Free Week 13 Prediction: Giants vs. Dolphins NFL Odds
Looking for New York Giants vs. Miami Dolphins free NFL Week 13 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Giants taking on the Dolphins on Sunday, December 5th at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, FL. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New York- Miami matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
(4-7) New York Giants vs. Miami Dolphins (5-7)
Date: Sunday, December 5th, 2021
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
NFL Week 13 ATS Betting Lines: New York +5.5 | Miami -5.5 (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 13 Moneyline Odds: New York +180 | Miami -215
NFL Week 13 NFL Betting Total: O/U 40.5
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The Giants just got a big win over divisional rivals Philadelphia after the Eagles looked great the previous week(s) and New York looked terrible. Divisional rivalries sometimes get teams extra motivated to play their best games, although a bunch of Eagles mistakes certainly helped their cause.
The Dolphins just steamrolled the Panthers 33-10 just two weeks removed from Carolina beating the Cardinals. Miami has quietly won four straight, and both teams in this matchup are coming off big respective wins.
Football Outsiders has the Giants ranked 23rd up until this point and the Dolphins ranked 26th.
New York Giants
The Giants got off to a good start against the Eagles and were never trailing, but also didn’t look great offensively. That’s why I’m not too concerned that Daniel Jones will be out for this game and what seems to be the foreseeable future.
New York’s specialty is their defense. Daniel Jones has mostly been a liability this year and has cost the Giants some wins. I have no problem with Mike Glennon taking over and hopefully having their team focus more on their rushing attack and defense.
The Giants rank 11th in DVOA on defense while the Dolphins rank 26th on offense. That’s a good matchup for the underdog here. Miami also has a 15th ranked defense so this should be a low scoring game, which makes each point more valuable.
Currently, the Giants have more money on the spread than bets. That means each bet on the Giants is bigger on average than bets on the Dolphins. Usually that’s indicative of sharp money, and this seems to be a bit of an overcorrection after the QB injury news.
Miami has been impressive lately, but their offense can still struggle at times and the Giants still have the advantage on defense. Tua has been good but we’ve seen his high variance, unpredictable nature many times this season.
I’m not comfortable laying this many points when the favorite is the Dolphins. We’ve seen way too many big favorites lose outright to trust a team like Miami in this position. The Giants should come up with a low risk gameplan that will allow them to take the pressure off the QB position and win a rock-fight of a game.
I would only trust the Dolphins to win as reasonably sized underdogs. This team is so unpredictable and they don’t really have many strengths that they can rely on consistently. If Tua has a bad game they basically lose every time.
NFL Betting Trends:
- The Giants are 6-5 ATS this season.
- Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1 in Giants last 10 games following a ATS win.
- Dolphins are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Dolphins are 5-6-1 ATS this season.
- Under is 5-0 in Dolphins last 4 games following a straight up win.
4* Free Week 13 NFL Betting Prediction: New York Giants +5.5
I love the extra points we’re getting with Daniel Jones being out. Jones has been bad in most games this year so I would gladly trade him for 2.5 more points.
If this gets up to 6 it will be an even better bet, but I don’t think it’s going that far before sharps bet it down. Take the Giants with the points in what should be a close, low-scoring game.
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