Free Week 6 Prediction: Seahawks vs. Cardinals NFL Odds
Looking for Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals Free NFL Week 6 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Seahawks taking on the Cardinals on Sunday, October 16th, 2022 at Lumen Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 6 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Seattle – Arizona matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 6
Seattle Seahawks (2-3) vs. Arizona Cardinals (2-3)
Date: Sunday, October 16th, 2022
Time: 4:05 PM EST
Venue: Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
NFL Week 6 ATS Betting Lines: Seahawks +3 (-110) | Cardinals -3 (-110) (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 6 Moneyline Odds: Seahawks +117 | Cardinals -144
NFL Week 6 NFL Betting Total: O/U 50.5
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Seattle returns home after a loss in a shootout in the Superdome, to take on the divisional Cardinals, both looking for their third win of the season.
Though their records are the same, one team is on the up and up, with a promising future, while the other is starting to get nervous and the head coach is staying in touch with college contacts. Funny how perspective works!
Seattle was left for dead after throwing up the white flag and dealing Russ to the Broncos. What was supposed to be a death knell has actually been an invigorating blessing in disguise. Guys, the Seahawks are fun. Like, really fun.
Arizona has been a toss up each week, going 3-2 ATS but have seen the under hit in 75% of their games. It’s not just me that has had trouble figuring out the Cards, Vegas has had their work cut out as well. Probably the most apt axiom ever said about professional sports is that, “winning cures all” because it’s just so damn true. Kliff and the Cards are hoping to find that panacea in week 6.
“It’s the hope that kills ya” – Ted Lasso
Seattle Seahawks
What have I NOT said about Geno to this point? Advanced metrics love him, he accounted for 3 touchdown passes against the Saints and even had some spectacular throws in week 6.
Oh, and he’s led Seattle to the #1 offensive mark by DVOA. It’s a challenge to overstate how impactful he’s been to their offense and colors your perception of whose fault last year was for the flailing Seahawks. It’s not just the passing offense either, Rashaad Penny (prior to suffering a severe injury) largely carried the offense to the 6th best EPA/rush mark.
So we know the offense for Seattle can score, evident by their 40 ppg the last two weeks, but the defense remains an issue. After their opening game against the anemic Broncos offense, Seattle has allowed 34.5 ppg. At a certain point, your offense won’t be able to carry you in the NFL; it’s about playing a complete game.
Not that Jamal Adams was ever a good coverage player, but the defense clearly misses him. Seattle has the league’s second worst passing defense by DVOA, though Quandre Diggs has picked up captain duties and Tariq Woolen looks like a budding superstar. Luckily for them, they’ll miss DeAndre Hopkins by one week, leaving them to contend with Hollywood Brown and a mending Rondale Moore.
Arizona Cardinals
I certainly wasn’t on the Cardinals last week when they surprised the betting community by covering against Philly. In fact, they were a mere missed field goal away from taking the undefeated Eagles to overtime.
Go re-watch that game and you’ll notice that the Cardinals didn’t play a fantastic game but they did just enough. Sometimes that’s the name of the game in the NFL, but this week they’ll have to do more than just hang around on Seattle’s knockout offense. Kyler was able to throw for 250 yards and a score and added 42 rushing yards but the offense only produced 17 points on the day.
James Conner wasn’t featured much on Sunday but was acutely effective with his 9 carries. Eno Benjamin saw an uptick in work this week and even added a touchdown of his own. They’ll look to take advantage of a Seattle rushing defense that is 24th in EPA/rush allowed.
Seattle is dead last in EPA/dropback allowed and 25% worse than Detroit, the next closest team. Kyler must take advantage of their weak passing defense if the Cardinals want to get back to .500 and assuage concerns of a regime change.
Arizona came into last week’s tilt against the Eagles as the 28th passing defense by DVOA and they actually did a good job of limiting the Philly air assault. The performance bumped up Arizona only one spot in DVOA ranking, but never underestimate the impact of momentum and confidence. Can they similarly limit Geno?
NFL Betting Trends:
- Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
- Arizona is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle’s last 8 games
4* Free Week 6 NFL Betting Prediction: o50.5
So what we have here by my count are two offenses that are primed for scoring against less than stellar defenses. Pace matters. As one team is starting to score in bunches, the other team is forced to push pace and put points up, something I’m counting on because I’m going with the over.
Geno is 5th in EPA/play, going against the NFL’s 5th worst defense in EPA/dropback allowed and Seattle is in another tier of stink for pass defense. I’m betting here that Arizona can’t stop Geno and Seattle doesn’t stop, well, anyone. I’ll let them prove me wrong, but the over is supported by multiple data points.
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