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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-06-24 | RB Leipzig v. Real Madrid OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
The first leg was low-scoring but with this match being played at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu and with RB Leipzig needing to score goals to win, this match will be much higher-scoring. Real Madrid is off a 2-2 draw with Valencia in La Liga action. Last Champions League home match, Read Madrid scored 4 times. Leipzig is off a 4-1 victory over VfL Bochum. The Germans will have to throw caution to the wind and that will lead to scoring chances, for both sides. Go with the OVER! |
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03-05-24 | Pelicans v. Raptors OVER 228.5 | Top | 139-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
Toronto plays higher-scoring games against teams from the West than it does against teams from the East. New Orleans is the opposite. The Pelicans tend to play higher-scoring games against Eastern Conference opposition. That was on display when these teams played exactly one month ago. That 2/5 game finished with 238 points. With the Pelicans off since 3/1, this will be another high-scoring game. Three times the Pelicans have played with 3 or more days rest. All 3 games went over the total. The Raptors are 18-12 to the over when playing against a team with a winning record. This game will be a shootout! |
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03-04-24 | Delaware State v. Howard -4 | Top | 66-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
I've got the Howard Bison winning big in this one. The records may be similar but the Bison have some matchup advantages. They already beat the Hornets at Delaware State and they beat them by 20 when the teams played here last season. This is Senior Day and that the Bison are going to want to close out their final home game of regular season with a big statement win. If the Hornets can't beat teams at home, they're rarely able to do on the road. They're 1-5 versus the spread their last 6 tries when playing with home revenge. Delaware State gets outscored by 8.8 points per road game. Howard outscores teams by 6.5 points per home game. The Bison are 4-1 versus the spread their last 5 tries as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Lay the points! **Mid Eastern Athletic GOM** |
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03-03-24 | Juventus v. Napoli | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
As good as Napoli was last season, you'd expect them to at least contend for another UCL spot this season. Well, that has not been the story so far. Having said that, Napoli is coming off a very important win against Sassuolo, where they netted six goals in a 6-1 victory. Napoli has won all of the its last four meetings in Naples against Juventus. Juventus have a strong record, but haven't been particularly good as of late. They've lost two of their last four contests and struggled against a poor Frosinone side in their last game. Since coming back from injury, Victor Osimhen has scored five goals and assisted one in three games (including his UCL performance against Barcelona.) He should help provide a boost to this Napoli team that was shut out in the reverse fixture. Juventus haven't 'swept' them since 2018-19. Napoli wins this game on Sunday! |
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03-02-24 | Avalanche -127 v. Predators | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -127 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
The Predators are really hot at the moment. They've been beating up on bad teams though. Some of their recent wins came against teams like Ottawa, San Jose and Anaheim. Now, they will take on the one of the best in the league. Also, many of the Predators recent wins have come on the road. They are rather rare in that they are stronger on the road than at home. The Predators did beat the Avalanche in this season's first meeting. Colorado has won its past few visits here though. Also, the Avalanche are 15-5 (+8.4) their last 20 in the revenge role, 53-25 (+10.6) over the long haul. The Avalanche won their last game 5-0 after winning their previous one 5-1. They are 12-5 their past 17 tries off a shutout win and they'll get it done for us again today! **Central GOM** |
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03-02-24 | Fairleigh Dickinson +3 v. Wagner | Top | 57-54 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
The Seahawks upset them at Fairleigh Dickinson. This afternoon, the Knights will do the same at Wagner. The Knights are 5-1 versus the spread their last 6 tries, as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick. All five ATS victories were also of the straight up variety. Wagner is the opposite. The Seahawks are 1-3 their past 4 tries as home favorites of 3 or less. All the ATS losses came outright. Last year as 2 point road underdogs, the Knights beat the Seahawks by 18 here! That was after Wagner has won at FDU. Sound familiar? The Knights love March basketball. They're 20-4 versus the spread their last 24 lined games in the month of March, 5-1 ATS the past 2 years. They are also 9-5 ATS their last 14 tries, after scoring 60 points or less and 5-2 ATS their last 7 tries versus good defensive teams - those allowing |
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03-02-24 | Aston Villa -141 v. Luton Town | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
Luton Town is not a good team. The Hatters are off an ugly 6-2 loss in FA Cup action and they reside in 18th spot in the Premier League standings. Injuries have taken a toll, particularly to the defense. The Hatters have also dropped 3 straight league matches. Relegation is becoming more likely. Aston Villa can score goals in bunches. and that spells trouble for the shaky and depleted Luton Town defense. The Lions scored 4 goals last match. They are off consecutive league victories and have won 3 of their last 4. They handled the Hatters with ease in the reverse fixture, a 3-1 victory. The Lions are top 4 in the standings and can't afford not to get max points out of this type of matchup. Undefeated on the road in 2024, they won their last 2 road matches by a combined score of 7-1. They will be too much for the Hatters again on Saturday. |
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03-01-24 | Blazers v. Grizzlies OVER 208.5 | Top | 122-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
This season's first two meetings had totals of 218 and 220. Those two games averaged 220 points. One had 212 and one finished with 228. Tonight's line is lower than both of those scores. It's far lower than any other Friday total and it's too low. Memphis games average 219.1 points. Portland games average 223.5. The Trail Blazers allow 118 points per game on the road and the Grizzlies are 11-3 to the over their last 14 tries versus poor offensive teams - those scoring |
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03-01-24 | Flyers -112 v. Capitals | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
Both these Metro Division rivals have struggled a bit of late. The Flyers are 2-4 their last 6 games. The Capitals are 1-2 their last 3. The Flyers are off a big 6-2 win though and the Capitals are off a big 8-3 defeat. Both are battling for the playoffs. I've of the strong opinion that Philadelphia will make it two in a row. The Flyers have been better than Washington this season. An ability to play well on the road has been key. The Flyers outscore teams by a 3.2 to 2.8 average in their road games. The Capitals get outscored by an average of 3.0 to 2.7 at home. Each team has had 2 days off, a scheduling setup which should favor the Flyers. Philadelphia is 25-20 (+11.9) its last 45 tries, when playing with 2 days rest. Washington is 18-21 (-7.1) when doing so. The Flyers are 3-0 against the Capitals since the start of 2023. With home ice no advantage and with Washington dealing with numerous injuries, Philadelphia is the winner. *Metro Div GOM* |
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02-28-24 | South Carolina v. Texas A&M -4.5 | Top | 70-68 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
After consecutive losses, the Gamecocks won at Ole Miss last game. They will now be playing their second straight road game and they will do so against a desperate Texas A&M. Though the Aggies have lost 4 in a row, 3 of those losses were on the road. They are still 9-4 at home. They will be happy to face a South Carolina team which they beat by 41 points the last meeting. The total for this game is in the mid 130s. The Aggies are 5-1 versus the spread their last 6 tries when the total is 130 to 139.5. Over the last 3 seasons, Texas A&M is 31-16-1 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5. They are also 6-2 ATS (8-0 straight up) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Lay the points with the Aggies! |
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02-28-24 | Grizzlies v. Wolves OVER 209.5 | Top | 101-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
Four of todays' 6 NBA games have totals in the 230s. This is by far the lowest on the Wednesday board. Too low! Minnesota is a good defensive team but Memphis is 15-5 its last 20 to the over, versus good defensive teams - allowing |
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02-26-24 | Heat +7.5 v. Kings | Top | 121-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
I had the Kings last night. Great game by them. They went to LA and hammered the Clippers, a hated division rival. That puts them in a difficult position tonight. They are 3-5 versus the spread when playing with 0 days rest. They are also 3-5 versus the spread when off an upset win as an underdog. The Heat are playing their best basketball and they come in fresh and well-rested. They are 8-1 versus the spread since end of January, 7 of those wins coming outright. That streak began with a 9 point win over Sacramento. Last season's games were both close, decided by 4 and 6 points. With the schedule in their favor, grab the points with the red hot Miami Heat. |
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02-26-24 | Prairie View A&M v. Mississippi Valley State OVER 136 | Top | 51-57 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
What can you say about Mississippi Valley State? Projected in the preseason to finish last in the Southwestern Athletic Conference, the Delta Devils haven't disappointed. They are now 0-27 on the season! Most of their games have gone under but there have been certain spots where the over has hit. This will be another of those. When playing at home with an O/U line of 135 to 139.5, the Delta Devils are 2-0 to the over. The over is 6-3 their last 9 in that situation. Over the same time-frame, the Delta Devils are 18-8 to the over when playing with revenge. Neither team plays good defense. The Delta Devils allow more than 79 points a game. The Panthers allow more than 76 per game, 78.6 per game on the road. This game will feature plenty of scoring. Southwestern Athletic TOY |
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02-26-24 | Islanders v. Stars -160 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -160 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
The wheels have come off for the Islanders. They are 23-34 overall, 10-18 on the road. A dismal 7-17 (-15.3) record against Western Conference opposition hasn't helped their cause. Now, they play on the road against one of the best teams from the West. That spells trouble. The Stars are 17-11 at home. They score more than 4 goals per game here. The Islanders score less than 3 per game on the road. The Stars won their last game but had lost several before that. They will be inspired to make it 2 in a row and they will also be playing with revenge from a loss at Long Island. Dallas wins big. |
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02-26-24 | Miami-FL +14 v. North Carolina | Top | 71-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
Not many will want to back the Hurricanes in this spot. Miami has lost 6 straight games, one of them to North Carolina. The Hurricanes are 1-5 versus the spread in those games, 0-4 the past 4. That's going to keep people off them. The oddsmakers are forced to post a very large point-spread. That's giving us exceptional value on the road underdog. The Hurricanes have been playing some close games. Miami is off a 4-point loss and that the game against North Carolina was decided by only 3 points. The Tar Heels have also been playing some close ones. They are 5-3 their last 8 games and only one of the games was a win by more than 10 points. That was a 15-point win over Virginia Tech, a team which Miami is 2-0 against. The Hurricanes are on a long-term 43-24 ATS run, after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. They are also 8-2 versus the spread (7-3 straight up) their last 10 tries, revenging a home loss vs opponent and 7-2 ATS their last 9 road games where the total was 150 to 154.5. The Hurricanes won outright here last February. Give me the points! |
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02-25-24 | Kings +5.5 v. Clippers | Top | 123-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
Give me the points with Sacramento in this important Pacific Division battle. The Clippers won both this season's meetings but both of those were in 2023. The Kings have been playing well on the road since losing here earlier and they are 44-25-1 versus the spread their last 70 tries in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. The Clippers are 1-5 versus the spread their last 6 games. Their last 4 wins have all been by 6 or less. The Kings are off consecutive wins and their alst loss was by only 5. This game is also likely going to be decided late. Grab the points. **PACIFIC DIV GOM** |
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02-25-24 | Minnesota v. Nebraska -6.5 | Top | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
Minnesota has been printing money for its backers this season. The Gophers have been excellent versus the point-spread all season and they beat Nebraska by 11 back in December. Their ATS success comes to a screeching halt this evening though. Nebraska has been strong at home this season and the Gophers lost by 11 here on this exact day last year. The Cornhuskers are a perfect 6-0 versus the spread their past 6 tries when revenging a road loss vs opponent. They are 17-8 ATS their last 25 tries. With a 5-1 ATS record this month, 3-0 ATS the last 3, Nebraska is playing better than it was for the earlier meeting. The Gophers are 20-41-1 ATS their last 62 a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points. Lay the points with Nebraska this evening. |
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02-25-24 | UABÂ v. Tulane OVER 161.5 | Top | 78-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
They can't make this total high enough. The earlier meeting finished at only 152 but that was a game where Tulane didn't score. At home, the Green Wave will get a lot more than they 69 they scored that day. Why can I say that with such certainty? Because UAB just allowed 94 points last game and more importantly because Tulane averages 88.7 points per home game. Tulane is 12-4 to the over its past 16 tries when revenging a road loss. The Green Wave are 26-14-1 to the over in home lined games the last 3 years. During the same timeframe, UBA is 20-12 to the over on the road. The Blazers are also 13-5 to the over after allowing 80 or more points. The only previous time that Tulane lost 3 straight, the Green Wave answered with a 92-80 win. This will be another shootout! |
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02-25-24 | Long Beach State v. Hawaii -2.5 | Top | 65-73 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
A trip to Hawaii isn't easy on students. Coaches can help them avoid distractions but there's the physical toll of the trip itself. There's also a tough defensive team waiting for them upon arrival. The Warriors are 10-6 here. They make scoring difficult. Visiting schools score 67.7 points per game here. Long Beach State allows more than 77 points per game on the road. The Warriors are 5-3 versus the spread their last 8 tries as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick. They lost last month at Long Beach State but they beat the Beach by 9 here last season. They're undefeated at home this month including a revenge win. They will help close out our Saturday with another win and cover. |
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02-24-24 | Wild v. Seattle Kraken -131 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -131 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
The Wild visited here on December 10th, the last time that these teams faced each other. At the time, the Kraken were off to a terrible start. They'd dropped 7 straight going into the Minnesota game and they were off a loss versus Tampa the previous night. The Wild were only to happy to kick the Kraken when they were down. With Seattle playing its 2nd game in 2 days, Minnesota won 3-0. Things are different now. The Kraken just easily beat the best team in the West on Thursday, a 5-2 win over Vancouver. That was their 3rd win in 4 games and they had yesterday off. Not so for Minnesota. The Wild are off a 4-2 upset of Edmonton. They are 2-7 when playing with 0 days rest. Seattle settles the score. |
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02-24-24 | North Alabama v. Bellarmine OVER 142 | Top | 70-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Some recent lower scores have brought this number down and it is now too low. North Alabama games average more than 152 points. The Bellarmine shooters are going to relish the opportunity to face the Lions who give up more than 79 points per game on the road. The Lions can score with the best of the A-10 teams though and thats why they are favored. The Knights are 11-7 to the over their last 18 tries when listed as underdogs. The Lions are 12-5 to the over their last 17 tries, when playing with 1 or less days rest. I've got this one finishing well over the number. |
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02-24-24 | Gardner-Webb v. North Carolina-Asheville -3 | Top | 78-77 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
Small line but this should be a big win in this Big South Conference "Battle of the Bulldogs" this afternoon. The Gardner Webb Bulldogs won at Gardner Webb but they only have 5 wins in 16 road games. The UNC Asheville Bulldogs are 12-1 at home. They outscore teams by an average of 18.9 points here! UNC Asheville is 5-0 versus the spread its last 5 home games where the total is 150 to 154.5. Gardner Webb is 1-6 versus the spread (0-7 straight up) its last 7 tries, in a road game where the total is 150 to 154.5. UNC Asheville has thrived in the revenge role and is 9-4 versus the spread its last 13 tries, when off a conference loss. UNC Asheville beat GW by 12 here last season. Lay the points. |
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02-24-24 | Everton v. Brighton & Hove Albion -115 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 11 m | Show |
Remember what happened when Everton played here last year? Brighton and its fans sure do! The Toffees embarrassed them 5-1. That was last May and its time to make things right. The Toffees are winless in their last 8 league matches (4 losses, 4 draws) and near the bottom of the table. They have scored only 3 goals in their last 6 top flight matches. The Seagulls just smashed Sheffield 5-0 last match. In their last game here at Amex Stadium, they crushed Crystal Palace 4-1. They will be too much for struggling Everton and a big win will help the fans forget what happened here last year. |
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02-23-24 | North Florida v. Jacksonville | Top | 50-62 | Win | 100 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
Home-court means a great deal to each of these clubs. The Ospreys are 10-4 at home but 5-9 on the road. The home/road differences are even greater for Jacksonville. The Dolphins are 2-13 away but 10-1 at home. The Ospreys won at North Florida. Now the Dolphins will win at Jacksonville. The Dolphins allow only 59.5 points per game at home. The Ospreys allow 81.4 points per game on the road. The Dolphins are 7-1 straight up and versus the spread their last 8 tries in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5. It was on this day (2/23) 2 years ago that Jacksonville beat North Florida 71-39. The Dolphins will repeat history and will improve to 4-1 versus the spread in five tries when playing with road revenge. |
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02-23-24 | Villarreal v. Real Sociedad -133 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -133 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
Real Sociedad recorded a 3-0 win over Villarreal in the reverse match earlier this season. That was at Villarreal. Playing at home at Estadio Anoeta, Real Sociedad should comfortable pick up maximum points. The last h2h meeting here resulted in a 1-0 victory for Real Sociedad. It needs to be mentioned that Real Sociedad does have some rather serious injury concerns. However, Villarreal is also dealing with numerous injuries and Real Sociedad has superior depth to deal with theirs. Understand that Real Sociedad is a full 14 points ahead of Villarreal in the standings. The class difference will be evident and Real Sociedad will come away with another win. |
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02-22-24 | Tenn-Martin v. Lindenwood OVER 148.5 | Top | 106-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
The first meeting had a higher O|U line than this. This one is too low. With the Skyhawks off an 88-82 victory over Morehead State, it's going to be another barn-burner tonight. Tennessee Martin is 3-1 to the over after scoring 80 or more. The Skyhawks average more than 80 points and their games average more than 156. Lindenwood is off a lower-scoring game. The Lions lost 72-57 at Eastern Illinois. They gave up more than 90 (91-63 loss) in their previous game though and they are 11-4 to the over their last 15 games with a total, after scoring 60 or less in their previous game. Last year, these teams played a lower-scoring first game and the rematch was higher-scoring and finished over the total. That's what'll happen again this year. Go with the Over. |
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02-21-24 | Furman +7.5 v. Samford | Top | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
Too many points. Samford can really score but so can the Paladins. Furman won this season's first meeting by 10 points. The Paladins have won 4 straight in the series and 9 of the last 10. Four of the last 5 meetings have been decided by 10 or fewer points, one of those going to Overtime. Samford is off a 4-point loss. Furman has won 3 straight games, the margin of victory growing with each one. The Paladins are 5-1 versus the spread their last 6 tries when listed as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points. The Paladins are also 11-1 ATS versus good offensive teams after at least 15 games have been played, good being defined as teams which score 77+ points/game after 15+ games. Grab the points. |
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02-21-24 | Arsenal -149 v. FC Porto | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -149 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
Porto will be inspired to play in front of its home fans but that will not be enough. The Portuguese squad is fortunate to even be here. Arsenal is in exceptional current form and scoring goals at an alarming rate. In three February EPL matches, the Gunners have scored 14 goals, conceding only one. In their last 5 EPL matches, the Gunners are 5-0 with 17 goals scored. That success will carry over to the Champions League. Porto is dealing with some defensive injuries and that will be a problem. Arsenal hasn't been to the knockout stage of the Champions League for 7 years. The Gunners understand the signficance of the moment and will not be denied victory. |
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02-20-24 | Fordham v. Davidson OVER 135.5 | Top | 53-68 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
For a game involving the Fordham Rams, this total is too low. Fordham's last game had 148 points. The Rams have allowed 75 or more points in each of their last 3 games. They have allowed 65 or more (and as many as 119) in 15 straight games. Davidson's last game had 136 in regulation, 161 with OT. For the season, Davidson games are averaging 138.5. Their previous game versus Fordham exceeded that average finishing with 148. Davidson is 6-1 to the over its last 7 tries as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Fordham is 7-1 its last 8 tries when the total is 130 to 139.5. Go with the Over! |
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02-19-24 | North Carolina Central v. Norfolk State -6 | Top | 74-80 | Push | 0 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
The Spartans lost in the MEAC Championship game last season. They are determined to get back there and to win it this year. They are gearing up to do so and that means beating teams like NC Central when they come for a visit. The Eagles are off back to back losses. The Spartans are off a victory. The Eagles won this season's first meeting. They aren't as good on the road though and the Spartans are undefeated at home. In 10 games here, they outscore teams by a 87.6 to 62.8 average score. The Spartans are also 6-1-1 versus the spread their last 8 tries when playing with road revenge. They are 5-0 ATS their last 5 tries as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points and they will get us a win and cover tonight. |
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02-19-24 | Senators v. Lightning -155 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -155 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
Ottawa couldn't even beat Chicago last game, or Anaheim before that. The Senators are 32-51 (-17) the last 3 years, after a non-conference game. Over that time frame, they are also 41-61 (-16.2) in the revenge role, 8-17 (-11.2) their last 25. The Senators are 35-66 their last 101 tries, when playing against a team with a winning record. The Lightning ran into a red hot Florida team last game and suffered the consequences. They will be happy to face a bad team like Ottawa which they always beat here. Tampa is 67-30 (+14.8) its last 98 tries, when playing against a team with a losing record. Lay the price and look for Tampa to come out on top. **ATLANTIC DIV GOY** |
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02-18-24 | Seton Hall v. St. John's UNDER 145.5 | Top | 68-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
These are two bubble teams, both coming in hungry for a victory. This season's first meeting slipped under the total and this one will be even lower-scoring. The Pirates don't score nearly as many points on the road. They managed only 54 points in their last road game. Seton Hall did respond with a big game versus Xavier. That was at home though and the Pirates are 13-6-1 to the under the past 20x times that they scored 80 or more in their previous game. The Red Storm lost the first meeting and they are also off a loss in their last game. They are 6-3-1 to the under off a loss and they are also 3-0 to the under their last 3x that they played with road revenge. Give me the Under! |
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02-18-24 | Memphis +4.5 v. SMU | Top | 79-106 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
The Tigers may be wounded but they are still very dangerous. Prior to losing their last game to North Texas, they had won 3 straight. They have also defeated SMU 4 straight times. The Tigers are especially deadly as underdogs. Over the last 3 years, they are 14-5 versus the spread, when getting points. This season, they are 4-2 in the underdog role with 4 outright victories. The Mustangs lost a close 3-point game at Memphis in January. Revenge isn't much of a motivator for them though as they are only 5-9 versus the spread their last 14 tries in the road revenge role. The Mustangs are 12-18 ATS their last 30 tries when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games and they are 4-8 ATS their last 12 tries versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games. Give me the points! |
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02-18-24 | Manchester United -120 v. Luton Town | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
Luton Town was living on borrowed time. The bubble finally burst for the Hatters in their last game. They fell 3-1 to Sheffield United, the worst team in the Premiership. Off that loss, they are in no shape to contend with the rejuvenated Red Devils. Really, the warning signs had been there for Luton Town. The Hatters have only won 1 of their last 5 matches. Undefeated in 4 2024 league matches, Manchester United is 3-0 in February. The wins came by a combined score of 9-4. It's fair to say that United is playing some of its best football in quite some time. The November match was won 1-0 by United. Given the form of the Red Devils and with Luton Town off the loss to Sheffield, this will result in another victory. |
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02-17-24 | Blue Jackets -138 v. Sharks | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
San Jose returns home from a road trip. The first game back is difficult. The Sharks are missing some key players. The Sharks are 23-41 (-9.1) their last 64, after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game. The Sharks are also 9-25 their last 34 tries, after a win by 2 goals or more. The Sharks only score 2.2 goals per home game. The Blue Jackets average 3 goals per road game. The Blue Jackets scored 11 goals, including 6 here at San Jose, in sweeping last season's 2 games. They do it again tonight! |
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02-17-24 | St. Joe's v. Duquesne -2 | Top | 56-66 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
Short line for Duquesne at home. The Dukes are 8-4 at home. The Hawks are 3-6 on the road. The Hawks narrowly won the first meeting, at St. Josephs. Duquesne won the last game here by 14 points. The Hawks are 1-3 versus the spread as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick. They have won just 8 of their last 39 road games which had a total of 145 to 149.5. Off a bad loss to Dayton, Duquesne will respond. The Dukes are 2-0 versus the spread, after scoring 60 points or less In that situation, they beat Fordham by 9 and they went on the road and beat St. Bonaventure by 6. Dukes do it again! |
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02-16-24 | Harvard +9 v. Cornell | Top | 62-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
This is a case of too many points. Cornell was favored by 5.5 points over Harvard here last season, also a mid-February game. The Crimson won outright by 17 points! Having lost this season's first meeting, the Crimson are coming in with another upset on their minds. Harvard dominated Dartmouth last game. Cornell is off a tough 2-point loss to Yale. Though the Big Red covered the spread in that game, they are only 5-11 against the number of their last 16 games played in February. Cornell can really score but Harvard is 19-7-1 its last 27 against the spread versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games. Harvard is also 3-0 against the spread its last 3 games as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points. Grab the points. |
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02-15-24 | Utah Valley v. California Baptist -2.5 | Top | 69-46 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
The Wolverines took the first meeting by a score of 65-58. That was at home and they are 2-11 on the road. The Lancers are 10-4 at home. They limit visiting teams to less than 64 points per game. The point spread is low partly because Cal Baptist has lost 3 straight games versus the number. The Lancers are 5-2 against the spread their last 7 lined games, after 3 straight non-covers. The Lancers have to win this one as they face the best team in the conference next, the first of 3 straight road games. Lay the small number! |
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02-15-24 | Georgia State v. James Madison OVER 154 | Top | 63-83 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
It's not going out on a limb to say that James Madison is very likely going to win this game. The Dukes are 22-3 and favored by 2 touchdowns. The Panthers are 11-13 and 4-10 on the road. The question becomes: what kind of game will it be? Will the Dukes dominate the Panthers with their defense or run them out the door with their offense? A look to last season provides a valuable clue. The Dukes blew out the Panthers in both games last year but they did so in 2 very different fashions. In the gam at Georgia State, they dominated defensively, a 63-47 victory. The game at James Madison played out differently, the Dukes ran the Panthers out of the building in a 90-69 offensive thrashing. With JMU averaging more than 86 points at home and GSU allowing 79 ppg on the road, this one will play out like last year's game here did. The Panthers will move to 10-5 to the over in their road games. Go with the OVER! |
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02-15-24 | Panthers v. Sabres +137 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
Great price on the home underdog Buffalo Sabres. The Sabres just smashed the LA Kings 7-0 on Tuesday. They have scored 5 or more goals in 3 of their last 5 games. Off one of their biggest wins in years, they are feeling good about themselves and can't wait to get back on the ice. The Florida Panthers won again last night. Off 3 straight wins, they have been playing well. The problem is that they are only 13-18 (-11.2) their last 31 tries when playing with 0 days rest. The Sabres are 4-2 their past 6 tries off a shutout win. They are also 17-3-1 when scoring first in games this season and their starting goalie Luukkonen has 3 shutouts (1.60 GAA and .941 save percentage) in his last 12 games. Let's Go, Buffalo! |
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02-14-24 | Wild -117 v. Coyotes | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
Here is a case of 2 teams going in different directions. The Minnesota Wild have won 3 in a row and 6 of their last 8. The Arizona Coyotes are 0-6 their last 6 games. With 28 goals allowed in those 6 games, at least 3 in each, the Coyotes can't keep the puck out of the net. None of Minnesota's last 7 opponents have scored more than 3 goals. The Wild have been waiting for this game and not just because Arizona is struggling. The Coyotes humiliated them 6-0 at Minnesota in January. At the time, the Wild were mired in a 1-7-1 stretch and they had just gotten Kaprizov back from injury for his first game back. Now the healthier and hotter team, the Wild will take advantage of the winnable road game and avenge last month's blowout. **CENTRAL GOY** |
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02-14-24 | Tennessee v. Arkansas +8.5 | Top | 92-63 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
Tennessee is a very strong team but Arkansas is much better than most bettors realize. These were both top 10 teams in this year's preseason rankings. Public perception is providing us with a very generous line on a talented and live underdog. The Razorbacks have under-achieved but they have turned the corner. They won their last game and have 2 wins their last 3 games. The Razorbacks are 9-4 SU at home and 38-9 here the last 3 years. They are 11-1 SU their last 12 home games where the total is 150 to 154.5 The Volunters are 6-5 on the road, only 3-8 against the spread. They are 8-13-1 versus the spread their last 22 tries, in a road game where the total is 150 to 154.5. They are off a loss to the Aggies and have dropped 2 of their last 4. The Razorbacks have beaten the Volunteers the last few meetings here and they are 10-3 the last 13 here. In a game they could end up winning outright, let's grab all those points! **SEC GOY** |
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02-14-24 | Pacers v. Raptors OVER 244.5 | Top | 127-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This season's earlier meeting had 263 points, all in regulation. This one will also lack any semblance of defense. The Indiana Pacers allow 123 points a game on the road. They are 7-2 to the over off an upset loss, 25-10 to the over their last 35 in that spot. The Toronto Raptors are 30-14 to the over their last 44 versus poor defensive teams - defined as teams allowing 116+ points/game. They are 46-25 to the over their last 71 against such teams. The Raptors are also 14-8 to the over this season when the total was set at 230 or higher. Go with the Over! |
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02-14-24 | Boston University v. Army OVER 124 | Top | 50-65 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
This is a very low total. These may not be offensive super-powers but the number is still too low. Boston is 13-6 to the over last 3 years when a total was in the 120s. Army is 7-4 to the over the last 3 years when a total was in the 120s. Boston is 18-7 to the over its last 25 tries, when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games. The Terriers are 3-0 to the over this month and the over is now 14-4 in their February games the last 3 seasons. This month's games have all finished with at least 138 points. Army is off a 136 point game versus Navy. That game also had a low total but the final score finished well above it. Last month's game finished over and the over is 5-1 the past 6 meetings. Go with the Over! |
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02-14-24 | Bayern Munich -145 v. Lazio | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -145 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
We lost with a German team, RB Leipzig, yesterday afternoon. I felt that it was a good spot for Leipzig at home, getting a 0.5 goal. They had numerous chances and a disallowed goal. It took a beautiful goal and a lot of big saves to beat them. Even so, they were up against an elite Real Madrid team, one of the best in the world. This situation is different. This time, its the German side which is one of the best in the world. Bayern Munich, undefeated in their last 12 Champions League matches against Italian teams, is strong on the road. Lazio is vulnerable and won't be able to hold back the German giants. Bayern won both matches against Lazio in the Round of 16 in Feb. and March of 2021, including a 4-1 thrashing at Stadio Olimpico. This will be another victory for the superior side. Go with the visitors. |
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02-13-24 | New Mexico v. Nevada -2 | Top | 83-82 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
They say that an elephant never forgets. Apparently a "Wolf Pack" rarely does either. Nevada is an exemplary 79-50 against the spread its last 129 lined games, when playing with road revenge. That includes a 15-7 against the spread record when playing with revenge from a road loss of 20 or more points. Think the Wolf Pack remember last month's 89-55 throttling at New Mexico? You better believe it! Since that beating, the Wolf Pack have won 3 straight, both straight up and versus the pointspread. The Lobos have dropped 2 of their last 3. They've been underdogs twice this season and came up short in both instances. Lay the small number! |
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02-13-24 | Air Force v. San Jose State UNDER 135.5 | Top | 66-73 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
This total is a few points higher than it was for last month's game at Air Force. With both teams currently struggling to hit the basket, it's too high. Air Force has scored 56, 64 and 66 points its last 3 games. All three games had lower totals than this one. But those opponents could score. Tonight the Falcons face a San Jose State squad which has scored 60, 57 and 47 its last 3 games. The Spartans have scored 65 or less in 5 straight. The Falcons are a perfect 3-0 to the under the past 3x that they were road underdogs, or pick, of 3 or less. Before last month's game finished at 137, the previous 4 meetings all finished with 134 or less. This one will also stay below that number! |
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02-12-24 | Kansas +3 v. Texas Tech | Top | 50-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
Time will tell but I believe that they've got the wrong team favored in this one. I love a good home underdog as much as the next guy. The problem is Texas Tech isn't even a home underdog. The Red Raiders are laying points against a top 5 Kansas team. Short-handed or not, the Jayhawks are still the stronger team. The Jayhawks are battling through some adversity as they are short-handed. The statuses of McDowell and McCuller are both up in the air. Important players that make the Jayhawks better. They just beat Baylor without them though, the defense elevating and delivering a peak performance. The Red Raiders have battled illness themselves and are also coming off a strong defensive game. They are only 11-19 ATS their last 30 tries, after allowing 60 or less. Kansas is already 2-0 ATS as an underdog. The Jayhawks have beaten the Raiders 8 of the last 9 times and 3 of the last 4 meetings were decided by 2 buckets or less. Grab the points. |
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02-12-24 | Coyotes v. Flyers UNDER 6 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
These teams both have trouble scoring at times. The Coyotes average 2.8 goals per game on the road. The Flyers average 2.8 goals per game at home. This season's first meeting had three first period goals but still only finished at 4-1. The Flyers may have lost their previous starting netminder for a while but they are still getting exemplary goal-tending. They've conceded only 4 total goals thier last 3 games. None of those finished with more than 5 combined goals. Samuel Ersson has been sharp and his backup Cal Petersen came through with a strong performance when called upon last game. The surging Flyers will make scoring difficult for an Arizona team which is missing some attacking pieces. That will help keep this game under the total! |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs UNDER 47.5 | Top | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 269 h 55 m | Show |
This is not the same Kansas City team that faced the 49ers in the Super Bowl 4 years ago. This year's Chiefs are a defensive team. That's how they got here. They allowed 17.3 points a game in the regular season and they're allowing just 13.7 ppg in the playoffs. San Francisco can make the same claim. The 49ers allowed 17.5 ppg in the regular season, the fewest of any NFC team. Though the playoff numbers aren't as impressive, you just saw their defense stiffen and hold the Lions to 7 second half points. The Chiefs have now seen 8 of their last 9 games finish with 46 or fewer points. Only 1 of their last 17 games has finished with more than 48. This will not be a high scoring game and the total is too high. Go with the Under! |
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02-11-24 | Northern Iowa v. Illinois-Chicago OVER 138.5 | Top | 65-71 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
A number in the 130s at this venue, with these teams, is too low. The Panthers play higher-scoring games away from home. Northern Iowa road games average 147.1 points. The opposite is true of Illinois-Chicago. The Flames play higher-scoring games at home. Their games here average 143.9 points. The Panthers are 19-11 to the over their last 30 tries when off a conference win. The Flames are 10-5 to the over their last 15 off a conference win and 11-7 to the over their last 18 when playing with revenge. The O|U line was 138.5 when the Panthers played here last season. Sound familiar? The final score was 150. Go with the Over! |
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02-10-24 | Santa Clara v. San Francisco UNDER 151.5 | Top | 70-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
San Francisco can score plenty of points but that's been factored into this very high total. Too high. The Dons are already 2-0 to the under this season when the O/U line was in the 150s. Both games finished in the 140s. Santa Clara often has trouble scoring. The Broncos managed only 59 points last game. They had a similar 58-point effort versus Yale. Less than a month ago, they scored only 49 against St. Mary's. They are 7-3 to the under their last 10 versus teams which score 77+ points/game after 15+ games. They played a high-scoring OT game in the West Coast Conference Tournament last year but 7 of the last 9 regular season meetings have finished with 150 or less. This game stays Under! **WCC TOY** |
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02-10-24 | Devils v. Hurricanes -155 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
The Hurricanes are an elite team. They responded to their 3-2 loss against Vancouver by hammering Colorado, one of the best teams in hockey, by a 5-2 score. They are a profitable 65-37 the last few seasons, after scoring 4 or more goals in their previous game. The Devils are missing a number of important players right now. The missing defense is leading to a lot of goals allowed. They gave up 5 goals last game. That's 28 goals allowed in their last 6 games, a minimum of 3 in each. That many goals allowed won't cut it against a Carolina club which has conceded 2 or less in 4 of its last 5 games, 3 in the other. The Hurricanes own the Devils here. They are 7-1 the last 8 meetings in Raleigh. Nothing changes today. |
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02-10-24 | Oakland v. Wright State -3.5 | Top | 74-60 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Wright State is one of the fastest teams in the country. The Raiders can run visiting teams right out of the building. They average 87.7 points per home game and 88.8 points a game in Horizon League play. They connect on a very high 56.4% of their field goals, in this building. Oakland struggles against top level competition. The Golden Grizzlies are 1-3 against the spread their last 4 against teams with a winning record. That brings them to 8-14-1 ATS their last 23 tries, when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games. These teams will face each other again on February 25th, at Oakland. The Golden Grizzlies will have a chance in that one but not today. The Raiders are 9-3 SU and 7-5-1 ATS their last 13 as a host in the series. Unable to contend with the pace, the Golden Grizzlies aren't going to know what hit them! |
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02-10-24 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Tottenham Hotspur -120 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 55 m | Show |
I won with Brighton last Saturday. That was a home match against Crystal Palace. The Seagulls haven't been good at following up a strong result with another one and a road game at Tottenham is going to be far more challenging. The visitors are winless their last five top-flight road games on the road and they've failed to score in the last 2 of those matches. The home side has won its last 4 top-flight games at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. South Korea and Mali have now been eliminated from the Asian Cup and Africa Cup of Nations. That means that Tottenham will see the return of captain Son Heung-min and Yves Bissouma, formerly an important defensive midfielder for Brighton. Brighton will get Mitoma back but will still be without some key pieces. Look for Tottenham to avenge a December loss at Brighton. |
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02-09-24 | Hornets v. Bucks -14 | Top | 84-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
The Milwaukee Bucks played last night but that won't save the Charlotte Hornets from the beating which is coming their way. The Bucks won this season's earlier meeting by 31. Charlotte definitely hasn't gotten any better since then and is walking into a hornet's next. The coaching change to Doc Rivers hasn't paid immediate dividends for Milwaukee. The Bucks have now lost 3 straight games and 5 of their last 6. To be fair, 5 of those games were on the road and last night's was against a top level team from the West, the one with the most road wins of any team in the NBA. Clearly, this is a big drop in class. Charlotte lost at Detroit back on January 24th. That marked the first loss of the Hornets' current 9-game losing streak. Seven of their last 8 have come and the Hornets still couldn't get a win. The only road game over that time resulted in a 20-point loss. The Bucks next 2 games come against the defending NBA champions and the defending Eastern Conference champions, Denver and Miami. After that, the Bucks go on the road again. Rivers knows his team needs a big win and that he needs one, too. He will make sure that that the Bucks don't squander this opportunity. |
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02-09-24 | Penguins v. Wild UNDER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
The Penguins are 54-33 to the under the last few seasons, 13-10 this year, when playing on the road with a total of 6 or more. The Wild are 14-9 to the under at home, when the total was 6 or more. Both teams are playing a low-scoring brand of hockey since the All Star Break. The Penguins last 3 games, all unders, have averaged, 3.3 goals. Minnesota's last 3 games, also all unders, have averaged 4.33 goals. The Wild are now 16-8 to the under their last 24 in the month of February. Remember that Minnesota goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury played for the Penguins for many years. The under trend continues for another night! |
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02-09-24 | Metz v. Marseille UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
Marseille is struggling to score right now. They lost 1-0 to Lyons last match. Three of their last 4 matches have finished with 3 or fewer combined goals. Marseille is struggling to score at the moment. Metz just struggles to score, period. Only last place Clermont scores fewer goals. In fact, they've only found the back of the net twice over their last 7 Ligue 1 matches. Five of those 7 matches finished with 2 goals or less and today's will do the same. |
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02-09-24 | UC San Diego v. Hawaii | Top | 86-94 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
This is splendid value. We get Hawaii at home, playing with revenge and we don't even have to lay any points. Hawaii is 31-15 at home the last 3 seasons. Uc San Diego is 15-25 on the road. This is no easy place to play and that's not just because of the travel factor. The Warriors 12-6 straight up their last 18 off a loss, won their last home game by 10 points. They allow only 66 points a game here. It was 365 days ago that they beat UC San Diego here by 7 points. Home court will reign supreme and the Warriors will win again tonight! |
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02-08-24 | Pistons v. Blazers OVER 225 | Top | 128-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Detroit is off a 133-120 win last night. The Pistons are 5-1 to the over when off a SU win, 5-0 if that victory was an upset. The Pistons, 5-3 to the over when playing with 0 day's rest in between games, are 17-6 to the over on the road this season. The over is also 30-15 when they were underdogs. Last year's game here had a total of 231.5 and finished with 241 points. At this stage of the season, there's not much reason for playing defense for these teams and tonight's game will also fly over the total. Go with the Over! |
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02-08-24 | Bulls v. Grizzlies +6.5 | Top | 118-110 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
The Bulls have the talent edge and are healthier. They've got plenty of their own injuries though and they're on the road. They're also the type of team that the Grizzlies can outwork. When they're at their best, the Bulls can be quite good. They beat Minnesota last game. That was at Chicago. They are only 9-15 on the road. They've got Orlando on deck and the Magic beat them twice. A look-ahead spot past Memphis. The Grizzlies are 20-5 against the spread their last 25 against teams from the Central. Grab the points. |
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02-07-24 | USC v. California UNDER 148.5 | Top | 77-83 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
These teams went over when they played on January 3rd. Both have playing lower-scoring games since then though and both cranked up the defensive intensity in winning their last game. The Trojans held Oregon State to only 54 points. The Golden Bears kept Arizona State to 66. The Bears are now 5-3 to the under since facing USC, a perfect 3-0 under record their last 3. The Trojans are 5-2 to the under their last 7 games. Games at USC have truly been high-scoring. Not so here in Berkeley. The Trojans last visit here produced only 117 points! The Bears are 7-1 to the under their last 8 against losing teams, after at least 15 games. This game goes under! |
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02-06-24 | Canadiens v. Capitals -149 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -149 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
If the playoffs started today, both these teams would be on the outside looking in. Washington still believes and expects to make a playoff push. Montreal is further back and knows its chances are bleak. The recent trade of center Sean Monahan for draft picks shows they're already thinking about the future. With Brendan Gallagher, another center, serving a suspension, the Habs are weak up the middle. The Capitals were struggling before the break but are going to be ready to go tonight. Ovechkin will lead the way. The Capitals captain commented: "Right now you can see everybody's fresh, everybody's happy to be back and Tuesday's going to be a great day to play hockey." The Capitals are 3-0 the last 3 meetings here, outscoring Montreal 18-6. They will make it 4 in a row tonight. |
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02-06-24 | Canisius +4.5 v. Niagara | Top | 64-69 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Canisius is off a bad loss and has struggled of late. That has led to a nice underdog line against an inferior opponent. The Golden Griffins also struggled to start last season. But by February, they turned things around. They're 12-5 against the spread their last 17 in February. This team is fully capable of doing the same and it starts tonight. The Golden Griffins beat the Purple Eagles handily at Canisius last season. The game at Niagara was decided by just 3 points. Niagara has lost 2 of its last 3 home games. All 3 were decided by 6 or less. Canisius is 25-13 against the spread the last 2 years against winning teams and has an excellent chance of winning this game outright. Grab the points. |
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02-05-24 | Kansas v. Kansas State UNDER 146 | Top | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
Kansas comes in hot and defense has been a big part of the reason. The Jayhawks held Houston to 65 points last game. Before that, they limited Oklahoma State to only 56. They will face a Kansas State team which has scored 53 or less in 2 of its last 3 games. This season, Kansas State has been going over the total against losing teams and staying under the total against winning teams. The Wildcats are 11-2 to the under against teams with a winning record. Off a game Saturday, I will point out that Kansas is 3-0 to the under when playing with 0 or 1 day's rest in between games. The Jayhawks are 15-8 to the under in that situation their last 23. K-State is 7-3 to the under when the total was in the 140s and 4-1 to the under at home when the total was 140 to 144.5. This game stays under! **BIG 12 TOY** |
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02-05-24 | Sevilla v. Rayo Vallecano UNDER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -145 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
If Rayo Vallecano can't find victory, a draw is a distinct possibility in this one. Three of the last 4 La Liga meetings between these clubs have ended in draws. I prefer the total. Three of the last 4 h2h meetings have produced 2 or fewer goals. The last 2 h2h matches at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas both ended 1-1. That could happen again, as could a scoreless draw. A 1-0 (or 2-0) win for the home team is also possible. The visitors are likely to have trouble scoring, either way. Sevilla has only found the back of the net twice in its last 4 league matches. With only 3 total goals in its last 8 league matches, scoring is far from guaranteed for Rayo Vallecano. Both clubs are missing some key attacking pieces. This match goes Under! |
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02-04-24 | Blazers v. Nuggets -13.5 | Top | 103-112 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
The Trail Blazers hung with the champions for most of Friday's game but they will not be able to do do twice in a row. There was still some question about Jokic's health before Friday but the Denver big man dominated and is fully ready to go for this one. The Trail Blazers may have covered 48 hours ago but they are still 14-26-1 against the spread in divisional game the past 2 years. Portland was practically patting itself on the back for losing by only 12 on Friday. Denver will demonstrate its dominance from the opening tip tonight. The Nuggets are simply much stronger at both ends of the floor. A win of greater than 15 points is expected! |
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02-04-24 | Davidson v. Loyola-Chicago OVER 136.5 | Top | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
Last year's game had a low total and the final score snuck over it. This is another low total and the final score will again finish to the over. Davidson games average 139.6 points. Loyola-Chicago games average 140.8. This total is lower than either of those numbers. Digging deeper reveals that Davidson road games are higher-scoring. The Wildcats are therefore 5-1 to the over on the road. Those true road games are averaging 150. Loyola-Chicago is 11-2 to the over its last 13 home games when the total was in between 135 and 139.5 points. The Ramblers are also 4-1 to the over last 5 tries as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Go with the Over! |
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02-03-24 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -4.5 | Top | 64-62 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
Give me Gonzaga at home in this battle of West Coast Conference heavyweights. These are the top 2 teams in the conference every year. The Bulldogs get more attention but the Gaels are also consistently very strong. This year is no different. Gonzaga is currently in a better place. The Gaels have had trouble in consecutive games. Hosting back to back lightweights, they were favored by 16.5 and 13.5 points. They struggled with those bad teams though and won each game by only 5 points. Last game, they beat Santa Clara 82-77. That level of play won't cut it tonight. The Bulldogs were favored by 14.5 points last game, roughly the same that St. Mary's was for its game. Unlike the Gaels, Gonzaga won by 34 points. That confidence building blowout is going to serve them well tonight! The Gaels are only 5-11-1 against the spread their last 17 tries, after scoring 80 or more points. The Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS their last 10 tries, when facing a team which allows 64 or fewer points, through at least 15 games of the season. Gonzaga won by 26 last March in the WCC Tournament and by 9 in last season's regular season game here. Lay the points! |
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02-03-24 | Syracuse v. Wake Forest UNDER 152.5 | Top | 70-99 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
The Orange are off a 77-72 loss to Pittsburgh. It was their 5th loss in ACC play. After their previous four ACC losses, they've cranked up their defense leading to the under going a perfect 4-0 the next game. Off a loss to Virginia, they beat Cornell 80-71. That game had a total of 165. Off a loss to Duke, they beat BC 69-59. Off a loss to UNC, they beat Pitt 69-58. Off a loss to Florida State, they beat NC State 77-65. Those four games didn't just go under, they EASILY went under! We know the Orange crank up the defense off an ACC loss but it should also be understood that Wake Forest plays great defense at home. Visiting games are averaging only 64.1 points a game here, hitting 40.9% of their field goals. Four of the last 5 meetings at Wake have gone under. Go with the Under! |
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02-03-24 | Warriors +2.5 v. Hawks | Top | 134-141 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
With both teams off a game last night, its important to know how these teams typically handle playing 2 games in 2 days. A quick look shows that Golden State tends to do a much better job than Atlanta. The Warriors are 5-3 against the spread, when playing 2 games in 2 days. Upon closer examination, we find that they are 3-0 ATS when playing a road game after also playing on the road on the previous day. The Hawks, 1-13 against the spread after a non-conference games, are 1-7 against the spread when playing 2 games in 2 days, 0-2 ATS when playing a home game after playing at home the previous day. The Warriors had an easier time last night than the Hawks. They are 6-1 ATS off a win by 10 points or more. Give me the points. |
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02-03-24 | Crystal Palace v. Brighton & Hove Albion -125 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
Brighton will not be denied in this match! The Seagulls were humiliated 4-0 at Luton Town last match and they're going to be extremely determined to make amends. They are a much stronger team at Amex Stadium. Crystal Palace is a team that Brighton can handle. Palace may not be in immediate relegation danger but they are a bottom tier club. Brighton has a +1 goal differential, CP sits at -14. Recent head-to-head meetings at Crystal Palace have resulted in draws but the Seagulls won 1-0 the last h2h match at the Amex. They will respond to the Luton loss with an important victory today! |
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02-02-24 | Toledo v. Akron UNDER 147.5 | Top | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
These are both good teams. They've been getting it done in different ways. Toledo has been winning by outscoring opponents. Akron has been winning by dominating teams with its smothering defense. It may be a different story for the rematch at Toledo but with this game being played at Arkon, the Zips will effectively dictate the tempo and slow down the Rockets to the level of their liking. There are a lot of stats which point to this play staying below the total. Here are some of those: Akron is 6-3 to the under in conference play. The Zips are also 5-2 to the under in their home games. None of the Zips' last 10 opponents have scored more than 76 points. The last team that they faced scored only 46. Five of their last 6 games have gone under. The Rockets are 5-2 to the under off a conference win and 2-0 to the under when playing a road game with a total of 145 to 149.5. The number is high and this game will go Under. |
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02-02-24 | Heat -8.5 v. Wizards | Top | 110-102 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
Great setup for the Heat. After a long stretch of pointspread futility, they answered with a win and cover last game. Now they are off a win, had a day off and have tomorrow off. Better yet, they get to take on one of the weakest teams in the NBA. Though they've managed 6 wins on the road, the Wizards have the worst home record in basketball. They are 3-19 here, 7-15 against the pointspread. Visiting teams outscore them by an average of 10.6 points. This has been a profitable venue for Miami for years. The Heat are 37-16-2 against the spread their last 55 trips here. Expect them to win convincingly. |
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02-02-24 | Borussia Dortmund -128 v. Heidenheimer SB | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -128 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
The Bundesliga weekend gets started Borussia Dortmund and Heidenheim collide wat the Voith Arena on Friday night. If you haven't heard of Heidenheim, its because its their first even Bundesliga season. They've been exceeding expectations, which has kept the price reasonable, but are in for a reality check against a superior Borussia Dortmund squad. One of the top 5 teams, Borussia Dortmund has a +14 goal differential through 19 matches. Heidenheim has also played 19 matches but has a -7 goal differential. Borussia Dortmund settled for a 2-2 draw in the reverse fixture but has been unstoppable in 2024. Three straight victories and 10 goals in the process. Heidenheim, for its part, is off 3 straight 1-1 draws. Matches here have been exciting and high-scoring but in the end Heidenheim won't be able to keep up. |
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02-01-24 | Lakers v. Celtics UNDER 241.5 | Top | 114-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
I played on the Celtics over in their last game. The final score was 129-124. That was against Indiana though and the Celtics were playing their second game in 2 days. Totally different setup for this one. The Celtics are 17-11 to the under when playing with 1 day's rest. They are also 14-7 to the under when off an ATS loss. The Lakers have had no trouble going over the total on the road this season, regardless of how high the total is set. That will change tonight though. The Celtcs are 17-9 to the under, 7-3 this season, their past 26 tries when playing at home game with a total of 230 or more. Go with the Under! |
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02-01-24 | Stony Brook v. Hofstra -6.5 | Top | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
Hofstra already handled the Seawolves at Stony Brook. They will absolutely do so again in tonight's rematch at the David S. Mack Sports Complex. Both clubs are strong at home. Both have struggled on the road. Hofstra has won 8 of the last 9 meetings. The last game here saw the Pride win by a 79-58 score. The projected tempo will not help the Seawolves. They are 2-8 straight up and against the pointspread their last 10 tries when on the road with a total of 140 to 144.5. Off a 81-78 loss at Monmouth, the Pride are going to be bringing it. They are 10-6-1 ATS their past 17 tries when off a game where they allowed 80 or more. They've won each of their last 2 home games by more than 8 and they will win this one by more than 8 as well. ***CAA GOY*** |
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01-31-24 | Bulls v. Hornets +5 | Top | 117-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Charlotte isn't a good team. Bad teams can still be profitable, if you back them at the right time. This is one of those times. Charlotte is rested and facing a mediocre Chicago team which lost against Toronto less than 24 hours ago. Chicago is only 3-5 straight up and against the pointspread when playing 2 games in 2 days. The last time that the Bulls were in that situation, the team that they were playing (San Antonio) was in the same boat. No advantage. The previous time, when up against a rested team, the Bulls lost by 16. They are 1-3 against the spread when playing a road game after playing at home the previous day. The win was the previously mentioned Spurs game. The Bulls have beaten them 3 times already this season. The Hornets want to avoid a sweep. Chicago is only 8-15 on the road. Grab the points! |
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01-31-24 | Senators v. Red Wings UNDER 7 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
Sometimes, you need to take what the books are giving you. These teams never have totals of 7 when they play each other. A glance at the past 10 meetings reveals most 6.5s. The last meeting had a total of 6 and it finished with 6. We're getting a whole extra goal tonight. The Red Wings have allowed 2 goals or less in consecutive games and 5 of their last 7. The Senators have allowed 3 or less in 6 of their last 7. This game goes Under! |
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01-30-24 | Pacers v. Celtics OVER 244.5 | Top | 124-129 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
The last meeting was on January 8th. The final combined score was 264, the Pacers finishing on top. With Indiana road games averaging more than 247 points, this will be another shootout. Boston played last night. It's important to know that the Celtics are 24-11 to the over the past 35 times that they played 2 games in 2 days. The Celtics are also 9-4 to the over when in they were in a revenge situation. The Pacers are 30-10 to the over their last 40 tries, when facing a team with a winning record in the 2nd half of the season. Go with the Over. |
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01-29-24 | Magic v. Mavs -4 | Top | 129-131 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
Nice win for the Magic over Phoenix yesterday. Defeating Dallas on the second leg of a 2 games in 2 nights situation will be much harder. The Mavericks have owned the Magic here for years and beat them by 9 here last season. The Magic have only 2 wins in 9 tries when playing 2 games in 2 days. They just lost by 27 points at Cleveland less than a week ago, after beating Miami the previous day. The time before in that situation, they lost by 12. Playing their 2nd game in 2 days, the Mavericks lost their last game. They since had yesterday off. Refreshed, they bounce back and handle their business, moving to 17-11 against the spread, as favorites. |
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01-29-24 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. Tex A&M Commerce OVER 140 | Top | 69-54 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
The Islanders scored 79 points last game. They have scored 73 or more points in 6 of their last 8 games, 80 or more in 3 of those. The Lions are off an 87-84 loss. That game went to Overtime. So the score was a bit misleading. The scoring really picked up in the 2nd half and OT of that game though and will carry over into this game. The most recent meeting between these teams was here at the end of last regular season. The score was 93-88. Once again, the game went to Overtime. There were still 156 points scored in regulation though. Last season's first meeting finished with 164. Both those games had totals in the 140s, the final scores easily finishing to the over. The Islanders are 6-3 to the over their last 9 road games with a total of 140 to 144.5. The Lions are 3-0 to the over during same period, at home with a total in same range. This game goes OVER! |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers -6.5 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -115 | 147 h 51 m | Show |
The Lions won't have the Detroit fans to support them. They're thousands of miles away on the West Coast. Last week was a fortunate matchup as they faced Tampa Bay, a team which was only in the playoffs because of the division it plays in. Now, they face the top team in the NFC. The 49ers didn't play nearly their best against the Packer and they still won. They'll be better this week. Not having to travel will prove to be helpful. Now is also when the 49ers will benefit from their Wildcard Rd bye, a luxury which the Lions didn't have. This is the best Detroit team in some time but the 49ers are better on both sides of the ball. San Francisco was third in points scored per game while Detroit finished fifth. The bigger difference is on the other side of the ball. The 49ers’ defense finished third in points allower per game while the Lions finished 23rd in that category. They say that defense wins championships. Lay the points and expect that saying to ring true of the NFC Championship game on Sunday. |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs v. Ravens UNDER 44.5 | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 143 h 19 m | Show |
The Chiefs went over the total in their game against the Bills. Depending on the time and place, the Ravens game either landed right on the total or went over it. With those games having quite a lot of points, Sunday's AFC Championship O|U line is quite high. Too high. We're talking about the top 2 scoring defenses in the NFL. In the regular season, Baltimore allowed 16.5 points a game. KC allowed 17.3. They've also allowed the fewest points in the playoffs. The Ravens allowed 10 points. The Chiefs are allowing an average of 15.5. These teams are going to pound the rock, especially the Ravens. It's not always conventional but they run more than any team. They ran 42 times last week against Houston. That keeps the clock moving and under the total on Sunday. |
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01-27-24 | North Dakota +8.5 v. St. Thomas | Top | 74-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
When taking points with an underdog, I first need to believe that my team has a legitimate chance to win the game outright. North Dakota checks that box. The Fighting Hawks have perhaps the top front-court in the Summit Conference. Coming into the season, they were projected by some to finish #2 in the conference, behind South Dakota State. St. Thomas was 3rd. Though the Fighting Hawks may well win the game, they don't need to. This is a big number and we can still cash with a close loss. Two of the Tommies' last 4 games have been decided by 1 point. The Fighting Hawks have a score to settle. They circled this game after the Tommies embarrassed them on December 29th. They are 9-6 against the spread their last 15, when playing with revenge. Off 3 straight double-digit wins, the Fighting Hawks are playing much better than they were for the earlier meeting. They are 9-2 ATS their last 11 off a conference win and they will bring their best tonight. **Summit Conf GOY** |
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01-27-24 | Yale v. Harvard UNDER 142.5 | Top | 78-65 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
Yale is 10-6 to the over this season. Harvard is 9-6 to the over. Those records are keeping this total in the 140s. Both schools are off a low-scoring game though. The Bulldogs just beat Dartmouth 76-51. The Crimson just won at Penn by a 70-61 score. 127 and 131 and we've got a total in the 140s. The last 4 times that these rivals have faced each other the scores were 58-55, 62-59, 58-54 and 68-57. All went under. All finished with 125 or less. Harvard is 7-2-1 to the under last 10 off a conference win. Yale is 6-2 to the under last eight when playing on the road and the total was in the 140 to 144.5 range. This game goes under! |
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01-25-24 | Western Illinois v. Southern Indiana +2.5 | Top | 73-68 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
Tough losses, the kind that come at the buzzer, or which feature a blown lead, can be tough for college teams to overcome. Southern Indiana lost a tough one 2 games ago, falling 77-75 to Arkansas Little Rock. After letting that one get away, the Screaming Eagles lost their next game by 11. They are still 9-6 against the spread as underdogs and they will be ready to respond today. The Leathernecks are off a tough loss of their own. They blew a lead and fell 58-57 to Tennessee State. Just as it was difficult for the Screaming Eagles to bounce back from their tough loss, it will be the same for the Leathernecks. They are only 39-111 straight up the past 150 times that they were off a conference loss, an awful 56-88 against the spread in those games. Western Illinois only scores 63 points a game on the road and that won't be enough. |
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01-25-24 | Devils v. Hurricanes -154 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
Here's a situation where Carolina playing 2 games in 2 days works in our favor. If the Hurricanes were not in that situation, they would be laying a far greater price. Can they win 2 games in 2 days? Absolutely. They just beat a much better team last night. They won't squander that by giving away a winnable game against an opponent which they dominate here. The Hurricanes may be playing 2 games in 2 days but they are on home ice and they are far healthier than the Devils. They had 2 days off before yesterday's game. They are 54-28 (+10.9) in divisional games the last few seasons and they are 6-1 their last 7 home games against the Devils. Let's go Hurricanes! |
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01-24-24 | East Carolina v. Wichita State -3 | Top | 54-52 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
The Shockers are badly in need of a victory. They will be pleased to see East Carolina. Off 3 straight defeats, the Pirates are struggling nearly as much as they are. As bad as things look on the surface, Wichita State hasn't played terribly. Let's look at the losing streak. They beat Southern Illinois on 12/16. The next 2 games were versus Kansas and Kansas State. Losing them wasn't too bad. A loss against North Texas to start 2024 wasn't very impressive. Since then, three of four games have been on the road and the only home game was against Memphis. Two games ago, they gave a strong FAU team a good fight and last game they nearly won at South Florida. This is a team on the cusp of breaking out. The Pirates are 0-2 against the spread as road underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points. They are 19-31 their last 50 as road underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points. They score 64 points a game on the road. The Shockers score 76 at home. Don't be shocked when Wichita snaps its losing streak with a big win! |
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01-23-24 | Air Force v. UNLV UNDER 133.5 | Top | 90-58 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
Air Force has failed to score 70 points in any of its last 5 games. The Falcons will have trouble scoring against an angry UNLV team. The Rebels are 13-8 to the under the past 21 times that they were off a Mountain West Conf. loss. If they were at home, they might score more but doing so on the road will be difficult. The Falcons are 20-11 to the under their last 31 on the road. Last year's regular season meeting finished with only 107 points. The last 3 regular season meetings have all finished with 131 or less. This one does the same! |
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01-23-24 | Knicks v. Nets +4 | Top | 108-103 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
Give me the points with the home underdog Nets! The Nets are 12-6-2 against the spread at home. The Knicks are 6-10 against the spread, when off a double-digit win. The Knicks have won 3 straight games. They are only 2-4 against the spread after winning their previous 3. The Nets lost to the Clippers to close out their trip. They pounded the Lakers before that though. Two of their last 3 losses have been by 2 points or less. The Knicks won here last month but the Nets have still won 4 of the past 5 meetings here. Nets get some payback by upsetting the Knicks on Tuesday! |
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01-22-24 | Bethune-Cookman v. Arkansas-Pine Bluff -1 | Top | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Even at neutral site, I'd expect the Golden Lions to win tonight's game. This isn't a neutral site. WE get the game in Pine Bluff, at H.O. Clemmons Arena. That favors the Golden Lions. They are only 2-7 on the road but they're 5-3 at home. The Wildcats also prefer they're home cooking. They're 6-1 in home games but 2-6 on the road. Despite these records, we don't have to worry about laying a big pointspread. These teams met twice the last 2 seasons. Arkansas Pine Bluff won both. The Golden Lions won 77-71 at Daytona Beach last year and 69-63 at Pine Bluff in 2022. The Wildcats are only 2-6-1 against the spread the last 8 times that they were road underdogs of 3 or less, or pick'em. They score only 63 points a game on the road and the Lions are scoring 93 a game at home. Go with Arkansas Pine Bluff. ***SWAC GOY*** |
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01-22-24 | Grizzlies v. Raptors -7 | Top | 108-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Both teams are off consecutive blowout losses. That's OK for Memphis but the Raptors demand better. Despite dealing away some of their top players with the hope of improving in the future, this organization still has pride and expects to compete. Currently extremely depleted, Memphis is a team they can handle. The Raptors beat the Grizzlies last month and now they catch them at home. The Raptors are much healthier than Memphis. The Grizzlies' injury list is long and filled with their best players. Take the injured Memphis players and put them up against the team which will take the court tonight and my money is on the injured players. The Raptors are 4-1, both straight up and against the spread, after scoring 100 or less. They will blow out the Grizzlies tonight. |
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01-21-24 | Chiefs v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 2 m | Show |
We've grown used to the Chiefs having a great offense and Patrick Mahomes working magic in the playoffs. It's hard to think otherwise. The Chiefs offense isn't great right now though. And Mahomes has never had to play a road playoff game. He's played in 3 Super Bowls but that's not a true road environment. Mahome's other 12 playoff games have all come at home. Now, he plays in cold, hostile Buffalo where he'll go up against some of the most passionate fans in the league and be opposed by a Bills teams which is playing its best football. After a sluggish start, Buffalo has been winning for weeks. This team is ready to get the KC monkey off its back. Twice, the Chiefs have eliminated them from the playoffs. The Bills beat the Chiefs at Arrowhead in the regular season to earn the right to play this game here. At home, the Bills are are better on both sides of the ball They're 8-1 here, outscoring teams by a 29.7 to 15 average score. The Chiefs' regular season issues will rear their heads and the Bills will win and cover on Sunday night. |
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01-21-24 | Bucs v. Lions UNDER 50 | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 35 m | Show |
The Buccaneers were involved in a shootout with the Texans back in Week 9. The final score was 39-37 as the game turned wild in the 4th quarter with 31 points. That was the only time all season that Tampa allowed more than 27 points. On the season, the Bucs allowed just 19.1 points, tied for 6th best. They have also really turned it up in recent weeks. They held the Eagles to 9 points and 276 total yards in the Wildcard Rd and they allowed less than 12 points a game over the final 3 games of reg. season. In the final game, they pitched a shutout. Tampa coach Todd Bowles said this of his defense: "We've gotten tougher over the course of the past few weeks. Everybody has finally gotten back and playing at the same time. ... Communication has gotten a lot better, everybody's trusting each other next to them and they're playing for each other." The Lions defense held the Rams to 6 second half points last week. They also held the Bucs to 6 points, a 20-6 win, during the regular season. Tampa had only 13 first downs and 251 total yards. That total was only 44. This one is a lot higher. Too high. Go with the Under. |
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01-21-24 | West Ham United v. Sheffield United UNDER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
West Ham, off a 1-0 loss in FA Cup action, hasn't conceded a single goal in its last five league matches. Last league match was a 0-0 draw. Sheffield which has scored fewer goals than any club in the Premier League is unlikely to snap that streak. Sheffield has at least cleaned up defensively lately. Last league match was a 2-0 loss to Man. City. Four of the past 5 h2h matches have finished with 2 goals or less. With West Ham missing some key attacking pieces, this match will also be low-scoring. |
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01-20-24 | Connecticut v. Villanova +4.5 | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
UConn is a great team, fully deserving of a high national ranking. The Huskies aren't unbeatable though and may not stay #1 after this. Though they seemingly haven't missed a beat since winning the National Championship, the Huskies did lose 3 of their top 6 scorers to the NBA. Those losses will finally be felt today. The Wildcats could easily have a better record. They already have losses of 1, 2 and 4 points. Off a disappointing game at Marquette, they will bring their A-Game today. Coach Neptune said this after the loss: "We can't use anything as an excuse. Once you get on the floor with another team ... you got to get it done. Period. There's no excuses." Defense makes a difference. The Wildcats, 2-1 against the spread and straight-up as underdogs, only allow 62.9 points per game at home. Visiting teams hit 40.5% of their field goals. The Huskies allow 70.9 points a game on the road. The teams hosting them hit 43.7% of their field goals. Their only time as a home underdog resulted in an 83-81 win over UNC. The Wildcats are 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS when playing with 3 or more day's rest between games. Off the loss to Marquette on 1/15, they bounce back big tonight! |
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01-20-24 | Stars -130 v. Devils | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
We won with the Devils last night. It was a favorable matchup against the Columbus Blue Jackets. At the time, I mentioned that Columbus was only 2-10 after scoring 4 or more goals though, 20-52 (-24.4) in that situation the last few seasons. This is a far more difficult matchup. I didn't mind backing the Devils on the road last night because they are actually much better away from NJ. I mentioned that they'd been -240 when they hosted Columbus but that the price was much lower due to the game being on the road. This time, it works the other way. We're able to get Dallas, a better team which is rested, at a bargain price compared to what the price would be, if the Stars were hosting. For the record, the Devils are 14-7-1 on the road but 9-10-2 at home. The Devils are 0-5 the last 5 times that they played 2 games in two nights. You'd be 5-0 if playing against them each time they were in that situation since the start of December. They gave up 6, 5, 5, 4 and 6 goals in those game. Road team won both games last season. Rested and off a loss, the Stars will bounce back and take this one. |
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01-20-24 | Texans v. Ravens UNDER 44 | Top | 10-34 | Push | 0 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
The Texans have looked pretty good but they are now on the road and facing the stingiest defense in the NFL. No team allowed fewer points than the 16.5 ppg allowed by the Baltimore Ravens. The Texans held the Browns to 14 points and 324 yards. They weren't dominant defensively like the Ravens but ranked in the top half of all defenses for points and yards allowed. In addition to allowing the fewest number of points, the Ravens led the league in rushing. They will keep the clock ticking and the Houston offense on the sidelines. Points will not come easily in this game. Go with the Under. |
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01-20-24 | Nottingham Forest v. Brentford -120 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
Brentford and Nottingham Forest are close in the standings. Forest is ahead by 1 point but Brentford has played one less match and has a much better goal differential. Playing this game at Gtech Community Stadium gives Brentford an advantage. Two matches between these clubs at Nottingham Forest have both resulted in draws but the game here at Brentford resulted in a 2-1 win for the Bees. Brentford will be inspired from the return of Ivan Toney. He's back from a gambling suspension and will captain the team immediately. Though he may ultimately end up elsewhere, his importance can't be understated. Toney said this: "Big dog's back." Brentford boss Thomas Frank said this about Toney's return: "It's massive, no doubt about that," is assessment. It's like signing a Premier League striker who can score 20 goals." Brentford also benefits from an extra day of recovery time. Both clubs played in the FA Cup this week but the Bees did so on Tuesday while Forest played Wednesday. The edges will add up to a victory for the home team in Toney's return match. |
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