Free NFL Week 17 Pick: Chargers vs. Broncos Odds
Looking for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Denver Broncos free NFL Week 17 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Chargers taking on the Broncos on Sunday, December 31st at the Empower Field at Mile High. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 17 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Los Angeles Denver matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 17
(5-10) Los Angeles Chargers vs. Denver Broncos (7-8)
Date: Sunday, December 31st
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver CO
NFL Week 17 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Los Angeles +5.5 | Denver -5.5
Week 17 NFL Moneyline Odds: Los Angeles +202 | Denver -262
NFL Betting Total: O/U 38.5
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When the Chargers and Broncos faced off for the first time this season, it was Broncos who clinched a 24-7 win.
As they entered the game, the Broncos were considered underdogs with a +3 point spread but managed to secure an ATS win.
When the game started, the over/under line was 45 points, and the team’s fell short of it.
In the Broncos-Chargers series since 1960, Denver leads with 71 wins, one tie. Their latest meeting on Dec. 12, 2023, in Los Angeles, ended 24-7, marking two consecutive victories for Denver.
In the bettors stats, both the Chargers and Broncos have identical ATS records of 5-9-1.
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Los Angeles Chargers
In the AFC-West standings, the Chargers are placed 4th with a record of 5-10. Within the AFC, Los Angeles holds the 15th spot as they approach week 17. The Chargers currently hold a 6-9 record against the spread.
Currently, their average scoring margin is -2.9.
In the Chargers’ loss to the Bills, the Chargers finished with 273 yards of offense compared to the Bills’ 335. The Bills ran the ball 30 times for 105 yards and averaged 11.0 yards per passing attempt for 230 yards.
Even though Los Angeles lost the game straight-up, they did cover the spread as 12.5-point underdogs. Even though Easton Stick did not throw for a touchdown, he ran for one score and threw for 215 yards on 33 attempts.
Los Angeles Chargers Stats
Against the Bills, the Chargers ran the ball 27 times, with Austin Ekeler as the top rusher, gaining 65 yards. Stick attempted 33 passes, amassing 215 yards and a passer rating of 87.
Offensively, the Chargers have an average of 21.7 points per game, which positions them 16th in the NFL.
Los Angeles is sitting 24th in points allowed so far. Heading into week 17, their opponents are putting up an average of 24.6 points per game, on 372.6 yards per contest.
Denver Broncos
Through 15 games, the Broncos have a record of 7-8. This mark has them 3rd in the AFC-West and 12th in the AFC. The Broncos’ current scoring margin stands at -3.3, which has them coming in with a 5-9-1 ATS record.
The Broncos couldn’t take advantage of their seven-point first quarter lead. On offense, the Broncos averaged 3.6 yards per rushing attempt and finished with 276 yards of total offense. The Patriots ended the game with a total of 289 yards.
Denver also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 7 point favorites. Russell Wilson threw for 238 yards while completing 67% of his passes and throwing for 238.
Wilson threw for two touchdowns.
Denver Broncos Stats
Looking at their performance on offense, Wilson threw for 238 yards while completing 67% of his passes. On the ground, the Broncos rushed the ball 23 times for 83 yards. The team’s third-down performance stood at 4/13.
The Denver offense is currently positioned 14th in the league, scoring an average of 21.8 points per contest.
Denver is 27th in points allowed defensively. So far, their opponents are putting up an average of 25.1 points per game, accumulating 376.2 yards per contest.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Denver Broncos NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Chargers are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Broncos are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Chargers are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Broncos have gone 4-5-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Chargers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Broncos’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Chargers vs. Broncos Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Chargers | +220 | +202 | +6 | +5.5 |
Broncos | -270 | -262 | -6 | -5.5 |
4* Free Week 17 NFL Betting Prediction: Los Angeles +5.5
The Broncos, 7-point favorites, lost 26-23 to the Patriots at home. Meanwhile, the Chargers, 13-point underdogs, lost 24-22 to the Bills with the Over (44) cashing in.
Considering Denver’s recent struggles in the passing game against New England, I’m not optimistic about a sudden change.
ATS trends: Chargers 5-1 in week 17, Broncos 2-4 recently, 1-4 in December, and 3-14-1 as favorites in 18 games.
Fact: The road team has covered in each of the prior 3 matchups.
That’s why I’m liking Los Angeles as 5.5-point underdogs.
After crunching the numbers, our model is pointing to this game finishing with a combined 33 points.
This projection has me feeling good about taking the UNDER 38.5.
Here are some Over/Under betting trends to consider: The Chargers have seen the total go UNDER in 10 of their last 13 games, including 5 of their last 6 road games. Additionally, in December, the total has gone UNDER in 6 of their last 8 games.
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Los Angeles Chargers vs. Denver Broncos NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Final prep for #LACvsDEN. ✅
📸 » https://t.co/3uIhTusoTv pic.twitter.com/Lh6eqUZt0B
— Denver Broncos (@Broncos) December 30, 2023
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