Ray “The Razor” Monohan – Last Updated on January 31, 2024 10:29 pm
Free NFL Week 8 Pick: Chiefs vs. Broncos Odds
Looking for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos free NFL Week 8 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Chiefs taking on the Broncos on Sunday, October 29th at the Empower Field at Mile High. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 8 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Kansas City Denver matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 8
(6-1) Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos (2-5)
Date: Sunday, October 29th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver CO
NFL Week 8 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Kansas City -8 | Denver +8
Week 8 NFL Moneyline Odds: Kansas City -379 | Denver +296
NFL Betting Total: O/U 46
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Get ready for an exciting NFL Week 8 showdown this Sunday at 4:25 ET as the (6-1, 3-2 ATS) Kansas City Chiefs take on the Denver Broncos (2-5, 0-4-1 ATS) at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO. CBS will broadcast this clash.
Here are the NFL Week 8 numbers: Kansas City -8 is the spread, and the Moneyline shows Kansas City at -379 and Denver at +296. As for the Total, it’s set at O/U 46.
Recap of their latest games: The Broncos secured a 19-17 victory over the Packers, a contest where it seemed neither team wanted to win. Meanwhile, the Chiefs triumphed 31-17 against the Chargers in Week 7, with Taylor Swift in attendance. (Of course!)
A glance at their historical matchups: The Broncos and Chiefs have battled 127 times, including one postseason game. Denver has 55 wins, while the Chiefs have 72.
In the first meeting between the Chiefs and Broncos, the Chiefs came away with a 19-8 win, marking their 16th consecutive victory over Denver. On the point-spread, the Chiefs went in as the favorite (-10.5) and they secured a 11 point win, picking up an ATS win.
Before the game, the over/under line was set at 47.5 points, resulting an under for the over/under result.
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Kansas City Chiefs
On the road, the Chiefs have a record of 3-0 this season and are 6-1 overall. When looking at the standings, Kansas City is 1st in the AFC and 1st in the AFC-West. On the road, Kansas City has gone 3-0 thus far.
Thus far, the Chiefs have a 5-2 record against the spread. It’s worth noting that they have been favored in each of their games.
The Chiefs’ 14-point win over the Chargers was one of their largest margins of victory in recent history. Offensively, the Chiefs averaged 7 yards per play for a total of 483 yards.
On the other end, the Chargers went 6/14 on 3rd down and finished with 358 yards. Going into the game, Kansas City was favored by 6 and went on to cover the spread.
Patrick Mahomes threw for 424 yards while completing 76% of his passes and throwing for 424. Mahomes threw for four touchdowns.
Kansas City Chiefs Stats
On offense, the Chiefs finished with 483 yards against the Chargers. On third-down situations, the Chiefs had a 54.5% conversion rate. Notably, Isiah Pacheco led the rushing attack with 32 yards, while Patrick Mahomes passed for 424 yards.
The Chiefs come in with an average of 25.4 points per game which is 6th in the NFL.
Facing the Broncos this week, the Chiefs defense has allowed an average of 15 points per game. They currently rank 3rd in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 294.6 yards per contest.
Denver Broncos
The Broncos enter their matchup against the Chiefs with a 2-5 record. This mark puts them 4th in AFC-West. In the AFC overall standings, they are 16th. Taking a look at the Broncos’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at -9.9.
This has resulted in an ATS record of 1-5-1.
In their 19-17 win over the Packers, the Broncos actually trailed at halftime by a score 9-9 before making a second-half comeback. For the game, the Broncos’ offense averaged 6 yards per play compared to the Packers at 5.
The Packers went 5/14 on third down. Going into the game, Denver was favored by 1.5 and went on to cover the spread. Russell Wilson threw for 194 yards while completing 69% of his passes and throwing for 194.
Wilson threw for one touchdown.
Denver Broncos Stats
On offense, the Broncos finished with 339 yards against the Packers. When it came to third downs, the Broncos had a 41.7% conversion rate. Leading the ground game was Javonte Williams with 82 yards, and Russell Wilson contributed 194 passing yards.
The Broncos come in with an average 21.1 points per game on offense, which has them 17th in the NFL.
On the defensive front, the Broncos currently hold the 11th position in tackles for loss and rank 10th in sacks.
Opponents are averaging 31 points and 424.7 yards per game against them.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Chiefs are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Broncos are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Chiefs are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Broncos have gone 4-5-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Chiefs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Broncos’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Chiefs vs. Broncos Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Chiefs | -460 | -378 | -8.5 | -8 |
Broncos | +360 | +295 | +8.5 | +8 |
4* Free Week 8 NFL Betting Prediction: Denver +8
In this game, I’m favoring Denver to cover the spread as 8-point underdogs. Denver showcased an effective ground game in their last matchup with Green Bay, and I anticipate a similar performance this week.
I’m locking in my bet on Denver before the kickoff.
Put me in the camp that think this is actually a game Russell Wilson will be OK in. The Chiefs defense is good, but not elite (yet) and I think at home Russell can still get the ball to Jeudy to cause some damage.
They’ll have to run the ball to keep this within a TD though, and that’s where Jaleel McLaughlin has to step up with a big play or two, and Jovante Williams has to play better than he did against the Packers. (15 carries 82 yds, 3 receptions 14 yards). He’s due for his first TD too.
Believe it or not the Broncos defense is starting to wake up too! Last game they held Mahomes to 19 in KC (that ain’t half-bad)
Given the over/under line is set at 46, I’m going with the under as my choice. Kansas City has an average margin of -8.3 in relation to their over/under lines this season.
The Chiefs are holding all teams to under 20 points, and that’s exactly where we see Denver this week! 46 total points according to my model.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City’s last 11 games, plus the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver’s last 8 games played in October.
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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
He is my X-Factor!
.@javontewill33's back doing @javontewill33 things again. 🤗 pic.twitter.com/OB8pS0YnAb
— Denver Broncos (@Broncos) October 25, 2023
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