Free Week 14 Prediction: Steelers vs. Bills NFL Odds
Looking for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills free NFL Week 14 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Steelers taking on the Bills on Sunday, December 13th at Bills Stadium in Orchard Park, New York . Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 14 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Pittsburgh Buffalo matchup.
NFL Handicapping: Week 14
(11-1) Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills (9-3)
Date: Sunday, December 13th
Time: 8:20 PM EST
Venue: Bills Stadium in Orchard Park, New York
NFL Week 14 ATS Betting Lines: Buffalo -2.5
NFL Week 14 Moneyline Odds: Buffalo -120
NFL Week 14 NFL Betting Total: 47
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Week 14’s Sunday Night Football Matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Buffalo Bills features two of the best teams in the NFL. The Pittsburgh Steelers lost their bid for an undefeated season after a disappointing loss to the Washington Football Team on Monday. Buffalo picked up an impressive win over the 49ers on Monday Night Football.
This primetime Sunday Night matchup against the Bills will be Pittsburgh’s third game in a 12 day span. The Steelers have gotten the short end of the stick of games being postponed and rescheduled due to COVID-19 protocols. We have to wonder if the fatigue of a short week of rest and changing schedule took a toll in Pittsburgh’s 23-17 loss to Washington. The Steelers jumped out to a 14-3 lead at the half, before faltering in the second half.
Pittsburgh was unable to get anything established on the ground in running back James Conner’s absence. They hope the likely return of their top running back will provide a spark to their rushing attack. Conner is averaging 4.4 yards per carry, and leads the team with 645 yards and 5 touchdowns on the ground this year.
Pittsburgh has a host of talented pass catchers, including JuJu Smith-Schuster, Chase Claypool, Diontae Johnson, and Eric Ebron. Claypool and Johnson have played well enough to prevent opposing defenses from keying in on Smith-Schuster like a year ago. Johnson leads the team with 654 receiving yards, and has caught five touchdown passes. The 6-foot-4, 238 pound Claypool has caught 47 receptions for 649 yards and eight touchdowns. He has also added two touchdowns on the ground.
Pittsburgh’s hard-nosed defense has continued to be the identity of this team. They are allowing a league best 17.6 points per game and 325.8 yards. The pass rush led by TJ Watt, Stephon Tuitt, and Cam Heyward leads the league with a whopping 3.7 sacks per game. They managed to get three sacks in their first game without Bud Dupree. Other players will have to continue to step up for Pittsburgh to continue their dominance.
Buffalo sits one game ahead of the Miami Dolphins on top of the AFC East after winning five of their last 6 games. They turned in an impressive performance against the 49ers as road underdogs. The offense got going in the second quarter and they cruised the rest of the way.
Third-year quarterback Josh Allen threw for 375 yards and four touchdowns after throwing for only 157 yards a week ago. It was a promising effort for the young quarterback, who had thrown three interceptions in his last 2 games.
Allen threw touchdown passes to Cole Beasley, Dawson Knox, Isaiah McKenzie, and Gabriel Davis in the Monday night win. Free agent signing Stefon Diggs has proven to be a valuable addition, catching 90 passes for 1,037 yards and four touchdowns. He has provided a deep threat and spark to the Bills offense. Allen has done a good job spreading the ball around, throwing multiple touchdown passes to seven different pass catchers. Buffalo’s passing attack averages 276.4 yards per game, ranking third in the NFL.
Buffalo has been average in scoring defense, allowing 25.5 points per game. The unit has looked far from the dominant group from last season, that allowed the fewest yards per game in the NFL. Despite the drop in production, they have tightened up and played a lot better the second half of the season. They have improved in opponent third down conversion and red zone efficiency. One of their strengths has been forcing turnovers, as they have come up with 19 takeaways this year.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Pittsburgh is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.
- Pittsburgh is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against Buffalo.
- Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road against Buffalo.
- Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against AFC opponents.
4* Free NFL Betting Prediction: Pittsburgh +2.5
Buffalo looked better in their last outing while Pittsburgh has looked shaky. It’s easy to lean towards the Bills after week 13, but I think the line is reflecting those performances and is a little inflated.
Pittsburgh has uncharacteristically dropped some big passes of late, and their run game has been non-existent. I expect this talented receiving corps to refocus and eliminate some of those drops. Star running back James Conner should return this week and provide a spark to the rushing attack.
Pittsburgh’s defense has continued to play well despite some injuries and short rest. They are a relentless squad and are leading the league in sacks per game (3.7) and points per game allowed (17.6). Getting this line at +2.5 is too much value to pass on. I’ll back the Steelers to cover the spread.
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