Free NFL Divisional Round Pick: Buccaneers vs. Lions Odds
Looking for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions free Divisional round picks & NFL odds? NFL playoff betting sees the Buccaneers taking on the Lions on Sunday, January 21st at the Ford Field, in Detroit MI. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL playoff games so stay tuned for more FREE Divisional NFL predictions like this Tampa Bay Detroit matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Divisional Round
(9-8) Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions (12-5)
Date: Sunday, January 21st
2024 NFL Playoffs – Divisional Round
Time: 3:00 ET
Venue: Ford Field, Detroit MI
NFL Divisional Round ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Tampa Bay +6 | Detroit -6
Divisional Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay +215 | Detroit -273
NFL Betting Total: O/U 48.5
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During their first meeting, Lions secured a 20-6 win against Buccaneers. On the point-spread, the Lions went in as the favorite (-3) and they secured a 14 point win, picking up an ATS win.
Before the game, the over/under line was set at 43 points, resulting an under for the over/under result.
Series: Lions lead 32-29. Last week: Bucs defeated Eagles 32-9, while Lions narrowly won against Rams 24-23.
The Buccaneers had a big 426-yard game, beating the Eagles 32-9. However, their offense has been up and down. Luckily, they’re facing the Lions this week.
The Lions’ pass defense was already bad this season, but it’s had huge problems over the past month. Evans, Godwin, Otton, Palmer, Moore, and White (out of the backfield) are lickin’ their chops.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Coming into their game against Lions, the Buccaneers are trying to improve on a 9-8 record. This mark has them at 1st in the NFC-South and 4th in the NFC.
The Buccaneers’ scoring margin heading into this week’s game is at +2.6, putting their ATS record at 12-6.
The Buccaneers had a solid offensive start, with 10 points in the first quarter. They totaled 426 yards of offense, while the Eagles had 276 yards. Tampa Bay went into the game as the underdog (+2.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win.
Baker Mayfield threw for 337 yards while completing 61% of his passes and throwing for 337. Mayfield threw for three touchdowns.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats
Against the Eagles, the Buccaneers ran the ball 29 times, with Rachaad White leading the team with 72 yards. Mayfield threw the ball 36 times for 337 yards and a passer rating of 119.
Coming into week 2, the Buccaneers offense is 19th in the league at 21.1 points per contest.
On defense, the Buccaneers are giving up an average of 248.1 passing yards per game and 92.3.
In terms of sacks, Tampa Bay is 7th among other defenses and they are giving up 18.6 points per game and 340.4 yards.
Detroit Lions
The Lions come into their matchup against the Buccaneers with a 12-5 record. In the NFC-North, they are 1st and 3rd in NFC overall standings. The Lions hold a 12-6 record against the spread.
As we approach the Divisional round, their scoring margin stands at +3.7 per game.
Even though the Rams cut into the Lions’ four leading going to the 4th, Detroit still came out on top. The Rams ran the ball 17 times for 68 yards and ended with a total of 425 yards of offense.
Offensively, the Lions averaged 6 yards per play for 334 total yards. Even though Detroit won straight-up, they did not cover the spread as 3.5 point favorites.
Jared Goff threw for 277 yards while completing 81% of his passes and throwing for 277. Goff threw for one touchdown.
Detroit Lions Stats
On offense the Rams finished with 25 rushing attempts, and David Montgomery was the leading rusher with 57 yards. In the passing game, Goff threw the ball 27 times, accumulating 277 yards and a passer rating of 121.
On offense, the Lions have been one of the better teams in the league in the first quarter, ranking 1st in the NFL. Overall, they are averaging 26.9 points per game (5th).
Looking at Detroit’s defense, they currently stand 23rd in points allowed.
Opponents have been averaging 23.2 points per game and 341.1 yards per contest against them.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Buccaneers are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Lions are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Buccaneers are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Lions have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Buccaneers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Lions’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Buccaneers vs. Lions Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Buccaneers | +216 | +215 | +6 | +6 |
Lions | -275 | -273 | -6 | -6 |
4* Free NFL Playoff Betting Prediction: Tampa Bay +6
I’m glad Tampa lost to Detroit earlier this year. In that game, Mayfield had 206 passing yards and one interception. The Lions also limited the Bucs’ rushing to 2.9 yards per carry. It’s tough to beat a team twice in a season.
Tampa is fired up after a 32-9 win over Philadelphia. While a win in Detroit may be unlikely, a good performance should be expected.
Tampa Bay, with a strong defense, won six of its last seven games, allowing only 15.3 points per game.
A key matchup to watch in this game is the Buccaneers’ offense vs. the Lions’ defense. Our projections have the Buccaneers building on their most recent 426 yard performance on offense and putting together another big game vs. Detroit.
I like the Buccaneers at +6.
I’m selecting the under as my pick, given the over/under line of 48.5.
Heading into this matchup, games featuring Tampa Bay have had an average combined score of 39.7 points, and I believe this game will stay under 48.5.
Buccaneers Lions NFL Handicapping
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Football in Detroit 🙌 pic.twitter.com/Yz2Cqlzh68
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) January 18, 2024
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