-03-22 | Rams v. 49ers -1.5 | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
NFC West battle here on Monday Night as the Rams make the trip North to face San Francisco. The Rams can move back into first place with a win tonight. The Cardinals and Seahawks are both 2-2 after four weeks and the Rams can go to 3-1 with a win. San Francisco is in last place at 1-2. However, a win by the 49ers and all four division teams will be a 2-2. The Rams opened their season with a loss at home to Buffalo, 10-31. They have rebounded with wins over Atlanta and then last week at Arizona, 20-12. Two of their three games have gone under. Now they face the 2nd best defense in the NFL in San Francisco. The Niners have the leagues best passing defense. The Rams offense hasn't been like last year, as they rank just 25th overall and 30th in rushing. San Francisco isn't much better, coming in at 24th overall and 29th passing. San Francisco lost their QB , Trey Lance, to a season ending injury in week 2. Back at starter is Jimmy Garoppolo. After leading the 49ers to a win in the game Lance went down, they lost last week at Denver, 10-11. The Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last five games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs a team with a losing record. The 49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs the NFC. The 49ers have covered the last five vs the Rams and are 5-2 ATS their last seven vs the Rams in San Francisco. I'm going to take the 49ers and their very good defense here today. |
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10-02-22 | Broncos +3 v. Raiders | 23-32 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos are tied for first in the AFC West with the Kansas City Chiefs at 2-1. That despite a rocky start under new QB Russel Wilson. The Broncos defense has been excellent, ranked 3rd overall in the NFL, 3rd against the pass and 6th against the run. The offense ranks 16th, 11th rushing and 18th passing. As for the Raiders, after a 4-0 preseason they are now 0-3 to start the regular season. They have lost those games by a combined 13-points. Still, have to think Josh Daniels on the hot seat after some questionable calls. Another home loss here and he might be in trouble in Vegas. The Raiders offense one behind Denver at 17th. This with Carr at QB, Adams and WR, Jacobs at RB and Waller at TE. They have the talent, but they have yet to put up the numbers. Vegas has dominated this series going back to when they were in Oakland, covering eight of the last nine times. They have also gone UNDER in eight of the last 10 games. The Raiders are now 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs the AFC. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four games. This game looks to be close like all the Raiders games have been thus far. But for me, I think I'd rather be on the side getting points. Take Denver. |
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10-02-22 | Chargers v. Texans +6 | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers off to a slow start at just 1-2. After beating the Raiders at home to start the season, the Chargers have found it rough the last two weeks. Injuries have played a part though. They lost their star WR Keenan Allen in game two with a hamstring and he could return this week but likely will miss another week. QB Justin Herbert has been playing hurt the last two weeks and it's showed. The Chargers were trounced at home last week by Jacksonville, 10-38. The Jags had 413 yards to just 312 by LA. The Jags also had 18 more plays and nine more first downs as they grinded out 151 yards on the ground. Houston is 0-2-1 S/U to start the season, but they have been competitive. They tied the Colts to start the season, then lost at Denver by seven points and last week lost at Chicago by just three points. They are 2-0-1 vs the number. The Houston offense is just 29th overall and the defense is 29th. The Chargers are 19th on defense and 12th on offense. Houston is 5-0 ATS their last five games vs the AFC. With the Chargers still dealing with some injuries they will continue to struggle here this week in Houston. Take the Texans. |
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10-02-22 | Bills v. Ravens +3.5 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills are 2-1 and can move into a tie with the Miami Dolphins for 1st place in the AFC East with a win today. They will take on the 2-1 Baltimore Ravens who are tied with the Cleveland Browns for first in the AFC North. After that horrendous collapse in week 1 vs the Dolphins, the Ravens have bounced back with a pair of wins. Last week they won on the road at New England, 37-26, as a 2.5-point favorite. They were out-gained by the pats, 394-447, had five fewer offensive plays and three fewer first downs. The offense has been very good, ranked 4th overall in the NFL. It's their last place defense that has been the problem. Now they face Josh Allen and the Bills offense that is ranked 2nd in the NFL. The Bills also have the NFL's top ranked defense. The Bills are only 1-4 ATS in their last five road games vs a winning home team. The Ravens are 9-4 ATS their last 13 vs a winning team. Ravens have covered four of the last five vs the Bills and the home team is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings. I'll take the Ravens plus the points here on Sunday. |
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10-02-22 | Browns v. Falcons +1 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
The LA Chargers off to a slow start at just 1-2. After beating the Raiders at home to start the season, the Chargers have found it rough the last two weeks. Injuries have played a part though. They lost their star WR Keenan Allen in game two with a hamstring and he could return this week but likely will miss another week. QB Justin Herbert has been playing hurt the last two weeks and it's showed. The Chargers were trounced at home last week by Jacksonville, 10-38. The Jags had 413 yards to just 312 by LA. The Jags also had 18 more plays and nine more first downs as they grinded out 151 yards on the ground. Houston is 0-2-1 S/U to start the season, but they have been competitive. They tied the Colts to start the season, then lost at Denver by seven points and last week lost at Chicago by just three points. They are 2-0-1 vs the number. The Houston offense is just 29th overall and the defense is 29th. The Chargers are 19th on defense and 12th on offense. Houston is 5-0 ATS their last five games vs the AFC. With the Chargers still dealing with some injuries they will continue to struggle here this week in Houston. Take the Texans. |
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10-01-22 | NC State +7 v. Clemson | 20-30 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
NC State 4-0 to start their season will play their toughest game here on Saturday as they take on Clemson on the road. The Wolfpack beat Connecticut last week, 41-10, but couldn't quite cover the 39-point favorite line. Their toughest game thus far happened two weeks ago when they beat Texas Tech, 27-14. Clemson also 4-0, but they were pushed to the bring last week at Wake Forest, winning 51-45 but not covering the 7-point line. That makes them 1-2 ATS on the season. NC State got the upset last year at home, beating Clemson 27-21 as a 10.5-point dog. NC State is now 11-5 in their last 16 conference games. Meanwhile, Clemson is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and 4-19 ATS in their last 13 games on grass. Take NC State plus the points in this one as they stay close to Clemson. |
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10-01-22 | Georgia Southern v. Coastal Carolina -9.5 | 30-34 | Loss | -107 | 42 h 21 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern looks to improve to 4-1 S/U after a win last week at home over Ball State, 34-23. The Eagles are also 3-1 ATS. Southern was actually out gained in yardage last week by the Cardinals, 474-481 and had two fewer plays. Still the Eagles were able to cover the 9.5 point favorite line. Coastal Carolina off to a 4-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS start. Coastal has scored at least 31 points in each game. They handled Georgia State easily last week, 41-24. They had 540 yards to just 309 by Ga State. They also had 25 more plays and 11 more first downs. Ga Southern does have one of the better offenses this year, ranked 10th overall in the country. Coastal coming in at 37th in the nation. Defensively Coastal holds the edge, ranked 65th to Southern's 109th. Coastal has the edge of late in this series, covering four of the last five. Should be a good offensive show here on Saturday. I'm taking Coastal Carolina on their home turf. |
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10-01-22 | Alabama v. Arkansas +17.5 | 49-26 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 13 m | Show | |
Alabama continues its dominance of the FBS with a 4-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS record Their one close call was a late win at Texas on Sept 10, 20-19 as a 20-point favorite. Since that close loss they beat LA Monroe, 63-7 and last week Vandy, 55-3. The Tide had 628 yards last week to Vandy's 129. They also had 34 first downs to nine and 77 plays to 52. Arkansas had the tough loss last week to Texas A&M in Arlington, Tx, 21-23, but did cover the 2.5-point spread. The Razorbacks had more yards (415-343), more first downs (24-16) and more plays (73-55) than the Aggies. Arkansas is now 3-1 S/U and ATS on the season. Alabama has the nation's 6th ranked offense with Arkansas coming in a 27th. Alabama has the 2nd ranked defense with Arkansas at 89th. Arkansas covered last year in their game at Alabama, losing 35-42 as a 20.5-point dog. Alabama has covered just one of their last five road games and are 1-6 ATS on the road their last seven against a team with a winning home record. Arkansas has covered four of their last five at home. The Hogs getting 17-points at home here on Saturday. I'll take that with a very good Arkansas team. |
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10-01-22 | Michigan v. Iowa +10.5 | 27-14 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
 Michigan puts its 4-0 record on the line as they travel to Iowa to take on the Hawkeyes. The Wolverines have scored 50 points or more in three of their four games. However, that does include Connecticut and Hawaii. They are coming off a home win over Maryland, 34-27, though they failed to cover the 17-point favorite line. The offense ranks 19th overall and will get their first real test against the 5th ranked Iowa defense. Iowa's offense has struggled, in fact they are ranked last in the FBS. Though the offense has scored 27 points in each of their last two games, including their win last week over Rutgers, 27-10. The defense, ranked 5th, has allowed a total of 23 points in four games. Iowa will be looking for some payback after losing at Michigan last year, 3-42. Michigan is just 3-8 ATS their last 11 games against a team with a winning record. If the Iowa defense continues like it has and the offense can get some points, the Hawkeyes can pull the upset here on Saturday. I'll take the points at home with Iowa. |
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10-01-22 | Kentucky +7 v. Ole Miss | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
Kentucky brings a 4-0 record into today's contest at Ole Miss. The Wild Cats are coming off a win over Northern Illinois, 31-23, though they failed to cover the 25.5 point favorite line. They are also 2-1 ATS on the season. Kentucky had 406 yards of offense last week, while holding NIU to 327 yards. The Cats are 87th nationally in offense. The defense does better at 16th nationally. Mississippi also is 4-0 after beating Tulsa last week, 35-27. But, like Kentucky, they couldn't cover the big favorite line of 20.5 points. The Rebels have the 28th ranked defense and 20th ranked offense. Kentucky is 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games and 23-7-2 ATS their last 32 games vs a team with a winning record. They are also 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 games in conference play. Ole Miss is just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and 2-5 ATS their last seven when having more than 450 yards offense their last game. Both teams have decent defenses and I'll take the points with Kentucky in this one. |
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09-30-22 | UTSA -4 v. Middle Tennessee State | 45-30 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show | |
Texas San Antonio is 2-2 S/U and 2-1 ATS after four games. The Roadrunners are coming off a easy win over Texas Southern last week, 52-24. They lost their opening game in a shootout with Houston, 35-37 and then beat Army, 41-38 and lost to Texas, 20-41. Middle Tennessee State is 3-1 and beat a Top 25 opponent for the first time every last Saturday with a win over No 25 Miami. The Blue Raiders had 507 yards of offense in that win as they won 45-31. UTSA has won three straight in this series, including last year, 27-13. UTSA is led by QB Frank Harris. Harris and the offense lead the Conf-USA in passing yards and are 6th nationally (351.5 ypg). They also rank 2nd in the conference in total offense with 478.5 ypg and 37 ppg. Both these teams have potent offenses, but I look for one defense to make a big play in this game and likely the difference. I like Harris at QB as I believe he will also make a huge difference in this conference game. I'm going to lay the points on the road with UTSA. |
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09-30-22 | Tulane +2.5 v. Houston | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 33 h 41 m | Show | |
Tulane lost its first game of the season last week, dropping the Green Wave to 3-1 on the season S/U and 2-1 ATS. Tulane lost at home to Southern Miss, 27-27, as a 13-point favorite. On paper, it looked like a Tulane easy win as they had 451 yards to So.Miss 253 yards. They also had double the first downs (26-13) and ran 24 more plays. The Green Wave did have one turnover to Southern Miss's no turnovers. Houston has scored at least 30 points in each of its first four games. They are 2-2 S/U and 0-3-1 ATS though. The problem is the defense that is ranked 113th in the nation. They did beat Rice at home last week, but did not cover as they won 34-27 as a 17.5-point favorite. Despite their good scoring offense, the unit ranks only 81st overall in he nation with 393 yards per game. Meanwhile, Tulane has the 59th ranked offense in the nation. The Green Wave are now 5-1 ATS in their last five games and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games on turf. Houston is only 2-5 ATS their last seven games and 2-6 ATS vs a team with a winning record. I'm going to take the points tonight with Tulane. |
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09-26-22 | Cowboys +1 v. Giants | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 25 h 37 m | Show |
After losing in week one to the Bucs and losing QB Dak Prescot, things looked bleak for the Cowboys heading into week two vs AFC Champion Cincinnati. However, a solid passing game by backup QB Rush and a defense that held the Bengals to just 89 rushing yards and 165 passing yards, resulted in a Dallas win, 20-17. Now the Cowboys hit the road for the first time as they head to New York to play the Giants in a divisional matchup. The Giants also had a 3-point win last week at home over the Carolina Panthers, 19-16. On paper the game was almost dead even with the Panthers having 275 yards and the Giants 265 yards. The difference were the two Carolina turnovers to none by the Giants. Dallas has covered the last two in this series and eight of the last 10 meetings. The Giants have the 21st ranked offense and the Cowboys have the 25th ranked offense. Dallas has the 6th ranked defense to the Giants 12th ranked defense. The Cowboys have covered their last four road games and are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs the NFC and 20-7 ATS vs the NFC East. The Giants are just 10-22-1 ATS in their last 33 home games. They are also 2-6 ATS in their last eight overall games. I'll take the Cowboys here on Monday night. |
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09-25-22 | Falcons +1 v. Seahawks | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 41 h 32 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Falcons and Seattle Seahawks are both teams rebuilding after their star QB's left for other teams in the off-season. Falcons QB Matty Ryan fled to Indianapolis while Seattle QB Russel Wilson went to Denver. The Falcons opened the season with a close loss at home to the Saints, 26-27, though they did cover the spread. Then last week, another close game at home to the LA Rams, but another loss 27-31, covering the 10-point line. Seattle beat Wilson and the Broncos in week 1, 17-16. However, they were beat pretty handily last week in San Francisco, 7-27, by the 49ers. The rushing game has been horrible, with 76 yards in game one and 36 yards last week. Not surprising the Seahawks offense is ranked 31st in the NFL with the rushing attack ranked last. The Falcons are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road games. Seattle is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs the NFC. The Falcons have covered four of the last five in this series and that's what I'm looking for here on Sunday. I'll take the Falcons. |
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09-25-22 | Packers +1 v. Bucs | Top | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 40 h 30 m | Show |
Two future Hall of Fame Qb's will matchup here today as Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers take on the TB Bucs and QB Tom Brady. Brady hasn't looked all that sharp thus far and his frustration was on full display in the Saints contest. Lucky for the Bucs, the Saints had no offensive stars left and thus it was a defensive win for the Bucs, 20-10. The Bucs managed just 260 total yards and Brady threw for just 188 yards. The Bucs defense was the star of the game with multiple sacks and five take aways in the game. Green Bay had little issue with the Chicago Bears. The Packers had 414 yards and 211 passing yards by Rodgers. They had 26 first downs to just 11 by the Bears and held the Bears to just 228 total yards. The Tampa Bay offense ranks just 24th overall in the NFL with Green Bay coming in at 11th. The Bucs defense is 5th ranked with Green Bay at 10th. The Bucs have won and covered two of the last three in this series. Green Bay is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs a winning team and 20-8 ATS their last 28 on the grass. I'm still not sold on Brady fully being back with limited targets. I'll take the points with Green Bay. |
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09-25-22 | Texans +3 v. Bears | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 37 h 6 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears looked bad last week as they traveled to Green Bay and took the loss to the Packers, 10-27. The Bears managed just 228 total yards with 48 passing yards by Justin Fields. The Packers had 63 offensive plays to just just 38 by the Bears. Houston also came up short, though they gave the Broncos all they could handle last week in a 9-16 loss. All the Texas could manage were three filed goals as they totaled just 234 yards. The Broncos didn't exactly light the stat sheet with 16 points and 350 total yards. The Bears are dead last in the NFL in total offense, though 8th vs the rush and last in passing. The Texans aren't much better at 29th. These teams have met only once in the last five years and that was in 2020 when the Bears won 36-7 as a 1-point dog. The Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last six overall games. They are also 11-5 ATS in their last 16 after scoring 15 points or fewer in their previous game. The Bears are now just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. They are also 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games. Don't expect a lot of points in this contest and as such I'll take the Texans plus the points. |
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09-24-22 | Utah -15 v. Arizona State | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 58 h 25 m | Show | |
Utah coming off a big win last week at home over San Diego State, 35-7, as a 21.5-point favorite. Utah held the Aztecs to just 173 total yards and just 60-yards passing. They also had 22 first downs to just nine for Sdg St. Meanwhile, Arizona State might have been the biggest favorite to get upset last week. The Sun Devils hosted Eastern Michigan and lost at home 21-30 as a 19.5-point favorite. The Devils allowed 458 yards to just 352 yards of their own. They also allowed 305 yards rushing to E.Mich. That's not good since Utah had 174 yards on the ground last week. Utah has covered the last two in this series, winning last year at home, 35-21. Utah is 17-7 ATS in their last 24 PAC-12 games. They are also 12-5 ATS in their last 17 following an ATS win. The Utes have covered six of the last eight in this series and I look for a Utah win and cover here on Saturday. |
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09-24-22 | Arkansas +2.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 69 h 29 m | Show |
 A pair of top 25 SEC teams battle today as No 10 Arkansas takes on No 23 Texas A&M from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Tx. Arkansas will be looking for its second straight 4-0 start to the season today. Arkansas moved into the FCS last week to take on Missouri State and came away with the win, 38-27. That makes wins over Cincinnati, South Carolina and Missouri State to start the season. Texas A&M beat Miami Florida last week, 17-9. The Aggies were 5-point favorites and were outgained in total yards, 264-393 by the Hurricanes. A&M also had only 16 First downs to 27 by Miami. Arkansas is ranked 18th overall in offense with A&M coming in at 109th. A&M does hold the defensive edge, coming in at 30th with Arkansas at 103rd. Arkansas is 5-1-1 ATS their last seven games and 4-0 ATS in their last four in neutral site. Arkansas has covered the last four in this series and I look for the hogs to do just that again here today. Take Arkansas. |
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09-24-22 | Notre Dame v. North Carolina -1 | 45-32 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 0 m | Show | |
Notre Dame will have to travel to NCU this Saturday and do so without their QB Tyler Buchner. Buchner was injured last week and will miss the rest of the season with a shoulder injury. That's not good for a Notre Dame team that started this season 1-2. The Irish did get their first win of the season last week with a home win over Cal Bears, 24-17. They failed to cover the 10-point spread however. And, neither team really did much as the Irish held a small yardage lead, 297-296. Cal had one more first down and four more offensive plays. On paper the game was dead even. North Carolina got last week off to prepare for this game. The Tar Heals are 3-0 S/U and 1-1-1 ATS on the season. They beat Georgia State the week prior, 35-38, pushing the 7-point chalk line. North Carolina has the nation's 5th ranked overall offense and an impressive 91% red zone efficiency rating. They have scored 10 TD's in their 11 redzone trips this year. Notre Dame is 113th in offense. With Notre Dame working in a new QB and the Tar Heel having last week off to prepare, I'll lay the very small line with North Carolina. |
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09-24-22 | Clemson v. Wake Forest +7.5 | 51-45 | Win | 100 | 62 h 30 m | Show | |
Two ranked ACC teams battle this week as Clemson hits the road for the first time to take on Wake Forest. Clemson won easily last week over Louisiana Tech, 48-20, but failed to cover the 34-point line. The Tigers had 521 total yards to just 317 by Tech. The Tigers were also a +3 in the turnover battle. Clemson's tough defense held Tech to just six yards rushing on the day, though they did give up 311 yards through the air. Clemson ranks 34th in total defense and 63rd in total offense. Wake Forest took on Liberty last week and just did escape with the win, 37-36 as a 16.5-point favorite. The Demon Deacons were out-gained 346-437, but were +2 in the turnovers. Wake might have had their sights set on this game today and not on Liberty last week. Clemson won last year's battle at home over Wake, 48-27. Clemson has not done well to open seasons, at least vs the spread. The Tigers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 September games. They are also 2-7 ATS their last nine times following an ATS loss. Meanwhile, Wake has covered four of their last five games in September and are 4-0 ATS their last four times following an ATS loss. Getting a TD at home with Wake is too much for me to pass on today. I'll take Wake and won't be surprised if they shock the Tigers with a straight up win. |
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09-23-22 | Boise State -15 v. UTEP | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 10 m | Show | |
Boise State went down to the FCS last week to play Tennessee-Martin and walked away with an easy win, 30-7. That makes them 2-1 since their opening week loss to Oregon State, 17-34. UTEP went to New Mexico last week and lost to the Lobos, 10-27. The Miners had SEVEN turnovers in the loss though they did have more yards than then Lobos, 353-299. Overcoming seven turnovers is nearly impossible. These teams have only met once in the last 5-years with Boise winning at home in 2021, 54-13. Boise is 9-3-2 ATS their last 14 games vs a team with a losing record. They are also 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight road games. UTEP is 8-17 ATS in their last 25 home games and 6-15-1 ATS their last 22 games against a winning team. I'll lay the points on the road with Boise in this one. |
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09-19-22 | Vikings +2 v. Eagles | 7-24 | Loss | -105 | 69 h 34 m | Show | |
The Vikings had little issues in their week 1 game at home with a win over the Packers, 23-7. The total yards was actually close with the Vikings having the edge, 395-338. It was the two turnover that really hurt the Packers last week. The Vikings offense ranks 8th overall in the NFL. The Eagles are ranked 3rd in the offense, but 14th in passing. Minnesota also holds a slight defensive edge, ranking 14th overall while the Eagles come in at 22nd. The Vikings have won the last two in this series, including their last meeting in 2019 in Minnesota, 38-20. The dog has also done well of late in this series, going 5-1 ATS in the last meetings. This should be an excellent matchup on Sunday. I will take the couple of points with the Vikings here on Monday night. |
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09-19-22 | Titans +11 v. Bills | 7-41 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
The last few years has seen that no team starting 0-2 has made the playoffs. The Titans blew a 13-point lead last week and ultimately fell to the Giants. Now they face the real possibility of starting the season 0-2 as they have to go to play at Buffalo. Derrick Henry should get a full dose of play tonight and if the Titans are smart they would run him as much as possible to keep the ball out of Buffalo QB Josh Allen's hands. Good news for Tennessee is that have have done well vs the Bills of late, averaging 27.7 ppg in the last three meetings. Ryan Tannehill threw for 266 yards last week, but I'm sure he'd rather see the 93 yards rushing figure go up considerably. The Bills are coming off their road win over Super Bowl Champion LA Rams. The Bills looked very good in the win, or maybe the Rams just looked very rusty. Still, 10-points are a lot for any NFL team to get, especially a team that doesn't want to start the season 0-2. Tennessee has the talent to keep this game inside the spread and give Buffalo some challenges. I'll take the points here today. |
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09-18-22 | Patriots v. Steelers +3 | 17-14 | Push | 0 | 44 h 54 m | Show | |
 The New England Patriots didn't have much life last week as they were beaten on the road by the Miami Dolphins, 7-20. The Pats could manage just 271 yards though the defense did keep them fairly close by allowing the Dolphins 307 yards. Turnovers did hurt the Pats as they turned the ball over three times to none for Miami. Now they hit the road again, this time to Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh pulled off the big upset, beating the Cincinnati Bengals last week, 23-20 as a 7-point dog. The Steelers had a +5 turnover ratio in that game though they were outgained by the Bengals 267-432 yards. The Bengals also had 32 first downs to the Steelers 13. But it was the Steelers defense that bent but didn't break in the win. Both Pittsburgh and New England near the bottom of the league in offense. The Patriots have covered just one of their last five games and are 0-4 ATS in their last four away games. I'm a bit surprised the Steelers are a home dog here today. They are 19-5-2 ATS in their last 26 games as a home dog. I'll take the points and look for a Pittsburgh win. |
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09-18-22 | Bucs v. Saints +3 | 20-10 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 54 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay took advantage of a sluggish Dallas Cowboys offense last week and eventually forced Dallas QB Dak Prescott from the game with an injury to pull out the win, 19-3. It wasn't much of a exciting game as the Bucs had just 347 total yards and the Cowboys had 244 yards with just one touchdown scored between the teams. Dallas managed just 71 yards (3.9 rypa). Each team had 60 total plays with the Bucs holding a slight first down advantage of 18-13. Meanwhile, the Saints pulled off the road win at Atlanta, 27-26, but failed to cover the 5.5-point favorite spread. The Saints had 385 total yards to the Falcons 416 yards but won the turnover battle 2-1. The Saints have done well vs the NFC South, going 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games. They are also 35-17 in their last 52 games when installed as the dog. Bucs QB Tom Brady didn't look all that sharp but that was expected in his first action of the season. Still, I like the Saints on their home turf here Sunday plus the small points. |
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09-17-22 | UTSA +12.5 v. Texas | 20-41 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 36 m | Show | |
Texas came oh so close to pulling the big upset last week over No 1 Alabama. Bama had to kick a last second field to pull out the win. Texas had to give their all in that game and wonder what effect that will have on them here this week. They have to have a letdown after that close upset of the Tide. Texas had trouble with the Bama rushing attack that gained 161 yards and 6.7 yards per attempt. The UTSA Roadrunners have a high powered offense. They are Ranked 31st in the nation after two weeks. They average 129 yards rushing and 348 yards passing thus far. They basically picked up where they left off last year as they averaged 36.9 ppg in 2021 which tied them for 11th in the nation. They are led by senior QB Harris who was great last year with 3177 yards and 27 TD's. He should give Texas plenty of problems this week. Add to that the letdown week for Texas and this is a perfect spot for UTSA. |
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09-17-22 | Penn State v. Auburn +3 | 41-12 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 6 m | Show | |
It's a Big-10 vs SEC matchup today as Penn State heads South to take on the Auburn Tigers. Auburn beat San Jose State last week at home, 24-16 as a 22.5 point favorite. The Tigers had 379 total yards with 211 of those coming on the ground. Auburn ranked 56th in the country in offense after two weeks, averaging 438 total yards per game. The defense comes in at 38th and allows 300 yards per game. Penn State played host to Ohio U last week and had little trouble in a 46-10 win as a 24.5-point favorite. The Nittany Lions had 234 yards rushing and 338 yards passing in the win. Penn State ranked 24th in the country in offense after two weeks, averaging 489 total yards. The defense not quite as good, ranked 64th and allowing 345 yard per game. These clubs met last year at Happy Valley and the Nittany Lions won 28-20 as a 4-point home favorite. Auburn had 367 yards in that game while Penn State had 392. Auburn a small home dog here on Saturday. I'll take the points in this one. |
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09-17-22 | BYU +3.5 v. Oregon | Top | 20-41 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 31 m | Show |
BYU was in a battle last week with Baylor, but came out on top in the end, 26-20, as a 3.5-point home favorite. The Cougars and Bears were pretty even statistically and neither team had a turnover. BYU had 283 yards passing compared to just 137 by Baylor. Oregon got thumped in week one at Georgia, 3-49 as a 16-point road dog. They licked their wounds last week with a win over FCS team Eastern Washington, 70-14. But really what does that tell us? Nothing. They beat up on a team they should have. That beating though by Georgia does loom big to me. Now they are hosting a very good BYU squad. Until I see more out of Oregon I'll have to be on the BYU side here on Saturday. |
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09-17-22 | Oklahoma v. Nebraska +11 | 49-14 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 6 m | Show | |
The 2-0 Oklahoma Sooners travel to Norman to take on the 1-2 Nebraska Cornhuskers this week. The Huskers begin a new era as gone is HC Scott Frost and Mickey Joseph takes over as interim coach. For the players, they can look to turn around a bad start to the season. Oklahoma is playing under a rookie head coach in Brent Venabales. The Sooners are off to a fast 2-0 start and play their first road game of the season here today. Oklahoma has a high powered offense, but it didn't look like it last week as they led Kent State by just a 7-3 halftime score. They did eventually pull away in the 2nd half to beat the Golden Flashes, 33-3 as a 32-point favorite. I believe the coaching change at Nebraska will give some new life to the Huskers this week. Oklahoma has shown they are maybe not as good as expected so this could be a Nebraska upset this week. I'll still take the points with Nebraska. |
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09-17-22 | Western Kentucky +6.5 v. Indiana | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 45 h 2 m | Show | |
 Western Kentucky had the Week off to prepare for Indiana this week. They played in week 1 at Hawaii and walked away with an easy win and cover, 49-17, as a 16.5-point favorite. The Hilltoppers are now 2-0 on the season after winning in week 0 over Austin Peay, 38-37. Indiana ranks 71st overall in offense with Western Kentucky right on their heels at 72nd. Western ranks 61st on defense with Indiana coming in at 86th. One big difference is red-zone efficiency. Indiana is just 49%, scoring TD's in three of their seven red zone ventures. Meanwhile, Western is much better at 74%, scoring TD's on seven of their 10 tries. This is the first meeting in the last five years between these teams. I have to take the dog here today as both teams very even and I even give the edge to Western. So Indiana laying nearly a TD is way too much. Play Western Kentucky. |
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09-15-22 | Chargers +4 v. Chiefs | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers spent a lot of money in the offseason to bolster their defense, with Khalil Mack now anchoring the other side of the defensive line with Joey Bosa. And they sure showed their worth last week vs Las Vegas, sacking Carr six times and getting three turnovers. They also held Vegas to just 64 rushing yards. The offense did suffer one blow when WR Keenan Allen was lost with a hamstring issue. Kansas City looked just as good as every in their win at Arizona last week, 44-21. The defense was very good, holding the Cardinals to just 282 total yards. This looks to be a great matchup tonight with the new Chargers defense against the mighty Chiefs offense. I'm going to take the points with the Chargers as I look for them to stay close and maybe pull out the straight-up win. |
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09-11-22 | Packers v. Vikings +1.5 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 90 h 28 m | Show | |
 The Packers took care of their own controversy when QB Aaron Rodgers signed a new contract. However, his to target in Davante Adams, arguably one of the best in the league. The Packers finished the preseason at 1-2, though that has little effect on what happens here in the regular season. The offense just feels different without Adams. Now they face an offense in Minnesota that is likely better then theirs with Justin Jefferson, Adam Theilen and Dalvin Cook leading the way. With the offensive power of this Vikings team and the issues the Packers will face with Adams departure, I'm taking the points at home with Minnesota in what I expect is a straight up win. These clubs have split their last six games. |
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09-10-22 | Baylor +3.5 v. BYU | 20-26 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 17 m | Show | |
 Baylor had a softball tossed to them in the form of Albany last week and had little trouble with a easy win, 69-10. The Bears rolled-up 573 total yards with 259 of those coming on the ground. They held Albany to just 237 total yards. BYU had a little more difficult opponent, playing at South Florida, but with the same outcome. The Cougars easily beat SFU 50-21 as 11-point favorites. BYU had 573 total yards and allowed just 279. BYU returns a very good QB in Jaren Hall and in front of him one of the best offensive lines in college football. Baylor and BYU met last season in Waco, with the Bears coming out on top 38-24. Looks to be another wild game here in Provo. I'm sticking with the road dog in Baylor. |
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09-10-22 | Houston +3.5 v. Texas Tech | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 66 h 2 m | Show | |
This one looks to be a game mostly through the air as both teams lack much of a rushing attack, but both have excellent passing games. Houston escaped last week with a win over UTSA, 37-35, in OT on a two-point conversion. The Cougars will stay on the road this week as they travel to Texas Tech. Texas Tech also won their opening game against Murray State last week, 63-10. The only issue was the loss of QB Tyler Shough, who hurt his shoulder in the game. They will return to the player who started their last game of last season in QB, Donovan Smith. Smith should be fine back in the starting role and both teams should put up plenty of offense here today. I'll take the points with the road dog in this one. Play Houston. |
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09-10-22 | Iowa State +3.5 v. Iowa | Top | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 54 h 2 m | Show |
It's always a great game when these two intrastate rivals clash. Both teams opened with wins in week one. Iowa State Cyclones had little issue at home with SE Missouri State, 42-10. They accumulated 569 total yards with 293 of those through the air. Iowa struggled though in week one, just getting by South Dakota State at home, 7-3. They had a measly 166 totals yards and held SDST to just 120 yards in what surely was a exciting game. The Cyclones have had their way in this series, covering seven of the last 10 in Iowa. I'm taking the visitor as I need to see more out of Iowa before I can lay points with them. Play Iowa State. |
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09-08-22 | Bills v. Rams +2.5 | 31-10 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 15 m | Show | |
The LA Rams begin defense of their 2021 NFL Championship here on Thursday against one of the best teams in the AFC, Buffalo Bills. The Bills still have that finish from last year in the playoffs against the Chiefs where both teams went back and forth in one of the best finishes in NFL history. Josh Allen drove the team down the field in 49 seconds for the go ahead score, only to have the Chiefs go for the tying score in just 13 seconds to force OT. The Chiefs won the toss in OT and scored the TD for the win without the Bills and Allen even getting to take the field. The Good news for the Rams is that Matthew Stafford will play after nagging injuries all preseason. Gone are WR's Robert Woods and Odell Beckham Jr. The Rams have the 2nd toughest schedule in the NFL and this is their first big test. The Bills are hungry to get that bad taste from their mouth in their playoff loss to the Chiefs. The Rams getting 2 1/2 points at home. With their defense they should be in this game until the end. I'll take the Rams plus the points. |
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09-05-22 | Clemson -21 v. Georgia Tech | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 339 h 47 m | Show | |
The Clemson Tigers let down a lot of bettors last year. While they were good on defense, the offense just didn't generate enough to cover big numbers. The Tigers made some moves in the offseason to improve the offense and we should see much improvement in that area. Georgia Tech might have a very long day in this one as their defense and in particular the DL, is not very good. Clemson should wear them down on the ground which will also open the passing attack. Meanwhile, the Clemson defense will show how good they are as they stifle this Yellow Jacket offense. Three touchdowns plus seems like a hill to climb, but not for the Clemson team against GT. I'll gladly lay the lumber in this one. Play Clemson. |
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09-03-22 | Notre Dame v. Ohio State -17 | Top | 10-21 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
Marquee matchup here on the Week 1 Saturday college football schedule. Notre Dame's head coach Marcus Freeman is a alum of Ohio State so he will have his own sort of homecoming here tonight. Freeman took over for Brian Kelly last season and took them to the Feista Bowl last season where they lost to Oklahoma State, 35-37. Ohio State was 11-2 last season and won the Rose Bowl. Was this a down season for them? For many, yes it was. They had high expectations of making the playoff four, but missed out. They also lost to rivals Michigan and lost in the Big 10 Championship. However, this year should be different with 11 starters returning. This game today has No 2 Ohio State and No 5 Notre Dame. However, with the oddsmaker posting a 17-point line on the underdog Irish we have to wonder if they are telling us right off the bat that this Irish team isn't a No 5 ranked club. These teams have met six times with Ohio State holding a 4-2 edge. Moreover, all four OSU wins have come by at least 13-points. I believe that OSU has too much firepower for this Notre Dame. In my rankings I have Notre Dame closer to No 20 and not No 5. There is a huge difference between these teams and it will show here on Saturday. I'm taking Ohio State in a blowout win. |
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09-03-22 | Florida Atlantic -4 v. Ohio | Top | 38-41 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 53 m | Show |
Florida Atlantic plays their second game of the young season here today after a thorough trouncing of Charlotte last week, 43-13, as a 7-point favorite. FAU had 223 yards rushing and 264 yards passing while holding Charlotte to just 283 total yards. Ohio plays its first game of the season today and looks to improve on a poor 22.6 ppg average last season. The defense is not good, allowing 30 ppg and 431 yards last season. Ohio is just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games and 0-6 ATS in their last six non-conference games. With FAU having that game under their belt, I like their offense to get plenty of points here today. Ill take Florida Atlantic. |
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09-03-22 | Texas State +1 v. Nevada | 14-38 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 24 m | Show | |
Texas State making their 2022 debut here in week 1, while Nevada saw action last week. Nevada Wolfpack played at New Mexico State and came away with the 23-12 win and covered the 7-point spread. However, the Nevada offense was pretty pathetic, gaining 257 total yards against a pretty bad team. They also had just 78 total passing yards in the win. The difference were the five turnovers the Wolfpacked forced last week. Texas State looks to bolster their passing attack this season with transfer QB Layne Hatcher who comes over from Arkansas State. But the bigger problem for this team is its defense, which allowed 33 points per game and 430 yards. Texas State might push the running game here today as New Mexico State highlighted a poor Nevada rush defense that gave up 218 yards on the ground. Nevada has typically started slowly, going just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 September games. Nevada was fortunate last week that they got five turnovers and played offensively weak New Mexico State team. You would have thought a much larger margin of victory given the turnovers. Now they face a much more balanced offense in Texas State. Both teams should get their share of points today but I'll take the visitors in this one. Play Texas State. Â Â Â Â |
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09-03-22 | North Carolina v. Appalachian State +1 | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 54 m | Show | |
North Carolina opened its season last week vs Florida A&M. While the Tar Heels won 56-24, they failed to cover the 43.5-point spread. This is the first time NCU will play at Boone, though the teams did meet in Chapel Hill back in 2019 with App State beating NCU, 34-31. NCU started a freshman QB last week in Drake Maye, who was very good, though it was against a poor Florida A&M squad. Now he will face a App State team that was 33rd in total defense last year. App State returns QB Chase Brice who threw for 3,337 yards and 27 TD's last season. They also had a rushing attack that averaged just under 200 yards per game. Add to the fact that this offensive line returns four starters and they have high expectations for the offense this year. I look for a high scoring game here today especially with App State against a poor NCU defense. I'll take App State today. |
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09-01-22 | Central Michigan +22 v. Oklahoma State | 44-58 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
 Central Michigan has a lot to be looking forward to this season after a 6-2 record in the MAC last season. They just missed the MAC Championship game, losing a wild contest to Northern Illinois, 38-39. Oklahoma State must have a bad taste in its mouth after just missing out on a College Football Playoff berth last year. The Cowboys missed beating Baylor in the Big 12 Championship by just two yards, failing to score a TD on four shots from the two. I expect Central Michigan to cover this big spread today as the Cowboys will be slow out of the gate this season. Play Central Michigan. |
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08-27-22 | Duquesne +42 v. Florida State | 7-47 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Florida State enters this 2022 campaign having four straight losing seasons. HC Mike Norvell will begin his third season at the helm and the pressure is likely on his now to turn this team around. The Seminoles did close out last season winning five of their final eight games after an 0-4 start to the season. The Noles did lose to an FCS school last year to Jacksonville State, their first ever to a FCS team. FSU looks to start the season with a win for the first time since 2016. Duquesne beat TCU last year, so they know how to beat FBS schools. The Dukes finished last year at 7-3. Good news for the team, they return their leading rusher and passer from last year. While 42 points is lot to lay, is should be close in this one. I'm taking the points with Duke as they likely will have to pass quite a bit here today. Take the points as they appear to be just a mountain too tall for this FSU team to lay today. |
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08-27-22 | Northwestern +13 v. Nebraska | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 95 h 4 m | Show | |
This game takes place all the way over in Dublin. No, not as in Dublin, Ohio but it's Dublin Ireland. This looks to be the best game of the opening days even though Nebraska coming off a 3-9 2021 season. HC Scott Frost will be on the hot seat as Husker fans will expect wins and early. Northwestern was also 3-9 last season so should be a good matchup of teams in rebuilding modes. Northwestern was also 3-9 ATS last season. Northwestern returns RB Evan Hull who rushed for over 1,000 yards last year. They also have four starters back on the OL, which will help Hull again. So why is Nebraska a 13-point favorite here on a neutral field? I have no idea. I see these teams at most a TD difference and really less than that. They are equally matched and while Nebraska has the pressure on it to win, I'm taking these generous points with the WildCats. Play Northwestern. |
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01-30-22 | 49ers +3.5 v. Rams | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 64 h 20 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers hope their recent success against the LA Rams carries over into today's contest as these two teams play for the right to go to the Super Bowl. The 49ers have beaten the Rams six straight games. The dog has also covered this matchup the last six straight games. The 49ers got to this game with a win last week at Green Bay, 13-10. The 49ers offense wasn't very good in the extreme cold with just 106 yards rushing and 212 total yards. However, special teams made the difference with a blocked punt for a touchdown. Despite not having an offensive TD, the 49ers were good enough on defense and special teams. The Niners also blocked a Mason Crosby field goal. The Rams got here with a win at top seeded Tampa Bay last week, 30-27. The Rams looked like they would run away with this game, leading 27-3 at the half. But Tom Brady has a knack of bringing back teams and he did it again as they tied the game at 27 all. But Matthew Stafford did his own Brady impersonation and led the Rams to a field goal with just 42 seconds left on the clock. Stafford threw for 36 yards and two TD's. As for today's contest. I can't overlook the hold the 49ers have on the Rams of late. Plus I get 3 or 3 1/2 points. I'll take the points here with the 49ers. |
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01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs -7 | 27-24 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 39 m | Show | |
Cincinnati pulled off one of the two big upsets over the last weekend as they upended the top seed in the AFC, Tennessee by a 19-16 margin. Tennessee looked to be moving toward the game winning score late in the 4th when QB Tannehill threw an interception around mid-field. The Bengals moved the ball into field goal position and scored the game winning field goal. The Bengals held the Titans to just 353 total yards in the game despite the return of Derrek Henry. Now the Bengals have only the Chiefs in their way if they want to get to the Super Bowl. What can you say about the Chiefs win over the Bills, 42-36 other then Wow! Both teams combined for over 20 points and four lead changes in the final two minutes of the game. The Chiefs had to go over 40 yards in 10 seconds of regulation just to get the tying field goal and force the OT. Personally, the Bills might have had the worst coaching I've seen at the end of a game I've seen by allowing that to happen. Hard to go against the Cheifs at home in the playoffs as they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven in that role. They have also covered eight of their last 10 games overall. I just don't have the faith in Burrows and the Bengals who haven't been in this position for over 30 years. Meanwhile we have Mahomes and the Chiefs who have won big games like this. I'll take the experience here today with the Chiefs. |
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01-23-22 | Bills v. Chiefs -1.5 | 36-42 | Win | 100 | 44 h 43 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills advanced to the divisional round with little difficulty last week in the Wild Card round. The Bills blew out the Patriots, 47-17 as a 4.5-point favorite. The Bills had 174 yards rushing and 308 passing in a very balanced attack. They held the Pats to just 89 yards rushing and 216 yards passing. That makes five wins in a row for the Bills and a 4-0-1 Spread mark. Kansas City fell behind to Pittsburgh 0-7 early but rallied for 42-14 score the rest of the way en route to their win over the Steelers, 42-21 as a 12.5 point favorite. That makes nine wins in their last 10 games and a spread mark of 7-2 their last nine games. The Chiefs have covered five of the last seven games in this series with the Bills. With the line right around 1 1/2 or 2-points on the Chiefs, we need to likely just pick the winner here. I'll lay the 1 1/2 with the Chiefs at home. |
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01-23-22 | Rams +3 v. Bucs | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 113 h 7 m | Show |
The LA Rams dominated the Arizona Cardinals in the Wildcard round, winning easily, 34-11 as a 3-point favorite. The Rams defense completely dominated Arizona, especially in the 1st half and caused Kyler Murray to make many mistakes including a pick-six. The Rams held Arizona to just 61 yards rushing and 122 yards passing for just 183 total yards. Now they will take on the ageless wonder in Tom Brady. Brady and the Bucs also won easily in the WildCard round over the Philadelphia Eagles, 31-15 as a 7-point favorite. Problem though is that the Bucs offensive line is a total mess and they will be missing key cogs this week. That will allow the Rams to do what they did last week and pressure Brady into mistakes. One knock against Brady is that he doesn't like to take a hit and will make mistakes when pressured. With his OL hurting and WR's Antonio Brown and Chris Godwin both gone, like will be tough on Brady this week. I'm taking the field goal with the Rams. |
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01-22-22 | 49ers +6 v. Packers | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 32 h 41 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers went into Dallas in the Wild Card round and shocked the Cowboys and sent their fans home mad with a lopsided win, 23-17. The 49ers did get a scare at the end of the game when the Cowboys last seconds drive ended around the 30 yard line as time ran out on Dallas. That was the team's third win in a row both S/U and ATS. Now they have to head to Wisconsin to take on the Green Bay Packers. The Packers got the lone NFC buy in round one and have plenty of time before this game. They did lose their last game of the regular season to the Lions, 30-37, however most of the regulars only played about a quarter of this game. The Packers opened this game a 4.5-point favorite and that has moved to 5.5-points now. The weather will be cold in Green Bay, in the 20's and dropping during the game, However, there doesn't look to be any precipitation and the winds will be somewhat calm around 10 mph. The 49ers have been winning big games of late and while the Packers have been the best in the NFC, I'll take the points here and see if the Niners can keep this game to within a field goal. Play San Francisco. |
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01-16-22 | 49ers +3 v. Cowboys | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 159 h 26 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers showed a lot of guts in week 18 at the Rams. Down 0-17 they clawed their way back to tie the game in the 4th quarter and had a chance to take the lead before Rams CB Ramsey made a circus interception at the same time the refs missed a roughing on the QB. The Rams took over the ball and marched the field to score the go ahead TD. After a SF punt and defensive stand, they Niners got the ball back with not much time on the clock and no time outs. QB Jimmy Garappolo marched the Niners the length of the field for the TD and forced OT where they kicked a field goal. The Rams threw an INT on the subsequent possession and SFO goes to the playoffs. Look for the Niners to run the ball down the Cowboys throats and use a physical defense to win this game. I like the 49ers a lot in this matchup. |
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01-16-22 | Eagles v. Bucs -9 | 15-31 | Win | 100 | 156 h 55 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia Eagles got into the playoffs but no thanks to their last regular season game. The Eagles lost last Saturday at home to the Dallas Cowboys, 26-51. Tampa Bay had little trouble with the Carolina Panthers, winning at home 41-17. I see the key to this game as the running game for the Eagles. The Eagles need to run effectively in order to win games. Problem is they are playing one of the best run defenses in the league in the Tampa Bay Bucs. The Bucs look to start defense of their NFL Championship with Tom Brady and a patchwork of receivers. They lost Antonio Brown when he stormed off the field. The already have lost Chris Goodwin to a season-ending injury. Now they have lost Cyril Grayson who was injured in the Panthers win. But, Brady still seems to find the right receivers at the right time. I'll lay the points at home here with the Bucs as their defense comes up big in this game. |
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01-15-22 | Raiders +5.5 v. Bengals | 19-26 | Loss | -108 | 77 h 22 m | Show | |
The Raiders had to win down the stretch to get here and they did it with an interim coach, something not done in 60-years. They also had a chance to tie and send the Chargers to the playoffs too, but they were able to get into Field goal range late in OT and get the win. The weather looks to be cold here on Sunday with a 50% chance of snow, something Vegas isn't used to playing in. The lowest temp Vegas has played this year was 40 degrees and that was a Vegas win at Cleveland, 16-14. The Bengals will host their first playoff game since 2015. I don't think any team has gone through as much controversy this year as the Raiders have. Yet, they seem to be able to come out all right. I like playing dogs in the playoffs and the Raiders look to have a excellent shot of winning this game today. Play the Raiders. |
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01-10-22 | Georgia v. Alabama +3 | Top | 33-18 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 55 m | Show |
Lets face it, you can make a argument for either side here in this Championship game. Both teams demolished their opening round opponents with Alabama crushing Cincinnati and Georgia easily handling Michigan. Both sides are loaded with great players and both teams have potent offenses and great defenses. Alabama leads this all-time series with Georgia and has won the last seven times against the Bulldogs. Yet, here we are the Tide are a small dog tonight. These teams met for the National Championship back in 2017 with Alabama winning 26-23 in a come from behind victory. Alabama won last year's championship by easily defeating Ohio State, 52-24. Alabama HC Nick Sabin has won seven national championships while Georgia hasn't won since 1980. This one is all about the Georgia defense vs the Alabama offense. I'm sticking with the team that has history on its side. Take Alabama. |
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01-09-22 | Chargers v. Raiders +3 | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 81 h 60 m | Show | |
The game with the most importance to both teams was moved to Sunday night as the Raiders host the Chargers. The winner of this game will get into the playoffs while the loser goes home. The Chargers coming off a win last week vs Denver, 34-13, snapped a two-game losing streak. Las Vegas has won three straight to keep their playoff hopes alive, though they do need that fourth here today. They beat the Colts last week on the road, 23-20 with Carlson hitting the game winning field goal as time expired. The good news for the Raiders is that they might get back TE Darren Waller here today who has missed time with both injury and Covid protocols. In fact, the Raiders have a number of players they might get back Sunday coming off their Covid protocols. This is a call either way, but for me I'll take Vegas as a home dog since I look for them to win this game. Play the Raiders. |
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01-09-22 | Seahawks +5.5 v. Cardinals | 38-30 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
Seattle won't be going to the postseason but they hope to finish their season on a positive note with a win here today at Arizona. The Seahawks are coming off a big home win last week over Detroit, 51-29. Arizona finally got back to the win column last week with a victory over Dallas, 25-22. I don't believe records will come into play here today. The Hawks have a lot of players looking to change their fortunes for next season and they won't mail this one in. The Cardinals win the NFC title with a win here today but they also need the Rams to lose. I expect a lot closer game than most in this one. I'll take the points with Seattle. |
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01-09-22 | Bengals v. Browns -5 | 16-21 | Push | 0 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals lost their slim chances at the AFC No 1 seed when the Chiefs beat Denver on Saturday. That means this game has no meaning other than the rivalry that these two Ohio teams have. The Browns won the last meeting between these teams back on week nine, 41-16 at Cincinnati. The Browns won't be going to the postseason after a 7-9 mark thus far, but this game could help those sour feelings a bit. Now that Cincinnati has nothing to play for, QB Joe Burrow won't play today. That leaves Brandon Allen to do the signal calling duties for the Bengals. Baker Mayfield will also sit out this game for the Browns with a shoulder injury. I like Case Keenum, the backup for the Browns here today. Nothing to play for, I'll take the Browns who want their season to end in a win. |
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01-08-22 | Cowboys v. Eagles +4 | 51-26 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 36 m | Show | |
Both the Cowboys and Eagles have clinched a spot in the postseason. Dallas is 11-5 on the season and the NFC East champion. They will be the No 4 seed and can improve to No 2 with some additional help. The Eagles are 9-7 and the No 7 seed. The Eagles could actually lose today and still move up in the seeding. The Eagles are 6-1 in their last seven games and look to avenge a 41-21 loss to the Cowboys earlier this season. Both teams likely will be without some players today. The snow looks to have moved on here tonight, but it's going to be cold night in Philly with the low around 20 degrees. I will take the home team here and look for some revenge for that loss earlier in the season. Play Philadelphia. |
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01-04-22 | LSU v. Kansas State -7 | Top | 20-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
Next to last Bowl game of the season here on Tuesday in the Texas Bowl as LSU takes on Kansas State. In some of these games you can throw away numbers and look for motivation as your deciding factor. LSU became bowl eligible by winning it's last two games of the season over Texas A&M and UL Monroe. LSU has a myriad of issues as their coach Ed Orgeron was fired, they have transfer issues, injury issues and this team right now has only 40 scholarship players. This was a LSU defense that struggled at full strength at the beginning of the season let alone all the issues they have now. Kansas State returns QB Skylar Thompson who last played on Nov 20 and suffered an ankle injury. I don't see this LSU roster of straglers doing much here today and really looks only for the Bowl payday and lets go home. Take Kansas State. |
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01-02-22 | Lions +8.5 v. Seahawks | 29-51 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Reason: It's a season that the Seattle Seahawks would love to forget. They will miss the postseason with a 5-10 S/U record this season. They have averaged just 20.4 ppg with a very good QB and receivers. The running game has been suspect all year, but looked better in recent weeks with Penny back. The defense has been last or near the bottom of the NFL all year long. The Hawks have lost two straight, two weeks ago to the Rams, 10-20 and then last week at home to the Chicago Bears, 24-25 as a 7-point favorite. The Seahawks are just 4-9 ATS their last 13 vs a losing team. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last five as a home favorite. They face a scappy Detroit Lions team today. Despite going 0-9-1 in their first 11 games, they have won two games since against Minnesota and a blowout win over Arizona. They have also covered two straight and six of their last seven games. Two teams that have nothing to play for here today, but the Lions look to be the team with life in each game. I'll take the points and won't be surprised by another outright Lions win. Play Detroit. |
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01-02-22 | Cardinals +6.5 v. Cowboys | 25-22 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
 Arizona has fallen into 2nd place in the NFC West standings, one game back of the LA Rams. The Cardinals look to snap a 3-game losing streak here today at Dallas. The Cards are coming off a loss to the Colts, 16-22. That was on the heals of a loss at Detroit the previous week, 12-30. The Dallas Cowboys will be the NFC West Champion with an 11-4 record and a 3-game lead over the Eagles. The Cowboys have won four straight games both S/U and ATS. Dallas still trails Green Bay in the overall best NFC record. Plus the Bucs have an identical 11-4 record. The Cardinals have been very good on the road, evidenced by their 18-7-2 ATS record their last 27 games. The Cardinals have covered five of the last six games in this series and the dog is also 5-1 ATS. I'll take the dog Cardinals here today. Play Arizona. |
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01-01-22 | Utah +4 v. Ohio State | Top | 45-48 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
Ohio State has had some time now to stew about their big loss to Michigan on Nov 27th, 27-42. The Buckeyes finished the season at 10-2 S/ and 7-5 ATS. Meanwhile, Utah brings a six game win streak into today's Rose Bowl at Pasadena. The Utes also won the PAC-12 Championship with a decisive win over Oregon. Have to believe the Buckeyes might not have their heads in this game. If they had beaten Michigan they would have likely played in the National Championship final four. Instead, they play Utah in the Rose Bowl. This game means a lot more to this Utah team. They can beat a big time football powerhouse in this storied event. For Utah, this is their game to show they belong and their own National Championship. Throw out any numbers in this one, I'm looking for motivation and for me it all falls to Utah. |
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01-01-22 | Oklahoma State v. Notre Dame | 37-35 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
Fiesta Bowl from Glendale, AZ today has Oklahoma State taking on Notre Dame. The OK State Cowboys finished the regular season with a 11-2 S/U and 9-4 ATS record. They averaged 30.6 ppg while allowing 16.8 ppg. Notre Dame finished 11-1 S/U and 9-3 vs the spread. The Irish averaged 35.2 ppg while allowing 18.2 ppg. Notre Dame had an average offense overall, but was top 20 in FBS Scoring. Both teams have played well at times. Notre Dame's level of play has been more consistent while Ok State has had some big ups and a few downs. I don't expect a high scoring game here today, but should be fairly close. Notre Dame has been more consistent plus they have averaged better points on the Year. Play Notre Dame. |
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12-31-21 | Georgia v. Michigan +7.5 | 34-11 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
 The second half of the National Championship playoffs will be decided here tonight and we'll know who will play for the overall Championship. Georgia take on Michigan in what looks to be a great defensive battle. Georgia has the 2nd ranked overall defense in the country and Michigan has the 12th overall rated defense. Georgia allowed just 9.5 ppg this season while the Wolverines allowed 16.1 ppg. The Wolverines had the better spread record with a 11-2 mark compared to Georgia's 8-5 mark. I fully expect points to be at a premium here today and with that I take the dogs plus a TD or more. Play Michigan. |
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12-31-21 | Cincinnati +13.5 v. Alabama | 6-27 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
Cotton Bowl here today has Cincinnati taking on Alabama for the right to move on to the NCAA FB Championship game. Cincinnati a big dog here today of 13 to 14 points. The Bearcats finished the season with a perfect 13-0 record and 8-5 ATS spread mark. They had a terrific defense, allowing just 16.1 ppg this year while scoring an average of 39.2 ppg. They scored at least 35 points in each of their last four games. Meanwhile the Alabama Crimson Tide finished the season at 12-1 S/U and 7-6 ATS. Their lone blemish coming back on October 9th at Texas A&M, 38-41. This team not as good defensively as we've seen in the past as they allow just over 20 ppg this season. I really won't be shocked if the Bearcats pull off the straight-up win here today. Still, I'll take all the points in this one. Play Cincinnati |
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12-30-21 | Pittsburgh v. Michigan State -3 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
Peach Bowl from Atlanta Georgia has Pittsburgh taking on Michigan State. The Pitt Panthers come into today's contest with a 11-2 overall record and 10-3 ATS spread mark. The Panthers bring a five game win streak into the game and have covered four of their last five games. The Panthers will be without their starting QB in Kenny Pickett who is out with personal issues. QB Nick Patti looks to start here today with just 14 attempts on the season. This will be a big blow to the Panthers team that afveraged over 350 yards through the air this year. Michigan State finished 2nd in the Big 10 East with a 10-2 S/U and 9-3 ATS record. I'm going to take Michigan State here today as I don't see Pitt doing a lot with their backup QB at the helm. Play Michigan State |
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12-29-21 | Maryland -4 v. Virginia Tech | 54-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
PinStripe Bowl today from Yankee Stadium has Maryland taking on Virginia Tech. Maryland finished the regular season with a 6-6 record and just became Bowl eligible. They are also 4-8 vs the number this season. The Terps had to win their last game to get this bowl and they did with a 40-16 win over Rutgers on the road. That snapped a 3-game losing skid. Virginia Tech also just became bowl eligible with a 6-6 record. They finished way down in the ACC standings, tie for 5th with four other teams. The Hokies were 4-8 ATS on the season and outscored opponents by a 24.89 to 22.9 margin. Tech is just 1-5 ATS in their last six non-conference games. They are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The favorite has covered four of the last five in this series and that's who I'm taking today. Play Maryland. |
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12-28-21 | Texas Tech v. Mississippi State -9.5 | Top | 34-7 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Texas Tech just did become Bowl eligible at 6-6 S/U and they were 6-5-1 vs the spread. The Red Raiders were outscored on the season 30-32.1 and finished 6th in the Big 12. The Raiders limped into the postseason, losing two straight games and f0our of their last five games. Their only win coming against Iowa State, 41-38. They were 2-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the road, outscored by a 28.8 to 36.5 ppg average. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 7-5 S/U and ATS on the season. They outscored opponents by a 30.9 to 25.2 margin this year. The Dogs did lose their final game of the regular season to Ole Miss, 21-31 as a 2-point favorite. However, they did cover five of their last six overall. Miss State the better team here and has been playing better football down the stretch. Play Mississippi Sate. |
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12-28-21 | Louisville +1.5 v. Air Force | 28-31 | Loss | -116 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
First Responder Bowl action here on Tuesday has Louisville taking on Air Force from Dallas, Tx. The Louisville Cardinals finished the regular season just bowl eligible at 6-6 S/U and 5-7 ATS. They averaged 31.9 ppg while allowing 27 ppg. They are coming off a loss to Kentucky, 21-52 in their last game as a 3-point favorite. That snapped a two-game win streak for the Cardinals. The Air Force Falcons bring a 8-4 S/U and 5-7 ATS record into today's contest. They averaged 31 ppg and allowed 19.1 ppg on the season. Louisville looks to be the more balanced team, averaging 211 yards rushing and 218 passing per game. The Falcons are still predominately a run team with 341 yards per game and just 82 passing per game. Should be a lot of ground and pound in this game. While Air Force does have the rushing edge, I like the balanced offense of Louisville here today. Play Louisville. |
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12-27-21 | Western Michigan -6.5 v. Nevada | Top | 52-24 | Win | 100 | 1 h 45 m | Show |
 Quick Lane Bowl here today from Detoit, MI has Western Michigan takin on Nevada. Have to believe Nevada has no interest in playing in this game. Their three best players, including QB Carson Strong, have opted out to get ready for the NFL draft. Plus at least 15 players have entered the transfer portal to follow their coach Jay Norvell to his new job at Colorado State. That's all bad news for the Nevada team that will be very short handed. Add to that the Wolves make the long trip from West to East and W.Michigan playing in their own backyard and this looks to be a Western Michigan blowout today. Play Western Michigan. |
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12-26-21 | Broncos v. Raiders | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
 The LA Raiders kept their playoff chances alive with a win at the Cleveland Browns last week, 16-14. That snapped a two game losing streak for the Raiders. They also got some good news today as two of their inured secondary will return today. The other good news is they face a Denver team they have handled quite easily in recent times. They are 7-1 ATS vs the Broncos their last eight meetings and 5-0 ATS on their home turf vs the Broncos. The Broncos will be without QB Teddy Bridewater who was carted off the field with a concussion. That leaves the signal calling duties to Drew Lock. Denver also still have a wild card shot as they sit a 7-7. For me, without Bridgwater this Broncos team is not nearly as good. The Raiders have some confidence after last week and know they can and will handle these Broncos today. Play Las Vegas. |
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12-23-21 | Central Florida +7 v. Florida | 29-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
Battle of two Sunshine State teams here today in the Gasparilla Bowl as Central Florida takes on Florida. UCF Golden Knights finished 8-4 S/U and 4-8 ATS on the season. The Knights averaged 32.2 ppg and allowed 25.2 ppg. UCF has won two straight games and four of their last five games. The Florida Gators finished at 6-6 S/U and 3-9 ATS on the season. They average 31.8 ppg while allowing 26.6 ppg. The Gators limped into the Bowls, losing three of their last five games and failing to cover any of those contests. Gators will have big issues today with this UCF offense. I'll take the Knights in this one. Play Central Florida. |
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12-23-21 | Miami-OH v. North Texas +2.5 | 27-14 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Frisco Bowl here in the early game of the day from Frisco, Tx has Miami Ohio taking on North Texas. Miami finished just bowl eligible at 6-6 overall and 5-7 vs the spread. The Hawks were a perfect 5-0 at home, but just 1-6 when playing on the road. They will play a North Texas team that also just got to the bowls with a 6-6 record and a 9-3 ats mark. Both these teams finished in the middle of their respective conferences. North Texas has the advantage of playing in their own State and for me that makes a difference against a poor road team like Miami. I'll take North Texas in this one. |
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12-22-21 | Missouri v. Army -6.5 | Top | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Armed forces bowl has Missouri taking on Army. Missouri just did get bowl eligible at 6-6 S/U on the season. They were just 3-9 ATS overall this year. They are coming off a loss at Arkansas, 17-34 as a 14.5-point dog. The Tigers were outscored overall on the season 29.7 ppg to 34.7 ppg. Now they face an Army team that averaged 302 yards per game on the ground this year. Why is that significant? Missouri has the 110th ranked defense and they allowed 229 yards per game on the ground. Looks to be a long day here for the Tigers who will be fed a steady streak of Army rushing. Play Army. |
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12-21-21 | San Diego State -2.5 v. UTSA | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Frisco Bowl is the late game today from Frisco, TX and has San Diego State taking on UTSA. Both these teams had excellent seasons. San Diego State Aztecs were 11-2 S/U and 6-6-1 ATS on the season. The Aztecs were once again a great defensive team, allowing just 19.5 ppg this season. They did come off a loss in the Mountain West Championship to Utah State, 13-46. The UTSA Roadrunners were 12-1 S/U and 9-4 ATS on the season. They average 37.8 ppg while allowing 23.6 ppg. UTSA beat Western Kentucky in the Conference USA Championship, 49-41 as a 3-point dog. Both teams are excellent defensive units, but I have to give the edge to the Aztecs here today. Play San Diego State. |
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12-21-21 | Wyoming -3.5 v. Kent State | 52-38 | Win | 101 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
The Potato Bowl here on Tuesday from Boise, ID has Wyoming taking on Kent State. Wyoming finished 6-6 and was just bowl eligible. The Cowboys averaged 23.2 ppg while allowing just 22.5 ppg. Wyoming's last game was a Nov 27th loss against Hawaii, 14-38. Kent State finished first in the MAC East standings with a 7-6 record and 6-7 ATS mark. The Golden Flashes lost to Northern Illinois in the MAC Championship, 23-41 as a 3.5-point favorite. This game isn't about numbers, it's more about which team will show up here today. Good news for Cowboys is that All American Linebacker Chad Muma decided to play and not opt out for the NFL draft. With Mum playing here today I look for that to give a boost to this Cowboys team today. Take Wyoming. |
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12-20-21 | Raiders -2.5 v. Browns | 16-14 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
This game was a victim of the Covid Protocols. Originally slated to be played on Saturday, December 18, they moved this game to tonight in hopes players could get off the Covid lists and play. Well, that didn't happen. The Browns have been hit hard and even with the two day delay, those players on protocol are ALL out. That includes Baker Mayfield and a slew of offensive and defensive starters. There are a few players that look like they will play, but were' talking a lot of backups here. That's why the line has gone from Browns as favorites to the Raiders at 2 or 3 favorites. As for the Raiders, who are 100% vaccinated, they have no players out with Covid. Throw out the numbers here today, play the healthier Raiders in this one. |
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12-20-21 | Tulsa v. Old Dominion +9 | 30-17 | Loss | -113 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
Myrtle Beach Bowl here on Monday is the lone bowl action as Tulsa takes on Old Dominion. Both teams just did become bowl eligible with identical 6-6 records. Tulsa was 7-5 against the spread while ODU was 8-3-1. Tulsa averaged 26.1 ppg while allowing 27.4 ppg. The Golden Hurricane is coming off a three game win streak including last game at SMU, 34-31. ODU Monarchs averaged 28.5 ppg while allowing 27.6 ppg. The Monarchs bring a five game win and cover streak into today's contest. They are coming off a win over Charlotte, 56-34. This team can score and getting nearly 10 points is a lot to give a high scoring team. I'll take the dog here. Play Old Dominion |
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12-19-21 | Titans v. Steelers -1 | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers are in a must win situation here on Sunday. They are in last in the AFC North with a 6-6-1 record. They sit a half game back of both the Bengals and Browns and 1 1/2 games back of division leading Baltimore. Meanwhile the Tennessee Titans can extend their lead in the AFC South to two games over the Colts with a win here today. Neither defense is up to previous standards, with the Titans ranking 14th and the Steelers at 26th. Tennessee has dropped to 17th in offense since then leading rusher Derek Henry went down with an injury. The Steelers come in at 21st overall and 30th in rushing. The Titans are coming off a win at home over Jacksonville, 20-0. That snapped a two game losing streak for the Titans. The Steelers overcame a horrid first half last week at Minnesota and almost pulled off the huge comeback, but fell short at the end of the game in a 28-36 loss. This game really more important to the Steelers and I will be on that side here today. Play Pittsburgh. |
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12-19-21 | Jets v. Dolphins -10 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
The NY Jets have lost two straight games as they head South to take on the Miami Dolphins today. The jets are coming off a pair of lopsided losses, both at home. They lost to Philly two weeks ago, 18-33 and then last week to the Saints, 9-30. The offense garnered only 256 yards vs the Saints and 281 against the Eagles. Won't get much easier against a much improved Dolphins team today. The Dolphins have won and covered five straight games. They are coming off a win over the Giants, 20-9. Their defense has really stepped it up, holding each of the last five opponents to 17 or fewer points. Four of those games were 10 or fewer points. I'll take the Dolphins here today as the Jets likely won't hit double digits on the score board. Play Miami. |
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12-18-21 | Marshall +5.5 v. UL-Lafayette | 21-36 | Loss | -110 | 108 h 3 m | Show | |
New Orleans bowl action here today has local favorite UL Lafayette playing in their back yard against Marshall on Saturday. Marshall finished the season with a 7-5 S/U and 6-6 spread record on the season. Marshall had a very good offense, averaging 34 ppg and 471 yards per game this season. They held opponents to just 22.7 ppg and 388.3 ypg average. The Thundering Herd are coming off a loss to Western Kentucky, 21-53 as a 1.5-point dog. UL Lafayette was 12-1 S/U and 6-7 ATS on the season. The Ragin' Cajuns averaged 30.7 ppg while allowing 18.3 ppg. The Cajuns are just 2-5 their last seven games as a favorite and 0-4 ATS in their last four bowl games. Conversely, Marshall is 7-2 ATS in their last nine bowl games. I like Marshall here on Saturday. |
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12-18-21 | Patriots +2.5 v. Colts | 17-27 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots have opened up a 2-game lead in the AFC East over the Buffalo Bills. The Patriots are not only 6-0 away from home this year but are on a 7-game win streak. They head to Indianapolis tonight to face the Colts. The Colts trail the Tennessee Titans in the AFC South by two games. After that, the Wild Card at this point is surely Wild and up for a number a teams to take. The Colts have the leagues 11th ranked overall offense and 2nd ranked rushing attack. New England has the leagues 16th ranked offense. The Colts have the 12th ranked defense and the Patriots have the 3rd ranked defense. This should be a excellent game here tonight. The Colts are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. I'll take the hot team with the great road record. Play New England. Â Â Â |
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12-18-21 | UTEP +11.5 v. Fresno State | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 101 h 25 m | Show | |
New Mexico Bowl has Texas-El Paso taking on Fresno State. The UTEP Miners bring a 7-5 S/U and ATS record into this bowl game, the first of the season. El Paso has played decent defense, holding opponents to just 338.9 ypg while averaging 391.5 ppg. The Miners lost their last game against UAB, 25-42 as a 13.5-point dog. The Fresno State Bulldogs are 8-4 S/U and 5-7 ATS on the season. The Dogs finished second in the Mountain West to San Diego State. Fresno has won two straight games, including their last at San Jose State, 40-9 as a 7-point road dog. Fresno has covered just two of their last eight bowl games and for me I'll take the points here today with the Miners. Play UTEP. |
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12-17-21 | Toledo -10.5 v. Middle Tennessee State | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 49 m | Show |
The Toledo Rockets enter today's Bahamas Bowl with a 7-5 S/U and ATS record. The Rockets averaged a nice 34.2 ppg this year while allowing just 21.0 ppg. They come in with a 3-game win streak both S/U and ATS. Their last game coming on Nov 27 at home against Akron in a big win, 49-14, as a 28.5 point favorite. The Rockets have scored at least 34 points in each of their last five games. Mid Tennessee State Blue Raiders just did get to bowl eligible with a 6-6 S/U and ATS records. The Raiders averaged 29.7 ppg while allowing 25.8 ppg. The finished third overall in the Conference USA standings. The Raiders won their last game at Florida Atlantic, 27-17 as a 3.5 point dog. They have split their last four games both S/U and ATS. I like the Rockets in this game as they have a much better offense. Play Toledo. |
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12-16-21 | Chiefs v. Chargers +3 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
Kansas City and the LA Chargers play a key divisional game here on Thursday. The 9-4 Chiefs lead the 8-5 Chargers by just one game. A win tonight by the Chargers and they pull into a divisional tie. A loss and they can let the Broncos tie them with a win on Sunday. The Chiefs have the league's third best overall offense, 17th in rushing and 6th in passing. The Chargers are right behind them ranked 5th overall. Defensively, the Chargers rank a bit better at 15th compared to the Chiefs 23rd. The Chiefs have won five straight and covered four in row after last week's easy win over the Raiders, 48-9. The Chargers have won and covered two in a row after their win last week over the Giants, 37-21. Short turnaround here tonight. The Chargers also get back Keenan Allen who missed last week under Covid protocols. I like the home dog here tonight. Play the Chargers. |
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12-13-21 | Rams v. Cardinals -2.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals can take sole possession of the NFC standings with a win here tonight over the LA Rams. The Cardinals are 10-2 this season with the 10-3 Packers and Bucs on their heals. The Rams sit at 8-4 and right now looking for one of the those NFC Wild Card slots. The Rams are 5-7 ATS on the season and coming off a win and cover over Jacksonville, 37-7. That snapped a four-game spread losing streak. Arizona is 9-3 ATS and coming off a win and cover over Chicago, 33-22. The Rams are now just 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. The Cardinals are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. The favorite has been the play in this series, going 8-1-1 ATS the last 10 meetings. That's just the side I will be on here tonight. Play Arizona. |
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12-12-21 | Bills v. Bucs -3 | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 122 h 42 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills coming off that wind-swept loss last week to the NE Patriots, 10-14. The Bills had two straight trips into the red-zone late in the 4th quarter and came away with no points. The loss dropped the Bills to 7-5 overall and two-games back of the Patriots in the AFC East. Now the Bills face the real prospect of having to fight for a AFC Wild Card slot. The Bills have lost three of their last five games and scored 15 points or fewer in those three losses. It won't get any easier this week as the Bills have to travel to Tampa to face the NFL defending Champion Bucs. Tampa Bay improved to 9-3 S/U and 6-6 ATS with their win last week at Atlanta, 30-17. It was the team's third straight win after having two losses in a row. Tampa Bay also has the league's third best overall offense and top rated passing attack. Buffalo operating on a short week here today and against the Bucs that can only hurt. I'll lay the field goal with the Bucs today. |
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12-12-21 | Ravens v. Browns -2 | 22-24 | Push | 0 | 118 h 18 m | Show | |
Reason: Baltimore is 8-4 S/U and 5-7 ATS after losing on Sunday to the Pittsburgh Steelers, 19-20. That snapped a two game winning streak. The Ravens have also now gone under in three straight games. The Ravens defense is ranked 20th in the NFL overall, but 2nd vs the rush and 32 nd vs the pass. The offense is 4th overall, 2nd rushing and 13th passing. The Browns had last week off after losing to the Ravens back on Nov 28th, 10-16. The Browns offense is ranked 16th and while their rushing is ranked 3rd they had only 40 yards on the ground in their loss to the Ravens two weeks ago. Weather can also wreck havoc in Cleveland and right now it doesn't look too bad, but that can change quickly. I look for the Browns to use that extra time off to be fully prepared for this game on Sunday. I'll take the home team here. |
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12-12-21 | Cowboys v. Washington Football Team +4 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 118 h 18 m | Show | |
Key NFC West matchup here on Sunday, especially for the Washington Football team. The Dallas Cowboys lead the NFC East with a 8-4 record and the Washington Football team is in 2nd with a 6-6 record. While Washington is in the thick of the Wild Card race, they could use a big win here on Sunday in this divisional matchup. Washington is hot, winning four straight games including a last seconds win last week at Las Vegas, 17-15. The defense has played much better, allowing 21 points or fewer in each of their last four games. Dallas snapped a two game losing streak last week with a win at New Orleans, 27-17. They got a pick-six late from the defense to make the final look better than it was. The Cowboys were outgained in that win with the Saints, 379-405. That's three straight week the Cowboys out lost in the yardage total. Getting four points or more looks great to me here today when I believe that Washington can win this game outright. Play Washington. |
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12-09-21 | Steelers +3.5 v. Vikings | 28-36 | Loss | -117 | 54 h 37 m | Show | |
Tonight, it's the Steelers at the Vikings in this Inter-Conference matchup. The injury report isn't good for the Vikings in this one as their star RB Dalvin Cook is questionable with a shoulder injury. At first it looked like a season ending injury, but turned out to just be dislocated. Still, without Cook this Vikings team is not the same. The Vikings have the dubious distinction of being the first team to lose to the Detroit Lions this year after last week's 27-29 setback at Detroit. That makes two straight losses for the Vikings. They will have to face a Steelers team that is playing with lots of confidence after coming from behind last week to beat Baltimore, 20-19. That improved the Steelers to 6-5-1 on the season. While the Steelers are still 3rd in the AFC North, they kept their playoff hopes alive. Getting 3.5 points here today with the Steelers looks, well like a steal since they can win this game outright very easily. Play Pittsburgh. |
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12-06-21 | Patriots +3 v. Bills | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Looks like a typical late fall early winter night in Buffalo as the weather is going to be around freezing with rain that will turn to snow with very high winds that can be upwards of 30 mph. This will make for a very interesting night between the Pats and the Bills. The Patriots have been rolling too, winning six straight games. their defense has also been great, allowing 18 points or fewers in five of those games. They have also covered all six. The Bills have been hit and miss of late, going 2-2 S/U and ATS their last four games. The defense, with the exception of the 41 points allowed to Indianapolis two weeks ago has also been very good, allowing 17 or fewer in four of their last five games. I like the Patriots a lot here tonight and will take the points in what should be a game with not many scoring opportunities. |
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12-05-21 | Washington Football Team v. Raiders -1 | 17-15 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
 The Washington Football Team is 5-6 on the season and trails first place Dallas by 2.5 games. Washington trails San Francisco by one game for a Wild Card spot. Washington is 4-7 ATS on the season. They average 20.8 ppg while allowing 25.6 ppg. They have won three straight both S/U and ATS including last week at home over Seattle, 17-15. The Raiders are in the thick of it for both the AFC West and the Wildcard. While their changes are low, they still need every win. Vegas broke a three-game losing streak last week with a big win at Dallas, 36-33. Now they return home where they are just 3-3 S/U and 2-4 ATS on the season. A loss here today by the Raiders and they likely take themselves out of playoff contention. I'll take Las Vegas. |
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12-05-21 | Cardinals v. Bears +7.5 | 33-22 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears have had some extra time off before today's game with their last coming on Thanksgiving Day in their win at Detroit in the last seconds, 16-14. The Bears are 4-7 on the season and out of the playoffs. But they can still put a bump in the Cardinals playoff run. Arizona QB Kyler Murray is questionable today with his ongoing ankle injury. With or without Murray, this game looks to be one that the weather could have an impact on. This will be the first time the Cardinals will have to deal with cold weather. There is a near 50% chance of rain and while it will be in the 40 degree range, the winds will be pushing 20 mph and that not only makes the wind chill much less but the rain that much colder. I believe the weather will play a factor here today, especially if Murray doesn't play for the Cardinals. I'll take the points in chilly Chicago today. Play the Bears. |
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12-05-21 | Giants v. Dolphins -6 | Top | 9-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
The NY Giants are in last in the NFC East with a 4-7 S/U record. The Giants are 6-5 ATS and 3-7-1 O/U on the year. Won't be any better here today at Miami as the Giants will be starting QB Daniel Jones who has a neck injury. Mike Glennon looks to be the starter on Sunday. The Dolphins did have the worst defense in the NFL, but after last week have moved up to 24th in defense. The Giants beat the Eagles last week, 13-7 and had just 264 total yards of offense. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have won four straight games and their defense has allowed 17 points or fewer in each of those games. Don't look for the Giants to get much today against an improving Dolphins defense and with a backup QB. Play Miami. |
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12-04-21 | Wake Forest v. Pittsburgh -3.5 | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
 ACC Championship game from Charlotte, NC has Wake Forest taking on Pittsburgh. Wake Forest is 10-2 S/U and 6-5 ATS on the season. The Demon Deacons have averaged 42.9 ppg while allowing 29.1 ppg. Wake is ranked 9th overall in offense with a 484 average per game and ranked 100th on defense allowing 427 yards per game. Wake finished the regular season with win at Boston College, 41-10. However, the did finish the regular season with just a 2-2 record both S/U and ATS. The Pitt Panthers finished with a 10-2 S/U and 9-3 AS record. They averaged 42.8 ppg while allowing 23.2 ppg. The Panthers had the 4th ranked offense in the country, averaging 513 yards per game. The defense was also good, ranked 42nd overall. I have to take Pitt here today. They have the better balanced team overall than Wake. Play Pittsburgh. |
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12-04-21 | Georgia -6.5 v. Alabama | Top | 24-41 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
Two of the top four teams in the nation meet today in the SEC Championship as Georgia takes on Alabama. One of these teams could see itself drop out of the top four with a loss here today. Alabama could be without RB Brian Robinson Jr here today who is questionable with a hamstring injury. Alabama is 11-1 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. The Tide got lucky last week in a come-from behind win at Auburn, 24-22 to keep it's place in the top four. They have covered just one of their last three games however. Alabama still has the 7th ranked offense and the 7th ranked defense. They will however face the nation's top ranked defense today in Georgia. The Bulldogs have held opponents to just 230 yards per game and a very good 39% defensive red zone efficiency. They have allowed only six red zone TD's all season, best in the nation. The Dogs are 12-0 S/U and 8-4 and have scored an average of 40.7 ppg while holding opponents to a nations' best 6.9 ppg. Can't say enough about this Georgia defense and I look for them to give Alabama's offense all it can handle today. Take Georgia. |
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12-04-21 | Utah State v. San Diego State -3.5 | 46-13 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
Mountain West Championship on Saturday between Utah State and San Diego State. Utah State is 9-3 S/U and 8-4 ATS on the season while averaging 32.2 ppg and allowing 26.3 ppg. The Aggies won their last game at New Mexico, 35-10 as a 17-point favorite. They held three of their last four opponents to 17 points or fewer. The Aggies were ranked 17th overall in offense and 81st in defense. San Diego State finished 11-1 S/U and 6-5 ATS on the regular season. The Aztecs averaged 27.7 ppg while allowing 17.2 ppg. They held their last four opponents to 21 or fewer points, including their last game where they beat Boise State, 27-16. They trailed 3-16 in that game to Boise Sate. San Diego State's defense will be the difference in today's contest. Take the Aztecs. |
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12-03-21 | Oregon v. Utah -2.5 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
PAC-12 Championship here today has North Champ Oregon taking on Utah. Oregon was 10-2 in the regular season and 6-6 ATS. The Ducks averaged 33.2 ppg and allowing 24.4 ppg. Oregon coming off a win over their rivals, Oregon State, 38-29 and covering the 7.5-point favorite line. The Ducks have covered three of their last four games. Utah won the South division with a 9-3 S/U and 5-7 ATS record. The Utes average 35.2 ppg while allowing 21.5 ppg. Utah has the 38th ranked offense and the 19th ranked defense. Utah won their last game over Colorado, 28-13, but failed to cover the 24-point favorite line. I like Utah here tonight. They have a well balanced team and beat Oregon on Nov 20th, 38-7. Play Utah. Â |
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12-03-21 | Western Kentucky -3.5 v. UTSA | 41-49 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Conference USA East Champion Western Kentucky brings a 8-4 S/U and 9-3 ATS record into today's conference championship game. The Hilltoppers have been a passing team first, averageing 421.6 yards per game through the air this year and just 103.5 on the ground. They have also average 43.2 ppg and allowed 27 ppg this year. Western Kentucky snuck into the 2nd overall ranking position in the country in offense. The Hilltopers have covered five straight games. Their contest against UTSA resulted in a 46-52 loss and one of their few failures to cover this year. UTSA Roadrunners average 433.5 yards per game and 36.9 ppg while allowing 22.2 ppg. The Roadrunners coming off a loss at North Texas, 23-45 and have failed to cover their last three games. W Ky has too much offense for me to pass on them here today. Play Western Kentucky. |
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11-29-21 | Seahawks v. Washington Football Team +1 | 15-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
NFC clash here on Monday Night football has two teams in desperate need of a win. The Washington Football team is 3rd in the NFC East at 4-6 and trail 2nd place Philly by one game and division leading Dallas by 2.5-games. Seattle is in an unfamiliar position, last in the NFC West at 3-7. They have lost two straight games and really are out of the race as the Cardinals sit at 9-2. Seattle has lost four of their last five games, even with the return of QB Russell Wilson from a thumb injury. They are coming off a loss at home to Arizona, 13-23 as a 5.5-point dog. The Seahawks hit the road where they are 2-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS. Washington brings a two game win streak into tonight's contest. They are off a win at Carolina last week, 27-21 and beat the Bucs the previous week at home, 29-19. The defense has not allowed 300 yards or more in four straight games. Seattle is just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. Seattle makes the long West to East coast trip and that's always hard on the West team. I'll take Washington here tonight. |
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