Free NFC Conference Championship Pick: Lions vs. 49ers Odds
Looking for Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers free NFC Conference Championship picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Lions taking on the 49ers on Sunday, January 28th at the Levi’s Stadium, in Santa Clara, CA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all 2024 playoff games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Detroit San Francisco matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: NFC Conference Championship
(12-5) Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers (12-5)
2024 NFC Championship Game
Date: Sunday, January 28th
Time: 6:30 ET
Venue: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara CA
2024 Conference Championship ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Detroit +6.5 | San Francisco -6.5
AFC Conference Championship Moneyline Odds: Detroit +245 | San Francisco -311
NFL Betting Total: O/U 51
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Can the Lions secure their inaugural Super Bowl appearance in franchise annals, or will the 49ers bring an end to their 2023/24 journey?
Sunday, the NFC Championship Game will unfold, featuring a showdown between the Lions and 49ers. Both squads clinched thrilling home victories in the Divisional Round, with crucial last-minute interceptions by their defenses sealing wins.
The Lions triumphed over Tampa Bay 31-23, marking their second-ever Conference Championship appearance. Meanwhile, the 49ers got past the Packers 24-21. McCaffrey capped a game-winning 69-yard drive with his second touchdown, securing the win with just 1:07 remaining on the clock.
In terms of Super Bowl odds, San Francisco boasts the shortest 2024 odds among the four remaining teams at +145, while Detroit faces the longest odds at +750.
Last season, the Lions and 49ers did not face off head-to-head.
The 49ers hold a historical advantage at 39-28-1, with a postseason split of 1-1. In recent years, San Francisco has dominated, with the Lions winning just once in their last 12 matchups since 1996.
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In their matchup against the 49ers, the Lions aim to build on their 12-5 record. This places them 1st in the NFC-North and 3rd in the NFC. Taking a look at the Lions’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at +3.9.
This has resulted in an ATS record of 13-6.
In the Lions’ win over the Buccaneers, the Lions did a good job moving the ball against the Buccaneers defense, finishing with 26 first-downs and racking up 391 yards of offense.
Defensively, the Lions allowed a total of 408 yards of offense to the Buccaneers. Going into the game, Detroit was favored by 6.5 and went on to cover the spread. Jared Goff threw for 287 yards while completing 69% of his passes and throwing for 287.
Goff threw for two touchdowns.
Detroit Lions Stats
Offensively, Goff finished with 287 passing yards while completing 69% of his passes. On the ground, the Lions ran the ball 26 times for 114 yards. The team went 6/14 on third down.
Overall, the Lions offense is averaging 27.2 points per game which is 5th in the NFL. In terms of scoring on the road, the Lions are averaging 24.1 points per contest.
On the defensive side of the ball, the Lions give up an average of 256.9 passing yards and 87.7 rushing yards per game.
Looking at their sack numbers, Detroit is currently ranked 14th in the league. So far, they are giving up 23.2 points per game and 344.6 yards.
Why The Lions Can Win
Lions HC Dan Campbell’s indifference towards the Detroit Lions’ history of road playoff losses during the Super Bowl era is truly motivating his team. Michigan fully supports their belief, even though their last postseason away win was in 1957 against the San Francisco 49ers.
Faith holds immense power.
The Lions have bought in, and all of Michigan is riding the Lions wave. This team is playing with confidence, and they have the weapons to keep up with San Fran.
San Francisco 49ers
Over the course of 18 games, the 49ers have put together a record of 12-5. This positions them 1st in the NFC-West and 1st in the NFC. The 49ers’ scoring margin thus far is currently at +10.9.
This has contributed to an ATS record of 9-8-1.
Even though the 49ers did not score in the first-quarter, they still recovered to pick up the win. Offensively, they finished with 356 yards while giving up 330 yards to the Packers.
Even though San Francisco won straight-up, they did not cover the spread as 10.5 point favorites. Brock Purdy threw for 252 yards while completing 59% of his passes and throwing for 252.
Purdy threw for one touchdown.
San Francisco 49ers Stats
On offense, the 49ers finished with 356 yards against the Packers. On third-down situations, the 49ers had a 62.5% conversion rate.
Notably, Christian McCaffrey led the rushing attack with 98 yards, while Purdy passed for 252 yards.
On offense, the 49ers are at 28.6 points per game, putting them 3rd in the NFL.
The San Francisco defense has recorded 28 takeaways this season, which places them 4th in the NFL. In terms of points allowed, their average of 17.7 is 3rd in the league while giving up 305.4 yards per contest.
Why The 49ers Can Win
If Deebo Samuel returns from his shoulder injury, the 49ers become almost unstoppable. As long as Purdy looks confident. When he’s on, he is a Pro-Bowl caliber QB, and he’ll show you how he can connects with his weapons all over the field. With no Deebo Samuel, the job will be tougher, but Jennings proved he can step up in the big game.
Kittle will be an even bigger x-factor in this offense, and of course the Niners will really have to lean on McCaffery. (As a receiver is where he can really make his mark)
Injury report, Tuesday 9:20pm ET: Samuel’s condition appears optimistic. Shanahan assured reporters on Monday, no shoulder fracture for Samuel, so, San Francisco is going to exercise patience with their top receiver.
Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Lions are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the 49ers are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Lions are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the 49ers have gone 6-3-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Lions’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The 49ers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Lions vs. 49ers Line Movement
4* Free 2024 NFC Championship Betting Prediction: Detroit +6.5
Is the near-touchdown spread justified for two 12-5 teams with similar offenses? San Francisco’s defense and home-field advantage may not be enough. Detroit, 13-6 ATS this season, covered in 5 of 6 recent games.
A key matchup to watch in this game is the Lions’ offense vs. the 49ers’ defense. Our projections have the Lions building on their most recent 391 yard performance on offense and putting together another big game vs. San Francisco.
I like the Lions at +6.5.
My choice for this matchup is the OVER, considering the over/under line at 51.
Heading into this game, games featuring San Francisco have seen an average combined score of 46.3 points, and I believe this game will remain OVER 51.
My model calls for 52.
In 7 of San Francisco’s last 10 Sunday home games, the total has gone OVER. Detroit has seen the total go OVER in 8 of their last 11 games and 7 of their last 9 Sunday games.
Lions 49ers NFL Handicapping
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Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
What's better than a pick in the Playoffs? Two picks in the Playoffs.
— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) January 23, 2024
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