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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-01-16 | Louisville v. Clemson +2 | Top | 36-42 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Clemson. Setting the scene: It’s a battle of ACC heavyweights, as 4-0 Louisville takes on 4-0 Clemson on Saturday night. This line opened with the Tigers as 3.5 point favorites, but as of writing, Clemson is now the dog, getting a couple of points. So far Cardinals’ QB Lamar Jackson has been unstoppable this year, but we think he’s going to struggle in this difficult venue and against this top notch defense. Louisville: Jackson would finish with 417 yards and five passing TD’s, to go along with two more rushing scores in his team’s 59-28 win over Marshall last week. Jackson so far has 12 rushing TD’s, which is No. 1 in the country. The Clemson rush defense though is the most stout he’ll have faced yet this season. RB Brandon Radcliff is another dangerous weapon, to go along with WR James Quick, who has 360 receiving yards thus far. Their offense is No. 1, but the defense is ranked in the middle of the pack, allowing 22.5 PPG, ranked 47th in the nation. Clemson: The Tigers dismantled Georgia Tech last weekend, dominating on both sides of the ball in the 26-8 win. QB DeShaun Watson continues to slowly get better as the season has worn on, he was 32 of 48 for 304 yards, two TD’s and an INT. RB Wayne Gallman has yet to find his stride, rushing for 100 yards just once. Note though that offense averages 33.5 PPG, 57th overall in the country. Defensively though Clemson ranks among the best, last week it held the Yellow Jackets up-tempo attack to just 29 yards in the air and only 95 yards on the ground. Over the first four games the unit has given up an average of just 11 PPG. The bottom line: This clearly won’t be a cake walk, while it’s true that Jackson has yet to face a defense as good as Clemson’s, it’s also true that the Tigers have yet to face an offense as dynamic as this one. Note though that Louisville has in fact struggled in this spot for bettors in the past, going just 4-6 ATS in its last ten after two or more consecutive SU wins and interestingly just 3-5 ATS in its last eight in weeks 5 through 9. And note that this is a spot in which the Tigers have excelled in, going 4-1 ATS in their last five as an underdog and 10-5 ATS vs. teams with winning records. They say defense wins championships, and while nothing but a perfect record after five weeks is on the line in this one, we still feel that adage applies in this big conference matchup. Play on CLEMSON. AAA Sports |
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09-29-16 | Connecticut v. Houston -27.5 | Top | 14-42 | Win | 100 | 34 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Houston. Setting the scene: It’s time for some revenge tonight as UConn managed a 20-17 win at home over Houston last year. The Huskies are 2-2 SU, while the Cougars are 4-0. Connecticut lost 31-24 at home to Syracuse last week, while Houston smashed Texas State 64-3. The Huskies: UConn failed to convert on a fourth down on the Orange two-yard line with just seconds left to play, spoiling the come from behind victory. QB Bryant Shirreffs had 264 yards with one TD and one INT. Shirreffs has struggled to open the year, with just two TD’s to go along with two INT’s. The Huskies have one great receiver in Noel Tomas, who had 14 catches for 111 yards last week, but beyond him, they’re pretty thin on the offensive side of the ball. Note that the unit is ranked 109th in the country at 21.2 PPG. The defense has done a better job, allowing 22.5 PPG, ranked 46th. The Cougars: QB Greg Ward Jr. was 20 of 26 against Texas State for 289 yards, two TD’s and no INT’s. Ward Jr. didn’t play in Week 2 against FCS Lamar, but over the three games that he has been involved in, he’s thrown for 936 yards with five TD’s and two INT’s. The run game was also dominant with 243 total team yards last week, led by Duke Catalon with 70. So far the offense has averaged 44.8 PPG. The defense could arguably be even better, as it’s given up an average of 10.5 PPG thus far. The bottom line: Note that UConn is just 6-20-1 ATS in its last 27 road games, while Houston is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight after allowing less than 20 points in its previous game. We simply can’t see the Huskies matching pace with the Cougars high-powered offense. So far Shirreffs has been terrible and he’s about to go up against the best defense he’s seen all year. We like HOUSTON to put the foot on the gas from start to finish, lay the points. AAA Sports |
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09-24-16 | California v. Arizona State UNDER 82.5 | Top | 41-51 | Loss | -107 | 99 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* PAC-12 TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER between California and Arizona State. Setting the scene: For the most part, we base our Over/Under predictions on “situations” (in every sport). Cal is 2-1 SU to open the year and has seen the total soar above the number in all three contests. ASU is 3-0 SU and has seen the O/U go 2-1, including in two straight. When these teams played last year, Cal won 48-46, the total also flying above the posted number. Three of these team’s last four in the series have also eclipsed the number. In 2004 the total was set at 60, 2007 it was 63, 2008 it was 53, 2009 it was 51, 2010 it was 50.5, 2011 it was 55.5, 2012 it was 58, and in 2015 it was 67. And now in 2016 it sky-rockets to 82.5. These teams have high-powered offenses and play little defense, however we think that this number is indeed just a little bit too high. California: Note that Cal has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 12 on the road, in ten of its last 16 when playing the role of underdog and in ten of its last 15 vs. teams with winning records. Arizona State: Note that the Sun Devils have seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 15 in front of the home town crowd and in ten of their last 18 when playing the role of favorite. The bottom line: This number is really high. You don’t need many stops or FG’s for this one to lose pace and that’s exactly what we’re expecting. This can still be a high-scoring shootout and fall below this massive number. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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09-17-16 | Colorado v. Michigan UNDER 57 | Top | 28-45 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between Colorado and Michigan. Setting the scene: Both teams come in at 2-0 SU. Michigan has rolled and seen the total go OVER in both games thus far, but with conference action starting next week, we think the Wolverines come in a little flat footed this afternoon, leaving the back door open for a solid play on the UNDER in this one. Colorado: The Buffs come off a 56-7 win over Idaho State last week. QB Sefo Liufau was 15 of 18 for 200 yards and three TD’s. In all, three different receivers had over 70 yards. The run game was also solid, totaling 262 yards on the ground. Michigan: The Wolverines had their way with UCF last weekend, QB Wilton Speight was 25 of 37 for 312 yards and four TD’s. The team is loaded with weapons offensively, especially at the receiver positions, but we’re expecting the home side to concentrate on the run today, an area of weakness as the unit is ranked just 84th in the country. The bottom line: Note that Colorado has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last nine non-conference games, while Michigan has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of its last 11 in the same position. Beating up on lowly Idaho State is one thing, but doing the same to a Wolverine’s defensive unit which was ranked 11th in the nation last year is another entirely. We look for the home side to control the pace while on offense and for this total to indeed sneak UNDER the number. AAA Sports |
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09-17-16 | Boston College v. Virginia Tech OVER 41.5 | Top | 0-49 | Win | 100 | 117 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* ACC TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER between Boston College and Virginia Tech. Setting the scene: If you can get 42 or better, then we love this play as we look for these two normally offensively challenged schools to open up the playbook this afternoon and for this total to comfortably fly above the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. Boston College: The Eagles evened their record at 1-1 in last week’s 26-7 win over UMass. BC lost its conference opener to Georgia Tech in Ireland, so will be seeking to move to .500 in league play. Last week the Eagles forced three turnovers and held a 344-122 edge in total yards in the victory. Note that the offense averages 20 PPG, while the defense (so far), has allowed just 12 PPG. Virginia Tech: The Hokies will be looking to take out their frustrations today after getting hammered 45-24 at the hands of No. 17 Tennessee last weekend. Last week VT actually held a 14-0 lead at one point, but then was outscored 45-10 the rest of the way. The Hokies also won the yardage battle by a 400-330 edge. Five turnovers was the biggest difference in the end. The offense looks good, the numbers rank the unit right in the middle of the pack nationally. The bottom line: The Eagles are strong defensively, but are out to prove that they can finally put points on the board as well. VT’s defense looked susceptable last weekend and we think BC will take some shots. We’re also expecting the home side to put the foot on the gas while on offense so as to wear down the Eagles’ strong defensive unit. In our professional opinion, this number is just a little bit low. Play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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09-17-16 | South Florida v. Syracuse +12.5 | Top | 45-20 | Loss | -105 | 142 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Syracuse. Setting the scene: While we’ll stop short of calling for an outright upset, we do definitely feel this one sets up fantastic for the undervalued home side, so in the end we’ll recommend that you grab as many points as you can. USF: The Bulls are firing on all cylinders, they’re coming off back to back blowout SU/ATS victories, including in last week’s 48-17 win over NIU last weekend. But with a game at home against Florida State next Saturday, we think the visitors are going to have a predictable letdown this afternoon, unable to help themselves in “looking ahead” to that monstrous matchup. Syracuse: The Orange are 1-1 to start their season opening three-game home stand. The team will then embark on three straight on the road, so a victory today would clearly go a long way in perhaps shaping the rest of the year. The bottom line: We base our selections off many different criteria. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we’ll completely dissect a contest from top to bottom. We think this is a great “situational” play though. Play on SYRACUSE. AAA Sports |
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09-17-16 | Georgia State +30 v. Wisconsin | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 139 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Georgia State. Setting the scene: When the Sunday NFL games are going off, we’re already looking ahead to the following week’s College Football contests. We often jump on lines early and sometimes that works for us and other times that works against us. The latter is the case here, as we got Georgia State at +30 and that line has since gone up considerably, even +35.5 in some places. Regardless, we still love this selection as we feel that Wisconsin gets caught in a classic “trap” scenario this afternoon. Georgia State: Has nothing to lose here after a double-digit home loss to Ball State and a 48-14 setback on the road to Air Force. Note that Georgia State welcomes back 16 starters from last year. The Panthers though are not a good team and we won’t try to convince you that they are. However, as stated off the top we think this is a great spot for the visitor to sneak in through the back door down the stretch against a complacent home side that has bigger things on its mind. Wisconsin: A shocking 16-14 win over LSU in Week 1 as a 12.5 point underdog was followed up with a 54-10 beatdown victory over Akron as a 21.5 point favorite last Saturday. Now the Badgers have to play lowly Georgia State, before back-to-back road games at Michigan State and Michigan. The bottom line: Note that Georgia State is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog of 21.5 points or more, while Wisconsin is 0-2 ATS the last two seasons as a favorite of 31 points or more. All signs point to a “trap,” so grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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09-15-16 | Houston v. Cincinnati OVER 63 | Top | 40-16 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* ACC TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between Houston and Cincinnati. Setting the scene: Houston is 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS, while the O/U is 0-2. Cincinnatti is 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS and the O/U is 1-1. In 2013 they went UNDER the number, in 2014 they went OVER. In 2015 Houston would need to hold on for the 33-30 win, the total staying well below the sky-high number of 70.5 in that one. This year the total has dropped nearly an entire touchdown worth of points, making the OVER the savvy move in our opinion. The Cougars: Houston shocked Oklahoma 33-23 in its opener and then kept its focus last week in defeating FCS Lamar 42-0. Star QB Greg Ward Jr. didn’t even play in the game, so he’ll be very fresh tonight. Also starting tailback Duke Catalon was given the week off to nurse a sprained ankle. Houston is in a very good position coming into this Thursday night contest. The Bearcats: Cincinnati enters off a big win over Purdue, Hayden Moore was 19 of 32 for 250 yards with three passing touchdowns and two rushing touchdowns. The Bearcats also looked strong on the ground, rushing for 262 yards on 46 carries. The defense was also good, grabbing five interception, three of which led directly to major scores. The bottom line: These are two capable, top-notch offenses, yet neither side has seen the total actually eclipse the posted number many times over the last few years in any of the ATS O/U statistical categories. But we think that finally changes this evening. A focused Ward Jr. squaring off against the dual threat Moore = high-scoring shootout! Play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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09-10-16 | California +8 v. San Diego State | Top | 40-45 | Win | 100 | 128 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR on Cal. Setting the scene: Cal trounced Hawaii in Australia in the season opener and has now returned home for a much stiffer test this evening. SDSU has won six straight at home and is 15-2 its last 17 at Qualcomm Stadium. We think that California has the athletes to keep this one close and while we would not be shocked by an outright upset, everything points to the points as the savvy move in this matchup. Cal: The Bears are going to have their hands full with Aztecs RB Donnel Pumphrey, who has 4,370 career rushing yards and who has 2,057 yards and 21 TD’s in his last 15 at home. But if ever there was an offense that could match pace with the high-powered Aztecs, it’s California, who has averaged 630.2 yards of total offense and 46.0 points per game in its last five dating to last season. QB Davis Webb had 441 yards and four TD’s on 38 of 54 passing last week. SDSU: This team is simply loaded on both sides of the ball. Beyond Pumphrey, the Aztecs also have standout sophomore QB Christian Chapman, who had 283 yards and two TD’s against the Wildcats last week. The defense has held 12 straight opponents to 400 yards or less, but clearly the home side faces a very stiff test today. The bottom line: These teams are in fact very similar, as SDSU ranked second among FBS teams both in turnovers gained (34) and INT’s (23) last season. But not to be outdone, note that Cal finished tied for 11th in the FBS in fumbles recovered (12) and tied for 13th in total turnovers gained (23). Ultimately we think that Webb gives his team a punchers chance at an upset today. Play on the GOLDEN BEARS. AAA Sports |
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09-10-16 | Nevada v. Notre Dame -26 | Top | 10-39 | Win | 100 | 121 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Setting the scene: It’s the home opener for the Fighting Irish, who return home in a foul mood after falling 50-47 to Texas in overtime last weekend. The Wolfpack come in contented after taking care of Cal Poly in an unimpressive 30-27 effort in Week 1. In our opinion, all signs point to a lop-sided blowout once the final horn sounds. Wolf Pack: Nevada won, but it didn’t look good last week against lowly Cal Poly. QB Tyler Stewart was a bright spot though, finishing 17 of 23 for 189 yards and two touchdowns. RB James Butler ran for 123 yards off 21 carries. Nevada is solid offensively, but has more questions than answers on the defensive side of the ball. Fighting Irish: QB DeShone Kizer was hot early on and head coach Brian Kelly would stick with him. Kizer would finish 15 of 24 for 215 yards and five touchdowns, also adding 77 on the ground. Kizer will get the start here and he has a ton of different weapons to utilize, including Torii Hunter Jr, who had four catches for 37 yards and one touchdown last week. Notre Dame lost a bunch of starters from last years smothering defensive unit and that was clearly evident in last week’s setback. However, we’re expecting Kelly to have the unit fired up and razor focused this afternoon. The bottom line: We base our picks off many different factors, but for this one we’re keeping it simple. We’re not going to read too much into last week’s setback and believe the Fighting Irish defense is much better than what we witnessed. The Longhorns caught some early momentum and Notre Dame was never able to catch its breath. With the offense leading the charge again this week, we’re looking for the home side defense to be the difference maker today. Lay the points on NOTRE DAME. AAA Sports |
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09-09-16 | Louisville v. Syracuse +14.5 | Top | 62-28 | Loss | -106 | 105 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* SCORPION on Syracuse. Setting the scene: Both teams come off victories, as Louisville rolled to an impressive 70-14 victory over light-weight Charlotte last week, while Syracuse handled Colgate 33-7. When these team’s played last year, Louisville pulled away for the 41-17 victory. The Orange are going to be competitive in this spot in our opinion though and they’re going to catch a Cardinals team “looking ahead” to its important matchup against high-powered Florida State next week. Louisville: Here’s a great spot to take advantage of. We find it almost impossible not to see the Cardinals looking ahead to their game against FSU next weekend, a team they lost 41-21 to last season. Syracuse: The Orange have the benefit of playing three straight at home to open the year. Next weekend they play USF. Syracuse has its sights set on a bowl game this season after a disastrous 2015/16 campaign. 16 players return, so new coach Dino Babers has a lot to work with this season. The bottom line: Cardinals’ QB Lamar Jackson was outstanding in the win over the 49ers, but the step up in competition is significant in league play today. We think the Orange can hang with Louisville offensively and make this one a little more interesting than what Vegas believes. Also note that Louisville is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven as a fav in the 10.5 to 21 points range, while Syracuse is 8-6 ATS in its last 14 in front of the home town crowd. Grab as many points as you can on the ORANGE. AAA Sports |
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09-05-16 | Ole Miss +5 v. Florida State | Top | 34-45 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Ole Miss. Setting the scene: Both teams are ranked and each are coming off 10-3 seasons. We think this one is going to be war right down until the final whistle, a contest which could very likely be decided by whichever team has the ball in its possession in the final moments. In this expected competitive affair, we’re going to recommend grabbing the points. Mississippi: The Rebels catch a break as this is in fact a neutral site game, being played at Camping World Stadium in Orlando. Ole Miss put up an average of 334.7 YPG through the air last year and also racked up an additional 183.1 YPG on the ground. The offense is led by QB Chad Kelly, who notched 4042 passing yards and a 31:13 TD:INT ratio. The unit does have a couple of holes to fill because of players leaving to go to the NFL, but Markell Pack, DaMarkus Lodge and Damore’ea Stringfellow are set to the fill the void at the WR position. Defensively the team was pretty good, allowing 258.8 through the air and a much better 127.1 YPG on the ground. The run defense is going to have to be sharp today in facing one of the top RB’s in the nation. Florida State: FSU averaged 255.8 YPG passing last year and 168.2 YPG on the round. Heisman trophy candidate Dalvin Cook will be leaned upon heavily in this game and throughout the season. And that’s because the Seminoles will be starting a freshman under center, Deondre Francois is expected to be among the best in the conference by the end of the season, but he’s being thrown directly into the fire in having to face one of the best defensive units in the SEC in his first game. The bottom line: Note that the Rebels are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine neutral-site games, while FSU is 0-5 ATS in the same position. We think Ole Miss can win the battle in the trenches and at the point of attack, putting the pressure on Francois to step up. Kelly is tested and proven and he’ll be the difference maker today. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, as stated off the top, we’re going to grab as many points as we can in this one. Play on OLE MISS. AAA Sports |
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09-04-16 | Notre Dame v. Texas UNDER 59 | Top | 47-50 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the UNDER between Notre Dame and Texas. Setting the scene: The Irish easily handled the Longhorns 38-3 at home last year. We’re expecting a more competitive affair this time around, but still have a hard time seeing the Longhorns mustering much of an offensive attack with the question marks surrounding the QB position. Notre Dame: The Irish have two awesome QB’s that they can turn to at any time. Senior Malik Zaire is back after he broke his ankle early in the season. Sophomore backup DeShone Kizer stepped in though and led ND to a 10-2 regular season record. The Irish lost seven players to the NFL on the defensive side of the ball, but the secondary definitely catches a break in facing a Longhorns unit which is likely going to be committed to the run first today. Texas: So not only are the Longhorns trying to figure out who is their starting QB (between Buechele and Swoopes), but the unit is also getting instruction from a new offensive coordinator this year in Sterling Gilbert. It’s a “new look” offense, but one which is going to need some time to gel. But as mentioned above, Texas is going to be looking to establish the run game throughout and features a duo nicknamed the “Smash Brothers” in junior D’Onta Freeman and Chris Warren III. The bottom line: Both teams are dealing with “change” to open the year. This one has the feel of more of a “chess match,” rather than a wide-open “track meet.” Early chemistry issues for each side leads to this one sneaking UNDER the number at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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09-03-16 | Clemson -7 v. Auburn | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -116 | 74 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Clemson. Setting the scene: Clemson played in the College Football Championship Game last season and will be looking for a repeat performance this year as well. Auburn is expected to be much more competitive after finishing 7-6 last season, but still clearly has miles to go before being able to hang with the best in the nation. When the smoke clears at the end of this one, we expect Clemson to have pulled away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Clemson: Quarterback DeShaun Watson will be fired up and looking to make a statement to open the season, his only loss of the year came against Alabama in the Nat. Champ game. Watson completed 67.8 percent of his passes for 4,104 yards, 35 TDs and 13 INT’s last year. He was also the team’s second leading rusher with 1,105 yards on the ground and another 12 major scores. Leading rusher Wayne Gallman is also back and he totaled 1,527 rushing yards and 13 TD’s. Auburn: It finished dead last in the SEC West. It also finished ranked 85th out of 128 FBS teams in total defense last season. The bottom line: Auburn’s secondary should be much improved this year, but the unit is young and likely faces its stiffest test of the entire season right out of the gate. Too much Gallman and too much Watson in this one, play on CLEMSON. AAA Sports |
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09-03-16 | Missouri v. West Virginia OVER 50.5 | Top | 11-26 | Loss | -113 | 66 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* total TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER between Missouri and West Virginia. Setting the scene: Missouri had a stout defense a year ago, but stumbled on the offensive side of things. Barry Odom was brought in as head coach and he’ll be looking to the return of numerous skilled players from the offense to take the unit to the next level. WVU is coming off an 8-5 season, but coach Dana Holgorsen will be on the proverbial hot seat this year. These are two coach’s with something to prove and we’re expecting that competitiveness to translate into production on the field of play this afternoon. Missouri: The team is led by QB Drew Lock, who is expected to take a major step forward after a sub-par 2015/16 campaign. Lock finished with just a 2-6 record while completing less than half of his passes, but his athletic skill is off the charts. With one year under his belt, we’re expecting to see a major difference this time around. Also note that Alabama transfer Chris Black at WR is a huge weapon for Lock. West Virginia: The team is led by senior QB Skyler Howard and a veteran offensive line which many feel could be not only one of the best in the conference, but in the entire nation itself. WVU is going to have to air it out today as the Tigers present a considerable challenge up front. The bottom line: We think this will be a very competitive game, despite what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. WVU will be pushing the pace from the outset and with Missouri forced to match, the savvy move in this one is absolutely on the OVER. AAA Sports |
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09-01-16 | South Carolina v. Vanderbilt OVER 42.5 | Top | 13-10 | Loss | -105 | 55 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER TOTAL on the OVER between South Carolina and Vanderbilt. Setting the scene: South Carolina will be looking for a much better result than its 3-9 season in 2015/16, a campaign remembered for longtime head coach Steve Spurrier stepping down halfway through. Vanderbilt wasn’t much better in finishing at 4-8 overall, a one game improvement over its 2014 campaign. This is an important conference game for two teams that are hungry to prove themselves. We’re expecting each to push the pace on the offensive end and ultimately feel that this number is just a little low. South Carolina: The Gamecocks closed last season with five straight losses and setbacks in six of their last seven. The glaring weakness was on offense as the team was 110th in the nation in scoring with 21.9 points per game. The defense allowed 27.5 points. There has been a big turnover on both lines, but the expected starting QB will be Perry Orth, who completed 143 of 261 passes for 1,929 yards with 12 touchdowns last year. Vanderbilt: The focus in the offseason has been on the offensive end as the team finished just 113th in the nation in passing with 171.8 yards per game. QB Kyle Shurmur started five games last season and he’ll get the call under center to open the 2016/17 campaign. He completed 44 of 103 passes for 503 yards and five TD’s. The offense will once again be leaning on RB Ralph Webb, who ran 277 times for 1,152 yards and five major scores. The defense was decent, allowing just 21 points per game. The bottom line: South Carolina beat Vanderbilt 19-10 last October, but all signs point to more of a shootout than a chessmatch this time around. The Commodores passing game is expected to be much better with a trio of capable receivers in Trent Sherfield, Caleb Scott and CJ Duncan. Expectations are high, but tempered at the same time for each side. That said, as mentioned above this is an important conference game and as such, we’re expecting these teams to push the pace from the outset and look for this one to blast past the number once it’s all said and done. Play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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01-11-16 | Alabama v. Clemson UNDER 52.5 | Top | 45-40 | Loss | -106 | 244 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between Alabama and Clemson. |
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01-02-16 | TCU v. Oregon -7 | Top | 47-41 | Loss | -102 | 33 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Oregon. |
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01-01-16 | Iowa v. Stanford -6 | Top | 16-45 | Win | 100 | 78 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Stanford. |
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01-01-16 | Notre Dame v. Ohio State -6.5 | Top | 28-44 | Win | 100 | 74 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Ohio State. |
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12-31-15 | Michigan State v. Alabama -9.5 | Top | 0-38 | Win | 100 | 508 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Alabama. |
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12-31-15 | Oklahoma -3.5 v. Clemson | Top | 17-37 | Loss | -110 | 504 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER Oklahoma. |
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12-30-15 | Wisconsin v. USC -3.5 | Top | 23-21 | Loss | -100 | 37 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on USC. |
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12-30-15 | Memphis v. Auburn -3 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 26 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Auburn. |
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12-26-15 | Tulsa v. Virginia Tech -13.5 | Top | 52-55 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Virginia Tech. |
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12-24-15 | Cincinnati v. San Diego State -1.5 | Top | 7-42 | Win | 100 | 32 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on San Diego State. |
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12-23-15 | Boise State v. Northern Illinois +8.5 | Top | 55-7 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Northern Illinois. |
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12-21-15 | Western Kentucky -2.5 v. South Florida | Top | 45-35 | Win | 100 | 26 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Western Kentucky. |
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12-12-15 | Army v. Navy OVER 53 | Top | 17-21 | Loss | -110 | 127 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER between Army and Navy. |
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12-05-15 | Michigan State v. Iowa +3.5 | Top | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 149 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa. |
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12-05-15 | USC v. Stanford -4 | Top | 22-41 | Win | 100 | 148 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Stanford. |
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12-05-15 | Florida +17.5 v. Alabama | Top | 15-29 | Win | 100 | 144 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Florida. |
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12-04-15 | Northern Illinois v. Bowling Green -8 | Top | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 127 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Bowling Green. |
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11-28-15 | Notre Dame v. Stanford -3.5 | Top | 36-38 | Loss | -106 | 80 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* PAC-12 ASSASSIN on Stanford. |
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11-28-15 | Vanderbilt v. Tennessee OVER 40 | Top | 28-53 | Win | 100 | 77 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL RED DRAGON on the OVER between Vanderbilt and Tennessee. |
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11-28-15 | Ohio State +1.5 v. Michigan | Top | 42-13 | Win | 100 | 73 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Ohio State. |
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11-26-15 | Texas Tech v. Texas -2 | Top | 48-45 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Texas. |
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11-21-15 | Georgia Southern v. Georgia OVER 50.5 | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -110 | 121 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER between Georgia Southern and Georgia. |
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11-21-15 | Michigan v. Penn State UNDER 42.5 | Top | 28-16 | Loss | -110 | 114 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the UNDER between Michigan and Penn State. |
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11-20-15 | Air Force v. Boise State -12.5 | Top | 37-30 | Loss | -106 | 105 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Boise State. |
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11-18-15 | Central Michigan v. Kent State OVER 42 | Top | 27-14 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* MAC TOP TOTAL on the OVER between Central Michigan and Kent State. |
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11-14-15 | Oregon State v. California OVER 57 | Top | 24-54 | Win | 100 | 123 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the OVER between Oregon State and California. |
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11-14-15 | San Jose State v. Nevada OVER 51 | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 117 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* MOUNTAIN WEST TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER between Nevada and San Jose State. |
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11-14-15 | Nebraska v. Rutgers UNDER 65 | Top | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 116 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the UNDER between Nebraska and Rutgers. |
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11-13-15 | USC v. Colorado OVER 61.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the OVER between USC and Colorado. |
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11-07-15 | Arizona State +1 v. Washington State | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -106 | 125 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Arizona State. |
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11-07-15 | Eastern Michigan v. Miami (OH) UNDER 62.5 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 118 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER between Eastern Michigan and Miami Ohio. |
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11-07-15 | Vanderbilt v. Florida OVER 39.5 | Top | 7-9 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the OVER between Florida and Vanderbilt. |
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11-06-15 | Temple v. SMU +11.5 | Top | 60-40 | Loss | -110 | 125 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on SMU. |
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11-05-15 | Mississippi State v. Missouri OVER 39.5 | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 78 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* SEC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER between Mississippi State and Missouri. |
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10-31-15 | Texas v. Iowa State OVER 53 | Top | 0-24 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL SHOOTOUT on the OVER between Texas and Iowa State. |
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10-31-15 | Rutgers v. Wisconsin OVER 49 | Top | 10-48 | Win | 100 | 91 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the OVER between Rutgers and Wisconsin. |
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10-30-15 | Louisiana Tech v. Rice UNDER 67.5 | Top | 42-17 | Win | 100 | 97 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the UNDER between Louisiana Tech and Rice. |
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10-29-15 | Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan UNDER 70 | Top | 58-28 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the UNDER between Western Michigan and Eastern Michigan. |
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10-24-15 | Missouri v. Vanderbilt OVER 35 | Top | 3-10 | Loss | -110 | 118 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* SEC TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER between Missouri and Vanderbilt. |
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10-24-15 | Pittsburgh v. Syracuse UNDER 51.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 115 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the UNDER between Pittsburgh and Syracuse. |
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10-23-15 | Memphis v. Tulsa OVER 75 | Top | 66-42 | Win | 100 | 99 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the OVER between Memphis and Tulsa. |
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10-17-15 | Michigan State +7 v. Michigan | Top | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 142 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Michigan State. |
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10-17-15 | Buffalo v. Central Michigan OVER 50.5 | Top | 14-51 | Win | 100 | 116 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* MAC CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER between Buffalo and Central Michigan. |
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10-16-15 | UNLV v. Fresno State +3 | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 126 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Fresno State. |
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10-15-15 | Western Kentucky v. North Texas +28 | Top | 55-28 | Win | 110 | 100 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* "ASSASSIN" on North Texas. |
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10-15-15 | Auburn -1 v. Kentucky | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 100 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Auburn. |
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10-10-15 | Michigan State -17 v. Rutgers | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 148 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR on Michigan State. |
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10-10-15 | Northwestern v. Michigan OVER 36 | Top | 0-38 | Win | 100 | 116 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the OVER between Northwestern and Michigan. |
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10-10-15 | Baylor v. Kansas UNDER 77 | Top | 66-7 | Win | 100 | 112 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between Baylor and Kansas. |
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10-08-15 | Washington v. USC OVER 56 | Top | 17-12 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER between Washington and USC. |
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10-03-15 | Arizona v. Stanford UNDER 63.5 | Top | 17-55 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER between Arizona and Stanford. |
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10-03-15 | Western Kentucky v. Rice UNDER 72 | Top | 49-10 | Win | 100 | 116 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between Western Kentucky and Rice. |
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10-03-15 | Texas Tech v. Baylor UNDER 87 | Top | 35-63 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG-12 TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between Texas Tech and Baylor. |
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10-03-15 | Purdue v. Michigan State -24 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 137 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Michigan State. |
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10-03-15 | Minnesota +7 v. Northwestern | Top | 0-27 | Loss | -110 | 137 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Minnesota. |
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10-02-15 | Connecticut v. BYU OVER 46.5 | Top | 13-30 | Loss | -106 | 99 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the OVER between Connecticut and BYU. |
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10-01-15 | Miami (Fla) v. Cincinnati UNDER 68.5 | Top | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 72 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER between Miami and Cincinnati. |
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09-26-15 | Ball State +18 v. Northwestern | Top | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 149 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Ball State. |
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09-26-15 | BYU v. Michigan -4 | Top | 0-31 | Win | 100 | 141 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Michigan. |
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09-26-15 | Central Michigan v. Michigan State -28.5 | Top | 10-30 | Loss | -110 | 141 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Michigan State. |
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09-25-15 | Stanford v. Oregon State +16.5 | Top | 42-24 | Loss | -110 | 127 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* SCORPION on Oregon State. |
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09-24-15 | Cincinnati v. Memphis UNDER 68.5 | Top | 46-53 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between Cincinnati and Memphis. |
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09-19-15 | Stanford v. USC OVER 51.5 | Top | 41-31 | Win | 100 | 120 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER between Stanford and USC. |
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09-19-15 | Western Kentucky v. Indiana UNDER 68 | Top | 35-38 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER between Western Kentucky and Indiana. |
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09-17-15 | Clemson v. Louisville +5.5 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 95 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Louisville. |
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09-12-15 | Oregon +2.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 146 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Oregon. |
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09-12-15 | South Florida v. Florida State -28.5 | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 137 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Florida State. |
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09-10-15 | Louisiana Tech +1.5 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 38-41 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Louisiana Tech. |
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09-07-15 | Ohio State v. Virginia Tech +11 | Top | 42-24 | Loss | -110 | 792 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Virginia Tech. |
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09-06-15 | Purdue v. Marshall -7 | Top | 31-41 | Win | 100 | 744 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Marshall. |
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09-05-15 | Arkansas State v. USC -28 | Top | 6-55 | Win | 100 | 733 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on USC. |
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09-05-15 | BYU v. Nebraska -4.5 | Top | 33-28 | Loss | -110 | 725 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Nebraska. |
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09-03-15 | Michigan +6 v. Utah | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -105 | 683 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Michigan. |
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09-03-15 | Western Kentucky +2.5 v. Vanderbilt | Top | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 682 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Western Kentucky. |
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09-03-15 | South Carolina -3 v. North Carolina | Top | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 724 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on South Carolina. |
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01-12-15 | Ohio State v. Oregon UNDER 75 | Top | 42-20 | Win | 100 | 171 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER between Ohio State and Oregon. So here we go, I am playing the side, the total and the first half in this contest. Last year I was 19-16 +$1,500 with all of my bowl picks, making a play on every single game. This year I also decided to play every single bowl and I come into the National Championship game at 20-19, I need to go at least 2-1 to show a profit once again this season. No one said this professional sports handicapping business was easy, but I’m feeling pretty good about all three. For this particular selection I am recommending a play on the UNDER. Both teams overcame early losses and each would go on to dominate down the stretch. Each has also had to overcome adversity, albeit Ohio State’s was much greater. Obviously the first thing that comes to mind when thinking about these two teams is highly effecient offensive units, but for a number of different situational and strong O/U trend based reasons, I’m expecting this total to fall below the posted number once the final whistle sounds. Ohio State has been extremely resilient in replacing two star QB’s, but I think its “pivot issues” finally comes back to haunt it here. While Oregon has Heisman Trophy winner Marcus Mariota, he’ll once again have to operate without the services of star WR Darren Carrington for a second straight game (note that the Ducks have in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in two of their last three bowl games overall). A great situational play in my opinion, this can still be a high-scoring game and stay below this sky-high number and that’s exactly what I’m expecting; play on the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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01-01-15 | Ohio State +10 v. Alabama | Top | 42-35 | Win | 100 | 531 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Ohio State. I chose Ohio State to win the Big Ten and while I won’t be so bold as to call for an outright upset here, I do think that the Buckeyes will come to play today and expect them to at the very least keep this one close enough to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. I also picked the Tide to win the SEC as Alabama comes to New Orleans on an eight-game win streak. Alabama endured a grueling schedule and survived some close calls along the way. The Tide allowed just 16.6 PPG this year, which is fourth in the Nation. But Alabama is about to run smack dab into the middle of the Buckeyes high octane offense, a unit which used a 59-0 destruction of Wisconsin in the Big Ten championship game to punch its ticket to the semi finals of the inaugural College Football playoff. I don’t care who is under center for Ohio State, this is an offense that is running like a well oiled-machine and I absolutely think that Alabama is in for a big surprise today. The Buckeyes have battled through so much adversity this year that it’s not even funny, I think OHIO STATE keeps this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. AAA Sports |
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01-01-15 | Florida State +10 v. Oregon | Top | 20-59 | Loss | -120 | 527 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Florida State. I played this line pretty much right when it came out and got 9.5 and it’s since come down a bit from then, but regardless, with more than a month off to prepare for Oregon’s high-octane offense, I think the FSU defense will prove to be a difference maker today and expect the Seminoles to at the very least, keep this one close enough to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. This game features the countries top two QB’s, the Ducks Marcus Mariota won the Heisman Trophy this season, while FSU’s Jameis Winston won it last year. Mariota was clearly the best QB in 2014, but the fact remains that Winston has not lost a single game in two years. Florida State though would finish with a 3-10 record ATS, which I think helped in inflating this line. The Ducks would lose early, but Oregon’s overall difficulty of schedule is the reason for its No. 1 ranking. Florida State was deceptively good this year though, it’s never easy to win at this level, but note that the Noles finished 29th in points per game and 30th in scoring defense. Florida State has won in shootouts and in defensive affairs, it’s ability to adapt to any situation is a big reason why the team is undefeated in two years. Oregon finished one spot ahead of FSU in scoring defense, but I think will be surprised today by the Seminoles versatility on the offensive side of the ball. While I won’t be so bold to predict an outright upset, I do think that FLORIDA STATE has the necessary weapons to hang with the Ducks and look for this one to come down to the wire. AAA Sports |
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01-01-15 | Florida State v. Oregon UNDER 71.5 | Top | 20-59 | Loss | -110 | 527 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER between Florida State and Oregon. Having already written the overall analysis on Florida State for my 3-game Playoff Bowl report, I’ll just add that this is the highest remaining total left in all of the Bowl games. Most of the nation is expecting a high-scoring affair, but I believe that such extended periods of time off between games almost always effects the offensive units more than the defensive; I am expecting each team to come out a bit flat to open this game. And really, that should be enough to see this one fall under the number. Also note that FSU has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of three non-conference games this year and in seven of 11 after two or more consecutive SU wins. And note that Oregon has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of nine after two or more consecutive SU wins and in all four of its games that it’s played over the last two seasons when having two or more weeks off in between. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move here. AAA Sports |
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12-31-14 | Georgia Tech +7.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 49-34 | Win | 100 | 505 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT on Georgia Tech. While I won’t go so far as to call for an outright upset, I do believe that this is too many points to be giving up and expect Georgia Tech to at the very least, keep this one close enough to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. This is a matchup of strength vs. strength, as the Yellow Jackets high-octane triple-option offense takes on the hard-nosed defense of the Runnin Rebels. Mississippi State was dominant on the defensive side of the ball, but was not tested by anything like what Georgia Tech brings to the offensive table. The Yellow Jackets will be running today, and the team uses mismatches and clever offensive sets to get consistent production on almost every drive, ultimatley posting a ridiculous 333.6 yards of offense per game average on the ground this year. In all, fourteen players have recorded a carry for the team and twelve of those have at least 100 yards. However, if the defense cheats, then QB Justin Thomas can burn it through the air, the sophomore tallied 17 TD’s with just five INTs in 175 attempts. As good as the Bulldogs defense is, I have a hard time seeing their offense keeping pace. I like Georgia Tech to turn up the pressure early and while Mississippi State may in the end pull out the victory, I definitely expect this one to come down to the wire, indeed making the savvy move on the YELLOW JACKETS. AAA Sports |
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12-31-14 | Ole Miss v. TCU -3 | Top | 3-42 | Win | 100 | 497 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT on TCU. I think TCU brings more to the table in this matchup and expect it to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. TCU is the No. 2 scoring offense in the country. Mississippi has the FBS No. 1 ranked defense. This is a classic matchup of strength vs. strength. However, I think the Horned Frogs’ defense has a big opportunity to make some noise today as well and ultimately think that Mississippi will finally stumble after having to play catch-up all day long. TCU is choked after getting passed over in the inaugural College Footbal Playoff and I think it takes its frustrations out on Mississippi, the Horned Frogs would rout Iowa State 55-3 on December 6th, an effort not good enough in the committee’s eyes to secure a position: “We feel like this is a playoff game," said coach Gary Patterson enthusiastically last week. "Ole Miss was as high as third in the nation, they play at a very high level." The Rebels were rolling, but a loss to LSU on October 25th, and a 35-31 setback to Auburn a week later, as well as losing star receiver Laquon Treadwell to injury, all culminated in Mississippi’s national title hopes going up in flames. The Rebels would then also go on to lose 30-0 at Arkansas in their next SEC game, but would in the end finally recover to beat Mississippi State 31-17 in the Egg Bowl in its finale. It’s very important to note that Ole Miss QB Bo Wallace struggled down the stretch without Treadwell, completing just 55 percent of his passes with five TDs and five INTs in the final five games, after throwing 17 TDs and averaging 9.1 YPA during his team’s 7-0 start. I think the writing is on the wall and a blowout is in the cards, after taking all of the above situational and motivational factors into consideration, in my opinion all signs do indeed point to TCU as the sharp move here. AAA Sports |
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12-22-14 | BYU +2 v. Memphis | Top | 48-55 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT on BYU. As you can guess by the point-spread, these two teams are pretty evenly matched, but I ultimately think that the Cougars proficiency on the offensive end will prove to be too much for the Tigers and look for them to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Both teams come in with plenty of momentum, Memphis has won six straight games and has to be enjoying the lime light right now, it’s the team’s first bowl game since 1998. BYU comes in having won four straight games and six of its last nine bowl appearances and will be eager to atone for last year’s 31-16 loss to Washington in the Fight Hunger Bowl. This is a classic matchup of strength vs. strength, as BYU sports a high-scoring offense vs. Memphis’ stingy defensive unit. The Cougars average 36 points and 463 yards per game, while the Tigers are giving up just 17.1 points and 343 yards per game: “We don’t overlook a team," said BYU receiver Jordan Leslie earlier in the week. "When you look at their defense, it is a top-ranked defense. I mean, that’s a challenge for us. Our defense looking at their offense is just as much of a challenge. You can’t look at the name-brand of a team, because any team any year can be successful. They are 9-3 and their losses are against ranked teams and Houston. That’s a tough schedule. To have an opportunity to go 10-3 - that’s a great team." I think we’re getting great value here though, I am expecting BYU to set the tone early and it will be hard for Memphis to play catchup. In this case, great offense trumps great defense in my opinion, grab as many points as you can with BYU. AAA Sports |
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12-13-14 | Army v. Navy OVER 56.5 | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the OVER between Army and Navy. To say this is a “revenge” game for the Army Black Knights would be a bit of an understatement I think as they come into the 2014/15 version of this contest having lost 12-straight in the series. This is the 124th game between the two and is played at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. The Midshipmen have won by an average of 22.3 points during the streak, including last year’s 34-7 destruction. Navy has clearly been the “better” team for the better part of a decade, but what may come as a surprise is that the last eight in the series have fallen BELOW the posted number. Suffice it to say, I think that long-standing trend gets “bucked” today and believe the conditions are finally right for a higher-scoring shootout. This is a warm up game of sorts for Navy as it looks to work out any kinks before its Poinsettia Bowl matchup vs. SDSU on December 23rd. The Midshipmen have for the most part destroyed their opponents with the nation’s No. 2 rusing attack, averaging a whopping 357.8 per game; junior QB Keenan Reynolds leads the team in rushing and passing, totaling 1,831 yards and 25 TD’s from scrimmage. Reynolds has been extremely effecient this year, he’s only thrown three INT’s and his solid overall management almost resulted in a major upset over then No. 10 Norte Dame last month. Not to be outdone this year though, the Black Knights also possess a powerful run game which is ranked No. 6 in the country, led by RB Larry Dixon and QB Angel Santiago; note that the two have combined for 1,805 rushing yards and 19 TD’s. Army also comes in with some momentum here as it’s won two of its last three games with Dixon posting 158 yards and three TDs and Santiago leading five consecutive scoring drives in last week’s 42-31 win over Fordham. And note, Dixon rushed for 110 or more yards in four games this year and the Black Knights are 3-1 when he does so. Note that Army has seen the total sail above the posted number in four of six this year when playing the role of underdog, while Navy has seen it eclipse the number in all three games that it’s played this season with two weeks of rest. In my opinion, all signs do indeed point to the OVER as the sharp move in this one. AAA Sports |
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12-06-14 | Fresno State v. Boise State -20.5 | Top | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE DESTRUCTION on Boise State. For a number of different reasons I like the Broncos to put their foot on the gas and to pull away down the stretch for the convincing SU/ATS victory. A win today and Boise State will punch its ticket to a New Year’s Day bowl, definitely added incentive which we can take advantage of. The Broncos certainly come in with momentum, they’ve won seven straight, including a 37-27 home victory over Fresno State back on October 17th. Home field advantage can’t be overlooked here either in my opinion. Note that Boise State has averaged 53.2 points in five games since defeating the Bulldgos and is coming off an epic 50-19 beatdown of Utah State last week, RB Jay Ajayi ran for 229 yards and five TD’s. Fresno State would start the season 0-3 and got back to .500 before again losing three in a row, but would then win three straight to clinch the conference’s West Division with last week’s 28-21 win over Hawaii, finishing 6-6 overall. While the Bulldogs have looked much better of late, they certainly aren’t on the same level as the Broncos and I think the visitors will have a lot of trouble containing Ajayi, who ranks third in the country in yards from scrimmage per game at 179.6 (note that Freno State ranks 10th in the 12-team conference in giving up 468.9 yards from scrimmage). In every way this is a mismatch, in my opinion this line should in fact be a lot larger. Play on BOISE STATE. AAA Sports |
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