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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-12-21 | 76ers v. Wizards UNDER 234.5 | Top | 127-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams have been playing to several OVERS of late. Washington came out of the break and lost a high-scoring game to the Grizzlies, while Philadelphia won just last night in a high-scoring win at Chicago. These teams love to get out and push the pace and defense is usually an afterthought, but the overall conditions in this one point to a lower-scoring affair in my opinion. Philly's obviously gassed after last night's win, so I expect it to come out and play a different style here, more of a half-court set while on offense. The pick: Note that Washington has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 after allowing 120 or more points in a SU/ATS road loss in its last outing. Considering all of the above information, I'm hammering this under. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER 76ers/Wizards. |
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03-12-21 | Maryland v. Michigan OVER 133.5 | Top | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams have been playing to a whole lot of "unders" of late, but I believe that has now pushed this O/U number a little bit too low. Both regular season matchups between these teams flew well "over" the number, and I absolutely expect that again to be the case here. The pick: Yes, these are two great defenses, but these offenses are loaded with talent as well. The trends/numbers support our theory this morning as well, as note that Maryland has seen the total go "over in seven of its last ten after holding its previous opponent to under 60 points in a SU/ATS victory, while Michigan has seen the total soar "over" in eight of its last 12 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. This number is low, the play is the over. This is a 10* BIG TEN TOURNEY TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Maryland/Michigan. |
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03-11-21 | South Carolina +7 v. Ole Miss | Top | 59-76 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 14 m | Show |
The set-up: South Carolina plays with revenge here in the Tournament after losing the only regualr season matchup with Ole Miss by a score of 81-74. While the Gamecocks lost that contest by seven, I expect this one to come right down to the wire, where whichever team has its hands on the ball last will come out on top. South Carolina lost its final two games of the regular season, but it played the Rebels competitively in the regular season and I expect that to happen again here. The pick: Ole Miss has a significant advantage on the defensive side of the ball, but the Rebels are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight neutral site games as a favorite in the +6 to +9 points range as well. I like SC to battle tough and to at the very least, take this one down to the final moments. Grab the points. This is an 8* SITUATIONAL TOURNEY BLOWOUT on South Carolina. |
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03-11-21 | Canadiens v. Flames -105 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 32 h 0 m | Show |
The set-up: Montreal's been consistently inconsistent over the last month, and after it's big bounce back 5-1 win in Vancouver just last night, I think a very predictable letdown is in the cards here for the visiting side. The pick: The Flames offer great value in this spot. The Flames always play better at home than on the road and after back-to-back losses, there's no question that they're the hungrier team in this fight. Home ice advantage is a very real factor here in my opinon and one which the oddsmaker have not properly taken into account. I'm banking on a blowout from start to finish. This is a 10* SITUATIONAL UPPER-SHELF SLAP-SHOT on the Flames. |
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03-11-21 | 76ers v. Bulls -2.5 | Top | 127-105 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
The set-up: Philadelphia is 24-12 and the Bulls are 16-18. Philly is going to have to make some adjustments coming out of the break, with a few key players still on the COVID list. Overall the 76ers are averaging 114.7 PPG, while allowing 111.2. The pick: The Bulls have won six of their last nine games. Overall Chicago is averaging 115 PPG, while allowing 115.2. Chicago comes in healthier than its been in a long time and it plays with revenge. Note as well that the 76ers are just 13-36-2 ATS in their last 51 on the road, while the Bullds are a solid 4-1 ATS in their last five as the favorite. Philly struggles on the road even with its best players in the line-up, but with Simmons and Embiid out, I have a hard time seeing the visiting side competing whatsoever today. Lay the points. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Bulls. |
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03-11-21 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia -2.5 | Top | 72-69 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 16 m | Show |
The set-up: Oklahoma State just upset the Mountaineers 85-80 as ten-point dogs, but after winning six of their final seven games down the stretch of the regular season, I look for the Cowboys to finally take a step back here. Overall Oklahoma State averages a decent 76.7 PPG, but it concedes 72.3. The pick: WVU is etter on both end of the floor, averaging 77.6 PPG, while allowing 72.1. The Cowboys have actually won four out of the last seven in this series, so the Mountaineers have added incentive in this matchup. Finally note that WVU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed 85 or more points in. Lay the short points. This is a 10* BIG 12 BEST OF THE BEST on West Virginia. |
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03-10-21 | Canadiens v. Canucks OVER 6 | Top | 5-1 | Push | 0 | 32 h 33 m | Show |
The set-up: Vancouver's been playing a lot better of late, as it enters having won four of its last five, including three in a row. In its last three wins, all three have gone "under" the number. That includes a 2-1 shootout win over the Habs here two nights ago. These teams have another game here two nights from now. I think Vancouver can build off its recent run, but I absolutely also expect a much better effort from Montreal here to in this immediate bounce-back scenario. The pick: Note that Montreal has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to revenge an OT loss vs. an opponent in which it score one or less goals in. I expect a much faster-paced contest here and I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Habs/Canucks. |
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03-10-21 | Spurs +5.5 v. Mavs | Top | 104-115 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams are hungry for a win here. San Antonio entered the break just at the right time, as it had lost three of its final five. The Mavs won three straight heading into the break, so the timing was very bad for them. Also note that Luke Doncic is questionable for this contest and if he does play, he's not going to be at 100%. The pick: Finally note that San Antonio is 5-2 ATS in its last seven on the road, while the Mavericks are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine vs. clubs with winning records. Expect this rested Spurs team to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the San Antonio Spurs. |
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03-10-21 | Kansas State v. TCU OVER 129 | Top | 71-50 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 56 m | Show |
The set-up: The Horned Frogs are allowing 71.2 PPG. K-State and TCU play at slower paces, but all signs point to this opening conference tournament game being a bit more wide open.  The pick: And that's because note, K-State has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row, while TCU has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 in trying to revenge a loss to an opponent in which it scored 55 points or less in. This number is now a little too low, the play is the over. This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER K-State/TCU. |
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03-09-21 | Jets v. Maple Leafs -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
The set-up: After back-to-back defeats to end a five-game Western swing in Vancouver, I expect Toronto to not only win this game, but to win big. The Leafs still by far have the best numbers in the league, posting 3.46 GPG, while allowing only 2.42.  The pick: Winnipeg enters off a humbling 7-1 loss at Montreal, and note that it's just 2-6 in its last eight after a five goals or greater loss in its previous outing. The Jets have also conceded three goals or more in seven of their last ten games. Look for Toronto to pull away late for a big win on home ice! This is a 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Leafs. |
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03-09-21 | Boston College v. Duke UNDER 153.5 | Top | 51-86 | Win | 100 | 25 h 6 m | Show |
The set-up: Boston College enters this game with a 4-15 record, losing by four to Miami on the road in its last game. Duke enters with an 11-11 record, falling by 18 points on the road in its previous outing. BC has been terrible this season, on both ends of the court. The pick: This has been Duke's worst year in memory as well, as it enters the Tournament on a three-game slide. Duke still has an oppportunity to make the Big Dance though if it can win a couple games in the Conference Tournament, so here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against. I think Duke doubles down on the defensive end now that the Tournament is here and I look for this total to sneak under once the final buzzer blares. This is a 10* ACC TOURNEY TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER BC/Duke. |
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03-08-21 | North Dakota State v. South Dakota UNDER 141 | Top | 79-75 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
The set-up: This is the Summit League Tournament. South Dakota State is 14-10 and it's coming off a win over UM Kansas on Sunday to advance. The Bison average only 69.3 PPG, but they make up for it on the other end by conceding just 67.2. The pick: South Dakota advanced by beating Western Illinois. The Coyotes average 75.6 pPG, while allowing 72. Both teams though have struggled with offensive consistency in this position, as evidenced by the fact that North Dakota State has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 games following a SU win and on zero days rest, while South Dakota has seen the total go "under" in nine of its last 13 after scoring 85 points or more in a SU/ATS victory in its last outing. I expect each team to double-down on the defensive end here, as each comes in tired after their respective victories on Sunday. This number is indeed high. This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER North Dakota State/South Dakota. |
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03-07-21 | Michigan v. Michigan State +11 | Top | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 31 h 12 m | Show |
The set-up: These teams played on Thursday and the Wolverines managed the 69-50 victory. Michigan is still in hunt for the No. 1 seed in the Big Dance, but with the regular season title wrapped up and the Big Ten Tournament to now look ahead too, I do indeed believe that the Wolverines will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. The pick: Michigan State could earn a spot in the NCAA Tournament with an upset win today. It's also senior night at Michigan State. There's a lot on the line today for the home side. Revenge from the immediate loss. Senior night. A spot in the Big Dance on the line. Michigan isn't going to lose this game, but I believe the conditions are definitely right for a much more competitive battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. This is a few too many points to be giving up, so make sure to grab as many as you can. This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Michigan State. |
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03-07-21 | Lightning v. Blackhawks UNDER 6 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
The set-up: These teams have played to a couple of high-scoring "overs," but I expect more of a defensive affair in their third-straight game here. Tampa has a two-game set in Detroit after this, so it'll have to be cautious to not get caught looking ahead. Chicago's weakness is on the defensive side, but note that it's seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last 11 home games after scoring four or more goals in a home victory in its last outing. The pick: The Lightning have seen the total go "under" in six of their last eight in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which they allowed four or more goals in as well. Tampa still has the No. 1 ranked defense and I expect it to double-down on the end today as it looks to leave Chicago with a series victory. This one has "under" written all over it. This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Lightning/Hawks. |
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03-06-21 | UNLV v. Wyoming | Top | 69-80 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
The set-up: The Rebels lost to No. 19 SDSU last time out. With the victory, the Aztecs claimed the MWC regular season title. Despite that though, UNLV has been playing well of late, winning three of its last five. Overall the Rebels have averaged 69.7 PPG this season, while allowing 67.3. The pick: Wyoming is ripe for the picking here after having four of its last seven games canceled or postponed due to COVID. Most recently the Cowboys lost 72-59 to Utah State. Wyoming has poor numbers, averaging 75.4 PPG, while allowing 75.9. The Rebels are playing better and have a golden opportunity to close out strong against this disorganized Wyoming side. A great situational spot wager on UNLV. This is a 10* MOUNTAIN WEST GAME OF THE MONTH on UNLV. |
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03-06-21 | Jets v. Canadiens -140 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 26 h 30 m | Show |
The set-up: The Habs just recently fired their head coach after a scuffling stretch. Montreal has continued to scuffle, but I expect it to dig deep here and finally post a victory against the Jets. Winnipeg has won all three meetings over the Habs so far this year, but I expect that streak to come to an end here finally. The pick: Obviously, if we were to simply look at these team's recent form, then the Jets would be the correct call here. But gambling on sports isn't that easy obviously either. These teams are evenly matched, but I think the Habs can finally get it together here (note as well that the Canadiens are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to revenge two straight losses two an opponent.) All things considered a very fair price on the absolutely desperate home side here. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Montreal Canadiens. |
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03-05-21 | Lightning v. Blackhawks +1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
The set-up: The pick: This is a 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Hawks. |
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03-05-21 | Ball State v. Toledo UNDER 153 | Top | 70-89 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 27 m | Show |
The set-up: Both offenses can for sure "light it up," but this total is just too high in our opinion now. The total earlier in the year between these clubs was set at 147, and it did go "over" in the final seconds of that contest, but I don't see that happening again here. Ball State has scored at least 90 points over its last three games, but that offensive output is unsustainable now. The pick: Both teams are poor at rebounding, so second chance points are going to be hard to come by (also note that Toledo does a great job of limiting its fouling.) Ball State is second best in the conference as well in defending the three ball. When you add it all up, this total is indeed a little high, definitely considering how competitive I'm expecting it to be. This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Ball State/Toledo. |
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03-04-21 | Jets v. Canadiens -150 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -150 | 27 h 49 m | Show |
The set-up: After a 5-2 win over Vancouver, I believe the Jets, who have actually won five of their last six, will take a step back here on the road. Winnipeg averages 3.36 GPG, and it allows 2.64. The pick: Montreal, by far in my estimation, comes in as the "hungrier" team in this situation. The Habs had lost five in a row before a win over Ottawa last time out. Overall the Habs average 3.24 GPG, while allowing 2.81. Montreal has also lost three straight in this series, so the TRIPLE revenge-factor also comes into play here. I'm banking on the Canadiens finding a way to get the job done at the end of hte night. Lay it! This is a 10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST on the Habs. |
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03-04-21 | Raptors v. Celtics UNDER 217 | Top | 125-132 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
The set-up: Toronto has lost three of its last four. This is its final game before the all star break. The Raptors are dealing with a major COVID outbreak and I think they're just going to go through the motions today here as they look to get some rest and return healthy after. Throw the seasonal offensive and defensvie out the window for the visiting side, this pick for me is based upon the situation. The pick: The Celtics will look to control the pace of this one vs. the undermanned Raptors, who lost 129-105 at home to the Pistons just last night. Finally note that Boston has seen the total dip under the number in five of its last six home games after posting three or more SU home victories in a row. This number is a little high. This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Raptors/Celtics. |
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03-04-21 | Canisius v. Siena -6 | Top | 66-73 | Win | 100 | 27 h 41 m | Show |
The set-up: Canisius is 6-4 and Siena is 11-3. The Griffins are 5-1 in their last six, but they're coming off a loss in their last outing to Fairfield. Canisius has had to deal with several COVID postponements this season The pick: The Saints enter having won three straight. Sienna is better at home than on the road, coming in having gone 9-4-1 ATS in its last 14 in friendly confines. I can't trust the Griffins on the road. The Saints haven't been great against the spread, but they've been playing really well lately, scoring 68 or more points in three straight wins and allowing 70 or less at the same time. I look for the Saints to pull away down the stretch for a comfortable cover. This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Siena. |
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03-03-21 | Avalanche v. Sharks UNDER 6 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show |
The set-up: San Jose has been playing a bit better of late, but after playing to four straight "overs," including an upset 6-2 victory over the Avs two nights ago, I'm finally expecting more of a defensive affair here for the home side. The pick: The Avs have seen the total go "over" in two straight, but note that they've seen the total go "under" in seven of their last ten in trying to revenge an in-season loss in which they allowed six or more goals in. Scoring is up around the league this season, but the situation and the numbers both point to the "under" as the correct call here in our opinion. This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Avs/Sharks. |
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03-03-21 | Bulls v. Pelicans UNDER 237.5 | Top | 128-124 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
The set-up: The Bulls upset the Pelicans at home a couple weeks ago. These teams are similar in many respects. They're both filled with young and raw talent that likes to get out and push the pace and where defense is mostly an after-thought. The Bulls won that game at home and the total did indeed go "over" as well. This is the Bulls final game before the break, while the Pels have a much more high-profile final contest at home tomorrow night against the Heat. Situationally this one definitely sets up as more of a defensive affair. The pick: Note as well though that Chicago has seen the total dip "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after allowing 115 or more points in a SU/ATS home loss in its last outing, while New Orleans has seen the total go "under" in seven of its last ten home games in trying to revenge an in-season loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed 125 or more points in. This can still be a high-scoring game and stay well "under" this sky-high number and that's exactly what I'm expecting here. This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Bulls/Pelicans. |
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03-03-21 | Fordham +7.5 v. George Washington | Top | 49-53 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
The set-up: This is the first round of the A-1 Championship. George Washington crushed Fordham 71-47 back on December 30th, but I think the hungry Rams can keep this one much more competitive now that the Tournament is here. Fordham won't be lacking for motivation after two straight losses. The Rams average only 52 PPG, while the Colonials average 69.7. The pick: Fordham's defense has been decent though, conceding just 67.6 PPG. Of course, when you score less than you allow, it's hard to win on most nights. The Colonials though lost four of their last five games down the stretch and have zero momentum here. George Washington's numbers over the last month are so terrible, that they're now comparable to Fordham's. In this battle of bottom feeders, I'm going to grab the points and expect it to be much closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Fordham. |
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03-02-21 | Suns v. Lakers -117 | Top | 114-104 | Loss | -117 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
The set-up: This is the first time these teams have met this year. Phoenix has won eight of its last ten. LA has struggled without Anthony Davis in the line-up, but Dennis Schroeder recently returned and LA comes into this one now having won two straight. LeBron James struggled for the first couple weeks without AD, but the veteran has made adjustments and LA looks a lot better now. The pick: And with a game tomorrow night at Sacramento, "The King" will look to take advantage of familiar surroundings and take on this challenge personally in my opinion. Note as well the the Lakers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine as a home favorite in the -1 to -2.5 points range. For this pick though, we're going to bypass the spread and instead lay the reasonable price on the "money line" for the Lakers to win this one outright. This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the LA Lakers. |
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03-02-21 | IUPU Ft Wayne +7.5 v. Cleveland State | Top | 104-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
The set-up: Fort Wayne enters the Horizon League Tournament with an 8-14 record. The Mastadons enter with momentum as well afte rwinning two of three, most recently a victory over Green Bay. The Vikings are 16-7 and they're won two of their last three as well. The pick: Cleveland State though has been off since February 20th, when it defeated this very Purdue Fort Wayne team by a score of 67-55. The longer two week lay off isn't going to help with chemistry and note that the Mastadons are 5-1 ATS in their last six following an ATS victory. I expect a battle until the final moments, so grab as many points as you can. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Purdue Fort Wayne. |
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03-01-21 | Maple Leafs v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -106 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
The set-up: Toronto just smoked Edmonton here 4-0 two nights ago, snapping the Oilers five-game win streak. The Leafs have the best record in the NHL, thanks to a potent offense and an effective defense. The Oilers can score with the best of them, but they unforutnately let in almost as many goals they score. And that means that most nights, the margin of error is really slim for Edmonton. The pick: Clearly the Oilers can't be happy about getting blanked in their last game. Edmonton can't sit back and wait for Toronto to make the first mistake today, instead the Oilers will have to push the pace if they have any hopes here of bouncing back. Two interesting stats to take note of as well, as note that TO has seen the total go "over" in eight of its last 11 after shutting out its last opponent in a road victory, while Edmonton has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last 11 games in trying to revenge a shutout home loss to an opponent. The stage is set for some fireworks tonight, the play is the "over." This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Leafs/Oilers. |
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03-01-21 | Jazz v. Pelicans +7 | Top | 124-129 | Win | 100 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
The set-up: The Pelicans have been alternating SU/ATS wins/losses over their last five games and they most recently come off a 117-114 road loss as 2.5 point favorites at San Antonio. They also play with revenge here after losing 129-118 to the Jazz as 6.5 point underdogs back on January 21st. Clearly the Pelicans have all the motivation they need right in front of them here, but also note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games after allowing 115 or more points in a SU/ATS road loss in their previous outing. The pick: Utah's the better team, I won't try to convince you otherwise, but I simly feel this spread is too large for it to cover. With a more high-profile and "tougher" game looming at Philadelphia on Wednesday, this is also a prime "look ahead" spot for the visiting side. A great situational play that I'm taking out of my PLAY-BOOK. Grab the points. This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the New Orleans Pelicans. |
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03-01-21 | Florida International +17.5 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 59-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
The set-up: Clearly WKU is the better team. The Hilltoppers are 16-5, but I don't think they're going to be able to cover this large spread. The FIU Panthers are 9-15. FIU won't be lacking for motivation after losing six in a row. The Panthers average 74.9 PPG, and they allow 76. The pick: WKU comes in complacent here after winning seven of its last eight, including a 91-58 blowout victory over FIU in its last outing. Winning can lead to complacency (especially at the Collegiate level), and that's what I'm expecting here. With a final home series vs. fourth place ODU up next, this also sets up as a "look-ahead" spot for the home side. I like FIU to keep this one a lot closer than what this spread would suggest. This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Florida International. |
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02-28-21 | Grizzlies v. Rockets OVER 222 | Top | 133-84 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
The set-up: Memphis is gonna be hungry here as it comes to Houston having lost three of its last four. Most recently the Grizz fell 119-99 at home to the Clippers. I think it's very interesting to note here that the Grizzlies have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last ten games after scoring 100 or less points in a SU/ATS home loss in their last outing. The pick: Here's the perfect opponent to get back on track against. Or at least attempt to. The Rockets can empathize with the Grizz, as they come into this one having lost ten in a row. Both teams are struggling, but hungry. Expect this to result in a faster-paced, and ultimately higher-scoring game. This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Grizzlies/Rockets. |
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02-28-21 | Nevada v. Utah State -8 | Top | 66-87 | Win | 100 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
The set-up: The Aggies took the first game on Friday night by a score of 75-72. This is a battle between the third and fifth ranked teams. This game means much more to Utah State at this point though, because its still currently on the outside of the NCAA Tournament looking in. Utah State has already moved into third though after Boise State lost to SDSU. Utah State needs to win its last three games and it has a chance to run down Colorado State still. The pick: Nevada played well and covered two nights ago, but previous to that it hadn't played since early February due to COVID issues. I think the Wolfpack get caught flat-footed here now in this second contest and vs. this determined home side. Nevada gave its best shot and came up short last time out and with a chance to end their Tournament hopes, I like the Aggies to find a way to deliver the goods. This is a 10* ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION on Utah State. |
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02-28-21 | Flyers v. Sabres OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 44 m | Show |
The set-up: This NHL season is all about picking "spots." Teams are playing each other so often, that situational handicapping has been key to this point. And when I look at this game, that's definitely the approach I'm taking here. The Flyers held on for a 3-0 win here two nights ago and suffice it to say, I'm absolutely expecting a more wide-open shootout in the second contest. The pick: Note that Philadelphia has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last nine after posting a road shutout in a three goals or greatner victory, while Buffalo has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 11 home games in trying to revenge an inseason shutout loss to an opponent. Expect this faster-paced contest to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Flyers/Sabres. |
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02-27-21 | Canadiens v. Jets UNDER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 30 h 30 m | Show |
The set-up: Montreal fired its coach for some reason and then it lost 6-3 at Winnipeg. The Habs are already making mistakes and messing up this year after such a promising start. The Habs were one of the best on the defensive end over the first month, but they've been terrible of late, having seen the total go "over" in two straight, while also losing four in a row. Enough is enough for Montreal fans obviously. I expect the Habs to play with much more intensity on the defensive end of the ice. The pick: The Jets started off slowly, but they come in having won seven of their last ten, including three in a row. It's interesting to note though that Winnipeg has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after scoring six or more goals in a three goals or greater victory in its last outing. I'm banking on a much tighter and ultimately lower-scoring affair this time around. This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Habs/Jets. |
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02-27-21 | Mavs v. Nets OVER 238.5 | Top | 115-98 | Loss | -112 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
The set-up: Despite who is or isn't on the court playing tonight, I think this sets up well from a situational stand point to fly well over this posted number. Dallas has seen the total go "under" in three straight, but after its lacklustre 111-97 setback on the road to the 76ers, I expect the visiting side to play at a much higher-pace this evening. Note that the Mavericks have seen the total go "over" in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The pick: Brooklyn is rolling along now, having won eight straight against the spread. The Nets are at their best when their in transition and shooting the three ball, as that stretches their opponents defense most nights. While the Nets are off a lower-scoring 129-92 win over the lowly Magic, all signs point to this non-conference matchup going "over" the number sooner, rather than later. This number is a little low in my opinion. This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the OVER Mavs/Nets. |
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02-27-21 | Charlotte +5 v. UTEP | Top | 47-70 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
The set-up: The 49ers are third in the Conference USA and 47th in the country in scoring defense, limiting their opposition to just 64.9 PPG. Charlotte is also proficient from the charity stripe, ranked third in the conference. Charlotte took both meetings last year, this is the first this season. However note that the 49ers lost to UTEP 57-53 the last time these teams played in El Paso back in 2019, so the visiting side won't be taking anything for granted. The pick: The Miners are 10-10 overall and 6-8 in league play. UTEP averages 71 PPG, and it allows 69.6. Note though that Charlotte has done extremely well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games as an underdog in the +4.5 to +6.5 points range. This one is going to come down to the final moments, so I'm grabbing the points. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on Charlotte. |
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02-26-21 | Kings v. Wild -159 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams come in hot, but Minnesota's offense has been ridiculous of late and I like it to carry that momentum over here at home. LA has been exceptional of late as well, winner of five straight. But winning on the road is tough in the NHL and the Wild have conceded two goals or less in four straight games. The pick: Also note that LA is just 2-6 in its last eight after a five-games or longer unbeaten streak, while Minnesota is 7-2 in its last nine after scoring six or more goals in a road victory in its last outing. I'm laying the price and expecting a lop-sided outcome. This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Wild. |
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02-26-21 | Clippers -6 v. Grizzlies | Top | 119-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
The set-up: No need to overthink this one. These teams played just last night and the Grizzlies managed the outright win as 8.5 point underdogs. Coming into that contest the Clippers had been on quite the run, but they still have a chance to catch the idle Lakers, who have been struggling without big man AD in the lineup. Now this line has dropped a couple points and the "better" team in this matchup plays with revenge and has all the motivation it now needs to bounce back and crush the Grizzlies. The pick: Memphis had been on an extended losing streak leading up to that point and it played with revenge as well. With both those motivational factors now out of the way, an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent in my opinion. I look for the visiting side to make a quick and immediate response in this bounce-back revenge scenario. Lay the points. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the LA Clippers. |
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02-25-21 | Wizards v. Nuggets -7 | Top | 112-110 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 30 m | Show |
The set-up: I like Denver here. Washington had won five in a row, before a blowout loss to the Clippers in its last outing. This will be the Wizards fourth and final game of their road trip, and with a much "easier" game at home vs. Minnesota on Saturday, there's no doubt that this one sets up as a classic "let-down/look-ahead" spot as well. The pick: The Nuggets have last two straight against the spread, falling 123-115 at Atlanta as 2.5 point favorites, before then beating Portland 111-106 at home in their last outing, unable to cover the 6 point spread. After this game though the Nuggets hit the road for an extended five-game trip, so that definitely puts added importance onto tonight's contest for the home side here. Finally note that the Nugs play with revenge as well after falling 130-128 in the Nation's capital in mid February as 2.5 point favorites. This one has ATS "B-L-O-W-O-U-T" written all over it. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Denver Nuggets. |
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02-25-21 | Miami-OH -5 v. Western Michigan | Top | 74-66 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
The set-up: Miami Ohio has won two straight and I like the Red Hawks to continue to push hard with the end of the regular season just around the corner. WMU though enters having lost two in a row. WMU has had three of its last five games postponed due to COVID, and teams having to deal with these issues have almost always struggled in every circumstance. The Broncos only average 63.5 PPG. The pick: WMU lost to Miami Ohio a few weeks ago and only managed 56 points in that one. Miami Ohio comes to town off its best game of the entire seaosn as well, smoking Central Michigan 96-54. Finally note that WMU is just 1-5 ATS in its last six home games vs. a team with a losing road record, while Miami Ohio is 3-1-1 ATS in its last five vs. a team with a losing straight-up record. Lay the points, expect a comfortable cover. This is a 10* MAC DESTRUCTION on Miami Ohio. |
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02-24-21 | Kings v. Blues -154 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -154 | 30 h 53 m | Show |
The set-up: St. Louis has been scuffling lately. LA has won five in a row. The Kings started off terribly, but they've arguably been the best team in the league over the last two weeks. One of the Kings most recent victories was a 3-0 win over these very St. Louis Blues in this very building just two nights ago. Can anyone say "letdown" spot for LA here finally? Especially with a tough back-to-back set in Minnesota just two nights from now. The pick: St. Louis has two whole nights off before a game at the lowly Sharks, so the Blues can absolutely put their full focus onto this contest as they look to avenge that poor effort vs. the Kings last time out. St. Louis is still 6-2 at home and I like it improve on that here. Lay the price, expect a blowout. This is a 10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST on the St. Louis Blues. |
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02-24-21 | Hornets +9.5 v. Suns | Top | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
The set-up: The Hornets are off a 132-110 loss at Utah, but I think they'll keep tonight's contest much closer. Outright victory? It's possible, but in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Phoenix has won three straight, scoring 132-, 128 and 132 points in the process, most recently blasting Portland 132-100. But with a three-game road trip up next, starting in Chicago, and ending at the Lakers, this definitely sets up as a "look ahead" spot for Phoenix. The pick: Charlotte has been alternating against the spread wins and losses over its last six games and that pattern is going to continue here. The Hornets have a difficult schedule before the All Star game, finising out the remainder with every game on the road, so this is a team which can't afford to look past any body or anything at this point. The Hornets are 6-0 ATS in their last six following a loss of more than ten points as well. Grab the points. This is a 10* SHOCKER OF THE MONTH on the Charlotte Hornets. |
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02-24-21 | South Carolina +5.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 48-69 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 10 m | Show |
The set-up: I like betting on motivated teams. There's only a handful of games remaining in the regualr season and South Carolina will be eager to snap a five-game slide. Most recently the Gamecocks enter off a 93-78 home loss to Missouri as 3.5 point underdogs. This is also a revenge game for South Carolina, which lost 75-59 in Columbia as a 2.5 point underdog back on February 6th. Ovearll South Carolina averages 74.2 PPG, while allowing 78.4. The pick: Mississippi State is going to get caught complacent here, as it just revenged an earlier loss to rival Ole Miss in its last outing. Teh Bulldogs average only 70.1 PPG, while allowing 66.4. I think the home side comes out flat here after its big win and I think the hungrier revenge minded visiting team will at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door. Grab the poins. This is a 10* REVENGE ELITE OF THE ELITE on South Carolina. |
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02-23-21 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 224.5 | Top | 109-102 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
The set-up: Philly is 20-11 and the Raptors are 16-15, but these two teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions. The 76ers have lost four of their last five, most recently losing 110-103 at the Raptors on Sunday. Ben Simmons was a bright spot with 28 points, nine boards and five assists. The pick: Toronto's won nine of its last 12 and four in a row. Pascal Siakam had 23 points, seven boards and eight assists in the win over the 76ers, as he is finally working his way back to full health after an injury to open the season. These teams have been playing to several "unders" of late, but with Philly pushing the pace from the opening tip in a revenge bid here, I look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. This is a 10* TOTAL EAST-COAST DESTRUCTION on the OVER 76ers/Raptors. |
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02-23-21 | Penguins v. Capitals OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams are coming off impressive wins and I think they'll keep the momentum rolling here. This is going to be a competitive series as well, one which I think will have plenty of offense in it in the first one. The Pens are winning right now, but note because of their goaltending, which is combining to concede 3.1 GPG. The offense has carried the weight for the Pens, and it's going to have to do that again here in the Nation's capital. The pick: The Capitals' netminders combine to allow a 3.00 GPG average. Washington's strength lies on the offensive side as well though, with Nicklas Backstrom leading the way with eight goals and 14 assists. While the last meeting between the clubs went "under" the number, we can expect a much higher-scoring game here as these two offenses enter on top form. This number is low, the play is the over. This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the OVER Penguins/Capitals. |
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02-23-21 | Georgia Tech v. Virginia Tech -2.5 | Top | 69-53 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
The set-up: The Hokies are coming off an OT win at Miami, and after surviving that near disaster, I like them to come in focussed here vs. this dangerous Georgia Tech side. Virginia Tech hasn't playes since February 9th, but it's desperate for a win here. Georiga Tech has been playing well against some good teams, but it keeps coming up short. Overall the Jackets allow 67.2 PPG. The pick: Virginia Tech is dealing with a couple injuries, but with so much time off to prepare, I don't see this being an issue at all. I think Georgia Tech is primed for a letdown here vs. a desperate Hokies side. These teams haven't played this year, but VT does play with revenge as well after falling 76-57 to the Jackets last season. I'm laying the short points, but expecting a major blowout! This is a 10* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on Virginia Tech. |
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02-22-21 | Wizards +6.5 v. Lakers | Top | 127-124 | Win | 100 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
The set-up: The Lakers have been struggling a bit without Antony Davis in the line-up. LeBron James has recently vowed to find a way to bridge the gap and fill the void until he returns, but easier said than done in my opinion. Washington on the other hand comes to town finally playing its best basketball of the year and there's no way this visiting side will take the foot off the gas. Russell Westbrook has worked hard and finally found some chemistry with Bradley Beal, as the Wizards have won four straight SU/ATS, including over some pretty big name teams. The pick: Scheduling wise it favors Washington as well, as the Wiz will lay everything on the line here as they have a game tomorrow night at the Clippers. The Lakers on the other hand are in prime "look-ahead" territory with a road game at West leading Utah up next on Wednesday. A currently red hot team, facing an injured defending champion side which can't help itself looking ahead to its much more important conference matchup up next. This one actually has outright upset written all over it, but let's grab up all these points! This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Washington Wizards. |
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02-22-21 | Texas Tech -1 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 69-74 | Loss | -119 | 28 h 58 m | Show |
The set-up: They say revenge is a dish best served cold. Oklahoma State won this game by eight points on the road as an 8.5 point underdog in mid January. The Red Raiders are still ranked, but after back-to-back losses, this is now a "must win" game. The Red Raiders average 73.6 PPG, while allowing 62.9. The Cowboys are primed for a letdown here after winning five of their last six. Oklahoma State averages 75.8 PPG, while allowing 70.6. The pick: Texas Tech is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge an in-season home loss of five or more points to an opponent as well. Texas Tech's defense, combined with the stellar play of Mac McClung is the difference-maker. Lay the points. This is a 10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST on Texas Tech. |
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02-22-21 | Sabres v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 53 m | Show |
The set-up: The Sabres have a 5-7-2 record and the Islanders are 8-6-3. These teams just faced each other last week in Buffalo and the Isles took both games. Buffalo had been on an extended break due to COVID issues, so its slow start on the back-to-back games was to be expected. The Sabres though finally got off the schneid in their last game and broke a four-game losing streak by beating the Devils 3-2 last time out. The Sabres weak point this year has come in net where they've allowed three or more goals in eight of their last ten games. The pick: New York won't be lacking for motivation here though after back-to-back losses. Offense has struggled at times for the Isles, but here's the perfect opponent to get back on track against. With both teams motivated for a victory today, I expect that to translate into offensive production on the ice. This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Sabres/Islanders. |
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02-21-21 | Celtics v. Pelicans UNDER 233 | Top | 115-120 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 57 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams have played to several "overs" in a row, but I believe that today's contest will sneak "under" once the final horn sounds. Boston's been decent defensively, allowing 109.4, but the Pels have struggled on that end, allowing 115.1. After back-to-back losses though, we can expect New Orleans to double down on the defensive end here today. Boston broke a lengthy slide with a win over the Hawks at home, and it'll be out to control the tempo here as well. Situationally I think this one definitely sets up nicely for a lower-scoring "under."Â The pick: But also note that Boston has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 road games following a SU/ATS home victory, while New Orleans has seen the total dip "under" in 14 of its last 21 home games after playing to the "over" in five or more straight games. This number is a tad high, the play is the under. This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Celtics/Pelicans. |
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02-21-21 | Maryland +4.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 68-59 | Win | 100 | 22 h 16 m | Show |
The set-up: The Terrapins are on the road to face Rutgers, and they come to town on top form, having won three straight, most recently getting the better of Nebraska 79-71. The Scarlet Knights are ahead of the Terps in the standings, but they come in off a 71-64 road loss at Michigan. Maryland's defense has been great though this season, allowing just 65.6 PPG this year. Rutgers hasn't been quite as stout, allowing 68.1 PPG. The pick: Rutgers does have the rebounding advantage, and it produces more steals per game, but note that it's just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after scoring 65 points or less in a SU road loss in its last outing. In a contest which I see being decided by whichever of these team's has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. This is a 10* BLOWOUT DESTRUCTION on Maryland. |
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02-21-21 | Devils v. Capitals OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
The set-up: The Devils have a tough schedule, as they have to play almost every other day due to some COVID issues at the start of the season. The Devils are a young team though, which is beneficial considering the circumstances. New Jersey will look to take advantage of a Washington teams which enters off a 4-1 loss to the Rangers. The pick: Defensive struggles have been the main culprit in the early going for Washington, as it's conceding 3.4 GPG. Washington's offense though is among the league leaders in almost every statistical category. With both teams coming off disappointing offensive performances, I look for each to open things up here and I then expect this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Devils/Capitals. |
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02-20-21 | Wizards v. Blazers UNDER 242 | Top | 118-111 | Win | 100 | 30 h 9 m | Show |
The set-up: Washington has won three in a row, but it faces a stiff test out of the gate here on its Western swing in Portland. These two teams like to push the pace and defense is often an after-thought, but I think this number is just a little too high. This can still be a high-scoring shootout and fall well below the posted number and that's exactly what I'm expecting here. The pick: Portland has six wins in a row despite a plethora of injuries. How "up" will Damian Lillard get for this non-conference game vs. one of the worst teams in the league? Not very is the answer, especially with a three-game road trip starting on Monday night at Phoenix, Denver and at the Lakers respectively? Can anyone say look-ahead spot for the home side?! A great situational play on the "under," as I expect Washington to come out flat in the opener of this West Coast swing and I think the Blazers do to after their extended run and with such an important road trip on deck. This number is a little high. This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Wizards/Blazers. |
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02-20-21 | Sharks v. Blues OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 10 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, including in the Blues 3-2 win here in OT two nights ago. St. Louis sits atop the West Division now and I expect it to get at least three goals this time around as well. San Jose is allowing 3.53 GPG, but its 2.40 GPG average isn't going to cut it obviously. The pick: I'll point out though that the Sharks have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last nine road games when trying to revenge a one goal road loss vs. an opponent. THis number is low, expect it to eclipse sooner, rather than later. This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Sharks/Blues. |
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02-20-21 | Texas Tech +2 v. Kansas | Top | 61-67 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 3 m | Show |
The set-up: Kansas is now 16-7 after its 59-41 win over K-State on Wednesday. Texas Tech returns to action after an 82-71 loss to WVU on February 9th to fall to 14-6 overall. It was a tough loss for the Red Raiders, who had two games postponed. Not due to COVID issues though, but rather weather related. Because of this, I think it in fact works in favor of Texas Tech. Overall Texas Tech averages 74.2 PPG, while allowing 62.7. The pick: The Jayhawks average 74 PPG, while allowing 66.2. Kansas is coming off the satisfying win over its rival and note that it's only 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with winning records. Also note that the road team is 5-2 ATS in its last seven head-to-head meetings. Four of the Jayhawks last five wins have come against bottom feeders. Expect the Red Raiders to pull off the minor upset here, but grab as many points as you can. This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Texas Tech. |
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02-19-21 | Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 226 | Top | 109-121 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
The set-up: Atlanta picked up an eight-point win over the Celtics on Wednesday. Kemba Walker wasn't playing in that contest, but Jason Tatum had 35 points for the Celtics. Boston is usually much better defensively, but it was playing the second game of a back-to-back and it ran out of energy after a victory. The Celtics have been scuffling of late, due to injury and COVID, but they won't be lacking for motivation here as they look to double down defensively on the perimeter today in this revenge scenario. The pick: If the Celtics are going to get back on track, they're going to have to control this contest, not get into a "shootout" with the Hawks. I expect the home side to clamp down defensively throughout, with half and full-court pressure. While the first game flew "over," all signs point to the "under" as the correct call this time around. This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Hawks/Celtics. |
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02-19-21 | Cleveland State v. IUPU Ft Wayne +5 | Top | 68-75 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
The set-up: Cleveland State is 15-6 and IPFW is 6-13. The Mastadons play their final two regular season games here and I like them to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. The Mastadons had lost eight straight against the spread before their 72-70 loss to Youngstown State last time out, proving that they're still trying to post victories here at the end of the season and remain competitive. The pick: These teams played twice at Cleveland State earlier in the year and the Vikings won both games. Both games were competitive though, 63-61 and 89-80. I expect another battle until the end, meaning I'll definitely be grabbing as many points as I can! This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on Purdue Fort Wayne. |
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02-18-21 | Sharks v. Blues OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -125 | 31 h 52 m | Show |
The set-up: The Sharks are 6-7-1, but they're coming off a much-needed 3-2 win over the Ducks on Monday. The Sharks main issues so far have come on the offensive end, as they're averaging just 2.43 GPG. The Blues will be looking to bounce back here, as they come in off a listless 1-0 loss to the Coyotes in their most recent action. Overall though St. Louis averages 2.94 GPG. San Jose is desperate for victories here and ultra focussed to turn things around offensively, while St. Louis is eager to bounce back after a very poor offensive performance in its last outing. Here's a great situational play on the "over."Â The pick: But also note that San Jose has seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last six after a victory, while St. Louis has seen the total go "over" in eight of its last 12 after being shutout in its last outing. I expect a faster-paced, wide-open affair and look for this total to fly "over" sooner, rather than later. This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Sharks/Blues. |
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02-18-21 | Raptors v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 110-96 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
The set-up: I'm all about picking "spots." Here's a good one for Milwaukee in my opinion. The Bucks have issues this year, but they play with immediate revenge after losing here to the Raptors 124-113 two nights ago. That was the Bucks fourth straight SU/ATS loss in a row and suffice it to say, I expect Milwaukee to hit the panic button and play with extreme desperation here as it tries to break the slide. OKC is in town tomorrow night, but the Bucks won't be looking past Eastern rival Toronto obviously. The pick: With a game at Minnesota tomorrow though, the Raptors could easily be caught looking ahead to that much more "winnable" game, content with having already earned a hard-fought split against the Bucks. From a situational stand-point, it definitely is a great play on the Bucks here in my opinion. But also note, Milwaukee is 7-1 ATS in its last eight in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed 120 or more points in. I'm laying the points and expecting a major blowout. This is a 10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST on the Bucks. |
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02-18-21 | Iowa v. Wisconsin OVER 144.5 | Top | 77-62 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 59 m | Show |
The set-up: Iowa has won two a row to move to 9-5 in Big Ten play. Iowa most recently hammered Michigan State 88-58 on Saturday. Wisconsin though enters having lost two straight to fall go 9-6 in conference play. Most recently the Badgers lost 67-59 to Michigan. The Badgers will have to push the pace here though to keep up with Iowa's high-flying offense which enters averaging 87.4 PPG. The Hawkeyes aren't nearly as good on the defensive side though, allowing 73.5 PPG. The pick: The Badgers are averaging 70.3 PPG, while conceding 62.6. Wisconsin though should be noted that it's seen the total go "over" the number in ten of its last 14 after two or more SU losses in a row. I look for Iowa to push the pace and for the hungry Badgers to respond. Look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. This is a 10* BIG TEN TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Iowa/Wisconsin. |
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02-17-21 | Knicks v. Magic +4 | Top | 89-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
The set-up: New York is playing well, as it enters on a three-game win streak. The Knicks are needing massive games every night from Julius Randle to pull these out though and I think he and the rest of the visiting side are in for a bit of a letdown on the road here finally. The pick: The Magic on the other hand are out to bounce back at home here off a 19 point road loss to the Suns. Previous to that they broke a slide with a win at Sacramento. This is a revenge game for the Magic as well after they lost by seven in The Big Apple in mid January. New York only shot 36 percent in that victory as well, but got another big game from Randle. However, as I stated above, I can't see that happening again here and especially now that the Knicks are hitting the road. Note that the Magics are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after losing by 15 or more points SU/ATS on the road in their last outing as well. I'm grabbing the points. This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Orlando Magic. |
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02-17-21 | Mercer v. East Tennessee State OVER 139 | Top | 71-64 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
The set-up: Mercer is 12-8 and East Tennessee State is 12-9. The Bears average 79.1 PPG, which is pretty good, but they allow 74.3, which isn't particularly great. East Tennessee State will try to take advantage here, as it averages 70 PPG, while allowing 65.1. The pick: The "over" though is 7-3 in the Bears last ten road games and I'm definitely anticipating a more wide open contest here, where each teams pushes the pace from the opening tip, until the final horn. A faster pace = more shots and more shots = more points. Look for these two front runners to eclipse this posted total sooner, rather than later. This is a 10* TTOAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Mercer/East Tennessee State. |
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02-17-21 | Panthers v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
The set-up: Florida comes in off a 6-3 win over the Lightning, while Carolina enters off a 7-3 win over Columbus. These teams have each seen the total go "over" in three straight and this is the first time they've seen each other this season. While both teams have been playing to many high-scoring affairs this season, I beleive this opening contest finally sets up as more of a defensive affair. The pick: Florida has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 road games after scoring six or more goals in a three-goals or greater victory, while Carolina has seen the total dip below the posted number in ten of its last 14 after scoring six or more goals in a victory in its last outing. Look for these two rivals to battle to a tighter, lower-scoring contest on Wednesday night. This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Panthers/Hurricanes. |
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02-16-21 | Capitals v. Penguins UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 30 h 38 m | Show |
The set-up: I had a free play on the Penguins on the puckline in their 6-3 win over Washington here two nights ago (paid +180), and while that game obviously flew well "over" the number, I expect this second contest to be more of a defensive affair. It's all hands on deck now for the Capitals, who have lost four straight coming into this one. Washington can score, but it needs to double down immediately on the defensive end if it has any hopes of breaking the slide. The pick: The Pens are on a two game win streak, but note that they've seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 home games after scoring six or more goals in a three goals or greater victory in their last outing. I expect a hard-fought, but ultimately lower-scoring affair here on Tuesday night. This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Capitals/Penguins. |
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02-16-21 | Nuggets v. Celtics -3 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
The set-up: I think this one sets up well from a situational stand point for Boston. In this season of "COVID," situational handicapping has become very useful in certain...situations. Denver is coming off a big home win over the Lakers and it has a game at Washington tomorrow night. The Celtics have lost three in a row and are desperate for a victory before Atlanta comes to town for a two-game set, starting tomorrow night. One of these teams is desperate, the other is very content. The pick: Additionally note that the C's are 7-2 ATS in their last nine non-conference home games following a three games or longer SU losing streak. I'm expecting a blowout once the final horn sounds, so lay the points with confidence. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Celtics. |
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02-16-21 | Austin Peay v. SE Missouri State +6.5 | Top | 81-86 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show |
The set-up: Austin Peay is 13-8, while Southeast Missouri State is 7-14. These teams played at Austin Peay a few nights ago and the Governors hammered the Redhawks 78-63. But with a game at 17-5 Eastern Kentucky up next, I think the visiting side will have a much more difficult time duplicating its offensive performance against this revenge-minded SE Missouri State team on the road. After winning five of seven, and with the upcoming two-game series vs. Eastern Kentucky, this one sets up as a trap for the visitors. The pick: The Redhawks are the "hungrier" side here, as they look to snap a three-game losing streak. The Governors are the deeper, more experienced team, but this situation favors the home side. I'll stop short in predicting an outright upset, but everything points to this one coming right down to the wire. This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on SE Missouri State. |
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02-15-21 | Hawks -120 v. Knicks | Top | 112-123 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
The set-up: I like the Hawks on the moneyline here, as I expect them to find a way to leave The Big Apple with a victory. Atlanta is the hungrier team, and I believe that motivating factor will prove to be the difference. Conversely, all signs point to a classic letdown here for the Knicks after two straight wins. This is also a revenge game, as New York has taken four of hte last five in the series, including three of four in this building. Last month Trae Young had 31 points and 14 assists vs. the Knicks and I look for the Hawks' star to duplicate that success. The pick: Mitchell Robinson was in the line-up for the Knicks the first time they faced the Hawks, but he won't be this evening. Atlanta has two tough road games at Boston up next, followed by a home game against Denver, making tonight's contest the most "winnable" by far of all of these. Combined with the urgency factor after two straight losses and the expected letdown from the Knicks, I look for Atlanta to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Atlanta Hawks. |
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02-15-21 | Panthers v. Lightning UNDER 6 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -118 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
The set-up: The Lightning smashed the Panthers 6-1 two nights ago, but I expect a more competitive and ultimately lower-scoring contest in the end here. These two teams both have excellent goaltending and on most nights, their defense is among the best in the league as well. Florida though has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed five or more goals in. The pick: Florida is just 2-10 the last 12 in this series. The Panthers will be desperate here and I think that'll come in the form of doubling down on the defensive end as they look to get Tampa "off its game." A great situational call on the "under" in my opinion. This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Panthers/Bolts. |
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02-15-21 | Virginia v. Florida State -1 | Top | 60-81 | Win | 100 | 26 h 59 m | Show |
The set-up: Virginia sits atop the conference after taking out UNC 60-48 at 11-1 thus far. Florida State enters of a momentum-building 92-85 OT win over Wake Forest and it's now 11-3 overall and 7-2 in ACC action. The Cavaliers of course get the job done with their smothering defensive play (58.8 per contest conceded), as they enter averaging 69.9 PPG. The pick: The Seminoles average 79.1 PPG, while conceding just 69.4. This is a team which likes to get down and dirty defensively as well, but it's their up-tempo pace on offense which I think UVA will have difficulties matching. Especially on the road. Yes, this is a much-improved UVA team, one of the best that FSU has seen all year. But the said can also be said for the Cavaliers, on the road facing an underrated and dangerous FSU side. I'm going with FSU to win at home in this one. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Florida State. |
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02-14-21 | Blazers v. Mavs UNDER 236.5 | Top | 121-118 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
The set-up: The first thing that comes to mind when we look at these two teams is obviously, high-scoring offenses. Both teams push the pace and each has difficulty defending the perimeter, but I believe this line is a bit inflated due to public perception, as it's now automatic for many NBA bettors to just hammer the "over" whenever Dallas plays these days. So why will today's matchup finally stay "under" here? The pick: Let's take a quick look at these team's offensive averages to start. Portland averages 115.2 PPG, while Dallas averages 112.7. After holding on for a 143-130 win over the Pelicans on Friday, I expect this Dallas offense to take a step back here. Portland beat Cleveland 129-110 in a high-scoring home game, but note that the Blazers have seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of their last ten road games after scoring 125 or more points in a SU/ATS home victory in their last outing. This can still be a high-scoring game and stay "under" this sky-high number, and that's exactly what I'm expecting. This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Blazers/Mavericks. |
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02-14-21 | Oregon State v. Arizona State -5.5 | Top | 73-75 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 21 m | Show |
The set-up: This is a revenge game for ASU after it fell 80-79 at Oregon State in the final moments. Oregon State though is just 10-9 overall with a 6-7 league record, entering this one on a two-game slide, most recently falling 70-61 on the road to the Arizona Wildcats. Arizona State is only 6-9 overall and 3-6 in conference play. Most recently the Sun Devils lost 75-64 to Oregon on Thursday. The pick: Overall these teams numbers are very similar. ASU's offense is slightly better and Oregon State's defense is a little better. The back-to-back road games isn't doing Oregon State any favors though. Home floor, combined with the revenge factor (note that ASU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge an in-season road loss to an opponent in which it allowed 80 or more points in. Lay the points, expect a blowout. This is a 10* PLAYBOOK on Arizona State. |
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02-14-21 | Capitals v. Penguins UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -104 | 25 h 33 m | Show |
The set-up: Washington is out to atone for a lousy 7-4 home loss to the Flyers in its last outing. Pittsburgh's coming off a 4-3 shootout win at the Islanders, after losing 4-3 to the Isles a couple nights earlier. These teams have been playing to some higher-scoring affairs of late (the entire league has seen elevated offensive numbers), but I think the conditions are now finally right for more of a defensive affair.  The pick: Each club has had issues defensively and between the pipes, but note that the Capitals have seen the total go "under" in seven of their last ten after allowing six or more goals in a three goals or greater home loss in their last outing, while the Penguins have seen the total dip below the posted number in 14 of their last 22 after an OT road victory in which it score four or more goals in. Expect a tight, and ultimately lower-scoring "under" in this one. This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Caps/Pens. |
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02-13-21 | UNLV +9.5 v. Boise State | Top | 59-61 | Win | 100 | 29 h 7 m | Show |
The set-up: It's an immediate revenge scenario for lowly UNLV, which lost 78-66 to the Broncos on Thursday. I expect a tighter contest here and while I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to this one coming right down to the wire in my opinion. Bryce Hamilton is a matchup issue for any team. If Hamilton can get any type of support, the Rebels have a legitimate shot at winning this game outright (he finished with 26 points on Thursday.) Overall UNLV allows just 68.1 PPG. The pick: The Broconos average 78.4 PPG. They shot 50 percent in the win on Thursday. Boise State previous to this series lost two straight to Nevada, while splitting with Colorado. Consistency from game-to-game has been an issue of late for Boise State and I think that pattern continues here. Again, I don't think it'll have such a huge collapse here that it loses outright, but I do think the this line is inflated. Expect the hungrier team to keep this one interesting down the stretch and grab the points. This is a 10* MOUNTAIN-WEST GAME OF THE MONTH on UNLV. |
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02-13-21 | Senators v. Jets OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 54 m | Show |
The set-up: Ottawa is terrible, but its desperate for a win and I think it'll find the back of the net a couple times here as it desperately tries to find any sort of positive momentum. Winnipeg could obviously care less about the Sens problems and I think it'll keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here. Ottawa has the worst defense in the league, allowing over 4 GPG. The pick: The Jets have seen the total go "over" in eight of their last 11 home games after a four goals or greater home victory in their last outing (beat the Sens 5-1 here two nights ago.) The situation and the trends all point to a higher-scoring 'shootout.' This is a 10* TOP TOTAL on the OVER Sens/Jets. |
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02-13-21 | 76ers v. Suns UNDER 227 | Top | 111-120 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 54 m | Show |
The set-up: Philadelphia has been on fire of late, but it opened up its four-game Western road-swing with a loss in Portland. Phoenix enters on top form having won four in a row, most recently a victory over the visiting Milwaukee Bucks. The pick: Philadelphia struggled to contain Portland's outside shooting, so it'll be quick to remedy that situation here vs. the Suns. Making adjustments from game-to-game is the name of the game in the NBA to be successful. It's also a good approach to handicapping, as I've always believed that being flexible with your style/approach is the best way to earn profits over the long-term. Non-conference matchup here is going to produce more of a defensive affair than what this O/U line is trying to lead us to believe. This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE ULTIMATE TOTAL on the UNDER 76ers/Suns. |
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02-12-21 | Pelicans v. Mavs UNDER 233.5 | Top | 130-143 | Loss | -104 | 28 h 59 m | Show |
The set-up: Dallas has played to so many "overs" this year, that I think that whenever anyone sees them play now, they're automatically just playing the "over." Both teams in fact enter having played to several straight "overs," but I think that this line is inflated finally here by public perception and I look for it to finally swing the other way. The pick: With a much more winnable game at Detroit, New Orleans could be caught looking ahead here. The Mavericks are off a tight 118-117 home win over the Hawks, allowing Atlanta back into the game late. I think the home side buckles down finally a little on the defensive end as they look to continue their recent up-tick in play. Finally note that New Orleans has seen the total go "under" in ten of its last 14 road games after playing to three or more straight "overs" overall. This number is high for sure in my opinion. This is a 10* SOUTHWEST DIV. TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Pels/Mavs. |
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02-12-21 | Northern Kentucky v. Green Bay UNDER 141 | Top | 82-86 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams have been playing to plenty of "overs" of late and I now think that this O/U line is a bit too high. North Kentucky has seen the total go "over" in six straight, while Wisconsin Green Bay has seen the total go "over" in five straight (that was after seeing it go "under" in five straight.) The Phoenix average 71.4 PPG, while UNK averages 71.1. When you add those two figures up, we land right on this posted number essentially. So why is today's going "under?"Â The pick: Northern Kentucky is locked into third spot in the conference right now, while Green Bay is near the bottom. However, not only do I strongly feel that this O/U line is inflated, but note that UNK has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 road games after two more straight ATS covers in a row, while Wisconsin Green Bay has seen the total dip below in 14 of its last 20 home games after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. I think the home side plays UNK tough here at home and I expect that to result finally in a lower-scoring "under." This is a 10* Horizon League TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER UNK/Green Bay. |
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02-11-21 | Pacers v. Pistons +4 | Top | 111-95 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 28 m | Show |
The set-up: The Pacers are 11-12 and they're on a four-game losing streak after falling 104-94 to the Nets just last night. The Pistons won't be lacking for motivation here, they're 6-18 and coming off a 122-111 win over Brooklyn on Tuesday. Indiana has struggled defensively this year, conceding 111.9 PPG. In the second game of the back-to-back, I think they'll have their hands full here with this hungry home side. The pick: Detroit hasn't been much worse defensively, allowing 113.5. Indiana has started to slide and playing the second game of the back to back on the road against a desperate Detroit team is not what the doctor ordered to get back on track in my estimation. The Pistons and Jerami Grant have an opportunity here to win this one outright as they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine after scoring 120 or more points in a SU/ATS victory in their last outing. I'm grabbing the points, but would not be shocked by an outright upset. This is a 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR on the Detroit Pistons. |
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02-11-21 | Lightning v. Panthers OVER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 42 m | Show |
The set-up: Two really good teams collide in this one on Thursday night and I think that we'll have an old fashioned "shootout" on our hands. Both teams have excellent goaltending and explosive offenses. It honestly wouldn't be too difficult to write a convincing argument for the "under" here either, considering the overall defensive talent from each team. Florida has always had difficulties with the Lightning and goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky in particular has had a hell of a time with them, going 6-8-1 with a poor .885 save percentage vs. them. The pick: Tampa netminder Andrei Vasilevkskly has had more success vs. the Panthers in the past, but Florida has seen the total go "over" in eight of its last 11 home games after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. I look for a wide-open "shootout" in this one. This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Bolts/Panthers. |
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02-11-21 | Weber State v. Montana +1.5 | Top | 67-80 | Win | 100 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
The set-up: All six of Montana's Big Sky losses have been decided in the final seconds, with three by three points or fewer, and none being by more than six points (which was a double OT defeat). In short, the Grizzlies win/loss record could easily be a lot better if a couple lucky bounces went their way. It's very interesting to note as well, that over its last three series, Montana has won the first game, only to lose the second two days later. The pick: Weber State is primed for a letdown after four-straight victories. With a home and home set vs. Eastern Washington next week, the road ahead doesn't get any easier for the Grizzlies. This is a crucial contest for the season and I don't think that home court advantage can be looked past. Montana is the hungrier dog in this fight and I like it to deliver on home-court. This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on Montana. |
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02-10-21 | Hawks v. Mavs UNDER 233.5 | Top | 117-118 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
The set-up: The Hawks broke a three-game slide with a 132-121 win over Toronto on Saturday. The Hawks are now 11-12. After a terrible stretch, the Mavericks have started to play better of late as well, winning two of their last three after dropping six straight. The Mavericks are 11-14. Clearly the first thing that comes to mind when we think about these two teams is dynamic offenses and teams which play very little defense on any given night. So why is this particular game going to fall "under?" The pick: Atlanta's seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 after scoring 130 or more points in a SU/ATS home victory. Dallas has seen the total dip below the number in 14 of its last 20 after playing to four or more straight "overs." Sometimes non-conference games can lead to some higher-scoring games, but I don't expect that to be the case here. I look for these two hungry teams to play a tighter contest than what this sky-high total would suggest. This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER Hawks/Mavericks. |
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02-10-21 | Maple Leafs v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
The set-up: I'm expecting a shootout between these rivals. Honestly, it wouldn't be difficult to write a convincing argument for an "under" here either. Each team has great goaltending. These have been two of the higher-scoring teams in the league as well though, as the Leafs have scored three or more goals in nine out of their ten games, while Montreal ranks No. 1 in the NHL on the offensive end in many categories, including in shots per game and in shooting percentage. The pick: The total has gone "over" in six of these teams last seven vs. each other. These are the two best offenses in the league going head to head. It's also two teams which really dislike each other. I expect an open, faster-paced contest, one which goes "over" sooner, rather than later. This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Leafs/Habs. |
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02-10-21 | Wake Forest v. Boston College +1 | Top | 69-65 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
The set-up: A couple of bottom feeders going head-to-head here, but I don't think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular case. Both teams come in off losses. Wake lost 79-58 to the Fighting Irish, while Boston College lost 81-65 to NC State. The Notre Dame loss snapped a five-game ATS win streak as well for the Demon Deacons and I think they'll take another step back here as well. Overall Wake averages 69.2 PPG, while allowing 68.7. The pick: Boston College returned to action after missing three weeks in the loss to the Wolfpack, and it looked ugly early, as NC State went on a 37-3 run at one point, before the Eagles close the first half at 44-21. BC was without a couple of players as well in that one, but the team looked much stronger as the game went on and considering the circumstances and the way the contest opened, the Eagles definitley pulled it together quickly and finished that one strong. And I feel there's no reason not to believe they can't carry that momentum over here as well. With the rust of a few weeks off now gone, look for BC to come out much faster this time around. The Eagles average 72.1 PPG, while allowing 78.4, but note tha they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine home gaems after allowing 80 or more points in a SU/ATS loss in their last outing. I like BC to find a way to get the job done here. This is a 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR on Boston College. |
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02-09-21 | Creighton -7 v. Georgetown | Top | 63-48 | Win | 100 | 30 h 39 m | Show |
The set-up: Creighton has been struggling against the spread for bettors, losing three in a row. One of those losses was an outright loss at home to Georgetown just last week. The Blue Jays were favored by 14 points in that one. Georgetown has a losing record, but it's 8-6 ATS overall this season. The Hoyas have covered in five straight games, including in their last one when they lost 84-74 at Villanova as 13.5 point underdogs. The pick: After that close call, I think the Hoyas definitely take a step back here. Creighton is ready to avenge last week's setback and the spread it has to cover here is almost cut in half of what it was in that contest. Much more manageable and realistic and I expect the Blue Jays to deliver in this fantastic situational opportunity. Lay the points. This is a 10* BIG EAST GAME OF THE YEAR on Creighton. |
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02-09-21 | Rockets v. Pelicans -4 | Top | 101-130 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
The set-up: New Orleans has won three straight. The Pelicans catch Houston off a 119-94 loss in Charlotte just last night. New Orleans also plays with revenge here after losing to the Rockets just two weeks ago. The Pels also hit the road for five games starting tomorrow night in Chicago, so that makes tonight's contest extra important. The pick: Frankly, Houston has overachieved since the James Harden trade and it's definitely starting to show some "cracks in the armor." I base my picks on many different things, but from a situational standpoint, they simply do not get much better than this. I look for a completely lop-sided blowout here for the home side. This is a 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Pelicans. |
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02-09-21 | Oilers v. Senators OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -132 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
The set-up: While yesterday's contest stayed "under" in Edmonton's 3-1 win, I expect a much more wide-open affair in the second game of the back-to-back. Edmonton has been great offensively this year, averaging 3.50 GPG. Unfortunately though the Oilers are allowing 3.57 GPG. The pick: That's good news for Ottawa's offense, which averages just 2.23 GPG. The Senators' have been terrible defensively this year though, allowing 4.23 GPG, ranked 31st overall. Additionally note that Ottawa has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 home games in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it scored one or less goals in. Look for this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the OVER Oilers/Senators. |
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02-08-21 | Air Force v. UNLV OVER 129.5 | Top | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
The set-up: This is the second game of a two-game slate. The firsg game went "under," but I expect more of a "shootout" here. The Runnin Rebels took the first game 68-58. UNLV is now 4-5 in league play. Air Force is 4-13 overall now and only 2-11 in conerence action. Air Force actually shot 47 percent from range in the loss, but only 43 percent from the rest of the field. Look for the Falcons to be much more efficient here. The pick: Bryce Hamilton had 22 points and 13 boards for the Rebels in the latest victory and I expect him to have another monster game tonight. Expect a much looser, faster-paced game here after the first, slower-paced, tighter affair. Finally note that Air Force has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after scoring 60 or less points in a SU road loss in its last outing. This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Air Force/UNLV. |
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02-08-21 | Wolves v. Mavs -8.5 | Top | 122-127 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
The set-up: Minnesota is having another difficult season, mainly due to injuries and COVID. The Wolves enter having lost three of their last four. Dallas enters having won two of three, most recently a 134-132 victory over the Warriors. Dallas is 4-1 SU the last five in this series at home and it's covered in seven of the last ten in this series overall. That includes going 4-6 ATS here in this building. Note that Minnesota's last remaining good player, D'Angelo Russell, is also questionable for this contest. The pick: Dallas may have won two of three, but it hasn't been pretty. The Mavericks have continued to struggle posting any ATS victories though, but I think that's finally about to change here. This is the perfect opponent to get back on track against defensviely and I expect the Mavericks' offense to continue to build chemistry as well. Look for a full four-quarter effort from the home side and lay the points with confidence. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Dallas Mavericks. |
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02-08-21 | Canucks +1.5 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -128 | 31 h 24 m | Show |
The set-up: I think Vancouver will be much more competitive in the third game of this mini-series with Toronto, after losing the first game 7-3 and the second by a score of 5-1. The Leafs have a night off before a home and home set against rival Montreal as well after this, so the possibility of finally getting caught "looking ahead" is there as well. The pick: But for the now desperate Canucks, clearly there isn't any "looking past" anyone at this point. Vancouver has major issues on both ends of the ice, but the talent is in place across the board to make a marked improvement and I do expect to finally see the Canucks' best effort tonight. Toronto looks good in every respect, but I'll point out that Vancouver is 7-2 in its last nine after back-to-back road losses of four or more goals. In a game which I see being decided late or even in extra time, I'm going to recommend to lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. This is a 10* PUCK-LINE GAME OF THE WEEK on the Canucks. |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs -3 v. Bucs | Top | 9-31 | Loss | -108 | 323 h 16 m | Show |
The set-up: I played on the Chiefs in the AFC Conference Championship and I play on the Bucs in the NFC Conference Championship. These teams are similar in many respects, but I think that the Chiefs are the better overall team through all three phases. Better QB and offense. Equal defense and better special teams. Yes, Tom Brady has a plethora of experience at this level, and while they've looked very good to reach this point, team chemistry and this most elite level is in question in my opinion. Not so for Andy Reid, Patrick Mahomes and this deep Chiefs offense. The pick: This will truly be a passing of the torch moment for the NFL. I'm not going to break down individual stats, because I'm not basing this pick entirely on stats. As I said, these teams have similar numbers. They're really good in almost every department. Honestly, it wouldn't be difficult to write a convincing argument for either team to win this game straight up, but as I also mentioned the intangibles that KC brings to the table here, and along with Reid, who is a master when he has a week or more to prepare for a game. I repsect Brady and I think the Bucs are for sure the best team in the NFC. The is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Kansas City Chiefs. |
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02-06-21 | Warriors v. Mavs UNDER 231 | Top | 132-134 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 50 m | Show |
The set-up: The 12-10 Golden State Warriors will look to build off their impressive 147-116 road win over these very Mavericks here two nights ago. Kelly Oubre Jr. exploded for a career-high 40 points, while Stephen Curry contributed 28. Golden State shot 57 percent from the floor and went 22 of 43 from range. Do I expect Oubre and the Warriors to shoot at such a high percentage in back-to-back games against the same team? I don't at all. Perhaps if this was a different club, but the fact that they're playing the exact same team definitely swings the situational factors to the under for me. The pick: And for Luka Doncic, Kristaps Porzingis and the Mavericks, what can you say about these guys right now? This definitley is not the same team that made a deep playoff bubble run last year. Luka doesn't look like a league MVP at all this season, as team's have made adjustments to counter this big European's dynamic play. I think Dallas doubles down on the defensive end tonight, especially on the perimeter though as it tries desperately to get back into the winners circle. Finally I'll point out that Dallas has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after allowing 145 or more points in a SU/ATS home loss in its previous outing. This total is indeed a tad high in my opinion. This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Warriors/Mavericks. |
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02-06-21 | Canucks v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 112 | 27 h 22 m | Show |
The set-up: Vancouver's been struggling defensively this year, evident by its 7-3 loss in the opener of this three-game series. Both teams have experienced netminders and backups. Each is filled with offensive talent as well. While some may be expecting a wide open "shootout" again in this second contest, I think it'll in fact be a scrappier, lower-scoring contest. The pick: Note that Vancouver has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after allowing six or more goals in a four goals or greater loss in its previous outing, while Toronto has seen the total dip below the posted number in ten of its last 14 after scoring six or more goals in a four goals or greater home victory in its last outing. A great overall situational play on the "under" here in my opinion. This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Nucks/Leafs. |
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02-06-21 | Toledo v. Ball State +8.5 | Top | 67-81 | Win | 100 | 18 h 27 m | Show |
The set-up: Toledo is 16-4 and Ball State is just 6-9. Outright win? I'm not predicting that, but I do definitely think the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. Toledo has won five straight, including a 15 point victory over Akron last time out. Winning, especially at the College level, can lead to complacency. The pick: Ball State won't be lacking for motivation here, as it's facing the top team in the league on its own floor, while it will also be trying to erase a four-game slide. Last time out the Cardinals fell by 20 points to the Bulls. Toledo has hit a very "vanilla" part of its schedule, with NIU up next and I think it finally comes out a bit flat here. I'll point out as well that Ball State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games after scoring 60 or less points in a SU/ATS loss in its previous outing. Grab the points. This is a 10* MAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Ball State. |
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02-05-21 | Sharks v. Ducks OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 119 | 33 h 31 m | Show |
The set-up: This is the first game of the year for each team. The Sharks have had a few games postponed, so they come in fresh here. The Ducks are off a 3-1 win over the Kings on Tuesday and they won't be lacking for motivation either sitting at 4-5-2 on the year. San Jose is just 3-5-0. Betting on "motivated" teams whenever playing an "over" is definitely something I look for, and we don't have to question either of these clubs drive and motivation for a victory today. The pick: The early numbers aren't good for either club offensively, but I think the worm turns in that department tonight. I'll point out as well that Anaheim has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after a two goals or greater victory in its last outing. Considering the circumstances, I believe this number is low. This is a 10* WEST-CONF. TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Sharks/Ducks. |
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02-05-21 | Raptors v. Nets UNDER 243 | Top | 123-117 | Win | 100 | 28 h 51 m | Show |
The set-up: Toronto has played to three straight "overs," while Brooklyn has seen the total fly "over" in five straight. Neither team has been great on the defensive end this season, but I think the last thing the Raptors can afford to do here is to try and turn this into a "track meet" with the Nets and expect to win this game. Clearly the visitors will be out to slow this one down whenever possible, as they're only 3-7 on the road this season. The pick: Brooklyn is 10-4 at home. The Nets have a big game in Philadelphia tomorrow night as well, so they'll be looking ahead and thinking about that contest. Toronto will be looking to save some energy as well for a tough matchup in Atlanta on Saturday night. This can still be a high-scoring game and stay well "under" this sky-high total, and that's exactly what I expect. A great situational call on this one. This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Raptors/Nets. |
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02-05-21 | Bruins v. Flyers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
The set-up: Boston managed a 4-3 OT win in this building two nights ago, but I'm expecting more of a defensive affair this time around. Both teams are great on both ends of the ice, so honestly it wouldn't be difficult to write a convincing argument for either the "over" or the "under" to hit in this one. So why do I think tonight's game will be more of a defensive "goaltenders battle" than the previous one? The pick: These are two great goaltenders in Carter Hart and Tukka Rask are arguably Top 5 in the World right now. Philly has also seen the total go "under" the number in ten of its last 14 home games in trying to revenge an OT home loss vs. an opponent. Expect a hard-hitting, lower-scoring "under" once the final horn blares. This is an 8* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the UNDER Bruins/Flyers. |
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02-05-21 | Marshall v. Old Dominion +4 | Top | 81-82 | Win | 100 | 27 h 15 m | Show |
The set-up: Marshall's won two in a row, but I think it'll stumble here vs. a hungry ODU side which is rested, as it's had its last four games postponed due to COVID issues. Previous to winning two in a row, Marshall had dropped two in a row. Overall the Herd is 3-3 in Conference play. Previous to its break, ODU had won four of five. ODU enters are 4-2 in league play. The pick: The Monacrchs only allow 68.5 PPG this season, and despite being 5-2 on the road this year, I think that Marshall will have a difficult time replicating its last two offensive performances. Not only is ODU a perfect 5-0 SU at home this year, but it's also 5-1 ATS in its last six home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. I'm banking on ODU to quickly shake off any rust and while the outright win is clearly not out of the question, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. This is a 10* CONFERENCE USA GAME OF THE MONTH on Old Dominion. |
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02-04-21 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5 | Top | 93-114 | Win | 100 | 30 h 36 m | Show |
The set-up: Denver comes in off a satisfying win over Utah, as Nikola Jokic posted his ninth straight double-double. LA had lost four straight ATS, but they were able to break that slide with an 8-point road victory. The pick: The last four times Denver has come to play in this building, LA has averaged 121 points, while conceding just 109 to it. I think this trend of domination continues, as I don't think Denver has the defense to hang with the home side down the stretch. This is an important game and I expect The King and company to build off their latest ATS victory with an even stronger performance this evening. Lay the points. This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Lakers. |
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02-04-21 | Belmont v. Eastern Illinois OVER 149.5 | Top | 89-61 | Win | 100 | 28 h 1 m | Show |
The set-up: The 18-1 Belmont Bruins are going to come out and push the pace here in my opinion vs. the 6-13 Eastern Illinois Panthers. The Bruins are off a win over Murray State and they come in having won 15 in a row. Belmont barely got by the Racers though 72-71, and because of that I expect the Bruins to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish tonight. The pick: Eastern Illinois also comes in with momentum, snapping a four-game slide with a 70-61 over SIUE. And that's significant, as Eastern Illinois has seen the total fly "over" the number in ten of its last 14 after scoring 70 or more points in a SU/ATS vicotry in its last outing. The stage is set for a "shootout" in this one, so the play is the "over." This is a 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the OVER Belmont/Eastern Illinois. |
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02-04-21 | Canucks v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 16 m | Show |
The set-up: Scoring is up around the league, but I expect a lower-scoring affair in the opener between the Canucks and Leafs. Vancouver looked shaky to begin with, then went on a win streak, and now it heads back East on a two-game slide. Toronto will also be out to atone for a 4-3 OT loss to the Oilers. These are two hungry teams off losses and each has been letdown by its defensive play. The start of a new series and I expect each to buckle down on that end. It's a great "situational" play in my opinion. The pick: If we simply went by averages, then for the most part we'd almost always take "overs" right now in the NHL, but that's not what gambling is about at all. Situations, trends, scheduling, injuries and plenty of other factors have to always also be taken into account. And that's the case here. Finally note that Toronto has in fact seen the total go "under" in ten of its last 15 after allowing four or more goals in an OT loss in its last outing. I'm banking on a hard-hitting, but ultimately lower-scoring "under" once it's all said and done. This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Canucks/Leafs. |
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02-03-21 | Bruins v. Flyers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 58 m | Show |
The set-up: These are two good teams. Each can score, and each is also good on the defensive end. I think this particular game sets up as a "duel" and defensive affair. Boston is 6-1-2 and Philly is 7-1-2. Philadelphia plays with double revenge here after losing twice to the Bruins already. After a come from behind 5-3 win in the Nation's capital, I think Boston comes out a bit flat here (I had the Bruins on the PUCK LINE in that one, hitting for a big plus-money return.)Â The pick: Boston only allows 2.22 GPG this year. Philadelphia has been better offensively than defensively, but note that it's seen the total go "under" in 11 of its last 14 home games in trying to revenge an in-season road loss to an opponent. Look for the men between the pipes to be the main storylines in tomorrow's summaries. This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Bruins/Flyers. |
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