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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-07-19 | Arkansas v. Ole Miss -6 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 50 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OLE MISS Ole Miss takes on Arkansas here in the SEC opener for the both teams. The way each team chose to open its season was very different. Ole Miss went on the road to play a Memphis team that may be as good as any in the Group of Five. They lost, 15-10, but looked a lot better in the second half. Arkansas, fresh off a 2-10 year, opened against Portland State and only won 20-13. So despite winning, the Razorbacks were probably the less impressive side in Week 1. That's certainly affected our read on this Week 2 matchup, which takes place in Oxford and that's not a good deal for the Hogs. They have lost their last eight SEC openers by an average of three touchdowns. They didn't win a single time on the road last year and lost to Ole Miss 37-33 at home. They've lost eight of their last nine road games as well. Despite only gaining 173 yards of offense last week, the Rebels need not hang their heads as the defense pitched a shutout in the second half. The offense got the ball back down 13-10, but got hit with a safety and never saw the ball again. Don't expect them to take Arkansas lightly here. Before last year, the Rebels had lost four straight times to the Hogs and they've lost the last three times to them at home. Not this year. We believe in the new coordinators in Oxford (Rich Rodriguez, Mike MacIntyre) and they'll get their first win this week. Play on OLE MISS AAA |
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09-07-19 | Southern Miss v. Mississippi State -16.5 | Top | 15-38 | Win | 100 | 47 h 50 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on MISSISSIPPI STATE Mississippi State is expected to take a step back this season. They lost a lot of talent (to the NFL) from a defense that allowed just 13.2 points/game a year ago. It doesn't help that they have two holdovers currently suspended as well. Last week, they gave up 28 points to a Louisiana Lafayette team that quite frankly isn't very good. 28 points was the most allowed in any game by MSU last year. They allowed more than 20 just two times. But on the bright side, the defense forced five turnovers last week, the offense scored 38 points and the team won. We look for the defense to play a lot better this week against Southern Miss. Something to consider is that last week's game was played in New Orleans. Mississippi State is 11-3 ATS its last 14 games in Starkville. Southern Miss played a tune-up game against Alcorn State, but that will hardly have them ready for this step up in class. The Golden Eagles only could run for 96 yards on 31 carries and thus actually lost the time of possession battle. If they can't push around an FCS opponent, how are they going to get a surge against a SEC defense? The answer is "they won't." Play on MISSISSIPPI STATE AAA |
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09-07-19 | Ohio v. Pittsburgh -4 | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 43 h 59 m | Show |
This is an 8* on PITT Ohio might not be a program you pay much attention to, but the Bobcats have achieved plenty of success in the 15 years Frank Solich has been here in Athens. Solich is actually the third longest tenured head coach in College Football, trailing only Gary Patterson (19 years) at TCU and Kirk Ferentz (21 years). The Bobcats have actually gotten some run as the team to come out of the Group of Five this year, but this week's game is one of two where they'll definitely be the underdog (the other is next week's game at Marshall). The key to this team is QB Nathan Rourke. The offense averaged 40 points/game with him at the helm last year. But only three other starters from that offense are back. Despite losing 30-14 to Virginia last week, Pitt is going to be an improved team this year. The Panthers led that game at halftime, only to get shutout in the 2nd half. It was a sloppy effort, one that saw them turn the ball over twice, get a punt blocked and not protect the QB well. We look for Pat Narduzzi's team to clean things up a bit as they can't afford to start the year with consecutive losses at home as there's game at Penn State looming next weekend. Ohio won't be able to pressure Pitt QB Pickett as much as Virginia did and thus it'll be a lot better day for the Panthers offense. Play on PITT AAA |
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09-06-19 | Wake Forest v. Rice +19.5 | Top | 41-21 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on RICE Wake Forest came into the year with some hype and made good on it to some degree by winning its season opener 38-35 over Utah State. The spread closed at -4.5, so the Demon Deacons ended up not covering the number and now they find themselves in even rarer territory. It's three scores that they are laying to the Rice Owls Friday night, on the road. Wake Forest has only been a road favorite three times for current coach Dave Clawson, who is in his sixth-year at Winston-Salem. Their ATS record in those games is 0-3. This will be the first time they are laying double digits on the road since the 2008 season opener against Baylor, who went into that game with a first year starter named Robert Griffin III. So it's been awhile. Rice obviously isn't very good, but they held their own last week against Army, losing only 14-7 as a 23-point underdog. They did give up 231 yards rushing, but that came on 56 carries. Wake Forest ran for 178 yards last week, on 58 carries, or just 3.1 yards per attempt. That's not very good. If Rice was able to defend Army's triple option, then they should stymie Wake Forest's ground game too and stay well within the number. Play on RICE AAA |
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09-02-19 | Notre Dame v. Louisville +18.5 | Top | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LOUISVILLE Notre Dame is laying a lot of points in this season opener, but based on how they and Louisville performed in 2018, that's no surprise. The Fighting Irish finished 12-1, the only defeat coming at the hands of Clemson in the CFP. Louisville won just two games (lost 10!) with one of those coming against a FCS program. The other was by three over Western Kentucky, a game that they were favored to win by 17 points. Nine straight losses to end the season means there's a new coach on campus as Scott Satterfield comes over from Appalachian State. Perhaps the biggest indictment on Louisville's 2018 season is that they finished 1-11 ATS, the worst such mark in the country. They'll obviously be better in 2019 as Sattefield has a lot of returning talent to work with, especially on the defensive side of the ball, but also at quarterback. Meanwhile, you should look for Notre Dame to slip a bit this year. They had a really lucky record in close games last year, going 7-0 in those decided by eight points or less. While we would be shocked if Louisville won this game, it is a hefty number the Cardinals are getting due mainly to last year's poor effort. But it's a new coach, a new season and we expect them to perform a lot better at the betting window. The Irish were never asked to lay more than 11 points away from South Bend last year. Play on LOUISVILLE AAA |
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08-31-19 | Oregon v. Auburn -3 | Top | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on AUBURN The lone battle of ranked teams this weekend pits #11 Oregon against #16 Auburn in Arlington, Texas. Typically, these Pac 12 vs. SEC matchups have not gone well for the former conference and that's a trend we expect to continue Saturday night. Auburn seems like it's being slightly underrated coming into the year. It was just the opposite last year and they still opened by beating Washington in the first game. Washington was regarded as being the Pac 12's best last year and now that distinction probably falls on Oregon. But we're not convinced the Ducks are the 11th best team in the country, despite QB Justin Herbert and almost the rest of the offense returning. Consider this: Oregon has lost 13 of its last 18 games away from Autzen Stadium. Auburn is probably being underrated because of its five losses last year, but three of those were upsets and the other two against Georgia and Alabama. The season ended on a high note with a 63-14 demolition of Purdue in the bowl game. The Tigers have won six straight neutral site games vs. the Pac 12 including the 2010 National Championship vs. Oregon. Not as much on the line this time, but it'll be the same result with the SEC reigning surpreme. Play on AUBURN AAA |
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08-31-19 | Virginia Tech -4 v. Boston College | Top | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on VIRGINIA TECH The ACC didn't waste anytime getting the conference play going as this is one of three games on the slate this weekend. The conference is considered to be "Clemson and everyone else" this year and we saw that Thursday with the Tigers thumping Georgia Tech as expected. But Saturday's two games are expected to be a lot closer. This one, we think might not end up being so close. Virginia Tech is a team that should be better in 2019 after slipping to 6-7 last year. Boston College, not so much, even though they return both QB Brown and RB Dillon. The key to us in this game is on the defensive side of the ball. For his 23rd and final season as the defensive coordinator in Blacksburg, Bud Foster has 10 starters back from last year. After allowing 31 points/game last year, the Hokies defense should get back to business in 2019. On the flip side, Boston College has just three defensive starters back. This is a revenge game for VT as they lost 31-21 last year to the Eagles. Boston College scored 28 unanswered points to end the game. ACC road openers have gone well for the Hokies as they've won 13 of their past 15 as well as three consecutive season openers. The road team is actually on a 4-1 run in this rivalry. Play on VIRGINIA TECH AAA |
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08-30-19 | Oklahoma State v. Oregon State +16 | Top | 52-36 | Push | 0 | 657 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OREGON STATE Oregon State isn't exactly well-regarded, so the fact they are taking more than two touchdowns from Oklahoma State can't be too surprising. But this could be the year the Beavers at least make some sort of "mini-leap" forward after winning a total of just three games the previous two seasons. This is the second season for coach Smith in Corvallis. The Beavers are one of the 10 most experienced teams in the country coming into 2019. Not that we think Oregon State wins here, but OK State probably isn't as good as they're being made out to be. The Cowboys slipped to seven wins in 2018 as they were upset five different times. Laying this many to a Power 5 opponent from a different conference seems tricky. In fact, the last time OK State traveled to face a Pac 12 team was 2012 and they lost 59-38 at Arizona. Again, there are probably going to be a lot of points scored in this game. OK State's defensive line is a concern, so that's something the Beaver offense should take full advantage of. The Cowboys offense has no experience at QB with a freshman (Spencer Sanders) likely starting, on the road no less. Jake Luton is back in his second year starting for Oregon State. This game will end up being close. Play on OREGON STATE AAA |
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08-29-19 | UCLA +3.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 14-24 | Loss | -115 | 629 h 18 m | Show |
This is an 8* Play on UCLA You may be surprised by how short this line is, not to mention the way it has been bet, but don't be. Yes, UCLA won just three games in year one under Chip Kelly. But Kelly can take solace in the job his colleague Luke Fickell did last year with Cincinnati, taking them from 4 to 11 wins. No one saw that coming from the Bearcats and while they look good on paper entering 2019, UCLA has the most returning starters in the country (19) and should be a whole lot better in Kelly's 2nd year. The Bruins have had problems winning away from the Rose Bowl in recent season, but look for that to change this year. Something to keep in mind is that these teams opened last season against one another as well. Cincinnati won 26-17, as a 14-point underdog. A couple key differences here for UCLA is that Dorian Thompson-Robinson is the starting QB (wasn't the case last year) and the emergence of RB Joshua Kelley. Look for the Bruins to put up a lot more points in this year's meeting. Similarly, their defense is better than it was a year ago now that 10 starters are back. Cincinnati's offensive line is down two starters from last season. The Bearcats have failed to cover six of the last seven times they've been a home favorite of three points or less. Play on UCLA AAA |
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02-03-19 | Patriots v. Rams +3 | Top | 13-3 | Loss | -115 | 285 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the RAMS I like the Rams in this year's Super Bowl. I understand that the Patriots bring both experience and "name value," but neither of those qualities necessarily ensure that they will be the better team come Sunday. Having won with each team in their respective Conference Championship Games, I'm obviously impressed with both sides. In fact, I also won with both in their Divisional Round contests. But you can only pick one and the fact the Rams overcame an early deficit in the Superdome to win impressed me more than what the Patriots did at Kansas City. Also, note that being an underdog is foreign to both teams. Neither had been one in any game this year before two weeks ago. Under Sean McVay, Los Angeles has been a dog just six times. Factoring out Week 17 of last season (rested starters), they are 4-1 ATS, winning outright four times. Experience certainly didn't matter in last year's Super Bowl when the Eagles downed the Patriots. All eight of the Super Bowls New England has been in with Brady and Belichick have ultimately been decided by one possession. Only two (the last two years) have been decided by a margin larger than four points and one of those two was the OT game vs. Atlanta. So taking points, no matter how few, seems like the right call. Play LA RAMS AAA |
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01-20-19 | Patriots +3 v. Chiefs | Top | 37-31 | Win | 100 | 101 h 11 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the PATRIOTS It's somewhat ironic that both underdogs this week (New England, Los Angeles) have not been an underdog in any other game this season. With the Patriots, they haven't been a dog since Week 1 of the 2016 season when they played at Arizona and Tom Brady was suspended. They still won that game, mind you. The last time Brady was an underdog was Week 14 of the 2014 season and the Patriots lost to Aaron Rodgers and the Packers, 26-21. But that's the only time in the last five tries New England hasn't covered as an underdog. They haven't been an underdog in the playoffs since the 2014 AFC Championship at Denver. This week will be just the 7th time in 39 playoff games with Brady & Belichick that the Patriots are underdogs. They have a far better playoff resume that Andy Reid and Kansas City and I think that matters. The Patriots also already own a win over the Chiefs this year, 43-40 in Foxboro. While they did need a last second Stephen Gostkowski field goal to win, New England led for all but all seven minutes of actual game time. They also rolled up 500 yards on the Chiefs defense. Last week, you saw how dominant Brady can be when he's doubted. The Patriots scored 35 points in the first half. They'll be motivated again here. Play on NEW ENGLAND. AAA |
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01-20-19 | Rams +3.5 v. Saints | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 98 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* Play on the RAMS. There's a lot of attention this week on the fact that the PATRIOTS are an underdog for the first time since the 1st week of the 2016 season. But the RAMS are the only other team besides the Patriots to have been favored in every game this year. That includes when they played here at the Superdome back in Week 9. Of course, they lost that game. It was their first loss all season (started 8-0) and while the final score ended up being 45-35 Saints, it was really never close as the Rams trailed virtually the whole game and were down 35-17 in the first half. Like New England, LA is now a dog for the 1st time all year when playing for its Conference Championship. I think the fact the line has moved so much for this rematch is significant when handicapping this game. The Rams actually closed at -2.5 for the regular season matchup. Are things really that different now? I understand that the Saints won easily the first time around and have never lost a home playoff game with Drew Brees as the starting QB. But, if anything is different this time around, it's that the Saints aren't looking as strong as they did just a few weeks ago. They trailed the Eagles last week, 14-0, before scoring 20 unanswered. But those 20 points did not come easy. Since they last faced the Rams, the vaunted New Orleans offense has been held to 20 points or less in four of seven games. I like the points here. Play on LA RAMS. AAA |
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01-13-19 | Eagles v. Saints -8 | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Saints. So I expected this line to come down a bit as the Eagles' playoff record with Nick Foles as the quarterback is well known. But it really hasn't and upon second thought, I have no hesitation in laying the points with the Saints at home. Foles' reputation may work against his team, which lost 48-7 on this field in the regular season. It's a different Eagles team now, but are they really four touchdowns better now than they were in November. I think not. New Orleans, off a bye, should be as strong as ever with Drew Brees leading the way. For a second year in a row, the Saints offense was top five in both rushing and passing. In the last five home games that Brees has played (remember, he sat the regular season finale), the Saints have averaged 40 PPG! The Saints aren't just all offense anymore though; they boasted the top run defense in the league this year, allowing only 80 YPG. The Saints have won their last five playoff home games, so homefield advantage is a very real thing in this Divisional Round matchup. As they showed in the regular season, the Saints are simply a much better team than the Eagles this year. Play on NEW ORLEANS AAA |
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01-13-19 | Chargers v. Patriots -3.5 | Top | 28-41 | Win | 100 | 142 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Patriots The Chargers beat the Ravens in the Wild Card Round, but the win would certainly qualify as "ugly" with Baltimore's offense not doing much for the first three quarters save for gifting LA numerous opportunities to take advantage of. The Chargers scored just one offensive TD the entire game and got three fields on drives that went less than 20 yards, thanks to either Ravens turnovers or a key special teams plays. Tom Brady and the Patriots will not provide such opportunities. Off a bye and at home, this is an ideal price range to grab New England. Keep in mind that they are 24-4 SU the last 28 home games, also going 20-8 ATS. During that time, they are 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. This season saw them win all four games in that range. This is just the fifth time with Belichick & Brady that New England is laying less than six points in Foxboro. They are 3-1 SU and ATS the previous four. They are the only team that won all eight home games in the regular season. For what it's worth, the Patriots are also 4-0 SU and ATS the last four meetings with the Chargers. This is Los Angeles' second straight week playing an early start in the Eastern Time Zone. That does them no favors against a superior side. Play on NEW ENGLAND. AAA |
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01-12-19 | Cowboys v. Rams -7 | Top | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 31 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA RAMS. Despite having Todd Gurley, don't expect the Rams to do what the Seahawks attempted (and failed) to do last week against the Cowboys. That would be run, run and run some more. Seattle OC Brian Schottenhiemer essentially taking the game out of Russell Wilson's hands was foolish to say the least and isn't something we're likely to see here from Rams coach Sean McVay and QB Jared Goff. As they're coming off a bye, I like the Rams at home quite a bit this week. It's been almost 25 years since the Cowboys won multiple playoff games in the same year. They have not won a playoff road game since 1993. Los Angeles will be extra motivated after losing last year's playoff game at home (to the Falcons). As we saw last week, the Dallas defense is good against the run, but they can be beat through the air. Wilson averaged 8.6 yards per attempt against them. No NFC team averaged more yards per play than the Rams did in the regular season. After the back door cover that affected most last week (not me as I bet Dallas -1), the Cowboys are 6-13 ATS against teams with winning records. Play on LA RAMS AAA |
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01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson +6 | Top | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 125 h 4 m | Show |
These are easily the two best teams in the country and I think the gap between the two isn't nearly as large as the oddsmakers seem to, if it even exists at all. 14-0 Clemson has been unstoppable since Trevor Lawrence took over as the quarterback. They have all nine games by at least three touchdowns, including a 30-3 beatdown of Notre Dame in the semifinal. Sound familiar? Alabama (14-0) hasn't lost a game since making its own famous QB change, to Tua Tagovailoa, in last year's National Championship Game. That was of course the game AFTER the Crimson Tide last faced Clemson, a 24-6 win. Expect this one to be along the lines of the two Championship Games these teams played in 2016 and 2017. This Clemson team is a lot better than last year, not only because of Lawrence, but the defense as well. The Tigers are only giving up 12.9 points per game, the fewest in the nation. They also allow just 274.7 yards per game. That's 93 on the ground and only 182 through the air. Not saying they'll hold Bama to those totals, but Clemson's defense isn't about to let this turn into a blowout. This game should be much closer to a pick 'em. Play on CLEMSON |
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01-06-19 | Eagles v. Bears -5.5 | Top | 16-15 | Loss | -109 | 98 h 43 m | Show |
My *10* NFL Playoff Game of the YEAR is on the BEARS. Don't be fooled into thinking that the 12-4 Bears drew some sort of "unfavorable" matchup here with the 9-7 Eagles. Sure, it would have been nice to play the Vikings against based on how easily the Monsters of the Midway dispatched of them (in Minnesota) in Week 17. But the amount of respect Philadelphia is getting here is based on LAST season, not this one when they were a very mediocre team. Yes, Nick Foles is back at QB and he led Philly to a Super Bowl last year. But, statistically, this year's Eagles are not close to last year's. They're also having to go on the road here. (Last year, they only need to win two home games to get to the SB. This year, they'd have to win three on the road). The Eagles were outgained both on a per game and per play basis in the regular season. Chicago comes in with perhaps the best defense in the league. They are allowing just 17.7 points per game and should give Foles and what remains a limited offense plenty of trouble. As for the Bears offense, coach Matt Nagy has done a great job at managing QB Mitchell Trubisky and he'll have plenty of chances to make plays against an Eagles defense that is still beat up on the back end. Chicago has been the far better team this year and has covered 9 of its last 10 games. The only non-cover was a FG loss in overtime. They are 16-4-1 ATS their previous 21 home games. The BEARS are my *10* Playoff Game of the Year. AAA |
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01-05-19 | Seahawks v. Cowboys | Top | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 77 h 18 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on DALLAS The nightcap Saturday sees the 10-6 Cowboys hosting the 10-6 Seahawks. Dallas got the homefield advantage by winning the NFC East while Seattle had to settle for second in the NFC West. But the Seahawks did beat the Cowboys in the regular season, 24-13, all the way back in Week 3. But that game was in Seattle. Dallas played pretty poorly, turning it over three times and as a result trailed by double digits most of the way. But their defense did a good job, holding Russell Wilson and company to less than 300 total yards and just 113 rushing. The key to the Seattle offense is running the football as they led the league in that department. But the Cowboys defense was one of the best at stopping the run. They allow only 94.6 rush yards per game, which ranked 5th in the league. Really, the Dallas defense deserves more accolades as it was pretty great this year. A big reason America's Team was 7-1 in "Jerry World" this year was that the defense gave up only 18.5 PPG. Seattle's defense allowed at least 24 points in six of the last eight games. The Seahawks are only 1-5 ATS their last six playoff games. In both games Saturday, the better defensive team is playing at home. I expect both to win. Play on the COWBOYS. AAA |
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01-05-19 | Colts v. Texans | Top | 21-7 | Loss | -125 | 74 h 38 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the TEXANS It's two AFC South teams matching up in our first Wild Card Game of the weekend. The 11-5 Texans host the 10-6 Colts. Saturday marks the third time they will have met this season and the road team has had the edge so far, winning and covering both games. But I think I would be foolish to think there's any kind of "edge" being the road team in the NFL playoffs. Indianapolis was only 4-4 on the road in the regular season as opposed to 6-2 at home. On offense, they are likely going to be reduced to a one-dimension attack here. They could not run on this Houston defense in either regular season meeting, totaling just 91 yards. That's going to put a lot of pressure on Andrew Luck. The Texans allow only 17 points per game at home. The Colts scored 24 in their visit, but that was actually the second most points by any visitor this year at NRG Stadium. I do not see them scoring that many this time. Something I find interesting is that Houston was actually a 1-pt favorite for the game in Indianapolis, then a 4-pt favorite for the last game here. Good value this third time around. The Colts are just 1-4 ATS in their last five playoff road games. I look for Houston QB Watson to make more plays than Luck on Saturday, getting his team the win. Play on the TEXANS AAA |
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01-01-19 | Washington +7 v. Ohio State | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 23 h 12 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Washington in the Rose Bowl. I'll be taking the points with Washington in the Rose Bowl as they are the better defensive team and an all-around undervalued side. While Ohio State (12-1) has the better won-loss record (Washington 10-3), the Huskies' three losses were all close games and they could have won all of them. They were basically three plays away from being unbeaten. While a lot of focus here is on how the Buckeyes finished their regular season (destroyed rival Michigan), Washington was pretty impressive in its own right, holding Washington State and Utah to just 18 total points. The Huskies have one of the top defenses in the country (15.5 PPG allowed), so that will keep them in this game. With this being Urban Meyer's final game patrolling the sidelines, everyone is loading up pn the Buckeyes, but that's inflated the number. Washington was an underdog only twice this year, vs. Auburn and at Washington State. They won in Pullman and lost to Auburn by only five, a game they easily could have won. Play WASHINGTON AAA |
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01-01-19 | Iowa +7.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 18 h 12 m | Show |
This is an 8* WINNER on Iowa in the Outback Bowl. In my eyes, this Outback Bowl matchup of 8-4 Iowa and 8-4 Mississippi State pits two very underrated teams against one another. But in the end, I feel the favorite's inability to score consistently will cost them here, laying so many points. The Iowa defense gives up just 17.4 points per game. Mississippi State gives up the fewest in the country (12.0), so it should be a low-scoring game all around. With points likely at a premium in a matchup such as this, the underdog just seems like the right move. There were four times this year that Miss State was held under 10 points. Most of the Bulldogs dominant performances were against non-bowl teams. Of Iowa's four losses, three were by six points or fewer and the other (28-17 vs. Wisconsin) saw them give up two touchdowns in the final minute. Miss State was generally dominated in its losses. Oddsmakers agree that this is going to be a low-scoring game and taking points in the way to go. Play IOWA. AAA |
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12-30-18 | Colts -3.5 v. Titans | Top | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 81 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Indianapolis Colts. This is a big game, as the winner will advance with a wild card spot, while the loser will be going golfing. Andrew Luck and the Colts though annihilated the Titans 38-10 at home in the first matchup this year and we believe a similar result is in the cards here as well. Also note that Titans’ QB Marcus Mariota is questionable for this one and if he does play, clearly he’s not going to be at 100% health. Finally note that the Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last five vs. teams with winning records, while the Titans are just 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 home games vs. teams with winning road records. Lay the points, play on the COLTS. AAA Sports |
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12-30-18 | Bengals v. Steelers -14.5 | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -103 | 77 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting a beatdown from start to finish here. The Bengals come in off a 26-18 road loss to Cleveland, while Pittsburgh fell 31-28 on the road in New Orleans last Sunday. The Steelers have won seven straight in the series though, including a 28-21 road win in the first one this year. Bengals’ starting QB Andy Dalton though isn’t playing anymore and the Bengals have nothing to play for. Pittsburgh has to win this game and have the Ravens lose to Cleveland to make the postseason. We’re expecting the under-achieving home side to lay the foot on the gas from start to finish. Note that the STEELERS are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six following an ATS win, while Cincinnati is just 1-3 ATS in its last four off a road loss vs. a division rival. Lay the points with confidence. AAA Sports |
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12-28-18 | Syracuse -1 v. West Virginia | Top | 34-18 | Win | 100 | 32 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Syracuse. We think WVU goes through the motions today. The Mountaineers ended their regular season on a two-game losing streak. Syracuse is 9-3 overall and it’s 5-1 in its last six. The Orange have scored at least 40 points in each of their last five victories with extra time off to prepare, we think Syracuse is the “hungrier” team here. WVU enters without starting QB Will Grier, who skips the bowl to enter the NFL draft. Backup Jack Allison has only attempted ten passes in 2018. Note that WVU is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven neutral site games as well, while Syracuse is 4-1-1 ATS In its last six non-conference games. Play on SYRACUSE. AAA Sports |
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12-26-18 | TCU +1 v. California | Top | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 37 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on TCU. These teams are evenly matched as far as the points per game (Cal averages 22.8 PPG, and TCU averages 24.4) and in points allowed (Cal concedes 21.2 and TCU allows 24.4). However, TCU comes in with considerable momentum and we think it’ll carry over here after a 31-24 home win over Oklahoma State pushed them to eligibility. Cal on the other hand hand won four of five before a date with Standford in its finale, a game which saw it fall 10-6. Note that TCU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine non-conference games following a win in which it scored 30 or more points in and also earned the cover, while Cal is just 1-5 ATS in its last six neutral site games. Play on TCU. AAA Sports |
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12-23-18 | Giants v. Colts -9 | Top | 27-28 | Loss | -105 | 90 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONF. SIDE OF THE YEAR on the Colts. We’re not expecting any upsets here as we look for Indianapolis to put the foot on the gas from start to finish. Indianapolis is a team on a mission right now and it’ll be looking to build off its 23-0 home win over Dallas last week. The Giants tried their best to play spoiler last week, but they got destroyed by the Titans. With OBJ sidelined, we’re not giving the visitors much of a chance in this difficult road venue. With last week’s loss the Giants are now officially out of contention. The Colts though are firing on all cylinders and could be the team to beat in the AFC this year. Note that New York is just 4-10-2 ATS in is last 16 road games against a team with a winning home record, while Indianapolis is 32-14-1 ATS in its last 47 vs. teams with losing records. Lay the points; play on the COLTS. AAA Sports |
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12-21-18 | BYU -12 v. Western Michigan | Top | 49-18 | Win | 100 | 29 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on BYU. Both teams were forced to change up their starting QB’s half way through the season. We think that BYU’s tough defensive play though will prove to be the difference today. Kaleb Eleby got the 28-21 win over NIU in the Broncos regular season finale, but he’ll have his handful today with a Cougars’ defense which allowed just 21.7 PPG, ranked in the top 20 in the country. BYU is still 3-0 ATS in its last three as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range, while WMU is just already 1-3 ATS as an underdog this season. Lay the point; play on BYU. AAA Sports |
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12-18-18 | Northern Illinois +3 v. UAB | Top | 13-37 | Loss | -115 | 32 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Northern Illinois. With two weeks off to prepare, we think the NIU Huskies will keep this one close. NIU averages only 20.7 PPG, but the Huskies make up for it on the other end of the field by allowing just 21.5. UAB averages 29.3 PPG and it allows 17.3. We’d argue though that the Huskies face tougher competition in the MAC. UAB QB AJ Erdely is questionable for this one as well and if he can’t go, then Tyler Johnston III will get the call. Regardless, it’s not an ideal situation for the Blazers. Note that the Huskies are 4-2 ATS as an underdog this year, while UAB is interestingly 0-3 ATS in its last three vs. the MAC. Grab the points, play on NORTHERN ILLINOIS. AAA Sports |
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12-16-18 | Patriots v. Steelers +2.5 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 95 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Pittsburgh Steelers. If you’re wagering on this game, then a “break down” of individual player match-ups, a history of what the two teams have done against each other and their strengths and weaknesses are well known to even the most casual NFL fan. It wouldn’t be hard to make a convincing argument for either of these teams. Both have looked unbeatable at times this season and they’ve also each looked pretty terrible in others. This time around though, we really do think that home field will prove to be a big difference maker this week. Note as well that New England is already only 1-3 ATS this year as a road favorite of seven points or less, while Pittsburgh is 3-0 ATS this season when playing the role of underdog. Play on the STEELERS. AAA Sports |
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12-15-18 | North Texas +9 v. Utah State | Top | 13-52 | Loss | -105 | 150 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR on North Texas. Outright upset? Probably not, but we think the Mean Green will keep this one interesting late. UNT was 9-3 overall and 5-3 in the C-USA, while Utah State went 10-2 overall and 7-1 in the Mountain West. UNT averages 36.4 PPG and it allows only 21.8. Utah State averages 47.2 PPG and it allows 23. On paper, this one favors Utah State, but with the extra time off to prepare and with nothing to lose, we expect the Mean Green to take this one down to the wire. Note as well that Utah State is just 4-15 ATS in its last 19 vs. teams with winning records, while UNT is still 10-3 ATS in its last 13 non-conference games. Grab the points; play on NORTH TEXAS. AAA Sports |
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12-10-18 | Vikings v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 7-21 | Win | 100 | 36 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Seattle Seahawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Minnesota is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after scoring 14 points or less in its previous competition, while Seattle is already 3-1 ATS at home and when playing the role of favorite this year, but also 8-2 ATS in its last ten off a divisional contest. The bottom line: This is an important game for both teams, but home field is a major advantage here. Expect Russell Wilson to deliver the goods; play on the SEAHAWKS. AAA Sports |
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12-09-18 | Falcons v. Packers -5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 53 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Green Bay Packers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Atlanta is just 1-3 ATS as an underdog already this year and 4-7 ATS in its last 11 off an upset loss as a favorite, while Green Bay is still 7-3 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite in the 3.5 to seven points range and 4-1 ATS in its last five after having lost five or six out of its last seven games. The bottom line: The loser is officially eliminated. Aaron Rodgers doesn’t go down without a fight, especially at home. Lay the points; play on the PACKERS. AAA Sports |
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12-06-18 | Jaguars v. Titans -4 | Top | 9-30 | Win | 100 | 82 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Tennessee Titans. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Jacksonville is just 1-3 ATS on the road this season and just 2-5 ATS in its last seven off an upset win as an underdog, while Tennessee is 12-8 ATS still in its last 20 at home and interestingly 6-2 ATS in its last eight in the final four weeks of the regular season. The bottom line: The Jags won’t be playing in the playoffs and they enter off a very satisfying 6-0 win over the Colts. Can anyone say letdown spot?! The Titans still have hope to make an AFC Wild card game, but they have to start stringing some wins together. After last week’s late 26-22 win over the Jets, we think that TENNESSEE carries that momentum over at home on the short week; lay the points. AAA Sports |
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12-03-18 | Redskins +6 v. Eagles | Top | 13-28 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on the Washington Redskins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last six after having lost three of out if last four games SU and 11-5 ATS i its last six after one or more SU losses vs. the spread, while Philadelphia is just 6-10 ATS in its last 16 as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. The bottom line: With both teams desperate for this divisional victory, we’re grabbing the points and expecting it come down to the wire. Play on the REDSKINS. AAA Sports |
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12-02-18 | Chargers +3.5 v. Steelers | Top | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 35 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the LA Chargers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that LA already 4-1 ATS on the road this year and 3-1 ATS in its last four after a two-game home stand, while Pittsburgh is just 7-8 ATS in its last 15 as a home favorite of seven points or less and just 2-3 ATS in its last five after playing its last game on the road. The bottom line: We’re grabbing the points, but not ruling out an outright upset; grab the points, play on the CHARGERS. AAA Sports |
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12-02-18 | Chiefs -14 v. Raiders | Top | 40-33 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on the Kansas City Chiefs. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that KC has is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 as a road favorite and 12-3 ATS in its last 15 vs. the division, while Oakland is a miserable 9-16 ATS in its last 25 as an underdog and only 1-3 ATS in its last four at home. The bottom line: The Raiders are lining up nicely for a top spot in the draft, while we look for a rested KC side to lay the hammer down from start to finish. Lay the points, play on the CHIEFS. AAA Sports |
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12-02-18 | Bills +3.5 v. Dolphins | 17-21 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER SHOCKER on the Buffalo Bills. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Buffalo is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three of an upset win as a home underdog, while Miami is 0-2 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. The bottom line: The Fish let one slip away in Indianapolis last weekend and they look primed for another letdown here. Buffalo started the year horribly, but after adjustments, its looking a lot better. Look for the BILLS to keep this one close and grab the points. AAA Sports |
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12-01-18 | Northwestern +15 v. Ohio State | 24-45 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on Northwestern. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Northwestern is 5-1 ATS in its last six as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range (including 3-0 ATS this year) and 12-3 ATS in its last 15 as an underdog (including 6-0 ATS this season), while Ohio State is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range (including 0-3 ATS this year) and just 17-20 ATS in its last 37 as a favorite (including only 4-6 ATS this season.) The bottom line: The Wildcats have the defense to compete. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points, play on NORTHWESTERN. AAA Sports |
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12-01-18 | Texas +8 v. Oklahoma | Top | 27-39 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP WINNER on Texas. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last six neutral site games and 13-5-2 ATS in its last 20 vs. teams with winning records, while Oklahoma is 0-3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring more than 40 points in its previous game. The bottom line: Texas already beat Oklahoma this year. The Longhorns have the better defense and while we’re not calling for the outright upset, all signs point to a tight battle. Grab the points, play on TEXAS. AAA Sports |
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11-25-18 | Packers +4 v. Vikings | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 151 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE YEAR on the Green Bay Packers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Green Bay is still 9-4 ATS in its last 13 vs. teams with winning records, while Minnesota is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 vs. the division. The bottom line: Green Bay will be out of the playoff picture if it loses today and because of that, we’re expecting another full four quarter effort from the visiting side. Grab the points, play on the PACKERS. AAA Sports |
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11-25-18 | Dolphins v. Colts -10 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -100 | 147 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE YEAR on the Indianapolis Colts. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Miami is already just 1-3 ATS this year as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and just 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road, while Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last six as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. The bottom line: The Dolphins come out of their bye week with Ryan Tannehill under censer, but we think they’re going to stumble here against this surging COLTS side. The line moved a couple points in favor of Miami with the news of Tannehill play, but we think he’s getting far too much respect here. Lay the points and expect a blowout. AAA Sports |
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11-24-18 | BYU +11.5 v. Utah | 27-35 | Win | 100 | 36 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ATS BAIL-OUT BLOOD-BATH on BYU. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that BYU is already 3-1 ATS as an underdog this year and a perfect 2-0 ATS in its last two off a win vs. a conference rival, while Utah is just 1-2 ATS in its last three off a win vs. a conference rival. The bottom line: This is the 99th instalment of the Holy War and we’re expecting a battle until the end. BYU is eligible, but another victory here would cement a much sweeter position. We’re not calling for the outright upset, but we do think that the conditions are right for a “war” until the final whistle. Grab the points, play on BYU. AAA Sports |
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11-24-18 | Minnesota +11 v. Wisconsin | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 30 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Minnesota. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Minnesota is already 4-2 ATS this year off a loss vs. a conference rival and 11-7 ATS in its last 18 as an underdog, while Wisconsin is already just 2-6 ATS as a favorite this season and 0-4 ATS off a win vs. a conference rival. The bottom line: The Badgers are 7-4 and they’ll be going to a bowl game here win or lose. The Golden Gophers are 5-6 and need one more victory to become eligible. Grab the points, play on MINNESOTA. AAA Sports |
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11-24-18 | Wake Forest +12.5 v. Duke | Top | 59-7 | Win | 100 | 136 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Wake Forest. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Wake Forest is 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a loss vs. a conference rival and still 10-5 ATS in its last 15 on eh road, while Duke is just 2-4 ATS in its last six vs. teams with losing records and just 1-5 ATS as a favorite this year. The bottom line: Duke’s already punched its ticket to a bowl sitting at 7-4, but at 5-6, the Demon Deacons have one last shot. Grab the points, play on WAKE FOREST. AAA Sports |
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11-24-18 | Michigan v. Ohio State +4 | Top | 39-62 | Win | 100 | 135 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Ohio State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Michigan is just 9-10 ATS in its last 19 off a win vs. a conference rival and only 1-3 ATS on the road this season, while Ohio State is 3-1 ATS in its last four at home. The bottom line: Ohio State has been terrible overall against the spread this year, but it’s always had Michigan’s number, coming into this one having won 11 straight in the series. The Buckeyes’ offense is better and its defense is just as good. At home, we love OHIO STATE to pull off the slight upset. That said, grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-23-18 | Oregon -14.5 v. Oregon State | 55-15 | Win | 100 | 116 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Oregon. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Oregon is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range, while Oregon State is already 0-2 ATS this season as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range. The bottom line: The DUCKS are still playing for a better bowl; lay the points. AAA Sports |
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11-23-18 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech +4.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 115 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ART OF THE GAME on Virginia Tech. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Virginia is a horrible 4-9 ATS in its last 13 following a loss vs. a conference rival, while Virginia Tech is 3-1 ATS in its last four conference home games as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. The bottom line: Home field advantage definitely can’t be overlooked as a favorable and tangible factor; grab the points, play on VIRGINIA TECH. AAA Sports |
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11-23-18 | East Carolina v. Cincinnati -18 | Top | 6-56 | Win | 100 | 115 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Cincinnati. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that ECU is a terrible 3-11 ATS in its last 14 on the road, while Cincinnati is 3-1 ATS this year vs. teams with losing records and 3-1 ATS as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range. The bottom line: After last week’s humbling loss to UCF, look for the BEARCATS to lay the hammer down from start to finish in their final regular season game at home; lay the points. AAA Sports |
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11-23-18 | Arkansas +21 v. Missouri | Top | 0-38 | Loss | -109 | 114 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Arkansas. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Arkansas is 5-1 ATS this year already off a loss vs. a conference rival and 4-2 ATS this season as an underdog, while Missouri is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven off a win vs. a conference rival and only 2-4 ATS this season vs. conference opponents. The bottom line: We’re not calling for an outright upset, but we think the ARKANSAS offense can keep the visitors in this one late; grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-23-18 | Nebraska +7.5 v. Iowa | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 112 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on Nebraska. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Nebraska is already 3-0 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records and 10-4 ATS in its last 14 on the road, while Iowa is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven off a win vs. a conference rival. The bottom line: The Huskers have won two straight and while they won’t be playing in a bowl game, we look for NEBRASKA to keep the foot on the gas and to catch a Iowa side a little flat footed; grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-22-18 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss +10 | Top | 35-3 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* MASSACRE on Mississippi. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Mississippi State is just 2-4 ATS in its last six as a favorite in the 9.5 to 21 points range and only 3-6 ATS in its last nine off a win against a conference rival, while Ole Miss is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog in the 9.5 to 14 points range. The bottom line: OLE MISS won’t be going down without a fight today, as it still needs a victory to become eligible; grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-20-18 | Northern Illinois v. Western Michigan +6 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 47 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Western Michigan. Both teams come in off losses, with the Huskies falling at home to NIU and WMU falling to Ball State 35-31. The Huskies six-game win streak was snapped and I think they’ll stumble here as well. WMU is without QB Jon Wassink the last three games and the result has been three straight losses. But the team has slowly been making adjustments and a date at home in its season finale is just what the doctor ordered for back Kaleb Eleby in our opinion. Note as well that NIU is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range, while WMU is still 6-4 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with winning records. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-18-18 | Broncos +7 v. Chargers | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 153 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Denver Broncos. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Denver is already 3-1 ATS this year after two or more SU losses, while LA is just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 at home and only 9-10 ATS in its last 19 as a favorite. The bottom line: Denver comes in rested after its bye week and we expect to to keep this one competitive late; grab the points, play on the BRONCOS. AAA Sports |
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11-18-18 | Titans v. Colts -3 | 10-38 | Win | 105 | 150 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the Indianapolis Colts. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Tennessee is just 2-8 ATS in its last ten after two or more SU wins, while Indianapolis is 7-3 ATS in its last ten as a favorite. The bottom line: The Colts have won three straight. The Titans have won two straight, including a hugely satisfying home win over the Patriots last weekend. Can anyone say letdown spot?! Play on the COLTS. AAA Sports |
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11-17-18 | Duke +27.5 v. Clemson | 6-35 | Loss | -109 | 144 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Duke. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Duke 5-3 ATS in its last eight after two or more SU wins and 4-1 ATS on the road already this season, while Clemson is just 2-4 ATS in its last six as a favorite in the 21.5 to 31 points range. We think DUKE will sneak in through the backdoor late; grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-17-18 | Wisconsin v. Purdue -5.5 | 47-44 | Loss | -110 | 140 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Purdue. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Wisconsin is already 0-2 ATS this year as an underdog and only 1-5 ATS after playing conference game, while Purdue is 4-2 ATS in its last six as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range and already 3-1 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records. We expect the high-powered BOILERMAKERS to pull away down the stretch; lay the points. AAA Sports |
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11-17-18 | Missouri -5 v. Tennessee | 50-17 | Win | 100 | 140 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Missouri. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Missouri is 11-6 ATS in its last 17 as a favorite and 3-1 ATS in its last four after two or more consecutive SU wins, while Tennessee is already just 1-2 ATS this year as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. We think MISSOURI continues its late season surge with another fantastic overall performance; lay the points. AAA Sports |
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11-17-18 | Virginia +6.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 140 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Virginia. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Virginia is already 3-1 ATS this year as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range and 3-1 ATS this season vs. teams with winning records, while Georgia Tech is already just 2-3 ATS at home and only 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. We think the CAVALIERS’ defense keeps the visitors in this one late; grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-17-18 | Pittsburgh v. Wake Forest +6 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -108 | 137 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Wake Forest. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Pittsburgh is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven after two or more SU wins and only 4-9 ATS in its last 13 as a favorite, while Wake Forest is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 as an underdog and 5-3 ATS off a win against a conference rival. Look for desperate WAKE FOREST to take this one down to the wire. AAA Sports |
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11-16-18 | Boise State v. New Mexico +20 | Top | 45-14 | Loss | -108 | 122 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF THE GAME on New Mexico. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Boise State is just 8-13 ATS in its last 21 after playing a conference game and just 6-11 ATS in its last 17 after two or more consecutive SU wins, while New Mexico is still 10-6 ATS in its last 16 as an underdog. We think Boise gets caught looking past its lowly but hungry home opponent. Grab the points, play on NEW MEXICO. AAA Sports |
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11-15-18 | Florida Atlantic v. North Texas -2.5 | Top | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 99 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on North Texas. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that FAU is just 4-10 ATS in its last 14 as an underdog, while UNT is 2-0 ATS in its last two as a home fav of three points or less. The bottom line: FAU comes in off a nice win and UNT enters off an upset loss. Look for the high-flying MEAN GREEN to put the foot on the gas from start to finish. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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11-15-18 | Packers v. Seahawks -2.5 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 86 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Seattle Seahawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Green Bay is just 1-3 ATS on the road this year and only 1-2 ATS vs. teams with losing records, while Seattle is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 following a divisional contests and 2-0 ATS in its last two following two or more SU losses. The bottom line: The Pack come in off a win at home over the Fish, while the Hawks enter off a loss in LA. Seattle looked sharp last week though and we think it’ll find a way to get the job done here and defend home field. Lay the points, play on the SEAHAWKS. AAA Sports |
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11-14-18 | Miami-OH +6.5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 13-7 | Win | 100 | 73 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Miami Ohio. After six straight wins, we think NIU comes up short here. Miami Ohio is the “hungrier” team here, as it still sits two games behind in the East race. The Redhawks though come in off a big win over Ohio last week and there’s no reason not to think that the team can’t carry that momentum over here as well. It sets up well from a situational stand point for an outright upset, but also note that MIAMI OHIO is a strong 4-1 ATS in its last five as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range and 8-4 ATS in its last 12 off a win against a conference rival, while NIU is only 3-6 ATS in its last nine as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-13-18 | Western Michigan v. Ball State +8 | Top | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Ball State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that WMU is a horrible 9-12 ATS in its last 21 following a conference game (including just 1-4 ATS this year), while Ball State is 4-2 ATS in its last six as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. The bottom line: WMU is free falling after QB Jon Wassink went down. BALL STATE keeps this one competitive at home. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-12-18 | Giants +3.5 v. 49ers | Top | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 37 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the New York Giants. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that New York is already 3-1 ATS on the road this year, 9-4 ATS in its last 13 after two or more consecutive SU losses and 6-3 ATS in its last nine off a loss against a division rival, while San Fran is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight as a favorite and only 8-10 ATS in its last 18 vs. teams with losing records. The bottom line: New York comes in rested out of its bye and desperate to avoid a 1-8 start. The 49ers enter off a satisfying 34-3 win over the Raiders, but we think it’ll take a step back here against this talented and rested GIANTS’ defense. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-11-18 | Saints v. Bengals +4.5 | 51-14 | Loss | -105 | 149 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 9* SUPER BLOWOUT on the Cincinnati Bengals. The Saints have been the talk of the league so far this year and they come in off an epic NFC victory over the Rams at home last weekend. But New Orleans is finally primed for a letdown here in our opinion. Drew Brees and company have been playing at such a high level for so long, but we think that the “wheels come off the bus” this weekend in this non-conference and very difficult road venue. The Bengals’ come in hungry and QB Andy Dalton is expected to take advantage of a suspect and “gassed” Saints’ secondary. Additionally note that New Orleans is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine non-conference games, while Cincinnati is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as an underdog. Grab the points, play on the BENGALS. AAA Sports |
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11-11-18 | Redskins +2.5 v. Bucs | 16-3 | Win | 100 | 149 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ART OF THE GAME on the Washington Redskins. The Bucs are the higher scoring team, but the Redskins come in desperate. They still lead the division, but they’ll need a victory this weekend to keep distance from the suddenly surging Eagles. The Bucs though have been an absolute train-wreck on the defensive side of the ball and while Alex Smith and the Redskins offense has been “hit or miss” this season, clearly the unit has a big opportunity in facing the league’s worst defense. Note that Washington is 13-9 ATS in its last 24 as an underdog and 9-6 ATS in its last 15 vs. teams with losing records, while TB is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 as a favorite and just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 at home. Grab the points, play on the REDSKINS. AAA Sports |
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11-11-18 | Falcons v. Browns +4.5 | Top | 16-28 | Win | 100 | 149 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* UPSET SPECIAL on the Cleveland Browns. The Falcons have won three in a row and they come in off a big victory on the road last weekend, but we think they’ll finally stumble here against a Browns team hungry for a victory. Cleveland won’t be going to the playoffs, but it also won’t go down without a fight today. Cleveland rookie QB Baker Mayfield doesn’t have a lot to work with, but he’s kept his team competitive each week and he’ll be given the “green light” here today to open things up early and often. Atlanta’s defense has been horrible, so the home side is going to have its opportunities. Note that ATL is just 2-9 ATS in its last 11 non-conference contests, while Cleveland is already 2-0 ATS in non-conference contests this season. Grab the points, play on the BROWNS. AAA Sports |
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11-11-18 | Jaguars v. Colts -3 | Top | 26-29 | Push | 0 | 149 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Indianapolis Colts. Jacksonville opened the year with a big win over the Patriots, but since then it’s been mostly downhill. The offense has been terrible and overall the team has had to deal with injuries from Day 1. The Colts have had to deal with injuries as well, but veteran QB Andrew Luck has for the most part been excellent. The Colts remain competitive each week with Luck in the lineup and we expect him to push the tempo and open this one up whenever he can. The Jags’ lack of offensive fire-power in this difficult road venue turns out to be the difference ultimately in the end for us. Lay the points, play on the COLTS. AAA Sports |
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11-10-18 | Oregon State v. Stanford -22.5 | Top | 17-48 | Win | 100 | 144 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* PAC-12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Stanford. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Oregon State is just 6-9 ATS in its last 15 on the road and only 1-3 ATS in its last four off a loss against a conference rival, while Stanford is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three after two or more consecutive SU losses. The bottom line: Wrong time, wrong place for Oregon State. Stanford comes in on a losing streak and desperate for victory. The situation and the numbers both point to STANFORD as the correct call in this one. AAA Sports |
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11-10-18 | Michigan v. Rutgers +39 | 42-7 | Win | 100 | 139 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Rutgers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Michigan is just 2-4 ATS in its last six when playing against teams with losing records and only 2-3 ATS in its last five as a favorite of 31 points or more, while Rutgers is 10-6 ATS in its last 16 at home and 4-2 ATS in its last six vs. teams with winning records. The bottom line: We think the Wolverines get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. Too many points, play on RUTGERS. AAA Sports |
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11-10-18 | Virginia Tech +3.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 22-52 | Loss | -115 | 139 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on Virginia Tech. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Virginia Tech is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog of three points or less, while Pittsburgh is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after two or more consecutive SU wins and only 3-9 ATS in its last 12 as a favorite. The bottom line: Virginia Tech is the more desperate team after its recent slide and we haven’t counted the Hokies out yet. Look for the visitors to go down fighting and grab the points; play on VIRGINIA TECH. AAA Sports |
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11-10-18 | Navy +26 v. Central Florida | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 135 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on Navy. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Navy is still 8-6 ATS in its last 14 as an underdog, while UCF is interestingly 0-2 ATS in its last two when playing with eight days of rest. The bottom line: Navy won’t be playing in a bowl, but all signs point to the Golden Knights looking past their lowly opponent today. Grab the points, play on NAVY. AAA Sports |
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11-10-18 | Ohio State -3.5 v. Michigan State | 26-6 | Win | 100 | 135 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOWOUT on Ohio State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Ohio State is 11-8 ATS in its last 19 as a road favorite in the 3.5 to 7 points range, while MSU is 1-4 ATS at home and just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after two or more SU victories. The bottom line: It’s not been an easy road for the 6-1 Buckeyes and we expect MSU to come up short here after the three-game unbeaten streak. The numbers point to a blowout, play on OHIO STATE. AAA Sports |
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11-08-18 | Wake Forest +15 v. NC State | Top | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 95 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on Wake Forest. Wake Forest lost its starting QB and it’s struggled against the better competition, but it desperately needs a victory and after NC State broke a two-game slide with a win last week at home, we think the Wolfpack come in a tiny bit complacent here. Note that Wake has been “money in the bank” for bettors in this spot as well by going 9-5 ATS in its last 14 on the road and 15-8 ATS in its last 23 when playing on six or less days rest. Grab the points, play on WAKE FOREST. AAA Sports |
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11-07-18 | Ohio v. Miami-OH +3.5 | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 70 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Miami Ohio. Ohio’s won four straight and it comes in off a big blowout victory as an underdog over WMU, but Miami Ohio plays with revenge and it’s still trying desperately to become bowl eligible. After two straight big wins, we absolutely believe the Bobcats have a letdown mentally here. Note that MIAMI OHIO is already 4-1 ATS against the conference this season, while Ohio is just 1-2 ATS in its last three as a road favorite. AAA Sports |
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